WEBVTT - Biden Picks Jackson for Supreme Court

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Karl Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio, or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. The big news is President

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<v Speaker 1>Joe Biden nominating Judge Katanji Brown Jackson to be the

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<v Speaker 1>first black woman on the Supreme Court, a historic selection

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<v Speaker 1>that would add certainly a fresh liberal voice when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to the nation's highest court. Let's get to June Grasso.

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<v Speaker 1>She's Bloomberg News Legal Analyst, host of Bloomberg Law. You

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<v Speaker 1>can catch that, recognize that ten pm Wall Street time

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. She's here in her interactive broker studio.

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<v Speaker 1>This is significant. It's a historic day, of course it is.

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<v Speaker 1>And his choice of katangi Brown Jackson. Judge Jackson was

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<v Speaker 1>expected in a way. I mean, you could never be

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<v Speaker 1>sure until they actually say the name. But she has

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<v Speaker 1>been a star. She's a top contender for this position.

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<v Speaker 1>Barack Obama even interviewed her at the time he had

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<v Speaker 1>an opening on the court and gave it to Merrick Garland.

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<v Speaker 1>So she has just been a rising star on the bench,

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<v Speaker 1>and she has everything. She has the kind of background

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<v Speaker 1>that Ivy League background that they always have on the

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<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court. She's sort of fits in the mold of

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<v Speaker 1>Justice Bryer, who she clerked for. She you know, went

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<v Speaker 1>to Harvard College and she graduated from Harvard Law School.

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<v Speaker 1>But what she has that other Supreme Court justices don't

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<v Speaker 1>have right now is she served as a federal public defender,

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<v Speaker 1>so she represented indigent defendants. And at the Supreme Court,

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<v Speaker 1>the last time there was a justice who had significant

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<v Speaker 1>experience representing criminal defenses defendants, it was the famous Thurgood

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<v Speaker 1>mare Scholl, who was the legendary civil right sler. You

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<v Speaker 1>heard President Biden mentioned Justice Marshall in his comments, and

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<v Speaker 1>so no one on the court right now has that

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<v Speaker 1>kind of experience, and Biden has been trying to put

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<v Speaker 1>people on the bench at every level that have different

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<v Speaker 1>kinds of backgrounds. Not prosecutors, but a lot of public defenders.

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<v Speaker 1>She's also a sentencing expert. She sat on the Sentencing uh,

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<v Speaker 1>the Sentencing Commission, So she's got a lot going for her. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>So a nomination is one thing, but what about that

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<v Speaker 1>path to confirmation? June? She was nominated last summer to

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<v Speaker 1>be the federal for the Federal Appeals Court and Washington,

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<v Speaker 1>d C. She was confirmed to that position. Some Republicans

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<v Speaker 1>voted for her. Does that set her up for success

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<v Speaker 1>this time around? Well, you can't guarantee that. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know. It's a different A Supreme Court confirmation

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<v Speaker 1>hearing is different from a confirmation hearing, even for the

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<v Speaker 1>DC Appellate Court, which is which is considered a feeder court.

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<v Speaker 1>I believe about um at the last fourteen justices, five

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<v Speaker 1>of them sat on the d C Circuit Court. So

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<v Speaker 1>it's a springboard and she basically sailed through that nomination process.

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<v Speaker 1>But that doesn't mean that she's going to get those

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<v Speaker 1>same three Republican votes when she is. You know, when

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<v Speaker 1>the nomination comes up. I don't expect and most people

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<v Speaker 1>don't expect there to be anything because she's been you know,

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<v Speaker 1>she's been vetted just recently, and also the Republicans really

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<v Speaker 1>don't have a sort of aligned to attack her. They

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<v Speaker 1>don't have a coherent narrative against her. What they did

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<v Speaker 1>during those hearings was there were some wonky questions about sentencing,

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<v Speaker 1>and um, there was. The only real attack was that

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<v Speaker 1>she represented when she was a public defender, she represented

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<v Speaker 1>a Guantanamo inmate. That's not really much of an attack.

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<v Speaker 1>So I don't know what they could possibly hit her way,

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<v Speaker 1>But that doesn't mean that she'll get those same three votes. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>It's interesting just watching the Twitter universe and somebody's saying,

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<v Speaker 1>what a great way to wrap up Black History Month?

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<v Speaker 1>Um was interest things I do wonder if she indeed

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<v Speaker 1>goes through the confirmation process and is confirmed, how will

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<v Speaker 1>she play against the existing Supreme Court justices. What I

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<v Speaker 1>think is really interesting is that, of course she's not

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<v Speaker 1>going to change the outlook of the court. There are

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<v Speaker 1>still gonna be six conservatives and three liberals, but the

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<v Speaker 1>three liberals the basics, that's certainly slanted towards the concerned side,

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<v Speaker 1>but the three liberals are going to be three women

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<v Speaker 1>three and a diverse three women, the Hispanic, Jewish and

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<v Speaker 1>now Black. And they are going to be dynamic. They're

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<v Speaker 1>going to be in the in the descent a lot,

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<v Speaker 1>but you're going to hear a lot from them. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean even now, Justice Sodo Mayor is really strong in

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<v Speaker 1>the comments that she makes. Justice Kagan is fluent and

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<v Speaker 1>elegant in the way she talks and writes. So I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's going to be, you know, really dynamic. And

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<v Speaker 1>also you're going to have a perspective a black woman.

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<v Speaker 1>Right now, there is one black on the court, Clarence Thomas.

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<v Speaker 1>But for example, an affirmative action, they're gonna be affirmative

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<v Speaker 1>action cases coming up next term. Justice Thomas doesn't believe

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<v Speaker 1>in affirmative action, so now we'll have another viewpoint of

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<v Speaker 1>someone in that position of black person. So I think

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to be really valuable. I can't wait to

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<v Speaker 1>hear the first oral arguments because you sort of get

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<v Speaker 1>a feeling for how they're going to interact, at least

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<v Speaker 1>at the beginning of Some justices sort of hang back

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<v Speaker 1>at the beginning, but then you had like Justice Course

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<v Speaker 1>that who went right full on and corrected the Chief

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<v Speaker 1>Justice on something he said about where the tenth circuit

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<v Speaker 1>was and then had to backtrack and apologize because he'd

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<v Speaker 1>made a mistake and the Chief was right. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>so you have this real dynamic. It will be interesting

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<v Speaker 1>to see how she plays in that. That's just about

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<v Speaker 1>using the right forks right at this, that's more than that. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>also she does have now to open the door when

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<v Speaker 1>they have conferences. The most junior justice has to open

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<v Speaker 1>the door and take the notes. Justice Bryce said, I

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<v Speaker 1>think he was like the longest he was decades doing that.

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<v Speaker 1>And also Justice Kagan said that you're you're in charge

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<v Speaker 1>of the dining room, so you get nothing, but it

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<v Speaker 1>is and if you put in a yogurt machine, she said,

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<v Speaker 1>you're golden sky. All right. But again, you know, this

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<v Speaker 1>is not something that happens. It certainly has happened relatively

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<v Speaker 1>frequently over the last few years. But for people who

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<v Speaker 1>don't recall, um, what's the process like and what's a

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<v Speaker 1>realistic timeline that we can expect at least some sort

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<v Speaker 1>of confirmation process to get kicked off. Well, Dick Durban,

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<v Speaker 1>who's in charge of this, he's the head of the

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<v Speaker 1>Judiciary Committee, says he wants this done by Easter time.

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<v Speaker 1>The first thing that will happen is, I mean, they're

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<v Speaker 1>going to have to go through the background checks and

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<v Speaker 1>she has to, you know, file different papers. She'll meet

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<v Speaker 1>with different senators you know, and and have discussions with them.

