1
00:00:01,320 --> 00:00:04,800
Speaker 1: Russian troops on the move again. Ukrainian officials tonight expressing

2
00:00:04,800 --> 00:00:08,760
Speaker 1: a new concern about further big deployments and neighboring Belarus

3
00:00:08,920 --> 00:00:12,639
Speaker 1: of Russian soldiers along with tanks, artillery and other hardware,

4
00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:15,560
Speaker 1: just some of over one hundred and twenty five thousand

5
00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:18,919
Speaker 1: troops threatening a possible full scale invasion of the country.

6
00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:21,400
Speaker 1: And the story broke in the last seventy two hours

7
00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:23,960
Speaker 1: that Joe Biden had a change of heart for some

8
00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:27,280
Speaker 1: reason on the whole idea of US sending troops anywhere,

9
00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:30,640
Speaker 1: and we now have eight troops on heightened alert as

10
00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:33,519
Speaker 1: of today, and the idea of sending them to somewhere

11
00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:35,680
Speaker 1: in the region, not Ukraine, but somewhere in the region,

12
00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:41,440
Speaker 1: and definitely more you know, armament stuff, you know, support.

13
00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:45,360
Speaker 1: Military analyst Mike Lyons joins US. Mike served with various

14
00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:49,400
Speaker 1: military organizations for the United States of America throughout his career.

15
00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:53,800
Speaker 1: Was awarded the Bronze Starfer's Actions in Combat, among other recognition. Mike,

16
00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:56,040
Speaker 1: how are you, sir, hey when you guys good to

17
00:00:56,040 --> 00:00:58,480
Speaker 1: be back to do? First of all, and I asked

18
00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:00,760
Speaker 1: this because a lot of our listeners are emailing talking

19
00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:03,160
Speaker 1: about guys, we can't go to war war with Russia.

20
00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:05,759
Speaker 1: We're gonna go wagging the dog getting in a war.

21
00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:09,640
Speaker 1: Where are the troops and our armaments being sent and

22
00:01:09,680 --> 00:01:12,760
Speaker 1: what's the significance of it? I say, Yeah, First of all,

23
00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:15,400
Speaker 1: this is not a waged dog. This is a very

24
00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:18,600
Speaker 1: serious military build up on the side of Russia, who's

25
00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:21,600
Speaker 1: acting more like the Soviet Union right now from more

26
00:01:21,640 --> 00:01:23,360
Speaker 1: analysis that I've been doing in the past few days

27
00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:27,480
Speaker 1: here and they're they're bringing troops from Siberia way the

28
00:01:27,520 --> 00:01:30,520
Speaker 1: east of Moscow. They are have a very very serious

29
00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:34,199
Speaker 1: military build up here, sending troops into Belarus. UM Navy

30
00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:36,319
Speaker 1: for example, is going to go to do an exercise

31
00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:39,080
Speaker 1: in the Irish Sea. And the only thing I can

32
00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:43,280
Speaker 1: see from there that perspective is, you know, a technology

33
00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:46,720
Speaker 1: that trans first from Europe the United States and underground

34
00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:49,800
Speaker 1: cables and things. So they're doing a many things right

35
00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:53,080
Speaker 1: now that are seemed to be very aggressive with regard

36
00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:55,559
Speaker 1: their military. So number one, this is not a waged dog.

37
00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:57,800
Speaker 1: So it comes back to this issue of what's this

38
00:01:57,920 --> 00:01:59,240
Speaker 1: level of the terns that we're going to do to

39
00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:01,880
Speaker 1: keep them from a really doing something. Um, you know,

40
00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:03,720
Speaker 1: we were sending eighty five twops where we put them

41
00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:06,400
Speaker 1: on heightened alert, that's like double secret probation frankly, because

42
00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:09,600
Speaker 1: with the amount of troops that they have there right now, Um,

43
00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:12,200
Speaker 1: we wouldn't get anybody there on time. If we were

44
00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:14,720
Speaker 1: going to put them in Ukraine. We might be able

45
00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:16,760
Speaker 1: to help in a NATO country that's surrounding them, But

46
00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:19,040
Speaker 1: for all practical purposes right now, we've got to look

47
00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:21,080
Speaker 1: at this through the eyes of Russia and say they're

48
00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:22,800
Speaker 1: going to definitely do something. And that's just the question

49
00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:24,839
Speaker 1: is a matter of When I saw one analyst talking

50
00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:28,320
Speaker 1: about Russia having in place what it needs for a

51
00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:33,119
Speaker 1: blitzkrieg like operation, just a super fast, overwhelming they've got

52
00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:36,760
Speaker 1: the country before you know what happened sort of maneuver.

