Speaker 1: NFL. Game Debut is a production of the NFL in
Speaker 1: partnership with I Heart Radio. Can anyone tell me who's good?
Speaker 1: I mean, I have a pretty good idea because I'm
Speaker 1: crushing reg in the picks lately. I'm stupid. But what
Speaker 1: is happening? I mean, Tom Brady needs to beat the
Speaker 1: Panthers to get above five hundred. The Packers are two
Speaker 1: games back of the Vikings in the NFC North. The
Speaker 1: Bears are in primetime again. Spinge Away two is back
Speaker 1: against the Steelers. Respectable football is back, yet MetLife throws
Speaker 1: touch them our banks back to God, I hope. So
Speaker 1: Game Debut, presented by Mercedes Benz, starts now. Welcome to game.
Speaker 1: Dave you the producer that I wrote that intro just
Speaker 1: taking shots at everyone I didn't straight little hasn't even
Speaker 1: started in your spreading lies about me? Did you too
Speaker 1: write that you're the only ones that stayed out of
Speaker 1: a fire there famously means Cynthia Freeland is just who
Speaker 1: good forgot? Welcome to Game Debut. I feel like I'm
Speaker 1: maybe like an evil twin of Rachel named Rae Great
Speaker 1: Patrick clebn guys, it is a very special day. We
Speaker 1: are all together. It is Mrs Clayban's birthday. Shall but
Speaker 1: let's talk about in football, shall we. You guys want
Speaker 1: to get into it, Let's do it all right. Chiefs
Speaker 1: Niners che favored by one and a half and there
Speaker 1: are only two and four against the spread this season. Greggy,
Speaker 1: do they handle business? I am trying to thread the
Speaker 1: tiniest of needles here. I'm having the Chiefs win this game,
Speaker 1: but only by one. Of course, we had the Christian
Speaker 1: McCaffrey trade late in the week. NFL Network our guy
Speaker 1: in rapports saying that there will be a red zone
Speaker 1: package Christian McCaffrey, so he'll get some snaps. I don't
Speaker 1: think running the football is that complicated, like I know,
Speaker 1: they make it sound really complicated, and there's past protection issues.
Speaker 1: But he's gonna play, and he's gonna play more than
Speaker 1: they expect, and I think it adds to what's been
Speaker 1: a weakness for San Francisco. They've actually been a very
Speaker 1: efficient passing game this year and the worst running game
Speaker 1: since Kyle Shanahan has been in San Francisco. So I
Speaker 1: think Christian McCaffrey helps. I don't think it's a great
Speaker 1: Chief's defense. They get Willie gayback this week, which is great,
Speaker 1: But the Chiefs defense has been mediocre and I think
Speaker 1: this forty Niners team is quite good, so I think
Speaker 1: it's a one point game either way. But there's a
Speaker 1: rule I have in life, right, you do not pick
Speaker 1: against rate uh, Patrick Mormes or Rachel Bonetta two weeks ago.
Speaker 1: You do not pick against Patrick. It felt bad last
Speaker 1: week rooting against him, and we were right. When you know,
Speaker 1: if we pick, I'm going against him, I'm going against
Speaker 1: I'm staying with him this week. What do you like him? Okay, Well,
Speaker 1: I have a two point win in favor of the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: When I look at this game, the thing that happens
Speaker 1: for me most is kind of the other side. I'm
Speaker 1: looking at what Patrick Mahomes will do against this defense.
Speaker 1: Of course, Nick Bosa is back but still struggling. Two
Speaker 1: point win for me in this one too. It's really
Speaker 1: the zone defense that makes a big difference. And if
Speaker 1: you look to see what Damiko Ryan's does well, he
Speaker 1: plays zone at the third highest rate in the NFL,
Speaker 1: and Mahomes has a seventy two point one completion percentage
Speaker 1: against zone. Sometimes we talk about two safety shells being
Speaker 1: a way to stop Patrick Mahomes. Seems like that trend
Speaker 1: has a reverse part of that, as Travis Kelsey National
Speaker 1: tight End Day a very big deal, and I will
Speaker 1: point out the forty nineties defense. Even with last week
Speaker 1: having that strange week with everyone not playing, they're still
Speaker 1: the third highest pressure rate in the league. So it'll
Speaker 1: be interesting quick passes, zone defense, Patrick finding the holes
Speaker 1: in the zone, getting in there. That's how you do
Speaker 1: Patrick one, Patrick two, what do you It's honestly the
Speaker 1: evaluation of the Patrick thing. I appreciate Patrick like much
Speaker 1: like Greg. I'm not going to pick against Patrick Mahomes
Speaker 1: two weeks in a row. Got away with it last week.
Speaker 1: To pick kind of hurt because I'll seem really confident
Speaker 1: with these scores. It's an interesting basically, it's so close
Speaker 1: because everything's coming up Niners this week. It's not just
Speaker 1: the Christian McCaffrey trade. One of the best players in
Speaker 1: the NFL, Trump Williams comes back this week, they get
Speaker 1: Boat back, they get Jimmy Ward, and then on the
Speaker 1: other side we get to see Debo uh. And we've
Speaker 1: chronicled the problems that the Case defense has had against
Speaker 1: Number one defense, Number one bode receivers for the past
Speaker 1: few weeks. Uh so Debot set the feast off of
Speaker 1: single coverage. I can see the Niners way exceeding the
Speaker 1: number of points they've had in losses. Right now, they're
Speaker 1: averaging about twelve points and losses. I think they get
Speaker 1: twenty one. The problem is, uh like, like everybody else said,
Speaker 1: let's just see the chief scoring more, you just don't
Speaker 1: want to. Chief's right. Yeah, guys playing my music, I'm
Speaker 1: reading someone volume turn up the volume on Oh Canada
Speaker 1: because this is a loan Etta. But I mean, is
Speaker 1: it alone Etta. Everyone's kind of like tiptoeing on. They're
Speaker 1: dipping their toes. Marlanetta scores. It's it's a loan bone
Speaker 1: if I ever saw It's a loan bone if I
Speaker 1: ever saw one. As well. Twenty six I'm buying in
Speaker 1: where was like, how much are we really going to
Speaker 1: see Christian McCaffrey. I don't know, hopefully a little bit.
