WEBVTT - NFL Week 3 Betting Preview

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Favorites podcast, part of the Action Network.

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<v Speaker 1>Your Favorite Trio is back. I'm your host, Brandon Kravitz,

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<v Speaker 1>joined by the wonderfully insightful and talented Stucky and Kendrick Middleton.

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<v Speaker 1>On today's episode, We've got our plant the flag, game

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<v Speaker 1>of the week for week three, some picks that have

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<v Speaker 1>us in a pickle, and of course the main event

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<v Speaker 1>evans Tuesday Primer guys, sort of a weird week for me.

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<v Speaker 1>Tomorrow night, I'm headed to the Sleep Token concert. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know if you've ever heard of this band. I

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<v Speaker 1>sent a picture of the lead singer in our group

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<v Speaker 1>chat slightly frightening. It's members in the band remain anonymous

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<v Speaker 1>because they all wear masks, so you can kind of

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<v Speaker 1>get an idea, like think old school wrestling. Demolition is

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<v Speaker 1>kind of what I'm going to here any words of them,

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<v Speaker 1>because I feel like a complete fish out of water,

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<v Speaker 1>like Irock Khaki's on a regular basis, I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>I don't fit it.

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<v Speaker 2>Square black that would be, I think the best thing

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<v Speaker 2>you can do. I know that you have a pair

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<v Speaker 2>of black pants, I know you have a black T shirt.

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<v Speaker 3>Just wear black.

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<v Speaker 2>I went to see Red Hot Chili Peppers or in

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<v Speaker 2>Atlanta a couple of years ago and they had some

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<v Speaker 2>like K pop scream o band come out and apparently

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<v Speaker 2>they're huge, and I had no idea and half of

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<v Speaker 2>the crowd was there to see them, and it was

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<v Speaker 2>the It was like little girls screaming with like heavy

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<v Speaker 2>metal in the back. Oh, there's some One of their

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<v Speaker 2>songs is like something chocolate. I know somebody who's gonna

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<v Speaker 2>watch this on YouTube is gonna know exactly what I'm

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<v Speaker 2>talking about.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm gonna have to send it to you guys later.

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<v Speaker 2>But I'm sitting there just watching their opener and these

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<v Speaker 2>little girls come out in these scary like death metal

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<v Speaker 2>costumes and just start screaming. And it was the weirdest

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<v Speaker 2>experience I've ever felt in my life. I was not

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<v Speaker 2>dressed in enough black just when end out black it out?

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<v Speaker 1>All right? No eyeliner, skip the eyeliner, just go or

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<v Speaker 1>like should I go football EyeBlack under.

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<v Speaker 3>The Derek Carr.

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, I have no advice. I haven't been to a

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<v Speaker 4>concert since college sports. From my life, I have not. Literally,

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<v Speaker 4>I think the last concert I went to was so

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<v Speaker 4>I went to school in DC. I honestly think it

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<v Speaker 4>was like Kanye West came for some college fest thing

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<v Speaker 4>and that was the last concert.

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<v Speaker 1>Wow, you get to see him before he went absolutely bananas.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it was like college dropout albums. So yeah, that

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<v Speaker 4>was when.

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<v Speaker 1>That's a vibrant See that's and that's my style. Like

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<v Speaker 1>I'm more of a catch a Kanye in his prime.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe some Bruno mars. I'm going, I don't know how

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<v Speaker 1>my wife got into this group, but you know, she's

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<v Speaker 1>she's much more hardcore than I am. And I'm just

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<v Speaker 1>going to be a supportive husband. But I got to

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<v Speaker 1>get into it. Otherwise I'm gonna be that I'll be

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<v Speaker 1>the you know, the Jewish husband that's like, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>when's this thing gonna end? So I at least you

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<v Speaker 1>want to I at least want to do my part.

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<v Speaker 1>I just I don't know what I'm getting myself into.

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<v Speaker 1>A Yeah, well, like you know, like hip hop pop,

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<v Speaker 1>that's usually more my vibe.

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<v Speaker 3>Isn't he in trouble for gambling?

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<v Speaker 5>Oh?

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<v Speaker 1>This is our kind of guy. We should get Bruno

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<v Speaker 1>on the on the Favorites podcast.

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<v Speaker 2>I think he owes Vegas like a million dollars or something,

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<v Speaker 2>so he has to like perform his way out of it.

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<v Speaker 1>Oait, Yeah, I that's why I'm hosting this podcast. Also,

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<v Speaker 1>it's well behind the scenes for all of you.

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<v Speaker 4>No, it's remember I did read that that.

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<v Speaker 1>He I'm reading allegedly is the is the proper phrasing

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<v Speaker 1>on Bruno and his gambling exploits.

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<v Speaker 4>From anywhere from seven million to fifty million.

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<v Speaker 3>That's a big number.

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<v Speaker 1>You got really suck at this. That's like some Drake

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<v Speaker 1>stats right.

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<v Speaker 2>There, the guy who screwed the Jaguars over on FanDuel

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<v Speaker 2>or whatever.

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<v Speaker 4>I gotta look at it this more. We'll put you

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<v Speaker 4>on the spot. What if i'd put you if I

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<v Speaker 4>dropped you on a stage? What what?

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<v Speaker 5>What?

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<v Speaker 4>And you you had to do something? It was a

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<v Speaker 4>talent show and I just dropped you there and there

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<v Speaker 4>was one hundred thousand people in the crowd. What would

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<v Speaker 4>your talent pay? Do you have any talent?

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<v Speaker 1>So I did a talent show when I was in

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<v Speaker 1>high school. This is one of the most embarrassing stories

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<v Speaker 1>I can tell. I have a hoodie on right now

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<v Speaker 1>so I can actually reenact this. My headphones are on,

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<v Speaker 1>but I don't have any talents. This is about what

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<v Speaker 1>we're doing right now. Is about the extent of what

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<v Speaker 1>I would consider talent for me. So I was helping

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<v Speaker 1>someone out in high school that put on a talent

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<v Speaker 1>show and they said, I need more participants, will you

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<v Speaker 1>do something? And so I was pretty big into working

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<v Speaker 1>out at the time, so I said, I'll do a

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<v Speaker 1>hundred push ups. So that was gonna be my talent.

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<v Speaker 1>And I came out to Eminem's Lose Yourself with a

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<v Speaker 1>zip up hoodie on. I unzip the hoodie, I throw

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<v Speaker 1>the jacket off. We're going like Chippendale style, and I

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<v Speaker 1>stopped hard at seventy four. It was very embarrassing. Did

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<v Speaker 1>you go to a hundred? I don't know if anybody else,

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<v Speaker 1>but I definitely just sort of collapsed onto the stage.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm I'm definitely afraid of talent shows now. So

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<v Speaker 1>I'm a little bit nervous even just answering that.

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<v Speaker 2>I think I would probably this sounds really weird and

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<v Speaker 2>it's not really a talent. But I can crack a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of really random bones in my body, like repeatedly,

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<v Speaker 2>Like I can pop my hips repeatedly, my back repeatedly,

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<v Speaker 2>my fingers, like I can do all of that, So

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<v Speaker 2>that might be my talent is I can just crack

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<v Speaker 2>weird bones in my body. I can't think of anything else.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm actually a talentless loser.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's how we all got into this stucky

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<v Speaker 1>What about you?

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, I've done, I've done, I do karaoke, and

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<v Speaker 4>I do like, how will I know about Whitney Houston?

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<v Speaker 1>But you go Whitney Houston? This bold, my friend, You'd be.

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<v Speaker 4>Sports I mean, my only talents are like sports trivia.

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<v Speaker 4>I can if you in twenty minutes, I can name

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<v Speaker 4>every country and capital of the world A one hundred

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<v Speaker 4>and nineties.

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<v Speaker 1>No, that's phenom. That's really I.

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<v Speaker 4>Would be like super boring, like sitting up there for

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<v Speaker 4>twenty minutes naming every capital and country.

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<v Speaker 1>Now, could you imagine us standing on a stage as

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<v Speaker 1>the Favorites trio doing all three of these things like

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<v Speaker 1>I'm trying to crank out one hundred push ups unsuccessfully

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<v Speaker 1>and stuck. He's trying to name capitals around the world,

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<v Speaker 1>and Kendri just just over here kracking knuckles. That would

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<v Speaker 1>be I think if we did that as a triumvirent,

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<v Speaker 1>we'd actually have some that'd be unique. You could get

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<v Speaker 1>us on America's got talent.

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<v Speaker 4>That is my bar play whatever. I'm at a bar,

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<v Speaker 4>and I'll just bet people all the time that I

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<v Speaker 4>can name every world capital and people will just start

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<v Speaker 4>They'll never they never believe that I can in able

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<v Speaker 4>to start firing countries. And then I've done this talland.

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<v Speaker 1>How did that start?

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<v Speaker 4>Ah? I just wanted to learn it one debt one time.

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<v Speaker 4>I like learning random things. It was useful to qualify

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<v Speaker 4>for Jeopardy, Like if you know every world capital, you

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<v Speaker 4>can get soon you would. You're like you're a base

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<v Speaker 4>for like Jeopardy questions. Just when a country comes up,

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<v Speaker 4>you just learn like all that you learn, like certain cities.

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<v Speaker 4>And so I don't know, I'm weird, but yeah, I

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<v Speaker 4>don't really have any other talents. Like I can't juggle.

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<v Speaker 4>I can't even whistle, like I'm still this day. I

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<v Speaker 4>can't whistle. I can only do the just one. I

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<v Speaker 4>don't know how people like whistle a tune can't do that.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm pretty good at rock paper Scissors? Does that count

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<v Speaker 1>me too?

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<v Speaker 3>Because I know the cheat code? Do you know the

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<v Speaker 3>cheat code?

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<v Speaker 4>Everyone thinks are good at rock? Paer, there's actually a formula.

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<v Speaker 2>There's a formula of rock paper scissors. There actually is,

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<v Speaker 2>do you guys, Let's play.

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<v Speaker 4>First, let's sick. I don't have a formula, let's play.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh okay, I go rock papers. Wait, now we're backwards

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<v Speaker 2>not at the same time. We're gonna have to do

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<v Speaker 2>this in person because we're not at the same time

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<v Speaker 2>streaming leg Yeah, we we will do. There actually is

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<v Speaker 2>a formula. Do you guys know who Live Morgan is

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<v Speaker 2>in WWE?

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<v Speaker 1>Hell? Yeah, we had.

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<v Speaker 2>We did a rock paper scissors battle when I did

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<v Speaker 2>like their netfl thing here, and her and I both

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<v Speaker 2>knew the formula and it took twenty minutes for us

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<v Speaker 2>to get a winner out of it because we both

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<v Speaker 2>knew the formula of how to beat someone at rock

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<v Speaker 2>paper scitors.

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<v Speaker 3>I have a video of it. It was actually so intense.

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<v Speaker 1>I didn't know that there was a formula to it.

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<v Speaker 1>I just am just really good at reading minds when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to those.

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<v Speaker 2>There's actually a formula to beat someone in rock paper scissors.

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<v Speaker 2>But I can maybe do like some karate stuff. I

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<v Speaker 2>did martial arts for my entire childhood, so maybe whenever

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<v Speaker 2>I'm drunk, I like to like have people put cans

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<v Speaker 2>on stuff and I'll Roundhouse it, so maybe that would

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<v Speaker 2>be my talent.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't know, I'm not very comented.

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<v Speaker 1>Well that's better than cracking up.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I really am talentless, Like I have no artistic

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<v Speaker 4>ability zero. I can't I can draw it the sun,

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<v Speaker 4>and I can't sing, can't dance, So yeah, I might

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<v Speaker 4>just have to have people ask me questions stuff. So yeah,

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<v Speaker 4>I would lose the talent show.

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<v Speaker 1>But anyway, Lisa, I just wanted to set I'm glad

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<v Speaker 1>that we were able to springboard into our talentless lives.

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<v Speaker 1>But I want to give you guys an update on

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<v Speaker 1>Thursday's episode as to how this the concerts tomorrow night.

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<v Speaker 1>So this today is more about my anxiety surrounding it,

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<v Speaker 1>and then Thursday. I can't wait. The one thing I'm

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<v Speaker 1>really excited about is the people watching is going to

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<v Speaker 1>be tremendous. So I'll give you guys the full breakdown

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<v Speaker 1>of all of that. But before we get to the sides,

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<v Speaker 1>let's get to our main dish of the day. Some

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<v Speaker 1>news across the league. Baker Mayfield leads the charge to

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<v Speaker 1>snatch a win on the road against Houston, a gutsy

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<v Speaker 1>fourth down conversion on their final drive, breaking Stucky's heart

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<v Speaker 1>sitting there with the Texans mine. It's two and a

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<v Speaker 1>half ticket and the Chargers absolutely dominated the Raiders. The

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<v Speaker 1>Raiders might just be a bad football team, Stucky. Outside

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<v Speaker 1>of the heartbreaking l you took ats any big takeaways

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<v Speaker 1>from last night?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I always say your NFL weeks are all about

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<v Speaker 4>how much fun you had, and just those like the

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<v Speaker 4>games are always gonna be tight, markets are efficient. How

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<v Speaker 4>how those like final minutes of get your bets come

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<v Speaker 4>down to? And yeah, that was one that was zero fun.

