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Speaker 1: The volume The Colin Cowherd Podcast, brought to you by

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Speaker 1: Fan Duel. It's never been easier to play fantasy on

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Speaker 1: Fan Duel. Whether you love basketball, golf, soccer, or any

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Speaker 1: fantasy sport, there is a contest for every fan. Fan

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Speaker 1: Duel more ways to win, all right, everybody, Chad Milman,

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Speaker 1: what we're gonna do now? Going forward? On every Friday,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna have my eight favorite bets in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: I will whittle it down to five for my Blazing Five,

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Speaker 1: which will be on later today on The Herd on

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Speaker 1: FS one and iHeartRadio and Chad Milman will come in.

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Speaker 1: We'll talk about my eight favorite bets. Then I'll whittle

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Speaker 1: them down for the TV and radio show. But as always,

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Speaker 1: it's Friday, Fake questions, real answers. I have questions I

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Speaker 1: want to answer. I don't want to wait for you

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Speaker 1: to ask the questions. Here we go, Dear Colin, harder

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Speaker 1: to bet the first week of the regular season or

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Speaker 1: the last? Well, I've always thought the first week of

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Speaker 1: the regular season is the most difficult week to bet.

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Speaker 1: Now it's even more difficult because almost nobody plays starters

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Speaker 1: in the preseason, so you don't really get even a

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Speaker 1: single half of preseason football ones versus ones. You also

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Speaker 1: have in Week one, new coaches, new coordinators, rookie quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: throw in COVID, which is seemingly every other week a

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Speaker 1: top player gets eliminated due to a COVID protocol last

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Speaker 1: year and I suspect sometimes this year. Week one's always

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Speaker 1: been the toughest week of the year for me to

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Speaker 1: win a football bet year, Colin, what's the one thing

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Speaker 1: that can keep Brady in the Bucks from getting back

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Speaker 1: to the super Bowl. Actually, that's an easy one. Injuries

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Speaker 1: to the interior of Tampa's offensive line. Ali Marpett is

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Speaker 1: a guard. He is a top five guard in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: He really emerged as a staple of the Bucks o

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Speaker 1: line last year. Ryan Jensen is a nasty center, tough

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Speaker 1: as an eight dollar steak. Those are two of the

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Speaker 1: most underrated offensive linemen in the league. They're both interior

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Speaker 1: lineman for the Bucks, and Brady has always struggled not

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Speaker 1: having to step up in the pocket, but having to

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Speaker 1: deal with interior pressure. Jensen mar Pet wildly underrated Buccaneers.

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Speaker 1: Dear Colin, if you had to roll with one of

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Speaker 1: the rookie quarterbacks, right now, who would just start, Well,

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Speaker 1: if you're asking me to roll with talent Trevor Lawrence

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Speaker 1: and Jacksonville, if you're asking me for wins, Mac Jones, Patriots,

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Speaker 1: Listen Zoom was a great stock or in the pandemic

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Speaker 1: for a year. Apple is a great stock for the

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Speaker 1: rest of my life. There's a big difference between what

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Speaker 1: I like now and what I like for fifteen years.

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Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence is the top talent of all these quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: Mac Jones inherits the best situation. I think he has

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Speaker 1: a chance to win ten or twelve games this year.

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Speaker 1: Dear Colin, you see what's going on with a PGA tour.

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Speaker 1: Patrick read liked a bunch of tweets hating on Steve

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Speaker 1: Stricker Brooks Kepka keeps escalating his feud with Bryson Deshambo.

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Speaker 1: Do you like the angry version of the PGA tour? Well,

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Speaker 1: I like personality and I like juice. I mean, Connor

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Speaker 1: McGregor makes UFC cards more fun. Tiger Woods John Daley

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Speaker 1: were juice. When Tiger Woods left the tour, literally there

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Speaker 1: was a golf tournament that folded so golf as a

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Speaker 1: gentleman's game, as long as the bad behavior doesn't leak

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Speaker 1: over and interfere with the play. But let's be honest

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Speaker 1: about this. In certain sports like baseball, we need the Yankees, Dodgers,

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Speaker 1: and Cubs to win. They elevate ratings. And in golf,

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Speaker 1: give me some energy. Dustin Johnson, Brooks, Kepka, Patrick Reid

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Speaker 1: are great for golf. Dear Colin. It's the NFL's opening

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Speaker 1: night on Thursday, Opening Sunday, which brings up a great question. Well,

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Speaker 1: all the questions here, it should be noted, are great.

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Speaker 1: What's your favorite sports day of the year. You know,

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Speaker 1: I gave this some thought. I do love Sunday night,

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Speaker 1: the unveiling of the brackets for college basketball. I still

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Speaker 1: love that, absolutely love it. I love the first day

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Speaker 1: of the World Cup. I think it's great. First day

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Speaker 1: of the World Cup. I'm sitting in front of a TV.

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Speaker 1: I'm watching eight hours the world's best soccer. But I

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Speaker 1: think the Sunday that we have both the AFC and

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Speaker 1: NFC Championships in the same day, the four best football

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Speaker 1: teams last year, Bucks, Packers, Bills, Chiefs, that has become

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Speaker 1: to me the best sports day of the year in America.

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Speaker 1: All Right, My eight favorite picks of the NFL week.

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Speaker 1: Chad Millman, chief content officer the Action Network. Let's bring

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Speaker 1: him in, all right, Chad, We're gonna do this every Friday.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you my eight favorite games of the week.

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Speaker 1: I will not whittle him to five until the Herd tomorrow,

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Speaker 1: the Blazing five. But I will give you every week

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Speaker 1: an Action Network pick of the week. So I don't

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Speaker 1: even want to waste time. I want to get right

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Speaker 1: to that. You're ready, I'm ready. So this is a game.

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Speaker 1: I am flexible, not physically but mentally. I am willing

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Speaker 1: to move off anything. I am loyal to what's right right,

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Speaker 1: like getting it right. That's my loyalty. So initially I

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Speaker 1: like the Jets plus five, and then something happened. So

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Speaker 1: we know the weakness of Carolina right now is their

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Speaker 1: old line outside of right tackle. It's a weak unit.

