1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 2: David Livingstone is the City Chief Client Officer, and David 3 00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 2: joins us now for more. David Commooniti, I's going to 4 00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 2: see you. I'm fantastic. Let's talk about where the action 5 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 2: is at the moment. We've been saying around this table 6 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:19,600 Speaker 2: for a while that maybe the investment bank in recession 7 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:22,120 Speaker 2: is over behind us. We want to talk about where 8 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 2: things are picking up the IPO market. How strong is 9 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:26,279 Speaker 2: the pipeline for this year. 10 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 3: It's building, it's solid. But the conditions that you want 11 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:33,239 Speaker 3: to talk about and that investors are looking at as 12 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:36,239 Speaker 3: well as issuers are looking at in terms of rate 13 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 3: out look and not so much the absolute, but particularly 14 00:00:38,479 --> 00:00:41,519 Speaker 3: the volatility in the rate outlook. We're sitting here with 15 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:44,560 Speaker 3: some of the biggest spread in terms of potential outlook 16 00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 3: for year end rates in dollars that we've seen in 17 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 3: a while. The issuers are looking at that and saying, well, 18 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 3: how does that impact not just equity markets, but also 19 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:58,240 Speaker 3: investor appetite to be investing in IPOs right now? You're right, 20 00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 3: we've seen a very strong last few weeks, particularly in 21 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:03,240 Speaker 3: the United States, particularly in the healthcare sector. We expect 22 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:06,959 Speaker 3: those conditions to continue, but a broader rally and deepening 23 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:08,440 Speaker 3: of the markets I think relies on some of those 24 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 3: other factors. 25 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 2: Has there been a structural shift because of what's developing 26 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 2: a private markets that's maybe holding back companies and basically 27 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 2: they've decided that I don't need to go public in 28 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:19,080 Speaker 2: quite the same way they perhaps needed two decades ago. 29 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 3: I think there has been a shift over decades and 30 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 3: the growth of private markets, not just here in the 31 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 3: United States but around the world give alternative capital formation opportunities. 32 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:32,039 Speaker 3: And you've seen I think the US is the standout 33 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 3: in terms of the public market still being deep liquid, 34 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 3: accepting very strong following in sectors with multiple comparables you 35 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 3: go elsewhere around the world, UK, for example, very challenging 36 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 3: in terms of the number of companies either leaving exchanges, 37 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 3: moving to the United States or not coming to market, 38 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 3: and with IPO levels being very significantly done. 39 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:55,240 Speaker 1: Speaking of which I have to go there. Zeker came 40 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: to market in the US and New York, which is 41 00:01:57,800 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 1: basically an after set of gly Rate them. This electric 42 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:03,600 Speaker 1: vehicle maker in China did really well, and it just 43 00:02:03,640 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 1: raised this larger question of do you still see the 44 00:02:06,080 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 1: same degree of cross border IPOs of companies not just 45 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:13,520 Speaker 1: in China but other places coming to New York. How 46 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 1: much are people concerned about some of the geopolitics behind 47 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 1: it versus Hey, a lot of people have money. 48 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:21,919 Speaker 3: Let's go. I think it's not just a lot of 49 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:23,919 Speaker 3: people have money, but it's also just the depth and 50 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 3: quality of the US capital markets. I mean it is 51 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:30,520 Speaker 3: gapping and significantly ahead of the rest of the world 52 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:32,320 Speaker 3: if you go around. I've mentioned the UK, but also 53 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 3: the European markets are not as deep as they need 54 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:38,680 Speaker 3: to be, Asian markets the same. So I think it's 55 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 3: that just continued attraction of the quality of the equity 56 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 3: capital markets here in the US. 57 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:45,240 Speaker 1: Is there a rival? At this point, we were hearing 58 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:48,560 Speaker 1: a lot from Paris. You buying that John talking to 59 00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 1: David Solomon, Brian moynihan talking about building out in Paris. 