1 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:16,880 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday 2 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is 3 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: Matt Parolta. Guysn't followed me across all socials at Sports 4 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 1: Talk Matt. After a really frustrating night last night, Okay, 5 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:31,479 Speaker 1: let's talk for a second. First, the Boston Bruins cast 6 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 1: our future. All right, they won come from behind win, 7 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 1: great win over the Florida Panthers. They play again here tonight, 8 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 1: but they have ninety nine points over ninety eight and 9 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 1: a half points that cashes. Now they're playing the Tampa 10 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 1: Bay Lightning, who have eighty five points. We played under 11 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:53,519 Speaker 1: ninety six and a half points for the Lightning. It's 12 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 1: gonna get dicey. I mean, it's gonna be tight for 13 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 1: we need a losing streak here by Tampa Bay at 14 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 1: the end of the year. They've been playing real well. 15 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: They're seven to to one over their last ten. A 16 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 1: week ago, I thought we were good. That'd been really 17 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 1: hot lately, and I'm like, dang it. So I would 18 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 1: love to see the Bruins beat the Lightning here tonight 19 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:12,920 Speaker 1: and then the Lightning go on a little four game 20 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 1: losing streak and we could cash that under ninety six 21 00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 1: and a half. But the Bruins came in that cashed. 22 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 1: So we started the night one and oh I had 23 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 1: the Milwaukee Bucks game nailed thirty point under. That game 24 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:32,160 Speaker 1: was an auto easy walk to the window, except Doc 25 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 1: Rivers sucks. Can we just all can we all just 26 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 1: say this right now? Doc Rivers is horrible. He has 27 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:41,319 Speaker 1: more losses as the head coach of the Bucks than 28 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 1: the Boston Celtics do all year. Think about that. How 29 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:51,560 Speaker 1: bad that is. You blow a lead, you can't hit 30 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 1: free throws at into the game, you blow it a 31 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 1: layup to win the game. At the end, game goes 32 00:01:57,160 --> 00:02:00,720 Speaker 1: to overtime and then double overtime. Ever should have gone 33 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 1: to even the first overtime in no Lebron James. Just 34 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:10,840 Speaker 1: an absolutely embarrassing, embarrassing loss for the Bucks at home. 35 00:02:11,560 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 1: But the under was right there. That was a good handicap. 36 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 1: I'll play that every single time. That's just a bad break. Okay, 37 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:20,280 Speaker 1: that's just that's a bad break. The other game, forget it. Okay, 38 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 1: it was a bad bet. I bet the over. The 39 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:25,519 Speaker 1: under came in, steam came heavily on the under. Kings 40 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 1: at home just got worked. The better bet would have 41 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 1: been the I liked the Dallas Mavericks to win the game, 42 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:31,800 Speaker 1: and they just killed the Kings, so it should have 43 00:02:31,840 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 1: been a Mavericks play. But that would have been a 44 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 1: one in two night. Right. Well, then, as I told 45 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:43,920 Speaker 1: you last night, play over four and a half for 46 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: Edmonton and Winnipeg because the third period was dicey. I 47 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:49,480 Speaker 1: knew it was going to be a dicey third period, 48 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 1: so I said, look it, We're not going to play 49 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 1: around in the third period. Okay, middle of this thing. 