1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to today's edition of the Clay Travis and buck 2 00:00:03,400 --> 00:00:04,720 Speaker 1: Sexton Show podcast. 3 00:00:05,320 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 2: Welcome back an hour number two Clay Travis buck Sexton Show. 4 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 1: We welcome in now all of you. 5 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:13,360 Speaker 2: Hope you're having a fantastic Wednesday wherever you may be 6 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:16,920 Speaker 2: across the country. We're joined now by Nate Silver, who's 7 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 2: got a book out called On the Edge, which I 8 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:23,079 Speaker 2: have finished and read and really enjoyed. I also liked 9 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 2: his book. I think I'm correct in this, Nate. Your 10 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 2: prior book was The Signal and the Noise, which was 11 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:31,440 Speaker 2: about trying to use probability analysis. I don't know if 12 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:35,240 Speaker 2: you remember this, but we have met in person out 13 00:00:35,280 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 2: in Vegas. You love playing poker. I have recognized that 14 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:42,240 Speaker 2: I am not good enough at math in real time 15 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:44,519 Speaker 2: to be very good at poker. I just don't have 16 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 2: that skill set like a lot of great poker players do. 17 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 2: But what I love about your work is you try 18 00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 2: to use data and be rational in a world that 19 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 2: has become wildly irrational. It feels like every single day 20 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 2: I want to start with this. You became somewhat well known, 21 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 2: I would say, with your analysis and predictions of the 22 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 2: twenty twelve election but in the twelve years that you've 23 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:14,679 Speaker 2: been a public figure, and to a large degree since that, 24 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 2: do you think national discourse has gotten better or worse? 25 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 2: And if you think it's gotten worse, which I think 26 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,959 Speaker 2: most people would say that it has, are we starting 27 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 2: to get a little bit better now, or is the 28 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:30,760 Speaker 2: discourse continuing to get worse? How would you assess the 29 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:35,319 Speaker 2: broader picture of sort of the national character of debate 30 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:37,759 Speaker 2: in this country as we set two months from an election. 31 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:40,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, thank you, Clay. No, Look, I think over the 32 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:43,480 Speaker 3: course of this gosh, sixteen years had been covering politics, 33 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 3: it got pretty consistently worse. From two thousand and eight 34 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 3: when I started to twenty twenty, in the kind of 35 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 3: pandemic year where we had the racial reckoning and COVID 36 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:54,880 Speaker 3: all this stuff an election year. I think in the 37 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:57,080 Speaker 3: past four years it might have gotten a little bit better. 38 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 3: I think people have a little bit more of a 39 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 3: sense of humor. Interesting seeing Twitter go from being the 40 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 3: slipper platform to more conservative frankly under Elon, you know 41 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:08,600 Speaker 3: you see more independent content creators on platforms like substack, 42 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 3: where I have my newsletter s over Builton, for example. 43 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:13,360 Speaker 3: So I feel a little bit more optimistic. I suppose 44 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 3: not being in a huge pandemic is helpful at least. 45 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:19,400 Speaker 2: Okay, one of the big things that you write about 46 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 2: in your book is being willing to re examine your priors. 47 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:26,919 Speaker 2: That is, things that you believe. If there's data that suggests, hey, 48 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:29,640 Speaker 2: maybe I was wrong about this, going back and looking 49 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:31,640 Speaker 2: at it and being honest in the way that you 50 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 2: analyze that data. I agree. I think that's super important. 51 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:38,800 Speaker 2: What percentage of Americans do you think actually do that 52 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 2: in their day to day life? 53 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 3: Oh gosh, like you know, five percent or ten percent? 54 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:44,679 Speaker 3: About ninety percent of people are going to vote for 55 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 3: one party or another every single time. And look, it's hard. 56 00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:50,679 Speaker 3: It's hard to error, right, It's hard for me to 57 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:53,519 Speaker 3: do that too. The discipline of having a model or 58 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:56,080 Speaker 3: a process is that you follow some type of discipline 59 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:59,080 Speaker 3: in how you look at the world. But yeah, I 60 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:01,240 Speaker 3: can just kind of ping back and forth based on 61 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 3: the most recent conversation you had, then you won't be 62 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:06,000 Speaker 3: very well off. I mean, you can be driven crazy 63 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 3: by Twitter and social media. You know, when our forecast 64 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:12,200 Speaker 3: had Biden trailing Trump, people are like, oh, it is 65 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 3: Nate like a MAGA supporter. Now right, people I think 66 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:16,919 Speaker 3: can't separate out that some of us are actually curious 67 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:20,359 Speaker 3: about trying to make forecasts or you know, myopilitical preferences. 68 00:03:20,400 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 3: Probably they don't match your audience that much, Clay, But 69 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:24,800 Speaker 3: I'm trying to be at armslength and trying to be 70 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:25,840 Speaker 3: as accurate as I can be. 71 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:29,400 Speaker 2: Okay, So I've voted. I've said this before, I voted 72 00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 2: Democrat in the past. I'm going to vote Trump in 73 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 2: twenty twenty four. I Buck and I have debated this 74 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:38,120 Speaker 2: and talked about it quite a lot. How many people 75 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 2: do you think there are out there on a percentage 76 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 2: basis that are open to go from voting Trump sixteen 77 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:49,560 Speaker 2: Biden twenty and then going back to Trump in twenty four? 78 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 2: In other words, how many people are they really competing for, 79 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 2: particularly in the battleground states, if you were trying to 80 00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 2: assess what that number looks like, what are we basically 81 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 2: spending billion dollars to try to persuade How persuadable is 82 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 2: that audience? 83 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:07,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, Look, it's maybe ten percent of the electorate in 84 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 3: twenty percent of the states or tention of the states 85 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 3: that matters. So yeah, this billion dollars is being spent 86 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:16,719 Speaker 3: on one percent of the electorate. You've seen polarization increased 87 00:04:16,720 --> 00:04:18,359 Speaker 3: a lot. Although there is more split ticket voting. You 88 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 3: see it in Congress for example, people splitting between the 89 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:25,240 Speaker 3: Democrat for Congress and maybe a Trump vote. But yeah, look, 90 00:04:25,279 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 3: I in my life, I've certainly there's more of a 91 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 3: permission structure to use a fancy term to vote for 92 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:33,279 Speaker 3: Trump than in some groups Lakon Valley for example. But 93 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:35,599 Speaker 3: we're talking about you know, ninety plus percent people have 94 00:04:35,640 --> 00:04:36,679 Speaker 3: made their mind up already. 95 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 2: So when you look, we're talking tonight, Silver's got a 96 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 2: great new book out called On the Edge. When you 97 00:04:42,839 --> 00:04:47,800 Speaker 2: look at Elon Musk, RFK Junior and Tulsea Gabbard, I 98 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 2: would say that that in many ways my political evolution 99 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 2: mirrors what they've done. I was maybe a few years 100 00:04:54,040 --> 00:04:57,360 Speaker 2: ahead of them, and COVID accelerated it. Do you think 101 00:04:57,400 --> 00:05:00,919 Speaker 2: that those three obviously very big name and Elon Musk 102 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:03,720 Speaker 2: and given the fact that he owns Twitter, Tulci Gabbard, 103 00:05:03,839 --> 00:05:08,720 Speaker 2: RFK Junior, do they change anything in terms of your calculus. 