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Speaker 1: Welcome in What's Driving the Cred Episode three sixty eight.

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Speaker 1: This episode, as always, is brought to you by our

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Speaker 1: friends at boost Mobile. Also straight to voicemail is brought

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Speaker 1: to you by our friends at boost Mobile. But nothing

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Speaker 1: goes straight to voicemail during our gambling show, which is

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Speaker 1: what this is Deman's. It is Friday for the listeners.

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Speaker 1: It is Thursday for you and I, which means listen.

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Speaker 1: Part of the difficulty of this show is we're firing

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Speaker 1: into weekend lines with incomplete information, which is what makes

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Speaker 1: your teaser record so exceptional. My lifetime record on this

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Speaker 1: show pretty damn good. Last year was quite good. This year, listen,

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Speaker 1: six and four is sixty percent. You take that every

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Speaker 1: day of the week five and five one game difference

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Speaker 1: just feels awful. And I gotta tell you though, some

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Speaker 1: weeks I go four and one and feel like I

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Speaker 1: got lucky. This past week I went to two and

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Speaker 1: three and feel like I got historically screwed. So we

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Speaker 1: can go through the and reminder, all our lines are

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Speaker 1: friend from our friends at hard Rock Bet Demonsey. We

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Speaker 1: can go through the picks from one.

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Speaker 2: Could have gotten screwed on Miami though, and like you

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Speaker 2: that one. That one came out. Jacksonville screwed.

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Speaker 1: Listen, Miami. The only way I would let me go

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Speaker 1: through it because last week I went two and three,

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Speaker 1: but in my heart I went four and one. The

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Speaker 1: only way I could have gotten screwed on Miami was

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Speaker 1: a push and that thing when you know Miami could

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Speaker 1: have won the game by one, I was getting a

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Speaker 1: point I'm talking about late in the game. Miami had

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Speaker 1: the ball down six, but I had New England plus one.

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Speaker 1: I have Jacksonville plus three against Cincinnati in a game

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Speaker 1: Burrow gets hurt. And then here's the reason this one

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Speaker 1: is so painful. It's multifold one is I actually think

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Speaker 1: Liam Cohen's decision up three late late in the game

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Speaker 1: at the eight yard line to go four a fourth

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Speaker 1: and five instead of kicking the field goal to go

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Speaker 1: up six is the correct decision. I think that was smart.

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Speaker 1: But no coach does that. And if he just kicks

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Speaker 1: the field goal, my cover is locked. I'm getting three points.

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Speaker 1: Even if they drive the field. He does the rare

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Speaker 1: really smart, analytically sound thing. And then even despite that

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Speaker 1: we got him in fourth down, they throw an in

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Speaker 1: completion expertly covered by Travis Hunter pass interference keeps him

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Speaker 1: alive and Cincinnati ends up winning the game by four.

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Speaker 1: That was painful. Cardinals Panthers was a true nightmare they like.

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Speaker 1: Cardinals are up twenty seven to three late in the

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Speaker 1: third quarter. They're then up twenty seven to nine in

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Speaker 1: the fourth in the red zone and Kyler throws one

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Speaker 1: of the most inexplicable just up for grabs balls anyone's

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Speaker 1: thrown all year. You're up eighteen points late in midway

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Speaker 1: through the fourth. The Panthers drive down and score a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: Now it's twenty five seventeen. The Cardinals go three and out,

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Speaker 1: taking thirty seconds off the clock. The Panthers drive down

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Speaker 1: and score another touchdown and then getting on sidekick, Kams

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Speaker 1: won the game out right. That was horrifying. Kent City

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Speaker 1: plus one against Philly, it is what it is. I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna know sour grapes there, but it feels like

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Speaker 1: Kelsey gets the ball to win that. And Atlanta plus

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Speaker 1: four and a half against Minnesota was never a doubter.

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Speaker 1: I'm just sick. I am just sick about the two

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Speaker 1: and three weekend. But it's five and five on the year.

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Speaker 1: You on the other hand, and we'll get to your

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Speaker 1: teaser for this week and a bit. But you had

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Speaker 1: Tampa getting ten and a half they won out right,

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Speaker 1: the Jacks, the Jags getting eleven they could have won outright,

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Speaker 1: and Philly getting seven. They never trailed by more than

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Speaker 1: three the entire game. That was a plus work by you,

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Speaker 1: as you're now two to zero in your teasers on

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Speaker 1: and Virginia. All right, games of the weekend that were

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Speaker 1: not playing. Obviously, by the time you guys hear this,

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Speaker 1: Miami Buffalo Buffalo by twelve will have already been played.

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Speaker 1: Jets Tampa Demons. Tampa's laying six and a half. This

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Speaker 1: was going to be one of my bets, but the

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Speaker 1: Bucks are now potentially down three starting offensive linemen. I

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Speaker 1: can't lay almost a touchdown without three starting offensive line,

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Speaker 1: especially when Tampa's They've been but it's been close late,

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Speaker 1: you might, right, so you might say, why not jump

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Speaker 1: on the Jets backup quarterback team hasn't looked good. That's

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Speaker 1: a stay away. Houston at Jacksonville. I gotta take a

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Speaker 1: break on the Jags. The Texans offenses look like a mess.

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Speaker 1: Jags are favored by two. It is worth noting Demond's

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Speaker 1: a last year. The Texans started oh in two, had

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Speaker 1: a Week three game against Jacksonville that kind of turned

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Speaker 1: to their season around a bit. I don't know that.

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Speaker 1: I think that's gonna happen again, but I'm staying away

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Speaker 1: from it. Rams at Philly. I do think the Rams

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Speaker 1: can win this game and getting three, so obviously I

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Speaker 1: would be on the plus three side of things. However,

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Speaker 1: it's hard to bet against Philadelphia right now in Philadelphia

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Speaker 1: only getting three points, and so it just doesn't feel

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Speaker 1: like there's value there. I'll stay away there. Pittsburgh got

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Speaker 1: New England, Pittsburgh laying a point and a half on

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Speaker 1: the road. I just got no idea who's who in

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Speaker 1: this game? Wow, Yeah, I think beating them.

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Speaker 2: How come I just think they're gonna I think the

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Speaker 2: team with Aaron Rodgers' comments, I already think he's on

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Speaker 2: the downward slope with like how it feels about the

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Speaker 2: team just after the last week. Wow, in New England,

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Speaker 2: like they're showing some continuity.

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Speaker 1: I think, yeah, Okay, all right, So Demonsay's on the

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Speaker 1: record he likes New England to win out right there.

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Speaker 1: I hope you're right. I picked New England make the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati at Minnesota, Minnesota's favorite by three backup quarterback game

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Speaker 1: Jake Brown and Carson Wentz did no reason to bet

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Speaker 1: that game. Vegas at Washington, Listen, if this is one

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Speaker 1: of the downsides to us doing the show on Thursday,

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Speaker 1: we don't yet know if Jaden's officially out. If Jaden

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Speaker 1: were out, I'd like the Raiders getting the points, but

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Speaker 1: the number would probably move. We don't know their so

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Speaker 1: we're staying away because I just think Washington, the whole

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Speaker 1: plane is built out of Jaden Daniels, and so I

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Speaker 1: just don't think they're gonna be able to be very

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Speaker 1: competitive without him. Uh Las, Vegas, I'm sorry. New Orleans

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Speaker 1: at Seattle. Seattle laying seven and a half, this will

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Speaker 1: be a very popular survivor pick. New Orleans has been

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Speaker 1: oddly frisky on back door covering or back door cover adjacent.

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Speaker 1: That's a stay away. Dallas at Chicago minus one again,

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Speaker 1: you don't trust either defense there. That to me's a

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Speaker 1: stay away. It looks like you like Dallas there Demons' yeah.

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Speaker 2: I would love minus one. Uh yeah, whatever're saying. Caylee

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Speaker 2: dak Prescott over Caleb Williams. You jumped ship on Caleb.

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Speaker 1: Well, listen, I'm not jumping ship. I'm just I'm taking

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Speaker 1: a break. Arizona at San Francisco, San Francisco, Lang two

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Speaker 1: and a half. We don't know who's playing quarterback at

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Speaker 1: the moment, so you can't bet that game. And I

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Speaker 1: know you all expected me to have the Chiefs minus

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Speaker 1: six at the Giants because I'm so confident they're going

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Speaker 1: to win. I don't know if it's gonna be pretty.

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Speaker 1: I just believe they're gonna win. Survive in advance, get

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Speaker 1: a win, get on the board. Also this year thus far,

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Speaker 1: I don't don't usually have the Chiefs in my picks

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Speaker 1: this year. I'm five and three betting the rest of

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Speaker 1: the NFL. On this show, I'm zero and two betting

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs on TV. I'm three and one for the

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Speaker 1: rest of the NFL. Oher and two on the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: Taking a break from the Chiefs this week. All right, Deman,

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Speaker 1: say that leaves five games. Here are the five games

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Speaker 1: we are rolling with this weekend. Give me the first one.

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Speaker 2: Got a bigger favorite here, green Bay minus seven and

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Speaker 2: a half at Cleveland.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so I think Green Bay is gonna annihilate the Browns.

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Speaker 1: I do not mind laying more than a touchdown on

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Speaker 1: the road. The I think Micah Parsons chasing down Joe

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Speaker 1: Flaco is terrifying for Cleveland. Matt Lafleur eight and one

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Speaker 1: in September in true road games against the spread. The

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Speaker 1: money oddly has come in on Cleveland. It doesn't scare me.

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Speaker 1: I think this was almost ten earlier in the week.

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Speaker 1: I understand that historically home dogs of more than a

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Speaker 1: touchdown in the beginning part of the season are unbelievable

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Speaker 1: against the spread. The producer telling me eighteen one and

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Speaker 1: two over the last three years in the first half

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Speaker 1: of the season, so that trend says this is a

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Speaker 1: super square bet. I understand this might appear to be

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Speaker 1: a square bet. I also just flatly believe that this

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Speaker 1: is a game Cleveland is going to struggle to break

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Speaker 1: fourteen points, and so I think I think green Bay

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Speaker 1: can get to the mid twenties. I don't mind laying

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Speaker 1: the touchdown and a half. I also don't look at

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Speaker 1: Cleveland as a big backdoor cover team, and I think

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Speaker 1: if you get down to the Packers and they can

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Speaker 1: unleash that pass rush, you're in trouble.

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Speaker 2: Next, you've got the Colts at plus three and a

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Speaker 2: half at Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: Yes, So no, no, no, that's no, no, no, I have

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Speaker 1: that that's incorrect. I have. I have Tennessee plus three

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Speaker 1: and a half at home against Andy. So Tennessee's been

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Speaker 1: really bad. I understand that the Colts have looked awesome.

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Speaker 1: I understand that Tennessee is not quite as bad as

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Speaker 1: they've looked. Indy is not nearly as good as they've looked.

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Speaker 1: And as I've said throughout the week, there are a

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Speaker 1: lot of twenty twenty four Saints vibes I'm getting from

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Speaker 1: this Colts team. Oh who saw this? Oh my good?

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Speaker 1: Look look at at this high flying offense resurgence of

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Speaker 1: Derek Carr. New Orleans followed that two and oh start

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Speaker 1: up with seven consecutive losses. They scored forty seven and

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Speaker 1: forty four, and then twelve, twenty four, thirteen in their

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Speaker 1: next three, twenty seven in a fifty one to twenty

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Speaker 1: seven loss, and then ten and eight in the next

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Speaker 1: two games. I think this is a game Tennessee at

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Speaker 1: home can win outright. I also think that if Indy

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Speaker 1: does win, I don't think this is a blowout, and

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Speaker 1: Tennessee obviously will fight to the very last second. So

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Speaker 1: even if they're down ten, I feel alive. I think Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: I'll go out and say, first win of the year,

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Speaker 1: an outright winner, and I'm getting three and a half

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Speaker 1: Tennessee plus three and a half. Yep. Oh.

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Speaker 2: Next next, you've got Atlanta minus five at Carolina.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. So I think Carolina right now is the worst

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Speaker 1: team in the NFL. And and this is critical to me.

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Speaker 1: They just lost two offensive linemen for the year, or

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Speaker 1: at least I don't know for the year. They're on

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Speaker 1: ir maybe they come back later in the year. They

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Speaker 1: lost too offensive linemen for this game. And the one

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Speaker 1: thing that Bryce Young can not abide is bad ole

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Speaker 1: line play. And so I Atlanta had a nice, easy

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Speaker 1: win Sunday night against Minnesota. Carolina to me is absolutely reeling.

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Speaker 1: I understand this is a divisional road favorite, which goes

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Speaker 1: against usually what I like, but I ain't Atlanta. I

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Speaker 1: think Carolina, honest to god, will ruggle to get to

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Speaker 1: double digits in this game. I think Bryce is in real,

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Speaker 1: real trouble. I don't mind laying the five and with

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Speaker 1: and I think you're going to get a heavy dose

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Speaker 1: of b Jon Robinson this week. So I will lay

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Speaker 1: the five points with Atlanta. We've been heavy on underdogs

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Speaker 1: thus far in Knicks picks this year. This week we're

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Speaker 1: going with some favorites. We're going Atlanta, laying the five

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Speaker 1: in Carolina. Next.

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Speaker 2: Next, you got Denver at the chart. You got the

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Speaker 2: Chargers minus two and a half at Denver.

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Speaker 1: I guess at home against Denver. Yeah, yeah, I think

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Speaker 1: the Chargers are a legitimately really good team. I think

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Speaker 1: Denver is not. And it's and now I understand this

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Speaker 1: is kind of a fake home game. The crowd will

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Speaker 1: be mostly Denver. I get that because Denver will travel

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Speaker 1: and the Chargers don't really have home fans, but they

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Speaker 1: still have to travel. And I don't love the Chargers

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Speaker 1: on the shorter week Monday night. But I'm laying less

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Speaker 1: than a field goal. And I think Bo Knicks is

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Speaker 1: going to have just be in hell against that Charger defense.

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Speaker 1: And so this to me is I'm getting the better team,

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Speaker 1: the better quarterback, the better coach. I'm at home, even

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Speaker 1: if it's not much of a home field advantage, a

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Speaker 1: Denver team that suffered an absolute stomach punch loss, and

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Speaker 1: a quarterback who I bet his confidence has rattled. Week one,

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Speaker 1: he played poorly. Week two, he played better until he

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Speaker 1: threw a backbreaking pick. Talking about bow Knicks, I think

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Speaker 1: the Chargers win this game, maybe a good game, maybe

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Speaker 1: just by a field goal, but a field goal covers

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Speaker 1: two and a half or Herbert seven to zero to

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Speaker 1: one against the spread against the AFC West since last

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Speaker 1: season and hardball historically thirteen six and two against the

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Speaker 1: spread in September at three and a half, I'd be squeamish.

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Speaker 1: At two and a half, I love the Chargers. And

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Speaker 1: then my last pick, which you will.

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Speaker 2: Hate, Detroit plus four and a half at Baltimore.

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Speaker 1: If my handicapping of this Demonsey is correct, which is

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Speaker 1: last team with the ball wins, high scoring back and forth.

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Speaker 1: I'm getting more than a field goal in a game

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Speaker 1: that I think Detroit can win. And I do think

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Speaker 1: that the way to get to Detroit is going to

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Speaker 1: be what Green Bay did, which is being able to

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Speaker 1: get Golf off his spot, be able to pressure without

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Speaker 1: sending pressure, and disrupt everything. I don't think Baltimore has

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Speaker 1: the horses for that. Hell, Cleveland moved the ball some

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Speaker 1: on Baltimore. They just couldn't stop turning it over. Buffalo

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Speaker 1: obviously did whatever they wanted on Baltimore, So I'm not

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Speaker 1: picking Detroit to win, but I think they could win.

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Speaker 1: And I'm getting a full four and a half points

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Speaker 1: in a game that could be thirty one, twenty seven,

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Speaker 1: thirty five, thirty one, thirty.

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Speaker 2: One twenty eight pretty similar and correct skill though, And

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Speaker 2: you're getting the four new yes with Detroit.

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Speaker 1: Yeah and so yeah, And I understand Baltimore's at home.

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Speaker 1: I get that Detroit though. Both these teams blew out

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Speaker 1: their previous opponents. I like Detroit plus the four and

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Speaker 1: a half. So my five picks this week green Bay

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Speaker 1: laying seven and a half at Cleveland, Tennessee getting three

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Speaker 1: and a half at home against Indy, Atlanta laying five

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Speaker 1: at Carolina, So I've got two road dogs, the Chargers

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Speaker 1: get laying two and a half at home against Denver,

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Speaker 1: and Detroit getting four and a half at Baltimore. Before

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Speaker 1: we get to Demons's money making teaser, let me remind

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Speaker 1: you guys about my friends at boost Mobile. I ever

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Speaker 1: sign up for phone play, thinking wow, great price, and

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00:18:56,480 --> 00:18:59,280
Speaker 1: then a few months later it's like, surprise, your bill's higher.

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Speaker 1: With boole you paid twenty five dollars a month forever

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Speaker 1: five dollars a month, no price hikes, no contract forever plus.

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Speaker 1: Boost Mobiles now a legit nationwide five G network. They've

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Speaker 1: invested billions building five G towers across the country. Visit

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Speaker 1: boostmobile dot com or head to your local Boost store

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00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:22,399
Speaker 1: today and get unlimited talk, text and data for twenty

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00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:29,720
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00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:32,080
Speaker 1: Customers will pay twenty dollars a month as long as

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00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:36,200
Speaker 1: they remain active on the Boost Unlimited plan. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's get to it. And by the way, just for

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Speaker 1: our producers, just so you guys, well, I'll talk to

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Speaker 1: you guy about it later. Demans's teaser two to zero

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Speaker 1: headed into week three. As we told you last week,

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Speaker 1: he did a three team eight pointer Bucks plus ten

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Speaker 1: and a half, never in doubt, Jacksonville plus eleven, never

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Speaker 1: in doubt, Philly plus seven, Never in doubt. That is

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Speaker 1: a teaser. I believe Demons that was covering every leg

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Speaker 1: of that was covering every second of those three games.

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Speaker 1: I don't think there was one minute of those three

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Speaker 1: games played unless I'm forgetting something in the Bucks game

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Speaker 1: where that teaser was not covering, and so shout out

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Speaker 1: to you pal, that's a that's a really really good one. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm right about that. You were. You were covering every

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Speaker 1: second of those three games. What are we looking at

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Speaker 1: this week?

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Speaker 2: Thank you sir. This week is a three team eight

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Speaker 2: point ta. It was just like last week and probably

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Speaker 2: the first week at plus one hundred, Cincinnati to plus eleven,

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Speaker 2: gonna tease the Rams up to eleven and a half

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Speaker 2: and then Houston up to ten. Yeah, I was I've

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Speaker 2: thought about throwing the Bills or not the Bills. I

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Speaker 2: thought about throwing Miami in there, but that uh, that

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Speaker 2: could get that could get away from them. I'm very

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Speaker 2: confident in these.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Okay, So I do have a question, is just

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Speaker 1: to be fair, are the Rams three and a half

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Speaker 1: point dogs or are they three point dogs? Because if they're,

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Speaker 1: if they're so yesterday, but we've got to go by

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Speaker 1: this moment, so we're we're just adjusting that even if

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Speaker 1: we don't do it graphically, we're you're getting the Rams plus. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I know I knew you wouldn't mind. I just didn't

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Speaker 1: want to have conflict with what I said. The line

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Speaker 1: was what you said. The line was Okay, there we go. Uh.

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Speaker 1: I hope that doesn't screw you, but that's just to

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Speaker 1: be fair for the audience. Love the Rams leg of it,

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Speaker 1: Love Houston's leg of it. Yeah, Houston gotta do something.

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Speaker 1: I think I like Cincinnati's leg. However, I'm a little

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Speaker 1: nervous about Jake Browning against Brian flour or as blitzes

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Speaker 1: I was that.

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Speaker 2: I was just telling Daniel this morning, like, how many

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Speaker 2: teams are going to have a backup quarterback come in

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Speaker 2: a game, throw three picks and lose that game. I

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Speaker 2: think the Jags are on a short list, especially one

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Speaker 2: that you kind of I don't wanst say do you

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Speaker 2: have control over? But oh, you're in the game, you

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Speaker 2: got the lead, Like it's so that does. But I

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Speaker 2: also don't know that Cincinnati's opponent Minnesota. I don't know

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Speaker 2: that Carson Wentz, who's gonna start for them this week

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Speaker 2: and has the ability to blow anybody out. So I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna give this and a B plus only because I'm

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Speaker 2: a little concerned about the Jake Browning against Brian Flores

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Speaker 2: factor and the Daniel's reminding us that when Jake Browning

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Speaker 2: was starting in twenty twenty three, Cincinnati beat the Vikings

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Speaker 2: UH in overtime with J Browning.

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Speaker 1: So that's good. But I really I'm rooting for your

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Speaker 1: teasers now more than I'm rooting for my bets. Like this,

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Speaker 1: this I love. All right, let's get right to the offer,

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Speaker 1: because last week's offer, I don't remember what it was.

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Speaker 1: I remember calling it the worst offer ever, and the

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Speaker 1: producers have confirmed to me it was, in fact the

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Speaker 1: worst offer ever. I don't read. Maybe the producers can

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Speaker 1: put in there what it was. I don't remember, but

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Speaker 1: they've said they've worked very hard to try to get

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Speaker 1: the Oh yeah, it was Bears first half in a

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Speaker 1: game they got annihilated a piece of it, and then

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Speaker 1: the Lions full time like it was just so bad.

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Speaker 1: All right? So here, what's the offer this week?

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Speaker 2: We were talking about a little bit earlier, but quarterbacks

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Speaker 2: playing against Chicago won the Player of the weekend back

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Speaker 2: to back weeks.

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Speaker 1: As we said, this week's.

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Speaker 2: Offer, we're gonna go a deck over one and a

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00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:56,359
Speaker 2: half touchdowns, dak over two hundred and seventy four and

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Speaker 2: a half yards, lamb over seventy nine and a half

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00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:03,440
Speaker 2: yards uh three leg partly at one eight plus twenty

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Speaker 2: eighty five. You could add Dallas to minus one to

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Speaker 2: make it plus three twenty five.

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Speaker 1: God, the last week, guys, we're gonna have to tighten

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Speaker 1: these offers up. I gotta tell you something I actually

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Speaker 1: think that has a decent chance of happening. Yeah, I say,

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Speaker 1: what's the problem. However, however, we are never doing a

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Speaker 1: three leg player prop that only gets us plus one

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Speaker 1: eighty five. It's just not happening. Like the I e U.

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Speaker 1: There is a throw that in throw a eight producers

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Speaker 1: with our new sponsor ahof that like grades and gives

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00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,200
Speaker 1: you thoughts on parlays. Throw that into the h O

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00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:57,040
Speaker 1: f app You use promo code right to get a

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00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:59,160
Speaker 1: little you know free seven days and see what they

401
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:02,600
Speaker 1: tell you about needing DAK to throw for two seventy

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00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:05,879
Speaker 1: five and two touchdowns and CD to get eighty yards

403
00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:09,040
Speaker 1: to just get plus one eighty five. But I'm not

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00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:13,240
Speaker 1: They're like, oh, add CD two touchdowns or plus. No,

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00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:17,840
Speaker 1: we're not doing it, guys. I listen, uh, oh CD

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00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:23,840
Speaker 1: two touchdowns by itself plus five seventy five. What is

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Speaker 1: CD one touchdown that I'm interested in? If CD one touchdown.

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00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:33,920
Speaker 1: Anytime touchdown CD.

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Speaker 2: Like minus oh wait, minus one fifteen?

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Speaker 1: Sorry, not one, all right, I'll do that. CD lamb

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Speaker 1: to score a touchdown minus one fifteen, I'll do that.

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Speaker 1: I don't basic touchdown. Yeah, this is this week's touchdown.

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Speaker 1: We're not doing an offer. We're doing touchdown, Jenny, We're

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Speaker 1: doing CD I am minus one point fifteen. That's what

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Speaker 1: we're doing. All right. Thank you to boost hard rock

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00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:11,560
Speaker 1: volume Blue Duck. Everyone for listening. Uh, good luck to

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00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:15,080
Speaker 1: everyone this weekend, most notably the Chiefs get a win,

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00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:18,480
Speaker 1: stabilize everything. All will be right in the world. Talk

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Speaker 1: to you guys soon. What's right