1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:01,599 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here. 2 00:00:01,680 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 2: Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, 3 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 2: and we are so excited about what that means for 4 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 2: the future of the show. 5 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 3: This is the only place where you can find honest 6 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 3: perspectives from the left and the right that simply does 7 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 3: not exist anywhere else. 8 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 2: So if that is something that's important to you, please 9 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 2: go to Breakingpoints dot com. Become a member today and 10 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 2: you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad free, 11 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,600 Speaker 2: and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. 12 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 3: We need your help to build the future of independent 13 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 3: news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints 14 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:33,760 Speaker 3: dot com. 15 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:36,479 Speaker 4: All right, good morning, and welcome to Breaking Points. How 16 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:37,280 Speaker 4: you doing good. 17 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 5: This Christmas set actually always gives me a flashback. I 18 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 5: always feel like I have a flashback to you arguing 19 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 5: with Ted Cruz on the Christmas set. 20 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 4: Oh that's right, the video, Yeah, it was. 21 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 5: On the Christmas set. So I'm always like expecting Ted 22 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:51,839 Speaker 5: Cruz to we should have. 23 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 4: Worn our Breaking Points Christmas sweaters. I actually thought about that, 24 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 4: which you can get in our store. 25 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: Down They still I think you still some available. 26 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 4: Go check out the store. 27 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:01,920 Speaker 1: They're pretty great. Everybody loves them. 28 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:04,320 Speaker 4: We should all want to get something front of the 29 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 4: tree for everyone. 30 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:09,640 Speaker 5: Yes, or a Breakingpoints dot Com subscription if you maybe 31 00:01:09,680 --> 00:01:13,120 Speaker 5: you can get a year of Friday Show second halves 32 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 5: for Christmas for someone you love, because those Friday Show 33 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:18,279 Speaker 5: second halves they get wild. 34 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:20,320 Speaker 6: Although based on the new Jobs Report, which we'll be 35 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 6: talking about at the top of the show, you probably can't. 36 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 4: Things are getting dark. 37 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:27,320 Speaker 6: Also, talking speaking of the amount of money you're spending 38 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:29,119 Speaker 6: on healthcare, you probably can't. 39 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 4: We'll be talking about that for our second episode. 40 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 6: Although there's some good news in the fact that Republicans 41 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:36,480 Speaker 6: are completely collapsing and that might lead them to actually 42 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 6: pass the Democratic legislation. 43 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 4: We'll see. 44 00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:43,320 Speaker 6: If you're in Venezuela, you absolutely can't because we're putting 45 00:01:43,440 --> 00:01:46,000 Speaker 6: Venezuela under a complete and total naval siege. 46 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 4: We'll talk about that. 47 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:49,600 Speaker 5: Yeah, Trump put out a bild true social just last night, 48 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 5: so we'll break that down to. 49 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 6: Susie Wilds, we'll talk about the Republican response to her incredible. 50 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 4: Just vomiting of her thought to the vanity fair. 51 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 1: Day two of Susie Gate. It is here. 52 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 4: We're loving every second of it. 53 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:09,959 Speaker 6: The New York Times had a fascinating for many different 54 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:14,120 Speaker 6: reasons story on Jeffrey Epstein yesterday. We will talk about 55 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:16,240 Speaker 6: what was in it and most importantly, what was. 56 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 4: Not in it. Barry Weiss meanwhile. 57 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:23,799 Speaker 6: Is she ran her Saturday night town hall with Erica 58 00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 6: Kirk huge get very difficult to get Erica Kirk an 59 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 6: exclusive because she's usually on other networks, so it's hard 60 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 6: to like actually schedule that between Fox and podcast. 61 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, the numbers are out and it was terrible. 62 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 1: Could have been better, It could have been better. 63 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, that's very bad. 64 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 6: We'll have some updates on the Brown University shooting as 65 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 6: well as a nuclear scientist, yes, or like even beyond. 66 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 4: A nuclear scientist. 67 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 6: He was doing stuff that I can't even begin to 68 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 6: try to explain, was assassinated at his home. So we 69 00:02:59,120 --> 00:03:03,200 Speaker 6: either have one or two killers still in the loose 70 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:06,359 Speaker 6: in the Northeast. I'm not sure which of those two 71 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 6: scenarios is actually more frightening the public now rather than 72 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 6: the FBI has been falsely accusing people of being involved 73 00:03:14,880 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 6: with the brownshooting. 74 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:16,960 Speaker 4: We'll talk about all of. 75 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:20,239 Speaker 6: That, and the weather is improving in Gods of but 76 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 6: we're going to talk about what the floods did and 77 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:25,919 Speaker 6: what the and a new drop site report on what 78 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 6: the Israeli destruction of all the sewis treatment and trash 79 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:33,240 Speaker 6: collection has done to just day to day life in Gaza. 80 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 5: Well, let's get to a big show today, So we'll 81 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 5: start now with these new job numbers. We get new 82 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 5: jobs data yesterday, and actually, before we even dive too 83 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:45,800 Speaker 5: deep into that, the basic news is that about sixty 84 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:49,440 Speaker 5: four thousand jobs were added in November. That was higher 85 00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 5: than what many people expected. But the unemployment rate also 86 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 5: rose in November. That's the gist of it. We're going 87 00:03:54,800 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 5: to break down those numbers in more detail, but first 88 00:03:57,280 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 5: let's dive on into Fox News example of how they 89 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 5: covered where the economy is right now. 90 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 7: People are sick of waiting. In terms of the jobs. 91 00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:09,200 Speaker 7: Since Liberation Day, which is when most people look at 92 00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:11,480 Speaker 7: as when things kind of start taking a turn for 93 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:14,520 Speaker 7: the worse, we've only added seventeen thousand jobs on a 94 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 7: monthly basis. There are over seven hundred thousand Americans were 95 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:22,039 Speaker 7: unemployed today versus this time last year. That's a huge number. 96 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 7: Unemployment for young Americans is over ten percent. If you 97 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:29,839 Speaker 7: took out healthcare sector hiring, would be negative. 98 00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:31,920 Speaker 5: So if you're familiar with Fox, of course, that was 99 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:35,719 Speaker 5: Jessica Tarlov, who is a Democrat. Not surprising, but spot 100 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 5: the lie and those numbers. We can put the CBS 101 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:41,160 Speaker 5: tear sheet up on the screen here. Employers across the 102 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 5: US ad at sixty four thousand jobs in November, beating 103 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:46,600 Speaker 5: economis forecast. New government data shows, even as new October 104 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 5: figures revealed a loss of one hundred and five thousand 105 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 5: jobs assigned, the labor market remains under pressure. The unemployment 106 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:55,880 Speaker 5: rate in November rose to four point six percent. That 107 00:04:56,040 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 5: is the highest level since September twenty twenty one one. 108 00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:03,799 Speaker 5: They also go on to note that it's a picture 109 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 5: of the labor market after the six week blackout and 110 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 5: official data caused by the recent government shutdown. That's true, Brian, 111 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:12,279 Speaker 5: this is the first information we are getting here. The 112 00:05:12,320 --> 00:05:15,480 Speaker 5: data suggests CBS continues that employers and industries ranging for 113 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,720 Speaker 5: manufacturing and hospitality are hitting the pause button on hiring 114 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 5: amid concerns about economic growth and tariff costs. According to 115 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 5: some economists, quick reaction to that first rune, Yeah. 116 00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 6: What seems to be going on here, and this probably 117 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 6: comports with your own experience. People aren't losing people aren't 118 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 6: leaving their jobs voluntarily. 119 00:05:36,680 --> 00:05:38,839 Speaker 4: They're holding onto jobs even if they hate them. 120 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:41,720 Speaker 6: They're not moving around and getting wage increases like they 121 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:44,440 Speaker 6: were during the pandemic and towards the end or towards 122 00:05:44,440 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 6: the end of the pandemic. But companies are not creating 123 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 6: any new positions, and when somebody leaves, they don't fill 124 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:56,920 Speaker 6: that person. And so that's why you see that unemployment 125 00:05:57,000 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 6: number going up into the right, which is not how 126 00:05:59,560 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 6: you want it to go. 127 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 5: Okay, So let's then dive here into Kevin Hassett talking 128 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:06,600 Speaker 5: about the economy. 129 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:08,119 Speaker 1: This was from Face the Nation. 130 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:12,080 Speaker 5: She Margaret Brennan in this clip is pushing Hassett on 131 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 5: surveys of CEOs about employment. So could the situation get worse? 132 00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 5: Let's go ahead roll the clip. 133 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 8: I want to ask you about the FED decision. The 134 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:23,640 Speaker 8: Federal Open Market Committee said job gains have slowed this year. 135 00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:27,120 Speaker 8: We also saw the survey from the Business Roundtable. I'm 136 00:06:27,160 --> 00:06:29,160 Speaker 8: sure you saw it. They asked the CEOs what they 137 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 8: expect to happen, and they anticipate employment will decrease in 138 00:06:32,600 --> 00:06:36,160 Speaker 8: twenty twenty six rather than increase. Are you concerned about 139 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:37,040 Speaker 8: a hiring slowdown. 140 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:40,120 Speaker 9: The same FED said that they were more bullish on 141 00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:43,279 Speaker 9: growth for next year, right, And so I think that 142 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:44,839 Speaker 9: we're at a circus shaft. 143 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:46,360 Speaker 4: But at the jobs picture. 