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<v Speaker 4>And it was two weeks in a row. I had

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<v Speaker 4>the Falcons against the Bucks last week, so I've had

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<v Speaker 4>Baker Mayfield go down and score a touchdown and back

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<v Speaker 4>to back week so I alsow the Ravens against the Bills,

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<v Speaker 4>which was fun, Chiefs against the I've had a bunch

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<v Speaker 4>of bad No, I've had no fun through two weeks,

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<v Speaker 4>so hopefully that changes. But yeah, that was brutal. I

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<v Speaker 4>mean the Bucks ran it better than the Texans. The

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<v Speaker 4>Texas play calling still left a lot to be desired.

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<v Speaker 4>I thought they were going to really take a step,

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<v Speaker 4>Like the goal at the second and goal at the one,

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<v Speaker 4>those three plays were really they were confusing like the rollout,

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<v Speaker 4>and but they can't run the ball. It's still some

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<v Speaker 4>offensive line issues. I don't think the play calling was

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<v Speaker 4>that improved from I mean a lot of a lot

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<v Speaker 4>of the things I saw were like is Bobby Slogs

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<v Speaker 4>still there? So yeah, it was a good win for

0:10:52.480 --> 0:10:57.640
<v Speaker 4>the Bucks. But they, I mean they got a bit fortunate. Again.

0:10:57.679 --> 0:11:00.199
<v Speaker 4>I mean even in the first quarter, you had their

0:11:00.240 --> 0:11:03.760
<v Speaker 4>touchdown came off of and illegal hands to the face

0:11:03.800 --> 0:11:05.520
<v Speaker 4>on a third and long, which was not a made

0:11:05.559 --> 0:11:07.040
<v Speaker 4>up call, and then there was a tripping that they

0:11:07.040 --> 0:11:10.719
<v Speaker 4>didn't call. So then that those two touchdowns, the other

0:11:10.720 --> 0:11:12.280
<v Speaker 4>touchdown drive they had to drop pick. That was the

0:11:12.320 --> 0:11:14.319
<v Speaker 4>only time they scored until the last minute. But that's

0:11:14.320 --> 0:11:17.320
<v Speaker 4>what Baker Mayfield does in the last minute. All the

0:11:17.320 --> 0:11:21.200
<v Speaker 4>Texans had to do is come with a just compose

0:11:21.240 --> 0:11:24.760
<v Speaker 4>yourself on your your blitz and they would to tell

0:11:24.840 --> 0:11:27.200
<v Speaker 4>fourth and ten. I think they had like an eighty

0:11:27.240 --> 0:11:29.720
<v Speaker 4>five percent win probability on that play, but credit to

0:11:29.760 --> 0:11:32.480
<v Speaker 4>the Bucks probably deserved to win. Texans had some special

0:11:32.480 --> 0:11:36.920
<v Speaker 4>teams play go other way. But yeah, it was an

0:11:36.960 --> 0:11:40.960
<v Speaker 4>impressive last minute drive by Mayfield and company. And yeah,

0:11:40.960 --> 0:11:45.840
<v Speaker 4>Broke mart I had the Texans two in a round robin.

0:11:45.960 --> 0:11:48.280
<v Speaker 4>To close that around robin, I bet the Texans money

0:11:48.280 --> 0:11:51.199
<v Speaker 4>line live. I had the Texans minus two and a

0:11:51.240 --> 0:11:55.360
<v Speaker 4>half and in my big survivor pools ones that like

0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:59.040
<v Speaker 4>hay out millions of dollars. I get risky earlier on

0:11:59.080 --> 0:12:00.720
<v Speaker 4>I used the Texans, So.

0:12:02.280 --> 0:12:04.320
<v Speaker 1>H that's brutal.

0:12:05.640 --> 0:12:08.760
<v Speaker 4>And then yeah, the Chargers just were completely dominant that

0:12:08.800 --> 0:12:14.360
<v Speaker 4>defense so well schemed and Mintor put chip Kelly in

0:12:14.400 --> 0:12:19.120
<v Speaker 4>a blender. It was impressed performance and like Greg Roman,

0:12:19.200 --> 0:12:25.240
<v Speaker 4>like this, he's letting Herbert let it fly. And that's

0:12:25.480 --> 0:12:27.360
<v Speaker 4>like I was. I was very fearful and thought that

0:12:27.400 --> 0:12:29.640
<v Speaker 4>the Chargers like they did that because it was the Chiefs.

0:12:29.640 --> 0:12:30.760
<v Speaker 4>It was game one and they were going to go

0:12:30.760 --> 0:12:33.960
<v Speaker 4>back to being their old conservative selves. But yeah, they

0:12:33.960 --> 0:12:36.280
<v Speaker 4>look really good and they're obvious. They're the favorites to

0:12:36.280 --> 0:12:38.320
<v Speaker 4>win that division for a reason.

0:12:39.000 --> 0:12:41.760
<v Speaker 1>I like how they just casually mentioned that Tom Brady

0:12:41.840 --> 0:12:44.480
<v Speaker 1>is working with Chip Kelly on offense with the Raiders,

0:12:44.800 --> 0:12:47.040
<v Speaker 1>and then they go and score nine points. Gino has

0:12:47.080 --> 0:12:50.839
<v Speaker 1>three picks. Kendrick. If the Raiders were good, people would

0:12:50.840 --> 0:12:53.319
<v Speaker 1>be pissed, and they might be. They might be anyway,

0:12:53.600 --> 0:12:56.319
<v Speaker 1>you can tell me. I know that people in your

0:12:56.360 --> 0:12:59.480
<v Speaker 1>area of the country get all fired up about Tom Brady,

0:13:00.080 --> 0:13:03.240
<v Speaker 1>But is that a big deal or is that something

0:13:03.280 --> 0:13:05.440
<v Speaker 1>because the Raiders aren't very good, No one's going to

0:13:05.440 --> 0:13:05.880
<v Speaker 1>give a shit.

0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:08.160
<v Speaker 3>I think that it is a big deal.

0:13:08.920 --> 0:13:11.280
<v Speaker 2>Do I think that Tom Brady being involved in any way,

0:13:11.320 --> 0:13:15.040
<v Speaker 2>shape or form in the NFL is awesome? Yes, But

0:13:15.400 --> 0:13:18.600
<v Speaker 2>here's the thing, and so many of those pregame production meetings,

0:13:18.880 --> 0:13:22.000
<v Speaker 2>there's so much information given away about their schemes and

0:13:22.000 --> 0:13:24.040
<v Speaker 2>if guys are healthy and what their game plan is

0:13:24.080 --> 0:13:25.880
<v Speaker 2>and YadA YadA. So it's like, it's not a Tom

0:13:25.880 --> 0:13:28.400
<v Speaker 2>Brady issue. If I were Tom and I was allowed

0:13:28.400 --> 0:13:30.200
<v Speaker 2>to have, you know, like a five percent ownership and

0:13:30.200 --> 0:13:32.000
<v Speaker 2>a team and also be on the broadcast to make

0:13:32.000 --> 0:13:34.160
<v Speaker 2>almost forty million dollars a year, it's not a Tom

0:13:34.200 --> 0:13:36.199
<v Speaker 2>Brady problem. It's the fact that the league and Fox

0:13:36.200 --> 0:13:36.800
<v Speaker 2>are letting.

0:13:36.640 --> 0:13:37.120
<v Speaker 3>Him do this.

0:13:37.800 --> 0:13:39.480
<v Speaker 2>So do I think that it's a bad thing for

0:13:39.600 --> 0:13:42.440
<v Speaker 2>the league? Weirdly yes, But it's not a Tom issue.

0:13:42.440 --> 0:13:44.400
<v Speaker 2>At some point, somebody's got a step in and be like, Hey,

0:13:44.440 --> 0:13:46.280
<v Speaker 2>if you're going to be on the broadcast.

0:13:45.840 --> 0:13:47.280
<v Speaker 3>We change the rules for you.

0:13:47.280 --> 0:13:49.280
<v Speaker 2>You can't you can't have the headset on in the booth,

0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:52.880
<v Speaker 2>so I think that that's an issue. Do I think

0:13:52.880 --> 0:13:55.320
<v Speaker 2>it's the biggest issue that the Raiders are facing right now?

0:13:55.520 --> 0:13:56.520
<v Speaker 3>No, obviously not.

0:13:57.640 --> 0:14:00.200
<v Speaker 2>I I'm not sure if this game says but the

0:14:00.280 --> 0:14:02.520
<v Speaker 2>Raiders are bad or the Chargers or that really that

0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:05.400
<v Speaker 2>really that good. I'm just I'm kind of in the

0:14:05.440 --> 0:14:08.040
<v Speaker 2>middle of the Chargers being the best team in that division,

0:14:08.080 --> 0:14:10.680
<v Speaker 2>but also the Raiders not being as bad as this

0:14:10.760 --> 0:14:13.960
<v Speaker 2>game showed. Really, honestly, I think Gino Smith was just

0:14:14.040 --> 0:14:19.240
<v Speaker 2>throwing some terrible, fuck it balls inaccurate uugh, just terrible

0:14:19.280 --> 0:14:21.400
<v Speaker 2>at certain points in this game, and it just it

0:14:21.440 --> 0:14:23.880
<v Speaker 2>got boring quickly. I think mostly I put it on Gino,

0:14:24.000 --> 0:14:25.640
<v Speaker 2>to be honest, like the fact that you held the

0:14:25.720 --> 0:14:28.000
<v Speaker 2>Chargers to twenty points, I don't.

0:14:28.040 --> 0:14:29.400
<v Speaker 3>I don't think that that's I don't.

0:14:29.800 --> 0:14:33.920
<v Speaker 2>I think the Raiders are better than what we watched

0:14:34.080 --> 0:14:36.960
<v Speaker 2>last night. If you look at the box score, it's like, okay, yeah, whatever.

0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:40.080
<v Speaker 2>I'm not about a box score mouth breather watcher, So

0:14:40.520 --> 0:14:43.280
<v Speaker 2>that's not my vibe. I think that it's somewhere in

0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:45.600
<v Speaker 2>the middle of the Chargers being a top team right

0:14:45.640 --> 0:14:48.200
<v Speaker 2>now and the Raiders being a little bit better than

0:14:48.240 --> 0:14:50.680
<v Speaker 2>they were potentially climbing that ladder a little bit. They

0:14:50.680 --> 0:14:52.520
<v Speaker 2>didn't look good last night. I think people are looking

0:14:52.520 --> 0:14:54.400
<v Speaker 2>into it a little bit too much. The Tom Brady thing.

0:14:54.440 --> 0:14:56.440
<v Speaker 2>I think that there's definitely something there, but it's not

0:14:56.440 --> 0:14:57.280
<v Speaker 2>a Tom Brady issue.

0:14:57.320 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 3>It's a league and a Fox Sports issue.

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:03.280
<v Speaker 2>As far as the Bucks Texans game goes, Baker Mayfield's

0:15:03.280 --> 0:15:05.760
<v Speaker 2>balls just do not fit in his pants. It's actually

0:15:05.800 --> 0:15:11.360
<v Speaker 2>so impressive, like absolutely beyond impressive. He I love the

0:15:11.840 --> 0:15:14.160
<v Speaker 2>kind of like character arc that his career has had.

0:15:14.480 --> 0:15:17.720
<v Speaker 2>But I think my biggest takeaway from everything last night

0:15:18.160 --> 0:15:20.560
<v Speaker 2>is that I hate the Monday night doubleheader.

0:15:20.800 --> 0:15:22.600
<v Speaker 3>I hate it so much.

0:15:24.400 --> 0:15:28.000
<v Speaker 4>Oh well, I also would say I don't mind it done.

0:15:27.920 --> 0:15:31.120
<v Speaker 1>Less shitty one pm game. Give it to me every week.

0:15:31.120 --> 0:15:33.760
<v Speaker 1>They should do this every week, shave one off of

0:15:33.800 --> 0:15:35.520
<v Speaker 1>the one pm slate, throw it on Monday.

0:15:36.040 --> 0:15:38.920
<v Speaker 4>No, it does maybe less productive because I gotta start

0:15:39.480 --> 0:15:43.640
<v Speaker 4>getting into I get into start just diving into the

0:15:43.680 --> 0:15:46.200
<v Speaker 4>week hard right after the last Monday Night game, so

0:15:46.200 --> 0:15:48.880
<v Speaker 4>when there's two that it's a couple hours later. But

0:15:49.160 --> 0:15:51.600
<v Speaker 4>I don't like when they're staggered Monday Night I've watched

0:15:51.600 --> 0:15:53.560
<v Speaker 4>football in multiple games all weekend. I'd like to just

0:15:53.600 --> 0:15:55.640
<v Speaker 4>have one and then if you're gonna get another one,

0:15:55.720 --> 0:15:58.440
<v Speaker 4>give it to me after. But look, kad gin know

0:15:58.480 --> 0:15:59.960
<v Speaker 4>it was just a He was inaccurate. But the Chargers

0:16:00.000 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 4>defense was amazing. Darwin James was amazing. There wasn't much separation,

0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:06.000
<v Speaker 4>but Gino was inaccurate, and usually that's one of his strengths,

0:16:06.040 --> 0:16:09.160
<v Speaker 4>especially indoors were usually thrives. So I think the Raiders

0:16:09.240 --> 0:16:11.440
<v Speaker 4>offense will be better. Bowers wasn't one hundred percent. They

0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:13.600
<v Speaker 4>were missing their right guard, so I think their offense

0:16:13.600 --> 0:16:16.600
<v Speaker 4>will be better. But that's another black eye on the

0:16:16.640 --> 0:16:21.720
<v Speaker 4>Patriots defense, who really needs Gonzales back, because look, they

0:16:22.120 --> 0:16:24.680
<v Speaker 4>at the score board didn't show it as far as points,

0:16:24.720 --> 0:16:27.880
<v Speaker 4>but they moved up and down the field Against the Patriots,

0:16:27.920 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 4>Gino threw for what three point fifty in that game

0:16:30.400 --> 0:16:32.760
<v Speaker 4>or something something along those lines, so they were moving

0:16:32.800 --> 0:16:35.120
<v Speaker 4>the ball will And then they couldn't move the ball

0:16:35.360 --> 0:16:38.040
<v Speaker 4>at all against the Chargers. And then we saw the Dolphins,

0:16:38.520 --> 0:16:43.480
<v Speaker 4>who their entire offensive line is depleted. They basically couldn't

0:16:43.480 --> 0:16:46.960
<v Speaker 4>score a point until garbage against the Colts, and we

0:16:47.000 --> 0:16:49.280
<v Speaker 4>saw what the Dolphins did against the Patriots, putting up

0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:52.400
<v Speaker 4>nearly four hundred yards, So the Patriots defense definitely has

0:16:52.440 --> 0:16:56.360
<v Speaker 4>some issues. Christian Gonzales will help a lot when he

0:16:56.400 --> 0:16:56.960
<v Speaker 4>comes back.