Speaker 1: Did you guys know that there is a world in
Speaker 1: which we may live that Kyle Shanahan baby sat Christian
Speaker 1: McCaffrey once upon a time. I love that story and
Speaker 1: I love this move. I'm going forty Niners. They're fun
Speaker 1: Cinderella team. They wore that Chargers fan. But every week
Speaker 1: all you talk about Jimmy Jimmy Jay sue me. Okay,
Speaker 1: who is more fun to root for? Uh? This season?
Speaker 1: The teleprompter might think about moving, thank you. Who is
Speaker 1: more fun to root for this year than Brian Dable
Speaker 1: crushing it in his first year as a head coach,
Speaker 1: so excited after every win. He's got the Giants at
Speaker 1: five and one, the only five win team playing this
Speaker 1: week taking on the Jags. Uh Sin the Desert likes
Speaker 1: the Jags by three total. Disrespect that man right there?
Speaker 1: What do you think? What do you like? I'm going
Speaker 1: end table too, I hear in the locker room after
Speaker 1: he plays Juicy fan favorite. Of course I need to
Speaker 1: see him dancing in the locker room. The model also
Speaker 1: agrees with me. I have a win for the Giants
Speaker 1: twenty three to one in this matchup. When I'm looking
Speaker 1: at kind of why and what's going on, I'm looking
Speaker 1: at this blitz rate. Soe point seven percent that's how
Speaker 1: often the Giants blitz. That's good for number one in
Speaker 1: the NFL. And then Trevor Lawrence. We still haven't seen
Speaker 1: him figure out what happens when he's pressured, not saying
Speaker 1: that every blitz turns into a pressure, but it's a
Speaker 1: fifty two point six pass or rating when he is
Speaker 1: pressured that ranks twenty three. So for me, it's kind
Speaker 1: of low key. This Giant's ability to create havoc on
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. That makes the difference in this matchup right,
Speaker 1: I got the Jaguars winning this game. I don't feel
Speaker 1: great because when the model is so different than what
Speaker 1: Vegas is, that makes me feel uncomfortable. But you know what,
Speaker 1: the model also says that the Giants have the seven
Speaker 1: best rush defense in the league. And you know the
Speaker 1: way to beat heavy blitz teams. You run right at him.
Speaker 1: No one loves blitzing more than Martindale. And this running
Speaker 1: game with Travis E. T N and James Robinson have
Speaker 1: been getting more dynamic each and every week. They were
Speaker 1: remind me a little bit of a running back duo
Speaker 1: that used to play in New York, and that was
Speaker 1: Thunder and Lightning, Ron Dane and Tiki Barber. You got
Speaker 1: the back, you got the big bruiser, And I think
Speaker 1: this Giant's team has bet and getting a little bit
Speaker 1: lucky each and every week. The defense especially, and we're
Speaker 1: gonna correct it here with a Jaguars. Jags defense on
Speaker 1: rush is pretty good. They're they're good, it is, and
Speaker 1: that's that's the key part of my pick, because we
Speaker 1: have strength on strength. We have a top five rush
Speaker 1: offense against the top five rush defense. Gregg and I
Speaker 1: were concerned and how aligned we were on these picks
Speaker 1: because we thought we were each gonna be alone. I'm
Speaker 1: taking the Jags uh in this one to nineteen, not
Speaker 1: just Travis and James. In the run game. I think
Speaker 1: trev is going to be heavily involved in this run
Speaker 1: game as well. We saw. Yeah, this is how me
Speaker 1: and to have been communicating was back in the days,
Speaker 1: uh in Georgia. You know this. This is no we've
Speaker 1: never We've only met two times. But he's a very nice,
Speaker 1: very nice person. So that's what this is about. Just
Speaker 1: like the long flowing locks, just leaving us in the
Speaker 1: just look at this effective. But truly, as you mentioned,
Speaker 1: I think this is a legitimate strategy to deal with
Speaker 1: the blitz pressure that Wink and company are going to bring.
Speaker 1: I like the Jags keeping it on the ground and
Speaker 1: stopping the ground game, Jags win a home You guys
Speaker 1: make a lot of good points. I know that that
Speaker 1: Jags defense is going on rushing. I think is gonna
Speaker 1: I want that. I think that this is going to
Speaker 1: be a low scoring game. I have at seventeen to
Speaker 1: ten for the Giants. There's just something sparkle and fun
Speaker 1: about the Giants. I've read the story in The Athletic
Speaker 1: this week, Brian Table. Apparently in the team meetings will
Speaker 1: tick We'll pick two players at random, no one knows,
Speaker 1: and they have to play each other in Madden Giants
Speaker 1: Versus Giants, and then the whole team gathers around him.
Speaker 1: They're yelling. That gets very competitive, Like I know we
Speaker 1: had the whole ping pong table fiasco last week. This
Speaker 1: is the kind of team vibe that I want to
Speaker 1: hear about Madden Giants Versus Giants. I like them seventeen
Speaker 1: to ten. How can we never hear these stories when
Speaker 1: the teams are losing? You know what I mean? Whatever,
Speaker 1: I just want to shine a light on some good stuff. Okay,
Speaker 1: let's do the math, shall we? Specifically Cynthia. She's the
Speaker 1: only one that's allowed to do the math here. The
Speaker 1: Jackson allowed six rushing touchdowns, and their last three games
Speaker 1: can take one get on the ground and in the air.
Speaker 1: This week, I'm gonna go with not both, but certainly
Speaker 1: one of them. He does leave the team in both
Speaker 1: rushing and receiving yards over expected. He has over two
Speaker 1: hundred combined in both of those metrics, well in those
Speaker 1: metrics together. When I'm looking at this one, though, take
Speaker 1: one feast on those outside zone runs and actually the
Speaker 1: Jags are low key the best at stopping them. So
Speaker 1: we averages six point seven yards on them and they're
Speaker 1: only giving up two point three. So that's that's It's
Speaker 1: probably gonna be one touchdown, but just I think receiving.