144 00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 9: You know, we're going to get the data next week, 145 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 9: and so maybe next Sunday I'll come back and we'll 146 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:51,799 Speaker 9: talk about it, because we've got two months of data 147 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 9: coming out on Tuesday, and we'll get a clearer picture 148 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 9: because right now we just have some very difficult to 149 00:06:57,960 --> 00:07:00,520 Speaker 9: pin down surveys, like the gold standard for this will 150 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 9: be really the household Survey, which we don't even get 151 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:03,320 Speaker 9: for October. 152 00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:05,360 Speaker 8: But these are CEOs. They are the people who would 153 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 8: be doing the hiring right, and they're saying we're not. 154 00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 9: But they don't have the broad perspectives that will get 155 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 9: when we get the big data released next week. 156 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 8: And you trust that big data. 157 00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:19,000 Speaker 9: I trust the household survey especially, And sadly we won't 158 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:21,160 Speaker 9: have one for October, but we're going to get one 159 00:07:21,200 --> 00:07:23,560 Speaker 9: for November, and that's going to be really important for 160 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:25,160 Speaker 9: thinking about where the job market is. 161 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 5: Okay, and we can actually put the next element up 162 00:07:27,200 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 5: on the screen as well, This is showing unemployment increasing 163 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 5: over time. Since November twenty twenty three. So this is 164 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 5: from Mike Conskahal. He is the senior director of Policy 165 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:43,960 Speaker 5: and Research at the Economic Security Project, and he's saying, 166 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 5: it's not just that this job report is bad, though 167 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:48,560 Speaker 5: it is Unemployment is up zero point four seven twenty 168 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:51,240 Speaker 5: twenty five and increasing. It's that it shows what Trump 169 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:53,680 Speaker 5: hoped to do with the economy is failing. And I 170 00:07:53,920 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 5: just want to pause on that point because it is 171 00:07:57,520 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 5: now that we have almost a year into the second 172 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:06,120 Speaker 5: time administration, fascinating, not surprising, but fascinating how closely they 173 00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:10,440 Speaker 5: have tied themselves to AI because Trump obviously, I mean, 174 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 5: there are a million reasons that they've done that, but 175 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 5: Trump obviously also saw AI is getting a shot in 176 00:08:15,000 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 5: the arm to markets. And so I mean the amount 177 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:22,720 Speaker 5: of stock increase that's tied to AI right now is 178 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:26,120 Speaker 5: stunning and horrifying. More than it yep, And yeah, it's 179 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:31,000 Speaker 5: something like eighty percent. Like it's crazy, And they now 180 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 5: are going to have on their hands responsibility that people 181 00:08:34,040 --> 00:08:36,080 Speaker 5: will point to them. They would have done it anyway, 182 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:39,520 Speaker 5: but they basically have bear hugged these big tech companies 183 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 5: that are going pedaled to the metal on LM's artificial intelligence, 184 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:46,760 Speaker 5: and what's likely to happen in the next couple of 185 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 5: years is mass displacement on the level of different periods 186 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:57,320 Speaker 5: during industrialization where we've seen mass job displacement because of automation. 187 00:08:57,520 --> 00:09:00,160 Speaker 5: I'm not even making a judgment on whether that's good 188 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:02,760 Speaker 5: or bad, although we talked about that a lot, but 189 00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 5: I'm just saying it's happening, and it's happening as they 190 00:09:06,640 --> 00:09:09,720 Speaker 5: bear hug these AI companies to juice the markets, and 191 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:14,520 Speaker 5: that just politically, as it's as it's unfolding before us 192 00:09:14,880 --> 00:09:16,600 Speaker 5: kind of look back at last year and you're like, 193 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:17,920 Speaker 5: you guys didn't see this coming. 194 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:22,320 Speaker 6: Yeah, And the comment from Kevin Hassett there was ominous, 195 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 6: I'm sure for people where he was saying, Okay, yes, 196 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:31,400 Speaker 6: the CEOs are saying that unemployment might be up next year, but. 197 00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 4: What about growth? They're bullet on growth. Yes, And if 198 00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 4: you live on. 199 00:09:37,440 --> 00:09:40,080 Speaker 6: Wall Street, work on Wall Street, and live live in 200 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:44,079 Speaker 6: upstate New York, and then that's great. Unemployment is up, 201 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:47,520 Speaker 6: but growth is up too. Hey, that's even better actually, 202 00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:49,480 Speaker 6: because then you don't have any you have to worry 203 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 6: about upity workers demanding higher pay. 204 00:09:52,240 --> 00:09:56,199 Speaker 4: You're like wait a minute, what if what are you 205 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 4: saying here? 206 00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 6: So you're putting all your money in AI and data centers, 207 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:00,960 Speaker 6: and you're saying that we're going to continue to have 208 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:05,319 Speaker 6: unemployment rate, unemployment numbers going up, but the economy is 209 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:07,520 Speaker 6: going to continue to grow. How does that help the 210 00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 6: people who don't have jobs? And nobody's talking about that. 211 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 6: If if you had a party who was like, here's 212 00:10:13,280 --> 00:10:15,280 Speaker 6: what we're going to do. Everyone's going to work twenty 213 00:10:15,280 --> 00:10:18,040 Speaker 6: five hours a week, and we're going to make sure 214 00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:21,720 Speaker 6: that you're paid an amount that keeps up. Not just 215 00:10:21,800 --> 00:10:24,199 Speaker 6: keeps up, it gets you ahead. Because if we're getting 216 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:25,679 Speaker 6: all these productivity gains. 217 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:27,240 Speaker 4: Let's enjoy it. 218 00:10:27,280 --> 00:10:29,560 Speaker 6: Took us thousands of years as you managed to get 219 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:32,360 Speaker 6: to this place. Let's bask in it. Instead, they're like, nah, 220 00:10:32,840 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 6: jobs are going to keep collapsing, but growth is going 221 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:36,160 Speaker 6: to be good. 222 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:38,439 Speaker 5: Well, on that note, let's go ahead and listen here 223 00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:40,880 Speaker 5: to Treasury Sector secretaries. 224 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:42,720 Speaker 4: Speaking speaking of ominous Oh my god. 225 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:45,840 Speaker 5: Well this actually makes the point your point about Kevin Hassett. 226 00:10:45,880 --> 00:10:49,160 Speaker 5: Here Bessett is flushing out. I think even more we 227 00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:50,239 Speaker 5: can roll this clip. 228 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:55,280 Speaker 10: Two thousand and eight, two thousand and nine, ten financial 229 00:10:55,400 --> 00:11:00,200 Speaker 10: rules were too tight. They have hamstrung the American financial system. 230 00:11:00,480 --> 00:11:02,440 Speaker 10: It was time for a change. We are going to 231 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:06,240 Speaker 10: be safe, smart, and sound in terms of our deregulation, 232 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 10: but we have to take the financial system out of 233 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:14,679 Speaker 10: the straight jacket. This substantial increase from private credit, which 234 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 10: is outside of the regulated banking system, that tells me 235 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:22,160 Speaker 10: that the regulated system is too constrained and has not 236 00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:25,480 Speaker 10: been able to compete with those who aren't regulated. So 237 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:29,640 Speaker 10: we're leveling the playing field, and I believe that we 238 00:11:29,679 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 10: can do that in a way that creates trillions of 239 00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 10: dollars in credit for this very strong economy we're going 240 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:38,280 Speaker 10: to see, and it will be non inflationary. 241 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:41,560 Speaker 5: All right, So Ryan, put your finance bro hat back on. 242 00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:44,280 Speaker 5: It's probably been since the early oughts since you've had 243 00:11:44,320 --> 00:11:47,200 Speaker 5: it on. But when he says the substantial increase in 244 00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 5: private credit, which is outside of the regulated banking system, 245 00:11:49,880 --> 00:11:52,760 Speaker 5: that tells me that the regulated system is too constrained, 246 00:11:53,520 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 5: What say you? 247 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:54,920 Speaker 10: So? 248 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:58,560 Speaker 6: I mean what he's saying there is this rise of 249 00:11:58,559 --> 00:12:03,320 Speaker 6: private equity basically says that we're being too hard on 250 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:09,679 Speaker 6: oligarchs and that we should just reduce the rules so 251 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 6: that more people will then not follow the rules that 252 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:15,559 Speaker 6: we've gotten rid of. Play around. Yeah, I mean it 253 00:12:15,880 --> 00:12:20,200 Speaker 6: makes no sense, like it's just it contradicts itself. It 254 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 6: also leads exactly to financial crisis every single time. Like 255 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:29,320 Speaker 6: so it's also a kind of hail Mary, Like, Okay, 256 00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 6: nothing else is working. We need just a severe amount 257 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:37,240 Speaker 6: of deregulation so that we'll flood in, you know, the 258 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:40,679 Speaker 6: so capital can flow. You know, we can get another 259 00:12:40,679 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 6: subprime bubble. We need more bubbles. It's basically what he's saying, 260 00:12:43,640 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 6: like we're out of bubbles and when the next when 261 00:12:47,200 --> 00:12:49,520 Speaker 6: this next one pops, we're gonna need another bubble to 262 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:51,960 Speaker 6: keep things going. And then he hads at the very 263 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 6: end with no evidence, and it won't be inflationary. 264 00:12:55,920 --> 00:12:57,199 Speaker 4: Oh okay, good. 265 00:12:57,360 --> 00:12:58,559 Speaker 1: That's the point of the regulations. 266 00:12:58,559 --> 00:13:00,839 Speaker 4: It's good, glad to did you clear that up? 267 00:13:02,520 --> 00:13:07,360 Speaker 6: The Mike Conzel post where he talks about where he 268 00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:09,880 Speaker 6: you know, talks about the rate of unemployment increasing, He 269 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 6: also has a full thread and maybe we can put 270 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:14,360 Speaker 6: it in the in the link so people can dig 271 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 6: into it more. But what he does is he compares 272 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:20,120 Speaker 6: what the president is trying to do and what the 273 00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:25,400 Speaker 6: president's team is trying to do to the economy with 274 00:13:25,400 --> 00:13:27,480 Speaker 6: with what is actually happening, and what he's trying to 275 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 6: do is drive up wages for Native born workers, drive 276 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:36,000 Speaker 6: up wages on the low end, and manufacturing. He's trying 277 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:39,320 Speaker 6: to reduce the amount of spending and healthcare, and he's 278 00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:42,560 Speaker 6: trying to reduce the amount of spending for the federal workforce. 