53
00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:38,880
Speaker 1: Is that possible? Yeah, I think it's true. And they're

54
00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:42,399
Speaker 1: gonna avoid built up areas and likely go for their

55
00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:46,120
Speaker 1: military and so Russia will win this by destroying the

56
00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:48,560
Speaker 1: Ukraine military. Now, we could send all the ammunition and

57
00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:52,600
Speaker 1: javelins and and surface air missiles we want and they

58
00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:54,639
Speaker 1: get to Kiev and you know they can send on

59
00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:57,440
Speaker 1: the docks in place. But but the bottom line is, um,

60
00:02:57,480 --> 00:03:00,519
Speaker 1: if we if if they've destroyed any of users of

61
00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:02,560
Speaker 1: that equipment, it's not going to matter. And they know

62
00:03:02,600 --> 00:03:04,000
Speaker 1: where it all is, they know how they're going to

63
00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:05,440
Speaker 1: target it, they know what they're gonna do. They're gonna

64
00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:08,560
Speaker 1: bypass certain areas. I think that the fact that they

65
00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:10,720
Speaker 1: put so many troops down in the in the northern part,

66
00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:13,440
Speaker 1: you know, in that Belarus area, shows they're going to

67
00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:15,919
Speaker 1: do this pincer movement where they're likely come from the north.

68
00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:19,160
Speaker 1: They're likely looked to surround the capitol, um and and

69
00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:22,280
Speaker 1: and and and not just take control of of the country,

70
00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:25,200
Speaker 1: but you know, really destroy the military and just put

71
00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:27,440
Speaker 1: it set it back thirty to fifty years when it

72
00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:29,000
Speaker 1: comes to being a country. And if they just had

73
00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:31,600
Speaker 1: to leave, then then so what they've destroyed. So Russia's

74
00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:34,680
Speaker 1: perspective of Ukraine is there an enemy. Um, they've been

75
00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:38,000
Speaker 1: they've been fighting for them for the past seven years. Um.

76
00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:40,240
Speaker 1: They perceived them as a threat. They perceived them as

77
00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:43,280
Speaker 1: trying to align with the West. And from their perspective,

78
00:03:43,320 --> 00:03:45,400
Speaker 1: they don't think the terrence has worked. And they've tried

79
00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:48,520
Speaker 1: to ternce on Ukraine and from their perspective, it hasn't worked,

80
00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:51,720
Speaker 1: which is why they're doing what they're doing. Let's rewind

81
00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:53,520
Speaker 1: a little bit, and I realized this could be a

82
00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:57,720
Speaker 1: book length answer. But what are the American interests in Ukraine?

83
00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:02,120
Speaker 1: In Russia's aggressions in Ukraine? Why do we care? Well, Um,

84
00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:06,040
Speaker 1: at fifty feet, it's supporting, you know, a sovereign nation,

85
00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:10,280
Speaker 1: that's democracy. So if it's more ideological than it is economic,

86
00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:13,480
Speaker 1: let's say, um, from that perspective, and is you know

87
00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:15,880
Speaker 1: we can cavalist well or not that's a good idea

88
00:04:15,920 --> 00:04:19,160
Speaker 1: to go to war over. Probably not in today's world. Um.

89
00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:22,080
Speaker 1: Number two, it also serves as potentially this lynch pin

90
00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:25,240
Speaker 1: that would drive NATO apart. You've got already the Germans

91
00:04:25,279 --> 00:04:27,920
Speaker 1: not playing. They're not really participating in what's going on

92
00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:32,159
Speaker 1: because they rely on about their energy comes from Russia,

93
00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:33,760
Speaker 1: so they're not looking to get into any kind of

94
00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:36,960
Speaker 1: conflict with Russia. UM. But other than that, it's you know,

95
00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:40,039
Speaker 1: us trying to prop up um. You know, these Eastern

96
00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:45,400
Speaker 1: European countries who mistakenly we allowed in NATO following thousand

97
00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:48,120
Speaker 1: and four under the Bush administration. You know. So, so

98
00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:49,800
Speaker 1: this could end up turning out to be a war

99
00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:55,160
Speaker 1: of former Soviet bloc countries against against Russia. What happens then?

