1
00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:12,440
Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

2
00:00:12,520 --> 00:00:16,120
Speaker 1: sixty five, part of the Action Network. Today is our

3
00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:20,640
Speaker 1: week three Tuesday NFL episode. I am Chadmulman, Chief Content

4
00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:24,960
Speaker 1: Officer of the Action Network. We are coming off of

5
00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:28,480
Speaker 1: a three and two winning week in our contest. Thank

6
00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:32,320
Speaker 1: freaking god, we did that. We recorded our Sunday episode

7
00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:35,559
Speaker 1: before Sunday Night Football, and as we said on the show,

8
00:00:35,680 --> 00:00:39,199
Speaker 1: a lot of lines we liked in the moment that

9
00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:43,000
Speaker 1: we talked about have already moved, which is why you

10
00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:45,880
Speaker 1: need to listen to the Sunday show if you want

11
00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:48,239
Speaker 1: to get the best of the number. Today we will

12
00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:51,880
Speaker 1: get to our Simon Says pick our exact Decision pick,

13
00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:54,520
Speaker 1: both of which won last week. Thursday. We will do

14
00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:56,920
Speaker 1: sharp calls, big balls, foxhol and go deeper into the

15
00:00:56,960 --> 00:01:00,760
Speaker 1: plays we like. Also, this is the last week reminders

16
00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:04,480
Speaker 1: to sign up for The Favorites podcast one hundred thousand

17
00:01:04,520 --> 00:01:07,880
Speaker 1: dollars Pro Football Pick Them contest. It's a season long

18
00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:11,120
Speaker 1: contest that automatically drops your two worst scores of the

19
00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:15,640
Speaker 1: season after Thanksgiving week. First place this season gets forty

20
00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:18,119
Speaker 1: thousand bucks plus. If you don't want to play season long,

21
00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:21,960
Speaker 1: we have a weekly contest. The top five this week

22
00:01:22,000 --> 00:01:24,160
Speaker 1: and every week get their share of three grand You

23
00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:26,840
Speaker 1: know the drill. Go to favorites dot actionnetwork dot com

24
00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:29,520
Speaker 1: to sign up for free. Let's bring in my co host,

25
00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:35,640
Speaker 1: my bff, my companion, my capadre professional better signon hunter eto.

26
00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:38,000
Speaker 2: So way, men, shot, How are we doing? Brother?

27
00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:41,440
Speaker 1: We are so freaking good today. I cannot tell you

28
00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:45,119
Speaker 1: I've never felt better than I have after the first

29
00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:47,840
Speaker 1: two weeks of this football season. What a difference it

30
00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:49,880
Speaker 1: makes to go three and two versus two and three.

31
00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:53,080
Speaker 3: And what a difference it doesn't make to me at

32
00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:54,400
Speaker 3: all because I just feel the exact same.

33
00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:58,280
Speaker 2: Just another week grinding, Chad. So that was brutal way

34
00:01:58,320 --> 00:01:59,600
Speaker 2: to end the week last night.

35
00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:02,120
Speaker 3: Luckily I gave on the app just the Saints' first

36
00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:04,520
Speaker 3: half and the Saints under I just stayed away from

37
00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:07,280
Speaker 3: that Pittsburgh Browns game because you nailed it when you

38
00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:08,840
Speaker 3: were like, what are we doing? Why are we taking

39
00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:11,520
Speaker 3: the Browns here? Just a great life lesson, Chad. We

40
00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:15,239
Speaker 3: do not fade Pittsburgh at home on Monday night against

41
00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:15,800
Speaker 3: the Browns.

42
00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:18,680
Speaker 2: History just keep repeating itself. You ain't knowed us no

43
00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:20,240
Speaker 2: more now you know what I mean.

44
00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:22,240
Speaker 1: Well, look, we're gonna get a chance to dig in

45
00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:25,440
Speaker 1: deeper on the Browns and the catastrophe that is happening

46
00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:29,000
Speaker 1: by the lake right now, plus every other game on

47
00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:32,480
Speaker 1: the slate. We'll start talking about our early leans, narrowing

48
00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:35,440
Speaker 1: down the games that we like. As a reminder, the

49
00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:38,760
Speaker 1: Favorites Podcast is presented by bet three sixty five. Bet

50
00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:42,000
Speaker 1: three sixty five doesn't do ordinary. They believe that every

51
00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:45,680
Speaker 1: sport should be epic, every touchdown, every game, every point,

52
00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:48,400
Speaker 1: every play, from the moments that are legendary to the

53
00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:51,360
Speaker 1: ones that fly under the radar. See for yourself when

54
00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:53,920
Speaker 1: you sign up today with Code Action and you'll get

55
00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:57,000
Speaker 1: three hundred and sixty five dollars in bonus bets when

56
00:02:57,040 --> 00:03:00,120
Speaker 1: you bet just one dollar whatever the sport would for

57
00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:03,160
Speaker 1: the moment. It's never ordinary at Bet three sixty five.

58
00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:07,440
Speaker 1: Must be twenty one or older. Must be present in Colorado, Iowa,

59
00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:11,040
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia. If you or someone you

60
00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:13,839
Speaker 1: know has a gambling problem and wants helped, call one

61
00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:17,680
Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler in Colorado, New Jersey, Ohio, in Virginia

62
00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:21,360
Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa. Terms and

63
00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:25,560
Speaker 1: conditions apply. All right, last bit of housekeeping. Here's our

64
00:03:25,639 --> 00:03:29,680
Speaker 1: Favorites contest update for the Week two winners. Okay, Week

65
00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:32,160
Speaker 1: two we had one hundred and forty nine entries finished

66
00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:36,400
Speaker 1: five and zero. Our week two fifteen hundred dollars. First

67
00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:42,680
Speaker 1: place winner was jay Lenna Sinder. That's Jai Lina Cinder,

68
00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:45,600
Speaker 1: and we paid out another fifteen hundred to the rest

69
00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:50,119
Speaker 1: of our top five. Tiebreaker was the longest Pittsburgh reception,

70
00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:54,840
Speaker 1: which was a seventy one yard George Pickens touchdown. Top

71
00:03:54,880 --> 00:03:57,560
Speaker 1: five all got within seventeen yards, but simon our winner

72
00:03:58,080 --> 00:03:59,880
Speaker 1: guest sixty nine.

73
00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:02,320
Speaker 2: Nice, it is nice.

74
00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:06,040
Speaker 1: Right. Also, our producer Matt Mitchell wants to call up

75
00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:10,840
Speaker 1: participant q brown one for finishing dead fucking last and

76
00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:14,160
Speaker 1: the Week two contest congratulations for finishing h to five,

77
00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:18,200
Speaker 1: including a loss by the hook on Atlanta minus one

78
00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:21,039
Speaker 1: and a half and missing the tiebreaker by fifty yards.

79
00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:25,080
Speaker 1: Please email podcasts at actionnetwork dot com to claim your

80
00:04:25,120 --> 00:04:29,440
Speaker 1: non cash prize. Thanks for playing. Week three in our

81
00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:35,440
Speaker 1: contest is live the Monday night football tiebreaker longest Beangals touchdown.

82
00:04:36,279 --> 00:04:46,560
Speaker 1: Good luck everybody, Gill sa Cisco, All right, let's get

83
00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:51,200
Speaker 1: to it. Let's talk about the Giants visiting San Francisco.

84
00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:54,320
Speaker 1: The line is ten and a half. Sa Quon is out.

85
00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:56,840
Speaker 1: The Giants old line is banged up. This team can

86
00:04:56,880 --> 00:05:02,200
Speaker 1: barely score against bad teams. This line hasn't moved already.

87
00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:06,760
Speaker 1: But I do have one Evan Abrams special stat that

88
00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:09,280
Speaker 1: might sway us. But tell me what you're thinking right now.

89
00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:13,040
Speaker 3: I mean, it sucks that Auto plays the Giants like this.

90
00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:14,880
Speaker 3: This is one of these I have to tick the Giants,

91
00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:17,600
Speaker 3: but I'm so thankful we don't have to pick this

92
00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:20,960
Speaker 3: in our contest because it's one of those I know

93
00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:22,599
Speaker 3: I can't stay away and it might get me in

94
00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:25,320
Speaker 3: trouble because Thursday Night things were always a little weirder

95
00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:27,599
Speaker 3: and it always favorites the home team. I mean, the

96
00:05:27,680 --> 00:05:30,120
Speaker 3: Vikings were left for dead and they had some crazy

97
00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:32,200
Speaker 3: comeback to get that cover last week as the dog.

98
00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:35,920
Speaker 3: So that's the perfect summary for these Thursday games where

99
00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:38,520
Speaker 3: if you're a big favorite like this, you gotta blow

100
00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:40,920
Speaker 3: them out, like the forty nine Discover This number really

101
00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:43,599
Speaker 3: have to blow out this Giants team, and I just

102
00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:45,920
Speaker 3: don't know if the Giants are that bad. So this

103
00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:48,479
Speaker 3: number diget eleven to a couple of books. After the

104
00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:50,680
Speaker 3: Saquan news came down, a lot of pro money came in.

105
00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:52,240
Speaker 3: It's at ten and a lot of books now, so

106
00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:55,240
Speaker 3: ten and a half sounds fair like that's a fair

107
00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:56,039
Speaker 3: number to grab.

108
00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:58,400
Speaker 2: But you know, I just I'm just glad we don't

109
00:05:58,400 --> 00:05:59,160
Speaker 2: think make it one of our.

110
00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:01,880
Speaker 3: Five because this is like a true torture chamber of

111
00:06:01,920 --> 00:06:04,080
Speaker 3: a game where like I don't want to do it,

112
00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:07,120
Speaker 3: but that's a big number for a Thursday game, and

113
00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:09,960
Speaker 3: the Giants say what you want. They might have found

114
00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:12,560
Speaker 3: a little something in that second half. Like Daniel Jones,

115
00:06:13,080 --> 00:06:15,479
Speaker 3: his confidence looked like it came roaring back in that

116
00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:18,560
Speaker 3: second half against Arizona, so that's really great for him.

117
00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:21,000
Speaker 3: Now a short week still in the road with the

118
00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:24,120
Speaker 3: team head up the coast up to San fran and

119
00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:27,400
Speaker 3: you know the forty nine ers team. If you're taking

120
00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:29,719
Speaker 3: their number here, this is you buying at the peak,

121
00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:32,719
Speaker 3: like this is this is not you getting any type

122
00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:35,679
Speaker 3: of value on this forty nine ers team. So yeah,

123
00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:37,680
Speaker 3: thankful Chad that we don't have to make this one

124
00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:39,560
Speaker 3: of our contest pick because it's.

125
00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:40,880
Speaker 2: Kind of hard not to love the Giants in this

126
00:06:40,960 --> 00:06:41,640
Speaker 2: exact spot.

127
00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:43,880
Speaker 1: Well, we would make it one of our contest picks

128
00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:45,880
Speaker 1: if we could do Thursday games. It's sort of what

129
00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:48,839
Speaker 1: we live on is making these really disgusting plays that

130
00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:54,279
Speaker 1: percentages favor us. I would also say, if you can't

131
00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:58,200
Speaker 1: find your confidence against the Arizona Cardinals, then you don't

132
00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:02,960
Speaker 1: deserve the massive guarantee contract. And Brian Dayball doesn't deserve

133
00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:06,120
Speaker 1: the massive props that we've been giving him that the

134
00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:09,039
Speaker 1: entirety of the NFL media universe has been giving him

135
00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:12,800
Speaker 1: from being a great coach. They needed that game for

136
00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:17,080
Speaker 1: their lungs. And I was sitting on that couch, that couch,

137
00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:21,200
Speaker 1: my couch. Nineteen minutes left in the game, Giants down

138
00:07:21,200 --> 00:07:23,320
Speaker 1: twenty eight to seven, And I said to a buddy

139
00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:24,560
Speaker 1: I was sitting next to him, like, I got the

140
00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:29,840
Speaker 1: Giants minus five. Can they outscore the Cardinals twenty eight

141
00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:34,080
Speaker 1: to nothing? And they they almost did it. They almost

142
00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:36,280
Speaker 1: did it. They almost got there. They got to twenty four,

143
00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:40,240
Speaker 1: twenty four to nothing. Um, here's my stat for you. Okay,

144
00:07:40,240 --> 00:07:42,000
Speaker 1: here's my Evan Abram stat that's going to make us

145
00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:45,680
Speaker 1: feel better. Team playing their first home game in Week three,

146
00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:50,520
Speaker 1: that's the Niners twenty one, thirty four and two against

147
00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:53,440
Speaker 1: the spread over the past twenty years when those teams

148
00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:57,640
Speaker 1: are listed as a favorite fourteen twenty six and two

149
00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:02,280
Speaker 1: as a favorite of three or more twelve twenty one

150
00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:07,960
Speaker 1: and two. So the numbers, the precedent is on our

151
00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:10,160
Speaker 1: side to take the Giants minus ten.