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<v Speaker 1>Those are usually very cordial. And then you have the

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<v Speaker 1>first here in which will be the Judiciary Committee hearing,

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<v Speaker 1>and that will be a hearing where you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>senators on the Judiciary Committee talked, ask her questions, and

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<v Speaker 1>then you're going to have a full um you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a full vote by the Senate, vote by the Judiciary Committee,

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<v Speaker 1>and then a vote by the Senate, the full Senate.

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<v Speaker 1>And he helped to have that done by um by

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<v Speaker 1>Easter time. So that's a pretty fast time. It's not

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<v Speaker 1>as fast as it's been because any Coney Barrett I

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<v Speaker 1>think was thirty days from from beginning to end of

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<v Speaker 1>the process. So it can be done, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>it will be done, and I think she will sail through.

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<v Speaker 1>I think this process with any Republican votes are just

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<v Speaker 1>Democrats question. I don't know. I hope that there will

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<v Speaker 1>be a few. I hope that at least Senator Collins

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<v Speaker 1>and Murkowski, who voted for her below and women's senators.

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<v Speaker 1>I hope that they will vote for her, and but

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<v Speaker 1>we'll see. I mean, there couldn't even be more. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean she is really a star. She sounds super far

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<v Speaker 1>exactly super just based on the you know, looking at

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<v Speaker 1>her background, right, I can't find I don't haven't found

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<v Speaker 1>anything wrong that you could that you could point to that.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh well there was this one thing. It just hasn't

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<v Speaker 1>come up. All right, good stuff, Um, thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 1>Joom Grasso from Bright News Legal Alice. Anything pops up legally,

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<v Speaker 1>ease in the news room, like June, I'll be here,

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<v Speaker 1>He'll be here, I'll run it. Help me. What does

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<v Speaker 1>this mean? Host of Bloomberg Law catch her weeknights Attempi

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<v Speaker 1>in Wall Street Time. Right here on Bloomberg Radio, you're

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<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Bloomberg has been

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<v Speaker 1>reporting a swath of major American businesses, from major banks

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<v Speaker 1>to utility companies, preparing for possible cyber attacks against their

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<v Speaker 1>computer networks as Russia has threatened consequences for nations that

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<v Speaker 1>interfere with its invasion of Ukraine and Tim, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we've already been reporting on and talking about the cyber

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<v Speaker 1>attacks on systems inside Ukraine to essentially undermine the security

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<v Speaker 1>of the country. Citizen. Yeah, certainly an important voice to

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<v Speaker 1>speak on this is Hitesh Chef, the president and CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of vector AI. It's a privately held organization that helps

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<v Speaker 1>government agencies, corporations as well keep their networks sitting in

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<v Speaker 1>buildings and on the cloud. Hit Tesh, it's great to

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<v Speaker 1>have you with us. You're joining us from San Jose, California.

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<v Speaker 1>How are you good? Good? And thanks for having me, No,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for joining us. There's this is

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<v Speaker 1>a perfect time to be talking about this because I

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<v Speaker 1>think there is this elevated sense of perhaps there could

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<v Speaker 1>be cyber attacks with especially you know, Russia and China

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<v Speaker 1>being among the countries that are so good at attacking

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<v Speaker 1>cyber networks. Help us understand how risk is right now?

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<v Speaker 1>Is it elevated as a result of the invasion of Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the risk is is very elevated. And and

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<v Speaker 1>and the reason I say that is that, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think we can all logically assume that the invasion

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<v Speaker 1>of Ukraine was a planned event. It's not as though

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<v Speaker 1>the government in Russia woke up on the twenty and

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<v Speaker 1>said we're gonna invade next day in the morning. They've

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<v Speaker 1>been doing this. They've been taking about this for a

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<v Speaker 1>very long time, likely toward twenty four months. And in

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<v Speaker 1>that timeframe, Uh, they've I'm sure done scenario scenario planning

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<v Speaker 1>with Hey, if we did this, these are likely ramifications globally,

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<v Speaker 1>sanctions being one of them. And you know, and this

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<v Speaker 1>is where they're going to originate from. And so therefore,

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<v Speaker 1>what are the preemptive things we can do to to

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<v Speaker 1>do with those events? And one of the preemptive things

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sure they've done is is gone and stealthily, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>launch cyber attacks already on a lot of the infrastructure

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<v Speaker 1>we've got you in the country. Um, you know, key institutions,

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<v Speaker 1>and and there is malvery that is sitting there. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>they're ready to get activated, right and you know it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's you know, as as tough as it is, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a matter of pushing buttons. Now this is where we are.

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<v Speaker 1>So I am curious to tash how strategic is Russia

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about this? Well, first of all, Russia, we know

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<v Speaker 1>along with Iran, China US among the world's leading practitioners

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<v Speaker 1>of cyber warfare. It's not what warfare, It's not just Russia.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, we do it the United States. But I'm

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<v Speaker 1>curious how much in terms of of planning their military

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<v Speaker 1>strategy into Ukraine, how much are they being strategic in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of the targets they hit because they to some

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<v Speaker 1>extent want to keep the cyber world up and running

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<v Speaker 1>because it can be very productive in their own goal

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<v Speaker 1>and mission. Yeah, but they will look at what they

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<v Speaker 1>just did, right they They were I think very e

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<v Speaker 1>stategic about this right there. You know, three things have occurred.

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<v Speaker 1>In the first and foremost at the highest level, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the first time in human history we're seeing cyber attacks

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<v Speaker 1>becoming a weapon of first choice. Now we have a

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<v Speaker 1>long theorized, especially those of us who live in in

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<v Speaker 1>in uh in cybersecurity, that this is gonna this event

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<v Speaker 1>is going to come to pass at some point, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, and and obviously we're all hoping that we

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<v Speaker 1>would not have to see it. But but here we are.

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<v Speaker 1>And so they were, they were, I think we're very

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<v Speaker 1>very thoughtful about how this got integrated into their overall

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<v Speaker 1>attack framework. Number one. Number two, Um, you know at

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<v Speaker 1>least a mini moment wasn't reported out there, right, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>they went after financial institutions, a very logical target if

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<v Speaker 1>you are thinking about how to disrupt uh, you know,

0:12:10.440 --> 0:12:13.080
<v Speaker 1>the general population. The second thing they did is go

0:12:13.080 --> 0:12:15.319
<v Speaker 1>off to social media, right, I mean, I think we

0:12:15.320 --> 0:12:18.760
<v Speaker 1>we revolts in the news on Twitter and and again

0:12:18.920 --> 0:12:20.599
<v Speaker 1>you know, if you the reason to go off for

0:12:20.679 --> 0:12:23.719
<v Speaker 1>social media is you know, when when democracies are either

0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:26.880
<v Speaker 1>getting formed or the threat, right, it's a it's a

0:12:26.960 --> 0:12:30.800
<v Speaker 1>very effective way to either spread misinformation and or cut

0:12:30.800 --> 0:12:34.240
<v Speaker 1>off you know, news getting shared, not just in the

0:12:34.360 --> 0:12:37.200
<v Speaker 1>in the country you're targeting in this case, Ukraine, but

0:12:37.320 --> 0:12:40.320
<v Speaker 1>even within Russia itself. And so I think though, I

0:12:40.320 --> 0:12:43.520
<v Speaker 1>think they were very thoughtful about how they than the

0:12:43.600 --> 0:12:46.480
<v Speaker 1>utilize several attacks in this campaign of theirs. And let's

0:12:46.480 --> 0:12:48.360
<v Speaker 1>not forget there's a headline earlier that I know across

0:12:48.360 --> 0:12:51.080
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Russia saying will limit access to Facebook from February,