104 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 2: I was reading in Axios that one way to connect 105 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:13,839 Speaker 2: those three people, and I think it connects with sort 106 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:17,320 Speaker 2: of my political worldview is that the First Amendment is 107 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 2: sort of the thing that matters the most to me, 108 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:21,960 Speaker 2: and so I'm going to vote for whoever I think 109 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:26,159 Speaker 2: is going to have the most robust, open policy for discussion, 110 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:28,640 Speaker 2: whether I agree or disagree with them. I think that's 111 00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 2: where a lot of the Trump support now is coming 112 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:35,839 Speaker 2: in Silicon Valley. Does RFK Junior, does Elon Musk, and 113 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 2: does Tulci Gabbard? To your point, give any cover for 114 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:43,559 Speaker 2: people who might be willing to consider Trump that haven't 115 00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 2: done it before. What's their impact? 116 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:48,679 Speaker 3: I mean, so RFK, we removed him from our model 117 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 3: this weekend. So far not much impact, but we're kind 118 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:54,040 Speaker 3: of taking a weight and see attitude. You might have 119 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:58,760 Speaker 3: Kamala Harris's convention bounce administrated by that though it was 120 00:05:58,760 --> 00:06:00,359 Speaker 3: only three four percent of the vote. I think the 121 00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 3: broadest thing here is, like you know, it's now conservatism, 122 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:08,360 Speaker 3: that's the anti establishment party, and in different flavors of it, right, 123 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:10,600 Speaker 3: not just the Trumpian flavor, but you see in those 124 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:12,479 Speaker 3: other you know, Elon Musk, for example, a guy that 125 00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 3: you know, one of the greatest founders of our time. 126 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:19,920 Speaker 3: And yeah, look I used to be again, I'm gonna 127 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:22,480 Speaker 3: I'm not gonna vote for Trump. I'll vote for Harris probably, 128 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:24,160 Speaker 3: but yeah, you know the free speech stuff. 129 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:26,520 Speaker 2: Let me let me pause you there, because I'm actually 130 00:06:27,160 --> 00:06:29,320 Speaker 2: I think you'd overlap with me on the free speech stuff. 131 00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:30,920 Speaker 2: But so you said you're not going to vote for Trump, 132 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 2: You're going to vote for Harris? What is harrisden? 133 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 3: Because I thought it was very irresponsible to nominate somebody 134 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 3: who was that old and clearly not capable of being president. 135 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:40,200 Speaker 4: For him, you. 136 00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:42,599 Speaker 2: Wouldn't you wouldn't have voted for Biden? Well, how would 137 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 2: you have voted if Biden Trump was going on? 138 00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:48,360 Speaker 3: Probably libertarian? Or see which other which other funky third 139 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 3: party candidates were on the ballot? Where in New York? 140 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 1: Okay? 141 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:51,680 Speaker 4: So relevant vote? 142 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 2: But yeah, I get it. You live in New York, right, 143 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 2: so you're I'm in Tennessee. It doesn't really matter who 144 00:06:56,360 --> 00:07:00,520 Speaker 2: I vote for, uh in terms of the presidential election, 145 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:02,760 Speaker 2: because my state's going to go for plus twenty. 146 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 1: What do you think Kamala Harris is going to do? 147 00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 4: Well? 148 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 2: You thought Biden was too old? I think there's people 149 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:08,920 Speaker 2: out there who would say, yeah, I agree with that. 150 00:07:09,279 --> 00:07:11,480 Speaker 2: Now you say, but you're willing to vote for Kamala, 151 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:13,560 Speaker 2: She's going to be sixty years old. She's you know, 152 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 2: twenty two years some odd younger than Biden. What attracts 153 00:07:17,920 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 2: you to Kamala? What do you think she's going to 154 00:07:20,200 --> 00:07:22,120 Speaker 2: do well or what do you think she's done well 155 00:07:22,200 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 2: in the past? Or is it just you're not willing 156 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:25,080 Speaker 2: to vote for Trump? 157 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:26,160 Speaker 4: Yeah? 158 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:31,120 Speaker 3: To me, some of the January sixth stuff was predisqualifying. Look, 159 00:07:31,160 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 3: I think she has shown some tendency to play for 160 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 3: the center. Yeah, there's something to be of flip flopping 161 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 3: there for sure. But Eric convention, the speech to talk 162 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:41,680 Speaker 3: about how he wanted like a lethal military and how 163 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:43,880 Speaker 3: we want to kick China's butt and things like that, 164 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 3: it was a very atypical speech for Democrats that spoke 165 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 3: to the center. And usually I watch speeches like at 166 00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 3: arms like I'm like, this is not speaking to me. 167 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:54,119 Speaker 3: I'm not a partisan Democrat whatever. But like she showed 168 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 3: some instincts there that I thought we're a little different. 169 00:07:56,800 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 3: And yeah, you're getting some flip flopping for sure, But 170 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:03,040 Speaker 3: but look, I mean, you know, with the January sixth stuff, 171 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:05,000 Speaker 3: that's kind of just an issue for me. In Biden's 172 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 3: age was also disqualifying. So now it's kind of process 173 00:08:07,080 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 3: of elimination. 174 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 5: I suppose. 175 00:08:08,840 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 2: Okay, I'm gonna give you a pass on that because 176 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 2: I don't see how anybody with a functional brain can 177 00:08:13,280 --> 00:08:15,760 Speaker 2: vote for Kamala, and you clearly have a functional brain. 178 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 2: But I want to dive into your modeling and the 179 00:08:18,960 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 2: battleground states. Here again talking to Nate Silver, who is 180 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:24,120 Speaker 2: smart despite the fact that he says he's going to 181 00:08:24,200 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 2: vote for Kamala. All right, so you have an interesting read. 182 00:08:27,320 --> 00:08:32,360 Speaker 2: I was reading it North Carolina and Georgia to southern states. 183 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,720 Speaker 2: They did not move in tandem all the time. They 184 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 2: went in different directions in twenty twenty. My thesis is 185 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:42,800 Speaker 2: Trump's gonna win North Carolina and Georgia. I think that 186 00:08:42,880 --> 00:08:45,640 Speaker 2: he is. That's what the betting markets would show right now. 187 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:49,640 Speaker 2: How connected are they in your analysis? Do you like 188 00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:53,800 Speaker 2: Kamala's chances in North Carolina more than Georgia vice versa. 189 00:08:53,880 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 2: How likely are they to move together in your mind? 190 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, Look, we have Trump as a modest favorite about 191 00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 3: sixty to forty in both states. She's actually polling better 192 00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 3: in North Carolina, which might be a bit counterintuitive, but 193 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:07,680 Speaker 3: keep in mind that in two thousand and eight brock 194 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:11,800 Speaker 3: Obama one North Carolina and not Georgia. You have a 195 00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:14,480 Speaker 3: very popular GP governor in Georgia, although not one that 196 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:18,600 Speaker 3: Trump gets along with terribly well. The guy identical. North 197 00:09:18,640 --> 00:09:22,640 Speaker 3: Carolina has a substantially larger white population, although they're both 198 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 3: quite diverse. We had seen Biden's numbers frankly collapse Creater 199 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:31,520 Speaker 3: with younger voters of color, younger Black voters, younger Hispanic voters. 