152
00:08:10,600 --> 00:08:11,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, that makes sense.

153
00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:13,160
Speaker 3: The trends are back that up because I would just say,

154
00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:15,720
Speaker 3: in my lifetime, anytime this spot pops up, it's like

155
00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:17,640
Speaker 3: I kind of have to take the dog in a

156
00:08:17,640 --> 00:08:20,480
Speaker 3: big number like this. So I'm not shocking to see

157
00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:23,760
Speaker 3: the public loses on this trend because that's just it's

158
00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:25,400
Speaker 3: a dumb bet. If you're betting the four nine ers

159
00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:28,200
Speaker 3: here over time, it's going to be a loser taking

160
00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:31,360
Speaker 3: a team like this in this exact spot. So yeah,

161
00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:33,600
Speaker 3: thank you Evan for that. I needed that to boost

162
00:08:33,600 --> 00:08:34,360
Speaker 3: my Giants love.

163
00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:39,160
Speaker 1: Simon feels better. Nice job, Nice job, Evan Abrams. All right, now,

164
00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:42,160
Speaker 1: we got to get some games that we know we

165
00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:43,480
Speaker 1: can think about.

166
00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:45,679
Speaker 2: People are gonna hate this week, but.

167
00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,600
Speaker 3: It's a little bit of overreaction, a little bit of

168
00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:54,160
Speaker 3: these teams aren't as bad as people perceive. So I

169
00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:55,920
Speaker 3: already know ahead of time, like there's gonna be a

170
00:08:55,920 --> 00:08:58,720
Speaker 3: couple of games just like last week, where you know

171
00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:02,400
Speaker 3: it might not work, just like that Bears number didn't.

172
00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:06,079
Speaker 3: But there's a method to the madness. So I hope

173
00:09:06,360 --> 00:09:08,840
Speaker 3: people got strong stomachs because this week is really tough,

174
00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:10,120
Speaker 3: because we're really going to ask you go.

175
00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:12,480
Speaker 2: Against the grain here for a lot of these games.

176
00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:16,760
Speaker 1: The Chargers are plus one at Minnesota. I'm a little

177
00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:21,280
Speaker 1: surprised this number hasn't moved yet. The pros like Minnesota.

178
00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:24,560
Speaker 1: The money's on the vikings, the bets are on the Chargers. Reminder,

179
00:09:24,559 --> 00:09:26,040
Speaker 1: if you go to the Action Network app or you're

180
00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:29,520
Speaker 1: in the Action Network website, you see the bets column

181
00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:32,679
Speaker 1: in the odds page and the public betting page that

182
00:09:33,400 --> 00:09:36,560
Speaker 1: the bets is where the public money is coming. The

183
00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:39,000
Speaker 1: money is where the professionals are. I'm going to say

184
00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:41,160
Speaker 1: right now, I like Minnesota here.

185
00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:43,320
Speaker 2: I got no read on it. I just think there's

186
00:09:43,360 --> 00:09:45,800
Speaker 2: no value. I'll just take the over or something and

187
00:09:45,840 --> 00:09:46,960
Speaker 2: just stay away from this one.

188
00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:49,160
Speaker 1: Well, I think you should take the over. Like, if

189
00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:50,880
Speaker 1: you watch that Titans game and we're going to talk

190
00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:54,120
Speaker 1: about this, you would have thought the Chargers were going

191
00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:57,160
Speaker 1: to kill Ryan Tannel. He was sacked five times, like terrible,

192
00:09:57,240 --> 00:09:59,920
Speaker 1: violent hits, but his stat line was twenty to tw

193
00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:03,840
Speaker 1: twenty four, nearly seven yards per attempt. All right, and

194
00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:08,840
Speaker 1: Kirk has been awesome this year. Second most passing yards

195
00:10:08,880 --> 00:10:12,840
Speaker 1: in the league, third highest completion completion percentage, second highest

196
00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:16,240
Speaker 1: passer rating, and you know it gives it the most

197
00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:21,440
Speaker 1: yards per attempt. The Los Angeles Chargers a very badly

198
00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:23,880
Speaker 1: coached team on the road as a one point five,

199
00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:26,199
Speaker 1: what a team we're skeptical about at home as a

200
00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:29,120
Speaker 1: one point dog. I can see why you want to pass.

201
00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:31,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, it just it feels like a game we're not

202
00:10:31,320 --> 00:10:34,160
Speaker 3: getting great value on the line like vikings plus three

203
00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:37,240
Speaker 3: no brainer play because it just feels like wherever's the

204
00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:41,360
Speaker 3: ball last is going to win this game. So yeah,

205
00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:44,240
Speaker 3: definitely a Russian roulette game where it's like there's no

206
00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:46,360
Speaker 3: model in the world that can predict this game, Like

207
00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:48,720
Speaker 3: no one knows with either of these teams what's going

208
00:10:48,800 --> 00:10:50,280
Speaker 3: to happen. We all know it's going to be a

209
00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:53,080
Speaker 3: shit show. So yeah, I'll I'll just take the overchat

210
00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:54,240
Speaker 3: and stay away first side.

211
00:10:54,559 --> 00:10:56,840
Speaker 1: Oh my god, see I so all right fine, because

212
00:10:56,880 --> 00:10:59,560
Speaker 1: I really I'm gonna take a little taste of the

213
00:11:01,440 --> 00:11:04,079
Speaker 1: with the vikings on this one. Evan says that when

214
00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:07,640
Speaker 1: two winless teams play, the underdog is seventy thirty seven

215
00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:10,960
Speaker 1: and four over the past twenty years. I don't really

216
00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:14,000
Speaker 1: think that's a relevant stat here, because this one's bouncing

217
00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:16,480
Speaker 1: around like it might as well be picked. Let's talk

218
00:11:16,480 --> 00:11:23,600
Speaker 1: about Buffalo on the road at Washington. The Bills make

219
00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:28,080
Speaker 1: me want heels and throw your hands up and throw

220
00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:31,920
Speaker 1: your hair back. Tom Now the Bills, I'm making it happen.

221
00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:37,040
Speaker 1: I loved this game all last week. I bet Buffalo

222
00:11:37,160 --> 00:11:42,040
Speaker 1: minus six on Sunday the look aheadline before any of

223
00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:44,280
Speaker 1: the games were played. I think we got lucky that

224
00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:47,240
Speaker 1: Washington came back against Evers. The line stayed down, and

225
00:11:47,280 --> 00:11:50,640
Speaker 1: according to Nick Giffen, one of our predictive analysts co

226
00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:53,040
Speaker 1: creator of the Luck Rankings, this is one of the

227
00:11:53,120 --> 00:11:57,679
Speaker 1: top four games with value in favor of Buffalo as

228
00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:00,559
Speaker 1: a decent sized road favorite. It now it's and a half.

229
00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:01,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, another game. I'm wait on.

230
00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:04,200
Speaker 3: I know a really smart group that's heavy on the

231
00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:06,319
Speaker 3: Washington in this one. They came in and grabbed that.

232
00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:08,319
Speaker 3: It got up to seven to one point. Now it's

233
00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:09,800
Speaker 3: in a six and a half. You might see some

234
00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:12,880
Speaker 3: six of some books, but definitely a pro's verse shows game.

235
00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:15,440
Speaker 3: I mean even myself threw the bills right into a

236
00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:17,640
Speaker 3: teaser as soon as this number came out. It's just like, Oh,

237
00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:18,959
Speaker 3: all I need is the Bills that win this game.

238
00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:22,079
Speaker 3: Straight up, It's hard to think Washington's going three and

239
00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:25,800
Speaker 3: now had a really emotional win Week one, had an incredible,

240
00:12:25,840 --> 00:12:27,720
Speaker 3: big come from behind win in Week two?

241
00:12:28,240 --> 00:12:29,960
Speaker 2: How do they not have a letdown spot here?

242
00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:33,520
Speaker 3: Really interesting number, Like the fact that the pros are

243
00:12:33,520 --> 00:12:35,240
Speaker 3: coming in on this means there's a couple pros out

244
00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:36,880
Speaker 3: there that really do believe in this commander's team.

245
00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:38,800
Speaker 2: So I can't get behind it.

246
00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:40,160
Speaker 3: Like I'm trying to find a reason to get on

247
00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:42,599
Speaker 3: Washington here and I can't do it. I mean, I

248
00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:44,400
Speaker 3: don't need to look at the splits, but I already

249
00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:46,960
Speaker 3: know the public is going to be all over the bills.

250
00:12:47,000 --> 00:12:50,079
Speaker 3: It's just a nice number, a good number of throwing teasers,

251
00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:51,240
Speaker 3: everything about it.

252
00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:52,800
Speaker 2: So definitely one of these.

253
00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:55,360
Speaker 3: I don't hate it that you already took the bills

254
00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:57,040
Speaker 3: and that I already have the bills and a teaser,

255
00:12:57,440 --> 00:12:59,679
Speaker 3: but this is one of these numbers. I don't want

256
00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:02,360
Speaker 3: to get some it for Thursday show, so no real

257
00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:04,640
Speaker 3: opinion on it. I leaned towards Washington at this point

258
00:13:04,640 --> 00:13:07,160
Speaker 3: on Tuesday, but no play for me yet.

259
00:13:07,400 --> 00:13:09,400
Speaker 1: Well, look, I feel like if you think the Bills

260
00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:12,800
Speaker 1: are going to win, then you bet the Bills minus six,

261
00:13:12,880 --> 00:13:15,880
Speaker 1: minus six and a half. Evan can tell us in

262
00:13:15,920 --> 00:13:20,960
Speaker 1: the chat, but I'm fairly certain during Josh Allen's career,

263
00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:24,960
Speaker 1: he's won fifty four career games now, thirty eight of

264
00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:29,880
Speaker 1: those games he's won by seven or more points. So

265
00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:32,000
Speaker 1: like when the guy wins, he covers and he.

266
00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,800
Speaker 3: Usually blows out bad teams. Like that's what he's great at.

267
00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:38,240
Speaker 1: Like, that's exactly why we loved him. This past weekend

268
00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:41,079
Speaker 1: against the Raiders, we didn't give a fuck what the

269
00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:43,160
Speaker 1: number was. The number was seven and a half, eight

270
00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:45,400
Speaker 1: and a half, nine and a half. We were playing

271
00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:47,960
Speaker 1: it at every single number.

272
00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:50,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, but it's also a little bit of luck because

273
00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:51,679
Speaker 3: again I do care about the number. If it was

274
00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:53,559
Speaker 3: eleven eleven and a half, I probably would have came

275
00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:55,640
Speaker 3: in on the Raiders. So we had great value in

276
00:13:55,679 --> 00:13:57,840
Speaker 3: a great spot on that Bills team, which that's why

277
00:13:57,840 --> 00:13:58,840
Speaker 3: I ended up in our contest.

278
00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:02,880
Speaker 1: Jeb Allen forty three of his fifty seven wins by

279
00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:07,840
Speaker 1: seven or more New Orleans at Green Bay. That number

280
00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:12,680
Speaker 1: right now is at the Packers' minds one and a half,

281
00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:16,079
Speaker 1: so it's come down a little bit. It was at two.

282
00:14:17,040 --> 00:14:21,160
Speaker 1: The Saints team is so interesting, like they have they've

283
00:14:21,200 --> 00:14:24,080
Speaker 1: they've won two games. They were clearly better than the

284
00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:28,640
Speaker 1: Panthers last night. Jordan Love. Meanwhile, you see for real

285
00:14:29,680 --> 00:14:35,960
Speaker 1: passer rating one eighteen, six touchdowns, no interceptions, yars per

286
00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:40,080
Speaker 1: attempt seven and a half. Right, So I kind of

287
00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:43,600
Speaker 1: feel like he's for real. But the same stat I

288
00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:48,040
Speaker 1: just read about teams playing their first home game who

289
00:14:48,040 --> 00:14:52,920
Speaker 1: are favored fourteen twenty six and two against the spread.