0:12:51.720 --> 0:12:54.680
<v Speaker 1>so right till they are looking at the role of

0:12:54.720 --> 0:12:57.559
<v Speaker 1>social media in it. Yeah, wondering what lessons there are

0:12:57.600 --> 0:13:02.040
<v Speaker 1>for just normal folks who don't necessarily run organizations. But

0:13:02.320 --> 0:13:04.920
<v Speaker 1>how we can keep our information safe. I think of

0:13:04.920 --> 0:13:07.280
<v Speaker 1>a tweet that I saw earlier today from Josh Wolf,

0:13:07.360 --> 0:13:10.600
<v Speaker 1>he's a venture capitalist at Lux Capital. Uh, I've interviewed

0:13:10.679 --> 0:13:13.320
<v Speaker 1>him before. He says that there's some advice that he

0:13:13.360 --> 0:13:17.720
<v Speaker 1>has have calms, backup plans now, not just for your firm,

0:13:17.800 --> 0:13:21.360
<v Speaker 1>but for your family. Yeah. Look, I mean I think

0:13:21.360 --> 0:13:25.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, uh, the normal advice of one would give

0:13:26.040 --> 0:13:29.760
<v Speaker 1>to somebody's sitting in the house, right, which is if

0:13:29.800 --> 0:13:32.880
<v Speaker 1>you're dealing with ransomware direct. Now we're talking about attacks

0:13:32.920 --> 0:13:35.600
<v Speaker 1>on social media, right, It's always good to have you know,

0:13:35.640 --> 0:13:38.120
<v Speaker 1>your data backed up. Just something as basic as that

0:13:38.720 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 1>is critical, not not just for enterprises and small businesses,

0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:46.400
<v Speaker 1>but for people in the home. Backup your data, right.

0:13:46.520 --> 0:13:50.040
<v Speaker 1>Just make sure you are not trusting you know, random emails.

0:13:50.080 --> 0:13:53.280
<v Speaker 1>You know, don't don't get don't fall for fishing attacks. Um,

0:13:53.440 --> 0:13:56.520
<v Speaker 1>make sure you've got basically protection software is sitting on

0:13:56.559 --> 0:13:59.839
<v Speaker 1>your on your laptops and funds, right, keep your software

0:13:59.920 --> 0:14:02.480
<v Speaker 1>up data. I mean, these are basic hygiene things that

0:14:02.600 --> 0:14:06.559
<v Speaker 1>the average consumers should do um to protect themselves. Um,

0:14:06.679 --> 0:14:10.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, and then you know, beyond that, the companies themselves,

0:14:10.679 --> 0:14:14.840
<v Speaker 1>like people like Twitter have irresponsibility. Social media companies themselves

0:14:15.280 --> 0:14:18.400
<v Speaker 1>have responsible to make sure that while they cannot control

0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:21.400
<v Speaker 1>whether Russia is going to cut off Facebook, they have

0:14:21.680 --> 0:14:24.680
<v Speaker 1>they definitely can have a set amount of control or

0:14:24.720 --> 0:14:29.240
<v Speaker 1>making sure that the right information is getting out there, right.

0:14:29.280 --> 0:14:33.200
<v Speaker 1>You know, these these platforms are have been used as

0:14:33.240 --> 0:14:37.280
<v Speaker 1>a as as a weapon to spread misinformation, and I

0:14:37.400 --> 0:14:41.600
<v Speaker 1>think they have a unique responsibility to get ahead of

0:14:41.640 --> 0:14:44.560
<v Speaker 1>that and not just hide behind the veil off. We're

0:14:44.640 --> 0:14:46.840
<v Speaker 1>just a platform and we just put out things there

0:14:46.960 --> 0:14:50.160
<v Speaker 1>and we really don't control when the truth is absolutely

0:14:50.160 --> 0:14:51.800
<v Speaker 1>control what's getting put out there. So when we think

0:14:51.800 --> 0:14:53.560
<v Speaker 1>about sanctions, you know, you get to think about their

0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:55.720
<v Speaker 1>recyber sanctions as well. We could talk about that with

0:14:55.760 --> 0:14:58.880
<v Speaker 1>the former Ukrainian finance minister who's going to join us

0:14:58.880 --> 0:15:01.040
<v Speaker 1>a little bit later on TESH. Thank you so much

0:15:01.040 --> 0:15:03.480
<v Speaker 1>at test Chef president and chief executive officer of Victor

0:15:03.560 --> 0:15:06.440
<v Speaker 1>AI joining us on the phone from San Jose, California.

0:15:06.480 --> 0:15:07.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, that is a reminder that we're living in

0:15:07.840 --> 0:15:09.640
<v Speaker 1>different times. Make a good point to Carol, it's not

0:15:09.680 --> 0:15:11.360
<v Speaker 1>just China and Russia that are the ones who are

0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:15.520
<v Speaker 1>doing the cyber attacks. This is Bloomberg Business Week with

0:15:15.600 --> 0:15:20.400
<v Speaker 1>Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes. Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio.

0:15:20.640 --> 0:15:23.440
<v Speaker 1>We have an incredible guest with us, UM Natalie Drusco,

0:15:23.920 --> 0:15:27.440
<v Speaker 1>former Ukrainian Minister of Finance from twenty sixteen during the

0:15:27.440 --> 0:15:31.040
<v Speaker 1>initial Russian invasion occupation of Ukraine. Tim also the executive

0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:33.520
<v Speaker 1>director of the Financial Oversight and Management Board for Puerto Rico.

0:15:33.600 --> 0:15:36.480
<v Speaker 1>She's been helping that area with their financial problems. She

0:15:36.600 --> 0:15:38.800
<v Speaker 1>was also the subject of a Bloomberg Business Week story

0:15:38.800 --> 0:15:41.640
<v Speaker 1>back in twenty fifteen. It was entitled The American Woman

0:15:41.680 --> 0:15:45.200
<v Speaker 1>who stands between Putin and Ukraine. She joins us on

0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:48.680
<v Speaker 1>the phone from San Juan, Puerto Rico. Um, Natalie, so

0:15:48.760 --> 0:15:51.120
<v Speaker 1>nice to have you here. I know you did a

0:15:51.280 --> 0:15:55.240
<v Speaker 1>really smart interview with our surveillance team earlier on Bloomberg TV,

0:15:55.440 --> 0:15:59.240
<v Speaker 1>and you told our Tom Keene Um about what you're

0:15:59.240 --> 0:16:03.760
<v Speaker 1>hearing from you brain. What's the latest on that. Well,

0:16:03.800 --> 0:16:06.480
<v Speaker 1>we're going into the evening into the nighttime, so people

0:16:06.480 --> 0:16:12.400
<v Speaker 1>are retiring and going into the bunkers and the bomb shelters.

0:16:12.960 --> 0:16:17.200
<v Speaker 1>So the you know, the casing now is massive, waiting

0:16:17.400 --> 0:16:20.800
<v Speaker 1>to see what happens next. Um. Obviously there's fear but

0:16:20.960 --> 0:16:23.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, Ukrainians are stepping up in a way that

0:16:23.640 --> 0:16:25.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, every nation should be proud to act as

0:16:25.640 --> 0:16:28.080
<v Speaker 1>brave as they are. They're they're volunteering in any way

0:16:28.080 --> 0:16:30.720
<v Speaker 1>they can. They're volunteering, whether it's to give blood, whether

0:16:30.720 --> 0:16:33.440
<v Speaker 1>they're volunteering for the civil defense and picking up guns

0:16:33.960 --> 0:16:37.520
<v Speaker 1>to fight UM. But they are, they are acting UH

0:16:37.760 --> 0:16:41.040
<v Speaker 1>with you know, full intense to keep their homeland. Natalie.