0:16:58.280 --> 0:17:03.720
<v Speaker 1>AFC West. The public the dollars all in on the

0:17:03.800 --> 0:17:07.119
<v Speaker 1>Chargers minus won ten right now over at DraftKings to

0:17:07.160 --> 0:17:09.200
<v Speaker 1>win the division the Chiefs. You want to buy a

0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:12.239
<v Speaker 1>low opportunity. How about the Chiefs at nearly three to

0:17:12.280 --> 0:17:15.480
<v Speaker 1>one there plus two seventy to win the AFC West

0:17:15.800 --> 0:17:18.119
<v Speaker 1>quarterbacks going down fast and furious. That's one of the

0:17:18.119 --> 0:17:21.600
<v Speaker 1>big storylines this week. JJ McCarthy is out with an

0:17:21.600 --> 0:17:25.399
<v Speaker 1>ankle injury. Joe Burrow out several months. So we have

0:17:25.520 --> 0:17:28.639
<v Speaker 1>Jake Browning versus Carson Wentz. Kendra, are you still in

0:17:28.760 --> 0:17:32.720
<v Speaker 1>You were in Sunday Night Early Reads you wanted to

0:17:32.720 --> 0:17:34.520
<v Speaker 1>take the Minnesota Vikings. I don't know if you pulled

0:17:34.560 --> 0:17:36.520
<v Speaker 1>the trigger on that yet, but I did not take

0:17:36.560 --> 0:17:40.040
<v Speaker 1>God Okay, So are you off of that with this nonsense?

0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:41.119
<v Speaker 3>Okay?

0:17:41.880 --> 0:17:44.400
<v Speaker 2>Is it bad that I kind of like the Vikings

0:17:44.440 --> 0:17:46.560
<v Speaker 2>more than I did a couple of nights ago? Because

0:17:46.560 --> 0:17:48.560
<v Speaker 2>if you're gonna give me all right, let's say you

0:17:48.600 --> 0:17:51.400
<v Speaker 2>need to go out and win one game right now,

0:17:51.440 --> 0:17:54.160
<v Speaker 2>and you have, you know, a backyard pick them, Jake

0:17:54.200 --> 0:17:57.359
<v Speaker 2>Browning or Carson Wentz. I'm gonna take Carson Wentz every

0:17:57.440 --> 0:17:58.000
<v Speaker 2>single time.

0:17:59.760 --> 0:18:01.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah about seven years ago.

0:18:02.760 --> 0:18:05.400
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, but Jeeke, I mean Jake brown up.

0:18:05.320 --> 0:18:08.040
<v Speaker 1>And down the field of the Jacksonville Jaguars. I don't

0:18:08.080 --> 0:18:08.280
<v Speaker 1>know that.

0:18:10.320 --> 0:18:11.359
<v Speaker 4>Browning beat her Jags.

0:18:11.400 --> 0:18:13.840
<v Speaker 2>No, no, no, Jake Browning has always beat the Jags

0:18:13.880 --> 0:18:15.960
<v Speaker 2>anytime he's ever played them. Like, I don't know what

0:18:16.040 --> 0:18:19.000
<v Speaker 2>it is about Jake Browning being the Jaguars kryptonite. The

0:18:19.119 --> 0:18:20.760
<v Speaker 2>one thing you guys have got to learn about me

0:18:20.840 --> 0:18:23.280
<v Speaker 2>quickly is that I'm a realist about the Jacksonville Jaguars.

0:18:23.280 --> 0:18:25.199
<v Speaker 2>I have them winning nine games this year. I am

0:18:25.240 --> 0:18:27.840
<v Speaker 2>not one of these super fan girls that is unrealistic

0:18:27.960 --> 0:18:30.200
<v Speaker 2>about the team. They've hurt me for far too long,

0:18:30.280 --> 0:18:32.480
<v Speaker 2>for far too many years. I know where to keep

0:18:32.520 --> 0:18:34.639
<v Speaker 2>them so that they cannot hurt me anymore. I know

0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:37.879
<v Speaker 2>that Jake Browning is their kryptonite. X y Z. I

0:18:38.240 --> 0:18:41.000
<v Speaker 2>just truly and deeply believe that the Vikings have a

0:18:41.000 --> 0:18:43.720
<v Speaker 2>better offensive line. They're gonna give Carson Wentz more time

0:18:43.800 --> 0:18:46.920
<v Speaker 2>to throw the ball. Jamar Chase has not looked like

0:18:47.000 --> 0:18:49.399
<v Speaker 2>himself through the first couple of weeks of the season

0:18:49.440 --> 0:18:51.520
<v Speaker 2>as far as what he's actually capable of doing.

0:18:51.960 --> 0:18:53.919
<v Speaker 3>And I like the Vikings defense better.

0:18:54.960 --> 0:18:57.560
<v Speaker 4>Well, I'll say I don't mind. I don't mind the

0:18:57.600 --> 0:19:01.200
<v Speaker 4>looking at the Viks especially two and a half three,

0:19:01.520 --> 0:19:03.840
<v Speaker 4>because here's how I look at it like going into

0:19:04.880 --> 0:19:09.360
<v Speaker 4>that game, Going into the Sunday night game, I had

0:19:09.359 --> 0:19:14.159
<v Speaker 4>the Vikings as like a one point favorite over the

0:19:14.200 --> 0:19:15.960
<v Speaker 4>Bengals at home, and the Vikings have one of the

0:19:15.960 --> 0:19:20.359
<v Speaker 4>best home field advantages in the NFL. But the Vikings

0:19:20.359 --> 0:19:23.919
<v Speaker 4>look horrendous and they got dominated. Downgraded. The Vikings basically

0:19:24.520 --> 0:19:27.800
<v Speaker 4>now would have made that game a pick close to

0:19:27.840 --> 0:19:31.160
<v Speaker 4>a pick at full strength, So I would have had

0:19:32.119 --> 0:19:34.879
<v Speaker 4>I think bro is worth like five points now, but

0:19:35.119 --> 0:19:36.639
<v Speaker 4>Browning has been pretty good when he's played, so you

0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:39.040
<v Speaker 4>could tell me that it's four and I would buy that.

0:19:39.680 --> 0:19:43.680
<v Speaker 4>But so, all right, so let's adjust the spread out

0:19:43.680 --> 0:19:49.320
<v Speaker 4>of four four and a half. But then McCarthy is out.

0:19:49.640 --> 0:19:53.960
<v Speaker 4>Here's my thing is McCarthy is Wentz worse than McCarthy.

0:19:54.000 --> 0:19:55.399
<v Speaker 4>I don't know, maybe not.

0:19:57.600 --> 0:19:59.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't think we know. I don't think we know

0:19:59.440 --> 0:20:00.879
<v Speaker 1>what the gas between McCarthy.

0:20:00.960 --> 0:20:02.760
<v Speaker 4>We don't know what I'm saying, like there's a chance

0:20:02.800 --> 0:20:06.159
<v Speaker 4>that Wentz is better like McCarthy's body of work. No,

0:20:06.240 --> 0:20:11.359
<v Speaker 4>granted he had offensive line injuries, but it was seven

0:20:11.400 --> 0:20:14.439
<v Speaker 4>of eight quarters were horrendous. I mean, his his pressure

0:20:14.440 --> 0:20:16.280
<v Speaker 4>to sack ratio is the worst in the league. He's

0:20:16.280 --> 0:20:20.280
<v Speaker 4>on he was on pace to break David Carr's unbreakable

0:20:20.640 --> 0:20:23.000
<v Speaker 4>sack single season in sack record of seventy six. He's

0:20:23.000 --> 0:20:24.399
<v Speaker 4>on pace I think for seven. He's on pace for

0:20:24.480 --> 0:20:26.000
<v Speaker 4>seventy six and a half. But obvious he's gonna miss

0:20:26.040 --> 0:20:28.439
<v Speaker 4>time so probably won't break it. But he only get

0:20:28.760 --> 0:20:30.320
<v Speaker 4>he only could throw it to one side of the field.

0:20:30.400 --> 0:20:34.320
<v Speaker 4>He was super inaccurate. Like it was bad. He had

0:20:34.400 --> 0:20:38.320
<v Speaker 4>one quarter and by the way, the Bears did you

0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:40.240
<v Speaker 4>see with the lines into them without their corners. He

0:20:40.280 --> 0:20:43.760
<v Speaker 4>was playing the Bears without their corners. Aj Terrell missed

0:20:43.800 --> 0:20:46.200
<v Speaker 4>the second half their only lockdown corners, so they hadn't

0:20:46.240 --> 0:20:49.600
<v Speaker 4>like play more. They still couldn't move the ball. So

0:20:49.840 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 4>but I will say you the injuries for the Vikings

0:20:52.280 --> 0:20:54.200
<v Speaker 4>are worth watching. That's like, what's gonna make or break

0:20:54.359 --> 0:20:59.320
<v Speaker 4>this for me? You have Garrisol their left tackle. They

0:20:59.320 --> 0:21:03.320
<v Speaker 4>need him back Kelly, their center went out, even their

0:21:03.359 --> 0:21:05.879
<v Speaker 4>backup left tackle went out. Like their offensive line was

0:21:05.920 --> 0:21:08.399
<v Speaker 4>a disaster. And then on the defensive side, they've already

0:21:08.400 --> 0:21:11.920
<v Speaker 4>lost Cashman Van Yinkle missed last week, Harrison Smith missed

0:21:11.960 --> 0:21:14.280
<v Speaker 4>last week, Akuda missed last week. So there's a lot

0:21:14.320 --> 0:21:18.000
<v Speaker 4>of key injuries. But if they're healthier on the defensive

0:21:18.320 --> 0:21:21.760
<v Speaker 4>side and on the offensive line, I can get behind

0:21:21.800 --> 0:21:25.120
<v Speaker 4>the Vikings at three or better because I McCarthy might

0:21:25.200 --> 0:21:25.960
<v Speaker 4>just be bad.

0:21:25.840 --> 0:21:26.680
<v Speaker 3>Now I think he is.

0:21:27.359 --> 0:21:30.040
<v Speaker 4>Maybe he's two games, just just two games, but what

0:21:30.119 --> 0:21:33.840
<v Speaker 4>we have so far, just the sample, that game against

0:21:33.880 --> 0:21:38.320
<v Speaker 4>Atlanta from an EPA per play perspective, was worse than

0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:42.560
<v Speaker 4>Jaron Hall against the Packers like two years ago. For

0:21:42.600 --> 0:21:46.080
<v Speaker 4>the Vikings, who came in, threw a pick that led

0:21:46.119 --> 0:21:49.000
<v Speaker 4>to points, fumbled led to points, they got blown out,

0:21:49.040 --> 0:21:53.160
<v Speaker 4>and he got benched. That that game was so bad,

0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:54.800
<v Speaker 4>that was the one of the words. And I don't

0:21:54.840 --> 0:21:58.680
<v Speaker 4>think I think that O'Connell knows it. Like they weren't

0:21:58.680 --> 0:22:02.200
<v Speaker 4>being aggressive. He punted on that fourth and one basically

0:22:02.240 --> 0:22:06.879
<v Speaker 4>like surrender punt. So yeah, there might just not be

0:22:07.119 --> 0:22:09.800
<v Speaker 4>a drop off from McCarthy to Wentz. But I gotta

0:22:10.040 --> 0:22:12.760
<v Speaker 4>monitor some of these injuries because if their defense is healthy,

0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:17.720
<v Speaker 4>they're gonna bring pressure, and that Bengals offensive line is

0:22:17.720 --> 0:22:19.240
<v Speaker 4>not gonna be able to hold up. Then Brown is

0:22:19.240 --> 0:22:20.800
<v Speaker 4>probably gonna make a couple of mistakes.

0:22:21.280 --> 0:22:23.400
<v Speaker 3>He's made so many mistakes this weekend.

0:22:23.960 --> 0:22:26.920
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, but I mean he's not the worst backup. He's

0:22:26.920 --> 0:22:28.040
<v Speaker 4>pretty serious, but he's done well.

0:22:28.040 --> 0:22:30.840
<v Speaker 1>But he'd be like to Minnesota, the top five backup.

0:22:31.200 --> 0:22:35.080
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, but in Minnesota, if that defense is healthy, there's

0:22:35.080 --> 0:22:38.280
<v Speaker 4>probably gonna be some key mistakes. But interesting game two backups.

