WEBVTT - Best Bets for NFL Week 2 | Top Picks and Predictions (Ep. 515) 0:00:01.000 --> 0:00:03.360 Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 0:00:03.400 --> 0:00:05.920 your bets. So this met Joey p jopis Apia and 0:00:06.000 --> 0:00:09.559 it's time to look ahead two the week. Two best 0:00:09.560 --> 0:00:11.799 bets of the week. That's right. I want to thank 0:00:11.880 --> 0:00:14.360 everybody for joining us all week here in bp NFL. 0:00:14.720 --> 0:00:17.320 We've had some great numbers thanks to all of you 0:00:17.360 --> 0:00:19.119 hanging out with us. Don't forget to subscribe to the 0:00:19.120 --> 0:00:22.680 YouTube channel, drop your comments below, and of course ring 0:00:22.680 --> 0:00:24.960 the bell to Litos Dan for notifications. So yeah, never 0:00:25.000 --> 0:00:28.760 miss a live stream, you never miss a podcast, because 0:00:29.120 --> 0:00:32.239 last week we certainly must see television than before we 0:00:32.280 --> 0:00:34.600 get going here. Now, I am a man of honor. 0:00:34.800 --> 0:00:38.240 Andrew Rickson is also a man of honor. We said 0:00:38.240 --> 0:00:41.159 that we would come here last week and next week, 0:00:41.200 --> 0:00:43.280 I should say, and this is now officially next week, 0:00:43.560 --> 0:00:46.960 and we would settle up as it were, because Ericson 0:00:47.120 --> 0:00:50.199 was so strong, feeling so confident about Aaron Rodgers and 0:00:50.240 --> 0:00:53.240 the New York Jets that even after the show, we 0:00:53.360 --> 0:00:55.800 decided to do a side wager, and that side wager 0:00:56.040 --> 0:00:58.960 was paid out. Terrell, I might buy you an extra 0:00:59.040 --> 0:01:02.440 bit of popcorn week, but I have my venmo open. 0:01:02.760 --> 0:01:05.920 I am ready to receive. Go ahead, Terrell, what do 0:01:05.959 --> 0:01:07.319 you want to jump in here real quick? 0:01:07.680 --> 0:01:10.720 No, no, no, I'm just I'm really glad to see 0:01:10.880 --> 0:01:14.520 this gentlemanship going on here. This is very very. 0:01:14.480 --> 0:01:16.920 He's doing it live. We're doing it live on the 0:01:16.920 --> 0:01:19.639 show right now. I didn't one who send. 0:01:19.520 --> 0:01:22.040 The requell where you said it it was gonna be live. No, 0:01:22.440 --> 0:01:24.000 it was like, oh yeah, I'm gonna get it after 0:01:24.000 --> 0:01:24.400 the show. 0:01:24.880 --> 0:01:27.160 No no, no, no, no, we got into it after 0:01:27.160 --> 0:01:29.320 the show. Now I'm gonna get it on the show. 0:01:29.480 --> 0:01:31.280 That's what we're gonna do. And look, i'd be taking 0:01:31.280 --> 0:01:33.160 the l same thing. This is what we do here 0:01:33.160 --> 0:01:35.880 in the program, so ericson. I wasn't gonna be obnoxious. 0:01:35.880 --> 0:01:38.800 I wasn't gonna send you the request for money. I'm 0:01:38.880 --> 0:01:42.640 gonna wait here for it to happen. But the thing 0:01:42.640 --> 0:01:44.839 that made it the most sweet is that the line 0:01:44.880 --> 0:01:46.800 went to three and a half when McCaffrey was out 0:01:47.040 --> 0:01:50.520 and I bet it again because I'm obnoxious, because I 0:01:50.560 --> 0:01:52.520 bet Jordan Mason score a touchdown, and I put it 0:01:52.560 --> 0:01:56.120 in the parlay together. So the text thread between Andrew 0:01:56.160 --> 0:01:58.320 and myself was very fun, was it not? Andrew. It 0:01:58.360 --> 0:01:59.880 was a good time on Monday. 0:01:59.600 --> 0:02:07.680 Night getting the constant updates, especially when it looked like 0:02:07.720 --> 0:02:10.399 the Jets had had a sense of life. Oh they're 0:02:10.440 --> 0:02:10.920 coming back. 0:02:11.320 --> 0:02:13.880 That was the worst part. Now I was doing score 0:02:13.960 --> 0:02:15.720 updates for him, and then eventually got to a place 0:02:15.760 --> 0:02:18.040 where I said, Okay, I'll go I'm gonna yeah, I 0:02:18.040 --> 0:02:20.480 think it's over. We're gonna you know whatever, you know, 0:02:20.560 --> 0:02:22.560 pay up. And Andrew's like, okay, it's done. And then 0:02:22.600 --> 0:02:24.959 the Jets started to look like he said out. It's like, 0:02:24.960 --> 0:02:27.880 oh no, I chased it. Oh my goodness. So the 0:02:28.000 --> 0:02:31.640 Venmo's open, ready to receive whenever you're ready. And speaking 0:02:31.639 --> 0:02:34.440 of receiving, you should receive the best tools on the 0:02:34.440 --> 0:02:36.399 planet for betting, and that is the Betting pros app. 0:02:36.480 --> 0:02:38.760 So download the Betting pros app for iOS or Android 0:02:39.040 --> 0:02:41.640 and synk your sports books for free. Automatically track all 0:02:41.639 --> 0:02:45.680 your bets across major sports platforms in one spot, and 0:02:45.840 --> 0:02:49.160 you can easily monitor all your bets and hair performances 0:02:49.200 --> 0:02:52.799 by sport and by type, including game picks, props and parlays. 0:02:53.080 --> 0:02:55.240 That's right, we got the SGP tool he around these 0:02:55.280 --> 0:02:58.360 parts nowadays, So create custom betting systems to find winning 0:02:58.400 --> 0:03:01.280 trends and profitable opportunity. He's get a free trial of 0:03:01.320 --> 0:03:04.560 Betting Pros Premium just by downloading app right now and 0:03:04.639 --> 0:03:07.760 activating your trial on the upgrade screen again, the Betting 0:03:07.800 --> 0:03:11.920 Pros app start betting smarter, not harder. Andrew Erickson, Uh, 0:03:12.040 --> 0:03:13.480 it looks like you're taking a long time here to 0:03:13.480 --> 0:03:15.000 send me this money. I don't know if you're texting 0:03:15.480 --> 0:03:17.920 uh Western Union or what you're doing here. 0:03:18.560 --> 0:03:21.079 It's not letting me go. I swear, it's just count. 0:03:23.000 --> 0:03:24.080 I'm gonna let you go for. 0:03:25.720 --> 0:03:28.000 I was. I was concerned that I didn't have enough 0:03:28.000 --> 0:03:30.079 in my Venmo bounce, but I have exactly twenty five 0:03:30.120 --> 0:03:32.200 dollars and it's not going. 0:03:31.960 --> 0:03:34.800 Through, Thank goodness. Uh, don't don't make that. 0:03:35.840 --> 0:03:39.880 There's too many parlays in the Venmo memo account. But no, 0:03:40.040 --> 0:03:40.680 it'll it'll. 0:03:40.720 --> 0:03:42.280 I don't know why it's not worth I don't know either, 0:03:42.440 --> 0:03:45.600 but it better work by the end of the show. 0:03:46.200 --> 0:03:49.200 Where's my money, man, where's my money? Where's my money man? 0:03:49.560 --> 0:03:51.280 You might have a visit from Uncle Joey and his 0:03:51.360 --> 0:03:59.360 cousins and like Stuwiee. While Andrew's figuring out how Venmo works, Terrell, 0:03:59.360 --> 0:04:01.560 why don't you kick all for Week two? Your favorite 0:04:01.600 --> 0:04:03.119 bets a lot of great games to get to. Let's 0:04:03.160 --> 0:04:04.320 kick things off, all right. 0:04:04.320 --> 0:04:07.240 I'm gonna kick things off with the Jags laying three 0:04:07.400 --> 0:04:10.840 here at home against Cleveland because did you see Deshaun 0:04:10.880 --> 0:04:15.600 Watson in that game? And honestly, it it transcends everything 0:04:15.880 --> 0:04:19.240 on the field. Deshaun Watson has the Ben Simmons going on, 0:04:19.560 --> 0:04:21.320 and I think that's what we should start calling it 0:04:21.400 --> 0:04:24.680 all around sports, the Ben Simmons because this is all mental, 0:04:25.040 --> 0:04:27.080 Like this is pure mental that he is just not 0:04:27.200 --> 0:04:29.200 making the right read, he's not making the right decision, 0:04:29.240 --> 0:04:30.720 he's holding on to the ball too long. 0:04:30.880 --> 0:04:31.720 All right, there we go. 0:04:31.760 --> 0:04:34.440 It looks like we have a SiZ and it's just 0:04:35.040 --> 0:04:37.919 I cannot get behind Deshaun Watson. We have Deshaun Watson 0:04:37.960 --> 0:04:40.920 who's primarily a indoor better indoor quarterback than he is 0:04:40.920 --> 0:04:44.240 an outdoor quarterback. Going into Jacksonville to play. We're expecting 0:04:44.279 --> 0:04:45.920 to see some rain here, respect to see a little 0:04:45.920 --> 0:04:47.400 bit of weather. I think it's still gonna be hot 0:04:47.400 --> 0:04:50.080 and humid. Plus, when a team is up ten plus 0:04:50.160 --> 0:04:54.040 points and loses in Week one, in Week two, twenty 0:04:54.080 --> 0:04:56.560 eight seventeen and one against the spread. I'm going to 0:04:56.680 --> 0:04:59.720 back the Jags to get this done. Lang three. 0:05:00.240 --> 0:05:02.240 It's a great stat there, Turell. You're thrown out there. 0:05:02.279 --> 0:05:04.160 And look, if you watched the shows last week, and 0:05:04.240 --> 0:05:06.159 I know you did, we told you right in the 0:05:06.160 --> 0:05:08.400 look ahead for week one that the line was wrong. 0:05:08.800 --> 0:05:10.839 The Cowboys should be favored. Jump on it right away. 0:05:10.920 --> 0:05:14.120 Hopefully you listen to us here and you did just that. 0:05:14.600 --> 0:05:17.200 Cleveland Browns did not look good. Deshaun Watson does not 0:05:17.360 --> 0:05:19.359 look good at all, and I would not shock me 0:05:19.400 --> 0:05:21.720 if he got pulled from this game. It just would 0:05:21.760 --> 0:05:23.719 not shock me that the leash might be very, very 0:05:23.720 --> 0:05:26.760 short for him. Ericson what's your first favorite bet for 0:05:26.960 --> 0:05:28.400 week two? When you're looking at the games? 0:05:28.760 --> 0:05:31.000 Speaking of Browns and the Cowboys, I'm going right back 0:05:31.000 --> 0:05:33.600 to Dallas, Big d Dallas playing in the home opener, 0:05:33.800 --> 0:05:36.960 Dak Prescott signing that brand new contract. He's the Cowboys 0:05:37.040 --> 0:05:39.680 quarterback forever. According to Jerry Jones. We'll see how long 0:05:39.760 --> 0:05:42.920 that lasts. But look, Dallas, they are the death star 0:05:42.960 --> 0:05:45.600 at home right. I love backing. This is the reason 0:05:45.640 --> 0:05:47.840 why Dallas wasn't favored last year because they were on 0:05:47.880 --> 0:05:50.160 the road, because everyone knows, oh, well Dallas can't play 0:05:50.200 --> 0:05:52.080 in the road. This is where their defense has problems 0:05:52.120 --> 0:05:54.480 and the offense doesn't work as well. Well, they're back 0:05:54.520 --> 0:05:57.520 at home and they're taking on the Saints team that 0:05:58.080 --> 0:06:00.800 I was very much against last week. But unfortunately, my 0:06:00.920 --> 0:06:04.039 Carolina Panthers are just that bad. So they made the 0:06:04.080 --> 0:06:07.040 Saints look absolute electric. Derek Carr looked like Joe Montana 0:06:07.040 --> 0:06:10.360 out there, absolutely electric. But let's remind, let's think back 0:06:10.640 --> 0:06:13.080 last year Week one, Derek Carr tossed for three hundred 0:06:13.120 --> 0:06:15.560 passing yards. He was like, oh, Derek Carr Saints debut. 0:06:15.560 --> 0:06:17.760 It looks pretty good. So I'm going to fade the 0:06:17.800 --> 0:06:20.520 Saints again. See it burns me two weeks in a row. 0:06:20.640 --> 0:06:22.760 But the fact that I'm now on the Dallas side 0:06:22.800 --> 0:06:24.880 of things and not the Carolina Panthers a different ends 0:06:24.880 --> 0:06:26.880 of the spectrum. So looking at dallass how good they've 0:06:26.880 --> 0:06:28.120 been at home. They were eight and one in a 0:06:28.120 --> 0:06:30.520 home last season. If you look at the overall favorites 0:06:30.560 --> 0:06:33.400 in Dallas games fifteen to the last twenty Dallas Cowboys games, 0:06:33.480 --> 0:06:36.120 the favorites have covered and last fifteen games at home 0:06:36.160 --> 0:06:38.680 as favorites. Dallas is ten and five against the spread, 0:06:38.760 --> 0:06:41.040 so I'm going to back Big d all right. 0:06:41.080 --> 0:06:42.840 Before we get to Terrell's next bet, I just want 0:06:42.880 --> 0:06:46.520 to confirm payment has been made, that has been settled. 0:06:46.720 --> 0:06:52.440 And the notation very amusing in the Venmo transaction. All 0:06:52.440 --> 0:06:56.320 it says is the Jets with a lowercase J and 0:06:56.400 --> 0:06:59.520 a crying face eboji. There we go. That's about as 0:06:59.520 --> 0:06:59.960 good as a gain. 0:07:00.040 --> 0:07:01.680 That lowercase J is crazy. 0:07:01.880 --> 0:07:04.640 Yeah, well they played capitalization. 0:07:05.000 --> 0:07:07.599 They did not. And uh again the fact that we 0:07:07.800 --> 0:07:10.760 were you feeling confident when CMC was out, did you 0:07:10.800 --> 0:07:12.760 really start to like lick your chops Eric and You're like, oh, 0:07:12.800 --> 0:07:15.480 I'm gonna stuff it down Joe's throat? Man, you did, 0:07:15.520 --> 0:07:15.880 didn't you? 0:07:16.040 --> 0:07:20.760 I mean, I was definitely feeling better about it. But 0:07:21.480 --> 0:07:22.920 I mean I was gonna be like, I mean, Joe, 0:07:22.920 --> 0:07:24.000 if you want to, you know, want to take the 0:07:24.040 --> 0:07:25.520 bet out the table, if you want to just call it, 0:07:25.560 --> 0:07:29.480 call the bet off, like I was thinking about. I'm 0:07:29.520 --> 0:07:30.240 glad I didn't do that. 0:07:31.040 --> 0:07:33.000 There was no way. There was no way I was 0:07:33.000 --> 0:07:35.040 going all the way. Baby. All right, let's go to 0:07:35.080 --> 0:07:36.920 Threll for your second pick. What do you have here? 0:07:37.200 --> 0:07:40.440 All right, Seattle Seahawks laying three and a half at 0:07:40.640 --> 0:07:43.280 New England here, and yes it's on the road in 0:07:43.320 --> 0:07:45.680 New England. But I just want you guys to know, 0:07:45.760 --> 0:07:47.960 if you didn't watch that gaming, you both for Patriots fans, 0:07:47.960 --> 0:07:49.920 so I think you did. They dumped the gatory. 0:07:50.680 --> 0:07:54.160 They dumped the gatory in Week one first. 0:07:56.400 --> 0:07:59.000 Super Bowl. Baby, it's not gonna get better than this thrill. 0:07:59.200 --> 0:07:59.840 That's it. It's all. 0:08:00.720 --> 0:08:03.160 Oh, it's absolutely not getting better than that in this game. 0:08:03.240 --> 0:08:05.040 I'll tell you that. So late at three and a 0:08:05.080 --> 0:08:08.200 half year, Seattle's defense was really good. And I get 0:08:08.200 --> 0:08:10.520 it it was a rookie quarterback against bo Nicks, but 0:08:10.560 --> 0:08:13.920 they were really really good. They forced twenty one total pressures, 0:08:13.960 --> 0:08:17.480 six QB hits, fourteen hurries, a sack like I think 0:08:17.520 --> 0:08:20.000 that that defense is going to get after and Jacobe 0:08:20.000 --> 0:08:22.760 Burssett already banged up. Did you see when he went 0:08:22.880 --> 0:08:25.760 down and he was slow to get up. He's already 0:08:25.800 --> 0:08:27.680 banged up. I don't think that he can take any 0:08:27.680 --> 0:08:29.960 more of a pass rush than what the Bengals gave him. 0:08:29.960 --> 0:08:31.720 So I like Seattle to get this done. I think 0:08:31.800 --> 0:08:33.559 Gino is a really good quarterback and he's going to 0:08:33.600 --> 0:08:34.760 be able to do it on the route. 0:08:34.559 --> 0:08:38.160 All right. I completely disagree with this take. So this 0:08:38.240 --> 0:08:39.720 is going to be the fun one for this week. 0:08:40.080 --> 0:08:42.120 More to come on that later in this show, but 0:08:42.240 --> 0:08:45.320 for now, Andrew Erickson, let's go to your second pick 0:08:45.360 --> 0:08:48.319 here as we continue to break down another game too 0:08:48.320 --> 0:08:50.040 that should have a lot of eyeballs on it, Tampa 0:08:50.080 --> 0:08:52.240 and Detroit. Baker played really well and you've got some 0:08:52.280 --> 0:08:53.320 feelings about this one. 0:08:53.520 --> 0:08:56.160 Yeah, I want the over. I love overs, especially when 0:08:56.200 --> 0:08:58.480 it's in the Lions at Ford Field, the course field 0:08:58.520 --> 0:09:02.280 on the NFL Lions last twenty home games, fifty four 0:09:02.320 --> 0:09:04.719 and a half points. That's the average total, fifty four 0:09:04.720 --> 0:09:06.680 and a half points last twenty home games the line. 0:09:06.720 --> 0:09:09.079 Seventy five percent of the games have scored at least 0:09:09.320 --> 0:09:12.440 fifty one points. So I'm just chasing the trend here. 0:09:12.800 --> 0:09:15.240 Last week we obviously saw a high scoring game. He 0:09:15.240 --> 0:09:17.200 did not go over the total, but that makes me 0:09:17.240 --> 0:09:19.680 more bullish, said, Hey, like regression to the meme. Baby, 0:09:19.960 --> 0:09:23.040 Let's go Tampa. Bay's coming in Baker Mayfields, feeling himself. 0:09:23.040 --> 0:09:25.840 He's throwing touchdowns all over the place. They have no 0:09:26.000 --> 0:09:29.120 cornerbacks left. You look at the Buccaneers injury report looks 0:09:29.160 --> 0:09:31.720 like a CVS receipt man. All the cornerbacks are hurt 0:09:31.960 --> 0:09:35.640 across the board man. So I think that the Buccaneers 0:09:35.679 --> 0:09:37.320 are game planning for We need to score at least 0:09:37.320 --> 0:09:39.520 thirty points if we have any shot of winning this game. 0:09:39.880 --> 0:09:41.760 And we know how good this line's office can be 0:09:42.400 --> 0:09:45.200 against an undermanned Buccaneers. They're gonna have answers for Amamra 0:09:45.320 --> 0:09:48.280 Saint Brown, the running backs, Jamison Williams breaking out Sam Laporta. 0:09:48.440 --> 0:09:50.320 So I think it's as simple as we're just gonna 0:09:50.320 --> 0:09:52.160 see so many points in this game. I do think 0:09:52.160 --> 0:09:54.400 that there is some value on the Buccaneers at plus 0:09:54.480 --> 0:09:56.800 seven and a half. I am that is a big line, 0:09:56.840 --> 0:09:59.000 but Gan Campbell's is so good against the spread, I'm 0:09:59.000 --> 0:10:00.520 just gonna take the overage the points. 0:10:00.760 --> 0:10:03.079 The only thing better than making fun wagers on the 0:10:03.160 --> 0:10:05.160 NFL is doing it with a group of people. That's 0:10:05.200 --> 0:10:07.600 why we do this every week together here. And if 0:10:07.600 --> 0:10:10.440 you're looking to join a fun community of folks who 0:10:11.080 --> 0:10:14.240 just love wagering, well, then you should join our exclusive 0:10:14.240 --> 0:10:17.960 sports betting community over on discord at bettingpros dot com, 0:10:18.000 --> 0:10:21.800 slash Chat Terrell actually stands out there. It's very exclusive. 0:10:21.880 --> 0:10:23.520 He has de velvet rope and the whole thing, and 0:10:23.800 --> 0:10:25.520 if you're cool, he'll let you in. If not, you 0:10:25.600 --> 0:10:27.040 might have to take a little walk around the block 0:10:27.160 --> 0:10:29.880 or maybe throw them a ten spot. Maybe your venmo 0:10:29.960 --> 0:10:34.439 works unlike Erickson's. You get free picks though from expert handicappers, 0:10:34.440 --> 0:10:36.760 You connect with fellow betters and elevate your strategy and 0:10:36.800 --> 0:10:40.240 insights from the pros. Plus, you can join our NFL 0:10:40.280 --> 0:10:43.200 podcast group too. Just sink your sports books, sink your picks, 0:10:43.559 --> 0:10:46.319 and use the quick pick feature on the Betting Pros 0:10:46.360 --> 0:10:49.000 app for a chance to win glorious prizes. You can 0:10:49.080 --> 0:10:52.600 join that group today at bettingpros dot com slash NFL Contest, 0:10:52.960 --> 0:10:55.280 or if you have the Betting Pros app already, you 0:10:55.320 --> 0:10:57.160 can go right to the community tab and find that 0:10:57.200 --> 0:10:59.080 you can also follow all of us there at bettingpros 0:10:59.120 --> 0:11:02.600 dot com, slash Joe, slash Ericson, and slash Terrell. So 0:11:02.720 --> 0:11:05.000 join the discord again, Betting pros dot com slash chat 0:11:05.200 --> 0:11:08.600 and join our fun contest over bettingpros dot Com slash 0:11:08.800 --> 0:11:10.720 NFL Contest and you don't even have to make bets. 0:11:10.800 --> 0:11:13.200 You just have to make picks. It's super fun. You 0:11:13.200 --> 0:11:15.680 should do it. All right, let's continue on here for 0:11:15.840 --> 0:11:19.959 the third round. Here Terrell Jets going to play the 0:11:20.000 --> 0:11:22.920 Tennessee Titans. Now, it feels like the Jets should be 0:11:23.640 --> 0:11:26.760 getting back on track here after an embarrassing loss to 0:11:26.840 --> 0:11:29.480 the forty nine ers. But is that the story you're 0:11:29.480 --> 0:11:30.360 gonna tell us. 0:11:32.200 --> 0:11:34.080 I don't think they get back on track. I just 0:11:34.080 --> 0:11:36.240 think this is a really really tough spot for them. 0:11:36.559 --> 0:11:39.760 They went all the way to California road trip, come 0:11:39.800 --> 0:11:42.280 back New York, going to Tennessee, like back to back 0:11:42.400 --> 0:11:45.200 road game set. This offense did not look good and 0:11:45.240 --> 0:11:48.000 Tennessey's defense looked really really good last week, and so 0:11:48.640 --> 0:11:51.199 I like the under. I'm gonna play it safe. I'll 0:11:51.200 --> 0:11:54.520 take the under forty two here, Will Levis, I may 0:11:54.559 --> 0:11:58.040 need to have a eulogy forum and my Will Levis 0:11:58.160 --> 0:12:01.000 most passing yards prop in week one. But it's fine. 0:12:01.080 --> 0:12:03.679 It's totally fine because the defense played amazing. I know 0:12:03.720 --> 0:12:06.520 that this Jets defense is looking and chopping at the 0:12:06.520 --> 0:12:08.360 bits to have a better game than they had against 0:12:08.400 --> 0:12:10.040 the forty nine ers. I don't think that the Titans 0:12:10.080 --> 0:12:12.120 could take advantage of the running game there. I think 0:12:12.160 --> 0:12:15.200 this is an ugly defensive game, and with the Jets 0:12:15.200 --> 0:12:18.000 looking ahead so Thursday Night football as well, I don't. 0:12:17.880 --> 0:12:18.960 Think they're running to score up. 0:12:19.000 --> 0:12:21.040 I think this is a twenty seventeen type of game. 0:12:21.080 --> 0:12:22.160 So give me the under forty two. 0:12:22.679 --> 0:12:26.040 I gotta tell you, man, I am not pleased with 0:12:26.080 --> 0:12:29.800 will Levis right now. Will Levis last week cost me, Bunny. 0:12:30.160 --> 0:12:31.880 All you do is a sack. That's all you do 0:12:31.920 --> 0:12:33.600 is eat a sack. I was on the Tennessee side. 0:12:33.600 --> 0:12:35.880 Everybody knows that last week. I'm still not happy with 0:12:35.920 --> 0:12:40.040 Will Levis, but frustrations aside for a moment, Andrew Erickson, 0:12:40.080 --> 0:12:42.319 let's go to you for round three. Here, the Indianapolis 0:12:42.360 --> 0:12:45.120 Colts are gonna go to green Bay take on the 0:12:45.120 --> 0:12:48.000 Packers without Jordan Love. I'm surprised this line is still 0:12:48.040 --> 0:12:52.040 as small as it is considering the downgraded quarterback. So 0:12:52.080 --> 0:12:53.640 what do you make of this one here? As we 0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:55.200 look at the Green Bay Indie game. 0:12:55.600 --> 0:12:58.760 Well, it might be some gamesmanship with the floor saying, well, 0:12:59.000 --> 0:13:01.120 you know, we're not gonna rule your love out quite away. 0:13:01.280 --> 0:13:03.880 But I mean, I think that he's not gonna play 0:13:03.880 --> 0:13:05.800 in this game. So if we get Malik Willis, I 0:13:05.800 --> 0:13:07.439 think once he's announce to the start, you're gonna see 0:13:07.480 --> 0:13:09.800 this line jump. So I'm just trying to take advantage. Look, 0:13:09.840 --> 0:13:11.800 the Colts, this is a team that usually want to 0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:14.160 fade as an underdog under Shane Stike in but when 0:13:14.160 --> 0:13:16.800 they're the favorite, they show up. Look at last year 0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:20.000 six and zero as favorites in twenty twenty three, so 0:13:20.040 --> 0:13:21.840 they're favorite in this game even though they're playing on 0:13:21.880 --> 0:13:23.760 the road. The favorites have won each of the colts 0:13:23.880 --> 0:13:27.840 last thirteen games. Look, Malik Willis is a sack machine. 0:13:28.280 --> 0:13:30.560 I am not intimidated or afraid of him or whatsoever. 0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:32.520 I don't think he can take advantage of the Colts 0:13:32.600 --> 0:13:35.520 secondary and the bad pieces that they have on defense. 0:13:36.240 --> 0:13:38.040 So yeah, I think that the Colts are going to 0:13:38.120 --> 0:13:41.960 win this game. Malik Willis. Yes, he's mobile and the 0:13:42.040 --> 0:13:44.760 plucky backup quarterback. I just don't think that narrative is 0:13:44.760 --> 0:13:46.640 gonna work here. If anything, I like the under in 0:13:46.679 --> 0:13:48.439 this game because you know, the best bet in this 0:13:48.440 --> 0:13:51.400 game almost gonna be like under quarterback completions in total. 0:13:51.720 --> 0:13:54.000 That should be the bet that you make because I 0:13:54.040 --> 0:13:56.199 don't know if they get over twenty combined between Anthony 0:13:56.320 --> 0:13:59.560 Richardson and Malik Willis. So I like the under. I 0:13:59.640 --> 0:14:02.640 like the first tath under. Yeah, all the unders and 0:14:02.679 --> 0:14:03.600 just give me the Colts. 0:14:03.920 --> 0:14:06.920 Okay, Terrell, let's go back to you. Houston and Chicago, 0:14:08.080 --> 0:14:10.160 both teams came out with victories, are both one and 0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:13.000 oh so only this week can you get one winner 0:14:13.040 --> 0:14:15.760 in this contest? So are you looking at the side 0:14:15.760 --> 0:14:17.360 of this game or are you're looking at the grand 0:14:17.400 --> 0:14:19.720 total when it comes to this contest? Yeah, I like 0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:20.160 the total. 0:14:20.200 --> 0:14:23.040 I'm gonna take the game under here, and I'm backing 0:14:23.040 --> 0:14:25.200 this Bears defense that I saw in the second half 0:14:25.280 --> 0:14:27.560 of that game shut out Tennessee Titans and looked really, 0:14:27.560 --> 0:14:30.800 really good. And I think the Houston Texans just kind 0:14:30.800 --> 0:14:33.920 of got caught up in the Anthony Richardson and he 0:14:33.960 --> 0:14:36.160 made a whole bunch of really really big plays and 0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:39.240 put scores on the board. But they made a lot 0:14:39.240 --> 0:14:41.760 of good defensive plays where Anthony Richardson didn't look like 0:14:41.760 --> 0:14:44.080 that good of a quarterback. I think that settles in. 0:14:44.120 --> 0:14:46.560 You have a rookie quarterback on his first road start here. 0:14:47.080 --> 0:14:49.480 I think that they're gonna struggle moving the ball there now. 0:14:49.520 --> 0:14:52.600 Without Roma Doonzay Keenan Allen is banged up as well. 0:14:52.680 --> 0:14:55.400 That offensive line didn't look that good. I just think 0:14:55.440 --> 0:14:58.280 that the Texans could win, but this game is going 0:14:58.560 --> 0:15:01.360 under regardless, so I'm taking under forty four and a half. 0:15:01.280 --> 0:15:04.360 Here ericson the Cincinnati Bengals looked about as bad as 0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:06.800 you could possibly look last week on Sunday. When I 0:15:06.840 --> 0:15:08.520 saw that seven and a half still floating out there, 0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:10.280 I'm still mad at myself for not betting it on 0:15:10.320 --> 0:15:12.120 the Patriot side, I really just thought that was too 0:15:12.200 --> 0:15:13.040 many points there. 0:15:13.960 --> 0:15:16.600 Did you do it? Convinced? I gave the show I 0:15:17.360 --> 0:15:18.760 you did it, Let's. 0:15:18.600 --> 0:15:21.640 Go out, And after the T Higgins went out situation, 0:15:21.880 --> 0:15:23.760 and then the Chase was sick and all these things, 0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:25.280 I was like, man, I should be betting this, and 0:15:25.320 --> 0:15:27.360 then I just flat out, for god, I got caught 0:15:27.440 --> 0:15:29.080 up between the TV show and the live stream and 0:15:29.120 --> 0:15:30.560 I just forgot to do it. Next thing, you know, 0:15:30.600 --> 0:15:32.080 the game started, I was like, ah, I forget it. 0:15:32.120 --> 0:15:34.960 We'll just I'm already pot committed for a week one. 0:15:35.280 --> 0:15:38.840 But we know this about the Cincinnati Bengals. They're slow starters. 0:15:39.600 --> 0:15:43.280 To the Cincinnati Bengals year up here after a tough 0:15:43.320 --> 0:15:46.000 home loss and go take it to the Chiefs here 0:15:46.080 --> 0:15:49.040 and possibly be competitive in this game, or there are 0:15:49.160 --> 0:15:51.000 too many issues right now for the Bengals just straightened 0:15:51.000 --> 0:15:53.640 out and they're just not ready to face the Chiefs 0:15:53.680 --> 0:15:54.640 on longer rest. 0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:57.800 Well, I'm taking Cincinnati plus six, So I hope they 0:15:57.840 --> 0:16:00.520 figure it out. That's the way I see. I think again, 0:16:00.600 --> 0:16:03.120 all the concerns you just listed out, that's baked into 0:16:03.120 --> 0:16:06.120 the line. Right again, Bengals Chiefs, two SUPERWL contenders, measure 0:16:06.200 --> 0:16:07.960 this was week one, right, what would the line be? 0:16:08.280 --> 0:16:10.600 Would not be plus six? Right, There's no way it 0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:12.000 would be plus six things it would be I. 0:16:11.960 --> 0:16:13.880 Would think four and a half. And I think it's 0:16:13.920 --> 0:16:14.840 probably more unlikely. 0:16:15.000 --> 0:16:17.760 Yes, But again you're getting value here with the Bengals. 0:16:17.760 --> 0:16:19.520 And you look at what Joe Burrow's done against the 0:16:19.520 --> 0:16:22.960 spread following a loss fourteen to five. Mister Joey covers 0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:25.960 Burrow against the Chiefs. He's three and one against the spread, 0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:29.080 and straight up, all four matchups that he's played against 0:16:29.080 --> 0:16:31.120 the Chiefs when he's been healthy have been settled by 0:16:31.440 --> 0:16:35.000 three points a field goal. You're giving me six for 0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:37.880 Joe Burrow. Look here, I think that he's held I 0:16:37.880 --> 0:16:39.480 think this risk thing is being totally overblown. He's talk 0:16:39.480 --> 0:16:41.240 about dud I was like drinking out of water bottle, man, Like, 0:16:41.280 --> 0:16:43.280 I was like, I have to move my wrist to 0:16:43.320 --> 0:16:46.480 drink out of this water bottle. So the way I 0:16:46.520 --> 0:16:48.760 kind of look at this is betting against Andy Reid 0:16:48.760 --> 0:16:51.320 with extra time obviously not a great move, right, So 0:16:51.520 --> 0:16:53.040 that is kind of one of the reasons why this 0:16:53.080 --> 0:16:55.480 is a little bit scary. But who's more desperate to 0:16:55.520 --> 0:16:58.040 win this game? Right? The Chiefs know they're going to 0:16:58.080 --> 0:17:00.960 be in the playoffs. This game in the retrospect the 0:17:00.960 --> 0:17:03.320 long term, Yes, is obviously an AFC opponent and that matters, 0:17:03.600 --> 0:17:05.040 but they know they're going to be the number one, 0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:06.160 number two, number three seed. 0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:06.480 Whatever. 0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:08.840 The Bengals, I don't know if they can lose this 0:17:08.880 --> 0:17:10.800 game if they go and to what we know the 0:17:10.800 --> 0:17:12.359 track record of team to start owing too, they always 0:17:12.359 --> 0:17:15.520 missed the playoffs. All those statistics the Bengals, what they 0:17:15.520 --> 0:17:17.920 did last week and just how bad that was at home. 0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:20.239 I think that they have to show. I think they 0:17:20.280 --> 0:17:21.960 they're gonna need to want it more again. This seems 0:17:21.960 --> 0:17:24.480 like like really like hands in the dirt, take but 0:17:25.359 --> 0:17:27.560