0:16:41.080 --> 0:16:44.000
<v Speaker 1>We just spoke a few minutes ago to Angela Stent,

0:16:44.080 --> 0:16:47.320
<v Speaker 1>senior adviser to the Center for Eurasian, Russian and East

0:16:47.400 --> 0:16:52.840
<v Speaker 1>European Studies. She shared with us her assessment that she

0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:55.440
<v Speaker 1>really thinks things are going in the direction of Putin

0:16:55.480 --> 0:16:59.960
<v Speaker 1>being able to overtake KIEVU and indeed install a Putin

0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:05.080
<v Speaker 1>friendly governing official there. And at this point that's really inevitable.

0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:08.399
<v Speaker 1>And I'm monitoring if you share that assessment. Well, I

0:17:08.400 --> 0:17:12.040
<v Speaker 1>will never say that that's inevitable. Now, I do know

0:17:12.080 --> 0:17:16.399
<v Speaker 1>that that is the objective of Putin. His objective is

0:17:16.480 --> 0:17:21.080
<v Speaker 1>to decapitate UH, the government, to suffitcate the economy, to

0:17:21.480 --> 0:17:25.320
<v Speaker 1>deny Ukraine It's freedom, deny Ukrainians their existence. But I

0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:27.800
<v Speaker 1>also know the strength of the Ukrainian people and the

0:17:27.880 --> 0:17:30.440
<v Speaker 1>desire of people to maintain their peace, their freedom in

0:17:30.480 --> 0:17:34.040
<v Speaker 1>their own country. And so Ukrainians will resist and are

0:17:34.160 --> 0:17:37.879
<v Speaker 1>resisting and have given the Russians a little bit of

0:17:37.920 --> 0:17:41.360
<v Speaker 1>a surprise in terms of the incredible morale and training

0:17:41.440 --> 0:17:44.160
<v Speaker 1>of the armed forces of Ukraine. So there is a

0:17:44.200 --> 0:17:48.160
<v Speaker 1>great deal of hope against hope. But I will say that,

0:17:48.520 --> 0:17:53.159
<v Speaker 1>you know, Ukrainians would have greater hope if are the

0:17:53.200 --> 0:17:57.240
<v Speaker 1>Western partners, the United States and Europe could deliver much

0:17:57.320 --> 0:18:03.000
<v Speaker 1>more massive UH sanctions, economic, financial and much more massive

0:18:03.080 --> 0:18:07.200
<v Speaker 1>military support for them to defend themselves, right, Because that

0:18:07.280 --> 0:18:10.560
<v Speaker 1>what I'm wondering is, you know, is there an outcome

0:18:10.840 --> 0:18:18.800
<v Speaker 1>where Ukraine remains neutral, independent without greater support, whether it's

0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:25.960
<v Speaker 1>military or tougher sanctions um from the West. I mean,

0:18:26.160 --> 0:18:29.000
<v Speaker 1>there's a really lot packed in there for so independent

0:18:29.080 --> 0:18:31.240
<v Speaker 1>and neutral or not to to to the same thing,

0:18:31.320 --> 0:18:37.680
<v Speaker 1>Ukraine's independent constitution has MADEO has an objective, a goal.

0:18:38.200 --> 0:18:40.080
<v Speaker 1>It doesn't mean as a timeline, doesn't mean that they're

0:18:40.119 --> 0:18:42.440
<v Speaker 1>there yet, But that is up to the Ukrainian people

0:18:42.440 --> 0:18:45.800
<v Speaker 1>and they have chosen their direction in terms of what

0:18:45.920 --> 0:18:48.439
<v Speaker 1>Ukraine will do without for their Western support. I think

0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:50.080
<v Speaker 1>it's unfair to say that. I think the West has

0:18:50.080 --> 0:18:53.360
<v Speaker 1>to look at this as a singular set of defining

0:18:53.440 --> 0:18:58.040
<v Speaker 1>days to isolate the pariah states, to isolate Russia. And

0:18:58.280 --> 0:19:00.240
<v Speaker 1>the reason this is in the United States, in the

0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:03.800
<v Speaker 1>reason this is an every single American's interest, every single

0:19:03.840 --> 0:19:07.400
<v Speaker 1>bridge interest, is because Ukraine right now is standing between

0:19:08.600 --> 0:19:11.360
<v Speaker 1>the world as we know it, a world of rules

0:19:11.400 --> 0:19:15.360
<v Speaker 1>and rules based society, a rule uh a world of

0:19:15.400 --> 0:19:19.800
<v Speaker 1>peace and freedom that we created and developed and built

0:19:19.840 --> 0:19:23.200
<v Speaker 1>since World War Two. It is standing between that life

0:19:23.320 --> 0:19:28.040
<v Speaker 1>that we love and a world of of chaos and

0:19:28.119 --> 0:19:32.840
<v Speaker 1>conflicts or power and autocrats and tyrants move borders at

0:19:32.880 --> 0:19:35.479
<v Speaker 1>their own will. That is not a world that is

0:19:35.520 --> 0:19:37.960
<v Speaker 1>good for the U S. Stock market. It is not

0:19:38.040 --> 0:19:39.880
<v Speaker 1>a world that is good for the US investor. It's

0:19:39.920 --> 0:19:41.960
<v Speaker 1>not a world that's good for the U. S. Worker.

0:19:42.440 --> 0:19:44.800
<v Speaker 1>It's not a world that's good for the United States

0:19:44.920 --> 0:19:48.399
<v Speaker 1>or for other freedom loving countries. So, Natalie, if you

0:19:48.480 --> 0:19:53.160
<v Speaker 1>were advising the United States government or perhaps European governments

0:19:53.240 --> 0:19:55.760
<v Speaker 1>right now, what sanctions would you advise them to put

0:19:55.800 --> 0:20:00.840
<v Speaker 1>in place? So uh, full and in mediate sanctions on

0:20:00.880 --> 0:20:03.280
<v Speaker 1>the financial sector in Russia, meaning starting with the Central

0:20:03.320 --> 0:20:06.399
<v Speaker 1>Bank of Russia, which has not yet been sanctioned. Moving

0:20:06.440 --> 0:20:08.879
<v Speaker 1>on to all the state banks in Russia, some have,

0:20:09.080 --> 0:20:11.840
<v Speaker 1>some have not closed the circle, cut them all off,

0:20:12.320 --> 0:20:17.440
<v Speaker 1>cutting Russia off from Swift, UM and UM, putting restrictions

0:20:17.480 --> 0:20:22.280
<v Speaker 1>on ruble clearing. I would go even further to encourage

0:20:22.320 --> 0:20:25.560
<v Speaker 1>all asset managers to divest of all Russian investments. In fact,

0:20:25.600 --> 0:20:28.520
<v Speaker 1>I would ask the marketplace to look at this as

0:20:28.520 --> 0:20:31.760
<v Speaker 1>we did growing up and giving away my age UH

0:20:31.800 --> 0:20:35.680
<v Speaker 1>and discouraged the businesses from investing in South Africa because

0:20:35.680 --> 0:20:39.520
<v Speaker 1>of apartheid. There is a moral equivalent here, UH, in

0:20:39.560 --> 0:20:41.960
<v Speaker 1>the sense that we should not be investing in a

0:20:42.000 --> 0:20:45.600
<v Speaker 1>country that in a government, in businesses from a government

0:20:46.160 --> 0:20:52.760
<v Speaker 1>that are knowingly clearly trying to create another genocide. UM.