290
00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:55,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I actually think we might be able to get

291
00:14:55,560 --> 00:14:58,680
Speaker 3: a good deal here on the Saints, just because most

292
00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:00,880
Speaker 3: people watch that game that that was a gross game,

293
00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:05,400
Speaker 3: that Saints Carolina game, and Derek Carr historically is not

294
00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:07,200
Speaker 3: that great on the road, and we still kind of

295
00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:09,240
Speaker 3: pop up in that game. There's sometimes he looked lost

296
00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:13,360
Speaker 3: where he really shouldn't. Like Michael Thomas Olive, these weapons

297
00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:16,360
Speaker 3: he has at his disposal are so good. The Saints

298
00:15:16,400 --> 00:15:20,440
Speaker 3: defense is so talented I mean that was a brutal,

299
00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:22,840
Speaker 3: brutal back door, but one of the best back towards

300
00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:24,600
Speaker 3: you can get if you had Carolina, Like, that's the

301
00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:26,240
Speaker 3: dream scenario when you get the three and a half

302
00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:28,680
Speaker 3: and they get the touchdown of the two point after

303
00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:31,960
Speaker 3: they did nothing for fifty six minutes. That's why we

304
00:15:31,960 --> 00:15:34,840
Speaker 3: play the numbers JAD. So yeah, interesting to see how

305
00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:39,040
Speaker 3: this number is gonna go. I initially wanted to get

306
00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:42,640
Speaker 3: on Green Bay. I was like thinking to myself, if

307
00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:45,440
Speaker 3: the Saints are two and zero, this this is the

308
00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:46,800
Speaker 3: kind of game the year where they go and win

309
00:15:46,840 --> 00:15:49,760
Speaker 3: this game in Green Bay. I really have to really

310
00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:52,600
Speaker 3: like take more consideration about how good the Saints team

311
00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:54,080
Speaker 3: is right now, because I still think they're the kind

312
00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:56,640
Speaker 3: of team where, yeah, I picked him before the season

313
00:15:56,640 --> 00:15:57,440
Speaker 3: to be the one seed.

314
00:15:57,560 --> 00:15:58,640
Speaker 2: I didn't really believe it.

315
00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:00,360
Speaker 3: Like I still have a lot of questions, but Derek

316
00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:02,280
Speaker 3: Carr and I still feel the same after that Carolina

317
00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:04,640
Speaker 3: game chat. So in a really tough spot for this

318
00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:06,960
Speaker 3: Saints team to go up to Green Bay and playing.

319
00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:09,120
Speaker 3: But if it keeps creeping up, like if this gets

320
00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:12,080
Speaker 3: to two and a half, we're gonna take that number.

321
00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:13,400
Speaker 3: Like if this was at a pick, i'd be on

322
00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:16,880
Speaker 3: green Bay. But if it gets to two and a half, three, I'll.

323
00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:18,440
Speaker 2: Back the Saints and I'll take that defense.

324
00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:20,600
Speaker 3: So I'm hoping the public money keeps coming in and

325
00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:22,320
Speaker 3: maybe some pros coming and take green Bay and we

326
00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:24,400
Speaker 3: get to two and a half, because that'd be a

327
00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:26,720
Speaker 3: really nice number to back with this. The Saints defense

328
00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:29,720
Speaker 3: is just legit, like they're really good in every facet.

329
00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:31,960
Speaker 3: So as much prais I want to give Jordan Love,

330
00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:34,760
Speaker 3: we also talked about it where it's like a lot

331
00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:36,760
Speaker 3: of it's with the coach giving him the easy reads

332
00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:39,000
Speaker 3: and the easy pass and there's some other stuff for

333
00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:41,200
Speaker 3: Jordan Love looks like a first year starter, Like this

334
00:16:41,280 --> 00:16:43,400
Speaker 3: guy is gonna have a lot of ugly plays coming up,

335
00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:45,760
Speaker 3: and that's just how it is in the NFL. Like

336
00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:48,280
Speaker 3: you learn from your mistakes. He's got a lot of

337
00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:51,080
Speaker 3: mistakes coming and this is one of these games. Yeah,

338
00:16:51,160 --> 00:16:53,640
Speaker 3: you get get fat fat off playing the Bears defense,

339
00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:56,360
Speaker 3: get fat off playing Atlanta indoors. Now you're playing the

340
00:16:56,400 --> 00:16:58,600
Speaker 3: Saints defense, which I think most people are gonna have

341
00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:01,240
Speaker 3: them rated as a top eight, top seven defense. So

342
00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:03,320
Speaker 3: I'm going to learn a lot about Jordan Love in

343
00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:04,720
Speaker 3: this game for sure, So.

344
00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:06,520
Speaker 1: Let me give you the capitol j other side of

345
00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:12,399
Speaker 1: the story, Jordan Love fifty five percent completion rate, Jordan

346
00:17:12,560 --> 00:17:15,639
Speaker 1: Love playing against a defensive backfield that looks like a

347
00:17:15,640 --> 00:17:19,359
Speaker 1: bunch of high schoolers in the Chicago Bears playing indoors.

348
00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:26,400
Speaker 1: Like you said, uh, week one and two favorites, short favorites,

349
00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:33,160
Speaker 1: field goal or less. Okay, Cordon to Evan Abrams in September.

350
00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:38,679
Speaker 1: The past twenty years one, two, five and two against

351
00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:42,480
Speaker 1: the spread, they especially don't perform well in the first

352
00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:46,200
Speaker 1: three weeks ninety two, one, twelve and two for the

353
00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:50,760
Speaker 1: last twenty years thirty nine and sixty five since twenty fifteen.

354
00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:57,680
Speaker 1: So that's the Packers, that's the Chargers. Two teams we've

355
00:17:57,680 --> 00:18:02,520
Speaker 1: already talked about more and more. I feel like the

356
00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:05,360
Speaker 1: Saints are one of those teams we're going to want

357
00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:09,679
Speaker 1: to play because they will be undervalued at least this week,

358
00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:13,280
Speaker 1: and the money and the bets coming in right now

359
00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:15,160
Speaker 1: in the Packers, so I would expect this number to move.

360
00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:17,320
Speaker 2: That'd be great. Yeah, I would love to be able

361
00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:19,320
Speaker 2: to get two and a half on this in the contest.

362
00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:21,480
Speaker 1: But when we play it right, now at plus two,

363
00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:23,480
Speaker 1: forget about the contest.

364
00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:31,600
Speaker 3: Betting wise, you could, but I would honestly wait because

365
00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:32,720
Speaker 3: I just I just see it.

366
00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:34,560
Speaker 2: I could see it keep going up. But that is

367
00:18:34,560 --> 00:18:34,920
Speaker 2: a risk.

368
00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:36,399
Speaker 3: Like I just said, the pros could come in on

369
00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:37,760
Speaker 3: and it could go back down on one one and

370
00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:41,280
Speaker 3: a half. But I just hate I hate pushes, so like, yeah,

371
00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:42,800
Speaker 3: I'll put a little on the two here, but I

372
00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:44,080
Speaker 3: want the two and a half for the three.

373
00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:46,560
Speaker 1: What if it goes to one and a half sucks?

374
00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:48,119
Speaker 3: But again that's that's just when you make it a

375
00:18:48,160 --> 00:18:49,879
Speaker 3: teaser play. You want tease it up to seven and

376
00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:52,159
Speaker 3: a half and you know you're sitting on a great number.

377
00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,280
Speaker 1: Simon the Favorites Podcast as a new sponsor, you know them,

378
00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:58,520
Speaker 1: I know you know them. I know them, we all

379
00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:01,520
Speaker 1: know them. We love them. It's Little Caesars. Make Little

380
00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:05,119
Speaker 1: Caesars the official pizza sponsor of the NFL. Part of

381
00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:08,960
Speaker 1: your Game Day, Simon, I know this is a rhetorical

382
00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:12,000
Speaker 1: question for you. Is pizza the ultimate game day food?

383
00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:14,320
Speaker 2: It's the best chat, breakfast, lunch, and dinner.

384
00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:17,960
Speaker 1: Order your pizza for breakfast, lunch, and dinner online during

385
00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:21,760
Speaker 1: our Pizza Pizza pregame. That's one hour before the NFL

386
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:25,520
Speaker 1: games start, and get ready for some football and get

387
00:19:25,560 --> 00:19:28,600
Speaker 1: ready for some fun. Choose your favorite Little Caesars pizza

388
00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:31,760
Speaker 1: or pick the toppings you crave. Simon, give me the

389
00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:35,240
Speaker 1: lowdown on your favorite Little Caesar's topping.

390
00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:37,399
Speaker 2: I'm a meet Lover's Chad. I go with the pepper

391
00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:38,159
Speaker 2: oni or bacon.

392
00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:41,200
Speaker 1: I Am gonna go with mushrooms, maybe some green peppers.

393
00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:44,240
Speaker 1: Whenever I get my Little Caesars. Either way, you win.

394
00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:47,480
Speaker 1: And speaking of winning all of our favorites, listeners can

395
00:19:47,560 --> 00:19:52,320
Speaker 1: score with convenient delivery or our in store pizza portal pickup,

396
00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:54,679
Speaker 1: get your bets in, call your buddies over, enjoy a

397
00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:59,280
Speaker 1: few slices of Little Caesars during the tastiest hour before kickoff.

398
00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:04,480
Speaker 1: We have not identified, Simon says, we have not identified

399
00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:09,120
Speaker 1: an executive decision. But we're getting much much closer, all right.

400
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:14,240
Speaker 1: The next game, Atlanta's visiting Detroit. Detroit is a three

401
00:20:14,280 --> 00:20:18,159
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. This is a game that

402
00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:20,760
Speaker 1: came up on Sunday night. It was five and a half.

403
00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:26,560
Speaker 1: I loved it, and you've said it was phishy. Now

404
00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:28,719
Speaker 1: it's down to three and a half. The money and

405
00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:33,000
Speaker 1: the bets coming in on Atlanta. Can you explain why

406
00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:35,840
Speaker 1: you thought it was phishy? Do you still think so?

407
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:40,240
Speaker 1: Should we have better at five and a half on

408
00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:40,800
Speaker 1: Sunday Night?

409
00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:43,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, you nailed it, you were You were a spot

410
00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:43,600
Speaker 2: on looking at it.

411
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:45,520
Speaker 3: I look at from another perspective, Well, this is a

412
00:20:45,560 --> 00:20:47,160
Speaker 3: bad number, and that's how you.

413
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:48,800
Speaker 2: Make books pay. Rights.

414
00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:50,800
Speaker 3: You bet it and the books hang a bad numory

415
00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:52,720
Speaker 3: you pound it, and that's that's how they pay. So

416
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:54,879
Speaker 3: that was a good read by you. And that was

417
00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:57,280
Speaker 3: just me being skeptical of like, why is this number

418
00:20:57,320 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 3: not three? Two days later now it's down to three.

419
00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:01,879
Speaker 3: So that's exactly what I said to the show, is

420
00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:03,640
Speaker 3: like I got this at three three and a half,

421
00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:05,600
Speaker 3: why is that five and a half?

422
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:07,119
Speaker 2: Like it just felt very bizarre.

423
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:10,080
Speaker 3: It was so inflated, way too much respect to that

424
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,800
Speaker 3: Lions team. So yeah, pissed I missed the best of

425
00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 3: the number of the pros have just been pounding this

426
00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:17,399
Speaker 3: down to three and now a lot of books. I mean,

427
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 3: the value is going to be there in the Lions, Chad,

428
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:20,920
Speaker 3: this keeps happening, we get two and a half in

429
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:23,400
Speaker 3: the Lions. I'm happy to take the Lions there, So

430
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:25,800
Speaker 3: it's right where it needs to be right now, like

431
00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:28,440
Speaker 3: three to me and no value either side. I lean

432
00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:30,840
Speaker 3: now towards the Lions. But if it goes back to

433
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:32,920
Speaker 3: up to three and a half, four, I could see

434
00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:34,840
Speaker 3: us in Atlanta. If it goes back down below three,

435
00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:36,760
Speaker 3: I could see some of the Lions. It's just this

436
00:21:36,840 --> 00:21:39,720
Speaker 3: is a really good number where these teams are not

437
00:21:39,760 --> 00:21:41,800
Speaker 3: that big. There's not that much big of a difference

438
00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:44,280
Speaker 3: until you get to the quarterback position, where there's a

439
00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:49,320
Speaker 3: huge difference with Detroit's quarterback compared to Atlantis quarterback. So yeah,

440
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:51,840
Speaker 3: Ritter might be that guy who's incredible at home and

441
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:54,040
Speaker 3: we just fade him on the road. So give me

442
00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:55,080
Speaker 3: the two and a half in the Lions.