0:22:38.280 --> 0:22:40.800
<v Speaker 4>It's not a game I don't think anyone is really

0:22:40.840 --> 0:22:44.160
<v Speaker 4>gonna love. But that's the key to it. How much

0:22:44.200 --> 0:22:46.680
<v Speaker 4>do you think of a drop off? Number one is

0:22:46.720 --> 0:22:51.280
<v Speaker 4>Burrow to Browning, Like some people have seen that, I

0:22:51.320 --> 0:22:53.480
<v Speaker 4>respect say it's like three and a half points three

0:22:53.600 --> 0:22:55.000
<v Speaker 4>three and a half. I think it's more than that.

0:22:55.240 --> 0:23:02.240
<v Speaker 4>And how much of a drop off from from McCarthy

0:23:02.240 --> 0:23:06.119
<v Speaker 4>to Wentz, Like someone could say it's two points, someone

0:23:06.119 --> 0:23:10.040
<v Speaker 4>could say it's nothing, someone could say McCarthy's so bad

0:23:10.040 --> 0:23:10.560
<v Speaker 4>that it's an.

0:23:10.480 --> 0:23:12.760
<v Speaker 3>Improvement, like s I'm in that camp.

0:23:13.280 --> 0:23:15.600
<v Speaker 4>So that's that's like where this is gonna come down to.

0:23:15.680 --> 0:23:19.919
<v Speaker 4>And then Obviously, the line's at three, and whatever the

0:23:19.960 --> 0:23:24.680
<v Speaker 4>market thinks is what those margins is probably going to

0:23:24.720 --> 0:23:27.600
<v Speaker 4>decide whether this closes three and a half, four or

0:23:27.720 --> 0:23:28.560
<v Speaker 4>three two and a half.

0:23:29.280 --> 0:23:34.080
<v Speaker 1>I think the Bengals, you kick that up to plus nine.

0:23:34.119 --> 0:23:37.400
<v Speaker 1>I think that's a great teaser leg just with how

0:23:37.480 --> 0:23:40.760
<v Speaker 1>ugly this game is likely to be. The totals really

0:23:40.800 --> 0:23:45.240
<v Speaker 1>low forty one, and like I think we've laid it

0:23:45.280 --> 0:23:49.360
<v Speaker 1>out nicely here, there's a lot of unknown with how

0:23:49.440 --> 0:23:52.520
<v Speaker 1>these quarterbacks, how much we should be adjusting these lines

0:23:52.560 --> 0:23:55.720
<v Speaker 1>based on the drop off of these quarterbacks. The Bengals

0:23:55.720 --> 0:23:58.639
<v Speaker 1>are also they were fifty or they are now fifty

0:23:58.640 --> 0:24:00.600
<v Speaker 1>to one to win the Super Bowl. I don't know

0:24:00.640 --> 0:24:02.719
<v Speaker 1>anybody that's trying to place that bet right now. They

0:24:02.720 --> 0:24:05.359
<v Speaker 1>opened at twenty to one, they're two and oh yet

0:24:05.359 --> 0:24:08.600
<v Speaker 1>plus nine point fifty to win the Division. One other

0:24:08.680 --> 0:24:10.800
<v Speaker 1>quarterback injury. I want to get to. Jayden Daniels is

0:24:10.840 --> 0:24:12.800
<v Speaker 1>day to day with the knee injury. The Commanders get

0:24:12.840 --> 0:24:15.879
<v Speaker 1>the Raiders on Sunday. The line went from the Commanders

0:24:16.000 --> 0:24:17.600
<v Speaker 1>minus six and a half, that was the line that

0:24:17.640 --> 0:24:20.480
<v Speaker 1>opened up before the game's wrapped up on Sunday, to

0:24:20.720 --> 0:24:23.480
<v Speaker 1>the Commander's minus three and a half, So it seems

0:24:23.480 --> 0:24:25.920
<v Speaker 1>like there is some market sentiment that he might miss

0:24:26.000 --> 0:24:28.960
<v Speaker 1>this one that would explain that drastic of a line move.

0:24:29.440 --> 0:24:32.960
<v Speaker 1>Anyone willing to take the plunge on a Mariota revenge game?

0:24:33.080 --> 0:24:36.280
<v Speaker 1>And how about this, before you scream no into the microphone,

0:24:36.600 --> 0:24:38.920
<v Speaker 1>Mariota is two and oh straight up. The last two

0:24:38.960 --> 0:24:42.080
<v Speaker 1>times he had to take the majority of snaps at quarterback,

0:24:42.119 --> 0:24:44.920
<v Speaker 1>both last season, both with the Commanders.

0:24:46.320 --> 0:24:48.199
<v Speaker 4>I get catch you got anything?

0:24:48.840 --> 0:24:51.600
<v Speaker 2>No, I don't think I want anything to do with

0:24:51.680 --> 0:24:56.080
<v Speaker 2>this game. To be honest, I'd probably lean the Raiders

0:24:56.119 --> 0:24:58.840
<v Speaker 2>to cover the number, but I just it's too yucky

0:24:58.880 --> 0:24:59.119
<v Speaker 2>for me.

0:24:59.160 --> 0:24:59.880
<v Speaker 3>I can't get there.

0:25:00.720 --> 0:25:04.280
<v Speaker 4>It's a it's a tough spot for the Raiders, just

0:25:04.320 --> 0:25:06.840
<v Speaker 4>on the surface. Right, divisional game Monday night, they were

0:25:06.840 --> 0:25:08.240
<v Speaker 4>in New England and they came across the country. Now

0:25:08.240 --> 0:25:11.240
<v Speaker 4>there to kind of come across the country again, Washington

0:25:12.240 --> 0:25:15.840
<v Speaker 4>is going to be much more well rested, right they're

0:25:15.880 --> 0:25:19.320
<v Speaker 4>coming they have They played on Thursday night, the Raiders

0:25:19.320 --> 0:25:22.280
<v Speaker 4>played on Monday night. Now coming back across the country.

0:25:22.320 --> 0:25:25.720
<v Speaker 4>So not ideal in that sense. I don't know on

0:25:25.800 --> 0:25:28.600
<v Speaker 4>Daniels like because last year he was he was supposed

0:25:28.640 --> 0:25:31.359
<v Speaker 4>to miss time, but he ended up playing right, remember

0:25:31.359 --> 0:25:35.679
<v Speaker 4>with his the rib injury, so I could see him

0:25:35.680 --> 0:25:39.480
<v Speaker 4>giving it a go, and with the with the way

0:25:39.600 --> 0:25:42.320
<v Speaker 4>the Raiders play the play defense just trying to prevent

0:25:42.320 --> 0:25:45.000
<v Speaker 4>the explosive play like Daniels could end up picking them apart,

0:25:45.040 --> 0:25:48.040
<v Speaker 4>even if he isn't as mobile. But Mariota's fine as

0:25:48.040 --> 0:25:50.800
<v Speaker 4>a backup, and he did well last year when he

0:25:50.840 --> 0:25:54.200
<v Speaker 4>came in. You know, obviously it's a drop off there still,

0:25:54.240 --> 0:25:57.440
<v Speaker 4>but uh, that's when we're going to have to monitor.

0:25:57.680 --> 0:26:00.119
<v Speaker 4>But yeah, they're the market's basically saying like we think

0:26:00.119 --> 0:26:04.639
<v Speaker 4>he's gonna miss, but not fully. So it's kind of

0:26:04.680 --> 0:26:08.040
<v Speaker 4>like in wait and see mode, so we'll see. I

0:26:08.040 --> 0:26:10.560
<v Speaker 4>have just a gut feeling that he's gonna play. But

0:26:10.640 --> 0:26:13.560
<v Speaker 4>circling back to Bengals Vikings, I don't mind your thought

0:26:13.560 --> 0:26:18.080
<v Speaker 4>process on the tees with the low total going across

0:26:19.119 --> 0:26:21.160
<v Speaker 4>up above a touchdown, but I will say I don't

0:26:21.320 --> 0:26:23.320
<v Speaker 4>generally like the teas games with we just talked about

0:26:23.359 --> 0:26:26.119
<v Speaker 4>how much so much uncertainty, so we just because of

0:26:26.119 --> 0:26:29.200
<v Speaker 4>that uncertainty, it kind of devalues a teaser a bit.

0:26:30.359 --> 0:26:32.520
<v Speaker 4>So like I like when I know, okay, I got

0:26:32.600 --> 0:26:36.280
<v Speaker 4>two bad quarterbacks, it's gonna be low scoring and there's

0:26:36.760 --> 0:26:39.280
<v Speaker 4>more certainty, where as opposed to this game where it's like,

0:26:39.920 --> 0:26:41.760
<v Speaker 4>well I don't know the drop off or I don't

0:26:41.760 --> 0:26:45.280
<v Speaker 4>know the injuries, I don't know how bad McCarthy is,

0:26:45.280 --> 0:26:48.640
<v Speaker 4>blah blah blah. So that will be my only hesitation there.

0:26:48.680 --> 0:26:54.480
<v Speaker 4>But Raiders Washington bad spot for the Raiders. But obviously

0:26:54.760 --> 0:26:59.480
<v Speaker 4>the injury is the big thing there. So I got

0:26:59.520 --> 0:26:59.920
<v Speaker 4>nothing there.

0:27:00.200 --> 0:27:00.320
<v Speaker 1>Now.

0:27:00.359 --> 0:27:01.720
<v Speaker 4>I will say if you got plus six and a

0:27:01.720 --> 0:27:03.840
<v Speaker 4>half is a good bet. But I've done that. I've

0:27:03.880 --> 0:27:05.600
<v Speaker 4>done that so many times, get ahead of quarterback injury

0:27:05.640 --> 0:27:07.560
<v Speaker 4>news and then the backup will come in and they'll

0:27:07.560 --> 0:27:09.680
<v Speaker 4>win by ten. But I have gotten there.

0:27:10.160 --> 0:27:12.760
<v Speaker 2>I also kind of had the same idea that you did,

0:27:12.800 --> 0:27:14.639
<v Speaker 2>and thank god I didn't get to the window on it.

0:27:14.680 --> 0:27:17.320
<v Speaker 2>But I was thinking in the Patriots Dolphins game last

0:27:17.320 --> 0:27:19.760
<v Speaker 2>week and I was like, Okay, two bad quarterbacks, maybe

0:27:19.760 --> 0:27:22.240
<v Speaker 2>this could be an under scenario, and they just went.

0:27:22.320 --> 0:27:23.840
<v Speaker 3>It was the first time the Patriots put up more

0:27:23.840 --> 0:27:26.200
<v Speaker 3>than thirty points in like three or four years.

0:27:26.240 --> 0:27:28.359
<v Speaker 2>I just I think that that might have gotten me

0:27:28.440 --> 0:27:31.000
<v Speaker 2>off of betting a total like this also, I wanted

0:27:31.040 --> 0:27:33.919
<v Speaker 2>to circle back to this. I got schooled in my

0:27:34.040 --> 0:27:37.840
<v Speaker 2>own betting strategy the other day about the Vikings game

0:27:37.840 --> 0:27:38.640
<v Speaker 2>and new dads.

0:27:39.480 --> 0:27:41.480
<v Speaker 3>I forgot that the key part of this.

0:27:41.640 --> 0:27:43.840
<v Speaker 2>And one of the girls that like religiously listens to

0:27:43.920 --> 0:27:46.760
<v Speaker 2>my shows DMed me and said that I fucked up

0:27:46.840 --> 0:27:49.800
<v Speaker 2>because I am religious about only betting on new girl

0:27:49.920 --> 0:27:52.680
<v Speaker 2>dads and not boy dads. I didn't know JJ McCarthy

0:27:52.720 --> 0:27:54.680
<v Speaker 2>had a boy, but it has always been the girl

0:27:54.800 --> 0:27:56.520
<v Speaker 2>dad's strategy.

0:27:56.520 --> 0:27:59.000
<v Speaker 4>You're going to keep filtering this every time something happens.

0:27:59.000 --> 0:27:59.960
<v Speaker 4>So it's only girl.

0:28:00.000 --> 0:28:05.000
<v Speaker 3>I'm seeing this on now. Girl Dad's only girl Dad's.

0:28:05.480 --> 0:28:08.600
<v Speaker 1>Girls that girls with names that start with the letter M.

0:28:08.840 --> 0:28:11.639
<v Speaker 1>You know, we just we'll continue to see. We just

0:28:11.720 --> 0:28:14.159
<v Speaker 1>need this tract, Evan, if you could get on this,

0:28:14.200 --> 0:28:15.640
<v Speaker 1>we want that in the primer.

0:28:15.400 --> 0:28:17.600
<v Speaker 2>I'll take I'll take Owen one for now, but as

0:28:17.600 --> 0:28:19.760
<v Speaker 2>we know, moving forward, it's only girls.

0:28:20.040 --> 0:28:23.080
<v Speaker 1>I don't even I think maybe the thing to add

0:28:23.160 --> 0:28:25.400
<v Speaker 1>to the as a caveat to this is that JJ

0:28:25.560 --> 0:28:28.720
<v Speaker 1>McCarthy's like twelve years old, and maybe that's the reason,

0:28:28.880 --> 0:28:31.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, he doesn't have like, he doesn't have real

0:28:31.480 --> 0:28:34.520
<v Speaker 1>like dad energy. You know, JJ McCarthy looks like he's

0:28:34.560 --> 0:28:36.160
<v Speaker 1>still sophomore in college.

0:28:36.240 --> 0:28:38.880
<v Speaker 3>He's a child having a child exactly.

