WEBVTT - NFL Week 7: Best Matchups, Dak Prescott return, Over/Unders, McCaffrey with 49ers, and Write this down! 0:00:04.299 --> 0:00:06.659 NFL. Game Debut is a production of the NFL in 0:00:06.739 --> 0:00:10.979 partnership with I Heart Radio. Can anyone tell me who's good? 0:00:11.139 --> 0:00:12.699 I mean, I have a pretty good idea because I'm 0:00:12.819 --> 0:00:15.779 crushing reg in the picks lately. I'm stupid. But what 0:00:16.019 --> 0:00:21.019 is happening? I mean, Tom Brady needs to beat the 0:00:21.019 --> 0:00:24.499 Panthers to get above five hundred. The Packers are two 0:00:24.579 --> 0:00:26.979 games back of the Vikings in the NFC North. The 0:00:27.059 --> 0:00:33.979 Bears are in primetime again. Spinge Away two is back 0:00:34.019 --> 0:00:40.619 against the Steelers. Respectable football is back, yet MetLife throws 0:00:41.179 --> 0:00:44.939 touch them our banks back to God, I hope. So 0:00:45.259 --> 0:00:59.259 Game Debut, presented by Mercedes Benz, starts now. Welcome to game. 0:00:59.459 --> 0:01:02.419 Dave you the producer that I wrote that intro just 0:01:02.499 --> 0:01:06.219 taking shots at everyone I didn't straight little hasn't even 0:01:06.299 --> 0:01:09.419 started in your spreading lies about me? Did you too 0:01:09.459 --> 0:01:11.459 write that you're the only ones that stayed out of 0:01:11.579 --> 0:01:16.499 a fire there famously means Cynthia Freeland is just who 0:01:16.699 --> 0:01:20.059 good forgot? Welcome to Game Debut. I feel like I'm 0:01:20.139 --> 0:01:26.259 maybe like an evil twin of Rachel named Rae Great 0:01:27.659 --> 0:01:31.299 Patrick clebn guys, it is a very special day. We 0:01:31.379 --> 0:01:37.219 are all together. It is Mrs Clayban's birthday. Shall but 0:01:37.339 --> 0:01:39.139 let's talk about in football, shall we. You guys want 0:01:39.179 --> 0:01:41.539 to get into it, Let's do it all right. Chiefs 0:01:41.579 --> 0:01:43.979 Niners che favored by one and a half and there 0:01:44.019 --> 0:01:46.819 are only two and four against the spread this season. Greggy, 0:01:47.219 --> 0:01:50.339 do they handle business? I am trying to thread the 0:01:50.699 --> 0:01:53.819 tiniest of needles here. I'm having the Chiefs win this game, 0:01:53.979 --> 0:01:57.499 but only by one. Of course, we had the Christian 0:01:57.579 --> 0:02:00.819 McCaffrey trade late in the week. NFL Network our guy 0:02:00.859 --> 0:02:03.179 in rapports saying that there will be a red zone 0:02:03.219 --> 0:02:07.579 package Christian McCaffrey, so he'll get some snaps. I don't 0:02:07.619 --> 0:02:10.459 think running the football is that complicated, like I know, 0:02:10.619 --> 0:02:14.939 they make it sound really complicated, and there's past protection issues. 0:02:15.019 --> 0:02:18.499 But he's gonna play, and he's gonna play more than 0:02:18.619 --> 0:02:21.819 they expect, and I think it adds to what's been 0:02:21.859 --> 0:02:24.459 a weakness for San Francisco. They've actually been a very 0:02:24.499 --> 0:02:27.339 efficient passing game this year and the worst running game 0:02:27.379 --> 0:02:29.939 since Kyle Shanahan has been in San Francisco. So I 0:02:29.979 --> 0:02:32.299 think Christian McCaffrey helps. I don't think it's a great 0:02:32.379 --> 0:02:35.099 Chief's defense. They get Willie gayback this week, which is great, 0:02:35.139 --> 0:02:38.099 But the Chiefs defense has been mediocre and I think 0:02:38.179 --> 0:02:40.619 this forty Niners team is quite good, so I think 0:02:40.659 --> 0:02:42.379 it's a one point game either way. But there's a 0:02:42.459 --> 0:02:44.939 rule I have in life, right, you do not pick 0:02:44.979 --> 0:02:48.739 against rate uh, Patrick Mormes or Rachel Bonetta two weeks ago. 0:02:48.979 --> 0:02:51.379 You do not pick against Patrick. It felt bad last 0:02:51.419 --> 0:02:54.259 week rooting against him, and we were right. When you know, 0:02:54.299 --> 0:02:56.659 if we pick, I'm going against him, I'm going against 0:02:56.699 --> 0:02:59.259 I'm staying with him this week. What do you like him? Okay, Well, 0:02:59.299 --> 0:03:02.019 I have a two point win in favor of the Chiefs. 