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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Thursday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of The Day Juice podcast with me Matt Parolt

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk. BAT is my Twitter handle, Follow me

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Speaker 1: at Betting Pros to follow Betting Pros. Bet MGM is

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Speaker 1: the title sponsor of this podcast. You can go to

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Speaker 1: bet MGM get a new account promo cod Juice one

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Speaker 1: fifty ten dollars. Bet will get you one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty dollars from bet MGM. Where I actually was today

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Speaker 1: tonight talking to a Daily Juice og back in July

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Speaker 1: of twenty twenty. So it's always really fun to meet

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Speaker 1: you guys. Whenever I have a chance to a bunch

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Speaker 1: of you come into town, you come to Vegas, I

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Speaker 1: try hard to bump into you. It works out sometimes

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Speaker 1: and sometimes it doesn't. This tonight it worked out. I

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Speaker 1: actually was downtown in Vegas at Circa for an event

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Speaker 1: and so a bunch of people, and then I ended

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Speaker 1: up going with my co host Dave Sheripan for the

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Speaker 1: Bostonian Versus of the book. We ended up going to

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Speaker 1: MGM where Tim Halprin Halprin, I think I'm saying Tim's

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Speaker 1: last name right, Haliprin Halprin I'm really bad at last name,

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Speaker 1: but Tim is an og back in July of twenty twenty.

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Speaker 1: He also top twelve at American Idol in twenty and ten.

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Speaker 1: I think he said country music singer songwriter dude, super

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Speaker 1: uber talented from Almaha, Nebraska, knows people, Creighton fan. So fun.

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Speaker 1: Great to meet Tim, so fun to hang out. Dave

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Speaker 1: and Tim are still talking. It's eleven fifty West Coast time.

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Speaker 1: They're still at bet MGM right now at the MGM

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Speaker 1: gran They're still talking. So that it's really fun when

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Speaker 1: I get to meet you guys, and really fun to

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Speaker 1: meet Tim and hang out and talk, tell stories and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: If I'm ever in Nashville again, I'll hit Tim up

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Speaker 1: for sure and say hi. So it was super cool

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Speaker 1: and really fun to meet him. So Tam as a

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Speaker 1: guy who listens to The Juice on the way to

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Speaker 1: his recording sessions every morning. It's part of his daily routine.

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Speaker 1: That's what's so fun about this podcast is it's become

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Speaker 1: part of what you guys do each and every day.

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Speaker 1: It's just part of your routine, which I absolutely love.

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Speaker 1: Today's a bit of a weird day, right, So we

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Speaker 1: have two bets on the NFL Draft, Trey Von Walker

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Speaker 1: to go number one and the fact that we're going

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Speaker 1: to hope for the Canut of Michigan to drop out

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Speaker 1: of the top one, to go at one and a

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Speaker 1: half or two in hutcheson, So could go two and

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Speaker 1: zero and get two really nice returns on quarter unit bets.

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Speaker 1: Not big bets, but we could wind up, you know,

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Speaker 1: winning a unit if it ends up happening. And the

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Speaker 1: beautiful thing is we're going to know pretty fast. I

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Speaker 1: didn't like anything else, you know. I thought about betting,

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Speaker 1: you know, the under two and a half quarterbacks to

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Speaker 1: be drafted in their in the first round, thought about that,

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Speaker 1: thought about taking the under ten and a half for

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Speaker 1: SEC players drafted in the first round. But you know,

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Speaker 1: I just kind of said, you know what, I'll take

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Speaker 1: the top of the draft and then just enjoy the

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Speaker 1: rest of it and see where all the chips fall.

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Speaker 1: So we only have two bets. I only have two bets.

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Speaker 1: If you guys have more than that, awesome. But that's

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Speaker 1: all I really got involved with here for the NFL Draft.

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Speaker 1: I'll be at the draft as well, so that's one

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Speaker 1: reason why, because I'll be there so at sports talk

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Speaker 1: Matt on Twitter. You'll see pictures and all sorts of

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Speaker 1: fun stuff that I'll put up from the draft here

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Speaker 1: in Las Vegas tonight. Meaning there's a shot the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice gets recorded in the afternoon. I don't know yet.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how late I'm gonna be out tomorrow night.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what time I'm taping. I mean it's

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Speaker 1: midnight right now. I'm taping it here for a Thursday.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what I'm doing for tomorrow, so yeah,

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Speaker 1: we'll find out or Thursday night. I don't know what's

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Speaker 1: gonna happen for the Juice on Friday, but maybe it

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Speaker 1: might be out really really early. So okay, So here

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Speaker 1: is a way of betting every game six tonight if

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Speaker 1: you want. This is all Dave Sheafpan. This is not me,

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Speaker 1: but this is a trick that you guys can bet