200 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 3: Harris has gotten about half of that back, So she's 201 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:37,280 Speaker 3: competitive in these states. But you actually have some degree 202 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 3: of racial depolarization in the country, which, other things being equal, 203 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:42,719 Speaker 3: I think is probably a healthy thing. 204 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:46,760 Speaker 2: Okay, So the other states that I think are most 205 00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 2: fascinating clearly what I call the Big ten states, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin. 206 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:55,400 Speaker 2: They all moved together in sixteen. Trump won them all, 207 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:58,800 Speaker 2: Biden won them all in twenty twenty. What are the 208 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 2: chances that they move together in your mind in twenty 209 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:05,400 Speaker 2: four and how would you assess them state by state 210 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,680 Speaker 2: in terms of the odds that Trump would win. Because 211 00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:11,920 Speaker 2: if I'm right, and if your analysis is right, if 212 00:10:11,960 --> 00:10:16,240 Speaker 2: Trump wins North Carolina and he wins Georgia, the easiest 213 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:18,880 Speaker 2: way for Trump to win the election is to win Pennsylvania, 214 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 2: and it's over. And it doesn't even matter what happens 215 00:10:21,280 --> 00:10:24,360 Speaker 2: in Nevada, Arizona, Michigan, or Wisconsin. He would have their 216 00:10:24,400 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 2: requisite electoral votes. So how would you assess those three 217 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:30,319 Speaker 2: states chances they move together? Where does Trump have the 218 00:10:30,360 --> 00:10:32,320 Speaker 2: best chance? Where does Kamala have the best chance? 219 00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:34,679 Speaker 3: Yeah, and they do tend to vote together, as Hillary 220 00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 3: Clinton learned the hard way in twenty sixteen. You know, 221 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:40,319 Speaker 3: of the three, Pennsylvania's the one where I mean, look, 222 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 3: Tamo Harris has been a good in a good period 223 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 3: for the polls, but Pennsylvania has been still a toss up, 224 00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:48,840 Speaker 3: a photo finish. There's a chance to regret not picking 225 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 3: Josh Shapiro. Tim Wallace has been effective in some ways. 226 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:53,960 Speaker 3: But look, I'm a maths guy, and I'm like, yeah, 227 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 3: I want with electoral votes if I were hear, probably 228 00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 3: they are different tuctors in each state. You see in Michigan, 229 00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:03,000 Speaker 3: for example, has a larger Palestinian Arab American population. I 230 00:11:03,040 --> 00:11:05,719 Speaker 3: think Democrats are fortunate that the Gaza issue seems to 231 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:08,360 Speaker 3: have been diffused quite a bit. You know, Wisconsin's more 232 00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 3: world than the other two Pennsylvania is kind of northeastern 233 00:11:10,800 --> 00:11:12,880 Speaker 3: in the city, midwestern, so there are subtle, little differences, 234 00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 3: but you know ninety percent of time they'll vote as 235 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:15,960 Speaker 3: a block basically. 236 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:18,840 Speaker 2: And which one do you like Trump's chances in the 237 00:11:18,880 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 2: best of those three based on your modeling? 238 00:11:21,600 --> 00:11:25,040 Speaker 3: I think Pennsylvania. I mean, you know, we've just seen 239 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 3: that consistently poll as a TSSA. You know, Harris plus one, 240 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:32,360 Speaker 3: Trump plus one, whereas Harris been ahead recently in most 241 00:11:32,400 --> 00:11:33,600 Speaker 3: polls of Michigan Wisconsin. 242 00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 2: If you had to pick one state that you could 243 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 2: know the exact results for and forecast based on that 244 00:11:40,520 --> 00:11:42,319 Speaker 2: to twenty twenty four, would. 245 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:44,120 Speaker 1: It be Pennsylvania? Is that the one that you would 246 00:11:44,160 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 1: want to have the data for. 247 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:48,439 Speaker 3: Yeah, Look, all you tell me is Harris went Pennsylvania 248 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:51,439 Speaker 3: or Trump when Pennsylvania? Could you know predict with ninety 249 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:53,400 Speaker 3: some percent accuracy it was going in the electoral college. 250 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 3: That's that's It's a lot of electoral votes. It's a 251 00:11:56,120 --> 00:11:59,079 Speaker 3: very democratic, democratic representative state. You got rural areas and 252 00:11:59,440 --> 00:12:02,880 Speaker 3: a big city in suburbs, et cetera decent sized black population. 253 00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 3: So that's the biggest circle on the map. 254 00:12:05,880 --> 00:12:08,560 Speaker 2: Okay, you have it almost dead even I think right now, 255 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:11,880 Speaker 2: fifty to fifty in your forecast, Trump was ahead, Kamal 256 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:14,720 Speaker 2: has got a small lead right now. Is it fair 257 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:16,760 Speaker 2: to say that based on what we've seen from the 258 00:12:16,760 --> 00:12:19,160 Speaker 2: polls so far? And my suspicion is that they're waiting 259 00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:21,640 Speaker 2: to give us a lot of poles after Labor Day 260 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:24,719 Speaker 2: and so we're going to get an inflection of a 261 00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:27,120 Speaker 2: new data then. But is it fair to say that 262 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:31,160 Speaker 2: we haven't seen any kind of real substantial Kamala Harris 263 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:35,480 Speaker 2: convention bounce as would typically occur historic or are the 264 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 2: convention bounces more of something that isn't as much of 265 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:41,040 Speaker 2: a function anymore because so many people have already made 266 00:12:41,120 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 2: up their mind. 267 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:45,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, between the twenty four seven news cycle and partsnship, 268 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:47,320 Speaker 3: they're less profoundly used to be. I mean, you know, 269 00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:49,679 Speaker 3: poles are showing, we're showing about it one and a 270 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:52,120 Speaker 3: half or two point bounce so far. You're right, by 271 00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:54,199 Speaker 3: the way, Clay that like the timings weird. We have 272 00:12:54,280 --> 00:12:56,320 Speaker 3: Labor Day coming up, we had RFK. I'm sure some 273 00:12:56,360 --> 00:12:59,000 Speaker 3: people tossed out their polls because they tested RFK. He 274 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:02,560 Speaker 3: won't officially be a catly some states look if you 275 00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 3: have an election today, then Harris would be the favorite, 276 00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 3: a big favorite. We have all seen elections where the 277 00:13:08,000 --> 00:13:11,280 Speaker 3: polls are off by quite a bit. But our model 278 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:13,800 Speaker 3: thinks that when you get to November it'll tighten back 279 00:13:13,880 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 3: up again. Look, I think Trump has not been on 280 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:18,920 Speaker 3: his a game recently, but you have a debate, you 281 00:13:18,960 --> 00:13:21,440 Speaker 3: have other things to shake up and learn from. It's 282 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:23,839 Speaker 3: a bit like if you have the backup quarterback come 283 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:25,400 Speaker 3: in and he's like a scrambler and not like a 284 00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:29,160 Speaker 3: downfield passer, and you need some adjust period. But but look, 285 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:32,400 Speaker 3: we know that American elections are very close. We know 286 00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:35,200 Speaker 3: also that if the popular vote is a tie, then 287 00:13:35,280 --> 00:13:37,319 Speaker 3: probably Republicans win, So they have a couple of it's 288 00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:39,640 Speaker 3: a big ace in the hole. We're talking about strategy 289 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:40,120 Speaker 3: down the road. 290 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:42,599 Speaker 1: All right, last question for you, I'd encourage you to 291 00:13:42,679 --> 00:13:43,319 Speaker 1: check out the book. 292 00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:45,400 Speaker 2: I read it. I really enjoyed it. On The Edge, 293 00:13:45,400 --> 00:13:47,600 Speaker 2: Signal and the Noise also a really good read. If 294 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 2: you're looking for something and you're a data probabilistic guy 295 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:57,080 Speaker 2: who is more rational sports fans for political junkies, who 296 00:13:57,160 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 2: is a more rational group? 