1
00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:16,759
Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Saturday? Welcome into

2
00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:19,520
Speaker 1: another episode of the Diligence Podcast with me Matt Perrault

3
00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:22,560
Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt to follow me across all socials,

4
00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:25,920
Speaker 1: and we need a bounce back after last night. I

5
00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:28,479
Speaker 1: was nervous about the WNBA, and I was right to

6
00:00:28,520 --> 00:00:33,720
Speaker 1: be nervous to no good bets there. Baseball is just

7
00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:37,159
Speaker 1: I mean, come on, man, Paul Skins, that's it. I'm done.

8
00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:39,600
Speaker 1: It was fun betting on Paul Skan's days, but no,

9
00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:41,840
Speaker 1: thank you. We are done with Paul Skins and done

10
00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:44,479
Speaker 1: with the Pirates. They did win the game, but the

11
00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:48,600
Speaker 1: game does go over Verse five over. It's one of

12
00:00:48,640 --> 00:00:51,599
Speaker 1: those crazier games. Skins is starting to get hit, so

13
00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:54,760
Speaker 1: that dominance starting to slow down. If he's pitching, it

14
00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:56,840
Speaker 1: may be time to fade those underplays and start betting

15
00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:59,480
Speaker 1: him over given the number of innings he has wrecked

16
00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:01,960
Speaker 1: up here in his rookie season pitching for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

17
00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:05,080
Speaker 1: So this is gonna be kind of a longer podcast,

18
00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:07,200
Speaker 1: So let me get into it all right away, because

19
00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:10,640
Speaker 1: I've got five bets in three sports. This is typical

20
00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:12,280
Speaker 1: for Saturday. If you guys, have been with us for

21
00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:14,920
Speaker 1: a long time. You know, the Saturday card is normally

22
00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:18,959
Speaker 1: pretty heavy. Does that mean I do well? Yes and no?

23
00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:22,440
Speaker 1: Sometimes yes, sometimes no. I have bets and leans that

24
00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:24,840
Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you guys, bets and Lean's plays I

25
00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:27,479
Speaker 1: probably will play at some point during the day today

26
00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:30,000
Speaker 1: before the events go off, but they aren't official plays,

27
00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:32,880
Speaker 1: just things I think that it's I mean, worth the shot.

28
00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:36,000
Speaker 1: The good news is that golf's going pretty well. Sam

29
00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:38,080
Speaker 1: Burns in the top five, that's a great We have

30
00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:41,080
Speaker 1: a nice ticket on him. We got Brian Harmon. Jordan

31
00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:43,680
Speaker 1: Speith blew up like I thought he would, so Harmon's

32
00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:46,759
Speaker 1: going a nice lead on Jordan's Speith. Harmon is still

33
00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:49,080
Speaker 1: in contention for a top ten spot, so we could

34
00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:52,520
Speaker 1: go three and one or so on our FedEx bets,

35
00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:55,559
Speaker 1: so that's good. We might get ourselves a nice little

36
00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:59,120
Speaker 1: score there on Sunday for the FedEx. So'll be watching

37
00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:01,760
Speaker 1: that if you played those plays from Wednesday, be watching

38
00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:04,280
Speaker 1: because we may be in a good position here to

39
00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:06,600
Speaker 1: close the week out strong and get a winning week

40
00:02:06,680 --> 00:02:08,480
Speaker 1: out of this and make up for what happened last

41
00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:12,520
Speaker 1: night on a Friday. So let's start with Baseball Orioles

42
00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:17,840
Speaker 1: Red Sox huge offensive game yesterday, twelve ten win for

43
00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:21,000
Speaker 1: the Red Sox. Did you know that the Boston Red

44
00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:23,919
Speaker 1: Sox are number two in Major League Baseball for road

45
00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:29,000
Speaker 1: overs thirty five, twenty two and three on the road.

46
00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:32,400
Speaker 1: The Baltimore Orioles are in the top ten for road

47
00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:37,519
Speaker 1: overs thirty two, twenty five and six to the over

48
00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:40,560
Speaker 1: and overall, Baltimore is the number one over team in

49
00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:44,480
Speaker 1: Major League Baseball. The Red Sox are number six. Sixty

50
00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:46,919
Speaker 1: point five percent of the time oriole games are going

51
00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:49,720
Speaker 1: over fifty six point six percent of the time Red

52
00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:53,800
Speaker 1: Sox games are going over. So Solos nine Brian Beayos

53
00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:56,920
Speaker 1: on the Mount. These are the final scores of games

54
00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:01,040
Speaker 1: pitched by Brian Bayo in the last going back to

55
00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:06,200
Speaker 1: June first five four six, five three two nine seven

56
00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:10,520
Speaker 1: seven six five four twelve nine seven two nine four

57
00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:15,840
Speaker 1: seven three eight one six one eight four. Let me

58
00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:19,040
Speaker 1: simplify it when it comes to totals of nine the

59
00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:23,120
Speaker 1: games that have gone under nine three two with Seattle.

60
00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:28,200
Speaker 1: Seattle's an undermachine uh six to one against the White

61
00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:30,959
Speaker 1: Sox back in the eighth of June. Every other game

62
00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:33,280
Speaker 1: had nine runs or more scored in it when it

63
00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:37,360
Speaker 1: was pitched by Brian Beao. We're going over over nine

64
00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:42,000
Speaker 1: Red Sox Orioles here today at Camden Yards. Both teams

65
00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:45,920
Speaker 1: pitcher pitching is not great. Both teams can match the

66
00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:50,520
Speaker 1: baseball cade. Povich goes for the Orioles. He's one in

67
00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:53,640
Speaker 1: five with a six point two seven ERA, and mostly

68
00:03:53,680 --> 00:03:56,480
Speaker 1: that's because he has He's had two awful road starts

69
00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:59,360
Speaker 1: where he's ERA is twelve point two on the road,

70
00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:02,640
Speaker 1: zero to two record, eleven innings and fifteen earned runs

71
00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:05,560
Speaker 1: given up for that, but that's because he pitched poorly

72
00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:09,320
Speaker 1: against Oakland one inning, eight earned runs. That'll kill your ERA.

73
00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:12,960
Speaker 1: At home. His last two pitch less two starts eight

74
00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:15,320
Speaker 1: to four loss to Toronto and a four to one

75
00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:18,159
Speaker 1: loss to the Yankees, he gave up three earned runs

76
00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:21,080
Speaker 1: in both his last two home starts. Gave up two

77
00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:23,280
Speaker 1: earned runs to the Texas Rangers in a six to

78
00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:26,159
Speaker 1: five win and three earned runs to the Cleveland Guardians

79
00:04:26,440 --> 00:04:30,159
Speaker 1: in a three to two loss. Given the offenses given

80
00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:33,560
Speaker 1: Bayo given these two teams in their Princey to go

81
00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:38,960
Speaker 1: over over nine Red Sox Orioles for one point one units,

82
00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:42,159
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to week two in the preseason.

83
00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:46,479
Speaker 1: I again, I'm going to talk about these joint practices

84
00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:50,680
Speaker 1: the Bengals and the Bears. They had joint practices this week.

85
00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:53,160
Speaker 1: The total for this game is thirty six and a half.

86
00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:57,600
Speaker 1: Zach Taylor already announced the starters will not play for

87
00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:01,760
Speaker 1: the Bengals. In fact, Jake Browning, the backup, got hurt

88
00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:05,200
Speaker 1: last week. He won't play. So starters aren't playing. No,

89
00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:08,280
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, Jake Browning not play. That's I mean, you're

90
00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:15,640
Speaker 1: getting Logan Woodside, Rocky Lombardi. Anyone think that offense is

91
00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,880
Speaker 1: going to be scored here? Yeah, the Bears had an

92
00:05:18,920 --> 00:05:23,120
Speaker 1: incredible opportunity and Kayleb Williams will play. The starters will play,

93
00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:26,440
Speaker 1: but there's not going to be this like, who are you?

94
00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:29,479
Speaker 1: I can't believe this? How is this happening? Stuff like

95
00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:31,800
Speaker 1: there was in week one. Now he looked great, ninety

96
00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:35,040
Speaker 1: five yards passing four o seven. He ran a couple

97
00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:40,720
Speaker 1: of really impressive acrobatic diving tosses. But Tyson Bagent, we'll

98
00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:44,360
Speaker 1: see what he looks like coming in. I don't know.

99
00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:47,599
Speaker 1: I think the Bengals most likely are punting on this game.

100
00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:49,480
Speaker 1: I think the Bears probably do cover that six and

101
00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,719
Speaker 1: a half point spread, but there's more comfortable laying totals

102
00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:56,120
Speaker 1: here in the preseason. We're going under under thirty six

103
00:05:56,200 --> 00:06:00,159
Speaker 1: and a half for the Bears and the Bengals for

104
00:06:00,200 --> 00:06:03,039
Speaker 1: one point one units. And then we're gonna go to

105
00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:06,320
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and we're gonna go to Buffalo. And again here

106
00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:09,080
Speaker 1: we are with joint practices, and we're gonna see Russell

107
00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:12,960
Speaker 1: Wilson play in this game. Here for the Pittsburgh Steelers,

108
00:06:13,560 --> 00:06:15,560
Speaker 1: total is five and a half. Are the lines five

109
00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:19,200
Speaker 1: and a half for Pittsburgh. The total is thirty nine

110
00:06:19,279 --> 00:06:23,120
Speaker 1: and a half. This thing has steamed. Everyone's on the

111
00:06:23,240 --> 00:06:25,280
Speaker 1: over in this game. Open up a thirty three and

112
00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:27,479
Speaker 1: a half all the way up to thirty nine and

113
00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:31,599
Speaker 1: a half. Really surprised about this. Buffalo got crushed in

114
00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:35,680
Speaker 1: Week one, they allowed thirty three points. I don't think

115
00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:39,479
Speaker 1: that happens again. All right, I expect a big performance

116
00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:42,800
Speaker 1: out of this defense for the Buffalo Bills. The Pittsburgh

117
00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:48,279
Speaker 1: Steelers offense has not been great, and you get Russ Eh.

118
00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:51,919
Speaker 1: I don't know here Pittsburgh's going to get after the quarterback.

119
00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:53,599
Speaker 1: I mean, I think the Bills are gonna have a

120
00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:56,600
Speaker 1: tough time scoring. I don't think we're gonna see a lot.

121
00:06:56,600 --> 00:06:58,680
Speaker 1: The Bills offense wasn't good. I don't think it's gonna

122
00:06:58,680 --> 00:07:01,200
Speaker 1: be great in Week two. You're not gonna see a

123
00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:03,320
Speaker 1: lot of starters out there. I mean, the Bears put

124
00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:06,400
Speaker 1: up thirty three in Buffalo. Is that happening again? No way,

125
00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:09,800
Speaker 1: that's not happening again. I think the Steelers aren't gonna

126
00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:11,680
Speaker 1: score a lot with this offense that they've got. I

127
00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:13,680
Speaker 1: don't think you're gonna see a lot of offense being scored

128
00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:17,840
Speaker 1: by by the Bills. I'm not really. I mean, that's

129
00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:19,880
Speaker 1: a lot of steam. Thirty nine and a half. Maybe

130
00:07:19,880 --> 00:07:21,600
Speaker 1: you guys will get a better number than me, but

131
00:07:21,640 --> 00:07:24,040
Speaker 1: I'm going under thirty nine and a half. Buffalo and

132
00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:29,720
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh again. The joint practices, I'm gonna go under here Atlanta,

133
00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:34,600
Speaker 1: Miami Giants in the Lions, Seahawks, and the Chargers, Patriots

134
00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:38,320
Speaker 1: and the Eagles joint practices all have gone under when

135
00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:42,160
Speaker 1: they played. I'm going under Sincy and Chicago thirty six

136
00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:45,720
Speaker 1: and a half. I'm going under Buffalo and Pittsburgh under

137
00:07:45,840 --> 00:07:50,080
Speaker 1: thirty nine and a half. All right to UFC three

138
00:07:50,240 --> 00:07:54,600
Speaker 1: Zho five. We go, great fight card. I'll have a

139
00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:57,040
Speaker 1: bunch of plays, a bunch of personal stuff going here

140
00:07:57,080 --> 00:08:00,040
Speaker 1: depending on how baseball and football go leading into the

141
00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:03,800
Speaker 1: night time. But let's first start talking about Bam Bam

142
00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:07,400
Speaker 1: tied to Avasa and what he's gonna do here against

143
00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:11,400
Speaker 1: rosen Strike heavyweight. Fight total is set for one and

144
00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:15,280
Speaker 1: a half rounds Now, you start breaking down stats here

145
00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:19,440
Speaker 1: between these two six forty three average fight time for

146
00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:23,720
Speaker 1: two Avasa, eight thirty six for rosen Strike. These boys

147
00:08:23,760 --> 00:08:27,520
Speaker 1: are big. These boys are gonna hate each other, and

148
00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:30,400
Speaker 1: rosen Strike has had it's coming off of a win

149
00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:32,679
Speaker 1: in two of his last three fights. He hasn't fought

150
00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:38,800
Speaker 1: the who's who though tu Yvasa's fight Tibura, Volkov, Pavlovich,

151
00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:44,440
Speaker 1: Serial Gone, and most of his fights are fast. Got

152
00:08:44,520 --> 00:08:49,000
Speaker 1: choked out against Tibura, got choked out against Volkov, got

153
00:08:49,040 --> 00:08:53,120
Speaker 1: knocked out against Pavlovich, He got knocked out against Serio

154
00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:56,920
Speaker 1: Gone in the third round. Late. This dude's gonna have

155
00:08:56,960 --> 00:09:00,280
Speaker 1: the home crowd around him. He wants a shoe. We

156
00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:02,720
Speaker 1: don't know what that is. Look up what he's all about.

157
00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:05,760
Speaker 1: But I'm gonna come and I'm gonna bet a bet

158
00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:07,960
Speaker 1: that we made in a couple of weeks ago that

159
00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:11,040
Speaker 1: I like a lot for the fight to not start

160
00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:15,960
Speaker 1: the second round. This fight will not see the second round.

161
00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:19,400
Speaker 1: At minus one twenty four, I think it ends in

162
00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:22,720
Speaker 1: the first round. It's a heavyweight fight, and just looking

163
00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:26,520
Speaker 1: at what we've seen with rosen Strike and how he's fought. Yes,

164
00:09:26,520 --> 00:09:29,000
Speaker 1: his last fight went four rounds okay, and he got

165
00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:32,199
Speaker 1: he got a knockout in the fourth round, but before

166
00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:37,079
Speaker 1: that first round, first round, first round, third round decision,

167
00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:41,360
Speaker 1: first round. Four of his last six fights for rosen

168
00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:44,640
Speaker 1: Strike have ended in the first round, some with wins,

169
00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:48,160
Speaker 1: some with losses. I think this thing ends in the

170
00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:50,160
Speaker 1: first round. We're not going to the We're not going

171
00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:53,160
Speaker 1: to the second round. We're going minus one twenty four,

172
00:09:53,440 --> 00:09:56,120
Speaker 1: one point two four, one point two four units down

173
00:09:57,200 --> 00:10:00,600
Speaker 1: fight not to see the second round start. The under

174
00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:02,640
Speaker 1: is minus one eighty. If you want to bet the

175
00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:05,280
Speaker 1: under one and a half rounds, if those extra a

176
00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:07,200
Speaker 1: couple of minutes, those extra two and a half minutes

177
00:10:07,240 --> 00:10:09,199
Speaker 1: matter to you, then I don't think is a bad

178
00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:10,840
Speaker 1: idea if you want to lay it. In terms of

179
00:10:10,880 --> 00:10:12,960
Speaker 1: just go ahead and say Okay, I think we're going

180
00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:15,120
Speaker 1: to see you know how many rounds this thing goes.

181
00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:18,280
Speaker 1: But it's MICE one ninety two at FanDuel, I mean

182
00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:20,760
Speaker 1: it's eight, it's one and a half rounds. Yes, I'm

183
00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:22,960
Speaker 1: gambling this thing will not see the second round. But

184
00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:27,679
Speaker 1: given the home crowd and the excitement in Perth, Australia

185
00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:31,360
Speaker 1: for this fight not to the second round, however, I

186
00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:34,120
Speaker 1: do think it is really worth it to sprinkle on

187
00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:37,920
Speaker 1: two Evasa by ko at plus two seventy. It's a

188
00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:40,120
Speaker 1: personal play, but I think that's a sprinkle okay on

189
00:10:40,160 --> 00:10:42,720
Speaker 1: too Vasa to knock him out, to knock out rosen Strike.

190
00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:44,600
Speaker 1: And if the fight does go to the second round

191
00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:46,520
Speaker 1: and tue Vasa knocks him out, you can make your

192
00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:48,160
Speaker 1: money back a little bit there because I do think

193
00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:50,000
Speaker 1: he wins the fight and the only real method for

194
00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:53,600
Speaker 1: victory for two of Vasa is to knock out rosen Strike.

195
00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:57,520
Speaker 1: Official plays for the fight not to start the second

196
00:10:57,600 --> 00:10:59,880
Speaker 1: round at MIE one twenty four. But I want to

197
00:10:59,880 --> 00:11:04,880
Speaker 1: sprinkle on Tuibasa by ko at plus two seventy we

198
00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:08,120
Speaker 1: go to the main event. Man, is this a blood

199
00:11:08,440 --> 00:11:13,480
Speaker 1: hatred between these two guys? I hate when fighters talk retirement.

