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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Saturday morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Matt Paroltire off of Bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 1: And if you're listening to this podcast, I should probably

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Speaker 1: really thank you, because wow, we're not doing great. So

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Speaker 1: last week we go twelve and seven and we're feeling

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Speaker 1: ourselves and we're feeling good and well, we had a

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Speaker 1: really good end of the month and we're, you know,

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Speaker 1: up for units heading into a new month of Oh boy,

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Speaker 1: what a week. So we're seven and thirteen. We just

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Speaker 1: had our first future wager get blown up in one

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Speaker 1: basketball game because well, the Kings did not show up

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Speaker 1: yesterday and the Brooklyn Nets won their third game, so

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Speaker 1: we lost two bets on that. We had Sacramento minus four.

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Speaker 1: They got throttled, they made it a game a little bit,

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Speaker 1: but Buddy healed and that offense. Boy, oh boy. I

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Speaker 1: don't know what's going on with the Brooklyn Nets, the

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Speaker 1: Miami Marlins, and the Baltimore Orioles. It is weird. The

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Speaker 1: pandemic has turned everything on its head. And you can

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Speaker 1: win baseball games and be in first place with eighteen

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Speaker 1: players on the disabled list. You can have a bunch

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Speaker 1: of pitchers no one's heard of, and you can win

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Speaker 1: a bunch of baseball games, and you've got a basketball

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Speaker 1: team that looks like something off a movie set, just

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Speaker 1: thrown together, and you go in and you have this

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Speaker 1: cactus plant that all of a sudden becomes this rallying

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Speaker 1: cry for the Brooklyn Nets, and they're all of a

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Speaker 1: sudden a dangerous team. Now, if Brooklyn winds up as

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Speaker 1: the eighth seed, I'm not so sure Milwaukee wants to

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Speaker 1: play them, given the fact that the Nets beat Milwaukee

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Speaker 1: straight up to three games ago. This has been wild

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Speaker 1: And the only thing I can feel a little bit

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Speaker 1: okay with is that I've been talking to a lot

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Speaker 1: of my sports gambling friends and they're not alone here. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: some people are having good months, but a lot of

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Speaker 1: them are not, because it is really difficult right now,

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Speaker 1: because up is down, down is up, and well, if

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Speaker 1: you're following my plays, I do apologize. This has been

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Speaker 1: a bad week. And look, my money's in play here.

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Speaker 1: I mean this is not I'm not someone just makes

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Speaker 1: plick picks and like, oh shoot, sorry you lost. No,

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Speaker 1: I'm with you. So, I mean my bank roll has

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Speaker 1: taken the beating as well as everybody else. And I

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Speaker 1: don't know how you guys are in your marriages or relationships,

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Speaker 1: but when my bankroll is taking a beating, I get

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Speaker 1: the side eye from my wife like, hey, what's going on,

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Speaker 1: and it's hey, han, sorry, uh yeah, we're okay. I'll

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Speaker 1: turn it around. I promise. Not good at all. So

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Speaker 1: hopefully we can end the week here on a strong note.

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Speaker 1: And I would love us to go like six oh

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Speaker 1: five and one, seven and one something over the next

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Speaker 1: two nights, get back some of the money we've lost

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Speaker 1: here this week, and you know, get back on the

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Speaker 1: winning track and get back we've basically given up everything.

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Speaker 1: We were positive. We're now basically flat. So not great,

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Speaker 1: not where I want to be. But I do appreciate

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Speaker 1: you guys on Twitter, you know, writing messages and watching

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Speaker 1: games with me. I mean, yesterday was just ridiculous. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the Yankees lose one nothing. We picked the Yankees on

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Speaker 1: the money line. They lose one nothing. They get shut

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Speaker 1: out against Timpa Bay Rays, who all of a sudden

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Speaker 1: can pitch right of course, right the time I picked

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Speaker 1: the Yankees over the Rays. The Rays the team that

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Speaker 1: I think they can win the American League. Pennant which

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Speaker 1: have got there at plus one thousand, so okay, that

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Speaker 1: future wager is still alive. But my gosh, you watch

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Speaker 1: what happened and you're just bases loaded. Gary Sanchez, that

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Speaker 1: was the game. I knew it. I'm watching this going, okay,

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Speaker 1: this is the game. He has to get a hit

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Speaker 1: here if they score two runs, game over, no runs.

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Speaker 1: Gary Sanchers on three pitches, strikes out, and I knew

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Speaker 1: I was in trouble right there. I was like, uh, oh, okay,

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Speaker 1: we're in trouble. And then we played the first period

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Speaker 1: under for the Islanders and the Predators, and look at

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Speaker 1: I told you it was greasy, it was dangerous. I

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Speaker 1: was playing it just because I had gone three to

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Speaker 1: zero already, so I was up, you know, good money

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Speaker 1: on that play. And we just went ahead and wrote it.

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Speaker 1: And a couple of you guys on Twitter told me

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Speaker 1: you faded it just because you know how cold I am.

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Speaker 1: I was like, awesome. And that's if you're a og

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Speaker 1: listener of the Daily Juice podcast, meaning like the last

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Speaker 1: five weeks. But if you heard the first couple of podcasts,

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Speaker 1: I told you that. Anyway, I'm helping you make money

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Speaker 1: I'm doing my job. So if you want to take

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Speaker 1: the three picks I'm going to make here on the

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Speaker 1: Saturday edition of this podcast and go opposite. I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to be angry at all if you win and

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Speaker 1: I lose. I'm doing my job. And yeah, look it's

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Speaker 1: you know, when you're going good, everything's great. When you're

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Speaker 1: going bad, you just got to kind of figure it

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Speaker 1: out and kind of, you know, plow your way through it.

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Speaker 1: Todd Furman, who is a phenomenal guy here in Vegas,

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Speaker 1: often talks about the mental challenges of sports gambling. He's

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Speaker 1: been in this industry longer than I have, but I

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Speaker 1: love the things he says about, you know, understanding that

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Speaker 1: when things are going bad, you have to be able

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Speaker 1: to be mentally strong enough to get through it because

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Speaker 1: it is hard and everyone can win, and everyone's wonderful

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Speaker 1: when they're winning, but you know, it's the ones who

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Speaker 1: can keep going through the tough stuff and see the

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Speaker 1: fact that it's the long game, not the short game,

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Speaker 1: and understand that, yes, you will turn things around. At

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Speaker 1: some point, your luck will turn. So I'm hoping for that.

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Speaker 1: I'm hoping that happens. And I appreciate you guys along

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Speaker 1: for the ride here for the Daily Juice podcast. I

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Speaker 1: want to remind you about the Bettingpros dot Com slash

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Speaker 1: BETMGM offer. You go to that website and you can

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Speaker 1: get if you bet one dollar on the PGA Championship,

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Speaker 1: you can win one hundred dollars in free wagers from

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Speaker 1: BEDMGM if an American wins the PGA, which could happen.

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Speaker 1: Books Koepka looking pretty good for us top ten, don't

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Speaker 1: even win it, but he's looking pretty good, although he

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Speaker 1: was getting stretched out and I was like, oh my gosh,

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Speaker 1: this is horrible. In no way. We got Patrick Cantalay

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Speaker 1: who made the cut on the number, so he's got

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Speaker 1: two rounds to get into the top twenty. So hopefully

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Speaker 1: that guy turns it around and starts to play well

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Speaker 1: on the weekend. But Brooks to come in the top

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Speaker 1: ten at plus one fifty in cantill Ay top twenty

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Speaker 1: at plus one twenty. Are two plays still to go

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Speaker 1: on the PGA. But you go to bet MGM. Sorry,

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Speaker 1: you go to Bettingpros dot Com slash BETMGM and you

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Speaker 1: will be able to register and for a one dollar

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Speaker 1: wager win one hundred dollars one hundred dollars in free

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Speaker 1: money in free wagers if an American winds up winning

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Speaker 1: the PGA Championship, which will be crowned coming up on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: So good stuff with that. It's available in New Jersey, Colorado,

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Speaker 1: and Indiana plus West Virginia as well. And bet MGM

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Speaker 1: wants to remind you if you have a problem with gambling,

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Speaker 1: make sure you go out and call one hundred gambler.

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Speaker 1: That's one one hundred gambler. All right. Two plays for

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Speaker 1: UFC Fight Night six and one play in hockey that

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Speaker 1: we're gonna get to. So let's start with one fight,

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Speaker 1: the co main event between Amari like Metoff and former

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Speaker 1: UFC champion Chris Widman. Interesting fight here. Ak Medoff is

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Speaker 1: twenty four and one fighter from Russia. Gritty guy. He's

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Speaker 1: gotten big wins over the last couple of fights, you know,

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Speaker 1: spotlight fight here for him. He has ascended up the

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Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty five pound ladder to now face

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Speaker 1: the former midweight champion in Chris Widman, who's fourteen and five.

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Speaker 1: He comes back to the one eighty five division. He's

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Speaker 1: looking to get himself back on track. He's a decorated grappler.

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Speaker 1: He's a guy who beat Anderson Silva back into twenty

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Speaker 1: thirteen for the belt. Okay, he defended it three different times.

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Speaker 1: But he's now back into this division, back down at

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Speaker 1: one eighty five, and he wants to get a victory.

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Speaker 1: Looking at the stats between these two guys, Chris Widman

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Speaker 1: is six to two with a seventy eight inch reach.

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Speaker 1: Ak Medoff is six feet tall with a seventy three

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Speaker 1: inch inch reach. Both these guys are orthodox strikes. Leonard

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Speaker 1: per minute Widened with the advantage three point one to

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Speaker 1: two point nine to nine takedown's average three point eight

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Speaker 1: to two point four takedown accuracy fifty percent. It's tough

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Speaker 1: to get Wiman to the ground. Seventy three percent takedown defense,

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Speaker 1: and he goes for pretty much one submission every single time,

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Speaker 1: every fifteen minute. Joe, get Widman, who's gonna try to

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Speaker 1: submit you. He can hit you and knock you out.

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Speaker 1: He'll also take you to the ticket to the ground. This

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Speaker 1: is a veteran fighter with a guy who is having

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Speaker 1: an up and coming fight. It's a showcase fight, right Widman,

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Speaker 1: It's where are you? Are you going to have a career?

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Speaker 1: Left in this company. Back to back losses for him.

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Speaker 1: Last win came back against Kelvin Gasolom. It's been a while.

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Speaker 1: Widman needs a victory desperately. He's minus one forty here

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Speaker 1: on the consensus odds off bettingpros dot Com. Amari Ak

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Speaker 1: Medoff is a guy who at twenty four and one,

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Speaker 1: has a chance to get a victory, a big win

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Speaker 1: over a very talented veteran former UFC champion. There have

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Speaker 1: been some people who have thought that Wideman's career is

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Speaker 1: pretty much over and a Medoff at plus one twenty not.

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Speaker 1: I mean, he's in this fight, right, I mean, the

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Speaker 1: people are expecting a very close fight here. However, I

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Speaker 1: do think Chris Widman has a chance to get a

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Speaker 1: victory here and to stop those people who think that

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Speaker 1: Widman's career is over. Like like, Menoff is a smaller

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Speaker 1: man with a much shorter reach, and you've got Widman's experience,

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Speaker 1: his skill, and his ability to take you to the

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Speaker 1: ground and really really hurt you. So I think this

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Speaker 1: is gonna be a fun fight. I laid the minus

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Speaker 1: one forty here consensus odds minus one forty on Chris Widman.

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Speaker 1: Dank Chris Widman to get a victory here over a

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Speaker 1: Mariak Medoff in the middle eight division, and he needs

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Speaker 1: it desperately. Wideman, I think, wants to keep fighting, and

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Speaker 1: this is a guy who is just a little bit

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Speaker 1: too green to go up against this level of fighter,

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Speaker 1: this type of talent. Wideman to win at minus one forty.

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Speaker 1: In the main event, we have another play on it.

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Speaker 1: It's Derek Lewis versus Alexi Olinic. This is a wild fight.

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Speaker 1: This is a wild fight. The stats are one we

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Speaker 1: have to look at now first and foremost consensus odds.

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Speaker 1: Derek Lewis minus two hundred, Olinic is plus one seventy

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Speaker 1: five round total is one and a half rounds. This

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Speaker 1: is a five round fight. Derek Lewis's average fight time

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Speaker 1: is nine minutes and fifty five seconds. That's shocking for

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Speaker 1: a heavyweight. That's really long for a heavyweight. These guys

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Speaker 1: normally within one round are ending fight or early second

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Speaker 1: round ending fight. Olinic six minutes in fourteen seconds average

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Speaker 1: fight time. Both these dudes are enormous. Although Ollinic is

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Speaker 1: giving up about forty pounds, Derek Lewis is a huge man.

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Speaker 1: The difference between these two fighters, and Derek Lewis isn't

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Speaker 1: bad on the ground, He's just not like Olinic who

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Speaker 1: can has He has all sorts of weird. The bulk

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Speaker 1: in Strict is his nickname because of this boa choke

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Speaker 1: he does where he basically just grabs you and squeezes

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Speaker 1: the life out of you. But if this thing goes

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Speaker 1: to the ground, Derek Lois is in trouble. If it

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Speaker 1: stays on the feet, well then okay. Either guy has

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Speaker 1: enough power in those hands to knock the other guy out.

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Speaker 1: But I just think this is gonna be more of

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Speaker 1: a grappling fight than people are anticipating. I actually don't

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Speaker 1: think this is gonna be that good of a fight,

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Speaker 1: to be honest. I think Olinic wants to get this

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Speaker 1: to the ground and Louis is gonna try to stay

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Speaker 1: away and not commit to be taken down. So because

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Speaker 1: of that reason, I'm a little surprised I got even

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Speaker 1: money on the over one and a half rounds here

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Speaker 1: and again, Derek Lewis's average fight time is nine minutes

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Speaker 1: and fifty five seconds, and we know that Olinic wants

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Speaker 1: to go to the ground, so it takes time to

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Speaker 1: get a takedown, and it takes time to get a submission.

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Speaker 1: Lewis also is pretty good when he goes to the

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Speaker 1: grounds to avoiding submissions. So that's gonna burn time, it's

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Speaker 1: gonna burn energy. And sure it is difficult and dangerous

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Speaker 1: in the heavyweight division because one punch can end it.

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Speaker 1: And I get it, this is a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a dangerous play to go with the over one and

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Speaker 1: a half rounds. I just don't know if these two

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Speaker 1: guys are going to have themselves in that much danger

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Speaker 1: early to have an end, knowing they got to go

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Speaker 1: five rounds, and when heavyweights are going five rounds sometimes

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Speaker 1: there's a bit of a feeling out process as to like, Okay,

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Speaker 1: what's the first round going to look like? And where

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Speaker 1: are we gonna go here? And how do we how

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Speaker 1: are you going to approach me? And how quickly are

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Speaker 1: you gonna go and try to knock me out? How

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Speaker 1: quickly are you going to the ground. So heavyweight's always dangerous,

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Speaker 1: but the under is juiced up to minus one twenty.

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Speaker 1: It's not heavy juice there, and the even money going

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Speaker 1: over one and a half rounds. I just think this fight,

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Speaker 1: given Derek Lewis and how much of a slow starter

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Speaker 1: he is, and then Olenik in his desire to go

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Speaker 1: to the ground and have this be a grappling match.

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Speaker 1: It takes time to get submissions and it could go two, three,

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Speaker 1: four rounds even before this thing ends, So I don't

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Speaker 1: know who wins. Lewis I think could easily get submitted,

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Speaker 1: and if you want to go link by submission, I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna be angry. That's a lean that I would have.

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Speaker 1: I would lean towards a link via submission because I

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Speaker 1: think when guys go to the ground in mixed martial

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Speaker 1: arts it's normally lights out, and in the heavyweight division

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Speaker 1: it can really be lights out. But just I think,

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Speaker 1: given how cold I've been, I'm gonna go with the

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Speaker 1: safer play here and I get even money on it.

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Speaker 1: I think this thing goes more than one and a

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Speaker 1: half rounds. Lewis in olynic in the main event UFC

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Speaker 1: Fight Nights six. Here in Las Vegas, we're going over

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Speaker 1: one and a half rounds at even money. And finally,

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Speaker 1: I've got one play for you in hockey, So the

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Speaker 1: Vegas Golden Knights are taking on the Colorado Avalanche in

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Speaker 1: a really big game. Vegas wins, Vegas gets themselves the

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Speaker 1: number one seed in the Western Conference. They've wanted it,

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Speaker 1: they're desperate for it. Robin Lerner's going to be in

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Speaker 1: the net most likely. Mark Andre Fleury was bad, really

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Speaker 1: bad for them in their game against Saint Louis Golden Knights. However, though,

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Speaker 1: have scored a bunch of goals here so far, six

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Speaker 1: and five, and the Golden Knights have gone down in

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Speaker 1: both of their games early by doubled by two goals

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Speaker 1: or more. And you look at or his two goals.

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Speaker 1: They've come back both. They came back in won five

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Speaker 1: to three in their first game, in six to four

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Speaker 1: in their second game. Colorado during the regular season was

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Speaker 1: fourth in the NHL in goals per game at three

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Speaker 1: point three seven. They are scoring three goals per game

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Speaker 1: here in the round robin. The Vegas Goal Knights they

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Speaker 1: were thirteenth in goals scored in the regular season three

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Speaker 1: point one five, and they're scoring five point five goals

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Speaker 1: per game here in the round robin. Now, I don't

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Speaker 1: think they're gonna score five and a half six goals themselves.

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Speaker 1: The total is five and a half. But what's interesting

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Speaker 1: is that Robin Lerner has given up two goals per

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Speaker 1: game in all eight games he has played, he's one

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Speaker 1: of them all. It's four to oh, but he's averaging

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Speaker 1: two goals a game given up, so Vegas has sometimes

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Speaker 1: needed to come back after Learner's give up a couple

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Speaker 1: of goals. So I'm going to eliminate some of the

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Speaker 1: variants here. And what do I think and what do

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Speaker 1: I know. I know that Vegas can score, and I

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Speaker 1: know they're scoring really well right now. I know Colorado

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Speaker 1: can score as well, and they also can give up

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Speaker 1: and give up quite a few goals. Two and a

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Speaker 1: half is the team total for the Vegas Golden Knights.

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Speaker 1: I got it at minus one thirty. Vegas Golden Knights

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Speaker 1: team total at two and a half goals. This thing

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Speaker 1: could be a three to two victory for the Vegas

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Speaker 1: gold Knights. It could also be a four one victory

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Speaker 1: for the Vegas Golden Knights. I just think Vegas is

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Speaker 1: gonna score more than two goals here in this game

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Speaker 1: against Colorado, given what their offense has looked like. Look,

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Speaker 1: I've been okay in hockey. The one bet we got

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Speaker 1: right yesterday was the fact that we were able to

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Speaker 1: get a to get an under. But the Oilers and

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Speaker 1: the Blackhawks. Black Hawks won the game three to two.

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Speaker 1: That was a game that everyone was like, over, over, over,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna hit. The over is gonna hit. We went

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Speaker 1: against the grain, took the under and got our only

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Speaker 1: win here in hockey. So I'm gonna go back to

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Speaker 1: the Vegas Golden Knights here, not to win, not over

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Speaker 1: for the game or under for the game. Just the

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Speaker 1: Vegas Golden Knights team total to score more than two

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Speaker 1: and a half goals against the Colorado Avalanche at minus

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Speaker 1: one thirty. So those are our three plays here on

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Speaker 1: a Saturday. We went one in three, really one in

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Speaker 1: four yesterday because of the Brooklyn nets in the team

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Speaker 1: total for victories back now here, hopefully to have a

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Speaker 1: better game of better nights and some more victories for

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Speaker 1: us here coming up on a Saturday. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully we have a good day and then we're back

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Speaker 1: on Sunday, trying to close the week out, try to

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Speaker 1: get back to five hundred and get to a new

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Speaker 1: week with a new zero and zero record coming up

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Speaker 1: on Monday. Enjoy the games, enjoy the golf, will hopefully

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Speaker 1: maybe have a play on the Sunday PGA, but we'll

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Speaker 1: watch Brooks Koepka for a little bit here on Saturday

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Speaker 1: to see what happens on Moving Day. Hopefully something big

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Speaker 1: happens there for us. We're back tomorrow morning for the

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Speaker 1: Sunday istion on the Daily Juice podcast here off bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com MHM