0:28:38.920 --> 0:28:41.120
<v Speaker 1>So I feel like that that I can throw that

0:28:41.160 --> 0:28:43.880
<v Speaker 1>one out for that reason. This is something I wanted

0:28:43.880 --> 0:28:45.600
<v Speaker 1>to update folks on and maybe we'll do this on

0:28:45.640 --> 0:28:48.880
<v Speaker 1>Tuesdays shows moving forward. If people like it enough, who's

0:28:48.920 --> 0:28:51.040
<v Speaker 1>printing money for us? Who we need to be a

0:28:51.080 --> 0:28:53.400
<v Speaker 1>little bit weary about. It's too early to really gleam

0:28:53.440 --> 0:28:56.520
<v Speaker 1>anything legitimate from this, but I like to look at

0:28:56.520 --> 0:28:59.320
<v Speaker 1>this throughout the course of the season. Evan, feel free

0:28:59.320 --> 0:29:01.240
<v Speaker 1>to pop in the chat and verify any of these

0:29:01.360 --> 0:29:05.680
<v Speaker 1>if I misspeak. In terms of these numbers against the

0:29:05.720 --> 0:29:08.400
<v Speaker 1>spread standings, there are seven teams right now that are

0:29:08.400 --> 0:29:13.520
<v Speaker 1>two and zero against the closing number, Green Bay, Tampa, Indianapolis,

0:29:13.760 --> 0:29:18.480
<v Speaker 1>the La rams La Chargers, Buffalo Bills, San Francisco forty

0:29:18.560 --> 0:29:21.560
<v Speaker 1>nine ers. Do any of those stand out as I

0:29:21.640 --> 0:29:24.640
<v Speaker 1>want to fade them so quickly at the soonest opportunity,

0:29:24.680 --> 0:29:26.760
<v Speaker 1>I guess is the best way to ask this, because

0:29:26.760 --> 0:29:28.479
<v Speaker 1>you can't go undefeated against the spread.

0:29:28.840 --> 0:29:32.560
<v Speaker 4>Well, Number one, you don't overreact generally. Week three, you know,

0:29:32.640 --> 0:29:34.760
<v Speaker 4>for for example, I'll win two against the spread underdogs

0:29:34.800 --> 0:29:36.840
<v Speaker 4>in week three or since two thousand and three, or

0:29:36.880 --> 0:29:38.480
<v Speaker 4>seventy two to fifty one and one against the spread,

0:29:38.520 --> 0:29:41.520
<v Speaker 4>about fifty eight and a half percent. That would apply

0:29:41.600 --> 0:29:45.720
<v Speaker 4>this week to the Dolphins, Saints, Texans, and Broncos. But

0:29:46.480 --> 0:29:48.360
<v Speaker 4>one of the teams I might want to face, I

0:29:48.360 --> 0:29:50.440
<v Speaker 4>think they might have been up I upgraded the Colts

0:29:50.440 --> 0:29:53.280
<v Speaker 4>a lot. The problem is it requires me to beout

0:29:53.280 --> 0:29:55.120
<v Speaker 4>the Titans, which I'll probably do anyway, so great.

0:29:55.160 --> 0:29:57.640
<v Speaker 1>I wish they were playing anyone but the Titans. I

0:29:57.640 --> 0:30:00.240
<v Speaker 1>would be in on the other team this week. I

0:30:00.280 --> 0:30:01.560
<v Speaker 1>just hear it. I can't get it.

0:30:01.800 --> 0:30:05.680
<v Speaker 4>Here's where like the Colts, I think they've I make

0:30:05.680 --> 0:30:07.040
<v Speaker 4>that two and a half, it's three and a half,

0:30:07.440 --> 0:30:09.240
<v Speaker 4>which means I probably have to take it. But I'll

0:30:09.280 --> 0:30:12.600
<v Speaker 4>just give you a crazy stat which illustrates, like, hey,

0:30:13.680 --> 0:30:17.320
<v Speaker 4>you don't want to overreact to small sample sizes and

0:30:17.560 --> 0:30:20.800
<v Speaker 4>what you just saw too much, so in weeks two

0:30:20.880 --> 0:30:23.920
<v Speaker 4>through five, so early in the season, when you might

0:30:24.080 --> 0:30:28.000
<v Speaker 4>end up overreacting to to a team winning as an underdog,

0:30:28.600 --> 0:30:33.680
<v Speaker 4>so a home underdog that one outright, which was the

0:30:33.720 --> 0:30:39.520
<v Speaker 4>Colts last week. That then when that goat then goes

0:30:39.520 --> 0:30:43.920
<v Speaker 4>on the road and is a favorite since two thousand

0:30:43.920 --> 0:30:49.360
<v Speaker 4>and three. Those teams are seventeen thirty nine and one

0:30:49.640 --> 0:30:52.040
<v Speaker 4>against the spread thirty percent, failing to cover by about

0:30:52.160 --> 0:30:54.440
<v Speaker 4>six points per game when they're fair by more than

0:30:54.440 --> 0:30:58.960
<v Speaker 4>a field goal six and sixteen against the spread when

0:30:58.960 --> 0:31:02.800
<v Speaker 4>that team that they're playing has a losing record eleven

0:31:03.120 --> 0:31:05.760
<v Speaker 4>twenty nine and one against the spread twenty seven and

0:31:05.840 --> 0:31:08.600
<v Speaker 4>a half percent. I will say on that game, So

0:31:08.600 --> 0:31:11.280
<v Speaker 4>it will be the Colts for me. The Titans last week.

0:31:11.320 --> 0:31:12.960
<v Speaker 4>I mean, the Titans were right there with the Ms

0:31:12.960 --> 0:31:15.320
<v Speaker 4>in the fourth quarter. What ended up happening, what ended

0:31:15.360 --> 0:31:18.040
<v Speaker 4>up burning them. There was a fumble like it was

0:31:18.040 --> 0:31:20.360
<v Speaker 4>like a three point game in the fourth quarter, and

0:31:20.400 --> 0:31:23.280
<v Speaker 4>then cam Wood got stripsacked and then the game was

0:31:23.320 --> 0:31:26.600
<v Speaker 4>over at his own twenty. But they didn't have sweat

0:31:27.400 --> 0:31:30.320
<v Speaker 4>in the interior defensive line, and that ended up being

0:31:30.400 --> 0:31:33.040
<v Speaker 4>huge because they were doubling Simmons and he wore down

0:31:33.360 --> 0:31:35.880
<v Speaker 4>and he had nothing left in the fourth quarter, and

0:31:35.920 --> 0:31:38.959
<v Speaker 4>they didn't have Latham. His backup was horrendous. And then

0:31:39.000 --> 0:31:42.240
<v Speaker 4>they lost Zeitler, one of the better guards in the country.

0:31:42.720 --> 0:31:45.640
<v Speaker 4>He went out and then their offensive line fell apart.

0:31:46.200 --> 0:31:48.480
<v Speaker 4>So I need to see that. They need to get

0:31:48.520 --> 0:31:52.680
<v Speaker 4>Zeitler and laith them back, and then they need Sweat

0:31:52.680 --> 0:31:54.880
<v Speaker 4>on the defensive line because then you just double Simmons.

0:31:54.920 --> 0:31:56.960
<v Speaker 4>If you have sweat and Simmons, you can't double one

0:31:57.080 --> 0:32:00.200
<v Speaker 4>or the other, and then they're in tier. Defense of

0:32:00.280 --> 0:32:04.160
<v Speaker 4>line becomes scary. So it might be the Titans for me,

0:32:04.320 --> 0:32:08.760
<v Speaker 4>like that just home dog won't win, go on the

0:32:08.800 --> 0:32:11.120
<v Speaker 4>road in a divisional game now favored by over a field goal.

0:32:11.200 --> 0:32:14.720
<v Speaker 4>I think it's a little too much, So that would

0:32:14.720 --> 0:32:15.320
<v Speaker 4>be the one for me.

0:32:16.880 --> 0:32:19.720
<v Speaker 2>MAYA first thought was to look at it's crazy that

0:32:20.040 --> 0:32:22.400
<v Speaker 2>you're asking me this question. As I scroll through the schedule,

0:32:22.440 --> 0:32:26.160
<v Speaker 2>it's like, Okay, the Bucks are playing the Jets, the

0:32:26.200 --> 0:32:28.360
<v Speaker 2>Colts are playing the tight Ends, the forty nine ers

0:32:28.360 --> 0:32:30.400
<v Speaker 2>are playing the Cardinals, because those would have been my

0:32:30.640 --> 0:32:34.720
<v Speaker 2>first kind of thoughts of places to look, especially because.

0:32:34.480 --> 0:32:36.200
<v Speaker 3>The forty nine ers are playing Mac Jones. But he

0:32:36.360 --> 0:32:37.200
<v Speaker 3>bawled out last week.

0:32:37.240 --> 0:32:39.320
<v Speaker 2>I think we should probably stop talking shit about him

0:32:39.360 --> 0:32:42.800
<v Speaker 2>because it worked. But like I just I don't think

0:32:43.160 --> 0:32:45.120
<v Speaker 2>any of these teams this week or in a place

0:32:45.160 --> 0:32:47.120
<v Speaker 2>where I want to fade them. But it wouldn't be

0:32:47.120 --> 0:32:50.320
<v Speaker 2>the Colds for me. The spread's not big enough for

0:32:50.320 --> 0:32:51.200
<v Speaker 2>the forty nine ers.

0:32:51.680 --> 0:32:53.280
<v Speaker 3>Is Biger hurt? Do we think?

0:32:53.800 --> 0:32:55.440
<v Speaker 2>Because it might be the bucks for me if he

0:32:55.600 --> 0:32:57.640
<v Speaker 2>actually is just one of these guys where if he

0:32:57.640 --> 0:32:59.480
<v Speaker 2>gets injured and people are talking shit to him, then

0:32:59.520 --> 0:33:02.600
<v Speaker 2>he comes up and performs like nothing we've ever seen,

0:33:02.640 --> 0:33:04.880
<v Speaker 2>which I do think might be the case, but it

0:33:04.960 --> 0:33:07.400
<v Speaker 2>might be the I think that the best maybe value

0:33:07.400 --> 0:33:07.680
<v Speaker 2>on the.

0:33:07.600 --> 0:33:09.560
<v Speaker 3>Board, if that's what you're looking for, is got to

0:33:09.600 --> 0:33:10.120
<v Speaker 3>be the box.

0:33:11.440 --> 0:33:13.920
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, the Jets are Jets.

0:33:13.920 --> 0:33:16.840
<v Speaker 1>Why you start Tyrod Taylor too? That's another quarterback injury

0:33:16.880 --> 0:33:17.360
<v Speaker 1>we didn't miss.

0:33:17.440 --> 0:33:19.360
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, but that is that much of Is that a

0:33:19.400 --> 0:33:21.920
<v Speaker 4>drop off from Fields? I don't like we saw like

0:33:22.080 --> 0:33:25.080
<v Speaker 4>we kind of know Fields is bad. I bought him.

0:33:25.200 --> 0:33:28.640
<v Speaker 1>I think Tyrod Taylor is justin fields, but with he

0:33:28.680 --> 0:33:31.400
<v Speaker 1>doesn't he's just not as successful a runner at least

0:33:31.480 --> 0:33:32.080
<v Speaker 1>justin fields.

0:33:32.160 --> 0:33:34.560
<v Speaker 4>Has that in his fields, will make mistakes like Taylor

0:33:34.600 --> 0:33:37.000
<v Speaker 4>never makes mistakes. So that's a good thing that you

0:33:37.040 --> 0:33:39.360
<v Speaker 4>want with an underdog like not to win the game,

0:33:39.400 --> 0:33:41.040
<v Speaker 4>but they're like stay in it and cover seven with

0:33:41.040 --> 0:33:43.880
<v Speaker 4>a low total like Tyre Taylor was like top five

0:33:43.920 --> 0:33:47.240
<v Speaker 4>all time among qualified quarterbacks and the interception rate, so

0:33:47.280 --> 0:33:50.160
<v Speaker 4>he's not gonna make mistakes. He can run the offense.

0:33:51.040 --> 0:33:54.800
<v Speaker 4>So yeah, I mean I faded the Bucks the first

0:33:54.800 --> 0:33:57.240
<v Speaker 4>two weeks. I probably would again, but.

0:33:59.440 --> 0:34:00.719
<v Speaker 1>They won Week one.

0:34:00.760 --> 0:34:02.520
<v Speaker 4>They should have lost week too. They usially lost it.

0:34:02.560 --> 0:34:05.760
<v Speaker 4>They could easily be going to and this would be

0:34:05.840 --> 0:34:08.560
<v Speaker 4>a much different discussion. And you have to keep in

0:34:08.560 --> 0:34:13.000
<v Speaker 4>mind they're banged up, so their receivers are still all

0:34:13.040 --> 0:34:16.680
<v Speaker 4>banged up. And you got to saus Gardner too for

0:34:16.800 --> 0:34:20.560
<v Speaker 4>Mike Evans. Their offensive line is a mess. So it

0:34:20.600 --> 0:34:22.600
<v Speaker 4>might be the what's that?

0:34:23.080 --> 0:34:24.120
<v Speaker 3>I think it might be the Bucks.