0:20:53.320 --> 0:20:55.760
<v Speaker 1>Above and beyond financial restrictions, I think there's a great

0:20:55.800 --> 0:20:59.600
<v Speaker 1>deal we can do UM in terms of trade restrictions,

0:21:00.040 --> 0:21:02.800
<v Speaker 1>export controls can be increased. I think we should stop

0:21:02.800 --> 0:21:06.119
<v Speaker 1>allowing Russian airlines to fly in our airspace. UH. You know,

0:21:06.240 --> 0:21:09.480
<v Speaker 1>Ukraine has unfortunately had its sports closed and its airport's

0:21:09.480 --> 0:21:12.359
<v Speaker 1>closed as they try to suffocate the economy. There's no

0:21:12.400 --> 0:21:16.480
<v Speaker 1>reason we should allow Russian plane airlines air flux to

0:21:16.480 --> 0:21:20.240
<v Speaker 1>fly in our space. I think sanctioning the entire leadership,

0:21:20.320 --> 0:21:23.480
<v Speaker 1>sanctioning everyone from President Tooting, which the news is reporting

0:21:23.520 --> 0:21:26.359
<v Speaker 1>the United States is considering all the way through the

0:21:26.440 --> 0:21:29.199
<v Speaker 1>members of the Duma, the members of the National Security Council,

0:21:29.280 --> 0:21:32.240
<v Speaker 1>the members of the cabinet, ministers and all their families.

0:21:32.800 --> 0:21:37.240
<v Speaker 1>Why should any of them have access to our to visas,

0:21:37.240 --> 0:21:40.120
<v Speaker 1>to our to our universities, to our bank accounts. If

0:21:40.200 --> 0:21:42.680
<v Speaker 1>they want to enjoy peace and freedom in the United

0:21:42.720 --> 0:21:45.199
<v Speaker 1>States and Europe, then they ought to allow Ukraines to

0:21:45.440 --> 0:21:48.560
<v Speaker 1>enjoy peace and freedom. So I think there's just they're

0:21:48.560 --> 0:21:50.760
<v Speaker 1>just numerous things that can be done. So what's the

0:21:50.760 --> 0:21:53.040
<v Speaker 1>world afraid of? What's the United States afraid of? What

0:21:53.080 --> 0:21:55.200
<v Speaker 1>are the European allies? And one of the conversations we've

0:21:55.200 --> 0:21:58.000
<v Speaker 1>had certainly is that for Europe, where it's much closer

0:21:58.040 --> 0:22:01.679
<v Speaker 1>to home physically, geographically, you know, they are concerned about,

0:22:01.760 --> 0:22:04.439
<v Speaker 1>you know, access to energy, I mean their economies. But

0:22:04.760 --> 0:22:09.200
<v Speaker 1>what is everybody afraid of in terms of pushing back harder? Yeah,

0:22:09.920 --> 0:22:12.560
<v Speaker 1>you hear this with regard to energy sanctions. Um even

0:22:12.640 --> 0:22:15.720
<v Speaker 1>in President Biden speaches where he talks about trying to

0:22:15.840 --> 0:22:18.199
<v Speaker 1>ensure that the unit that American consumers don't see an

0:22:18.240 --> 0:22:21.159
<v Speaker 1>increase in gasoline prices at the pump. So, yeah, there

0:22:21.160 --> 0:22:26.080
<v Speaker 1>are economic costs to implementing some of these sanctions, but

0:22:26.320 --> 0:22:28.760
<v Speaker 1>I assure you that the costs are much greater if

0:22:28.800 --> 0:22:31.800
<v Speaker 1>the world becomes an unsafe place for rule of law.

0:22:32.480 --> 0:22:35.040
<v Speaker 1>I assure you that our businesses will not do better

0:22:35.800 --> 0:22:39.680
<v Speaker 1>if they cannot assure themselves that their investments are free

0:22:39.680 --> 0:22:42.720
<v Speaker 1>of the kind of political risk that major US investors

0:22:42.720 --> 0:22:46.080
<v Speaker 1>are now seeing in Ukraine today because of the Russian invasion.

0:22:46.520 --> 0:22:49.360
<v Speaker 1>So I think that we're looking at short term costs

0:22:49.840 --> 0:22:53.920
<v Speaker 1>um to to apply these sanctions to achieve a result

0:22:54.600 --> 0:22:57.520
<v Speaker 1>that I think is critical for the way we wish

0:22:57.600 --> 0:23:01.560
<v Speaker 1>our markets and our lives to be. And so those

0:23:01.640 --> 0:23:05.240
<v Speaker 1>short term economic costs, whether they're in you know, I

0:23:05.240 --> 0:23:08.000
<v Speaker 1>heard something today about Italy wanting to exclude its luxury

0:23:08.480 --> 0:23:12.600
<v Speaker 1>product makers from from training. Thanks. Really, it's just it's

0:23:12.640 --> 0:23:15.840
<v Speaker 1>somewhat ridiculous. People are dying, Hundreds of people are dying

0:23:15.840 --> 0:23:20.800
<v Speaker 1>every hour, and we're discussing whether or not the kindergartens

0:23:20.840 --> 0:23:24.480
<v Speaker 1>that got blown up by the Kremlin, whether the orphanage

0:23:24.520 --> 0:23:26.480
<v Speaker 1>that got blown up by the by the by the

0:23:26.560 --> 0:23:30.639
<v Speaker 1>Kremlin today is worth more or less than those trade sanctions.

0:23:30.720 --> 0:23:34.679
<v Speaker 1>That is unbelievable. The last time we did that in

0:23:34.720 --> 0:23:38.879
<v Speaker 1>World War Two, we all regretted it. We all regretted

0:23:39.119 --> 0:23:46.520
<v Speaker 1>not stepping in sooner. We can't allow this to happen again. Natalie, Uh,

0:23:47.480 --> 0:23:51.480
<v Speaker 1>very again, just very powerful comments from you. I'm wondering

0:23:52.200 --> 0:23:56.879
<v Speaker 1>how nuclear weapons, how they complicate the situation here. It

0:23:57.040 --> 0:23:59.840
<v Speaker 1>was something that Angela Stent just referred to that you

0:24:00.840 --> 0:24:06.639
<v Speaker 1>Western nations, they know that that Russia has nuclear weapons.

0:24:06.640 --> 0:24:08.520
<v Speaker 1>We know that Russia has We work with Russia on

0:24:08.520 --> 0:24:12.879
<v Speaker 1>their nuclear weapons. Uh. What's at stake there? And that

0:24:12.960 --> 0:24:15.880
<v Speaker 1>how does that hold back the United States and in Europe?

0:24:17.080 --> 0:24:19.720
<v Speaker 1>Now there are three elements on nukes. UM One is

0:24:19.840 --> 0:24:23.560
<v Speaker 1>Ukraine agreed voluntarily to give up its nuclear weapons. It

0:24:23.680 --> 0:24:27.520
<v Speaker 1>had the third largest UH supplied nuclear weapons and they

0:24:27.560 --> 0:24:31.480
<v Speaker 1>did it in return for security guarantees from both United

0:24:31.520 --> 0:24:34.280
<v Speaker 1>States and Russia, amongst others. And so number one, if

0:24:34.280 --> 0:24:35.639
<v Speaker 1>we want to talk about nukes, will go all the

0:24:35.640 --> 0:24:37.960
<v Speaker 1>way back to in the fact of the matter is

0:24:38.000 --> 0:24:41.719
<v Speaker 1>we have security assurances from from both the aggressors as

0:24:41.760 --> 0:24:44.280
<v Speaker 1>well as the United States. And so let's start with that.