443
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,360
Speaker 2: I beg you. Let me tell you something.

444
00:21:58,280 --> 00:21:59,640
Speaker 1: I love this team.

445
00:21:59,720 --> 00:21:59,920
Speaker 2: Now.

446
00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:02,000
Speaker 1: I got goosebumps.

447
00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:04,600
Speaker 2: Gentlemen, you're gonna be ready to go man, piss and vinegar.

448
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,639
Speaker 1: I love this team. The lines were set up to

449
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,800
Speaker 1: fail in that game against Seattle, right, they were so

450
00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:15,920
Speaker 1: overhyped that first game at home, the euphoria around the Lions.

451
00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:19,320
Speaker 1: You know, that stadium being sold out with a waiting

452
00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:22,240
Speaker 1: list for the first time in generations. So now I'm

453
00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:23,920
Speaker 1: just gonna have to wait until the lines are less

454
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:24,520
Speaker 1: than a field goal.

455
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, Wayne, we see value on the line again, Dude.

456
00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:32,240
Speaker 1: We got to talk about this Cleveland Browns team, all right.

457
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:33,760
Speaker 1: I think this is I think this is one of

458
00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:36,560
Speaker 1: the toughest games out there. So this was another one

459
00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:39,399
Speaker 1: we discussed at Sunday night. We were in agreement. You

460
00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:41,720
Speaker 1: take a small position on Tennessee at four and a half,

461
00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:45,440
Speaker 1: and then you sort of made a bigger decision depending

462
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:46,560
Speaker 1: on what happened with Cleveland.

463
00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, and then.

464
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,600
Speaker 1: Sort of everything that happened with Cleveland actually makes this

465
00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:56,600
Speaker 1: murcurer right, Like, this game potentially deflates their entire season.

466
00:22:57,160 --> 00:23:00,640
Speaker 1: They're two hundred and thirty million dollars guaranteed. Quarterback gave

467
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:04,399
Speaker 1: the game away in multiple ways. Their best offensive weapon

468
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:07,560
Speaker 1: is done for the year. We think they lose his

469
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:09,720
Speaker 1: favorites on the road in a game they easily could

470
00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:11,640
Speaker 1: have won to got two to zero for the first

471
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:15,280
Speaker 1: time since nineteen ninety three. We lose on a bad beat.

472
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:19,240
Speaker 1: They lose on a bad play. Here's a great stat

473
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 1: that Anthony Debundo, who's one of our analysts covering just

474
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:26,600
Speaker 1: about every single sport there is gave me during our

475
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 1: Green Dot Daily production meeting this morning. In two games,

476
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:34,160
Speaker 1: opponents have yet to run a play in the Browns

477
00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 1: red zone. It's fucking wild. What do we do with

478
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:40,520
Speaker 1: this game? It's Mike Vrabel, the only coach in the

479
00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:42,520
Speaker 1: NFL the past twenty years with a winning record as

480
00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:43,120
Speaker 1: an underdog.

481
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:45,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is really tough one.

482
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,560
Speaker 3: Obviously, Like you said, we already have a position on Tennessee,

483
00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:50,679
Speaker 3: but I'm gonna throw that away as if I have

484
00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:54,000
Speaker 3: nothing on it and the value is gonna shift to

485
00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 3: the Browns. Like it's just like the Lions. If this

486
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,520
Speaker 3: number gets two and a half, I'm gonna have to

487
00:23:58,520 --> 00:23:59,920
Speaker 3: do it. I'm probably gonna have to take the brown

488
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:04,400
Speaker 3: But man, it's totally what you just said, where it's

489
00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:07,560
Speaker 3: like Tennessee three and a half. I would love that

490
00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:10,879
Speaker 3: number because it just feels like two teams with really

491
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:15,200
Speaker 3: really strong front fource. So like, defensively, I really like

492
00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:17,280
Speaker 3: Tennessee to shut down what the Browns are going to

493
00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:20,119
Speaker 3: do on the ground. They're going to be probably the

494
00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:22,359
Speaker 3: most public dog of the week. If I had to guess,

495
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:25,399
Speaker 3: it's just going to be a team that the pros like.

496
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 2: The public like together.

497
00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:30,200
Speaker 3: The books are going to need the Browns badly. So

498
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:32,440
Speaker 3: if it gets two and a half, that's where the

499
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:35,280
Speaker 3: value is going to be. So this number, you know,

500
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:37,439
Speaker 3: I don't know how much Nick Chubb is worth to

501
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:40,040
Speaker 3: it the line, but it was probably half a point.

502
00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:42,280
Speaker 3: So that's why I'm hoping it does go down to

503
00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:45,000
Speaker 3: two and a half. So another game, not much ado

504
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:48,080
Speaker 3: with probably going to have to end up on the Browns,

505
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 3: but another game I just kind of hate. If I'm

506
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 3: talking about a mentally weak team, it's going to be

507
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:56,040
Speaker 3: the Browns compared to Tennessee. Like Tennessee, I think that

508
00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:59,160
Speaker 3: was their first win nine weeks going back to last

509
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,920
Speaker 3: season last week, and that was a perfect Vabel game, right.

510
00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:05,600
Speaker 3: They just never gave up in that Chargers game. They

511
00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 3: kept fighting, they held, they held to Herbert in that offense.

512
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,800
Speaker 3: If you're taking Tennessee, you're you're banking on Tanniel having

513
00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:14,400
Speaker 3: back to back good games, and that's that's a lot

514
00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:16,560
Speaker 3: to ask. So yeah, another game where I'll just wait

515
00:25:16,600 --> 00:25:18,960
Speaker 3: for the line to move. If you want Tennessee, you

516
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:20,880
Speaker 3: you should grab the three now because I do think

517
00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 3: this is going to drop to two and a half.

518
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,879
Speaker 1: Here's something else to make us even more confused. You

519
00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:30,640
Speaker 1: and I both love the luck rankings. This is one

520
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:35,119
Speaker 1: of the top four luck ranking differential games in favor

521
00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:39,119
Speaker 1: of the Browns, meaning to play the Browns if it

522
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:42,240
Speaker 1: gets two and a half put on my line alerts

523
00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 1: for the Action Network app hope that I can be awake.

524
00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:48,840
Speaker 1: You know, you and I last week did our YouTube

525
00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:53,760
Speaker 1: only Favorites film session in which we picked out plays

526
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:56,560
Speaker 1: that sort of impacted our bets from the previous week

527
00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 1: but also gave us something to think about going into

528
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,600
Speaker 1: the next week. And mine is going to be about

529
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:04,879
Speaker 1: the Titans protecting Tannehill and how that's messing with my

530
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,000
Speaker 1: head for this game, because I do think that's a

531
00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 1: big deal, right, Like that Browns defense. They're still healthy

532
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:16,480
Speaker 1: and they're fucking awesome. Yeah, Houston at Jacksonville Jacksonville is

533
00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:19,439
Speaker 1: now an eight and a half point favorite. We're one

534
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:21,320
Speaker 1: hundred percent going to have to take the Texans in

535
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:21,880
Speaker 1: the contest.

536
00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:25,720
Speaker 3: I won't make it a guarantee, but yeah, it's it's

537
00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:27,920
Speaker 3: looking that way just because who the hell are the

538
00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 3: Jaguars and this offense to be you know, rated as

539
00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:33,120
Speaker 3: the same as the Ravens were in Week one, right

540
00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:34,800
Speaker 3: that that line in Week one I think was nine

541
00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:35,120
Speaker 3: and a half.

542
00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:35,440
Speaker 2: Ten.

543
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:38,639
Speaker 3: This line opened at nine and a half. I believe

544
00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:41,800
Speaker 3: down to eight and a half, Like, I'll grab it now.

545
00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:43,600
Speaker 3: This isn't the ass Simon says, play, but I'll grab

546
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:46,119
Speaker 3: you sent at the eight and a half. CJ has

547
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:48,760
Speaker 3: looked the best of all the rookies. Went back and

548
00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:51,440
Speaker 3: watched the film from that Colts game. The Colts did

549
00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:53,119
Speaker 3: throw a shell defense at them once they had a

550
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:57,640
Speaker 3: big lead. But he's still making the throws, which I mean,

551
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:00,400
Speaker 3: we talk all the time. These Ohio State quarterbacks usually

552
00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:01,399
Speaker 3: don't work in the league.

553
00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:04,440
Speaker 2: It's just again, I don't want to shoot on justin fields.

554
00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 3: But there's always these guys who come out really hyped

555
00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:10,200
Speaker 3: up from Iowa State and it's like, okay, take away.

556
00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:10,919
Speaker 2: All their number.

557
00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:13,560
Speaker 3: You know, they're five star, number one receivers, all these

558
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 3: incredible receivers Ohio State has. Now these guys are coming

559
00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:18,720
Speaker 3: to the league and they're kind of with Scrubs. It's

560
00:27:18,760 --> 00:27:21,800
Speaker 3: not as easy. They usually don't work out. CJ's making,

561
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:24,560
Speaker 3: you know, scrubs and the Stars. I mean, there's a

562
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,359
Speaker 3: couple of guys on that team that like you know,

563
00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:28,240
Speaker 3: even Robert Woods, a guy who was left for dead's

564
00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:30,720
Speaker 3: making catches for the Houston team. So you know, Tank

565
00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 3: Dell got it in the action Collins like they have

566
00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:36,600
Speaker 3: some nice pieces down there in Houston. So in in

567
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:39,560
Speaker 3: a game where if the Jaguars would have won last week,

568
00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:41,440
Speaker 3: that's what bums me aut you as like we easily

569
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:43,480
Speaker 3: would have got ten and a half on this number,

570
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:46,320
Speaker 3: which but an amazing to take you sin At. I'm

571
00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 3: still happy to take out the number it is. It's

572
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,880
Speaker 3: just one of those where I feel like the number

573
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:53,679
Speaker 3: would have been way higher if the if the Jaguars

574
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:57,760
Speaker 3: were covered last week, So we could be going against

575
00:27:57,760 --> 00:27:59,320
Speaker 3: the Jaguars team where you could be getting a low

576
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,159
Speaker 3: value on. But don't think it's low enough yet, Like

577
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:02,879
Speaker 3: this to me should be a seven. Get eight and

578
00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:04,880
Speaker 3: a half, which is a key number. So I'm right

579
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:06,399
Speaker 3: there with you, Chet, like I like this number.

580
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:09,160
Speaker 1: It's interesting to me that you say that about CJ. Shroud.

581
00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:13,639
Speaker 1: I've seen limited numbers of their plays. I haven't watched

582
00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:15,879
Speaker 1: a full game film for them, but every time I've

583
00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:19,919
Speaker 1: seen him, he's looked confused and he's dropping back and

584
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:24,200
Speaker 1: running back further, like Robert Woods seems to be the

585
00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:27,760
Speaker 1: only player he's comfortable making any tight throws to.

586
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:29,960
Speaker 2: No, he loves Collins, that's his guy.

587
00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:33,080
Speaker 1: What are you seeing right now that makes you feel

588
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:37,040
Speaker 1: he's better than anybody else who's playing quarterback as a rookie.

589
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 3: What if I told you he in his second start

590
00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:42,240
Speaker 3: of his career, he threw from more yards than any

591
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:43,640
Speaker 3: quarterback that's ever come out.

592
00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:45,719
Speaker 2: Ohio State to the NFL. Is that something you might

593
00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:46,360
Speaker 2: be interested in?

594
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,520
Speaker 1: No, because we've already said the quarterbacks from Ohio State

595
00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:53,360
Speaker 1: A haven't been that good and B gross yardage in

596
00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:57,040
Speaker 1: a game is not an indication of you being very good.

597
00:28:57,600 --> 00:28:59,040
Speaker 3: No one else ever could do it though, Like to me,

598
00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:02,080
Speaker 3: that's a big deal where it's like this kid could

599
00:29:02,120 --> 00:29:05,200
Speaker 3: easily have just gotten down, not gone through the motions

600
00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:07,600
Speaker 3: and not really kept trying. And like I love, they're

601
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:10,240
Speaker 3: working through stuff in Houston, it's gonna be a shit show. Dude,

602
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 3: my guy Evan. Thank god Evan's here fourth in passing

603
00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:16,880
Speaker 3: yards with no interceptions. Chad, go fuck yourself, bad mouth

604
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:20,680
Speaker 3: and CJ. That's why we need Evan here. But No,

605
00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 3: I'm with you, Like he could easily come here and

606
00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 3: just lay a total legg Like I have no idea

607
00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:25,959
Speaker 3: what this kid's gonna be.

