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Review the 10 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:41,320 Speaker 1: disclosures and disclaimers at CBO dot com slash us underscore disclaimers. 11 00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 3: All right, welcome in What Dright with Nick Wright, Episode 12 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:50,159 Speaker 3: one twenty seven, our Super Bowl gambling show. Now, this 13 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 3: show is going to be released at a different day 14 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 3: than usual, so you guys will be hearing and seeing 15 00:00:56,680 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 3: it earlier in the week than you typically do. All 16 00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:04,160 Speaker 3: full disclosure, we are recording this on Monday. We're doing 17 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:06,319 Speaker 3: that for a number of reasons, not the least of 18 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 3: which is we are traveling to the Super Bowl and 19 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 3: it's gonna be some logistical, you know, potential concerns, so 20 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 3: that we are going to do this without the full 21 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:20,400 Speaker 3: information that you could get at the end of the week. 22 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:23,959 Speaker 3: So take that into account if you are listening to 23 00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 3: this on Friday or Saturday, that we are recording it 24 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:31,160 Speaker 3: on Monday. Here's where we're at on the season so far. 25 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 3: We're just above five hundred. Given the vig we're slight losers. 26 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 3: Money wise, we're fifty seven to fifty three and two 27 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 3: the playoffs we are seven and five. Championship weekend, obviously, 28 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 3: we split that. We talked about it last week. The 29 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 3: fifty to one bet did not come through for US, 30 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 3: as Brockberry's elbow exploded and then Josh Johnson couldn't play, 31 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 3: and then McCaffrey wasn't allowed to play quarterback, and it 32 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 3: was a disaster of a bet. It turned out San 33 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:10,119 Speaker 3: Francisco plus two and a half Kansas City plus one 34 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:14,959 Speaker 3: obviously came through in truly glorious fashion. So we split 35 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:20,360 Speaker 3: last week. This week, there is of course, only one 36 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 3: game to pick. My Kansas City Chiefs are insultingly once 37 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 3: again getting points a point and a half against the 38 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:38,799 Speaker 3: Philadelphia Eagles. This line opened at the Chiefs minus two 39 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 3: and a half, It got bet all the way to 40 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 3: Philly minus two and a half, and it is now 41 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:50,680 Speaker 3: settled at Philly minus one and a half. I believe 42 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 3: the Kansas City Chiefs are going to win. I believe 43 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes is going to do the one thing he 44 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:02,840 Speaker 3: has not done his NFL career, which is have a 45 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:07,360 Speaker 3: start to finish great Super Bowl. And I think this 46 00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 3: Philadelphia defense is going to be exposed a bit on 47 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:18,560 Speaker 3: the back end due to the fact that they have 48 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:24,360 Speaker 3: not played great quarterbacks all year long. So this is 49 00:03:24,440 --> 00:03:28,080 Speaker 3: something we've discussed on the television show throughout the week. 50 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:31,480 Speaker 3: I discussed it a bit on Monday's pod. It is 51 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 3: worth mentioning again that the Philadelphia Eagles, for as dominant 52 00:03:36,480 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 3: as the pass rush has been and as dominant as 53 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 3: the defense has appeared to be, this is what they 54 00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 3: have done this season. They played Jared Goff and the 55 00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:54,240 Speaker 3: Lions scored thirty five points. They played Kirk Cousins. Give 56 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 3: Cousins credit. The Viking I'm sorry, give the Eagles credit. 57 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 3: The Vikings scored seven. Goff and Cousins would be two 58 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 3: of the best quarterbacks they play all year. They then 59 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 3: played the Washington Commanders, who in that game were starting 60 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 3: Carson Wentz. They then played the Jacksonville Jaguars, who had 61 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:18,480 Speaker 3: the Prince who was promised However, in that game, if 62 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:23,719 Speaker 3: you remember, Trevor fumbled the ball four times and lost 63 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:27,599 Speaker 3: all four fumbles. Jack still scored twenty one. They then 64 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 3: played Kyler Murray. They then played Cooper Rush. They then 65 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 3: played I believe it was Kenny Pickett for the Steelers. 66 00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 3: They then played who the hell was playing for the 67 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:45,080 Speaker 3: Texans that game, Davis Mills. They then played the Commanders again. 68 00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:49,160 Speaker 3: At this point, the Commanders were starting Taylor Heineke. They 69 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:54,560 Speaker 3: then played Matt Ryan. They then played Aaron Rodgers. He 70 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 3: scored thirty three points. They then played Daniel Jones, then 71 00:04:59,760 --> 00:05:06,040 Speaker 3: Just Fields, then Dak Prescott. He scored forty points. They 72 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 3: then wrapped the season playing Andy Dalton, Davis Webb, and 73 00:05:11,680 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 3: then in the postseason Daniel Jones and Brock Purty slash 74 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 3: Josh Johnson. So, by my count, the Philadelphia Eagles played 75 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 3: on the season five above average quarterbacks Goff Cousins, Trevor, 76 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 3: Dak Rogers. Dak put up forty, Trevor I'm sorry, Rogers 77 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:42,280 Speaker 3: put up thirty three, Goff put up thirty five. Trevor 78 00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 3: put up twenty one, but turned the ball over five times, 79 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:48,080 Speaker 3: four of which were fumbles, and if you remember, that game, 80 00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 3: they weren't like forced fumbles. He was dropping the football 81 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:56,920 Speaker 3: and then Kirk Cousins put up seven points. My point 82 00:05:57,000 --> 00:06:02,840 Speaker 3: here is, I do not think the Philadelphia Eagles are 83 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 3: ready for the leveling up that playing Patrick Mahomes and 84 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:12,960 Speaker 3: this Chiefs offense is. I do not think the Philadelphia 85 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 3: Eagles were done any favors by the fact that they 86 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 3: now head into the Super Bowl having not played a 87 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:27,720 Speaker 3: good quarterback, forget a great quarterback, a good quarterback since 88 00:06:27,839 --> 00:06:31,159 Speaker 3: Christmas Eve, and that they have not played Oh and 89 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:32,800 Speaker 3: I left out by the way when I was going 90 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:36,360 Speaker 3: through their game, they also played the Titans once. My apologies, 91 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:39,720 Speaker 3: and that was the game. Did Tannehill play the entire game? 92 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 2: There? 