279 00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:46,680 Speaker 6: And a key reason that you had an unemployment increase 280 00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:50,839 Speaker 6: this month is because the DOGE firings actually finally hit. 281 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:55,599 Speaker 6: Now it's like because of the federal rules and on. 282 00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:59,440 Speaker 6: But what he finds is that nothing is nothing that 283 00:13:59,480 --> 00:14:01,720 Speaker 6: they're trying to do is happening, and in fact, the 284 00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:06,600 Speaker 6: reverse is happening. Manufacturing jobs are are collapsing. He writes here. 285 00:14:08,120 --> 00:14:11,760 Speaker 6: Unemployment is up everywhere, but especially for younger workers, black workers, 286 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:14,480 Speaker 6: and those with bas and without a high school diploma 287 00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:17,320 Speaker 6: to the trend, and a bit more for men. Yes, 288 00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:19,680 Speaker 6: the people that he said he was doing all of 289 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,880 Speaker 6: this for are the ones who are actually getting hit 290 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 6: hardest by this. And you know he's he chalks it 291 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:33,480 Speaker 6: up to all of the uncertainty that Trump is injected 292 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 6: into the economy by making it really impossible to create 293 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 6: a business if you have any reliance on imports whatsoever, 294 00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:49,360 Speaker 6: deporting you know, huge numbers of workers and otherwise just 295 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:53,640 Speaker 6: being a chaotic dude. And it's like, yeah, this is 296 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:55,320 Speaker 6: this is what this is what you're going to get. 297 00:14:55,560 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 1: Well, yeah, the the uncertain. 298 00:14:57,480 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 4: And increase in health care costs, of course. 299 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:03,240 Speaker 1: So there's no way around. 300 00:15:03,280 --> 00:15:05,000 Speaker 5: And I mean, I think you even hear it in 301 00:15:05,400 --> 00:15:09,080 Speaker 5: what Hasset is saying. Hasset obviously is under consideration for 302 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 5: a FED spot, and there's leaking against Hassett right now 303 00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:16,880 Speaker 5: actually interestingly enough, But they what you're hearing them say 304 00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:21,480 Speaker 5: is basically they're conceding they're in the middle of an experiment. 305 00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 5: They're very confident as to how the experiment is going 306 00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:30,479 Speaker 5: to turn out when it comes to totally restructuring the economy. 307 00:15:30,560 --> 00:15:35,800 Speaker 5: So we're talking deportations, uh, manufacturing credits from the big 308 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 5: tax bill and trying to incentivize factory building and all 309 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 5: of that in the United States, Why would we have. 310 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:43,200 Speaker 4: A manufacturing collapse? 311 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 6: Like that's what I'm right then, Well, I mean, I 312 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:47,000 Speaker 6: think if you're about to have a boom, you would 313 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:50,920 Speaker 6: at least be staying steady because but and this is 314 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:53,480 Speaker 6: the point that companies are like, no, we yeah. 315 00:15:53,520 --> 00:15:55,680 Speaker 5: It's the point that you and Crystal have made since 316 00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 5: the very beginning post Liberation Day, which is the uncertainty 317 00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:02,720 Speaker 5: is going to send people to China. It is going 318 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:05,960 Speaker 5: to send people, not everyone. And that's what the administration 319 00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:08,320 Speaker 5: is in the middle of trying to figure out, is 320 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:10,320 Speaker 5: where does it shake out at the end of the day. 321 00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:11,880 Speaker 5: Do you come out on top or do you come 322 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:15,080 Speaker 5: out on bottom? And it looks right now like their 323 00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:17,160 Speaker 5: skeptics are proving correct. 324 00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:19,120 Speaker 1: Now there are all kinds of things. 325 00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:21,520 Speaker 5: That they can do in the new year, because they're 326 00:16:21,520 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 5: doing all of the tariffs, as we know, while awaiting 327 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:28,840 Speaker 5: a Supreme Court decision ad hoc through the executive branch, 328 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:31,240 Speaker 5: and that means they have a whole lot of control 329 00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:33,600 Speaker 5: over what happens in the new year. If they want 330 00:16:33,640 --> 00:16:36,000 Speaker 5: to create more certainty in the economy, if they want 331 00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:40,520 Speaker 5: to do all of these like grocery type carve outs 332 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:44,000 Speaker 5: for things like I don't know, bananas, they can find 333 00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:47,360 Speaker 5: a way to do it. They can cross their fingers 334 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 5: and hope that when their tax bill kicks in, more 335 00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:52,520 Speaker 5: and more jobs start getting created. There are, of course, 336 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 5: anecdotal examples of factories betting on the United States, or 337 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:58,200 Speaker 5: companies betting on the United States and building factories here. 338 00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:02,320 Speaker 5: And so the White House trumpets those examples constantly, but 339 00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:05,200 Speaker 5: even they have to concede they're in the middle of something. 340 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:10,360 Speaker 5: And that's where just thinking about the AI question, as 341 00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:13,479 Speaker 5: you're trying to restructure the economy to bring jobs back 342 00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:16,359 Speaker 5: to the United States, you're bear hugging an industry that 343 00:17:16,640 --> 00:17:19,159 Speaker 5: is intentionally eliminating. 344 00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:20,080 Speaker 1: Jobs in the United States. 345 00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:24,080 Speaker 5: I'm reading here from a CNBC story from later late 346 00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:27,200 Speaker 5: last month, but we've been talking about the college unemployment rate, 347 00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:30,680 Speaker 5: so recent college graduates that are unemployed. This is one 348 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,920 Speaker 5: of the big blind spots in politics right now, is 349 00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:39,119 Speaker 5: that you have so many young people rising youth unemployment, 350 00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:43,000 Speaker 5: as CNBC puts it, and that's because entry level jobs 351 00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:43,960 Speaker 5: are being. 352 00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:44,960 Speaker 1: This is CNBC quotes. 353 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:47,320 Speaker 5: Some large employers have said they're replacing entry level workers 354 00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:51,040 Speaker 5: with artificial intelligence in order to streamline operations and cut costs. 355 00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:52,440 Speaker 1: Concerns about the economy. 356 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:55,120 Speaker 5: Persistent inflation and slow down in consumer spending are also 357 00:17:55,320 --> 00:17:58,800 Speaker 5: likely contributors to an erosion of entry level opportunities, other 358 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:02,000 Speaker 5: research shows, and so on top of all of that, 359 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:09,800 Speaker 5: you have the administration saying okay, well college education pipeline 360 00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:12,520 Speaker 5: need to incentivize vocational schools. 361 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 1: Technicolure. Great, we agree with that. These are people who 362 00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:17,560 Speaker 1: just got college degrees. 363 00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:21,440 Speaker 5: There are people who are going to graduate next year 364 00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:23,040 Speaker 5: and the year after that with. 365 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:24,760 Speaker 1: College degrees who are not. 366 00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:28,040 Speaker 5: Going to suddenly say I'm picking up welding and the 367 00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:31,000 Speaker 5: jobs are being eliminated and the ladder is shifting, and 368 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:34,080 Speaker 5: so even just that's the substantive point. But like the 369 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 5: political point of this that's going to play out during 370 00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:41,159 Speaker 5: the Trump administration is absolutely mass employment, displaced displacement. Like 371 00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 5: it's happening right now, it's going to continue to happen. 372 00:18:44,200 --> 00:18:47,600 Speaker 6: At least Bernie Sanders is responding to it. Interesting development 373 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:51,600 Speaker 6: from him. Last night he put out a video calling 374 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:54,919 Speaker 6: for a moratorium on data center construction, which hits on 375 00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 6: both sides because the data center construction drives up your 376 00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:05,320 Speaker 6: electric city bill and threatens your water supply while delivering 377 00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:09,360 Speaker 6: basically no jobs, and if it works as expected, will 378 00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:10,280 Speaker 6: also take your job. 379 00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:11,439 Speaker 4: So it's like, wait a. 380 00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:13,400 Speaker 6: Minute, So Bernie is like, I don't know, how about 381 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:15,720 Speaker 6: we not do that. Let's roll a little bit of Bernie. 382 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:19,679 Speaker 11: What will ai and robotics mean economically for the working 383 00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:24,879 Speaker 11: class of this country. Well, don't listen to me, listen 384 00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:29,520 Speaker 11: to the people who are developing those technologies. Elon Musk 385 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:35,880 Speaker 11: recently said quote AI and robots will replace all jobs. 386 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:40,800 Speaker 11: Working will be optional. End quote. Bill Gates predicted that 387 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:44,960 Speaker 11: humans quote won't be needed for most things. End quote. 388 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:49,320 Speaker 11: Darie are A Moodi, the CEO of Anthropic One, that 389 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:52,480 Speaker 11: AI could lead to the loss of half of all 390 00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 11: entry level white collar jobs. 391 00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:56,320 Speaker 4: Question. 392 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:02,000 Speaker 11: If AI and robotics eliminate eight millions of jobs and 393 00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:07,440 Speaker 11: create massive unemployment, how will people survive if they have 394 00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:08,920 Speaker 11: no income? 395 00:20:09,560 --> 00:20:11,840 Speaker 6: They have no answer for that, and nobody trusts them 396 00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:12,919 Speaker 6: to answer that question. 397 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:14,679 Speaker 4: You know who they do trust is that guy. He 398 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:16,680 Speaker 4: looks spry, maybe he could do one more run. 399 00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:19,520 Speaker 5: He looks like he totally knows what AI. 400 00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:20,680 Speaker 1: Is, how it works. 401 00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 4: He gets it better than most. 402 00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:23,960 Speaker 1: He probably does. No, I actually believe. 403 00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:27,080 Speaker 6: That he gets the gist, which is really all you need. 404 00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:30,240 Speaker 5: Yeah, and I mean some of this is like intentionally, 405 00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:33,920 Speaker 5: we actually have such a murky picture of what's happening 406 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:36,240 Speaker 5: right now with AI and in the economy and what 407 00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:39,880 Speaker 5: the company's plans are. But I don't necessarily support that policy, 408 00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:43,080 Speaker 5: by the way, because what's happening in China and other 409 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:46,199 Speaker 5: countries is no matter what we do, that's going to 410 00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:47,920 Speaker 5: continue to happen. So I think we have to be 411 00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:50,440 Speaker 5: smart about it. But that is going to be It's 412 00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:53,840 Speaker 5: like the healthcare conversation that we're having in the next block. 413 00:20:55,320 --> 00:21:00,640 Speaker 5: Absent a genuine, decent solution from the capitalist just keep saying, 414 00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:03,000 Speaker 5: trust us, we have your best interests at heart, you're 415 00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:04,879 Speaker 5: going to end up with either medicare for all or, 416 00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:06,480 Speaker 5: in this case, you're going to end up with something 417 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:10,679 Speaker 5: like a moratorium because people don't want the stupid option 418 00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:13,600 Speaker 5: of just saying no pedal to the medal, eliminate all 419 00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:17,000 Speaker 5: of the jobs, and we'll just trust you to give 420 00:21:17,080 --> 00:21:20,720 Speaker 5: us UBI and be happy when it all shakes out. 421 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:21,280 Speaker 1: And he's right. 