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Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome

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Speaker 1: to The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I'm Chad Nolman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am joined as I am every episode, I might

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Speaker 1: be ff my companion, my compadre professional better Simon Hunter,

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Speaker 1: who has already come out on Twitter and said, listen

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Speaker 1: to the show live on app because we've got some big,

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Speaker 1: big news and we do have news related to the podcast,

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Speaker 1: um much more importantly just breaking now. As we sat

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Speaker 1: down to record this was news from Cincinnati that Tamar Hamlin,

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Speaker 1: the Bill safety who needed CPR on Monday night and

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Speaker 1: the Bills Bengals game, has shown remarkable improvement, appears to

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Speaker 1: be neurologically intact, his luveness continue to heal. Uh. He

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Speaker 1: is awake and holding hands with family members, his agents

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Speaker 1: told CNN. So that's great news. We were all trying

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Speaker 1: to figure out, how are we as members of the media,

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Speaker 1: how are we as fans supposed to feel about all this,

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Speaker 1: other than being devastated by what we saw on Monday night?

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Speaker 1: And then how do we cover games? How do we

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Speaker 1: bet on games? What is the NFL going to do? Um?

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Speaker 1: A lot of our feelings aren't going to change about

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Speaker 1: what we saw. But remarkably good news that uh he

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Speaker 1: seems to be recovering uh and on pace too to

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Speaker 1: make a full recovery, which is great. Simon, you got

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Speaker 1: some news you I had no idea. You tweeted it

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Speaker 1: out this morning, and then Matt Mitchell and I in

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Speaker 1: slack or like, I wonder what the news is? I

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Speaker 1: have no idea, And so we sat down to record

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Speaker 1: the show and you shared the news. Please share it

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Speaker 1: with everybody else, so people are on pins and needles.

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Speaker 1: It was a test and you both failed a test

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Speaker 1: that you both failed. I wanted to see if you

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Speaker 1: guys could wait. You could not wait for the show.

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Speaker 1: You both they both made me tell them before we

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Speaker 1: came on. There where's the trust? Boys? I mean, come on,

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Speaker 1: you're four, you are you are a fucking wild card man.

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Speaker 1: I remember, do you remember the one person who was

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Speaker 1: the most afraid of doing this show live was you

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Speaker 1: for fear of what you were going to say that

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Speaker 1: might get us both canceled, that might get you fired.

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Speaker 1: I've turned a way down, though people don't know this.

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Speaker 1: I'm up for a contract right now, so I turned

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Speaker 1: a way down just because I'm trying to get paid.

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Speaker 1: And then we'll be back to the old ways. Christ

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Speaker 1: I'm kidding. Yeah, they both failed. They both wanted to

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Speaker 1: another info. So long story short. I go to Our Picks,

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Speaker 1: the same routine every week where I do it picks,

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Speaker 1: so the game's end, I checked the games to see

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Speaker 1: where we're at in the standings or where we're at

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Speaker 1: pick wise, and then me and Chad do our show twos.

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Speaker 1: And then I logged in Wednesday do our Picks. So

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Speaker 1: I go to log in do our Picks, and they're gone.

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Speaker 1: The contest is gone, and I panic and I find

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Speaker 1: out the hardway chat the contest is over. Last week

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Speaker 1: was the last week when I checked, after the Bengals

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Speaker 1: and Bills game. It was a glitch, I guess because

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Speaker 1: that game had gotten canceled where it looked as if

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Speaker 1: we stild a week left and we didn't. So sadly,

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Speaker 1: the contest is over. To all our great fans, and

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Speaker 1: we decided we're still going to do five picks. Right

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Speaker 1: this week, We're still gonna do five picks. We're not

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Speaker 1: gonna put them in the app because we want to

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Speaker 1: have fidelity to the contest. But we will make the

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Speaker 1: picks that we want to make today because we get

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Speaker 1: people will always complain. They're like, oh, they changed their picks,

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Speaker 1: go to the app. Nothing's changed exactly. See what we

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Speaker 1: did two years ago, as our loyal fans know me

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Speaker 1: Chad for the season, we came in for the whole season,

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Speaker 1: came place. I had a nice little pay there from that.

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Speaker 1: This year it was doubly amount of people entered. So

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Speaker 1: over four thousand people entered. This year Chad and I

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Speaker 1: finished four people sixteen. We didn't make the money, but

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Speaker 1: it's not the money like we made. I think two

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Speaker 1: years ago we got four K and a check this

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Speaker 1: year two hundred dollars. Last we killed us. We went

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Speaker 1: fifty of eighty, so sixty two point five percent for

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Speaker 1: the season. So we did better than we did two

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Speaker 1: years ago. But the competition was that much differ. Sadly,

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Speaker 1: it was different to the contest we were in. You

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Speaker 1: could have multiples, which the year. We made it really

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Speaker 1: hot far you couldn't. I mean, this one guy, this

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Speaker 1: one group, let's see what their name is, we'll give

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Speaker 1: them a shout out, because they end up they end

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Speaker 1: up winning it. Investor only fifty, Investor only fifty five.

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Speaker 1: He had three in the top ten. So this guy

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Speaker 1: was really really good. He end up winning all he wanted.

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Speaker 1: Seventy two crazy, so you got again. We won fifty

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Speaker 1: of eighty. He went fifty eight of eighty. So just

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Speaker 1: an incredible season, you know, great year for me, Chad.

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Speaker 1: I'm I'm bummed out that the last week we didn't,

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Speaker 1: we didn't put together, we didn't make it into the

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Speaker 1: top money. But I would say I'll never complain about

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Speaker 1: a season we go sixt We know how hard it is.

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Speaker 1: I know the fans now hard it is. So you

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Speaker 1: had two out of three years. We'll be back out

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Speaker 1: of next year and we'll talk to um, we'll figure

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Speaker 1: out what we're gonna do nex year for the contest,

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Speaker 1: if we need a proxy or anything like that. But

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Speaker 1: I would say, we love doing it, and it was

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Speaker 1: a fun year, Donut, and it's it's always a heartbreak

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Speaker 1: when you don't win. Up. We get how hard. It

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Speaker 1: is so sixty two. I'm shocked I didn't get us

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Speaker 1: into the top, but I mean top twenty. But it's

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Speaker 1: just it's stiff competition, so always looking at ow improof. Alright, So, hey,

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Speaker 1: congrats to Investor only fifty five. We gotta find whoever

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Speaker 1: that is and you know, bring him on the fucking

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Speaker 1: podcast and hire him in the Action network. So if

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Speaker 1: you're listening investoral or, you know, get in touch. Uh,

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Speaker 1: congrats on But also thinking about it, so we go

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Speaker 1: fifty and thirty, right, sty two and a half percent

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Speaker 1: against the spread five games every week. That's just fucking hard. Like,

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Speaker 1: let's put it in context. Put it in context. You

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Speaker 1: win against the spread, you're making money as a professional

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Speaker 1: better most betters are not going above. Even if you

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Speaker 1: do that, you're one of the best betters in the world.

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Speaker 1: So doing it at and above that's fucking insanity. But

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Speaker 1: also think about this fifty that's one and a half

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Speaker 1: hands of games that we can count the course of

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Speaker 1: a year. Yeah, easily easily. The fil side is there's

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Speaker 1: probably eight other games that we you know, ended up

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Speaker 1: on the right side on it for a variety of

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Speaker 1: flukey reasons. So it all evens out we got remember

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Speaker 1: those we missed as I gotta blame the Jacks like

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Speaker 1: that that they killed us mid season. We kept getting

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Speaker 1: on because we kept saying the value was there. But

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Speaker 1: there's a couple of teams like that. I told you

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Speaker 1: I went through and it's just Um, we'll do even

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Speaker 1: more of a recap next next week once we know

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Speaker 1: all the seating. Because I went back and I finally

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Speaker 1: listened to our August show, which was just hilarious. Chad,

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Speaker 1: listen to us. Um, now that we're both beat down

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Speaker 1: at this point, but we you can hear the love

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Speaker 1: and excitement we have for football, and at this point

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Speaker 1: after eighteen nineteen weeks, I'm just so ready for the playoffs. Um,

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Speaker 1: it's just funny listening back. But yeah, I'll never ever

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Speaker 1: complain about a six or two point five percent. I'm

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Speaker 1: just pissed. Like you just said, we are so close,

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Speaker 1: and like I can see all of those little games

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Speaker 1: and all those little mistakes which this notebook I keep

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Speaker 1: throwing up every year I add more to it. Uh.

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Speaker 1: This this was year three of me and Chad doing

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Speaker 1: a full time I'll take it to out of three years,

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Speaker 1: pretty pretty damn good. Uh, Matt Mitchell was sending us notes,

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Speaker 1: uh that we should make a comment that we do

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Speaker 1: have an advantage and that the lines often locked on Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: So we're betting some lines where we're getting some closing

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Speaker 1: line value, you know, half a point here or half

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Speaker 1: a point there. The flip side is a lot of

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Speaker 1: times we're not. I was gonna say totally disagree whatever

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Speaker 1: when anyone someone says that, I always disagree where there

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Speaker 1: might be the off chance we get half a point

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Speaker 1: of value. You can go through all our picks counted up.