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Speaker 1: Good right tackle, weak unit. We know the strength of

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Speaker 1: the Jets is their defensive line and mostly their front seven.

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Speaker 1: But over the last two and a half weeks, the

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Speaker 1: Jets have lost their best pass rusher, an interior lineman,

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Speaker 1: and their top linebacker, so that front seven is not

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Speaker 1: as deep and isn't as good. So now, because I

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Speaker 1: really looked at this game as the Jets defensive line

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Speaker 1: would really monopolize the conversation. When the game was over,

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Speaker 1: we would talk about how Carolina Darnell just couldn't get

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Speaker 1: anything going. Now I get an experienced coach, revenge from

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Speaker 1: a more experienced quarterback, and the Jets now have the

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Speaker 1: young coach the rookie quarterback, and their number one unit

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Speaker 1: has been somewhat limited or marginalized. I'm gonna take Carolina

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Speaker 1: to win by a touchdown here. I would not have

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Speaker 1: done this three weeks ago, but I'm gonna take Carolina

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Speaker 1: twenty seven, twenty at home, Matt Rule, Sam Darnold, those weapons,

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Speaker 1: take a lead, and hold on to win. That's my

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Speaker 1: Action Network pick of the week. So judge away. This

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Speaker 1: is the first regular season podcast we are doing. If

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Speaker 1: you make picks this smart and sharp for the rest

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Speaker 1: of the year, I don't even know that you'll need

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Speaker 1: me on because you will be saying everything that is

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Speaker 1: right every single time. Because Colin, at first, I was

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Speaker 1: worried you were going with the Jets. We had talked

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Speaker 1: about the Jets. I knew you had to lead towards

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Speaker 1: the Jets and It has been uncomfortable for me the

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Speaker 1: whole time because I've heard other people talk about the Jets.

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Speaker 1: And here's what's interesting about this game. This game opened

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Speaker 1: at Panthers minus four. It got that up to four

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Speaker 1: and a half, It got that up to five. Gap

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Speaker 1: it up to five and a half, right, and so

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Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, everybody was coming in on

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Speaker 1: the Jets. All the wise guys. I know they were like,

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Speaker 1: I guess I gotta bet the Jets now because they

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Speaker 1: had this game lined at about like Panthers like maybe

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Speaker 1: four and a half, right, so they saw the four.

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Speaker 1: They were getting the number they wanted. Now it's back

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Speaker 1: down to four. The Panthers are the right side of

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Speaker 1: this number one. You just said it. First year coach

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Speaker 1: Robert Sala, first year quarterback Zach Wilson, Matt Rule is

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Speaker 1: a very good coach. This defense improved during the offseason.

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Speaker 1: This is a game where you want to be on

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Speaker 1: the home side, a short home favorite. One hundred percent

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Speaker 1: agree with you on this. You are sharp. Way to go,

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Speaker 1: all right, thank you? I feel good about that. All right, Now,

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Speaker 1: let's go with Mike, because that'll be I will say this,

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Speaker 1: that's going to be one of my blazing five picks.

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Speaker 1: That's the one I'll give away. That's going to be

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Speaker 1: one of them. And I have switched sides over the

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Speaker 1: last three weeks. I am adaptable. That's the key to

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Speaker 1: being a really good better. Be loyal to the number.

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Speaker 1: Don't be loyal to the team. Don't be loyal to

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Speaker 1: your first opinion. Don't be loyal recency bias. Be loyal

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Speaker 1: to the number or loyal to recent information. An injury,

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Speaker 1: I mean Baltimore this morning. Baltimore Ravens offense is not

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Speaker 1: the same offense. If these injuries keep piling up, it's

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Speaker 1: not the same team. Be ready, be ready to jump.

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Speaker 1: Steelers Bills is a game. I'm I like the Steelers side.

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Speaker 1: I do worry that Matt Canada is mostly a college

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Speaker 1: coordinator now moving to the NFL, and an offensive line

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Speaker 1: that's in transition and a rookie running back Nauji Harris.

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Speaker 1: But I think this game is going to be low scoring.

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Speaker 1: First of all, I think Buffalo was addressed their primary

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Speaker 1: weakness defensive front. Let's not forget when the Steelers defense

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Speaker 1: was healthy, it was a fource last year. Don't take

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Speaker 1: their last five games they had lost multiple players. I

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Speaker 1: think it's a team that was a proud organization Pittsburgh

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Speaker 1: that was humiliated by the way they ended. This is

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Speaker 1: still a roster with eight or nine elite players. I'm

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Speaker 1: going to take the points with Pittsburgh, and I generally

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Speaker 1: my rule is if you're going to take the points,

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Speaker 1: take them to win. I'm not following my rule here.

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Speaker 1: I like Buffalo to win. But I gotta tell you,

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Speaker 1: I think this game has played overwhelmingly between the twenties.

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Speaker 1: I think that's a lot of field goals. I don't

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Speaker 1: think we see a lot of touchdowns. And I like

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh in the points. Dude, Honest to god, I don't

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Speaker 1: know what's gotten into you, because because I feel like

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Speaker 1: I'm talking to you professional better right now, Steelers on

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Speaker 1: the right side in this game. This is a classic

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Speaker 1: pros joe game. Right now, all the money, sixty six

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Speaker 1: percent of the money. I'm looking at the Action Network

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Speaker 1: app right now. Sixty six percent of the money. Money

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Speaker 1: is an indicator of where professional betters are. Usually sixty

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Speaker 1: six percent of the money coming in on the Steelers,

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Speaker 1: sixty six percent of the bets coming in on the bills.

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Speaker 1: That tells you when there's that kind of money bet

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Speaker 1: ticket discrepancy that tells you it's a prose Joe's game.

