WEBVTT - Dolphins vs Colts Week 4 Preview 0:00:00.960 --> 0:00:13.200 That's your looking down field touchdown, Miami quar run. What 0:00:13.520 --> 0:00:17.360 is up? Dolphins? And welcome to the Drive Time Podcast, 0:00:17.640 --> 0:00:21.520 part of the Miami Dolphins podcast network, covering your team, 0:00:21.560 --> 0:00:26.200 your Miami Dolphins. How's it going everybody? It is a Thursday, 0:00:26.400 --> 0:00:29.280 the start of week four in the National Football League. 0:00:29.320 --> 0:00:32.199 I am your host, Travis Wingfield, and as always I 0:00:32.280 --> 0:00:35.080 am here to bring you your daily dose of Miami 0:00:35.200 --> 0:00:37.960 Dolphins football. And on today's show will look into the 0:00:38.000 --> 0:00:41.040 Dolphins Colts matchup as in depth as you're gonna find 0:00:41.080 --> 0:00:44.640 on a podcast, written story, or otherwise anywhere out there. 0:00:45.280 --> 0:00:48.199 We're gonna look at areas of opportunity, the challenges the 0:00:48.200 --> 0:00:52.240 Colts present, position by position matchups, the Dolphins will win 0:00:52.360 --> 0:00:54.680 if and the Colts will win if, as well as 0:00:54.720 --> 0:00:57.400 three Keys of the Game, and so so much more 0:00:57.520 --> 0:01:01.160 from the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex. 0:01:01.240 --> 0:01:08.039 This is the Drive Time Podcast comes all about the 0:01:08.040 --> 0:01:11.680 life of Don Shula Saturday at four thirty at hard 0:01:11.760 --> 0:01:14.240 Rock Stadium. The free event is open to the public 0:01:14.319 --> 0:01:16.760 and will feature remarks from the Shula family, with a 0:01:16.840 --> 0:01:20.840 panel of discussions from several Dolphins alumni. Attending fans will 0:01:20.880 --> 0:01:24.520 also receive a special commemorative Don Shula three forty seven patch, 0:01:24.720 --> 0:01:28.000 which of course signifies the three forty seven all time 0:01:28.440 --> 0:01:31.160 leading wins by a head coach of the National Football League. 0:01:31.319 --> 0:01:35.440 Registration is now open at Dolphins dot com slash Don Shula. 0:01:35.800 --> 0:01:38.319 And who did Don Shula coach for the majority of 0:01:38.360 --> 0:01:41.840 his career? Well, the greatest football team and the Indianapolis 0:01:41.840 --> 0:01:44.600 Colts or the Baltimore Colts, I suppose, But now indeed, 0:01:44.720 --> 0:01:46.440 and let's go ahead and start there as we do 0:01:46.560 --> 0:01:49.800 weekly with the preview and a quick overview of the 0:01:49.840 --> 0:01:52.720 incoming opponent for the Miami Dolphins. And I've long found 0:01:52.760 --> 0:01:56.840 the Colts one of the more interesting studies since Frank 0:01:56.920 --> 0:02:00.520 Reich's arrival there in Indianapolis. And that really co insides 0:02:00.560 --> 0:02:03.000 with Chris Ballard, who has built one of the best 0:02:03.240 --> 0:02:06.600 rosters top to bottom in the National Football League over 0:02:06.640 --> 0:02:09.639 the past three years. But that's where the intrigue really 0:02:09.680 --> 0:02:14.880 comes into me. In the quarterback position. Since Andrew lux retirement, 0:02:15.280 --> 0:02:19.040 they've been stuck in that unenviable position of having a 0:02:19.080 --> 0:02:22.679 strong roster without their long term definitive answer at the position, 0:02:23.000 --> 0:02:27.160 which then forced their hand towards some unconventional paths to 0:02:27.280 --> 0:02:30.040 feeling that quarterback position. Like to go out last year 0:02:30.040 --> 0:02:32.040 and to get Philip Rivers. I love that. That was 0:02:32.240 --> 0:02:35.080 I thought their best possible option in that season to 0:02:35.120 --> 0:02:38.480 put themselves in position to contend for a deep playoff run. 0:02:38.720 --> 0:02:40.640 And they got to the playoffs and they probably should 0:02:40.639 --> 0:02:42.840 have won that game, and Rivers played really well in 0:02:42.919 --> 0:02:45.520 that game, just couldn't quite capitalize on some of the 0:02:45.560 --> 0:02:49.400 Bill's mistakes and their own opportunities in that contest. Then 0:02:49.440 --> 0:02:52.560 this year, again not really in position to make a 0:02:52.600 --> 0:02:56.080 move into striking distance from one of the top quarterbacks 0:02:56.120 --> 0:03:00.919 in this quarterback heavy draft class of one, so they 0:03:00.919 --> 0:03:04.520 go the veteran route once more and repair Frank Reich 0:03:04.639 --> 0:03:07.960 and Carson Wentz and that magical season where he was 0:03:08.000 --> 0:03:09.800 the m v P of the league for my money, 0:03:10.040 --> 0:03:12.600 before tearing up the knee in that Rams game in 0:03:12.600 --> 0:03:15.359 like week fourteen, and then we all know what happened 0:03:15.360 --> 0:03:17.359 with Nick Foles and that Eagles team from there with 0:03:17.440 --> 0:03:19.639 the Super Bowl, and we'll swing back into the quarterback 0:03:19.680 --> 0:03:21.680 position there with Wentz. But first I think it's important 0:03:21.720 --> 0:03:23.799 to address their injury situation because this is a very 0:03:23.800 --> 0:03:26.520 banged up Colts team. Right now, as the injury report 0:03:26.560 --> 0:03:29.919 came out late on Wednesday afternoon and taking a look 0:03:29.919 --> 0:03:34.320 at Miami's Will Fuller was not at practice on the 0:03:34.480 --> 0:03:37.800 Wednesday with a shoulder and elbow injury that he sustained 0:03:37.920 --> 0:03:40.960 last week. He missed practice. Jerome Baker and Michael Dieter 0:03:41.080 --> 0:03:44.680 both were limited participants in Wednesday's practice, while Xavien Howard, 0:03:44.800 --> 0:03:47.760 Brandon Jones, and DeVante Parker were on the injury report 0:03:48.000 --> 0:03:51.680 but full participants at Wednesday's practice. For the Colts, three 0:03:51.720 --> 0:03:55.720 players were limited. They are guard my Mark Glowinski, running 0:03:55.720 --> 0:03:59.200 back Jonathan Taylor, and quarterback Carson Wentz. But a handful 0:03:59.200 --> 0:04:01.400 of players one to three, four, five, six, seven, eight 0:04:01.520 --> 0:04:04.960 nine did not participate in Wednesday's practice. Jack Doyle, the 0:04:05.000 --> 0:04:09.360 tight end, tackle Eric Fisher, linebacker Darrius Leonard, guard Quentin Nelson, 0:04:09.400 --> 0:04:12.800 defensive end Quitty Pay, tackle Brandon Smith, safety Carry Willis, 0:04:13.000 --> 0:04:16.960 defensive tackle Antoine Woods, and cornerback Rock your sin Now. 0:04:17.040 --> 0:04:20.839 Quittin Nelson isn't just the best left Garden football He's 0:04:20.839 --> 0:04:23.080 not even just the best offensive lineman in the league. 0:04:23.120 --> 0:04:25.320 He's one of the best overall players pound for pound, 0:04:25.760 --> 0:04:29.039 regardless of position in the sport, and how often can 0:04:29.080 --> 0:04:31.120 you say that about a guard. He's just not normal. 0:04:31.400 --> 0:04:33.360 But he was carded off last week and Frank Reich 0:04:33.360 --> 0:04:35.360 says it's not looking good for him to return this week. 0:04:35.560 --> 0:04:37.720 And he also mentioned that Wentz would be limited at 0:04:37.760 --> 0:04:40.479 Wednesday's practice after a pair of ankle injuries that he 0:04:40.560 --> 0:04:42.880 played through a week ago against the Titans. And we'll 0:04:42.880 --> 0:04:44.600 talk about the performance he had in that game with 0:04:44.640 --> 0:04:48.280 those two bum ankles. Quitty Pay very impressive rookie off 0:04:48.320 --> 0:04:50.400 the edge for them. He missed the Titans game with 0:04:50.440 --> 0:04:53.719 a hamstring injury. Zach Keefer reports he's on the Colts 0:04:53.760 --> 0:04:56.880 beat that he and safety Carry Willis and cornerback Rock 0:04:56.960 --> 0:04:58.520 your Sin are all going to be monitored as the 0:04:58.560 --> 0:05:01.120 week goes along and they'll make it a decision, of course, 0:05:01.200 --> 0:05:04.280 on Friday about their game status. Is Quarterback Xavier Rohays 0:05:04.320 --> 0:05:06.080 played last week, but they expect him to be out 0:05:06.080 --> 0:05:07.640 there this week. He was not on that report we 0:05:07.680 --> 0:05:09.960 just mentioned we talked about. Right tackle Brandon Smith did 0:05:09.960 --> 0:05:13.120 not practice Wednesday either, and receiver type T Y Hilton 0:05:13.520 --> 0:05:15.520 is still out and will not come off the injury 0:05:15.560 --> 0:05:17.760 reserve this week for the Colts. So a very banged 0:05:17.839 --> 0:05:20.800 up Colts team, but they certainly have a deep roster, 0:05:21.120 --> 0:05:23.080 