608
00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 2: It's just the rookie year.

609
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:30,600
Speaker 3: I'm looking for little stuff and it is no small feat.

610
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 3: Even if you're playing against the shell defense a throw

611
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:34,440
Speaker 3: forward three hundred yards NFL, it's really.

612
00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:34,760
Speaker 2: Hard to do.

613
00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:38,040
Speaker 3: So anything you're saying bad about him completely warranted. Like

614
00:29:38,120 --> 00:29:39,000
Speaker 3: that Ravens gave me.

615
00:29:39,040 --> 00:29:41,120
Speaker 2: Look lost. I kind of threw it away.

616
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:42,680
Speaker 3: I'm just trying to play the number here because I'm

617
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 3: totally with you, Chad, Like, if he's down fourteen in

618
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:48,200
Speaker 3: the first quarter against this Jaguars team, this BET's probably dead.

619
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:50,640
Speaker 3: Like You're exactly right, like I got zero faith and CJ.

620
00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 3: But if they can just cleep it close, and we've

621
00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:55,720
Speaker 3: seen the Jaguars have struggled in the red zone this year,

622
00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:57,360
Speaker 3: that's that's that's a nice bet.

623
00:29:57,440 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 1: This is what professionals make their money. Here's a question

624
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:02,840
Speaker 1: for me, how can Houston stop Travis atn when they

625
00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:04,560
Speaker 1: couldn't stop Zach Moss.

626
00:30:05,040 --> 00:30:06,720
Speaker 3: Now it is tough where it's like you brought in

627
00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:09,720
Speaker 3: a defensive head coach and the defense hasn't looked great.

628
00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:11,400
Speaker 3: The Houston might be one of the worst teams against

629
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:11,680
Speaker 3: the run.

630
00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:14,920
Speaker 1: New England is a now three point favorite at the

631
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 1: New York Jets. This is the number one game in

632
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:24,440
Speaker 1: our luck rankings. The difference the gap is twenty five.

633
00:30:25,040 --> 00:30:29,800
Speaker 2: So for the record, like, that's that's towards New England, right.

634
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:34,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, towards New England like unlucky teams meeting a threshold

635
00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 1: like New England in our luck rankings hit at a

636
00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:44,600
Speaker 1: sixty three percent clip since two thousand and eighteen. In

637
00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:50,080
Speaker 1: Week three alone, that goes up to sixty nine percent.

638
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 1: So the numbers moved. I mean the number was a two,

639
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:56,960
Speaker 1: we got two and a half. Now it's at three.

640
00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:01,000
Speaker 3: I mean the big thing is Spelichick a sack Wilson, right,

641
00:31:01,280 --> 00:31:03,520
Speaker 3: Like is in this every year we try to convince

642
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:06,640
Speaker 3: ourselves to take the Jets against Belichick here And I

643
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:08,200
Speaker 3: don't know if Evan has the number, but I don't

644
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:09,760
Speaker 3: think Bell has ever lost to Zach.

645
00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:10,320
Speaker 2: Like.

646
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 3: It's just one of those games where even last year,

647
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:18,120
Speaker 3: I'm almost positive positive we had the Jets and they

648
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:21,040
Speaker 3: dominated the whole game, and they punted and the Patriots

649
00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:23,080
Speaker 3: returned the punt for a touchdown and we lost the

650
00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 3: bet on the Jets, like something stupid like that happened

651
00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:28,880
Speaker 3: last year. Yeah, Wilson owned four straight up and against

652
00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 3: the spread first New England. So fuck man, we tried

653
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:34,680
Speaker 3: to go in the trend last week. We're like, we

654
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:37,400
Speaker 3: got to take the Patriots against Tua, who was not

655
00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:39,560
Speaker 3: going to go five and zer against his Belichick defense.

656
00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:42,040
Speaker 3: And you know, Belichick might have made the script right.

657
00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:44,640
Speaker 3: That umbrella defense he ran against Tuoa did slow down

658
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:48,720
Speaker 3: that Miami offense. This week, we'll go back to the will.

659
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:52,000
Speaker 3: I'll trust Belichick. I'll trust him out to go one three.

660
00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:54,480
Speaker 3: I'll take the number at three, hopefully two and a

661
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:56,800
Speaker 3: half in our contest. And yeah, this is one of

662
00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 3: those favorites where I usually always loved the home doll,

663
00:32:01,040 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 3: but not when it's a defensive mind like Belichick. First,

664
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 3: this quarterback in Zach Wilson. So definitely a huge advantage

665
00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:08,520
Speaker 3: for this Patriots team. And we want to see the

666
00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:11,479
Speaker 3: injury report for this Patriots team. If their defense is healthy,

667
00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:13,920
Speaker 3: you know, if their cornerbacks are going to play this game,

668
00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:16,800
Speaker 3: everyone's good to go. Yeah, I love as our one

669
00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:18,840
Speaker 3: solo favorite. This is definitely up the top of the

670
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:19,760
Speaker 3: list of taking New England.

671
00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:22,560
Speaker 1: Here a circle that's on the board. It's got the

672
00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 1: luck ranking stamp of approval. Simon, you know what has

673
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:29,520
Speaker 1: my stamp of approval. It's the fastest growing ticketing app

674
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:33,440
Speaker 1: in the United States. That's right, it's our sponsor, game Time.

675
00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 1: I love game Time for two reasons. One they sponsored

676
00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 1: the show. Two, I actually use game Time to buy tickets.

677
00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:44,080
Speaker 1: I've talked about it a lot. They've got amazing last

678
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 1: minute deals on all sorts of tickets, including pro and

679
00:32:47,360 --> 00:32:51,480
Speaker 1: college football games. I'm actually opening game Time right now

680
00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:53,480
Speaker 1: from my house. As soon as we wrap this show,

681
00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:56,200
Speaker 1: I'm headed in the city, New York City. What can

682
00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:58,560
Speaker 1: I do tonight? Oh? I can go see the Yankees

683
00:32:58,840 --> 00:33:02,680
Speaker 1: for six bucks and see the WNBA Superteam New York

684
00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:05,520
Speaker 1: Liberty for forty two bucks. No matter where you live,

685
00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:08,400
Speaker 1: download the game Time app. Get out, have some fun

686
00:33:08,440 --> 00:33:11,240
Speaker 1: this week, Go sweat your bets live and in person,

687
00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:14,520
Speaker 1: and you can redeem code favorites for twenty dollars off

688
00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:18,800
Speaker 1: your first purchase. Terms apply again. Just download the app

689
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:22,560
Speaker 1: and enter code favorites for twenty dollars off last minute tickets,

690
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 1: lowest price guaranteed this next game. I think we're going

691
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 1: to have to have a race between executive decision, and

692
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:35,880
Speaker 1: Simon says, I think Denver at Miami Miami six and

693
00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:40,120
Speaker 1: a half point favorite the Dolphins right now at bet

694
00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:43,120
Speaker 1: three sixty five fourteen to one to win the Super

695
00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:49,800
Speaker 1: Bowl TUA shortest MVP odds. Not surprisingly eighty percent of

696
00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:52,040
Speaker 1: the tickets coming into Miami. But my amp, but the

697
00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:54,800
Speaker 1: money is fifty to fifty split. This is number two

698
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:58,320
Speaker 1: in our luck rankings. I will defer to you. I

699
00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:01,000
Speaker 1: will give you that if you want to make this,

700
00:34:01,080 --> 00:34:06,240
Speaker 1: your son says, feel free. If not, I'm executiving decisioning this.

701
00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:09,160
Speaker 3: The great minds Chad, just because you can still get

702
00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 3: seven's out there another week. It's going to be the

703
00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:14,320
Speaker 3: pros versus the Joe's on this. This going against this

704
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:18,840
Speaker 3: Miami team that is incredibly talented, but the lines incredibly inflated.

705
00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:23,440
Speaker 3: And you know, Denver people won't believe it hearing this,

706
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:25,520
Speaker 3: but Russ and a lot of metrics, is considered a

707
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 3: top five, top six quarterback right now. Like he's been

708
00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:31,279
Speaker 3: actually playing really well. That Denver offense.

709
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:32,760
Speaker 2: Has been really good. It's just the defense.

710
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:35,440
Speaker 3: So yeah, the hope here the number you're taking is

711
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:37,920
Speaker 3: Russ will be able to keep up with this Miami

712
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:42,359
Speaker 3: team offensively and the defense will be able to step up.

713
00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:45,720
Speaker 3: So we've got to take the really desperate team against

714
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:48,480
Speaker 3: the team that is beloved by everyone in the public

715
00:34:48,520 --> 00:34:51,040
Speaker 3: and just not even matchup like matchup wise, this is

716
00:34:51,080 --> 00:34:52,920
Speaker 3: actually a good matchup for this Denver team. Like a

717
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 3: lot of stuff they can do well. They can stop

718
00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:59,440
Speaker 3: mining wants to do offensively. But just just looking at football,

719
00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:01,920
Speaker 3: the zero and two team going against the two and

720
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:03,879
Speaker 3: oh team that I think you just said it two

721
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,640
Speaker 3: as the favor right now for MVP, how do we

722
00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:08,759
Speaker 3: not like we're getting two to three free points on

723
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:10,600
Speaker 3: Denver here, just off public perceptions.

724
00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:12,719
Speaker 2: So you can take it because I have one more game.

725
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 2: I love you would do that for me.

726
00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:16,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, because as long as people take it like I

727
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:18,560
Speaker 3: love that number, I think that's what our show is

728
00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:19,000
Speaker 3: built on.

729
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:23,400
Speaker 1: I'm taking it as the exact decision, the choice between

730
00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 1: the unthinkable and the impossible.

731
00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:30,120
Speaker 2: Text your number executive decision?

732
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:32,400
Speaker 3: Are they number one in the luck ranking? Is that

733
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:32,960
Speaker 3: what you said?

734
00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 1: The number one game is New England and number two

735
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:37,520
Speaker 1: is Denver against Miami.

736
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:39,640
Speaker 3: That makes sense they'd be number one for unlucky and

737
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:42,239
Speaker 3: same with Denver. Denver is oh and two easily could

738
00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:43,600
Speaker 3: be two and oh yeah makes sense.

739
00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 1: First thing to figure out with Denver is are they

740
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:51,000
Speaker 1: masters of their own bad luck? Yeah, they've looked amazing

741
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:54,439
Speaker 1: in the first half. Russell Wilson has been great when

742
00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 1: Sean Payton has been able to get him to play

743
00:35:56,680 --> 00:35:59,120
Speaker 1: the game plan that they've worked on for the entire week.

744
00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:02,360
Speaker 1: And then the second half when adjustments come, Russell Wilson's

745
00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:06,319
Speaker 1: been terrible and they've let teams back into it to win. Also,

746
00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:09,080
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson, who started making mistakes right like they were

747
00:36:09,200 --> 00:36:11,720
Speaker 1: up twenty one to three. Russell Wilson fumbles the ball,

748
00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:14,920
Speaker 1: doesn't try to jump on it, gives Washington the opportunity

749
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:16,760
Speaker 1: to come back, and they never recover.

750
00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:18,240
Speaker 2: And did you see that fumbling?

751
00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:21,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, he looks so like that's the first time Russ

752
00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:23,240
Speaker 3: really looked old.

753
00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:25,799
Speaker 2: He looked he looked old. Yeah, he looked old.

754
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:27,479
Speaker 1: Yes, I wonder if that's going to be my film

755
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:29,880
Speaker 1: session play the week now that I'm playing, I know

756
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:31,759
Speaker 1: I'm going to be playing the Broncos. Oh, this is

757
00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:35,040
Speaker 1: so interesting. So I love the film session. I love it.

758
00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:42,879
Speaker 1: Sean Payton most profitable underdog after Mike Tomlin the past

759
00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:47,040
Speaker 1: twenty years, most profitable underdog coach the last twenty years.

760
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:49,440
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, people, we have to do it.

761
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:51,480
Speaker 3: Like, if this is seven and a half in our contest,

762
00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:53,920
Speaker 3: this is going to be a no brainer play for us.

763
00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:55,759
Speaker 1: What if it's six and a half.

764
00:36:55,760 --> 00:36:58,080
Speaker 3: I'd still take in contests, Like I still think that's

765
00:36:58,080 --> 00:37:00,560
Speaker 3: too high, So don't don't mind number either.

766
00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:04,960
Speaker 1: I totally agree Indy at Baltimore. Baltimore is an eight

767
00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:07,239
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. I haven't heard anything about

768
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:10,200
Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson yet, have you. I haven't noticed anything.

769
00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:12,239
Speaker 3: No, but I do know a really smart group that

770
00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:15,560
Speaker 3: took a large position on the Colts. So I could

771
00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:17,759
Speaker 3: tell you that a bunch of pros don't care. They

772
00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:20,560
Speaker 3: don't care if it's Mentru, if it's Richardson. They like

773
00:37:20,600 --> 00:37:23,080
Speaker 3: the Colts of this number. I haven't done anything in

774
00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:24,960
Speaker 3: this game because I'm with Chad. I just I need

775
00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:27,000
Speaker 3: to know Richardson's going to play, if he's not playing,

776
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:30,120
Speaker 3: if the number will move off of that. So if

777
00:37:30,120 --> 00:37:32,160
Speaker 3: people want to know what the pros early bet is

778
00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:35,360
Speaker 3: that they like the Colts in this spot, But to me,

779
00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:36,640
Speaker 3: I just don't have an opinion on it.

780
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:39,040
Speaker 1: Yet another one. I don't have a great readown it.

781
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:42,520
Speaker 1: Maybe you do. Carolina at Seattle, Like now we've seen

782
00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:46,120
Speaker 1: Carolina after last night we saw Seattle get a little

783
00:37:46,120 --> 00:37:49,360
Speaker 1: bit healthier against Detroit. The lines four and a half.

784
00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:52,000
Speaker 1: I don't have a strong opinion on this one.

785
00:37:52,600 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just took the under, Like when this number

786
00:37:54,600 --> 00:37:56,839
Speaker 3: hung last night, even before the Carolina game, I took

787
00:37:56,840 --> 00:37:59,360
Speaker 3: the under on it. As great as the Seahawks played

788
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:03,719
Speaker 3: against the Lions, the Lions left a ton of opportunity

789
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:06,080
Speaker 3: on the field there, and I think Carolina will actually

790
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,600
Speaker 3: be able to tack those weaknesses that the Seahawks have,

791
00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:12,320
Speaker 3: which is that offensive line, Like there's just you're replacing

792
00:38:12,320 --> 00:38:16,000
Speaker 3: your left and right tackle. There's going to be some regression.

793
00:38:16,120 --> 00:38:20,040
Speaker 3: So incredible win for the Seahawks, really bad loss for

794
00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:23,240
Speaker 3: this Carolina team. Give me that six and a half seven.

795
00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:24,680
Speaker 3: I would love to take a six and a half

796
00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:27,840
Speaker 3: seven on this this Panther team. So yeah, one of

797
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,640
Speaker 3: those numbers that was way too low at three and

798
00:38:30,680 --> 00:38:33,799
Speaker 3: a half four on Carolina. Now it's where it should be,

799
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:35,719
Speaker 3: Like it should be six and a half seven.

800
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:38,680
Speaker 1: But it's not six and a half seven. Oh yeah, six,

801
00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:41,440
Speaker 1: I'm seeing five and a half, Okay, I just.

802
00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:43,799
Speaker 3: Assume it's getting up there where like the public's going

803
00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:45,719
Speaker 3: to come in really heavy on the Seahawks team here.

804
00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:48,720
Speaker 3: So yeah, like like Carolina, this spot, like the number,

805
00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:50,879
Speaker 3: it's just it'll be hard for me to get there.

806
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:53,319
Speaker 3: Is just one of our dog bets, just because we

807
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:56,560
Speaker 3: still have so many questions right now about this offensive Carolina,

808
00:38:56,640 --> 00:38:58,680
Speaker 3: Like I really don't know what they are. I'm trying

809
00:38:58,680 --> 00:39:00,040
Speaker 3: not to be too mean to them because they're in

810
00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:02,480
Speaker 3: a rough spot where you know, Bryce Shong's first game

811
00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:05,480
Speaker 3: was a divisional game against Atlanta on the road. Then

812
00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:08,080
Speaker 3: he came home and played a really good Saints defense

813
00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:10,560
Speaker 3: on Monday night, and now he's going to Seattle. Like

814
00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:13,480
Speaker 3: that's such a brutal start for a rookie quarterback. Like

815
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:18,600
Speaker 3: he's just going into really hostile environments. So yeah, if

816
00:39:18,640 --> 00:39:20,720
Speaker 3: I have a choice between this rookie on the road,

817
00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:23,840
Speaker 3: Anthony Richardson on the rookie on the road, where CJ

818
00:39:23,960 --> 00:39:25,680
Speaker 3: is a rookie on the road, I think me and

819
00:39:25,680 --> 00:39:28,439
Speaker 3: you are both more comfortable taking the numbers above seven

820
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:30,520
Speaker 3: and a half, above eight than we are taking a

821
00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:33,480
Speaker 3: Carolina team here at six and six five and a half.

822
00:39:33,560 --> 00:39:35,799
Speaker 3: It's just the number is not doing it for me yet.

823
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:38,400
Speaker 3: So like Carolina, I just don't like the number yet.

824
00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:41,880
Speaker 1: You know what, we're going to be comfortable doing, really

825
00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:44,880
Speaker 1: comfortable doing, because it's what we do. Taking the Arizona

826
00:39:44,920 --> 00:39:48,120
Speaker 1: Cardinals as twelve and a half point underdogs at home

827
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:51,440
Speaker 1: against the Dallas Cowboys, who are getting eighty two percent

828
00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:54,880
Speaker 1: of the bets. This is a must play throughout the

829
00:39:55,280 --> 00:39:58,160
Speaker 1: names and the helmets. You see these numbers and you

830
00:39:58,239 --> 00:40:00,160
Speaker 1: take the home dog yea.

831
00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:02,680
Speaker 3: And stinks though because even last week, haven't gave us

832
00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:05,200
Speaker 3: that stat about Dak versus these bad teams as big

833
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:08,520
Speaker 3: favorites like this is actually when the Cowboys do good?

834
00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:11,920
Speaker 3: But yeah, Chad, how do we not take this number

835
00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:13,200
Speaker 3: here like this?

836
00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:15,600
Speaker 2: This is what we do. We take the Cardinals.

837
00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:19,440
Speaker 3: Kicking myself last week for not being more in line

838
00:40:19,520 --> 00:40:21,160
Speaker 3: with a lot of the pros on taking them against

839
00:40:21,160 --> 00:40:21,720
Speaker 3: the Giants.

840
00:40:22,200 --> 00:40:26,040
Speaker 1: Simon. By the way, Cardinals last week against the Giants,

841
00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:29,400
Speaker 1: they were a big, big and one of the reasons

842
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:32,120
Speaker 1: we love our sponsor bet three six five is their

843
00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:36,840
Speaker 1: NFL early payout offer. Your bet gets graded as a

844
00:40:36,840 --> 00:40:39,960
Speaker 1: winner automatically if the team you bet is up by

845
00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:43,320
Speaker 1: seventeen or more so. People who bet Arizona money line

846
00:40:43,440 --> 00:40:47,400
Speaker 1: last week got paid even though they blew the game.

847
00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:50,040
Speaker 1: Do you think Arizona could be on the receiving end

848
00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:53,960
Speaker 1: of a seventeen point deficit this week? It's possible.

849
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:57,000
Speaker 2: When will this get to thirteen fourteen? That's the real question,

850
00:40:57,120 --> 00:40:57,680
Speaker 2: right Like.

851
00:40:57,600 --> 00:41:00,520
Speaker 3: The Bears feels like it's hitching up towards that number. Yeah,

852
00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:03,200
Speaker 3: I hope we can get here with the Cardinals twelve

853
00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:05,560
Speaker 3: and a half. Even Chad knows like that's that's not

854
00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:08,200
Speaker 3: really enough. That's a nothing number like twelve and a

855
00:41:08,239 --> 00:41:11,160
Speaker 3: half to ten and a half. It's just our number

856
00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:13,799
Speaker 3: rarely falls in eleven or twelve, like mathematically, it just

857
00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:16,839
Speaker 3: doesn't happen. So interesting that they've hung this number this way,

858
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:19,880
Speaker 3: just because it's a little telling where it's a teaser number.

859
00:41:19,960 --> 00:41:21,640
Speaker 3: It means if you're teasing this number, you can get

860
00:41:21,640 --> 00:41:23,480
Speaker 3: this below six and a half right now, which we

861
00:41:23,520 --> 00:41:24,120
Speaker 3: talk all the time.

862
00:41:24,160 --> 00:41:26,480
Speaker 2: That's a big deal. So be careful out there.

863
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:28,319
Speaker 3: These sports books keeping this at twelve and a half

864
00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:30,400
Speaker 3: a little telling because they know this is going to

865
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:32,680
Speaker 3: be the most public bet. Like the money line of Dallas.

866
00:41:33,120 --> 00:41:35,640
Speaker 3: I think it was the number two most bet bet

867
00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:39,319
Speaker 3: a big sports book. So Dallas looks the part though,

868
00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:41,239
Speaker 3: Like as much as I want to tear down Dallas,

869
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:44,239
Speaker 3: their defense is beat up on crappy teams and the

870
00:41:44,280 --> 00:41:47,040
Speaker 3: Giants and the Jets, and they handle their business like

871
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:48,880
Speaker 3: that's what you want to look for, Like your defense

872
00:41:49,080 --> 00:41:51,320
Speaker 3: should beat up those teams. That's what you expect. That

873
00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:56,680
Speaker 3: is Dallas defense. So yeah, the big thing that excites

874
00:41:56,760 --> 00:42:00,080
Speaker 3: me about back in Arizona chat is it's just and

875
00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:02,319
Speaker 3: be us in the pros. It's just another one of

876
00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:04,640
Speaker 3: those weeks, So another number we'll fight on if we

877
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:06,759
Speaker 3: can get into the contest or not. But yeah, as

878
00:42:06,800 --> 00:42:08,480
Speaker 3: the week goes along here, if this gets up to

879
00:42:08,520 --> 00:42:10,680
Speaker 3: thirteen and a half fourteen, it's gonna be already to

880
00:42:10,719 --> 00:42:12,400
Speaker 3: keep it out. That's just a huge number for a

881
00:42:12,520 --> 00:42:14,880
Speaker 3: road favorite on this Cowboys.

882
00:42:14,480 --> 00:42:19,239
Speaker 1: Team, Bears, Chiefs. This is a pros Joe's game right now.

883
00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:21,920
Speaker 1: Numbers are twelve and a half, sixty percent of the

884
00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:23,879
Speaker 1: bets on the Chiefs, sixty eight percent of the money

885
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:26,520
Speaker 1: on the Bears. I can see it. I mean, the

886
00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:30,319
Speaker 1: Chiefs have struggled, the Bears have been terrible, but that's

887
00:42:30,320 --> 00:42:32,359
Speaker 1: why you're getting such a big number right now. So

888
00:42:33,280 --> 00:42:35,200
Speaker 1: either you believe this is a get healthy game for

889
00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:38,920
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes, or you believe in the stats that the

890
00:42:38,960 --> 00:42:42,080
Speaker 1: Bears are going to cover a big number and Patrick Mahomes,

891
00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:45,600
Speaker 1: who has a hard time covering numbers like this, will

892
00:42:45,600 --> 00:42:46,200
Speaker 1: play it for him.

893
00:42:47,200 --> 00:42:50,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, another scary, big favorite where you know, if you

894
00:42:50,719 --> 00:42:52,640
Speaker 3: want to throw the Chiefs in a teaser, I totally

895
00:42:52,680 --> 00:42:54,520
Speaker 3: get it. I don't see the scenario of this Bears

896
00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:57,600
Speaker 3: team wins this game, let alone gets us under a touchdown.

897
00:42:57,640 --> 00:43:01,359
Speaker 2: They're just they're lost right now. And you know, the.

898
00:43:01,280 --> 00:43:04,440
Speaker 3: Players got interviewed said that there wasn't any words spoken

899
00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:07,320
Speaker 3: on that flight home chat from Tampa back to Chicago.