200
00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:20,160
Speaker 1: I can't stand it. Adasanya has been incredible, incredible athlete,

201
00:11:20,559 --> 00:11:23,240
Speaker 1: incredible fighter, and a guy that I think we all

202
00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:26,440
Speaker 1: owe a lot of respect and thanks for because he

203
00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:31,880
Speaker 1: has made such incredible, amazing highlight real opportunities to watch

204
00:11:31,920 --> 00:11:37,480
Speaker 1: over and over again with the UFC. DPP is a

205
00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:43,200
Speaker 1: fighter that has is Isy's attention. He needed to get

206
00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:47,040
Speaker 1: through the Alex Preeta fight. He had to get through

207
00:11:47,160 --> 00:11:51,000
Speaker 1: that rivalry, and he did it. Duplesses. I've watched this

208
00:11:51,080 --> 00:11:56,080
Speaker 1: guy fight in person. I'm just not all that impressed. Okay,

209
00:11:56,440 --> 00:11:58,880
Speaker 1: there are some that believe that he did not beat

210
00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:02,640
Speaker 1: Strickland for the belt. If you remember, Strickland won the

211
00:12:02,640 --> 00:12:06,400
Speaker 1: belt against Izzy. We faded Strickland his next fight against

212
00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:10,880
Speaker 1: DPP and he lost. I'm fading DPP on his first

213
00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:13,920
Speaker 1: fight since he won the belt because Adasanya is coming

214
00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:17,880
Speaker 1: for what is rightfully his six foot four. He has

215
00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:21,240
Speaker 1: a four inch reach advantage as long as he does

216
00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:26,320
Speaker 1: not get taken down consistently and dominated by DPP. I

217
00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:28,000
Speaker 1: think Izzy's going to win the fight, and I think

218
00:12:28,040 --> 00:12:31,960
Speaker 1: we get a real cheap price on this. Everyone's coming

219
00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:36,079
Speaker 1: in on DDP, and I don't really understand it. It's

220
00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:39,160
Speaker 1: mine one p. Fifteen on Israel out of Sonya. This

221
00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:42,200
Speaker 1: thing was as high as three thirty at some books

222
00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:44,040
Speaker 1: when they opened up. When the first fight was being

223
00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:47,320
Speaker 1: talked about. Everyone's been on the dog on this driving

224
00:12:47,320 --> 00:12:50,480
Speaker 1: it down. I just don't agree with it. Ata Sonya's

225
00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:53,160
Speaker 1: average fight time is eighteen sixteen, so I'm not sure

226
00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:56,720
Speaker 1: this thing ends in a ko. But I like the

227
00:12:56,800 --> 00:13:00,880
Speaker 1: sprinkle of plus three ten on Adasania to knock him out.

228
00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:03,720
Speaker 1: I think it's possible. I know he's a guy who

229
00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:06,920
Speaker 1: hasn't been knocked out recently. He's run through the UFC

230
00:13:07,440 --> 00:13:10,520
Speaker 1: and he's been tremendous, beating Robert Whitaker knocking him out,

231
00:13:10,720 --> 00:13:14,640
Speaker 1: beating Derek Brunson knocking him out, having decisions against Brad

232
00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:18,400
Speaker 1: Tavares and knocking out, you know, guys like Marcus Perez.

233
00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:21,800
Speaker 1: But then you know, getting a split decision victory against

234
00:13:21,800 --> 00:13:24,720
Speaker 1: Sean Strickland. I don't want to get this fight to

235
00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:26,280
Speaker 1: go to the cards. And if bus he just is

236
00:13:26,400 --> 00:13:29,360
Speaker 1: smart and really keeps himself at a distance and doesn't

237
00:13:29,400 --> 00:13:31,880
Speaker 1: allow DPP to take him down. You look at some

238
00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:35,560
Speaker 1: of the stats for Autasnya, I mean strikes landed, per minute.

239
00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:39,000
Speaker 1: It's actually in DPP's category six point four to nine

240
00:13:39,120 --> 00:13:43,000
Speaker 1: strikes landed per minute, but strike absorbed four point seven.

241
00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:46,240
Speaker 1: That's not good against a knockout artist like Israel out

242
00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:49,839
Speaker 1: of Sonya. If he touches you a lot, I mean

243
00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:52,720
Speaker 1: you could be in big trouble in this division. Out

244
00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:56,000
Speaker 1: of Sanya has been the class for a really long time,

245
00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:58,640
Speaker 1: and I think people might be sleeping on him a bit.

246
00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:03,400
Speaker 1: And forgetting who exactly Israel at Asnya is. I'm taking

247
00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:06,280
Speaker 1: at Asnya money line mice one point fifteen for one

248
00:14:06,360 --> 00:14:08,679
Speaker 1: point one to five units. You can sprinkle on him

249
00:14:08,679 --> 00:14:11,640
Speaker 1: by ko if you want as well at plus three ten.

250
00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:14,600
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna go back to this and say,

251
00:14:14,640 --> 00:14:17,679
Speaker 1: all right, when you saw the fight happen, and you

252
00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:21,080
Speaker 1: saw the opportunity to knock out Perea with an unbelievable

253
00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:25,000
Speaker 1: counter strike, I think this is possible. Is he looked

254
00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:29,520
Speaker 1: disinterested against Sean Strickland five round fight? This thing? You

255
00:14:29,520 --> 00:14:31,040
Speaker 1: could say, well, Matt, why don't you just bet this

256
00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:34,360
Speaker 1: fight to go over? I don't hate that. I mean,

257
00:14:34,400 --> 00:14:35,640
Speaker 1: to be quite honest, you want to say a fight

258
00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:38,720
Speaker 1: goes over, But I just have a hard time getting

259
00:14:38,760 --> 00:14:41,480
Speaker 1: around that and feeling like that's a good fight or

260
00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:45,160
Speaker 1: a good bet in this fight, because we've seen Asnya's

261
00:14:45,160 --> 00:14:48,400
Speaker 1: power when he isn't like anybody he hated Alex Preda

262
00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:52,520
Speaker 1: knocked him out, he hates DPP. So I think you

263
00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:56,000
Speaker 1: could see potentially that bow and arrow celebration coming here

264
00:14:56,160 --> 00:15:01,160
Speaker 1: by Atasnya to knock out a tough who hasn't been

265
00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:05,440
Speaker 1: knocked out in the UFC. But the losses Alasania has suffered.

266
00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:11,000
Speaker 1: Losing the light heavyweight Championship belt fight against Blenkovich, no,

267
00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:14,120
Speaker 1: nothing wrong with that. Losing to Alex Perea and you know,

268
00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:17,480
Speaker 1: a light heavyweight fight, I mean, there's nothing wrong with that.

269
00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:19,480
Speaker 1: I mean this is you can't really get angry about

270
00:15:19,600 --> 00:15:23,000
Speaker 1: losing the tips of fights. Losing to Sean Strickland though, yeah,

271
00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:26,200
Speaker 1: that was something you can't really understand. That's like, wait

272
00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:28,480
Speaker 1: a minute, what how do you lose to that guy?

273
00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:30,960
Speaker 1: Can't be how easy he goes out. I think he's

274
00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:34,320
Speaker 1: got one great performance left in him. At Asnia money

275
00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:37,280
Speaker 1: line minus one sixteen. Take the sprinkle on ko at

276
00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:39,040
Speaker 1: plus three ten as well, if you want a little

277
00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:40,960
Speaker 1: extra on the fight. I do think Alsnya can knock

278
00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:43,640
Speaker 1: him out and have a highlight reel type of fight.

279
00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:47,080
Speaker 1: Win here knockout KO victory in the main event of

280
00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:49,800
Speaker 1: UFC three to five. All right, so a big card

281
00:15:49,880 --> 00:15:53,440
Speaker 1: for us here on a Saturday. Red Sox Orioles over nine,

282
00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:56,880
Speaker 1: under thirty six and a half, Bengals and the Bears

283
00:15:57,440 --> 00:16:00,359
Speaker 1: under thirty nine and a half, Bills and the Steelers.

284
00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:04,200
Speaker 1: The fight not to start the second round tied to

285
00:16:04,320 --> 00:16:09,080
Speaker 1: Avasa up against Rosenstrike and Adasanya money line to win

286
00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:13,960
Speaker 1: his belt back against DPP at UFC three oh five.

287
00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:16,720
Speaker 1: Let's have a Saturday. My name is Matt Parolt, follow

288
00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:19,640
Speaker 1: reads all socials at Sports Talk Matt. Every morning, it's

289
00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:37,080
Speaker 1: the Dili Juce Podcast, presented by Bettingpros dot Com.