0:34:24.760 --> 0:34:27.040
<v Speaker 4>They lost their rights, they lost get a key, they

0:34:27.040 --> 0:34:31.879
<v Speaker 4>already were without worfs, So yeah, the Bucks don't seem

0:34:31.920 --> 0:34:34.480
<v Speaker 4>like a team that is as of right now, is

0:34:34.480 --> 0:34:37.959
<v Speaker 4>built to really win by margin. They're kind of eking

0:34:38.040 --> 0:34:39.960
<v Speaker 4>out these games and they're getting a lot of breaks,

0:34:39.960 --> 0:34:42.840
<v Speaker 4>like they got another drop pick yesterday, a fumble that

0:34:42.840 --> 0:34:45.600
<v Speaker 4>didn't get recovered. Although they're special teams were they were

0:34:45.600 --> 0:34:47.920
<v Speaker 4>a bit unlucky, but the refs helped them out a

0:34:47.920 --> 0:34:51.120
<v Speaker 4>bunch early. So yeah, the Jets, that line is probably

0:34:51.120 --> 0:34:54.239
<v Speaker 4>gonna go up when Tyrod Taylor, Yeah, probably did.

0:34:54.280 --> 0:34:56.200
<v Speaker 3>It's a touchdown, right, now.

0:34:56.360 --> 0:34:59.600
<v Speaker 4>Seven yeah and a half, which I wouldn't like, but

0:34:59.680 --> 0:35:01.000
<v Speaker 4>it's even seven and a half.

0:35:02.640 --> 0:35:04.160
<v Speaker 3>I think I get there.

0:35:04.520 --> 0:35:06.520
<v Speaker 1>The juice on the game is telling a story that

0:35:06.640 --> 0:35:10.160
<v Speaker 1>early money's coming in on Tampa. The I bought it

0:35:10.239 --> 0:35:14.919
<v Speaker 1>at minus one oh five on Sunday after the Justin

0:35:14.960 --> 0:35:17.840
<v Speaker 1>Fields injury. It's now sitting at minus one fifteen in

0:35:17.880 --> 0:35:20.600
<v Speaker 1>most places. So it's probably going to get to seven

0:35:20.600 --> 0:35:23.480
<v Speaker 1>and a half, especially with the Taylor news and yeah, man,

0:35:23.520 --> 0:35:27.000
<v Speaker 1>at that point, especially if it kicks any higher. Tyrod

0:35:27.040 --> 0:35:30.240
<v Speaker 1>Taylor is in my opinion, a downgrade from Justin Fields,

0:35:30.239 --> 0:35:32.480
<v Speaker 1>even though Fields had a one point one quarterback rating

0:35:32.560 --> 0:35:35.880
<v Speaker 1>last week. But it's not that drastic. In terms of

0:35:35.880 --> 0:35:38.680
<v Speaker 1>the luck rankings, those are out there Action Network dot Com.

0:35:38.760 --> 0:35:41.920
<v Speaker 1>Keep updated with that. After Week one, the Tampa Bay

0:35:41.960 --> 0:35:44.960
<v Speaker 1>Buccaneers were number one. I imagine that the latest luck

0:35:45.000 --> 0:35:46.719
<v Speaker 1>ranking is going to have them right towards the top

0:35:46.760 --> 0:35:48.479
<v Speaker 1>of the list as well, So keep that in mind.

0:35:48.960 --> 0:35:51.880
<v Speaker 1>Yeah exactly. As far as the seven teams yet to

0:35:51.920 --> 0:35:56.200
<v Speaker 1>cover a spread Pittsburgh, Chicago, Houston, Denver, Kansas City, Miami,

0:35:56.440 --> 0:35:58.760
<v Speaker 1>and New Orleans, and maybe one of those teams pops

0:35:58.840 --> 0:36:02.319
<v Speaker 1>up as we play our flag it is time to

0:36:02.400 --> 0:36:05.279
<v Speaker 1>go around the horn here one game that you are

0:36:05.719 --> 0:36:08.640
<v Speaker 1>pot committed on. Here on Tuesday will lay out our

0:36:08.680 --> 0:36:13.120
<v Speaker 1>official picks. We'll do our three Musketeers, all for one,

0:36:13.600 --> 0:36:16.000
<v Speaker 1>one for all, and all for one Farlay on Thursday.

0:36:16.120 --> 0:36:20.440
<v Speaker 1>But right now, one pick that's already in the back pocket, Kendra,

0:36:20.560 --> 0:36:21.400
<v Speaker 1>what you got.

0:36:21.760 --> 0:36:22.719
<v Speaker 3>I already put it down.

0:36:22.800 --> 0:36:25.160
<v Speaker 2>My entire existence this year is just going to be

0:36:25.200 --> 0:36:27.400
<v Speaker 2>fading the Patriots. This is going to be three weeks

0:36:27.400 --> 0:36:28.040
<v Speaker 2>in a row.

0:36:28.239 --> 0:36:29.720
<v Speaker 3>I'm one in one, but I'm going.

0:36:29.600 --> 0:36:32.759
<v Speaker 2>To fade the Patriots this week against the Steelers, Mike

0:36:32.800 --> 0:36:34.719
<v Speaker 2>tom And I believe is five hundred in his career

0:36:34.719 --> 0:36:37.160
<v Speaker 2>against the Patriots obviously did not do so hot against

0:36:37.160 --> 0:36:37.800
<v Speaker 2>Bill Belichick.

0:36:37.800 --> 0:36:38.719
<v Speaker 3>I want to say he was.

0:36:38.880 --> 0:36:42.719
<v Speaker 2>Three and eight against Bill Belichick. Evan, please feel free

0:36:42.719 --> 0:36:44.840
<v Speaker 2>to check that. I believe that that is what I

0:36:44.840 --> 0:36:47.759
<v Speaker 2>wrote down in my notes, which I accidentally closed. But

0:36:47.960 --> 0:36:51.000
<v Speaker 2>I had just once again coaching thing. Their defense is

0:36:51.000 --> 0:36:53.480
<v Speaker 2>a lot better, Drake May is not impressing me. The

0:36:53.520 --> 0:36:56.640
<v Speaker 2>Patriots defense and special teams looked like crap this week.

0:36:56.880 --> 0:36:58.600
<v Speaker 2>I think that they're going to have a lot of energy,

0:36:58.680 --> 0:37:00.680
<v Speaker 2>a lot of hype, but you could just be the Dolphins.

0:37:00.719 --> 0:37:03.160
<v Speaker 2>I think that they need a crash course back to reality,

0:37:03.400 --> 0:37:05.560
<v Speaker 2>and that's going to be the Pittsburgh Steelers this week.

0:37:06.040 --> 0:37:07.719
<v Speaker 3>I get that they didn't look like a world beater.

0:37:07.800 --> 0:37:09.920
<v Speaker 2>I didn't expect them to this season, but they're a

0:37:10.000 --> 0:37:12.600
<v Speaker 2>much better team on paper and on the field. I

0:37:12.760 --> 0:37:14.759
<v Speaker 2>don't see how people are on the Patriots this week.

0:37:15.040 --> 0:37:17.280
<v Speaker 4>Sound sounds like Kendrick's going to try to fade the

0:37:17.320 --> 0:37:20.680
<v Speaker 4>Patriots every single week. We'll see what she brings on Thursday.

0:37:20.960 --> 0:37:22.520
<v Speaker 4>Do you have any update on Gonzales?

0:37:22.760 --> 0:37:24.759
<v Speaker 2>So that was the thing that I was thinking about

0:37:24.800 --> 0:37:27.000
<v Speaker 2>last week, is so I think I told you guys

0:37:27.000 --> 0:37:29.480
<v Speaker 2>that on his Instagram story he was posting like a

0:37:29.480 --> 0:37:31.919
<v Speaker 2>bunch of cryptic stuff that sounded like he was going

0:37:31.960 --> 0:37:34.080
<v Speaker 2>to be back and going to be ready to play,

0:37:34.440 --> 0:37:36.040
<v Speaker 2>and then it came out later in the week. I

0:37:36.040 --> 0:37:38.600
<v Speaker 2>want to say, like Thursday Friday, that there was really

0:37:38.600 --> 0:37:40.080
<v Speaker 2>not a chance that he was going to play. So

0:37:40.160 --> 0:37:43.279
<v Speaker 2>I for me, it feels almost like they're holding him

0:37:43.280 --> 0:37:46.120
<v Speaker 2>out even though there is always has been that question

0:37:46.200 --> 0:37:47.560
<v Speaker 2>around his toughness as a player.

0:37:47.560 --> 0:37:49.840
<v Speaker 3>We talked about on Sunday that that's potentially.

0:37:49.440 --> 0:37:51.759
<v Speaker 2>Why he fell in the draft. I think that he

0:37:51.920 --> 0:37:54.120
<v Speaker 2>has to be back this week. You cannot nurse a

0:37:54.120 --> 0:37:57.520
<v Speaker 2>hamstring for two months. I'm sorry, you just you cannot

0:37:57.560 --> 0:38:01.200
<v Speaker 2>do that, especially when your team needs you. They dk

0:38:01.280 --> 0:38:04.120
<v Speaker 2>metcalfet Friarmooth like they've got weapons on this team. They

0:38:04.160 --> 0:38:06.600
<v Speaker 2>need Gonzalez back otherwise there's not even a ship shot

0:38:06.600 --> 0:38:07.760
<v Speaker 2>in hell that this is gonna happen.

0:38:08.280 --> 0:38:11.840
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, two defenses that are struggle. I mean, the Steelers

0:38:11.920 --> 0:38:15.920
<v Speaker 4>defense looks horrendous, and their special teams looks bad too,

0:38:15.960 --> 0:38:19.160
<v Speaker 4>I mean Aleb Johnson. But the Steers are a bunch

0:38:19.200 --> 0:38:24.160
<v Speaker 4>of defensive injuries also that are are worth monitoring very

0:38:24.320 --> 0:38:27.640
<v Speaker 4>every I don't know what means, but.

0:38:27.800 --> 0:38:30.239
<v Speaker 1>So defense is so bad as it is. I'm on

0:38:30.280 --> 0:38:31.279
<v Speaker 1>the Patriots this week.

0:38:31.520 --> 0:38:36.560
<v Speaker 2>Can't go with you, I got now, but I'll go

0:38:36.719 --> 0:38:38.520
<v Speaker 2>got to break the tie, Stucky, you gotta do it.

0:38:38.560 --> 0:38:39.160
<v Speaker 3>Pick a side.

0:38:39.239 --> 0:38:39.719
<v Speaker 1>I will on.

0:38:39.719 --> 0:38:42.359
<v Speaker 4>Thursday, I gotta. I gotta look into some injuries some more,

0:38:42.400 --> 0:38:43.880
<v Speaker 4>but I'll.

0:38:44.320 --> 0:38:45.760
<v Speaker 1>We don't break ties on Tuesdays.

0:38:47.239 --> 0:38:49.799
<v Speaker 4>I'm gonna come up with some head to heads like bets.

0:38:50.080 --> 0:38:52.440
<v Speaker 4>So like yet someone has to pay it off. What

0:38:52.600 --> 0:38:55.359
<v Speaker 4>you have to do, but I'm gonna. I'm I'm still

0:38:55.360 --> 0:38:57.560
<v Speaker 4>brainstorming on that to make make it a little fun.

0:38:57.560 --> 0:38:59.680
<v Speaker 4>But I'll play my flag on the Rams plus three

0:38:59.680 --> 0:39:02.360
<v Speaker 4>and a half. The Eagles right now can't beat anybody

0:39:02.360 --> 0:39:07.560
<v Speaker 4>by margin like they are now. Granted, part of this

0:39:07.600 --> 0:39:09.600
<v Speaker 4>is because the tush play. I mean they're twelve percent

0:39:09.600 --> 0:39:12.000
<v Speaker 4>of their plays were the tush push. Last week. They're

0:39:12.000 --> 0:39:15.879
<v Speaker 4>averaging four point three yards per play. And they played

0:39:15.880 --> 0:39:20.279
<v Speaker 4>the Cowboys defense, which gave up seven hundred points to

0:39:20.360 --> 0:39:24.080
<v Speaker 4>the Giants and who couldn't score against Washington. And then

0:39:24.080 --> 0:39:26.719
<v Speaker 4>they played the Chiefs defense, who got shredded by the

0:39:26.800 --> 0:39:29.720
<v Speaker 4>Chargers but had issues on the back end. They couldn't

0:39:30.040 --> 0:39:33.040
<v Speaker 4>take their play. Calll is so bad. If Goddard's out again,

0:39:33.120 --> 0:39:35.960
<v Speaker 4>like it's it's a mess. They can't throw it. How

0:39:36.080 --> 0:39:37.719
<v Speaker 4>is his Eagles team getting margin to anyone? It's like

0:39:38.320 --> 0:39:41.040
<v Speaker 4>they're worse than last year. The Rams almost beat them

0:39:41.040 --> 0:39:43.719
<v Speaker 4>in Philly in the playoffs. It was a dead even

0:39:43.800 --> 0:39:46.120
<v Speaker 4>game statistically, and the Rams had two turnovers and didn't

0:39:46.120 --> 0:39:49.720
<v Speaker 4>convert on two four downs. Rams are playing really well.

0:39:51.440 --> 0:39:54.520
<v Speaker 4>They've obviously had this game circled. McVeigh does really well

0:39:54.560 --> 0:39:57.920
<v Speaker 4>on these East Coast trips. He is and by way

0:39:58.080 --> 0:39:59.800
<v Speaker 4>phase eighteen eleven and two against the spread of the

0:39:59.840 --> 0:40:02.040
<v Speaker 4>dog of three plus fourteen to seven and one against

0:40:02.080 --> 0:40:04.439
<v Speaker 4>the spread in the Eastern time zone, covering by five

0:40:04.440 --> 0:40:06.759
<v Speaker 4>points per game, so it's covering two out of three

0:40:06.800 --> 0:40:08.960
<v Speaker 4>sixty seven percent. I think the reps gonna be right

0:40:08.960 --> 0:40:10.759
<v Speaker 4>there that this Eagles team just can't get margin than anyone.