100
00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:58,320
Speaker 1: What happens if Romania decides to cross the border that

101
00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:02,440
Speaker 1: they share with Ukraine and help the Ukraine military. Russia

102
00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:05,640
Speaker 1: attacks them and does something into Ukraine, It launches missiles

103
00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,480
Speaker 1: into into Rope And then what happens. Then that's a

104
00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:10,760
Speaker 1: NATO country. Here we go Article five And now the

105
00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:13,039
Speaker 1: US has dragged into this. This was the problem of

106
00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:15,840
Speaker 1: putting these countries in. I've said this before. We can't

107
00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:19,000
Speaker 1: have membership to NATO to be everybody but Russia. Same

108
00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:22,440
Speaker 1: mistake we're making that we made it started World War One. Yeah,

109
00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:24,559
Speaker 1: I'm glad you brought that up, that whole NATO Article

110
00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:27,200
Speaker 1: five things. So that's the danger of the United States

111
00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:30,640
Speaker 1: actually getting involved. Right if if any NATO plane or

112
00:05:30,760 --> 00:05:34,880
Speaker 1: ship or soldier or anybody, um somehow on purpose or

113
00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:38,800
Speaker 1: inadvertently gets attacked, then then things change. Yeah, and theory.

114
00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:40,280
Speaker 1: There's a lot of things going on in the med

115
00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:42,279
Speaker 1: right now. We've got a carrier group there, the Russians

116
00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:45,039
Speaker 1: have got UM naval forces there, They've got them in

117
00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:48,719
Speaker 1: the Atlantic in the Black Sea. Of course, anything that

118
00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:50,840
Speaker 1: we just don't know what that trigger could be, and

119
00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:53,719
Speaker 1: that could lead to a further escalation, and and then

120
00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:56,440
Speaker 1: what does that look like. I mean, from from our perspective,

121
00:05:56,480 --> 00:05:58,880
Speaker 1: it's only strategic weapons, because, like I said, we we

122
00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:02,039
Speaker 1: don't have any cap ability to get troops there on time.

123
00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:05,200
Speaker 1: I just don't think troops on high alert is the

124
00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:07,520
Speaker 1: is a kind of deterrence that we need to be doing.

125
00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:10,920
Speaker 1: I also don't agree with US implementing sanctions right now.

126
00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:13,920
Speaker 1: Anything we do right now is going to be considered preemptive.

127
00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:16,240
Speaker 1: It's going to be considered an act of war on

128
00:06:16,279 --> 00:06:19,120
Speaker 1: the Russian side. So I think that'll just further down

129
00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:22,520
Speaker 1: the road his capability of of wanting to to do

130
00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:24,760
Speaker 1: this even more. I mean, he's got to look at

131
00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:27,599
Speaker 1: right now the cost of not acting that that Talleyrand

132
00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:29,240
Speaker 1: expression about, you know, you can do a lot of

133
00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:31,480
Speaker 1: things that bayonets but can't sit on him. He's gonna

134
00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:33,440
Speaker 1: lose a lot of face here if nothing, if nothing

135
00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:36,080
Speaker 1: does happen, if he doesn't do anything. Um with his

136
00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:38,240
Speaker 1: own people, I think, UM, and we've got to figure

137
00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:40,400
Speaker 1: out diplomatically if there's if there's an off ramp to

138
00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:42,960
Speaker 1: that or not or else. Right now, from the way

139
00:06:42,960 --> 00:06:45,240
Speaker 1: I look at it, UM, the Ukraine military is about

140
00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:47,120
Speaker 1: to be destroyed. Well boy there, Well, there's been some

141
00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:50,120
Speaker 1: reporting that the Ukraine military's plan is to kill as

142
00:06:50,160 --> 00:06:52,919
Speaker 1: many Russian soldiers as fast as they can and have

143
00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:55,560
Speaker 1: the Russian public turn against this. Of course, if it's

144
00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:58,720
Speaker 1: a to day operation for Russian to roll through the

145
00:06:58,720 --> 00:07:00,800
Speaker 1: whole country and take it over, there wouldn't be time

146
00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:04,360
Speaker 1: to uh public opinion. There's a crazy op in the

147
00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:06,440
Speaker 1: worst of insurance say that says a hundred thousand troops

148
00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:09,520
Speaker 1: is not enough. And I sit there and go, how

149
00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:11,720
Speaker 1: do you know that? I mean, we look at we

150
00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:14,880
Speaker 1: look at the situation in the past of what's what's happened.