93 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:42,600 Speaker 3: Let me make sure no. Tannehill got injured in that game. 94 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:47,120 Speaker 3: Malik Willis came out. But regardless, they have not played 95 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:52,119 Speaker 3: well against an above average quarterback since the Jags game 96 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:56,480 Speaker 3: on October second, and so or I guess you could 97 00:06:56,520 --> 00:07:00,280 Speaker 3: argue Kyler is an above average quarterback. You throw him 98 00:07:00,279 --> 00:07:03,480 Speaker 3: there as well. That was the following week. I think 99 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:08,599 Speaker 3: that for the Eagles, had the bracket fallen a little 100 00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 3: differently for them, yes, they would have had to play 101 00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 3: tougher opponents, or they would have had to play tougher games. 102 00:07:20,240 --> 00:07:22,160 Speaker 3: But if they had been able to get through it, 103 00:07:22,840 --> 00:07:26,760 Speaker 3: they would have also been more prepared. I'm gonna make 104 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:31,880 Speaker 3: another point here that again it speaks to how dominant 105 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:35,040 Speaker 3: the Eagles have been, but I also don't know how 106 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 3: much it prepares them. Fully. The Eagles have not had 107 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:45,080 Speaker 3: to compete for four full quarters in quite some time. 108 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 3: Because they blew out the Giants, because they blew out 109 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:54,200 Speaker 3: the forty nine Ers, those games were laughers. The Chiefs, 110 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:57,679 Speaker 3: on the other hand, just had a sixty minute war 111 00:07:57,760 --> 00:08:04,600 Speaker 3: with Cincinnati and had a game that was not decided 112 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 3: until the final minutes against Jacksonville in part because of 113 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes' injury. So for all those reasons, I think 114 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:15,640 Speaker 3: the Chiefs were battle tested. I think they have played 115 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:19,239 Speaker 3: far tougher opponents. I think they come into this game 116 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:25,720 Speaker 3: ready for everything, and Philadelphia, if the Chiefs offensive line 117 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 3: can hold up just enough, I think the Philadelphia defense 118 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:33,680 Speaker 3: can be had. And then there's the Jalen Hurts part 119 00:08:33,720 --> 00:08:38,560 Speaker 3: of it, which is he has not looked good throwing 120 00:08:38,600 --> 00:08:42,520 Speaker 3: the football since his injury. He keeps telling us he's hurt. 121 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 3: He has thrown for less than two hundred and eighty 122 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:51,600 Speaker 3: yards combined in this postseason, and he's yet to throw 123 00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 3: for one hundred and sixty yards in either of these games. 124 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:58,960 Speaker 3: And he hasn't exactly been a super dynamic runner in 125 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 3: either of these games. Also, keep in mind the one 126 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:07,880 Speaker 3: big passing play Jalen has in these playoffs was an 127 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:13,520 Speaker 3: incompletion that was incorrectly called a completion. Without that play, 128 00:09:14,440 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 3: he's less. He's under two hundred and thirty or two 129 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 3: hundred and forty total passing yards this postseason. So I 130 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 3: like the Chiefs Demons, I know you have some notes 131 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 3: to give me here. 132 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:25,320 Speaker 2: All right. 133 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 4: So as an underdog, Mahomes is seven and one and 134 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 4: one against the spread, six and three. 135 00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 3: Straight up as yeah, so, and I'm trying to remember 136 00:09:34,800 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 3: the three losses as an underdog that it would be Cincinnati, 137 00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 3: Cincinnati for sure, that earlier this year, Buffalo earlier this year, 138 00:09:47,840 --> 00:09:53,079 Speaker 3: and I think the old No. The only other loss 139 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:58,120 Speaker 3: as an underdog I think was his first year starting 140 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 3: when they played New England in twenty eighteen, not in 141 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:06,800 Speaker 3: the playoffs but in the regular season. And the producers 142 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:08,959 Speaker 3: can correct me, but I think those are the three 143 00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:09,760 Speaker 3: go ahead. 144 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:11,960 Speaker 4: So is it more concerning to you that the Chiefs 145 00:10:12,040 --> 00:10:14,480 Speaker 4: have the worst defense so that they have the worst 146 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:15,240 Speaker 4: skill players. 147 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:19,079 Speaker 3: So I think the Chiefs defense right now is a 148 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 3: touch underrated. Now they need to get Lugerius Snead back. 149 00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:27,240 Speaker 3: He's their number one corner. But the Chiefs number one 150 00:10:27,400 --> 00:10:31,839 Speaker 3: corner went down on the third play of the game 151 00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:37,199 Speaker 3: against a team with Chase and Higgins and Cincinnati scored 152 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:42,319 Speaker 3: twenty points. Those rookie Willie Gay, their second best linebacker, 153 00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:46,439 Speaker 3: went down in that game as well. The rookie corners 154 00:10:46,960 --> 00:10:54,080 Speaker 3: were exceptional in that game. Chris Jones, with respect to Mahomes, 155 00:10:54,559 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 3: was the best player on the field in that game. 156 00:10:57,360 --> 00:11:03,080 Speaker 3: Now the Eagles have a brilliant defensive line now, Lane 157 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:06,160 Speaker 3: Johnson their great right tackle, potential future Hall of Famer. 158 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:11,520 Speaker 3: He reportedly retore his groin recently. He's gonna play through it. 159 00:11:11,760 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 3: But Jason Kelcey, Travis's brother is their center, and that 160 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:22,440 Speaker 3: Kelsey versus Chris Jones matchup should be great. With that said, 161 00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:28,400 Speaker 3: I'm not certain that even Jason Kelsey can block Chris 162 00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:33,760 Speaker 3: Jones one on one. By the way the other the 163 00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 3: other Chiefs loss. I'm being told that I left out 164 00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:41,800 Speaker 3: was the Rams. That famous Monday night football game that 165 00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:44,360 Speaker 3: was supposed to be in Mexico, who was Mahomes' first 166 00:11:44,440 --> 00:11:47,679 Speaker 3: year starting, ended up being I think in Los Angeles 167 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:51,559 Speaker 3: because the Mexican field's turf wasn't good enough and that 168 00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:55,760 Speaker 3: game was fifty four fifty one. But that would have 169 00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:57,679 Speaker 3: been a push, I think because I think they lost 170 00:11:57,679 --> 00:11:59,839 Speaker 3: that game by three. Maybe I'm wrong, maybe they lost 171 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:04,600 Speaker 3: for but regardless the oh, straight up loss. Of course, 172 00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:06,600 Speaker 3: I'm not talking about against the spread of straight up loss, 173 00:12:06,600 --> 00:12:11,960 Speaker 3: that's right. So that's the other game. Now to get 174 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:14,319 Speaker 3: back here, what you're saying about the skill position, guys, 175 00:12:15,600 --> 00:12:21,280 Speaker 3: the Chiefs need these receivers back. They can't do what 176 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:25,199 Speaker 3: I'm talking about them doing with none of these receivers back. 177 00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 3: So Juju is the one I'm most confident will be playing. 