50 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 1: Go over four and a half, which I did. Game 51 00:02:56,880 --> 00:02:59,680 Speaker 1: went to overtime three three, four to three finals, so 52 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:01,960 Speaker 1: we get the loss on the official play. But if 53 00:03:01,960 --> 00:03:03,959 Speaker 1: you came back and bet the other unit, like I said, 54 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:10,400 Speaker 1: you lost point one on that. So the night played 55 00:03:10,400 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 1: out even though officially it's one of those weird nights, 56 00:03:14,760 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 1: Like officially the card looks really ugly. But if you're 57 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 1: listening to the podcast and you played what I told 58 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 1: you to play, as I've said before, either play everything 59 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:24,640 Speaker 1: or play nothing. Like when I tell you to middle it, 60 00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:27,800 Speaker 1: like try to middle it because there's a reason for that. Now, 61 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:32,840 Speaker 1: I didn't see Dallas the Stars not let me see 62 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:35,800 Speaker 1: that game that game over yet did they go to 63 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 1: the second period yet? Oh? Yeah? Wow? Both both bets 64 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 1: hit over two and a half goals in the second Well, 65 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:48,080 Speaker 1: they scored six goals in the second period Dallas in 66 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: San Jose, unbelievable six goals, wow, three apiece in that 67 00:03:54,760 --> 00:04:00,960 Speaker 1: third period. And the third period for Winnipeg and Edmonton 68 00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 1: that hit again because we saw three goals scored in 69 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 1: the third period, so it was over two and a 70 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 1: half and over two and a half if you parlayed 71 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 1: those two together, like I talked about, it's like a 72 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 1: five to one return that would have hit for you 73 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:19,120 Speaker 1: right there on that that's amazing. But over one and 74 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:21,559 Speaker 1: a half in both was still gonna be a pretty 75 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: good thing. It was like mine one ten or something. 76 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:24,960 Speaker 1: It was pretty good to do that. So you would 77 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 1: have hit over one and a half, but over two 78 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 1: and a half hit for both the third period oilers 79 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:33,840 Speaker 1: and the Jets, and for Dallas and the Sharks. How 80 00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 1: about that? So those were good reads. I read the 81 00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:40,880 Speaker 1: board correctly. It just officially came out just with a 82 00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:43,560 Speaker 1: one in three nights because we get the Bruins win 83 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:45,520 Speaker 1: to come in, so it's a one in three mark 84 00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 1: for us, and that puts us what pretty much like 85 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 1: down point two right for the week, so pretty much 86 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 1: flat for the week. So we had towards today. All right, 87 00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:58,920 Speaker 1: here's what I'm doing. I'm gonna go light. Okay, I'm 88 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:02,040 Speaker 1: not in love with the hockeys schedule tonight. I might 89 00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 1: add something a little bit later, but I'm not in 90 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 1: love with the hockey schedule. It's you know, it's not 91 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: it's a good mark. It's a decent of those two games. Sorry, 92 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:14,800 Speaker 1: it's Ottawa Buffalo and Boston Tampa. So we're gonna pass 93 00:05:14,800 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 1: on hockey to night, although I want the Bruins to 94 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:20,320 Speaker 1: win the game. We're gonna play two plays in basketball 95 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:22,760 Speaker 1: and cut in the NBA, and I'm gonna give you 96 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:25,920 Speaker 1: two bets for Opening Day in Major League Baseball. Because 97 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 1: here's the thing. I'll go light on Thursday. On Wednesday, 98 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:35,039 Speaker 1: a little heavier on Thursday, because well, we've got basketball games. 