0:03:02.259 --> 0:03:04.139 When I look at this game, the thing that happens 0:03:04.219 --> 0:03:06.259 for me most is kind of the other side. I'm 0:03:06.299 --> 0:03:08.699 looking at what Patrick Mahomes will do against this defense. 0:03:08.699 --> 0:03:11.139 Of course, Nick Bosa is back but still struggling. Two 0:03:11.179 --> 0:03:14.699 point win for me in this one too. It's really 0:03:14.779 --> 0:03:17.139 the zone defense that makes a big difference. And if 0:03:17.179 --> 0:03:19.059 you look to see what Damiko Ryan's does well, he 0:03:19.099 --> 0:03:21.299 plays zone at the third highest rate in the NFL, 0:03:21.579 --> 0:03:24.499 and Mahomes has a seventy two point one completion percentage 0:03:24.499 --> 0:03:27.579 against zone. Sometimes we talk about two safety shells being 0:03:27.579 --> 0:03:30.019 a way to stop Patrick Mahomes. Seems like that trend 0:03:30.179 --> 0:03:32.659 has a reverse part of that, as Travis Kelsey National 0:03:32.739 --> 0:03:34.979 tight End Day a very big deal, and I will 0:03:35.019 --> 0:03:37.579 point out the forty nineties defense. Even with last week 0:03:37.659 --> 0:03:40.939 having that strange week with everyone not playing, they're still 0:03:40.979 --> 0:03:43.139 the third highest pressure rate in the league. So it'll 0:03:43.179 --> 0:03:46.499 be interesting quick passes, zone defense, Patrick finding the holes 0:03:46.539 --> 0:03:49.179 in the zone, getting in there. That's how you do 0:03:49.259 --> 0:03:52.579 Patrick one, Patrick two, what do you It's honestly the 0:03:52.659 --> 0:03:55.099 evaluation of the Patrick thing. I appreciate Patrick like much 0:03:55.179 --> 0:03:57.699 like Greg. I'm not going to pick against Patrick Mahomes 0:03:58.179 --> 0:04:00.099 two weeks in a row. Got away with it last week. 0:04:00.179 --> 0:04:02.339 To pick kind of hurt because I'll seem really confident 0:04:02.419 --> 0:04:07.139 with these scores. It's an interesting basically, it's so close 0:04:07.179 --> 0:04:09.019 because everything's coming up Niners this week. It's not just 0:04:09.099 --> 0:04:11.379 the Christian McCaffrey trade. One of the best players in 0:04:11.379 --> 0:04:13.859 the NFL, Trump Williams comes back this week, they get 0:04:13.899 --> 0:04:16.339 Boat back, they get Jimmy Ward, and then on the 0:04:16.379 --> 0:04:19.099 other side we get to see Debo uh. And we've 0:04:19.179 --> 0:04:22.499 chronicled the problems that the Case defense has had against 0:04:22.579 --> 0:04:25.539 Number one defense, Number one bode receivers for the past 0:04:25.579 --> 0:04:28.059 few weeks. Uh so Debot set the feast off of 0:04:28.139 --> 0:04:30.899 single coverage. I can see the Niners way exceeding the 0:04:31.059 --> 0:04:33.259 number of points they've had in losses. Right now, they're 0:04:33.259 --> 0:04:35.939 averaging about twelve points and losses. I think they get 0:04:35.979 --> 0:04:39.179 twenty one. The problem is, uh like, like everybody else said, 0:04:39.419 --> 0:04:41.579 let's just see the chief scoring more, you just don't 0:04:41.699 --> 0:04:46.379 want to. Chief's right. Yeah, guys playing my music, I'm 0:04:46.419 --> 0:04:49.379 reading someone volume turn up the volume on Oh Canada 0:04:49.419 --> 0:04:50.979 because this is a loan Etta. But I mean, is 0:04:51.019 --> 0:04:53.979 it alone Etta. Everyone's kind of like tiptoeing on. They're 0:04:54.019 --> 0:04:59.299 dipping their toes. Marlanetta scores. It's it's a loan bone 0:04:59.339 --> 0:05:01.179 if I ever saw It's a loan bone if I 0:05:01.259 --> 0:05:03.859 ever saw one. As well. Twenty six I'm buying in 0:05:04.179 --> 0:05:06.499 where was like, how much are we really going to 0:05:06.539 --> 0:05:09.499 see Christian McCaffrey. I don't know, hopefully a little bit. 0:05:09.579 --> 0:05:11.499 Did you guys know that there is a world in 0:05:11.619 --> 0:05:15.819 which we may live that Kyle Shanahan baby sat Christian 0:05:15.899 --> 0:05:19.499 McCaffrey once upon a time. I love that story and 0:05:19.579 --> 0:05:22.139 I love this move. I'm going forty Niners. They're fun 0:05:22.179 --> 0:05:25.859 Cinderella team. They wore that Chargers fan. But every week 0:05:25.899 --> 0:05:31.579 all you talk about Jimmy Jimmy Jay sue me. Okay, 0:05:31.619 --> 0:05:36.539 who is more fun to root for? Uh? This season? 