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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Monday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Deal Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talking Matt on Twitter to follow me at

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros for Betting Pros. You guys know the offer

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Speaker 1: for bet MGM, the sign up offer, great day to

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Speaker 1: do it, National Championship, you got it, North Carolina and

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Speaker 1: Kansas more and that coming up here in this edition

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Speaker 1: of the podcast. Ten dollar bet for new users using

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Speaker 1: the promo code Juice one fifty at bet MGM gets

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty bucks into your account automatically win

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Speaker 1: or lose. So I was just watching the end of

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Speaker 1: the Philadelphia seventy six ers Cavaliers game. I mean Embeed

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Speaker 1: misses the first free throw and we lose. On the hook.

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Speaker 1: They win by four. We bet four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Somebody told me that was too high. Someone was like, hey,

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Speaker 1: that number is going to come down. It closed at four,

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Speaker 1: so I think the majority of people probably pushed that

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Speaker 1: thing late. I bet it overnight at four and a half.

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Speaker 1: That stinks. So we get the Nuggets right. Lebron set out.

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Speaker 1: We laid three. They won by double digits, so we

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Speaker 1: got that right. And then Troy Merritt comes in top forty.

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Speaker 1: He came in top five, so yeah, pretty good for him.

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Speaker 1: Good performance. And if you bet that, I think he

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Speaker 1: was top ten was plus or top twenty was plus

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Speaker 1: three hundred. I think top ten was like plus five hundred,

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Speaker 1: so depending on what you bet on it. But we

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Speaker 1: get that correct for Troy Merritt. So he goes in

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Speaker 1: the top forty and that's good at plus one twenty five.

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Speaker 1: So two in one day and a winning day for

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Speaker 1: us here on the podcast. So a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a nice bounce back after a really rough Saturday. All right,

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Speaker 1: So it's the National Championship Game. I'm taping this at

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Speaker 1: five thirty here on the West Coast because I am

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Speaker 1: headed to another installment of bet Bash. If you don't

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Speaker 1: know what bet bash is on my Twitter account you

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Speaker 1: can see some pictures and whatnot. It essentially is a

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Speaker 1: sports gambling convention that's here in Las Vegas. A lot

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Speaker 1: of quote unquote sharps are out and about here in Vegas,

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Speaker 1: a lot of talk about sports, sports books and being limited,

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Speaker 1: and it's just been a fun couple of days here

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Speaker 1: in Vegas. So that will end today on Monday, which

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Speaker 1: happens to be my birthday. So today is my forty

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Speaker 1: fifth birthday. So I'm gonna go off tonight and have

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a celebratory thing with a bunch

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Speaker 1: of people at Bett Bash. So we're gonna go have

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Speaker 1: some fun, go to Soarca and go to the Legacy Club,

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Speaker 1: which is upstairs, I think on the sixty fifth floor

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Speaker 1: of Circa. So we're gonna go up there and have

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Speaker 1: some fun for my birthday. Because it's a Monday, so

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Speaker 1: I get to go out a little bit on my

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Speaker 1: birthday for tab a little fun tonight with some sports

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Speaker 1: gambling people. So I'm taping this thing a little early

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Speaker 1: than normal, getting it out a little normal or earlier

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Speaker 1: than normal, because most likely I'm not gonna be home

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Speaker 1: till late tonight. Might be dragging a bit on the

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Speaker 1: Monday shows. But yeah, it's you know, you only turn

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Speaker 1: forty five once. I guess, as they say, So let's

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Speaker 1: get into it here today Kansas and North Carolina. But

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Speaker 1: Steaks dot Com. All right, so I have not been

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Speaker 1: good here in the final four rough Saturday. Hopefully we

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Speaker 1: can bounce back and end on a pretty high note.

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Speaker 1: Let me see real quick here. If we've got my

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Speaker 1: college basketball record has not been great. I've not been

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Speaker 1: great in college basketball this year. I've been I've had

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Speaker 1: much better seasons. So I am fifty nine and sixty one. Wow,

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Speaker 1: that's interesting down five units in college basketball. So we

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Speaker 1: got we got hit pretty hard. That put a pretty

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Speaker 1: good dent in the entire year. So I mean, thankfully

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Speaker 1: the NFL in college football both went really really well

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Speaker 1: for us, but college basketball has been here. Yeah, that's

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Speaker 1: not a good year. So if I go and hit

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Speaker 1: both these bets today, I wound up sixty one and

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Speaker 1: sixty one for the college basketball season. Eh, that's not great,

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Speaker 1: but you know I've had now that's pretty It's one

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Speaker 1: of my worst college basketball years, to be quite honest,

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Speaker 1: one of my best college football years, but not one

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Speaker 1: of my best college basketball years. Let me see if

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Speaker 1: we can bind that with the end of the year. However,

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Speaker 1: that's just in twenty twenty two. We can bind that. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so we're I guess we're down. We're up a little bit. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I guess we're still down. But November and November December

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Speaker 1: we did We did better with November and December, so

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Speaker 1: we headed up. You know. So basically, it's about down

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Speaker 1: two units for the entire season so far. So got

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Speaker 1: one more unit in play, so maybe we'll down. We'll

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Speaker 1: be down one unit for the entire year if we

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Speaker 1: don't get these two and I guess we'll be down

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Speaker 1: more we if we wind up losing these two bets.