60 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: It's looking better and better from every point of view. 61 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:57,959 Speaker 2: It was Micron doing the salek and they were doing 62 00:02:57,960 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 2: the buying. So are you doing the buying too? 63 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 3: Particularly in Europe. I'll say that the Europe is the 64 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 3: place that has to do the most structural chain post Brexit, 65 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 3: because they need to build capital markets and as you know, 66 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,520 Speaker 3: they've been trying to build capital markets and banking union 67 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:16,239 Speaker 3: for many, many years now. And what you're seeing, I 68 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:18,960 Speaker 3: think in France, in the Netherlands, to a certain extent 69 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:22,079 Speaker 3: in Germany, is member states realizing that they need to 70 00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 3: deepen their independent capital markets before there can be an 71 00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 3: EU layer created. There is too many impediments and so 72 00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 3: what President mccron is talking about is absolutely sensible. And yes, 73 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:34,920 Speaker 3: Paris will grow, the markets will deepen, but I don't think, 74 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 3: as to your question, will be a competitor of the 75 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 3: United States. 76 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:39,880 Speaker 2: What does that mean for your regional footprint as city, 77 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:42,000 Speaker 2: Where do you want to be located, Where do you 78 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 2: want to boost staff, pulled back on staff, given those 79 00:03:44,200 --> 00:03:45,560 Speaker 2: forces that we've just discussed. 80 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 3: Well, we follow clients and so we've talked about an 81 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 3: IPO market's obviously a very narrow bits of what we do. 82 00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:57,480 Speaker 3: So our network remains. We operate in over one hundred 83 00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 3: and sixty countries around the world, and we continue to 84 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 3: see broad opportunity in all of those regions that we 85 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:06,840 Speaker 3: operate in, So no dilution. Of course, there'll be at 86 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:10,880 Speaker 3: different times, different areas and more positive growth. Again, I 87 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 3: come back to the US being with the characteristics of 88 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 3: not just economic but innovation and some of the stimulus 89 00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:24,480 Speaker 3: that's happening here Europe cautious, but many European clients see 90 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:26,720 Speaker 3: that as an opportunity to take their own business models 91 00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:28,360 Speaker 3: outside outside of Europe. 92 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:30,880 Speaker 2: Do you think the US policy makers risks undermining the 93 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:33,359 Speaker 2: exceptionalism that we talk about every day on programs like 94 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 2: this with some of the decisions that they're making. I'm 95 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:38,440 Speaker 2: thinking more broadly, perhaps more narrowly actually around things like 96 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 2: M and A being unable to really know with any 97 00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 2: real clarity what kind of deal can get done in 98 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:45,520 Speaker 2: this economy with this White House. 99 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:49,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, I would make a Governments clearly need to look 100 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 3: at policy, particularly in terms of foreign direct investment in 101 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 3: sensitive industries and other things. That's always been present and 102 00:04:56,600 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 3: will always be a be a factor. So I wouldn't 103 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 3: point to one administrative decision. But if you're involved in 104 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:06,200 Speaker 3: cross border remanade you want to invest it in a market, 105 00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 3: it's the fact that you have to examined, whether you're 106 00:05:08,680 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 3: in the tech sector, defense sector, banking, whatever it might be, 107 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:15,240 Speaker 3: you need to have that really considered carefully. To John's point, 108 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 3: as you travel around you hear from clients, how concerned 109 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 3: are they. 110 00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:21,960 Speaker 1: About policies that may change drastically next year depending on 111 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 1: a change at the White House. 112 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:26,279 Speaker 3: They're all asking the question. They're all, I think, who's 113 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 3: going to win and what will be the policy setting. 114 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:34,120 Speaker 3: And that's very sensible, though, because the news announced yesterday 115 00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:38,839 Speaker 3: in terms of the tariffs that the US is imposing, 116 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:42,200 Speaker 3: may indicate that actually policy differential won't be that great 117 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:44,560 Speaker 3: depending on who's in the White House. Of course, that's 118 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:48,839 Speaker 3: just speculation, but I think looking through that, it's really 119 00:05:48,880 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 3: the volatility in the second half of this year that 120 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 3: a lot of investor clients looking at, and on the 121 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 3: corporate strategic side, I think people just want to see 122 00:05:56,160 --> 00:05:58,680 Speaker 3: a little bit more certainly. You'll talk about that range 123 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:02,560 Speaker 3: of potential outcomes on monetary policy around the world, but 124 00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:04,679 Speaker 3: they want to see a little bit more certainty in 125 00:06:04,839 --> 00:06:09,320 Speaker 3: the fiscal situation and also that policy setting. So they're 126 00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:12,680 Speaker 3: not making big decisions necessarily leading into the election, but 127 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:15,000 Speaker 3: they want to be as informed as possible about what 128 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 3: it might be straight after. 