151
00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:17,480
Speaker 1: I just don't think that that's you know, a feasible

152
00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:20,160
Speaker 1: way of deterrence and making sure that that that that uh,

153
00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:23,960
Speaker 1: that's going to keep them from doing anything. Mike, have

154
00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:27,040
Speaker 1: you actually let loose the dogs of war? We can

155
00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:29,480
Speaker 1: hear the dogs of war in the background. Yeah, I

156
00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:31,000
Speaker 1: had him, had him rocked up, but he gets that

157
00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:33,960
Speaker 1: you worry about it. We just thought that was a

158
00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:37,080
Speaker 1: funny joke. That's all there was to that. Bans. Military

159
00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:39,239
Speaker 1: analysts on the line always great to talk to, Mike James.

160
00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:43,400
Speaker 1: So is the most likely thing that happens. Then Russia

161
00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:45,200
Speaker 1: moves in. It only takes a couple of days, they

162
00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:48,040
Speaker 1: destroy the Ukrainian they take over Ukraine and the world

163
00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:49,720
Speaker 1: says in what are you gonna do? Is that what's

164
00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:53,640
Speaker 1: gonna happen? Yeah? I think so. I think that the

165
00:07:53,760 --> 00:07:57,640
Speaker 1: question is how much damage does Russia cause? Do they

166
00:07:57,720 --> 00:08:01,600
Speaker 1: feel they have to go overboard? And um, it could

167
00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:04,880
Speaker 1: lead to those crippling sanctions that we say that that

168
00:08:04,920 --> 00:08:06,480
Speaker 1: are going to happen again, the Germans are not going

169
00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:08,760
Speaker 1: to go with them, and the Chinese will still you know,

170
00:08:08,840 --> 00:08:12,240
Speaker 1: back to support them as well. Um. I just think

171
00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:14,840
Speaker 1: that the question is how much will be destroyed of

172
00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:17,280
Speaker 1: the Ukraine military, because that's really it would be no

173
00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:21,040
Speaker 1: match they have. They don't have the same capabilities over

174
00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:24,600
Speaker 1: some fifty thous and they've got all those other troops

175
00:08:24,600 --> 00:08:26,120
Speaker 1: that are there as well. They just don't have any

176
00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:28,760
Speaker 1: kind of capability. And again, these anti tank missiles and

177
00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:30,440
Speaker 1: the things we're sending is not gonna be enough to

178
00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:32,720
Speaker 1: stop them. They're they're the Russians are going to do

179
00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:36,040
Speaker 1: this by indirect fire. They're gonna fire missiles and artillery

180
00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:38,520
Speaker 1: into these built up is Flattenum, level them for a

181
00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:40,080
Speaker 1: few days and then a side role and I to

182
00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:44,640
Speaker 1: destroy anything that's left over. So just another book length question,

183
00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:47,360
Speaker 1: you know, condensed down into a minute or two. Um,

184
00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:50,960
Speaker 1: to what extent, in your opinion, is Vladimir Putin trying

185
00:08:50,960 --> 00:08:54,960
Speaker 1: to recapture the not only the ground but the glory

186
00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:58,440
Speaker 1: of the Soviet Empire? And to what extent is he

187
00:08:58,600 --> 00:09:02,800
Speaker 1: like Russian rulers through history, you know, fairly paranoid about

188
00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:05,880
Speaker 1: attacks from the west and the south, and he's just

189
00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:10,680
Speaker 1: trying to establish a buffer. I think he's not acting

190
00:09:10,679 --> 00:09:13,240
Speaker 1: like a Russian ruler. He's acting like a Soviet ruler.