99 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:37,040 Speaker 1: I don't know what I'm doing yet on Thursday. I 100 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:38,599 Speaker 1: haven't even made up my mind yet as to what 101 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:40,600 Speaker 1: I'm going to do yet on Thursday for the games 102 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:44,160 Speaker 1: against DOUAA tournament games, so many of our futures are 103 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:48,240 Speaker 1: playing out that it's you know, I'm kind of like, hmm, like, 104 00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:50,040 Speaker 1: what do we do on Thursday? Do I want to 105 00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 1: get involved? Do I not want to get involved? Do 106 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:54,479 Speaker 1: I want to let the futures ride out. We've got 107 00:05:54,520 --> 00:06:00,120 Speaker 1: Arizona against Clemson. We've got Alabama against North Carolina. I 108 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 1: have Illinois against Iowa State. We have futures in all 109 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:06,160 Speaker 1: three of those games, three of the four games we 110 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:09,880 Speaker 1: have futures. We need Arizona, we need North Carolina, we 111 00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 1: need Iowa State just to win. And I don't know 112 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:14,719 Speaker 1: if I want to really dip into it all that much. 113 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 1: I don't know if I want to hedge off of 114 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:17,880 Speaker 1: it either. So I don't know what I'm doing yet 115 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:21,360 Speaker 1: on Thursday. So I've got two baseball plays for you Friday, 116 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 1: by the way, We've got Marquette against NC State future 117 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 1: on that, and we've got Creighton and Tennessee playing. We're 118 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:30,159 Speaker 1: good there. We have one of our teams, one team 119 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 1: will die, one team will advance, just the way that 120 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:34,360 Speaker 1: it's going to go here for us, with the way 121 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 1: we're playing it out, we have at least one team 122 00:06:36,200 --> 00:06:40,839 Speaker 1: in the lead eight. We could wind up with five 123 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,599 Speaker 1: teams in the lead eight, which will be amazing we 124 00:06:43,640 --> 00:06:47,719 Speaker 1: have five of the eight. Huh, that would be awesome 125 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:50,160 Speaker 1: if we could wind up with five of the eight teams. 126 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:54,599 Speaker 1: So that would mean we would get Yukon up against 127 00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 1: Iowa State to go to the final four, North Carolina 128 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:03,520 Speaker 1: up against Arizona guaranteed a team in the final four. There, 129 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:09,440 Speaker 1: we would have Tennessee playing or Creighton playing against Purdue 130 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 1: against Zaga, so we need to win there on that, 131 00:07:12,280 --> 00:07:15,280 Speaker 1: and then we'd have Marquette up against either Houston or 132 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:18,560 Speaker 1: Duke for a chance to the final four. There when 133 00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:22,280 Speaker 1: we get to if we get to like the elite eight, 134 00:07:22,440 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 1: this is where I always thought I would do a 135 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:28,560 Speaker 1: larger hedge. Okay, we come in heavier on the on 136 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:32,000 Speaker 1: the elite eight, you know, five unit, four units, somewhere 137 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 1: in that range. I'll do the math, I'll figure it out. 138 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:35,240 Speaker 1: I'll tell you guys what we're going to do with that. 139 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:37,720 Speaker 1: But just be on the on the lookout for Thursday 140 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:41,080 Speaker 1: or Friday to be maybe not that great from a 141 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 1: college basketball standpoint in terms of bets, I may just 142 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:46,720 Speaker 1: let the thing ride out, like, we don't need to 143 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 1: do all that much. The hope is to come in 144 00:07:49,280 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 1: here and to get ourselves to the elite eight where 145 00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 1: we can start to hedge off of these guys with 146 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:56,200 Speaker 1: pretty good tickets. Right, we don't want to kill it, 147 00:07:56,240 --> 00:07:58,680 Speaker 1: but we don't want to lose money. So two units, 148 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:01,120 Speaker 1: three units somewhere in that rain and we'll escalate it 149 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 1: up as we go. So stick around, stay tuned Thursday 150 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 1: Friday place. But I do have baseball plays for us 151 00:08:08,040 --> 00:08:09,920 Speaker 1: opening day places for us. I'm gonna give you here 152 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:12,600 Speaker 1: in just one second before we do that. Olmos steaks 153 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 1: dot COM's last Juice. Have you guys gone there and 154 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:18,320 Speaker 1: used it? One hundred percent satisfaction, money back guarantee There. 