297 00:14:00,160 --> 00:14:02,040 Speaker 3: Fans by far right, I mean you can see a 298 00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 3: field goal like joint off the crossbar, or you know, 299 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:08,320 Speaker 3: a sharply hit baseball that gets caught by the shortstop. Yeah, 300 00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:11,000 Speaker 3: there's not this grievance. I mean there's some. You know, 301 00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:12,520 Speaker 3: I'm kind of a New York Knicks fan now, so 302 00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:14,240 Speaker 3: you see some grievance of the Knicks fans. But I 303 00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 3: think sports fans tend to have a sense of humor 304 00:14:17,320 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 3: that is often lacking in the political sphere. 305 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 2: Also, sports fans are constantly willing to re examine their 306 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:26,040 Speaker 2: priors when it comes to a coach, when it comes 307 00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:29,360 Speaker 2: to a player. Sports fans innately embrace data, right. I mean, 308 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 2: if youve got Aaron Judge hitting fifty one home runs 309 00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:34,200 Speaker 2: in New York City and you didn't think he was 310 00:14:34,240 --> 00:14:35,800 Speaker 2: going to have a good year, I mean, the data 311 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:38,120 Speaker 2: comes out and you have to adjust. It seems to 312 00:14:38,160 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 2: me that sports fans are, by the way, crazy, but 313 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 2: more rational than political diehards. 314 00:14:44,720 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 4: Yeah. 315 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,160 Speaker 3: To be confronted with the reality check one hundred and 316 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:48,960 Speaker 3: six two times a year in Major League Baseball or 317 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 3: seventeen times a year in the NFL instead of once 318 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:53,560 Speaker 3: every four years, it just kind of makes you adjust 319 00:14:53,880 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 3: to reality a lot more. 320 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:55,240 Speaker 4: Rapidly. 321 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 2: Nate, I appreciate the time. Again, the book on the edge, 322 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 2: good luck with it. Appreciate you giving us the time. 323 00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:03,480 Speaker 2: I think people will enjoy it, and I'd encourage signal 324 00:15:03,520 --> 00:15:04,320 Speaker 2: and the noise as well. 325 00:15:05,280 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 3: Of course, thank you, Clay. 326 00:15:06,520 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 2: I got lots of good things to say. You almost 327 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 2: killed them all by saying you're voting for Kamala by 328 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:12,160 Speaker 2: the way, but I appreciate the time. 329 00:15:13,280 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 3: Thanks man. 330 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:17,600 Speaker 2: It's Nate Silver, super smart guy. His forecast fun to 331 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:21,200 Speaker 2: watch and look at. Among many other outlets out there, 332 00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 2: I find that he is rational in a way that 333 00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:26,320 Speaker 2: few people are very often rational. 334 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 1: By the way, we'll take some of your calls. Eight 335 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:28,920 Speaker 1: hundred and two two two eight a two. 336 00:15:29,400 --> 00:15:31,360 Speaker 2: We're going to be joined by Jim Jordan to talk 337 00:15:31,400 --> 00:15:34,280 Speaker 2: about this big Facebook story that much of the media 338 00:15:34,400 --> 00:15:38,040 Speaker 2: is ignoring. That letter from Mark Zuckerberg was addressed directly 339 00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:40,600 Speaker 2: to Congressman Jim Jordan of Ohio. We'll talk with him next. 340 00:15:40,640 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 2: But I want to tell you we've got a lot 341 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 2: of hunters out there in this audience. If you're one 342 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:45,720 Speaker 2: of them, let me tell you about Bear Creek Arsenal. 343 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 2: They've been in the business for more than two decades 344 00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:51,720 Speaker 2: manufacturing great products at an incredible value. Buck loves the 345 00:15:51,760 --> 00:15:54,240 Speaker 2: company has a ton of their firearms. You've heard him 346 00:15:54,280 --> 00:15:57,480 Speaker 2: talk about the performance quality but also the price points. 347 00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:00,320 Speaker 1: I'm going to be down in Miami in a few weeks. 348 00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 2: We're gonna go out and try out many of their 349 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:05,920 Speaker 2: arsenal and Bear Creek has eliminated the middleman. You get 350 00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:08,480 Speaker 2: the benefit of those savings. You can save even more 351 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:12,200 Speaker 2: when you use my name Clay as the discount code 352 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 2: at bear creekarsenal dot com. Again, we're gonna spend a 353 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 2: day out on the range. I can't wait to check 354 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 2: all this stuff out and add it to my own 355 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:23,560 Speaker 2: personal arsenal. You can learn more about Bear Creek Arsenal 356 00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 2: at bear Creek arsenal dot com. Remember discount code Clay. 357 00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 2: That's Bearcreek Arsenal dot com. My name Clay. Ike in 358 00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 2: California's fired up about the Nate Silver interview. Mike, what 359 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 2: you got for me? 360 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:45,040 Speaker 4: Yeah? How you doing, Clay? 361 00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 5: I don't know how you can even trust that guy. 362 00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 5: He's a full on partisan. I know the book is 363 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 5: good and everything, but you know what. 364 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:53,920 Speaker 4: All he did was say that he looked at facts 365 00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:55,200 Speaker 4: and numbers and everything. 366 00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 5: Else, and then said he's gonna vote for Kamala Harrison. 367 00:16:57,520 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 5: He doesn't even know what she stands for. 368 00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:03,040 Speaker 2: But if you heard me, ask him, I will say, 369 00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:08,080 Speaker 2: right now, his forecast is fifty one point five percent 370 00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:13,320 Speaker 2: Kamala wins, forty eight point three percent Trump wins. And 371 00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:17,639 Speaker 2: of anybody out there in twenty twenty, he had the 372 00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:21,800 Speaker 2: highest probability that Trump would win. When everybody else was 373 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:25,600 Speaker 2: running around saying ninety seven percent chance that Hillary was 374 00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:27,679 Speaker 2: going to win, he was saying there was about a 375 00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:29,480 Speaker 2: third of a chance that Trump was going to win. 376 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:31,679 Speaker 1: So I think his forecast model. 377 00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:35,240 Speaker 5: They knew that ninety seven percent was fake. If anything, 378 00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:38,320 Speaker 5: it was maybe sixty forty. But everybody knew that she 379 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:40,640 Speaker 5: wasn't going to get ninety seven percent of the vote. 380 00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 2: No, no, no, ninety seven percent chance that she won, not 381 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:46,080 Speaker 2: that she was going to get ninety seven percent of 382 00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:47,879 Speaker 2: the vote. That's what thanks for the call, by the way, 383 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:51,320 Speaker 2: that's what the New York Times forecast said. I think 384 00:17:51,359 --> 00:17:54,080 Speaker 2: you have to challenge your priors. That's a big part 385 00:17:54,080 --> 00:17:55,760 Speaker 2: of his book. I would encourage you guys to read 386 00:17:55,760 --> 00:18:00,960 Speaker 2: it and when you consider other options, what I find 387 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:04,639 Speaker 2: is that your opinions end up stronger. This is why 388 00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:07,840 Speaker 2: I think that Ron DeSantis wiped the floor to such 389 00:18:07,840 --> 00:18:12,400 Speaker 2: an extent with Gavin Newsom, because Gavin Newsom didn't have 390 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:16,160 Speaker 2: any actual arguments in his back pocket. Because the media 391 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:18,119 Speaker 2: is so biased in his favor. You got to challenge 392 00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:20,520 Speaker 2: your priors. That makes you stronger. We'll talk more about that, 393 00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:23,560 Speaker 2: but I want to tell you Pure Talk. My soon 394 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:25,120 Speaker 2: to be fourteen year old is gonna get a Pure 395 00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:28,240 Speaker 2: Talk phone. My sixteen year old already has one. I 396 00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:31,240 Speaker 2: trust Puretalk to keep me in touch with my kids 397 00:18:31,600 --> 00:18:34,480 Speaker 2: and also save me a bundle. You can do the same, 398 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,280 Speaker 2: keep the same phone, same phone number, save up to 399 00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:40,480 Speaker 2: one thousand dollars a year. Why wouldn't you trust them 400 00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:44,119 Speaker 2: to save you a bundle? Two pound two five zero. 401 00:18:44,320 --> 00:18:47,920 Speaker 2: Make the switch today to Puretalk. That is pound two 402 00:18:48,160 --> 00:19:01,240 Speaker 2: five zero Puretalk. Do it today. Made Silver on Twitter 403 00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:02,879 Speaker 2: getting a lot of hate for saying that he's going 404 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:06,119 Speaker 2: to vote for kamalas He's a smart guy making a 405 00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:09,439 Speaker 2: very bad choice. But where I'll give him credit is 406 00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:13,600 Speaker 2: I don't mind when people tell you what they're gonna do, 407 00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:17,120 Speaker 2: and then you can assess how to weigh their opinion 408 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:21,000 Speaker 2: based on that. What I am bothered by is Dana 409 00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:24,000 Speaker 2: Bash is going to sit down and interview Kamala Harris 410 00:19:24,040 --> 00:19:29,000 Speaker 2: and Tim Walls tomorrow, and after that interview, she's gonna say, 411 00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:33,000 Speaker 2: you know, I don't really have partisan leanings. I'm a journalist. 