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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It has been Joey P joe P Zapia

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Speaker 1: and it's week seventeen and it's Friday. You know what

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Speaker 1: that means. It's down to talks and props to help

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Speaker 1: us do it. Of course is the Welsh Chris Welsh,

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Speaker 1: hot off of Christmas, ready to rock and roll, and

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Speaker 1: of course the Undertaker himself Andrew Underson. We're just gonna

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Speaker 1: keep pushing all the unders as much as we possibly can,

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Speaker 1: and we're going to try to who knows, maybe we'll

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Speaker 1: shake a couple overs. Yesterday on the show with bogmindicase

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Speaker 1: you missed it, came out of the gate hot with

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Speaker 1: an over. It was very unlike him. I think he

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Speaker 1: was still a little u you know, dip it into

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Speaker 1: the eggnog, if you know what I mean. There from

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Speaker 1: the holidays. But regardless, make sure you are following us

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Speaker 1: on social media. Make sure you are subscribing to the

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel here at Betting Pros, and make sure you

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Speaker 1: ring that bell till it goes ding for notifications. And remember,

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Speaker 1: if you're a subscriber and you're a good boy, your

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Speaker 1: girl and drop a comment below. He just might win

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Speaker 1: a one year free premium upgrade to betting pros. That's right,

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Speaker 1: the greatest betting tools in the history of the universe

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Speaker 1: can be yours. All you have to do is comment,

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Speaker 1: subscribe like the video. Old little things like that go

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Speaker 1: a long way, and he just might be the big winner.

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Speaker 1: And don't forget, it's not just NFL. We've also got

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Speaker 1: NBA in these parts two Fast Break Bets with Matt

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Speaker 1: Moody every Wednesday, every Friday, eleven am Eastern, Live with

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Speaker 1: the Man talking NBA. Gentleman, let's get right into it.

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Speaker 1: Let's come in hot here for week seventeen. We're off

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Speaker 1: to a fun start. Joe Flacco, Elite Joe Flacco Andrew Erickson.

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Speaker 1: Would you think of him? Last night? There, buddy, another

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Speaker 1: three hundred yard game for Joey.

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Speaker 2: I mean I turned the game off as the first

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Speaker 2: drive because I was screwed.

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Speaker 1: So I knew im me I was.

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Speaker 2: When they were not tackling David and Joku, I was like, well,

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Speaker 2: this is not gonna end well. So again, apologies out

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Speaker 2: for people that I didn't think you should have started

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Speaker 2: Joe Flaco in fantasy leagues. I was on the under,

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Speaker 2: so again I was on the.

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Speaker 1: Under two, but I was still starting him. I was

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Speaker 1: in those things like, well, it's not gonna be as good.

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Speaker 2: But even like I mean, look, nine times out of

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Speaker 2: ten the process works. I mean his number one wide

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Speaker 2: receiver game playing the game, no, like against the Jets

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Speaker 2: nine ten.

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Speaker 3: Do youven believe we're sitting here talking about week seventeen

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Speaker 3: in twenty twenty three, not two thousand and three. We're like, oh,

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Speaker 3: we should of course we should have started Joe Flacco.

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Speaker 1: It didn't matter.

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Speaker 3: Joe Flacco was chock.

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Speaker 1: What are we doing? Yeah, it's twenty crazy. I feel

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Speaker 1: like twenty thirteen, like that's like the peak Joe Flacco. Right,

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Speaker 1: so around twenty thirteen probably right, that was about the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl. That's I just forget that.

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Speaker 2: When this guy gets hot, he is on stop. But

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Speaker 2: just like during the Ravens playoff run, like he I

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Speaker 2: think it was perfect, like head touchdowns, no picks, and

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Speaker 2: he was on fire.

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Speaker 1: And you never kicked your You.

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Speaker 3: Ever kick yourself too when you have a bet that

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Speaker 3: you're just kind of sitting on and you're like, I

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Speaker 3: think I want to do this, and the right before

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Speaker 3: the game You're just like, I'm just not going to

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Speaker 3: That was in Joku receiving yards from me last night.

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Speaker 3: I was ready, i was going, I'm like, I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: do it. I'm gonna do it, and I'm like, ah,

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Speaker 3: this is a weird game. I'm not gonna do it.

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Speaker 3: First drive it cashes.

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Speaker 1: You're just like, can you believe that joke to Joe

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Speaker 1: Flacco to unlock David and Joku all these years? Like

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Speaker 1: that's the thing to me that is even equal parts

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Speaker 1: exciting it upsetting. But regardless, enough about elite Joe Flacco

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Speaker 1: and the even Brown's headed to the playoffs, Eric, and

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Speaker 1: give us the first of the many props you've got

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Speaker 1: lined up for Week seventeen.

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Speaker 2: Looking at the Detroit Lions Dallas Cowboys, gamble love the

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Speaker 2: over in this game overall, so like some of the

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Speaker 2: player prop over Samir Gibbs over forty eight and a

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Speaker 2: half rushing yards, it's just too low based on the

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Speaker 2: fact that he's a super explosive running back with the

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Speaker 2: ball in his hands. He's gone over this number five

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Speaker 2: straight games. He's failed to hit fifty rushing yards one

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Speaker 2: time since Week five. Guys, it's it's week seventeen.

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Speaker 1: It's been since Week.

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Speaker 2: Five since he has not hit at least fifty rushing yards.

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Speaker 2: So given how bad Dallas's run devents has been over

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Speaker 2: the last couple weeks, second most rushing yards allowed per

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Speaker 2: game to running backs the last four weeks, I just

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Speaker 2: think this is a really easy bet. I get that

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Speaker 2: the usage isn't always ideal for him because he's still

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Speaker 2: spitting cares with Dave Montgomery, but Gibbs as a back

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Speaker 2: where he can get this on one carry, like, he

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Speaker 2: doesn't needcessarily a lot of touches to get there, So

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Speaker 2: I think there's so many avenues where he gets over

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Speaker 2: this number, and he's shown week in and week out

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Speaker 2: that he's clearly surpassing fifty rushing yards. So the matchup

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Speaker 2: is good, high scoring game. Well, Sev checks off all

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Speaker 2: the boxes of it over that I really like this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's hard not to like this one. It's a

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Speaker 1: lower number two and Gibbs obviously starting to emerge here

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Speaker 1: in the second half of the season as a stud,

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Speaker 1: which is what we thought he would be. It just

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Speaker 1: takes a little time sometimes for those rookies to really

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Speaker 1: catch up to the NFL style of play. And certainly

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Speaker 1: Jamiir Gibbs has called up to that Welsh let's kick

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Speaker 1: things off of you Week seventeen. What do you have

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Speaker 1: for the people?

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Speaker 3: I love that one, by the way, I just want

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Speaker 3: to throw that out here. I'm going to go with

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Speaker 3: a low rushing yard total from a wide receiver. Give

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Speaker 3: me Deebo Samuel rushing yards eleven and a half over

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Speaker 3: seven of ten games he's received two or more carries

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Speaker 3: this season. He's averaging around five five point four yards

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Speaker 3: per rush. Commanders are giving up the fourth most rushing

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Speaker 3: yards over the last month, and this is the time

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Speaker 3: for the forty nine ers. Probably laid back a tiny

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Speaker 3: bit on McAffrey. Yes, we could see some Mason, but

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Speaker 3: we're getting multiple carries from Deebo Samuel. They are absolutely atrocious.

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Speaker 3: The Commanders are at stop in the run. One big

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Speaker 3: play is going to be great for Debo here when

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Speaker 3: he gets three. He's hit this total every single time

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Speaker 3: but one this season. Commanders are going to be washed

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Speaker 3: in this situation. Forty nine Ers are pissed and we're

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Speaker 3: gonna give the ball to Debo on the ground. I

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Speaker 3: actually think it's an aut game in the air, So

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Speaker 3: Debo multiple carries over eleven and a half rushing yards.

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Speaker 3: He would have hit this in three of the last five.

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Speaker 3: One of those actually was eleven yards rushing, but he

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Speaker 3: has hit this at least two of the last five.

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Speaker 3: Give me debo rushing yards as an easy low prop

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Speaker 3: total for this week.

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Speaker 1: Welsh I made a bold prediction on the Fantasy Pros

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Speaker 1: pod the other day that CMC is gonna have two

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Speaker 1: hundred all purpose yards. What do you think? I think

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Speaker 1: this is the nuclear as Ericson likes to call it

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Speaker 1: game for a Christian McCaffrey. He plants his flag as

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Speaker 1: the real MVP. What do you say about that?

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Speaker 3: Did he say that wrong? I always say the word wrong.

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Speaker 1: Derek always says nuclear.

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Speaker 3: He I do the same thing. I do. Say yeah,

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Speaker 3: it's our number, it's when the dumb Yeah, yeah, whatever,

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Speaker 3: it's a possibility. I mean I just laid out. Also,

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Speaker 3: the Washington has given up the most Fantasy points for

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Speaker 3: running backs over the last month. There garbage. My only

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Speaker 3: counter to that in general is just the forty nine

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Speaker 3: ers maybe laying back a tiny bit. With two games

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Speaker 3: to go, they have to prep themselves for the playoffs.

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Speaker 3: Do you want to get twenty five thirty touches to

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Speaker 3: m Christian McCaffrey. I'm not one hundred percent sure like

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Speaker 3: to get Debo keep going. I think it's a possibility.

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Speaker 3: I'm here for it, but I do think in the

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Speaker 3: Russian game you could see a little bit more Mason

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Speaker 3: and a little bit more Debo.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's see a little bit more ericson and

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Speaker 1: see what he has for us in Week seventeen.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, sticking with that forty nine Ers Commanders game. I

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Speaker 2: actually going to go under on George Kittle and his receptions.

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Speaker 1: Prop oh, prop the receptions.

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Speaker 2: That's how I talked about it the last time, and

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Speaker 2: it hit, So I'm bringing it back right now. Three

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Speaker 2: and a half receptions for George Kittle going under. If

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Speaker 2: you look at the Commander's defense, they're bad against everything.

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Speaker 2: We know that the one thing that they're not as

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Speaker 2: bad against is tight ends eighth fewish receptions a lot

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Speaker 2: of tight ends the season, point three per game. And

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Speaker 2: we look at George Kittle, He's only gone over three

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Speaker 2: and a half catches in three games played this year

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Speaker 2: with Hell with a healthy Deebo Samuel and Brandon Nyuk.

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Speaker 2: Last week he had seven catches the forty nine Ers

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Speaker 2: were in negative game script. Are they going to be

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Speaker 2: trailing at any point in this game against Commanders? Probably

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Speaker 2: not so more often than not, Kittle's not the featured

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Speaker 2: piece in this offense. When they're cooking. It's a really

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Speaker 2: bad defense. It's not George Kittle. Like well said piece

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Speaker 2: is going to be a Brandon Ayuk game. I agree,

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Speaker 2: So for me, I'm gonna take the under on George

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Speaker 2: Kittle and his catches. You can actually get this number

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Speaker 2: on FanDuel at four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Okay, there you go under on Kittle. So we hit

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Speaker 1: the forty nine ers pretty hard, but maybe not hard

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Speaker 1: enough because well, you want to hit it one more time.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, And I didn't realize we were doing all these

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Speaker 3: We have some funny stuff this week because ericson and

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Speaker 3: I I didn't even post mine until literally before the show,

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Speaker 3: so I didn't even see what he had. I am

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Speaker 3: going with another forty nine ers and an under here

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Speaker 3: and I am attacking this ron Perty. This actually works

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Speaker 3: well with the Kittle one as well. Perty has hit

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Speaker 3: this only once in his last three games, going over

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Speaker 3: too sixty seven and a half. That's his passing yard

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Speaker 3: total this week. Two sixty seven and a half, so

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Speaker 3: he's hit this only once. He has not completed twenty

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Speaker 3: passes in four straight games, so per game, he has

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Speaker 3: not hit twenty completions in four straight He's only attempted

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Speaker 3: thirty or more passes in one of four games. But

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Speaker 3: you say he went over three hundred yards in two

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Speaker 3: of those games.

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Speaker 1: It's big, huge plays.

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Speaker 3: Washington is giving up the fourth least pass attempts over

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Speaker 3: the last month because you can run on them. That's

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Speaker 3: what you do here everything. Also talking about the forty

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Speaker 3: nine ERDs, maybe laying back, just want to point out

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Speaker 3: PFF projections have him around two thirty. But with the

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Speaker 3: playoffs looming, not only do I think you kind of

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Speaker 3: set it back on McCaffrey, but Purdy was in a

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Speaker 3: bad situation last week. I don't think you want him

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Speaker 3: to throw thirty five forty times. You don't need perty

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Speaker 3: to win this game. I think efficiency is going to

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Speaker 3: be where everything is at, from the run game, short passes,

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Speaker 3: clock management. I like anything under two fifty, and I'm

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Speaker 3: getting two sixty seven. I'm taking the under un brock

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Speaker 3: pretty passing yards.

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Speaker 1: I already bet this one too. I think it's just

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Speaker 1: a very heavy Christian McCaffrey day. Hence my earlier statement

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Speaker 1: about the two hundred eight yards. I think it is

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Speaker 1: going to go over one hundred and plus rushing yards,

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Speaker 1: maybe one twenty something, one twenty five, so in that range.

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Speaker 1: And I think it's gonna have a fair amount of

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Speaker 1: receiving yards. But I think it's gonna be all Christian

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Speaker 1: McCaffrey in this one. And they just go in there,

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Speaker 1: run CMC, run him all over the muck there, all

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Speaker 1: over against Washington, and Uh, that's it. That's all you

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Speaker 1: need to do to win this football game and then

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Speaker 1: keep everybody else healthy. All right, Let's get to Andrew

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Speaker 1: Erickson for another one of your prop bets for week seventeen.

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Speaker 2: Andrew, what do you have Saquon Barkley under sixty seven

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Speaker 2: and a half rushing yards against the Los Angeles Rams. Look,

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Speaker 2: the Los Angeles Rams have been one of the best

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Speaker 2: run defenses over the last couple of weeks. Looking at

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Speaker 2: since Week ten, they've not allowed a running back to

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Speaker 2: surpass seventy yards against them, and they haven't allowed more

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Speaker 2: than sixty five rush er Oh, there's only one running

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Speaker 2: back that runs for sixty five yards against them. Since

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Speaker 2: Week six, like Saquon Barkley is super boom or bust,

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Speaker 2: Like he's had big games and he's had games where

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Speaker 2: he completely disappears. Following just the trajectory in the pattern

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Speaker 2: of Saquon Barkley coming off a big game. He's probably

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Speaker 2: got underwhelm here in the matchup is brutal. Like I

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Speaker 2: alluded to just kind of talking about how good the

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Speaker 2: Rams run defense has been, they're much weaker against the

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Speaker 2: pass Sodeo. Saquon Barkley under sixty seven and a half

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Speaker 2: rushing yards, which is the best number I could find

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Speaker 2: over on FanDuel and Welsh.

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Speaker 1: Once again, Eric Sen's your soulmate because you also have

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Speaker 1: Saquon Barkley this week is one of your top five props.

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Speaker 1: So let's get your perspective on the same under now.

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Speaker 3: And I mean, he absolutely nil. This was the one

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Speaker 3: we were laughing about because I've been a little bit

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Speaker 3: more compelled by the way. I wasn't amazing last week,

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Speaker 3: but I nailed my Lamar Jackson under. So those unders

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Speaker 3: definitely aren't tantalizing, and I feel more compelled when I'm

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Speaker 3: on this show, and this was the one that stood

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Speaker 3: out to me. And you kind of nailed it. The

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Speaker 3: Rams have not led a running back to hit this number.

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Speaker 3: And by the way, this number, I found it sixty

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Speaker 3: four and a half on DK, so you can get

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Speaker 3: a bigger number. Running back can not hit this in

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Speaker 3: six straight weeks. Barkley has also only hit this marker

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Speaker 3: two of the last four weeks, and he needed twenty

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Speaker 3: or more carries to do it. I do not believe

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Speaker 3: you're giving him twenty carries in this game. This is

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Speaker 3: a game where if he's doing anything, it's probably in

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Speaker 3: the air. Underwhelming was a great, great version and answer

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Speaker 3: of this, and I'm going to take that under and

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Speaker 3: I will gladly take that FanDuel number. It's sixty seven

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Speaker 3: and a half over my sixty four and a half.

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Speaker 1: All right, So Barkley under for everybody this week. By

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Speaker 1: the way, by the way, I just love the Rams.

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Speaker 1: I just want to mention that in this game or

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Speaker 1: he tees them up to nine and a half, I

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Speaker 1: think the Rams are rolling. I think the Rams are

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Speaker 1: very dangerous team right now, the way that offense is clicking.

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Speaker 1: I don't think you want to play the Rams in

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Speaker 1: the first round of the playoffs. If you're any team

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Speaker 1: of the game.

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Speaker 2: You think that the forty nine ers might be looking

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Speaker 2: ahead a little bit because they have to play the

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Speaker 2: Rams Week eighteen.

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Speaker 3: College football look ahead situation after they just got no

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Speaker 3: after had they been playing the Commanders.

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Speaker 1: No, look, the Commanders are just so bad, I think

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Speaker 1: Ary Jowers, But that's what I mean, joke. But here's

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Speaker 1: the thing. You you can look ahead and still be

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Speaker 1: the Commanders. I think had they beaten the Ravens, that

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Speaker 1: would be a little bit more concerned. Had they beaten

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Speaker 1: the Ravens handily, that I could see, op whatever. But

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Speaker 1: you know that Rams game is gonna be very telling. Also,

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Speaker 1: you know, depending on who wins and loses this week.

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Speaker 1: It depends on how important that game is. And Week

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Speaker 1: eighteen really for the forty niners at the end of

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Speaker 1: the day too.

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Speaker 2: So again, the forty nine Ers, I want to make

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Speaker 2: sure I knock the Rams out of playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't want to play. Don't want if I'm wrong.

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Speaker 1: If they win this week and a few other things happen, yeah,

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Speaker 1: that might not happen. They might be locked up no

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Speaker 1: matter what. Potentially even if they lose that game. So

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Speaker 1: that's spots of moving pieces.

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Speaker 2: Vain.

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Speaker 3: I'm with you.

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Speaker 1: I don't like I said, I don't want to see

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Speaker 1: the Rams a week, but you know.

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Speaker 3: Trying to take Washington money. Are you trying to take

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Speaker 3: the spread.

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Speaker 2: Double digit dogs at home?

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Speaker 3: It is least.

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Speaker 2: Significantly better than the leader.

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Speaker 1: Look, I'm with ericson. It was one of my top

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Speaker 1: ten bets this week was taking the Commander's side of

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Speaker 1: the thirteen and a half because it's such a large

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Speaker 1: number on the road. You know, it's just one of

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Speaker 1: those things. The back door cover is frustrating.

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Speaker 2: It's a big has done is coming and back door

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Speaker 2: cover the last two weeks.

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Speaker 1: True, And I will say this too. The concept that

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Speaker 1: you're looking at too is I don't think there's any

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Speaker 1: necessarily fear of the forty nine is losing this game

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Speaker 1: or not looking like they're in control of this game.

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Speaker 1: But again, thirteen and a half, it's a huge number

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Speaker 1: on the road for any team to cover, and maybe

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Speaker 1: just maybe, you know, we get a little forty nine

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Speaker 1: or you know, situation where we're dominant, we take our

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Speaker 1: front off the gas a little bit at the end.

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Speaker 1: Jacoby Versett kind of makes it, uh just squeak by

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Speaker 1: into that cover. I know, wels she do just the

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Speaker 1: seeing from your face, you're buying it.

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Speaker 3: But back door cover right here, you got your back

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Speaker 3: right here, go get to shine Box.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the next one on our

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Speaker 1: list here, and we're gonna go back to uh wait,

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Speaker 1: we just did you Erickson? Did we not?

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Speaker 3: We did the Barkley Well were you? Go back to

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Speaker 3: Eric Barkley.

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Speaker 1: Barkley my favorite law firm. So let's go back to

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Speaker 1: Ericson again for another running back. Let's talk about b

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Speaker 1: Jean Robinson hoping.

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Speaker 2: You know we're gonna get my toes back in the

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Speaker 2: Arthur Smith well here with Robinson over twenty two and

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Speaker 2: a half receiving yards. Look, Arthur Smith can do what

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Speaker 2: he wants, but I still think just give him the

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Speaker 2: matchup against the Chicago Bears, who are the league's worst

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Speaker 2: team at defending running backs in the passing game. I'm

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Speaker 2: just I'm just gonna put my faith in Jon Robinson

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Speaker 2: seeing enough usage to get it done. I mean, he

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Speaker 2: ran thirty plus routes last week. He has the most

348
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Speaker 2: absolute insame usage as a receiver out of the backfield

349
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Speaker 2: for the Atlanta Falcons. I mean, the guy led the

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Speaker 2: team in receiving yards lest he had seven catch he

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Speaker 2: had ten targets last week. Like, if the game plan

352
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Speaker 2: is like we're gonna get Beja on the ball through

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Speaker 2: the air, then he's gonna fly over this s number

354
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Speaker 2: potentially on the first drive, a little David n Joku esque.

355
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Speaker 2: So I like Bijon Robinson here against the Bears. We're

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Speaker 2: allowing the most receiving yards by a lot, by over

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Speaker 2: ten yards to running backs this season.

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Speaker 1: All right, there you go, So Bjeon Robinson back on

359
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Speaker 1: the board again, but we're gonna go the over here

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Speaker 1: this time for him. All right, let's get back to

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Speaker 1: that Giants Rams game because it's hard to tell which

362
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Speaker 1: week which wide receiver we're gonna pinpoint. But you got

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Speaker 1: feelings about Cooper Cup this week?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know it's funny that you say that. We

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Speaker 3: just did the matchup previews show for week seventeen, if

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Speaker 3: anyone wants to check it out with a great debro

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Speaker 3: in Pat fitz Morris. And one of the things I

368
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Speaker 3: had posed to them was, these guys are not quote

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Speaker 3: eating together. Pooka and Cooper Cup. They had a nine

370
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Speaker 3: point fantasy point differential between each other for four straight weeks,

371
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Speaker 3: it's one guy that goes every single week this is

372
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Speaker 3: a killer matchup. So there's a part of the question

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Speaker 3: is like, who do you believe is going to go.

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Speaker 3: One of those guys likes Cup, one of those guys

375
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Speaker 3: likes Puoka. This might just be one of those weeks

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Speaker 3: that it doesn't actually matter. Cup has a receiving yard

377
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Speaker 3: prop of sixty eight and a half. He has hit

378
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Speaker 3: this in two of his last three games and had

379
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Speaker 3: six or more receptions in four straight games Against the Eagles.

380
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Speaker 3: Last week, both wide receivers were able to hit this

381
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Speaker 3: marker against the defense. Projections are very interesting too, because

382
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Speaker 3: the yard prop is in favor of Puka, but projections

383
00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:58,960
Speaker 3: this week are in favor of Cooper Cup. I think

384
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Speaker 3: the targets speak well. I think the matchup speaks well.

385
00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:04,040
Speaker 3: Cooper Cup is gonna be able to hit this. I

386
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Speaker 3: don't mind both of them. But you're under seventy yards

387
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Speaker 3: for Cup, you're over seventy. I think it's seventy two

388
00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:12,400
Speaker 3: for Pooka Nakua. I'm gonna say Cooper Cup has a huge,

389
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Speaker 3: huge week for this Rams team that is down to beat,

390
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Speaker 3: like not just like slightly beat teams. They are down

391
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Speaker 3: to beat beat, So Cooper Cup sixty eight and a half,

392
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Speaker 3: give me that receiving yards over.

393
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Speaker 1: Yeah. I think one of my favorite bets of the

394
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Speaker 1: week actually is to take the Rams and take the

395
00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:31,240
Speaker 1: Karen Williams anytime touchdown score. But those things, to me,

396
00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:33,240
Speaker 1: that's the easiest way to attack this game. I know

397
00:16:33,280 --> 00:16:35,040
Speaker 1: you're getting jews on both those things, but that's how

398
00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:37,320
Speaker 1: you get into the positive. Like I just think Rams

399
00:16:37,320 --> 00:16:39,400
Speaker 1: five and a half, Karen Williams anytime touchdown score, you

400
00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:41,720
Speaker 1: put them together, get plus one sixty three. That's just

401
00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:43,760
Speaker 1: an easy, big time like you can put a couple

402
00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:46,000
Speaker 1: of units on that, come away with a really good

403
00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:49,200
Speaker 1: day and then separately go for Cooper Cupp or Pooka

404
00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:50,640
Speaker 1: or whatever else you want to do in that game.

405
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Speaker 1: But to me, just go right for the gut there.

406
00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:55,520
Speaker 1: Just take what you got, good bye. I think Karen

407
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Speaker 1: Williams been down this stretch wellsh.

408
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Speaker 3: Just yeah, I mean, and he's been amazing. And one

409
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Speaker 3: of the that's actually kind of other things you can

410
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Speaker 3: look at with this game too, is it's like, is

411
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Speaker 3: it gonna be just more kyrone and it's gonna take

412
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Speaker 3: away and they're gonna score and it's gonna take away

413
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Speaker 3: from the passing side, Kyra, and I believe is in

414
00:17:10,840 --> 00:17:14,200
Speaker 3: the negative juice where Cup and Pooka are both plus

415
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Speaker 3: one ten at least on DK for anytime touchdowns.

416
00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:20,160
Speaker 1: Pluspectation handle for Cup, plus one ten for Puca. So yeah,

417
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Speaker 1: so every they're telling you, Vegas are telling you we

418
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Speaker 1: expect rams scoring, a lot of ram scoring.

419
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Speaker 2: Yeah.

420
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Speaker 3: The only thing I'm afraid of is it just happens

421
00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:31,960
Speaker 3: all super quick defensive touchdowns and stuff like that. I

422
00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:34,040
Speaker 3: think I I'll tell you right now, I think Cooper

423
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Speaker 3: Cup could take this in the first half. I think

424
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Speaker 3: he could take this receiving yard total in the first half.

425
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Speaker 3: It's one of my favorite bets this week.

426
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Speaker 1: All right, Erickson, one more for you. We also got

427
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Speaker 1: anytime touchdown calls coming to But one more prop for you, Ericks,

428
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Speaker 1: And what's on the board for you?

429
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Speaker 2: In Week seventeen, Javonte Williams over two and a half

430
00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:52,080
Speaker 2: catches against the Chargers. So every running back not named

431
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Speaker 2: James Cook because James Cook cuts down last week and

432
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Speaker 2: couldn't feed my kids.

433
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Speaker 3: So it's very, very sad.

434
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Speaker 2: If only you have every other running back not name

435
00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:02,480
Speaker 2: James co has gone over their catches prop. Nine of

436
00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:04,639
Speaker 2: the last eleven have gone over their receiving yards PROP.

437
00:18:05,040 --> 00:18:07,800
Speaker 2: So Williams has three plus catches nine to thirteen games

438
00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:09,960
Speaker 2: played this year. He's gone over in seven of his

439
00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:13,760
Speaker 2: last nine games. Now, having Jared Stidham under center does

440
00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:16,800
Speaker 2: add another wrinkle here, But the odds or the prop

441
00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:18,840
Speaker 2: that is at plus money, so you're getting a plus

442
00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:21,879
Speaker 2: one fifteen I bet MGM. So I think even with

443
00:18:21,960 --> 00:18:24,159
Speaker 2: Jared Stidham, I still expect the running backs to be

444
00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:25,639
Speaker 2: heavily involved in the passing game. We still don't know

445
00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:28,080
Speaker 2: the status of Courtland Sutton, so they don't have any

446
00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:30,760
Speaker 2: receivers that Jared Sidham could even use as the starter. So,

447
00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:32,600
Speaker 2: even though he's not, I think as much of a

448
00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:35,200
Speaker 2: checkdown guy as Russell Wilson. I just think that the

449
00:18:35,280 --> 00:18:38,320
Speaker 2: running backs are so involved in this offensive philosophy anyway

450
00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:41,800
Speaker 2: that Williams continues to see work through the air, especially

451
00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:42,680
Speaker 2: in a great matchup.

452
00:18:42,920 --> 00:18:44,919
Speaker 1: Do you even have pets, Erickson, do you have a pet?

453
00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:46,720
Speaker 2: Oh? Yeah, I can't have a pet where I live.

454
00:18:47,280 --> 00:18:50,240
Speaker 1: Tomagotchi go one of those things he's got ones like

455
00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:53,080
Speaker 1: from nineteen ninety eight that's still alive. He's like to

456
00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:53,439
Speaker 1: see that.

457
00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:54,720
Speaker 3: I'd like to see a video series.

458
00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:00,879
Speaker 1: Rickson got it two days later. Tom, that's it. What

459
00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:05,920
Speaker 1: happens when those died? Did you have like reprogrammed it you? Yeah?

460
00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:08,240
Speaker 3: It should almost be like like the thing fries.

461
00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:11,720
Speaker 1: I remember I wanted them one year when she was little.

462
00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 1: This is like way back in the late nineties. So

463
00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:14,879
Speaker 1: we got her a couple of them. But I was

464
00:19:14,880 --> 00:19:17,000
Speaker 1: always wondering, like, so, if you don't take care of it,

465
00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:19,199
Speaker 1: it dies. But it's digital. He just like reset it.

466
00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:21,760
Speaker 1: That comes back to life. That's not really I guess

467
00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:24,639
Speaker 1: that's reincarnation. I get that. There you go. Oh that

468
00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:27,320
Speaker 1: is thinks. Got a little deeper of this show real fast.

469
00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:29,400
Speaker 1: Let's go back to you. I was one more prop

470
00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:31,879
Speaker 1: before the anytime Toushdown calls, yeah, CJ.

471
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:35,639
Speaker 3: Stroud is back, so that means Nico Collins is back. Nico.

472
00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:38,080
Speaker 3: I saw this stat I should I got a credit

473
00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:39,920
Speaker 3: the person. I don't remember where I saw it from.

474
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:43,760
Speaker 3: But Nico Collins in home games this year averaging over

475
00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:47,560
Speaker 3: one hundred yards receiving, and that is obviously with CJ. Stroud.

476
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:51,920
Speaker 3: He did not hit against the Jets in Cleveland most recently,

477
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:55,359
Speaker 3: what this number would be really really tough defenses, But

478
00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:58,480
Speaker 3: the three games prior he'd had at least seven receptions

479
00:19:58,520 --> 00:20:01,879
Speaker 3: and hit this receiving yard prop of fifty six and

480
00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:05,040
Speaker 3: a half. The most important thing here is that CJ.

481
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:08,680
Speaker 3: Stroud is back, and he makes Nico Collins better. Also

482
00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:11,760
Speaker 3: makes Noah Noah Brown better, which I'm into. But I

483
00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:14,520
Speaker 3: think Nico is going to absolutely eat. And I might

484
00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:16,720
Speaker 3: even get crazy this week and mess around with the

485
00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:19,359
Speaker 3: little alt yards on Cooper Cup and Nico and put

486
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,720
Speaker 3: those together, maybe a little eighty plus alt on both

487
00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:24,560
Speaker 3: for plus money. But Nico, I think on Fantasy Pro

488
00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:26,960
Speaker 3: consensus ranks also has been put in as like a

489
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:31,800
Speaker 3: top fourteen to fifteen wide receiver home games Stroud matchup

490
00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:33,200
Speaker 3: Nico Cash.

491
00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:35,800
Speaker 1: Lots of good things there, like like all those words,

492
00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:37,320
Speaker 1: especially when you say them more of the time, like

493
00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:40,920
Speaker 1: that makes a nice emphasis. All right, gentlemen, last week

494
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:42,879
Speaker 1: you really went off the deep end. I know it

495
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,000
Speaker 1: was the holidays. You guys were a little burnt out.

496
00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:48,520
Speaker 1: But Tanner Hudson did not score a touchdown, nor did

497
00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:52,320
Speaker 1: Boston Scott. So let's come back to earth, gentlemen. Let's

498
00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:54,399
Speaker 1: give something for the people here, let's atone for our

499
00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:57,960
Speaker 1: sins of last week? Shall we ericson? Who do you have?

500
00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:00,400
Speaker 1: Let's go to score a touchdown this week? And I'm

501
00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:01,720
Speaker 1: a little worried that we're going to go off the

502
00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:02,879
Speaker 1: defend again here with yours.

503
00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:07,000
Speaker 2: No, because my analysis is not a narrative driven thing.

504
00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:10,359
Speaker 2: There is actual analysis behind this one. Austin Hooper Austin

505
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:12,920
Speaker 2: Hooper plus five hundred to score touchdown this week against

506
00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:14,399
Speaker 2: the Colts. Who look at the Colts defense, they give

507
00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:18,040
Speaker 2: him a touchdown last week to Kyle Pitts, and they've

508
00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:21,239
Speaker 2: allowed the fourth most red zone touches, fifth most red

509
00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:23,200
Speaker 2: zone targets to tight ends this season, but have only

510
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 2: allowed three receiving touchdowns to tight ends. So just based

511
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,040
Speaker 2: on the amount of volume that Titans are seeing against

512
00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:31,679
Speaker 2: their defense, they should be giving up more touchdowns than

513
00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:33,399
Speaker 2: they have been. So we saw some regression kick in

514
00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:35,760
Speaker 2: for the Falcons last week. Kyle Pitts scored a touchdown.

515
00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:38,600
Speaker 2: So Austin Hooper, who's going to be the starting tight

516
00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:41,520
Speaker 2: end for the Las Vegas Raiders because just for Hartstead

517
00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:44,240
Speaker 2: was placed on ir Michael Meyer has not been practicing

518
00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:46,760
Speaker 2: at all this week. Austin Hooper played eighty seven percent

519
00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:48,639
Speaker 2: in snaps last week. He's going to play all the

520
00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:51,720
Speaker 2: snaps so when the Raiders come into the red zone.

521
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:53,760
Speaker 2: He had one red zone target last week. He had

522
00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:56,480
Speaker 2: a career high or excuse me, season hind targets last

523
00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:58,680
Speaker 2: week because he played more. I think Austin Hoop's gonna

524
00:21:58,680 --> 00:21:59,560
Speaker 2: score a touchdown this week.

525
00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:03,000
Speaker 1: All right, Austin Hooper plus five hundreds, pretty good number.

526
00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:05,000
Speaker 1: All right, Well you've got one that's a little bit

527
00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:06,760
Speaker 1: more sane. So I like this one a little bit.

528
00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:08,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I brought it back down. We went with the

529
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 3: Tanner Hudson insanity last week, but we're gonna bring it

530
00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:12,680
Speaker 3: down to a cash. We are still going to take

531
00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:14,919
Speaker 3: plus money. I will say I was going to go

532
00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:17,120
Speaker 3: debo here, and I love the debo one, but it's

533
00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:19,040
Speaker 3: minus money. So I wanted to give you a plus

534
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:22,119
Speaker 3: money play. So I'm going with the Rashi Rice anytime

535
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:25,200
Speaker 3: touchdown and it's plus one twenty five. Rice has touchdowns

536
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:27,280
Speaker 3: and three of his last five games and two of

537
00:22:27,320 --> 00:22:30,240
Speaker 3: his last three, he has had fifty targets. I just

538
00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:33,399
Speaker 3: want to point out over the last five games, fifty targets.

539
00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:36,320
Speaker 3: Here's what's fun. Rice has the fifth most red zone

540
00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:40,560
Speaker 3: receptions in an eighty five percent red zone touchdown to

541
00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:43,720
Speaker 3: target percentage, which is higher than the likes of Justin Jefferson,

542
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:45,879
Speaker 3: Aman Ross, Saint Brown, and I want you to think

543
00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:49,040
Speaker 3: about this as well, fifth most red zone receptions and

544
00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:51,400
Speaker 3: think of how not involved he was in the first

545
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 3: portion of the year. He is the red zone touchdown

546
00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:57,080
Speaker 3: option as Kelsey has kind of tapered back. It's a

547
00:22:57,080 --> 00:23:00,920
Speaker 3: good matchup. Rashi Rice plus one twenty five anytime touchdown,

548
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:01,680
Speaker 3: by the.

549
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:03,800
Speaker 1: Way, my favorite one of the week. Of course, I'm

550
00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:07,520
Speaker 1: on the Christian McCaffrey wagon. Pretty harsh this week. Uh,

551
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:09,800
Speaker 1: the Jews for Christian McCaffrey for one touchdown.

552
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:10,679
Speaker 2: You know what it is. I don't know if you

553
00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 2: see it's like minus four hundred's.

554
00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:16,400
Speaker 3: Minus three, No, four hundred is four hundred.

555
00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:17,840
Speaker 2: Right, It's actually a joke.

556
00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:21,800
Speaker 1: It's a ridiculous joke. It's minus four hundred first time

557
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:24,560
Speaker 1: touchdowns plus two thirty last touchdown plus three ninety. So

558
00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:27,520
Speaker 1: first touchdown of plus two thirty. That sounds pretty good

559
00:23:27,560 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 1: to me. I like that one. Also the anytime at

560
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 1: plus one twenty five minuet as well, for plus for

561
00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:33,360
Speaker 1: it is.

562
00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:36,960
Speaker 3: Minus four twenty five on Draft King.

563
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:40,399
Speaker 1: It's nuts, It's it's any same, it's crazy.

564
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:42,440
Speaker 2: I wonder if he's gonna score not who knows?

565
00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:46,520
Speaker 1: Who knows? Gee, I wonder. But again, you gotta go

566
00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:48,840
Speaker 1: take two touchdowns for him to even get near the

567
00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,159
Speaker 1: plus money on that side. But I think you can

568
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,600
Speaker 1: get to I really do. I feel very good about that.

569
00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:56,280
Speaker 1: Just to recap with the boys, have Erickson's onto hoop

570
00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 1: Er four touchdown Javonte for two and a half receptions

571
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 1: over over twenty two and a half for Bijon under

572
00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 1: Sequon Barkley, sixty seven and a half rushing yards under

573
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:07,120
Speaker 1: three and a half receptions for George Kittle and over

574
00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:10,320
Speaker 1: Jamir Gibbs forty eight and a half rushing yards welsh

575
00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:13,000
Speaker 1: Is on Rushi Rice to score a touchdown, Nico Collins

576
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,240
Speaker 1: receiving yards over fifty six and a half, Cooper Cup

577
00:24:15,240 --> 00:24:18,160
Speaker 1: receiving yards over sixty eight and a half under Saquon

578
00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:21,919
Speaker 1: as well sixty seven and a half rushing yards excuse me,

579
00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:24,880
Speaker 1: and then Brock Purdy passing yards under to sixty seven

580
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:28,040
Speaker 1: and a half and over on Deebo's just mere eleven

581
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards the little tiny baby number,

582
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:33,120
Speaker 1: so you always look for those little baby numbers too.

583
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 1: I saw a little baby number on Greg Dorsch this

584
00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:36,920
Speaker 1: week too. By the way I was looking at that one.

585
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:38,680
Speaker 1: I think it's like thirty and a half. I saw

586
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:40,920
Speaker 1: that on the prop bet cheat sheep. So look on

587
00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:43,080
Speaker 1: the prop bet chice sheet because there's some great small

588
00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:46,280
Speaker 1: numbers there, some great projections. If you haven't utilized that

589
00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:49,040
Speaker 1: tool yet, use it because it is spectacular. It's over

590
00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:51,880
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com. Or just download the app right now.

591
00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:55,159
Speaker 1: And remember if you download the app right now for iOS,

592
00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:57,400
Speaker 1: you get three free days of premium. The perfect time

593
00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:03,639
Speaker 1: this weekend to start betting smarter. Not NFL, college football, NBA, NHL.

594
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:06,439
Speaker 1: I don't know. Is that slap fighting things still going

595
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:08,199
Speaker 1: around or people smacking each other in the face If

596
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:09,639
Speaker 1: you can bet on that, I guess we could do

597
00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:11,880
Speaker 1: that here too. Whatever you want to do, it's there

598
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:14,520
Speaker 1: for you on Betting Pros almost anything at least, but

599
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:16,960
Speaker 1: that'll do it for us. However, the story of the

600
00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:19,400
Speaker 1: game goes on for the Welsh and Andrew Ericsson, I'm

601
00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 1: Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids, Thanks for

602
00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:24,560
Speaker 1: listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

603
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:27,320
Speaker 3: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

604
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:30,280
Speaker 3: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

605
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:31,000
Speaker 3: or Spotify.

606
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 1: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

607
00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:37,720
Speaker 1: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

608
00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:40,280
Speaker 1: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.