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Speaker 1: But let's get into it. Okay, Kansas North Carolina. I

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Speaker 1: said this on Saturday night on Twitter. Just got to

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Speaker 1: hold my nose and take the points, and that's what

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Speaker 1: I'm doing here. Okay, Carolina is five and oh against

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Speaker 1: the spread in the n C DOUBLA Tournament, and they

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Speaker 1: are also are five and oh over the last five

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Speaker 1: games in which they were a dog. I mean, this

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Speaker 1: team has cashed money line bets against Baylor, Ucla and

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Speaker 1: now Duke where they were pretty big favorites. Okay, Kansas

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Speaker 1: is going to be the public side. Kansas was the

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Speaker 1: public side against Villanova. People are gonna say, Matt, you

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Speaker 1: hate Ku. No, I pick keyan Kins to beat Nova.

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Speaker 1: I like Nova to cover. It's kind of the same

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Speaker 1: thing here. I think these teams are really evenly matched,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna talk about, you know, taking four and

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Speaker 1: a half points. Gonna take the points here at four

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Speaker 1: and a half points. Now, kempom has this as a

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Speaker 1: six point win for North Carolina. And obviously, you know,

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Speaker 1: Baycott's injury is a big situation with the ankle role

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Speaker 1: that he had against Duke. But I think he's gonna

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Speaker 1: be fine and he is a big, big matchup problem

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Speaker 1: for Kansas. kN has got bigs. But here's the thing

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Speaker 1: with Kansas. Does anybody think Kay's gonna shoot the way

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Speaker 1: they shot? Ajibaji was four or fourteen going into the

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Speaker 1: n S double, going into the Final four, Right, kid

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Speaker 1: couldn't miss, The entire team could miss. They shot fifty

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Speaker 1: seven percent and fifty two from three. Okay, that is

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Speaker 1: not what this team normally does. Okabaji shoots thirty nine

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Speaker 1: percent from the field from from three this season and

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Speaker 1: he was on fire. Okay, he's a good player. Not debating,

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Speaker 1: he's a really good player. Just don't think Kansas is

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Speaker 1: gonna shoot the same way that they shot here. And

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Speaker 1: I just I don't know, man. Something about this North

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Speaker 1: Carolina team, something about the way these guys are playing,

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Speaker 1: something about the way that they have turned things around.

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Speaker 1: They were the hottest team entering the tournament, really one

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Speaker 1: of and they've played like it. I just think there's

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Speaker 1: value here. At plus four and a half, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go ahead. I'm taking the points at plus four and

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Speaker 1: a half. You can fade this if you want. Again,

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Speaker 1: I was horrible on Saturday. Get fade if you want.

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Speaker 1: I'm jumping in here. Plus four and a half half

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Speaker 1: a unit. North Carolina half a unit at plus four

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Speaker 1: and a half, I think it's a real good shot.

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Speaker 1: I would sprinkle money line, Okay, when you take dog.

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Speaker 1: Our rules always take ten percent right of the bet

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Speaker 1: and put it on the money line when you take

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Speaker 1: a dog. I would recommend doing that. So if you're

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Speaker 1: playing one hundred bucks on a half unit, whatever your

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Speaker 1: unit is, but take ten bucks and put it down

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Speaker 1: on North Carolina on the money line. Here, I think

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Speaker 1: it was a real good chance to win the game.

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Speaker 1: But we have not had a buzzer beater yet. Something

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Speaker 1: tells me that we're gonna get This could be a

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Speaker 1: buzzer beater national championship. I really think this could be

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Speaker 1: make or miss. This could come down to one shot

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Speaker 1: national championship on the line for Kansas and North Carolina.

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Speaker 1: I'm riding with the tar Hills North Carolina plus four

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Speaker 1: and a half is the official play. Don't mind a

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Speaker 1: money line play either, but taking the Tar Hills to

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Speaker 1: keep it going. They knocked out Baylor as a one seed,

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Speaker 1: they knocked out the defending champs in UCLA, they knocked

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Speaker 1: out their archrival in Duke, and now I think they

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Speaker 1: take out another number one seed. I think it's worth

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Speaker 1: the sprinkle for UNC on the money line. But officially

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Speaker 1: we're taking the four and a half points North Carolina

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Speaker 1: plus four and a half other half unit. What are

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Speaker 1: we doing with it? Let's go to the total of

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Speaker 1: one fifty three. Now you can get this at one

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Speaker 1: fifty two. Okay, so shop around how to find this

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Speaker 1: at one fifty two for North Carolina and Camp Kansas.