155 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 1: Subscriptions are available free burgers for life when you get one, 156 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 1: and you get ten percent off your first purchase at 157 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:28,320 Speaker 1: olmasteaks dot com. Go check out what they've got available 158 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:31,119 Speaker 1: for you right now. Great curated packages available at olmos 159 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 1: steaks dot com. Slash juice. All right, let's start in 160 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:38,440 Speaker 1: the NBA. Toronto is hosting the New York Knicks. Toronto 161 00:08:38,480 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 1: has gone under seven straight games. Toronto has gone under 162 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:44,560 Speaker 1: eight of the last ten. Toronto is twenty four and 163 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:47,560 Speaker 1: twelve to the under this year. At home, I know 164 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 1: the numbers, low, I understand two nine is low. Nineteen 165 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:55,080 Speaker 1: and sixteen the Knicks on the road, and what's interesting 166 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:59,319 Speaker 1: about these teams so far. They've played one time in Toronto. 167 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:02,800 Speaker 1: The game went over two eighteen went over, but that 168 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:05,640 Speaker 1: was before the trade deadline, for they trade everybody away, 169 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:09,160 Speaker 1: so that game went over. Then they played the Knicks 170 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 1: on the road and it went over by forty four 171 00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 1: and a half points, which was like, okay, that's somewhat surprising. 172 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 1: Then they played on the road again in the game 173 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:20,080 Speaker 1: went under. It was two thirty though, and it went 174 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:23,760 Speaker 1: under by four. Knicks have been playing under teams on 175 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:25,800 Speaker 1: the road. They played Denver on the road two eight 176 00:09:25,840 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 1: and a half, went over by four points, Golden State 177 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 1: on the road to twelve went over by nineteen, but 178 00:09:30,640 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 1: Sacramento was two sixteen and a half, went under by 179 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:36,079 Speaker 1: twenty seven points, Portland to two and a half, and 180 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 1: the game still went under at four and a half. 181 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:43,400 Speaker 1: In the last four road games for the Knicks, against 182 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:46,200 Speaker 1: Cleveland on the road two eight and a half, the 183 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:48,719 Speaker 1: same total as tonight, went under by three and a 184 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:52,240 Speaker 1: half points, Philadelphia to twenty eight and a half, went 185 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:54,720 Speaker 1: under by twenty two and a half points, So you 186 00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:56,840 Speaker 1: get my drift. These last two games Golden State and 187 00:09:56,880 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 1: Denver kind of more indicative of the opponent than with 188 00:09:59,760 --> 00:10:02,319 Speaker 1: the ne have been doing. And seven straight unders. We're 189 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:04,319 Speaker 1: going to keep on betting the discipland this is the 190 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:06,720 Speaker 1: lowest total so far of all these two O nine 191 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:08,600 Speaker 1: may be the lowest point they're going to get to, 192 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 1: but I'm going to go under until they go over. 193 00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:14,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go under under two O nine Toronto and 194 00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:18,560 Speaker 1: the New York Knicks. Second bet in the NBA Clippers 195 00:10:18,600 --> 00:10:24,240 Speaker 1: are at Philadelphia. Clippers. Look, they're eighteen and eighteen on 196 00:10:24,280 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 1: the road this year. Ats, however seven and three over 197 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:31,080 Speaker 1: their last ten to the under, four and one over 198 00:10:31,080 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 1: the last five to the under. Last three have gone 199 00:10:34,960 --> 00:10:39,880 Speaker 1: under Philadelphia nineteen and seventeen to the over at home, 200 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 1: but Philadelphia has not been scoring a lot at home recently. 201 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:49,080 Speaker 1: Last two games at home did Sorry that's the ATS. Sorry, 202 00:10:49,080 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 1: hold on totals, we're looking for totals here. Sorry. Nineteen 203 00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 1: and sixteen, the Clippers flipped that around. Clippers have been 204 00:10:56,320 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 1: are seven and three to the over, nine one to 205 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 1: the under Philadelphia over their last ten, four and one 206 00:11:04,280 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 1: to the under over their last five. I apologize to 207 00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:09,240 Speaker 1: get those numbers mixed up. That was ats, not under. 