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Speaker 1: Also a lot of things we're going to talk about

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Speaker 1: when it comes to trying to handicap teams is about

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Speaker 1: what does the market feel about that team, And we're

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Speaker 1: going to talk about that a lot with a lot

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Speaker 1: of these picks all season long. The Bills couldn't be

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Speaker 1: more overhyped. This is the team that beat the Patriots

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Speaker 1: last year to win the division. This is the team

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Speaker 1: that everyone thinks will win the division this year. This

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Speaker 1: is a team that everyone thinks can be a contender

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Speaker 1: against the Chiefs to win the conference. Is a team

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Speaker 1: with Josh Allen, who got the big deal that everyone

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Speaker 1: thinks is the second coming of the greatest quarterback in

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Speaker 1: Buffalo history. You have to play against the hype when

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Speaker 1: you're getting this many points with a good defense and

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Speaker 1: a coach in Mike Tomlin, who when he is a

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Speaker 1: favorite against bad teams is terrible. The record proves it.

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Speaker 1: When he is an underdog against good teams, that's when

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Speaker 1: he shines. You have all of the sort of anecdotal

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Speaker 1: data in your direction, and you have the marketing conditions

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Speaker 1: in your direction. I love the Steelers plus six and

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Speaker 1: a half. I did take a piece of the Steelers

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Speaker 1: at about plus two fifty on the money line to

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Speaker 1: win the game outright, and and I did a couple

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Speaker 1: like underdog money line parlays that include the Steelers. All right,

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Speaker 1: So I so now you're just now you're just toying

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Speaker 1: with people, I really am. Yeah. Okay, so let's go

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Speaker 1: Falcons hosting the Eagles. What's the line right now in

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Speaker 1: the Action Network? Thank god, thank god, you're finally going

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Speaker 1: with a game that has challenge jan Right now, it

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Speaker 1: looks like the Falcons are three point favorites over the Eagles. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to take Atlanta. And again, I have not

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Speaker 1: picked an Atlanta game correctly in thirty seven years, So

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Speaker 1: this is bad for me. But I have a belief

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Speaker 1: that Matt Ryan is always as good as his coordinator.

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Speaker 1: And I think Archer Smith leaving Tennessee is bad bad

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Speaker 1: news for Ryan Tannehill eventually, and I think it's good news.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if he'll be a great coach, but

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Speaker 1: it'll be a hands on head coach with Matt Ryan.

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Speaker 1: First year, he's going to implement the system He's going

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Speaker 1: to be very, very hands on first year. I think

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Speaker 1: Arthur Smith is a not a good but a great coordinator.

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Speaker 1: He may be as good as anybody not named Josh

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Speaker 1: McDaniels as an offensive coordinator. Calvin Ridley has now become

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Speaker 1: a top five six receiver. Kyle Pitt's offensive line grades

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Speaker 1: fairly high ten twelve in the league. I get Matt

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Speaker 1: Ryan against Jalen Hurts. That feels like a mismatch to me.

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Speaker 1: I do like Philadelphia's tight end group and their young

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Speaker 1: receivers look like they could be hits. But nobody covers

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Speaker 1: tight ends worse in the NFC than Philly and Atlanta's

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Speaker 1: got Kyle Pitts. I'm going to take them to cover

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Speaker 1: by six seven points. Atlanta, I feel like you took

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Speaker 1: a step back on this one, and in the first

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Speaker 1: two games you were spot on in playing the number.

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Speaker 1: You were flexible this game. There is no value in

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Speaker 1: the point spread. It is too underwhelming underperforming teams. Atlanta

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Speaker 1: is a three point favorite, which means that bookmakers are

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Speaker 1: essentially saying on a neutral field they're even because home

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Speaker 1: field is worth three points. And I don't think I

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Speaker 1: don't think it's a very good matchup for Atlanta. The

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Speaker 1: strength of Philadelphia right now is their offensive line and

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Speaker 1: their defensive line. That is where they have most of

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Speaker 1: their talent. And their defensive line is incredibly good. That

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Speaker 1: is a real challenge for a team like Atlanta that

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Speaker 1: is not very good in the trenches at all. Specifically,

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Speaker 1: think about Arthur Smith Matt Ryan. This is going to

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Speaker 1: be a passing offense. The Eagles are very good at

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Speaker 1: Russian the passer, and it is going to be really

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Speaker 1: challenging for Atlanta to keep them away from Matt Ryan.

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Speaker 1: And they've improved their secondary. So now you've got a

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Speaker 1: front seven that is already good and they've improved the

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Speaker 1: secondary just by virtue of getting healthier against last year.

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Speaker 1: And I want to give credit to Jalen Hurts. There's

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Speaker 1: a lot of conversations about Jalen Hurts right and everyone's saying, oh,

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Speaker 1: he can't throw the ball, he's not accurate. This is

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Speaker 1: where Betters distinguished themselves from fans. They don't just say, okay,

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Speaker 1: fifty two percent completion accuracy, whatever it was. They look

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Speaker 1: at every game. He was great in his first game,

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Speaker 1: he threw for a lot of yards. In his next

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Speaker 1: two games. He had one bed game. In the last

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Speaker 1: game of the year against the Washington football team, he

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Speaker 1: went seven for twenty. Everybody plays badly against that defense

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Speaker 1: that from four is historically good. They are under they're

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Speaker 1: all under twenty six. They are going to be amazing.

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Speaker 1: So I am not going to be And by the way,

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Speaker 1: the Falcons defense, they will be blitzing a lot. Their

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Speaker 1: new defensive cointer DMPs who knew Arthur Smith when they

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Speaker 1: were in Tennessee. They're gonna be blitzing a lot. If

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Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts can handle anything, it's being mobile, getting out

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Speaker 1: of the pocket, running against the blitz. So I think

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Speaker 1: it's a bad matchup for the Falcons. I like Philly here,

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Speaker 1: and if you're looking to play to follow your theory

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Speaker 1: of playing a team that you want to take a

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00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:45,800
Speaker 1: little taste of them winning. If they're the underdog, I

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Speaker 1: think Philly could win this game. Well that's the way

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Speaker 1: you see it. Yep. The NFL is back, baby, and

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00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:03,440
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Speaker 1: New customers get forty to one odds when you place

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Speaker 1: your first wage or on any team to win. So

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Speaker 1: my forty to one bet for Sunday's games Carolina minus

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00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:21,719
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Speaker 1: one hundredambl dot net in West Virginia. All right, Seahawks, Colts,

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Speaker 1: Now the Colts. This line's gone three, two and a half.

