Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from my Heart Radio,
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation,
Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now,
Speaker 1: here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I
Speaker 1: am Paul Charchy and my co host as usual Brian Johnson. Hello,
Speaker 1: what's up charge, Happy spring? Yeah, it's it feels like
Speaker 1: you're here in Minnesota forty degree temperatures. We're looking at
Speaker 1: sixties next week, which is really abnormal and also delightful.
Speaker 1: Certainly the supermarket in my speedo. Yeah, well, you're not alone.
Speaker 1: I've seen people in shorts all the time. It's forty.
Speaker 1: Today's forty degrees. People are out in shorts and T
Speaker 1: shirts jogging. That's God love them. One of the most
Speaker 1: Minnesotan things ever. But I'm usually an active participating in
Speaker 1: that as well, even though I'm not wearing shorts at
Speaker 1: the moment. You're not. You're a war in close. I'm
Speaker 1: happy to say free agency is looming free the The
Speaker 1: new year starts March seventeen, so that's when free agency hits.
Speaker 1: We're gonna get in a couple of free agency related
Speaker 1: shows between now and then, Brian. Today we look at
Speaker 1: fantasy relevant quarterbacks and running backs who are going to
Speaker 1: hit the market, and next week we will turn our
Speaker 1: attention to wide receivers and tight ends. Sounds good, yeah,
Speaker 1: And so the premise here is basically, here are the
Speaker 1: notable guys that you're you would ever even care about
Speaker 1: and a quick, very faster recap on last year, but
Speaker 1: really more looking forward to next year and where we
Speaker 1: had ideal landing spots where they could go with their
Speaker 1: value might be tos go up or down from what
Speaker 1: it has been um in a couple of cases, do
Speaker 1: you wanna do you want to act now? In Dynasty
Speaker 1: and Empire leagues before the player actually moves, because the value,
Speaker 1: if the value is going to go up on the
Speaker 1: player after he after he's got a new home. You
Speaker 1: want to make that deal now. And a lot of
Speaker 1: times it's just excitement around the player and he moves
Speaker 1: change when he changes teams, that's the time to uh yeah,
Speaker 1: either buy alow or sell high, depending on the guy,
Speaker 1: Depending on the guy. So let's start at the quarterback position.
Speaker 1: I think there are there are a bunch of teams
Speaker 1: with landing spots. But let me just let me just
Speaker 1: give you my list of teams that I think makes
Speaker 1: sense as landing spots for just for just these just
Speaker 1: teams looking for quarterback out right, potentially your former team,
Speaker 1: The Giants, the Saints, Denver, New England, Philadelphia, Chicago, Washington.
Speaker 1: I think those are all teams that could make a
Speaker 1: make a big The Giants are a little bit tricky
Speaker 1: because it's so hard to evaluate Daniel Jones, but the
Speaker 1: productivity hasn't been there. Gentleman is way too married to him,
Speaker 1: in my opinion, to h to make a move hopefully
Speaker 1: once they fire him, hopefully make a move a quarterback.
Speaker 1: But we're still hope. Dak Prescott. Let's start with him,
Speaker 1: probably without I think, without a doubt, the biggest name
Speaker 1: free agent quarterback. And there's you know, there's trade talks
Speaker 1: around Deshaun Watson, Russell Wilson and others, but they're not
Speaker 1: for agents, and we're folcusing on free agents. Let's talk
Speaker 1: Dak Prescott. Got Dak turns twenty eight in July, entering
Speaker 1: the prime of his career. Essentially uh as most should remember,
Speaker 1: just on a ridiculous pace. Last season, only really played
Speaker 1: four full games, got hurt in his in the fifth game.
Speaker 1: But if you extrapolate just those four full games over
Speaker 1: a sixteen game season, he would have finished finished with
Speaker 1: six thousand, seven hundred and sixty passing yards and just
Speaker 1: for reference to Shawn Watson led the NFL with right
Speaker 1: passing right. Uh, so not say you have to hit
Speaker 1: that number, but Dak looked great. He's got all the
Speaker 1: tools in his bag. He can throw, he can run.
Speaker 1: We assume he can still run. Yeah, he's trending towards
Speaker 1: being ready for training camp for whatever team he ends
Speaker 1: up on. He wants to be the second highest quarterback.
Speaker 1: It's paid quarterback behind Patrick Mahomes. Should he be as
Speaker 1: the question? Uh, we'll find out. But uh, word out
Speaker 1: of word out of Dallas. Who can still franchise tag
Speaker 1: him by the way. Uh, it's trending towards three signing him. Um.
Speaker 1: Dallas Morning News is Calvin Watkins reports, Uh, talks with
Speaker 1: Dak Uh last Tuesday, just a few days ago. We're
Speaker 1: more productive than they've ever been. Uh. Jane Slater says
Speaker 1: Dax met the facility nearly every day rehabbing, so it's
Speaker 1: leaning towards will be with the Cowboys one way or
Speaker 1: the other, whether it's a franchise tag or a long
Speaker 1: term deal. But just for fun, if he if Dallas
Speaker 1: lets him walk, yeah, which it seems hard to believe
Speaker 1: they just let him go and get nothing in return.