129 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 1: How are you preparing, given the fact that you've had 130 00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:21,320 Speaker 1: clients in a lot of different countries, potentially even in China, 131 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 1: at a time where we're going to get potentially a 132 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 1: big disruption. How is that informing some of the restructuring 133 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:30,560 Speaker 1: that city has done in terms of not just the 134 00:06:30,560 --> 00:06:33,719 Speaker 1: footprint and where you are, but how you are arranging 135 00:06:33,760 --> 00:06:34,799 Speaker 1: your sweeter products. 136 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 3: So nothing about our reorganization, not restructure, but nothing of 137 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:40,720 Speaker 3: our reorganization that we've executed over the last number of 138 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 3: months is to do on our geographic footprint. Indeed, we've 139 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:48,640 Speaker 3: reconfirmed the importance of our sort of global network and footprint. 140 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:52,560 Speaker 3: So what we have done though is sharpened our ability 141 00:06:52,560 --> 00:06:56,039 Speaker 3: in our focus of our businesses and also the capabilities 142 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:59,480 Speaker 3: that we have to address clients needs is make sure 143 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 3: that they're direct. Did very clearly towards the client. So 144 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 3: where that network, that footprint and some on and that 145 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 3: products that remains unchanged from what we had previously. 146 00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:13,560 Speaker 1: So you said that the reorganization has been largely completed, 147 00:07:13,760 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 1: and yet there have been a number of recent access 148 00:07:16,760 --> 00:07:19,720 Speaker 1: and I'm wondering how difficult it is to really retain 149 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 1: some of the top talent at a time of turn 150 00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:24,720 Speaker 1: of change, which is always tough. 151 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 3: It t is tough. I'd say that what we announced 152 00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:31,520 Speaker 3: yesterday in terms of two senior retirements of t D 153 00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:34,440 Speaker 3: col and Mike Whittaker absolutely planned all part of the 154 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 3: execution the Jane Fraser, our CEO, had in mind. So 155 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:44,600 Speaker 3: this was normal, unexpected. But I go back and say, actually, 156 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 3: our ability to attract very senior talent is high. Andy 157 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:51,280 Speaker 3: seeg who joined to run our wealth business, Tim Ryan, 158 00:07:51,320 --> 00:07:54,440 Speaker 3: who announced yesterday will be joining us as had of 159 00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 3: technology in business enablement. This is very, very high quality talent. 160 00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 3: This Ragavan who's joining us shortly to run our banking business, 161 00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:04,800 Speaker 3: top tier talent. Attracted a city attracted to the opportunity 162 00:08:04,840 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 3: in the platform that we have. 163 00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:08,120 Speaker 2: What do you think changed? Do you think something has 164 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:10,679 Speaker 2: changed to attract that talent? Is it something as simple 165 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 2: as the stock price performance, which is up more than 166 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 2: sixty percent is the end of October because silly stock, 167 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:17,880 Speaker 2: as you know, without being too critical for a lot 168 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:19,480 Speaker 2: of people, has been dead money for a long time 169 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:22,400 Speaker 2: starting to perform. Is that attracting talent? What is it 170 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:23,320 Speaker 2: that's changed for you? 171 00:08:23,840 --> 00:08:25,240 Speaker 3: I think you need to go well above the share 172 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 3: price for it. I think it's clarity of strategy, and 173 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 3: I think our chief executive has set out a very 174 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:34,560 Speaker 3: clear strategy, made some very clear decisions in twenty twenty 175 00:08:34,600 --> 00:08:36,880 Speaker 3: one in terms of some of the business activities that 176 00:08:36,920 --> 00:08:41,319 Speaker 3: we would discontinue, and being really clear through this reorganization 177 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:44,959 Speaker 3: of the accountability that she wants the businesses to have 178 00:08:45,640 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 3: but also to perform, and that I think is the 179 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:49,640 Speaker 3: factor which is attracting this talent. 180 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 2: Language is important. You keep saying reorganization. What is the difference? 181 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:56,160 Speaker 2: Just help me understand between a reor and a restructuring. 182 00:08:56,360 --> 00:08:59,960 Speaker 3: I think restructuring implies that you're changing fundamentally your business mix. 183 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:03,360 Speaker 3: Also implants that you might be sort of divesting in 184 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:06,400 Speaker 3: certain things. It's not. We've had a management reorganization, so 185 00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 3: our structure catches up with our strategy and we have 186 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:11,440 Speaker 3: a much simpler management structure than we had previously. 187 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:13,439 Speaker 2: Seems to be pay enough big time based on the 188 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:15,680 Speaker 2: share price performance, because that's what I focus on. Setties 189 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 2: up this morning, or rather down just a little bit, 190 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 2: but over the last six months or so, pretty phenomenal 191 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 2: price sanction there, David, Thank you, sir, good to see you. 192 00:09:22,240 --> 00:09:24,640 Speaker 2: Thank you very much. David limitson that of City