422 00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:23,199 Speaker 5: I mean, going back to those quotes from CEOs of 423 00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:26,960 Speaker 5: tech companies, that is what they're saying. They're saying that aloud. 424 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:30,080 Speaker 5: That's what they think the future is going to look like. 425 00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:32,280 Speaker 5: It's a question of how distant that future is. But 426 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:34,760 Speaker 5: I think you'd be ridiculous to think that's like multiple 427 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:37,280 Speaker 5: generations down the line when this is happening as quickly 428 00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 5: as it is happening. And so for the Trump administration, 429 00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:44,720 Speaker 5: it tie itself so closely a to the economy, I mean, 430 00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:48,480 Speaker 5: and then b to AI just the politics of that 431 00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:51,760 Speaker 5: are going to be difficult no matter what. 432 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:56,119 Speaker 6: And so meanwhile, swinging into this struggling economy is the 433 00:21:56,280 --> 00:22:02,560 Speaker 6: sledgehammer of these looming healthcare increases. We'll talk to Brian Blaize, 434 00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:05,679 Speaker 6: is a conservative healthcare economist, about the latest going on 435 00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:09,720 Speaker 6: in Congress about efforts to extend subsidies and why he thinks. 436 00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:10,359 Speaker 4: It's a terrible idea. 437 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:14,600 Speaker 6: In a moment, We're going to be joined by Brian 438 00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:18,760 Speaker 6: Blaize as a conservative healthcare economist, to talk through Republican 439 00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:23,040 Speaker 6: health care policy and strategy, which is currently this week 440 00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:24,480 Speaker 6: seems to be collapsing a little bit. 441 00:22:24,560 --> 00:22:25,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, Brian is the guy to talk to. 442 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:26,639 Speaker 4: So there you go. 443 00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:31,800 Speaker 6: All right, So here's Donald Trump talking about where he 444 00:22:31,920 --> 00:22:32,560 Speaker 6: is right now. 445 00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:34,720 Speaker 10: What do you want to see Congress through this week 446 00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:37,520 Speaker 10: that relates to healthcare and the expiring ACAH. 447 00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:38,480 Speaker 1: That's a good question. 448 00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 12: I'd like to see the people get the money. I'd 449 00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:42,439 Speaker 12: like to see all of the money that's going to 450 00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 12: the Democrat insurance companies. You know, the insurance companies are 451 00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:49,480 Speaker 12: making a fortune. They're up seventeen hundred percent and more. 452 00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:51,959 Speaker 12: Obamacare were set up, and I said it right from 453 00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:57,240 Speaker 12: the beginning, for the benefit of the health insurance insurance companies, 454 00:22:57,280 --> 00:23:00,880 Speaker 12: of the insurance companies that are making big and billions 455 00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:03,560 Speaker 12: of dollars as stock is through the roof. I don't 456 00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:06,840 Speaker 12: want to give them anything. I want all money going 457 00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:10,400 Speaker 12: to the people and let the people buy their own healthcare. 458 00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 12: It'll be unbelievable. They'll do a great job. They'll get 459 00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,399 Speaker 12: much better healthcare at a much lower cost. 460 00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:20,760 Speaker 6: So he sort of wants to end subsidies and just 461 00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:24,919 Speaker 6: turn basically just we'll talk with Brian about what his 462 00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:27,159 Speaker 6: idea is there. There are a bunch of different ideas 463 00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:29,600 Speaker 6: that Republicans have been kicking around to try to stave 464 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:32,240 Speaker 6: off the increase and put up B two here that 465 00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:34,720 Speaker 6: we were expecting a vote tomorrow in. 466 00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:36,479 Speaker 4: The House of Representatives. 467 00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:40,600 Speaker 6: Looks Mike Johnson saying no, because we're not ready for 468 00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:44,359 Speaker 6: that and can put up B three. Jake Sherman prowling 469 00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 6: around Capitol Hill, he reports the deal between House GOP 470 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:51,800 Speaker 6: moderates and House Republican leadership is breaking down disagreement over 471 00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 6: the language in the amendment to extend Obamacare premium subsidies. 472 00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 6: So the four will go to rules Tuesday to offer 473 00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:02,240 Speaker 6: their amendment. If if they're rejected, that means they will 474 00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:06,800 Speaker 6: be free agents. This is if it's given Kiggins, Valedo, 475 00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 6: and Lawler, which matters because a lot of them are 476 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:13,040 Speaker 6: up for reelection and tight races. What he's saying is 477 00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:16,880 Speaker 6: if they become free agents, that could put Keem Jefferies 478 00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:19,520 Speaker 6: three year ACA extension over the finish line if you 479 00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:23,720 Speaker 6: get enough Republicans to join with Democrats. Now, Rocana was 480 00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:27,159 Speaker 6: recently on Fox News making the pitch for a Boulder 481 00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:29,720 Speaker 6: plan Medicare for All its rocan and then we'll go 482 00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:30,399 Speaker 6: to Brian. 483 00:24:30,600 --> 00:24:33,880 Speaker 13: The high cost of the Democrats health care plan did 484 00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:34,600 Speaker 13: not work. 485 00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:38,160 Speaker 4: That's just not true. 486 00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:41,600 Speaker 13: Look, private health insurance is what's bankrupting in America. Was 487 00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:45,240 Speaker 13: happening before the Affordable Care Act. The Affordable Care Act 488 00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:48,000 Speaker 13: helped slow the growth of private insurance. But of course 489 00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:51,159 Speaker 13: it's not the solution. The solution, as everyone knows in 490 00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:54,280 Speaker 13: my view who study this, is Medicare for role. People 491 00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:57,440 Speaker 13: should have national health insurance. Healthcare as a human right, 492 00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:00,919 Speaker 13: you should not be subject to these private insurance companies 493 00:25:00,960 --> 00:25:05,119 Speaker 13: that have eighteen percent administrative costs, that are making billions 494 00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:07,639 Speaker 13: of dollars of profits. So as executors are making millions 495 00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:09,960 Speaker 13: of dollars, they're hurting our manufacturing. It's one of the 496 00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:13,320 Speaker 13: reasons jobs are off short. They're hurting workers pay going up, 497 00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:16,000 Speaker 13: they're sucking on money from our economy, and they're denying 498 00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:19,760 Speaker 13: people care. Even people on the MAGA right have recognized 499 00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,679 Speaker 13: that the system is not working, the system is broken. 500 00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:25,400 Speaker 13: It's time to get medicare for all in this country. 501 00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:28,119 Speaker 5: Well, we're excited to be joined now, as we've teased 502 00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:31,439 Speaker 5: long enough Brian Blaze, who is of the Paragounty, founder 503 00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:34,200 Speaker 5: of the Paragon Health Institute, and really at the center 504 00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:37,720 Speaker 5: of this policy conversation on the right and more broadly 505 00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:39,720 Speaker 5: as Mike Johnson seeks to strike a deal. 506 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:41,199 Speaker 1: So thank you so much for joining us. 507 00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:43,119 Speaker 4: Brian, it's great to be here. Thanks for having me. 508 00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:45,479 Speaker 5: Now, maybe you could start just by telling us a 509 00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:49,680 Speaker 5: little bit from your perspective of where things stand right now, 510 00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:52,560 Speaker 5: because I'm sure you're hearing what's going to happen or 511 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:53,840 Speaker 5: what people want to happen. 512 00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:56,560 Speaker 1: What's your prediction based. 513 00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:58,399 Speaker 5: On what you're hearing of how this all ends up 514 00:25:58,480 --> 00:25:59,280 Speaker 5: before year's end. 515 00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:01,960 Speaker 14: Yeah, thanks for having me on, and just let me 516 00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:07,000 Speaker 14: explain exactly what the situation is before the Congress. So Obamacare, 517 00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:10,880 Speaker 14: the Affordable Care Act, took effect in twenty fourteen. It's 518 00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:14,480 Speaker 14: mainly affected the individual market for health insurance, which is 519 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:17,120 Speaker 14: where people go that don't get a plan from their 520 00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:22,760 Speaker 14: employer or through a government program. Its regulations significantly increased 521 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:26,720 Speaker 14: the price of insurance, and it contained large subsidies to 522 00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:30,159 Speaker 14: help people afford the coverage that the government regulations had 523 00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:36,239 Speaker 14: made more expensive. Those subsidies are permanent. They mean that 524 00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:40,200 Speaker 14: the taxpayer pays a very large share of the premium. 525 00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:45,040 Speaker 14: In twenty twenty one, as a pandemic measure, Democrats use 526 00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:49,480 Speaker 14: reconciliation and they passed an expansion of subsidies. They put 527 00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:52,480 Speaker 14: those subsidies in place for two years, and then in 528 00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:55,720 Speaker 14: twenty twenty two they extended them through twenty twenty five. 529 00:26:56,280 --> 00:27:01,000 Speaker 14: So at issue is the expiration of these enhanced COVID 530 00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:07,760 Speaker 14: era subsidies. If they expire, the typical Obamacare enrollee would 531 00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:12,120 Speaker 14: still have very large subsidies. In fact, the subsidy would 532 00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:14,760 Speaker 14: cover more than eighty percent of the premium for a 533 00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:17,960 Speaker 14: typical enrolle. Now, there are some people who would face 534 00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:23,280 Speaker 14: significantly higher premiums. That is because the law originally capped 535 00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:26,520 Speaker 14: the subsidies for people making less than four times the 536 00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:30,960 Speaker 14: poverty line. Now that's a small number of Obamacare and rollies. 537 00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:33,680 Speaker 14: It's only about six percent of Obamacare and rolllies making 538 00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:37,040 Speaker 14: less Only about six percent of inrolies have income above 539 00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 14: four hundred percent of poverty line. So most of the 540 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,760 Speaker 14: examples that you see from Democrats right now on people 541 00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:46,560 Speaker 14: that face high premiums because these COVID era subsidies expire 542 00:27:46,840 --> 00:27:50,760 Speaker 14: there for individuals right above four times the poverty line. 543 00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:54,080 Speaker 14: But for the vast majority of people, the government is 544 00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:58,359 Speaker 14: going to pay the vast majority of the premium next year. Now, 545 00:27:58,560 --> 00:27:59,880 Speaker 14: I think these subsidies. 546 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:00,360 Speaker 4: Line is what. 547 00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:05,119 Speaker 14: For a family of four sixty For a family of four, 548 00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:11,840 Speaker 14: the federal poverty line is about thirty thousand dollars for. 549 00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:13,520 Speaker 4: A family of four. For a family of we're talking 550 00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:14,440 Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty thousand. 551 00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:15,800 Speaker 6: So if you make more than one hundred and twenty 552 00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:19,040 Speaker 6: thousand for a family of four, then you're getting hit 553 00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 6: with that. 554 00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:23,000 Speaker 14: Then you would face the higher premiums okay, right, So, 555 00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:27,400 Speaker 14: but ninety five percent, ninety five percent of enrollees would 556 00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:30,920 Speaker 14: maintain subsidies and the subsidies would cover on average about 557 00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:33,480 Speaker 14: eighty percent of the premium. Now, one of the problems 558 00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:38,520 Speaker 14: from the enhanced subsidies. They made coverage fully subsidized for 559 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:41,880 Speaker 14: a share of enrollees, and what we have seen is 560 00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:45,640 Speaker 14: that far more people report that they have income to 561 00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:49,560 Speaker 14: receive those fully subsidized enrollies. So we have done research 562 00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:52,680 Speaker 14: that estimates that about a quarter of all of the 563 00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:57,040 Speaker 14: Obamacare exchange in rollies are improper. They don't have they 564 00:28:57,040 --> 00:29:00,800 Speaker 14: don't meet the eligibility requirements. Many people have how much income? 565 00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:04,120 Speaker 14: So this is between one hundred and one fifty of 566 00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:07,520 Speaker 14: the federal poverty line. The covid era subsidies made that 567 00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:13,520 Speaker 14: coverage fully subsidized, and almost half of all Obamacare enrollees 568 00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:16,160 Speaker 14: claim that their income is in that narrow band. 569 00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:19,200 Speaker 4: We did a paragon was look at sign ups. 570 00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:22,360 Speaker 14: In that income range with the actual people that have 571 00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:25,400 Speaker 14: income in that range who would be eligible for the program, 572 00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:30,000 Speaker 14: and we estimate six point four million people are enrolled 573 00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:33,000 Speaker 14: in a fully subsidized plan who don't have that coverage. 574 00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:37,160 Speaker 14: There's been pretty sophisticated schemes to enroll people because again 575 00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:40,360 Speaker 14: these subsidies, to the President's point, they go directly to 576 00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:43,240 Speaker 14: the health insurance companies. So if people don't have to 577 00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:47,520 Speaker 14: pay any premium, that is a reason for people to 578 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:53,840 Speaker 14: sign up in brokers have developed pretty sophisticated schemes to 579 00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 14: get people get their information to get them enrolled. So 580 00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,920 Speaker 14: there's millions of people that have enrolled that aren't aware 581 00:29:59,920 --> 00:30:01,960 Speaker 14: of their coverage. Now, if we've enrolled a lot of 582 00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:03,960 Speaker 14: people that aren't aware of their coverage, one thing that 583 00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:05,760 Speaker 14: you might expect is a lot of people don't use 584 00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:10,280 Speaker 14: their health plan. In August, CMS released information on the 585 00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:13,720 Speaker 14: number of enrollees in Obamacare that didn't use their health 586 00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:17,600 Speaker 14: plan a single time in twenty twenty four and it 587 00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:22,360 Speaker 14: was twelve million people. So thirty five percent of all 588 00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:26,480 Speaker 14: enrollees in the market didn't use their health plan a 589 00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:27,200 Speaker 14: single time. 590 00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:29,200 Speaker 6: So we think there's do you think they got paid, 591 00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:31,520 Speaker 6: Like does the brokers say here, if you get one 592 00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:34,520 Speaker 6: thousand dollars up front to sign up, Like, how does it? 593 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:37,280 Speaker 4: Like, why would you sign up for insurance and then 594 00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:37,800 Speaker 4: not use it? 595 00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 14: So they were sophisticated of social media campaigns. They advertised 596 00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:45,920 Speaker 14: cash and gift cards if people would call the number. 597 00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:48,120 Speaker 14: People call the number they asked for the cash and 598 00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:51,840 Speaker 14: gift card. They gave their information. They didn't get cash, 599 00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 14: they didn't get a gift card. They got signed up 600 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:58,120 Speaker 14: for an Obamacare plan. The epicenter of the fraud, South 601 00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:00,960 Speaker 14: Florida is like the episode at SO. 602 00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:04,000 Speaker 4: It put bars around all of South Florida. It's the 603 00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 4: worst in South Florida. 604 00:31:05,640 --> 00:31:10,080 Speaker 14: And actually DOJ just a couple of weeks ago closed 605 00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:14,480 Speaker 14: the case. Two brokers committed massive fraud like this the 606 00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:17,440 Speaker 14: benefit the main beneficiary of the health insurance companies because 607 00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:20,880 Speaker 14: they're getting monthly payments on behalf of people that aren't 608 00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:22,720 Speaker 14: that aren't enrolled in coverage and that aren't using the. 609 00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,680 Speaker 4: Best kind of gemer. It doesn't take your product, that's 610 00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:26,040 Speaker 4: right now. 611 00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:30,680 Speaker 14: So these two brokers, the amount of improper subsidies just 612 00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:34,760 Speaker 14: from these two individuals was two hundred and thirty million 613 00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:37,440 Speaker 14: dollars and that's just the tip of the iceberg. 614 00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:38,960 Speaker 4: Rick Scott's like, that's. 615 00:31:38,800 --> 00:31:40,840 Speaker 1: Real money, okay. 616 00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:45,240 Speaker 5: So on that point, this explains a bit about why 617 00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:50,840 Speaker 5: Republicans are hesitant. There's some obviously real problems, and it 618 00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:53,200 Speaker 5: explains a bit why Republicans are hesitant to just rubber 619 00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:56,240 Speaker 5: stamp an extension of the deal. There are all kinds 620 00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,360 Speaker 5: of political questions going into a midterm cycle that are 621 00:31:58,360 --> 00:32:02,760 Speaker 5: different from the policy questions that But what, then, Brian, 622 00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:05,320 Speaker 5: do you think actually could be done? Because we're almost 623 00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:08,120 Speaker 5: at year's end here, there's going to be an increase 624 00:32:08,120 --> 00:32:10,800 Speaker 5: for some people, as you just explained, what could or 625 00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:14,360 Speaker 5: should be done from your perspective when they have such 626 00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:17,280 Speaker 5: Republicans have such narrow margins. Democrats are pushing, as we 627 00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:21,760 Speaker 5: heard from Congressmancana, Medicare for all, like, what are you 628 00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:24,720 Speaker 5: thinking right now should happen in the next couple of 629 00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:27,160 Speaker 5: weeks if there is anything to be done to stop 630 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:28,520 Speaker 5: people from getting. 631 00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:29,240 Speaker 1: Higher costs right away? 632 00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:31,240 Speaker 14: Yeah, So I think there's action that dated the next 633 00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:35,760 Speaker 14: couple of weeks, and then there's the development of sort 634 00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:38,880 Speaker 14: of free market health plan. I think what the Senate 635 00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:44,600 Speaker 14: passed Finance Committee Chairman Crapo and Help Committee Chairman Cassidy 636 00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:53,320 Speaker 14: introduce legislation that would redesign a portion of the Obamacare subsidies. 637 00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,720 Speaker 4: It would open up the cheapest type of. 638 00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:59,880 Speaker 14: Obamacare plan to more enrollees, and it would take these 639 00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:05,000 Speaker 14: enhance subsidies and do what the President is advocating, direct 640 00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:09,320 Speaker 14: them to individuals has HSA contributions rather than as payments 641 00:33:09,360 --> 00:33:12,440 Speaker 14: directly to health insurance companies. I think that legislation, there's 642 00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:14,400 Speaker 14: a lot to like about that. I think what the 643 00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:18,840 Speaker 14: House is looking at doing today is to expand further, 644 00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:22,640 Speaker 14: expand options for small businesses, allow them to join together 645 00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:25,880 Speaker 14: to get some of their regulatory advantages. 646 00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:27,600 Speaker 4: That large employers get when they offer coverage. 647 00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:31,720 Speaker 14: So I testified from the Center of Finance Committee about 648 00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:35,560 Speaker 14: a month ago. I suggested nine ways that Republicans could 649 00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:40,040 Speaker 14: from expanding health savings accounts, to addressing some structural flaws 650 00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:44,680 Speaker 14: with the Obamacare subsidies, and to opening up different coverage 651 00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:48,200 Speaker 14: options that they could do in the near term. Fundamentally, 652 00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:50,960 Speaker 14: I think the worst thing that Congress could do is 653 00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:54,920 Speaker 14: throw good money after bad. The way to guarantee that 654 00:33:54,960 --> 00:34:00,800 Speaker 14: we don't reform a very inefficient program and sector of 655 00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:04,320 Speaker 14: the economy is just to continue to over subsidize it 656 00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:08,719 Speaker 14: because that reduces the pressure for real fixes, and we 657 00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:12,880 Speaker 14: have a health care affordability crisis in the US. I 658 00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:15,800 Speaker 14: don't think it's right to just shift all those costs 659 00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:17,279 Speaker 14: to the American tax pair. 660 00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:22,080 Speaker 1: We can put B five up on the screen, just 661 00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:25,320 Speaker 1: to make that point. This is a gallop poll. 662 00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:29,440 Speaker 5: The headline here's cost leads Americans top of mind healthcare concerns. 663 00:34:29,520 --> 00:34:32,680 Speaker 5: So to the point Brian just made people agree. Everyone 664 00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:37,239 Speaker 5: basically agrees this is one of the top top stressors 665 00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:39,919 Speaker 5: on the economy and individual families budgets. 666 00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:43,200 Speaker 6: And then we can put up the final one too, 667 00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:48,279 Speaker 6: So put up B six. When Obamacare was passed, you 668 00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:51,760 Speaker 6: were sitting at about thirty percent, a little over thirty 669 00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:55,560 Speaker 6: percent said that they would prefer a government run system. 670 00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:57,360 Speaker 4: Obamacare. 671 00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:01,600 Speaker 6: You rejected the public eye option, rejected Medicare for all, 672 00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,440 Speaker 6: rejected even a Medicare buy in for people fifty five 673 00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:07,279 Speaker 6: and over. It was very close to being included. Joe 674 00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:10,200 Speaker 6: Lieberman pulled it out at the last second. And so 675 00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:16,320 Speaker 6: people have gotten this interaction with a bastardized version of 676 00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:19,120 Speaker 6: a private system, which is the only thing we have 677 00:35:19,160 --> 00:35:22,400 Speaker 6: actually around the world. Right there's no pure kind of 678 00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:26,960 Speaker 6: private healthcare system that I know of outside of any 679 00:35:27,080 --> 00:35:29,040 Speaker 6: kind of developed country. 680 00:35:28,360 --> 00:35:30,600 Speaker 4: Maybe on the outside of Singapore. 681 00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:32,839 Speaker 6: South Okay, outside of Singapore, I don't know much about 682 00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:33,840 Speaker 6: Singapore health policy. 683 00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:35,440 Speaker 4: You can you can teach us more about that. 684 00:35:35,480 --> 00:35:37,759 Speaker 6: But as I was listening to you talk about the 685 00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:42,360 Speaker 6: brokers and the scams and the fraud and how complicated 686 00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:46,120 Speaker 6: this system is. And you're asked, and I assume the 687 00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:48,320 Speaker 6: reason that you can fudget is that they ask you 688 00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:50,880 Speaker 6: ahead of time, what's your income going to be for 689 00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:51,520 Speaker 6: the next year. 690 00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:54,680 Speaker 4: I don't know. Most people are like, I don't know. 691 00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:56,880 Speaker 6: Like if some people are like, this is my salary, 692 00:35:57,040 --> 00:35:59,279 Speaker 6: I hope I don't get fired, so I expect this 693 00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:02,160 Speaker 6: to be my But maybe I will get fired and 694 00:36:02,160 --> 00:36:05,000 Speaker 6: I will fit and I will fit into this nice 695 00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,560 Speaker 6: little band where I get all the subsidies. Or you 696 00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:09,799 Speaker 6: just kind of game it and like, I guess I'm 697 00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:14,200 Speaker 6: gonna make this, Or we could just do medicare for 698 00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:16,520 Speaker 6: all and then focus on the fraud, like put a 699 00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:20,320 Speaker 6: ton of money into Like if these chatbots in this AI, 700 00:36:20,560 --> 00:36:22,439 Speaker 6: the lms are good for anything, they should be able 701 00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:25,000 Speaker 6: to find this fraud. Like you guys, you have a 702 00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:28,719 Speaker 6: couple interns, and you compared the number of people that 703 00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:33,080 Speaker 6: exist right in this economic band and the number of 704 00:36:33,080 --> 00:36:36,640 Speaker 6: people claiming the subsidies in that band, and you're like, 705 00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:41,839 Speaker 6: this doesn't match. You would think our llms could help 706 00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:45,319 Speaker 6: us with that, and then say, okay, Medicare for all. 707 00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:49,560 Speaker 6: We're gonna we're gonna make this simple so people don't 708 00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:52,279 Speaker 6: go around not knowing that they have insurance. You know, 709 00:36:52,360 --> 00:36:54,880 Speaker 6: because you're an American, you've got it, Like, why why 710 00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:56,399 Speaker 6: don't we just do that and be done with all 711 00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:56,560 Speaker 6: of this. 712 00:36:56,680 --> 00:36:59,480 Speaker 14: Well, I think of how much government has already screwed up, 713 00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:01,120 Speaker 14: and the fact that you need to get the example 714 00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:05,600 Speaker 14: out of Minnesota recently with that Medicaid fraud and dramatically 715 00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:11,040 Speaker 14: increasing autism, diet pain parents to diagnose of it's going 716 00:37:11,120 --> 00:37:11,279 Speaker 14: to be. 717 00:37:11,239 --> 00:37:13,840 Speaker 6: A constant pat and mouth game. Americans are very clever, 718 00:37:14,600 --> 00:37:16,000 Speaker 6: so are the newer Americans. 719 00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:20,120 Speaker 14: I think fundamentally, the problem with health care policy is 720 00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:24,120 Speaker 14: that the individual consumer and patient is not in control. 721 00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:28,960 Speaker 14: So only about ten percent of spending that people make 722 00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:32,919 Speaker 14: on healthcare comes directly from them. Most of our expenditures 723 00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:36,680 Speaker 14: come from third parties, whether it's government programs, whether it's 724 00:37:37,120 --> 00:37:40,319 Speaker 14: insurance that takes the form of an employer sponsor insurance plan. 725 00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:44,160 Speaker 14: We have created a market that is not responsive to 726 00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:47,759 Speaker 14: the individual consumer and patient, so it meets the needs 727 00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:49,920 Speaker 14: of the insurance company, it meets the needs of the 728 00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:53,279 Speaker 14: government program. It's not responsible to the individual. We have 729 00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:56,720 Speaker 14: no idea what prices are right. Prices in most sectors 730 00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:59,440 Speaker 14: of the economy, that's what coordinates behavior, and we know 731 00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:02,800 Speaker 14: how to value things relative to other things. But prices 732 00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:07,239 Speaker 14: are basically just made up. Nobody has any idea, and 733 00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:10,920 Speaker 14: people don't have any incentives to care about what the 734 00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:13,719 Speaker 14: prices are. So I think fundamentally what we need to 735 00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:18,120 Speaker 14: do is address these problems with government programs that have 736 00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:22,400 Speaker 14: centralized control and power in the hands of the intermediaries 737 00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:25,359 Speaker 14: and the middlemen, and return as much control to the 738 00:38:25,360 --> 00:38:28,319 Speaker 14: individual as possible so that they can choose the care 739 00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:31,799 Speaker 14: and coverage it works for them, and so the healthcare providers, 740 00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:35,279 Speaker 14: the doctors, the nurses are serving actual patients and meeting 741 00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:35,800 Speaker 14: their needs. 742 00:38:36,120 --> 00:38:39,640 Speaker 6: The reason I'm cynical about that is not just because 743 00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:42,839 Speaker 6: of what most people say, which is that healthcare can't 744 00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:45,839 Speaker 6: be a normal market because you know, if you don't 745 00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:48,920 Speaker 6: buy the thing, you could die, and so that you 746 00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:54,480 Speaker 6: creates an imbalanced amount of leverage in the transactional relationship 747 00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:57,120 Speaker 6: between you and the person who holds your life in 748 00:38:57,160 --> 00:38:57,880 Speaker 6: their hands. 749 00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,000 Speaker 1: But existing conditions. 750 00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:03,920 Speaker 6: Yes, setting that aside, the United States government doesn't seem 751 00:39:03,960 --> 00:39:08,080 Speaker 6: to care about markets anywhere else. Like in every other industry, 752 00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:11,919 Speaker 6: we're okay with a monopoly or oligopoly, you know, whether 753 00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:18,000 Speaker 6: it's airlines or youth sports, or beef or poultry or like. 754 00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:21,680 Speaker 6: Actually it's harder to find an industry that we haven't 755 00:39:21,719 --> 00:39:27,840 Speaker 6: allowed to consolidate into just one or two producers and 756 00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:31,520 Speaker 6: that set prices and so then we're expected to believe that. 757 00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:34,359 Speaker 6: Oh no, when it comes to healthcare, which makes up 758 00:39:34,719 --> 00:39:38,480 Speaker 6: a third of the economy or something, we promise we're 759 00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:41,200 Speaker 6: going to do it strong antitrust enforcement. We're going to 760 00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:45,480 Speaker 6: really crack down on the giant scammers. There were the 761 00:39:46,120 --> 00:39:49,080 Speaker 6: medical providers, and we're not going to let private equity 762 00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:52,160 Speaker 6: just roll this up and have giant companies, you know, 763 00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:55,719 Speaker 6: let three companies control the entire healthcare industry and then 764 00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:58,520 Speaker 6: set prices. And so then you have a situation where 765 00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:01,360 Speaker 6: it's not just like beef, because like with beef, okay, 766 00:40:02,320 --> 00:40:04,760 Speaker 6: you know, you have four beef companies and control everything. 767 00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:07,319 Speaker 6: I guess I could eat less beef, maybe go eat 768 00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:09,840 Speaker 6: some chicken and some more soybeans or whatever. 769 00:40:10,520 --> 00:40:12,080 Speaker 4: But when it comes to healthcare. 770 00:40:11,719 --> 00:40:14,440 Speaker 6: It's like you're gonna have to You're gonna have to 771 00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:17,000 Speaker 6: pay the piper, and the US government I just don't 772 00:40:17,040 --> 00:40:18,160 Speaker 6: trust to. 773 00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:22,640 Speaker 4: Not make it. So there's like three pipers. 774 00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:24,960 Speaker 14: Don't I don't trust the US government either. I do 775 00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:26,839 Speaker 14: think in some place it'd be great if we would 776 00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:30,320 Speaker 14: have four competitors. We have produced a lot of local 777 00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:34,800 Speaker 14: hospital monopolies. Exactly local hospital monopolies. It's a real problem. 778 00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:37,040 Speaker 6: So why I was hospital is gonna Well, where I 779 00:40:37,080 --> 00:40:38,840 Speaker 6: would look is where's the government. 780 00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:42,760 Speaker 14: Policy that incentivizes consolidation and reduces competition in the market. 781 00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:46,280 Speaker 14: A really good example comes from the Medicare program. Medicare 782 00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:49,279 Speaker 14: pays much more for the same service delivered in a 783 00:40:49,320 --> 00:40:52,160 Speaker 14: hospital than if it's delivered in a physician's office. What 784 00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:55,560 Speaker 14: does that lead to? That leads to incentives for hospitals 785 00:40:55,560 --> 00:40:58,759 Speaker 14: and physicians to sell out. So the hospital acquires the 786 00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:02,960 Speaker 14: physician practice, and then you have an integrated healthcare system 787 00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:07,520 Speaker 14: and you've reduced contractions in that area. There are examples 788 00:41:08,120 --> 00:41:11,759 Speaker 14: where we've allowed market forces to work in healthcare and 789 00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:17,200 Speaker 14: consumerism to work of people making cost conscious decisions and 790 00:41:17,280 --> 00:41:21,040 Speaker 14: driving health care services to lower cost providers, and those 791 00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:25,440 Speaker 14: lower costs provide. The high cost providers don't want to 792 00:41:25,480 --> 00:41:30,200 Speaker 14: lose consumers, so they do lower their prices. So we 793 00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:34,200 Speaker 14: do have examples, they are too few and far between, unfortunately. 794 00:41:35,000 --> 00:41:37,839 Speaker 14: But I think where I want to go is what 795 00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:41,640 Speaker 14: can we address in government policy that reduces consumer control 796 00:41:41,800 --> 00:41:45,160 Speaker 14: and leads to these incentives for additional consolidation. 797 00:41:45,000 --> 00:41:47,440 Speaker 5: And consuming it in the politics of this quickly. I 798 00:41:47,440 --> 00:41:50,200 Speaker 5: think one of the reasons that Republicans and you'll know 799 00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:53,600 Speaker 5: this better than I do, never landed on a consensus 800 00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:57,080 Speaker 5: repeal and replaced plan is that they never landed on consensus. 801 00:41:57,080 --> 00:42:00,279 Speaker 5: There was never something that brought everybody together, you know, 802 00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:04,640 Speaker 5: everyone from John McCain to you know, Marco Rubio at 803 00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:07,560 Speaker 5: the time in the Senate. So do you feel that 804 00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:09,920 Speaker 5: as these conversations are happening now, and it seems to 805 00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:12,000 Speaker 5: me again this is probably a frustration you've had for 806 00:42:12,120 --> 00:42:16,440 Speaker 5: much longer, but that Republicans just keep putting healthcare on 807 00:42:16,480 --> 00:42:18,640 Speaker 5: the back burner while voters say, this is on our 808 00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:20,920 Speaker 5: front burner. This is the thing that is like eating 809 00:42:21,000 --> 00:42:25,200 Speaker 5: us up right now. This has forced the conversation, do 810 00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:29,440 Speaker 5: you think Republicans are getting anywhere close to a consensus, 811 00:42:29,560 --> 00:42:31,360 Speaker 5: either tweak as you say, before the end of the 812 00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:35,000 Speaker 5: year and then big fix in the new year, or 813 00:42:35,440 --> 00:42:37,799 Speaker 5: is it still just kind of We're going to tinker 814 00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:39,800 Speaker 5: around the edges, do what we can when the crunch 815 00:42:39,920 --> 00:42:43,200 Speaker 5: is on, and hope that you know, it doesn't come 816 00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:46,480 Speaker 5: up again before we have absolutely have to have some 817 00:42:46,560 --> 00:42:47,760 Speaker 5: type of comprehensive solution. 818 00:42:47,960 --> 00:42:50,640 Speaker 14: Yeah, So I do think Republicans have to do Conservatives 819 00:42:50,680 --> 00:42:53,640 Speaker 14: have to do a better job on healthcare policy. I mean, 820 00:42:53,680 --> 00:42:56,560 Speaker 14: it's one of the reasons that I found it Beregon 821 00:42:56,960 --> 00:43:00,839 Speaker 14: was because a job there was a app on the 822 00:43:00,880 --> 00:43:03,920 Speaker 14: free market side on healthcare policy. And like you said, 823 00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:06,800 Speaker 14: I mean, healthcare is twenty percent of the economy. We needed, 824 00:43:07,120 --> 00:43:10,280 Speaker 14: and the healthcare sector is its system is not working 825 00:43:10,719 --> 00:43:13,520 Speaker 14: for most Americans, so we need policies. I think that 826 00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:19,360 Speaker 14: there are like they recognize that Obamacare hasn't made healthcare 827 00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:22,840 Speaker 14: more affordable. I think there's widespread agreement that just continuing 828 00:43:22,880 --> 00:43:25,600 Speaker 14: to throw good money after bad and propping up an 829 00:43:25,640 --> 00:43:29,840 Speaker 14: inefficient regulatory structure is unwise policy. I think there is 830 00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:34,279 Speaker 14: agreement on how we should expand options and make some 831 00:43:34,600 --> 00:43:39,960 Speaker 14: improvements on the margin on Obamacare and I think what 832 00:43:40,040 --> 00:43:43,480 Speaker 14: we have to do is just I mean, one comprehensive plan. 833 00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:46,319 Speaker 14: I don't think is the right strategy. I think the 834 00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:49,840 Speaker 14: right strategy is to look at what's not working correctly 835 00:43:49,880 --> 00:43:53,279 Speaker 14: diagnose the problem. Like I mentioned on Medicare, paying much 836 00:43:53,280 --> 00:43:58,400 Speaker 14: more for hospital services than doctor services, that's a bipartisan problem. 837 00:43:59,160 --> 00:44:02,600 Speaker 14: It's recognized by Democrats and Republicans. Now, who's the main 838 00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:08,279 Speaker 14: obstacle to getting that policy through. It's hospitals. Hospitals are 839 00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:13,560 Speaker 14: very powerful. If you look at the American Enterprise Institute 840 00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:15,719 Speaker 14: has what they call a chart of the Century and 841 00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:19,560 Speaker 14: it looks at the price increases by economic sector since 842 00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:24,120 Speaker 14: two thousand. The number one the highest growing price inflation 843 00:44:24,760 --> 00:44:27,799 Speaker 14: is hospitals. That to me is where we have our 844 00:44:27,880 --> 00:44:31,680 Speaker 14: main healthcare affordability problem. Is we need to drive down 845 00:44:32,520 --> 00:44:36,040 Speaker 14: hospital prices in the US and the site neutral payments 846 00:44:36,040 --> 00:44:39,000 Speaker 14: and Medicare should be a starting point. But it's going 847 00:44:39,040 --> 00:44:44,720 Speaker 14: to require reformers to go and combat the healthcare industry. 848 00:44:45,360 --> 00:44:46,520 Speaker 4: What do you think is going to happen? 849 00:44:46,680 --> 00:44:50,319 Speaker 6: Do you think that these four Republicans or more will 850 00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:53,520 Speaker 6: join with Democrats and pass the three year extension in 851 00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:55,880 Speaker 6: the House. And if it doesn't have a shot in 852 00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:57,959 Speaker 6: the Senate, I do not. 853 00:44:58,239 --> 00:45:00,719 Speaker 14: So I don't know if they'll join Withocrats and pass 854 00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:01,360 Speaker 14: an extension. 855 00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:05,400 Speaker 4: I do not think that that is a realistic policy. 856 00:45:05,560 --> 00:45:09,760 Speaker 6: I mean, right, but we've been doing unrealistic policy for decades. 857 00:45:09,920 --> 00:45:10,399 Speaker 4: So well. 858 00:45:10,400 --> 00:45:12,640 Speaker 14: I don't think there's not going to be a clean 859 00:45:12,680 --> 00:45:16,080 Speaker 14: extension of the subsidies. I mean, I think there's so 860 00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:19,560 Speaker 14: many problems with the subsidies. The fraud is one major problem. 861 00:45:19,640 --> 00:45:21,799 Speaker 14: There's not going to be a clean extension of these 862 00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:26,520 Speaker 14: COVID era credits. I mean, there might be some compromise 863 00:45:27,680 --> 00:45:30,840 Speaker 14: out there. I think there's certainly a way to deal 864 00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:33,239 Speaker 14: with the problem for the people that I mentioned just 865 00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:35,960 Speaker 14: above four times the poverty line, Like that is a 866 00:45:36,000 --> 00:45:41,560 Speaker 14: relatively cheap fix. You would allow to enhance subsidies to 867 00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:44,319 Speaker 14: expire for people below four times the poverty line, who 868 00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:48,879 Speaker 14: still get very generous underlying Obamacare subsidies. You deal with 869 00:45:48,920 --> 00:45:52,000 Speaker 14: the cliff that was created for people just above four 870 00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:56,560 Speaker 14: times the poverty line, and you introduce some reforms to 871 00:45:56,640 --> 00:45:58,920 Speaker 14: address the cost drivers in Obamacare. 872 00:45:59,120 --> 00:46:04,960 Speaker 5: Yeah, so interesting, And just like you said, Republicans had 873 00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:07,359 Speaker 5: such a gap on this, so we appreciate you coming 874 00:46:07,400 --> 00:46:09,680 Speaker 5: in Brian and helping walk as through. Well, we'll have 875 00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:11,760 Speaker 5: to have you back on to talk about Singapore's healthcare system. 876 00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:17,680 Speaker 5: Appetite husband pethe all right, thank you, Brian Blaize, founder 877 00:46:17,719 --> 00:46:19,359 Speaker 5: of Paragon, appreciate being here. 878 00:46:19,440 --> 00:46:19,719 Speaker 4: Thank you. 879 00:46:22,880 --> 00:46:25,279 Speaker 6: So I think a friend of Donald Trump's must have 880 00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:28,000 Speaker 6: told him that he was losing the capacity to shock 881 00:46:28,080 --> 00:46:31,440 Speaker 6: people with his truth social posts, and so in the 882 00:46:31,560 --> 00:46:35,640 Speaker 6: last few days he shocked the entire world, and with 883 00:46:35,680 --> 00:46:39,080 Speaker 6: his response to the brutal murder of Rob Ryaner and 884 00:46:39,160 --> 00:46:42,960 Speaker 6: his wife Michelle now is following it up with one 885 00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:46,319 Speaker 6: of the most unhinged remarks he's made about Venezuela. Yet, 886 00:46:46,880 --> 00:46:48,839 Speaker 6: we could put up this true social post. We'll read 887 00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:53,399 Speaker 6: this entire thing, he says. Venezuela is completely surrounded by 888 00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:56,880 Speaker 6: the largest armada ever assembled in the history of South America. 889 00:46:57,120 --> 00:46:59,719 Speaker 6: A pause on that note, are you really invoking the 890 00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:01,480 Speaker 6: span here? 891 00:47:01,640 --> 00:47:03,680 Speaker 4: Like? What are you doing? He says? 892 00:47:03,719 --> 00:47:05,759 Speaker 6: It will only get bigger, and the shock to them 893 00:47:05,800 --> 00:47:09,080 Speaker 6: will be like nothing they have ever seen before until 894 00:47:09,120 --> 00:47:11,480 Speaker 6: such time as they return to the United States of 895 00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:16,880 Speaker 6: America all of the oil, land, what and other assets 896 00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:21,200 Speaker 6: that they previously stole from US. Yes, Venezuela stole our oil, 897 00:47:21,280 --> 00:47:24,879 Speaker 6: land and other assets. The illegitimate Maduro regime is using 898 00:47:24,960 --> 00:47:30,520 Speaker 6: oil from these stolen oil fields to finance themselves, the horror, 899 00:47:31,200 --> 00:47:35,880 Speaker 6: drug terrorism, human trafficking, murder, and kidnapping. For the theft 900 00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:39,160 Speaker 6: of our assets and many other reasons, including terrorism, drug smuggling, 901 00:47:39,160 --> 00:47:42,640 Speaker 6: and human trafficking, the Venezuelan regime has been designated a 902 00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:46,920 Speaker 6: foreign terrorist organization. Therefore, today I am ordering a total 903 00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:50,440 Speaker 6: incomplete blockade of all sanctioned oil tankers going into and 904 00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:53,759 Speaker 6: out of Venezuela. The illegal aliens and criminals that the 905 00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:56,400 Speaker 6: Maduro regime has sent into the United States during the 906 00:47:56,400 --> 00:47:59,799 Speaker 6: weekend andept Biden administration are being returned to Venezuela at 907 00:47:59,800 --> 00:48:03,200 Speaker 6: a rapid pace. America will not allow criminals, terrorists, or 908 00:48:03,200 --> 00:48:06,719 Speaker 6: other countries to rob, threaten, or harm our nation, and 909 00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:10,400 Speaker 6: likewise will not allow a hostile regime to take our oil, 910 00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:13,480 Speaker 6: land or any other assets, all of which must be 911 00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:15,480 Speaker 6: returned to the United States immediately. 912 00:48:15,760 --> 00:48:19,000 Speaker 4: Thank you for your attention to this matter. Donald J. Trump, 913 00:48:19,239 --> 00:48:20,800 Speaker 4: President of the United States. 914 00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:27,280 Speaker 6: I don't understand how Venezuela could return land to US promptly. 915 00:48:28,040 --> 00:48:29,880 Speaker 4: I understand the oil thing, like. 916 00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:33,400 Speaker 6: There was a there was a meme during the occupation 917 00:48:33,440 --> 00:48:36,000 Speaker 6: of a Raq that said, how did our oil get 918 00:48:36,080 --> 00:48:36,840 Speaker 6: under their sand? 919 00:48:37,080 --> 00:48:39,440 Speaker 1: It beats me, But. 920 00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:41,360 Speaker 4: However it got under there, We're going over there and 921 00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:42,000 Speaker 4: we're taking it back. 922 00:48:42,080 --> 00:48:42,880 Speaker 1: Someone's got to find out. 923 00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:46,799 Speaker 4: I understand the oil part. The land. How are we 924 00:48:46,800 --> 00:48:49,120 Speaker 4: going to take How did Venezuela take our land? 925 00:48:50,360 --> 00:48:52,759 Speaker 6: Jesse Waters, as we talked about I think last week, 926 00:48:52,800 --> 00:48:54,760 Speaker 6: said South America is ours. 927 00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:58,040 Speaker 4: It's in the name America America. Maybe that's what he means. 928 00:48:58,160 --> 00:48:59,920 Speaker 1: It's not that hard, it's America. 929 00:49:00,040 --> 00:49:06,399 Speaker 6: Ironically, Trump recently seized Venezuelan assets. They seized an oil tanker, 930 00:49:06,680 --> 00:49:13,680 Speaker 6: We seized Sidgo, like we took their oil company. Now 931 00:49:13,840 --> 00:49:17,120 Speaker 6: we're going to now they took our land. 932 00:49:18,120 --> 00:49:18,399 Speaker 1: I mean. 933 00:49:18,440 --> 00:49:21,319 Speaker 5: Also another part of that where he's saying, on the 934 00:49:21,320 --> 00:49:24,759 Speaker 5: one hand, Maduro sent criminals into the United States during 935 00:49:24,760 --> 00:49:25,680 Speaker 5: the Biden administration. 936 00:49:25,840 --> 00:49:28,520 Speaker 1: On the other hand, Maduro is a vicious dictator. 937 00:49:28,960 --> 00:49:31,880 Speaker 5: These two things are in conflict because what's actually happening 938 00:49:32,000 --> 00:49:36,600 Speaker 5: is that Maduro is a dictator and people fled Maduro 939 00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:39,319 Speaker 5: to come into the United States, which is why there's 940 00:49:39,440 --> 00:49:43,160 Speaker 5: debate among the Republican Party over whether or not to 941 00:49:43,200 --> 00:49:46,160 Speaker 5: grant asylum to people who, in the case of many 942 00:49:46,280 --> 00:49:50,000 Speaker 5: Venezuelans and all of them, actually is pretty sound for 943 00:49:50,160 --> 00:49:56,040 Speaker 5: asylum fleeing the Maduro regime. There were real reasons for 944 00:49:56,080 --> 00:49:58,359 Speaker 5: people to be fleeing the Maduro regime, just as other 945 00:49:58,360 --> 00:50:01,520 Speaker 5: are real reasons for people to be fleeing Cuba over 946 00:50:01,520 --> 00:50:03,760 Speaker 5: the last several decades, and so On the one hand, 947 00:50:03,840 --> 00:50:06,680 Speaker 5: Trump is acting as though this was intentionally set up 948 00:50:07,080 --> 00:50:09,760 Speaker 5: by Maduro to infiltrate the United States. 949 00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:12,800 Speaker 1: But on the other hand, Maduro so bad. If Maduro 950 00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:13,439 Speaker 1: is so bad, then. 951 00:50:13,320 --> 00:50:15,319 Speaker 5: It stands to reason people are going to flee into 952 00:50:15,320 --> 00:50:17,680 Speaker 5: the United States, which is exactly what happened. 953 00:50:17,719 --> 00:50:18,120 Speaker 1: It wasn't. 954 00:50:18,160 --> 00:50:21,520 Speaker 5: It's similar to the trafficking narrative that they're trying to build. 955 00:50:21,960 --> 00:50:25,480 Speaker 5: Of course, I think there's pretty significant evidence that there 956 00:50:25,520 --> 00:50:30,520 Speaker 5: are state actors in the trafficking, and many people would 957 00:50:30,600 --> 00:50:32,920 Speaker 5: argue there were state actors on our side in the 958 00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:37,279 Speaker 5: trafficking as well. But that's the argument the United States 959 00:50:37,360 --> 00:50:40,839 Speaker 5: government is making. But to say that this was intentional, 960 00:50:40,960 --> 00:50:43,320 Speaker 5: that the migration from Venezuela and the United States was 961 00:50:43,360 --> 00:50:46,840 Speaker 5: an intentional invasion infiltration, they're doing the same thing with drugs, 962 00:50:47,560 --> 00:50:50,200 Speaker 5: and actually what's happened is that people are poor and 963 00:50:50,239 --> 00:50:53,040 Speaker 5: desperate and are trying to make money or trying to 964 00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:57,680 Speaker 5: get to a better country. And so that actually confirms 965 00:50:58,239 --> 00:51:03,080 Speaker 5: the administration's argument about a duro being a dictator. But 966 00:51:03,239 --> 00:51:05,560 Speaker 5: of course, you're they're trying to have it both ways. 967 00:51:06,400 --> 00:51:10,280 Speaker 6: And already a couple of tankers apparently have been turned around, 968 00:51:10,320 --> 00:51:13,319 Speaker 6: have turned around because they're nervous about getting caught up 969 00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:19,799 Speaker 6: in this American Spanish armada, which is throwing the Venezuelan 970 00:51:19,840 --> 00:51:24,160 Speaker 6: economy into complete and total turmoil, like it was already 971 00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:30,560 Speaker 6: deeply struggling under this like incredible tightening regime of sanctions 972 00:51:30,600 --> 00:51:33,080 Speaker 6: that we have going on there, as well as the 973 00:51:33,239 --> 00:51:35,400 Speaker 6: you know, collapse of oil prices over the last decade, 974 00:51:36,000 --> 00:51:39,680 Speaker 6: which was kind of propping up the cha Vista socialism project. 975 00:51:41,239 --> 00:51:44,920 Speaker 6: What that's going to do is create, like you said, 976 00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:50,759 Speaker 6: an outflow of migration as well as create like starvation 977 00:51:50,840 --> 00:51:55,200 Speaker 6: and suffering misery, and there's plenty of and create instability. 978 00:51:55,560 --> 00:51:56,920 Speaker 4: Part of this. You know, there's a right. 979 00:51:56,800 --> 00:52:00,920 Speaker 6: Wing movement going on now in South in Central America. 980 00:52:00,960 --> 00:52:03,360 Speaker 6: You've you've had you know, the right wing win elections 981 00:52:03,400 --> 00:52:11,040 Speaker 6: in Ecuador, Hondura's, Chile, Bolivia recently, and a significance, non 982 00:52:11,120 --> 00:52:13,200 Speaker 6: trivial amount of that is there were like eight million 983 00:52:13,560 --> 00:52:17,879 Speaker 6: Venezuelans who getting in the chill poured out of into 984 00:52:18,040 --> 00:52:20,080 Speaker 6: into lots of other countries. Of like a half million 985 00:52:20,160 --> 00:52:22,920 Speaker 6: or so came to the US, it's another seven and 986 00:52:22,920 --> 00:52:26,000 Speaker 6: a half million went elsewhere around and that and that 987 00:52:27,200 --> 00:52:30,399 Speaker 6: generally throughout world history has created kind of a right 988 00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:34,080 Speaker 6: wing poll. So I when I first saw this news, 989 00:52:34,160 --> 00:52:37,520 Speaker 6: I was like, Maduro, I want to call him a dictator. 990 00:52:37,520 --> 00:52:41,120 Speaker 6: Not he's offering to step down in exchange for like 991 00:52:41,160 --> 00:52:45,520 Speaker 6: lifting of the sanctions and not not drone striking him 992 00:52:45,680 --> 00:52:47,680 Speaker 6: and offering to let American oil companies come in. 993 00:52:47,719 --> 00:52:50,040 Speaker 4: Like he's he's basically saying, what do you want? 994 00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:53,080 Speaker 5: Well, he doesn't want what Trump is threatening to bring 995 00:52:53,120 --> 00:52:53,640 Speaker 5: down right now. 996 00:52:53,680 --> 00:52:58,120 Speaker 4: He doesn't want to be killed. And so what what why? 997 00:52:58,360 --> 00:53:00,680 Speaker 6: Like I don't understand why Trump will just say yes, 998 00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:04,040 Speaker 6: like okay, you get your regime change, you get the oil, 999 00:53:04,080 --> 00:53:06,719 Speaker 6: you get everything, but you don't get I guess a war. 1000 00:53:08,000 --> 00:53:09,680 Speaker 6: The only thing I can think of is and this 1001 00:53:09,840 --> 00:53:13,080 Speaker 6: is like, no, this can't be what he's doing. Like 1002 00:53:13,200 --> 00:53:17,279 Speaker 6: maybe he misses a border crisis, like the border is 1003 00:53:17,400 --> 00:53:21,200 Speaker 6: very calm right now, and maybe to Trump, he needs 1004 00:53:21,239 --> 00:53:24,439 Speaker 6: a crisis at the border, and so he's like, Oh, 1005 00:53:24,560 --> 00:53:27,799 Speaker 6: I need to create an enormous amount of instability and 1006 00:53:27,800 --> 00:53:30,640 Speaker 6: suffering in Venezuela so I can drive more people to 1007 00:53:30,719 --> 00:53:33,680 Speaker 6: the border and then in twenty twenty six point to 1008 00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:35,440 Speaker 6: the caravans of the people at the border and be 1009 00:53:35,560 --> 00:53:39,120 Speaker 6: like Democrats some you know, I don't know quite how 1010 00:53:39,160 --> 00:53:42,920 Speaker 6: you finish that equation, but you know, Democrats, scary brown people. 1011 00:53:43,000 --> 00:53:46,480 Speaker 6: You have to vote, you know, vote for me. It 1012 00:53:46,560 --> 00:53:48,600 Speaker 6: hasn't worked in the past, like when you had the 1013 00:53:48,640 --> 00:53:51,400 Speaker 6: big caravan in twenty eighteen, that didn't help him. 1014 00:53:51,760 --> 00:53:53,120 Speaker 4: What on earth is he doing well? 1015 00:53:53,120 --> 00:53:57,719 Speaker 5: Correctlyer, But Maduro has said his counter offer part of 1016 00:53:57,719 --> 00:54:01,680 Speaker 5: it is allowing hiss like kind of him to hand 1017 00:54:01,680 --> 00:54:03,720 Speaker 5: pick a successor who would ran a power for a couple. 1018 00:54:03,600 --> 00:54:05,680 Speaker 6: Of years, right, and while there's elections, Yeah, and that 1019 00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:07,400 Speaker 6: successor would not run for reelection. 1020 00:54:07,640 --> 00:54:07,879 Speaker 4: Right. 1021 00:54:08,000 --> 00:54:11,239 Speaker 5: My guess is that if there was any chance of 1022 00:54:11,400 --> 00:54:14,320 Speaker 5: Donald Trump himself cutting a deal with Moduro, that's probably 1023 00:54:14,360 --> 00:54:15,839 Speaker 5: a brick wall in the negotiations. 1024 00:54:15,880 --> 00:54:17,200 Speaker 1: But I think that's a simpler You're just. 1025 00:54:17,160 --> 00:54:20,560 Speaker 6: Going to put the Nobel Peace Prize winning Machado Forcibly 1026 00:54:20,600 --> 00:54:21,160 Speaker 6: on the throne. 1027 00:54:21,280 --> 00:54:23,319 Speaker 4: Like no, but that's what she has no base. 1028 00:54:23,440 --> 00:54:24,400 Speaker 1: But that's what I was going to say. 1029 00:54:24,400 --> 00:54:26,319 Speaker 5: The simpler explanation is that you have to think about 1030 00:54:26,320 --> 00:54:29,200 Speaker 5: this as President Marco Rubio as opposed to President Donald Trump, 1031 00:54:29,200 --> 00:54:34,600 Speaker 5: and President Marco Rubio doesn't want like knows that the 1032 00:54:34,719 --> 00:54:37,880 Speaker 5: United States, to paraphrase the Zelenski conversation, holds all the 1033 00:54:37,960 --> 00:54:41,680 Speaker 5: cards here except for the American people largely not wanting this, 1034 00:54:42,400 --> 00:54:48,200 Speaker 5: but wants to make a point and wants absolutely no quarter, 1035 00:54:48,360 --> 00:54:52,200 Speaker 5: wants absolutely no remnant, which is impossible, but wants absolutely 1036 00:54:52,239 --> 00:54:57,719 Speaker 5: no remnant of the left, the socialist left, or the whatever. Venezuela, 1037 00:54:58,280 --> 00:55:03,120 Speaker 5: it's a country that has a left and has convinced Trump. 1038 00:55:03,360 --> 00:55:05,319 Speaker 5: I mean, we saw just what a couple of days 1039 00:55:05,320 --> 00:55:09,239 Speaker 5: ago Trump declared fentanyl a weapon of mass destruction, that 1040 00:55:09,320 --> 00:55:14,320 Speaker 5: this could lay the groundwork for potential military action in Mexico. 1041 00:55:15,480 --> 00:55:18,719 Speaker 5: Because if you're declaring fentanyl WMD, it's all kinds of 1042 00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:21,200 Speaker 5: legal questions about what that actually means, what that actually does, 1043 00:55:21,480 --> 00:55:24,120 Speaker 5: But that's laying the groundwork for Mexico that has nothing 1044 00:55:24,160 --> 00:55:26,440 Speaker 5: to do. I mean, this is we're talking about cocaine 1045 00:55:26,560 --> 00:55:28,520 Speaker 5: in Venezuela, and so. 1046 00:55:28,960 --> 00:55:30,680 Speaker 1: That's that's yeah. 1047 00:55:30,680 --> 00:55:34,040 Speaker 5: I think that's the best guesses is because Trump does 1048 00:55:34,080 --> 00:55:38,239 Speaker 5: like making deals, but I think he's basically outsourced this 1049 00:55:38,640 --> 00:55:40,200 Speaker 5: to Marco Rubio. 1050 00:55:40,200 --> 00:55:45,400 Speaker 6: And about half of So if we manage the transition, 1051 00:55:45,800 --> 00:55:49,920 Speaker 6: then we can approve you know, who becomes interim president 1052 00:55:50,000 --> 00:55:53,040 Speaker 6: leading into the elections, and then we can get somebody 1053 00:55:53,080 --> 00:55:55,960 Speaker 6: who's friendly er to the United States. If we don't 1054 00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:59,200 Speaker 6: manage the process, if we just drive some kind of 1055 00:55:59,239 --> 00:56:04,439 Speaker 6: chaotic region change. About half of Maduro's deputies are much 1056 00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:06,879 Speaker 6: friendly er to China. 1057 00:56:06,560 --> 00:56:07,279 Speaker 4: Than they are to US. 1058 00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:09,200 Speaker 6: Yeah, and that's why, and so you might get one 1059 00:56:09,239 --> 00:56:10,680 Speaker 6: of them instead, which is why I. 1060 00:56:10,719 --> 00:56:16,960 Speaker 5: Think Rubio wants to do a total takeover. 1061 00:56:15,120 --> 00:56:18,400 Speaker 6: Again, though with what like who's going to like Machada 1062 00:56:18,520 --> 00:56:20,640 Speaker 6: and what army like you're really going to like you're 1063 00:56:20,640 --> 00:56:22,160 Speaker 6: going to occupy Venezuela. 1064 00:56:22,719 --> 00:56:24,160 Speaker 4: I don't know if it's the US army. 1065 00:56:24,320 --> 00:56:26,640 Speaker 5: Part of the Susie Wiles we'll talk more about this 1066 00:56:26,680 --> 00:56:29,240 Speaker 5: in a second, but part of the Susie Wiles Vanity 1067 00:56:29,280 --> 00:56:32,000 Speaker 5: Fair story. I'm sure this jumped out to you as well, 1068 00:56:32,400 --> 00:56:34,560 Speaker 5: she's saying, we know who's on those boats. 1069 00:56:35,200 --> 00:56:36,080 Speaker 1: We have the CIA. 1070 00:56:36,360 --> 00:56:39,440 Speaker 5: I'm paraphrasing it, obviously, but she says that to Chris 1071 00:56:39,480 --> 00:56:42,759 Speaker 5: Whipple and the Vanity Fair article, and with what army 1072 00:56:42,960 --> 00:56:44,959 Speaker 5: is a great question, always has been a great question. 1073 00:56:45,040 --> 00:56:47,160 Speaker 5: Could have learned that lesson during the Bay of Pigs. 1074 00:56:47,200 --> 00:56:53,560 Speaker 5: But it's I imagine intelligence coming from the CIA, which 1075 00:56:53,600 --> 00:56:56,040 Speaker 5: we know has been authorized to operate on the ground 1076 00:56:56,040 --> 00:56:59,719 Speaker 5: in Venezuela by the President probably saying you can do. 1077 00:56:59,719 --> 00:57:02,000 Speaker 1: This, because that's what happens every damn time. 1078 00:57:02,280 --> 00:57:06,480 Speaker 5: You have the people, you have the weak links in 1079 00:57:06,520 --> 00:57:08,520 Speaker 5: the military, you can do it. 1080 00:57:09,040 --> 00:57:11,280 Speaker 1: And that's my that's my best guess. 1081 00:57:11,320 --> 00:57:16,080 Speaker 5: As so why there's the full bravado for total, complete 1082 00:57:16,120 --> 00:57:19,320 Speaker 5: and total regime change is that they're once again convinced 1083 00:57:19,400 --> 00:57:22,360 Speaker 5: that it's doable and that anything short of that just 1084 00:57:22,480 --> 00:57:25,880 Speaker 5: gives a foothold for or leaves a foothold for China 1085 00:57:26,000 --> 00:57:28,440 Speaker 5: and Iran and the new Axis of Evil. 1086 00:57:29,000 --> 00:57:32,440 Speaker 6: And meanwhile, Trump is gonna get somebody killed in the 1087 00:57:32,480 --> 00:57:36,600 Speaker 6: air put up C two. So for the second time, 1088 00:57:37,760 --> 00:57:42,960 Speaker 6: civilian aircraft nearly collided, this time with a US Air 1089 00:57:42,960 --> 00:57:49,280 Speaker 6: Force tanker. Because all of these American Armada planes are 1090 00:57:49,360 --> 00:57:54,320 Speaker 6: flying around the Caribbean with their transponders off ye, not 1091 00:57:54,400 --> 00:57:58,720 Speaker 6: communicating with air traffic controllers. And as he said, it's 1092 00:57:58,720 --> 00:58:01,320 Speaker 6: the largest force maybe ever or that's been in there. 1093 00:58:01,960 --> 00:58:05,400 Speaker 6: And so you have civilian aircraft constantly going through there. 1094 00:58:08,120 --> 00:58:10,760 Speaker 6: You know, it's a big sky, and hopefully that none 1095 00:58:10,800 --> 00:58:14,520 Speaker 6: of them go down. But this is extremely reckless and 1096 00:58:14,600 --> 00:58:18,640 Speaker 6: dangerous and nobody is asking for it, and he hasn't 1097 00:58:18,680 --> 00:58:21,400 Speaker 6: even bothered to try to lie much about it. This 1098 00:58:21,440 --> 00:58:28,320 Speaker 6: whole like weapons of mass destruction ventanyl thing is like offensively, 1099 00:58:28,680 --> 00:58:32,240 Speaker 6: like lazy, like this is what you like it is? 1100 00:58:32,360 --> 00:58:34,720 Speaker 6: Maybe they just maybe it's not like we can do 1101 00:58:34,760 --> 00:58:36,000 Speaker 6: whatever we want. 1102 00:58:36,280 --> 00:58:37,920 Speaker 5: Well, yeah, and I think the best way to think 1103 00:58:37,960 --> 00:58:41,920 Speaker 5: about the Venezuela policy is just again President Mark Rubio. 1104 00:58:42,040 --> 00:58:45,200 Speaker 5: I think Trump is not as interested as Mark Rubio 1105 00:58:45,320 --> 00:58:48,400 Speaker 5: is and this Venezuela regime change. He's been brought on 1106 00:58:48,480 --> 00:58:51,600 Speaker 5: board with it because he can use it from a 1107 00:58:51,680 --> 00:58:54,360 Speaker 5: kind of pr perspective to say this is the crackdown 1108 00:58:54,560 --> 00:58:58,960 Speaker 5: on drugs, even though that is going to be digested 1109 00:58:58,960 --> 00:59:03,080 Speaker 5: by every most Americans to be related to fentanyl, and 1110 00:59:03,120 --> 00:59:07,360 Speaker 5: this is clearly not related defentanyl. So anyway, all that 1111 00:59:07,480 --> 00:59:11,560 Speaker 5: is to say the trip wires right now, when you 1112 00:59:11,600 --> 00:59:14,320 Speaker 5: have CIA operating on the in the on the ground 1113 00:59:14,360 --> 00:59:18,400 Speaker 5: in Venezuela, when you have the armada, as Trump put it, 1114 00:59:18,880 --> 00:59:22,240 Speaker 5: that is we're we are in the middle of a 1115 00:59:22,680 --> 00:59:27,600 Speaker 5: recipe for escalation and that Americans could be dying in 1116 00:59:27,680 --> 00:59:30,080 Speaker 5: battle over Venezuela and. 1117 00:59:30,120 --> 00:59:33,959 Speaker 6: Americans and Americans like could crash into the sea. 1118 00:59:34,400 --> 00:59:34,640 Speaker 1: Yes. 1119 00:59:34,960 --> 00:59:38,840 Speaker 6: Yeah, And they took out another drug boat, alleged drug 1120 00:59:38,880 --> 00:59:40,840 Speaker 6: boat just recently. And meanwhile he Zeth is saying he 1121 00:59:40,920 --> 00:59:43,720 Speaker 6: will not show the video that he is so proud 1122 00:59:43,720 --> 00:59:49,760 Speaker 6: of where they executed these two survivors, and he says 1123 00:59:49,880 --> 00:59:53,400 Speaker 6: absolutely the right battle decisions, keeps calling it a battle 1124 00:59:53,440 --> 00:59:54,080 Speaker 6: and a battle. 1125 00:59:54,160 --> 00:59:54,560 Speaker 4: They don't. 1126 00:59:54,640 --> 00:59:58,360 Speaker 6: They're like basically unarmed and you're you're sitting in like 1127 00:59:58,400 --> 01:00:02,560 Speaker 6: Florida hitting them with the drone. 1128 01:00:02,760 --> 01:00:05,480 Speaker 5: They're not coming and shooting an Americans. They are by 1129 01:00:05,560 --> 01:00:09,640 Speaker 5: their own emission, what is their trafficking cocaine, allegedly trafficking 1130 01:00:09,640 --> 01:00:10,520 Speaker 5: in cocaine. 1131 01:00:10,120 --> 01:00:13,720 Speaker 6: And without the outboard motors to get to the United States, 1132 01:00:13,760 --> 01:00:18,600 Speaker 6: like they're they're going somewhere Surinam or wherever Mexico, somewhere 1133 01:00:18,640 --> 01:00:20,120 Speaker 6: they're not going to the they're not making it to 1134 01:00:20,120 --> 01:00:25,080 Speaker 6: the United States with that. Eventually, maybe they will a 1135 01:00:25,080 --> 01:00:28,640 Speaker 6: lot of like cocaine users are hoping they do, right, bro, Like, 1136 01:00:29,600 --> 01:00:31,000 Speaker 6: this is what we do here in the United States. 1137 01:00:31,280 --> 01:00:33,680 Speaker 4: Why are you killing our supliers to. 1138 01:00:33,680 --> 01:00:36,040 Speaker 1: Compare it to kinetic kinetic battle? 1139 01:00:36,240 --> 01:00:37,720 Speaker 6: Right, And so he's so proud of it, and he 1140 01:00:37,720 --> 01:00:41,120 Speaker 6: would make the decision a thousand times again. But no, 1141 01:00:41,240 --> 01:00:43,640 Speaker 6: you can't actually see the footage of it. And oh, 1142 01:00:43,680 --> 01:00:45,920 Speaker 6: we've destroyed footage of similar strikes.