412 00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:36,760 Speaker 2: I'm right down the middle. I don't ever make decisions 413 00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:41,120 Speaker 2: based on what might be my own biases. I am 414 00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:45,440 Speaker 2: completely right down the middle. And it's a lie. I've 415 00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:49,120 Speaker 2: told people my whole career in media. When I started 416 00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:52,720 Speaker 2: writing an O four, I told people every election, Hey, 417 00:19:52,800 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 2: this is who I'm voting for. You don't have to 418 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:58,960 Speaker 2: agree at all, but I think you should be able 419 00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:01,480 Speaker 2: to understand where I'm coming from. And if you think 420 00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 2: I'm biased or you think I'm not being honest, all 421 00:20:04,840 --> 00:20:07,560 Speaker 2: I can do is tell you what I'm doing. And 422 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:09,320 Speaker 2: I did the same thing during COVID. I'm like, hey, 423 00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:11,359 Speaker 2: I'm putting my kids back in school. My kids aren't 424 00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:15,160 Speaker 2: wearing masks, I'm not getting them shots. To me, what 425 00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:18,560 Speaker 2: you do in your own life tells us way more 426 00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:20,879 Speaker 2: than what you say. I didn't get the COVID shot. 427 00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 2: I told everybody, and I think actually Nate Silver knows 428 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:30,280 Speaker 2: that Kamala is a joke. I think because he works 429 00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:32,800 Speaker 2: in media and lives in New York City, he's not 430 00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 2: willing to cross the bridge and vote for Trump. Because 431 00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:38,719 Speaker 2: I'll tell you, when I came out and said I 432 00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:41,960 Speaker 2: was voting for Trump in sports media, people said, you 433 00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:45,600 Speaker 2: just lit the bridge on fire behind you. You can't 434 00:20:45,640 --> 00:20:48,840 Speaker 2: work in sports media anymore. When twenty twenty, when I 435 00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:51,880 Speaker 2: did that, I was the only person. I think I'm 436 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:55,199 Speaker 2: still the only person who talked about sports for a 437 00:20:55,240 --> 00:21:00,280 Speaker 2: living that publicly said I'm voting for Donald Trump. Jim 438 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:04,119 Speaker 2: Jordan's with us now. Jim, I appreciate you coming on 439 00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:07,159 Speaker 2: with us. You went through some of those fires with me. 440 00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:09,280 Speaker 2: You would come on the Sports Show back in the day. 441 00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:13,399 Speaker 2: You're a huge sports fan. Isn't it incredible that not 442 00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:17,480 Speaker 2: one single person who works at ESPN has ever said, Hey, 443 00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:18,840 Speaker 2: I'm voting for Trump publicly. 444 00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:25,040 Speaker 4: No, that's today's sports world, today's media world. I think 445 00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:27,640 Speaker 4: what's interesting too, is that it's sticking with a sports analogy. 446 00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:30,359 Speaker 4: Is I think we're now getting past the pep rally 447 00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:32,520 Speaker 4: stage and we're getting into the game. You know, for 448 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:35,680 Speaker 4: third thirty seven thirty eight days, it's been one giant 449 00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:38,200 Speaker 4: pep rally, all kicks and giggles, but I learned a 450 00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:39,720 Speaker 4: long time ago in the sport I was involved in. 451 00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:41,240 Speaker 4: The pep rally is great. At some point you got 452 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:41,680 Speaker 4: to step. 453 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:41,880 Speaker 5: On the mat. 454 00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:44,119 Speaker 4: You gotta prove it, yep. And now it's time to 455 00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:45,520 Speaker 4: get to the facts and the issues. 456 00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:46,120 Speaker 3: And we've got this. 457 00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:49,560 Speaker 4: Debate and we'll see what happens there. I have a 458 00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 4: pretty good feeling that President Trump, who does great in 459 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:54,200 Speaker 4: these debates, and Jade bands are going to win when 460 00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 4: they go up against the Vice president and Governor Wallas. 461 00:21:57,440 --> 00:21:58,800 Speaker 2: I agree with you, and let me give you some 462 00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:01,199 Speaker 2: credit here. You and I, I believe, met for the 463 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:04,840 Speaker 2: first time in twenty twenty one in person when I 464 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:10,120 Speaker 2: came and spoke at a subcommittee hearing dealing with Yeah, 465 00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:12,600 Speaker 2: it was fun, but it was important too, dealing with 466 00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:15,600 Speaker 2: the way that Facebook can rig traffic. And I don't 467 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:17,639 Speaker 2: know how well you remember that, but I certainly remember 468 00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:20,080 Speaker 2: it well because I lived it. With my business. We 469 00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,560 Speaker 2: wrote a bunch of positive things about Donald Trump after 470 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:25,920 Speaker 2: he came on my show, and our site traffic vanished 471 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:30,120 Speaker 2: on Facebook and it was an algorithmic move. They punished 472 00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:34,080 Speaker 2: us for writing too positively about Trump and what we're 473 00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:36,120 Speaker 2: now saying. I got to give you a minse credit here. 474 00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:40,640 Speaker 2: The letter that Mark Zuckerberg wrote to you that came 475 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:44,600 Speaker 2: out what Monday afternoon is one of the most jaw 476 00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:47,879 Speaker 2: dropping admissions that I have ever seen anyone. 477 00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:48,560 Speaker 1: In big tech make. 478 00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:52,680 Speaker 2: And it was so incredible that The New York Times 479 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:55,320 Speaker 2: is pretending it doesn't exist. I was talking to my 480 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:58,040 Speaker 2: audience earlier. I read the New York Times this morning. 481 00:22:58,080 --> 00:23:00,280 Speaker 2: I read it yesterday print edition of the news paper 482 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:02,359 Speaker 2: delivered to my house. They don't have a single article 483 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:05,479 Speaker 2: about Zuckerberg admitting that he was lied to by the FBI, 484 00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:10,000 Speaker 2: about the Hunter Biden laptop, or about the censorship attempts 485 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,440 Speaker 2: from the Biden White House. So my question, first of all, 486 00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:15,400 Speaker 2: incredible work by you to get that letter written. Why 487 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:16,719 Speaker 2: did Mark Zuckerberg write it? 488 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:18,320 Speaker 1: Now? What do you think his motivations were? 489 00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:22,560 Speaker 4: Well, because we've deposed over a dozen Facebook employees, we 490 00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:26,040 Speaker 4: had a year and a half investigation. We've deposed from deposeder, 491 00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:28,080 Speaker 4: interviewed line level people all the way up to Sir 492 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,520 Speaker 4: Nick Clegg, the Number three guy, former Deputy Prime Minister, 493 00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:33,040 Speaker 4: Great Grid, number three guy Meta, and I think at 494 00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:35,240 Speaker 4: some point he just said, look, this needs to be 495 00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:37,240 Speaker 4: over with. We're gonna We're just gonna come clean and 496 00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:39,760 Speaker 4: save the fact. And if you've been that letter, there 497 00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:42,639 Speaker 4: were four key key things he pointed out. One Biden 498 00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:46,920 Speaker 4: Harris administration pressure Facebook to censor. Two they did censor. 499 00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:51,480 Speaker 4: Three they throttled back the Hunter Biden laptop story. And 500 00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:53,280 Speaker 4: then the fourth big point, which I think is really 501 00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:56,159 Speaker 4: important as well, he said, no more Zuckerbocks, no more 502 00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 4: spending on these elections like we did back in twenty twenty. 503 00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 4: But I think the reason they did is because our 504 00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 4: team and it didn't. It wasn't just you know, it 505 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:06,359 Speaker 4: was our committee, it was our staff. We worked hard 506 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,440 Speaker 4: on this over the last year, and God bless Elon 507 00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:10,960 Speaker 4: Musk who came forward and provided sort of the catalyst 508 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:12,639 Speaker 4: for this with the Twitter files, because then it was 509 00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:15,680 Speaker 4: the Facebook files, the YouTube files, all this stuff we did, 510 00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:19,040 Speaker 4: but specifically with Meta, it was we deposed over a 511 00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:22,680 Speaker 4: dozen people. They saw, we have the transcripts that point 512 00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:25,399 Speaker 4: all this out, how government was working with them, and 513 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:26,879 Speaker 4: I think he just said, let's just put it in a 514 00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:28,200 Speaker 4: letter and hopefully get this thing over with. 515 00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:33,000 Speaker 2: FBI got the Hunter Biden laptop in December of twenty nineteen. 516 00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:37,840 Speaker 2: They were telling Twitter and Facebook in the late fall, 517 00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:41,199 Speaker 2: right before the twenty twenty election, that they thought this 518 00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:42,920 Speaker 2: was going to be Russian disinformation. 519 00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:44,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, Congressman, are. 520 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:48,240 Speaker 2: We ever going to know who ordered that code red 521 00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:52,240 Speaker 2: inside of our government? And here's what I'm troubled by. 522 00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:54,040 Speaker 2: I mean, one that rigged the election. I think you 523 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:56,560 Speaker 2: would probably agree with it because if the truth had 524 00:24:56,560 --> 00:24:59,960 Speaker 2: come out about the Hunter Biden laptop and Joe Biden's involvement, 525 00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:03,359 Speaker 2: all the different foreign millions of dollars pouring into the family, 526 00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:05,880 Speaker 2: Trump would have won. So I do think they rigged 527 00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 2: the election. They are just based on that individual story. 528 00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:12,280 Speaker 2: But if that person or those individuals did that in 529 00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:15,400 Speaker 2: twenty twenty, why wouldn't they try something similar in twenty 530 00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:15,880 Speaker 2: twenty four. 531 00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:18,280 Speaker 4: Well that's why this the timing this I think is 532 00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:20,359 Speaker 4: also important because we don't know what they may be 533 00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:23,479 Speaker 4: up to now. You're right, that came out on October fourteenth, 534 00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:25,560 Speaker 4: the New York Post story. I mean, we're just what 535 00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,000 Speaker 4: twenty some days before the most important election we have 536 00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:30,720 Speaker 4: for you know, President of United States, and they had 537 00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:33,719 Speaker 4: prebunked it all along. I mean, Shallenberger writes about this 538 00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:37,080 Speaker 4: in Twitter files TYBI the whole thing. So they had 539 00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:38,840 Speaker 4: prebunked this. But one of the guys we did interview 540 00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:41,040 Speaker 4: is a guy named Brady Olsen with the FBI, and 541 00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:43,040 Speaker 4: he told us that there was a meeting the day 542 00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:45,560 Speaker 4: the New York Post story comes out. The government, our 543 00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:48,000 Speaker 4: government just happened to be meeting with big tech companies 544 00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:50,760 Speaker 4: and the meeting with Twitter. Someone from Twitter asked, hey, 545 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:53,159 Speaker 4: is this true, this story because it didn't jibe with 546 00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,120 Speaker 4: what our government had been telling him that the whole 547 00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:59,159 Speaker 4: summer in early fall, And they said, is this true? 548 00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:02,480 Speaker 4: And someone said the laptop's reel That was quickly followed 549 00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:05,040 Speaker 4: up by another individual from the Justice Department says no 550 00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 4: further comment. And then they got their stories straight and 551 00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:10,040 Speaker 4: that they put out a statement to all tech companies 552 00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:12,800 Speaker 4: basically saying we have the laptop and we're not going 553 00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:15,480 Speaker 4: to say one way or the other. But initially someone 554 00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:18,000 Speaker 4: spilled the beans and then they quickly tried to say, 555 00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:19,600 Speaker 4: oh no, no, we're not going to talk about that, and 556 00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:22,359 Speaker 4: that's exactly what they did. So yeah, they pre bunked it, 557 00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:25,560 Speaker 4: and then when it happened. That's why Facebook and Twitter, 558 00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:27,679 Speaker 4: and these folks kind of did the the censoring that 559 00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:29,399 Speaker 4: they did of the laptop story, and as you and 560 00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:32,080 Speaker 4: I believe that had an impact on the election. Probably 561 00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:34,679 Speaker 4: when you're talking about such a small margin for Joe Biden, 562 00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:37,040 Speaker 4: probably changed the course of the election. 563 00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:39,400 Speaker 2: I think Trump would be in office. I don't think 564 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,200 Speaker 2: Ukraine would have gotten invaded. I don't think that Hamas 565 00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:44,320 Speaker 2: would have done what they did on October seventh. Certainly 566 00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:46,520 Speaker 2: we wouldn't have let over ten million people in the nation. 567 00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:49,159 Speaker 2: Inflation wouldn't have gone from one point four percent to 568 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:52,800 Speaker 2: nine percent, all of those things. Jim, I think our 569 00:26:52,920 --> 00:26:55,479 Speaker 2: direct result of the lies that were told from inside 570 00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:57,040 Speaker 2: our government to the big tech companies. 571 00:26:57,040 --> 00:26:57,600 Speaker 1: And I know this. 572 00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:01,119 Speaker 2: I don't know what your personal relationship is like, if any, 573 00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:03,399 Speaker 2: with Mark Zuckerberg, but I've said on this show, and 574 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:05,080 Speaker 2: I know you listened, so you may have heard it. 575 00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:08,639 Speaker 2: But it's easy to focus on the Zuckerbergs and the 576 00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:12,359 Speaker 2: Jack Dorsey's of the world at Twitter. But if the 577 00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:16,040 Speaker 2: FBI comes to you and says that Russian disinformation is coming, 578 00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:19,600 Speaker 2: and then a version of that comes out, it's natural 579 00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:23,160 Speaker 2: for them to have believed that it was Russian disinformation. 580 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:25,720 Speaker 2: A lot of the blame shifting on them to me 581 00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:29,120 Speaker 2: should instead be back on our intelligence agents in our 582 00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:32,320 Speaker 2: interior government for what they did not the tech guys. 583 00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:37,199 Speaker 4: No, exactly right, And you know the biggest problem is 584 00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:39,040 Speaker 4: government government pressuring him. 585 00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:39,840 Speaker 3: That's the real city. 586 00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:41,720 Speaker 4: Now. They us succumb to it. And it wasn't just 587 00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:45,160 Speaker 4: the laptop. Remember they censored other things as well. And 588 00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:48,479 Speaker 4: remember too, did this. You had a tweet last week 589 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:50,399 Speaker 4: that I thought was so good about RFK what he 590 00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:52,760 Speaker 4: said about President Trump and his endorsement. He made the 591 00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:54,760 Speaker 4: same statement in front of our committee because I invited 592 00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:56,639 Speaker 4: him in as a witness a year ago, and he 593 00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:59,560 Speaker 4: said the same thing. He said, the people who censor 594 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:02,119 Speaker 4: usually aren't the good guys in history. I'm paraphrase. He 595 00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:04,600 Speaker 4: said it better than that, but he said that in 596 00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:07,439 Speaker 4: our hearing as well, because he came in. And the 597 00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:09,520 Speaker 4: reason he is so far up about President Trump is 598 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:13,280 Speaker 4: this censorship industrial complex is ab and Tellenburger have called 599 00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:16,000 Speaker 4: it because they went after him. On day three of 600 00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:19,720 Speaker 4: the Biden Harris regime. There's an email from Clark Humphrey 601 00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:23,480 Speaker 4: to Twitter saying take down this tweet ASAP car company 602 00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:25,840 Speaker 4: working at the White House take down this tweet asap. 603 00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:28,280 Speaker 4: And it was a tweet from RFK Junior where he said, 604 00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:30,880 Speaker 4: Hank Aaron took the vaccine, Hank Karen passed away after 605 00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:33,320 Speaker 4: taking it. He was doing so to encourage black Americans 606 00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:36,119 Speaker 4: to get vaccinated. There's not one false statement in that tweet, 607 00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:37,840 Speaker 4: and yet they wanted him to take it down because 608 00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:39,760 Speaker 4: they didn't like what it was conveying. They didn't like 609 00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:43,040 Speaker 4: the context that this was this, you know, malinformation belowing 610 00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:45,960 Speaker 4: that our government was involved in. So this is big 611 00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:50,480 Speaker 4: stuff when our government is pressuring people to censor. Because, 612 00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:53,240 Speaker 4: as RFK Junior said, and you tweeted about it, the 613 00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:55,240 Speaker 4: good guys in history aren't the ones who are on 614 00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,320 Speaker 4: the censorship side, Jim. 615 00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,680 Speaker 2: When you look at the way that the New York Times, 616 00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:04,760 Speaker 2: the Washington Post, NPR, the usual suspects c in NMSNBC, 617 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:08,720 Speaker 2: the way they covered a few ad bys by Russia 618 00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:12,360 Speaker 2: on Facebook, which in the grand scheme of things, is 619 00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:15,320 Speaker 2: completely inconsequential. And I'm saying that as a media figure 620 00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:17,720 Speaker 2: who's run a media company. We bought a lot of 621 00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:20,720 Speaker 2: Facebook ads over the years. You have to spend millions 622 00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:24,600 Speaker 2: and millions of dollars, tens of millions, even hundreds of millions, 623 00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:27,520 Speaker 2: in order for your message to really get out. Russia 624 00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:29,800 Speaker 2: was testing and spending a few hundred dollars, maybe one 625 00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:32,600 Speaker 2: thousand dollars here and there. It was covered as if 626 00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:34,840 Speaker 2: those ad bys put Trump in the White House in 627 00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:38,800 Speaker 2: twenty sixteen. We spent years on that allegation. Given what 628 00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:42,560 Speaker 2: Mark Zuckerberg just admitted to, How wild is it if 629 00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:45,240 Speaker 2: you compare the amount of attention given to that twenty 630 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:48,760 Speaker 2: sixteen tiny ad buy with the censorship and also with 631 00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:51,520 Speaker 2: the government briefings that led to the censorship of the 632 00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:52,960 Speaker 2: Hunter Biden laptop story. 633 00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:57,440 Speaker 4: Not even close, not even close. And this is just 634 00:29:57,600 --> 00:30:00,400 Speaker 4: part of it. Remember three weeks ago, get two and 635 00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:05,280 Speaker 4: a half weeks ago, this organization GARM, This continues operation, 636 00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,960 Speaker 4: and this all stem from US doing an investigation. But 637 00:30:09,040 --> 00:30:11,280 Speaker 4: basically I really started when I when I was in 638 00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:14,520 Speaker 4: a meeting with Speaker McCarthy and Elon Musk, and I 639 00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:18,080 Speaker 4: remember Elon Musk, we were talking about garment, he said, and. 640 00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:20,200 Speaker 5: He was so right. We dug into this, but it 641 00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:21,160 Speaker 5: is so broad. 642 00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:22,840 Speaker 4: And yet they made a big deal out of a 643 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:24,080 Speaker 4: few what Russian. 644 00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:26,720 Speaker 5: Spots doing whatever they were doing and something other back 645 00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:28,360 Speaker 5: in twenty sixteen, and it. 646 00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:32,520 Speaker 4: Was nothing compared to what they're doing, to what they 647 00:30:32,600 --> 00:30:35,640 Speaker 4: did to you and OutKick, what they did to Fox News, 648 00:30:35,840 --> 00:30:38,280 Speaker 4: the Federalists, what they did the Daily Wire, Ben Shapiro. 649 00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:40,360 Speaker 4: We had been Shapiro in a testified about a month 650 00:30:40,360 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 4: and a half ago, and as a result of that 651 00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:47,760 Speaker 4: that hearing group them the Big advertised they fired their guy. 652 00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:49,560 Speaker 4: This is all part of this garm and everything else 653 00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:52,120 Speaker 4: was going on. So yeah, this is so much bigger. 654 00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:55,640 Speaker 4: But as you point out, the mainstream the big media 655 00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 4: doesn't really want to cover. 656 00:30:57,160 --> 00:30:59,280 Speaker 2: You're doing the Lord's work here. It's truly incredible to 657 00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:01,160 Speaker 2: see it all stacked together and how important it is 658 00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:04,680 Speaker 2: to fight the sensor censorship industrial complex inside a big 659 00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:08,160 Speaker 2: tech You talk to President Trump all the time. How 660 00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:10,160 Speaker 2: often I know you know JD. Vance well because he's 661 00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:13,920 Speaker 2: from Ohio where you are a congressman. How optimistic are 662 00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:16,120 Speaker 2: you about what you are seeing as we get close 663 00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,760 Speaker 2: to Labor Day weekend and the official kickoff in many 664 00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:22,160 Speaker 2: ways of the election season. What do you expect to see? 665 00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:24,440 Speaker 2: What is the president telling you? What should our audience know? 666 00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:27,120 Speaker 2: Based on your overview of the election. 667 00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:29,480 Speaker 4: Look, I listened to you and I and I actually 668 00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:31,880 Speaker 4: I think you you've nailed it. I'm optimistic like you are. 669 00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,680 Speaker 4: I think it is EBC, you know, economy, boarder crime. 670 00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:37,880 Speaker 4: I think I think we're now getting past the PEP 671 00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:40,280 Speaker 4: Rally's she and Tim Walls are going to do uhuh 672 00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:42,560 Speaker 4: the vice president Tim Wals is going to do an interview. Uh. 673 00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:45,880 Speaker 4: They're they're uh, they're going to have debates. You know 674 00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:48,080 Speaker 4: that there's a big difference between playing the game and 675 00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:51,240 Speaker 4: having the pep rally. I know at the pep rally 676 00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:52,720 Speaker 4: everyone's undefeated, but you've got. 677 00:31:52,600 --> 00:31:54,880 Speaker 5: To when we get to the facts, think about it. 678 00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:57,560 Speaker 5: In four years time, we went from a secure border 679 00:31:57,560 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 5: to no border. They just made the borders are their nominee. 