Speaker 1: Ever since Doug Peterson, or rather Nick Sirianni and the
Speaker 1: Eagles put devn Lloyd in a blender two straight weeks,
Speaker 1: teams have really attacked them in the passing game and
Speaker 1: running backs have gotten on him. Time for Drive to
Speaker 1: Silence presented by Mercedes Benz. Cowboys were excellent, nearly perfect
Speaker 1: with Cooper rush, but Dack is back against Cynthia's Lions.
Speaker 1: What do you what do you think? Definitely not a roar,
Speaker 1: more like a yeah, more like a meal. I've got
Speaker 1: a pretty significant body favorite Cowboys in this one. Two
Speaker 1: of You Children is my final projective score. I looked
Speaker 1: into why the Lions defense has been so susceptible and
Speaker 1: what's really been happening. They've been blitzing quite a bit
Speaker 1: for the third highest blitz rate. And guess what Dack does.
Speaker 1: He threw twenty three touchdowns the most in the NFL
Speaker 1: last season against the blitz. And also when you don't
Speaker 1: have any many defensive backs and coverage like it just
Speaker 1: makes a lot more one on what you really want
Speaker 1: to go up against, Ceedee Lamb and Michael Gallup like
Speaker 1: one on what no thank you? So that's what drives
Speaker 1: that score. It would be maybe one point closer if
Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift for sure healthy, but it seems like he's
Speaker 1: doubt for he's questionable or something that you know, but
Speaker 1: I'll probably play. He had a little but that doesn't
Speaker 1: make him a p And you know what is one
Speaker 1: point closer mine twenty. I love it when my score
Speaker 1: comes so close to the model. I just make it
Speaker 1: up and she did so much work. I'm pretending to
Speaker 1: totally out of thin there. Look, Dak Prescott returning this
Speaker 1: week is perfect, you know, like the first day of school.
Speaker 1: The kids get an early dismissal, like ease them back in,
Speaker 1: not the old day of work. That's what it's like
Speaker 1: going against this Lions defense. They don't know what they're
Speaker 1: doing in terms of rushing the pastor they're starting to
Speaker 1: practice Aidan Hutchinson at off ball linebacker. Their cornerbacks are struggling.
Speaker 1: Dak Prescott is returning to a better situation than that
Speaker 1: week one in which he struggled. Defense is playing better,
Speaker 1: offensive lines playing better. The running game is better. Dak
Speaker 1: Prescott has so many more options and he doesn't have
Speaker 1: to be aggressive because the rest of the team is
Speaker 1: playing so great. What a nice way to return. Sorry,
Speaker 1: I mean it's true. Somebody send me oldest and oldest
Speaker 1: here from mission. You know what that means. So it's
Speaker 1: not Cynthia understands the situation that I think everybody understands
Speaker 1: the situation the Lions are in. But I would like
Speaker 1: to mention a positive because I'm going to speak this
Speaker 1: into existence. DeAndre Swift will play, and he will play well,
Speaker 1: let's go. I'm just I need this to happen because
Speaker 1: he's so fun to watch and this offense when he
Speaker 1: is there is also fun and speaking of weaknesses, because
Speaker 1: this Cowboys defense is good, but uh that they are
Speaker 1: nineteenth and rush defense number one in sex top five
Speaker 1: and past defense nineteen and rush defense. So I think
Speaker 1: the Cowboys have a lead, but the Lions with some
Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift screen passes, some Jared goff yolo balls, maybe
Speaker 1: Josh Reynolants gets involved. Garbage time counts in fantasy and
Speaker 1: it also counts on the scoreboard. So it's gonna say
Speaker 1: it sounds like something's Gott's got his fantasy teams, maybe
Speaker 1: a couple of different fantasy teams. Is when it sounds
Speaker 1: like I've got the closest score here, I am taking
Speaker 1: the Cowboys to win twenty. Here's one thing that we
Speaker 1: do not know. We don't really know what Doc is
Speaker 1: going to look like. We're hoping for the best, but
Speaker 1: just a week ago he was having trouble gripping the ball.
Speaker 1: He's got all of this outside noise with Jerry Jones
Speaker 1: being like I wanna quarterback controversy, Cooper Rush crushed it.
Speaker 1: He took care of business walking into that situation. We
Speaker 1: don't know if he's a percent healthy. I'm gonna say
Speaker 1: something crazy do it. Lions could be four and one,
Speaker 1: the Lions could be and yet you are choosing them
Speaker 1: to lose. Here. You're acting like some sort of profile andcourage.
Speaker 1: I've got the closest score. I think the Lions could
Speaker 1: stay in and I know they have their issues, but
Speaker 1: they have kept a lot of games close. So Cowboys win.
Speaker 1: I hope that Dak balls amazing and the Lions I
Speaker 1: welcome that, welcome it. Okay, it's time for this guy
Speaker 1: or that guy. This goes for Greg which quarterback is
Speaker 1: more likely to throw for over two hundred and fifty yards?
Speaker 1: Because well it's tough. Again, I don't have a model,
Speaker 1: but I do know one of these guys is playing
Speaker 1: the Cowboys defense and the other guy is playing the
Speaker 1: Lions defense. So I'm gonna go with that guy. That's
Speaker 1: this guy. It just feels like a very easy choice.
Speaker 1: Like I almost thought, is this a trick question? I
Speaker 1: know Jared gold lady en up, but when he played
Speaker 1: a good defense like the Patriots, he didn't light it up.
Speaker 1: This is Dak easy, didn't put a single score on
Speaker 1: the board. Okay, well, Dad's not the only quarterback making
Speaker 1: his return this week after missing the last two games
Speaker 1: with the concussion. It is to a time once more
Speaker 1: in Miami Dolphins Steelers on Sunday Night football. Dolphins are
Speaker 1: favored by a whole touchdown. Patrick. The Dolphins are honoring
Speaker 1: the seventy two team on Sunday Night. Will they do
Speaker 1: it with a win? Yes, they will do it with
Speaker 1: a win. Absolutely. I'm so glad. We're all glad to
Speaker 1: have to a tongue la starting quarterback in one place.
Speaker 1: I actually think this leads to some improvement is on
Speaker 1: the ground game too. It comes back and these rpo
Speaker 1: decisions that the quarterback is making become a little bit
Speaker 1: year um the stretch where the Dolphins were missing their quarterbacks,
Speaker 1: of course it would be tough for everybody, but they
Speaker 1: only ran for a hundred yards once. I've only gone
Speaker 1: over a hundred yards on the ground this season. One time.
Speaker 1: I think they do it against the Steelers defense and
Speaker 1: the Dolphins get a win in this wim My final score. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm surprised that Dolphins are favored by that much. I
Speaker 1: think it'll be a closer game, but I do have
Speaker 1: the Dolphins winning twenty four to twenty two. Part of
Speaker 1: the reason is Mike McDaniel's offense creates yards, and yes,
Speaker 1: to a tog of viola is an upgrade at quarterback.
Speaker 1: But look at what Jalen Waddle and Tyreek Hill we're doing.
Speaker 1: Even when they were gone, no one noticed, but Skyler
Speaker 1: Thompson bawled out for a quarter and a half last week.
Speaker 1: He played fantastic. Teddy Bridgewater was moving the ball up
Speaker 1: and down the field. And I say that just to
Speaker 1: point out Mike McDaniels, a new coach. I think he's
Speaker 1: had a tough month. I don't think he handled the
Speaker 1: to uh concussion discussion and how he handled that publicly
Speaker 1: well at all. But this guy creates open uh receivers,
Speaker 1: open yard. To me, it's the purest sort of McVeigh
Speaker 1: Shanahan acolyte to go elsewhere and find immediate results. Now
Speaker 1: he's got his quarterback back in the mix, he's going
Speaker 1: up against a banged up Steelers defense. I think they
Speaker 1: get the win. I laughed, and he said, your close score,
Speaker 1: because I too have a closer than one touchdown score
Speaker 1: in this one. So we're actually quite a line this week,
Speaker 1: which is like, I don't know that's a good thing
Speaker 1: or a bad thing for both of us. We we
Speaker 1: you know, rise and fall together here. That's stupid. Like
Speaker 1: you said on the I didn't say that out loud.
Speaker 1: I have twenty five to nineteen as my final score here.
Speaker 1: I just want to give two of some love with
Speaker 1: a deep ball passes because we were really questioning it
Speaker 1: ahead of the season and as of right now, I
Speaker 1: guess who ranks number one in the NFL in terms
Speaker 1: of completion percentage at sixty five point one and yards
Speaker 1: per attempt at fifteen point three on ten plus are
Speaker 1: yards attempts. It's to a spoiler, it makes sense that
Speaker 1: he was the answers, yeah, talking about it, but if
Speaker 1: it was somebody else wild but Loky, I do think
Speaker 1: that the guy who orchestrates what the defensive backs are
Speaker 1: gonna do how has a lot of information about too
Speaker 1: in this game, as in Brian Flores, as in my
Speaker 1: college friend, as in the former coach of the Miami Dolphins.
Speaker 1: So I do think there'll be some specifics games in
Speaker 1: there to create what he knows how to stop. But
Speaker 1: we talked about Wink knowing how to stop whoever. Well,
Speaker 1: I think Brian Flores is probably pretty familiar with that
Speaker 1: as well. Well, Yeah, we talk revenge games sometimes as
Speaker 1: a joke, like a real deal. Mean Milert, I am
Speaker 1: taking the Dolphins as well. I've got a bigger win seventeen.
Speaker 1: I thought it was really interesting to it came out
Speaker 1: this week and I said, he was like, just so
Speaker 1: everyone knows, I'm not the Dolphins savior. I thought that
Speaker 1: that was really interesting because obviously they had such a
Speaker 1: hot start. They went three and oh and then the
Speaker 1: last few games have fallen apart. They've gone three and three.
Speaker 1: Now he comes back in. Everyone's like, oh two is
Speaker 1: going to turn around. We're all we're all fine. And
Speaker 1: he came out at press conference this week and said,
Speaker 1: I'm not your savior. I just thought that was very interesting.
Speaker 1: With all the pressure put on him preseason, he does
Speaker 1: really well, then the concussion happens. I'm very interested to
Speaker 1: watch this game and watch how he handles it all.
Speaker 1: I hope he ball is out. I've got a big
Speaker 1: win for the Dolphins. But I'm just I'm curious. Okay, Jets,
Speaker 1: they are fired up. They are four and two. I
Speaker 1: went on a t M this morning. We're on a
Speaker 1: Jets sweater. Couldn't bring them good luck like it has
Speaker 1: in the past four and not too uh, don't pointy work.
Speaker 1: You're gonna be talking about this game coming up all right.
Speaker 1: Time to talk about the Seahawks and the Chargers over
Speaker 1: under at fifty and a half, biggest one of the week,
Speaker 1: Seahawks five point underdogs. Greggy, Clearly people haven't been listening
Speaker 1: to you gush about your beloved Seahawks and your beloved
Speaker 1: Geno Smith. I'm about to do it in a second.
Speaker 1: What do you like in this one? I like the
Speaker 1: Seahawks defense, which sounds strange since they've only played once,
Speaker 1: well well once all year. I have them winning this game,
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna get a little door. Early in the season,
Speaker 1: they were playing a different style of defense. Pete Carroll
Speaker 1: tried to mix it up, playing more passive, having their
Speaker 1: defensive lineman two gap, which mean just like holding up
Speaker 1: the blockers and letting the linebackers make plays behind them.
Speaker 1: Last week they let them just go go back to
Speaker 1: their old system kind of penetrate, get past rush pressure,
Speaker 1: and you know what happens when you get past rush pressure.
Speaker 1: You let Tarik Woolen, the best playmaker at cornerback in
Speaker 1: the league, even though he's a rookie, make plays on
Speaker 1: the ball. They're starting to force turnovers. I think this
Speaker 1: defense can turn around. If you look at Pete Carroll's history,
Speaker 1: they often start really slow on defense and then they
Speaker 1: turn it up. So the defense just just does enough
Speaker 1: and they get a win. An upset, big upset. What
Speaker 1: are you liking this one? We're kind of on the
Speaker 1: same side, but I have a different winner. So I
Speaker 1: have a four points at the end. That'll be too,
Speaker 1: totally different set, but not really because it's only a
Speaker 1: four point win. I've got twenty four in this matchup.
Speaker 1: I want to talk about Justin her because for the
Speaker 1: first time last game, we didn't see him throw a
Speaker 1: touchdown passing quite some time. In fact, he was sort
Speaker 1: of like actively avoiding Pat's or Tan who I would argue,
Speaker 1: maybe he's a little better than maybe I just said
Speaker 1: playmaker on the ball. This man is like hawk, He's
Speaker 1: just like flying in and six four anyways, But long
Speaker 1: story short, I think Justin Herbert will find more success
Speaker 1: in the passing game in this one. In fact, I
Speaker 1: think he's my number two quarterback overall for fantasy purposes.
Speaker 1: Nothing to worry about here. I'm not super worried about that. Defense.
Speaker 1: I know reshawns Later isn't there, but Austin Neckler still is.
Speaker 1: And if if we don't know if Keenan allen's playing yet,
Speaker 1: and if he does, I think that's gonna be a
Speaker 1: fun one. We'll see kind of Justin Herbert get back
Speaker 1: to Justin Herbert. Yeah, playing playing the Broncos is not
Speaker 1: the prescription for seeing your numbers go up as a quarterback,
Speaker 1: and it throws everything off. I think Mike Williams is
Speaker 1: not going to get certained again because he's not playing.
Speaker 1: It's a fundamentally different situation for him. But something I mentioned,
Speaker 1: Austin Ekeler, I think that's so crucial because the Seahawks
Speaker 1: rush defense was a lot better against the Cardinals. This
Speaker 1: this is as great as you know Benjamin was on
Speaker 1: Thursday night. This is not even know Benjamin. This is
Speaker 1: a better run game and a more balanced run situation.
Speaker 1: I think it's a lot of Austin Ekeler on the ground.
Speaker 1: Chargers win it in a close. You know, it's funny
Speaker 1: that you mentioned the Seahawks defense because we saw them
Speaker 1: play the Cardinals last week and I was like, this
Speaker 1: might just be the Cardinals being bad putting up like
Speaker 1: nine points, but then they put up what forty two
Speaker 1: last night on Thursday night football. I am going se
Speaker 1: not by a lot, thirty two to thirty. I want
Speaker 1: to see this high scoring and you know why, Let's
Speaker 1: talk about the man none at the legends dudinals move.
Speaker 1: Thank you, Greg. What's this his NFL completion percentage? He's first,
Speaker 1: baby passing yards per a tempt. He's fifth passing t
Speaker 1: d I and t second passer rating third giveaways, he's first,
Speaker 1: he's tired from fair? What is going? I'm should not
Speaker 1: have had a cappuccino right before the show, but that
Speaker 1: was being the crowded leo. Okay, I think I speak
Speaker 1: for everyone when I say thank you, thank you, football gods.
Speaker 1: At long last our national nightmare, I'm watching the Broncos
Speaker 1: in crime time. Week after week is over. Broncos Jets
Speaker 1: four oh five Eastern kick. We made it, guys, we
Speaker 1: made it. Greg the Bronco's favorite at home. But it's tight.
Speaker 1: Russe is they gained time decision according to rap sheet,
Speaker 1: what do you like this one? Yeah? I struggled with
Speaker 1: this pick, but in the end I took the Jets
Speaker 1: to win this game. It's not because of the quarterback
Speaker 1: in Denver, it's because of the past protection. They have
Speaker 1: really struggled up front to recognize where the blitz is
Speaker 1: coming from, and especially when teams run stunts, when when
Speaker 1: they run games up front and the defensive lineman go
Speaker 1: into different gaps. Who's better at that than the Jets.
Speaker 1: Right now? The Jets are so good at confusing opposing
Speaker 1: offensive linement and a lot of people just think like, hey, like,
Speaker 1: let's blame Russell Wilson for the protection here, because that
Speaker 1: is on the quarterback a lot. It's on the coaches
Speaker 1: even more, it's on the offensive line coaching staff, and
Speaker 1: it's on the head coach to have a system where
Speaker 1: you have checks and you can recognize where the protection
Speaker 1: and that's on Nathaniel Hackett and that's gonna happen, I
Speaker 1: think in this game no matter who's that quarterback. Yeah,
Speaker 1: the Twists are definitely having giving offensive line fits and
Speaker 1: no gear bowl. So I'm with you on that. But
Speaker 1: I have the Jets winning this one twenty one to
Speaker 1: nineteen in part because of Breece Hall. We've seen this
Speaker 1: rookie be so important and impactful to the Jets. Twenty
Speaker 1: two touches. He's seen touches increase in every single week.
Speaker 1: Twenty two was last week. Look what he's doing to
Speaker 1: the Packers here and what are they utilizing? Well, a
Speaker 1: light box. He had a hundred and fourteen yards against
Speaker 1: a light box last game along with a thirty four
Speaker 1: yard touchdown. What have the Broncos been doing with this
Speaker 1: light box situation? Oh, only averaging giving up a hundred
Speaker 1: and thirty yards per game using a light box and
Speaker 1: the past three games. So it's now become a end.
Speaker 1: It is this one one off situation. This has been
Speaker 1: going on for a while now. So that's why Breeze
Speaker 1: Hall difference maker. This scores so far, very close scores.
Speaker 1: I am going to keep that trend going close and low.
Speaker 1: I have the Broncos actually winning eighteen to seventeen because
Speaker 1: that's what year it feels like this game should be playing.
Speaker 1: I don't honestly care who's playing quarterback by the team.
Speaker 1: I'm going to talk about the defense. I'm gonna talk
Speaker 1: about the Broncos defense because they're not getting enough attention.
Speaker 1: Even as bad as the offense has been. Uh, they've
Speaker 1: just been doing things. Randy Gregory goes down Baron Browning
Speaker 1: comes in playing inside linebacker. All of a sudden, he's
Speaker 1: got one of the fastest sacks in the NFL this
Speaker 1: season coming off of the edge. And we already talked
Speaker 1: about pat certain a little bit that they're just so
Speaker 1: good and they're playing at home and they haven't really cared, like,
Speaker 1: no matter what's going on, no matter what sideline cutaways
Speaker 1: we have of disgruntled offensive players, this Broncos defense has
Speaker 1: just done it week after week. I think it's a
Speaker 1: Baron Browning and Bradley Chubb game and the Broncos win
Speaker 1: one eighteen seven. It's a stray bon if I've ever
Speaker 1: seen I Am going Jets seventeen. We all have very
Speaker 1: close scores, which means none of us are really that
Speaker 1: confident on either on either side. Um vibe check, Okay,
Speaker 1: the Jets are going in a different direction with the
Speaker 1: vibes everything with the vibes of the Broncos. Russell Wilson
Speaker 1: is just getting absolutely roasted your podcast. Other people I
Speaker 1: have been there. I roasted him. I don't know if
Speaker 1: you guys saw Melvin Gordon was like liking all of
Speaker 1: these tweets after you got benched of saying like, oh,
Speaker 1: Melvin Gordon should request and not just one Greg like
Speaker 1: I would say probably close to like ten. He's starting
Speaker 1: in this game. I'm just saying, vibe check straight bon.
Speaker 1: Not good, but it's a stray bon nonetheless. Yeah, you
Speaker 1: know what, all Right, Brady's upset. He's been real upset lately.
Speaker 1: But he's got the Panthers this week, so that's a plus. Right,
Speaker 1: Maybe he's really upset with some breed. Maybe is really
Speaker 1: upset with he's yelling like those geno f m H.
Speaker 1: It's National tight End Day. Happy National tight End Day
Speaker 1: to those who celebrate on Sunday. And not only does
Speaker 1: Kelsey lead all tight ends and touchdowns, he leads the
Speaker 1: league serie, but Cynthia Mark Andrews the second on the list.
Speaker 1: He has had a couple of days off this week,
Speaker 1: so he'll be nice and rested for the big day
Speaker 1: on Sunday. Yeah, I'm looking at him to score a touchdown.
Speaker 1: He's my highest odds of scoring a touch and I
Speaker 1: now I will say Travis Kelsey does have high odds
Speaker 1: to score the touchdown, but Mark Andrews was just a
Speaker 1: tiny bit higher against this Brown's defense. Browns are kind
Speaker 1: of missing a number of pieces. This is an important
Speaker 1: game to figure out the a f C. North. I
Speaker 1: think it will be much more interesting. Obviously, if you're
Speaker 1: running back situation, you want to go out and get
Speaker 1: the other guy because J. K. Dobbins isn't playing. But
Speaker 1: I think these nice mark Mark Andrew's touchdown is going
Speaker 1: to be a solid situation. Okay, there you go. It
Speaker 1: is time for over under. We're mixing it up here.
Speaker 1: We got some throwback foam fingers, we got the simple ones.
Speaker 1: Gonna get a little while. Okay, let's start with Bucks
Speaker 1: Panthers over under at thirty eight and a half. I
Speaker 1: believe I'm going over. You're going under? What do you like? Well,
Speaker 1: why do you like? I like the under because the
Speaker 1: Panthers are involved in this game. I don't know if
Speaker 1: you've watched them play offense lately. They advanced the ball
Speaker 1: past the line of scrimmage on a forward pass, which
Speaker 1: is like a whole thing they're doing in this league lately,
Speaker 1: just one time last week. So that's an under. And
Speaker 1: I don't think this Bucks offense is really in position
Speaker 1: to have a lot of explosive plays either. Um, well,
Speaker 1: I'm going over in this one. But I have forty points,
Speaker 1: so it's not like this massive over when I'm looking
Speaker 1: at the reasoning why here. Well, sometimes you get a
Speaker 1: little lucky when you lose a piece like Christian McCaffrey
Speaker 1: and you surprise a team with a deep past to
Speaker 1: say DJ more the ghost of someone that doesn't that
Speaker 1: we don't even know yet. So ultimately it's that. But
Speaker 1: but ultimately it's going to be because Tom Brady needs
Speaker 1: to get this offense right, and there's a lot of
Speaker 1: feels like I get right. It feels like in this
Speaker 1: offense it does. But the problem is we've been feeling
Speaker 1: like it's been a get right game for Tom and
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers. For you, He'll yell at you could score thirty, Well,
Speaker 1: excuse me, let me let me change that. No, no,
Speaker 1: don't stop yelling at people and score some points. It's
Speaker 1: not just that the Panthers. Clearly they're not going to
Speaker 1: score a lot of points. But yeah, the Bucks aren't
Speaker 1: scoring a lot of Okay, Colts Titans they combined for
Speaker 1: forty one points, and week four it is at forty
Speaker 1: one and a half. This week I'm going under. I
Speaker 1: feel like this is always just like you never know
Speaker 1: who's gonna come out on top. I don't know. Don't
Speaker 1: like it how they schedule these games so close together,
Speaker 1: like the Cults are almost done with their schedule. But
Speaker 1: I do like an over and that's what's going to
Speaker 1: happen in this game. Both of these defenses are solid.
Speaker 1: They get after the Pastors, but Mattie Eyes kind of
Speaker 1: returned back and and Derrick Henry's look great all years.
Speaker 1: I think the offenses are a little undersold here. Well,
Speaker 1: whatever you do is what I did in this one,
Speaker 1: forty five points in this matchup. I think that when
Speaker 1: I'm looking at Derrick Henry a little bit healthier, getting
Speaker 1: better in this whole I don't know this whole thing.