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Speaker 1: right now with game six. Is it only happens with

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Speaker 1: a game six? Okay? So Game six in the NBA,

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Speaker 1: you have a home team, a home team. All three

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Speaker 1: games home teams. Toronto's at home against Philadelphia, try to

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Speaker 1: stay alive, Phoenix on the road, New Orleans at home,

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Speaker 1: trying to stay alive and Utah is at home against

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Speaker 1: the against the Dallas Mavericks trying to stay at home. Okay,

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Speaker 1: the current prices just looking at draftings, for instance, plus

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Speaker 1: five hundred to win the series, the Raptors plus six

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Speaker 1: hundred the Pelicans to win the series, or plus four

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Speaker 1: to seventy five on the Jazz to win the series.

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Speaker 1: What you can do if you think either or all

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Speaker 1: these teams win Game six, you can bet these prices

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Speaker 1: right now for them to win Game seven. Now you

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Speaker 1: might go, wow, Matt, that's kind of a tough one.

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Speaker 1: They're going back on the road. Can they win a

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Speaker 1: Game seven? Well, here's why it doesn't matter. If you

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Speaker 1: think the Raptors are going to force a Game seven,

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Speaker 1: take the plus five hundred right now, or the Pelicans

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Speaker 1: to force a Game seven plus six hundred. Here's the thing.

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Speaker 1: Let's just go by one hundred dollars, right You bet

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Speaker 1: the Raptors one hundred dollars at plus five hundred. That's

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Speaker 1: a five hundred dollars return if they win. What's the

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Speaker 1: line in Game seven? Philly minus six, Philly minus seven.

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Speaker 1: So let's just say it's a minus one eighty. The

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Speaker 1: line's minus one eighty minus one ninety somewhere that we're

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Speaker 1: all on the money line, right, you just bet that,

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Speaker 1: say it's minus two hundred, you come back, You bet

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Speaker 1: two hundred to win one hundred. So you're either going

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Speaker 1: to win a hundred, okay, and you're going to chew

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Speaker 1: into obviously, you know you'd be putting out whatever price.

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Speaker 1: You're going to put one hundred dollars out right, so,

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Speaker 1: or you bet three hundred dollars and you're going to

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Speaker 1: just sit back and watch game seven and you know

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Speaker 1: you're making money on either side. You're either going to

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Speaker 1: make five hundred or you're gonna make one hundred, two hundred,

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Speaker 1: whatever you want to do to eat in to the

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Speaker 1: five hundred dollars you have potentially out there. If Toronto

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Speaker 1: wins Game seven, it is a brilliant betting strategy. You

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Speaker 1: should do this based upon what you think is gonna

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Speaker 1: happen here tonight. Okay, So I'm gonna do this, Okay

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Speaker 1: with the Raptors. I'm gonna throw plus five hundred. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna throw a half a unit down on plus five

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Speaker 1: hundred for the Raptors to win Game six to force

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Speaker 1: a Game seven. I think Nick Nurse at home, is

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Speaker 1: gonna force a Game seven. Not sure they're gonna win

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Speaker 1: a Game seven. I think they're gonna force a game seven.

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Speaker 1: No team has ever won a three to zero come

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Speaker 1: back from a three to zero deficit in NBA history.

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Speaker 1: It would be the Philadelphia seventy six ers and James

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Speaker 1: Harden to do it like it would make perfect sense.

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Speaker 1: So here's what we're gonna do. We're gonna bet the

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Speaker 1: Raptors half a unit at plus five hundred right now

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Speaker 1: to win this series. Okay. If the Raptors win tonight

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Speaker 1: in Game six, another bet coming here in a second.

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Speaker 1: The Raptors win this series, okay, or win this game

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Speaker 1: it's a game seven, we'll bet Philadelphia money line Philly

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Speaker 1: and will watch Game seven. No sweat, it doesn't matter

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Speaker 1: who wins. We're gonna make money either way. Okay. First

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Speaker 1: bet Philly, sorry, Raptors plus five hundred half a unit

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Speaker 1: to win the series. Okay. Then tonight I am taking

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Speaker 1: the Toronto Raptors at plus one and a half at

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Speaker 1: home here. I think they win the game. Out right.

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Speaker 1: You can bet a money line bet if you would

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Speaker 1: like to do that, but I'm just gonna go ahead

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Speaker 1: and take the points because I think it's a decent

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Speaker 1: play to take the points. Toronto at home this year

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Speaker 1: has been good, not great, twenty two and twenty one

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Speaker 1: Philly on the road this year twenty two to twenty

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Speaker 1: and one ATS, but against the Eastern Conference Toronto thirty

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Speaker 1: one and twenty six, Philadelphia twenty five thirty one in

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Speaker 1: one and look in this series, it's been wild. The

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Speaker 1: last two games Toronto has covered. They did not cover

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Speaker 1: the first three games, lost by twenty fifteen and three

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Speaker 1: didn't cover on any of them. Now two out point

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Speaker 1: favorites one by eight, nine point favorites one by fifteen.

