1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:04,800 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I can just about that action all. 2 00:00:07,840 --> 00:00:11,880 Speaker 2: Right. Here we go from test throwing out so spect 3 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:16,319 Speaker 2: we're sitting up to cash touchtop. That's all we see. 4 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 1: Most gamble is when they go to gamble, they go twin. 5 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:24,919 Speaker 1: That's incredible, big bank small. I like to make money. 6 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:25,240 Speaker 2: All right. 7 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:28,040 Speaker 1: This is the ultimate kabine. 8 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 2: You want to fall and we are under way. 9 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:38,199 Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I 10 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:41,360 Speaker 1: am your host, Chris Raybaond and this is our twenty 11 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:45,560 Speaker 1: twenty five AFC Preview. Part two will go over to 12 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:49,599 Speaker 1: the AFC West and the a FC North and here 13 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:51,920 Speaker 1: to break everything down with me none other than the 14 00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 1: Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky stuck. What's going on? 15 00:00:57,560 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 2: Suthing? Excited to uh talk some AFC West my nemesis 16 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:05,600 Speaker 2: chiefs as a Ravens fan, and the AFC North with 17 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:09,160 Speaker 2: the with the Ravens, got two of the best teams 18 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 2: in the NFL here and then some intriguing other ones. 19 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:15,840 Speaker 2: So uh yeah, really excited to get into both these divisions. 20 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:18,479 Speaker 1: Yeah, it could be somewhat of a Both of these 21 00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:21,800 Speaker 1: divisions could be somewhat of a of a gauntlet. Maybe 22 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 1: outside of the Cleveland Browns and the in the north. 23 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:27,680 Speaker 1: But let's and the maybe the Raiders will talk about them. 24 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 1: Let's start AFC West. Let's start where we always start, 25 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs. The old line is that is is 26 00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:40,680 Speaker 1: it going to be better? Is that? Because that was 27 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:42,800 Speaker 1: the issue. They got to the Super Bowl, they got 28 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:46,319 Speaker 1: really lucky last year. Uh, but you know they're going 29 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 1: to be there when it all matters, when it's all 30 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: said and done. So let's just start with the old 31 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 1: line stuff. What are you how are you feeling about? Uh, 32 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:54,720 Speaker 1: you know, the rookie and and the changes on the 33 00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 1: old line heading into this year. 34 00:01:56,800 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean their offense is just deteriorated over the years, 35 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:01,920 Speaker 2: and the big problem part of it's been the weapons. 36 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 2: Part of it's been the running game. I mean you 37 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:07,840 Speaker 2: look back, go back to twenty twenty two, they averaged 38 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 2: they were top ten yards per carry. They were bottom 39 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:14,800 Speaker 2: five last year. There's just no running game to speak of. 40 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:19,080 Speaker 2: And like they they just they don't even really address it, 41 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:19,560 Speaker 2: like it's just. 42 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:22,080 Speaker 1: Gonna be the check to check over and hunt again. 43 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 2: So like there's just no help there. Then the weapons 44 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 2: haven't been great. The offensive line has been great, so 45 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 2: like there's been no explosiveness at all in the passing game, 46 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 2: and that used to be a hallmark of Mahomes. But 47 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 2: like go back to twenty twenty two, we averaged becas 48 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:39,200 Speaker 2: first year, he averaged close had nine yards per tempt. 49 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:42,920 Speaker 2: It was one hundred seven last year. So but the 50 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:47,279 Speaker 2: hope is Rice, we'll see when he suspended. My conspiracy 51 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:53,119 Speaker 2: theory is they appealed that, so he would be suspended 52 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:57,720 Speaker 2: weeks five, six, seven, and eight. Three home games in 53 00:02:57,760 --> 00:03:01,640 Speaker 2: there at the Jags. Him for the first four which 54 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:05,160 Speaker 2: includes Baltimore at home, get him for week nine, which 55 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:08,240 Speaker 2: includes the Bills, and obviously those are the two biggest 56 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 2: games in the schedule for one seed. So it's smart 57 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 2: if that's what that's what's their plan. But you know, 58 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 2: you got what you want. Worthy Brown, Rice healthy and 59 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 2: I mean I like Royals, I loved him, which maybe 60 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 2: he can he can provide some stuff and Thornton, maybe 61 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 2: that gives them some more deep threats. But like they 62 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:33,119 Speaker 2: they weren't healthy at all. Receiver think those guys didn't 63 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 2: play together at all. So that's the hope. And then 64 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 2: the hope is the offensive line gets fixed because they 65 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 2: need their weapons to be better. The running gas is 66 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 2: not gonna be great, and Kelsey's washed. I mean, he's 67 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 2: just he's not the same guys nowhere close. And so 68 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 2: the offensive line, like who's going to be that left guard? 69 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 2: Is it going to be Sumitea? Is it gonna be Caliendo? 70 00:03:56,560 --> 00:03:59,120 Speaker 2: You got to replace a good one? And then the 71 00:03:59,200 --> 00:04:02,480 Speaker 2: left tackle spot is is it good? It looks like 72 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:04,480 Speaker 2: it's gonna be the rookie Simmons who looks good and 73 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:08,400 Speaker 2: hearing good things. But we'll see. Juwan Taylor still has 74 00:04:08,440 --> 00:04:12,480 Speaker 2: his deficiencies, but I think it'll be better. The weapons 75 00:04:12,480 --> 00:04:16,040 Speaker 2: should be healthier and better. We'll see if they can 76 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 2: actually get some explosiveness. But yeah, I mean, this is 77 00:04:21,440 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 2: a team last year that went fifteen and two. Their 78 00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:29,640 Speaker 2: Pythagora win was ten point two, the largest over performance ever. 79 00:04:29,640 --> 00:04:31,600 Speaker 2: They won eleven and oh one possession games twelve and 80 00:04:31,640 --> 00:04:33,599 Speaker 2: olof to include the playoffs. But that's kind of what 81 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 2: the Chiefs do, right, you've read your momes. That's a 82 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 2: little extreme. They're probably gonna have some regression in one 83 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:41,280 Speaker 2: score games, like the way that they won some of 84 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 2: these games, go back to the Raiders game was insane. 85 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 2: But even if they have some regression, like what like, 86 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:49,839 Speaker 2: I think maybe it costs them three games, it still win. 87 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 2: Their win totals eleven and a half. All Read does 88 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:54,479 Speaker 2: is go over. Maybe they now they win twelve. They're 89 00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:57,480 Speaker 2: they're I think, like fifth close to fifteen to twenty 90 00:04:57,760 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 2: in one possession games with three to Mahomes you got 91 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:02,840 Speaker 2: but Gert, you got Spagnola, you got Read, you got 92 00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 2: ma Homes. You're gonna win more one session games than not. 93 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:08,240 Speaker 2: They only they also only have seven true road games. 94 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:11,800 Speaker 2: You get that a game where you should go on 95 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 2: the road in the division, but you're playing on a 96 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:19,200 Speaker 2: neutral That's very bizarre and helps them the defense. It's 97 00:05:19,520 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 2: it's the one thing I worry about is the data 98 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 2: has been so healthy for like five straight years. Does 99 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 2: that change. We'll see if their their rookies can help. 100 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 2: I think their past rush will be better. But Jelattie, 101 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 2: Norman Locke, We'll see if they can help contribute. But 102 00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:40,040 Speaker 2: I have some questions about the secondary. You lose Reed, 103 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 2: he's a steadying force. Connor moving back to safety. I 104 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:46,600 Speaker 2: don't love Fulton. Watson's the key. He's got to get 105 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 2: back to his old his old form that we've seen 106 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:52,480 Speaker 2: when he flashed. Still have McDuffie, will see how they 107 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 2: use him, one of the best in the NFL. Maybe 108 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 2: Old Williams, a rookie, can help contribute the secondary. I 109 00:05:57,640 --> 00:06:00,120 Speaker 2: still have some questions about the linebackers clean up so 110 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 2: much because their defensive lines probably not gonna be great 111 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:10,680 Speaker 2: in h in just like stuffing runs. But yeah, they're 112 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:12,320 Speaker 2: gonna be one of the best teams in the NFL. 113 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 2: Probably gonna turn it on for the playoffs, probably have 114 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:17,880 Speaker 2: some close game regression. We'll see if the defense can 115 00:06:17,920 --> 00:06:20,720 Speaker 2: stay healthy, because like I said, they've been very healthy 116 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:23,480 Speaker 2: and they need There's like certain guys they really need 117 00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:26,320 Speaker 2: to stay healthy, like they can't lose, Like they can't 118 00:06:26,360 --> 00:06:30,400 Speaker 2: lose Chris Jones. You really don't want to lose one 119 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:33,240 Speaker 2: of your linebackers or have the injuries there. Like they're solid, 120 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:35,520 Speaker 2: but the depth is very questionable. You don't want to 121 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:39,719 Speaker 2: lose like McDuffie. So we'll see if they can stay healthy. 122 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:42,320 Speaker 2: But I just want to see some more explosiveness from 123 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:45,040 Speaker 2: this offense. I think the offense on will be better. 124 00:06:45,320 --> 00:06:49,280 Speaker 2: The weapons should be healthier and better, but there's they're 125 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:51,039 Speaker 2: probably not gonna get much help from the run game, 126 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:54,080 Speaker 2: but yeah, still one of the best teams in the NFL. 127 00:06:54,560 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 2: Pretty tough schedule. But I project them eleven seven, which is, oh, 128 00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:05,400 Speaker 2: I'm sorry, that's I'm looking at the wrong team. I 129 00:07:05,440 --> 00:07:06,720 Speaker 2: project them eleven on the dot. 130 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:08,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, about to say I have about tenn. 131 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 2: I project them eleven on the dot. They're implied wind 132 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 2: totals like eleven three, eleven two five, So I would 133 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 2: lean under. But like, do I want to bet Reid 134 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 2: and my homes under? Like probably not so? Uh yeah, 135 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:25,920 Speaker 2: probably be in the playoffs, be the team the beat again, 136 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 2: but certainly some questions that are worth monitoring in the 137 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 2: one seat, like well they get the one seat, they 138 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:36,520 Speaker 2: play the Bills, they play the Ravens. Those two games 139 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:40,559 Speaker 2: will go a long way in determining what will happen 140 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 2: with the division is tougher like the the They're not 141 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 2: there's not doormats anymore in this division, and the Raiders 142 00:07:46,680 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 2: should be better. But lean under, probably not gonna play 143 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 2: all read does is go over the window? 144 00:07:53,840 --> 00:07:56,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's I think it's it's gonna start. 145 00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:58,360 Speaker 1: It's starting to slow down a little bit. With that, 146 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:02,120 Speaker 1: I do think they're overpriced win total wise, I think 147 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 1: the way I'm looking ten nine. I think the schedule 148 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:10,320 Speaker 1: is tough, and there's always gonna be you know, there's 149 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 1: always gonna be some fragility there which they're gonna be 150 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 1: an overpriced team. Just how good they've been this entire 151 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 1: read Mahomes era, so at some point you would figger 152 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:21,760 Speaker 1: it out regresses. I think it's starting to happen. But 153 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 1: I'm looking at losing the conference championship game, you know, 154 00:08:27,320 --> 00:08:30,960 Speaker 1: plus five to fifty, win the super Bowl, plus eight 155 00:08:31,040 --> 00:08:32,959 Speaker 1: to fifty, lose the super Bowl, plus nine to fifty. 156 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 1: Somewhere in there, I think is your sweet spot because 157 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 1: one way or another, just I think this team still 158 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:39,520 Speaker 1: get gets at least to the conference championship. Like that's 159 00:08:39,520 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 1: what they do in the Mahomes era. They're gonna get there. 