are very very well coached, in fact, one of the 0:05:23.080 --> 0:05:25.279 most I think one of the best coaching staffs in 0:05:25.279 --> 0:05:27.599 the league with Frank Reich and Marcus Brady and Matt 0:05:27.640 --> 0:05:30.520 eber Fleus. So with that, we jump in to the 0:05:30.560 --> 0:05:32.840 position by position breakdowns and we start here with the 0:05:32.880 --> 0:05:36.000 Colts quarterback as we do the oppositions quarterback against the 0:05:36.040 --> 0:05:40.120 Dolphins safeties, and Carson Wentz has been one of the 0:05:40.120 --> 0:05:45.279 trickiest evaluations at the position for my personal for me. 0:05:45.920 --> 0:05:48.640 For me, I didn't like his game coming out. I 0:05:48.680 --> 0:05:51.560 thought his rookie year was an indicator of that evaluation. 0:05:51.600 --> 0:05:54.279 He missed way too many layups that year, and that 0:05:54.440 --> 0:05:56.400 was actually the year that I charted quarterbacks for third 0:05:56.400 --> 0:05:59.320 and ten dot Com for the first time, and I 0:05:59.360 --> 0:06:02.279 linked it back to mechanical issues in the lower half. 0:06:02.520 --> 0:06:07.000 And then comes around and he jumps up my grading 0:06:07.120 --> 0:06:09.920 charts and also kind of fixes that. I'm like, all right, 0:06:09.960 --> 0:06:11.320 I didn't know what the hell I was talking about 0:06:11.360 --> 0:06:13.440 with this player because he looks like a bona fide superstar. 0:06:14.000 --> 0:06:15.960 Then he has a tough bounce back season after the 0:06:16.000 --> 0:06:21.920 injury and then twenty nineteen basically carries a skill set 0:06:21.960 --> 0:06:24.920 of players that's made up of mostly practice squad players, 0:06:24.920 --> 0:06:26.800 Like all the guys contributing late in that season, we're 0:06:26.839 --> 0:06:29.560 call ups or free agent signings. Like greg Ward was 0:06:29.600 --> 0:06:33.000 a college quarterback turn pro receiver, and he was making 0:06:33.120 --> 0:06:35.039 big catches for that team down the stretch and the 0:06:35.040 --> 0:06:37.840 playoffs in nineteen and then it completely falls apart in 0:06:38.960 --> 0:06:42.480 largely going back to some of the mechanical flaws with 0:06:42.520 --> 0:06:44.280 the base in terms of how he sets up to 0:06:44.520 --> 0:06:47.279 the football. You'd see his feet widened. That's never a 0:06:47.320 --> 0:06:50.800 good thing. And I likened it to in baseball. You're 0:06:50.839 --> 0:06:53.640 at the plate, you overstride for a pitch and you realize, 0:06:53.640 --> 0:06:55.240 oh no, that's a change up, not a fastball. I'm 0:06:55.240 --> 0:06:58.039 out over my skis. I've now got no power to 0:06:58.120 --> 0:07:00.640 generate through my hips through my lower half off, and 0:07:00.800 --> 0:07:03.000 I can't get through the zone with any sort of 0:07:03.040 --> 0:07:06.719 strength or power. It's awfully tough to do, and chances 0:07:06.760 --> 0:07:08.960 of the chances that all your mechanics of the swing 0:07:09.000 --> 0:07:10.920 are gonna be in line are slim and none. Like 0:07:10.960 --> 0:07:13.480 your back shoulder drops, your hands are slow through the zone, 0:07:13.600 --> 0:07:15.360 and then you wind up rolling over a week groundball 0:07:15.400 --> 0:07:17.200 to shortstop, or you pop it up to second base, 0:07:17.480 --> 0:07:18.960 or you just flat out miss, which is probably the 0:07:18.960 --> 0:07:22.240 best example or the best outcome of that particular situation. 0:07:22.280 --> 0:07:25.360 But in football at quarterback, when you lose that stride 0:07:25.440 --> 0:07:28.120 and your base widens, it drops the arms law, and 0:07:28.200 --> 0:07:30.800 just like it affects the swing in baseball, it affects 0:07:30.840 --> 0:07:33.640 the release point and ultimately the grand point. Here your 0:07:33.680 --> 0:07:36.520 accuracy balls will sail. And that was a big reason 0:07:36.520 --> 0:07:38.760 why Wentz had so many turnovers last season. Balls got 0:07:38.880 --> 0:07:41.600 high on him and it caused for tips or deflections 0:07:41.720 --> 0:07:43.640 or just flat out overthrows that went right into the 0:07:43.680 --> 0:07:47.200 defensive backs arms that are behind those receivers. And you 0:07:47.200 --> 0:07:49.120 can tell us something that Wentz has worked on this 0:07:49.160 --> 0:07:53.080 offseason because the first couple of weeks he looked better mechanically. 0:07:53.400 --> 0:07:55.400 But I think it bears monitoring in this game because 0:07:55.480 --> 0:07:58.680 on those two wobbly ankles last week, it started to 0:07:58.680 --> 0:08:00.760 show up again as far as I saw on tape. 0:08:00.960 --> 0:08:03.120 So what is his mobility gonna look like? I think 0:08:03.120 --> 0:08:04.880 you can test that and see how he reacts to 0:08:04.920 --> 0:08:07.440 the pressure that you deploy against him. My either knock 0:08:07.480 --> 0:08:10.240 on Wentz coming out was the decision making amid the chaos. 0:08:10.280 --> 0:08:13.680 So if you can create a number of those situations, 0:08:14.200 --> 0:08:17.160 the averages should play in your favor to get some 0:08:17.240 --> 0:08:19.640 big plays, maybe some takeaways and some sacks and the 0:08:19.720 --> 0:08:24.240 big splash plays on defense. Now that said, a few 0:08:24.320 --> 0:08:28.000 quarterbacks can make as many plays amid chaos the way 0:08:28.040 --> 0:08:30.920 Carson Wentz Can and I used to do those grades 0:08:30.920 --> 0:08:32.679 for third and ten dot com, and the whole purpose 0:08:32.720 --> 0:08:35.600 of the website was to evaluate what happens on third 0:08:35.640 --> 0:08:38.880 and six plus because that's where every single scout, every 0:08:38.920 --> 0:08:42.640 single personnel person with quarterback evaluation starts their third and 0:08:42.760 --> 0:08:45.960 long reel. Because I think Mitchell Schwartz covered this, the 0:08:46.040 --> 0:08:48.280 former Chiefs tackle who's now a free agent out there 0:08:48.520 --> 0:08:51.040 along the offensive line, he had a great tweet talking 0:08:51.080 --> 0:08:53.800 about how that's where you really get your tree evaluation 0:08:53.800 --> 0:08:56.080 of the quarterback because all the other situations in the game, 0:08:56.120 --> 0:08:59.360 and this is football in a nutshell, you can scheme 0:08:59.400 --> 0:09:02.560 things up, you can play within certain confines to protect 0:09:02.559 --> 0:09:05.319 that quarterback. But when you get to third long, that's 0:09:05.480 --> 0:09:07.440 usually when the quarterback has to find a way to 0:09:07.480 --> 0:09:10.240 make a play, either instructure with a big time read 0:09:10.320 --> 0:09:12.240 or or a big time read and throw or going 0:09:12.280 --> 0:09:15.640 outside the structure and creating on his own to make 0:09:15.679 --> 0:09:20.880 that big play. So he was the top ranked quarterback 0:09:20.960 --> 0:09:24.880 that season on my grade chart on third downs because 0:09:24.960 --> 0:09:27.480 he was just Houdini time and time again, finding ways 0:09:27.520 --> 0:09:29.840 out of pressure, throwing the football down the field, and 0:09:29.880 --> 0:09:33.360 really making the defense pay for missing on their initial rush. Now, 0:09:34.120 --> 0:09:36.199 as for the matchup with the Miami safetyes, I mean, 0:09:36.440 --> 0:09:38.559 it's hard to forecast who's gonna be in what role, 0:09:38.640 --> 0:09:41.120 isn't it. I mean that's coach is not lying about 0:09:41.160 --> 0:09:44.599 the multiplicity of this team's plans and the positions or 0:09:44.640 --> 0:09:48.240 this position rather sort of exemplifies that fact, Like good 0:09:48.320 --> 0:09:51.360 luck guessing with the Dolphins safety deployment and snap counts 0:09:51.360 --> 0:09:54.000 and and their position they play where they're going to be. 0:09:54.040 --> 0:09:56.240 Good luck finding that out ahead of time. But just 0:09:56.280 --> 0:09:58.960 watching the Titans tape from last week Colts versus Titans, 0:09:59.360 --> 0:10:01.200 there were some since says of him passing up on 0:10:01.240 --> 0:10:04.839 potential open targets, and the Titans cover heavy coverage, heavy 0:10:04.840 --> 0:10:07.559 four man rush scheme, and they're playing some zone looks 0:10:07.559 --> 0:10:10.120 where he would come off a read quickly and then 0:10:10.160 --> 0:10:12.200 just kind of panic from there and turf the ball 0:10:12.320 --> 0:10:15.200 or worse, find his way into the past rush for 0:10:15.400 --> 0:10:18.400 hits and sacks. So Miami's ability to mix it up 0:10:18.440 --> 0:10:22.160 with moving around Holland and Rowe and Jones and mcquardy 0:10:22.200 --> 0:10:25.920 all of the formation that with the potential for scattershot throws, 0:10:26.200 --> 0:10:28.439 and how the Dolphins safety has made big plays when 0:10:28.520 --> 0:10:31.160 rushing the quarterback. Last week, Eric Rose pressure led to 0:10:31.160 --> 0:10:33.240 a pick and Brandon Jones had a pair of sacks. 0:10:33.880 --> 0:10:36.440 I really like that matchup for Miami. So some once 0:10:36.520 --> 0:10:38.640 data here before our next position group. The ball comes 0:10:38.640 --> 0:10:41.000 out of his hands at two point eight four second average. 0:10:41.120 --> 0:10:43.719 That's the twenty three longest held ball time in the 0:10:43.840 --> 0:10:45.840 National Football League. That's kind of winks his game. It's 0:10:45.920 --> 0:10:47.880 kind of like Ben Roethlisberger, right like in his prime 0:10:47.960 --> 0:10:50.160 or even now. Hold the ball and try to create 0:10:50.160 --> 0:10:52.640 because you're tough to bring down and the plays just 0:10:52.720 --> 0:10:54.400 do not really die with him at the helm. So 0:10:54.480 --> 0:10:55.800 you have to bring the party and you have to 0:10:55.800 --> 0:10:58.040 get him down to the ground. Average depth of target 0:10:58.080 --> 0:11:00.559 six point three yards. That's the thirtieth lowest in the 0:11:00.679 --> 0:11:05.280 National Football Leaguer thirtieth highest ranked. A tot Jacoby is 0:11:05.280 --> 0:11:06.959 a six point six for instance, two was his eight 0:11:06.960 --> 0:11:09.520 point three. So the short game has been their go 0:11:09.640 --> 0:11:12.840 to and looking at Wentz is deep and intermediate splits 0:11:13.080 --> 0:11:15.040 twenty plus yard passes. He's four for ten with a 0:11:15.120 --> 0:11:17.839 hundred and sixteen yards, no touchdowns, no picks, so pretty 0:11:17.840 --> 0:11:20.920 successful actually down the field. That's a good number, just 0:11:21.040 --> 0:11:23.280 a limited number of shots. They've been really close to 0:11:23.280 --> 0:11:25.079 the vest to spite the fact that he holds a 0:11:25.120 --> 0:11:27.840 football for so long, ten to nineteen yards, the intermediate 0:11:27.880 --> 0:11:31.080 range ten for seventeen, and that intermediate middle portion of 0:11:31.080 --> 0:11:33.000 the field between the numbers, like right down the middle 0:11:33.000 --> 0:11:35.280 of the football field has been his bread and butter 0:11:35.520 --> 0:11:38.240 eight for eleven ninety nine yards and all three of 0:11:38.320 --> 0:11:41.080 his touchdown passes have come in that area of the field. 0:11:41.559 --> 0:11:45.120 So that kind of plays into our matchups. We talked 0:11:45.160 --> 0:11:47.840 about with the safeties. Do you play a robber, do 0:11:47.920 --> 0:11:50.200 you play more umbrella or cloud coverage? Do you go 0:11:50.320 --> 0:11:52.679 straight man see if those guys can uncover. That's my 0:11:52.800 --> 0:11:55.760 personal preference because of the Dolphins matchups in that secondary 0:11:55.880 --> 0:11:58.600 versus the Colts receivers and those guys ability to separate 0:11:58.679 --> 0:12:01.120 or not separate. I like I am these defensive backs 0:12:01.120 --> 0:12:04.040 in that matchup Now, Carson Wentz is aggressive rate we 0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:07.040 talked about this going downfield is seventeen percent, actually ninth 0:12:07.080 --> 0:12:09.280 highest in the National Football leagues. So they just haven't 0:12:09.280 --> 0:12:11.679 had the opportunities to go down the field. With regards 0:12:11.679 --> 0:12:13.920 to the ten shots he takes the ten shots, he 0:12:13.960 --> 0:12:16.120 has taken twenty plus yards down the field, and that 0:12:16.200 --> 0:12:18.480 also has to do with separation as well, so it's 0:12:18.559 --> 0:12:20.720 kind of a collective score there, so it's not all 0:12:20.960 --> 0:12:24.079 correlating from the aggressive and A dot numbers. When he's 0:12:24.120 --> 0:12:27.480 blitzed seventeen for thirty a buck seventy seven, that's only 0:12:27.520 --> 0:12:29.559 five point nine yards per pass with two touchdowns and 0:12:29.600 --> 0:12:32.480 a pick. When he's pressured, you're gonna like this number 0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:36.760 nineteen forty three passing yards. That's four point nine yards 0:12:36.800 --> 0:12:40.120 per pass, zero touchdown, zero pick. So get pressure on 0:12:40.160 --> 0:12:42.200 Carson Wentz. Kind of the key there. I mean most 0:12:42.240 --> 0:12:44.600 weeks it is, but this week for sure. Now Brent 0:12:44.720 --> 0:12:47.640 Hunley serves as the backup quarterback according to a couple 0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:49.880 of Colts Beat guys I read on Twitter on Wednesday, 0:12:50.080 --> 0:12:51.600 and that will be the direction they go on Sunday 0:12:51.640 --> 0:12:54.280 as well, with Jacob Easton as the other option. He 0:12:54.320 --> 0:12:56.360 was a second round draft pick last year out of 0:12:56.360 --> 0:13:00.160 the University of Washington. Down Dog gokus. Which leads into 0:13:00.200 --> 0:13:03.120 our next matchup, which is sort of the key before 0:13:03.120 --> 0:13:07.559 the Key, the Indianapolis offensive line versus the Miami Dolphins 0:13:07.600 --> 0:13:10.000 defensive line. Indy is a bit banged up here. Sam 0:13:10.000 --> 0:13:12.400 Tavy is out, Quentin Nelson training that direction as well. 0:13:12.520 --> 0:13:15.320 Eric Fisher his second game back off a torn achilles 0:13:15.400 --> 0:13:18.920 he suffered last February in the Super Bowl or was 0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:21.560 it January? No, it was it was in the Conference championship. 0:13:21.600 --> 0:13:23.240 Gigs that didn't have their their offensive line for the 0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:26.320 Super Bowl. But he has surrendered nine pressures and just 0:13:26.520 --> 0:13:29.319 a little more than one game. And Julian Davenport has 0:13:29.320 --> 0:13:31.559 six team pressures and three games. We know about Julian 0:13:31.600 --> 0:13:34.680 Devenport down here. Mark Glowinski has third team pressures allowed 0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:37.920 in three games. Ryan Kelly seven off the center in 0:13:38.000 --> 0:13:40.640 three games. He's their best offensive lineman that's healthy right now. 0:13:40.840 --> 0:13:43.880 And then Chris Reid three pressures in place of Quentin 0:13:43.920 --> 0:13:45.719 Nelson last week. We know about Chris Reid. Was a 0:13:45.720 --> 0:13:47.880 big fan of his game when he was down here 0:13:47.920 --> 0:13:50.480 in Miami. But Carson Wentz has been hit twenty eight times. 0:13:50.480 --> 0:13:53.520 That's the most in the National Football League, and Nelson 0:13:53.600 --> 0:13:56.280 had gone a hundred one snaps without a pressure allowed. 0:13:56.360 --> 0:13:58.520 So that's I put l on my notes. It's hilarious. 0:13:58.520 --> 0:14:00.400 What a stud. But it sounds like he'll be down. 0:14:00.760 --> 0:14:04.280 But I think there's an opportunity here. If there is one, 0:14:04.480 --> 0:14:06.839 it's off the outside against a couple of players who 0:14:06.840 --> 0:14:09.040 were supposed to be swing tackles or backup options for 0:14:09.080 --> 0:14:11.320 the Colts this year who have been forced into playing 0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:14.400 time because of injuries, and Julian Davenport and then Eric Fisher, 0:14:14.400 --> 0:14:16.360 who I thought maybe he started the year on pup 0:14:16.480 --> 0:14:18.800 but he's back earlier than he than I anticipated, so 0:14:18.840 --> 0:14:21.120 good for him. But again, coming off the Achilles a 0:14:21.200 --> 0:14:23.520 year ago. He actually had a veteran resting on Wednesday, 0:14:23.520 --> 0:14:26.360 which I assume is linked to that Achilles injury from 0:14:26.440 --> 0:14:29.600 last year, but he played his first full game on Sunday. 0:14:29.600 --> 0:14:32.960 To me, this is offensive line and defensive line play 0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:35.360 in general, but the change of direction is something to 0:14:35.360 --> 0:14:39.080 look at, and I thought we saw Jalen Phillips kind 0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:41.040 of show out in that area last week. His lateral 0:14:41.080 --> 0:14:43.520 steps and you know, the stab step and the crossover 0:14:43.640 --> 0:14:45.840 the stab step to widen and kind of get your 0:14:45.840 --> 0:14:48.320 offensive lineman's momentum going in the wrong direction and then 0:14:48.400 --> 0:14:51.120 use that momentum against them. That's offensive line play in 0:14:51.160 --> 0:14:53.800 a nutshell, and to me, with a lot of evaluation 0:14:53.800 --> 0:14:56.200 of Davenport's game was something he struggled with as well 0:14:56.240 --> 0:14:59.000 as Eric Fisher's game, just just because of the injury 0:14:59.280 --> 0:15:01.320 and coming back off that. Now, we also talked a 0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:04.480 little bit about Emmanuel Ogbah and his ability the last 0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:07.280 three games and really his entire tenure here in Miami 0:15:07.560 --> 0:15:10.000 to get on that upfield shoulder of the right tackle 0:15:10.120 --> 0:15:12.960 so quickly, and Wentz loves to get out of the 0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:15.320 trash and escape to his right, So I think a 0:15:15.440 --> 0:15:19.640 manual can take that away, but also possibly find himself 0:15:19.640 --> 0:15:22.200 into a big playoff. Wentz rolls into that direction kind 0:15:22.200 --> 0:15:24.320 of like Kyler Murray did in the Cardinals game last year. 0:15:24.320 --> 0:15:25.800 He gets that ball out for a strip sack and 0:15:25.840 --> 0:15:28.240 it goes back to the way for six. Now, I'm 0:15:28.240 --> 0:15:30.160 sure the Colts will keep plenty of tight ends and 0:15:30.280 --> 0:15:32.240 use backs in to chip and help on the edge. 0:15:32.440 --> 0:15:35.040 They've trended towards some more match protect stuff as their 0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:37.120 line has been banged up so far this season, and 0:15:37.120 --> 0:15:39.120 don't forget about Gek in that mix either, like he's 0:15:39.120 --> 0:15:41.480 a forgotten man sometimes in this three man pass ushed 0:15:41.560 --> 0:15:43.840 rotation even though he shouldn't be. I think it's a 0:15:43.840 --> 0:15:46.600 good chance to have all hands on deck rush plan here, 0:15:46.640 --> 0:15:48.680 and I would include the linebackers and that mix as well. 0:15:48.920 --> 0:15:50.640 More on that in just one second, but first let's 0:15:50.600 --> 0:15:52.600 go ahead and finish up this defensive line talk here, 0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:55.880 because Wilkins and Seiler and Jenkins holding the point against 0:15:55.880 --> 0:15:57.920 the run again will be another key in this game. 0:15:58.120 --> 0:16:00.440 Get those run down wins. They're gonna have their successful 0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:03.360 runs of course too, but get those majority rundown wins, 0:16:03.400 --> 0:16:05.280 like if you can win two of the three rushing downs, 0:16:05.280 --> 0:16:07.080 you feel good about that. And I also think their 0:16:07.120 --> 0:16:09.400 pass rush will show up this week big time. All 0:16:09.440 --> 0:16:12.120 the games they run can hopefully test the communication and 0:16:12.120 --> 0:16:15.200 protection assignments of an offensive line that's working in new 0:16:15.240 --> 0:16:16.920 parts and trying to kind of go through their depth 0:16:16.920 --> 0:16:20.280 and getting backup guys into lineup. Both communication and talent standpoint, 0:16:20.520 --> 0:16:23.160 you can test those two things. Even though Ryan Kelly, 0:16:23.360 --> 0:16:25.640 for my money, is one of the smartest players in 0:16:25.640 --> 0:16:27.640 the league. That will be a nice chess match up 0:16:27.640 --> 0:16:30.720 front from Miami and Flores and Boyer up against Frank 0:16:30.720 --> 0:16:33.360 reag and Marcus Brady and Carson Wentz and Ryan Kelly 0:16:33.400 --> 0:16:35.760 of that Colts battery there so to speak. But onto 0:16:35.760 --> 0:16:39.480 our next matchup. The Colts are, yeah, the Colts running 0:16:39.480 --> 0:16:43.760 backs versus the Dolphins linebackers. They love to get the 0:16:43.760 --> 0:16:46.040 ball to their backs and tight ends in the passing 0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:48.000 game and the run game. Two for the backs, but 0:16:48.360 --> 0:16:51.960 Michael Pittman Jr. Leads the team and targets with a lot, 0:16:52.440 --> 0:16:55.320 but number two is tight end. Zach Pascal. Number three 0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:57.760 and number four are tied between a tight end and 0:16:57.800 --> 0:17:00.640 a running back and Jack Doyle and Niheim Hines. Nike 0:17:00.800 --> 0:17:03.080 Hines is a freaking stud by the way, so I'll 0:17:03.080 --> 0:17:05.560 imagine they'll want to find favorable matchups for those guys. 0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:07.800 And this goes back to our first point. I really 0:17:07.800 --> 0:17:10.880 like the chances to defend those tight ends with our safeties. Now, 0:17:11.280 --> 0:17:13.720 Hines is so, so, so good and someone you have 0:17:13.760 --> 0:17:15.639 to keep an eye on. They're probably gonna want to 0:17:15.680 --> 0:17:19.200 get Miami in some bass looks which you know, three 0:17:19.240 --> 0:17:21.679 or four or four three year seven players on the 0:17:21.680 --> 0:17:25.399 front into the game with only four defensive backs or 0:17:25.440 --> 0:17:28.520 even two back looks to try to get Hines matched 0:17:28.600 --> 0:17:30.840 up that way on linebackers. Like I think this makes 0:17:31.080 --> 0:17:33.600 Sam egg Van's role a little more pertinent this week, 0:17:33.640 --> 0:17:36.159 perhaps after playing just five snaps a week ago. I 0:17:36.160 --> 0:17:38.680 think you might see him back doing what he does 0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:41.080 best and rushing the quarterback in this game from that 0:17:41.119 --> 0:17:43.800 linebacker position. We also need Bake to do what Bake 0:17:43.880 --> 0:17:45.679 does and just play a lot of a lot of 0:17:45.720 --> 0:17:48.159 snaps and draw a lot of tough responsibilities whether it's 0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:51.320 playing downhill in coverage and definitely keep an eye on 0:17:51.440 --> 0:17:54.399 nih Hinds he can burn you. And then interesting factor 0:17:54.440 --> 0:17:56.680 here is how do you attack that Colts eleven personnel 0:17:56.720 --> 0:17:58.840 package when they run the ball so well out of 0:17:58.880 --> 0:18:01.919 that package, which usually brings the nickel defense onto the 0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:05.080 field just two linebackers in the game most instances, sometimes 0:18:05.160 --> 0:18:06.760 less than that, and you go to work in the 0:18:06.800 --> 0:18:08.840 running game. Because as we finish up this group from 0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:11.479 the data points here, the Colts run eleven personnel eight 0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:14.280 percent of the time. That it's like all they run 0:18:14.720 --> 0:18:17.400 sixty percent of the time they pass out of that package, 0:18:17.560 --> 0:18:20.920 but only a forty percent success rate thirty four percent 0:18:20.960 --> 0:18:22.639 of the time they run the ball, so you know, 0:18:22.680 --> 0:18:25.240 a little more than one third, and they're successful on 0:18:25.280 --> 0:18:27.720 the runs out of that package at a fifty eight 0:18:27.720 --> 0:18:31.560 percent clips. So running the ball out of eleven personnel, spoiler, 0:18:31.560 --> 0:18:32.840 it's gonna be one of our keys of the game. 0:18:33.040 --> 0:18:35.719 Twelve personnel just nine percent, not enough of a sample 0:18:35.760 --> 0:18:38.240 size factor to to consider as far as success rates. 0:18:38.359 --> 0:18:40.520 And then thirteen personnel, three tight ends in the field. 0:18:40.760 --> 0:18:42.919 They run that five percent of the time. Again, not 0:18:43.080 --> 0:18:45.119 enough of a sample size there, so just keep in 0:18:45.160 --> 0:18:48.040 mind eleven personnel, it's almost strictly three y with a 0:18:48.080 --> 0:18:50.440 back in the tight end, and by far their most 0:18:50.440 --> 0:18:53.560 offensive success comes from running the football out of that 0:18:53.600 --> 0:18:57.119 eleven personnel against typically nickel defenses. So I'm curious to 0:18:57.160 --> 0:18:59.960 see how you land in Robert's role kind of material 0:19:00.000 --> 0:19:02.080