208 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:12,640 Speaker 1: This is the over under numbers nineteen sixteen and one 209 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:15,960 Speaker 1: Clippers to the under on the year, nine and one 210 00:11:16,040 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 1: to the under for Philadelphia eighteen and eighteen this season. 211 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 1: But lately, my goodness gracious at home, Miami under by 212 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:27,120 Speaker 1: seventeen and a half points, two six and a half, 213 00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:29,240 Speaker 1: Charlotte two oh nine and a half under by two 214 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 1: and a half, New Orleans two twenty two under by 215 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:37,559 Speaker 1: twenty four points. Memphis did go over and Charlotte went over. 216 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 1: About Milwaukee, Cleveland, New York, and Miami all went under. 217 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:45,640 Speaker 1: The only game so far in the month of March 218 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 1: that well, let's see, since the eighth of March, only 219 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:53,319 Speaker 1: one game has gone over. That was against the Clippers 220 00:11:53,800 --> 00:11:57,040 Speaker 1: on the road two point fifteen went over by twelve 221 00:11:57,120 --> 00:11:59,920 Speaker 1: and a half points the last time these two teams played. 222 00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:03,160 Speaker 1: Now we're coming back to Philadelphia, even the Clippers have 223 00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:07,040 Speaker 1: gone over four straight games. I'm playing the under to 224 00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:09,480 Speaker 1: eighteen and a half in here. We're going to bet 225 00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:13,680 Speaker 1: the streak here. The Clippers not scoring that many points 226 00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:17,720 Speaker 1: in Philadelphia, playing better defense at home, not allowing the 227 00:12:17,720 --> 00:12:19,400 Speaker 1: Clippers to score their last game on the road again, 228 00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:22,400 Speaker 1: Sacramento two twenty and a half went under by sixteen 229 00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:26,960 Speaker 1: and a half points. So Charlotte, Miami, New Orleans. Last 230 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 1: three games all under at home for Philadelphia. Let's make 231 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 1: it four in a row under to eighteen and a 232 00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:34,920 Speaker 1: half for Philadelphia and the Clippers. Okay, so we're gonna 233 00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:37,600 Speaker 1: keep on playing these unders. I like playing the NBA unders. 234 00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:40,679 Speaker 1: It's just it's been a profitable angle for me over 235 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:42,960 Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks betting NBA unders. I know 236 00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:44,960 Speaker 1: it's not really all that fun to bet NBA unders. 237 00:12:45,000 --> 00:12:46,520 Speaker 1: Don't bet it or fade it, you know, bet the 238 00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:49,560 Speaker 1: overview want I may go one in one, you may 239 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:51,120 Speaker 1: go zero to two, you may guys go to and no, 240 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:53,160 Speaker 1: I'm not going to be offended here if you bet 241 00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:55,480 Speaker 1: the over on these games. It's the NBA. Look what 242 00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:57,679 Speaker 1: happened with the Bucks and the Lakers. A game was 243 00:12:57,720 --> 00:13:00,480 Speaker 1: handicapped perfectly and it flew over with the double overtime 244 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 1: because the Bucks suck. I can tell I'm mad about that. 245 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:06,480 Speaker 1: Over two oh nine Toronto in the Knicks under two 246 00:13:06,559 --> 00:13:09,720 Speaker 1: eighteen and a half. Philadelphia and the Clippers. Okay, to 247 00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 1: Opening Day let's start with the Pirates. In the Marlins 248 00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:15,480 Speaker 1: the total seven and a half in this game. Look 249 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:18,360 Speaker 1: at the Marlins are not going to score a lot 250 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 1: of runs. Okay, look at Fangrafts and the projection for 251 00:13:22,559 --> 00:13:25,760 Speaker 1: the Marlins offensively this year. They're predicted to score about 252 00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:30,840 Speaker 1: four point five runs per game. The Pirates are predicted 253 00:13:30,880 --> 00:13:34,120 Speaker 1: to score kind of the similar four point five runs 254 00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:35,599 Speaker 1: per game, but the Pirates are predicted to have a 255 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 1: negative thirty seven run differential. The Marlins are again predicted 256 00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:42,320 Speaker 1: to have a negative