Speaker 1: But I think the forty Niners is a very intriguing
Speaker 1: landing s guy, and they've got the cap space, it
Speaker 1: seems to sign him, and that would that would make
Speaker 1: them immediate and if favorites, if not, the whole NFL.
Speaker 1: So and uh, when it comes to Dax redraft value
Speaker 1: right about now, he's going off the board quarterback seven. Uh,
Speaker 1: it's very early, obviously, but obvious guys Patrick Mahomes, Josh
Speaker 1: Allen not so obvious, Kyler Murray, Lamar Jackson, Aaron Rodgers,
Speaker 1: of Shawn Watson. Depending on where Dak ends up and
Speaker 1: where de Shaun Watson ends up, I think he's a
Speaker 1: little undervalued to quarterback seven right now. I think I'd
Speaker 1: rather take my chances of Dak. If you say it's
Speaker 1: on the Cowboys, it goes somewhere else over Kyler Murray
Speaker 1: or Lamar Jackson. So I think that if you're gonna
Speaker 1: get into early best Ball draft. I think that's a
Speaker 1: little undervalued. And the guy I'd be targeting right now, Yeah,
Speaker 1: I think I think there's something to that. The concern
Speaker 1: is around the ankle. And as you ready week one,
Speaker 1: I mean, if you're drafting now in the best ball, um,
Speaker 1: you know, fortunately it's best ball, whoever your second quarterback
Speaker 1: is will end up getting some you know, if he
Speaker 1: doesn't play the first month of the season or whatever,
Speaker 1: you'll end up getting somebody else. But I think that's
Speaker 1: the you know, that's the concern. But I do I
Speaker 1: share that concern, not really. And and his ranking, his
Speaker 1: dynasty appealed pretty much the same as in redraft. He
Speaker 1: certainly head of Aaron Rodgers, who I probably take Rogers
Speaker 1: over Deck in redraft, but definitely not dynasty. But yeah,
Speaker 1: he's right after Mahomes. You could argue he's the QB
Speaker 1: two with the Josh Allen's and the even Justin Herbert's
Speaker 1: in that convo right now, and uh so, yeah, alright,
Speaker 1: let's go to and this is a short list of
Speaker 1: uarderbacks who matter. Ryan Fitzpatrick a big drop off from
Speaker 1: Dak Prescott. In looking back at last season, in the
Speaker 1: games he his full games, he came in at roughly
Speaker 1: quarterback eighteen in points per game, and I thought he
Speaker 1: was gonna be a little higher. He had two scoreless
Speaker 1: games that hurt. He had five multiple touchdown games that
Speaker 1: helped ran in a couple of touchdowns. But as people know,
Speaker 1: eventually he just got benched for twa in Miami just
Speaker 1: decided even though two was not the best quarterback, and
Speaker 1: they benched to a couple of times, we're sticking it out.
Speaker 1: Went to a stubborn lead to the point that it
Speaker 1: cost him a playoff spot. That was really dumb. That
Speaker 1: was really dumb, and Fitzpatrick was I think, I mean,
Speaker 1: assuming you're playing, you know, every team's goal is to
Speaker 1: get to the super Bowl. You can't get to the
Speaker 1: super Bowl. Here, here's Miami steaming into weeks seventeen. They
Speaker 1: need to have a win in week seventeen. Fitzpatrick just
Speaker 1: bailed him out in weeked sixteen when he took over
Speaker 1: for Tua, generates a win and then they went right
Speaker 1: back to two lost. So I still think there's game
Speaker 1: left in Ryan Fitzpatrick's arm. But the only place that
Speaker 1: he can go that that really creates much fantasy value
Speaker 1: here is if he goes to a ready to win team.
Speaker 1: He goes to the Saints, he goes to Washington, if
Speaker 1: he goes to Chicago, those are some ready to win
Speaker 1: places for him. I don't necessarily love the receivers and
Speaker 1: all those teams, but you know, in some cases they're okay.
Speaker 1: I just don't think he goes it if he's a backup,
Speaker 1: if he goes anywhere else. I heard a little noise
Speaker 1: about Denver as a possibility to and you'd like to
Speaker 1: think he could take over the job from Drew Lock. Yeah, potentially,
Speaker 1: and it got some enticing receivers in Denver, especially with
Speaker 1: Courtland Sutton making that would be a nice spot for
Speaker 1: him there. You know, like Drew Lock, those two with
Speaker 1: two those two have in common is they will throw
Speaker 1: bad passes and then the next series they don't care.
Speaker 1: They just seem unaffected by bad play and then they
Speaker 1: just come out and keep slaying. And I love that.