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Speaker 1: But right now you've got twenty two and sixteen North

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Speaker 1: Carolina to the over, Kansas twenty and seventeen and two

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Speaker 1: to the over on the road. North Carolina is fourteen

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Speaker 1: and seven to the over, twelve nine and one for

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Speaker 1: Kansas on the road. This year fifteen and eight against

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Speaker 1: DC ced to the over, and ten and eleven in

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Speaker 1: the big twelve to the over a little under our

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Speaker 1: five hundred there, but both these teams three and two

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Speaker 1: and two and three over the last five in the tournament.

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Speaker 1: Against Duke, the game went over by four and a

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Speaker 1: half points at one fifty three and a half. It

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Speaker 1: went under against Saint Peter's and went under against UCLA,

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Speaker 1: but it went over against Baylor at one forty nine,

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Speaker 1: went over by thirty points, and it went over at

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Speaker 1: one fifty three and a half against Marquette at four

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Speaker 1: and a half points. I think again, this is going

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Speaker 1: to be a high scoring game. Nova went over eighty

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Speaker 1: one points scored by Kansas. KUS scored eighty one, seventy six,

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Speaker 1: sixty six, seventy nine and eighty three points so far

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Speaker 1: here in this tournament. I think they're gonna score seventy

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Speaker 1: five points. Okay, they score seventy five points. I feel

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Speaker 1: pretty good about Carolina's chances of getting a seven and

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Speaker 1: seventy five points as well or higher. Eighty one, sixty nine,

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Speaker 1: seventy three, ninety three, ninety five for North Carolina. They

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Speaker 1: want to run, so does Kansas. It's gonna shoot a

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Speaker 1: lot of threes. They both shot very well in this building.

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Speaker 1: I think they'll shoot well again. I don't think Kansas

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Speaker 1: is as hot as they were. I don't think they

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Speaker 1: score into the lower eighties, but they could. And if

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Speaker 1: KU scores to the eighties, if it's like an eighty

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Speaker 1: to seventy six type of final, we're going over. I

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Speaker 1: think this is a correlated parlay. It'd be quite a

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Speaker 1: correlated game going with North Carolina in the over. I really,

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Speaker 1: I mean either so, I actually no, I only correlated

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Speaker 1: me correct myself, not correlated. It's over either or KU

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Speaker 1: or North Carolina wins this game. I think the over

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Speaker 1: hits for either one. So we're gonna come back and

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Speaker 1: we're gonna take the over one point fifty two here

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Speaker 1: for a half a year, all right, North Carolina plus

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Speaker 1: four and a half over one fifty two for the

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Speaker 1: National Championship game. And also this is a great live

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Speaker 1: betting opportunity. Okay, one team gets off. If Kansas gets

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Speaker 1: off to a big start, or if North Carolina gets

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Speaker 1: up to a big start, come back in here. You

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Speaker 1: get plus points on Kansas at any point during the game,

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Speaker 1: think you've got to jump on it and try to

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Speaker 1: middle this so you can get four and a half

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Speaker 1: and maybe like KU plus two, try to middle it

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Speaker 1: either Or. I think that would be smart. Think if

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Speaker 1: the game gets off to a really fast start, you're

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Speaker 1: already over an over one fifty two, so maybe you

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Speaker 1: have a chance to come back and take the under

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Speaker 1: of like sixty one sixty five. It gets off to

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Speaker 1: a stupid fast start, which is possible given the way

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Speaker 1: that Kansas has played the last three halfs. They've played

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Speaker 1: really well. So in game Betting is your friend here

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Speaker 1: tonight for the National Championship. I would highly recommend you

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Speaker 1: doing that as well as hopping on these pre game

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Speaker 1: bets here for North Carolina plus four and a half

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Speaker 1: in the over one fifty two at paralt I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: have some fun. It's my forty fifth birthday, so let's

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Speaker 1: let's have a good day. Okay, let's have a National

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Speaker 1: Championship day. Let's have a good day. How about a

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Speaker 1: two and ol mark? Right, let's take the two and

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Speaker 1: oh mark for a little celibratory Monday for us here

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Speaker 1: on April fourth, I was born four four seven seven.

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Speaker 1: Those are my lucky numbers, two four seven fourteen. Let's

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Speaker 1: go Carolina, Let's play it tough. Mine's Matt Parolts. Follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and every

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Speaker 1: morning it's the Elijuice Podcast. I was being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by bet MGM.