0:05:37.179 --> 0:05:40.259 The teleprompter might think about moving, thank you. Who is 0:05:40.299 --> 0:05:43.179 more fun to root for this year than Brian Dable 0:05:43.459 --> 0:05:45.979 crushing it in his first year as a head coach, 0:05:46.019 --> 0:05:49.739 so excited after every win. He's got the Giants at 0:05:49.859 --> 0:05:53.579 five and one, the only five win team playing this 0:05:53.819 --> 0:05:58.739 week taking on the Jags. Uh Sin the Desert likes 0:05:58.779 --> 0:06:02.539 the Jags by three total. Disrespect that man right there? 0:06:02.579 --> 0:06:03.899 What do you think? What do you like? I'm going 0:06:04.259 --> 0:06:06.699 end table too, I hear in the locker room after 0:06:06.779 --> 0:06:10.139 he plays Juicy fan favorite. Of course I need to 0:06:10.139 --> 0:06:12.659 see him dancing in the locker room. The model also 0:06:12.739 --> 0:06:15.179 agrees with me. I have a win for the Giants 0:06:15.219 --> 0:06:18.259 twenty three to one in this matchup. When I'm looking 0:06:18.339 --> 0:06:20.979 at kind of why and what's going on, I'm looking 0:06:21.059 --> 0:06:24.139 at this blitz rate. Soe point seven percent that's how 0:06:24.219 --> 0:06:26.379 often the Giants blitz. That's good for number one in 0:06:26.419 --> 0:06:29.379 the NFL. And then Trevor Lawrence. We still haven't seen 0:06:29.459 --> 0:06:32.099 him figure out what happens when he's pressured, not saying 0:06:32.139 --> 0:06:34.139 that every blitz turns into a pressure, but it's a 0:06:34.179 --> 0:06:36.379 fifty two point six pass or rating when he is 0:06:36.459 --> 0:06:39.259 pressured that ranks twenty three. So for me, it's kind 0:06:39.259 --> 0:06:41.979 of low key. This Giant's ability to create havoc on 0:06:42.179 --> 0:06:45.099 Trevor Lawrence. That makes the difference in this matchup right, 0:06:45.299 --> 0:06:49.019 I got the Jaguars winning this game. I don't feel 0:06:49.059 --> 0:06:52.219 great because when the model is so different than what 0:06:52.459 --> 0:06:54.419 Vegas is, that makes me feel uncomfortable. But you know what, 0:06:54.499 --> 0:06:58.219 the model also says that the Giants have the seven 0:06:58.819 --> 0:07:01.619 best rush defense in the league. And you know the 0:07:01.659 --> 0:07:05.019 way to beat heavy blitz teams. You run right at him. 0:07:05.259 --> 0:07:08.579 No one loves blitzing more than Martindale. And this running 0:07:08.619 --> 0:07:12.179 game with Travis E. T N and James Robinson have 0:07:12.259 --> 0:07:14.979 been getting more dynamic each and every week. They were 0:07:15.219 --> 0:07:17.539 remind me a little bit of a running back duo 0:07:17.659 --> 0:07:20.579 that used to play in New York, and that was 0:07:20.699 --> 0:07:23.859 Thunder and Lightning, Ron Dane and Tiki Barber. You got 0:07:23.939 --> 0:07:27.339 the back, you got the big bruiser, And I think 0:07:27.419 --> 0:07:29.419 this Giant's team has bet and getting a little bit 0:07:29.499 --> 0:07:32.699 lucky each and every week. The defense especially, and we're 0:07:32.739 --> 0:07:35.339 gonna correct it here with a Jaguars. Jags defense on 0:07:35.459 --> 0:07:38.179 rush is pretty good. They're they're good, it is, and 0:07:38.299 --> 0:07:40.419 that's that's the key part of my pick, because we 0:07:40.499 --> 0:07:42.979 have strength on strength. We have a top five rush 0:07:43.059 --> 0:07:45.699 offense against the top five rush defense. Gregg and I 0:07:45.779 --> 0:07:48.939 were concerned and how aligned we were on these picks 0:07:48.979 --> 0:07:50.939 because we thought we were each gonna be alone. I'm 0:07:50.979 --> 0:07:54.979 taking the Jags uh in this one to nineteen, not 0:07:55.219 --> 0:07:57.979 just Travis and James. In the run game. I think 0:07:58.059 --> 