0:40:10.800 --> 0:40:13.080
<v Speaker 4>Their defense is in as good, play calling is so bad,

0:40:13.120 --> 0:40:15.440
<v Speaker 4>and there's I don't know if Brown is hurt, if

0:40:15.440 --> 0:40:17.160
<v Speaker 4>they're stuck in the mud, but I'm sure they'll end

0:40:17.239 --> 0:40:19.759
<v Speaker 4>up winning by like three because I mean, think about

0:40:19.840 --> 0:40:23.920
<v Speaker 4>last week. They easily lose that game. If Kelsey catches

0:40:25.120 --> 0:40:28.000
<v Speaker 4>a free touchdown, that play was worth negative seven and

0:40:28.000 --> 0:40:31.879
<v Speaker 4>a half points free touchdown into an interception. They also

0:40:31.960 --> 0:40:35.240
<v Speaker 4>were gifted three when the Chiefs couldn't get one yard

0:40:35.400 --> 0:40:37.640
<v Speaker 4>they made a fifty yard They easily could have lost

0:40:37.640 --> 0:40:40.160
<v Speaker 4>that game. We've had a different conversation about how bad

0:40:40.160 --> 0:40:42.680
<v Speaker 4>their offense is, but because they're two to zero, no

0:40:42.680 --> 0:40:44.839
<v Speaker 4>one's really talking about it. I think anything over three

0:40:45.520 --> 0:40:47.680
<v Speaker 4>you have to take here. This Eagles offense is a

0:40:47.719 --> 0:40:50.840
<v Speaker 4>mess right now. They just there. They have two completions

0:40:50.880 --> 0:40:53.640
<v Speaker 4>over twelve yards all year, and they play and on

0:40:53.880 --> 0:40:55.479
<v Speaker 4>one of the gains of the Cowboys. I think Russ

0:40:55.520 --> 0:40:59.360
<v Speaker 4>had like seventeen in one game against the Cowboys defense.

0:40:59.800 --> 0:41:02.160
<v Speaker 4>So yeah, I'm taking the Rams plus three and a half.

0:41:02.200 --> 0:41:04.479
<v Speaker 4>I think that game probably goes down to the wire

0:41:04.600 --> 0:41:09.880
<v Speaker 4>and a little. I just have a sneaky suspicion. McVeigh

0:41:10.280 --> 0:41:13.520
<v Speaker 4>inquired with the league office today about the tush bush.

0:41:14.239 --> 0:41:16.920
<v Speaker 4>He was one that was against it. He was like,

0:41:18.160 --> 0:41:21.800
<v Speaker 4>you used to be on the rules committee. I have

0:41:21.840 --> 0:41:25.399
<v Speaker 4>a sneaky fision. You're gonna see fall starts or off

0:41:25.440 --> 0:41:27.719
<v Speaker 4>sides on the offense called this week when they do

0:41:27.800 --> 0:41:30.480
<v Speaker 4>it all this, yeah about it and how they I

0:41:30.520 --> 0:41:31.920
<v Speaker 4>mean the Eagles went off sides on them, like they

0:41:31.960 --> 0:41:34.359
<v Speaker 4>fall started like on three of them last week. Oh yeah,

0:41:34.800 --> 0:41:37.720
<v Speaker 4>so and they lined up illegal. You're gonna get flags

0:41:37.760 --> 0:41:39.520
<v Speaker 4>on that play. And that is so big, Like you

0:41:39.560 --> 0:41:41.640
<v Speaker 4>just get a flag on one of those plays, Like

0:41:41.680 --> 0:41:43.319
<v Speaker 4>if you just take the Eagles from fourth and one

0:41:44.600 --> 0:41:46.440
<v Speaker 4>or to fourth and six, well that's a punt or

0:41:46.520 --> 0:41:47.960
<v Speaker 4>third to one to third and six, well then they

0:41:47.960 --> 0:41:51.799
<v Speaker 4>actually have to throw it downfield. That is huge for

0:41:51.840 --> 0:41:54.480
<v Speaker 4>the entire game. So if there's like a couple of

0:41:54.480 --> 0:41:57.960
<v Speaker 4>flags on those plays, just watch out for that. I

0:41:58.000 --> 0:41:59.080
<v Speaker 4>like the Rams plus three and a half.

0:41:59.280 --> 0:42:02.200
<v Speaker 1>H I like that pick Bears minus one is my

0:42:02.520 --> 0:42:06.360
<v Speaker 1>plant the flag pick off a blowout loss, taking on

0:42:06.400 --> 0:42:09.080
<v Speaker 1>a Cowboys team off of five quarters of football. They

0:42:09.080 --> 0:42:12.560
<v Speaker 1>almost played until the bone on that one. Chicago at

0:42:12.600 --> 0:42:16.080
<v Speaker 1>home the last five seasons have been nearly three points

0:42:16.160 --> 0:42:18.799
<v Speaker 1>better in terms of their home and road splits. That

0:42:18.880 --> 0:42:21.600
<v Speaker 1>ranks top ten in the NFL over that time. Early

0:42:21.640 --> 0:42:24.000
<v Speaker 1>action also tilting in that direction. I already grabbed the

0:42:24.040 --> 0:42:26.760
<v Speaker 1>minus one zho five on them minus one. We're seeing

0:42:26.760 --> 0:42:28.919
<v Speaker 1>that line tick up to minus one and a half

0:42:28.960 --> 0:42:32.879
<v Speaker 1>in some places. But I like Chicago in the bounce back.

0:42:33.000 --> 0:42:35.839
<v Speaker 1>And now for the main event. No betting week can

0:42:35.880 --> 0:42:38.880
<v Speaker 1>be complete without it, or can you even start without it?

0:42:39.200 --> 0:42:44.280
<v Speaker 1>The primer courtesy of Evan Abrams. Evan, welcome to the show.

0:42:45.120 --> 0:42:48.200
<v Speaker 1>What are we looking at this week as far as

0:42:48.440 --> 0:42:52.080
<v Speaker 1>our primer stats that we need to know before we

0:42:52.160 --> 0:42:53.399
<v Speaker 1>place these bets.

0:42:53.680 --> 0:42:57.520
<v Speaker 5>What's going on everybody? I mean, it's just impossible not

0:42:57.960 --> 0:43:00.200
<v Speaker 5>to talk about favorites at the moment. I too this

0:43:00.200 --> 0:43:03.239
<v Speaker 5>out there. They don't lose anymore, It's insane. I just

0:43:03.360 --> 0:43:06.560
<v Speaker 5>these numbers feel fake. It's video game like, but right now,

0:43:06.600 --> 0:43:09.439
<v Speaker 5>closing favorites four points or more twelve and oh straight

0:43:09.520 --> 0:43:13.040
<v Speaker 5>up this year, there's sixty four and seven ninety percent

0:43:13.400 --> 0:43:16.719
<v Speaker 5>Since Week thirteen of last season in that same league

0:43:16.719 --> 0:43:20.400
<v Speaker 5>I love in that listen, in that same span, favorites

0:43:20.440 --> 0:43:24.399
<v Speaker 5>is six plus points, forty seven and four. Again, all

0:43:24.440 --> 0:43:27.239
<v Speaker 5>fields just very dumb at this point, and even last night,

0:43:27.680 --> 0:43:32.279
<v Speaker 5>so Chargers went on the road. Road favorites ninety and

0:43:32.320 --> 0:43:35.000
<v Speaker 5>thirty two just since the start of last season, So

0:43:35.520 --> 0:43:38.160
<v Speaker 5>even road chalk, I think the home field advantage thing stuck.

0:43:38.200 --> 0:43:40.319
<v Speaker 5>You were talking about it with Minnesota kind of having

0:43:40.320 --> 0:43:42.560
<v Speaker 5>one of the best in the NFL. Aside from that, like,

0:43:42.920 --> 0:43:46.439
<v Speaker 5>I just think road favorites are becoming more valuable and

0:43:46.480 --> 0:43:49.239
<v Speaker 5>probably just price just the same other things. I'll be

0:43:49.239 --> 0:43:51.960
<v Speaker 5>looking at this week. Backup quarterback, So I have a

0:43:52.040 --> 0:43:54.680
<v Speaker 5>database myself with every backup quarterback over the last like

0:43:54.680 --> 0:43:57.600
<v Speaker 5>fifteen years, so I want to dig a little bit

0:43:57.680 --> 0:44:01.239
<v Speaker 5>into this many backups as early in the season. I'll

0:44:01.280 --> 0:44:03.439
<v Speaker 5>say this in terms of our data. So you guys

0:44:03.480 --> 0:44:07.239
<v Speaker 5>are talking about Pittsburgh and the Patriots right now. The

0:44:07.280 --> 0:44:10.840
<v Speaker 5>Patriots are the biggest public side on Tuesday morning, ninety

0:44:10.920 --> 0:44:14.120
<v Speaker 5>one percent of tickets, so nobody wants to bet the

0:44:14.200 --> 0:44:18.040
<v Speaker 5>zero to two ats Steelers getting nine percent right now

0:44:18.280 --> 0:44:20.960
<v Speaker 5>as a road favorite, which also isn't great for Tomlin.

0:44:21.880 --> 0:44:25.719
<v Speaker 5>I'll say this as well. Teams with sixty percent of

0:44:25.719 --> 0:44:30.160
<v Speaker 5>tickets are more two and thirteen against the spread according

0:44:30.200 --> 0:44:33.280
<v Speaker 5>to our data this year. So the real chalk getting

0:44:33.400 --> 0:44:36.319
<v Speaker 5>absolutely hammered. I mean, there's a lot of stuff, but

0:44:36.360 --> 0:44:38.560
<v Speaker 5>there's a great Monday night football game. And I'll leave

0:44:38.600 --> 0:44:43.200
<v Speaker 5>you with this. John Harbaugh twenty three and four straight

0:44:43.280 --> 0:44:46.360
<v Speaker 5>up at home and night games with the Ravens. Stuck

0:44:46.440 --> 0:44:49.240
<v Speaker 5>knows this even early in the season, nineteen and one

0:44:49.760 --> 0:44:53.040
<v Speaker 5>in that spot. So pretty tough one for Detroit. I

0:44:53.040 --> 0:44:55.080
<v Speaker 5>think the spread five and a half six for a reason,

0:44:55.640 --> 0:44:57.400
<v Speaker 5>and Detroit off of a big win, that's going to

0:44:57.440 --> 0:44:58.800
<v Speaker 5>be a lot of tickets on that game.

0:44:59.320 --> 0:45:02.080
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I will Ravens one thing you want to watch.

0:45:03.320 --> 0:45:05.839
<v Speaker 4>Likely does he come back, But more importantly, it looks

0:45:05.840 --> 0:45:10.360
<v Speaker 4>like Van Neyt's probably gonna be out. Humphrey is key.

0:45:10.520 --> 0:45:13.240
<v Speaker 4>You need him in the slot, especially against Detroit. Jaya

0:45:13.280 --> 0:45:15.080
<v Speaker 4>Alexander is he gonna be back, But the Humphrey's out,

0:45:15.160 --> 0:45:18.080
<v Speaker 4>like in their corner. Depth is not great right now,

0:45:18.719 --> 0:45:21.200
<v Speaker 4>but he's so key to that defense. If he's in,

0:45:21.680 --> 0:45:24.000
<v Speaker 4>I think Ravens went by seven plus. If he's not,

0:45:24.840 --> 0:45:27.359
<v Speaker 4>gets a little diceier, But the Ravens are gonna score.

0:45:28.360 --> 0:45:30.920
<v Speaker 4>Probably I will against Detroit. I will also go back

0:45:30.960 --> 0:45:35.080
<v Speaker 4>to your Bears point one. I almost always play this

0:45:36.200 --> 0:45:38.560
<v Speaker 4>team after a team after losing by thirty points the

0:45:38.600 --> 0:45:41.359
<v Speaker 4>week before. If you go back to two thousand and three,

0:45:41.719 --> 0:45:44.000
<v Speaker 4>after a loss of thirty plus, teams are one forty

0:45:44.080 --> 0:45:47.040
<v Speaker 4>nine ten against the spread, outs over fifty five percent

0:45:47.239 --> 0:45:49.200
<v Speaker 4>when they're an underdog or favored by less than three

0:45:49.880 --> 0:45:53.800
<v Speaker 4>sixty percent against the spread. And Johnson owns eebra flus.

0:45:54.160 --> 0:46:00.400
<v Speaker 4>My only concern is the Bears. The Bears defensive injuries,

0:46:00.440 --> 0:46:02.319
<v Speaker 4>Like it looks like Jalen Johnson's going to miss the year,

0:46:02.400 --> 0:46:04.880
<v Speaker 4>which is huge. They're all pro corner Kyler Gordon. I

0:46:04.880 --> 0:46:07.120
<v Speaker 4>think he's probably gonna be out again throughout the really

0:46:07.160 --> 0:46:10.520
<v Speaker 4>good corner. So their corner room is horrendous right now.

0:46:10.920 --> 0:46:13.480
<v Speaker 4>So like, how are they stopping Dak and those receivers.