Speaker 1: I remember there's a quote I use on an in
Speaker 1: season show. It was Drew Lock, and he's just like,
Speaker 1: once the ball leaves my hands, I'm just like, oh no,
Speaker 1: what have I done something? I'm paraphrasing a little bit,
Speaker 1: but he was like, you said that to the media,
Speaker 1: even your friend, best friend, Yes, you said it to
Speaker 1: the media. Um. Fitzpatrick at his advanced stage obviously has
Speaker 1: minimal dynasty value, and his redraft value honestly is pretty
Speaker 1: limited as well. I think he's he's unlikely to I
Speaker 1: just think he's unlikely to go to a team where
Speaker 1: he's the uncontested starter unless something goes horribly wrong. Really,
Speaker 1: the best thing Stubird should do is don't sign with
Speaker 1: anybody until training camp and then wait for your Teddy
Speaker 1: Bridgewater moment where you know somebody in training camp goes
Speaker 1: down and is gonna you know, some team, some team
Speaker 1: needs a starter who can walk in the door and
Speaker 1: take over immediately, like the Vikings had to pivot to
Speaker 1: Sam Bradford that year. That's I think that's the scenario
Speaker 1: for Ryan Fitzpat. The best scenario for Ryan Fitzpatrick at
Speaker 1: least wants to wait until after the draft so you
Speaker 1: don't have to go through another two situationally exactly a
Speaker 1: highly paid quarterback. Uh. The only other notable free agent
Speaker 1: to me is Cam Newton. I think I think he
Speaker 1: was benched four times in one season. I mean think
Speaker 1: about how far he's fallen from Super Bowl quarterback to
Speaker 1: a guy who got benched for Jared Stidham four times
Speaker 1: in one season. Cama turns thirty two in May, and
Speaker 1: last season all of his value was rushing the ball. Uh,
Speaker 1: He's He's essentially Taysom Hill might be Taysom Hill White,
Speaker 1: He's not nearly He's going a runner at this stage.
Speaker 1: But the passing touchdown total mind boggling. Eight passing touchdowns
Speaker 1: six pass attempts, which is a fair amount, and just
Speaker 1: for reference, eight passing touchdowns three nine six. Lamar Jackson
Speaker 1: had three hundred and seventy six attempts twenty six passing
Speaker 1: touchdowns eight Gardner mins you had three attempts fifty few
Speaker 1: or roughly sixteen passing touchdowns. Drew Brees only twenty two
Speaker 1: more twenty four touchdowns. The inefficiency throwing touchdowns, I can't
Speaker 1: explain it. He missed one game, he had bad receivers
Speaker 1: will give him that. Yeah, and people point to that
Speaker 1: all the time. But I don't care if you place
Speaker 1: fifteen games, you start fifteen games. In today's NFL, throwing
Speaker 1: a touchdown passes is ludicrously bad. Mind bogglingly bad. Now
Speaker 1: he's salvaged some fantasy value with his running, and the
Speaker 1: catch was when he didn't, you got nothing. And so
Speaker 1: like in a guilloteam format, he was a disaster because
Speaker 1: every other game he would not get your rushing touchdown.
Speaker 1: He would not get thirty or forty yards rushing and
Speaker 1: you've got nothing from your quarterback and now you're getting
Speaker 1: chopped at. He was a daily play for sure. You're
Speaker 1: just trying to trying to hit the right ride the
Speaker 1: wave in the right week. And when it comes to
Speaker 1: the landing spot, you said with Fitzpatrick, something that injury
Speaker 1: or something has to go horribly wrong with the starter
Speaker 1: of It's even more so with Cam. It's kind of
Speaker 1: a song wants to run a Saints like offense with
Speaker 1: a Taysom Hill player deep in the red zonner inside
Speaker 1: the twenty. That's really it. And I don't really know
Speaker 1: Cancel backup this year. If he's in the league at all,
Speaker 1: he's a backup and he'll probably be in the league.
Speaker 1: You said, like the Giants, that would be an intriguing
Speaker 1: landing spot for Cam. I think he could beat out
Speaker 1: Daniel Johns. I think probably he can't. He can't. I
Speaker 1: don't think he can. And I'm not even going to
Speaker 1: talk redraft dynasty value because there's nothing. Okay, let's go
Speaker 1: to running backs, way more interesting. The teams that I
Speaker 1: think are landing spots for pretty much any free agent
Speaker 1: running back. I believe our Houston, they just resigned David Johnson,
Speaker 1: but David Johnson's a wobbly starter. Atlanta, Seattle, depending on
Speaker 1: what they decided to do with Chris Carson. San Francisco
Speaker 1: with their constant rotating backs, who all of them always
Speaker 1: heard all of that, Miami Miles Gascon is a capable back.
Speaker 1: Green Bay because all they've got two of their three
Speaker 1: starters or two of their three hydrid headed backs. Of
Speaker 1: free agents, we'll talk about them in a minute. Green Bay.
Speaker 1: I mentioned Arizona, they've got Kenyan Drake headed to free agency.
Speaker 1: New York Jets they lost Levy on Bell basically replaced
Speaker 1: him with nothing. And Tampa Bay is a possible landing spot.
Speaker 1: You know, Leonard for that's a free agent. We're gonna
Speaker 1: talk about him little bit later. But let's start with
Speaker 1: the Packers situation with Aaron Jones and Jamal Williams. You know,
Speaker 1: we look back to last year it certainly feels like
Speaker 1: Jamal Williams had been vulturing a lot of work from
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones, and I thought, let's dig into the data
Speaker 1: and just see how that really shook out. Jones only
Speaker 1: had two carries last year, which means he was far
Speaker 1: from a workhorse, but two one carries was still the
Speaker 1: tenth most of any back last year, which is, you know,
Speaker 1: not bad. Top ten for carries and the sixth most
Speaker 1: receptions of any back last year, so he really did
Speaker 1: end up with the ball enough times in his hands
Speaker 1: to have a successful season, and he did score well. Williams,
Speaker 1: for his part, had almost exactly half of Jones's workload,
Speaker 1: so it was really a two third one third for
Speaker 1: those guys for most of the season. A J. Dillon
Speaker 1: started getting a little work at the very end season.
Speaker 1: Right now, people view Williams as being nearly as good
Speaker 1: as Jones, but that's my eyes. I think Jones is
Speaker 1: like a nine out of ten back. I agree he's
Speaker 1: really good, and Williams is good, and I think he's
Speaker 1: tangibly better than average, but he's like a six out
Speaker 1: of ten. He's he's a good back, that's it. And
Speaker 1: Jones average five and a half yards per carry. Williams
Speaker 1: average four point two yards per cary, which I think
Speaker 1: says plenty about both of those guys. So where could
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones especially go that would put him in a
Speaker 1: great spot. Well, honestly, I'd like to keep him in
Speaker 1: green Bay. I may have my first choice because I
Speaker 1: like to keep him in offense or he's been very successful.
Speaker 1: He's been a top five running back for Fantasy points
Speaker 1: the last two years, So I'd like to keep him there.
Speaker 1: If he can't go there, I want him to go
Speaker 1: to a team where he can be the focus of
Speaker 1: that offense, which he's never been in green Bay. Where
Speaker 1: could he go to be a workhorse? How about Atlanta?
Speaker 1: Nobody's standing in his way in Atlanta. Seattle if they
Speaker 1: let Chris Carson go, Seattle likes to use a workhorse back,
Speaker 1: that would be Aaron Jones. Pittsburgh, that whole, that whole
Speaker 1: running back situation is totally up in the air, and
Speaker 1: he could walk in there and be by far the
Speaker 1: best back. He'd get almost all the work. And the
Speaker 1: Steers almost always used a workhorse back when they can,
Speaker 1: and they haven't always been able to do that with
Speaker 1: James Conner who's going to be gone, and then the
Speaker 1: New York Jets. So for the Jets, uh, it's obviously
Speaker 1: a terrible team. Offensive line got a little bit better
Speaker 1: last year, but it's still you know, it'd be he'd
Speaker 1: be the workhorse back, but that's it. I think the
Speaker 1: re draft value for Aaron Jones in one of those
Speaker 1: workhorse landing spots puts him right back in the first
Speaker 1: round of fantasy drafts. We just did our kind of
Speaker 1: first two round way too early mock. We had Jones
Speaker 1: early second, early second round. Pittsburg or most of those
Speaker 1: places faults him into the first round. Now, if he's
Speaker 1: a shared back, I think he's still like a second
Speaker 1: or third rounder in a shared backfield because he'd still
Speaker 1: be the better if whatever back he gets teamed up with,
Speaker 1: and he'd still get a lot of work, and his
Speaker 1: dynasty value I think remains very high for Aaron Jones.
Speaker 1: He's been modestly used. He's only twenty six years old.
Speaker 1: He's got another three or four good years left in him,
Speaker 1: which is you know, for running back, it's pretty good. Now,
Speaker 1: say he goes to Pittsburgh or the Jets, who are
Speaker 1: two teams that are sort of there's talk that they'll
Speaker 1: go high at running back in the draft and grab
Speaker 1: a Nazi Harris or a Travis E the end. If
Speaker 1: they signed Aaron Jones before the draft, I think that
Speaker 1: tips their hands that they were not not that early,
Speaker 1: not early enough to get those guys. I don't think. Yeah,
Speaker 1: all right, let's talk about Chris Carson. You know we've
Speaker 1: alluded to him a couple of times now and where
Speaker 1: what do you feel like is the prospects of him
Speaker 1: staying in Seattle? And as I remember back in the season,
Speaker 1: you know, he battled injury a lot and play through
Speaker 1: some injury, but he just it never felt like it
Speaker 1: was all clicking for him. Last year. I only played
Speaker 1: in twelve games, but finished fourteen in a PPR points
Speaker 1: per game among among running backs. Pretty impressive considering he
Speaker 1: had eight or less carries than four of those twelve games. Uh.
Speaker 1: And he's just whatever. He's been healthy and they give
Speaker 1: him significant touches. He looks great, and yeah, Seattle's had
Speaker 1: a pretty bad offensive line for the most of the career. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and Russell Wilson's which is why he's piste off. Carson
Speaker 1: a career four point five yards per carry since the
Speaker 1: start of eighteen and this is regular season games only. Uh.
Speaker 1: Here are the most rushing yards among uh, well not
Speaker 1: running backs football players since Lamar Jackson makes this list,
Speaker 1: but it's Derrick Henry with hundred. Roughly this is the
Speaker 1: last three years, Yeah, last three years since Derrick Henry
Speaker 1: with hundred. Zeke around thirty eight hundred, Dalvin Cook, and
Speaker 1: Chris Carson clocks in just over that, and he's he's missed.
Speaker 1: He missed four games this year, and he's probably missed
Speaker 1: four games between every year he was like fourteen and
Speaker 1: fifteen games played two But still that's a crazy impressive.
Speaker 1: So I love him as a player, and I like
Speaker 1: him as a player more than most people do too.
Speaker 1: I think he's a I think Carson is quietly a
Speaker 1: very good back. And and really the landing spots, the
Speaker 1: potential ones are are all the same as uh the
Speaker 1: ones you mentioned for Aaron Jones at Miami maybe Atlanta.
Speaker 1: I think San Francisco would love to have him, not
Speaker 1: only for his abilities but his intel and uh when
Speaker 1: it comes to re draft. Looking right now, he's going
Speaker 1: around RB twenty, which he seems pretty low after guys
Speaker 1: like uh Clyde Edwards Hilaire, who no one has sold
Speaker 1: on at the moment, Joe Mixon who, Josh Jacobs who
Speaker 1: seems to always be getting off the field, trouble now
Speaker 1: and hurt and hurts. So Chris Carson at RB twenty
Speaker 1: is an insane value and he's probably going even later
Speaker 1: in dasty formats he turns twenty seven. Uh, let me
Speaker 1: see when I got it written down in September. So
Speaker 1: that's pretty good. I mean he's got a good you know,
Speaker 1: two or three good in the tank. So I think
Speaker 1: he's really undervalued in both formats, and the guy I'll
Speaker 1: be keeping my own, especially once we find out where
Speaker 1: he ends up. We will continue our conversation about the
Speaker 1: free agent running backs, the best landing spots, what to expect,
Speaker 1: the value going up down when we come back to
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly in just a moment, Welcome back Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly. Paul Chartie and Brian Johnson with you. We
Speaker 1: are going through the free agent running backs that are
Speaker 1: headed to market here in about two weeks. There's some big,
Speaker 1: big names. This is one of the biggest free agent
Speaker 1: running back crops we've ever seen, and the fact that
Speaker 1: these teams are all squeezed for money, means that the
Speaker 1: many of them are not going to resign with their
Speaker 1: original teams and they're gonna be out duking it out
Speaker 1: trying to find decent deals. And I don't think anybody's
Speaker 1: gonna get an Alvin Kamara Dalvin Cooks style contract like
Speaker 1: those guys were able to negotiate from their teams in
Speaker 1: the early part of the regular season. This past year,
Speaker 1: Let's go to Mike Davis. We've got some other bigger
Speaker 1: names coming, but for Davis, he and probably finished last
Speaker 1: year is running back seventeen and he was a solid
Speaker 1: RB two in PPR leagues really all season long. And
Speaker 1: what was most impressive about his seasons the Panthers did
Speaker 1: not shy away from using Mike Davis, almost exactly like
Speaker 1: they used Christian McCaffrey. Now, Davis did wear down at
Speaker 1: the end of the year and his productivity slipped, and
Speaker 1: we saw a lot more of guys like Rodney Smith,
Speaker 1: but still it was a it was a good showing
Speaker 1: for him, and I think he's gonna find himself someplace
Speaker 1: where Mike Davis can be in a time share and
Speaker 1: can be a number two when a one to split
Speaker 1: getting the carries. Yeah, he was essentially kicked to the
Speaker 1: curb by Seattle and the Bears, I believe, and when
Speaker 1: he took over from McCaffrey or like, this is going
Speaker 1: to be a disaster, But yeah, he was a he
Speaker 1: was What do you think about this? Houston just cut
Speaker 1: Duke Johnson. He can walk right into that role. Duke
Speaker 1: Johnson was a pass catching number. You back, um, and
Speaker 1: Davis is every good, if not better, as a as
Speaker 1: a pass catcher. And he's just a better runner than
Speaker 1: Duke Johnson ever was. I think that's a perfect fit
Speaker 1: for him now as a There are other spots to
Speaker 1: where he could go into a rotation of backs, like
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay's could be a rotation of backs, Arizona could
Speaker 1: be a rotation of backs, Miami with Gascon could be
Speaker 1: a rotation. In San Francisco always uses a rotation. I
Speaker 1: think he's going to fit in there. And from a
Speaker 1: redraft standpoint, Davis is a late round dart throw handcuff
Speaker 1: kind of guy. Um. I don't think you're gonna have
Speaker 1: to put any reliquity into him. And from a dynasty
Speaker 1: value standpoint, it's very low. He's sneaky old actually, twenty
Speaker 1: years old, he got he was on rosters, We got
Speaker 1: very little work in the early days. The only good
Speaker 1: thing is he's low mileage because last year was the
Speaker 1: only year he really got much work. Unless it's an
Speaker 1: insanely deep league. Though he's a guy you're you're cutting
Speaker 1: in your rookie draft to draft to draft somebody. It
Speaker 1: depends a little bit of where he goes, you know,
Speaker 1: in the right in the right system. Um. For example,
Speaker 1: if Tampa Bay lets Leonard for a net walk and
Speaker 1: they might I don't think so, but they might. Um,
Speaker 1: and he walks into that spot, well, we know he's
Speaker 1: gonna get a certain number. Mike Davis is at that
Speaker 1: point still rosterable in a one two punch in Tampa Bay.
Speaker 1: Let's go to Kenyan Drake. I think there's one of
Speaker 1: the more fascinating angles. Chase Edmonds looks like he could
Speaker 1: be sitting on what will ultimately be a starter's workload here.
Speaker 1: But talked to us a little bit about Kenyan Drake.
Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury recently said he thinks Chase Edmunds could be
Speaker 1: their starter. So that kind of seems like Drake is
Speaker 1: on his way out. Yeah, arguably among players who played
Speaker 1: the majority of the season. Drake played fifteen games, which
Speaker 1: I thought he was only like twelve or thirteen games.
Speaker 1: He played fifteen games because all those games are very forgettable,
Speaker 1: easily one of the biggest bus when it comes to
Speaker 1: the running back position, because he was, if not a
Speaker 1: late first round pick in some weeks, a second round pick. Uh.
Speaker 1: Just turned twenty seven a couple of months ago, so
Speaker 1: he's got a few years left to kind of. He's
Speaker 1: got a lot of tread on his tires. I don't
Speaker 1: know how his tires are like in the discount section
Speaker 1: of costco though. Uh he finished twenty four in PPR
Speaker 1: points per game last year. Not great. Uh he only
Speaker 1: topped fifteen receiving yards once all season. Wow gross zero
Speaker 1: zero receiving touchdowns. Edmonds really took a lot of that work.
Speaker 1: And uh more, there's more badness in the underlying stats.
Speaker 1: Drake was roughly thirty enforced miss tackles per attempt, end
Speaker 1: yards after contact per attempt. So not a very sexy
Speaker 1: name in the free agent market potential landing spots. It's
Speaker 1: gonna be one of one of these teams that doesn't
Speaker 1: have a ton of cap room and one that kind
Speaker 1: of makes sense to me if Chris Carson leaves the
Speaker 1: Seattle because again, they I think they've got like four
Speaker 1: millions something like that in cap space and and they
Speaker 1: kind of wanted. They usually run a platoon unless they
Speaker 1: have a superstar running back, which which they haven't really
Speaker 1: had since I mean Dave Lynch, and they ran extensive
Speaker 1: obviously and that, but Carson was When Carson was healthy,
Speaker 1: they usually went with workhorse dress cards. But of course
Speaker 1: and leaves. I don't think they have that back in
Speaker 1: Rashad Penny, so he could find his way into put
Speaker 1: in a platoon situation. And again, uh, Seattle would like
Speaker 1: some inside intel from from the Cardinals perspective. I'm it's
Speaker 1: not a major factor, but another like the Jets maybe
Speaker 1: seem like a place Drake could go, but he'd probably
Speaker 1: end up competing with somebody. I think the Jets draft
Speaker 1: a rookie running back pretty high in the draft. So yeah,
Speaker 1: but no one really cares all that much where Kenyan
Speaker 1: Drake end up. He could turn out to be uh
Speaker 1: an insane value. He's definitely not going back to going
Speaker 1: back to Miami. I doubt that, right, I don't think so.
Speaker 1: But redraft value and dynasty value really none right now.
Speaker 1: He kind of the same as Mike Davis almost maybe
Speaker 1: a little flasher than Mike Davis, but not a lot.
Speaker 1: Right now, you're not drafting Drake and maybe the last
Speaker 1: round or two in the best ball. But yeah, if
Speaker 1: I've got if I, if I've got Drake on my
Speaker 1: dynasty roster, I consider that to be. You know, I
Speaker 1: certainly don't have a starter for next year. I got it,
Speaker 1: I got it. He's just I got a hope that
Speaker 1: there's some magic that happens and something breaks his way.
Speaker 1: And again to count on, it's really early, and I'm
Speaker 1: using Fantasy Football calculator and they have Drake running back
Speaker 1: right now. But the board really getting drafted that high.
Speaker 1: But there's no way that's for David Johnson, even Melvin Gordon, Leonard,
Speaker 1: for Nett, even who I would. I turned this up
Speaker 1: in Melvin Gordon this week and I tweeted it. You
Speaker 1: can please follow me at Paul Charchi. Melvin Gordon was
Speaker 1: top twelve among all running backs in attempts, rushing yards, uh,
Speaker 1: fantasy points and uh it might have been yards per carry.
Speaker 1: I don't I'm trying to remember I mean it was
Speaker 1: she was. He was shockingly he was shockingly effective. Philip
Speaker 1: Lindsay has always been my guy, and I love Philip Lindsay.
Speaker 1: But Lindsay did nothing and he was playing hurt half
Speaker 1: of the season, and it it ended up being Melvin.
Speaker 1: A good season for Melvin Gordon. Let's go to James Conner.
Speaker 1: Free agent. James Conner, it's said we recap last year.
Speaker 1: I think the best thing we can say is that
Speaker 1: he never yielded the starting role to Benny Snell or
Speaker 1: Anthony McFarland. And there's much better to say about it
Speaker 1: than that. It seemed mostly just Snell McFarland didn't want
Speaker 1: the job more than James Conner protected the jobs. I
Speaker 1: thought he looked hopelessly mundane throughout the year. He started
Speaker 1: the year with a couple of good games early on,
Speaker 1: he never topped eighty nine yards after Week six. His
Speaker 1: average game after Week six for James Conner twelve carries,
Speaker 1: forty three rushing yards and zero point three touchdowns per game. Blick, awful, awful.
Speaker 1: He Pittsburgh will not keep him. He can't be a
Speaker 1: work course. He is too frail, he is not good enough,
Speaker 1: and he's I think the only place where he has
Speaker 1: any fantasy values if he finds his way into a
Speaker 1: time share someplace which puts him back into the conversation
Speaker 1: of other teams. We've already talked about his time share
Speaker 1: destinations like Houston, like San Francisco, Miami, Arizona, Tampa. I
Speaker 1: think those are your your timeshare destinations for James Conner
Speaker 1: where you'd have any value. I think the redraft value
Speaker 1: and James Conner is extremely low. I don't trust him
Speaker 1: to be fantasy rosterable even next year, and his dynasty
Speaker 1: values is even lower because I I don't see him.
Speaker 1: I don't see any reason why James Conner gets better
Speaker 1: in the future. To quickly circle back to Pittsburgh and
Speaker 1: specifically Aaron Jones, Ben Roethlisberger recently restructured his his contract
Speaker 1: free up some money, so that feels like Aaron Jones landings.
Speaker 1: Maybe they gotta figure out their offensive line all over
Speaker 1: the place. But yes, yes, that's part of it. Juju
Speaker 1: Smith Schuster is gonna walk uh there as well, as
Speaker 1: predicted on this show at this time last year and
Speaker 1: all offseason. Let's talk about Todd Gurley. Free agent Todd Gurley,
Speaker 1: you know he signed that one year prove it deal
Speaker 1: with the Falcons and promptly proved that you can't trust
Speaker 1: Todd Gurley. Yeah, he did not prove much, even though
Speaker 1: he had nine rushing touchdowns, but eight of those came
Speaker 1: from inside the ten yard line. That's where he got
Speaker 1: all of his production. And it was a very good offense,
Speaker 1: so they were they were inside the ten twenty of times.
Speaker 1: But Gurley finished twenty three among running backs in total
Speaker 1: PPR points, but thirty second in points per game, which
Speaker 1: is just awful. Uh average just three point five yards
Speaker 1: per carry. He only average three point eight yards per
Speaker 1: carrying twenty nine, so he's trending way down. Uh turns
Speaker 1: twenty seven in August, but that's like the oldest twenty seven.
Speaker 1: It feels that it doesn't know history. And uh and
Speaker 1: like Drake, Gurley was roughly thirty in yards after contact
Speaker 1: per attempts, just got like no wiggle left. No, the
Speaker 1: Jets are gone. Uh that that knee injury is a
Speaker 1: lifetime knee injury thing for him and will probably never
Speaker 1: get better. So potential landing spots. I'm thinking if the
Speaker 1: XFL gets what about the fan control right here? Yea
Speaker 1: watch that by the no and I love it. I
Speaker 1: love conceptually, I love it, but I haven't watched it yet.
Speaker 1: I watched the first week and it was entertaining, but
Speaker 1: they set the bar too high with putting Marshawn Lynch
Speaker 1: in the booth because the entertainment value of that was
Speaker 1: just I would go back in YouTube just Marshawn Lynch
Speaker 1: because it's on Twitch, so it's like totally right. Anything goes.
Speaker 1: That was like, but it was pretty good, but I
Speaker 1: reterally didn't go back. I don't. I'm sure they've the
Speaker 1: notion that fans call the place that's pretty awesome. I
Speaker 1: didn't partake in that. I wish I faigured that. I
Speaker 1: know I didn't like sign up for an account or whatever,
Speaker 1: but I know people are still buying into the teams
Speaker 1: like Famous. I think Dalvin Cook is a no winner
Speaker 1: in a team now, and they're They've got a bunch
Speaker 1: of Silicon Valley investors behind them, and there's there's some
Speaker 1: there is some legitimate momentum with the FCS. The biggest
Speaker 1: the mistake they've made, which is replicating the exact mistake
Speaker 1: the XFL made and the a a F made. They're
Speaker 1: starting their season right at the end of the NFL season.
Speaker 1: We've just got done of six months of football. People
Speaker 1: need a break from football started in the summer when
Speaker 1: we're hungry for football again. Why these leagues keep replicating
Speaker 1: the exact same mistake. Timing is everything fools and no
Speaker 1: no value in fantasy for a girl. And he's gonna
Speaker 1: get paid the minimum for whatever his tenure is. You know,
Speaker 1: I think he's a veteran minimum guy on some roster
Speaker 1: next year. He is one of the all time Cliff
Speaker 1: Faller offers running back. He led all fantasy backs in
Speaker 1: scoring in and two seasons later totally irrelevant, one of
Speaker 1: the biggest whiffs. If you didn't sell high at that point,
Speaker 1: you could have gained your price on him, um after season.
Speaker 1: Now you're holding the bag. If you're even still holding him.
Speaker 1: This is you know, it's all about to do the opposite.
Speaker 1: You just you know these running backs just that when
Speaker 1: the end comes, it comes violently for these running backs,
Speaker 1: all right. Leonard four Nets, the last of the free
Speaker 1: agent running backs, will of scuts and again next week
Speaker 1: wide receivers and tight ends. If we recap his season,
Speaker 1: it basically goes like this. He was almost impossible to start.
Speaker 1: In the regular season, he was only averaging eight fantasy
Speaker 1: points per game in ESPN scoring, and in many cases
Speaker 1: on a week tweek basis, you had no idea what
Speaker 1: was coming. Even if he got to ten touches last week,
Speaker 1: the next week three touches, then you couldn't know, because
Speaker 1: Bruce Arians does this with his running backs all the time.
Speaker 1: Then Ronald Jones gets hurt in Week seventeen, and then
Speaker 1: four Nets got free run for those first couple of
Speaker 1: games where he's going to get all the workload and
Speaker 1: he looked good doing it. And then in the final
Speaker 1: two games, the final two playoff games, he was just
Speaker 1: a better guy than Jones and he got most of
Speaker 1: the work playoff Lenny he would He went from eight
Speaker 1: fantasy points per game to seventeen Fantasy points per game,
Speaker 1: and I, to my eyes, I thought for Net looked
Speaker 1: just okay. For if I take the whole balance of
Speaker 1: the season and the playoffs, and he just looked okay.
Speaker 1: The worst part about that whole situation in the regular
Speaker 1: season was Week X. The TeVeS said Ronald Jones week
Speaker 1: it was the complete opposite, just like that was Bruce
Speaker 1: Arians just messing with people, fantasy owners, the opposing teams, whatever.
Speaker 1: Now to me, I don't have really an ideal landing
Speaker 1: spot for Leonard for NET except I don't think he's
Speaker 1: a workhorse back, and I think he would fail as
Speaker 1: a workhorse back. So I want him to to flop
Speaker 1: into one of our time share roles like the kind
Speaker 1: he just had. But I want him away from Bruce
Speaker 1: Arians because this is too frustrating. If I'm a Leonard
Speaker 1: Fournett Dynasty or Empire League owner, I just want him
Speaker 1: out of Tampa because I can't trust him there, because
Speaker 1: I can't trust Bruce Arians week to week. I just
Speaker 1: wanted to go somewhere else, go to Houston, like I
Speaker 1: got him on a team, And that is how I feel. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's I would like him to be somewhere else. I
Speaker 1: think he has middling redraft value, middling dynasty value. Um,
Speaker 1: but is it I got you keep on roster? Yeah,
Speaker 1: I don't think you're I don't think you're just straight
Speaker 1: out cutting, at least not right now, not that we
Speaker 1: know where we're just gonna He's gonna ends up somewhere
Speaker 1: right now exactly exactly. I don't. I don't think he's
Speaker 1: gonna be highly paid, and I think he's gonna fall
Speaker 1: into this. Everybody's expecting a blood bath of veteran cuts
Speaker 1: coming because of the salary cap, and not just that
Speaker 1: the salary cap is going down, but because teams had
Speaker 1: planned their spending under the assumption that it was going
Speaker 1: to keep incrementing up. And so it's not even like
Speaker 1: teams were spending thinking it was gonna be like the same,
Speaker 1: but they thought it was gonna increment up, so they
Speaker 1: you know, it's just teams are really most teams are
Speaker 1: really in a pitch, and so I think there's gonna
Speaker 1: be a lot of guys that fall into the category
Speaker 1: of Leonard four net that are serviceable backs. They're gonna
Speaker 1: be They're gonna take the veteran minimum because that's all
Speaker 1: they're going to get. He was fourth overall when he
Speaker 1: was drafted, forest player overall. Running backs just don't go
Speaker 1: that high. You have to be that special special. Barkley
Speaker 1: was bonkers. He was so good he still should not
Speaker 1: have been drafted that high, but well, only because of
Speaker 1: the injuries. Right, His rookie year was sensational, and that
Speaker 1: was the guy they drafted, and then two serious injuries later,
Speaker 1: we don't know what we got in see Kwon Barkley,
Speaker 1: I just got a bashed ghettoman. Whatever I can you know,
Speaker 1: I know you can't help yourself because he tore your
Speaker 1: heart out. I understand. Next week, as I mentioned, fantasy
Speaker 1: relevant wide receivers and tight ends headed for free agency,
Speaker 1: and there's a bunch of those as well, one very
Speaker 1: close to my heart. You can't wait till I'm gonna
Speaker 1: start dripping. I know i'd see it. I'm coming in hot.
Speaker 1: Yeah a long time, especially offseason. Listeners can already guess
Speaker 1: who Brian Johnson is going to be advocating for when
Speaker 1: we when we have next week's podcast, looking forward to
Speaker 1: that already. Thanks for listening, everybody. We'll be back next
Speaker 1: week for more fans Set Football Weekly. Fantasy Football Weekly
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