191
00:09:13,520 --> 00:09:16,040
Speaker 1: He's not. It's and there's a difference. I mean, um,

192
00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:18,319
Speaker 1: you know, Russia potentially would have been part of the

193
00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:21,240
Speaker 1: international community. Look at me Boris Yeltson and look at

194
00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:23,760
Speaker 1: the things that that they they've tried to do at

195
00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:26,839
Speaker 1: the end there with Glasnostin and Gorbacheff, and that was

196
00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:29,440
Speaker 1: more of a Russian ruler. He's much more ruthless. He's

197
00:09:29,480 --> 00:09:32,280
Speaker 1: more of a Soviet union leader that wants to bring

198
00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:35,880
Speaker 1: um as much damage down and fear as a tactic

199
00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:38,000
Speaker 1: in order to get things going. There's no karent and

200
00:09:38,040 --> 00:09:41,440
Speaker 1: stick with Vladimir Putin. I think the question is, um,

201
00:09:41,520 --> 00:09:44,200
Speaker 1: he wants America out of Europe, that's for sure, and

202
00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:46,520
Speaker 1: a little secret as we are. I mean, we took

203
00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:48,839
Speaker 1: three hundred thousand troops out in the nineties, but he

204
00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:51,760
Speaker 1: doesn't want any more influence in those NATO countries that

205
00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:53,719
Speaker 1: we have there, and I think I think that's um.

206
00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:56,200
Speaker 1: The question of whether he can get there with this

207
00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:58,000
Speaker 1: or not it remains to be seen. I saw a

208
00:09:58,000 --> 00:10:00,160
Speaker 1: good article from Fiona Hill that said, you know, he's

209
00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:02,080
Speaker 1: got us right where he wants us, and there's there's

210
00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:04,760
Speaker 1: some ways that's true. The question is again, he goes

211
00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:07,600
Speaker 1: in there with this destructive force, kills a lot of people,

212
00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:10,160
Speaker 1: destroys the Ukraine military, and then turns the United States

213
00:10:10,160 --> 00:10:12,959
Speaker 1: and say, now, what are you gonna do about it? Yeah.

214
00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:14,840
Speaker 1: The frustrating thing to me is I watched this is

215
00:10:14,880 --> 00:10:18,040
Speaker 1: there's no well, not no. There are a few strong

216
00:10:18,120 --> 00:10:22,400
Speaker 1: intrinsic reasons why we are rivals with Vladimir Putin and

217
00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:25,800
Speaker 1: his his kleptocracy. I mean, it's not like China exactly.

218
00:10:25,840 --> 00:10:30,000
Speaker 1: He's not exactly a communist, a sort of one. But

219
00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:32,679
Speaker 1: why in the world there are we these huge adversaries

220
00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:36,680
Speaker 1: with Putin. Well, it's because Putin's a megalomaniac, I think, yeah,

221
00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:39,120
Speaker 1: And he's got new crispins and they they he does

222
00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:42,839
Speaker 1: fancy himself as being, you know, a global leer. He

223
00:10:42,880 --> 00:10:45,559
Speaker 1: wants to exert global influence, especially in the region. It's

224
00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:49,079
Speaker 1: the same reason why the Chinese want us out of Asia, um,

225
00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:51,200
Speaker 1: Russia wants us out of Europe, and he wants to

226
00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:54,240
Speaker 1: have that sphere of influence over it. Um. You know,

227
00:10:54,800 --> 00:10:56,720
Speaker 1: I do think that at the end of the day, though,

228
00:10:56,760 --> 00:10:59,160
Speaker 1: if we get too bogged down in this and we

229
00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:01,600
Speaker 1: keep don't keep on the ball, that China still presents

230
00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:04,240
Speaker 1: the bigger problem because of their economy and because of

231
00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:07,280
Speaker 1: where their military capability is. And we couldn't make a

232
00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:09,360
Speaker 1: bullet to kill all the people. So you know, there's

233
00:11:09,400 --> 00:11:12,640
Speaker 1: just not you know that it's still a pretty large

234
00:11:12,679 --> 00:11:14,960
Speaker 1: distraction here, and I'm not sure we're gonna be able

235
00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:18,200
Speaker 1: to thread the needle on this in a way. Um

236
00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:21,000
Speaker 1: that's gonna that's gonna either say faced on our side,

237
00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:23,520
Speaker 1: on the Native side, doesn't. Some's put the alliance up

238
00:11:23,520 --> 00:11:26,760
Speaker 1: on some level. But I do think again that it's

239
00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:29,040
Speaker 1: going to be connectic and I think that that a

240
00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:31,200
Speaker 1: large part of that Ukraine military is going to get

241
00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:33,320
Speaker 1: destroyed because he's got the capability to do that. Well,

242
00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:35,080
Speaker 1: almost use up all our time before I ask my

243
00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:38,040
Speaker 1: big stupid question, which is is there any chance Russian

244
00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:40,760
Speaker 1: and China is working together that that Russia is gonna

245
00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:43,720
Speaker 1: move on Ukraine and China is gonna move on Taiwan.

246
00:11:44,559 --> 00:11:46,959
Speaker 1: I think the only way that happens is if it's

247
00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:50,120
Speaker 1: uh after the Olympics. The Chinese have got so much

248
00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:52,760
Speaker 1: focus there. He we Russia did that at the end

249
00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:55,839
Speaker 1: of the Socio Olympics. Literally the last day Olympics, he

250
00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:58,679
Speaker 1: moved on Crimea. I think that he's gonna least give

251
00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:00,920
Speaker 1: the Chinese that amount of time. It's gonna give two

252
00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:02,760
Speaker 1: or three more weeks for the ground to freeze so

253
00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:05,480
Speaker 1: the tanks don't sink and in the mud as they

254
00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:08,440
Speaker 1: roll across the country. But I got I think quick

255
00:12:08,440 --> 00:12:10,840
Speaker 1: incursion go in a lot of fires, a lot of

256
00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:13,080
Speaker 1: death and destruction. I'm not sure they're going to occupy,

257
00:12:13,160 --> 00:12:14,439
Speaker 1: but I don't think it's still gonna happen for a

258
00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:16,000
Speaker 1: couple of weeks because of the Olympics. So that's where

259
00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:19,400
Speaker 1: they're gonna work together, well, getting back here charming saying

260
00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:22,120
Speaker 1: about Bayonets. Something is going to happen. I hope we

261
00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:25,079
Speaker 1: can stay in touch. Military analysts, my clients always enlightening Mike,

262
00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:27,680
Speaker 1: thanks a million, Hey guys, good thanks for having me. Yeah.

263
00:12:27,679 --> 00:12:29,320
Speaker 1: If you want to follow the story, follow him on

264
00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:32,120
Speaker 1: Twitter because he he often has the very latest best

265
00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:35,400
Speaker 1: stuff going on there. I think they're just gonna roll

266
00:12:35,440 --> 00:12:37,560
Speaker 1: in take over Ukraine. The world's gonna say, damn it.

267
00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:44,120
Speaker 1: Can you believe that? That's s sanctions? Strong statements? Strong statements.

268
00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:46,840
Speaker 1: So Putin has a mass to half a trillion dollars

269
00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:49,720
Speaker 1: of reserve money according to report out today. To be

270
00:12:49,760 --> 00:12:52,679
Speaker 1: able to weather sanctions half a trillion, he needs oil

271
00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:55,320
Speaker 1: to be forty dollars a barrel. To be able to

272
00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:57,640
Speaker 1: make a profit. It's twice that, and that's where they

273
00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:00,559
Speaker 1: get most of their revenue. So financially, a lot of

274
00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:02,960
Speaker 1: fakers think the sanctions just he's not scared of him

275
00:13:02,960 --> 00:13:05,400
Speaker 1: at all. Between oil and has saved up money. So

276
00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:07,480
Speaker 1: he's gonna roll and he's gonna take Ukraine in the

277
00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:09,320
Speaker 1: world's gonna go. God, can you believe he did that?

278
00:13:09,559 --> 00:13:14,880
Speaker 1: Damn it? Because he care? What a mean guy? Anyway,

279
00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:17,240
Speaker 1: have you seen have you seen the new season of

280
00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:18,840
Speaker 1: squid Game? And then we go back to other, you know,

281
00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:21,800
Speaker 1: whatever stuff we talk about. I think he nailed it. Yeah,

282
00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:22,320
Speaker 1: there you go.