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Speaker 1: What's the current line? Seattle minus three? All right, so

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Speaker 1: it's at the number. Yes, it's at the number. But

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Speaker 1: so to me, this is a game. Pick the team

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Speaker 1: you think's gonna win. I think Seattle's gonna win. I

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Speaker 1: worry about the COVID situation with one of the most

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Speaker 1: unvaccinated rosters ye Carson Wentz missed time with an injury

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00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:36,520
Speaker 1: and time due to the COVID protocols. The offensive line

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00:18:36,600 --> 00:18:39,920
Speaker 1: has some questions. Eric Fisher is more of a finger

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Speaker 1: cross than he is at this point as an outstanding

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Speaker 1: left tackle. I also think a lot of the receivers

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Speaker 1: I like are young, and I think this team is

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Speaker 1: going to be better in October and November than September.

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Speaker 1: Remember last year with Philip Rivers, they lost their opener

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Speaker 1: to the jag So new core back Frank Reich doesn't

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Speaker 1: have the simplest system. I would pick Seattle to win

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Speaker 1: this game. It's not one of my stronger plays, but generally,

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Speaker 1: if a line is three or under, I just go.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet the team I think I'll win. Seattle

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00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:18,800
Speaker 1: tends to travel very well. Why is that there's one

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Speaker 1: or two things? This is why Alabama's as good on

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Speaker 1: the road as they are at home. One thing oways

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00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:27,440
Speaker 1: travels well physicality. Efficiency doesn't. You can get bad weather

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Speaker 1: and Lambeau. You can't audible as well. Efficiency doesn't travel

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Speaker 1: physicality does. Pete Carroll likes physical offensive football. Seattle travels well.

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Speaker 1: They have kind of a very redeemable Eastern time so

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Speaker 1: I think it's the best West Coast team in the

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Speaker 1: Eastern time zone. I'm gonna take Seattle. This win. Seattle

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Speaker 1: like twenty eight twenty four Seattle twenty eight twenty three

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Speaker 1: if I had to bet it. I don't love this game.

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Speaker 1: I don't love this number. I think there's a lot

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Speaker 1: of things that feel like a trap. T Y Hilton injured.

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Speaker 1: You mentioned a line challenged. There are some COVID issues

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Speaker 1: with this team and worries because of the vaccination status

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Speaker 1: for a lot of players. And I actually love the

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Speaker 1: overall value for Seattle in their division. I think it's

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Speaker 1: going to be a dogfight of a division. I think

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Speaker 1: Seattle has the ability and sort of the temperament and

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Speaker 1: the skill set to bounce back in their division. I

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00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,679
Speaker 1: think things are going their way there. I don't like

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Speaker 1: the betting metrics, so as a better I like to

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Speaker 1: see how many tickets, how many betting tickets are coming

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Speaker 1: in on a road favorite, and when that number starts

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Speaker 1: to creep up into the seventies seventy percent, which it

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Speaker 1: is for the Seattle Seahawks, they're about seventy three percent

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Speaker 1: of the betting tickets are coming in as a favorite. Historically,

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Speaker 1: that is a bad side to be on. And also,

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Speaker 1: I already was leaning towards the Colts in this spot

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Speaker 1: because of their status as a home underdog and the

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Speaker 1: what you talk about physicality, I'm going to throw it

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Speaker 1: back at your face. The Colts run defense is top

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Speaker 1: three in the league. And so if we're talking about

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Speaker 1: physicality and we're talking about what Seattle might want to

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Speaker 1: do with the ball, then that's playing to the strength

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Speaker 1: of the Colts in one area where they are able

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Speaker 1: to be at full strength. So I get why you're

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Speaker 1: doing it. I just don't agree with it. All right,

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Speaker 1: Chargers at the Washington football team, what's the current Action

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Speaker 1: Network number? This line has moved. I know just today

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Speaker 1: the Washington football team had been an underdog in this game.

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Speaker 1: It's Thursday afternoon, late Thursday afternoon in the East coast.

358
00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:44,560
Speaker 1: Washington football team had been a plus one. They are

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Speaker 1: now minus one and a half point favorites. Okay, well,

360
00:21:48,920 --> 00:21:53,600
Speaker 1: I got the Washington football team as an underdog. So

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Speaker 1: here's my belief on this. I think the charter is

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Speaker 1: going to be really good. I'm not sure they're going

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Speaker 1: to be really good here. I've got a new coach

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00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 1: and a revamped offensive line. You know, sometimes you can

365
00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 1: really tell a coach is good, but you can't tell

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Speaker 1: for a couple of years later. And I'll give you

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Speaker 1: an example. So Ron Rivera walks into Washington and creates

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Speaker 1: a culture with some real limitations overnight. Dwayne Haskins was

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Speaker 1: a disaster and they become a playoff team, and they

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Speaker 1: give the Bucks trouble with Taylor Heineke. And then you

371
00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:37,760
Speaker 1: start watching Cam's ineffectiveness and the fact that he has

372
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Speaker 1: no market as a backup or as a starter, and

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Speaker 1: you think Ron Rivera won a lot of games the

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Speaker 1: last three years with Cam, and he was bad, And

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, we don't mention Ron Rivera among

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Speaker 1: the great coaches, and you start looking at it thinking

377
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Speaker 1: this guy's winning games with Dwayne Haskins, Taylor Heineke, and

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Speaker 1: the old beat up Cam who has no market. And

379
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Speaker 1: so I don't know if the Chargers guy's a good coach,

380
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:11,639
Speaker 1: but I think Ron Rivera, it's becoming very clear, is

381
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Speaker 1: a culture setter and is really good. I have them

382
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Speaker 1: winning their division. I also think this is a matchup problem.

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Speaker 1: Four first round picks Washington's front line against three news

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Speaker 1: starters for the Chargers, all of which I like. They've

385
00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:30,719
Speaker 1: never taken a regular season snap. Also, I think by

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00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:34,439
Speaker 1: adding Curtis Samuel, my question about this team wasn't running

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00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 1: They ran the ball pretty effectively. My question was do

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Speaker 1: they have some juice on the outside Now they've got

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Speaker 1: two receivers. I like, I'm going to take Washington to

390
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Speaker 1: win this game outright again. By November, the Chargers may

391
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:52,320
Speaker 1: be a superior team and they may be a top

392
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Speaker 1: five team in the league. Sunday, I think Washingtons better

393
00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:59,960
Speaker 1: football team. I take them to win one hundred percent. Agree,

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00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:04,000
Speaker 1: no joke with everything, every single thing that you just said.

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00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:10,159
Speaker 1: Can't say anything else. What's interesting about Ron Riveras. I

396
00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:12,800
Speaker 1: agree with you. I thought the most interesting thing he

397
00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:16,879
Speaker 1: did last year was benching Dwayne Haskins and saying, I

398
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 1: think this team has a chance to win the division.

399
00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:22,199
Speaker 1: You don't get that many opportunities in professional football. I

400
00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:24,080
Speaker 1: want to do what's best for the team right now.

401
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:26,720
Speaker 1: And I think in that moment he won the team

402
00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 1: and you understood why he had done so well in Carolina.

403
00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:35,359
Speaker 1: It was amazing. Yeah, sometimes it takes me time to

404
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:39,520
Speaker 1: get it right, but I started Washington cam last year

405
00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 1: in Washington, like Rivera is good, he's a good coat. Yeah,

406
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:46,920
Speaker 1: I feel like I have a theory that you could

407
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:51,040
Speaker 1: buy into. There are certain teams that they are in

408
00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:55,760
Speaker 1: the NFL, but they will never capture the imagination of

409
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Speaker 1: the public. And a lot of them are situated in

410
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:02,159
Speaker 1: the Southeast, and because of that, they will the people

411
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:04,520
Speaker 1: on those teams and the coaches on those teams will

412
00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:07,760
Speaker 1: never get that legendary mythical status that they would get

413
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Speaker 1: if they coach somewhere else. Ron Rivera is a perfect

414
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 1: example of that. Teams like the Bucks, the Jags, the Panthers,

415
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Speaker 1: the Titans, no one is ever going to buy into

416
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Speaker 1: those teams as national teams. Right, You're never going to

417
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:23,240
Speaker 1: really see passionate fan bases around the country for those teams,

418
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:27,080
Speaker 1: and that diminishes the value and what the teams and

419
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Speaker 1: the players and the coaches do. And Ron River is

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00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:32,040
Speaker 1: a perfect example that put them on a legendary team

421
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Speaker 1: like the Washington football team. He's a genius in Carolina.

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Speaker 1: He's a guy who seemed to manage a team really well.

423
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Speaker 1: All right, I like Kansas City over the Browns for

424
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:45,680
Speaker 1: obvious reasons. What's the current number. It's moved a little

425
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:47,639
Speaker 1: five and a half. It's moved, and this is a

426
00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:50,359
Speaker 1: great bet by you. It's moved from six and a

427
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:53,280
Speaker 1: half Chiefs Chiefs minus six and a half to Chiefs

428
00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:56,520
Speaker 1: minus five and a half. Okay, it's pretty simple. Best

429
00:25:56,520 --> 00:26:02,159
Speaker 1: September coach in a decade, defensive team, seven new starters. Again,

430
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:06,399
Speaker 1: check it in two months. It's different. Week one. Kansas

431
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:10,119
Speaker 1: City's clearly the better team. Sunday. I like them to

432
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:14,920
Speaker 1: win by about eight to ten. This feels like such

433
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 1: a no brainer. And I don't understand why this number

434
00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:22,040
Speaker 1: is moving in the direction of the Browns, and I

435
00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:24,560
Speaker 1: honestly wonder because a lot of times this happens in

436
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:30,040
Speaker 1: professional betting. The wise guys play the bookmakers. They will

437
00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:32,760
Speaker 1: pound a side where they think they can move the

438
00:26:32,840 --> 00:26:36,040
Speaker 1: number only because they want to bet the other side

439
00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 1: on Sunday, and the Browns are getting pounded. That's why

440
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:42,520
Speaker 1: the number is moving. And the Browns hype train has

441
00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:46,360
Speaker 1: been ridiculous for months because they were Super Bowl. Their

442
00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:49,000
Speaker 1: Super Bowl ods were in the mid twenties. By the

443
00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:52,399
Speaker 1: time the season is opening, they're in the high teens,

444
00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:56,240
Speaker 1: mid teens. Too much money, too much enthusiasm for the

445
00:26:56,240 --> 00:27:03,720
Speaker 1: Browns against one of the greatest offensive juggernauts in NFL history. Okay,

446
00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:07,840
Speaker 1: Lions plus seven and a half hosting the Niners. As

447
00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:10,480
Speaker 1: we've talked about before, bad teams don't know they're bad

448
00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:14,240
Speaker 1: until about week three or four. We have seen this.

449
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:18,199
Speaker 1: Jacksonville last year beat the Colts in Week one, the

450
00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:22,960
Speaker 1: coaches talking about biting kneecaps in Detroit. And Dan Campbell's

451
00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:25,320
Speaker 1: very much a high energy he's a motivator. He's not

452
00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:28,200
Speaker 1: a schematic genius. He's a motivator. He's an alpha, he's

453
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:32,280
Speaker 1: a guy's guy. He's got them believing in themselves. They're

454
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:36,440
Speaker 1: gonna play over there over themselves. And I think their

455
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:38,879
Speaker 1: offensive line is one of the strengths of the team.

456
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:41,480
Speaker 1: And I think they can keep the Niners pass rush

457
00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:45,920
Speaker 1: at Bay. Also, Jimmy Garoppolo, he didn't get every snap

458
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:51,880
Speaker 1: with the first team. You know, Jimmy Garoppolo. Remember when

459
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:54,720
Speaker 1: Lebron early in his career would lose his confidence in

460
00:27:54,760 --> 00:27:57,120
Speaker 1: his jump shot. And this is a really important thing

461
00:27:57,119 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 1: in Lebron's career. Lebron never liked playing with a big

462
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:04,120
Speaker 1: that clogged the lane. Here's why it hasn't been until

463
00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:07,200
Speaker 1: the last two years that Lebron pretty much always has

464
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:10,560
Speaker 1: confidence shooting a three. But early in his career he

465
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:13,840
Speaker 1: would lose total confidence shooting a three. And when he did,

466
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,199
Speaker 1: what would he do for three or four games? He

467
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:19,159
Speaker 1: would go back to scoring at the rim, building his

468
00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 1: confidence up. That's why he needed Chris Bosh and Kevin

469
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:24,840
Speaker 1: Love get out of there. Don't clogg the lane up

470
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:28,280
Speaker 1: and have your defensive big sitting at the rim. So

471
00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:32,480
Speaker 1: Lebron's always asked his bigs, even Anthony Davis, get out

472
00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:38,080
Speaker 1: of the lane. Same thing with Jimmy Garoppolo. Three things

473
00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:44,560
Speaker 1: kill a quarterback's confidence. Injuries. Check, your coach loses confidence

474
00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:48,120
Speaker 1: in you quickly, check and they draft your replacement. Check.

475
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:54,480
Speaker 1: This is a very fragile Jimmy Garoppolo Bad series or two.

476
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:57,920
Speaker 1: I watched it in the preseason. He loses confidence so

477
00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 1: fast now and I think Detroit will ugly it up

478
00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:04,680
Speaker 1: and I'm going to take the seven and a half

479
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:13,440
Speaker 1: and the home Lions. Love, love, love this pick. Sometimes

480
00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:16,760
Speaker 1: betting is gross and you have to do dirty things.

481
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:22,040
Speaker 1: And taking the Lions in Week one, this is bringing

482
00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:25,400
Speaker 1: together all the lessons that we've talked about today. Go

483
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:29,840
Speaker 1: against the public, go against the hype, dig into the details,

484
00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:37,080
Speaker 1: understand precedent, understand the market. Seventy six percent of the

485
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:40,200
Speaker 1: bets right now are coming in on the San Francisco

486
00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:42,840
Speaker 1: forty nine ers. Oh is that the highest in the league.

487
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:46,760
Speaker 1: That is pretty close right now to the highest And

488
00:29:46,760 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 1: what that is a big numbers that number right now,

489
00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:53,400
Speaker 1: that actually is I'm looking at it right now. Seventy

490
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:57,040
Speaker 1: six percent and the Niners. By the way, here's another

491
00:29:57,040 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 1: one to think about seventy percent of the Vikings as

492
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:03,520
Speaker 1: road favorites against the Bengals. I don't love it, but

493
00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:06,800
Speaker 1: it's another. I want to think about seventy three percent

494
00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:10,640
Speaker 1: on the Seahawks as road favorites against the Colts. So

495
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,480
Speaker 1: those are those are your numbers? In the seventies right now,

496
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:20,160
Speaker 1: all three on road favorites. Like to me, that's when

497
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:24,160
Speaker 1: you start thinking about your money line parlays, Right, That's

498
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:27,960
Speaker 1: when you put the Bagels, the Colts, and the Lions

499
00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 1: in a parlay and say, all right, this is going

500
00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:32,280
Speaker 1: to pay off at huge odds if they all win.

501
00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:34,960
Speaker 1: And sometimes that happens. Right, You put a little bit

502
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:38,400
Speaker 1: of a taste on that, But one hundred percent agree

503
00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:41,440
Speaker 1: with you on the Lions, the forty nine ers. Forget

504
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 1: about Jimmy Garoppolo. There's just too much hype on a

505
00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:46,080
Speaker 1: team that hasn't had a great camp, that has a

506
00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:49,880
Speaker 1: lot of question marks that I think there are confidence issues.

507
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:52,760
Speaker 1: And if there is one game where the Lions can

508
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:55,880
Speaker 1: come out strong, it's this game at home with a

509
00:30:55,960 --> 00:31:01,240
Speaker 1: good offensive line and an opportunity to keep it close. Finally,

510
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:03,120
Speaker 1: I'm going to take the Bears plus seven and a

511
00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:07,640
Speaker 1: half at the Rams. Now, again, we don't know anything

512
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:11,320
Speaker 1: about the Rams. They're running game, which really spearheads the offense.

513
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,840
Speaker 1: Ver McVay will not be as good Sony Michelle's solid.

514
00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:16,640
Speaker 1: He's not cam Akers maybe close, but he's not. They

515
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:20,120
Speaker 1: also don't have their second power back. He was traded

516
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:23,480
Speaker 1: off season to Miami, so the running attack is not

517
00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:27,640
Speaker 1: as good as it was a year ago. The other

518
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:30,600
Speaker 1: thing is Matt Naggie is an Andy Reid protege. They're

519
00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:34,040
Speaker 1: both great in September. They're play designers. That's why Reid

520
00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:37,280
Speaker 1: was attracted to Naggie. That's probably Naggie's strength. If you

521
00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 1: go back to Mitch Trubisky's playoff the years, how he

522
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:44,400
Speaker 1: was very good at developing plays. Trubisky wasn't a great quarterback.

523
00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:47,240
Speaker 1: Some people don't like Matt Naggie's in game play calling,

524
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:51,920
Speaker 1: but his play designs pretty clever. My feeling here is

525
00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:54,800
Speaker 1: he's going to unveil some stuff with justin fields. It's

526
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:58,240
Speaker 1: going to catch the Rams a little off guard. Also,

527
00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 1: the Rams don't have a great earth. The Bears don't

528
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:03,800
Speaker 1: have a great deal of offensive depth, but they do

529
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:07,720
Speaker 1: have interesting players. The tight end from Notre Dame Cole

530
00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:12,680
Speaker 1: commet Alan Robinson. They have two backs I like Montgomery especially.

531
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:15,320
Speaker 1: They don't have a ton of depth, they're thin, They've

532
00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:18,280
Speaker 1: not been drafted particularly well. I don't love the GM,

533
00:32:18,320 --> 00:32:22,480
Speaker 1: but their front line offensive players are pretty good, and

534
00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 1: if Robinson's healthy, commets healthy Montgomery's healthy, they can score enough,

535
00:32:29,120 --> 00:32:33,360
Speaker 1: they can move the ball. Let's also be careful about

536
00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:37,680
Speaker 1: Andy Dalton. Dak Prescott should have been owen four to

537
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:40,280
Speaker 1: start last year if not for recovering an on sidekick

538
00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 1: against Atlanta. Okay, Andy Dalton. He won the game that

539
00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 1: he replaced Dak. I think it was the New York Giants.

540
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,760
Speaker 1: I think he won four or five other games. Andy

541
00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:53,400
Speaker 1: Dalton has generally been about as good as his weapons.

542
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 1: Chicago's frontline weapons not bad. Matt Stafford's first start, don't

543
00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:01,960
Speaker 1: know if they win. I'll take the Bears plus seven

544
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,840
Speaker 1: and a half. So a couple of things. One I

545
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,960
Speaker 1: fact checked myself. There is one other game that has

546
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:12,760
Speaker 1: a massive discrepancy in betting tickets. The Los Angeles Rams

547
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:16,280
Speaker 1: have eighty four percent of the betting tickets right now. Okay,

548
00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:18,120
Speaker 1: so I love the Bears. Now, so now you love

549
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:22,760
Speaker 1: the Bears. This is there's no I think the Bears

550
00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:25,440
Speaker 1: are the right side only because of the hook. Right

551
00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:27,440
Speaker 1: seven and a half. You call the half point the

552
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:31,000
Speaker 1: hook because I do think it's about a it should

553
00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 1: be about a touchdown, and so you're getting a little

554
00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:37,280
Speaker 1: bit of value on the Bears. I think the Bears

555
00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:41,120
Speaker 1: defense is improved. I think that the Rams defense is

556
00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:44,800
Speaker 1: so good they can pretty much shut down the Bears weapons.

557
00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:47,960
Speaker 1: I'm not a buyer in Montgomery yet because I feel

558
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:50,000
Speaker 1: like his best games were at the end of the

559
00:33:50,080 --> 00:33:52,600
Speaker 1: year when their schedule is really good, and so he's

560
00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 1: getting one of those bounces this year where he's being

561
00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 1: talked about a fantasy guy, and I think he has

562
00:33:56,920 --> 00:34:02,080
Speaker 1: yet to prove it in the really challenging games. I

563
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:04,360
Speaker 1: can't hate it because I think it's the right side,

564
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:08,279
Speaker 1: but it's not going to be for me a play

565
00:34:08,360 --> 00:34:10,680
Speaker 1: where I'm like, yeah, this should be a top five

566
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:14,200
Speaker 1: pick for Colin, all right, we haven't talked about a

567
00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:18,240
Speaker 1: game that that should be. That is even more discussing

568
00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:23,719
Speaker 1: than the Lions the Texans. You are on your own

569
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:27,960
Speaker 1: island on this one. That is. First of all they have.

570
00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:30,960
Speaker 1: They appear to be tanking. So they traded their best corner,

571
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:33,040
Speaker 1: who had the best camp, and their best pass rusher

572
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:36,160
Speaker 1: in the last two weeks. I think they're tanking. They

573
00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:38,520
Speaker 1: want one of those first two picks. I swear to god,

574
00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:42,520
Speaker 1: this has happened about twice in ten years. I think

575
00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:46,120
Speaker 1: they brought the GM down from Philip from New England.

576
00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:51,120
Speaker 1: So you know he's manipulative. He strategizes. Nothing's happening by mistake.

577
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:53,799
Speaker 1: You don't think it's crazy. In the last two weeks

578
00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:56,640
Speaker 1: they've gotten rid of their two most talented defensive players arguably,

579
00:34:56,960 --> 00:34:59,640
Speaker 1: and that weird. It's totally weird. But at the end

580
00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:01,680
Speaker 1: of the day, you've got a veteran quarterback who's won

581
00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:06,480
Speaker 1: before at home against a rookie quarterback and a rookie

582
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:09,440
Speaker 1: coach who has been having a lot of problem adjusting

583
00:35:09,640 --> 00:35:13,200
Speaker 1: and communicating with his team. The Jacksonville Jaguar should not

584
00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 1: be favored against anybody on the road. That's it. That's

585
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:19,560
Speaker 1: what you're buying Forget about anything else. You're buying the

586
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:21,640
Speaker 1: fact a bat team, this batch should not be favored

587
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:25,200
Speaker 1: on the road. That's it, all right, But I'm fine

588
00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:27,839
Speaker 1: to be on my own. That's what professionals do. I

589
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:29,520
Speaker 1: have a gift for you. It's where we go. I

590
00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:32,080
Speaker 1: have a gift. What's the gift? Me and Simon Hunter,

591
00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:34,160
Speaker 1: my co host on The Favorites, he's a professional better

592
00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:37,920
Speaker 1: the Favorites and the Volume podcast network. We have given

593
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:42,040
Speaker 1: you an entry into a survivor pool. You and I

594
00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:46,239
Speaker 1: are going to choose one one team to win, and

595
00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:48,120
Speaker 1: you are. We're gonna We're gonna do our best for you.

596
00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:51,080
Speaker 1: So what you and me are on the same team, Well,

597
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:53,439
Speaker 1: you're on your own team. But I want to help

598
00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:55,239
Speaker 1: you get there. I want to help you win. I

599
00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:57,280
Speaker 1: want to help you win a lot of money. So

600
00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:01,480
Speaker 1: I need to get your survivor pool pick. It's a

601
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:03,680
Speaker 1: gift from me and Simon to you from making us

602
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:06,279
Speaker 1: a part of the Volume podcast network. I mean because

603
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:07,799
Speaker 1: I do think the Rams will beat the Bears, but

604
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:12,839
Speaker 1: I like the number. By the way, I will tell

605
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:15,320
Speaker 1: you right now, Simon and I we took the Rams

606
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:17,360
Speaker 1: even though we agree with you. Okay, I'll take the Rams,

607
00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:19,800
Speaker 1: all right, take the Rams. I think Chicago's going to

608
00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:23,360
Speaker 1: keep it close. I like the number with Chicago, but

609
00:36:23,480 --> 00:36:26,880
Speaker 1: I don't like them winning. That's value betting, right there's

610
00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:29,880
Speaker 1: but a lot of people will listen to this and go, whoa,

611
00:36:30,080 --> 00:36:32,680
Speaker 1: it's one of your best bets. No, I have eight

612
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:36,640
Speaker 1: games that were churn ons for me. I'm only picking five.

613
00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:39,000
Speaker 1: I don't love all of these now, I told you

614
00:36:39,040 --> 00:36:44,279
Speaker 1: I don't. Atlanta, Philadelphia. I talked to myself into it.

615
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:49,440
Speaker 1: Don't love it. Remember last year, it was funny a

616
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:52,680
Speaker 1: lot of survivor pools. Jags beat the Colts, knocked out

617
00:36:52,680 --> 00:36:57,279
Speaker 1: about thirty percent of the people. Remember the year before that,

618
00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:00,040
Speaker 1: the Saints lost their home opener against somebody crap, I

619
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:03,799
Speaker 1: forget who it was. The Saints lost their home open

620
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:05,640
Speaker 1: a couple of years ago. That was my survivor pick.

621
00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:08,480
Speaker 1: It knocked like fifty percent of us out. Yeah, there's

622
00:37:08,520 --> 00:37:12,279
Speaker 1: always a staggering upset in Week one every year. A

623
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:17,759
Speaker 1: jaw dropper. I'm very curious to see where you end

624
00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:20,160
Speaker 1: up with your five because I think he had a

625
00:37:20,200 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 1: couple of games in there. The Colts, the Rams in Atlanta,

626
00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:28,640
Speaker 1: that are tough ones to really get confident about. For you,

627
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:33,640
Speaker 1: for me, For me, I like I like the number

628
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:38,000
Speaker 1: was Chicago. I like the hook. It's a good defense.

629
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:41,440
Speaker 1: It was when if Khalil Mack plays to his level,

630
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:44,640
Speaker 1: which he didn't last year. No, it's gonna be a

631
00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:49,360
Speaker 1: tough block for Whitworth, smaller, faster player. I think it's interesting.

632
00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:53,799
Speaker 1: I think it's an interesting matchup for a new quarterback

633
00:37:53,800 --> 00:37:59,640
Speaker 1: with a new system. The Rams play no starters, none

634
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:02,440
Speaker 1: in the preseason, and now you face one of the

635
00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:05,960
Speaker 1: most physical defenses in week one. I think the Rams

636
00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:09,319
Speaker 1: it's going to be a chunky, clunky start. I think

637
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:11,440
Speaker 1: in the second half they have better players. They have

638
00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 1: they have more consistent performers offensively, but I think it

639
00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:17,160
Speaker 1: could be a really ugly first half of the Rams offense.

640
00:38:18,480 --> 00:38:21,040
Speaker 1: I'm hoping collectively, Colin, that you and I don't get

641
00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 1: off to eight chunky clunky started with our pilder weird words.

642
00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:26,080
Speaker 1: The other word I don't like is you know another

643
00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:29,600
Speaker 1: word I don't like. Moist. It's not a bad word. Yeah,

644
00:38:29,680 --> 00:38:33,600
Speaker 1: nobody likes nobody. Nobody likes it. Sometimes you say words

645
00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:36,200
Speaker 1: over and over, like say the word batch over and

646
00:38:36,239 --> 00:38:38,320
Speaker 1: over and it starts to not even mean anything anymore.

647
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:44,840
Speaker 1: Batch batch, batch, batch, batch of picks. It's not a

648
00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:48,080
Speaker 1: good word. By the way, I just got texted the

649
00:38:48,200 --> 00:38:51,480
Speaker 1: Saints lost to the Bucks in Fitzpatrick Week one, twenty nineteen.

650
00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:54,160
Speaker 1: At home. That was the game Knock Me out of

651
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:56,920
Speaker 1: My suicide whatever you call them, that's right. What do

652
00:38:56,960 --> 00:39:00,120
Speaker 1: you call it now, survivor pool, that's more PC survivor. Well,

653
00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:02,600
Speaker 1: you can call it a suicide pool, survibr pool, suicide pool,

654
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:05,040
Speaker 1: and nobody likes moist. If you're in the middle of

655
00:39:05,080 --> 00:39:09,520
Speaker 1: a conversation. At any point it's an important like commerce

656
00:39:09,760 --> 00:39:13,919
Speaker 1: driving conversation, and you just blurt out moist, you will

657
00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:17,160
Speaker 1: lose the deal. Read Hastings at Netflix will walk away

658
00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:20,719
Speaker 1: from the table in two seconds. Well here's the problem. Though,

659
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:24,279
Speaker 1: I don't like sugar. I'm a pretty healthy eater, but

660
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:27,200
Speaker 1: I love cake. And my kid made one of these

661
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:31,080
Speaker 1: Duncan Hinds cakes last week and I started eating it

662
00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:34,440
Speaker 1: and it was so moist. Except when I was eating it.

663
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:37,320
Speaker 1: I was like sitting with my kids and my wife,

664
00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:39,280
Speaker 1: and I wanted to say, this cake is so moist,

665
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:40,879
Speaker 1: but I hate the words so much I didn't want

666
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:43,319
Speaker 1: to say it out loud. Well, that's a batch of

667
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:48,640
Speaker 1: picks from us today, men, not chunky and clunky talk.

668
00:39:48,680 --> 00:39:52,759
Speaker 1: Anybody see anybody? All right? That was Chad Milman at

669
00:39:52,800 --> 00:39:56,200
Speaker 1: the Volume Sports follow us, Twitter, Instagram, rate Review, subscribe.

670
00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:58,719
Speaker 1: Also have the YouTube channel We're Kicking. But I hope

671
00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 1: you're noticing two big announcements next month. So much fun.

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00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:35,240
Speaker 1: The Volume