900
00:43:07,520 --> 00:43:11,279
Speaker 3: So everything is just bad right now in Chicago. And

901
00:43:11,280 --> 00:43:13,799
Speaker 3: now they're heading to Kansas City on a team that

902
00:43:13,960 --> 00:43:16,960
Speaker 3: I think we both agree like their offense. You know,

903
00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:21,600
Speaker 3: Eric Blimey, they're there, they're Cee left last year with

904
00:43:21,640 --> 00:43:23,799
Speaker 3: the Washington Now Washington's too and on their offense is

905
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:26,240
Speaker 3: clicking where you look at the Chiefs and there's something's

906
00:43:26,239 --> 00:43:28,520
Speaker 3: missing around their offense. And if there's going to be

907
00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 3: at a get right game for them, Chad, it's the

908
00:43:31,239 --> 00:43:34,160
Speaker 3: Chicago's Bears defense, Like this is as good as it gets.

909
00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:35,000
Speaker 2: To get your offense right.

910
00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:40,400
Speaker 3: So if they struggle against his Bears defense, some major

911
00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:44,480
Speaker 3: major questions now about this Chiefs offense. So yeah, another one,

912
00:43:44,520 --> 00:43:47,080
Speaker 3: another ugly dog. But it's are we going to take

913
00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:48,680
Speaker 3: this over the Cardinals? Like, it's gonna be tough to

914
00:43:48,719 --> 00:43:49,879
Speaker 3: pick this whever other dog.

915
00:43:50,080 --> 00:43:52,200
Speaker 2: So I do like the Bears. I don't know if

916
00:43:52,239 --> 00:43:54,280
Speaker 2: I love it so far.

917
00:43:55,600 --> 00:43:56,920
Speaker 1: Oh no, I was gonna say this is one of

918
00:43:56,920 --> 00:43:58,520
Speaker 1: the most beat games, but there's a lot of the

919
00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:01,080
Speaker 1: games that are more bad. So on Sunday night, we

920
00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:03,120
Speaker 1: talked about the Raiders at plus one and a half.

921
00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:05,560
Speaker 1: The number is not moved to Raiders minus one and

922
00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:08,960
Speaker 1: a half. The Raiders do fall into that stat now

923
00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:11,960
Speaker 1: teams is a short favorite playing their first home game

924
00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:15,120
Speaker 1: in Week three that you'd want to fade. How do

925
00:44:15,120 --> 00:44:17,440
Speaker 1: you feel about the Raiders right now as favorites at

926
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:19,759
Speaker 1: one and a half against the Steelers. Yeah.

927
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:21,399
Speaker 3: We joke all the time about the Spider Man meme,

928
00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:23,240
Speaker 3: and this is the Spider Man meme. Usually the exact

929
00:44:23,239 --> 00:44:26,759
Speaker 3: same team against each other. There's literally nothing different other

930
00:44:26,800 --> 00:44:29,360
Speaker 3: than Jimmy has the experience and I can kind of

931
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:30,880
Speaker 3: count on Jimmy and make the throws that I need

932
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:34,360
Speaker 3: them too. So yeah, great scenario last week. This is

933
00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:36,000
Speaker 3: why I wanted to take the Raiders like they got

934
00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:39,560
Speaker 3: blown out. The public was going to like Pittsburgh, especially

935
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:42,880
Speaker 3: if Pittsburgh won, but the pros came and hammered this number.

936
00:44:42,920 --> 00:44:46,440
Speaker 3: So even though Pittsburgh won, no one's buying it. Like

937
00:44:46,480 --> 00:44:48,440
Speaker 3: the numbers moved from plus one and a half on

938
00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:50,719
Speaker 3: the Raiders down to minus one and a half. I

939
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:53,719
Speaker 3: still like the Raiders, so I don't hate taking them

940
00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:55,680
Speaker 3: as a favorite here. I don't hate taking that number.

941
00:44:56,760 --> 00:45:00,839
Speaker 3: You know the Pittsburgh what an amazing win. But can

942
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:03,160
Speaker 3: you rely on your defense to get fourteen points every

943
00:45:03,200 --> 00:45:05,080
Speaker 3: week for you to cover and win these games? I

944
00:45:05,080 --> 00:45:07,880
Speaker 3: don't think so, Especially against this Raider team that they

945
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:10,279
Speaker 3: played so bad against the Bills. You know that they're

946
00:45:10,280 --> 00:45:10,880
Speaker 3: going to get.

947
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:11,560
Speaker 2: Right this week.

948
00:45:11,640 --> 00:45:15,319
Speaker 3: So yeah, looking at this, if it all comes out

949
00:45:15,360 --> 00:45:16,880
Speaker 3: that Jimmy is fully healthy, because I don't know if

950
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:19,240
Speaker 3: he's injured because he just played so bad in that game,

951
00:45:19,840 --> 00:45:20,799
Speaker 3: love him to get right.

952
00:45:21,080 --> 00:45:23,160
Speaker 2: And Josh Jacobs, who had one of.

953
00:45:23,120 --> 00:45:25,040
Speaker 3: The worst games I've ever seen by running back last

954
00:45:25,040 --> 00:45:28,920
Speaker 3: week against the Bills. Great bounce back spot against Pittsburgh,

955
00:45:28,960 --> 00:45:32,760
Speaker 3: who just cannot stop the run. Pittsburgh's run defense is atrocious.

956
00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:35,560
Speaker 3: So yeah, love Vegas. Love it at this number.

957
00:45:36,160 --> 00:45:39,719
Speaker 1: Wow? All right? The Eagles minus five and a half

958
00:45:39,760 --> 00:45:42,400
Speaker 1: against the Bucks. Okay, I don't know if this is

959
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:44,759
Speaker 1: the game you're talking about. This one opened at seven,

960
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:46,680
Speaker 1: it's now five and a half. They have one shared

961
00:45:46,680 --> 00:45:50,280
Speaker 1: opponent in the Vikings, and they both won. Philly dominated

962
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:54,240
Speaker 1: physically against Minnesota twenty more plays for force, fumbles, four sacks,

963
00:45:54,480 --> 00:45:58,720
Speaker 1: two hundred and sixty yards rushing. Kirk looked amazing against

964
00:45:58,719 --> 00:46:02,400
Speaker 1: this defense, look amazing against the Bucks defense. The Bucks

965
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:05,920
Speaker 1: were outplayed. They got very lucky. Of one hundred and

966
00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:09,560
Speaker 1: forty four head coaches Todd Balls's in the past twenty years,

967
00:46:09,600 --> 00:46:13,719
Speaker 1: Todd balls is one hundred and forty two of one

968
00:46:13,840 --> 00:46:17,800
Speaker 1: hundred and forty seven against the spread.

969
00:46:18,000 --> 00:46:21,520
Speaker 2: What does that mean He's horrible? Yeah, yeah, it sucks.

970
00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:23,600
Speaker 3: So this is my simon, says Bett. I wanted it

971
00:46:23,640 --> 00:46:26,520
Speaker 3: at six the Bucks. It's that five and a half,

972
00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:29,279
Speaker 3: damn it. So yeah, I still like it five and

973
00:46:29,320 --> 00:46:31,680
Speaker 3: a half. I was hoping to get the six. This

974
00:46:31,880 --> 00:46:34,719
Speaker 3: Bucks team if the Eagles were fully healthy, I'd make

975
00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:38,440
Speaker 3: this number seven. The Eagles are banged up in the secondary.

976
00:46:38,560 --> 00:46:41,160
Speaker 3: We might be without our number one, our number two corner,

977
00:46:41,160 --> 00:46:44,080
Speaker 3: and our number three corner going up against Godwin and

978
00:46:44,120 --> 00:46:46,400
Speaker 3: Mike Evans, like this is a huge deal to this

979
00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:50,759
Speaker 3: Bucks team in that offense. So yeah, Eagles, Eagles might

980
00:46:50,760 --> 00:46:53,880
Speaker 3: win this game. They're always gonna have the opening for

981
00:46:53,920 --> 00:46:56,680
Speaker 3: a back door, and seeing how this Bucks team plays

982
00:46:57,000 --> 00:46:59,400
Speaker 3: and how Baker's played, this is a good spot to

983
00:46:59,440 --> 00:47:02,359
Speaker 3: back them. So the goddamn pros have coming. They bet

984
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:04,800
Speaker 3: it down now. I got it at six six and

985
00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:06,600
Speaker 3: a half. It sucks now it's five and a half.

986
00:47:07,120 --> 00:47:09,080
Speaker 3: You could wait, but I'd grab it just in case

987
00:47:09,160 --> 00:47:10,880
Speaker 3: I could see I could see it keep dropping. The

988
00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:16,120
Speaker 3: Eagles have a lot of injuries right now. We do science.

989
00:47:18,080 --> 00:47:20,080
Speaker 3: I think the Eagles will win this game. It's just covering.

990
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:23,279
Speaker 3: That's that's a big ask them going down there. I

991
00:47:23,280 --> 00:47:26,080
Speaker 3: guess his Tampa team that the Pros nailed, and it's

992
00:47:26,160 --> 00:47:28,200
Speaker 3: it's worked out to what are they all predicted of?

993
00:47:28,320 --> 00:47:31,400
Speaker 3: Like you know they're gonna if they're gonna play bad teams,

994
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:33,279
Speaker 3: they're gonna be able to be in these games and

995
00:47:33,320 --> 00:47:35,319
Speaker 3: be competitive and when they play good teams, I don't

996
00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:37,440
Speaker 3: think they're gonna be as bad as people perceived. Eagles

997
00:47:37,520 --> 00:47:39,880
Speaker 3: last year are a totally different team. They were fully healthy,

998
00:47:39,960 --> 00:47:42,280
Speaker 3: They had a ton of really good veterans. This Eagles

999
00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:43,920
Speaker 3: team has a lot of young starters and they have

1000
00:47:43,960 --> 00:47:45,880
Speaker 3: a lot of injuries to this team that couldn't really

1001
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:50,560
Speaker 3: afford injuries. So yeah, I'm pissed, it's I'm pissed it's

1002
00:47:50,560 --> 00:47:52,719
Speaker 3: blow six, but it's still making my assignment, says I.

1003
00:47:52,800 --> 00:47:55,120
Speaker 3: Just I love the Bucks in the spot against an

1004
00:47:55,120 --> 00:47:58,080
Speaker 3: overvalued Eagles team that everyone's gonna betting this one. It

1005
00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:01,520
Speaker 3: feels like just just what happened on Sunday Nay with

1006
00:48:01,560 --> 00:48:04,000
Speaker 3: that Miami team where the public got the right they

1007
00:48:04,080 --> 00:48:06,160
Speaker 3: hit that one, but you know they're not always gonna

1008
00:48:06,160 --> 00:48:07,480
Speaker 3: get it right, just like we learned last night with

1009
00:48:07,520 --> 00:48:09,960
Speaker 3: the Browns, Like they're stupid things that happen in these games.

1010
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:12,080
Speaker 2: And it feels like that's what is this Bucks number.

1011
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:15,040
Speaker 3: It's like the public is still thinking of this Eagles

1012
00:48:15,040 --> 00:48:17,239
Speaker 3: team as this team they were last year, and even

1013
00:48:17,280 --> 00:48:18,800
Speaker 3: you were chat you were texting me about it, like

1014
00:48:18,840 --> 00:48:21,520
Speaker 3: this Eagles offense something doesn't look right about this offense.

1015
00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:23,160
Speaker 3: This ain't the team you can run for two hundred

1016
00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:24,920
Speaker 3: yards on. The Bucks are not the team you can

1017
00:48:25,000 --> 00:48:26,640
Speaker 3: just run for two hundred yards against.

1018
00:48:26,680 --> 00:48:28,880
Speaker 2: They have a really good run defense. So love this

1019
00:48:28,960 --> 00:48:30,000
Speaker 2: number for this Bucks team.

1020
00:48:30,239 --> 00:48:33,640
Speaker 1: All right? All right? I was actually thinking you would say,

1021
00:48:33,960 --> 00:48:37,000
Speaker 1: because the line is steaming towards the Eagles, because the

1022
00:48:37,000 --> 00:48:39,400
Speaker 1: wise guys have been coming in on the Bucks, do

1023
00:48:39,520 --> 00:48:41,879
Speaker 1: we just keep waiting until this gets low enough when

1024
00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:42,640
Speaker 1: we take the Eagles.