0:08:00.619 trev is going to be heavily involved in this run 0:08:00.739 --> 0:08:03.939 game as well. We saw. Yeah, this is how me 0:08:04.019 --> 0:08:06.339 and to have been communicating was back in the days, 0:08:06.859 --> 0:08:10.139 uh in Georgia. You know this. This is no we've 0:08:10.179 --> 0:08:12.459 never We've only met two times. But he's a very nice, 0:08:12.619 --> 0:08:14.579 very nice person. So that's what this is about. Just 0:08:14.699 --> 0:08:17.099 like the long flowing locks, just leaving us in the 0:08:17.379 --> 0:08:21.899 just look at this effective. But truly, as you mentioned, 0:08:21.939 --> 0:08:23.819 I think this is a legitimate strategy to deal with 0:08:23.939 --> 0:08:26.179 the blitz pressure that Wink and company are going to bring. 0:08:26.539 --> 0:08:28.459 I like the Jags keeping it on the ground and 0:08:28.499 --> 0:08:30.739 stopping the ground game, Jags win a home You guys 0:08:30.779 --> 0:08:32.059 make a lot of good points. I know that that 0:08:32.139 --> 0:08:34.379 Jags defense is going on rushing. I think is gonna 0:08:34.419 --> 0:08:36.459 I want that. I think that this is going to 0:08:36.499 --> 0:08:38.179 be a low scoring game. I have at seventeen to 0:08:38.299 --> 0:08:42.259 ten for the Giants. There's just something sparkle and fun 0:08:42.379 --> 0:08:44.539 about the Giants. I've read the story in The Athletic 0:08:44.619 --> 0:08:47.739 this week, Brian Table. Apparently in the team meetings will 0:08:47.779 --> 0:08:50.339 tick We'll pick two players at random, no one knows, 0:08:50.779 --> 0:08:52.739 and they have to play each other in Madden Giants 0:08:52.859 --> 0:08:55.699 Versus Giants, and then the whole team gathers around him. 0:08:55.739 --> 0:08:58.779 They're yelling. That gets very competitive, Like I know we 0:08:58.859 --> 0:09:02.059 had the whole ping pong table fiasco last week. This 0:09:02.179 --> 0:09:03.699 is the kind of team vibe that I want to 0:09:03.739 --> 0:09:06.939 hear about Madden Giants Versus Giants. I like them seventeen 0:09:06.979 --> 0:09:08.699 to ten. How can we never hear these stories when 0:09:08.699 --> 0:09:10.819 the teams are losing? You know what I mean? Whatever, 0:09:11.059 --> 0:09:13.339 I just want to shine a light on some good stuff. Okay, 0:09:13.419 --> 0:09:16.979 let's do the math, shall we? Specifically Cynthia. She's the 0:09:16.979 --> 0:09:18.499 only one that's allowed to do the math here. The 0:09:18.579 --> 0:09:21.939 Jackson allowed six rushing touchdowns, and their last three games 0:09:22.259 --> 0:09:24.859 can take one get on the ground and in the air. 0:09:25.059 --> 0:09:27.539 This week, I'm gonna go with not both, but certainly 0:09:27.699 --> 0:09:29.699 one of them. He does leave the team in both 0:09:29.819 --> 0:09:32.739 rushing and receiving yards over expected. He has over two 0:09:32.859 --> 0:09:35.179 hundred combined in both of those metrics, well in those 0:09:35.219 --> 0:09:38.179 metrics together. When I'm looking at this one, though, take 0:09:38.219 --> 0:09:40.579 one feast on those outside zone runs and actually the 0:09:40.659 --> 0:09:42.579 Jags are low key the best at stopping them. So 0:09:42.699 --> 0:09:44.979 we averages six point seven yards on them and they're 0:09:45.019 --> 0:09:48.619 only giving up two point three. So that's that's It's 0:09:48.619 --> 0:09:51.459 probably gonna be one touchdown, but just I think receiving. 0:09:51.819 --> 0:09:54.899 Ever since Doug Peterson, or rather Nick Sirianni and the 0:09:54.939 --> 0:09:58.139 Eagles put devn Lloyd in a blender two straight weeks, 0:09:58.499 --> 0:10:00.659 teams have really attacked them in the passing game and 0:10:00.899 --> 0:10:03.979 running backs have gotten on him. Time for Drive to 0:10:04.179 --> 0:10:09.379 Silence presented by Mercedes Benz. Cowboys were excellent, nearly perfect 0:10:09.739 --> 0:10:14.259 with Cooper rush, but Dack is back against Cynthia's Lions. 0:10:14.419 --> 0:10:17.979 What do you what do you think? Definitely not a roar, 0:10:18.139 --> 0:10:20.659 more like a yeah, more like a meal. I've got 0:10:20.739 --> 0:10:29.419 a pretty significant body favorite Cowboys in this one. Two 0:10:29.459 --> 0:10:34.539 of You Children is my final projective score. I looked 0:10:34.579 --> 0:10:37.459 into why the Lions defense has been so susceptible and 0:10:37.539 --> 0:10:40.499 what's really been happening. They've been blitzing quite a bit 0:10:40.619 --> 0:10:44.499 for the third highest blitz rate. And guess what Dack does. 0:10:44.579 --> 0:10:46.539 He threw twenty three touchdowns the most in the NFL 0:10:46.659 --> 0:10:50.099 last season against the blitz. And also when you don't 0:10:50.099 --> 0:10:52.659 have any many defensive backs and coverage like it just 0:10:52.739 --> 0:10:54.579 makes a lot more one on what you really want 0:10:54.619 --> 0:10:56.539 to go up against, Ceedee Lamb and Michael Gallup like 0:10:56.619 --> 0:10:59.099 one on what no thank you? So that's what drives 0:10:59.139 --> 0:11:01.419 that score. It would be maybe one point closer if 0:11:01.459 --> 0:11:04.179 DeAndre Swift for sure healthy, but it seems like he's 0:11:04.219 --> 0:11:06.379 doubt for he's questionable or something that you know, but 0:11:06.419 --> 0:11:08.419 I'll probably play. He had a little but that doesn't 0:11:08.459 --> 0:11:10.819 make him a p And you know what is one 0:11:10.819 --> 0:11:13.739 point closer mine twenty. I love it when my score 0:11:13.779 --> 0:11:15.419 comes so close to the model. I just make it 0:11:15.539 --> 0:11:18.379 up and she did so much work. I'm pretending to 0:11:19.979 --> 0:11:22.939 totally out of thin there. Look, Dak Prescott returning this 0:11:23.059 --> 0:11:25.379 week is perfect, you know, like the first day of school. 0:11:25.459 --> 0:11:28.819 The kids get an early dismissal, like ease them back in, 0:11:29.099 --> 0:11:31.259 not the old day of work. That's what it's like 0:11:31.299 --> 0:11:34.339 going against this Lions defense. They don't know what they're 0:11:34.379 --> 0:11:36.699 doing in terms of rushing the pastor they're starting to 0:11:36.739 --> 0:11:41.619 practice Aidan Hutchinson at off ball linebacker. Their cornerbacks are struggling. 0:11:41.939 --> 0:11:45.579 Dak Prescott is returning to a better situation than that 0:11:45.699 --> 0:11:48.099 week one in which he struggled. Defense is playing better, 0:11:48.179 --> 0:11:51.419 offensive lines playing better. The running game is better. Dak 0:11:51.459 --> 0:11:54.459 Prescott has so many more options and he doesn't have 0:11:54.619 --> 0:11:56.539 to be aggressive because the rest of the team is 0:11:56.579 --> 0:11:58.859 playing so great. What a nice way to return. Sorry, 0:11:58.979 --> 0:12:01.739 I mean it's true. Somebody send me oldest and oldest 0:12:01.939 --> 0:12:03.979 here from mission. You know what that means. So it's 0:12:03.979 --> 0:12:08.339 not Cynthia understands the situation that I think everybody understands 0:12:08.459 --> 0:12:10.259 the situation the Lions are in. But I would like 0:12:10.379 --> 0:12:12.699 to mention a positive because I'm going to speak this 0:12:12.779 --> 0:12:15.979 into existence. DeAndre Swift will play, and he will play well, 0:12:16.179 --> 0:12:20.059 let's go. I'm just I need this to happen because 0:12:20.099 --> 0:12:22.339 he's so fun to watch and this offense when he 0:12:22.539 --> 0:12:26.019 is there is also fun and speaking of weaknesses, because 0:12:26.059 --> 0:12:29.899 this Cowboys defense is good, but uh that they are 0:12:30.099 --> 0:12:32.499 nineteenth and rush defense number one in sex top five 0:12:32.539 --> 0:12:35.779 and past defense nineteen and rush defense. So I think 0:12:36.339 --> 0:12:40.059 the Cowboys have a lead, but the Lions with some 0:12:40.139 --> 0:12:43.379 DeAndre Swift screen passes, some Jared goff yolo balls, maybe 0:12:43.419 --> 0:12:47.459 Josh Reynolants gets involved. Garbage time counts in fantasy and 0:12:47.539 --> 0:12:50.019 it also counts on the scoreboard. So it's gonna say 0:12:50.019 --> 0:12:53.499 it sounds like something's Gott's got his fantasy teams, maybe 0:12:53.499 --> 0:12:56.019 a couple of different fantasy teams. Is when it sounds 0:12:56.059 --> 0:12:58.699 like I've got the closest score here, I am taking 0:12:58.779 --> 0:13:01.139 the Cowboys to win twenty. Here's one thing that we 0:13:01.219 --> 0:13:03.459 do not know. We don't really know what Doc is 0:13:03.499 --> 0:13:05.419 going to look like. We're hoping for the best, but 0:13:05.539 --> 0:13:07.899 just a week ago he was having trouble gripping the ball. 0:13:08.459 --> 0:13:10.979 He's got all of this outside noise with Jerry Jones 0:13:11.059 --> 0:13:15.219 being like I wanna quarterback controversy, Cooper Rush crushed it. 0:13:15.339 --> 0:13:18.379 He took care of business walking into that situation. We 0:13:18.419 --> 0:13:20.979 don't know if he's a percent healthy. I'm gonna say 0:13:21.019 --> 0:13:24.179 something crazy do it. Lions could be four and one, 0:13:25.019 --> 0:13:28.859 the Lions could be and yet you are choosing them 0:13:28.899 --> 0:13:31.779 to lose. Here. You're acting like some sort of profile andcourage. 0:13:31.899 --> 0:13:34.219 I've got the closest score. I think the Lions could 0:13:34.219 --> 0:13:36.419 stay in and I know they have their issues, but 0:13:36.539 --> 0:13:41.099 they have kept a lot of games close. So Cowboys win. 0:13:41.259 --> 0:13:46.379 I hope that Dak balls amazing and the Lions I 0:13:46.459 --> 0:13:49.859 welcome that, welcome it. Okay, it's time for this guy 0:13:50.179 --> 0:13:53.659 or that guy. This goes for Greg which quarterback is 0:13:53.699 --> 0:13:58.339 more likely to throw for over two hundred and fifty yards? 0:13:58.499 --> 0:14:02.019 Because well it's tough. Again, I don't have a model, 0:14:02.099 --> 0:14:04.619 but I do know one of these guys is playing 0:14:04.659 --> 0:14:07.979 the Cowboys defense and the other guy is playing the 0:14:08.139 --> 0:14:10.299 Lions defense. So I'm gonna go with that guy. That's 0:14:10.459 --> 0:14:13.979 this guy. It just feels like a very easy choice. 0:14:14.179 --> 0:14:17.259 Like I almost thought, is this a trick question? I 0:14:17.339 --> 0:14:19.899 know Jared gold lady en up, but when he played 0:14:19.899 --> 0:14:22.579 a good defense like the Patriots, he didn't light it up. 0:14:23.059 --> 0:14:25.459 This is Dak easy, didn't put a single score on 0:14:25.619 --> 0:14:27.659 the board. Okay, well, Dad's not the only quarterback making 0:14:27.779 --> 0:14:30.859 his return this week after missing the last two games 0:14:31.019 --> 0:14:34.739 with the concussion. It is to a time once more 0:14:35.179 --> 0:14:38.539 in Miami Dolphins Steelers on Sunday Night football. Dolphins are 0:14:38.579 --> 0:14:43.539 favored by a whole touchdown. Patrick. The Dolphins are honoring 0:14:43.619 --> 0:14:46.619 the seventy two team on Sunday Night. Will they do 0:14:46.779 --> 0:14:48.499 it with a win? Yes, they will do it with 0:14:48.579 --> 0:14:51.339 a win. Absolutely. I'm so glad. We're all glad to 0:14:51.379 --> 0:14:54.459 have to a tongue la starting quarterback in one place. 0:14:54.539 --> 0:14:57.659 I actually think this leads to some improvement is on 0:14:57.819 --> 0:15:00.419 the ground game too. It comes back and these rpo 0:15:00.539 --> 0:15:03.859 decisions that the quarterback is making become a little bit 0:15:04.299 --> 0:15:08.459 year um the stretch where the Dolphins were missing their quarterbacks, 0:15:08.499 --> 0:15:10.339 of course it would be tough for everybody, but they 0:15:10.419 --> 0:15:12.339 only ran for a hundred yards once. I've only gone 0:15:12.379 --> 0:15:14.779 over a hundred yards on the ground this season. One time. 0:15:15.179 --> 0:15:17.499 I think they do it against the Steelers defense and 0:15:17.579 --> 0:15:22.779 the Dolphins get a win in this wim My final score. Yeah, 0:15:22.779 --> 0:15:24.819 I'm surprised that Dolphins are favored by that much. I 0:15:24.859 --> 0:15:26.659 think it'll be a closer game, but I do have 0:15:26.739 --> 0:15:29.259 the Dolphins winning twenty four to twenty two. Part of 0:15:29.299 --> 0:15:33.979 the reason is Mike McDaniel's offense creates yards, and yes, 0:15:34.099 --> 0:15:36.339 to a tog of viola is an upgrade at quarterback. 0:15:36.379 --> 0:15:38.979 But look at what Jalen Waddle and Tyreek Hill we're doing. 0:15:39.099 --> 0:15:42.099 Even when they were gone, no one noticed, but Skyler 0:15:42.219 --> 0:15:45.179 Thompson bawled out for a quarter and a half last week. 0:15:45.219 --> 0:15:48.539 He played fantastic. Teddy Bridgewater was moving the ball up 0:15:48.579 --> 0:15:50.299 and down the field. And I say that just to 0:15:50.659 --> 0:15:53.339 point out Mike McDaniels, a new coach. I think he's 0:15:53.339 --> 0:15:54.979 had a tough month. I don't think he handled the 0:15:55.059 --> 0:15:58.499 to uh concussion discussion and how he handled that publicly 0:15:58.579 --> 0:16:03.059 well at all. But this guy creates open uh receivers, 0:16:03.379 --> 0:16:07.059 open yard. To me, it's the purest sort of McVeigh 0:16:07.539 --> 0:16:11.259 Shanahan acolyte to go elsewhere and find immediate results. Now 0:16:11.299 --> 0:16:13.859 he's got his quarterback back in the mix, he's going 0:16:13.939 --> 0:16:16.499 up against a banged up Steelers defense. I think they 0:16:16.539 --> 0:16:18.579 get the win. I laughed, and he said, your close score, 0:16:18.659 --> 0:16:21.299 because I too have a closer than one touchdown score 0:16:21.339 --> 0:16:23.499 in this one. So we're actually quite a line this week, 0:16:23.539 --> 0:16:24.979 which is like, I don't know that's a good thing 0:16:25.059 --> 0:16:26.659 or a bad thing for both of us. We we 0:16:27.659 --> 0:16:30.539 you know, rise and fall together here. That's stupid. Like 0:16:30.659 --> 0:16:33.299 you said on the I didn't say that out loud. 0:16:34.179 --> 0:16:36.939 I have twenty five to nineteen as my final score here. 0:16:37.219 --> 0:16:38.539 I just want to give two of some love with 0:16:38.579 --> 0:16:40.459 a deep ball passes because we were really questioning it 0:16:40.499 --> 0:16:42.859 ahead of the season and as of right now, I 0:16:42.899 --> 0:16:44.819 guess who ranks number one in the NFL in terms 0:16:44.819 --> 0:16:47.739 of completion percentage at sixty five point one and yards 0:16:47.779 --> 0:16:50.859 per attempt at fifteen point three on ten plus are 0:16:50.939 --> 0:16:55.179 yards attempts. It's to a spoiler, it makes sense that 0:16:55.619 --> 0:16:57.819 he was the answers, yeah, talking about it, but if 0:16:57.819 --> 0:17:00.539 it was somebody else wild but Loky, I do think 0:17:00.619 --> 0:17:03.499 that the guy who orchestrates what the defensive backs are 0:17:03.499 --> 0:17:05.899 gonna do how has a lot of information about too 0:17:06.019 --> 0:17:08.339 in this game, as in Brian Flores, as in my 0:17:08.459 --> 0:17:11.899 college friend, as in the former coach of the Miami Dolphins. 0:17:11.939 --> 0:17:14.059 So I do think there'll be some specifics games in 0:17:14.099 --> 0:17:16.699 there to create what he knows how to stop. But 0:17:16.739 --> 0:17:18.739 we talked about Wink knowing how to stop whoever. Well, 0:17:18.739 --> 0:17:20.899 I think Brian Flores is probably pretty familiar with that 0:17:20.979 --> 0:17:23.339 as well. Well, Yeah, we talk revenge games sometimes as 0:17:23.379 --> 0:17:28.379 a joke, like a real deal. Mean Milert, I am 0:17:28.459 --> 0:17:31.659 taking the Dolphins as well. I've got a bigger win seventeen. 0:17:31.659 --> 0:17:33.659 I thought it was really interesting to it came out 0:17:33.739 --> 0:17:35.179 this week and I said, he was like, just so 0:17:35.299 --> 0:17:37.979 everyone knows, I'm not the Dolphins savior. I thought that 0:17:38.059 --> 0:17:40.979 that was really interesting because obviously they had such a 0:17:41.019 --> 0:17:42.939 hot start. They went three and oh and then the 0:17:43.059 --> 0:17:45.859 last few games have fallen apart. They've gone three and three. 0:17:45.939 --> 0:17:48.619 Now he comes back in. Everyone's like, oh two is 0:17:48.619 --> 0:17:50.379 going to turn around. We're all we're all fine. And 0:17:50.539 --> 0:17:52.339 he came out at press conference this week and said, 0:17:52.339 --> 0:17:54.979 I'm not your savior. I just thought that was very interesting. 