Speaker 1: Backing up the truck, let's play ball. Welcome in everybody
Speaker 1: to fantasy pros. This is leading off, brought to you
Speaker 1: by bet MGM, the King of sportsbooks. It's me, Joey
Speaker 1: pa Joe Pisifa with me is the Welsh, and of
Speaker 1: course it's you and we have baseball back today. Not
Speaker 1: a lot of games, but we do have some for
Speaker 1: those of you who are just jones and for some action.
Speaker 1: We also have some trade talk to discuss some interesting
Speaker 1: proposals that have put out there theoretically for Juan Soto.
Speaker 1: And we're also gonna take a deep dive into the
Speaker 1: betting market today, so in case your fantasy teams have
Speaker 1: not gone the way you had hoped, maybe you can
Speaker 1: make up some of that money in the futures market
Speaker 1: with some of these teams that we're gonna talk about
Speaker 1: today and some of these odds. So it's gonna be
Speaker 1: a little bit heavy on the betting today, but also Welsh.
Speaker 1: I think that's always fun because I think now we
Speaker 1: know who teams really are, who they're not, and maybe
Speaker 1: who is set up for a good run As we
Speaker 1: look ahead to the real playoffs of baseball coming in
Speaker 1: the next two months now.
Speaker 2: It'll be interesting too to see how all the books
Speaker 2: are going to be readjusting in the second half, because
Speaker 2: there's like a really good movement in their favor on
Speaker 2: the second half of the first half. You know, in
Speaker 2: the beginning kind of had an advantage on total prop
Speaker 2: strikeout props are really good first fives, and then as
Speaker 2: we've gone on, everything has really really tightened up. It'll
Speaker 2: be interesting to see how they're going to adjust in
Speaker 2: the second half. And as the chat said, just because
Speaker 2: we're talking about gambling, this second half is where we
Speaker 2: all win championships. This is where the championship run truly
Speaker 2: truly begins.
Speaker 1: Yes, that's right, it's how you finish, not how you start.
Speaker 1: That's what I've been told. Oh well, I don't know
Speaker 1: if that's true. I mean, who knows. All right, let's
Speaker 1: get after it. Let's talk about some of the headlines here,
Speaker 1: and let's start with the very top, which is good
Speaker 1: news for Seattle that George Kirby expected to rejoin the
Speaker 1: rotation on Tuesday. Jordan or jor Don Alvarez Just Alvarez
Speaker 1: is expected to also return today, so that's very good news.
Speaker 1: A lot of circulation going on too. About Michael Confordo,
Speaker 1: who's been a free agent all year. Now that the
Speaker 1: draft is over, he's free to sign somewhere. Do you
Speaker 1: think Michael Confordo hooks up with a major league team here?
Speaker 1: I say somebody does give him a contract and tries
Speaker 1: to bring him up either as a you know, outfield
Speaker 1: extra bat or DH kind of guy. I would think
Speaker 1: he signed somewhere here in the second half. What do
Speaker 1: you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have no doubt about it. This was the
Speaker 2: play where he's like, I'm gonna set out for the year.
Speaker 2: There's nothing out there for me. Now you're in a
Speaker 2: spot where teams are going to be looking for bats
Speaker 2: dealing with injuries, and this was a Yeah.
Speaker 3: I mean, he definitely.
Speaker 2: Struggled last year, but still put up fourteen homers, fifty
Speaker 2: to fifty on the run and RBI. But he's only
Speaker 2: a couple of years removed from a thirty homer season,
Speaker 2: so we have to see. I think I don't know
Speaker 2: how aggressive it is. I think I think Boris is
Speaker 2: the agent, and Boris has just been on you know,
Speaker 2: just boom boom boom, like, hey, the Nationals didn't have
Speaker 2: Soto on a flight.
Speaker 3: Isn't that horrible. Isn't that crazy? Rookies?
Speaker 2: I mean there, he's just out there selling left and right,
Speaker 2: maybe the hardest working man in baseball, even though he
Speaker 2: might be one of.
Speaker 3: The most hated.
Speaker 2: So yeah, Canforto's being sold out there. But I don't
Speaker 2: know how many teams are really looking at this moment.
Speaker 2: I feel like he's going to be a post trade
Speaker 2: deadline guy, like maybe you know, August tenth or something
Speaker 2: like that. So if you want him preemptively pick up,
Speaker 2: especially if he goes to a nice spot.
Speaker 1: And yes, I see in the chat people are talking
Speaker 1: about it. So we have to address the elephant in
Speaker 1: the room, which is my David Bowie space oddity light
Speaker 1: is back and here to stay and night. That's right, bag.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, well maybe you know, maybe it should be
Speaker 1: more of the berry white stuff. It could be little
Speaker 1: Teddy Pettigrass. Maybe start playing some of that that do
Speaker 1: is gonna be good times. This is why yo. What's
Speaker 1: up everybody? It's me Joey p Oh yeah. All right.
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at some other news here. Mitch
Speaker 1: Hanniger beginning his rehab assignment. So that's another huge piece
Speaker 1: for Seattle. I think we forgot about Mitch. I know
Speaker 1: I do. So you know, Seattle's make it a run here.
Speaker 1: I think Seattle's going to be an aggressive team in
Speaker 1: the next two weeks here. Do you agree with that
Speaker 1: that Seattle's going to do something else they feel like
Speaker 1: they are.
Speaker 3: They should be, they have to be.
Speaker 2: I think they need to really hit the rotation. You know,
Speaker 2: it's funny you mentioned that with Hanneger because for me,
Speaker 2: he's one of those guys. Every time I read you know,
Speaker 2: I'm like readoing my rest of season ranks, I'm like,
Speaker 2: dang it, what do I do with him? Because when
Speaker 2: he comes back, there's like a thirty forty homer guy
Speaker 2: that is he coming back?
Speaker 3: When is he coming back? So I'm always just playing
Speaker 3: around with that.
Speaker 2: This is going to be an influx to the roster,
Speaker 2: you know, that can be able to put in at
Speaker 2: that like you know, four or five six slot, big,
Speaker 2: big home run power, and I think it's going to
Speaker 2: be one of those things when you look at the record,
Speaker 2: you look at you know, how they ended out the
Speaker 2: first half and the you know, simple small needs that
Speaker 2: this team might have. Yeah, I think they need to
Speaker 2: be aggressive, but you know, my eyes the aggressiveness is
Speaker 2: still in the pitching market. Go get the Frankie Montas,
Speaker 2: Go get the Luis Castillo, Go get one of those
Speaker 2: guys to show out your rotation. You get a I
Speaker 2: don't know, maybe try to get one of those cheap
Speaker 2: closers to put in there.
Speaker 3: The offense seems decent.
Speaker 2: I just don't know how much offense they make, but
Speaker 2: I would love to see them be hyper hyper aggressive.
Speaker 2: I've seen people trying to associate them with the Soto stuff,
Speaker 2: and I don't think.
Speaker 1: So we'll get to that package that they want to
Speaker 1: put out there, which is it's interesting, it's but you know,
Speaker 1: it involves Jared kell Nick. So once again, I don't
Speaker 1: know if that's the cornerstone piece that you want to
Speaker 1: build a SODO trade around. If you're the Washington Nationals,
Speaker 1: I don't think you do. That's the problem there. The
Speaker 1: Diamondbacks don't want to build a rotation anymore around Dallas
Speaker 1: Kaikeel He was debayed for the second time this year.
Speaker 1: How many times you have to be dfad before you
Speaker 1: take the hint and say, you know, maybe I'm done here,
Speaker 1: Maybe maybe I should just go home sit on a
Speaker 1: pile of money, because he's got that and just chill
Speaker 1: like I mean, I respect the guy wants to pitch still,
Speaker 1: but clearly nobody wants him to pitch for them.
Speaker 3: Go hang out with Kelly Nash, I girlfriend, So go
Speaker 3: hang with Kelly. I don't know.
Speaker 2: I think it's gonna I would say for somebody that
Speaker 2: was designated by the White Sox that then went to
Speaker 2: the Diamondbacks, that's someone who's showing themselves they're not ready
Speaker 2: to stop baseball. That he went down that road. He
Speaker 2: pitched like three games in Complex League until he got
Speaker 2: called up.
Speaker 3: I would love, I would.
Speaker 2: I don't know what the record is for being designated
Speaker 2: for assignment. We know that was Edward Oliveris, who was
Speaker 2: optioned like eleven times in a season or whatever.
Speaker 3: I'd like to see him get designated.
Speaker 2: A couple more times, if I'm being honesty, like a
Speaker 2: bunch of jerseys this year. So I hope, you know,
Speaker 2: I hope Seattle picks him up. He has one half
Speaker 2: of an inning start, he's designated, let's go for the record.
Speaker 3: Let's do it.
Speaker 1: By the way, everybody uh really enjoying this whole new intro.
Speaker 1: Apparently that that new heyo should be the lead into
Speaker 1: all the podcasts, and I knew I loved busirisig Is.
Speaker 1: He's more of a Joeasye guy, me too, Come and
Speaker 1: talk to me. I really want to know your name.
Speaker 1: That's that's that's the height of.
Speaker 3: The one relationship.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's no, that's that's that's not jodasy that's that's
Speaker 1: I don't remember genre.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know. Yeah, that's I mean, I remember
Speaker 3: nineties hipp it just nothing.
Speaker 1: I could talk about nineties R and B all day long,
Speaker 1: but that's another part. Let's instead talk about the NATS
Speaker 1: and what they want for one sodo possibly. Now, just
Speaker 1: to point this out there, I went and I did
Speaker 1: a little spot tracking, because I do love the spot track.
Speaker 1: If you are going to take on a contract, here's
Speaker 1: what is allowed basically left and remaining on Patrick Korb
Speaker 1: and he's got a year twenty four and a year
Speaker 1: at thirty five. So that's not like ridiculous sixty million dollars. Okay,
Speaker 1: that's a lot, but not compared to Steven Strosburg. Steven
Speaker 1: Strosburg has Welsh one hundred and forty million dollars remaining
Speaker 1: and several more years. He's got this year and then
Speaker 1: all the way till twenty twenty six, and then he's
Speaker 1: a free agent in twenty twenty seven. So it's total
Speaker 1: of one hundred and forty million or sixty million. Huge
Speaker 1: chasm there.
Speaker 2: Can they offer him a stake in the like organization
Speaker 2: to get rid of that contract or something they should
Speaker 2: do whatever they can't there is no but no.
Speaker 1: One's taking that. I'm just telling you right now. In hell,
Speaker 1: nobody is taking the Strasbourg contract, the Corbyn contract with SODO.
Speaker 1: If you take the Corbyn contract, I think they will
Speaker 1: take lesser prospects. I really do. But that's or not
Speaker 1: as maybe just take the one and then a couple
Speaker 1: of answer. They're not gonna You don't have to back
Speaker 1: up the truck and take Corbyn with SODO. I don't
Speaker 1: think that's necessary. But nobody's taking the Strasburg contract.
Speaker 2: And that's the thing that I think people need to
Speaker 2: come to terms with. The rumor out there was like
Speaker 2: the Nationals are gonna want the top four prospects, a
Speaker 2: major league ready player and I don't even know what
Speaker 2: the other thing was, and you're just not gonna get
Speaker 2: the package that everybody expects.
Speaker 3: If Corbyn is involved.
Speaker 2: That's a lot of sixty million dollars it's gonna be involved,
Speaker 2: plus what's gonna have to be spent with what is
Speaker 2: most likely no guarantee at a big contract.
Speaker 3: There's a very good likelihood of what's.
Speaker 2: Being talked about out here is Soto wants to hit
Speaker 2: free agency. And see it now, if you build a
Speaker 2: rapport and you're one of the big teams, you have
Speaker 2: a better chance. But I don't think a trade is
Speaker 2: gonna happen and then a contract extension is gonna happen
Speaker 2: after that. So you have to remember you're buying two
Speaker 2: years of one Sodo and you're taking on sixty million dollars,
Speaker 2: so that you know when people look at but that's one.
Speaker 1: So I mean, think of it this way. If you're
Speaker 1: paying one Sodo, that's what he would make thirty million
Speaker 1: a year, right, So I said, you're just well, I'm saying,
Speaker 1: if you take the Patrick Corbyn contract, how much is
Speaker 1: Sodo's contract. That's what I know right now.
Speaker 3: I only get to fourteen million right now, And okay,
Speaker 3: you're paying.
Speaker 1: For it, So you have to retrain your brain. So
Speaker 1: if I've got Sodo and Corbin for two years and
Speaker 1: I'm paying a combination of forty five million between the
Speaker 1: two of them a year. You could say, okay, well
Speaker 1: thirty of it theoretically should be for Sodo, but it's
Speaker 1: really cold to Patrick Corbin or you can do that,
Speaker 1: you can make that in your mind.
Speaker 2: You don't have the you don't have the long term
Speaker 2: deal set. You've taken on thirty to forty million or
Speaker 2: to whatever it was twenty five to thirty five million
Speaker 2: dollars on Corbin.
Speaker 3: And when people go out and they look at.
Speaker 2: A team and they go, okay, so what should we
Speaker 2: get And then they look at the Cardinals and they're like, well,
Speaker 2: we should get a Jordan Walker Mason when probably Jack
Speaker 2: Flairty Dylan Carlson, we should get this in that that's
Speaker 2: not gonna happen when they take on that really large
Speaker 2: amount of money and when push comes to shove that
Speaker 2: teams are not going to have that full commitment.
Speaker 3: It'll still be good deals.
Speaker 2: Like I put together on our Twitch live stream that
Speaker 2: Bugs and I do a couple of days ago. I'd
Speaker 2: put together some trade offers and I think overwhelmingly they
Speaker 2: it wasn't received in like a this isn't as sexy
Speaker 2: like with the Yankees. I didn't give Jason Dimingez, Anthony
Speaker 2: Volpi and like six other guys. I chose one, and
Speaker 2: I chose Jason Dominga.
Speaker 1: Well, let's let's let's go through them. This is from
Speaker 1: MLB dot com. This is uh. I don't know if
Speaker 1: someone actually put their name to this or if this
Speaker 1: is a collective here, because it just as MLB dot com.
Speaker 1: And let me scroll to the bottom real quick and
Speaker 1: give credit if if there is indeed credit to be
Speaker 1: had potentially. Oh, it's a combination of all their different writers. Okay,
Speaker 1: so that's what.
Speaker 3: It's just one of those bots.
Speaker 2: You know that you've see those things where it's like
Speaker 2: you type in three sentences and.
Speaker 1: It well, this looks like something we do with fantasy pros,
Speaker 1: you know when we do the you know, here's five
Speaker 1: different people telling you the buy low sell highs.
Speaker 3: It's like path.
Speaker 1: So they pulled all the staff together for this. So
Speaker 1: this is the Mets version. Here, the Nationals get David Peterson,
Speaker 1: Francisco Alvarez, Brett Batty, Ronnie Mauricio, Alex Ramirez and just
Speaker 1: take Juan Soto. I think that if you took Corbin,
Speaker 1: you could probably keep Mauricio or Brett Batty. If you're
Speaker 1: the Mets, that's what I think you could still do
Speaker 1: this framework of the deal. But if you took on Corbyn,
Speaker 1: I think that you can give up less prospects. And
Speaker 1: maybe they don't want to do that, maybe that's not
Speaker 1: the path, but I think it's something they could consider.
Speaker 3: That's what's going to be really hard.
Speaker 2: So with that Mets deal, I had given them two,
Speaker 2: we have two similars. I had Francisco Alvarez and Alex Ramirez,
Speaker 2: but instead of Beatty Mauricio, I had Mark Viento's and
Speaker 2: Mike Vassel. So there's a one picture in there. Mark
Speaker 2: Viento's was just that the futures game, huge, big power
Speaker 2: first basement, so arguably a little bit lesser I suppose
Speaker 2: compared to Batty and Mauricio. So those are the four
Speaker 2: that I gave.
Speaker 3: So we were kind of close on the Mets trade.
Speaker 3: Who else we can all right?
Speaker 1: The next one here that they have is the Yankees,
Speaker 1: which is just taking one so too, giving up Glaber Torres,
Speaker 1: Nest Cortes, Anthony Volpi, Jason Dimingez. I don't think that
Speaker 1: I think this.
Speaker 3: Is DIMIs is like a while.
Speaker 2: I'm not even remotely close to there's no chance they're
Speaker 2: going to give up all that and take up all
Speaker 2: that money.
Speaker 3: They should, by the way I want to put out,
Speaker 3: they should. They should pay the moon. Every team should
Speaker 3: pay the pranks that everybody.
Speaker 1: I think Bryan Cashman over the years, and this is
Speaker 1: that one's from Jason Catanya. The thing is, I think
Speaker 1: the Yankees have come to their senses over the years too,
Speaker 1: and Cashman believes in the farm system and wants to
Speaker 1: bring up these players and this balance of a couple
Speaker 1: of big free agents that you're gonna spend for the
Speaker 1: big stars, but also you know, bring up these these guys.
Speaker 1: I mean, that's been their special sauce basically for the
Speaker 1: Yankees for the last fifteen years, and I think that's
Speaker 1: something they should like. I think that's too much. Personally.
Speaker 3: I think I had too little.
Speaker 2: I had Jason Dimingez, Luis Heile, Luis Medina, Brandon Beck,
Speaker 2: a big pitching group, and then it was built around
Speaker 2: Jason Dominguez being like.
Speaker 3: The big back to the right, the next type guy.
Speaker 3: I do think the Yankees could do.
Speaker 2: One thing I would throw is I think the Yankees
Speaker 2: could entertain. I feel like they wanted to only trade
Speaker 2: one of the two big guys. But I do think
Speaker 2: they could entertain a Volpi and Domingos and like one
Speaker 2: other piece and it would be a little bit less,
Speaker 2: but it would be Yankees taking on Corbyn, and then
Speaker 2: the National Is getting back two big pieces and maybe
Speaker 2: like one or two other really really lower pieces that
Speaker 2: people don't even understand.
Speaker 3: I think that's a possibility, all right.
Speaker 1: Next one here actually as Soto and Corbin go into
Speaker 1: the Dodgers in return for Dustin May, Bobby Miller, who
Speaker 1: you've mentioned before, Andy Pages, Miguel Vargas, and James Autman.
Speaker 1: This one I don't like for the Nats, even though
Speaker 1: they're getting rid of Corbyn, because it's too pitching based.
Speaker 1: I want more major league, big time position players in
Speaker 1: a deal for Sodo. That's that's where I stand to
Speaker 1: me this Dodge, although they're taking some money with Corbin,
Speaker 1: it's too pitching based for me.
Speaker 3: This deal.
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts?
Speaker 3: And that's what my Yankee one was too, So this
Speaker 3: one I had.
Speaker 2: I also had Dustin May and Bobby Miller, but I
Speaker 2: threw Gavin Lux in there with Gavin Stone and Pete
Speaker 2: Hugh Back. Those are a movement needle, though, do you
Speaker 2: think I mean he's got He's still a super young
Speaker 2: middle infielder two ninety. I think he does move some
Speaker 2: of the needle, But I mean Miguel Vargas, Gavin Lux.
Speaker 3: It's probably one of those two.
Speaker 2: I just went with the major league ready guy because
Speaker 2: they had said they want major league ready stuff.
Speaker 1: This one is a good deal. I just don't know
Speaker 1: if the Padres have the juice to get it done
Speaker 1: and then sign Wan. So like, do you want to
Speaker 1: do this despite your future? Maybe you do if you're
Speaker 1: the Padres Wan Soto in exchange for CJ. Abrams, Mackenzie Gore,
Speaker 1: more John Hassel and mirrors now getting c J. Abrams
Speaker 1: and Mackenzie Gore. That's interesting to me. I think this
Speaker 1: is a good deal for the Padres, a good deal
Speaker 1: for the That's the problem is, I don't see the
Speaker 1: Padres backing up five hundred million dollars for this guy.
Speaker 1: I don't think that's something they can do, and it
Speaker 1: would basically signal Tatis we're moving on from Tattis Junior.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean maybe it's a possibility. So I also
Speaker 2: had Abrams and gore, And that's the crux of it.
Speaker 2: I don't think they can get hassle in any of
Speaker 2: the the type of deals as well that Masie, what about.
Speaker 1: Just a straight up for Tattis junior for two years?
Speaker 3: Ways, you don't do that?
Speaker 2: No, no, Well and then that sure absolutely they would
Speaker 2: if they could get some type But see here's a
Speaker 2: problem though, you get tattoos and you're like back in
Speaker 2: the same situation with does did Tatis just sign a
Speaker 2: brand new You're not.
Speaker 3: Because I don't believe he did. And I think you're
Speaker 3: you're back in Yeah, you're back, you are.
Speaker 1: But but because of the injuries, you would think maybe
Speaker 1: you know, you could throw three hundred and eighty million
Speaker 1: in him instead and not four hundred I.
Speaker 3: Don't even because that there's no way the padres.
Speaker 1: He doesn't have. He doesn't have nearly the the leverage
Speaker 1: power that want has. Soto plays every day, has been great,
Speaker 1: Tatista has had a lot of injuries, you know, I mean,
Speaker 1: like Tatist might look at that guaranteed when he goes
Speaker 1: you know what, maybe I want to take this money
Speaker 1: where so's I could break that Just a different point
Speaker 1: of view there, Yeah.
Speaker 3: I mean when Walky's asked the same question I have.
Speaker 2: I'm having a total brain fart of like, I don't
Speaker 2: remember did he signed it an arbitrational deal?
Speaker 3: I just don't remember. Everyone's saying, oh, he did sign.
Speaker 1: Mike's telling us here he did design that extension.
Speaker 3: I just don't think he does.
Speaker 1: So if you're the Nats, maybe that's exactly what you want.
Speaker 1: Maybe you want the locked in young superstar that you
Speaker 1: could take for a very long time because you were
Speaker 1: going to give that money to Sodo. Take that all,
Speaker 1: you know. Maybe the Padres have soured on don Tatis.
Speaker 1: I don't know.
Speaker 3: It's possible you.
Speaker 2: Could speculate on I think not. I also added in
Speaker 2: there I did not have Hassle. I put in a
Speaker 2: couple of lower guys Yarlin, Susana, Robert Gasser, Egy Rosario,
Speaker 2: who could play a little bit. Now it's smaller pieces.
Speaker 2: That to me is the quintessential trade with Corbyn coming
Speaker 2: back for the Padres giving up Abrams and Gore. I
Speaker 2: think they would do for two years of soda without
Speaker 2: a commitment.
Speaker 1: Couple here the Giants getting on Sodo for Logan Webb, Luciano,
Speaker 1: Kyle Harrison, Luis Matos, Helio Ramos. I mean it's not bad.
Speaker 1: I don't know if that gets it done. Then the
Speaker 1: Mariners version had George Kirby, Jared Kellnick, Noeova, Mark Pinto,
Speaker 1: Ford and Handcock. This is an interesting one.
Speaker 3: And that's just their entire just everything everything they can
Speaker 3: tang you.
Speaker 1: Know, the Klenick pieces, the teas that I have a
Speaker 1: hard time like, Marte is interesting. Kirby's talented, obviously, the
Speaker 1: Kalnick is that one like that is a dice roll.
Speaker 1: I don't know if you are the Nats, you want
Speaker 1: to take that dice roll? What do you think about
Speaker 1: the Mariners and the giants here?
Speaker 2: I just don't think they're the fit that we want
Speaker 2: them to be. I think there's pieces out there. I've
Speaker 2: heard on national side that they wouldn't do it without
Speaker 2: a Logan Gilbert involved. So you take out a Kirby
Speaker 2: and you put in Logan Gilbert, maybe that changes the crew.
Speaker 2: Maybe it's really a Gilbert, Kelnick, Noelvie and some other piece.
Speaker 2: It's just a huge, huge investment that I think he's
Speaker 2: the least likely to resign there. So are you will,
Speaker 2: like would they really be able to you know, dump
Speaker 2: out on the future of Noelvie and potentially Kalnick.
Speaker 3: And what you have in Gilbert now for twelve years.
Speaker 1: Maybe with putting one and Julia Rodriguez together is would
Speaker 1: be something that would really be something special.
Speaker 3: But you know what, the problem that team can't do.
Speaker 3: They have to be careful of.
Speaker 2: Whi's different than so many of these other teams is
Speaker 2: that'd be fun to go get but you still have holes.
Speaker 2: Like we're talking about the needing to.
Speaker 1: Buy, and they would be moving Kirby, who's somebody they
Speaker 1: want to build around. So I keep coming back to
Speaker 1: it and everyone's like, oh, you're a Met homer. I'm like, no,
Speaker 1: I just think the Mets are in the best position
Speaker 1: with the prospects, the money to get the deal done.
Speaker 1: And I think if they take on Corbin, they're gonna
Speaker 1: have to give up less and I think, honestly, that
Speaker 1: might be the better deal for the Nats. Get two
Speaker 1: big prospects, unload the Corbyn contract, and move on. Like
Speaker 1: I just think, I personally think that's that's where this
Speaker 1: is gonna go. But we shall see in the in
Speaker 1: the weeks ahead.
Speaker 2: Pop Padres are the one that I keep going back
Speaker 2: to I think they can offer. I think they'd be
Speaker 2: willing to move Abrams and Gore and that might be
Speaker 2: a best to return that they're gonna find, unless the
Speaker 2: team like the Yankees jump up.
Speaker 3: But I think the Mets are in the best position
Speaker 3: financially to.
Speaker 1: If he goes to the Padres, he'll be a free
Speaker 1: agent in two years. The Padres are not going to
Speaker 1: have the money for wan Soto. It's going to be
Speaker 1: a that's that is surely a two year move for them,
Speaker 1: and they're gonna have to pay more arbitration for him,
Speaker 1: and they're already paying Mahado and Tatis. It's a lot.
Speaker 1: It's a lot to take in fun facts, let's switch
Speaker 1: gears here. In nineteen seventy five, Joe Tory of the
Speaker 1: New York Mets at the time, grounded into four double
Speaker 1: plays in one day in a six to two loss
Speaker 1: of the Astros. Felix me On, poor Felix me On.
Speaker 1: Their shortstop had four hits, but every time he had
Speaker 1: a single, he was wiped out by Joe Tory. That's
Speaker 1: gotta be kind of annoying, right, That's an annoying day.
Speaker 1: Felix me On four for four four singles and each
Speaker 1: time he gets doubled up. By the fourth time. If
Speaker 1: I was Saim, I would be trying to steal second
Speaker 1: base just to get out of it.
Speaker 3: They should have been by the third one. They should
Speaker 3: have been doing some hit and runs totally.
Speaker 1: That's fun, and listen, forget the whole Like I see
Speaker 1: this too, Mike's bringing up. I don't think they'll trade
Speaker 1: in the division. Forget that indivision stuff anymore. It doesn't
Speaker 1: matter now because look at the American League East. All
Speaker 1: those teams right now are the front runners to make
Speaker 1: the playoffs once you've expanded playoffs divisions, all divisions, meaning
Speaker 1: this home field advantage in that buy that's it. That's it.
Speaker 1: It doesn't mean anything else anymore. I'm telling you major
Speaker 1: league looking at it. All they want to do is
Speaker 1: can we get in the playoffs? Can we be a
Speaker 1: good organization because anything can happen when you get in
Speaker 1: the playoffs. Plus there's more revenue when you get in
Speaker 1: the playoffs. To me, the whole indivision stuff, the new
Speaker 1: CBA killed that. Like, I don't think it's a thing
Speaker 1: quote unquote anymore.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think your logic is I don't agree I
Speaker 2: think it absolutely is. I think there are bad feelings
Speaker 2: across the board. They don't want to trade within.
Speaker 3: But your logic is, so if you're.
Speaker 1: You're a Nats fan, you'd rather trade them somewhere and
Speaker 1: not get as good of a deal and have your
Speaker 1: organization suck, then have to watch Juan Soto for the
Speaker 1: next eight years.
Speaker 2: Again, but that's super subjective of what you're saying. You're
Speaker 2: saying like, well, the Mets are the only one that
Speaker 2: can offer a good deal.
Speaker 1: That's not true, there's no But I'm saying, if the
Speaker 1: Mets offer you the best deal, do you want the
Speaker 1: best deal? If you're a Nets fan, it's going to
Speaker 1: help your team win, just even though the cost of
Speaker 1: that is going to be watching Juan Soto play against you.
Speaker 1: Or do you like, No, I want to be in
Speaker 1: the playoffs and I want to beat Wan Sodo. I mean,
Speaker 1: you're looking up at Bryce Harper anyway every every couple
Speaker 1: of weeks, like that's the thing. It's like, if you're
Speaker 1: the Nats, you've already been down this road. You let
Speaker 1: Bryce Harper go and he signed in your division. If
Speaker 1: you let Wan Sodo go, nobody's gonna offer him more
Speaker 1: money on the free agent market than Steve con I'm
Speaker 1: telling you right now, that's gonna happen. You might as
Speaker 1: well get paid in prospects too.
Speaker 3: I just don't think this is I think this is
Speaker 3: that situation.
Speaker 2: Unless the Mets were so clearly above everybody else, I
Speaker 2: one hundred percent think they would look at this and go, listen,
Speaker 2: we're gonna trade it in division. For the next twelve
Speaker 2: to fifteen years, we're gonna hear about it if he's
Speaker 2: a Met and we traded him there and we're gonna
Speaker 2: have to deal with it, and he's gonna bring down
Speaker 2: our organization. I mean, maybe they wash it because the
Speaker 2: you know, the team ownership is gonna change, and what
Speaker 2: does anybody really care? And it's just a bottom line
Speaker 2: that could happen. Your logic also makes a lot of sense.
Speaker 2: I just think if you have three trades that are
Speaker 2: all close, and they're like, all right, which one do
Speaker 2: we decide with? I don't think the Mets would be
Speaker 2: the one simply in division. I think they would move
Speaker 2: in another spot. But if the Mets had far and
Speaker 2: beyond the best one, it would be stupid for them
Speaker 2: to not consider it.
Speaker 3: And then I think they would. But that's just my
Speaker 3: that's just my opinion on it.
Speaker 1: Like I said, any of the other places except maybe
Speaker 1: the Yankees, he's gonna go, and he's not gonna sign
Speaker 1: an extension. I'm telling you right now, he's not gonnaign
Speaker 1: a section with the Padres. I don't think the Seattle
Speaker 1: Mariners are going to back up that. I don't think
Speaker 1: that's gonna happen. He's going to be a free agent
Speaker 1: anywhere outside of New York. Maybe LA, but dude, LA's
Speaker 1: already paying Freeman and Mookie bets. And if they let
Speaker 1: Tray Turner, like, do they want to let Tray Turner walk?
Speaker 1: Is that really what they want to do? Like the
Speaker 1: Dodgers could do it, but it is dicey if they do.
Speaker 1: Just saying is a dicey situation, and they still are
Speaker 1: left with a lot of pitching question marks. When Clayon
Speaker 1: Kershall retires this year, all right, let's go to bet MGM,
Speaker 1: the King of sportsbooks. Bet ten dollars, win two hundred.
Speaker 1: When you download that bet MGM app and lose use
Speaker 1: the pro don't lose it, use it, use the promo
Speaker 1: code leading off.
Speaker 3: Don't use it.
Speaker 1: You lose it, and that's what they say. By the way,
Speaker 1: the crown looks good in this light too.
Speaker 2: It actually it glistens. I wonder what that type of
Speaker 2: lighting would do with my bet MGM Tiara, I don't know.
Speaker 1: I don't know, but I think I think we need
Speaker 1: to find out. I'll have to go to the dollar
Speaker 1: store get a tr there again, bet MGM the King
Speaker 1: of sports books. Let's take a look. Here. Here's the
Speaker 1: things that are remaining on the board. They're interesting. America
Speaker 1: League Central. You get the Twins at plus one twenty,
Speaker 1: the White Sox at plus one twenty five, Cleveland at
Speaker 1: plus four fifty. Let's do these all quickly. Where would
Speaker 1: you go, if anywhere to put some money in the
Speaker 1: AL Central? Because I personally still do not believe in
Speaker 1: the Twins. I would put it on the White Sox
Speaker 1: or better yet, maybe just maybe Cleveland at four and
Speaker 1: a half to one. Here is a better wager than
Speaker 1: we realize.
Speaker 2: Ooh yeah, I mean Cleveland is second in the division
Speaker 2: right now, two games back on the Twins.
Speaker 3: White Sox are three games back.
Speaker 2: Man, I think I would probably go my gut says
Speaker 2: White Sox Guardians, way better bet if you are just
Speaker 2: playing the odds. You're getting four and a half to
Speaker 2: one on a team that is two out from the division.
Speaker 3: But I'll go White.
Speaker 1: Sox the East of the Mets at minus one ninety
Speaker 1: five to win the East are the Braves at plus
Speaker 1: one sixty five. Look, if da Gram is healthy, this
Speaker 1: has already sailed. I mean, it's sure as er, it's
Speaker 1: de Cram, It's the Mets, That's what I think. But
Speaker 1: if you think the other way, you are getting plus
Speaker 1: money on the Braves even venture into this one.
Speaker 2: All now, this, I mean, this is one I'm not
Speaker 2: gonna play, especially that the Mets are, you know, one
Speaker 2: minus one ninety five, and my only other bet is
Speaker 2: on the Braves.
Speaker 1: I'd pass Milwaukee Brewers minus one sixty to win the
Speaker 1: NL Central the Cardinals plus one twenty five. I'm still
Speaker 1: waiting for the Cardinals to make their real move here
Speaker 1: on the Brewers, and I know they're getting Peralta back.
Speaker 1: I just that Brewers offense still scares the heck out
Speaker 1: of me, But I guess they've got enough pitching at
Speaker 1: this point where I probably just have to let this go.
Speaker 1: So I'm letting this one go. You're letting the East go.
Speaker 1: What do you think about the central in the National League?
Speaker 3: If I'm making a bet, it's going to be the
Speaker 3: Cardinals here, But I kind of agree with you. This
Speaker 3: is probably a let go.
Speaker 2: Like you're not even getting like that great of odds
Speaker 2: on the Cardinals to take the division, So this is
Speaker 2: probably also a pass.
Speaker 1: For me, all right. To win the National League? You
Speaker 1: have the Dodgers at plus one fifty five, the Mets
Speaker 1: at plus three twenty, the Braves at plus four thirty.
Speaker 1: Then you get thirteen to one on the Brewers, fifteen
Speaker 1: to one of the Cardinals, and fifteen to one of
Speaker 1: the Padres. Look to me, it's the three to one
Speaker 1: Mets is the best wager on the board because theoretically,
Speaker 1: in a short series you have de gramanchers are going
Speaker 1: multiple times and nobody can compete with that bullpen's been
Speaker 1: pretty solid with Diaz at the end there. I think
Speaker 1: they will be aggressive. They will add more offense to
Speaker 1: this club. I have no doubt about that. In some fashion.
Speaker 1: I will see who those names are, and if they
Speaker 1: do pull off a one SOT deal, this number is
Speaker 1: going to drop. Irockmatically, it might even.
Speaker 3: Go to Pyrocket. I think they could pass. I think
Speaker 3: they could interchange here. I think you could have.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be plus I would put it at plus
Speaker 1: one fifteen and the Dodgers at plus one twenty five.
Speaker 2: And I agree with everything you said on here. The
Speaker 2: best bet is the Mets, especially when you think about
Speaker 2: short series. If they don't get Soto, I think they're
Speaker 2: still going to try to be hyper aggressive. They've got
Speaker 2: a glut of prospects that are just kind of sitting
Speaker 2: around wide in the Viento's, the Maurice, the Baities, and
Speaker 2: the Alvarezes. Whether they're using them up or using them
Speaker 2: as bait. I think that's the that's the good bet
Speaker 2: to make here. Dodgers still seem like an obvious But
Speaker 2: three to one on the money for the Mets, I like.
Speaker 3: That all right.
Speaker 1: Next here on the list is the American League, the
Speaker 1: Yankees at plus one forty, the Astros at two to one,
Speaker 1: the Blue Jays that not hit me. The jump is
Speaker 1: huge here. Then you go right to the Blue Jays
Speaker 1: at nine and a half, the White Sox at plus fifteen,
Speaker 1: the Mariners at plus fifteen, and the Twins at plus twenty.
Speaker 1: I still like the Astros here. I think the Astros
Speaker 1: in a short series because if they move Christian Javier
Speaker 1: to that bullpen, that is another huge arm they can
Speaker 1: go multiple innings and is dominant out of the bullpen
Speaker 1: potentially for them. On top of the starting pitching they
Speaker 1: have in the depth, on top of the lineup, I
Speaker 1: think they create runs a little better than the Yankees do.
Speaker 1: The Yankees are a little more home run reliant than
Speaker 1: that the Astros can be. So to me, I like
Speaker 1: the Astros here.
Speaker 3: And the two to one.
Speaker 1: I think, once again, this is where I would put
Speaker 1: my money. How about you, Welsh the American League.
Speaker 3: It's a good bet.
Speaker 2: I wish you got better odds with the Astros. I
Speaker 2: wish there was a bigger upreater between the Yankees and Stros,
Speaker 2: and I probably would jump on it. At the end
Speaker 2: of the day, I would stick with the Yankees offense,
Speaker 2: you know, as powerful as can be. In a short series.
Speaker 2: You get to throw out Garrett Cole, you get to
Speaker 2: throw out in astra quartest. So I think it's actually
Speaker 2: pretty competitive against the Astros. And uh, you know, if
Speaker 2: you want to look at it, mattress mac already has
Speaker 2: put multiple, multiple million dollar bets that they can put
Speaker 2: a two million dollar bet on the Astros to win
Speaker 2: the World Series already, and that track record not so good.
Speaker 3: Kind of like to bet against Mattricks.
Speaker 1: Mattress, Well, he did win it one year plus, it's
Speaker 1: hard to win the World Series plus four fifty on
Speaker 1: the Astros right now, So Mattress mac would do pretty
Speaker 1: well if he did put that million on there. The
Speaker 1: Dodgers are plus three forty, the Yankees are plus three hundred.
Speaker 1: I'm off the public teams. I'm off the Yankees, I'm
Speaker 1: off the Dodgers. I'm on the Mets in the Astros
Speaker 1: four and a half and seven. And what you do is,
Speaker 1: if you think that the Mets and Astros are the
Speaker 1: best two teams potentially to win the World Series, then
Speaker 1: you should bet them also to win the National or
Speaker 1: American League outright too, So you're making all that money altogether.
Speaker 1: This is something it's imperative. If you're betting a team
Speaker 1: to win the World Series, please please please don't forget
Speaker 1: bet them to win the National League or American League
Speaker 1: also respectively, because you're just idiotic. If you think they're
Speaker 1: gonna win the World Series, they have to get there.
Speaker 1: And some people will do that and then not bet
Speaker 1: the other one. And I know it's the odds are less,
Speaker 1: but it's still money. You might as well be all
Speaker 1: in on it and go all in at one time.
Speaker 1: So to me, the Astros at plus four fifty and
Speaker 1: the Mets at seven to one right now, getting you're
Speaker 1: not getting great money on the Mets to win the
Speaker 1: National League's three to one, but to win the World
Speaker 1: Series at seven to one, that's a pretty good number.
Speaker 1: And once again, if they make a big time trade,
Speaker 1: that number drops precipitously very soon.
Speaker 3: And I would I actually like that idea.
Speaker 2: I like stacking a couple bets if I'm gonna jump
Speaker 2: into this market, if this is something I'm gonna do,
Speaker 2: and I'm not just thinking about doing my one team,
Speaker 2: and it's like, all right, I just really love this team.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet, but I want to look to try
Speaker 2: to make some money doing that. Astros Met stack. It
Speaker 2: doesn't take enough away from each other. The odds are
Speaker 2: so great, and you just pair those two together for
Speaker 2: a World Series win. It's a really good spot right now.
Speaker 2: Mets in a you know, like we said in a
Speaker 2: short series, the way to go Astros anything can happen.
Speaker 2: I'm still picking Yankees, but from an odds perspective, pairing
Speaker 2: those two pretty solid.
Speaker 1: Only have a couple of games here today. You got
Speaker 1: a couple of games in the day, but Yankees and
Speaker 1: Astros one of them, So that's fun in a couple
Speaker 1: of games in the evening as well. So in terms
Speaker 1: of like looking at dfs today, again, it's just I
Speaker 1: don't like these kind of slates. I don't go in
Speaker 1: for these kind of slates.
Speaker 3: But we will do the whole run call.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you got the double header here for the Yankees
Speaker 1: and Astros, which is gonna be fun. You'll get Dimingo
Speaker 1: Herman back on the mount. Two important start here because
Speaker 1: if he's not good and the Sevarino injury is troublesome,
Speaker 1: and then the Yankees might have a little bit more
Speaker 1: pressure to make a Luis Castillo deal sooner than later.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead and take two chances today with
Speaker 1: Alex Bregman. That's what I'm gonna do. Alex Bregman to
Speaker 1: go y are today. He's got the double header. If
Speaker 1: you're doing the home run contest today, you might as
Speaker 1: well take the double header one, right, because just don't
Speaker 1: you get all the day's home runs, get all the
Speaker 1: homer days, right, I thought so, but I don't know
Speaker 1: they also should we also should get.
Speaker 2: Extra points for picking Astros because they flew Paul Blackburn
Speaker 2: out to the All Star Game. When I think that
Speaker 2: deserves extra points. That's that's community service for an A's guy.
Speaker 2: So I'm going with Kyle Tucker. That's gonna be my bet.
Speaker 2: I saw doctor Glenn jumped in there. We're gonna go
Speaker 2: with a couple of astros today.
Speaker 1: Mike Mayor hated the fact that Paul Blackburn got flown
Speaker 1: first class. You want him to fly in the luggage area.
Speaker 3: Wanted him to drive in a Peak Spectra.
Speaker 2: Yeah, taking all the way from Oakland to Well, I
Speaker 2: guess I maybe that far.
Speaker 1: I was gonna say, and again once again, all the
Speaker 1: way from Oakland. I mean, where were they when they
Speaker 1: finished up? Maybe they weren't in Oakland when they finished
Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't remember where the A's were
Speaker 1: last week, But if they weren't home, but he's only
Speaker 1: trying to go to LA like.
Speaker 2: Well, they must have been playing the Astros and we're
Speaker 2: not thinking about it, because why else with the Astros
Speaker 2: did they like go and divert to pick him up.
Speaker 3: They must have been like it must have been to Houston.
Speaker 1: So nice job there, good job. I like that by
Speaker 1: the classy move by the Astros, the organization on a
Speaker 1: fi's class. I think at every turn we can agree
Speaker 1: on that. All right, tomorrow we'll have full slate of dfs,
Speaker 1: we'll have some stats for you from yesterday's games and
Speaker 1: a whole lot more. Once again, don't forget to subscribe
Speaker 1: to Fancy Rose MLB. The by low Sell High video
Speaker 1: is coming out, so make sure when you do subscribe
Speaker 1: you click that little belf notifications. It should be sometime
Speaker 1: later this afternoon. I would imagine that video is gonna
Speaker 1: come out, And of course you know we'll be back
Speaker 1: again tomorrow to do it all over again. For the Welsh,
Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time, babies again