0:24:44.480 --> 0:24:47.520
<v Speaker 1>But yes, I'm not suggesting that NATO stepped in or

0:24:47.520 --> 0:24:49.159
<v Speaker 1>the U s boots be put on the ground. I

0:24:49.200 --> 0:24:51.600
<v Speaker 1>actually believe that instead the United States and the Western

0:24:51.600 --> 0:24:55.240
<v Speaker 1>partners ought to be providing all the military support possible

0:24:55.480 --> 0:25:01.440
<v Speaker 1>for Ukraine used to defend themselves, massive urgent air air defense,

0:25:02.119 --> 0:25:07.479
<v Speaker 1>logistical armament, things needed for you know, the stingers, the drones,

0:25:08.280 --> 0:25:10.919
<v Speaker 1>to even the even the field. Ukraines are willing to

0:25:10.920 --> 0:25:13.520
<v Speaker 1>fight themselves where they're not asking for American boots on

0:25:13.520 --> 0:25:16.080
<v Speaker 1>the ground. And I'm not suggesting any but the third

0:25:16.080 --> 0:25:20.040
<v Speaker 1>element on the nukes is clear. If we believe that

0:25:20.160 --> 0:25:23.199
<v Speaker 1>they are a dangerous nuclear power, and I do believe that,

0:25:24.000 --> 0:25:27.360
<v Speaker 1>then be aware that this is not likely to end

0:25:27.400 --> 0:25:32.080
<v Speaker 1>in Ukraine. If Ukraine is not able to maintain its freedom,

0:25:32.200 --> 0:25:35.520
<v Speaker 1>they will move on. They have already described how they

0:25:35.560 --> 0:25:38.080
<v Speaker 1>don't believe that the Baltic extinct should be part of NATO.

0:25:38.520 --> 0:25:41.199
<v Speaker 1>He's putting has said that out loud. It's not in

0:25:41.280 --> 0:25:45.280
<v Speaker 1>my imagination or or a theory. So if we want

0:25:45.359 --> 0:25:48.520
<v Speaker 1>to stop him, we should stop him now before it

0:25:48.560 --> 0:25:51.760
<v Speaker 1>gets to the point where NATO has to defend We

0:25:51.880 --> 0:25:54.280
<v Speaker 1>just have about a minute or so left here what

0:25:54.359 --> 0:25:57.360
<v Speaker 1>do we need to understand you? You have been front

0:25:57.359 --> 0:26:00.440
<v Speaker 1>and center at this situation for years, as he said,

0:26:00.520 --> 0:26:03.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, Minister of financing, that initial invasion and occupation.

0:26:04.280 --> 0:26:06.600
<v Speaker 1>What is it that we need to as a world

0:26:06.720 --> 0:26:11.520
<v Speaker 1>understand about Vladimir Putin? He warned us, He warned us,

0:26:11.520 --> 0:26:15.040
<v Speaker 1>and we never listened. He warned us when he invaded Georgia,

0:26:15.119 --> 0:26:17.200
<v Speaker 1>then in two thousand and eight, then he invaded Ukraine

0:26:17.200 --> 0:26:19.760
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and fourteen. He lookedally did in Syria

0:26:19.800 --> 0:26:23.159
<v Speaker 1>to the people of Syria. He killed his opposition with

0:26:23.240 --> 0:26:26.520
<v Speaker 1>polonium on the streets of London. He's murdered his opposition

0:26:26.560 --> 0:26:29.080
<v Speaker 1>on the streets of Berlin. He's interfered in our elections,

0:26:29.320 --> 0:26:32.520
<v Speaker 1>He's interfered in other elections. What more do we need

0:26:32.560 --> 0:26:36.720
<v Speaker 1>to know? That he is trying to destroy the democratic principles,

0:26:36.760 --> 0:26:38.960
<v Speaker 1>the liberal world order that we live in. I don't

0:26:38.960 --> 0:26:40.920
<v Speaker 1>think we need another warning, and we shouldn't let anyone

0:26:40.920 --> 0:26:44.560
<v Speaker 1>else die. Twenty seconds left here China thoughts on that,

0:26:44.880 --> 0:26:48.400
<v Speaker 1>and they're all very quickly. I think they're looking carefully.

0:26:48.440 --> 0:26:50.880
<v Speaker 1>I think they're watching that. Maybe the single most interested

0:26:50.920 --> 0:26:53.600
<v Speaker 1>capital to see how the United States and our allies

0:26:53.960 --> 0:26:56.600
<v Speaker 1>react and then they'll be able to gauge what their

0:26:56.960 --> 0:27:00.760
<v Speaker 1>what their next moves are with regard to Taiwan and elsewhere. Natalie,

0:27:00.800 --> 0:27:03.000
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much, and we hear A Bloomberg really

0:27:03.040 --> 0:27:05.480
<v Speaker 1>appreciate the time that you have been carving out for

0:27:05.560 --> 0:27:09.719
<v Speaker 1>all of our platforms in your insight. UM, incredibly valuable.

0:27:09.760 --> 0:27:14.400
<v Speaker 1>Natalie Arrasco, former Ukraine Minister of Finance from sixteen UM,

0:27:14.400 --> 0:27:20.840
<v Speaker 1>really giving us so much there. Really appreciate that. Natalie Roam, Yeah,

0:27:20.840 --> 0:27:25.879
<v Speaker 1>I'll bet you let me drive. Oh no, no, no no, non, please,

0:27:26.000 --> 0:27:32.480
<v Speaker 1>I'll go. I want to drive. It's a good question,

0:27:32.880 --> 0:27:41.480
<v Speaker 1>good driven. This is the Drive to the Clothes on

0:27:41.720 --> 0:27:44.080
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. All right, what a wild week, and we've

0:27:44.119 --> 0:27:46.280
<v Speaker 1>just got a few minutes left in the trading day,

0:27:46.280 --> 0:27:48.639
<v Speaker 1>about ten minutes to wrap off the holiday short and

0:27:48.680 --> 0:27:50.240
<v Speaker 1>trading week. But it feels like it was almost a

0:27:50.280 --> 0:27:53.440
<v Speaker 1>month because of some of the volatility, understandably. So let's

0:27:53.440 --> 0:27:56.160
<v Speaker 1>get to it with Victoria Green, Chi's chief investment officer

0:27:56.160 --> 0:27:59.080
<v Speaker 1>at G squared Private Wealth. They've got five hundred and

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:01.720
<v Speaker 1>fifty million in US it's under management. And she joins

0:28:01.800 --> 0:28:05.240
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from College Station, Texas. Victoria, nice

0:28:05.280 --> 0:28:07.600
<v Speaker 1>to have you here with Tim and myself. Who to

0:28:07.760 --> 0:28:12.480
<v Speaker 1>thunk considering where we were, certainly early yesterday in terms

0:28:12.520 --> 0:28:14.719
<v Speaker 1>of the equity markets, just the financial markets over all,

0:28:14.760 --> 0:28:17.200
<v Speaker 1>that we'd actually see some gains heading into a weekend.

0:28:18.560 --> 0:28:20.480
<v Speaker 1>It's crazy, right, and it's funny. It really has it

0:28:20.520 --> 0:28:22.680
<v Speaker 1>felt like a month this week and it's it's forgot.