178 00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 3: Then there's Tony, who I think likely plays, but it's 179 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:41,200 Speaker 3: I mean, he gets in it. It was the knock 180 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:43,840 Speaker 3: on him with the Giants. It's been a problem for 181 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:46,199 Speaker 3: him in Kansas City. He has a hard time making 182 00:12:46,200 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 3: it through games. Hardman, I would be very surprised if 183 00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:55,400 Speaker 3: he plays. Hardman suffered a pelvis injury in mid October 184 00:12:55,600 --> 00:13:00,240 Speaker 3: the AFC Championship game was his first game back and 185 00:13:00,280 --> 00:13:03,920 Speaker 3: then he reinjured. Now they didn't have active on game day, 186 00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:08,280 Speaker 3: that white guy Justin Watson, who actually has been good 187 00:13:08,280 --> 00:13:10,520 Speaker 3: for the Chiefs deep down the field. The other thing 188 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:14,920 Speaker 3: that happened in that AFC Championship game, and I'll be 189 00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:17,800 Speaker 3: honest with the audience here to Monsey, I had said 190 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 3: to demand early in the game, MBS has been so 191 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:25,120 Speaker 3: disappointing that he hadn't come through for him all year. 192 00:13:25,600 --> 00:13:29,319 Speaker 3: He was exceptional in that game. That was the best 193 00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:34,199 Speaker 3: game of his career. Can he do that in consecutive weeks? 194 00:13:34,679 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 3: That is a bit of a concern. Flipside is this. 195 00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:39,240 Speaker 2: Mahomes is going to be better. 196 00:13:39,640 --> 00:13:44,440 Speaker 3: Mahomes is going to be way healthier, way healthier, and 197 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:51,400 Speaker 3: the running game can't be worse. Jarrett McKinnon did nothing 198 00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:56,240 Speaker 3: in that game. Pacheco was excellent catching the ball, but 199 00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:59,920 Speaker 3: on handoffs did nothing. And I think Mahomes is going 200 00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:02,440 Speaker 3: to be a little at least a little more mobile 201 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:06,319 Speaker 3: with the two weeks off. And they reported that he 202 00:14:06,400 --> 00:14:10,559 Speaker 3: didn't get the painkilling shot in the last game before 203 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:13,680 Speaker 3: the Bengals game. No, no, no, that was Mahomes who 204 00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 3: did not get the painkilling shot copy. So my thought 205 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:22,760 Speaker 3: process there was I think one of the reasons he 206 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 3: didn't want to take the painkilling shot was he didn't 207 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:29,320 Speaker 3: want to have his foot numbed to a degree re 208 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 3: injure it more not know it make it way worse 209 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:37,200 Speaker 3: to where he might have to miss the super Bowl. 210 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:40,400 Speaker 3: But now it's the last game of the year. So 211 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 3: even if he were to re injure it to a degree, 212 00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 3: he you know, he has months and months to recover. 213 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 3: So I think Mahomes will look close to fully functional, 214 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:52,440 Speaker 3: assuming he doesn't get landed on or you know what 215 00:14:52,480 --> 00:14:56,560 Speaker 3: I mean. And so in those regards. But to me, 216 00:14:57,320 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 3: the biggest concern right now is the Chiefs received injuries. 217 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:01,400 Speaker 3: What else you got? 218 00:15:01,520 --> 00:15:03,320 Speaker 2: All right? So the Eagles are getting seventy percent of 219 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 2: the money right now? 220 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:04,440 Speaker 3: Yep. 221 00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 2: Do you think that we should bet on the Chiefs 222 00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 2: right now or should we wait? 223 00:15:08,400 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 3: Well? I do like getting the point and a half, 224 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:17,200 Speaker 3: and I do think there is in what could be. 225 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 3: This is an interesting one because all outcomes are possible here. 226 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:26,920 Speaker 3: It is possible that the Chiefs can't block Philly, that 227 00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:30,360 Speaker 3: the Chiefs receivers you know, two of the three don't 228 00:15:30,400 --> 00:15:35,520 Speaker 3: come back and nobody can get separation, Mahomes doesn't have 229 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:38,520 Speaker 3: time to throw, and the Eagles defensive line wins this 230 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 3: game and it gets ugly. It is also possible that 231 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 3: the Mahomes hurts discrepancy is too much to overcome, the 232 00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 3: Eagles defense gets exposed early, and now all of a sudden, 233 00:15:51,920 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 3: Philly is playing a style they don't want to play, 234 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 3: which is having to throw the ball, and it gets 235 00:15:56,840 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 3: ugly for Philly early. It's also possible, again, like I said, 236 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,920 Speaker 3: this is not a nuanced commentary that this is a 237 00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:06,440 Speaker 3: nip and tuck game. In a nip and tuck game, 238 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:12,120 Speaker 3: getting that one point is super valuable. Not super valuable, 239 00:16:12,160 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 3: but valuable. However, this line is basically settled at a 240 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 3: point and a half. It would take a shocking development 241 00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:28,520 Speaker 3: for the Chiefs to end up being the favorites. Conversely, 242 00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 3: if there is bad receiver injury news from Kansas City 243 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:39,880 Speaker 3: or sneakily bad Travis Kelsey injury news which I would 244 00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:42,560 Speaker 3: not expect but he wasn't dealing with that back issue, 245 00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:46,240 Speaker 3: this line could move up to two and a half. 246 00:16:46,640 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 2: I was gonna say three. 247 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:50,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't think it'll get to three. I ain't 248 00:16:50,240 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 3: get at three. I it'll be way way too much 249 00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:58,840 Speaker 3: people coming in on the Chiefs. I think three is 250 00:16:58,920 --> 00:17:02,680 Speaker 3: two key, So I don't think there's a lot of 251 00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 3: risk embedting it now. But if you're anticipating some line movement, 252 00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:14,880 Speaker 3: I would say that Kansas City, it would it's more 253 00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:18,399 Speaker 3: likely to have the line move in to where you 254 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:21,080 Speaker 3: get more points with Kansas City. And let me say 255 00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:23,159 Speaker 3: one other thing about if it moves from one and 256 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:27,639 Speaker 3: a half to two and a half. Games don't typically 257 00:17:27,760 --> 00:17:34,239 Speaker 3: land on two unless a team is down eight, like 258 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:37,760 Speaker 3: it's twenty eight to twenty. One team has scored four touchdowns, 259 00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 3: the other team has two touchdowns and two field goals, 260 00:17:40,760 --> 00:17:45,600 Speaker 3: and that trailing team scores very very late, goes for 261 00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:49,840 Speaker 3: two and misses. That's where you know what I mean. 262 00:17:49,880 --> 00:17:54,600 Speaker 3: That could be value on getting the extra point there 263 00:17:54,600 --> 00:17:55,960 Speaker 3: from one and a half to two and a half, 264 00:17:56,440 --> 00:18:00,639 Speaker 3: but it's not going to cross any key numbers basically 265 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:02,920 Speaker 3: betting a winner in this spot. So I don't think 266 00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:06,159 Speaker 3: there's damage done in betting the Chiefs now. But I 267 00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:11,120 Speaker 3: also think you probably get slight ev by waiting, because 268 00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:13,480 Speaker 3: I don't think you're giving up much and you could 269 00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:16,240 Speaker 3: be getting it getting an extra half point or so. 270 00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:18,879 Speaker 4: All right, next, all right, So Brandon Ayuk from the 271 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:22,359 Speaker 4: forty nine ers think there's only one possible outcome. He says, 272 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,000 Speaker 4: I would take everything that I own, get it in cash, 273 00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:27,080 Speaker 4: and put my money on the Kansas City Chiefs. 274 00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 2: Are you taking that? 275 00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:32,399 Speaker 3: Well, listen, I'm not putting everything I own on the Chiefs. 276 00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:36,439 Speaker 3: What I will tell you is that he also said, 277 00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:41,639 Speaker 3: and I actually texted this story to Wilds, he also 278 00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:44,919 Speaker 3: said the following, I'm gonna read it. I don't fully 279 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:48,840 Speaker 3: know about that Eagles defense. They talk about them being 280 00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 3: a good defense, I'm not too sure. I think this 281 00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:55,399 Speaker 3: Kansas City pass game will expose what we thought we 282 00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:59,040 Speaker 3: were gonna be able to expose before some unfortunate circumstances. 283 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:01,479 Speaker 3: We'll see. And like I said, you got to get 284 00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:03,560 Speaker 3: lucky to win a super Bowl, and they just got 285 00:19:03,600 --> 00:19:06,919 Speaker 3: extremely lucky last week. Now, it's a lot of trash 286 00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:09,479 Speaker 3: talking for a team that just got absolutely rolled. 287 00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:13,000 Speaker 2: But I mean some truth in this. 288 00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:17,480 Speaker 3: I agree with some of that analysis, and I think 289 00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:24,240 Speaker 3: this Eagles defense is not battle tested for the test 290 00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:27,640 Speaker 3: they are going to have to take this coming Sunday. 291 00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:31,600 Speaker 3: So the Chiefs plus one and a half is our 292 00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:36,359 Speaker 3: final game wager of the year. If we win this bet, 293 00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:40,399 Speaker 3: we finished fifty eight fifty three and two, which is 294 00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:44,280 Speaker 3: essentially dead even on the year when you incorporate the 295 00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 3: viig We did well in our preseason win total bets, 296 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:51,240 Speaker 3: and make miss playoff bets. So it no matter what 297 00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 3: happens here, this is a profitable season. Not nearly as 298 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:58,080 Speaker 3: wildly profitable if it did as it would have been 299 00:19:58,119 --> 00:20:00,160 Speaker 3: if the Niners had won that game against Philly. 300 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:02,119 Speaker 2: But so be it that I have a little bit 301 00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:03,960 Speaker 2: more money had you edged that Super Bowl bit. 302 00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 3: Stop talking about hedging that you could have a little 303 00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:11,600 Speaker 3: more money if you'd stop making NBA teasers. 304 00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:14,640 Speaker 2: I made one, Yeah, I lost eleven books. 305 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:18,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, well that's eleven more dollars. We're in play game 306 00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:23,040 Speaker 3: with some player props. That's next, what's right. 307 00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:31,280 Speaker 5: This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. 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Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video. 315 00:20:57,320 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 3: All right, welcome back in What's Right with Nick Right, 316 00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:02,280 Speaker 3: Episode one twenty seven, our Super Bowl gambling show. 317 00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:02,760 Speaker 2: Again. 318 00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:05,720 Speaker 3: We're recording this on Monday, so some of these things 319 00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:08,200 Speaker 3: could change, but we're now gonna do some player props 320 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:09,600 Speaker 3: to Monsay. You go right ahead. 321 00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:12,639 Speaker 4: We'll start off with your chiefs. Yeah, Rebec Patrick Mahomes. 322 00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:13,240 Speaker 3: Yeah. 323 00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:15,520 Speaker 4: First off, we've got over one and a half touchdown 324 00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:18,879 Speaker 4: passes that's at minus two ten, okay, over three hundred 325 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:22,960 Speaker 4: and thirteen passing plus combined or passing plus rushing yards 326 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:25,520 Speaker 4: at minus one fifteen as well, huh or not as well, 327 00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:28,400 Speaker 4: and then over twenty five and a half completions at 328 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:29,120 Speaker 4: minus one ten. 329 00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:34,240 Speaker 3: Okay, So this is two wrongs one right, So I'm 330 00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:37,920 Speaker 3: supposed to pick one of these that I like, the 331 00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:42,520 Speaker 3: one that I like. Listen. I do think he's going 332 00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:45,960 Speaker 3: to have over one and a half passing touchdowns, but 333 00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:49,320 Speaker 3: minus two ten is a big number. 334 00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:50,400 Speaker 2: To lay right. 335 00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:59,520 Speaker 3: So I think the right play here is the over 336 00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:03,360 Speaker 3: three hundred and thirteen and a half total total yards 337 00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:08,720 Speaker 3: and the twenty five and a half completions probably goes 338 00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:11,439 Speaker 3: hand in hand with that, but not necessarily not if 339 00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:14,200 Speaker 3: he gets a few big chunk plays, which I think 340 00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 3: will be available against Philly. I do again, I do 341 00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:22,200 Speaker 3: like the over one and a half passing touchdowns for him, 342 00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 3: but at minus two ten rather than over three hundred 343 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:30,080 Speaker 3: and thirteen and a half total yards at minus one 344 00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:35,760 Speaker 3: p fifteen. To me, that's better. Now his individual rushing 345 00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:38,080 Speaker 3: and passing props are two eighty eight and a half 346 00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:41,840 Speaker 3: passing yards and twenty and a half rushing yards. I 347 00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:44,560 Speaker 3: like the rushing yards side of that way more. I 348 00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:48,320 Speaker 3: think that listen, fifteen, Mahomes is gonna be running in 349 00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:51,400 Speaker 3: this game. To me, there's no question about it, and 350 00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,359 Speaker 3: I think the ankle will be healthy enough that over 351 00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:59,399 Speaker 3: twenty and a half rushing yards is potentially my fate, 352 00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,680 Speaker 3: like my fa favorite bet that I've seen so far. 353 00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:06,440 Speaker 3: With that said, remember in the Niners Super Bowl, mahomes 354 00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:11,720 Speaker 3: rushing yard total was at like thirty four something like that. 355 00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:16,880 Speaker 3: He was in the forties and then took three massive 356 00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:19,800 Speaker 3: kneel downs at the end of the game for minus 357 00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:23,840 Speaker 3: three yards, minus five yards, minus seven yards, and they 358 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:26,800 Speaker 3: ended up those count as negative rushing yards. They ended 359 00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:29,800 Speaker 3: up going under because he landed on like twenty six 360 00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:32,760 Speaker 3: after being at I think forty one thanks to the 361 00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:37,280 Speaker 3: kneel downs. That was, though more circumstantial than anything. If 362 00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:40,399 Speaker 3: I do think the Chiefs are gonna win the game, 363 00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:44,639 Speaker 3: he might need to be at twenty six rushing yards 364 00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 3: though for you to feel fully comfortable if he's gonna 365 00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:50,040 Speaker 3: have three kneel downs. But I still like it. All right, 366 00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:51,320 Speaker 3: now we're on to Jalen Hurts. 367 00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:53,920 Speaker 2: Go ahead, Yeah, Jalen Hurts overs. Yeah. 368 00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:56,240 Speaker 4: So we got over one and a half touchdown pass 369 00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:59,000 Speaker 4: as well, Yeah, minus one oh five over two hundred 370 00:23:59,040 --> 00:24:02,040 Speaker 4: and ninety eight combined passing and rushing yards yep, minus 371 00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:05,239 Speaker 4: one fifteen, and then over twenty one over twenty one 372 00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:06,960 Speaker 4: and a half completions at minus one o five. 373 00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:14,600 Speaker 3: Okay, So I here's the thing. I like the under 374 00:24:15,240 --> 00:24:23,520 Speaker 3: on total yards. I I don't love any of these 375 00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:27,520 Speaker 3: because I think Jalen might truly struggle and that even 376 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:30,439 Speaker 3: if the Eagles win, it's gonna be miles Sanders and 377 00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:37,719 Speaker 3: Boston Scott and Kenneth Gainwell and Jalen running. So I 378 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:41,760 Speaker 3: I wouldn't bet any of these. But of the three, 379 00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:45,600 Speaker 3: the one that I think might have the most value 380 00:24:45,640 --> 00:24:49,000 Speaker 3: as the completions is that a lot of dinking and 381 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:55,080 Speaker 3: dunking and short completions. But my gut feeling is to 382 00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:58,439 Speaker 3: stay away from these and you can just bet the unders, 383 00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:00,680 Speaker 3: you know what I mean? For usually about same big 384 00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:06,199 Speaker 3: here his individual if we not do total yards but 385 00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:08,680 Speaker 3: two hundred and forty five pass yards and forty nine 386 00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,960 Speaker 3: and a half rush yards. I do think he could 387 00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:14,840 Speaker 3: hit the over on rushing yards. I do think Jalen 388 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:17,680 Speaker 3: could run for like sixty five yards in this game potentially, 389 00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:23,520 Speaker 3: But to me, under three hundred combined passing and rushing 390 00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:26,960 Speaker 3: yards is the bet I would be making there. 391 00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:29,119 Speaker 4: All right, Next, all right, so I'm assuming you expect 392 00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,639 Speaker 4: a lot of Chiefs touchdowns in the game. So who 393 00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:34,760 Speaker 4: do you think will score them? Travis Kelcey We got 394 00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:38,119 Speaker 4: anytime touchdown score for him at minus one thirty, Kadarius 395 00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:41,159 Speaker 4: Tony at plus two forty, and Juju Smith Schuster at 396 00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:42,240 Speaker 4: plus two forty as well. 397 00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 3: Okay, so Tony and Juju right now, are can't bets obviously, 398 00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:49,560 Speaker 3: we need to wait and see what their health status is. 399 00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:53,920 Speaker 3: Kelsey is a must bet. Travis Kelcey in the playoffs 400 00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:58,600 Speaker 3: scores touchdowns and especially with a banged up receiving corps. 401 00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:03,080 Speaker 3: To me, that one is an easy, obvious bet, and 402 00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:07,280 Speaker 3: the Kelsey would be my bet there after Kelsey. I 403 00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:11,520 Speaker 3: would like Jared McKinnon as a potential touchdown score. I 404 00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:15,800 Speaker 3: would like Pat. I like Patrick Mahomes a ton as 405 00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:20,439 Speaker 3: a rushing touchdown score, like it a ton he's in 406 00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:26,000 Speaker 3: the playoffs, he has I think six career rushing touchdowns. 407 00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:28,439 Speaker 2: So do you think that he's I mean, he's definitely 408 00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:30,720 Speaker 2: probably plus money. How much money do you think he's. 409 00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:34,080 Speaker 3: Oh Mahomes or no you no, no, no, it won't 410 00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:36,680 Speaker 3: be that much. Uh. I mean, I can just look 411 00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:42,200 Speaker 3: real quick. My guess is he's around the same as 412 00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:45,920 Speaker 3: the as around the same as kid area as Tony. 413 00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:49,560 Speaker 3: But I'll just check real quick what Mahomes anytime touchdown 414 00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 3: score is. While I look, go ahead and read me 415 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:52,560 Speaker 3: the next one. 416 00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:55,320 Speaker 4: All right, So the next one we've got is Eagles 417 00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:56,600 Speaker 4: anytime touchdown score. 418 00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:01,440 Speaker 2: So we've got Jalen Hurt set minus one eight. 419 00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:06,439 Speaker 3: Oh, real quick. By the way, Patrick Mahomes, Oh wow, wow, 420 00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:12,399 Speaker 3: you were right. Demant is plus four sixty. That's way 421 00:27:12,440 --> 00:27:16,120 Speaker 3: too high. That's way too high. I like that bet 422 00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:18,800 Speaker 3: a lot. I like that bet a lot. 423 00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:21,720 Speaker 2: They're probably thinking about his ankle a lot. 424 00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:24,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, but I think he'll get out and run, right, 425 00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:25,880 Speaker 3: I think he'll get out and run in this game. 426 00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:27,440 Speaker 3: All right, go ahead, now we're on the Eagles. 427 00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:30,439 Speaker 4: Sorry, Eagles anytime touchdown score. We got Jalen Hurts at 428 00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:33,439 Speaker 4: minus one ten, AJ Brown at plus one ten and 429 00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:36,479 Speaker 4: Dallas go Derrekt Goddard got it sorry at plus one. 430 00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:44,120 Speaker 3: Uh. I like uh, I like Jalen in this Yeah, 431 00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:46,520 Speaker 3: it takes one penalty in the end zone to put 432 00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:49,360 Speaker 3: him at the one, and that QB sneak is unguardable. 433 00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:52,840 Speaker 3: So I like Jalen as anytime touchdown score, or Jalen 434 00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:55,399 Speaker 3: just to be scrambling when they're in the red zone. Jayalen, 435 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:57,520 Speaker 3: you know, I like j you know, let me check 436 00:27:57,560 --> 00:28:01,920 Speaker 3: something real quick. And by the way, listen, in general, 437 00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:05,160 Speaker 3: we always suggest you bet with our friends at Fox Bet. 438 00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:10,040 Speaker 3: I'm gonna tell you something here though. When it comes 439 00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:14,639 Speaker 3: to these player prop markets, they have They are so 440 00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:17,959 Speaker 3: widely different as far as what they'll give you at 441 00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:21,959 Speaker 3: different places. Like at some books, Jalen is plus one 442 00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:25,159 Speaker 3: oh five is supposed to minus one ten to score 443 00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:29,359 Speaker 3: a touchdown. When it comes to player props, you absolutely 444 00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:32,160 Speaker 3: should shop it around. You should chop around and find 445 00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:36,480 Speaker 3: the best bet. The best value Mahomes and Hurts to 446 00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:40,800 Speaker 3: both rush for a touchdown is ten to one. I 447 00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:41,440 Speaker 3: like that bet. 448 00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:42,320 Speaker 2: That's pretty cool. 449 00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:45,520 Speaker 3: Ten to one for Mahomes and Hurts to both have 450 00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:48,560 Speaker 3: a rushing touchdown in this game. All right, next, all. 451 00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,360 Speaker 4: Right, So these stars set of quarterbacks will be throwing 452 00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:52,000 Speaker 4: at a bunch. Who do you think is going to 453 00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:54,200 Speaker 4: be getting the bulk of these yards? So we got 454 00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:57,600 Speaker 4: aj Brown at over seventy one at over seventy one 455 00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:00,600 Speaker 4: and a half at minus one twenty and Devon Smith 456 00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:03,320 Speaker 4: over sixty one and a half at minus one thirty 457 00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:06,080 Speaker 4: and Travis Kelcey over seventy nine and a half at 458 00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:07,040 Speaker 4: minus one fifteen. 459 00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:10,280 Speaker 3: I like Kelsey in this spot, of course. I think 460 00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:12,760 Speaker 3: Kelsey's gonna have a huge game. I think this is 461 00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:16,040 Speaker 3: it lined up for it. They're gonna have to target him. 462 00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:20,400 Speaker 3: He has not had in these playoffs. Really a giant 463 00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:25,479 Speaker 3: chunk play. Now, he's been incredibly productive, but against the Jags, 464 00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:29,640 Speaker 3: for instance, he had fourteen catches for ninety eight yards. 465 00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:31,840 Speaker 3: That's seven yards of catch, you know what I mean. 466 00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 3: So they have that many catches and not have one 467 00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:37,160 Speaker 3: hundred yards. Crazy Patrick Mahomes just off Kelsey. Yeah, well 468 00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:40,880 Speaker 3: they weren't all him, remember because Henny came in. But 469 00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:45,280 Speaker 3: still the So I think Kelsey to me, this is 470 00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:49,760 Speaker 3: a Travis Kelcey nine catch, one hundred and fifteen yard, 471 00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:53,400 Speaker 3: one touchdown type of game. I think Travis Kelcey has 472 00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:56,000 Speaker 3: a monster game in the Super Bowl. So I would 473 00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:58,720 Speaker 3: take his over there. And again I've made it clear 474 00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:01,680 Speaker 3: one of those Eagles. Those guys will go over probably, 475 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:05,480 Speaker 3: but I eyeing Jalen could potentially struggle a lot in 476 00:30:05,520 --> 00:30:06,720 Speaker 3: this game. All right, next, All. 477 00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:08,120 Speaker 4: Right, we're showing a lot of love to the pass 478 00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:10,800 Speaker 4: catchers now, so let's not forget about the running backs. 479 00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:14,480 Speaker 4: This is just rushing yards yep. Miles Sanders over fifty 480 00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:17,400 Speaker 4: nine and a half at minus one twenty five, Isaiah 481 00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:20,360 Speaker 4: Pachecko over forty nine and a half at minus one fifteen, 482 00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,720 Speaker 4: and Jery McKinnon over twenty one and a half at 483 00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:24,680 Speaker 4: minus one fifteen. 484 00:30:25,040 --> 00:30:27,080 Speaker 2: That that's pretty nice. Jerick McKinnon. 485 00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:30,960 Speaker 3: Well, the thing is this, they don't run him pass cat. Yeah, 486 00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:33,000 Speaker 3: I get it, they don't run him a ton, But 487 00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:37,640 Speaker 3: alls it takes is a couple decent ones. Eying Miles 488 00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 3: Sanders is the smarter bet here Pa check O and McKinnon. 489 00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:48,320 Speaker 3: I would be interested in their total yards props, potentially 490 00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:51,480 Speaker 3: more than just rushing yards. But I don't know that 491 00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:53,280 Speaker 3: this is going to be a big Pa check O game. 492 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:58,200 Speaker 3: I think this is so McKinnon receiving yards, McKinnon to 493 00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:01,440 Speaker 3: score a touchdown. I like Miles. The thing is this, 494 00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:05,720 Speaker 3: if the Eagles get down big, then they might have 495 00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:09,040 Speaker 3: to abandon the run somewhat, and that would hurt Miles Sanders. Yeah, 496 00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:11,240 Speaker 3: but if we think this is gonna be a close game, 497 00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:14,440 Speaker 3: they're gonna feed Miles Sanders a lot. Try to have 498 00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:17,200 Speaker 3: long possessions. I like the Miles Sanders over there. 499 00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:20,160 Speaker 4: All right, next, all right, let's put your prognostication skills 500 00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:22,840 Speaker 4: to the test. What will the outcome of the first 501 00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:24,640 Speaker 4: drive be? This is used to be one of my 502 00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:28,040 Speaker 4: favorite bets. Yeah, put at plus one hundred, offensive touchdown 503 00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:30,600 Speaker 4: at plus two seventy five field goal attempt at plus 504 00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:31,280 Speaker 4: three twenty five. 505 00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:34,080 Speaker 3: I hate I hate Adams. I don't know who's getting 506 00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:34,640 Speaker 3: the ball first. 507 00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:35,480 Speaker 2: This is my time. 508 00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:37,320 Speaker 3: What do you think? What do you want to do? 509 00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:40,200 Speaker 2: I definitely think it's gonna be a field goal. 510 00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:42,880 Speaker 3: Field goal attempts. Yeah, you don't care who gets the. 511 00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:46,880 Speaker 4: Ball, no, honestly, And I remember how you said something 512 00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:50,760 Speaker 4: about the how I have no no edge on or 513 00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:53,040 Speaker 4: I got. I've got no knowledge on what it would 514 00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:55,440 Speaker 4: be heads and tails? Yeah, when like I have the 515 00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:57,440 Speaker 4: knowledge that it's either going to be heads or tails. 516 00:31:57,720 --> 00:31:59,920 Speaker 2: I think that's all the knowledge that I need. Right. 517 00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:02,680 Speaker 3: But Okay, we're gonna get too four team thing later, 518 00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:03,240 Speaker 3: but go ahead. 519 00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:05,000 Speaker 4: I think there's are two good teams, and I think 520 00:32:05,040 --> 00:32:07,280 Speaker 4: that no matter who gets the ball first, I can't 521 00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:10,120 Speaker 4: really I don't see this being an opening drive touchdown, 522 00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:12,400 Speaker 4: but I see them driving down the field a little bit, 523 00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:14,440 Speaker 4: get getting scary, and they ended up being a field 524 00:32:14,440 --> 00:32:15,440 Speaker 4: goal because they hold them. 525 00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:20,600 Speaker 3: So I get that. What I would say is, if 526 00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:24,480 Speaker 3: the Chiefs get the ball first, the Chiefs opening script 527 00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:29,640 Speaker 3: those scripted first fifteen plays, particularly with extra time to 528 00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:34,560 Speaker 3: prepare under Andy Reid, have been historically efficient. I also 529 00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 3: think the Chiefs understand that, unlike that Bengals game, they 530 00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:41,040 Speaker 3: can't be settling for field goals. If the Chiefs get 531 00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:44,120 Speaker 3: the ball first, I do like their chances of scoring 532 00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:44,680 Speaker 3: a touchdown. 533 00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:46,320 Speaker 4: I think they're going forward if they get like a 534 00:32:46,360 --> 00:32:49,320 Speaker 4: fourth and short maybe yeah. 535 00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:51,400 Speaker 3: And I think they're gonna listen. I just think they're 536 00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:53,360 Speaker 3: gonna be uber efficient in the red zone. I think 537 00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:55,520 Speaker 3: they're gonna know they have to be. This is a 538 00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:59,320 Speaker 3: bet that if you want to make it, I would 539 00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:02,520 Speaker 3: just wait until you see he's getting the ball first 540 00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:05,560 Speaker 3: and they. 541 00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:07,000 Speaker 2: That doesn't drop the numbers at all. 542 00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:09,000 Speaker 3: No, the odds would change a little bit, you know 543 00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:11,479 Speaker 3: what I mean, depending on But the thing is this, 544 00:33:12,240 --> 00:33:15,560 Speaker 3: these two teams are so, according to Vegas evenly matched 545 00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:17,960 Speaker 3: in this spot. I don't think it would change the 546 00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:21,560 Speaker 3: odds drastically. It's not like when you have a mismatch 547 00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 3: and then the odds are kind of middled because they 548 00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:25,280 Speaker 3: don't know who's gonna get the ball. 549 00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:27,160 Speaker 4: Like, there's a way to do that, To do what 550 00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:30,000 Speaker 4: I kind of like, I feel like you could kind 551 00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:30,960 Speaker 4: of hedge on that. 552 00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:35,000 Speaker 3: Well, if you're very confident, you could put a little 553 00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:38,200 Speaker 3: bit of money on two outcomes if you're confident that 554 00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:42,440 Speaker 3: one of them's gonna hit. But the problem is if 555 00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:45,800 Speaker 3: the third possible outcome if a turnover or if you know, 556 00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:48,440 Speaker 3: let's say you think it's gonna there's gonna be points 557 00:33:48,720 --> 00:33:51,360 Speaker 3: and you have offensive touchdown or field goal attempts. You 558 00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:53,360 Speaker 3: could do that, but then if there's a punt or 559 00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:56,160 Speaker 3: a turnover, you lose both bets, you know what I mean. 560 00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:58,800 Speaker 3: Like so you you could do it, but it would 561 00:33:58,800 --> 00:34:00,480 Speaker 3: be difficult. All right, next, all. 562 00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:02,840 Speaker 4: Right, this one is just a mix of long shots. 563 00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:04,800 Speaker 4: So first off, we got kick to hit the post 564 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:08,399 Speaker 4: at plus four fifty, kicker makes a sixty sixty plus 565 00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:12,000 Speaker 4: yard field goal at plus nine hundred, octopus at plus 566 00:34:12,040 --> 00:34:12,880 Speaker 4: fourteen hundred. 567 00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:13,919 Speaker 2: That's up. 568 00:34:14,120 --> 00:34:16,320 Speaker 4: That, by the way, is a player to score a touchdown. 569 00:34:16,640 --> 00:34:19,800 Speaker 4: Passing doesn't count. And the following is a two point conversion. 570 00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:23,000 Speaker 3: Well where and they then they get they score the 571 00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:25,759 Speaker 3: two point conversion. All right, I know this will shock you. 572 00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:31,960 Speaker 3: I hate all of these. Uh none of them have 573 00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:36,440 Speaker 3: good enough odds. The kick to hit the post maybe, 574 00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:41,120 Speaker 3: but I don't. I hate all these. I'm not making 575 00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:44,360 Speaker 3: any of these move on. That's dumb. It's all dumb stuff. 576 00:34:44,680 --> 00:34:47,399 Speaker 3: I'm not sixty yard field goal. I need a lot. 577 00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:48,440 Speaker 3: I need better odds. 578 00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:51,839 Speaker 2: These pick six in this is there? Like will there 579 00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:52,680 Speaker 2: be a pix? Sure? Yes? 580 00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:56,680 Speaker 3: After yeah, of course no, demon's a your mind. Your 581 00:34:56,719 --> 00:34:59,600 Speaker 3: brain is gonna melt when you see all of Yeah, 582 00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:01,680 Speaker 3: there's for everything next. 583 00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:04,240 Speaker 4: All right, So this one we call it the gatorade color. 584 00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:07,319 Speaker 4: Only one coach wins, but we can all win if 585 00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:10,759 Speaker 4: we gets the color of their gatorade shower Eagles wearing green, 586 00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:13,600 Speaker 4: shees wearing white. So at first we first we got 587 00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:16,440 Speaker 4: orange at plus three hundred, yellow or green at plus 588 00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:19,120 Speaker 4: four hundred, red or pink at plus four fifty. 589 00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:21,880 Speaker 3: All right, this is one of those bets like the 590 00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:25,080 Speaker 3: time of the national anthem, or the first song that 591 00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:28,920 Speaker 3: Rihanna's gonna sing, any of those things. I forbid you 592 00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:32,759 Speaker 3: for making these bets unless you have inside info. Right, 593 00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:37,600 Speaker 3: these are bets that they get enough dumb money on 594 00:35:38,040 --> 00:35:40,880 Speaker 3: that they continue to put them up there even though 595 00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:47,200 Speaker 3: certain people have the inside info, Like someone will know 596 00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:50,839 Speaker 3: what color gatorade the Chiefs have and what color gatorade 597 00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:56,040 Speaker 3: the Eagles have. And if you have that dead set, 598 00:35:56,400 --> 00:35:58,880 Speaker 3: you can just bet that instead of bet the winner. 599 00:35:59,239 --> 00:35:59,879 Speaker 3: You know what I mean. 600 00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:02,040 Speaker 2: You just had a guy go over to the little 601 00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:02,759 Speaker 2: thing and tell you. 602 00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:04,920 Speaker 3: Well, yeah, but they're so a big thing with national 603 00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:09,000 Speaker 3: They do national anthem timing props, and it always leaks 604 00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:11,640 Speaker 3: out how long the rehearsal went. There will be what 605 00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:15,360 Speaker 3: will Rihanna's first song be, and it will leak out what, 606 00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:19,880 Speaker 3: you know what, how her rehearsal went. These types of bets, 607 00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:22,440 Speaker 3: if you don't have insight info, you just can't make 608 00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,280 Speaker 3: them flatle you just can't make them all right, last 609 00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:26,120 Speaker 3: last one? 610 00:36:26,520 --> 00:36:30,920 Speaker 4: Oh well, after winning, after winding our coin saws on Thursday, 611 00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:34,560 Speaker 4: I'm fully confident in picking the super Bowl coin flip. 612 00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:41,080 Speaker 3: You no, I know? All right, So what are the options? 613 00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:44,319 Speaker 4: Heads at minus one o five, Tails at minus one 614 00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:46,520 Speaker 4: o five on its side at plus infinity. 615 00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:49,480 Speaker 2: Okay, I'm putting a dollar on plus infinity. 616 00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:53,680 Speaker 3: Okay, Well that bet doesn't exist, but I appreciate that happened. 617 00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:56,160 Speaker 2: I'd go with heads. 618 00:36:56,480 --> 00:37:00,839 Speaker 3: Why just because I won the last one? Okay, So 619 00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:01,600 Speaker 3: that's your logic. 620 00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:03,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot of people are gonna be like, tails 621 00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:04,480 Speaker 2: never fails. 622 00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:11,239 Speaker 3: So here's the thing. If you could get plus one 623 00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:15,520 Speaker 3: oh two, don't. Then it would be a smart bet 624 00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:18,880 Speaker 3: at plus one oh one, it would be a smart 625 00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:23,520 Speaker 3: bet at even plus one hundred. It's it's a fine, 626 00:37:23,560 --> 00:37:27,239 Speaker 3: but it's not. The thing is it's not. And so 627 00:37:28,040 --> 00:37:32,200 Speaker 3: you and I could We're not going to, but we 628 00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:37,000 Speaker 3: could do this and flip a coin one hundred times. 629 00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:42,400 Speaker 3: And I promise you that if you're laying one oh 630 00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:47,480 Speaker 3: five to me, you're going to lose. And so it 631 00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:52,839 Speaker 3: is gambling just for the sake of gambling, with no 632 00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:57,319 Speaker 3: skill or idea connected to it. And it can you 633 00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:01,879 Speaker 3: can start down money before the game even starts. I 634 00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:06,080 Speaker 3: can't recommend against this strongly enough. I'm telling you right 635 00:38:06,120 --> 00:38:11,440 Speaker 3: now it is a dumb bet and a sign that 636 00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:14,320 Speaker 3: you might have a gambling problem. If you're betting the 637 00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:17,279 Speaker 3: Super Bowl coin toss the books love when you do it, 638 00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:20,399 Speaker 3: you're laying one oh five on an even money thing 639 00:38:20,719 --> 00:38:23,919 Speaker 3: that you can have no possible insight info on. I'm 640 00:38:23,920 --> 00:38:27,200 Speaker 3: telling you it's a dumb bet. Speaking of dumb bets, 641 00:38:27,760 --> 00:38:29,279 Speaker 3: you guys are gonna try to get me to make 642 00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:31,319 Speaker 3: like a thirty to one prop bet. We'll do that. 643 00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:32,960 Speaker 3: Drap the show next. What's right? 644 00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:39,200 Speaker 2: All right? 645 00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:42,520 Speaker 3: Welcome back in last segment of our last NFL gambling 646 00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:45,600 Speaker 3: show of this football season. We've got the Chiefs plus 647 00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:48,480 Speaker 3: a point and a half before we get to the offer. 648 00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:55,359 Speaker 3: I there is a teaser out there that does go 649 00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:58,680 Speaker 3: through all the key numbers and is worth at least 650 00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:03,440 Speaker 3: looking at, which is teasing a seven point teaser of 651 00:39:03,480 --> 00:39:07,600 Speaker 3: teasing the Chiefs up to plus eight and a half 652 00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:13,160 Speaker 3: and teasing the total down to forty three and a half. 653 00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:17,600 Speaker 3: So you would have the Chiefs getting more than eight, 654 00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:21,759 Speaker 3: and the total would come through the forty seven, the 655 00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:25,719 Speaker 3: forty eight, obviously, the forty five, the forty four. It 656 00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:28,239 Speaker 3: wouldn't go through the forty two, which is another key 657 00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:33,040 Speaker 3: to total number. But that's one at least worth looking at. 658 00:39:33,680 --> 00:39:36,120 Speaker 3: I'm not gonna make that bet, but that is the 659 00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:38,960 Speaker 3: logical teaser that's on the board. You can also do 660 00:39:39,000 --> 00:39:41,600 Speaker 3: a six pointer, but then you don't get the teaser 661 00:39:41,640 --> 00:39:44,439 Speaker 3: through the twenty four or the forty four. And again 662 00:39:44,480 --> 00:39:47,799 Speaker 3: a lot of games end on forty four, so you'd 663 00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:50,080 Speaker 3: like to get it through that is twenty four to 664 00:39:50,080 --> 00:39:53,399 Speaker 3: twenty games. Obviously in there, you know there's a lot 665 00:39:53,440 --> 00:39:57,400 Speaker 3: of combinations if you will that where you get twenty 666 00:39:57,440 --> 00:40:00,640 Speaker 3: seven to seventeen ins on forty four. So that's why 667 00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:04,080 Speaker 3: I would pay the little extra and have a seven 668 00:40:04,120 --> 00:40:07,799 Speaker 3: point Taser down over forty three and a half and 669 00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:09,880 Speaker 3: the Chiefs plus eight and a half. All right, Demanse, 670 00:40:10,040 --> 00:40:10,680 Speaker 3: what's the offer? 671 00:40:10,920 --> 00:40:11,239 Speaker 2: All right? 672 00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:13,239 Speaker 4: So you haven't been having so much fun so far 673 00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:15,719 Speaker 4: with all these player props. Yeah, there's a parlay that 674 00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:18,640 Speaker 4: basically is exactly what you said. There's exactly how you 675 00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:20,919 Speaker 4: said the Chiefs one. Sorry, so tell me what's wrong 676 00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:22,600 Speaker 4: with this and we can even customize it for. 677 00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:23,160 Speaker 2: You if you'd like. 678 00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:26,919 Speaker 4: Okay, So, Mahomes super Bowl MVP at plus one twenty five, 679 00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:30,640 Speaker 4: Chiefs money line at plus one oh five, Kelsey overs 680 00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:34,080 Speaker 4: seventy nine and a half minus one fifteen at minus 681 00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:38,360 Speaker 4: one fifteen. That's receiving yards obviously, Kelsey touchdown minus one thirty, 682 00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:41,279 Speaker 4: and Mahomes over passing yards two hundred and eighty eight 683 00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:44,840 Speaker 4: point five at minus one fifteen. All this combined for 684 00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:47,040 Speaker 4: plus two thousand, seven hundred and fifty two. 685 00:40:47,160 --> 00:40:50,279 Speaker 3: So twenty eight to one. Almost. I'm gonna tweak it 686 00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:54,840 Speaker 3: slightly and it won't change the numbers on it significantly. 687 00:40:55,800 --> 00:41:00,800 Speaker 3: We're gonna remove the Mahomes over passing yards and replace 688 00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:05,560 Speaker 3: it with Mahomes over rushing yards. So Chiefs to win, 689 00:41:05,760 --> 00:41:10,359 Speaker 3: Mahomes to win MVP, Kelsey to have over eighty yards, 690 00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:16,279 Speaker 3: Kelsey to score a touchdown, and Mahomes to rush for 691 00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:20,239 Speaker 3: over twenty and a half. That will actually probably slightly 692 00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:25,360 Speaker 3: improve the odds because the Mahomes passing and the Kelsey 693 00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:28,960 Speaker 3: receiving are so correlated that you're not gonna eat. So 694 00:41:29,000 --> 00:41:31,520 Speaker 3: my guess is that puts that out about thirty to one. 695 00:41:32,120 --> 00:41:33,400 Speaker 2: What is it? 696 00:41:33,640 --> 00:41:35,799 Speaker 3: Right? Okay, so it doesn't improve him all that much, 697 00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:39,239 Speaker 3: but it's at twenty eight to one. Okay, that's the 698 00:41:41,200 --> 00:41:45,480 Speaker 3: That's that's what I'm doing that they all make that bet. 699 00:41:45,560 --> 00:41:48,600 Speaker 3: I'll take that offer to end the year with me 700 00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:52,080 Speaker 3: finally taking the offer. Demondy's refused to take the offer 701 00:41:52,120 --> 00:41:54,759 Speaker 3: all year, mostly because he just forgets to, even though 702 00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:58,040 Speaker 3: a few of them have hit. But this is one. No, 703 00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:00,279 Speaker 3: I'm telling You've said it. You've said like you like 704 00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:04,080 Speaker 3: the offers, but that you hadn't been placing them. I 705 00:42:04,120 --> 00:42:07,400 Speaker 3: do like this one. Twenty eight to one. Mahomes has 706 00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:10,560 Speaker 3: a big day, Kelsey has a big day, The Chiefs win, 707 00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:14,760 Speaker 3: Mahomes wins Super Bowl MVP God Willing, and the Dynasty 708 00:42:14,880 --> 00:42:18,800 Speaker 3: is alive and well there it is fun year gambling 709 00:42:18,840 --> 00:42:21,960 Speaker 3: shows feel like we've done a lot, learned a lot, 710 00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:26,640 Speaker 3: gave out some good picks, survived some rough stretches of 711 00:42:26,680 --> 00:42:31,000 Speaker 3: the season, kept with our plan. Demond's learned to gamble 712 00:42:31,280 --> 00:42:35,400 Speaker 3: whole thing. Overall, great success. Next time you hear from me, 713 00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:37,879 Speaker 3: I'll be live in Arizona from the Super Bowl. Talk 714 00:42:37,920 --> 00:42:43,839 Speaker 3: to you guys then, what's right