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Speaker 1: I counted five games the entire season that came down

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Speaker 1: to the line closing and kind of two games. Two

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Speaker 1: games we give out five games every week that we

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Speaker 1: got a number of other people didn't get, and that

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Speaker 1: it mattered to the spread. So I get when people

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Speaker 1: complain about that stuff. I think that's the I got

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Speaker 1: nothing to say. I don't know much about sports, So

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Speaker 1: all I'm gonna do is talk about closing line value.

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Speaker 1: That's the honest truth. Like if you harp on closing

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Speaker 1: line value, you're a sucker and you're a long term loser.

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Speaker 1: It's like, yeah, it matters. I load up on games

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Speaker 1: irrelevant irrelevant where it's like we were gonna talk about

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Speaker 1: again today me and Chad load up on the products

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Speaker 1: at three and a half, that line is completely flipped.

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Speaker 1: I will take the chargers at three am. I gonna

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Speaker 1: be like, oh, it's because of my closing line value

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Speaker 1: the whole time. No, it's like we took a position

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Speaker 1: now and playing it. There's certain weeks where that does

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Speaker 1: really matter overall anytime someone complains it. So we gave

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Speaker 1: out those lines on Tuesday or Thursday's show, So it's like,

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Speaker 1: I get where they're coming from. But I hate when

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Speaker 1: people have bitched about that to us, where it's like

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Speaker 1: half the time we we took lines because it was

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Speaker 1: great value, it didn't work out for us. So like

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Speaker 1: that's why most of the years I think, I think

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Speaker 1: we probably we probably ended up like we could have

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Speaker 1: ended up top fifty like we were most of the

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Speaker 1: year if we didn't chase line, we hadn't been sort

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Speaker 1: of so enamored with a lot of games where we

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Speaker 1: fucking threw Atlanta in there this past weekend because of that.

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Speaker 1: I bet there's five games over the course of a

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Speaker 1: week over the season that we could pinpoint that we

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Speaker 1: lost that we lost them, But a lot has to

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Speaker 1: do with the model. To the brother, we're like, I

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Speaker 1: do I do some gud betting, I do bets off

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Speaker 1: other people. A lot of a lot of my bets

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Speaker 1: and chat as well, comes down to I'm playing a model.

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Speaker 1: So it's just that's the same thing that Atlanta one

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Speaker 1: where I don't want to do it either. Brother, But

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Speaker 1: I had four and a half in my model. It

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Speaker 1: was three and a half. The line had all gone

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Speaker 1: up to six and a half. I was like, all right,

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Speaker 1: we're getting crazy value here. Um so I completely agree, though,

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Speaker 1: where that that feels like the lazy man argument against

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Speaker 1: our show, where all of you listening you can enter

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Speaker 1: these contests, see how hard it is. Picked five games

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Speaker 1: every week. You can pick them on was there Tuesday?

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Speaker 1: Whatever the contest locks try to go. It's brutally tough.

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Speaker 1: I promise you that much. At the end of the day,

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Speaker 1: we finished a hundred out of four thousand contestants. That's

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Speaker 1: top two, pot nine percent of all contestants. I'll take

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Speaker 1: top two, top three. I don't mind live in the

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Speaker 1: top three percent. Hile life you're living good, I don't

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Speaker 1: mind it. What would have life higher? But people can

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Speaker 1: fight to them a little snippy because I'm just mad

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Speaker 1: that it's over. Reminder, Foxhole, we had the Browns plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half. Simon says, we had the Titans

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Speaker 1: plus six and a half. Exact decision. You mentioned the Broncos.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna get into it. I chose the Broncos plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half. That line is now Chargers plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half. A lot of flipping going on. Um,

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Speaker 1: we will make a big balls, we will do our

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Speaker 1: Scooch roulette, we will do our money line round robin parlay.

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Speaker 1: But first and foremost, we're gonna get to sharp cops. Hello,

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Speaker 1: who's there? I'm talking. It's off week where a lot

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Speaker 1: of these lines you're bouncing. We got a bunch of

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Speaker 1: QB news. We did that show what was It Tuesday Night,

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Speaker 1: and a bunch of QB news kind of came out

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Speaker 1: and like during Tuesday, Wednesday, Tuesday morning, Tuesday night, Wednesday morning,

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Speaker 1: Wednesday afternoon. We've seen all these lines shift really and

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Speaker 1: then a couple of lines haven't really shifted at all.

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Speaker 1: The sharp calls a couple of times are dead numbers.

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Speaker 1: So it doesn't help anyone at all. People all over

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Speaker 1: the Broncos. I feel like we talked about it where

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Speaker 1: you took the number just in case it shifted when

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Speaker 1: news came out that charges might be sitting starters, and

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Speaker 1: that's exactly what happened. So that was one where I

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Speaker 1: think we both saw the show we were gonna bet

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Speaker 1: as many plus threes and a halfs as we could find,

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Speaker 1: and to no one's surprise, that completely shifted. So that

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Speaker 1: was one of the more sharp, sharp called shrupter greed

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Speaker 1: bets of the week. A game I I told Chat

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Speaker 1: I needed more calls on was that Carolina Panthers game.

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Speaker 1: The pros love the Saints. Uh, they love it. I'm

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Speaker 1: scared because I like the Panthers kind of, but I'm

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Speaker 1: not going against them. Uh. I don't even know. It's

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Speaker 1: up to like five different smart groups that came in

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Speaker 1: on this number, and then one guy came in the

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Speaker 1: opposite side took the Panthers up plus four. I'll end

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Speaker 1: up probably the Saints, but it's maybe that one I'll

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Speaker 1: just stay away from just because it's it's really split.

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Speaker 1: But pros I can tell you right now, they're gonna

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Speaker 1: come in on this Saints team. Uh. Game we didn't

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Speaker 1: talk about surprisingly was Atlanta. I know a couple of

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Speaker 1: really smart groups have come in Atlanta. Um, that was

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Speaker 1: the one game we missed by accident, so maybe we

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Speaker 1: could talk a little more about that one. I kind

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Speaker 1: of had an opinion on where I was gonna take

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Speaker 1: Atlanta because it felt like they were gonna play the

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Speaker 1: starters like there. They're one of those teams I just

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Speaker 1: play hard regardless, especially with a rookie quarterback in there. Um.

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Speaker 1: On the flip side, Tampa's resting. I mean everything I've

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Speaker 1: read it seems like Tampa's uh not playing that one.

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Speaker 1: So um, that's a game we'll definitely have to touch on.

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Speaker 1: And then a game we loved that all the pros

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Speaker 1: are gonna love Tennessee. We said earlier in the week,

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Speaker 1: I thought Tennessee was gonna be just a pro bad game.

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Speaker 1: In fact that it wasn't seven it was kind of

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Speaker 1: a telling sign. Um, it felt like I kind of

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Speaker 1: let you know that early money was gonna come in

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Speaker 1: on them. I think Chad looked it up and said

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Speaker 1: that all the money had come in early on Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: and that's what I expected. I just feel like that

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Speaker 1: was the normal play where every every guy's gonna have

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Speaker 1: that part. That's six point part that this week of Um,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to go through it. I know, like

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs were in there and they bumped out all

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Speaker 1: way up to nine and a half. But I was

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Speaker 1: not shocked that to hear so many pros on Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: But I was, honestly the the Atlanta went through me

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Speaker 1: for a little bit of a loop, just because that's

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Speaker 1: an interesting position to take. Um and the fact that

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Speaker 1: I didn't really anyone back in us with Cleveland. Um,

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Speaker 1: maybe they want the three, but I feel like two

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Speaker 1: and a half is a fair number. If you can

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Speaker 1: get the three, obviously that's great. But I thought that

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Speaker 1: was gonna be more more bet this week. And again

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Speaker 1: we're earlier this is it's not even one o'clock noon

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Speaker 1: yet East Coast on Thursday. But for the amount of

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Speaker 1: bets I usually taken this week, I was just shocked. Um,

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Speaker 1: that's so few of coming on the Browns. I do

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Speaker 1: really still like the spot of this Brown team. Alright, So, um,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about the Broncos. First, Broncos plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half. Look, we like the Broncos plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half at least I did uh on Tuesday. Not

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Speaker 1: it in a vacuum, right, the Chargers being on the road,

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Speaker 1: being favorites on the road. The Broncos have been a

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Speaker 1: team that we have backed pretty consistently all season long,

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Speaker 1: especially is pretty really big favorites um this past weekend especially,

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Speaker 1: and I just feel like, again in a vacuum, their

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Speaker 1: defense is really good. The Chargers offense has been struggling,

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Speaker 1: even if it is justin Herbert and sort of a

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Speaker 1: wide array of complimentary talent on the edges in Austin Ekeler. Now,

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Speaker 1: I think this game is flipped. I I haven't seen

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Speaker 1: news about the Chargers resting, but I do know that

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Speaker 1: they're seating is dependent aboud what happens earlier in the day,

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Speaker 1: So it's entirely possible they know what they're they know it.

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Speaker 1: They need to win to get better seating, or they

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Speaker 1: could win and nothing will happen depending on earlier games.

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Speaker 1: I think that's why it's flipped, right, Am I missing

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Speaker 1: something I'm saying? So it's like the easiest thing ever

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Speaker 1: if you want to bet, like a pro, pro is

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Speaker 1: always taking the money where you can. You literally if

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Speaker 1: you bet. I don't even know if you bet one year.

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Speaker 1: If you bet one unit on the three and a half,

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Speaker 1: you take the three. You just take the three in

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Speaker 1: the Charges right now and you hope for that middle

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Speaker 1: or if it lands on a push, so be it.

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Speaker 1: But that's the exact thing what you just said. If

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Speaker 1: the Ravens or I forge out what the scenario is

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Speaker 1: that the Ravens are the Bengal, is one of them

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Speaker 1: pulls an upset or vice versa, the Bengals win, the

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Speaker 1: Ravens lose. I guess they don't need to play. If

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Speaker 1: the Ravens lose, but the Ravens win, they can move

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Speaker 1: up a seating. So that's why the Charges would have

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Speaker 1: to win this game to keep that seat in the

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Speaker 1: five hold. I guess so, and I could be wrong

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Speaker 1: because I'm not the best with the playoff scenario stuff,

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Speaker 1: but just looking at this movement, I just said it

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Speaker 1: like we'll take the dog and I took the under

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Speaker 1: as well, where if Herbert sits even better, it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a low total. I don't know how many defensive

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Speaker 1: players are gonna arrest either the Chargers, but I could

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Speaker 1: just already see this being a low scoring game. The

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Speaker 1: denver is the bet I think Denver is gonna win

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Speaker 1: this game. Obviously, it changes everything now if it is

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Speaker 1: gonna be Herbert. So that's that's the thing. If you've

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Speaker 1: already missed the value on Denver, you can just set

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Speaker 1: it out and then once you have more clarity, maybe

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Speaker 1: bet the number before the game. Do you feel like

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Speaker 1: you take the two and a half for the Chargers

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Speaker 1: right now or do you wait? Do you wait until

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Speaker 1: Sunday when you sort of get a better sense of

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Speaker 1: what the Chargers might do based on their seating. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and then because and also, I just don't tell people

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Speaker 1: to buy points. I hate telling people to buy points.

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Speaker 1: Um like, buy half a point to make it three

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Speaker 1: if you could get two and a half. But I

363
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Speaker 1: wouldn't fault you if you did it. I just played

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Speaker 1: the number. So like to me, if if I already

365
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Speaker 1: missed the three, I would throw a little on the

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Speaker 1: two and a half. But just if I'm already locked

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Speaker 1: into three and a half, that's the big bet. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: instead of putting half a unit on the two and

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Speaker 1: a half, maybe only put whatever point too on the

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Speaker 1: two and a half, just because it's it's a key number,

371
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Speaker 1: but it's not as key as three obviously just mathematically,

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Speaker 1: you know, the math doesn't work out where lands more

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Speaker 1: than three than does it? Too? Interesting? Game, fascinating, game,

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Speaker 1: fascinating this whole weekend, there could be a lot of

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Speaker 1: spots where, Yeah, I love these kind of games. You

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Speaker 1: might want to wait, right, I just love these games.

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Speaker 1: Are everyone's hoping for a middle and the book just

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Speaker 1: because it's so sharper this time of the year. They're

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Speaker 1: just they're dreading that they're just so they're gonna be

380
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Speaker 1: right on the middle. Another game, and I always referenced

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Speaker 1: Chris Raybond and Stucky in the Action Network podcast. Stucky

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Speaker 1: had a really good point about the Lions packers and

383
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Speaker 1: we we liked. We talked about this the other day.

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Speaker 1: We like the Lions at at four and a half. Yeah,

385
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Speaker 1: we're a couple of suckers regardless of the scenario, right

386
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Speaker 1: because the Lions will know before the game whether or

387
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Speaker 1: not they're in the playoffs or they're playing spoilers because

388
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Speaker 1: of the Seahawks earlier in the day of Seahawks and

389
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Speaker 1: screwed up. But honestly, is the better chat. I want

390
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Speaker 1: them to be the spoiler. Like them playing for the

391
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Speaker 1: playoff makes me more nervous than being a spoiler them

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Speaker 1: spoiler spot yeah to me is great, but but that's

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Speaker 1: what I think. I think and Stuck. You made a

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Speaker 1: really good point. It's very possible Seahawks win. Lins know

395
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Speaker 1: they're only gonna be spoilers. The line shoots up from

396
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Speaker 1: four and a half to five and a half to

397
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Speaker 1: six and a half because people think the Lions won't

398
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Speaker 1: play for anything. But if you're paying any attention, you

399
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Speaker 1: know the Lions are going to go balls to the

400
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Speaker 1: wall no matter what. So you might want to wait

401
00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:22,800
Speaker 1: and see if you can get an even bigger number

402
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Speaker 1: as the game nears kickoff, if you know what's happening

403
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Speaker 1: with Seattle. Yeah, and Matt just hit us on the slack.

404
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Speaker 1: That about people parlaying these things together, Um, like different

405
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Speaker 1: scenarios about different teams, how they're gonna make the playoffs,

406
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Speaker 1: and those exact scenaries need to happen for them to

407
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Speaker 1: make it. I love doing that stuff. I'll never bet

408
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Speaker 1: Seahawks to make the playoffs whatever it is right now.

409
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Speaker 1: Plus I'll parlay the scenarios together because that's the better value.

410
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Speaker 1: Last year is when not the funniest year I can

411
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:53,719
Speaker 1: rever remember but it's close to it and it sounds stupid.

412
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Speaker 1: But that tie scenario and the last game of the year,

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Speaker 1: that was a real bet that came down to the

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Speaker 1: y there any over time, the clock was ticking down,

415
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Speaker 1: there was a minute ago, and that the legious naive

416
00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:07,760
Speaker 1: was there of them because the Raiders were gonna run

417
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Speaker 1: the clock out, and the coach of Charges did something

418
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Speaker 1: that I don't ever understand. He took a time out,

419
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Speaker 1: shot himself on the foot. They end up losing Charges

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Speaker 1: in the playoffs. Yead da YadA. Same thing this year.

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Speaker 1: I'll do those real bets with all of you. Like,

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Speaker 1: there's shows that are way more in depth on that

423
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Speaker 1: kind of betting style and people do write ups to

424
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Speaker 1: I think Action does a really good right up about

425
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Speaker 1: incentive betting, which is you bet certain player props for incentives.

426
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Speaker 1: Obviously the books have caught onto it, right they bumped

427
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Speaker 1: the props up. Still do it like they still over

428
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:36,560
Speaker 1: the last three years doing it. I don't know if

429
00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:38,960
Speaker 1: it was Shawan Sean that did it last year, but

430
00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:41,359
Speaker 1: one of our guys had an article where it was

431
00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:45,280
Speaker 1: like just all every you could pick your own, pick

432
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:46,960
Speaker 1: your own bets, but literally told you every single plan

433
00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:49,000
Speaker 1: what their sent up was pretty much for why they

434
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:51,560
Speaker 1: were playing for what in the prop market, same thing

435
00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:53,760
Speaker 1: this year, like shop for that stuff as well. It's

436
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:58,040
Speaker 1: obviously there's no full proof plan, but it's been profitable

437
00:21:58,200 --> 00:21:59,760
Speaker 1: over the last three years to me. So that's one

438
00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 1: of those, right, just like I'm gonna look, I'm not

439
00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:03,080
Speaker 1: gonna bet every single thing people give out, but it's

440
00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:06,399
Speaker 1: like that makes sense if the matchup favorites favorites that

441
00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 1: as well. Um, yeah, that bret those different props on

442
00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:12,600
Speaker 1: players playing your sentence, because that's the real thing. These

443
00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:15,280
Speaker 1: people are humans, their friends. I mean, everyone knows that

444
00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:18,439
Speaker 1: famous clip of Brady talking to Gronk and gron sty

445
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:20,960
Speaker 1: like I need two more catches to hit the million dollars.

446
00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:23,119
Speaker 1: Gronks like, I got you, baby, Brady's I got you

447
00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:25,320
Speaker 1: the there to go in back to back place and

448
00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:26,679
Speaker 1: they go off the field and that was it for

449
00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:28,919
Speaker 1: them for the season. So definitely something to keep an

450
00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:32,439
Speaker 1: eye out. It's it's fun bean that in the playoffs scenarios. Yeah, no,

451
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:34,200
Speaker 1: it's totally true, and we did have a story about

452
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:37,560
Speaker 1: that and will update that for this year. What about

453
00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:39,120
Speaker 1: luck rankings? You got anything good? For me this week

454
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 1: with luck rankings, because you guys killed it last week

455
00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 1: with the I haven't seen the luck rankings yet this week,

456
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,280
Speaker 1: but I did cut you off with the about Stucky

457
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:49,520
Speaker 1: in their show. We were talking about the Lions and

458
00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:52,040
Speaker 1: the and the Packers. There were us there against us,

459
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 1: they were with us on the Lions. But also Stucky

460
00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 1: was making the really good point that it might be

461
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:04,560
Speaker 1: worth waiting because you might get a better number later day.

462
00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:07,600
Speaker 1: You probably won't go down against It won't go down

463
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:10,119
Speaker 1: to like, it won't go below four. It could, but

464
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:11,840
Speaker 1: I don't think i'll go blow through and a half, right,

465
00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:13,640
Speaker 1: So you you're if you want to wait, you'll still

466
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:15,560
Speaker 1: get the lines of good number, and you might get

467
00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:18,240
Speaker 1: them at a better number depending on what happens, was

468
00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:21,800
Speaker 1: their point. No update for the lunk rankings yet, So

469
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,000
Speaker 1: the other game the week that you got sharped. I'm

470
00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:25,840
Speaker 1: sorry what I was gonna say about the luck rankings

471
00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:28,159
Speaker 1: those if you've been tracking it, it's as I'm to

472
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:31,119
Speaker 1: keep your eye on for the playoffs because that stuff

473
00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:34,120
Speaker 1: does matter in the playoffs. Like teams you'll see that

474
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:37,640
Speaker 1: like they've not that they that Green Bays turned their luck,

475
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:39,240
Speaker 1: but you've kind of seen that these last couple of weeks.

476
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:40,720
Speaker 1: They were a team that was crazy on lucky if

477
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:43,280
Speaker 1: you followed our charts all season, and these last couple

478
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:45,000
Speaker 1: of weeks, it's kind of regressed back to the meme

479
00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 1: for them where they're getting lucky year. Things are bouncing

480
00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:50,960
Speaker 1: Green Bay's way, so definitely something to follow in the playoffs.

481
00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:54,400
Speaker 1: Check out the luck rankings. Looking to get more out

482
00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 1: of the NFL this season? Well, and that was the

483
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Speaker 1: the money line to touchdown scores too over under yards.

490
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Speaker 1: For example, this week, my favorite bet is Denver plus

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507
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Speaker 1: or text next step to five three three four two

508
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510
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511
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Speaker 1: k S Gambling help dot com in Kansas one eight

512
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513
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514
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:48,200
Speaker 1: in New York, Tennessee. Redline is one eight hundred eight

515
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516
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517
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Speaker 1: One eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. I'm

518
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:03,679
Speaker 1: surprised as you are that people haven't come in on

519
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:08,720
Speaker 1: the Browns given the trends. Mike Tomlin is a favorite,

520
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:14,400
Speaker 1: given how spoiler trend spoiler trend, given that it's divisional

521
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:19,199
Speaker 1: teams the number this division specifically, these games end up

522
00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 1: being the underdogs end up playing really well in these games.

523
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:26,879
Speaker 1: So I'm still comfortable with the Browns. Yeah, And I

524
00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:29,800
Speaker 1: just thought it was interesting where the pros I did

525
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:31,680
Speaker 1: talk to their like us, they've come in on the

526
00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:34,040
Speaker 1: Browns and two and a half coming on too. Some

527
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:36,520
Speaker 1: of them even got threes. I want to touch three

528
00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:38,600
Speaker 1: for a little bit, But I just think two and

529
00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 1: a half is a great number for this game that

530
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:41,600
Speaker 1: we know exactly what's gonna be. It's just gonna be

531
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:44,160
Speaker 1: a close, slug it out game that's gonna come down

532
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:46,840
Speaker 1: to a field goal, and two and a half We've

533
00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:49,480
Speaker 1: seen it plenty of times now. These weird scores these

534
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:53,960
Speaker 1: fourteen thirteens, these uh you know, really random games and

535
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 1: these miss sextra points, so that two and a half

536
00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:58,400
Speaker 1: does matter the fact that they're not getting the three.

537
00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:01,800
Speaker 1: Those kind of telling like it feels like they know

538
00:27:01,880 --> 00:27:03,679
Speaker 1: the big money will come in if they touch us

539
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:05,560
Speaker 1: three again, so they just keep leaving at two two

540
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:09,040
Speaker 1: and a half. One of those where if we were

541
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:10,920
Speaker 1: doing our contest pic this week got guaranteed would be

542
00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:13,280
Speaker 1: one of our five. It's just it's the game I

543
00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:19,320
Speaker 1: really like. It's a spot I really like. And it's

544
00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:22,320
Speaker 1: not that it feels right that Pittsburgh willa make the playoffs,

545
00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:26,440
Speaker 1: but it feels like they are definitely them. Them Them

546
00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:28,160
Speaker 1: are the Patriots get in the seventh seed. They feel

547
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,240
Speaker 1: like I seventh seed teams. They're both teams with tons

548
00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:33,120
Speaker 1: of question marks, that are toughest ship that has good,

549
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:37,000
Speaker 1: really good coaching, right Tomlin Belichick, They'll drag these corps

550
00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:41,400
Speaker 1: of a team across that finish line. Um, It's it's

551
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:43,119
Speaker 1: tough going against Tomin, but I feel like Chad and

552
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,480
Speaker 1: nailed it where it's like we love Tomlin as a dog,

553
00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:49,119
Speaker 1: especially at home. Usually we fade them in these spots

554
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:51,440
Speaker 1: where they're kind of the public darling as a favorite

555
00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:56,320
Speaker 1: playing against a team that no one's really taken. So

556
00:27:56,400 --> 00:28:00,520
Speaker 1: we love the Browns. Let's let's do effects similarly of five,

557
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:05,159
Speaker 1: we love the Browns. Would we would have Titans in

558
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:08,240
Speaker 1: and we could talk about that game again if you want. Yeah, yeah, well,

559
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:09,720
Speaker 1: as I was gonna get I was gonna that was

560
00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 1: gonna be my last one. But let's talk about it now.

561
00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:14,879
Speaker 1: Um it's moved from six and a half to six.

562
00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:19,240
Speaker 1: I'm not uncomfortable betting on Josh Dobbs. I'm not uncomfortable

563
00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 1: betting against the Jags in this spot. For every bad

564
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:28,720
Speaker 1: look that the Titans had against the Cowboys, that's how

565
00:28:28,760 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 1: good the Jags have looked against equally bad teams during

566
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:37,440
Speaker 1: their streak, including they beat the Titans handily on the road,

567
00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:42,800
Speaker 1: but the Titans were really injured and in bad shape defensively.

568
00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 1: I like a six point spread as an underdog for

569
00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:53,280
Speaker 1: Mike Rabel, who covers it a clip as a dog

570
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:55,680
Speaker 1: of three or more in his career. I like a

571
00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:58,240
Speaker 1: team that's now basically took a bye last week and

572
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 1: it's totally healthy. I like Jobs, who was serviceable against

573
00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 1: the Cowboys, having a chance to practice for two weeks

574
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,400
Speaker 1: with the first team. I like this. I like the

575
00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 1: circumstances here. Yeah, it's also that position the Jaguars had

576
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:13,800
Speaker 1: never been in before. This is going to be a

577
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:18,280
Speaker 1: legit playoff game, total playoff field for this this matchup.

578
00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:21,560
Speaker 1: And like you just said that, the label factors so

579
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:23,560
Speaker 1: huched to me, Like I get where people are coming

580
00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 1: from that day. They're not. They haven't been the same

581
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,480
Speaker 1: old Tennessee team these last couple of weeks, right, they

582
00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 1: just they really disappointed, especially Betters, Like I know some

583
00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:35,280
Speaker 1: really smart groups that you know, they've they've they've made

584
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 1: a lot of money off re Able these last couple

585
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:38,960
Speaker 1: of years bent him when the public just kept undervalue

586
00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:42,040
Speaker 1: and him as a coach. And this defense, um me

587
00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:45,120
Speaker 1: and Tannehill was part of that too, right Tannehill, that

588
00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:47,680
Speaker 1: whole run with him and A J. Brown with Derrick Kennry,

589
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:49,280
Speaker 1: that was a nice combo they had for those last

590
00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:51,760
Speaker 1: three years. We saw them a justice here. They really

591
00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:54,680
Speaker 1: didn't have any passing game and they were still covering

592
00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:56,680
Speaker 1: these games. I mean that middle of the season was crazy.

593
00:29:56,880 --> 00:29:58,520
Speaker 1: I'll never forget. I think it was a week two

594
00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 1: they got blown out by Matt Mitchell's Bills. I mean,

595
00:30:01,320 --> 00:30:03,960
Speaker 1: the Bill's steam rolling in a primetime game. To go

596
00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:06,400
Speaker 1: all right Tennessee is a joke, like they're gonna be

597
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:08,760
Speaker 1: bad all year. I think they won seven straight like

598
00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:11,600
Speaker 1: something crazy like that, where Dad's kind of the variabral

599
00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 1: makeup of this team. And here we are sitting again

600
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:16,480
Speaker 1: where they're left for debt. I mean, every probably talked

601
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:17,920
Speaker 1: to they've coming on the seven, that came on the

602
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:20,480
Speaker 1: six and a half, they're coming on the sixth. Just

603
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:22,320
Speaker 1: makes sense. They're gonna be all betting this because I

604
00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:26,120
Speaker 1: feel like Chad nailed it. Like the Jaguars, they're the

605
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 1: ones feeling their pressure. I feel like Tennessee team is

606
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:31,560
Speaker 1: gonna have no pressure here, especially with variable coach of them.

607
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 1: They're just they are that team. And I would say

608
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,000
Speaker 1: if I didn't have such an emotional big bed, I mean,

609
00:30:37,040 --> 00:30:38,920
Speaker 1: we could talk about hedge in our position to here

610
00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:42,200
Speaker 1: um at the end of this. But it's one of

611
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 1: these games where I really do want to take Tennessee's

612
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:47,560
Speaker 1: money line. Like the math works out, it's profitable to

613
00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:50,160
Speaker 1: take Raybele as a dog on the money line. Uh.

614
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:53,280
Speaker 1: He usually wins and covers but I won't do it

615
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:55,000
Speaker 1: because I do think the number is fair where it's

616
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:56,600
Speaker 1: like this should be three and a half. So I'll

617
00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:59,040
Speaker 1: take the number, and I assume the Jacks will went

618
00:30:59,040 --> 00:31:00,800
Speaker 1: by a feelical call that's to have a modeled out

619
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:03,600
Speaker 1: at And the biggest thing is the hedge chat. I

620
00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:06,680
Speaker 1: don't know if you want to talk about that now. Yeah,

621
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:09,560
Speaker 1: this game shout out to our die hard fans have

622
00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:11,720
Speaker 1: believed in it with us the Jaguars, we talked about

623
00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:14,400
Speaker 1: it all year. Only a couple of you guys bet

624
00:31:14,400 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 1: it and I got it. I completely sure where people

625
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,640
Speaker 1: are coming from where it's just well, well, guys will

626
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:21,320
Speaker 1: see it. This offseason, we're gonna talk about teams that

627
00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 1: are gross and it's impossible to really see it because

628
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:26,760
Speaker 1: you're just so tuned into what happened the year before

629
00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:29,360
Speaker 1: and what you happened you saw the year before. But

630
00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:31,840
Speaker 1: it all lined up like we had a second year

631
00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 1: QB the first pick. Overall, we had a new head

632
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:37,000
Speaker 1: coach and a head coach that was light year is

633
00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:39,320
Speaker 1: better than the previous head coach, and a team with

634
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:42,680
Speaker 1: a ton of talent. So do we get lucky as hell?

635
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 1: Did they happen in being the ANFC South. Yes, any

636
00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:47,200
Speaker 1: other division they would have a chance at this point.

637
00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:50,080
Speaker 1: But it was also the crazy part. At the time

638
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:51,640
Speaker 1: we were talking about them at eight to one and

639
00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:54,479
Speaker 1: nine to one to win this division. It was the Colton,

640
00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:57,200
Speaker 1: Tennessee's division. Like you look back now, it's just crazy

641
00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:59,600
Speaker 1: to think how high even like listening back to our show,

642
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:02,560
Speaker 1: how funny it was us talking about Uh not that

643
00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:05,240
Speaker 1: we are respected Colds so much, but we understood why

644
00:32:05,280 --> 00:32:08,160
Speaker 1: people are betting them. Right, they just made sense. And

645
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:12,880
Speaker 1: that ugly, that ugly, ugly dog, that that Jaguars team,

646
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:15,600
Speaker 1: they were just sitting there. Uh so for a hedging.

647
00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:19,080
Speaker 1: This is the dream scenario. Do you guys know exactly

648
00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:20,959
Speaker 1: what a pro does. This is exactly what I'll do.

649
00:32:21,800 --> 00:32:25,560
Speaker 1: I have tons of money invested, but we'll keep it simple, wized. Well,

650
00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:26,960
Speaker 1: just as if I have one unit on it. So

651
00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:29,360
Speaker 1: you have one unit, let's just say eight the one,

652
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:31,200
Speaker 1: or you can do seven and one of people really

653
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:33,600
Speaker 1: want if you've got even worse renumber, but eighth the

654
00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:36,400
Speaker 1: one that makes simpler. So you bet a hundred, you

655
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,560
Speaker 1: win eight hundred, Right, That's how that works. You get

656
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:41,720
Speaker 1: something in that position. Eight the one, the hedging. When

657
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:43,960
Speaker 1: you have a dog like you do with Tennessee, it's

658
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:47,000
Speaker 1: six and a half or six. You can take four

659
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:49,160
Speaker 1: units and put it on the six and you're trying

660
00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:52,760
Speaker 1: to have the dream scenario of the Jaguars win, but

661
00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:55,160
Speaker 1: they win by under six, so you win both bet.

662
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:57,640
Speaker 1: You win them the division, and you win your hedge

663
00:32:57,800 --> 00:33:01,120
Speaker 1: because they cover the number. And I mean all thought

664
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:05,200
Speaker 1: I had the the best hedge I've ever seen ever

665
00:33:05,320 --> 00:33:08,280
Speaker 1: play out was last year's super Bowl. All these pros,

666
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 1: these really smart guys, all had the Rams for the

667
00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 1: super Bowl. They had bet it all year. The super

668
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:17,080
Speaker 1: Bowl came, what they do. They took the four. They

669
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,360
Speaker 1: took the three and a half with the Bengals, So

670
00:33:19,800 --> 00:33:22,680
Speaker 1: right there, they're key. They're already covered on their hedge,

671
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:24,960
Speaker 1: and they won both bets. The Rams went out right

672
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 1: by three. They won their hedge on the Bengals. So

673
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:30,200
Speaker 1: that's what as a pro, I'm doing a bank roll.

674
00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:31,840
Speaker 1: That's what I do. If you're someone that just has

675
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:34,360
Speaker 1: higher risk, you can do nothing. If you think that

676
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:36,239
Speaker 1: Jacks are gonna win, you can do nothing. I just

677
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:38,440
Speaker 1: would at least try to get your money back and

678
00:33:38,440 --> 00:33:40,400
Speaker 1: played safe and maybe put one or two units on

679
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:42,880
Speaker 1: the six and a half with Tennessee, Like, that's just

680
00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:44,720
Speaker 1: an easy way to make sure you get your money

681
00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:48,880
Speaker 1: back in a little profit. Um. But I don't know,

682
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:51,320
Speaker 1: It's I always feel weird telling people exactly to their money,

683
00:33:51,320 --> 00:33:53,760
Speaker 1: but that's what I do. Like I always take the

684
00:33:53,800 --> 00:33:57,000
Speaker 1: middle hedge where I always try to get exactly my

685
00:33:57,120 --> 00:33:59,760
Speaker 1: money back and halfway where it's like, no matter what,

686
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:03,000
Speaker 1: I'm either gonna win twelve units or I'm going to

687
00:34:03,040 --> 00:34:05,959
Speaker 1: win whatever it works out through four units. It's just

688
00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:08,520
Speaker 1: I just try to always play that middle part. I'm

689
00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:11,440
Speaker 1: always gonna get money back instead of let my money run. Uh.

690
00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:15,439
Speaker 1: I'm listening to you, and this is amazing and fascinating,

691
00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:18,080
Speaker 1: And while you were talking about it, I had forgotten

692
00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:22,480
Speaker 1: what I how much money I put on the Jags

693
00:34:22,560 --> 00:34:27,440
Speaker 1: to win the to win the division. So I was

694
00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:32,320
Speaker 1: just checking it and I I happened to put exactly

695
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:35,880
Speaker 1: the same amount on the Jacks to win the division

696
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:37,680
Speaker 1: as I did on the Titans at plus six and

697
00:34:37,680 --> 00:34:43,040
Speaker 1: a half. There you go. Um, But yeah, it's just

698
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:46,080
Speaker 1: I always tell people. The people always say like hedgans

699
00:34:46,120 --> 00:34:49,480
Speaker 1: for losers, for suckers. That's just that's like a stupid

700
00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:52,920
Speaker 1: like be a man kind of phrase where if you're

701
00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:55,480
Speaker 1: you got the money to burn, yeah, don't edge like

702
00:34:55,520 --> 00:34:57,400
Speaker 1: who cares. But if you're like taking this serious, you

703
00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:00,040
Speaker 1: want to learn how to build a bank roll, this

704
00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:02,319
Speaker 1: is it Like you literally are making these bets in

705
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:04,560
Speaker 1: August to set yourself up for a profit down the

706
00:35:04,680 --> 00:35:08,480
Speaker 1: road to build up your bank roll. So um, it's

707
00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:10,279
Speaker 1: just one of those things where we talk all the

708
00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:12,560
Speaker 1: time about taking positions and this is one of them

709
00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 1: that worked out. Now. I don't know if you want

710
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:16,200
Speaker 1: to do it are I'm guessing we're gonna do it

711
00:35:16,200 --> 00:35:18,600
Speaker 1: next Tuesday. We'll do a full recap of that whole

712
00:35:18,600 --> 00:35:20,719
Speaker 1: August show. But yeah, let's get through. We gotta get

713
00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:23,839
Speaker 1: through this regular season, those regular and make sure it's

714
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:27,239
Speaker 1: official official, right because like you know, we had the

715
00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:31,759
Speaker 1: Bears under Jets, so Jets under Lions over those were

716
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 1: the three big ones. I think we'll talk about all

717
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:37,279
Speaker 1: that next week once everything's paid out. I mean like

718
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,200
Speaker 1: two where we went one through seven from the nf

719
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:43,160
Speaker 1: C a f scene like that's through that too. Yeah,

720
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:47,279
Speaker 1: totally bills. It sucks you guys are getting to see

721
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:49,200
Speaker 1: whatever it is if the Chiefs win this week, they

722
00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:51,359
Speaker 1: got the one seed, but they have to let them

723
00:35:51,360 --> 00:35:53,920
Speaker 1: play a neutral site. If it's Bills Chiefs in the

724
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:56,799
Speaker 1: conference championship game, they can't give the Chiefs. To me,

725
00:35:56,800 --> 00:35:58,520
Speaker 1: they couldn't give the Chiefs home field. That just does

726
00:35:58,560 --> 00:36:01,520
Speaker 1: not feel right place first of the Bills. So split

727
00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:03,399
Speaker 1: it down the middle, let them play a neutral site.

728
00:36:03,440 --> 00:36:05,759
Speaker 1: Their fans can go fifty. Whatever it is. Still it up.

729
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:07,960
Speaker 1: That to me is the fairest thing, because, yes, the

730
00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:10,480
Speaker 1: Chiefs earned being the one seed. They played well all year.

731
00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:12,920
Speaker 1: They were in arguably a tougher division, whatever you want

732
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:15,120
Speaker 1: to say. The Bills should not be punished for something

733
00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:17,879
Speaker 1: completely out of their hands. So I've been thinking about

734
00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 1: it all the time because it is the most impossible

735
00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:21,680
Speaker 1: scenario ever. To me, they were never going to play

736
00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:23,719
Speaker 1: that a game every again. Once the Bills flew home,

737
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:26,040
Speaker 1: that was over. That game was over. They're ever gonna

738
00:36:26,040 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 1: play that a game. But hopefully since he wins this week,

739
00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:31,240
Speaker 1: whatever it may be, so they can get that three seed.

740
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:33,880
Speaker 1: The Bills get the two seed, Chiefs get the one seed,

741
00:36:34,320 --> 00:36:36,319
Speaker 1: let them play on neutral field if they both make it.

742
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:39,040
Speaker 1: If not, if the Bills lose, they stumble and they're

743
00:36:39,040 --> 00:36:41,520
Speaker 1: not in the conference championship. Yes, Chiefs can be the

744
00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:43,640
Speaker 1: home team, but I do believe that's the only fair

745
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:46,080
Speaker 1: away where it's like it's such an out of this

746
00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:49,120
Speaker 1: world experience. There's no book on what to do here.

747
00:36:49,719 --> 00:36:51,799
Speaker 1: That just seems fair. Give them a neutral site. They

748
00:36:51,840 --> 00:36:54,520
Speaker 1: both deserved that. They're both the two best teams in

749
00:36:54,560 --> 00:36:56,840
Speaker 1: the a f C. Can we talk about the Rams

750
00:36:56,840 --> 00:37:00,480
Speaker 1: for a second. Yeah, the game, we haven't choice and

751
00:37:00,560 --> 00:37:02,799
Speaker 1: we have to bet. We have to bet the Rams. Yeah,

752
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:06,040
Speaker 1: we don't like it lines up with every scenario that

753
00:37:06,160 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 1: linds up with teams that have been blown out being

754
00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:10,640
Speaker 1: under valued. It linds up with teams that had a

755
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,839
Speaker 1: big win being overvalued at and saw team good one

756
00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:15,799
Speaker 1: week bad the next good one. We wind up with

757
00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:20,160
Speaker 1: teams potentially being eliminated versus teams that are already out. Like,

758
00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:23,200
Speaker 1: there's just no reason not to bet the Rams here.

759
00:37:23,680 --> 00:37:26,919
Speaker 1: I ate it. We can't can't help it. I mean,

760
00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:28,799
Speaker 1: it's makes me feel a little better than knowing the

761
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:30,879
Speaker 1: numbers moved and moved up the six and a half

762
00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:32,360
Speaker 1: down to six, which is like all right, good at

763
00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:34,719
Speaker 1: least at least the pros are bending with us. Because

764
00:37:34,719 --> 00:37:36,040
Speaker 1: it was a little spooky that were i was just

765
00:37:36,040 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 1: sitting there at six and a half, I'm like, why

766
00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:40,319
Speaker 1: is this number not moving? Like that's the same thing

767
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:42,680
Speaker 1: of the Tennessee. It's like these numbers feel inflated just

768
00:37:42,719 --> 00:37:45,600
Speaker 1: because of what happened last week. We're buying the value.

769
00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:48,319
Speaker 1: It's just can me and Chad know the RAMS guys

770
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:50,480
Speaker 1: have all booked their vacation. They're completely gonna quit on

771
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:52,799
Speaker 1: this game. No, we can't, but we know the math

772
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:57,759
Speaker 1: works out now spoiler. This is a spoiler game. The

773
00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:00,600
Speaker 1: visional rivalry can't help it. Chat Like you said, we

774
00:38:00,640 --> 00:38:02,480
Speaker 1: cannot help, but we have to bet the six and

775
00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:04,319
Speaker 1: a half. It was contest six and a half, I'd

776
00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:09,160
Speaker 1: bet it six my pause, but I'm still been that Like, personally,

777
00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:12,040
Speaker 1: I'm still take the six, but for contest plays, I'd

778
00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:13,759
Speaker 1: want that half. I want that six and a half.

779
00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:22,480
Speaker 1: This is likely big balls better the week. Really is

780
00:38:22,520 --> 00:38:25,840
Speaker 1: this or one other game that is on my mind?

781
00:38:26,280 --> 00:38:28,879
Speaker 1: Let's say we've got four games we've decided on right now,

782
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:32,320
Speaker 1: Brown's at the lines that currently exist, Brown's two and

783
00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:34,840
Speaker 1: a half, Tighten six Rams six and a half lines

784
00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:37,240
Speaker 1: four and a half. Do you feel good about those

785
00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:39,880
Speaker 1: I thought are big ball is gonna be the Saints.

786
00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:43,920
Speaker 1: I was gonna make me sick. I was going to

787
00:38:44,000 --> 00:38:48,160
Speaker 1: recommend the Rams with the Cardinals, all right, if I

788
00:38:48,200 --> 00:38:54,480
Speaker 1: had to pick Rams. Nobody wants to bet the Rams,

789
00:38:55,080 --> 00:38:57,640
Speaker 1: That's true. Nobody in the public does, whise guys do.

790
00:38:58,320 --> 00:39:00,640
Speaker 1: But like to me, the Saints are of us. Feel

791
00:39:00,680 --> 00:39:03,600
Speaker 1: strongly about the Saints like I leaned Panthers, and you know,

792
00:39:03,600 --> 00:39:05,160
Speaker 1: I feel like that's why it's the play where it's

793
00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:07,440
Speaker 1: like I just didn't really do that one as a

794
00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:09,239
Speaker 1: great one, but it's like the more I'm thinking about

795
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:11,200
Speaker 1: it's just like, man, that that's gonna take. It feels

796
00:39:11,200 --> 00:39:12,640
Speaker 1: like the Bucks last week. It takes balls to go

797
00:39:12,680 --> 00:39:16,359
Speaker 1: against Carolina as a dog. Carolina is a good team.

798
00:39:16,440 --> 00:39:18,080
Speaker 1: It takes more balls to bet on the Rams at

799
00:39:18,080 --> 00:39:22,520
Speaker 1: six and a half after what agree with them plus

800
00:39:22,560 --> 00:39:24,800
Speaker 1: six and a half and you're right, Denver is already

801
00:39:24,800 --> 00:39:27,840
Speaker 1: shifted to minus two. Now, yeah, I mean that lines.

802
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:31,640
Speaker 1: You know, it was running down increased juice at fan

803
00:39:31,719 --> 00:39:35,040
Speaker 1: duel at two and a half, So to be honest,

804
00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:38,719
Speaker 1: at two and a half with the increased juice, I

805
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:43,000
Speaker 1: didn't bet it. I decided you know what. I'm on

806
00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:47,600
Speaker 1: the Broncos, riding with the Broncos. That's right, Broncos. That's

807
00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:50,680
Speaker 1: just a great number of Herbert does play. I know,

808
00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:55,040
Speaker 1: I know, I might have missed. I might have missed.

809
00:39:55,080 --> 00:39:57,680
Speaker 1: I don't know. It's sometimes it's so complicated, Simon, what

810
00:39:57,719 --> 00:39:59,719
Speaker 1: do we think about? We need to pick a fifth game.

811
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:03,359
Speaker 1: I promised the fans I wouldn't do the Colts had

812
00:40:03,360 --> 00:40:06,319
Speaker 1: too many complaints. I won't do it. I won't do

813
00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:07,440
Speaker 1: and that was one of those other things they make

814
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:09,760
Speaker 1: our big balls. But I'm not doing it. People relax.

815
00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:11,839
Speaker 1: People just got really upset there, like but they've quit.

816
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:15,160
Speaker 1: I know, I've said they quit and we won't do it.

817
00:40:14,960 --> 00:40:18,080
Speaker 1: It's painful though, because I do love the Colts. But

818
00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:21,239
Speaker 1: we'll stay away. We'll stay away. I think we got

819
00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:24,600
Speaker 1: to do one of the two big spread games, either

820
00:40:24,640 --> 00:40:29,439
Speaker 1: the Giants Eagles or the Cardinals Miners or the sam

821
00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:34,320
Speaker 1: how Led Commanders. Couldn't run away faster from that game

822
00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 1: because I was like, I loved I love them especially

823
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:39,480
Speaker 1: it's gonna be anarchy. But even when I heard they

824
00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:41,480
Speaker 1: were gonna do like a back and forth, like he'll

825
00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:43,360
Speaker 1: play a couple of snaps and Sam was gonna come in.

826
00:40:43,440 --> 00:40:46,000
Speaker 1: I I basically bought out positions the five and a half.

827
00:40:46,080 --> 00:40:48,600
Speaker 1: I was just like, there's no way I'm letting them

828
00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:51,480
Speaker 1: screw around with Dallas. They want that game, like I I.

829
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:53,440
Speaker 1: The more I read it seems like Dallas is like

830
00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:55,360
Speaker 1: really actually playing that game straight where they want to

831
00:40:55,400 --> 00:40:57,400
Speaker 1: win it because they still think they can get that

832
00:40:57,440 --> 00:40:59,359
Speaker 1: one seed. So we're not the one seed, but win

833
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:05,319
Speaker 1: the division um Giants or Arizona because it is a

834
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:09,840
Speaker 1: coin flip. I mean, I truthfully, I've only bet Arizona.

835
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:11,960
Speaker 1: I haven't bet the Giants yet, so I don't feel

836
00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:14,840
Speaker 1: great about either. I'll be honest, Like the Giants, I

837
00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:17,040
Speaker 1: feel great about the money line because I do think

838
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:20,800
Speaker 1: they could try to play spoiler. But it's also the

839
00:41:20,880 --> 00:41:23,040
Speaker 1: fear of they really are going to sit everyone, and

840
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:28,160
Speaker 1: it's all everyone. You know, they might already be prepping

841
00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:30,360
Speaker 1: for the Vikings, or they know that they're going to

842
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:32,279
Speaker 1: be facing or they're gonna be facing the Eagles, so

843
00:41:32,280 --> 00:41:34,840
Speaker 1: why show them anything? And there's no Hopkins, let you

844
00:41:34,880 --> 00:41:40,600
Speaker 1: know that, right for Arizona, Hopkins is sitting now. Fourteen

845
00:41:40,719 --> 00:41:42,920
Speaker 1: is a big number. It's too big of a number

846
00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:48,200
Speaker 1: in the NFL. That's the Cardinals. Cardinals. There, we got it.

847
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:49,600
Speaker 1: I guess it's the last week of the year and

848
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:53,439
Speaker 1: this is just a massive number. When do you see

849
00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:59,080
Speaker 1: a fourteen points bread? It feels different with the Giants

850
00:41:59,080 --> 00:42:02,759
Speaker 1: than with the Cardinals. Cardinals can let it all fly, right,

851
00:42:03,239 --> 00:42:08,239
Speaker 1: and whereas like the the Giants have reason to hold back.

852
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:11,480
Speaker 1: All Right, I'll be talking because, like I said, I've

853
00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:13,279
Speaker 1: already bet the Cardinals. I took because I didn't think

854
00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:14,960
Speaker 1: it was gonna come down. I'm with you. I think

855
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:18,200
Speaker 1: the fourteen's egregious like this, this should be closer at

856
00:42:18,200 --> 00:42:21,960
Speaker 1: twelve and a half. Thirteen. Um, just a little nerve

857
00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:23,600
Speaker 1: wracking has a moved. It just shows you that the

858
00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:28,000
Speaker 1: pros are kind of avoiding these big gas spreads. I guess, um.

859
00:42:28,040 --> 00:42:29,640
Speaker 1: I know one smart group that came in on the

860
00:42:29,640 --> 00:42:33,600
Speaker 1: Eagles at thirteen and thirteen and a half. But that's it, Like,

861
00:42:33,640 --> 00:42:36,560
Speaker 1: I don't know anyone else that's bet these games. Really. Um,

862
00:42:36,600 --> 00:42:38,839
Speaker 1: but I'll take I'll take you with the fourteen with you, child,

863
00:42:38,840 --> 00:42:41,279
Speaker 1: I'm gonna put that down. Let's do it. Let's do it.

864
00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:46,040
Speaker 1: So what five you have more? One more thing? You

865
00:42:46,120 --> 00:42:52,760
Speaker 1: brought up the player incentives betting on those props. Action

866
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,560
Speaker 1: Network is working on the story right now. Should be

867
00:42:55,640 --> 00:42:58,560
Speaker 1: up by the end of the day. Uh, there's multiple

868
00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:03,360
Speaker 1: people working on it. I am told in Rio time,

869
00:43:04,000 --> 00:43:07,600
Speaker 1: so uh quick up. I just got a message from

870
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:10,280
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell about a couple of listeners took the Bears

871
00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:12,960
Speaker 1: the first half. I gave out. Yeah, please buy out.

872
00:43:13,239 --> 00:43:17,440
Speaker 1: I refused to have money on Nathan Peterman. Uh, I'll

873
00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:18,960
Speaker 1: buy it, and I think a bad number two. I

874
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:21,400
Speaker 1: think I took like, uh four and a half or

875
00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:24,120
Speaker 1: four with the Vikings was obviously the line of move

876
00:43:24,200 --> 00:43:26,960
Speaker 1: once the Peterman news came out. But yeah, completely bought

877
00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:28,719
Speaker 1: out of that position. It's a dead bet. I mean,

878
00:43:28,760 --> 00:43:30,200
Speaker 1: I try to get advantage. I thought it was gonna

879
00:43:30,200 --> 00:43:32,520
Speaker 1: be justin Fields obviously when that news came out of

880
00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:35,680
Speaker 1: wasn't him the line moved. I can't do it, can't

881
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:38,759
Speaker 1: cannot bet on Peterman even a first half bet. So yeah,

882
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:40,600
Speaker 1: if you, if you took it, I buy out already

883
00:43:40,600 --> 00:43:44,480
Speaker 1: did are five right now? Brown's plus two and a half,

884
00:43:44,520 --> 00:43:47,920
Speaker 1: Titans plus six Rons, plus six and a half Lions

885
00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:52,800
Speaker 1: plus four and a half Cards plus fourteen foxhol Brown's

886
00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:55,040
Speaker 1: plus two and a half Titans plus six and a

887
00:43:55,040 --> 00:43:59,879
Speaker 1: half exactly it is, Simon says, exact decision. Broncos plus

888
00:43:59,880 --> 00:44:03,920
Speaker 1: three and a half chose that on Tuesday, Big Balls

889
00:44:04,040 --> 00:44:07,760
Speaker 1: Rams six and a half. Scoot Roulette. It all comes

890
00:44:07,800 --> 00:44:12,360
Speaker 1: down to this week reminder. Some people ask me on

891
00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:15,200
Speaker 1: Twitter sometimes, can you explain the concept of scoot Roulette.

892
00:44:15,640 --> 00:44:20,960
Speaker 1: Bob Scucci, longtime Las Vegas casino executive. I've known the

893
00:44:20,960 --> 00:44:22,799
Speaker 1: guy for twenty five years. I wrote a book called

894
00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:26,600
Speaker 1: The Odds in about guys who bet on sports for

895
00:44:26,600 --> 00:44:29,319
Speaker 1: a living. I spent six months in Vegas, was with

896
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:32,680
Speaker 1: professional betters and with bookmakers. They were all sort of

897
00:44:32,680 --> 00:44:36,080
Speaker 1: trying to beat each other in a game. And one

898
00:44:36,080 --> 00:44:38,719
Speaker 1: of the bookmakers who I profiled was Bob Scucci, who

899
00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:41,359
Speaker 1: was one of the bookmakers at the Stardust Hotel, which

900
00:44:41,400 --> 00:44:44,000
Speaker 1: was the place making all the lines at the time

901
00:44:44,120 --> 00:44:46,680
Speaker 1: pre sort of internet days, right when the Internet was

902
00:44:47,120 --> 00:44:50,239
Speaker 1: becoming a thing. Uh Scooch then came on and was

903
00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:52,560
Speaker 1: with me on the podcast at DESPN for years. On

904
00:44:52,640 --> 00:44:55,919
Speaker 1: the podcast here he got elevated into bigger jobs. Wasn't

905
00:44:55,960 --> 00:44:59,360
Speaker 1: really following week to week what's happening in the lines anymore,

906
00:44:59,760 --> 00:45:01,319
Speaker 1: but he and I played a game every week called

907
00:45:01,320 --> 00:45:03,319
Speaker 1: scoot Roulette, where he picked the game and I picked

908
00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:06,160
Speaker 1: a game. He went head to head Simon and I

909
00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:09,200
Speaker 1: have brought that back to honor Bob Scucci and his

910
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:12,160
Speaker 1: contributions to the world of sports betting. So we go

911
00:45:12,239 --> 00:45:15,400
Speaker 1: head to head all we all season long, one game

912
00:45:16,440 --> 00:45:19,440
Speaker 1: when all hope is lost, all that's left is relief.

913
00:45:21,239 --> 00:45:26,759
Speaker 1: Let's play scoots Roulette, Simon. I think I won last week.

914
00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:30,640
Speaker 1: He did, so I get to choose first, and I

915
00:45:30,680 --> 00:45:33,680
Speaker 1: think we're tied. We are. This is for for all

916
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:36,640
Speaker 1: the morables unless we keep going playoffs. It's all the

917
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:41,120
Speaker 1: marbles right here. I am gonna go with Jesus Christ.

918
00:45:42,320 --> 00:45:46,319
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna go with I can't believe I'm

919
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:48,000
Speaker 1: saying this, but I look at this and feel like

920
00:45:48,080 --> 00:45:51,520
Speaker 1: the best value best in it. I'm going with the

921
00:45:51,520 --> 00:45:55,120
Speaker 1: Browns plus two and a half. That's smart, I'll go.

922
00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:57,560
Speaker 1: I'll go with our team Tennessee give me plus six.

923
00:45:59,800 --> 00:46:02,520
Speaker 1: I came down too. I came down to the Browns

924
00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:06,719
Speaker 1: and the Rams. Yeah. I just I just knew coming

925
00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:08,000
Speaker 1: in this week that she was gonna be want my

926
00:46:08,040 --> 00:46:12,920
Speaker 1: bigger bets. It's just that's I can't help it. It's

927
00:46:13,000 --> 00:46:15,640
Speaker 1: it's it's nothing personal, Jaguars. I love you guys, but

928
00:46:16,520 --> 00:46:20,760
Speaker 1: it's a good number. Alrighty, we did miss uh Tampa

929
00:46:20,760 --> 00:46:23,040
Speaker 1: Bay in Atlanta on Tuesday. Someone pointed that out on

930
00:46:23,040 --> 00:46:28,080
Speaker 1: Twitter as well. I sometimes I'm looking at the schedule

931
00:46:28,280 --> 00:46:31,040
Speaker 1: on my screen and in the app, and sometimes they

932
00:46:31,080 --> 00:46:33,439
Speaker 1: don't line up, and I think I missed the game.

933
00:46:33,760 --> 00:46:35,440
Speaker 1: I was gonna say, I had already been up at

934
00:46:35,440 --> 00:46:37,160
Speaker 1: that point for eighteen hours, and Chad usually goes to

935
00:46:37,200 --> 00:46:39,400
Speaker 1: bet at eight, So that was the late show for

936
00:46:39,440 --> 00:46:43,000
Speaker 1: the boys. Exactly. We were way off on that day.

937
00:46:44,360 --> 00:46:45,879
Speaker 1: I had to go back and listen because I didn't

938
00:46:45,880 --> 00:46:47,719
Speaker 1: remember a thing I said on that show. It was

939
00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:51,000
Speaker 1: the right time that happens. Yeah, I was. I think

940
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:53,400
Speaker 1: I was asleep midway through the fact that I've already

941
00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:56,919
Speaker 1: don't know, probably close to k now run out bet

942
00:46:57,080 --> 00:47:00,280
Speaker 1: on Atlanta for most of these guys. So they're like it, Alanna,

943
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:02,120
Speaker 1: I'll take Atlanta with them, and just it makes sense

944
00:47:02,120 --> 00:47:04,279
Speaker 1: where they're coming from, right Atlanta. They have a bunch

945
00:47:04,280 --> 00:47:07,200
Speaker 1: of guys or try hards. They're gonna play their starters.

946
00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:10,560
Speaker 1: We expect Tampa not to play that many starters, then

947
00:47:10,560 --> 00:47:13,000
Speaker 1: the rest they rest a couple of key guys in

948
00:47:13,040 --> 00:47:14,640
Speaker 1: their defense at Lanta will be able to run it

949
00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:17,640
Speaker 1: all over them like a Lanna. Still still business usual

950
00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:19,560
Speaker 1: for this Falcons team. So I kind of wanted to

951
00:47:19,560 --> 00:47:21,000
Speaker 1: stay away from it because I was so pissed with

952
00:47:21,040 --> 00:47:23,680
Speaker 1: them for burn us last week. But I gotta move on.

953
00:47:23,800 --> 00:47:26,200
Speaker 1: It's a new week. Atlanta is the right side, so

954
00:47:26,520 --> 00:47:28,239
Speaker 1: it won't be one of my five bigger bets, but

955
00:47:28,280 --> 00:47:30,160
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna follow the pros in be Atlanta. Here.

956
00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:40,200
Speaker 1: My dog, your dog, your dog blocks dog round Robin

957
00:47:39,880 --> 00:47:44,480
Speaker 1: Robin every time Evan Evan tweets out. It's been historically horrible.

958
00:47:44,520 --> 00:47:47,440
Speaker 1: Now for nine weeks, been in the underdogs money line

959
00:47:48,080 --> 00:47:50,600
Speaker 1: who we're still doing these with us? It's been brutal.

960
00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:53,080
Speaker 1: We just keep getting these games too. Were like leading

961
00:47:53,080 --> 00:47:54,879
Speaker 1: with these dogs all game and they'll just lose at

962
00:47:54,880 --> 00:47:57,319
Speaker 1: the very end, so we still cover, but it's not

963
00:47:57,320 --> 00:47:59,959
Speaker 1: helping our money line around. Robins out at all. Four

964
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,359
Speaker 1: of the games I would take are the ones we

965
00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:08,640
Speaker 1: bet like Brown's Titans, Rams, Lions. I agree with all

966
00:48:08,680 --> 00:48:12,200
Speaker 1: of them. The long star, freeing Chicago Bear fans, Let's

967
00:48:12,200 --> 00:48:14,759
Speaker 1: throw at Houston in there. The Bears can get the

968
00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:16,960
Speaker 1: number one pick the Texans. I think you have to

969
00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:20,359
Speaker 1: lose Texans. If Texans win, you guys lose, you get

970
00:48:20,400 --> 00:48:22,319
Speaker 1: the number one pick. Their two and thirteen and one.

971
00:48:22,480 --> 00:48:24,480
Speaker 1: You guys are three and thirteen, so they would be

972
00:48:24,560 --> 00:48:27,320
Speaker 1: they would have whatever half a win more than you guys.

973
00:48:27,360 --> 00:48:29,960
Speaker 1: So yeah, exactly, we'll do that for Chad. Then we'll

974
00:48:29,960 --> 00:48:40,960
Speaker 1: throw in Houston Houston fans. Houston Brown's Titans, Rams Lions

975
00:48:41,680 --> 00:48:45,640
Speaker 1: are the five for the money line round Robin Para.

976
00:48:46,560 --> 00:48:49,080
Speaker 1: I love it, and if you hate, you hate that.

977
00:48:49,920 --> 00:48:52,640
Speaker 1: The Houston pick the Rams one like Chad was saying,

978
00:48:52,800 --> 00:48:57,000
Speaker 1: I love that one. All right, Browns are the foxhold

979
00:48:57,000 --> 00:49:00,320
Speaker 1: at plus two and a half. Simon says, is Titans

980
00:49:00,360 --> 00:49:03,839
Speaker 1: plus six and a half. Exact decision. Remember we said

981
00:49:03,840 --> 00:49:06,400
Speaker 1: it on Tuesday, so we ld Browns plus three and

982
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 1: a half. That line is now Brown's minus two big Balls,

983
00:49:10,840 --> 00:49:15,600
Speaker 1: Rams plus six and a half. Scoot Roulette Titans plus six,

984
00:49:16,160 --> 00:49:18,760
Speaker 1: Browns plus two and a half. Simon likes the Titans,

985
00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:27,200
Speaker 1: Chad likes the Browns. Money lying around Robin Texans, Brown's Titans,

986
00:49:28,360 --> 00:49:33,719
Speaker 1: Rams Lions. We're good to go. This has been the

987
00:49:33,760 --> 00:49:37,760
Speaker 1: favorite podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Melman.

988
00:49:37,840 --> 00:49:40,799
Speaker 1: He is Sun and Hunter producers Matt Mitchell. Download us

989
00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:44,520
Speaker 1: from Apple podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you get your podcast,

990
00:49:44,640 --> 00:49:46,759
Speaker 1: rate reviews, subscribe and leave us five stars. Say whatever

991
00:49:46,760 --> 00:49:48,879
Speaker 1: you want, feedback as a gift. Listen all the way

992
00:49:48,880 --> 00:50:02,120
Speaker 1: through until next time. I Love You. Action Network reminds

993
00:50:02,120 --> 00:50:05,960
Speaker 1: you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care

994
00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:09,160
Speaker 1: about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four

995
00:50:09,239 --> 00:50:11,160
Speaker 1: seven at eight hundred Gambler