0:28:22.760 --> 0:28:25.399
<v Speaker 1>It was a holiday week too long. It's been forgot

0:28:25.480 --> 0:28:28.119
<v Speaker 1>we were off on Monday. Um. But I think that

0:28:28.280 --> 0:28:31.000
<v Speaker 1>just kind of reinforces uh. And I'm not trying to

0:28:31.040 --> 0:28:34.240
<v Speaker 1>downplay the humanitarian crisis from the tragedy this is, but

0:28:34.400 --> 0:28:38.200
<v Speaker 1>Marcus really tends to ignore conflict or at least bounce

0:28:38.280 --> 0:28:40.680
<v Speaker 1>back quickly historically, and you kind of saw that play

0:28:40.680 --> 0:28:43.320
<v Speaker 1>out a little bit when neither NATO or the U

0:28:43.440 --> 0:28:44.880
<v Speaker 1>S seemed to want to put boots on the ground

0:28:44.920 --> 0:28:46.960
<v Speaker 1>and we're going to focus more on sanctions. I think

0:28:47.000 --> 0:28:49.640
<v Speaker 1>that the Marcus kind of breathed the side of relief

0:28:50.080 --> 0:28:54.560
<v Speaker 1>that this conflict isn't going to potentially get bigger, uh,

0:28:54.640 --> 0:28:57.080
<v Speaker 1>And that really helped help find some footing there. I mean,

0:28:57.120 --> 0:29:00.000
<v Speaker 1>the NOZAC moved what eight h our basis points based

0:29:00.000 --> 0:29:03.720
<v Speaker 1>Sally from from Tropope. Yeah, that was really wild, especially

0:29:03.760 --> 0:29:07.120
<v Speaker 1>what happened yesterday with the NAZCAC one hundred Victoria. I'm wondering,

0:29:07.160 --> 0:29:10.320
<v Speaker 1>though I understand what you're saying, but I also wonder.

0:29:10.560 --> 0:29:12.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, we've talked a lot about Ukraine over the

0:29:12.280 --> 0:29:14.120
<v Speaker 1>last two days and over the last few weeks on

0:29:14.160 --> 0:29:17.320
<v Speaker 1>this program. Uh, I wonder if it means that Putin

0:29:17.440 --> 0:29:18.920
<v Speaker 1>is going to keep going and if the markets not

0:29:19.040 --> 0:29:21.040
<v Speaker 1>pricing that in and that's something that we you know,

0:29:21.280 --> 0:29:23.520
<v Speaker 1>that's something that we heard about from the former Ukraine

0:29:23.520 --> 0:29:27.880
<v Speaker 1>finance minister Natalie Duresco just a little bit earlier. Yeah,

0:29:27.960 --> 0:29:30.640
<v Speaker 1>how far he goes? I think it's it's interesting, um,

0:29:31.120 --> 0:29:33.800
<v Speaker 1>And you know, obviously Latvia's getting a little nervous. Poland

0:29:33.880 --> 0:29:36.680
<v Speaker 1>and some of your old old foes are feeling that

0:29:36.800 --> 0:29:39.640
<v Speaker 1>the pressures like this is the nineteen fifties and sixties again.

0:29:40.240 --> 0:29:42.040
<v Speaker 1>And I think when you have to look around, one

0:29:42.080 --> 0:29:44.640
<v Speaker 1>of the questions is was he expecting his own country

0:29:45.040 --> 0:29:46.880
<v Speaker 1>to kind of rise up a little bit? You know,

0:29:46.960 --> 0:29:49.000
<v Speaker 1>in his own country does not seem a hundred percent

0:29:49.080 --> 0:29:51.440
<v Speaker 1>behind this war. And then it's a lot harder to

0:29:51.520 --> 0:29:54.560
<v Speaker 1>hold a hostile country than it is to to welcome

0:29:54.640 --> 0:29:56.720
<v Speaker 1>a rebel held area like he did in Georgia and

0:29:56.800 --> 0:29:59.800
<v Speaker 1>Crimeal So could he move further? Yes? But is he

0:30:00.040 --> 0:30:02.800
<v Speaker 1>finding it harder to do this than maybe he anticipated.

0:30:02.960 --> 0:30:06.720
<v Speaker 1>Possibly he's meeting stiff resistance from the Ukrainians and it's

0:30:06.720 --> 0:30:08.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot harder. We saw that in Afghanistan. If you

0:30:09.000 --> 0:30:13.480
<v Speaker 1>conquered hostile territory, holding it and ruling it is extremely

0:30:13.560 --> 0:30:18.040
<v Speaker 1>difficult and costly. So where do you go from here?

0:30:18.160 --> 0:30:22.400
<v Speaker 1>Are are you potentially in a little bit of a

0:30:22.440 --> 0:30:24.720
<v Speaker 1>holding pattern? We've got a job's report right a week

0:30:24.800 --> 0:30:27.520
<v Speaker 1>from today. But more importantly, I feel like I keep

0:30:27.560 --> 0:30:29.240
<v Speaker 1>pulling out the f O m C function on the

0:30:29.280 --> 0:30:32.400
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg terminal, you know, counting my meetings. Jim Buller came

0:30:32.400 --> 0:30:35.480
<v Speaker 1>out and he's looking for a hundred basis points by July.

0:30:35.640 --> 0:30:39.160
<v Speaker 1>That's four meetings from now. So do we though, are

0:30:39.240 --> 0:30:41.000
<v Speaker 1>we in a little bit of a holding pattern to

0:30:41.160 --> 0:30:43.720
<v Speaker 1>the March sixteenth meeting, which is just a few weeks away,

0:30:43.760 --> 0:30:45.640
<v Speaker 1>to kind of get a better idea of what the

0:30:45.680 --> 0:30:48.120
<v Speaker 1>FED is thinking and to see if they ultimately do

0:30:48.280 --> 0:30:50.960
<v Speaker 1>something at that meeting. I think they We're still going

0:30:51.040 --> 0:30:53.520
<v Speaker 1>to move and I think you saw that reaffirmation today.

0:30:53.840 --> 0:30:56.560
<v Speaker 1>Um I think also the market was hoping potentially those

0:30:56.600 --> 0:30:59.200
<v Speaker 1>conflicts which slow the FED. I don't. I think the

0:30:59.280 --> 0:31:01.240
<v Speaker 1>Fed has to me they have to move their late

0:31:01.320 --> 0:31:04.400
<v Speaker 1>again and they need to do something about inflation. Fifty

0:31:04.440 --> 0:31:07.080
<v Speaker 1>basis points seems probably off the table. Becauld they move

0:31:07.600 --> 0:31:10.479
<v Speaker 1>once a meeting for the next four meetings. Absolutely, Uh,

0:31:10.560 --> 0:31:12.400
<v Speaker 1>we're still pricing in. If you look at the market

0:31:12.440 --> 0:31:14.640
<v Speaker 1>implied rate, it's right a little over six right now.

0:31:14.720 --> 0:31:16.920
<v Speaker 1>It's certainly come down a little bit from those eight

0:31:17.040 --> 0:31:19.120
<v Speaker 1>or nine hikes who are having thrown around there for

0:31:19.160 --> 0:31:21.440
<v Speaker 1>a little but it's still going to be a rate

0:31:21.560 --> 0:31:23.760
<v Speaker 1>hiking environment. I don't think this is going to put

0:31:23.800 --> 0:31:27.560
<v Speaker 1>the stock on it sort of absolute catastrophe. I don't

0:31:27.640 --> 0:31:30.200
<v Speaker 1>think the feed is gonna be derailed. So what does

0:31:30.240 --> 0:31:33.720
<v Speaker 1>that mean for tech stocks? I think a little bit.