160 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:47,440 Speaker 1: Now it depends on Ravens the Bills. Maybe maybe they 161 00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 1: knock them out in the Division round. But that's I 162 00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:51,000 Speaker 1: don't want to you know, that's plus three ten. But 163 00:08:51,280 --> 00:08:53,079 Speaker 1: I think it's worth the bet to just bet on 164 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:54,719 Speaker 1: the Chiefs to kind of do what they usually do, 165 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:57,680 Speaker 1: even though I think regular season is going to be tougher, 166 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:01,120 Speaker 1: but I do like the upside pass catching wise, I 167 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:03,240 Speaker 1: think they're going to throw around the yard with Mahomes 168 00:09:03,240 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 1: and you know, maybe it's not going to be a 169 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:07,160 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two type season or twenty eighteen type season, 170 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:08,800 Speaker 1: but it has to be at least something in the 171 00:09:08,800 --> 00:09:10,719 Speaker 1: middle of twenty twenty two and twenty twenty four. And 172 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:14,319 Speaker 1: I think they can do that with Rice for twelve 173 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:18,200 Speaker 1: ish games Worthy Marquis Brown. It's kind of a wild card, 174 00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:21,760 Speaker 1: but I think Royal's being there really helps because it 175 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 1: gives them some more upside there at receiver, which I 176 00:09:25,000 --> 00:09:28,720 Speaker 1: just don't think they had with Scott Moore and you know, 177 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:31,600 Speaker 1: in the like of guys who was justin ross or whatever. 178 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 1: So I mean, that was my biggest complaint about them 179 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 1: a couple of years ago. I mean, they were Canarious 180 00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:38,960 Speaker 1: Tony and Micole, Harvin Jude. I mean, it was just 181 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 1: disastrous at wide receiver. I like that they got Noah Gray. 182 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 1: He can be their regular season tight end and they 183 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:49,000 Speaker 1: could just Dusk Kelsey off for the playoffs and who knows, 184 00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:51,319 Speaker 1: maybe rischard Smith ends up making the roster after all 185 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:53,960 Speaker 1: and contributing at some point. It didn't really do as 186 00:09:54,040 --> 00:09:55,840 Speaker 1: much in the preseasons and as I thought. 187 00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:57,880 Speaker 2: So far, I had to higher hopes for him. 188 00:09:58,320 --> 00:10:00,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I hope for him as well. He didn't really 189 00:10:01,280 --> 00:10:03,080 Speaker 1: kind of make a name for himself the way a 190 00:10:03,080 --> 00:10:05,120 Speaker 1: guy like Pacheco did a couple years ago. But I'm 191 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:07,600 Speaker 1: still very worried about Pacheco, just because I still don't 192 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:10,080 Speaker 1: think he's what they need in the passing game. And 193 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 1: then Hunt is not. You know, Hunt is a just 194 00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 1: like get what's block type of guy who uh worked 195 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: out for them last year. But I think they need more, 196 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:19,320 Speaker 1: so maybe they trade for somebody who knows. I mean, 197 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:23,839 Speaker 1: everyone's trading these days. But ultimately, I think Simmons at 198 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:29,559 Speaker 1: left tackle plus the receiving depth still means this team 199 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:33,880 Speaker 1: is super high upside, high floor with reading mahomes and 200 00:10:33,880 --> 00:10:36,600 Speaker 1: and Spags. So I think they go at least to 201 00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 1: the to the AFC Title Game. And I think it's 202 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:41,439 Speaker 1: a good bet at even if you bet, if you're 203 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:44,199 Speaker 1: betting them to lose it, uh, you could get him, 204 00:10:44,280 --> 00:10:45,960 Speaker 1: you know, five to one betting him to win it 205 00:10:46,440 --> 00:10:48,839 Speaker 1: to get him to go to the Super Bowl. So 206 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:49,960 Speaker 1: you can bet him to lose it, you can bet 207 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:51,960 Speaker 1: him to win it, whatever you want. But either way, 208 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:54,880 Speaker 1: I think this is an upside team that's how I 209 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:56,240 Speaker 1: want to bet him. I think the win totals are 210 00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:58,120 Speaker 1: overpriced at this point. I'm not gonna I'm not gonna 211 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:01,160 Speaker 1: use like a like a you know, the thing that 212 00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:03,960 Speaker 1: happens once every year is a sample for win totals 213 00:11:04,040 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 1: when there's so much kind of going on. But I'm 214 00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:09,520 Speaker 1: a lot more confident just because it's a lot harder 215 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:11,959 Speaker 1: to do in terms of just going to that conference 216 00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 1: championship pretty much year and you're out. The Broncos stuck. 217 00:11:18,400 --> 00:11:21,240 Speaker 1: I know you're kind of skeptical on on Bone Knicks, right, 218 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:23,439 Speaker 1: but I like the way it's I like the way 219 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:25,920 Speaker 1: it's setting up in Denver. I think they've I think 220 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 1: they've been very smart about building this team up and 221 00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:31,359 Speaker 1: I think, you know, with Knicks kind of exceeding expectations 222 00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:35,800 Speaker 1: last year, they're positioned fairly well because they don't really 223 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:40,520 Speaker 1: rely on a ton of individuals at any position. It's 224 00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:43,120 Speaker 1: more like they're a pretty balanced team. You know, they 225 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 1: go deep on offense and then defense that they're I 226 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:48,640 Speaker 1: think they're just well balanced. So what are your thoughts 227 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:52,080 Speaker 1: on Denver in terms of, you know, first of all, 228 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 1: kind of getting getting back to the playoffs potentially challenging 229 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:58,560 Speaker 1: Kansas City, and you know, how do they stack up 230 00:11:58,600 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 1: with the Chargers, who another team that's you know many 231 00:12:01,640 --> 00:12:03,040 Speaker 1: people consider right there. 232 00:12:03,920 --> 00:12:07,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm selling both the Broncos and the Chargers. Look 233 00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:10,600 Speaker 2: basically the Broncos. I liked the Broncos a little more 234 00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:16,000 Speaker 2: than the Chargers then I did compared to like two 235 00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:20,640 Speaker 2: months ago when we did the podcast, I projected like 236 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:24,000 Speaker 2: nine wins, so I chowed a little value on the under. 237 00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:28,319 Speaker 2: I've come up a little bit on that. But like, yeah, 238 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:31,720 Speaker 2: I'm not completely sold on Nicks. I mean he was 239 00:12:32,320 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 2: most of his damage was done against really bad teams, 240 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:37,640 Speaker 2: are like in garbage time. And I mean last year 241 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:41,840 Speaker 2: they beat one playoff team, which was the Tampa Bay 242 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:44,200 Speaker 2: in Week three. That was it excluding the Chiefs. They 243 00:12:44,200 --> 00:12:47,240 Speaker 2: got to play the Chiefs, who sat everybody in Week eighteen. 244 00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:50,960 Speaker 2: But there's a lot to like, I'll amit about the scene. 245 00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:53,640 Speaker 2: Their offensive line was elite last year. Every player was 246 00:12:53,679 --> 00:12:55,560 Speaker 2: in the top ten of the pass block win right 247 00:12:56,200 --> 00:13:00,559 Speaker 2: on the interior and at tackle. They added a who 248 00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 2: I love every running back. I loved him out of UCF. 249 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:06,520 Speaker 2: I love Pat Bryant too. They just traded ble. I 250 00:13:06,559 --> 00:13:10,800 Speaker 2: think that means more. Look, yeah, Bryant, you bring in 251 00:13:10,960 --> 00:13:14,840 Speaker 2: Ingram upgrade to your tight end room and so, like, 252 00:13:14,880 --> 00:13:17,760 Speaker 2: there's a lot to like about this offense. And the 253 00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:20,640 Speaker 2: defense was elite last year across the board, no matter 254 00:13:20,640 --> 00:13:23,720 Speaker 2: what end you went out drafted Baron, you had a 255 00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 2: green law, you had a tofunga. So and look, their 256 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:34,000 Speaker 2: run defense is really good and that enables them to 257 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:37,280 Speaker 2: force teams into third and long. They could play man 258 00:13:37,480 --> 00:13:40,600 Speaker 2: with certain and company. They can blitz a lot, and 259 00:13:40,640 --> 00:13:43,520 Speaker 2: it's very difficult for offenses. But just because their defenses, 260 00:13:43,520 --> 00:13:44,960 Speaker 2: like I said this before set Us and last tis, 261 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:46,920 Speaker 2: just because of their defense is eleite last year, doesn't 262 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:51,199 Speaker 2: mean it's all gonna work. Like. Defenses are not as 263 00:13:51,280 --> 00:13:55,360 Speaker 2: consistent on a year to year basis as offenses. But 264 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:57,960 Speaker 2: they I like what they did. But look, they were 265 00:13:57,960 --> 00:13:59,760 Speaker 2: one in six and one possesion games last year too, 266 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:02,640 Speaker 2: and they ended up winning ten. Although they were one 267 00:14:02,679 --> 00:14:06,000 Speaker 2: and six against playoff teams. They were also a lead 268 00:14:06,040 --> 00:14:10,880 Speaker 2: on special teams last year. That could regress. So the 269 00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:13,920 Speaker 2: schedule is not terrible. I'm just not sold on next 270 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:16,640 Speaker 2: I'm not sold that he's gonna be and as beneficial. 271 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 2: But situations as he was last year. 272 00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 1: But really, wait, wait, wait, let's go back to that, 273 00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:26,240 Speaker 1: because I feel like Nicks is gonna be in much 274 00:14:26,280 --> 00:14:30,200 Speaker 1: more beneficial situations in the sense that now like last year, 275 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:33,080 Speaker 1: it was a lot, a lot was on him. I 276 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:35,880 Speaker 1: mean they had they had no running game. Uh, and 277 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:38,800 Speaker 1: then Marvin Mims didn't really you know, come on until 278 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:40,680 Speaker 1: the second half of the year. This year, he's gonna 279 00:14:40,680 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: be able to hand it to Dobbins and Harvey. He's 280 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:45,000 Speaker 1: gonna be able to throw it to Harvey. He'll do 281 00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:47,480 Speaker 1: stuff after the catch. Mims is going to be like 282 00:14:47,520 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 1: a full time guy. He'll do more stuff after the 283 00:14:49,720 --> 00:14:53,000 Speaker 1: catch and and deep and you're gonna have uh, you know, 284 00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:56,320 Speaker 1: another contested catch guy in Brian and Troy Franklins had 285 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:58,760 Speaker 1: a great camp. Uh. You know from everything we hear, 286 00:14:58,800 --> 00:15:01,400 Speaker 1: it sounds like he might actually be start over Brian 287 00:15:01,440 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 1: and then he got Ingram could do things after the catch. Uh. 288 00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 1: So like I think he's in a lot better situation 289 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:08,560 Speaker 1: just with the guys around him. 290 00:15:08,840 --> 00:15:12,720 Speaker 2: Uh. Skolle position on possibly assuming everyone stays healthy and 291 00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:15,400 Speaker 2: the defense is as good as it was last year. Uh, 292 00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 2: the special teams is as good they you know, their 293 00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:21,120 Speaker 2: their schedule breaks as right as it did last time. 294 00:15:21,120 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 1: About Moss. Oh okay, so. 295 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:28,400 Speaker 2: I we'll see if Moss starts. I don't know, we'll 296 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:31,920 Speaker 2: see what Baron Baron can do. That could be. But 297 00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:35,200 Speaker 2: although I don't know if it's a great fit schematically, 298 00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:36,480 Speaker 2: but just. 299 00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:39,840 Speaker 1: The but the thing is like, listen to like you 300 00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:42,040 Speaker 1: you're saying you're you're saying you're down on them, but 301 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 1: if you listen to yourself just now, you basically said, 302 00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:46,600 Speaker 1: this team has no holes and even at the spots 303 00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:48,720 Speaker 1: where it's like there's some uncertain whole. 304 00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:51,400 Speaker 2: In my opinion, I don't. 305 00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:53,080 Speaker 1: Know how you can say. I feel like, listen, bow 306 00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:55,720 Speaker 1: knicks might not be everybody's cup of tea, but I 307 00:15:55,800 --> 00:16:00,240 Speaker 1: keep stylistically maybe, but I think he outplayed expect at 308 00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 1: outplayed expectations. And something else is, yes, uh, you know 309 00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:07,360 Speaker 1: the record against the playoff teams or whatnot. But remember 310 00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:10,120 Speaker 1: Sean Payton, they started throwing a lot more so, like 311 00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 1: it wasn't just oh, we're gonna hide the quarterback, like 312 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:14,400 Speaker 1: there are a lot of games where they were just 313 00:16:14,440 --> 00:16:17,240 Speaker 1: throwing thirty five forty times like so I think he 314 00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 1: kind of went through the gauntlet last year everything's better 315 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:24,560 Speaker 1: for him offense wise, and he could still run. He's 316 00:16:24,640 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 1: got a good sense of that. And I thought he 317 00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 1: got better as the year. 318 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:30,800 Speaker 2: Progress against a good team where you were like, okay, 319 00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 2: one good team, Like think about that. How bad that 320 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,360 Speaker 2: Bills defense was last year in the playoffs they couldn't 321 00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:38,280 Speaker 2: do anything. 322 00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:43,880 Speaker 1: But they had no offense. But I'm saying like, because. 323 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:45,600 Speaker 2: Their quarterback, they were one of the best offensive lines 324 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:46,840 Speaker 2: in the NFL. 325 00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 1: They were throwing a Lucas Crow and low Jordan Humphrey 326 00:16:50,520 --> 00:16:52,400 Speaker 1: and Nicks looked at Javonte Williams. 327 00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:54,440 Speaker 2: The Knicks looked off against any team with a point I. 328 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:56,960 Speaker 1: Mean fair, but you got to project ahead. I think 329 00:16:56,960 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 1: he looked good a lot last year too, even if 330 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 1: it's against bad teams. 331 00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:06,479 Speaker 2: Trash and then like in garbage time and and by 332 00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:08,240 Speaker 2: the way, he could he could also get worse than 333 00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:08,680 Speaker 2: year two. 334 00:17:09,080 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 1: I agree. I think he has a wide range of outcomes, 335 00:17:11,080 --> 00:17:14,119 Speaker 1: but I mean, this team, there's a lot of insulation 336 00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:17,240 Speaker 1: around him and nothing to suggest that he's more likely 337 00:17:17,320 --> 00:17:20,840 Speaker 1: I think, to do worse than better, given the additions 338 00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:24,320 Speaker 1: on offense and just his play versus expectation. Because the 339 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:27,080 Speaker 1: one thing to compare Nicks just you know, to Knicks, 340 00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:31,320 Speaker 1: but versus expectation. He outplayed expectation last year and he's 341 00:17:31,320 --> 00:17:31,960 Speaker 1: got Champagne. 342 00:17:31,960 --> 00:17:34,640 Speaker 2: It's not like this is the team that was sitting 343 00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:40,040 Speaker 2: at five and five. And here's what Knicks and this 344 00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:41,639 Speaker 2: offense did when they started throwing more. At the end 345 00:17:41,640 --> 00:17:43,679 Speaker 2: of the year. They played the Falcons at home, they 346 00:17:43,720 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 2: put up thirty eight. The Falcons had every single starter 347 00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:48,360 Speaker 2: on the in the secondary out. 348 00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:50,960 Speaker 1: Would rather than put up what twenty, I mean they 349 00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:51,919 Speaker 1: could up thirty. 350 00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:56,879 Speaker 2: And they played the Raiders and then they played the 351 00:17:57,359 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 2: Browns defense would basically quit at that point, played the 352 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:06,359 Speaker 2: Colts and the Gus Bradley horrendous defense the way. 353 00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:08,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, that was bad. That was bad. 354 00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:12,480 Speaker 2: Then they lost the Chargers. They lost to the Bengals. 355 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:15,000 Speaker 1: Played well against the Chargers, though I thought they. 356 00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:16,639 Speaker 2: Threw for two to fifty, threw for two to nineteen 357 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,400 Speaker 2: against that stout Bengals defense. 358 00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:20,000 Speaker 1: Uh. 359 00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:22,439 Speaker 2: And then they played they he threw for three thirty 360 00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:25,480 Speaker 2: and when they won thirty eight nothing against the Chiefs 361 00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:29,639 Speaker 2: scout team, So like what what he played the Chiefs 362 00:18:29,640 --> 00:18:32,480 Speaker 2: early in the year, they scored fourteen points. They went 363 00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:35,800 Speaker 2: to Baltimore, they couldn't get double digits. 364 00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:38,080 Speaker 1: And they still win how many games? 365 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:40,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm just saying. 366 00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:44,520 Speaker 1: They still they still won enough games to make the playoffs. 367 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:49,480 Speaker 2: And with the founton their whole secondary out, the Chiefs 368 00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:55,000 Speaker 2: benched all their starters. Like, oh, they beat the early 369 00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:56,879 Speaker 2: in the year, they beat the Jets ten to nine. 370 00:18:57,440 --> 00:18:59,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, that was. That was. That was a hard game 371 00:18:59,080 --> 00:18:59,400 Speaker 1: to watch. 372 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:03,359 Speaker 2: I remember one and yeah, so and I think, like 373 00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:08,560 Speaker 2: I just there's there's a lot to be there's still 374 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:10,240 Speaker 2: a lot of work to do for next to my opinions. 375 00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:13,000 Speaker 1: So but they did it. They they brought in Pat Bryant, 376 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 1: you love him. They brought in Harvey, you love him. 377 00:19:16,720 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 1: I don't think they're bad. 378 00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:21,000 Speaker 2: I projected to win nine games, So I went under. 379 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,480 Speaker 1: You're overly downing them for even what even how you're 380 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:26,359 Speaker 1: describing them. I think they are. I think they're a 381 00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:30,360 Speaker 1: pretty high, high, high ceiling, high floor, high sailing team. 382 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:33,199 Speaker 1: Because if if you think Nix is bad, well the 383 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:35,399 Speaker 1: roster around him is still good enough that if you 384 00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 1: think Nix is bad, then what is the drop off 385 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:40,880 Speaker 1: from him to who is it Stidham? Who they got 386 00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:41,280 Speaker 1: back there? 387 00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:45,200 Speaker 2: You don't even know? Yes, yeah, Samuel. 388 00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:50,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, but yeah, no, that's still a positive for 389 00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:52,199 Speaker 1: the team. Like, I just think it's a I just 390 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:54,120 Speaker 1: think they're in a good spot. I think it's Denver 391 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:56,040 Speaker 1: team like they I think they're ahead of the Chargers. 392 00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:58,640 Speaker 1: Uh significant, what are your thoughts on the Chargers. Let's 393 00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 1: let's go Chargers charge if we could kind of circle 394 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:03,280 Speaker 1: back to Denver in the Charges? 395 00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:06,760 Speaker 2: Are we betting them under nine and a half? Ah? 396 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:16,160 Speaker 2: I project them, uh eight five, so I'm going under 397 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:19,920 Speaker 2: nine and a half. I've I've gotten lower on them 398 00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:22,680 Speaker 2: compared to the Bronxes because I like Bryant. I've liked 399 00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 2: what I like. I like the running back situation more. 400 00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:29,080 Speaker 1: Now you like the entire team. Just to admit it, 401 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:32,560 Speaker 1: I don't like bo Nicks and the price is where 402 00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:36,160 Speaker 1: I'm power rated fair, I admit I like a lot. 403 00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:37,720 Speaker 2: I like what the Broncos are doing and how they're 404 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:40,440 Speaker 2: building their team, and Nicks could be good. 405 00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 1: I just still quick I think it's more likely he's good. 406 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:46,920 Speaker 1: I think I saw enough of it. I saw enough. 407 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,280 Speaker 1: I think it's like, I think it's like overthinking it 408 00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:52,080 Speaker 1: to say he's more likely to be bad. I think 409 00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:55,600 Speaker 1: he has a wider re drout come, but Chargers charges. 410 00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:57,680 Speaker 2: Going under uh I Project eight and a half now 411 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:01,880 Speaker 2: obviously like they didn't much on their to improve their defense. 412 00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:04,840 Speaker 2: The defense was really good last year, but like the 413 00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:06,760 Speaker 2: only teams they beat them, the only team they beat 414 00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:11,600 Speaker 2: them fus the Broncos anyway, So like the I think 415 00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:13,199 Speaker 2: they need some of the rookies to step up on 416 00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:16,040 Speaker 2: defense to to to get back to where they were 417 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:19,080 Speaker 2: last year, like Caldwell Canard Colson in his second year, 418 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:21,960 Speaker 2: the Boges being like those, some of those guys I 419 00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:25,200 Speaker 2: think need to hit because their defensive line looks really weak. 420 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:33,879 Speaker 2: The linebackers are okay, secondary is just okay, Like you 421 00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:37,679 Speaker 2: need heart and still to be like the guys on 422 00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:39,200 Speaker 2: the outside, because I don't think you want to be 423 00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:43,320 Speaker 2: relying on Saint Justin Jackson on the outside. They were 424 00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:45,200 Speaker 2: really good their past he was really good last year. 425 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:48,720 Speaker 2: You know, were fifth top five and e PA for 426 00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:50,600 Speaker 2: pass like they didn't give up any scheme. 427 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:53,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, they were well schemed on defense, and. 428 00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:55,800 Speaker 2: I like Minter, but there's there's probably some regression on 429 00:21:55,840 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 2: this defense, like turnover regression, and I the other thing 430 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:06,800 Speaker 2: that hurts is that I'm not sure that they really 431 00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:12,280 Speaker 2: addressed their like their skill positions, and like probably gonna 432 00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:15,400 Speaker 2: get more two tight end sets with like Disley and 433 00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:20,119 Speaker 2: maybe Gatson, but Conklin, you got mcconkeye back. But like 434 00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:24,359 Speaker 2: you added out like Keenan Allen, what's he have left? 435 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:26,200 Speaker 2: Maybe you can hit with some of the rookies and 436 00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:29,919 Speaker 2: kls or Harris, but and you need Hampton to hit 437 00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:34,520 Speaker 2: it running back. And then what happens offensive line? You 438 00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:38,879 Speaker 2: lose Slater and that's massive, that's massive. Just it's I 439 00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:41,199 Speaker 2: think it just it crushes them because you gotta now 440 00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 2: you're gonna move all to left tackle. You added becked 441 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:48,320 Speaker 2: in Johnson and Bozman. It looks like they were thinking 442 00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:49,800 Speaker 2: about flopping them. I don't think they are. Think it's 443 00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:51,720 Speaker 2: gonna be Bozeman at center that they're okay, So like 444 00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:54,800 Speaker 2: the interior is okay, but now you're right tackle, because 445 00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:58,080 Speaker 2: it's gonna be Pipkins. They were gonna cut them two 446 00:22:58,080 --> 00:23:02,600 Speaker 2: weeks ago for salary. And now who's your swing tackle, 447 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:05,760 Speaker 2: Like I think it's the rookie tailor who they were 448 00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 2: gonna play at guard. So like if Pipkins is so 449 00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:11,280 Speaker 2: bad or someone gets hurt, like I think their swing 450 00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:13,000 Speaker 2: tackle might be that kid tailor out of pit. It 451 00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:15,080 Speaker 2: was the sixth rounder. They were gonna play at guard 452 00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:17,119 Speaker 2: and then Pipkins is gonna be your starting right tackle 453 00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:22,320 Speaker 2: and they were gonna cut a week ago. So yeah, 454 00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:26,960 Speaker 2: the defensive line and lost Bosa Ford Fox. Like they 455 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,720 Speaker 2: weren't great against the run, they weren't great at getting pressure. 