1025
00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:45,359
Speaker 3: I don't think I'll get down to three. That's where

1026
00:48:45,400 --> 00:48:47,839
Speaker 3: my break appoint would be. I had this game at four,

1027
00:48:48,239 --> 00:48:49,879
Speaker 3: so I have the number that should be at four.

1028
00:48:50,640 --> 00:48:52,640
Speaker 3: So it would take a lot for me to want

1029
00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:54,319
Speaker 3: to take the Eagles here just because I do.

1030
00:48:54,440 --> 00:48:56,040
Speaker 2: I do hate this spot for this Eagles team.

1031
00:48:56,040 --> 00:48:58,840
Speaker 3: It's just everything about this game stinks of a trap

1032
00:48:58,880 --> 00:48:59,920
Speaker 3: game for the Eagles.

1033
00:49:00,360 --> 00:49:04,239
Speaker 1: Listen Sunday night. I'm begging you, if you listen to

1034
00:49:04,280 --> 00:49:07,880
Speaker 1: this podcast on Tuesday and Thursday and you're not listening Sunday,

1035
00:49:08,680 --> 00:49:11,800
Speaker 1: then you're only getting sixty six percent of the value.

1036
00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:15,600
Speaker 1: And we are about value. On the Favorites podcast Sunday Night,

1037
00:49:16,000 --> 00:49:18,480
Speaker 1: we said take the Rams plus six and a half

1038
00:49:18,760 --> 00:49:22,040
Speaker 1: against the Bengals. This line is now two and a half.

1039
00:49:22,440 --> 00:49:26,080
Speaker 1: Questions about Joe Burrow's health, both short term and potentially

1040
00:49:26,120 --> 00:49:31,080
Speaker 1: long term. The Rams have looked good. They're no name offense,

1041
00:49:31,560 --> 00:49:33,759
Speaker 1: They've got a rookie receiver whose odds are now like

1042
00:49:34,160 --> 00:49:36,439
Speaker 1: six to one to win offensive Rookie of the Year.

1043
00:49:37,719 --> 00:49:39,800
Speaker 1: Are we staying away from this until we get more intel?

1044
00:49:39,920 --> 00:49:42,560
Speaker 1: Like at this number, you know, there's not real value

1045
00:49:42,600 --> 00:49:43,400
Speaker 1: for us.

1046
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:44,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, you missed it.

1047
00:49:44,800 --> 00:49:46,600
Speaker 3: I mean we gave out six and a half and

1048
00:49:46,640 --> 00:49:48,279
Speaker 3: then I reposted the video and I think it was

1049
00:49:48,320 --> 00:49:49,920
Speaker 3: still three and a half. You could have got that

1050
00:49:50,040 --> 00:49:52,080
Speaker 3: number on the Rams too, and now it's down to two,

1051
00:49:52,600 --> 00:49:54,719
Speaker 3: which is kind of a hedge by the books because

1052
00:49:54,719 --> 00:49:56,279
Speaker 3: I don't think they know either, because if he was

1053
00:49:56,320 --> 00:49:58,920
Speaker 3: officially out, we probably would have heard from media and

1054
00:49:58,960 --> 00:50:00,680
Speaker 3: this number would just be ad a pay like this

1055
00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:03,680
Speaker 3: to me would be either Pick or Rams minus one,

1056
00:50:05,440 --> 00:50:08,320
Speaker 3: and then the value is probably gonna shift to the Bengals.

1057
00:50:08,400 --> 00:50:10,680
Speaker 3: Especially if you got that early number six and a

1058
00:50:10,680 --> 00:50:12,120
Speaker 3: half on the Rams. It's like, how do you not

1059
00:50:12,200 --> 00:50:14,879
Speaker 3: take the other side and try to hit the middle. So, yeah,

1060
00:50:14,920 --> 00:50:17,879
Speaker 3: the Rams. It's a great feeling where like I'll get

1061
00:50:17,920 --> 00:50:20,359
Speaker 3: a lot of stupid shit wrong in the preseason. But

1062
00:50:20,400 --> 00:50:23,000
Speaker 3: the Rams, I just for months kept saying myself, like,

1063
00:50:23,040 --> 00:50:24,960
Speaker 3: this team isn't going to be bad as perceived by

1064
00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:27,080
Speaker 3: the public. They were in that four nine ers game.

1065
00:50:27,160 --> 00:50:28,920
Speaker 3: I mean that it was right there for them to

1066
00:50:29,000 --> 00:50:33,239
Speaker 3: steal that game. Stafford threw his first pick and like

1067
00:50:33,320 --> 00:50:35,520
Speaker 3: a year and a half and that kind of flipped

1068
00:50:35,520 --> 00:50:39,080
Speaker 3: the game. So say what you want about McVeigh, Like

1069
00:50:39,640 --> 00:50:41,879
Speaker 3: I knew he would love these this kind of team

1070
00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:45,239
Speaker 3: and coaching them up, and he's really embraced I mean,

1071
00:50:45,920 --> 00:50:48,840
Speaker 3: cam Akers whatever he said. He's like, let's see if

1072
00:50:48,840 --> 00:50:51,359
Speaker 3: get rid of this guy, I'll have a different running back.

1073
00:50:51,360 --> 00:50:54,080
Speaker 3: Like I don't want any of these people that just

1074
00:50:54,080 --> 00:50:57,560
Speaker 3: aren't with us on this journey. And you know, it

1075
00:50:57,640 --> 00:50:59,440
Speaker 3: might have been a complaint about touches, whatever it was.

1076
00:51:00,280 --> 00:51:02,960
Speaker 3: I love the Rams mentality of no, you're not even

1077
00:51:03,000 --> 00:51:05,359
Speaker 3: gonna dress like you're gone, Like they they literally didn't

1078
00:51:05,400 --> 00:51:07,680
Speaker 3: let him come to the game last week and didn't matter.

1079
00:51:07,719 --> 00:51:10,440
Speaker 3: Like that kid Williams looks like a good running back

1080
00:51:10,480 --> 00:51:15,040
Speaker 3: for them. So yeah, this this RAMS team, this faceless team,

1081
00:51:15,080 --> 00:51:17,959
Speaker 3: Like Chad said, we loved the number. That's what sucks

1082
00:51:18,000 --> 00:51:19,520
Speaker 3: so much is this was going to be a play

1083
00:51:19,680 --> 00:51:22,000
Speaker 3: at six and a half for sure, and I was

1084
00:51:22,040 --> 00:51:24,120
Speaker 3: like the public was going to come in on this

1085
00:51:24,160 --> 00:51:26,040
Speaker 3: Bengals team in a get right spot and it was

1086
00:51:26,080 --> 00:51:28,919
Speaker 3: going to be great taking this Rams team. And now, yeah,

1087
00:51:28,920 --> 00:51:30,480
Speaker 3: if this, if it is Joe out and it's their

1088
00:51:30,520 --> 00:51:33,319
Speaker 3: backup quarterback, probably gonna end up on the Bengals at

1089
00:51:33,360 --> 00:51:36,600
Speaker 3: minus you know, or a plus one plus two at home.

1090
00:51:37,239 --> 00:51:39,120
Speaker 3: The Bengals just starting as bad as they've looked. I

1091
00:51:39,120 --> 00:51:40,280
Speaker 3: think it's more on Joe Burrow.

1092
00:51:40,400 --> 00:51:40,600
Speaker 2: Joe.

1093
00:51:40,680 --> 00:51:43,360
Speaker 3: Joe's the one that just hasn't looked right. So Bengals

1094
00:51:43,400 --> 00:51:45,000
Speaker 3: defense might not be as good as they've been this

1095
00:51:45,040 --> 00:51:46,840
Speaker 3: past couple of years. That's fair to say too. Like

1096
00:51:46,840 --> 00:51:49,840
Speaker 3: they've struggled these first two weeks, but they went up

1097
00:51:49,840 --> 00:51:52,560
Speaker 3: against a divisional foe in the Browns and then the Ravens.

1098
00:51:52,600 --> 00:51:55,400
Speaker 3: Like that's a really hard stop start for that defense.

1099
00:51:55,440 --> 00:51:58,120
Speaker 3: So right right there with you, Chad, where it's like

1100
00:51:58,560 --> 00:52:00,000
Speaker 3: we wanted to be on the Rams. Now we're gonn

1101
00:52:00,000 --> 00:52:01,520
Speaker 3: and probably be on on the Bengals.

1102
00:52:01,719 --> 00:52:05,360
Speaker 1: Let me summarize here exec decision Denver Broncos plus seven,

1103
00:52:05,600 --> 00:52:09,319
Speaker 1: Simon says, Bucks plus five and a half games we've

1104
00:52:09,360 --> 00:52:13,640
Speaker 1: circled that we're feeling fairly confident that we'll talk about

1105
00:52:13,719 --> 00:52:20,120
Speaker 1: again on Thursday, that our contest leans right now. It's ugly, folks,

1106
00:52:20,600 --> 00:52:24,600
Speaker 1: it's ugly Texans eight and a half, Pats minus three

1107
00:52:25,880 --> 00:52:28,640
Speaker 1: could be Cards plus twelve and a half could be

1108
00:52:28,640 --> 00:52:32,120
Speaker 1: Bears plus twelve and a half Las Vegas. Simon felt

1109
00:52:32,160 --> 00:52:35,040
Speaker 1: really strongly about that one and a half Bucks plus

1110
00:52:35,040 --> 00:52:38,239
Speaker 1: five and a half, Denver plus seven I should say

1111
00:52:38,280 --> 00:52:40,839
Speaker 1: as well. So things will change over the next forty

1112
00:52:40,840 --> 00:52:43,319
Speaker 1: eight hours based on this podcast. Lines will move. But

1113
00:52:44,000 --> 00:52:46,640
Speaker 1: those are some of the conversations we'll pick up on

1114
00:52:46,680 --> 00:52:49,960
Speaker 1: Thursday when we do Foxhole, Big Balls, Sharp Calls, all

1115
00:52:50,000 --> 00:52:53,000
Speaker 1: the good stuff. As a reminder, the Favorites podcast is

1116
00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:55,719
Speaker 1: presented by Bet three six five. Bet three six five

1117
00:52:55,840 --> 00:52:59,000
Speaker 1: doesn't do ordinary. They believe that every sport should be epic,

1118
00:52:59,040 --> 00:53:02,279
Speaker 1: every touchdown, every year, every point, every play, from the

1119
00:53:02,320 --> 00:53:04,960
Speaker 1: moments that are legendary to the ones that fly under

1120
00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:07,560
Speaker 1: the radar. See for yourself when you sign up today

1121
00:53:07,560 --> 00:53:09,680
Speaker 1: with Code Action and you'll get three hundred and sixty

1122
00:53:09,680 --> 00:53:12,239
Speaker 1: five dollars in bonus bets when you bet just one

1123
00:53:12,280 --> 00:53:15,360
Speaker 1: dollar whatever the sport, whatever the moment, It's never ordinary.

1124
00:53:15,400 --> 00:53:18,160
Speaker 1: At bet three sixty five, must be twenty one or older.

1125
00:53:18,320 --> 00:53:22,560
Speaker 1: Must be present in Colorado, Iowa, New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia.

1126
00:53:22,680 --> 00:53:24,360
Speaker 1: If you or someone you know as a gambling problem

1127
00:53:24,440 --> 00:53:28,520
Speaker 1: wants help, call one eight hundred Gambler in Colorado, New Jersey, Ohio,

1128
00:53:28,560 --> 00:53:31,480
Speaker 1: and Virginia or one eight hundred bets Off in Iowa.

1129
00:53:31,920 --> 00:53:35,000
Speaker 1: Terms and conditions apply. Catch our next episode of The

1130
00:53:35,000 --> 00:53:39,040
Speaker 1: Favorites live on AMP or the Action Network YouTube page

1131
00:53:39,400 --> 00:53:44,600
Speaker 1: this Thursday, eleven am Eastern. Download us from Spotify, Apple Podcasts,

1132
00:53:44,600 --> 00:53:47,600
Speaker 1: wherever you get your pod rate, review, subscribe, leap us

1133
00:53:47,640 --> 00:53:50,960
Speaker 1: five stars, say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift

1134
00:53:51,400 --> 00:54:04,280
Speaker 1: until Thursday at eleven am Eastern. Love You. Action Network

1135
00:54:04,320 --> 00:54:08,400
Speaker 1: reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you

1136
00:54:08,480 --> 00:54:11,640
Speaker 1: care about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty

1137
00:54:11,680 --> 00:54:13,880
Speaker 1: four seven at one eight hundred Gambler