six run differential, totally being seven 257 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:43,600 Speaker 1: and a half. I think if you take a look 258 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 1: at the starting pitchers in this game and where I 259 00:13:47,559 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 1: think at home, Lozardo is going to be tremendous. He's 260 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:53,600 Speaker 1: been great at home. Mitch Keller hasn't been horrific for 261 00:13:53,679 --> 00:13:57,000 Speaker 1: the Pirates. All right. Neither one of these offenses can 262 00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:59,680 Speaker 1: really do very much, all right, Neither offense is really 263 00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:03,000 Speaker 1: built to score a lot of runs. In particular, early, 264 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:06,400 Speaker 1: the Marlins are gonna give up very few runs. Their 265 00:14:06,440 --> 00:14:09,120 Speaker 1: pitching staff is good, They're not gonna score very very 266 00:14:09,160 --> 00:14:12,320 Speaker 1: many runs. I'm going under seven and a half with 267 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:15,400 Speaker 1: Keller and Lozardo. I think it's something like a four 268 00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: to two final, something in that range between these two. 269 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 1: I don't expect the Pirates score a lot of runs, 270 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:23,000 Speaker 1: to expect the Marlins score a lot of runs, even 271 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:25,880 Speaker 1: though it is indoors. But it's March. The offenses are 272 00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:27,680 Speaker 1: gonna be sluggish coming out of the gate. We saw 273 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:30,480 Speaker 1: it in the first game for the Dodgers and the Padres. 274 00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:34,520 Speaker 1: Just unders in an opening day are normally a pretty 275 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 1: good play under seven and a half. Pirates and the 276 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:43,600 Speaker 1: Marlins on Thursday, opening Day one point one units. And 277 00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:47,080 Speaker 1: we're gonna go to a game that we played late 278 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:51,680 Speaker 1: night on the East Coast Diamondbacks against the Rockies. Kyle 279 00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:56,720 Speaker 1: Freelan was good early on the road last year. He 280 00:14:56,840 --> 00:14:59,600 Speaker 1: turned things around, and they're gonna need him desperately because 281 00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,920 Speaker 1: the rock aren't going to score on anyone. The Rockets 282 00:15:02,960 --> 00:15:06,000 Speaker 1: are projected of the worst offense in Major League Baseball. 283 00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:09,240 Speaker 1: They're protected to have a negative one hundred and ninety 284 00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:12,960 Speaker 1: four run differential this year. Rockets gonna be the worst 285 00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:17,520 Speaker 1: team in baseball easily. But Freeland wasn't bad to start 286 00:15:17,560 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 1: the year last year on the road against San Diego 287 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:24,120 Speaker 1: when he pitched on March thirty first. Sorry, March yeah, 288 00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:26,680 Speaker 1: March thirty first. They won the game four to one. 289 00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:29,080 Speaker 1: He had one earned run given. I'm sorry, no earn 290 00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:31,840 Speaker 1: runs given up, went six innings. Pitched really well on 291 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:34,960 Speaker 1: the road in April the second road, starting against Philadelphia, 292 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:37,800 Speaker 1: gave up four earned runs. They lost the game four 293 00:15:37,840 --> 00:15:40,920 Speaker 1: to three. But he wasn't horrible. On the Roe against Pittsburgh, 294 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:43,560 Speaker 1: gave up two earned runs and a two to nothing loss. 295 00:15:44,040 --> 00:15:46,480 Speaker 1: On there against Texas, he got touched up for five 296 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:48,960 Speaker 1: earned runs, but that was in May when things warm 297 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:51,920 Speaker 1: up in Texas. Okay, coming out of the gate, he 298 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 1: wasn't horrible. He was pretty decent. In the end of 299 00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 1: last year. M Kyle Freeland, he was an over machine 300 00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 1: un till he wasn't. I mean, at course, he gave 301 00:16:01,080 --> 00:16:02,840 Speaker 1: up a lot of runs, but on the road he 302 00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:07,040 Speaker 1: wasn't that bad pitching. You know, on the road against Arizona, 303 00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:10,360 Speaker 1: this team's facing on Thursday night three to two win. 304 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:12,800 Speaker 1: You have two earned runs and six innings. So the 305 00:16:12,800 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 1: bullpen's always the fear factor with the Rockies. But they're 306 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:17,800 Speaker 1: not at home. They're in Arizona, and it's early and 307 00:16:17,920 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 1: Arizona is going to be throwing their ace. And you know, 308 00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 1: Zach Gallen was tremendous last year, and Zach Gallen is 309 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:29,440 Speaker 1: expected to be even better. Diamondback's just got Jordan Montgomery, 310 00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 1: so you know they're riding high. They're fired up about 311 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 1: what they're going to do. You know, they're trying to 312 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:37,760 Speaker 1: contend with the Dodgers to be right there. But I mean, 313 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:39,960 Speaker 1: they want to get back to the postseason and they 314 00:16:40,000 --> 00:16:42,040 Speaker 1: want to show everybody that last year wasn't a fluke. 315 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 1: And look Zach Gallen drowing him out there. You know, 316 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:50,800 Speaker 1: Game one ace to to roll with a I don't 317 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 1: think he's going to give up many runs. Okay, I 318 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 1: definitely lean towards run line Diamondbacks, but I'm not betting 319 00:16:56,400 --> 00:16:59,480 Speaker 1: run line out of the gate. Okay, run line out 320 00:16:59,520 --> 00:17:01,760 Speaker 1: of gate line is probably the best play for the 321 00:17:01,800 --> 00:17:05,480 Speaker 1: Diamondbacks in that game. But I cannot recommend doing that 322 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:07,280 Speaker 1: out of the gate. It's just not something I could 323 00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:11,399 Speaker 1: feel really comfortable doing, just because seventeen and nine were 324 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:14,600 Speaker 1: a three point four to seven ERA last year for 325 00:17:14,800 --> 00:17:18,600 Speaker 1: Zach Gallen at home. He was tremendous in his first 326 00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:22,080 Speaker 1: started at home last year, seven innings, no earned runs 327 00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:24,760 Speaker 1: given up, in a three to nothing win over in Milwaukee. 328 00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:27,120 Speaker 1: He followed that up with a nine to nothing win 329 00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 1: against San Diego in a second start at home, where 330 00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:33,120 Speaker 1: they won the game nine nothing, seven innings, no earned runs. 331 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:37,200 Speaker 1: I don't think the Rockies score very much. I'm just 332 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:40,399 Speaker 1: wondering how many runs did that dimeback score. So I 333 00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:42,520 Speaker 1: would hate to have a one nothing lost an opening 334 00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:45,720 Speaker 1: day and you wind up losing the run line. But 335 00:17:45,760 --> 00:17:47,159 Speaker 1: I do think the run line's a good play. I 336 00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:49,119 Speaker 1: have a personal play on the run line for the 337 00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 1: for the Diamondbacks over the Rockies, but the official play 338 00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:54,000 Speaker 1: is going to be just going under eight and a 339 00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:57,359 Speaker 1: half for one point one units under eight and a 340 00:17:57,400 --> 00:18:02,160 Speaker 1: half Arizona and the diamond and the Rockies. All right, 341 00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:06,240 Speaker 1: So four bets. Two on Wednesday, Two on Thursday. Okay, 342 00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 1: Baseball's Tuesdays is Thursday. Basketball is tonight under two oh 343 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:13,040 Speaker 1: nine Toronto and the Knicks under to eighteen and a 344 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:19,320 Speaker 1: half Philadelphia and the Clippers Thursday under seven and a half, Pirates, Marlins, 345 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:25,240 Speaker 1: Diamondbacks and the Rockies under eight and a half on Thursday. 346 00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:27,359 Speaker 1: There may be more on Thursday, but those are our 347 00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:30,640 Speaker 1: first two bets for baseball and opening day four unders. 348 00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:32,120 Speaker 1: That might be a record for me. I'm not sure. 349 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:36,160 Speaker 1: I bet four unders before. But bet what you see right, 350 00:18:36,680 --> 00:18:40,160 Speaker 1: unders and dogs. It's got to where your eye goes 351 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:43,000 Speaker 1: to unders and dogs. Public bets favorites and overs. We're 352 00:18:43,000 --> 00:18:47,040 Speaker 1: betting unders and dogs. Sometimes it's really profitable, sometimes it's not. 353 00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:50,399 Speaker 1: Hasn't been great in the NAA tournament, that's for sure. 354 00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,040 Speaker 1: Min's map Paroll followed me across all socials at Sports 355 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 1: Talk Matt every morning. The Deal Juice podcast was being 356 00:18:56,080 --> 00:19:11,040 Speaker 1: brought to you by Omaha stakes dot Com