456 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 2: It's just a really good, well schemed defense. I'm not 457 00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:35,639 Speaker 2: sure that they can reach that same level that they 458 00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:38,440 Speaker 2: did last year. And I think the offense could take 459 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:40,879 Speaker 2: a step back because of the offensive line. And then 460 00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,760 Speaker 2: I look at their schedule, it's gonna get tougher. I 461 00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:46,440 Speaker 2: think they go from like one of the five easiest 462 00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 2: to a slightly above average schedule now. And I just 463 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:52,880 Speaker 2: look at their home games. So number one, they don't 464 00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:55,720 Speaker 2: have much of a home field advantage, and like unlike 465 00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:57,480 Speaker 2: most teams, you're like, oh, we get some home games 466 00:23:57,480 --> 00:24:00,680 Speaker 2: we can win. They lose one division home game against 467 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:03,640 Speaker 2: the Chiefs to Brazil, and the rest of their home 468 00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:07,119 Speaker 2: games are the Broncos, Raiders and the Raiders. But they 469 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:13,639 Speaker 2: could be better. Washington, Minnesota, Hit Philly, Houston, Indianapolis, Like 470 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:16,880 Speaker 2: the Colts are the one that you're like, Okay, so good. 471 00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:19,439 Speaker 2: That's a tough homeschedu where you basically don't have any 472 00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:23,399 Speaker 2: home field advantage and a lot of those fan bases 473 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:27,280 Speaker 2: that I just mentioned will travel as well, so that 474 00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:32,280 Speaker 2: doesn't help them. Uh So, yeah, I don't see it 475 00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:35,520 Speaker 2: with the Chargers this year. I'm out. 476 00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this is a low floor team and 477 00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:41,520 Speaker 1: if I agree, I like they're under. I think the 478 00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:44,320 Speaker 1: win total under. I think this is one of the 479 00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:47,919 Speaker 1: It's just one of the ways that you have to 480 00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:52,480 Speaker 1: find edges in the futures market. Offensive line and depth, 481 00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:54,919 Speaker 1: I think are just those are the things that are 482 00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:59,040 Speaker 1: kind of hidden beyond the surface. You know, people are 483 00:24:59,080 --> 00:25:00,720 Speaker 1: gonna loo at the quarterback and coach and you know 484 00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:02,239 Speaker 1: what they did last year and all that stuff. But 485 00:25:02,760 --> 00:25:04,879 Speaker 1: when you look at their offensive line, like you said, 486 00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:10,720 Speaker 1: they lost a great tackle that shuffles everything up. They're 487 00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:12,840 Speaker 1: skill guys, they added guys, yet they still might not 488 00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:15,760 Speaker 1: be better because you know, only so many guys can 489 00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:17,639 Speaker 1: play at one time. They have a bunch of still 490 00:25:17,800 --> 00:25:19,960 Speaker 1: mid tight ends. I think, I mean, Gaston might just 491 00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:22,719 Speaker 1: get the stone smart role, Like I don't know if 492 00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:26,520 Speaker 1: he's truly gonna get uh, you know, enough snaps early 493 00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:30,679 Speaker 1: on and then you have like JK. Dobbins played really 494 00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:33,959 Speaker 1: well last year. You know, could so like Marion Hampton, 495 00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:37,159 Speaker 1: Naji Harris, that combination, if Harris he was even a 496 00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:39,119 Speaker 1: part of it. Their run game is really important. But 497 00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:43,840 Speaker 1: that's not necessarily a massive upgrade either because Dobbins played 498 00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:46,439 Speaker 1: so well, and maybe Harris, I mean he's kind of 499 00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:48,320 Speaker 1: you could be just like another guy Edwards. 500 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:50,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, it could have the dorade the running round, right. 501 00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:54,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, I could exactly. So, Uh, I think this they're 502 00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:56,440 Speaker 1: kind of on a slippery slope. But at the same time, 503 00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:59,240 Speaker 1: I do like KOs. I do think Harris was a 504 00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 1: good a good would pick ultimately, but it's kind of 505 00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:04,399 Speaker 1: the way they were using them in camp kind of 506 00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:09,359 Speaker 1: was questionable. I just I'm surprised they're still behind Quentin 507 00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:12,879 Speaker 1: Johnson this much at receiver, so like they were treating him, 508 00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:14,520 Speaker 1: you know, they arrested him, treat the manet true starter 509 00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:16,120 Speaker 1: and then I know he got hurt. But we'll see, 510 00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:19,439 Speaker 1: soll see what happens. But just some things offensively, I 511 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 1: still don't know if they'll be tangibly improved enough, and 512 00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:24,119 Speaker 1: then they're set up to collapse down stretched. So uh, 513 00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 1: this is a team where they could. They can start well, 514 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:32,960 Speaker 1: but you look at their last five games Philadelphia, at Casey, 515 00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:37,600 Speaker 1: at Dallas, Houston, and at Denver like they are, they 516 00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 1: could start, they could exceed expectations and then still fall 517 00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:44,000 Speaker 1: short of nine and a half wins. And I think 518 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:47,000 Speaker 1: Denver's I think Denver's Betty can better. Kansas City is 519 00:26:47,040 --> 00:26:50,280 Speaker 1: Kansas City, and the Raiders are gonna be better. Let's 520 00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:54,199 Speaker 1: talk about them. You know, Pete Carroll, Chip, Kelly, Gino Smith, 521 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:59,159 Speaker 1: Ashton genty Deyontay Thornton at wide receiver, Besh has been 522 00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:00,800 Speaker 1: I guess kind of a just but you got Rock 523 00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:03,800 Speaker 1: Bowers there. The line I think can be decent and 524 00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:07,879 Speaker 1: it just matter the defense. Yeah, but so what do 525 00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:10,719 Speaker 1: you think is there? I guess, like what is their ceiling? 526 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:13,000 Speaker 1: Because the defense is always going to be a question mark. 527 00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:14,680 Speaker 1: I think the offense can could be at least average, 528 00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:16,359 Speaker 1: if not better than average. I think the offense might 529 00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 1: be able to underrat it by the market. Actually, yeah, 530 00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:23,359 Speaker 1: written in circled underrated offense on my notes. Yep ye. 531 00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:26,080 Speaker 2: If the offensive line stays healthy, there's a ton of 532 00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:28,080 Speaker 2: potential there. I mean, Miller's good at left tackle. You 533 00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:29,879 Speaker 2: got parm and left guard. It looks like Meredith's going 534 00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:33,040 Speaker 2: to start at center. Cowards Johnson at right guard. I 535 00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:34,919 Speaker 2: thought he was gonna get the center spot, but it 536 00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,960 Speaker 2: looks like now and then Glaze at right tackles who's 537 00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:41,480 Speaker 2: shown some promise in last year? They were they they 538 00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:43,800 Speaker 2: played James at center was bad. Mumford and white Hair 539 00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:47,080 Speaker 2: were getting starts made. They were all awful. This five, 540 00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:50,320 Speaker 2: this starting five has a ton of potential and last 541 00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:52,359 Speaker 2: year like who is running the ball? Now you got 542 00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:56,480 Speaker 2: gent running the ball. Offensive line, You upgraded a quarterback 543 00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:58,360 Speaker 2: with Gina Smith. Oh, by the way, Gina Smith gets 544 00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:02,040 Speaker 2: to play indoors where he's much better in that dome. 545 00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:06,160 Speaker 2: And I think your weapons are fine, like yeah, Myers, 546 00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:08,520 Speaker 2: Tucker Thornton, and then you're you're gonna throw a lot 547 00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:10,040 Speaker 2: to your tight ends. That's your the best tight end 548 00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:12,680 Speaker 2: in the NFL and Bowers and also tight end depth there. 549 00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:15,560 Speaker 2: So I think the offense, Chip Kelly comes in as 550 00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:18,320 Speaker 2: new offense coordinator. I think the offense, as long as 551 00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:26,280 Speaker 2: defensive line stays healthy, can be above average. Defensively, it 552 00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,400 Speaker 2: sucks that Wilkins, that the Wilkins stuff hapen because there 553 00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:32,840 Speaker 2: the defensive tackles are very weak. Their defensive ends could 554 00:28:32,840 --> 00:28:35,640 Speaker 2: be good with Crosby and get Coon's back. Wilson has 555 00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:38,960 Speaker 2: looked better of late, but the defensive tackle room is 556 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:44,600 Speaker 2: very weak. They overhauled their linebacker room and the defensive backfield. 557 00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:47,840 Speaker 2: Linebacker like you got some veterans in there, but like 558 00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:52,640 Speaker 2: White is bad, Pratt is bad. Roberts is a good, 559 00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:57,440 Speaker 2: good run defender, but like the defensive tackles and linebackers, 560 00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:00,200 Speaker 2: they don't inspire a ton of confidence. And then in 561 00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:05,560 Speaker 2: the secondary, ah man, I mean a nickel. It's looks 562 00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:09,040 Speaker 2: like it's homes He's bad. You're gonna are They're gonna 563 00:29:09,040 --> 00:29:14,560 Speaker 2: start Stokes, he's awful. They replaced Moregg with Chin. That's 564 00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:18,800 Speaker 2: a wash. Paulam Mal's back, but he was bad last year. 565 00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:21,880 Speaker 2: They like his trajectory. We'll see if he can improve. 566 00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:25,560 Speaker 2: But like they're talking about, who's that Kyle Blue Kelly 567 00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:28,400 Speaker 2: might get this corner spot. They need Darien Porter, who's 568 00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:33,840 Speaker 2: like your prototypical He's tall, like looks like a Pete 569 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:38,240 Speaker 2: Carroll corner they needed to hit. But like he's was 570 00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:40,880 Speaker 2: a sixty eighth pick. He played one year at corner 571 00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:42,960 Speaker 2: at Iowa. State. He was a receiver for three years 572 00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 2: before then, and that's like, you want to be your 573 00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:50,480 Speaker 2: best corner this year. So I think it's a good 574 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:52,840 Speaker 2: marriage with Carol. They kept Patrick Grant, who we both like. 575 00:29:52,880 --> 00:29:54,320 Speaker 2: I mean, it was amazing when he did last year. 576 00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:56,520 Speaker 2: They had so many injuries. They were second most injured 577 00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:59,440 Speaker 2: team on defense. They also had a minus sixteen turnover 578 00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:02,640 Speaker 2: margin with a awful offense, and they finished eighteenth DVOA 579 00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:03,320 Speaker 2: on defense. 580 00:30:03,520 --> 00:30:07,160 Speaker 1: Finally, finally they're not in the bottom half of the league. Yeah, 581 00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:08,560 Speaker 1: because that it was. It's been a minute. 582 00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:12,760 Speaker 2: Yeah. So the hope for this team, like they just 583 00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:14,640 Speaker 2: need some of these guys in the secondary to hit. 584 00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:16,920 Speaker 2: By the way, Carol is like, he's very good to 585 00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:18,600 Speaker 2: bet they over. I show value in the over. Obviously, 586 00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:21,959 Speaker 2: I show value the under on the Chargers and Broncos 587 00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:25,400 Speaker 2: and slightly the Chiefs. So I do show value in 588 00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:26,960 Speaker 2: the over and the Raiders. I think they're underrated. The 589 00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:30,680 Speaker 2: hope here is I had awful turnover luck last year, 590 00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:33,280 Speaker 2: like one of the lowest, the worst fumble recovery percentages 591 00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:37,400 Speaker 2: you'll ever see, like like twenty three percent. They were hurt. 592 00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:40,000 Speaker 2: Turnovers are bad. Their their offensive line was hurt. They 593 00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:42,760 Speaker 2: had no running game, quarterback play was bad. A lot 594 00:30:42,800 --> 00:30:47,080 Speaker 2: of that is fixed. And here's the thing. The hope, 595 00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:49,800 Speaker 2: here's the hope for them, because you know what Graham's 596 00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:54,840 Speaker 2: gonna do is he's going to play very conservatively on 597 00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 2: the back end with what he has. That's what he's 598 00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:58,200 Speaker 2: been doing. They're gonna they're they're gonna go all out 599 00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:01,200 Speaker 2: trying to prevent explosives and then make you drive the 600 00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:04,040 Speaker 2: field and then try to get sacks with their d 601 00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:07,120 Speaker 2: line or get turnovers which they're overdue for. So like 602 00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:09,880 Speaker 2: that's the whole prevent explosives, get those sacks, get that 603 00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:12,880 Speaker 2: overdue turnament regression, and then the offense I think can 604 00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:15,480 Speaker 2: hang with most teams. So that's the goal. I think 605 00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:18,040 Speaker 2: their ceiling is like a wild card. It's a very 606 00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:21,200 Speaker 2: tough division though, and you're in the AFC. That's the ceiling. 607 00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:23,120 Speaker 2: I do show guy in the over. I think I'll 608 00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:26,120 Speaker 2: probably get there over six and a half. I kind 609 00:31:26,120 --> 00:31:29,040 Speaker 2: of just want to see how the secondary plays out. 610 00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:33,040 Speaker 2: And yeah, it sucks they lost Wilkins, like because then 611 00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:37,040 Speaker 2: their defensive line would have been very special. Now defensive 612 00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:40,120 Speaker 2: tackles really weak. So the Runde might take a hit, 613 00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:44,360 Speaker 2: but yeah, Pete Carroll historically been very good over bet 614 00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:47,160 Speaker 2: I show some guy in the over. I think I'll 615 00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:48,760 Speaker 2: probably be betting this team a lot this year. 616 00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:52,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this team is a team that you 617 00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:54,320 Speaker 1: want to bet week to week. I think they'll be 618 00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:59,040 Speaker 1: underrated on the points spread because again, I think their 619 00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:01,280 Speaker 1: offense is underrated. You know, if you kind of look 620 00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:04,720 Speaker 1: at the look ahead lines and uh back out into 621 00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:08,120 Speaker 1: their projected points, they're they're near the bottom of the league, 622 00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:10,000 Speaker 1: and I think they're right around twenty per game or 623 00:32:10,040 --> 00:32:13,040 Speaker 1: something like that. And I think that's selling them short. 624 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:16,800 Speaker 1: With the with Bowers, with Buyers, you know, they got Thornton, 625 00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:18,760 Speaker 1: I think, uh, you know, being ahead of schedule and 626 00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:20,760 Speaker 1: giving them like a guy who who can at least 627 00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:23,080 Speaker 1: just go deep and and uh take a take a 628 00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:25,840 Speaker 1: take a defender out of the picture is big when 629 00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:28,960 Speaker 1: you have like a Bowers, a mayor a gent A Myers. 630 00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,800 Speaker 1: So I think their offense will be better than uh 631 00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:34,680 Speaker 1: then the markets rating them, and so I think they'll 632 00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:37,680 Speaker 1: be undervalied on the spread. However, what I think the 633 00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:39,800 Speaker 1: reason it's a little shaker when it comes to the 634 00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:42,440 Speaker 1: win total, which is why it is where it is 635 00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:45,680 Speaker 1: is because the schedule is still like if they don't 636 00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:49,000 Speaker 1: if they don't hit the layups, you know, I'm you know, 637 00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:51,800 Speaker 1: I'm talking about Cleveland. You have to even put Tennessee 638 00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:53,760 Speaker 1: in there, which I think I don't. I don't think 639 00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:56,920 Speaker 1: the Raiders and Titans there's much difference in quality wise 640 00:32:56,960 --> 00:32:58,840 Speaker 1: between those two teams. I think the Raiders are better, 641 00:32:58,880 --> 00:33:01,080 Speaker 1: but I mean you still got a tough schedule at 642 00:33:01,080 --> 00:33:01,960 Speaker 1: New England. 643 00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:04,640 Speaker 2: You have Chargers with the Chiefs, Broncos and Chargers. 644 00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:05,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly, and then just I mean just but you 645 00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:09,240 Speaker 1: still got like at New England, at Washington, Uh, you 646 00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:12,760 Speaker 1: play the coach, but you're going, you know, to Indianapolis 647 00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:14,440 Speaker 1: and then you play you play the Jags at home, 648 00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:16,160 Speaker 1: but we think they could be better. So you gotta 649 00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:18,960 Speaker 1: you gotta beat Cleveland at home, and then you gotta 650 00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:21,479 Speaker 1: beat the Giants at home. Lait in the year. If 651 00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:25,200 Speaker 1: you can hit your way ups, you probably even then. 652 00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:27,440 Speaker 1: I mean it's tough. I mean you're surrounding those games, 653 00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:30,840 Speaker 1: you know, Eagle at the Eagles. Uh, you know, it's 654 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:35,480 Speaker 1: just it's not an easy schedule. At Houston, they play 655 00:33:35,520 --> 00:33:37,719 Speaker 1: all the toughest teams in the a f C. SO 656 00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:41,560 Speaker 1: and Dallas could be better. It's so I think it's 657 00:33:41,600 --> 00:33:45,760 Speaker 1: gonna be but yeah, let's go, let's go. What you got? 658 00:33:46,480 --> 00:33:47,800 Speaker 2: What's that's yeah? 659 00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:48,719 Speaker 1: No, let's go, let's go there. 660 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:49,520 Speaker 2: What you got? 661 00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:51,000 Speaker 1: What's the reason? 662 00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:54,360 Speaker 2: Oh well, I mean I'm I'm gonna beat that in 663 00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:59,480 Speaker 2: the under on the Raiders, And no, I was just 664 00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:02,240 Speaker 2: saying I grew that there's a reason. Oh, but I'm 665 00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:05,640 Speaker 2: saying I'm gonna I'm gonna have under on Broncos and Chargers. 666 00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:10,719 Speaker 2: So in a way, yeah, that is correlated with my 667 00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:14,640 Speaker 2: thoughts that the Raiders are gonna be better. So I 668 00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:16,920 Speaker 2: have some exposure on the Raiders, all right, I need 669 00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:19,279 Speaker 2: the Raiders to take care of business against those teams 670 00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:19,839 Speaker 2: at least one. 671 00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:21,920 Speaker 1: Honestly, if you're if you're if you're low on both 672 00:34:21,960 --> 00:34:23,200 Speaker 1: of those teams, I would just go ahead and bet 673 00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:25,399 Speaker 1: the Raiders over because at that point, if you're thinking 674 00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 1: they can go you know, split or go three and 675 00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:29,840 Speaker 1: one against those teams, and then and you have Giants 676 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:35,200 Speaker 1: at home, uh Browns, you know, and and tight and 677 00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:38,040 Speaker 1: you have Titans at home, I think you probably get there. 678 00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:41,640 Speaker 1: But it's like for me, I still think the Broncos 679 00:34:41,640 --> 00:34:44,520 Speaker 1: are gonna be two losses and the Chargers, I mean, 680 00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:46,120 Speaker 1: it could go either way, but I think they're more 681 00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:49,239 Speaker 1: like a five hundred team. But I agree, I think 682 00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:51,360 Speaker 1: I think the Raiders are gonna be undervalued week to 683 00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:54,040 Speaker 1: week on the points spread because I think their offense 684 00:34:54,160 --> 00:34:57,040 Speaker 1: is gonna be under unless they well, no, they're not 685 00:34:57,080 --> 00:34:59,200 Speaker 1: gonna see. So they start the year at New England 686 00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:02,600 Speaker 1: and then they go home to face the Chargers. Two 687 00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:07,759 Speaker 1: could be solid defenses, should be solid defenses, but they 688 00:35:07,920 --> 00:35:10,799 Speaker 1: got the low floor. So I wonder how fast the 689 00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:11,520 Speaker 1: market adjusts. 690 00:35:11,600 --> 00:35:16,000 Speaker 2: Like, you know what, everyone loves the Patriots say the playoffs? 691 00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:18,960 Speaker 2: The Patriots are that as if we're talking right now, 692 00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,480 Speaker 2: two and a half points favors at home against the Raiders. 693 00:35:21,800 --> 00:35:24,279 Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's a tough one. Would you so you're 694 00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:25,880 Speaker 1: saying you about the Raiders in that situation if you 695 00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:28,920 Speaker 1: have to, I need, I would still a beout the 696 00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:31,040 Speaker 1: Patriots that two and a half. But at at three 697 00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:32,080 Speaker 1: it just becomes. 698 00:35:32,160 --> 00:35:33,359 Speaker 2: It got I think it went down too. 699 00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:35,960 Speaker 1: And I think that yeah, because I think three is 700 00:35:36,000 --> 00:35:38,239 Speaker 1: about the is about the right line. Just considering I 701 00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:40,560 Speaker 1: think both of these teams there's a lot of newness 702 00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:42,520 Speaker 1: in in a way, but the fact that the Raiders 703 00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:47,160 Speaker 1: did retain Graham. I think the biggest uh kind of 704 00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:51,160 Speaker 1: calls for concern with the Raiders overall would be that 705 00:35:52,040 --> 00:35:54,520 Speaker 1: this is like an older coaching staff, you know, Kelly 706 00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:59,480 Speaker 1: Carol Graham. You know, do they do they have enough 707 00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:01,120 Speaker 1: to you know, you maximize this talent. 708 00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:06,360 Speaker 2: I project two two, So if I got three, I 709 00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:12,120 Speaker 2: might take it three and a half one. But yeah, projected, 710 00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:13,400 Speaker 2: So if you. 711 00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:16,160 Speaker 1: Don't have much difference between the great Patriots of Raiders 712 00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:18,800 Speaker 1: at all, then power rated? What's that you don't have 713 00:36:18,880 --> 00:36:21,000 Speaker 1: much of a power rating difference between the Patriots and 714 00:36:21,080 --> 00:36:23,360 Speaker 1: Raiders at all. No, essentially what you're saying. 715 00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:27,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I am a point yeah, I project 716 00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:32,880 Speaker 2: And the only reason that so like I project the 717 00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:38,320 Speaker 2: Raiders to win seven, the Paths to win eight, because 718 00:36:38,520 --> 00:36:41,799 Speaker 2: the Patriots got schedule with so much in a much 719 00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:48,040 Speaker 2: easier division. But yeah, less than a point yeah difference. 720 00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:52,080 Speaker 1: It's which is ultimate the Patriots doctor, you know? 721 00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:56,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, close. I'm a little higher than the market than 722 00:36:56,520 --> 00:36:58,440 Speaker 2: the Raiders, and I think the market is a little 723 00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:02,279 Speaker 2: too high on the Patriots. But if I get a 724 00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:03,759 Speaker 2: three I might take it, but we'll see. I got 725 00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:05,120 Speaker 2: to see all the secretary comes together. 726 00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:08,600 Speaker 1: So so, but you do like the Raiders over six 727 00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:09,360 Speaker 1: and a half. 728 00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:12,320 Speaker 2: I do, Yeah, I checked a little chat over seven. 729 00:37:12,800 --> 00:37:15,359 Speaker 1: Yeah. I think for me it's I think the bet 730 00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:17,280 Speaker 1: in the division that stands out to me the most 731 00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:19,880 Speaker 1: is the Chargers under nine and a half because I 732 00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:23,360 Speaker 1: think that's I think if the Raiders get there, I 733 00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:25,760 Speaker 1: think it's more likely to be at the Chargers expense. 734 00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:27,880 Speaker 1: I think the Broncos are set up, set up better 735 00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:31,000 Speaker 1: uh than the Chargers to withstand the kind of things 736 00:37:31,040 --> 00:37:34,399 Speaker 1: that have been happening to the Chargers unfortunately. Yep, all right, 737 00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:37,279 Speaker 1: no surprises folk. The NFL season kicks off in two weeks, 738 00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:39,279 Speaker 1: and to get most out of the award winning Action 739 00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:42,960 Speaker 1: Network app, you're gonna want an Action the Pro subscription 740 00:37:43,200 --> 00:37:46,439 Speaker 1: because only Pro subscribers are gonna get real time pick 741 00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:49,840 Speaker 1: alerts from experts such as myself, Brandon Anderson, Stucky, and 742 00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:53,200 Speaker 1: our entire Action Network team. Plus you can access our 743 00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:57,040 Speaker 1: pro projections powered by my guy Sean Kerner, the Odds 744 00:37:57,080 --> 00:38:00,400 Speaker 1: Maker a ton of other benefits as well. So to 745 00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:03,960 Speaker 1: celebrate football's return, we have got a special offer. Just 746 00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:06,479 Speaker 1: go to the Action Network app or go to Action 747 00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:09,120 Speaker 1: network dot com slash pro and you can get twenty 748 00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:12,480 Speaker 1: dollars off the annual price with promo code Pod twenty. 749 00:38:12,520 --> 00:38:16,160 Speaker 1: That's Pod two zero, so almost out on the best 750 00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:20,280 Speaker 1: bets at the best prices. Visit actionnetwork dot Com slash 751 00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:24,319 Speaker 1: pro and use promo code Pod two zero to get 752 00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:27,880 Speaker 1: twenty dollars off a year of Action Pro. All right, 753 00:38:27,960 --> 00:38:32,239 Speaker 1: let's jump over to the North stuck. Start with the 754 00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:37,400 Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens. Lamar Jackson one of the best passing seasons 755 00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:42,239 Speaker 1: ever in the NFL, and they find a way to 756 00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:46,440 Speaker 1: fall short in the playoffs yet again. But mean small sample. 757 00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:51,600 Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson still excellent, this team, roster building excellent. Eleven 758 00:38:51,640 --> 00:38:54,400 Speaker 1: and a half is the win total? What do you 759 00:38:54,440 --> 00:38:58,200 Speaker 1: think about that? And just the kind of trajectory of 760 00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:01,440 Speaker 1: this is of this team. Do they get the hump finally? 761 00:39:04,640 --> 00:39:07,400 Speaker 2: I Mean, the thing is people want to like the 762 00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:10,920 Speaker 2: mar Jackson has to be better in the playoffs, but 763 00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:13,120 Speaker 2: like it's such a small sample, and like the ring 764 00:39:13,200 --> 00:39:16,440 Speaker 2: this when the Ravens won the Super Bowl twenty twelve 765 00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:19,719 Speaker 2: with Flacco, that was their worst team over like the 766 00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:21,960 Speaker 2: stretch of like six years their defense was all old 767 00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:24,160 Speaker 2: and washed, and Flacco just got in. He got hot, 768 00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:29,279 Speaker 2: and they beat Luck Brady Manning and then Kaeperdick and 769 00:39:29,320 --> 00:39:32,040 Speaker 2: the Niners. Like there's a lot of luck in the NFL. 770 00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:34,680 Speaker 2: And the Chiefs are really good. The Bills are really good. 771 00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:38,440 Speaker 2: But yeah, it sucks because the last two years I 772 00:39:38,440 --> 00:39:40,480 Speaker 2: had them powered to number one the end of the 773 00:39:40,560 --> 00:39:42,880 Speaker 2: year and they didn't even get to a super Bowl. 774 00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:47,640 Speaker 2: And it's funny and in the division, the only quarterback, 775 00:39:47,680 --> 00:39:50,400 Speaker 2: the only starting quarterback in NFC North that has not 776 00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:52,400 Speaker 2: gone to a super Bowl is Lamar Jackson. 777 00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:54,239 Speaker 1: That's nuts, isn't it? 778 00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:57,839 Speaker 2: So Yeah, I mean their offense was awesome last year. 779 00:39:57,880 --> 00:39:59,640 Speaker 2: What else can you say? And they faced the hardest 780 00:39:59,640 --> 00:40:06,000 Speaker 2: schedule of opposing defenses and their offenses that elite. What 781 00:40:06,080 --> 00:40:08,440 Speaker 2: is what am I worried about this year? Number one? 782 00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:11,399 Speaker 2: By the way, if you look at DVA, they were 783 00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:13,360 Speaker 2: the last two years, they were the fifth and seventh 784 00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:15,359 Speaker 2: best team of all time and they didn't even get 785 00:40:15,360 --> 00:40:19,560 Speaker 2: to a super Bowl. Yeah, they went twelve and five 786 00:40:19,600 --> 00:40:21,520 Speaker 2: last year. They should have went twelve five. They can 787 00:40:21,560 --> 00:40:23,720 Speaker 2: they win some close games? Can they get some takeaways? 788 00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:25,960 Speaker 2: I'd like to see that, like that's that's kind of 789 00:40:26,160 --> 00:40:29,000 Speaker 2: been the missing pieces. The penalties, they were unlucky there, 790 00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:30,440 Speaker 2: there could be some aggression, like if you just look 791 00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:34,200 Speaker 2: at like subjective penalties, they were pretty unlucky. Their special 792 00:40:34,200 --> 00:40:35,960 Speaker 2: teams also, the first time they were outside the top 793 00:40:36,040 --> 00:40:39,040 Speaker 2: ten since twenty eleven. They dropped off there a bit. 794 00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:42,879 Speaker 2: They were like a bottom ten special teams unit. New 795 00:40:42,960 --> 00:40:48,160 Speaker 2: kicker like wester Western is electric re turner like him 796 00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:50,919 Speaker 2: a lot. So we'll see out with a new kicker 797 00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:53,719 Speaker 2: does in Baltimore. But the offense. The only thing I'm 798 00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:56,279 Speaker 2: worried about the offense and the team in general because 799 00:40:56,280 --> 00:41:00,680 Speaker 2: I still have empowered to one is health. They were 800 00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:04,759 Speaker 2: number one in adjust the games loss on offense and 801 00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:09,840 Speaker 2: defense last year. So is there injury regression. I'm already 802 00:41:09,880 --> 00:41:14,399 Speaker 2: seeing that. Isaiah likely when's he gonna be ready? We'll 803 00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:16,439 Speaker 2: see because I worry about the health of the team 804 00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:19,359 Speaker 2: a lot. Like a lot keeps me up at night, 805 00:41:19,400 --> 00:41:21,200 Speaker 2: even though I'm not. I don't sleep. They would keep 806 00:41:21,200 --> 00:41:23,200 Speaker 2: me up at night if I did at this point 807 00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:27,120 Speaker 2: in the season. But what I worry about offense, the 808 00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:30,520 Speaker 2: guards maybe like you've lost McCary, So I'll watch the guards, 809 00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:32,560 Speaker 2: but like, as long as they're healthy, this offense is 810 00:41:33,239 --> 00:41:37,839 Speaker 2: by the best in the NFL. Like, there's not much 811 00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:43,000 Speaker 2: to nitpick. Yeah, they added Hopkins has probably washed, but 812 00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:46,279 Speaker 2: like who cares, They've run a lot. As long as 813 00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:50,000 Speaker 2: Likely and Andrews are healthy, like they they're gonna you 814 00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:52,400 Speaker 2: got Mitchell too, could contribute. 815 00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:55,319 Speaker 1: Western Walker's year, like they could they get they could 816 00:41:55,320 --> 00:41:56,800 Speaker 1: have somebody step run. 817 00:41:56,719 --> 00:41:59,960 Speaker 2: Like more shoot tight ends and six offensive linemen. They 818 00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:01,880 Speaker 2: they don't use a ton of free wide receivers, so 819 00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:08,279 Speaker 2: like who cares? So yeah, I want to watch just 820 00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:10,520 Speaker 2: the health of the offensive line. Warhees at left guard. 821 00:42:10,560 --> 00:42:13,960 Speaker 2: But the offense can be really good. Defense they should 822 00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:15,719 Speaker 2: be really good. They turned it on last year and 823 00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:18,680 Speaker 2: they made some changes pretty much about week eleven. They 824 00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:21,239 Speaker 2: were really bad past events. They were number one pretty 825 00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:23,440 Speaker 2: much the rest of the way. What they did is 826 00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:25,160 Speaker 2: they we talked about the sat and Aussea on this 827 00:42:25,160 --> 00:42:29,279 Speaker 2: podcast last year, but they moved Humphrey to slot. They 828 00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:35,200 Speaker 2: moved Hamilton back to deep safety, communication changes. Washington went 829 00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:37,800 Speaker 2: in at safety, They got Marcus Williams out of the lineup, 830 00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:42,600 Speaker 2: and everything changed. Well, Washington is out for the year, 831 00:42:42,760 --> 00:42:44,839 Speaker 2: which is a big loss. Not enough people a talking 832 00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:47,520 Speaker 2: about they need starks to hit at safety and they 833 00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:51,000 Speaker 2: need starks getting back to health. They need starks Humphrey 834 00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:55,800 Speaker 2: and Hamilton to stay healthy. The depth of safety is bad, 835 00:42:56,280 --> 00:42:58,000 Speaker 2: so they can have a stafe. They need starks to 836 00:42:58,200 --> 00:43:03,200 Speaker 2: hit and they they need them to stay healthy outside 837 00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:11,640 Speaker 2: corner I like, but like will Alexander, Like, he's already 838 00:43:11,680 --> 00:43:14,279 Speaker 2: now hurt already, So is that what we're gonna be 839 00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:17,880 Speaker 2: doing all year? If he's healthy, if the whole secondary 840 00:43:17,920 --> 00:43:19,880 Speaker 2: is healthy, it's just like all first round picks this 841 00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:22,799 Speaker 2: entire Like it would be so nasty. But how much 842 00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:29,080 Speaker 2: can you count on, uh, Alexander? Probably not much. Like 843 00:43:29,120 --> 00:43:32,160 Speaker 2: my hope for the Ravens is that who cares play 844 00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:36,839 Speaker 2: play seven games and then be healthy for the playoffs 845 00:43:37,440 --> 00:43:40,720 Speaker 2: is when you get healthy Alexander. But that cornerback two spot, 846 00:43:40,760 --> 00:43:44,200 Speaker 2: maybe it's Kaboozie, would be fine, But like, the depth 847 00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:49,479 Speaker 2: overall at safety specifically is a little questionable. They're gonna 848 00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:51,480 Speaker 2: run a ton of like because you need d backs. 849 00:43:51,480 --> 00:43:54,480 Speaker 2: They're gonna we're gonna rush for a lot of disguise 850 00:43:54,640 --> 00:43:57,520 Speaker 2: simulation light boxes. He's a lot of five and six 851 00:43:57,600 --> 00:44:01,759 Speaker 2: defensive backs, so injuries are just huge for this this 852 00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:04,360 Speaker 2: unit in particular. But I like Wiggins, I like Starks, 853 00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:09,960 Speaker 2: but I need to see it. Linebackers, man, but you're like, 854 00:44:10,360 --> 00:44:12,239 Speaker 2: it's gonna be Rope just broke one out there most 855 00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:16,800 Speaker 2: of the time. Defensive line. I like the additional Mike Green. 856 00:44:19,719 --> 00:44:21,319 Speaker 2: I think that he's just was a steal. I think 857 00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:24,880 Speaker 2: they the draft was excellent again, So yeah, defense, just 858 00:44:24,960 --> 00:44:27,000 Speaker 2: stay healthy. I want to watch some of the the 859 00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:28,440 Speaker 2: second of disitions. They got to stay healthy in the 860 00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:31,920 Speaker 2: secondary watching Starks, what will Alexander give them? Will he 861 00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:36,319 Speaker 2: stay healthy? Because if he's like healthy and they're there, 862 00:44:36,520 --> 00:44:37,840 Speaker 2: you're not gonna able to throw on this team if 863 00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:41,359 Speaker 2: their entire secondary is healthy and the rundy is gonna 864 00:44:41,400 --> 00:44:42,960 Speaker 2: be good. So like and they can do that with 865 00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:45,000 Speaker 2: a light box like that. Yeah, this this is the 866 00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:47,600 Speaker 2: best team in NFL M my opinion. It's got to 867 00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:49,399 Speaker 2: stay healthy. And there are some questions, as there are 868 00:44:49,400 --> 00:44:54,759 Speaker 2: without every team. I you look at their schedule, it's 869 00:44:55,800 --> 00:44:59,120 Speaker 2: it's tough early five of the first six versus playoff 870 00:44:59,120 --> 00:45:01,920 Speaker 2: teams before thereby, and then this schedule really lightens up. 871 00:45:02,920 --> 00:45:04,719 Speaker 2: The hope is like that they'll be healthy going into 872 00:45:04,760 --> 00:45:07,240 Speaker 2: the season. Then you can deal with some maybe overdue 873 00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:11,120 Speaker 2: injuries when their schedule eases up, because like at Buffalo, 874 00:45:11,239 --> 00:45:13,399 Speaker 2: huge game right off the bat, like will likely play, 875 00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:17,560 Speaker 2: will they be healthy everywhere? And then they're obviously at 876 00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:20,120 Speaker 2: KC too, so at Buffalo at case, those are your 877 00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:22,279 Speaker 2: two potential tiebreaker games. You gotta go on the road 878 00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:25,560 Speaker 2: for both. Not going to be easy, but uh yeah, 879 00:45:25,560 --> 00:45:27,080 Speaker 2: it's gonna be one of the best teams in the NFL. 880 00:45:27,280 --> 00:45:33,800 Speaker 2: I project them eleven to seven, so I'm right on 881 00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:38,520 Speaker 2: market watching health that's the biggest thing, and then a 882 00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:41,600 Speaker 2: couple of guys in the secondary how that plays out. 883 00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:45,440 Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean we're nitpicking here. It's just one 884 00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:47,000 Speaker 2: of the best teams the NFL, probably in the mix, 885 00:45:47,320 --> 00:45:49,080 Speaker 2: like the Floor, I got nine to ten wins if 886 00:45:49,120 --> 00:45:51,440 Speaker 2: it's not a disastrous injury situation. 887 00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:53,799 Speaker 1: Yeah, I gotta have a super Bowl ticket on them. 888 00:45:53,840 --> 00:45:56,279 Speaker 1: I think this is another team you want. You want 889 00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:58,840 Speaker 1: that super Bowl ticket, you want that, you want that 890 00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:04,759 Speaker 1: upside with this team. I don't necessarily love the AFC North, uh, 891 00:46:05,160 --> 00:46:07,759 Speaker 1: just only because I think the Bengals could bounce back. 892 00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:09,840 Speaker 1: You know, there's there's some uncertainty. They're probably not but 893 00:46:10,120 --> 00:46:11,480 Speaker 1: I think there's that used the chance and then the 894 00:46:11,520 --> 00:46:14,239 Speaker 1: Steelers always find a way to be around with So 895 00:46:14,320 --> 00:46:17,359 Speaker 1: if the the Ravens have injury issues, I don't want 896 00:46:17,400 --> 00:46:19,399 Speaker 1: to weigh minus one seven. It's not a terrible price, 897 00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:22,640 Speaker 1: but I think I still want the upside with this team. 898 00:46:22,680 --> 00:46:25,719 Speaker 1: I just think of Lamar Jackson is so good. And 899 00:46:26,080 --> 00:46:29,439 Speaker 1: we talked about depth. I think depth on the market. 900 00:46:30,120 --> 00:46:32,279 Speaker 1: They have a lot of Mary's where I'm worried about 901 00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:35,640 Speaker 1: the depth, but I mean I think it's I think 902 00:46:35,640 --> 00:46:38,360 Speaker 1: it's actually solid. I mean, I know, I know Washington 903 00:46:38,440 --> 00:46:39,640 Speaker 1: laid down, but these. 904 00:46:39,600 --> 00:46:43,440 Speaker 2: If Starks doesn't hit or like Hamilton, it's hurt, you're 905 00:46:43,480 --> 00:46:46,840 Speaker 2: talking about very enormous. 906 00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:51,799 Speaker 1: Yeah, well yeah, yeah, you know they'd signed somebody some old, 907 00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:55,440 Speaker 1: somebody old, like some guys that was nice in like 908 00:46:55,480 --> 00:46:57,200 Speaker 1: two thousand, but like. 909 00:46:57,239 --> 00:46:59,320 Speaker 2: The Marcus was was a disaster by the way that 910 00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:01,880 Speaker 2: you know, the Raiders should sign like a that corner 911 00:47:01,960 --> 00:47:04,560 Speaker 2: or something seriously going back to them, but. 912 00:47:04,800 --> 00:47:08,120 Speaker 1: Uh yeah, they're a very deep team overall. But yeah, 913 00:47:08,200 --> 00:47:10,720 Speaker 1: I think a little deeper than they've been in past years. 914 00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:13,439 Speaker 1: So but but Lamar just gives them such a such 915 00:47:13,480 --> 00:47:17,560 Speaker 1: a floor ceiling nowadays. Yeah, I mean, I think they 916 00:47:17,680 --> 00:47:19,719 Speaker 1: underperformed for how good he played last year. 917 00:47:20,120 --> 00:47:24,120 Speaker 2: So uh yeah, more than seven in like three years. 918 00:47:24,640 --> 00:47:27,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, They're gonna be there there. It's just Buffalo has 919 00:47:27,560 --> 00:47:30,120 Speaker 1: an easier schedule by way of playing in the AFC East, 920 00:47:30,360 --> 00:47:32,040 Speaker 1: and I think Buffalo is a better bet for the 921 00:47:32,120 --> 00:47:34,600 Speaker 1: number one seed. The Ravens, you know, they gotta they 922 00:47:34,640 --> 00:47:36,560 Speaker 1: gotta deal with Pittsburgh twice a year, and you know 923 00:47:36,640 --> 00:47:41,120 Speaker 1: Cincinnati's offense, and but uh, team wise, I do think 924 00:47:41,160 --> 00:47:43,000 Speaker 1: they are they are better than the Bills. 925 00:47:43,680 --> 00:47:46,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I would. I would like for that Week one. 926 00:47:47,600 --> 00:47:50,520 Speaker 2: I would like for I think it is actually critical 927 00:47:50,520 --> 00:47:53,400 Speaker 2: if like likely plays or not, because where can you 928 00:47:53,440 --> 00:47:55,640 Speaker 2: attack the Bills Like I had all the likely props 929 00:47:55,680 --> 00:47:57,840 Speaker 2: in that game last year. Yeah, you could just attack 930 00:47:57,920 --> 00:48:01,920 Speaker 2: the Bills safety's middle of the field. So I think 931 00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:04,879 Speaker 2: it's I think that's worth monitoring. I's likely he's back 932 00:48:04,960 --> 00:48:07,719 Speaker 2: in time for that game specifically, which could decide like 933 00:48:07,760 --> 00:48:09,160 Speaker 2: the tiebreaker and the one. 934 00:48:09,520 --> 00:48:11,279 Speaker 1: I mean, that would be ridiculous, But I like I 935 00:48:11,400 --> 00:48:13,120 Speaker 1: like the way, you know, I mean they they also 936 00:48:13,200 --> 00:48:14,680 Speaker 1: face the Lions in Week three, and I know we're 937 00:48:14,760 --> 00:48:16,080 Speaker 1: kind of down on the lines we'll talk about that 938 00:48:16,080 --> 00:48:19,640 Speaker 1: in our NFC pod, but just a lot of and 939 00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:21,560 Speaker 1: then they face Houston in Week five, which is another 940 00:48:21,600 --> 00:48:23,120 Speaker 1: one of those teams in the AFC thought to be 941 00:48:23,160 --> 00:48:24,960 Speaker 1: in that second tier. So they face a lot of 942 00:48:25,000 --> 00:48:28,200 Speaker 1: good teams early on. If they can get through those, 943 00:48:28,560 --> 00:48:30,759 Speaker 1: you know, even with a winning record. I mean, this 944 00:48:30,880 --> 00:48:32,040 Speaker 1: team's off to the races, so. 945 00:48:33,680 --> 00:48:36,399 Speaker 2: Golf in Baltimore, that'll be yeah. 946 00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:40,520 Speaker 1: True, I'm still still an interesting game though. Uh all right, 947 00:48:40,560 --> 00:48:42,400 Speaker 1: let's go to the Bengals. And the Bengals, I mean, 948 00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:45,919 Speaker 1: is it worth spending time on this team? 949 00:48:48,719 --> 00:48:49,440 Speaker 2: What we know? 950 00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:53,360 Speaker 1: The defense, the bat Yeah, I mean they're nine and 951 00:48:53,400 --> 00:48:54,719 Speaker 1: a half off. 952 00:48:55,880 --> 00:48:58,160 Speaker 2: They're just running it back on offense. They paid all 953 00:48:58,160 --> 00:49:00,239 Speaker 2: their guys. They're gonna have new guards. They be a 954 00:49:00,280 --> 00:49:00,719 Speaker 2: little better. 955 00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:03,520 Speaker 1: So Tinsley, baby, Mitchell, Tinsley. 956 00:49:03,320 --> 00:49:06,040 Speaker 2: Tinsley, Yeah, Davis, they should have not signed Higgins there, 957 00:49:06,160 --> 00:49:09,440 Speaker 2: Tinsley and then get someone on Dperiously. Yeah, Bolston and 958 00:49:09,520 --> 00:49:12,000 Speaker 2: Kapa were terrible at guard last year, so you could 959 00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:14,600 Speaker 2: have two rookies starting. So maybe it's worse, but there's 960 00:49:14,600 --> 00:49:18,000 Speaker 2: probably more upside now with Rivers and Fairchild. They added 961 00:49:18,080 --> 00:49:20,960 Speaker 2: Patrick too, but he's hurt right now. So, I mean, 962 00:49:20,960 --> 00:49:22,440 Speaker 2: the offense is gonna be a great as long as 963 00:49:22,440 --> 00:49:28,239 Speaker 2: they say healthy, it's the defense. Like the defense was 964 00:49:28,320 --> 00:49:31,960 Speaker 2: so bad last year and they played an easy schedule 965 00:49:32,200 --> 00:49:36,719 Speaker 2: and it was that bad, and like they might lose 966 00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:38,520 Speaker 2: the only two players who were good on that D 967 00:49:38,719 --> 00:49:43,279 Speaker 2: last year Hilton was good in nickel and Hendrickson had 968 00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:45,400 Speaker 2: what are the seventeen and a half eight sacks? The 969 00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:48,040 Speaker 2: rest of the team had like eighteen carried. What's going 970 00:49:48,080 --> 00:49:52,480 Speaker 2: on with Hendrickson? They they cannot draft on the defense, 971 00:49:52,600 --> 00:49:54,160 Speaker 2: they can't hit, and I don't like there's draft this 972 00:49:54,200 --> 00:49:56,279 Speaker 2: year either, So like all that adds up, Like look 973 00:49:56,280 --> 00:49:57,759 Speaker 2: at all the busts that they have that they now 974 00:49:57,840 --> 00:50:00,320 Speaker 2: need to count on. And if Hendrickson's not there, like 975 00:50:01,480 --> 00:50:04,719 Speaker 2: maybe the hope is you bring it al Golden. You're 976 00:50:04,719 --> 00:50:07,560 Speaker 2: probably gonna have more like four three base less d 977 00:50:07,719 --> 00:50:10,560 Speaker 2: backs on the field more man, can you do that with? 978 00:50:10,840 --> 00:50:13,640 Speaker 2: I mean, can Cam Taylor Bread regain form? Can DJ 979 00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:17,520 Speaker 2: Turner be a good corner? Hill probably move in the nickel? 980 00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:21,279 Speaker 2: Can these guys be the guys? The personnel in this 981 00:50:21,360 --> 00:50:22,920 Speaker 2: D is so bad because they haven't been able to 982 00:50:23,000 --> 00:50:25,200 Speaker 2: draft how to pay their offensive guys. And if you 983 00:50:25,239 --> 00:50:28,120 Speaker 2: don't have Hendrickson, who sounds like is gonna get traded, 984 00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:32,560 Speaker 2: it's bad. So what does that mean? This team could 985 00:50:32,560 --> 00:50:38,040 Speaker 2: beat anyone any Sunday. They also could lose anybody, and hopefully, 986 00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:39,640 Speaker 2: if you're a Bengals fanner, you bet the over. They 987 00:50:39,680 --> 00:50:42,359 Speaker 2: don't start out bad. They host the Jags and they're 988 00:50:42,360 --> 00:50:44,400 Speaker 2: at the Browns. They start off out every year and 989 00:50:44,480 --> 00:50:47,120 Speaker 2: it cost them, could cost them win total, could cost 990 00:50:47,120 --> 00:50:50,000 Speaker 2: some playoffs. But Taylor's one and eleven in his first 991 00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:55,640 Speaker 2: two games in Cincinnati. Yeah, so what does that mean? 992 00:50:55,680 --> 00:50:57,600 Speaker 2: They're gonna be able to score on anybody if they're healthy. 993 00:50:58,560 --> 00:51:00,239 Speaker 2: I don't even know what Golden can do. They're not 994 00:51:00,280 --> 00:51:03,520 Speaker 2: gonna stop anybody me watching them in the preseason when 995 00:51:03,719 --> 00:51:07,279 Speaker 2: is vomit inducing? When their first team's out there? So 996 00:51:07,400 --> 00:51:08,480 Speaker 2: what does that mean? They're gonna be in a ton 997 00:51:08,480 --> 00:51:11,320 Speaker 2: of shootouts and a ton of one possession games, and 998 00:51:11,440 --> 00:51:13,080 Speaker 2: there's just a ton of variant. There's gonna be a 999 00:51:13,080 --> 00:51:16,400 Speaker 2: ton of coin flips. And do they are they They 1000 00:51:16,480 --> 00:51:18,200 Speaker 2: have a good year in one session games, they have 1001 00:51:18,239 --> 00:51:21,120 Speaker 2: a bad year hot turnovers. How does the ball bounce 1002 00:51:21,160 --> 00:51:23,799 Speaker 2: for them? Is the special teams? Is it bounce back 1003 00:51:23,840 --> 00:51:26,600 Speaker 2: this year? Kicker? So I don't know. There's got a 1004 00:51:26,640 --> 00:51:29,120 Speaker 2: ton of coin flips. So like the win total for 1005 00:51:29,320 --> 00:51:35,040 Speaker 2: me at what is it at nine and a half? Yeah, 1006 00:51:35,800 --> 00:51:39,280 Speaker 2: like feels right like their offense gives them a high floor. 1007 00:51:40,160 --> 00:51:42,840 Speaker 2: I mean I project them nine to two, so I 1008 00:51:42,960 --> 00:51:45,000 Speaker 2: can't go over. I don't want to bet against them. 1009 00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:46,759 Speaker 2: I don't want to bet on them. I don't think 1010 00:51:46,800 --> 00:51:50,279 Speaker 2: they have the defense that can get them through the 1011 00:51:50,400 --> 00:51:52,799 Speaker 2: AFC and win a Super Bowl. I think they're too 1012 00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:54,319 Speaker 2: far away. You gotta remember when they got the Super Bowl, 1013 00:51:54,320 --> 00:51:57,279 Speaker 2: they had a top ten defense that year. This is 1014 00:51:57,320 --> 00:51:59,919 Speaker 2: the bottom five defense. I don't even I don't see 1015 00:52:00,120 --> 00:52:03,600 Speaker 2: how it could. Defenses are very we always I talk 1016 00:52:03,640 --> 00:52:06,239 Speaker 2: about this on both ends. Defenses are very inconsistent year 1017 00:52:06,239 --> 00:52:09,680 Speaker 2: to year. So they could improve, Like can they be average? 1018 00:52:09,719 --> 00:52:11,960 Speaker 2: That's all they need to be. I just don't see 1019 00:52:11,960 --> 00:52:14,560 Speaker 2: the path. And if you don't have Hendrickson, and what 1020 00:52:14,760 --> 00:52:17,279 Speaker 2: is the path that this defense, Like everyone has career years, 1021 00:52:18,800 --> 00:52:19,200 Speaker 2: I don't know. 1022 00:52:19,360 --> 00:52:20,880 Speaker 1: So it just because one it would just be one 1023 00:52:20,920 --> 00:52:23,200 Speaker 1: of those defenses like kind of like the Chargers where 1024 00:52:23,239 --> 00:52:26,719 Speaker 1: it's just well schemed and uh, they kind of get 1025 00:52:26,760 --> 00:52:30,759 Speaker 1: by and beat you know, like their offensesives play. 1026 00:52:30,880 --> 00:52:33,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, but that's something about golden plate like so I 1027 00:52:33,120 --> 00:52:35,239 Speaker 2: don't know. So they Yeah, they could beat anyone in 1028 00:52:35,239 --> 00:52:37,040 Speaker 2: any day, and they could lose anybody and a ton 1029 00:52:37,080 --> 00:52:39,080 Speaker 2: of coin flips. Their offensive be elite, defensive be bad 1030 00:52:39,200 --> 00:52:41,879 Speaker 2: most likely, and we'll see how many of the close 1031 00:52:41,920 --> 00:52:43,279 Speaker 2: games they win and if they can actually get off 1032 00:52:43,320 --> 00:52:46,479 Speaker 2: to a good start, that's their season. Schedule gets much harder. 1033 00:52:46,640 --> 00:52:48,440 Speaker 2: Bottom five last year, top ten this year. 1034 00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:51,359 Speaker 1: Yeah, but they know it's gonna happen, right, They're gonna 1035 00:52:51,400 --> 00:52:53,360 Speaker 1: be Their win total is gonna come down to the 1036 00:52:53,480 --> 00:52:56,520 Speaker 1: last three games where they're probably in their playoff hopes 1037 00:52:56,560 --> 00:52:59,080 Speaker 1: probably too. They're gonna be desperate. They'll probably be like, 1038 00:52:59,800 --> 00:53:03,760 Speaker 1: what would that be, like seven and seven and seven 1039 00:53:03,920 --> 00:53:07,000 Speaker 1: or something like that. And then at Miami Arizona home 1040 00:53:07,040 --> 00:53:09,400 Speaker 1: for Arizona home for Cleveland, they'll have to they'll have 1041 00:53:09,520 --> 00:53:11,800 Speaker 1: to go three and oh everyone will think they'll do it, 1042 00:53:11,800 --> 00:53:14,440 Speaker 1: and they'll probably go like one and two and something 1043 00:53:14,640 --> 00:53:15,160 Speaker 1: silly like that. 1044 00:53:15,480 --> 00:53:17,480 Speaker 2: But and they'll probably lose to the Browns week one. 1045 00:53:17,960 --> 00:53:20,360 Speaker 2: Like that's the type of game that a team of 1046 00:53:20,440 --> 00:53:22,640 Speaker 2: a horrendous defense in Division on the road Week one, 1047 00:53:22,719 --> 00:53:24,880 Speaker 2: especially the Bengals. But at least Burrows like healthy now 1048 00:53:25,040 --> 00:53:27,359 Speaker 2: to start the year. He never is usually I mean oh. 1049 00:53:27,440 --> 00:53:29,759 Speaker 1: Barely barely because he saw you see how many times 1050 00:53:29,800 --> 00:53:30,360 Speaker 1: he gets sacked. 1051 00:53:30,560 --> 00:53:36,399 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the wind totals right, Yeah, I think 1052 00:53:36,400 --> 00:53:36,759 Speaker 2: it's right. 1053 00:53:36,760 --> 00:53:38,880 Speaker 1: I think the the best bet for the Bengals is 1054 00:53:40,440 --> 00:53:44,239 Speaker 1: either a long shot Super Bowl, you know AFC, or 1055 00:53:45,160 --> 00:53:47,279 Speaker 1: take a shot on them at the division. They are 1056 00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:50,319 Speaker 1: plus two eighty. Again, the Ravens are clearly the best team. 1057 00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:54,120 Speaker 1: But we know the Rave What the Ravens do the Steelers, 1058 00:53:54,920 --> 00:53:55,759 Speaker 1: let's talk about them. 1059 00:53:55,800 --> 00:53:58,480 Speaker 2: I mean, it's just what the Ravens Bengals total is 1060 00:53:58,520 --> 00:53:59,600 Speaker 2: going to be seventy. 1061 00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:04,320 Speaker 1: Right, I mean it depends how many raven uh like, 1062 00:54:04,400 --> 00:54:06,600 Speaker 1: how many people on the secondary for the Ravens are out, 1063 00:54:06,800 --> 00:54:09,520 Speaker 1: which you know is gonna be high. But the Steelers 1064 00:54:09,560 --> 00:54:12,480 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. You know, Caleb Johnson is playing with the 1065 00:54:12,560 --> 00:54:14,880 Speaker 1: third string, so that that's weird. And then you know 1066 00:54:14,920 --> 00:54:19,040 Speaker 1: they got Aaron Rodgers. But the defense always tends to 1067 00:54:19,160 --> 00:54:21,440 Speaker 1: be good. But I mean I think are they a 1068 00:54:21,480 --> 00:54:23,000 Speaker 1: floor team or steeling? Like this is gonna be the 1069 00:54:23,080 --> 00:54:26,800 Speaker 1: year they finally go under that Tomlin winning five hundred, 1070 00:54:27,160 --> 00:54:28,719 Speaker 1: or are they just gonna be the same kind of 1071 00:54:28,760 --> 00:54:31,480 Speaker 1: team where they're gonna be an annoying, you know, nine 1072 00:54:31,520 --> 00:54:33,960 Speaker 1: to ten win team and flame out in the first round. 1073 00:54:35,560 --> 00:54:38,680 Speaker 2: I project that updated eight two not enough to go under. 1074 00:54:38,719 --> 00:54:41,240 Speaker 2: Thank god. I don't want to deal with going against 1075 00:54:41,239 --> 00:54:43,080 Speaker 2: the Tomlin who. 1076 00:54:43,480 --> 00:54:45,799 Speaker 1: Yeaht was eight and a half, like even money pretty 1077 00:54:45,840 --> 00:54:47,680 Speaker 1: much both both confessions. 1078 00:54:48,080 --> 00:54:52,040 Speaker 2: The like what's probably gonna happen is what happens every year. 1079 00:54:52,680 --> 00:54:55,080 Speaker 2: They'll start off and then fade. I mean, their schedule 1080 00:54:55,120 --> 00:54:56,799 Speaker 2: the first six, the quarterbacks they face in the first 1081 00:54:56,800 --> 00:55:01,719 Speaker 2: six games, their fields, Donald May, McCarthy and Placo. Then 1082 00:55:01,760 --> 00:55:05,239 Speaker 2: the schedule gets brutal. They're one possession merchants, but they've 1083 00:55:05,280 --> 00:55:07,759 Speaker 2: been that every year. Turnovers the plus forty two the 1084 00:55:07,840 --> 00:55:09,920 Speaker 2: last five years plus sixteen last year. Only team that's 1085 00:55:09,920 --> 00:55:11,680 Speaker 2: had a positive turnover margin the least seven years. I 1086 00:55:11,719 --> 00:55:14,719 Speaker 2: don't know how they do it, but they do. They 1087 00:55:14,760 --> 00:55:18,080 Speaker 2: always force turnovers and key ways. Can Boswell be the 1088 00:55:18,120 --> 00:55:20,040 Speaker 2: best kicker in the NFL still? I mean he's thirty 1089 00:55:20,080 --> 00:55:23,200 Speaker 2: four now. He was unbelievable last year. That helped him 1090 00:55:23,200 --> 00:55:24,640 Speaker 2: in close games and the way that they play, but 1091 00:55:24,719 --> 00:55:26,680 Speaker 2: Tucker had his drop off at thirty four. That's what 1092 00:55:26,840 --> 00:55:30,360 Speaker 2: Boswell is now. They need him to be good defense, 1093 00:55:31,239 --> 00:55:34,600 Speaker 2: Like the front seven is gonna be really good. Even 1094 00:55:34,640 --> 00:55:36,759 Speaker 2: though I would not have paid what what they gave him, 1095 00:55:36,760 --> 00:55:40,440 Speaker 2: but you kind of had to. You got Thornhill for Fitzpatrick. 1096 00:55:40,680 --> 00:55:42,520 Speaker 2: It's kind of a wash. It's a little bit of 1097 00:55:42,560 --> 00:55:45,040 Speaker 2: a downgrade, but I think Fitzpatrick was on the way down. 1098 00:55:45,400 --> 00:55:49,080 Speaker 2: You had Ramsey. It's weird because Ramsey's probably gonna play Nickel, 1099 00:55:49,800 --> 00:55:52,200 Speaker 2: but like I thought, they liked Bishop and I thought 1100 00:55:52,239 --> 00:55:54,879 Speaker 2: he was showed some good things, but he might get cut. 1101 00:55:55,280 --> 00:55:57,399 Speaker 2: Like they're running Echoless the backup Nickel. 1102 00:55:57,520 --> 00:55:59,640 Speaker 1: That's probably a good thing because their secondary was shaky 1103 00:55:59,719 --> 00:56:04,480 Speaker 1: and they have I mean Thornhill slay order. 1104 00:56:05,320 --> 00:56:09,320 Speaker 2: It's an aging d overall, but their defense should be solid. 1105 00:56:09,800 --> 00:56:14,000 Speaker 2: I think their offense it's just all like flip Metcalf 1106 00:56:14,200 --> 00:56:16,960 Speaker 2: flop pickings for Metcal. I think that's an upgrade just 1107 00:56:17,200 --> 00:56:21,080 Speaker 2: locker room alone. You had john Nehus Smith. It's Arthur Smith. 1108 00:56:21,440 --> 00:56:23,880 Speaker 2: You had a probably give me a lot of two 1109 00:56:23,920 --> 00:56:27,120 Speaker 2: tight ends stuff. It's all about the offensive line development 1110 00:56:27,200 --> 00:56:28,960 Speaker 2: and then what Rogers is and what does he have 1111 00:56:29,120 --> 00:56:32,040 Speaker 2: left was last year more of just his age, partly 1112 00:56:32,080 --> 00:56:34,920 Speaker 2: how much or how much was an injury, But you know, 1113 00:56:35,000 --> 00:56:37,680 Speaker 2: you get Feltano back from injury, Jones moves to left tackle. 1114 00:56:38,000 --> 00:56:41,239 Speaker 2: They've been investing draft picks in the offensive line. Can 1115 00:56:41,320 --> 00:56:43,279 Speaker 2: that offensive line take that next step? And then what 1116 00:56:43,360 --> 00:56:46,600 Speaker 2: does Rogers have left? But I don't know me. They're 1117 00:56:46,600 --> 00:56:48,439 Speaker 2: probably gonna voo their way. They're gonna steal a couple 1118 00:56:48,480 --> 00:56:50,319 Speaker 2: of games. They're gonna win the turn of a battle. 1119 00:56:50,320 --> 00:56:53,080 Speaker 2: They're gonna be good in one possession games. Boswell, if 1120 00:56:53,120 --> 00:56:55,600 Speaker 2: he's as good like, they'll help him win those close games. 1121 00:56:55,640 --> 00:56:58,239 Speaker 2: And they're probably gonna finish nine and eight. 1122 00:56:58,960 --> 00:57:05,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Pittsburgh is still annoyingly better than the 1123 00:57:05,880 --> 00:57:08,239 Speaker 1: market thinks they're going to be. I would go over 1124 00:57:08,239 --> 00:57:11,000 Speaker 1: there win total. Now that I'm looking at their schedule, 1125 00:57:11,520 --> 00:57:13,440 Speaker 1: they do have some they have some tough spots. I 1126 00:57:13,480 --> 00:57:18,120 Speaker 1: mean they go to Buffalo, at Baltimore and at Detroit 1127 00:57:18,200 --> 00:57:21,200 Speaker 1: and then they finish up with Baltimore. But that's Week eighteen, 1128 00:57:21,280 --> 00:57:24,320 Speaker 1: so they might get a break there. But I think 1129 00:57:24,640 --> 00:57:28,120 Speaker 1: Mason Rudolph with this squad can probably still still win 1130 00:57:28,240 --> 00:57:30,920 Speaker 1: games for them like the de as long as the 1131 00:57:30,920 --> 00:57:33,160 Speaker 1: defense stays healthy and that's the big key because the 1132 00:57:33,240 --> 00:57:35,920 Speaker 1: offense it's just kind of the same offense. You know, 1133 00:57:36,000 --> 00:57:39,720 Speaker 1: they just replaced Naji Harris with Johnson, and they replaced 1134 00:57:39,760 --> 00:57:42,880 Speaker 1: Metcalf Pickins with metcalfs And I mean, I guess you 1135 00:57:42,920 --> 00:57:45,560 Speaker 1: could say, yeah, the John Who, John Who could be 1136 00:57:45,760 --> 00:57:47,880 Speaker 1: an ex factor. He's healthy because he is hurt right now. 1137 00:57:48,080 --> 00:57:50,160 Speaker 1: But he because Arthur Smith does get a lot out 1138 00:57:50,160 --> 00:57:52,120 Speaker 1: of him, and he seems like Arthur Smith. They were 1139 00:57:52,160 --> 00:57:55,400 Speaker 1: really aggressive targeting john Who, which little head scratching just 1140 00:57:55,400 --> 00:57:57,439 Speaker 1: because I feel like they could have used the wide 1141 00:57:57,520 --> 00:58:01,720 Speaker 1: receiver probably, but you know they have if Roland or 1142 00:58:02,160 --> 00:58:05,040 Speaker 1: anything or is he Yeah, yeah, because because Austin we've 1143 00:58:05,080 --> 00:58:08,040 Speaker 1: got better as the year progressed too. But now he's hurt. 1144 00:58:08,720 --> 00:58:12,080 Speaker 1: Uh So there's some, there's some, it's not a lot. 1145 00:58:12,200 --> 00:58:14,640 Speaker 1: Like I still think they're kind of a cap ceiling team. 1146 00:58:14,640 --> 00:58:17,000 Speaker 1: I don't think they get I don't think they're get 1147 00:58:17,080 --> 00:58:19,800 Speaker 1: to the chance to play for, you know, the conference 1148 00:58:19,840 --> 00:58:21,680 Speaker 1: title of the Super Bowl. But I think they get 1149 00:58:21,720 --> 00:58:24,320 Speaker 1: over that eight and a half win total, whether it's 1150 00:58:24,400 --> 00:58:26,520 Speaker 1: Rogers or you know, they end up having to go 1151 00:58:26,680 --> 00:58:31,240 Speaker 1: to a vet in with that defense I mean Rogers. 1152 00:58:31,240 --> 00:58:33,280 Speaker 1: I don't think Rodgers is that is good enough to 1153 00:58:34,200 --> 00:58:38,680 Speaker 1: for him him being potentially let's say he misses a 1154 00:58:38,720 --> 00:58:41,680 Speaker 1: lot of games or he he's like even more of 1155 00:58:41,680 --> 00:58:44,120 Speaker 1: a shell of himself than he was last year. I 1156 00:58:44,160 --> 00:58:46,080 Speaker 1: don't think his level of play is high enough for 1157 00:58:46,200 --> 00:58:47,800 Speaker 1: that to be a big downgrade. If they have to 1158 00:58:47,880 --> 00:58:51,440 Speaker 1: ultimately change quarterbacks or whatever. Not, it's about the defense 1159 00:58:51,480 --> 00:58:53,560 Speaker 1: in Tomlin. So yeah, I think I think they go 1160 00:58:53,600 --> 00:58:55,160 Speaker 1: over to WINSLDAL, but don't want anything to do with 1161 00:58:55,240 --> 00:58:59,720 Speaker 1: them once they actually get to the playoffs Cleveland more pain. 1162 00:59:00,200 --> 00:59:02,600 Speaker 1: They're going back to the Stefanski offense they have they 1163 00:59:02,680 --> 00:59:04,240 Speaker 1: have I don't know, they have four quarterbacks, so they 1164 00:59:04,280 --> 00:59:09,240 Speaker 1: have no quarterbacks and was gonna start by the way, Yeah, no, 1165 00:59:09,280 --> 00:59:10,919 Speaker 1: I mean it was. I still think it was a good, 1166 00:59:11,200 --> 00:59:13,720 Speaker 1: good bet to fade. I mean, there's four quarterbacks on 1167 00:59:13,760 --> 00:59:16,760 Speaker 1: the roster, and everyone was hurt, Like everyone got hurt 1168 00:59:16,760 --> 00:59:20,920 Speaker 1: in the preseason except Flacco, the oldest guy. But their 1169 00:59:20,960 --> 00:59:23,440 Speaker 1: winter is five and a half. You see some four 1170 00:59:23,480 --> 00:59:27,000 Speaker 1: and a half juiced up at some spots. Thoughts on 1171 00:59:27,080 --> 00:59:32,160 Speaker 1: the Browns prospects for twenty twenty five with this quarterback situation. 1172 00:59:32,400 --> 00:59:35,520 Speaker 2: I think they're better than the market thinks. I show 1173 00:59:35,640 --> 00:59:40,600 Speaker 2: value in their wind total over I project them to 1174 00:59:40,720 --> 00:59:47,000 Speaker 2: win a hair under six games. But do I want 1175 00:59:47,000 --> 00:59:49,240 Speaker 2: to bet I have five point eight? That's what I 1176 00:59:49,280 --> 00:59:53,240 Speaker 2: project them at. Do I want to bet they're over? 1177 00:59:53,480 --> 00:59:59,200 Speaker 2: Probably not, because for one, that's assuming like I'm assuming 1178 00:59:59,240 --> 01:00:04,840 Speaker 2: Flacco and Ah that they don't just go to the rookies, 1179 01:00:04,840 --> 01:00:05,320 Speaker 2: which is probably. 1180 01:00:05,640 --> 01:00:07,120 Speaker 1: I don't know who's gonna start a quarterback way. 1181 01:00:08,120 --> 01:00:11,959 Speaker 2: So what they start off with Cincy at Baltimore, Green 1182 01:00:12,040 --> 01:00:17,840 Speaker 2: Bay at Detroit Minnesota overseas and it's their second straight 1183 01:00:17,920 --> 01:00:21,160 Speaker 2: game overseas home the next week at pitt without a break. 1184 01:00:22,280 --> 01:00:25,560 Speaker 2: That can you get any harder? First six games? So 1185 01:00:25,640 --> 01:00:29,840 Speaker 2: they're own six h Then what they're just gonna go 1186 01:00:29,920 --> 01:00:31,840 Speaker 2: to Sanders and Gabriel and who knows who you're gonna 1187 01:00:31,840 --> 01:00:34,959 Speaker 2: get so like and this team could quit and who knows. 1188 01:00:35,640 --> 01:00:37,760 Speaker 2: So I probably I don't know. I show by in 1189 01:00:37,800 --> 01:00:39,040 Speaker 2: the over but I don't think I can get there, 1190 01:00:39,160 --> 01:00:40,760 Speaker 2: do you off? It's the line of his potential if 1191 01:00:40,800 --> 01:00:43,600 Speaker 2: they're healthy, which is a major question that's with a 1192 01:00:43,640 --> 01:00:47,640 Speaker 2: lot of guys. Uh, the weapons are bad. It's like 1193 01:00:48,960 --> 01:00:50,720 Speaker 2: it's how many times can you throw to Judy? Now 1194 01:00:50,760 --> 01:00:53,320 Speaker 2: they're going back to the old it's the fancy off. 1195 01:00:53,360 --> 01:00:55,480 Speaker 2: It's gonna be more two tight end sets. I love Fannin. 1196 01:00:55,680 --> 01:00:58,640 Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet like Fannin for fun anytime touchdown every week, 1197 01:00:59,040 --> 01:01:02,520 Speaker 2: Week one scoring against the Bengals by the way. But like, 1198 01:01:03,040 --> 01:01:04,240 Speaker 2: so they were gonna go to they want to be 1199 01:01:04,280 --> 01:01:07,600 Speaker 2: like more run heavy, but Judkins is probably not going 1200 01:01:07,680 --> 01:01:10,360 Speaker 2: to play for them, so like that hurts. 1201 01:01:10,920 --> 01:01:12,440 Speaker 1: I mean, do you think he's still not gonna play 1202 01:01:12,440 --> 01:01:12,720 Speaker 1: at all? 1203 01:01:13,000 --> 01:01:16,040 Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, not. They're they're looking to at a 1204 01:01:16,120 --> 01:01:18,640 Speaker 2: running back, is what I'm hearing. So that's doesn't like 1205 01:01:18,720 --> 01:01:20,400 Speaker 2: they're in the market now from guys I know from 1206 01:01:20,440 --> 01:01:23,200 Speaker 2: close to the Browns, that's not a good tell that 1207 01:01:23,280 --> 01:01:25,840 Speaker 2: they're trying to trade for a running back, like they're 1208 01:01:25,840 --> 01:01:29,760 Speaker 2: looking at Washington and with Robinson or elsewhere. 1209 01:01:30,560 --> 01:01:32,800 Speaker 1: That is odd considering they all they doubled up, But 1210 01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:35,400 Speaker 1: like why is it Sam and they have a holdover 1211 01:01:35,480 --> 01:01:37,560 Speaker 1: and Ford and they have Samson, So it's like asking 1212 01:01:37,680 --> 01:01:39,400 Speaker 1: why why are they looking for running backs? Still? 1213 01:01:39,520 --> 01:01:41,160 Speaker 2: Why about the Browns? Never? 1214 01:01:41,360 --> 01:01:45,320 Speaker 1: No, I know, I know I'm saying a questions roster building. 1215 01:01:45,400 --> 01:01:47,480 Speaker 1: They've lost the plot roster building in my opinion. 1216 01:01:47,600 --> 01:01:51,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, everything got roomed with the Watson thing and so 1217 01:01:52,400 --> 01:01:55,160 Speaker 2: straight the schedules really hard obviously, but last year, I 1218 01:01:55,200 --> 01:01:58,880 Speaker 2: mean they were they were bad across the board. That 1219 01:01:58,960 --> 01:02:01,640 Speaker 2: bad injury left their mind. Twenty two turnover margin, the 1220 01:02:01,760 --> 01:02:05,200 Speaker 2: quarterback play can't get any worse. The defense had a 1221 01:02:05,280 --> 01:02:08,680 Speaker 2: really down year. Everyone in the secondary had like their 1222 01:02:08,720 --> 01:02:10,680 Speaker 2: worst year. But then you lost Emerson. He's out for 1223 01:02:10,760 --> 01:02:14,320 Speaker 2: the year at Nickel, so he can't bounce back. You 1224 01:02:14,400 --> 01:02:17,000 Speaker 2: do need one new safety. Ward is now dealing with 1225 01:02:17,040 --> 01:02:21,520 Speaker 2: an injury, so like the secondary has to some too. 1226 01:02:21,720 --> 01:02:24,840 Speaker 2: Yeah Newsome So I mean they went from a top 1227 01:02:24,880 --> 01:02:27,280 Speaker 2: five pass t to a bottom five past in one year. 1228 01:02:28,240 --> 01:02:30,440 Speaker 2: But the back seven depth is really shaky, so like 1229 01:02:30,520 --> 01:02:34,880 Speaker 2: with these injuries already, that's scary. They only had four 1230 01:02:34,960 --> 01:02:37,520 Speaker 2: interceptions last year. The fiftheam since the merger to do. 1231 01:02:37,560 --> 01:02:40,400 Speaker 1: That, that should aggress, that should regress in one way 1232 01:02:40,440 --> 01:02:40,680 Speaker 1: or another. 1233 01:02:40,800 --> 01:02:42,720 Speaker 2: Rash the d line should be able to get pressure. 1234 01:02:42,760 --> 01:02:45,360 Speaker 2: But there's just a lot of unknowns and I don't 1235 01:02:45,400 --> 01:02:46,800 Speaker 2: know how this is all gonna play out. Because they 1236 01:02:46,880 --> 01:02:48,640 Speaker 2: take the good chance they start one to five and 1237 01:02:48,680 --> 01:02:51,480 Speaker 2: then it's like Okay, here Brookies go, so we can 1238 01:02:52,280 --> 01:02:53,880 Speaker 2: see you fail and then get the number one pick 1239 01:02:53,960 --> 01:02:57,320 Speaker 2: next year. So I show value in the over but uh, 1240 01:02:57,720 --> 01:02:58,240 Speaker 2: no interest. 1241 01:02:59,320 --> 01:03:02,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, because I'm I mean, there's a the thing is 1242 01:03:03,400 --> 01:03:06,360 Speaker 1: week one. Yeah, I was about to say this could 1243 01:03:06,400 --> 01:03:08,520 Speaker 1: be a team that I think you have to know 1244 01:03:09,440 --> 01:03:13,080 Speaker 1: who's at quarterback to, you know, and then you can 1245 01:03:13,160 --> 01:03:15,760 Speaker 1: kind of make your decision on Okay, this is the 1246 01:03:15,800 --> 01:03:19,640 Speaker 1: matchup now. But even if their win total adds up 1247 01:03:19,680 --> 01:03:23,080 Speaker 1: to a little higher than the market, it's like, first 1248 01:03:23,080 --> 01:03:24,720 Speaker 1: of all, these are you know, these are just win 1249 01:03:24,840 --> 01:03:27,200 Speaker 1: probabilities added up, so it's not like like they still 1250 01:03:27,240 --> 01:03:29,680 Speaker 1: have to win the games and they're still essentially underdogs 1251 01:03:31,120 --> 01:03:34,560 Speaker 1: pretty much throughout the season. So yeah, I think it's 1252 01:03:34,560 --> 01:03:36,480 Speaker 1: still gonna be bad. I just think I think it's more. 1253 01:03:36,480 --> 01:03:38,600 Speaker 1: I don't think it's on Stefanski as much. I think 1254 01:03:38,640 --> 01:03:41,040 Speaker 1: he's just kind of he's had a kind of deal 1255 01:03:41,120 --> 01:03:44,640 Speaker 1: with you know, this roster deteriorating and make make do. 1256 01:03:45,640 --> 01:03:45,840 Speaker 2: Yeah. 1257 01:03:45,960 --> 01:03:48,360 Speaker 1: But yeah, yeah, because if you look at the the 1258 01:03:48,520 --> 01:03:51,120 Speaker 1: draft I thought was odd, you know, I mean, if 1259 01:03:51,440 --> 01:03:53,919 Speaker 1: Hunter hits, it's gonna look really, it's gonna look even worse. 1260 01:03:55,840 --> 01:03:58,400 Speaker 1: And then you know, to then double up on quarterback, 1261 01:03:59,040 --> 01:04:01,959 Speaker 1: to have fourquarterbacks competing for a job, and you're still 1262 01:04:01,960 --> 01:04:06,520 Speaker 1: starting Flaco somehow after all that, Uh, you double up 1263 01:04:06,560 --> 01:04:11,280 Speaker 1: on running backs and yet now the guy doesn't sign 1264 01:04:11,360 --> 01:04:13,400 Speaker 1: it cause and you're still looking for another running back. 1265 01:04:14,200 --> 01:04:16,120 Speaker 1: And you know it's just a it's just an odd 1266 01:04:16,640 --> 01:04:19,960 Speaker 1: You signed Deyontay Johnson, bad you know, bad locker room 1267 01:04:20,040 --> 01:04:22,440 Speaker 1: guy you now and now you're you know, you signed 1268 01:04:22,480 --> 01:04:24,680 Speaker 1: bond after Like it's just like one thing after another, 1269 01:04:25,240 --> 01:04:29,480 Speaker 1: just bad optics but also just bad I think roster building, 1270 01:04:29,640 --> 01:04:33,600 Speaker 1: you know. So I don't think this team is is 1271 01:04:33,640 --> 01:04:34,880 Speaker 1: going to be very good at all. And I think 1272 01:04:34,960 --> 01:04:37,320 Speaker 1: this is it's probably gonna be a two to three 1273 01:04:37,360 --> 01:04:41,080 Speaker 1: one team. It could be dogs in every game, Oh 1274 01:04:41,160 --> 01:04:43,240 Speaker 1: yeah exactly. So it's like, yeah, they could add up 1275 01:04:43,400 --> 01:04:46,240 Speaker 1: if you add up all your projected win probabilities too, 1276 01:04:46,360 --> 01:04:48,840 Speaker 1: you know, higher than four and a half or five 1277 01:04:49,080 --> 01:04:51,360 Speaker 1: and a half even, but they have to win those games. 1278 01:04:51,520 --> 01:04:54,080 Speaker 1: I just don't think they're gonna win enough. We'st recap. 1279 01:04:54,080 --> 01:04:57,200 Speaker 1: What do you like? AFC West and then uh AC. 1280 01:04:57,120 --> 01:04:59,640 Speaker 2: North Barco's under But I don't love it as much 1281 01:04:59,640 --> 01:05:01,840 Speaker 2: as I did earlier in the season, but numbers still 1282 01:05:01,920 --> 01:05:04,520 Speaker 2: show it. I like the Chargers under much more now 1283 01:05:06,960 --> 01:05:12,000 Speaker 2: and and like the Raiders over AFC North. I do 1284 01:05:12,080 --> 01:05:16,240 Speaker 2: I have anything Ravens, no Steelers, no Bengals. No, I 1285 01:05:16,360 --> 01:05:18,520 Speaker 2: lean Brown's over. That's I show Valian Brown's over but 1286 01:05:18,760 --> 01:05:20,160 Speaker 2: probably not playing it. So No, I got nothing in 1287 01:05:20,160 --> 01:05:20,760 Speaker 2: the n SC North. 1288 01:05:21,200 --> 01:05:25,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, I still have a super Bowl ticket on the Ravens. 1289 01:05:25,360 --> 01:05:28,480 Speaker 1: I still think that Big three Buffalo case Baltimore, it's. 1290 01:05:28,360 --> 01:05:30,120 Speaker 2: Gonna be the Ravens. 1291 01:05:30,640 --> 01:05:30,840 Speaker 1: Yeah. 1292 01:05:31,280 --> 01:05:33,640 Speaker 2: During the season, They're probably gonna get injured at some 1293 01:05:33,680 --> 01:05:35,240 Speaker 2: point and lose a couple of games and then I'll 1294 01:05:35,240 --> 01:05:35,880 Speaker 2: be looking to get in. 1295 01:05:36,880 --> 01:05:39,360 Speaker 1: Yeah. And I do still like the Steelers win total over, 1296 01:05:39,440 --> 01:05:41,880 Speaker 1: but that's not that's more of a because I don't 1297 01:05:41,920 --> 01:05:44,040 Speaker 1: think Rogers actually makes a big of a difference like 1298 01:05:44,080 --> 01:05:46,600 Speaker 1: if he if he you know, can't go or it's 1299 01:05:46,680 --> 01:05:48,960 Speaker 1: just terrible. I don't think that impacts it that much. 1300 01:05:49,000 --> 01:05:50,880 Speaker 1: I mean, they've done this with Kenny Pickett, they've done 1301 01:05:51,320 --> 01:05:54,400 Speaker 1: Mason Rudolph even so UH like that. And then I 1302 01:05:54,440 --> 01:05:58,200 Speaker 1: think if you're looking for okay, division winner, I think 1303 01:05:59,000 --> 01:06:01,240 Speaker 1: I think I still don't want to way anything more 1304 01:06:01,320 --> 01:06:02,920 Speaker 1: than I don't even want to weigh even money with 1305 01:06:02,960 --> 01:06:05,080 Speaker 1: the Ravens. I still think it's you know, because there's 1306 01:06:05,160 --> 01:06:08,240 Speaker 1: three teams that could be good and the Browns could 1307 01:06:08,280 --> 01:06:08,800 Speaker 1: be so bad. 1308 01:06:09,080 --> 01:06:12,680 Speaker 2: Do you hear an nfcast for the AFC North, Well, yeah, 1309 01:06:12,720 --> 01:06:16,240 Speaker 2: give it, give it to me. No team has ever 1310 01:06:16,800 --> 01:06:19,320 Speaker 2: won the AFC North three times in a row, and 1311 01:06:19,360 --> 01:06:21,520 Speaker 2: the Ravens are they've won twice. 1312 01:06:21,960 --> 01:06:24,000 Speaker 1: Okay, there you go, there you go. So yeah, it's 1313 01:06:24,040 --> 01:06:26,280 Speaker 1: got Bengals and then hey, I mean I like the 1314 01:06:26,360 --> 01:06:29,560 Speaker 1: Bengals because I think they have more upside because of Borrow. 1315 01:06:29,680 --> 01:06:31,560 Speaker 1: They also have a lower floor. I still think they're 1316 01:06:31,720 --> 01:06:36,440 Speaker 1: they're better division bet but that the second best I 1317 01:06:36,480 --> 01:06:38,960 Speaker 1: guess it has to be the Steelers, which is which sucks. 1318 01:06:39,400 --> 01:06:42,280 Speaker 1: But overall, I do think the Steers would have undervalued 1319 01:06:42,320 --> 01:06:43,880 Speaker 1: in terms of the wind total market. I think the 1320 01:06:43,920 --> 01:06:46,240 Speaker 1: Bengals have a very low floor but very high ceiling. 1321 01:06:47,200 --> 01:06:49,440 Speaker 1: And then the Browns I'd if got in my head, 1322 01:06:49,440 --> 01:06:51,160 Speaker 1: I'd still go under it. I just think they're gonna 1323 01:06:51,160 --> 01:06:53,919 Speaker 1: be bad across the board. I just think the Roster 1324 01:06:54,000 --> 01:06:57,040 Speaker 1: building it's already showing its ugly face. It's been showing it, 1325 01:06:57,560 --> 01:06:59,640 Speaker 1: uh and it could it could get work from here. 1326 01:06:59,760 --> 01:07:03,600 Speaker 1: So yeah, we're split on the Browns, but I've learned 1327 01:07:03,640 --> 01:07:08,800 Speaker 1: my lesson Brown's factory of pain. Never nothing positive ever 1328 01:07:08,880 --> 01:07:12,360 Speaker 1: comes out of that ASCU West Chargers under for me too. 1329 01:07:13,040 --> 01:07:15,080 Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for us. For today's episode of 1330 01:07:15,160 --> 01:07:18,600 Speaker 1: the Action Network podcast, thank you for tuning in. Keep 1331 01:07:18,600 --> 01:07:21,800 Speaker 1: an eye out for our NFC preview episodes. We'll do 1332 01:07:22,240 --> 01:07:24,520 Speaker 1: a two parter for that as well. Our a f 1333 01:07:24,640 --> 01:07:28,080 Speaker 1: C Part one is also live right now, so be 1334 01:07:28,120 --> 01:07:30,960 Speaker 1: sure to subscribe to the pot if you haven't already, 1335 01:07:31,000 --> 01:07:32,840 Speaker 1: you can find stuck on It at Stuffy two. 1336 01:07:32,840 --> 01:07:33,760 Speaker 2: I'm at Chris Raybon. 1337 01:07:34,240 --> 01:07:36,200 Speaker 1: We're at those same maners on the free aboard winning 1338 01:07:36,360 --> 01:07:40,439 Speaker 1: Action Network app. So the NFC episode is get this Money, 1339 01:07:41,080 --> 01:08:00,840 Speaker 1: Let Nope. Action Network reminds you please gamble response. If 1340 01:08:00,920 --> 01:08:03,440 Speaker 1: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 1341 01:08:03,800 --> 01:08:06,760 Speaker 1: help is available twenty four seven at one eight hundred 1342 01:08:06,800 --> 01:08:07,240 Speaker 1: Gambler