Speaker 1: It just feels like awesome this year, well from last year,
Speaker 1: is much healthier. So that is a that isn't over
Speaker 1: for me. It's not emphatic, but it isn't under. You
Speaker 1: added one to your mix. Yeah, well yeah, it's it's
Speaker 1: double under, but it's it's really not that much under.
Speaker 1: I have forty points. I think this is gonna be
Speaker 1: a lot of Derrick Henry, a lot more on the ground,
Speaker 1: not thirty seven passes in the first half of matt
Speaker 1: Ryan again, Um, not as many points Texans Raiders. Texans
Speaker 1: have scored more than twenty points only one time. Over
Speaker 1: under is that forty five and a half. Please tell
Speaker 1: me that I have the under? Yeah, I'm gonna go over.
Speaker 1: The Raiders have been kind of great on offense. The
Speaker 1: last handful of weeks. They put up thirty on the Broncos,
Speaker 1: which translates to about forty on the Texans. They also
Speaker 1: at twenty nine on the Chiefs. Like I love Josh Jacobs,
Speaker 1: I love Josh McDaniels in the way this running game
Speaker 1: is going, I think they'll do it. I have a
Speaker 1: pretty significant over on this one. Seven points projected for
Speaker 1: this one. Seven over. Yeah, it was it forty one
Speaker 1: or four? Was it forty one and a half. The
Speaker 1: model loves the over, We we like it, so it's
Speaker 1: one and a half points here over. When I'm looking
Speaker 1: at this matchup, I would feel better if Darren while
Speaker 1: we were playing, or Hunter Renfro were absolutely playing and
Speaker 1: there weren't so many questionable pieces to this offense. However,
Speaker 1: Davante Adams, this is like a get right situation for
Speaker 1: the Raiders and kind of get their season back on track,
Speaker 1: and we forgot. There's a little bit of weird stuff
Speaker 1: going on with the Texans that we maybe didn't talk
Speaker 1: about or overlo what not. Worried about that, Like get
Speaker 1: that out of there. We're going all Raiders all day. Yeah,
Speaker 1: when people leave, believe no longer they're so depending on
Speaker 1: how do you feel about that, I actually, honestly, I'm
Speaker 1: going to take the under because I feel anti fund
Speaker 1: even though I'm sure you know Jackie should be on
Speaker 1: the comedy. Yeah, it would just watching the Jags against
Speaker 1: the Texans a couple of weeks ago. They stifled them
Speaker 1: the day. The defense did a lot, and as much
Speaker 1: as I think, yeah, let's get twenty five points for
Speaker 1: the Raiders, that's that's still not enough to get this
Speaker 1: game where it needs to be hit. All right, Listen,
Speaker 1: we may disagree on some things, but there are a
Speaker 1: lot of things that we are in agreement on, including
Speaker 1: these games. Take a screen grab, folks, These are our
Speaker 1: mem alerts. We got the Ravens over the Browns, we
Speaker 1: got the Bengals, we got the Packers, and we got
Speaker 1: le Patriots. I feel good about that. Her old producer
Speaker 1: Tanton's watching. He would be so I definitely don't think
Speaker 1: Commander's fans are going to be mad at us. Now,
Speaker 1: I think that they'll they'll understand. All right, we're gonna
Speaker 1: talk some player props for Week seven. On the other
Speaker 1: side of this break, who's balling out is gonna be great, Gina,
Speaker 1: Nick Chap great hit points. All right, we'll see right
Speaker 1: and early in the meantime, and it's time for more
Speaker 1: or less. All right, let's talk some play or props.
Speaker 1: Cynthia rap sheet says Christian McCaffrey will have a red
Speaker 1: zone package on Sunday more or less than half a touchdown.
Speaker 1: He's just gonna have one red zone package. I think
Speaker 1: there's gonna be like a whole slew of red zone
Speaker 1: packages for him. I don't necessarily think he's going to
Speaker 1: get the same type of volume you saw him getting
Speaker 1: at the Panthers, but that's because they actually have other
Speaker 1: playmakers on this team that also can take a share
Speaker 1: of the touches or maybe you know, potential situations in
Speaker 1: other areas. But I do think red zone Christian McCaffrey,
Speaker 1: it's going to be super confusing to this Chief's defense,
Speaker 1: and they'll take advantage of that. Greg McCaffrey's old team
Speaker 1: not a lot left offensively, more or less than one
Speaker 1: and a half touchdown. But this bumps me. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: go less. I mean, you know, because it's so early
Speaker 1: in the season for it to feel so late. But
Speaker 1: they lost of their targets for the season when they
Speaker 1: traded Roddy Anderson and Christian McCaffrey and port p J.
Speaker 1: Walkers had to come in and go against the Rams
Speaker 1: and now the Bucks defense, and this Buck's defense is angry.
Speaker 1: Todd Bules called out some of his players, and I
Speaker 1: believe he was calling out his defensive players especially, and
Speaker 1: I think they'll be ready to go. He also missing
Speaker 1: two of your quarterbacks, your main one, your backup is
Speaker 1: not good. Patrick Jack is back more or less than
Speaker 1: one and a half passing touchdowns against the Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: we said it already. This this is this feels like
Speaker 1: an easy But if it were two and a half,
Speaker 1: if it was two or more, I would still tike
Speaker 1: that because honestly, this offensive line is in a much
Speaker 1: better situation. And the overreactions I was a part of
Speaker 1: that in Week one. It's like, oh gosh, it's it's
Speaker 1: over for the Dallas couple. They're gonna play play that
Speaker 1: Buccaneers team every single week. They're fond Terence Still is
Speaker 1: playing good football stack back, okay, Greg Melvin Gordon, Uh,
Speaker 1: he's getting to start for Denver. Some twitter drama this week?
Speaker 1: Are less than half a touchdown against the Jets. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna go less again. And this isn't about Melvin Gordon,
Speaker 1: but I mean he did get the start last week
Speaker 1: technically too, he just didn't finish and they do have
Speaker 1: other solid running but I thought, let's Tavious Murray ran well.
Speaker 1: By the way, Mike Boone is there, it's just the
Speaker 1: fact that he's on the Denver Broncos. They've only scored
Speaker 1: seven or eight touchdowns all season as a team, so
Speaker 1: to pick one player to score one touchdown is unlikely
Speaker 1: no matter who the player is, all Right, san Ja
Speaker 1: mar Chase a hundred and thirty two yards last week
Speaker 1: more or less than seventy nine and a half against
Speaker 1: the Falcons. More. Yeah, I don't necessarily it's gonna be
Speaker 1: a hundred and thirty two, but I think it's more
Speaker 1: than seventy nine and a half. We saw the return
Speaker 1: of the intermediate pass and the intermediate connection between he
Speaker 1: and Joe Burrow but it's all about that deep pass.
Speaker 1: That's what we saw last season. And Casey Hayward, who's
Speaker 1: one of the most underrated corners in the entire NFL,
Speaker 1: has unfortunately gone on the I R. So you don't
Speaker 1: think that they're sitting there and be like, let's find
Speaker 1: out no way opposite side of h not there anymore.
Speaker 1: Oh gosh, we have a great matchup there. So I
Speaker 1: think we see the reemergence of that deep reception at
Speaker 1: deep connection with he and Joe bro Patrick. Trivia question
Speaker 1: for you, Okay, Bradley Chub's cousin, that would be he
Speaker 1: had a season low fifties six rushing yards against the
Speaker 1: Patriots last week, more or less than seventy one and
Speaker 1: a half against baltim It's more they're they're not the
Speaker 1: Patriots defense as well as Baltimore's defense has played since
Speaker 1: Jason Pierre Paul came on, they've been better. It's really
Speaker 1: just a question of how many carries Kevin Stevanski gives
Speaker 1: Nick Chubb, and I think, considering the way the passing
Speaker 1: game has been in the past few weeks, he's going
Speaker 1: to get north of twenty three carries. You do the
Speaker 1: map he's gonna get north of seventy two yards. This
Speaker 1: is a Ravens defense. It's actually kind of soft on
Speaker 1: the edge. Not to talk about your guy JP. People. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that first good game. Not so much the next week
Speaker 1: and they were looking for more out of O. Wait,
Speaker 1: I'm with you. I think they'll run all over I mean,
Speaker 1: that's you say with that kind of volume, would be
Speaker 1: like three yards per Harry, that's not I mean, don't
Speaker 1: get that in like half. Like we've said, he is
Speaker 1: an athlete. We think he's been a at sport. We're sure,
Speaker 1: but we think you could probably beat everyone listening, watching
Speaker 1: every words across the board. He's gonna beat you, we said, specifically,
Speaker 1: Greg sneaky athletic out there. Oh, the football was footballing
Speaker 1: in week six and it will continue to football in
Speaker 1: week seven. Baby, is anybody else kind of bummed that
Speaker 1: we're already at week seven? It's like blown, slow down,
Speaker 1: stop growing up, stop getting older at this time to
Speaker 1: write this down, these are things that we're all feeling
Speaker 1: very confident about. And I believe I'm going to go first.
Speaker 1: Suthing's up with the Packers offense. Sums up with Aaron Rodgers.
Speaker 1: I saw some video this week of him rubbing his nipples,
Speaker 1: and it made me very uncomfortable. Please go go google that.
Speaker 1: You don't need to see it. I'm sorry, it just
Speaker 1: popped into my brain and I had to say it
Speaker 1: out loud. Aaron Rodgers throws just one, just one touchdown
Speaker 1: under one and a half down through playing the Commanders,
Speaker 1: the Packers offense has scored just ten points over their
Speaker 1: last six quarters. Well, how would you say the nipple
Speaker 1: rubbing prediction? It weird and me out enough to say
Speaker 1: that something's going on with this team is giving me
Speaker 1: bad vibes. What do you like this town? I wish
Speaker 1: I liked it as much as I like the Falcons.
Speaker 1: I love the Falcons. Uk over there. We're going back
Speaker 1: into the Falcons and the Bengals are two very even teams,
Speaker 1: so I think the Falcons are gonna keep it closer
Speaker 1: than it touched that. How much more can we disrespect
Speaker 1: this three and three team? They destroyed your beloved forty
Speaker 1: a week and go by two touchdowns. They're getting it done.
Speaker 1: They run the ball so well. The Bengals don't stop
Speaker 1: the run. They beat my team. Gino Smith, I see
Speaker 1: this as a coin flip type of game. It's gonna
Speaker 1: be close Smith the entire the Falcons didn't even make
Speaker 1: it into our show, Like where were they? They haven't
Speaker 1: been in the show the whole time. First we're talking
Speaker 1: about nipples gonna get yelled at, Like my goodness, Okay,
Speaker 1: I wouldn't go with Geno. Smith's teammate read quietly that
Speaker 1: ken Walker is going to score a touchdown. I don't
Speaker 1: care when it is. I don't care if his first,
Speaker 1: don't care if it's last. But he's going to score
Speaker 1: a touchdown. Why because this guy has all the volume
Speaker 1: and he breaks tackles. So this is a great matchup,
Speaker 1: ken Walker. You can book it. Go m s M.
Speaker 1: I write this down. Is Maddie is Maddie Ice. Matt
Speaker 1: Ryan will throw for more than two hundred and fifty yards,
Speaker 1: and that's because the Colts cannot run the ball Jonathan
Speaker 1: Taylor or not right now, Maddie Ice throwing the ball
Speaker 1: a million times is the only way they moved the ball.
Speaker 1: I like him to be Oh, Maddio narrative already. I
Speaker 1: don't think they're win. I just think he's gonna throw
Speaker 1: the ball a lot. Okay, that is it. That is
Speaker 1: all We talked about a lot of things in the
Speaker 1: show we didn't We covered a lot of things included goodness.
Speaker 1: Did not see that. We will see you next week.
Speaker 1: Enjoy Week seven. Enjoy the Football NFL Game Debut is
Speaker 1: a production of the NFL in partnership with I heart Radio.
Speaker 1: For more podcast from my heart Radio, visit the i
Speaker 1: heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.