680 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,280 Speaker 5: We went from safe streets to record crime. They made 681 00:32:02,320 --> 00:32:04,160 Speaker 5: the lady who was saying, let's bail out the rioters 682 00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:06,920 Speaker 5: in twenty twenty, they made her the nominee. We went 683 00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:08,560 Speaker 5: from two dollars gas to four dollar gas. 684 00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:10,920 Speaker 4: They made the person who said I'm against cracking as 685 00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:14,040 Speaker 4: their nominee. And we went from stable prices to record inflation. 686 00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:18,200 Speaker 4: And the lady who was for the inflation so called 687 00:32:18,200 --> 00:32:21,440 Speaker 4: inflation Reduction Act, which actually called it caused inflation. Voted 688 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:24,840 Speaker 4: for that, so that's their nominee. You can't run from 689 00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:28,560 Speaker 4: the facts and the issues, and at some point we're 690 00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:30,200 Speaker 4: going to get to that. I think it'll probably start 691 00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:33,440 Speaker 4: as a debate on the tent, but I feel good 692 00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:35,880 Speaker 4: about it. And the polling numbers, while they're close in 693 00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:38,520 Speaker 4: the seven swing states, they're much better now than they 694 00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:42,720 Speaker 4: were with Biden and McClinton. So I feel good. I 695 00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:44,040 Speaker 4: feel like the country is going to say, no, we 696 00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:45,840 Speaker 4: want to go back to the good policies we had 697 00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:46,960 Speaker 4: under President Trump. 698 00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:48,920 Speaker 1: Congressman, keep up the good work. 699 00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:50,760 Speaker 2: Look forward to meeting with you in person again at 700 00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:52,680 Speaker 2: some point, and anytime you want to come on, just 701 00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:53,160 Speaker 2: let us know. 702 00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:56,160 Speaker 4: All right, thanks, say take care, guys, we'll. 703 00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:59,560 Speaker 2: Do That's Congressman Jim Jordan of Ohio really doing incredible 704 00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:02,040 Speaker 2: work as it pertains to the impact of big tech, 705 00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:05,480 Speaker 2: censorship and more. The letter that Mark Zuckerberg wrote addressed 706 00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,440 Speaker 2: to him seismic and importance that we have spent a 707 00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:10,200 Speaker 2: lot of time talking on. It would not have happened 708 00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:12,040 Speaker 2: without the work of he as committee and his staff. 709 00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 2: Look right now, it's the end of summer. I am 710 00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:18,120 Speaker 2: headed down on Friday evening to go to the beach, 711 00:33:18,600 --> 00:33:22,080 Speaker 2: last trip to the beach with my family before the 712 00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:25,560 Speaker 2: fall officially gets underway. You're gonna take a bunch of pictures, 713 00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:27,640 Speaker 2: probably going to relive a lot of memories we've been 714 00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:29,200 Speaker 2: having with our family. I bet a lot of you 715 00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:30,680 Speaker 2: are going to do the same as you get ready 716 00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:32,800 Speaker 2: for this Labor Day weekend. You're gonna go out to 717 00:33:32,800 --> 00:33:34,880 Speaker 2: the lake. You're gonna have barbecues. You're gonna hang out 718 00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:37,239 Speaker 2: with your friends, your family, people that you hold and 719 00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:39,640 Speaker 2: cherish the most. How many times have you done that 720 00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:41,480 Speaker 2: in the past, and how many of those memories that 721 00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:44,720 Speaker 2: you created on those days the end of summer during 722 00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:47,760 Speaker 2: the course of the summer are old photos, old family 723 00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:52,000 Speaker 2: VHS tapes, old reels. Now's the time to preserve those 724 00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:54,680 Speaker 2: forever in a digital fashion. That's what Legacy Box does now. 725 00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:56,960 Speaker 2: In my mom's hometown at Chattanooga, Tennessee, where I spend 726 00:33:56,960 --> 00:33:58,800 Speaker 2: a lot of time over the years, these guys do 727 00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:02,160 Speaker 2: a phenomenal job of preserving your family memories forever, and 728 00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:05,920 Speaker 2: right now they're offering fifty five percent off their regular prices, 729 00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:08,600 Speaker 2: making the project all the more attractive. Think of the 730 00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:12,640 Speaker 2: hours of entertainment in your family's future and just preserving 731 00:34:12,680 --> 00:34:15,880 Speaker 2: your family's history and what that can mean. At legacybox 732 00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:21,040 Speaker 2: dot com slash clay for half off regular prices. That's 733 00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:24,680 Speaker 2: a legacybox dot com slash clay fifty five percent off. 734 00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:27,080 Speaker 2: Summer's coming to an end, but make sure that you 735 00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:31,360 Speaker 2: preserve your summer memories forever at legacybox dot com slash 736 00:34:31,400 --> 00:34:42,520 Speaker 2: clay for fifty five percent off. My thanks for Jim 737 00:34:42,640 --> 00:34:47,520 Speaker 2: Jordan and how great he was just there and for 738 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:50,520 Speaker 2: the work he's been doing. Because a lot of times 739 00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:54,080 Speaker 2: people say, Okay, what is the impact of let's say, 740 00:34:54,080 --> 00:34:56,759 Speaker 2: a Republican control of the House. I don't think a 741 00:34:56,760 --> 00:34:59,360 Speaker 2: lot of this information comes out if Republicans don't control 742 00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:02,759 Speaker 2: the House. And the decision of Mark Zuckerberg not to 743 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:06,920 Speaker 2: spend money in twenty twenty four and for him to 744 00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:10,560 Speaker 2: say publicly, hey, I'm not going to endorse in the 745 00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:13,759 Speaker 2: twenty twenty four race is actually a huge win for 746 00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:16,960 Speaker 2: Trump because I'll tell you this, if people say I'm 747 00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:20,400 Speaker 2: not endorsing, that often means I'm for Trump. 748 00:35:21,400 --> 00:35:22,920 Speaker 1: They are just a lot of people who are. 749 00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:27,080 Speaker 2: Not willing to actually take the next step and say yeah, 750 00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:30,759 Speaker 2: I'm voting for Trump. Patrick Mahomes, a quarterback of the 751 00:35:30,840 --> 00:35:32,719 Speaker 2: Kansasity Chiefs, did this recently. I don't know how many 752 00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:36,680 Speaker 2: of you saw. His wife, Brittany liked a Trump post 753 00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:41,120 Speaker 2: on Instagram and got absolutely savaged for it. She refused 754 00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:45,600 Speaker 2: to apologize, but Patrick Mahomes came out and said, I'm 755 00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:48,480 Speaker 2: not going to endorse in the twenty twenty four race. Well, 756 00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:51,920 Speaker 2: I would just submit to you. I know some couples 757 00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:54,640 Speaker 2: vote different ways. You may have a husband or a 758 00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:57,520 Speaker 2: wife that votes it differently. But if Brittany Mahomes is 759 00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:01,920 Speaker 2: going on Instagram and liking Donald Trump up posts, I 760 00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:05,680 Speaker 2: don't think there's very many women voting Trump married to 761 00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:08,640 Speaker 2: men who are voting Kamala or Biden. 762 00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:10,400 Speaker 1: Would most of you agree with that? 763 00:36:10,440 --> 00:36:12,840 Speaker 2: I mean, the data reflects that men are voting for 764 00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:16,760 Speaker 2: Trump by a substantial margin. I think if your wife 765 00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:20,440 Speaker 2: is a Trump supporter, the odds that a Trump supporting 766 00:36:20,560 --> 00:36:23,440 Speaker 2: woman is married to a Kamala voter. 767 00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:27,080 Speaker 1: Are super slim. I'm just tossing that out there. 768 00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:30,319 Speaker 2: If you're one of the women out there that is 769 00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:34,120 Speaker 2: voting Trump and you've got a husband that's voting Kamala, 770 00:36:34,320 --> 00:36:36,560 Speaker 2: I'd actually love to hear from you right now eight 771 00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:39,200 Speaker 2: hundred and two two eight A two. I don't think 772 00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:41,759 Speaker 2: there are very many of those of those people. We 773 00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:43,840 Speaker 2: come back, we'll break down the absolute latest on the 774 00:36:43,880 --> 00:36:45,440 Speaker 2: Kamala interview and the polic