0:31:33.760 --> 0:31:35.600
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to say dead cat bounce, but I

0:31:35.720 --> 0:31:39.000
<v Speaker 1>think that they may be bought into that theory that

0:31:39.120 --> 0:31:41.520
<v Speaker 1>that rates aren't going to move as aggressively. And still look,

0:31:41.600 --> 0:31:44.400
<v Speaker 1>if we only do four hikes this year or five

0:31:44.480 --> 0:31:47.360
<v Speaker 1>hikes this year, that's technically dubbish from where they we

0:31:47.440 --> 0:31:49.800
<v Speaker 1>are right now. Right you know, if we're considering six

0:31:49.960 --> 0:31:52.040
<v Speaker 1>or seven to be baseline and they come in with

0:31:52.200 --> 0:31:54.600
<v Speaker 1>three to four or five, then then that is a

0:31:54.680 --> 0:31:57.080
<v Speaker 1>little bit more dubbish. But I think tech stocks still

0:31:57.520 --> 0:32:00.480
<v Speaker 1>have some hurdles. I think you're really seeing the no

0:32:00.720 --> 0:32:03.920
<v Speaker 1>earnings tech stocks still struggle. I think everything got dragged

0:32:03.920 --> 0:32:06.000
<v Speaker 1>down a little bit in that sector. You had well

0:32:06.080 --> 0:32:08.320
<v Speaker 1>run stocks that do you produce cash flows and earnings

0:32:08.400 --> 0:32:10.800
<v Speaker 1>that didn't probably deserve to sell off as hard as

0:32:10.840 --> 0:32:13.080
<v Speaker 1>some of them did. If you look at like Navideo

0:32:13.200 --> 0:32:14.960
<v Speaker 1>or some of the chip stops that that really took

0:32:15.000 --> 0:32:18.240
<v Speaker 1>a beating, but are very quality companies that generate good,

0:32:18.320 --> 0:32:20.880
<v Speaker 1>solid cash flows, I think they have the potential to

0:32:20.920 --> 0:32:23.480
<v Speaker 1>bounce a little bit faster than the speculative arms. I

0:32:23.520 --> 0:32:26.880
<v Speaker 1>think the speculative arms are still When I say speculative arms,

0:32:26.920 --> 0:32:30.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean speculative stocks that really aren't generating cash flows.

0:32:30.120 --> 0:32:32.960
<v Speaker 1>You're buying them for the potential feature that they may provide.

0:32:33.320 --> 0:32:35.719
<v Speaker 1>They may struggle more because they really will be hit

0:32:35.840 --> 0:32:37.560
<v Speaker 1>harder by rate. That's so interesting that you say that,

0:32:37.600 --> 0:32:39.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm looking at our innovation E t F A r

0:32:39.520 --> 0:32:42.240
<v Speaker 1>k K hit a fifty two weeks you know, earlier

0:32:42.320 --> 0:32:44.800
<v Speaker 1>this year, just a few days ago, but it rose

0:32:44.880 --> 0:32:47.080
<v Speaker 1>seven point eight percent yesterday, it's higher more than three

0:32:47.080 --> 0:32:49.120
<v Speaker 1>percent right now, Carol, Right, so you know this is

0:32:49.200 --> 0:32:52.360
<v Speaker 1>something great point, Tim, And I was like this perspective, Victoria.

0:32:52.360 --> 0:32:54.440
<v Speaker 1>There's a point where and we talked about this yesterday,

0:32:54.960 --> 0:32:58.600
<v Speaker 1>that investors like understanding the situation in terms of the

0:32:58.640 --> 0:33:01.640
<v Speaker 1>Russian invasion in Ukraine. But so then starting to say fundamentally, wow,

0:33:01.960 --> 0:33:04.920
<v Speaker 1>you know we've seen what official correction you know on

0:33:05.040 --> 0:33:06.760
<v Speaker 1>the S and P. We're looking at some of these

0:33:06.800 --> 0:33:09.280
<v Speaker 1>corrections and say, wait, I still believe in this company.

0:33:09.320 --> 0:33:12.120
<v Speaker 1>There's gonna be earnings, there's revenue growth, maybe not as

0:33:12.160 --> 0:33:16.320
<v Speaker 1>fast as we thought, but that's a buying opportunity. Yeah,

0:33:16.400 --> 0:33:19.520
<v Speaker 1>if you like Amazon at four thousand, why don't you

0:33:19.640 --> 0:33:24.800
<v Speaker 1>like Amazon at three thousands? You know, unless you think

0:33:24.840 --> 0:33:28.400
<v Speaker 1>Amazon's going away? Right, if they go away, I'm gonna

0:33:28.400 --> 0:33:31.040
<v Speaker 1>cry so bad. That's gonna ruin my life that they

0:33:31.080 --> 0:33:33.800
<v Speaker 1>can't go away. They we need to like declare them

0:33:34.000 --> 0:33:38.760
<v Speaker 1>utility at this point almost they're systematically important to United States. Absolutely.

0:33:39.000 --> 0:33:40.800
<v Speaker 1>Maybe there's some regulators who want to regulate them, Like

0:33:40.840 --> 0:33:42.360
<v Speaker 1>I was just gonna say, if they want to regulate

0:33:42.400 --> 0:33:46.120
<v Speaker 1>some of the rates there, No, but I know what

0:33:46.200 --> 0:33:48.320
<v Speaker 1>you say that it's a part of our economy, like

0:33:48.440 --> 0:33:50.680
<v Speaker 1>were there's many of us who are so in trench.

0:33:50.800 --> 0:33:54.080
<v Speaker 1>Not everybody, but a lot of people. Yeah, and they

0:33:54.120 --> 0:33:56.280
<v Speaker 1>look they race trime and I said, sure, take my money,

0:33:56.360 --> 0:33:58.600
<v Speaker 1>Like I'm not about the cancel prime over what they

0:33:58.680 --> 0:34:00.840
<v Speaker 1>raised it. Um, But I think you honestly have to

0:34:00.880 --> 0:34:03.840
<v Speaker 1>look at that. We got very spoiled in every time

0:34:03.880 --> 0:34:06.360
<v Speaker 1>we hit that five percent pullback, it was like clockwork right,

0:34:06.440 --> 0:34:08.759
<v Speaker 1>we bounced right off of it and came back. We

0:34:08.880 --> 0:34:11.120
<v Speaker 1>we actually saw a correction, which is a very normal,

0:34:11.200 --> 0:34:13.680
<v Speaker 1>healthy market thing to do. And so we look at

0:34:13.719 --> 0:34:16.560
<v Speaker 1>this and it's a very rare corrections turn into bear markets,

0:34:16.840 --> 0:34:20.680
<v Speaker 1>especially not during recession. So honestly, unless you say, hey,

0:34:20.719 --> 0:34:23.160
<v Speaker 1>we're going recession here on the next six to twelve months,

0:34:23.200 --> 0:34:25.319
<v Speaker 1>which which I don't see. But if if that's your

0:34:25.480 --> 0:34:28.840
<v Speaker 1>your barrish case, then potentially you're not a buyer's exist.

0:34:28.920 --> 0:34:31.759
<v Speaker 1>But short of recession, it's very unlikely this turns into

0:34:32.040 --> 0:34:35.160
<v Speaker 1>a bear market. And we don't think I would say

0:34:35.200 --> 0:34:36.920
<v Speaker 1>is that the FED it's often tricky when they start

0:34:37.000 --> 0:34:38.880
<v Speaker 1>to raise hikes in terms of getting it right, and

0:34:38.920 --> 0:34:41.760
<v Speaker 1>that we often can turn into a recession as a result.

0:34:42.040 --> 0:34:44.080
<v Speaker 1>VI Terry Green, thank you so much. Really enjoyed it,

0:34:44.160 --> 0:34:47.719
<v Speaker 1>Chief investment Officer at G Squared Private Wealth, joining us

0:34:47.760 --> 0:34:51.399
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from College Station, Texas. Thanks for listening

0:34:51.440 --> 0:34:54.880
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:34:55.040 --> 0:34:57.160
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com, and you can also listen to

0:34:57.200 --> 0:34:59.759
<v Speaker 1>our radio show at two pm Eastern on Bloomberg Radio.

0:35:00.040 --> 0:35:07.920
<v Speaker 1>Watch us on YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. Mmmmmmmm