0:17:55.019 --> 0:17:58.259 With all the pressure put on him preseason, he does 0:17:58.339 --> 0:18:00.859 really well, then the concussion happens. I'm very interested to 0:18:00.899 --> 0:18:03.139 watch this game and watch how he handles it all. 0:18:03.139 --> 0:18:05.099 I hope he ball is out. I've got a big 0:18:05.139 --> 0:18:09.139 win for the Dolphins. But I'm just I'm curious. Okay, Jets, 0:18:09.339 --> 0:18:13.379 they are fired up. They are four and two. I 0:18:13.499 --> 0:18:15.339 went on a t M this morning. We're on a 0:18:15.419 --> 0:18:18.259 Jets sweater. Couldn't bring them good luck like it has 0:18:18.419 --> 0:18:24.819 in the past four and not too uh, don't pointy work. 0:18:24.859 --> 0:18:38.339 You're gonna be talking about this game coming up all right. 0:18:38.379 --> 0:18:41.179 Time to talk about the Seahawks and the Chargers over 0:18:41.419 --> 0:18:44.659 under at fifty and a half, biggest one of the week, 0:18:45.259 --> 0:18:49.179 Seahawks five point underdogs. Greggy, Clearly people haven't been listening 0:18:49.179 --> 0:18:51.939 to you gush about your beloved Seahawks and your beloved 0:18:51.979 --> 0:18:54.019 Geno Smith. I'm about to do it in a second. 0:18:54.099 --> 0:18:55.779 What do you like in this one? I like the 0:18:55.859 --> 0:18:58.739 Seahawks defense, which sounds strange since they've only played once, 0:18:58.779 --> 0:19:01.379 well well once all year. I have them winning this game, 0:19:03.059 --> 0:19:05.619 and I'm gonna get a little door. Early in the season, 0:19:05.659 --> 0:19:07.979 they were playing a different style of defense. Pete Carroll 0:19:08.019 --> 0:19:09.979 tried to mix it up, playing more passive, having their 0:19:10.059 --> 0:19:12.619 defensive lineman two gap, which mean just like holding up 0:19:12.699 --> 0:19:15.659 the blockers and letting the linebackers make plays behind them. 0:19:15.899 --> 0:19:18.339 Last week they let them just go go back to 0:19:18.379 --> 0:19:22.339 their old system kind of penetrate, get past rush pressure, 0:19:22.459 --> 0:19:24.579 and you know what happens when you get past rush pressure. 0:19:25.179 --> 0:19:29.179 You let Tarik Woolen, the best playmaker at cornerback in 0:19:29.339 --> 0:19:32.179 the league, even though he's a rookie, make plays on 0:19:32.339 --> 0:19:34.899 the ball. They're starting to force turnovers. I think this 0:19:35.059 --> 0:19:37.499 defense can turn around. If you look at Pete Carroll's history, 0:19:37.699 --> 0:19:40.459 they often start really slow on defense and then they 0:19:40.579 --> 0:19:43.419 turn it up. So the defense just just does enough 0:19:43.859 --> 0:19:46.499 and they get a win. An upset, big upset. What 0:19:46.579 --> 0:19:48.259 are you liking this one? We're kind of on the 0:19:48.299 --> 0:19:50.659 same side, but I have a different winner. So I 0:19:50.779 --> 0:19:54.899 have a four points at the end. That'll be too, 0:19:55.059 --> 0:19:57.699 totally different set, but not really because it's only a 0:19:57.739 --> 0:20:02.779 four point win. I've got twenty four in this matchup. 0:20:02.899 --> 0:20:04.939 I want to talk about Justin her because for the 0:20:05.019 --> 0:20:06.779 first time last game, we didn't see him throw a 0:20:06.859 --> 0:20:09.179 touchdown passing quite some time. In fact, he was sort 0:20:09.219 --> 0:20:11.819 of like actively avoiding Pat's or Tan who I would argue, 0:20:12.099 --> 0:20:15.059 maybe he's a little better than maybe I just said 0:20:15.339 --> 0:20:18.579 playmaker on the ball. This man is like hawk, He's 0:20:18.619 --> 0:20:24.539 just like flying in and six four anyways, But long 0:20:24.579 --> 0:20:26.659 story short, I think Justin Herbert will find more success 0:20:26.779 --> 0:20:28.579 in the passing game in this one. In fact, I 0:20:28.619 --> 0:20:31.299 think he's my number two quarterback overall for fantasy purposes. 0:20:31.339 --> 0:20:34.339