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Speaker 1: They're back at home where they were very good this season,

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Speaker 1: rocking atmosphere, Nick Nurse to get these guys to play

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Speaker 1: really hard. A straight up record of twenty five and

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Speaker 1: eighteen for Toronto this season at home for Philadelphia twenty

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Speaker 1: eight and fifteen on the road this year, good for Philadelphia.

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Speaker 1: But just look at the way these games have been

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Speaker 1: played and how these teams are playing momentum wise. James

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Speaker 1: Harden hasn't looked right. Joel Enbiid's got a busted hand

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Speaker 1: and a bad hand, bad thumb. Plus one and a

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Speaker 1: half Toronto half a unit. Now Philly wins the game

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Speaker 1: and they cover, or and they win the game by

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Speaker 1: two or more, we lose a full unit. Understand. Okay,

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Speaker 1: But because I feel pretty good about the bets to

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Speaker 1: what we've got for the NFL Draft, I feel kind

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Speaker 1: of okay about offsetting this by making that play. I

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Speaker 1: like that one other bet that I want to make

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Speaker 1: here today. So it's one series bet and its two

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Speaker 1: NBA bets. Let's talk about Utah in Dallas, Okay, man,

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Speaker 1: I want to take Dallas. I'll have a personal play

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Speaker 1: on Dallas minus two. I will. But for this game,

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Speaker 1: the total jumps out at me. It's currently two oh

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Speaker 1: nine and a half at Fandel at DraftKings and bet MGM,

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Speaker 1: I'm coming in here on the and I'm in. I

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Speaker 1: went back and forth and back and forth and back

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Speaker 1: and forth. A part of me wants to take the over.

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Speaker 1: A part of me says, take the over, take the over.

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Speaker 1: Gonna go back with the under. I think this game

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Speaker 1: does go under. So the numbers so far in this

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Speaker 1: series are two oh eight, two oh six and a half,

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Speaker 1: two seven and a half, two fourteen and a half,

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Speaker 1: and two twelve and a half. The numbers of two

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Speaker 1: twelve and a half, two fourteen and a half, and

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Speaker 1: two oh eight have all gone under by sixteen, fifteen

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Speaker 1: and a half and thirty three and a half. The

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Speaker 1: numbers were two oh six and a half in two

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Speaker 1: seven and a half, over by seven and a half,

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Speaker 1: and over by thirty six and a half. So it's

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Speaker 1: sort of like this interesting look of like when the

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Speaker 1: number starts coming down dramatically, the over is hitting, but

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Speaker 1: because this number is two oh nine kind of right

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Speaker 1: in the middle here, I'm going to say, in a

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Speaker 1: closeout game, I think Dallas wins, I'll lay the two

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Speaker 1: points with Dallas and I'll take the under. Much like

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Speaker 1: last night, if you bet both bets last night on

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Speaker 1: the bucks, the bucks minus the points minus twelve eleven

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Speaker 1: and a half twelve and the under, you cash both bets.

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Speaker 1: It's the same thing here. I'm not making the minus

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Speaker 1: two official, but I am going to take IOWA betting

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Speaker 1: Dallas minus two under two oh nine and a half

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Speaker 1: here four and you may get a better number, maybe

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Speaker 1: two ten to eleven. But I'm gonna go under for

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Speaker 1: Dallas and Utah here in a close out game. Maybe

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Speaker 1: they play tight time down the stretch my half a unit.

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Speaker 1: Mine's one ten under two oh nine and a half

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Speaker 1: for Dallas and Utah. Okay, three bets for us here today.

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Speaker 1: Raptors wi win the series at plus five hundred, knowing

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Speaker 1: we're coming back in game seven if they is a

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Speaker 1: Game seven, you can do the same thing with the

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Speaker 1: Pelicans and the Jazz. By the way, if you want,

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Speaker 1: I am going to in game bet Pelicans and the

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Speaker 1: Suns for sure, but maybe official, maybe not. We're got

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Speaker 1: to see it'll be happening during the draft, so we'll

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Speaker 1: go ahead and do that. So officially, Raptors plus five

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Speaker 1: hundred half a unit to win the series. Raptors plus

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Speaker 1: one and a half, half a unit in Game six

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Speaker 1: under two and nine and a half Dallas and Utah

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Speaker 1: here tonight in the NBA MINS Matt Paroltzs follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning,

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Speaker 1: it's still just this podcast. I was being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by BETEMGM