0:46:14.760 --> 0:46:16.279
<v Speaker 4>I don't know. I really don't know, because it's not

0:46:16.280 --> 0:46:20.279
<v Speaker 4>like they can get a ton of pressure. So I'm

0:46:20.280 --> 0:46:21.640
<v Speaker 4>trying to decide if I want to bet the Bears

0:46:21.680 --> 0:46:23.080
<v Speaker 4>or if I just want to bet the Bears team

0:46:23.120 --> 0:46:25.520
<v Speaker 4>total over like twenty five or whatever it's going to be.

0:46:26.440 --> 0:46:28.960
<v Speaker 4>But I don't mind your Bears. Look there after an

0:46:28.960 --> 0:46:30.880
<v Speaker 4>embarrassing loss and the Cowboys who should have lost to

0:46:30.920 --> 0:46:34.480
<v Speaker 4>the Giants. The other thing that worries me, though, is

0:46:34.520 --> 0:46:36.640
<v Speaker 4>the kick. We have the new kickoff rules. This is

0:46:36.640 --> 0:46:39.920
<v Speaker 4>the biggest kicker mismatch in NFL history. You got a

0:46:40.000 --> 0:46:43.440
<v Speaker 4>kicker who could make it from seventy and then you

0:46:43.520 --> 0:46:47.959
<v Speaker 4>got Santo's who is his like range? Is his max

0:46:48.080 --> 0:46:49.120
<v Speaker 4>range is like forty two?

0:46:49.840 --> 0:46:52.360
<v Speaker 1>So need the Windy City to show up in this one?

0:46:52.840 --> 0:46:55.839
<v Speaker 2>Well, put some respect on Cam Little, the only man

0:46:55.880 --> 0:46:57.240
<v Speaker 2>to kick a seventy yarder.

0:46:58.239 --> 0:47:03.680
<v Speaker 4>Well it's not not officially, sorry, oh my god, not officially.

0:47:03.440 --> 0:47:06.000
<v Speaker 1>Evan, before we cut you loose. By the time we

0:47:06.080 --> 0:47:09.160
<v Speaker 1>get most people listen to the Thursday episode, they will

0:47:09.200 --> 0:47:12.360
<v Speaker 1>over either already made up their minds for Bills Dolphins,

0:47:12.520 --> 0:47:15.239
<v Speaker 1>or we'll be past that point. Is there anything for

0:47:15.320 --> 0:47:20.160
<v Speaker 1>Thursday Night, whether it's big double digit favorites on Thursdays,

0:47:20.280 --> 0:47:22.960
<v Speaker 1>the Bills at home, the Bills at home against Miami,

0:47:23.080 --> 0:47:25.319
<v Speaker 1>Is there anything you've looked at as far as that

0:47:25.360 --> 0:47:26.080
<v Speaker 1>matchup goes.

0:47:26.719 --> 0:47:28.560
<v Speaker 5>I mean, I guess if you want to take Miami

0:47:28.600 --> 0:47:30.120
<v Speaker 5>the one end, so you can look at as the

0:47:30.160 --> 0:47:32.080
<v Speaker 5>fact that Dogs are six and two in night games

0:47:32.080 --> 0:47:35.080
<v Speaker 5>this year, so it's a decent start. But anything you

0:47:35.120 --> 0:47:37.799
<v Speaker 5>look at when it comes to two against Buffalo is

0:47:37.840 --> 0:47:43.520
<v Speaker 5>just gross. It's let's see Miami two and thirteen straight

0:47:43.600 --> 0:47:46.360
<v Speaker 5>up versus Josh Allen win eight straight up in Buffalo

0:47:46.600 --> 0:47:49.360
<v Speaker 5>one and eight with TUA, and then the two a

0:47:49.400 --> 0:47:52.120
<v Speaker 5>stat that really scares me and probably scares most people.

0:47:52.400 --> 0:47:54.720
<v Speaker 5>Two and thirteen straight up four ten and one against

0:47:54.719 --> 0:47:58.080
<v Speaker 5>the spread away from home versus winning teams in his career,

0:47:58.680 --> 0:48:00.960
<v Speaker 5>and I believe he's lost ten great in that spot.

0:48:01.120 --> 0:48:03.719
<v Speaker 5>So just a real, real, real bad one.

0:48:04.000 --> 0:48:05.879
<v Speaker 4>But the only thing I'll add though, is that it's

0:48:06.080 --> 0:48:08.879
<v Speaker 4>the spread is twelve and a half correct, Like this

0:48:08.960 --> 0:48:12.759
<v Speaker 4>is different than now, is worse than.

0:48:12.719 --> 0:48:15.320
<v Speaker 5>You second second biggest of his career he was plus

0:48:15.360 --> 0:48:18.120
<v Speaker 5>fifteen against Buffalo in twenty one, so yeah, this number

0:48:18.160 --> 0:48:19.200
<v Speaker 5>is massive, So.

0:48:19.360 --> 0:48:22.360
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, this is it's a huge number. Like if you

0:48:22.400 --> 0:48:27.120
<v Speaker 4>look back, I think the biggest like McDermott is zero

0:48:27.160 --> 0:48:29.120
<v Speaker 4>to three against the spread against the Dolphins when he's

0:48:29.160 --> 0:48:31.279
<v Speaker 4>favored by more than a field goal, and he's never

0:48:31.320 --> 0:48:34.319
<v Speaker 4>been favored by more than seven. Last year in this

0:48:34.400 --> 0:48:40.040
<v Speaker 4>game in Buffalo in November, and Miami was not good.

0:48:39.680 --> 0:48:42.440
<v Speaker 4>The Bills closed six and a half, they won by three,

0:48:42.520 --> 0:48:44.839
<v Speaker 4>and they probably should have lost. So this is a

0:48:44.880 --> 0:48:47.719
<v Speaker 4>big adjustment. But Miami's obviously way worse. You got to

0:48:47.719 --> 0:48:49.400
<v Speaker 4>decide how much worse. I mean, I make this like

0:48:49.480 --> 0:48:52.560
<v Speaker 4>ten point seven. The other thing is, I mean they're

0:48:52.600 --> 0:48:55.920
<v Speaker 4>offensive line semester's injuries. Their secondary is the mess. The

0:48:55.920 --> 0:48:58.400
<v Speaker 4>Bills have injuries too that are worth watching, like Toron Johnson,

0:48:58.719 --> 0:49:02.080
<v Speaker 4>Milano Oliver like those are three of their best defenders,

0:49:02.719 --> 0:49:06.920
<v Speaker 4>so it's worth watching there. But and I will say

0:49:06.920 --> 0:49:10.640
<v Speaker 4>I having divisional double digit divisional dogs are usually a

0:49:10.640 --> 0:49:12.480
<v Speaker 4>good bet I think over the last forty years or

0:49:12.520 --> 0:49:17.480
<v Speaker 4>like fifty five percent. But you gotta bet the Dolphins

0:49:17.520 --> 0:49:19.520
<v Speaker 4>have a ton of injuries too. But you gotta bet this.

0:49:19.520 --> 0:49:21.480
<v Speaker 4>This Miami team, I mean, this Miami team is it.

0:49:22.200 --> 0:49:25.479
<v Speaker 4>Did you see the operation in the last minute against

0:49:25.520 --> 0:49:28.880
<v Speaker 4>the Patriots. They went first and ten at the forty

0:49:30.360 --> 0:49:32.960
<v Speaker 4>to go to win the game, They got a delay

0:49:33.000 --> 0:49:35.759
<v Speaker 4>of game and then they got a. I think they

0:49:35.760 --> 0:49:37.800
<v Speaker 4>got another delay of game and then.

0:49:37.640 --> 0:49:39.600
<v Speaker 3>There's gonna twist a knife on me right now.

0:49:39.960 --> 0:49:41.600
<v Speaker 4>Didn't they have two delay of games in a row.

0:49:42.080 --> 0:49:44.200
<v Speaker 3>It was, you're just what you can you know what?

0:49:44.320 --> 0:49:45.680
<v Speaker 3>You want to pull the knife out of my back

0:49:45.800 --> 0:49:46.960
<v Speaker 3>right now? Please, thank you.

0:49:47.520 --> 0:49:50.000
<v Speaker 4>It was and then they had to rush to play

0:49:50.280 --> 0:49:53.040
<v Speaker 4>the next play. Some you gotta go back and watch it.

0:49:53.040 --> 0:49:53.399
<v Speaker 5>It was.

0:49:55.400 --> 0:49:57.319
<v Speaker 3>It was I'm gonna do after this. I'm gonna go

0:49:57.400 --> 0:49:58.400
<v Speaker 3>rewatch the Patriots.

0:49:58.440 --> 0:50:00.920
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, and then and then it takes the sack

0:50:01.000 --> 0:50:04.759
<v Speaker 1>and boom boom goes to the dynamite and the like.

0:50:04.920 --> 0:50:08.040
<v Speaker 4>Think about this. It's first and ten and at the

0:50:08.080 --> 0:50:11.680
<v Speaker 4>New England forty four the minute fifteen, and they completed

0:50:11.719 --> 0:50:14.520
<v Speaker 4>for eighteen yards first and ten at the twenty six

0:50:14.680 --> 0:50:18.360
<v Speaker 4>minute nine. You're in perfect position to win this game, sorry, Kendrew.

0:50:18.640 --> 0:50:25.360
<v Speaker 4>Delay of game, uh, first and fifteen. Delayed game again,

0:50:25.400 --> 0:50:28.960
<v Speaker 4>first and twenty and then they they have to they

0:50:29.400 --> 0:50:31.800
<v Speaker 4>rush the snap with like one second. Everyone was confused

0:50:31.920 --> 0:50:34.760
<v Speaker 4>three plays in a row, and then you get sacked

0:50:35.080 --> 0:50:36.200
<v Speaker 4>and then sacked.

0:50:36.239 --> 0:50:38.680
<v Speaker 3>And I was sitting at the bar trying to drink

0:50:38.680 --> 0:50:39.880
<v Speaker 3>my pickled beer.

0:50:39.719 --> 0:50:43.600
<v Speaker 2>In peace with a bunch of Patriots fans feeling really good,

0:50:44.200 --> 0:50:46.359
<v Speaker 2>and then you know.

0:50:46.680 --> 0:50:48.480
<v Speaker 4>The thing, keep paying eventually get one.

0:50:49.320 --> 0:50:54.400
<v Speaker 2>I got, I got the Raiders. What I faded the Patriots?

0:50:54.400 --> 0:50:57.200
<v Speaker 2>Week one one with the Raiders plus one thirty one?

0:50:57.200 --> 0:50:58.839
<v Speaker 4>Oh gotcha? Okay, last week one?

0:50:59.160 --> 0:51:02.160
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, exactly last week. I should have won last week

0:51:02.200 --> 0:51:05.919
<v Speaker 3>And now you know what, I'm rocking with my Ayahuasca

0:51:06.040 --> 0:51:07.120
<v Speaker 3>King and Mike Tomlin.

0:51:08.000 --> 0:51:10.360
<v Speaker 4>Are you committed to doing this all eighteen already?

0:51:10.400 --> 0:51:13.120
<v Speaker 3>I already did it. It's already tracked in the action app.

0:51:13.280 --> 0:51:14.000
<v Speaker 3>We're good to go.

0:51:14.120 --> 0:51:15.879
<v Speaker 4>No, I'm saying, are you committed to doing this every week?

0:51:15.920 --> 0:51:17.000
<v Speaker 4>You're gonna fait the Patriots.

0:51:18.800 --> 0:51:22.520
<v Speaker 2>Give me until week's live to make a decision. But

0:51:22.640 --> 0:51:24.840
<v Speaker 2>for the most part, they ruined my life in twenty seventeen,

0:51:24.920 --> 0:51:25.960
<v Speaker 2>so probably.

0:51:25.840 --> 0:51:30.440
<v Speaker 4>Oh you know what. Next week the Patriots host your Panthers.

0:51:32.239 --> 0:51:34.080
<v Speaker 3>My sadcuts are back.

0:51:34.719 --> 0:51:37.840
<v Speaker 4>I will say no Panthers, the injury news, Hunt and

0:51:37.920 --> 0:51:40.839
<v Speaker 4>Corbett they're starting too.

0:51:40.920 --> 0:51:42.280
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I'm already on the Panthers.

0:51:42.520 --> 0:51:45.800
<v Speaker 4>Not good. Yeah, that's gonna be your biggest bet of

0:51:45.800 --> 0:51:47.280
<v Speaker 4>the year. Panthers at Patriots.

0:51:47.640 --> 0:51:50.040
<v Speaker 3>Yeah. I love the few words.

0:51:51.600 --> 0:51:53.920
<v Speaker 1>Evan, Thank you, you're a gentleman and a scholar, and

0:51:53.920 --> 0:51:56.640
<v Speaker 1>that'll do it for today's episode special thanks to our

0:51:56.680 --> 0:52:01.560
<v Speaker 1>producers Matt Mitchell, the Icon and Gifford Gould on video.

0:52:01.680 --> 0:52:04.600
<v Speaker 1>The Favorites will return on Thursday right here on the

0:52:04.600 --> 0:52:08.840
<v Speaker 1>Action Network YouTube page when we talk Week three bets

0:52:08.920 --> 0:52:10.960
<v Speaker 1>and we get our official parlay in there. Good luck

0:52:10.960 --> 0:52:12.839
<v Speaker 1>with all your bets. We'll see you next time right

0:52:12.840 --> 0:52:19.680
<v Speaker 1>here on the Favorites. Cash these tickets cheers.

0:52:20.880 --> 0:52:25.440
<v Speaker 3>Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

0:52:25.440 --> 0:52:28.239
<v Speaker 3>someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

0:52:28.280 --> 0:52:31.400
<v Speaker 3>available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler