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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets.

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Speaker 2: It.

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Speaker 1: It's me Joey p Joe Pi Zapia and this is

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Speaker 1: VP NFL. It's time to look ahead to the best

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Speaker 1: bets for Week six in the NFL. And of course

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Speaker 1: help me do it. My do best friends Terrell Furman

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Speaker 1: Junior and the Undertanker and Andrew Erickson. We're hanging out

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Speaker 1: here on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Subscribe and of

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Speaker 1: course make sure you download the Betting Pros app while

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Speaker 1: you're at it. A good week for the boys last week,

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Speaker 1: Toroll three and two, ericson four and one just missed

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Speaker 1: the perfect week. If he had just listened to Terrell,

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Speaker 1: he would have been five and oh I was five

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Speaker 1: and oh. You can follow my bets too over on

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app along with the boys. Also, and

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Speaker 1: I got a question for the guys at the top

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Speaker 1: of the show. We are five ish weeks into the season.

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Speaker 1: Now I have an answer to this question, but I

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Speaker 1: want to know yours. Who is the NFL MVP right

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Speaker 1: now in your brain? Andrew Erickson, do you have a

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Speaker 1: front runner in mind?

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Speaker 3: I haven't looked at the odds. So I'm going straight

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Speaker 3: off the cuff here.

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Speaker 1: Straight off the cuff, I'll tell you the odds of

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Speaker 1: your selection. I'm curiouscause I think it's a very interesting

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Speaker 1: time to bet it.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I think Josh Allen's probably still like the

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Speaker 3: market favorite, just because he's always kind of up there.

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Speaker 3: And I think that the Bills in the AFC coming

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Speaker 3: off even to the loss against the Patriots, so I

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Speaker 3: think that he probably stilled me my vote. But I

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Speaker 3: don't know. I think Dak Prescott probably deserves a lot

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Speaker 3: of recognition for so word as well, just based on

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Speaker 3: interesting if that Dallas has played. So those are the

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Speaker 3: first two that kind of come to my mind. I'm

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Speaker 3: probably forgetting somebody. Somebody's probably getting snubbed, so.

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Speaker 1: Well, maybe it's the guy that I like, or maybe

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Speaker 1: Terrell will find out. Look, Dak is plus seventeen hundred

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Speaker 1: by the way, Josh Allen plus one thirty five. He

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Speaker 1: is at the top of the board. Terrell, do you

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Speaker 1: have a front runner in your mind right now for

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Speaker 1: a NFL MVP.

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Speaker 2: It's Josh Allen.

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Speaker 1: Unfortunately, see I want to make a case for Baker Mayfield.

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Speaker 1: I just do. He's lost Mike Evans. They had that

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Speaker 1: Tristan Wurst was out for a while. He goes on

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Speaker 1: the road, wins big games. I don't know if he's

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Speaker 1: gonna win this week necessarily. We'll talk more about that later.

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Speaker 3: In the show. He's gonna lay an egg and maybe

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Speaker 3: he does.

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Speaker 1: If he does, maybe he does. But plus nine fifty

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Speaker 1: for Baker Mayfield, I don't know. I'm just saying right now, if.

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Speaker 3: The award was just about who's the most fun like,

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Speaker 3: he'd be at the top.

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Speaker 1: At the end of the day. I'm starting to think

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Speaker 1: about maybe the Bucks are the best team in the NFC.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, putting it out there, just putting it

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Speaker 1: out there. I don't think Jared Goff's get any MVP votes.

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Speaker 4: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Maybe that's unfortunate. But we've got picks for you, so

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Speaker 1: let's get into them. Let's start with the very top

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Speaker 1: here for Terrell Forman Junior and let's go international because

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Speaker 1: the boys are actually holding hands on this one. The

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Speaker 1: Broncos and the Jets of Broncos favored by seven. Why

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Speaker 1: do you think Terrell that's a safe bet this week?

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Speaker 2: Because I'm so out on the Jets. Man, what the Jets.

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Speaker 2: Of the reason that I lost every bet last week.

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Speaker 2: He can be tied to the Jets. I mean, yeah, okay,

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Speaker 2: the Commanders, but like I had the Jets on a

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Speaker 2: team total, they can't move the ball against the Cowboys defense.

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Speaker 2: I lose justin Field's rushing yards because they're just a

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Speaker 2: shell of themselves. Like I mean, I'm sorry forever ever

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Speaker 2: thinking that this Jets team was even like at all

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Speaker 2: relevant at all. No, no, it is complete dumpster fire

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Speaker 2: up there. And then it doesn't make it any better

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Speaker 2: that they're now going overseas. The Jets left late. The

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Speaker 2: Broncos left early. The Broncos have been there since they

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Speaker 2: beat the Eagles. They really didn't even get to celebrate

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Speaker 2: beating the Eagles because they right on the plane going

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Speaker 2: over there, getting ready for the next week. And I

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Speaker 2: am a person that has been deployed on that side

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Speaker 2: of the world. I know how it feels to get

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Speaker 2: over there. That first day, even the second day, even

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Speaker 2: the third day, you're still really really feeling the effects.

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Speaker 2: But once you're a weekend, once you've been there for

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Speaker 2: a week.

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Speaker 1: Oh you're good. You think you lived there your whole life?

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Speaker 2: No, no, no way, the Jets are lasting past Dvoa

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Speaker 2: right now. No way, no way, Bonnicks is gonna carve

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Speaker 2: up this Jets defense. Give me the Broncos laying the seven.

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Speaker 2: I tried to get cute, and I thought, Hm, should

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Speaker 2: I take the team total? Should I do? No? No,

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Speaker 2: I just just don't think the Jets gonna be in

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Speaker 2: this game. Give me the Broncos.

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Speaker 1: So Jet lag is what we're talking about here for

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Speaker 1: the New York Jets very much. See what I did there.

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Speaker 1: I will say this too, I actually cashed all my

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Speaker 1: Jet bets last week because I hit the over on

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Speaker 1: the fields passing total, I hit the Garrett Wilson over

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Speaker 1: and I hit the Garrett Wilson TD. So I mean

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Speaker 1: you got to take what you can get there with

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Speaker 1: the Jets. It was all sloppy at the end, but

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Speaker 1: it all came through at the end of the day.

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Speaker 1: So I actually went three for three on my Jets

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Speaker 1: bets last week. Andrew Ericson, you were welcome to pile

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Speaker 1: on the Jets too if you like. Right now, and

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Speaker 1: I know what's where else thinking? I think a lot

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Speaker 1: of us thought, Hey, Erinon, Glenn's a good football guy.

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Speaker 1: He's gonna bring some disciplines and running football. You no,

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Speaker 1: it hasn't happened, Like it just hasn't happened. But there

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Speaker 1: was reason to think that. And I understand why you

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Speaker 1: thought it, because I kind of thought the same thing.

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Speaker 1: The Jets are, like, we're good head coaching prospects go

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Speaker 1: to die. I thought Robert Sala was a really good

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Speaker 1: young head coach. Potentially. I think Aaron glenn is maybe still.

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Speaker 1: But man, oh man, it's just rough out there for

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Speaker 1: the green how about you ericson what do you want

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Speaker 1: to pile on here on this one?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I also take the Broncos here. And we see

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Speaker 3: this all the time when teams go to London, Right,

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Speaker 3: some guys are out missing meetings, you know, exploring London.

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Speaker 3: Which team do you think that's more likely to happen

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Speaker 3: to this week? Right? We get a report, Oh, why

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Speaker 3: is Briess Hall? You know, not not calling up Breess Hell,

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Speaker 3: but just an example, like, you know, why Sus Gardner

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Speaker 3: not on the first drive because oh he missed a

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Speaker 3: meeting because they were, you know, having fun in Big

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Speaker 3: Ben or like something along those lines. Because we talked

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Speaker 3: about last year, all the Jets stuff is self inflicted

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Speaker 3: wounds like the most penalized team. It's just it's a

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Speaker 3: total mess. And I don't think that going to London

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Speaker 3: against the Denver broncces is going to fix things for

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Speaker 3: the New York Jets.

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Speaker 2: No.

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Speaker 3: The one thing they just have been able to do

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Speaker 3: is actually score points in garbage time like that has

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Speaker 3: really been especially for fantasy football purposes. Justin fields. Don't

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Speaker 3: watch the first three quarters. Fourth quarter comes, he turns

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Speaker 3: into Superman. He scores all these fantasy points. The Denver

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Speaker 3: Broncos have a lot of the second fewest points in

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Speaker 3: the fourth quarter of the season and in the second half.

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Speaker 3: So if the garbage time points run out, I think

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Speaker 3: it's going to be in a specific matchup. I think

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Speaker 3: on paper, this matchup is brutal for the Jets. They

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Speaker 3: have a cornerback who can take away the number one

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Speaker 3: passing game for the Jets with Garrett Wilson put Patrick

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Speaker 3: Sartan on it, and that means the Broncos have to

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Speaker 3: be beaten by the Jets with Mason Taylor and brisall

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Speaker 3: out of the backfield. That's a bet that you want

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Speaker 3: to make if you're the Denver Broncos. So we know

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Speaker 3: Boonix traditionally is much better as a favorite, especially as

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Speaker 3: a heavy favorite. Heavy favorites also perform much better internationally.

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Speaker 3: So last week the favorites one. So yeah, I'm all aboard,

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Speaker 3: riding the Denver Broncos here and just continuing to fade

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Speaker 3: the jet lag. As you so politely put Joe, this.

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Speaker 1: Is why I'm in the one chair. Everybody, All right,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about the Chargers and the Dolphins here, And

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Speaker 1: I gotta tell you, Trell, I think we see this

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Speaker 1: one very differently. This one scares a crap out of me.

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Speaker 3: Four range outcome game, Joe.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, so let's talk about it. Let's talk about it,

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Speaker 1: because I'm sure me feeling bad about it makes you

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Speaker 1: feel even better about it. But I want to talk

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Speaker 1: about this because you have offensive line issues, you have

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Speaker 1: running back issues, you have a team that's struggling. You

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Speaker 1: have defensive issues too. Khalil Max still out for this

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Speaker 1: team too. There's a lot of injuries. And look, the

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Speaker 1: Chargers are certainly have the better quarterback, the better head coach,

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Speaker 1: are a better team. But the best team doesn't always win.

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Speaker 1: We've seen that plenty of times every single week. Right,

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Speaker 1: If this was in the Chargers backyard, I feel differently,

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Speaker 1: but also Chargers on the road. Look, I think there's

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Speaker 1: a bit of desperation when it comes to the Miami Dolphins.

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Speaker 1: I don't like the Dolphins, you know that, But I

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Speaker 1: don't feel good about the Chiefs. So sell me on

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Speaker 1: why I should feel better about them and the number

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Speaker 1: they have to cover this week, which again is not small,

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Speaker 1: necessarily a four and a half.

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Speaker 2: All right, so let's talk about the last thing you'd

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Speaker 2: talk one of the last things you talked about, and

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Speaker 2: this not being in the Chargers backyard. Well, first of all,

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Speaker 2: the Chargers have one of those town homes that don't

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Speaker 2: even have a backyard. The Chargers don't have a backyard.

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Speaker 2: Every game is a road game for the Charge so

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Speaker 2: this is this is nothing different than what they're used to.

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Speaker 1: Did you see how much red was in.

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Speaker 2: That stadium last That was the companion. No, they don't

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Speaker 2: have a backyard, so we're perfectly fine with that. Second

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Speaker 2: of all, the Dolphins only win it's against the aforemission Jets.

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Speaker 1: That's it.

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Speaker 2: The Jets are lasting past Dvoa. The Dolphins are second

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Speaker 2: to last, as the jet will jet it up. The

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Speaker 2: Dolphins find ways to lose games, and for majority of

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Speaker 2: that game, they clearly look better than the Miami Dolphins,

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Speaker 2: and then they just turned off the switch. They just

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Speaker 2: stopped playing football. They could not generate pressure. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I don't think that the Chargers offensive line is any good,

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Speaker 2: but I don't think that the Panthers offensive line is

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Speaker 2: any good either. And they literally could not get pressure

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Speaker 2: on Brychslawn towards the end of that game. And so

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Speaker 2: if I'm sitting here and I'm saying that this team

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Speaker 2: really really struggles, they get pressure at one of the

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Speaker 2: last rates in the NFL. And you have a Chargers

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Speaker 2: offense that, yes they're struggling at the running back position,

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Speaker 2: but they've been throwing the ball like sixty six percent

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Speaker 2: clip this season in terms of percent of their plays.

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Speaker 2: And as they last week, they did not game plan

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Speaker 2: for that offensive line to be that bad. I think

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Speaker 2: that that really caught them off guard of Oh, this

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Speaker 2: offensive line sucks. They were trying to get plays downfield

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Speaker 2: and they did not have the time for it. Now

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Speaker 2: it's a different game plan. Oh wait, this week, we

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Speaker 2: know one hundred percent this offensive line sucks, So let's

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Speaker 2: get the ball out quick to lat Mcconakee Keenan Allen

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Speaker 2: and those options instead of trying to wait for a

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Speaker 2: quick and Jostin to develop something down to few like.

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Speaker 2: I think this is going to be the get right

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Speaker 2: week for the Chargers. I trust Harball way more than McDaniel.

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Speaker 2: Give me the Chargers land the points. I feel great

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Speaker 2: about this, all right.

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Speaker 1: I'm glad you feel great. I don't. We'll see. I

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Speaker 1: don't want to bet against Trell he's been hot, but

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Speaker 1: we'll see who the rest of the jaos just I

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Speaker 1: don't know Jinks. I'm like to Jinks. I'm gonna Jinks.

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Speaker 1: All right, eric Son, let's go to the next one

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Speaker 1: here on your list as we look ahead two week six. Here,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about the Colts, the team that has certainly

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Speaker 1: gotten off a really good start here with new quarterback

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Speaker 1: Daniel Jones. Shane Stikeen's gotta be loving this. I kind

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Speaker 1: of wonder should they be trying to lock up Daniel

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Speaker 1: Jones a long term deal ericson, you think that's that's

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Speaker 1: something they should like. The longer you wait on this,

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Speaker 1: the more it might cost you. But then if you

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Speaker 1: do it too soon, the more it might cost you.

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Speaker 1: I know, I'm torn about this whole Indianapolis Colts Daniel

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Speaker 1: Jones contract potential situation. But where are you at with

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Speaker 1: the game coming up in Week six?

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Speaker 3: I want to bet on the Colts when they are

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Speaker 3: a favorite. This has been a very strong trend in

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Speaker 3: the Shane Stike and era. He owns the second best

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Speaker 3: record against the spread as a favorite sixty nine percent

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Speaker 3: eleven and five, and we're facing Arizona Cardinals, who may

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Speaker 3: be without Kyler Murray. He did not practice on Wednesday.

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Speaker 3: I actually don't think that he is going to play.

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Speaker 3: Fantasy Pros has this are they playing tool that takes

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Speaker 3: a lot of data and basically spits out a percentage

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Speaker 3: of what are the odds of this player plays thirty

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Speaker 3: percent for Kyler Murray to play this week, so I'm

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Speaker 3: leaning into that, and I don't think he's going to play.

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Speaker 3: So I think this line is going to move more

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Speaker 3: in favor of the Colts when Jacobe gets announced as

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Speaker 3: the starting quarterback. So I want to be aggressive on it.

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Speaker 3: I like the Colts here as home favorites, and I

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Speaker 3: think Arizona is just kind of trending in the wrong

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Speaker 3: direction after last week's utter collapse. Against the Tennessee Titans.

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Speaker 3: You know, it's funny we're seeing to the two teams

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Speaker 3: that had the two bonehead to plays over the last

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Speaker 3: two weeks. We're dropping the touchdown at the goal line.

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Speaker 3: We sell the Colts rebound in a really really big way.

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Speaker 3: We'll see how Arizona not as optimistic that they do

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Speaker 3: rebound in a really really big way. Because I think

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Speaker 3: that the just handled it so differently, Like Jonathan Gannon

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Speaker 3: was freaking out on the sideline, he had the altercation

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Speaker 3: with de Mercado, he got fined for it, where Shane

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Speaker 3: Stiken did everything after the game, he sat down to

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Speaker 3: ad the night Mitchell he benched him for the following

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Speaker 3: week and now they're they're ready to move on. So

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Speaker 3: I think this might hangover the Cardinals a little bit more,

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Speaker 3: and that just has me concerned for them in this

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Speaker 3: matchup on the road without Kyler Murray or not at

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Speaker 3: one hundred percent. So I'm gonna go with the cole

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Speaker 3: flaying the points.

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Speaker 1: It's weird because Gannon is such a mild manner guy,

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Speaker 1: at least he comes off that way. For me. It

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Speaker 1: seems like kind of out of character.

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Speaker 3: So I think that part of The issue is something

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Speaker 3: that I heard on another show where Jonathan Gannon showed

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Speaker 3: that play an Mitchell played to his team, oh that week,

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Speaker 3: Oh no, yes, yes, oh no, which is why.

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Speaker 1: He Why are why are we acting like he shot

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Speaker 1: the man? Bro was upset? Was who anybody? This is

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Speaker 1: just football concerned? This is just football. Travis Kelsey knocks

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Speaker 1: knocks into Andy Reid on a weekly basis. Nobody seem

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Speaker 1: to give a crap about that, you know what I mean?

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Speaker 1: And I'm pretty sure that's a little on the dangerous side.

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Speaker 1: Saw it.

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Speaker 2: I came back because people were talking about, yeah, he

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Speaker 2: hit him, he hit him, and I'm like, wait, he

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Speaker 2: hit him? I don't remember seeing that. And then I

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Speaker 2: went back and I said, oh, I mean, like, what

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Speaker 2: do you mean? Come on, come on, football man, how

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Speaker 2: do you do that after you just see the guy

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Speaker 2: do that last week?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: That title that you show if you if that's true

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Speaker 1: and they showed it, No, it doesn't matter if they

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Speaker 1: showed it. He saw it, I know, But that just

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Speaker 1: makes it worse because if you're a coach, that's that's like,

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Speaker 1: that's like it.

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Speaker 2: Against the division rival. It was against the Rams. It

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Speaker 2: gave the Rams a win your division. You saw it like,

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Speaker 2: no man whatever, he was rightfully upset, dog like, come

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Speaker 2: on all.

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Speaker 1: Right, you know it's not upsetting. What makes you feel good?

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00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:26,680
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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to pick number three here for

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00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:39,920
Speaker 1: the boys. Let's talk about the Browns. This is one

349
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Speaker 1: of my best bets of the week. Terrell, and I

350
00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:43,920
Speaker 1: see idi on this month or holding hands again? It's

351
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Speaker 1: the Browns team total. Oh wait, no, wait, oh my god,

352
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Speaker 1: we see it differently again. Oh no, Terrell, You're under

353
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Speaker 1: and I'm over. I am shading you this week. Buddy.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how this is gonna work out. So

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Speaker 1: I think this is an over. I think they can

356
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Speaker 1: get the seventeen against the p it's Burgh Steelers. I

357
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Speaker 1: think Dylan Gabriel did some good things here. I know

358
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Speaker 1: the Steelers had a week off, but the Browns always

359
00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:08,640
Speaker 1: show up for these games. So why is why is

360
00:15:08,680 --> 00:15:11,960
Speaker 1: it gonna be underwhelming here for this offense against the

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Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns?

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00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:12,800
Speaker 3: Here?

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00:15:12,800 --> 00:15:13,600
Speaker 1: What are we doing here?

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Speaker 2: First off, I want to apologize to anybody that might

365
00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:21,720
Speaker 2: have been traveling with small children listening to this, and

366
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Speaker 2: as loud as I got in the last segment, I

367
00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:28,160
Speaker 2: will bring it back down here for the Browns because

368
00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:32,440
Speaker 2: the Browns are in a horrible travel spots here. They

369
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Speaker 2: went at Lions, then they go all the way to London.

370
00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:40,560
Speaker 2: Don't take the bye after Minnesota and Pittsburgh took the

371
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Speaker 2: bye after last week. Don't take the buye after and

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Speaker 2: immediately go back on the road and play at Pittsburgh,

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Speaker 2: a place where pop quiz. Does anybody know the last

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Speaker 2: Browns quarterback to get a win in Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 1: Let's see Baker Mayfield. No, who, He's not even close.

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Speaker 2: He's not even i'na, this is your hit ericson, He's

377
00:16:04,680 --> 00:16:05,600
Speaker 2: not even close.

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00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:12,640
Speaker 1: Spurgeon win auch Couch. Okay, so I'm not far off.

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00:16:12,640 --> 00:16:17,480
Speaker 2: Actually, wow, twenty plus year. So this is a tough

380
00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:18,120
Speaker 2: spot for them.

381
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Speaker 1: Overall.

382
00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:21,400
Speaker 2: You're throwing your rookie quarterback in his second game, still

383
00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:24,120
Speaker 2: on the road here, going to play against the vision opponent,

384
00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:27,200
Speaker 2: against the Pittsburgh Steelers, whose defense looks really really good

385
00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:30,960
Speaker 2: now they're getting healthier. You might not have Jalen Ramsey

386
00:16:31,040 --> 00:16:33,280
Speaker 2: with the tweak hamstring a couple of weeks ago, but

387
00:16:33,560 --> 00:16:35,920
Speaker 2: you got Joey Porter Junior. He was a full practice

388
00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:39,320
Speaker 2: this week. Alex high Smith was upgraded to limited now

389
00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:41,760
Speaker 2: he looks like he could be prepping to return this week.

390
00:16:42,040 --> 00:16:45,440
Speaker 2: Cole Holcom came back after that gruesome run injury, and

391
00:16:45,480 --> 00:16:48,440
Speaker 2: what people thought was a bad Steelers defense to begin

392
00:16:48,520 --> 00:16:51,120
Speaker 2: the season got way better after Cole got back in

393
00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:53,600
Speaker 2: the lineup. Because he's so good in the run game,

394
00:16:53,880 --> 00:16:56,240
Speaker 2: he makes the run game stronger. They play him great

395
00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:58,960
Speaker 2: in tandem with Peyton Wilson, who covers the passing game,

396
00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:01,320
Speaker 2: and they just have a really, really good scheme. I

397
00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:04,040
Speaker 2: think that they are going to take a jet lagged

398
00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:07,640
Speaker 2: Browns team that is now coming back home, now having

399
00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:10,320
Speaker 2: to play another game, now going through all the changes

400
00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:13,520
Speaker 2: that they're going through, the organization, moving on from Flacco,

401
00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:16,800
Speaker 2: moving on from Newsome, bringing in Campbell, Like, I don't

402
00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:18,520
Speaker 2: think it's going to be good for this Browns team

403
00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:20,480
Speaker 2: offensively on that side of ball, going up against the

404
00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:23,520
Speaker 2: Steelers defense. I will take the Browns team total under

405
00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:24,240
Speaker 2: sixteen a half.

406
00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:26,840
Speaker 1: I think they get two touchdowns in a field goal

407
00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:28,680
Speaker 1: and that's seventeen. I think they can do it.

408
00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:30,440
Speaker 2: So they've been under that in three of their last

409
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Speaker 2: five games against Steelers.

410
00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:34,760
Speaker 1: Yes, but it's the vote of confidence Dylan Gabriel now

411
00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:37,680
Speaker 1: gets as they trade away Joe Flacca, one less QB

412
00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:39,200
Speaker 1: to worry about here.

413
00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:41,520
Speaker 3: Was it a vote of confidence or was it, oh,

414
00:17:41,520 --> 00:17:44,200
Speaker 3: we can get something for Joe Flacco, like let's taken.

415
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Speaker 1: Then the answer is yes to both. I mean why not?

416
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Speaker 1: All right, you've got some feelings about this game too, ericson,

417
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Speaker 1: so let's talk about why you're on the Steelers minus

418
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Speaker 1: five and a half.

419
00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:55,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like the Steelers against the spread.

420
00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:55,480
Speaker 2: Here.

421
00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:58,359
Speaker 3: I talked about betting against rookie quarterbacks last week, and

422
00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:00,920
Speaker 3: that went too and H and guys making their first

423
00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:03,560
Speaker 3: road starts. Now, technically Gabriel was a neutral venue, so

424
00:18:03,560 --> 00:18:05,600
Speaker 3: technically it wasn't even his first road start. This is

425
00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:08,439
Speaker 3: technically his first road start. So Jackson Dart obviously not

426
00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:10,719
Speaker 3: delivered in his first road start against the Saints. So

427
00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:13,080
Speaker 3: this is a trend I want to continue to bet on,

428
00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:15,840
Speaker 3: and that's betting against Still and Gabriel for the quarterback

429
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:18,320
Speaker 3: making his first start. Also, the Browns, they are another

430
00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:21,879
Speaker 3: team that has stark home road splits. They played two

431
00:18:21,960 --> 00:18:24,479
Speaker 3: road games this year again, not including the London game.

432
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:27,040
Speaker 3: They got blown out in both of those contests. So

433
00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:30,959
Speaker 3: I'm not optimistic about this Browns team overall. And I

434
00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:34,399
Speaker 3: love backing Mike Tomlin with rest advantage. I know that

435
00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:36,760
Speaker 3: Andy Reid gets a lot of the credit for Andy

436
00:18:36,800 --> 00:18:38,640
Speaker 3: Reid off the buy you can't stop this guy well.

437
00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,320
Speaker 3: Since twenty twenty two, the second best team against the

438
00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:44,720
Speaker 3: spread with rest advantage is the Pittsburgh Steelers ten and

439
00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:47,200
Speaker 3: four against the spread. We already talked about how they've

440
00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:49,760
Speaker 3: been able to dominate the Cleveland Browns playing at home.

441
00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:51,960
Speaker 3: I have faith in Aaron Rodgers. The defense is getting

442
00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:54,720
Speaker 3: healthier to get a win by over five and a

443
00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:56,280
Speaker 3: half points against the Browns.

444
00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:58,800
Speaker 1: All right, don't forget. Keep the conversation going on our

445
00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:01,600
Speaker 1: discord bettingpros dot com slash chat. It's free, it's fun.

446
00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:07,000
Speaker 1: It's NBA now, it's NHL, now, it's MLB. Still never

447
00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:09,600
Speaker 1: ends at NFL. Everything's going on one time. So if

448
00:19:09,640 --> 00:19:12,439
Speaker 1: you want to get and connect with expert handicappers to

449
00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:14,600
Speaker 1: get all the picks there, all the player props, all

450
00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:17,199
Speaker 1: the live betting insights, this is what you do. You

451
00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:19,760
Speaker 1: go over and you join our bettingpros dot Com slash chat.

452
00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:21,679
Speaker 1: Our discord is up and running. It's a place to

453
00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:23,800
Speaker 1: be to keep that conversation going and join our community

454
00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:27,399
Speaker 1: over at discord again bettingpros dot Com slash Chat. All right,

455
00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:29,760
Speaker 1: let's get to the next one here, big matchup Chiefs

456
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:32,000
Speaker 1: and Lions. I gotta say, so far, I don't have

457
00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:33,880
Speaker 1: a beat on this one. One day I feel one way,

458
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,359
Speaker 1: one day I feel the other. I did not like

459
00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:38,560
Speaker 1: how the Chiefs kind of you know, fell apart at

460
00:19:38,560 --> 00:19:41,880
Speaker 1: the end of that game on Monday night. Didn't feel

461
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:44,520
Speaker 1: great about that. And every time I seem to discount

462
00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:46,439
Speaker 1: the Lions on the road, it bites me in the

463
00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:48,480
Speaker 1: rear end. So I'm just not gonna do it. I'm

464
00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:51,359
Speaker 1: staying away from this game. But you are not, Terrell.

465
00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:52,280
Speaker 1: Tell me why.

466
00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:56,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that. Honestly, I wasn't mad at what

467
00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:58,639
Speaker 2: I saw from the Chiefs. I thought that it was

468
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,720
Speaker 2: more indicative of no I thought that the Jacks really

469
00:20:01,800 --> 00:20:03,879
Speaker 2: just played a really good game. I thought the Jacks

470
00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:07,359
Speaker 2: defense made some really big plays in that secondary, and

471
00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:10,800
Speaker 2: then they got home sleeping on the interception that came back.

472
00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:14,360
Speaker 2: So I feel really good about the fact that this

473
00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:18,920
Speaker 2: Lions team is now the beat up team we used

474
00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:22,119
Speaker 2: to talk about after you played the Lions. Injury reporter

475
00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:25,520
Speaker 2: looks long not really a good bet on the next week.

476
00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:29,119
Speaker 2: We'll see what the Bengals do this week. But I

477
00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:33,439
Speaker 2: will say is that this Lions secondary is hurt. DJ

478
00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:36,359
Speaker 2: Reid is out. Terran Arnold looks like he's gonna be

479
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:38,560
Speaker 2: done for the year, but it looks like he's got

480
00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:40,560
Speaker 2: a second opinion. He might be able to come back,

481
00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:44,160
Speaker 2: but he's still out for this game. Carrie Joseph missed practice.

482
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:48,439
Speaker 2: He didn't practice, Zach Cunningham miss practice as well. Brian

483
00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:51,240
Speaker 2: Brash was limited, and then Khalif Raymond and I'm and

484
00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:54,080
Speaker 2: Raw both were DMPs as well. Like now, I expect

485
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:56,159
Speaker 2: some of these guys to end up playing when we

486
00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:59,400
Speaker 2: get the Sunday, but it's still a battered, beat up

487
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:02,200
Speaker 2: Lions team, especially in the secondary, going up against a

488
00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:05,600
Speaker 2: Chiefs offensive line that took that Super Bowl's loss very

489
00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:09,640
Speaker 2: very personally. They upgrade the offensive line, their PFS six

490
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,480
Speaker 2: graded offensive line right now, and they look the part

491
00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:15,080
Speaker 2: and look like it. Mahomes is able to move around

492
00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:17,560
Speaker 2: the pocket, move with his legs and stend plays as well,

493
00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:20,199
Speaker 2: and you see the big plays to thwart In, the

494
00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:23,480
Speaker 2: plays to Juju, the plays to Worthy like all of that.

495
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:26,720
Speaker 2: So another week of healthier Worthy is gonna be even

496
00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:29,600
Speaker 2: better for this Chiefs offense. I think that Patrick Mahomes

497
00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:31,840
Speaker 2: is going to carve up this secondary and he's gonna

498
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:34,480
Speaker 2: go up and down the field. I love Chiefs laying

499
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:35,280
Speaker 2: two and a half here.

500
00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:37,720
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the next one here in

501
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:39,960
Speaker 1: the New England Patriots coming off a huge win Monday

502
00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:42,360
Speaker 1: Night football, still on a high. I'm not gonna lie,

503
00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:44,800
Speaker 1: still feel really good about that one, Andrew Erickson. They

504
00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:46,320
Speaker 1: are three and a half point favorites on the road

505
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,120
Speaker 1: against the Saints, who have been plucky of late. Let's

506
00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:51,119
Speaker 1: make no mistake about that, right. They beat the Giants

507
00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:53,240
Speaker 1: last week, which we called on the show a week before,

508
00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:55,000
Speaker 1: they kind of took it to the Buffalo Bills, which,

509
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:57,080
Speaker 1: by the way, that defense not great. I know they

510
00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:59,480
Speaker 1: got some injuries, but still enough is enough here. It's

511
00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:01,760
Speaker 1: not making uses for the Buffalo Bills last couple of weeks.

512
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:03,960
Speaker 1: But let's take a look at the Patriots. Why are

513
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 1: you confident that they can cover this three and a half?

514
00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:08,040
Speaker 3: Well? I think it's interesting because we've seen both of

515
00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 3: these teams go up to Buffalo in the last two

516
00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:13,080
Speaker 3: weeks and both cover those spreads. Now, the Patriots ended

517
00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:15,719
Speaker 3: up winning outright, but I think it's interesting because the

518
00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:18,720
Speaker 3: market deemed the Saints as two touchdowns inferior to the

519
00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:21,399
Speaker 3: Buffalo Bills, but then one touchdown in fear to the Patriots.

520
00:22:21,560 --> 00:22:22,920
Speaker 3: So if you're doing the math, that means that the

521
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:25,119
Speaker 3: patriot should be a touchdown favorite against the Saints in

522
00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:27,560
Speaker 3: a neutral site. Now this game is on the road,

523
00:22:27,600 --> 00:22:29,639
Speaker 3: so you are considering that. But I don't think that

524
00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:31,720
Speaker 3: three and a half points is enough for the Patriots,

525
00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:33,080
Speaker 3: so I think it should be closer to four and

526
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:34,880
Speaker 3: a half or five, which is why I like laying

527
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:37,560
Speaker 3: the points with the Patriots. I know that all the

528
00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:41,000
Speaker 3: talk is about Drake May this emerging superstar, but what

529
00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:43,320
Speaker 3: I've been most impressed by is the return of Christian

530
00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:46,520
Speaker 3: Gonzales and how that has completely transformed this Patriots defense.

531
00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:50,200
Speaker 3: They blanked the Panthers essentially at home. Now, okay, that

532
00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:52,600
Speaker 3: was the Panthers, so let's see what they do against Buffalo.

533
00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:56,560
Speaker 3: Buffalo scores thirty points against every single team. They didn't

534
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 3: do that at home against the new of the Patriots

535
00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:01,639
Speaker 3: with Christian Zales back in lineup. So I think the Saints'

536
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:03,760
Speaker 3: offense is going to struggle. We've seen them kind of

537
00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:05,760
Speaker 3: pop off the last two weeks because able to run

538
00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:07,480
Speaker 3: the football. You know, it's one of the best run

539
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:10,399
Speaker 3: defenses in the NFL this season. The New England Patriots,

540
00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 3: so I think they can make life hard for Spencer

541
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:16,000
Speaker 3: rather or make them make him more one dimensional. You

542
00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,240
Speaker 3: can take out certain receivers, you can remove a lobby

543
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:21,199
Speaker 3: from the game using Christian Gonzales. So I just like

544
00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:23,440
Speaker 3: a lot of the advantages from the Patriots side of

545
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:25,600
Speaker 3: things here, even on the road. So give me the

546
00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:27,080
Speaker 3: Patriots laying the points, all.

547
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 1: Right, Patriots with the points for Andrew Erk. So let's go.

548
00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:33,160
Speaker 1: That's schedule for the Patriots really easy the next couple

549
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:35,359
Speaker 1: of weeks. A lot of wins in there, just saying

550
00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:36,200
Speaker 1: if they do it right.

551
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,160
Speaker 3: And to make up for that the blunder of the

552
00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:39,960
Speaker 3: week one loss to the Raiders.

553
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:41,360
Speaker 1: Well that's how I looked at it. I was like, look,

554
00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:44,120
Speaker 1: you're not supposed to beat the Buffalo Bills in Buffalo,

555
00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:46,159
Speaker 1: but you're also not supposed to lose at home in

556
00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:48,639
Speaker 1: week one to the Raiders, so things even out a

557
00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:50,359
Speaker 1: little bit. So we're back on trap just in a

558
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:52,520
Speaker 1: weird way. That's the NFL. All right, Let's get to

559
00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:53,879
Speaker 1: the last one here for the Boys, and then we're

560
00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:55,640
Speaker 1: going to get the upsets special of the week, which,

561
00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 1: by the way, I hit last week. Let's go Terrell

562
00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:00,879
Speaker 1: going back to that Chiefs situation here. I think this

563
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 1: might be the best approach to that game for me.

564
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:06,040
Speaker 1: So let's talk about the team total over twenty seven

565
00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:06,520
Speaker 1: and a half.

566
00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:08,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, doubling up here on the Chiefs. Give me over

567
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 2: on a seen toto as well. That secondary is really

568
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:14,639
Speaker 2: really bad right now. Without Arnold, without Reid, those are

569
00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:18,240
Speaker 2: two really and they're down another one. And Carrie Joseph

570
00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,240
Speaker 2: if he's not able to play in that game as

571
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:23,679
Speaker 2: a safety, then they're really down four bodies in that secondary.

572
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:27,600
Speaker 2: And now you're going up against Patrick Mahomes that has confidence.

573
00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:30,560
Speaker 2: Look what he did to that Ravens secondary that was

574
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 2: beat up, battered, bruising, not playing well. He torched him

575
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:36,919
Speaker 2: for thirty seven points in a big game where he

576
00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:39,880
Speaker 2: had to have it. This Chiefs team does not want

577
00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:42,399
Speaker 2: to go to two and four. You cannot go to

578
00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:44,200
Speaker 2: two and four. You gotta find a way to win

579
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:45,960
Speaker 2: this game, and it's going to be on the back

580
00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:48,880
Speaker 2: of Patrick Mahomes in prime time. And then guess what

581
00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:53,000
Speaker 2: everybody talks about. The reps are always cheating for the Chiefs,

582
00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:55,920
Speaker 2: Then just better on the Chiefs. I keep saying it.

583
00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:58,360
Speaker 2: If you think they keep cheating for them, just keep.

584
00:24:58,200 --> 00:24:58,960
Speaker 4: Better on them.

585
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,200
Speaker 2: So now we're gonna be here in another primetime game

586
00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:04,680
Speaker 2: where the Chiefs back's gonna get against the wall again

587
00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,800
Speaker 2: and they're gonna get some flukey call, and everybody gonna

588
00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:10,640
Speaker 2: say all the resks are cheating because all the public

589
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:14,320
Speaker 2: is on the Lions. Everybody likes Lions. This week, I

590
00:25:14,359 --> 00:25:16,040
Speaker 2: think that the Chiefs are gonna win the game. I

591
00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:17,879
Speaker 2: think it's gonna be on the back of Patrick Mahomes

592
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:19,560
Speaker 2: in this offense and how they're gonna be able to

593
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 2: move the ball on that chief secondary. So yes, Chiefs

594
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:26,200
Speaker 2: Lan's soon to have Chiefs team total over. I'm playing

595
00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:26,760
Speaker 2: both all.

596
00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:30,480
Speaker 1: Right, we have it everybody last, but not least this one.

597
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:32,720
Speaker 1: I bet early from of our early line show when

598
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,640
Speaker 1: it was still Seahawks getting plus money. By the way,

599
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:37,880
Speaker 1: as the upset, I couldn't use it. They already put

600
00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 1: it in Monday. I was like, ah, it's great, upset

601
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 1: here special, this is lock. I already bet it. Now

602
00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:45,919
Speaker 1: it's moved. Now they're the favorite by the time. We

603
00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:47,679
Speaker 1: got to record this on Thursday. So I can't do

604
00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:50,720
Speaker 1: that one anymore. But for the record, go check it

605
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:53,639
Speaker 1: out Seattle. Let's go Andrew Rickson. Let's talk about this one.

606
00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:56,200
Speaker 1: They're getting plus one and a half in some markets. Again,

607
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:57,720
Speaker 1: you can find this over at betting pros find the

608
00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:00,679
Speaker 1: best consensus lying because it's practically a pick. And I

609
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:02,399
Speaker 1: know the Jags did a great job, I know as

610
00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:05,240
Speaker 1: a very emotional win, but the Jags really did fall

611
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:07,520
Speaker 1: into some lucky spots there. Now, I will say this,

612
00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:09,680
Speaker 1: and we talked about this as well, that it takes

613
00:26:09,680 --> 00:26:11,960
Speaker 1: a little while for the offense, you know, to learn

614
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 1: the new Liam Cone system, and it starts to look

615
00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:17,200
Speaker 1: like things are going better here for the Jags. However,

616
00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:19,920
Speaker 1: I really like this Seattle team. This is a team

617
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:21,560
Speaker 1: that I thought the win total I think it was

618
00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:22,920
Speaker 1: eight and a half they said it. I thought it

619
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:25,240
Speaker 1: was far too low considering they were a team last year.

620
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:27,879
Speaker 1: They played really good defense, so Eric so let's talk

621
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:29,680
Speaker 1: about the Seattle Seahawks right now this week.

622
00:26:30,320 --> 00:26:33,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, Seattle was the team that I definitely was the

623
00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 3: I was the most wrong about Seattle in the offseason.

624
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:39,200
Speaker 3: I did not like them a lot, and I'm trying

625
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:41,879
Speaker 3: to make up ground because my season long bets on

626
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:43,520
Speaker 3: the Seattle Sticks are not going to come to fruition

627
00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:45,040
Speaker 3: and I wish that I bet the unders on the

628
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:47,680
Speaker 3: Cardinals instead of the Seahawks. So I'm changing my tune

629
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:49,320
Speaker 3: here because of what I've seen over the last couple

630
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:52,040
Speaker 3: of weeks, and I love Seattle in this spot on

631
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:54,640
Speaker 3: the road. Since Mike McDonald took over as the head coach,

632
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:57,240
Speaker 3: the Seahawks have lost one road game. They're nine and

633
00:26:57,359 --> 00:27:00,200
Speaker 3: one straight up on the road since it started twenty

634
00:26:59,800 --> 00:27:01,960
Speaker 3: two and the only loss they have was against the

635
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 3: Detroit Lions, which one of the better teams in the NFL,

636
00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:07,359
Speaker 3: who beats basically anybody at home because they score so

637
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:10,680
Speaker 3: many points. So against Jacksonville, I agree with you, Joe.

638
00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:12,320
Speaker 3: I think this should be closer to a pick them.

639
00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:14,479
Speaker 3: I think that the Jaguars are just kind of favored because,

640
00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:17,000
Speaker 3: oh well, they beat the Chiefs, saying they're at home,

641
00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:19,879
Speaker 3: like let's just make them favorites when we know the

642
00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:22,480
Speaker 3: luck for the Jacksonville Jaguars eventually is going to run out.

643
00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:26,200
Speaker 3: I mean Trevor Lawrence, he's literally on the ground and

644
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:29,640
Speaker 3: it gets up and scores the touchdown. So they leave

645
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:32,880
Speaker 3: the NFL in turnovers. They have fourteen turnovers through five weeks.

646
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:36,040
Speaker 3: Jets have zero. I just wanted to mention that. And

647
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:38,880
Speaker 3: I think that eventually their luck is going to run out.

648
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:40,560
Speaker 3: And I think that when you look at the way

649
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 3: the Seahawks offense is built. They play good defense and

650
00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:46,479
Speaker 3: they run the football effectively. That is why they've been

651
00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:49,560
Speaker 3: so successful on the road, because that's a winning formula

652
00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,680
Speaker 3: for football games. When you're going and traveling on the road,

653
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:55,240
Speaker 3: established the run, you play strong defense. You're not this

654
00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:58,080
Speaker 3: high flying attack where if things aren't going right you

655
00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:01,080
Speaker 3: can run to issues playing away from home. So I

656
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:03,680
Speaker 3: like Seattle a lot. Here just good how you're always

657
00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:06,560
Speaker 3: getting to die with them playing on the road Jacksonville

658
00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:09,800
Speaker 3: on a short week. Actually, jack the Jaguars have failed

659
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:11,840
Speaker 3: to cover the spread nine of their last ten home

660
00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:13,920
Speaker 3: games when they're playing with the rest disadvantage. So that's

661
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,120
Speaker 3: another thing that's kind of working in favor of Seattle.

662
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:18,879
Speaker 3: I think there is some and when said, well, Jacksonville

663
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:21,159
Speaker 3: playing off a big Monday night win, Like you said,

664
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:23,320
Speaker 3: I think this works in the Seahawks favor So they're

665
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:26,360
Speaker 3: my again. I picked four favorites. This is my one

666
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:27,440
Speaker 3: under dog for this week.

667
00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:30,720
Speaker 1: Yeah again, Like I said, right now, I'm looking in

668
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:33,879
Speaker 1: some of the markets. I can't find the underdog Seahawks

669
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:35,680
Speaker 1: in a lot of spots anymore. So I don't want to.

670
00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:38,560
Speaker 1: I don't want to, you know, be off kilter here.

671
00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:39,959
Speaker 1: I want to keep it real for the audience. So

672
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:43,040
Speaker 1: my my official one is still the Seahawks wherever you

673
00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:45,120
Speaker 1: could find it. But I've already seen that warm turn

674
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 1: and a lot of markets here already. So by the

675
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:49,920
Speaker 1: time people see this or it gets to the weekend,

676
00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:52,360
Speaker 1: they're gonna say, what are you talking about? Seattle is

677
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:53,400
Speaker 1: not plus money anymore?

678
00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:55,520
Speaker 3: Well, where are you seeing that? Because the last time

679
00:28:55,520 --> 00:28:55,960
Speaker 3: I checked.

680
00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:57,720
Speaker 1: Out, I can't say because they're not the sponsor of

681
00:28:57,720 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 1: the show, but I will say it's in a couple

682
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:02,800
Speaker 1: of markets anywhere it's turned. So I will say that

683
00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:05,000
Speaker 1: now hard rock bet that might not be the case,

684
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:06,800
Speaker 1: which is why you download the apps. They did there

685
00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 1: see what did support the sponsor because hard rock bet

686
00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 1: still get it right now. But again, my fear is

687
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 1: by the time we get to where we're going, it

688
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 1: might not be there. So I'm gonna pivot. I'm gonna

689
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 1: pivot now. Look this breaks my heart because last week

690
00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 1: I told you Baker mayfielderdog, we told you. I told you.

691
00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:27,680
Speaker 1: But I'm the one putting my neck out here for

692
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:30,240
Speaker 1: the Upset Special and I'm now two and three because

693
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:33,120
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield is responsible for both of those victories the show.

694
00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 1: I just want to point out I am and.

695
00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:38,160
Speaker 2: And that's why you're really like you're playing with fire here.

696
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:40,840
Speaker 1: I'll say that I am playing with fire, but hear

697
00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 1: me out. This is one of those classic hearing me

698
00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:44,720
Speaker 1: out moments. Is my youngest daughter. We're saying that to

699
00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:48,120
Speaker 1: hear me out. So I'm hedging this one though, because

700
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:49,840
Speaker 1: at the top of the show, I told you. I

701
00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:53,080
Speaker 1: still like Baker Mayfield is potentially getting buzz for m VP.

702
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:56,360
Speaker 1: I feel like the media is really embracing the vibes

703
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,360
Speaker 1: of Baker Mayfield. I think that they are one of

704
00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:00,400
Speaker 1: the best teams in the NFC, and if they go

705
00:30:00,520 --> 00:30:03,400
Speaker 1: on a magical run here and somehow get the one seed.

706
00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 1: By season's in Egles look a little weird to me.

707
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:08,560
Speaker 1: The Lions again have been really good, but let's see

708
00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:11,760
Speaker 1: how it shakes out. Baker Mayfield, to me, I think

709
00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:15,560
Speaker 1: has a shot. But this week at home as a favorite,

710
00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:18,160
Speaker 1: you can't love it. You just can't love it. And

711
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:20,480
Speaker 1: I've seen enough out of Mac Jones in the system.

712
00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:22,480
Speaker 1: If Mac Jones has to play quarterback in the forty

713
00:30:22,560 --> 00:30:24,680
Speaker 1: nine ers, I am mad at it. He went in

714
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:27,440
Speaker 1: there and look, I cash big money. On Thursday night,

715
00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:29,240
Speaker 1: I told everybody it was five and a half and

716
00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:30,920
Speaker 1: then during the show it moved to plus seven and

717
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:32,960
Speaker 1: I said, boys and girls, lock it in. There's no

718
00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:35,440
Speaker 1: way they're not covering this seven And they just won outright,

719
00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:39,160
Speaker 1: So Sana fran plus one forty two to find a

720
00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:42,400
Speaker 1: way to somehow win until the wheels fall off of

721
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:45,120
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey. Literally, this is what they're gonna do, and

722
00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:46,840
Speaker 1: they're just gonna keep pushing this, and I think this

723
00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,280
Speaker 1: is gonna be one where maybe Baker doesn't pull the

724
00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:51,920
Speaker 1: rabbit out of his hat this time, but if he does,

725
00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:55,800
Speaker 1: my plus nine to fifty MVP bet by the time

726
00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:57,920
Speaker 1: we wake up Monday morning, is gonna look like plus

727
00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:00,160
Speaker 1: five hundred, just saying all of a sudden, that line

728
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,360
Speaker 1: is gonna change dramatically. This will be a huge win.

729
00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:04,280
Speaker 1: So I'm hedging this one. I'm willing to take the

730
00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:08,040
Speaker 1: loss for the long term game, but I'm also willing

731
00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:10,480
Speaker 1: to say that long term game is still in play

732
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:12,320
Speaker 1: even if they lose this week and I win in

733
00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:14,320
Speaker 1: to get my upset special. I hope you follow that logic.

734
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:16,560
Speaker 1: If not, you can rewind the video and listen to

735
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:18,479
Speaker 1: it again. It's very easy to do. Just hit that

736
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:21,120
Speaker 1: back ten or back fifteen button and you can hear

737
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:24,160
Speaker 1: it again and we'll be fine. So, last, but not least,

738
00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:27,000
Speaker 1: here's the parlay of the week, oh to five. So

739
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:29,080
Speaker 1: don't listen to this at all. Just bet against it.

740
00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 1: Bet all the opposites if you want. Let's go to

741
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:36,560
Speaker 1: the over in the Dallas Cowboys Panthers game. The number

742
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:38,240
Speaker 1: is forty nine and a half at minus one oh eight,

743
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:39,840
Speaker 1: and you know, frankly, I don't see any defense on

744
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:41,880
Speaker 1: either side of this game, so I'm sure it'll be

745
00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:44,840
Speaker 1: thirteen ten the Rams. Let's go to the team zone

746
00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 1: on the Rams playing the Ravens. They're just getting rid

747
00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:50,840
Speaker 1: of everybody, trading every it's over. Baltimore's is running the

748
00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:52,960
Speaker 1: white flag up right now, and the Rams right now,

749
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:55,640
Speaker 1: I think need to take out some aggression and I

750
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:57,480
Speaker 1: think they're gonna do it on the Baltimore Ravens after

751
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:00,080
Speaker 1: that terrible loss that they took on Thursday night. So

752
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,040
Speaker 1: give me the Rams total twenty six and a half.

753
00:32:02,120 --> 00:32:04,080
Speaker 1: I can't believe neither of you pick this one. This

754
00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:05,840
Speaker 1: is like a gimme. I feel like where they're just

755
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:07,360
Speaker 1: gonna open a can of woop bas here on that

756
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:09,920
Speaker 1: Ravens defense, plus the offense can't move the football. You're

757
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:11,960
Speaker 1: not gonna get Lamar again for this game. And last,

758
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:15,320
Speaker 1: but not least, I'm going to break away with my

759
00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:17,720
Speaker 1: good pal Royl Ferman Junior. I'm gonna take the over

760
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:20,880
Speaker 1: sixteen and a half the Cleveland Brown's team total right now,

761
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:22,479
Speaker 1: and I'll tell you why they're getting younger and more

762
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 1: athletic right in front of our eyes. Dylan Gabriel, Harold

763
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:29,600
Speaker 1: Fannon Junior. Right, You've got You've got Isaiah Bond, Quinshawn Judkins.

764
00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:31,320
Speaker 1: All of a sudden, this team is much younger, much

765
00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:34,920
Speaker 1: quicker and doesn't know any better and they don't really care. Yeah,

766
00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 1: you know, it's just like you know, back in the

767
00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:38,080
Speaker 1: day when you used to party, and yeah, you could

768
00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:40,200
Speaker 1: go to London one weekend and wake up the next

769
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,920
Speaker 1: week in Peoria or Pittsburgh and find yourself having to

770
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:45,600
Speaker 1: play a Pittsburgh Steeler team And that's just the life

771
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:47,520
Speaker 1: of a young college guy. And that's basically what these

772
00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:49,360
Speaker 1: guys are right now. So I don't think this whole

773
00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:51,800
Speaker 1: travel thing is gonna affect the Browns quite as much

774
00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:53,880
Speaker 1: as Terrell does. I don't think they win, but I

775
00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:55,680
Speaker 1: think they can get two touchdowns at a field goal.

776
00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 1: So give me the over there. If you put those

777
00:32:57,120 --> 00:33:00,280
Speaker 1: three things together, you get plus three ninety seven and maybe,

778
00:33:00,320 --> 00:33:01,880
Speaker 1: just maybe I'll get on the board this week. But

779
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,040
Speaker 1: what do you like this week? What's your favorite bet

780
00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 1: for Week six in the NFL? Drop your comments below

781
00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:08,920
Speaker 1: let us know while you're at it. Make sure you

782
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,120
Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel. We're trying to get to one

783
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:13,320
Speaker 1: hundred thousand this year. We can do it with your help,

784
00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:15,520
Speaker 1: and don't forget to check out the Betting pros app.

785
00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:17,760
Speaker 1: Download it now. Don't be a tool, use the tools

786
00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:20,280
Speaker 1: on the VP app bet Smarter, not Harder. That'll do

787
00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:21,920
Speaker 1: it for us, but the story of the game goes

788
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:24,440
Speaker 1: on for Terrell Firman Junior and Andrew ericson I'm Joey P.

789
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:26,200
Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Kids.

790
00:33:27,360 --> 00:33:30,000
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

791
00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

792
00:33:32,440 --> 00:33:35,840
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

793
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:38,760
Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

794
00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:42,480
Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

795
00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:50,720
Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros