1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,400 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: your bets. So this met Joey p jopis Apia and 3 00:00:06,000 --> 00:00:09,559 Speaker 1: it's time to look ahead two the week. Two best 4 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:11,799 Speaker 1: bets of the week. That's right. I want to thank 5 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:14,360 Speaker 1: everybody for joining us all week here in bp NFL. 6 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:17,320 Speaker 1: We've had some great numbers thanks to all of you 7 00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:19,119 Speaker 1: hanging out with us. Don't forget to subscribe to the 8 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 1: YouTube channel, drop your comments below, and of course ring 9 00:00:22,680 --> 00:00:24,960 Speaker 1: the bell to Litos Dan for notifications. So yeah, never 10 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 1: miss a live stream, you never miss a podcast, because 11 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:32,239 Speaker 1: last week we certainly must see television than before we 12 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:34,600 Speaker 1: get going here. Now, I am a man of honor. 13 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:38,240 Speaker 1: Andrew Rickson is also a man of honor. We said 14 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:41,159 Speaker 1: that we would come here last week and next week, 15 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 1: I should say, and this is now officially next week, 16 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:46,960 Speaker 1: and we would settle up as it were, because Ericson 17 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:50,199 Speaker 1: was so strong, feeling so confident about Aaron Rodgers and 18 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:53,240 Speaker 1: the New York Jets that even after the show, we 19 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 1: decided to do a side wager, and that side wager 20 00:00:56,040 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 1: was paid out. Terrell, I might buy you an extra 21 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 1: bit of popcorn week, but I have my venmo open. 22 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 1: I am ready to receive. Go ahead, Terrell, what do 23 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 1: you want to jump in here real quick? 24 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 2: No, no, no, I'm just I'm really glad to see 25 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 2: this gentlemanship going on here. This is very very. 26 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:16,920 Speaker 1: He's doing it live. We're doing it live on the 27 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:19,639 Speaker 1: show right now. I didn't one who send. 28 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:22,040 Speaker 2: The requell where you said it it was gonna be live. No, 29 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 2: it was like, oh yeah, I'm gonna get it after 30 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:24,400 Speaker 2: the show. 31 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 1: No no, no, no, no, we got into it after 32 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:29,320 Speaker 1: the show. Now I'm gonna get it on the show. 33 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:31,280 Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna do. And look, i'd be taking 34 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 1: the l same thing. This is what we do here 35 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 1: in the program, so ericson. I wasn't gonna be obnoxious. 36 00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 1: I wasn't gonna send you the request for money. I'm 37 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 1: gonna wait here for it to happen. But the thing 38 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:44,839 Speaker 1: that made it the most sweet is that the line 39 00:01:44,880 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 1: went to three and a half when McCaffrey was out 40 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,520 Speaker 1: and I bet it again because I'm obnoxious, because I 41 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 1: bet Jordan Mason score a touchdown, and I put it 42 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 1: in the parlay together. So the text thread between Andrew 43 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 1: and myself was very fun, was it not? Andrew. It 44 00:01:58,360 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 1: was a good time on Monday. 45 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 3: Night getting the constant updates, especially when it looked like 46 00:02:07,720 --> 00:02:10,399 Speaker 3: the Jets had had a sense of life. Oh they're 47 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:10,920 Speaker 3: coming back. 48 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: That was the worst part. Now I was doing score 49 00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 1: updates for him, and then eventually got to a place 50 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 1: where I said, Okay, I'll go I'm gonna yeah, I 51 00:02:18,040 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 1: think it's over. We're gonna you know whatever, you know, 52 00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 1: pay up. And Andrew's like, okay, it's done. And then 53 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:24,959 Speaker 1: the Jets started to look like he said out. It's like, 54 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: oh no, I chased it. Oh my goodness. So the 55 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:31,640 Speaker 1: Venmo's open, ready to receive whenever you're ready. And speaking 56 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 1: of receiving, you should receive the best tools on the 57 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:36,399 Speaker 1: planet for betting, and that is the Betting pros app. 58 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 1: So download the Betting pros app for iOS or Android 59 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:41,640 Speaker 1: and synk your sports books for free. Automatically track all 60 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 1: your bets across major sports platforms in one spot, and 61 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 1: you can easily monitor all your bets and hair performances 62 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:52,799 Speaker 1: by sport and by type, including game picks, props and parlays. 63 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:55,240 Speaker 1: That's right, we got the SGP tool he around these 64 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: parts nowadays, So create custom betting systems to find winning 65 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:01,280 Speaker 1: trends and profitable opportunity. He's get a free trial of 66 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 1: Betting Pros Premium just by downloading app right now and 67 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 1: activating your trial on the upgrade screen again, the Betting 68 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:11,920 Speaker 1: Pros app start betting smarter, not harder. Andrew Erickson, Uh, 69 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 1: it looks like you're taking a long time here to 70 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: send me this money. I don't know if you're texting 71 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:17,920 Speaker 1: uh Western Union or what you're doing here. 72 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:21,079 Speaker 3: It's not letting me go. I swear, it's just count. 73 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:24,080 Speaker 1: I'm gonna let you go for. 74 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 3: I was. I was concerned that I didn't have enough 75 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:30,079 Speaker 3: in my Venmo bounce, but I have exactly twenty five 76 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 3: dollars and it's not going. 77 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 1: Through, Thank goodness. Uh, don't don't make that. 78 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:39,880 Speaker 3: There's too many parlays in the Venmo memo account. But no, 79 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 3: it'll it'll. 80 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 1: I don't know why it's not worth I don't know either, 81 00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 1: but it better work by the end of the show. 82 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 1: Where's my money, man, where's my money? Where's my money man? 83 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 1: You might have a visit from Uncle Joey and his 84 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 1: cousins and like Stuwiee. While Andrew's figuring out how Venmo works, Terrell, 85 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:01,560 Speaker 1: why don't you kick all for Week two? Your favorite 86 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:03,119 Speaker 1: bets a lot of great games to get to. Let's 87 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 1: kick things off, all right. 88 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 2: I'm gonna kick things off with the Jags laying three 89 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 2: here at home against Cleveland because did you see Deshaun 90 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 2: Watson in that game? And honestly, it it transcends everything 91 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 2: on the field. Deshaun Watson has the Ben Simmons going on, 92 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 2: and I think that's what we should start calling it 93 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:24,680 Speaker 2: all around sports, the Ben Simmons because this is all mental, 94 00:04:25,040 --> 00:04:27,080 Speaker 2: Like this is pure mental that he is just not 95 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 2: making the right read, he's not making the right decision, 96 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:30,720 Speaker 2: he's holding on to the ball too long. 97 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:31,720 Speaker 1: All right, there we go. 98 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 2: It looks like we have a SiZ and it's just 99 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:37,919 Speaker 2: I cannot get behind Deshaun Watson. We have Deshaun Watson 100 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 2: who's primarily a indoor better indoor quarterback than he is 101 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 2: an outdoor quarterback. Going into Jacksonville to play. We're expecting 102 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:45,920 Speaker 2: to see some rain here, respect to see a little 103 00:04:45,920 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 2: bit of weather. I think it's still gonna be hot 104 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 2: and humid. Plus, when a team is up ten plus 105 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:54,040 Speaker 2: points and loses in Week one, in Week two, twenty 106 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 2: eight seventeen and one against the spread. I'm going to 107 00:04:56,680 --> 00:04:59,720 Speaker 2: back the Jags to get this done. Lang three. 108 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 1: It's a great stat there, Turell. You're thrown out there. 109 00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:04,160 Speaker 1: And look, if you watched the shows last week, and 110 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:06,159 Speaker 1: I know you did, we told you right in the 111 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:08,400 Speaker 1: look ahead for week one that the line was wrong. 112 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:10,839 Speaker 1: The Cowboys should be favored. Jump on it right away. 113 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 1: Hopefully you listen to us here and you did just that. 114 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns did not look good. Deshaun Watson does not 115 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:19,359 Speaker 1: look good at all, and I would not shock me 116 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:21,720 Speaker 1: if he got pulled from this game. It just would 117 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:23,719 Speaker 1: not shock me that the leash might be very, very 118 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: short for him. Ericson what's your first favorite bet for 119 00:05:26,960 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 1: week two? When you're looking at the games? 120 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:31,000 Speaker 3: Speaking of Browns and the Cowboys, I'm going right back 121 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:33,600 Speaker 3: to Dallas, Big d Dallas playing in the home opener, 122 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 3: Dak Prescott signing that brand new contract. He's the Cowboys 123 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 3: quarterback forever. According to Jerry Jones. We'll see how long 124 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 3: that lasts. But look, Dallas, they are the death star 125 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:45,600 Speaker 3: at home right. I love backing. This is the reason 126 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:47,840 Speaker 3: why Dallas wasn't favored last year because they were on 127 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:50,160 Speaker 3: the road, because everyone knows, oh, well Dallas can't play 128 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 3: in the road. This is where their defense has problems 129 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:54,480 Speaker 3: and the offense doesn't work as well. Well, they're back 130 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 3: at home and they're taking on the Saints team that 131 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:00,800 Speaker 3: I was very much against last week. But unfortunately, my 132 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:04,039 Speaker 3: Carolina Panthers are just that bad. So they made the 133 00:06:04,080 --> 00:06:07,040 Speaker 3: Saints look absolute electric. Derek Carr looked like Joe Montana 134 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:10,360 Speaker 3: out there, absolutely electric. But let's remind, let's think back 135 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:13,080 Speaker 3: last year Week one, Derek Carr tossed for three hundred 136 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 3: passing yards. He was like, oh, Derek Carr Saints debut. 137 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 3: It looks pretty good. So I'm going to fade the 138 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 3: Saints again. See it burns me two weeks in a row. 139 00:06:20,640 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 3: But the fact that I'm now on the Dallas side 140 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 3: of things and not the Carolina Panthers a different ends 141 00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 3: of the spectrum. So looking at dallass how good they've 142 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 3: been at home. They were eight and one in a 143 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:30,520 Speaker 3: home last season. If you look at the overall favorites 144 00:06:30,560 --> 00:06:33,400 Speaker 3: in Dallas games fifteen to the last twenty Dallas Cowboys games, 145 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 3: the favorites have covered and last fifteen games at home 146 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 3: as favorites. Dallas is ten and five against the spread, 147 00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:41,040 Speaker 3: so I'm going to back Big d all right. 148 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:42,840 Speaker 1: Before we get to Terrell's next bet, I just want 149 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: to confirm payment has been made, that has been settled. 150 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:52,440 Speaker 1: And the notation very amusing in the Venmo transaction. All 151 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 1: it says is the Jets with a lowercase J and 152 00:06:56,400 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 1: a crying face eboji. There we go. That's about as 153 00:06:59,520 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 1: good as a gain. 154 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 2: That lowercase J is crazy. 155 00:07:01,880 --> 00:07:04,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, well they played capitalization. 156 00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 1: They did not. And uh again the fact that we 157 00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:10,760 Speaker 1: were you feeling confident when CMC was out, did you 158 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:12,760 Speaker 1: really start to like lick your chops Eric and You're like, oh, 159 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 1: I'm gonna stuff it down Joe's throat? Man, you did, 160 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 1: didn't you? 161 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 3: I mean, I was definitely feeling better about it. But 162 00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 3: I mean I was gonna be like, I mean, Joe, 163 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 3: if you want to, you know, want to take the 164 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 3: bet out the table, if you want to just call it, 165 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:29,480 Speaker 3: call the bet off, like I was thinking about. I'm 166 00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 3: glad I didn't do that. 167 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 1: There was no way. There was no way I was 168 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:35,040 Speaker 1: going all the way. Baby. All right, let's go to 169 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 1: Threll for your second pick. What do you have here? 170 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 2: All right, Seattle Seahawks laying three and a half at 171 00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 2: New England here, and yes it's on the road in 172 00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:45,680 Speaker 2: New England. But I just want you guys to know, 173 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 2: if you didn't watch that gaming, you both for Patriots fans, 174 00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:49,920 Speaker 2: so I think you did. They dumped the gatory. 175 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 3: They dumped the gatory in Week one first. 176 00:07:56,400 --> 00:07:59,000 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Baby, it's not gonna get better than this thrill. 177 00:07:59,200 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 1: That's it. It's all. 178 00:08:00,720 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 2: Oh, it's absolutely not getting better than that in this game. 179 00:08:03,240 --> 00:08:05,040 Speaker 2: I'll tell you that. So late at three and a 180 00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:08,200 Speaker 2: half year, Seattle's defense was really good. And I get 181 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:10,520 Speaker 2: it it was a rookie quarterback against bo Nicks, but 182 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:13,920 Speaker 2: they were really really good. They forced twenty one total pressures, 183 00:08:13,960 --> 00:08:17,480 Speaker 2: six QB hits, fourteen hurries, a sack like I think 184 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 2: that that defense is going to get after and Jacobe 185 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 2: Burssett already banged up. Did you see when he went 186 00:08:22,880 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 2: down and he was slow to get up. He's already 187 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 2: banged up. I don't think that he can take any 188 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 2: more of a pass rush than what the Bengals gave him. 189 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 2: So I like Seattle to get this done. I think 190 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:33,559 Speaker 2: Gino is a really good quarterback and he's going to 191 00:08:33,600 --> 00:08:34,760 Speaker 2: be able to do it on the route. 192 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:38,160 Speaker 1: All right. I completely disagree with this take. So this 193 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:39,720 Speaker 1: is going to be the fun one for this week. 194 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 1: More to come on that later in this show, but 195 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:45,320 Speaker 1: for now, Andrew Erickson, let's go to your second pick 196 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:48,319 Speaker 1: here as we continue to break down another game too 197 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:50,040 Speaker 1: that should have a lot of eyeballs on it, Tampa 198 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,240 Speaker 1: and Detroit. Baker played really well and you've got some 199 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 1: feelings about this one. 200 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:56,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, I want the over. I love overs, especially when 201 00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:58,480 Speaker 3: it's in the Lions at Ford Field, the course field 202 00:08:58,520 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 3: on the NFL Lions last twenty home games, fifty four 203 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,719 Speaker 3: and a half points. That's the average total, fifty four 204 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 3: and a half points last twenty home games the line. 205 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,079 Speaker 3: Seventy five percent of the games have scored at least 206 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:12,440 Speaker 3: fifty one points. So I'm just chasing the trend here. 207 00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 3: Last week we obviously saw a high scoring game. He 208 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:17,200 Speaker 3: did not go over the total, but that makes me 209 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:19,680 Speaker 3: more bullish, said, Hey, like regression to the meme. Baby, 210 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 3: Let's go Tampa. Bay's coming in Baker Mayfields, feeling himself. 211 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:25,840 Speaker 3: He's throwing touchdowns all over the place. They have no 212 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:29,120 Speaker 3: cornerbacks left. You look at the Buccaneers injury report looks 213 00:09:29,160 --> 00:09:31,720 Speaker 3: like a CVS receipt man. All the cornerbacks are hurt 214 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:35,640 Speaker 3: across the board man. So I think that the Buccaneers 215 00:09:35,679 --> 00:09:37,320 Speaker 3: are game planning for We need to score at least 216 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:39,520 Speaker 3: thirty points if we have any shot of winning this game. 217 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 3: And we know how good this line's office can be 218 00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:45,200 Speaker 3: against an undermanned Buccaneers. They're gonna have answers for Amamra 219 00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 3: Saint Brown, the running backs, Jamison Williams breaking out Sam Laporta. 220 00:09:48,440 --> 00:09:50,320 Speaker 3: So I think it's as simple as we're just gonna 221 00:09:50,320 --> 00:09:52,160 Speaker 3: see so many points in this game. I do think 222 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:54,400 Speaker 3: that there is some value on the Buccaneers at plus 223 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 3: seven and a half. I am that is a big line, 224 00:09:56,840 --> 00:09:59,000 Speaker 3: but Gan Campbell's is so good against the spread, I'm 225 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:00,520 Speaker 3: just gonna take the overage the points. 226 00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:03,079 Speaker 1: The only thing better than making fun wagers on the 227 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:05,160 Speaker 1: NFL is doing it with a group of people. That's 228 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:07,600 Speaker 1: why we do this every week together here. And if 229 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:10,440 Speaker 1: you're looking to join a fun community of folks who 230 00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 1: just love wagering, well, then you should join our exclusive 231 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:17,960 Speaker 1: sports betting community over on discord at bettingpros dot com, 232 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:21,800 Speaker 1: slash Chat Terrell actually stands out there. It's very exclusive. 233 00:10:21,880 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 1: He has de velvet rope and the whole thing, and 234 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 1: if you're cool, he'll let you in. If not, you 235 00:10:25,600 --> 00:10:27,040 Speaker 1: might have to take a little walk around the block 236 00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:29,880 Speaker 1: or maybe throw them a ten spot. Maybe your venmo 237 00:10:29,960 --> 00:10:34,439 Speaker 1: works unlike Erickson's. You get free picks though from expert handicappers, 238 00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:36,760 Speaker 1: You connect with fellow betters and elevate your strategy and 239 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 1: insights from the pros. Plus, you can join our NFL 240 00:10:40,280 --> 00:10:43,200 Speaker 1: podcast group too. Just sink your sports books, sink your picks, 241 00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:46,319 Speaker 1: and use the quick pick feature on the Betting Pros 242 00:10:46,360 --> 00:10:49,000 Speaker 1: app for a chance to win glorious prizes. You can 243 00:10:49,080 --> 00:10:52,600 Speaker 1: join that group today at bettingpros dot com slash NFL Contest, 244 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:55,280 Speaker 1: or if you have the Betting Pros app already, you 245 00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:57,160 Speaker 1: can go right to the community tab and find that 246 00:10:57,200 --> 00:10:59,080 Speaker 1: you can also follow all of us there at bettingpros 247 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:02,600 Speaker 1: dot com, slash Joe, slash Ericson, and slash Terrell. So 248 00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 1: join the discord again, Betting pros dot com slash chat 249 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:08,600 Speaker 1: and join our fun contest over bettingpros dot Com slash 250 00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:10,720 Speaker 1: NFL Contest and you don't even have to make bets. 251 00:11:10,800 --> 00:11:13,200 Speaker 1: You just have to make picks. It's super fun. You 252 00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:15,680 Speaker 1: should do it. All right, let's continue on here for 253 00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:19,959 Speaker 1: the third round. Here Terrell Jets going to play the 254 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans. Now, it feels like the Jets should be 255 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:26,760 Speaker 1: getting back on track here after an embarrassing loss to 256 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:29,480 Speaker 1: the forty nine ers. But is that the story you're 257 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:30,360 Speaker 1: gonna tell us. 258 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:34,080 Speaker 2: I don't think they get back on track. I just 259 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 2: think this is a really really tough spot for them. 260 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:39,760 Speaker 2: They went all the way to California road trip, come 261 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 2: back New York, going to Tennessee, like back to back 262 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:45,200 Speaker 2: road game set. This offense did not look good and 263 00:11:45,240 --> 00:11:48,000 Speaker 2: Tennessey's defense looked really really good last week, and so 264 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:51,199 Speaker 2: I like the under. I'm gonna play it safe. I'll 265 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 2: take the under forty two here, Will Levis, I may 266 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:58,040 Speaker 2: need to have a eulogy forum and my Will Levis 267 00:11:58,160 --> 00:12:01,000 Speaker 2: most passing yards prop in week one. But it's fine. 268 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:03,679 Speaker 2: It's totally fine because the defense played amazing. I know 269 00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:06,520 Speaker 2: that this Jets defense is looking and chopping at the 270 00:12:06,520 --> 00:12:08,360 Speaker 2: bits to have a better game than they had against 271 00:12:08,400 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 2: the forty nine ers. I don't think that the Titans 272 00:12:10,080 --> 00:12:12,120 Speaker 2: could take advantage of the running game there. I think 273 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:15,200 Speaker 2: this is an ugly defensive game, and with the Jets 274 00:12:15,200 --> 00:12:18,000 Speaker 2: looking ahead so Thursday Night football as well, I don't. 275 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:18,960 Speaker 1: Think they're running to score up. 276 00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:21,040 Speaker 2: I think this is a twenty seventeen type of game. 277 00:12:21,080 --> 00:12:22,160 Speaker 2: So give me the under forty two. 278 00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 1: I gotta tell you, man, I am not pleased with 279 00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:29,800 Speaker 1: will Levis right now. Will Levis last week cost me, Bunny. 280 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 1: All you do is a sack. That's all you do 281 00:12:31,920 --> 00:12:33,600 Speaker 1: is eat a sack. I was on the Tennessee side. 282 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 1: Everybody knows that last week. I'm still not happy with 283 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:40,040 Speaker 1: Will Levis, but frustrations aside for a moment, Andrew Erickson, 284 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:42,319 Speaker 1: let's go to you for round three. Here, the Indianapolis 285 00:12:42,360 --> 00:12:45,120 Speaker 1: Colts are gonna go to green Bay take on the 286 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:48,000 Speaker 1: Packers without Jordan Love. I'm surprised this line is still 287 00:12:48,040 --> 00:12:52,040 Speaker 1: as small as it is considering the downgraded quarterback. So 288 00:12:52,080 --> 00:12:53,640 Speaker 1: what do you make of this one here? As we 289 00:12:53,640 --> 00:12:55,200 Speaker 1: look at the Green Bay Indie game. 290 00:12:55,600 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 3: Well, it might be some gamesmanship with the floor saying, well, 291 00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:01,120 Speaker 3: you know, we're not gonna rule your love out quite away. 292 00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:03,880 Speaker 3: But I mean, I think that he's not gonna play 293 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:05,800 Speaker 3: in this game. So if we get Malik Willis, I 294 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:07,439 Speaker 3: think once he's announce to the start, you're gonna see 295 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 3: this line jump. So I'm just trying to take advantage. Look, 296 00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:11,800 Speaker 3: the Colts, this is a team that usually want to 297 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:14,160 Speaker 3: fade as an underdog under Shane Stike in but when 298 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 3: they're the favorite, they show up. Look at last year 299 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:20,000 Speaker 3: six and zero as favorites in twenty twenty three, so 300 00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:21,840 Speaker 3: they're favorite in this game even though they're playing on 301 00:13:21,880 --> 00:13:23,760 Speaker 3: the road. The favorites have won each of the colts 302 00:13:23,880 --> 00:13:27,840 Speaker 3: last thirteen games. Look, Malik Willis is a sack machine. 303 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:30,560 Speaker 3: I am not intimidated or afraid of him or whatsoever. 304 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:32,520 Speaker 3: I don't think he can take advantage of the Colts 305 00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 3: secondary and the bad pieces that they have on defense. 306 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 3: So yeah, I think that the Colts are going to 307 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:41,960 Speaker 3: win this game. Malik Willis. Yes, he's mobile and the 308 00:13:42,040 --> 00:13:44,760 Speaker 3: plucky backup quarterback. I just don't think that narrative is 309 00:13:44,760 --> 00:13:46,640 Speaker 3: gonna work here. If anything, I like the under in 310 00:13:46,679 --> 00:13:48,439 Speaker 3: this game because you know, the best bet in this 311 00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:51,400 Speaker 3: game almost gonna be like under quarterback completions in total. 312 00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:54,000 Speaker 3: That should be the bet that you make because I 313 00:13:54,040 --> 00:13:56,199 Speaker 3: don't know if they get over twenty combined between Anthony 314 00:13:56,320 --> 00:13:59,560 Speaker 3: Richardson and Malik Willis. So I like the under. I 315 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:02,640 Speaker 3: like the first tath under. Yeah, all the unders and 316 00:14:02,679 --> 00:14:03,600 Speaker 3: just give me the Colts. 317 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 1: Okay, Terrell, let's go back to you. Houston and Chicago, 318 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 1: both teams came out with victories, are both one and 319 00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 1: oh so only this week can you get one winner 320 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:15,760 Speaker 1: in this contest? So are you looking at the side 321 00:14:15,760 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 1: of this game or are you're looking at the grand 322 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:19,720 Speaker 1: total when it comes to this contest? Yeah, I like 323 00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:20,160 Speaker 1: the total. 324 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:23,040 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the game under here, and I'm backing 325 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:25,200 Speaker 2: this Bears defense that I saw in the second half 326 00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:27,560 Speaker 2: of that game shut out Tennessee Titans and looked really, 327 00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 2: really good. And I think the Houston Texans just kind 328 00:14:30,800 --> 00:14:33,920 Speaker 2: of got caught up in the Anthony Richardson and he 329 00:14:33,960 --> 00:14:36,160 Speaker 2: made a whole bunch of really really big plays and 330 00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 2: put scores on the board. But they made a lot 331 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:41,760 Speaker 2: of good defensive plays where Anthony Richardson didn't look like 332 00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:44,080 Speaker 2: that good of a quarterback. I think that settles in. 333 00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:46,560 Speaker 2: You have a rookie quarterback on his first road start here. 334 00:14:47,080 --> 00:14:49,480 Speaker 2: I think that they're gonna struggle moving the ball there now. 335 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:52,600 Speaker 2: Without Roma Doonzay Keenan Allen is banged up as well. 336 00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 2: That offensive line didn't look that good. I just think 337 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:58,280 Speaker 2: that the Texans could win, but this game is going 338 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:01,360 Speaker 2: under regardless, so I'm taking under forty four and a half. 339 00:15:01,280 --> 00:15:04,360 Speaker 1: Here ericson the Cincinnati Bengals looked about as bad as 340 00:15:04,360 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 1: you could possibly look last week on Sunday. When I 341 00:15:06,840 --> 00:15:08,520 Speaker 1: saw that seven and a half still floating out there, 342 00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 1: I'm still mad at myself for not betting it on 343 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 1: the Patriot side, I really just thought that was too 344 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 1: many points there. 345 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:16,600 Speaker 3: Did you do it? Convinced? I gave the show I 346 00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:18,760 Speaker 3: you did it, Let's. 347 00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 1: Go out, And after the T Higgins went out situation, 348 00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:23,760 Speaker 1: and then the Chase was sick and all these things, 349 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 1: I was like, man, I should be betting this, and 350 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 1: then I just flat out, for god, I got caught 351 00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:29,080 Speaker 1: up between the TV show and the live stream and 352 00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:30,560 Speaker 1: I just forgot to do it. Next thing, you know, 353 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:32,080 Speaker 1: the game started, I was like, ah, I forget it. 354 00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:34,960 Speaker 1: We'll just I'm already pot committed for a week one. 355 00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 1: But we know this about the Cincinnati Bengals. They're slow starters. 356 00:15:39,600 --> 00:15:43,280 Speaker 1: To the Cincinnati Bengals year up here after a tough 357 00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 1: home loss and go take it to the Chiefs here 358 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:49,040 Speaker 1: and possibly be competitive in this game, or there are 359 00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:51,000 Speaker 1: too many issues right now for the Bengals just straightened 360 00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:53,640 Speaker 1: out and they're just not ready to face the Chiefs 361 00:15:53,680 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 1: on longer rest. 362 00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:57,800 Speaker 3: Well, I'm taking Cincinnati plus six, So I hope they 363 00:15:57,840 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 3: figure it out. That's the way I see. I think again, 364 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:03,120 Speaker 3: all the concerns you just listed out, that's baked into 365 00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 3: the line. Right again, Bengals Chiefs, two SUPERWL contenders, measure 366 00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:07,960 Speaker 3: this was week one, right, what would the line be? 367 00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:10,600 Speaker 3: Would not be plus six? Right, There's no way it 368 00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:12,000 Speaker 3: would be plus six things it would be I. 369 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 1: Would think four and a half. And I think it's 370 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 1: probably more unlikely. 371 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:17,760 Speaker 3: Yes, But again you're getting value here with the Bengals. 372 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 3: And you look at what Joe Burrow's done against the 373 00:16:19,520 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 3: spread following a loss fourteen to five. Mister Joey covers 374 00:16:23,280 --> 00:16:25,960 Speaker 3: Burrow against the Chiefs. He's three and one against the spread, 375 00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:29,080 Speaker 3: and straight up, all four matchups that he's played against 376 00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 3: the Chiefs when he's been healthy have been settled by 377 00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:35,000 Speaker 3: three points a field goal. You're giving me six for 378 00:16:35,160 --> 00:16:37,880 Speaker 3: Joe Burrow. Look here, I think that he's held I 379 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:39,480 Speaker 3: think this risk thing is being totally overblown. He's talk 380 00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:41,240 Speaker 3: about dud I was like drinking out of water bottle, man, Like, 381 00:16:41,280 --> 00:16:43,280 Speaker 3: I was like, I have to move my wrist to 382 00:16:43,320 --> 00:16:46,480 Speaker 3: drink out of this water bottle. So the way I 383 00:16:46,520 --> 00:16:48,760 Speaker 3: kind of look at this is betting against Andy Reid 384 00:16:48,760 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 3: with extra time obviously not a great move, right, So 385 00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:53,040 Speaker 3: that is kind of one of the reasons why this 386 00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:55,480 Speaker 3: is a little bit scary. But who's more desperate to 387 00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:58,040 Speaker 3: win this game? Right? The Chiefs know they're going to 388 00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:00,960 Speaker 3: be in the playoffs. This game in the retrospect the 389 00:17:00,960 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 3: long term, Yes, is obviously an AFC opponent and that matters, 390 00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:05,040 Speaker 3: but they know they're going to be the number one, 391 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:06,160 Speaker 3: number two, number three seed. 392 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:06,480 Speaker 1: Whatever. 393 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 3: The Bengals, I don't know if they can lose this 394 00:17:08,880 --> 00:17:10,800 Speaker 3: game if they go and to what we know the 395 00:17:10,800 --> 00:17:12,359 Speaker 3: track record of team to start owing too, they always 396 00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 3: missed the playoffs. All those statistics the Bengals, what they 397 00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:17,920 Speaker 3: did last week and just how bad that was at home. 398 00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:20,239 Speaker 3: I think that they have to show. I think they 399 00:17:20,280 --> 00:17:21,960 Speaker 3: they're gonna need to want it more again. This seems 400 00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:24,480 Speaker 3: like like really like hands in the dirt, take but 401 00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 3: I mean, they have to win this game or else 402 00:17:27,560 --> 00:17:30,560 Speaker 3: they're screwed. So that's why I'm especially with based on 403 00:17:30,640 --> 00:17:32,919 Speaker 3: how these games have been so close. Every game has 404 00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:34,560 Speaker 3: been by field goal, and now you get plus six, 405 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:36,960 Speaker 3: so again, I think it's gonna be tight. So I 406 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:39,520 Speaker 3: do like the value and plus six, But I mean, 407 00:17:39,840 --> 00:17:41,240 Speaker 3: would it would it be two weeks in a row 408 00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:43,359 Speaker 3: we get the upsets special in a Bengals game, I 409 00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:44,120 Speaker 3: wouldn't dispass. 410 00:17:46,000 --> 00:17:48,640 Speaker 1: Now that's now that's fun right there. I gotta say, 411 00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:50,159 Speaker 1: I think you're right. I think the six might be 412 00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 1: too many for Joe Burrow, and I think they're gonna 413 00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:54,960 Speaker 1: have some more respect for themselves and they're confident, you know, 414 00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:56,680 Speaker 1: they're confident against the Chiefs, and maybe they were just 415 00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:57,639 Speaker 1: not taking the Patriots. 416 00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:01,360 Speaker 3: They were sleepwalking that game, like there was no sense 417 00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:02,640 Speaker 3: of urgency whatsoever. 418 00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:05,640 Speaker 2: It was everything that could have possibly went wrong went 419 00:18:05,680 --> 00:18:08,560 Speaker 2: and wrong every single time they were knocking on the door, fumble. 420 00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:12,720 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it was not a good scene at all. 421 00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:14,439 Speaker 1: But I still think the Chiefs win that game. And 422 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:16,080 Speaker 1: let me tell you, the Chiefs coming out of the 423 00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:19,399 Speaker 1: gate beating the Ravens and beating the Cincinnati Bengals to 424 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:21,840 Speaker 1: start the season. Talk about putting them in that pole 425 00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:25,119 Speaker 1: position for the bye. I mean, that is a fantastic 426 00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:27,400 Speaker 1: situation for them to start a season. Can't go better 427 00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:29,080 Speaker 1: for the Chiefs and they get this win this week. 428 00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:32,240 Speaker 1: All right, we have got one more speaking of bad things, 429 00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:38,199 Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers. Yikes, Terrell, I don't Sam and I were 430 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:39,919 Speaker 1: talking about this on Tuesday show. If you missed it, 431 00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:42,840 Speaker 1: go back and watch on Betting Pros where I'm comfortable 432 00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:44,640 Speaker 1: with this game all the way up to double digits, 433 00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:48,800 Speaker 1: where I think the Carolina Panthers are just dreadful. Maybe 434 00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:52,640 Speaker 1: I'm overrating too much what I saw, but Carolina Panthers 435 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:56,159 Speaker 1: this week are playing the Chargers, and I'm curious as 436 00:18:56,160 --> 00:18:57,320 Speaker 1: to your take on this game. 437 00:18:57,640 --> 00:19:00,919 Speaker 2: Well, I am taking Carolina plus see and I know 438 00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:06,199 Speaker 2: so listen, listen, listen. It is. It is actually a 439 00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:09,000 Speaker 2: betting trend that we've been following for a long time 440 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:12,040 Speaker 2: and so over the past three years. If I told 441 00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:13,919 Speaker 2: you it hit at sixty one percent, would you not 442 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:17,479 Speaker 2: be interested? And teams when they underperform the spread by 443 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:19,679 Speaker 2: twenty one or more points and they're catching points the 444 00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:22,879 Speaker 2: next week, those teams cover the spread sixty one percent 445 00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:25,359 Speaker 2: of the time over the past three years that this 446 00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:28,920 Speaker 2: is a very very good spot for Carolina in this trend. 447 00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:30,800 Speaker 2: I play the trend's sixty one percent. I play it 448 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:33,679 Speaker 2: every time because I'm gonna be up units regardless. But 449 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 2: this is horrible and gross and is disgusting and nobody 450 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,040 Speaker 2: should want to do it. But that's why it's called 451 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:43,800 Speaker 2: the close your Eyes Special. It's the close your eyes specially. 452 00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 2: You just close your eyes and you bet it. It's 453 00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:47,440 Speaker 2: gonna be nasty. It's gonna be gross, but it's gonna 454 00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:49,880 Speaker 2: come through for you more than not. And the only 455 00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:51,520 Speaker 2: good thing that I could tell you about this, to 456 00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:53,920 Speaker 2: be honest, is the fact that Jim Harbaugh, when he's 457 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 2: a road favorite of six or more, he's one in 458 00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:59,640 Speaker 2: four ats and two and three against straight up, so 459 00:20:00,440 --> 00:20:02,240 Speaker 2: that that's a pretty good system. It gives me that 460 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:05,200 Speaker 2: kind of Kyle Shanahan vibes of going on the road 461 00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:07,440 Speaker 2: as a big favorite, a lot of expectations and just 462 00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:09,919 Speaker 2: kind of nerving around with these bad teams. But I 463 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:12,399 Speaker 2: understand it's a horrible pick, and it sounds gross and 464 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:14,680 Speaker 2: it sounds disgusting, but it's the close your Eyes Special. 465 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:16,880 Speaker 2: And if you know anything about the close your Eye Special, 466 00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:19,080 Speaker 2: you just take the close your Eyes Special. And so 467 00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:22,080 Speaker 2: sixty one percent. And this is the same trend that's 468 00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:24,879 Speaker 2: been happening for years. And I think even past you 469 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:27,080 Speaker 2: go ten years, it's still at like sixty percent. I'm 470 00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:27,960 Speaker 2: gonna keep backing it. 471 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:29,440 Speaker 3: Can we change the name of the close your Eyes 472 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:34,600 Speaker 3: Special to the bon Nicks Special Close your eyes? Chucking Downfield? 473 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:37,639 Speaker 1: I respect the homework, though, I mean, you brought the 474 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:41,239 Speaker 1: numbers you did. I didn't close my ears. I might 475 00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:42,560 Speaker 1: want to close my eyes, though. 476 00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:44,520 Speaker 3: You have to, I'll say. 477 00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:46,600 Speaker 2: And all the time that I've been playing this trend, 478 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:49,480 Speaker 2: the ones that I think that are never gonna hit 479 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:51,760 Speaker 2: are the one ones. They're the ones. 480 00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:56,320 Speaker 3: Second well, they're the ones the Panthers locking the week 481 00:20:56,359 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 3: back to back week. Matter of fact. 482 00:20:57,520 --> 00:20:59,119 Speaker 1: Okay, so let me give you this. So do you 483 00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:02,440 Speaker 1: remember I'm gonna sit back and do this to yourselves. 484 00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:06,400 Speaker 2: It was a couple of years then the Chiefs went 485 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:09,600 Speaker 2: on the road, went on the road to Indianapolis as 486 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:13,080 Speaker 2: nine and a half point favorites and lost outright. I'm 487 00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:14,959 Speaker 2: telling you that was the Closure Eyes Special. 488 00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:19,320 Speaker 1: All right, let's uh, let's open our eyes for Ericson's 489 00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:22,120 Speaker 1: last pick. You have some feelings about this Carolina Charter 490 00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:25,280 Speaker 1: game as well, So let's let's get on this one. Erickson. 491 00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:28,240 Speaker 3: Well, I mean, if Terrell's talking about how the Chargers 492 00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:29,960 Speaker 3: are going to underwhelm in this game, then I'm just 493 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 3: gonna take the under. That's what I'm gonna do. I'm 494 00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 3: just take the under because I know the Panthers are 495 00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,640 Speaker 3: gonna underwhelm no matter what. So, I mean, that's that's 496 00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:37,680 Speaker 3: a safe bet that you can make. So for me again, 497 00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:40,160 Speaker 3: looking at Chargers last eight games, his favorites have gone under. 498 00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:42,240 Speaker 3: Thirteen of the Chargers lost sixteen games have gone under. 499 00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:44,120 Speaker 3: Nine of the Panthers lost twelve games have gone under. 500 00:21:44,520 --> 00:21:45,800 Speaker 3: Are you sensing a theme here? 501 00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:46,280 Speaker 1: Uh? 502 00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:49,320 Speaker 3: These teams tend to go under. And first game with Harbaugh, 503 00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:52,480 Speaker 3: Charges Raiders went under. His team wants to run the football, 504 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:54,959 Speaker 3: Joe alt deleite, Baby, let's go. We want to run 505 00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 3: the football. Carolina doesn't have Derek Brown. They you're not 506 00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:00,680 Speaker 3: gonna be able to stop the run. Bully ball and man, 507 00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:03,840 Speaker 3: Bryce Young, we were going we thought, maybe, hey, you're 508 00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:07,480 Speaker 3: one year two. With Dave Canala's first play interception, right, 509 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:10,919 Speaker 3: it's like it was over. But it was honestly the 510 00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:12,440 Speaker 3: best bet in that way, because there's it was over 511 00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:15,160 Speaker 3: right when it started. It's like, oh it's over, it's dead, 512 00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:17,800 Speaker 3: don't need to look at it and whatsoever. So I'm 513 00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:20,959 Speaker 3: just gonna bet against offenses and production and efficiency. So 514 00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:22,680 Speaker 3: I'm gonna take the under at thirty nine and a half. 515 00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:26,080 Speaker 1: All right, there you go. I can't believe Carolina two 516 00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:27,879 Speaker 1: weeks in a row. This is like, I hope it 517 00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:28,720 Speaker 1: go works out better. 518 00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:34,560 Speaker 2: For the bets on the charge is ninety you're telling 519 00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:36,680 Speaker 2: me ninety percent of people are gonna win their bets. 520 00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:40,640 Speaker 1: Kid in the public, I was staying the Chargers last week, 521 00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:42,440 Speaker 1: and and you know what, I felt like I was 522 00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:45,280 Speaker 1: still right watching that game because the Raiders literally garniments. 523 00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:46,760 Speaker 1: You just literally handed them the game. 524 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:50,960 Speaker 3: Here's the inside Charge territory on fourth yea. 525 00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:54,240 Speaker 1: It was mind blowing. I mean, the Raiders should have 526 00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:57,120 Speaker 1: won that game. But whatever, Hopefully the things work out 527 00:22:57,160 --> 00:23:00,200 Speaker 1: for everybody. And speaking of upset, here's my upset. That's 528 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:03,640 Speaker 1: special of the week. Everybody. I'm gonna go to New England. 529 00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:05,720 Speaker 1: That's why I wore the shirt today. And listen, I 530 00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:08,600 Speaker 1: am the last homer that there is. Okay, Ericson knows 531 00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:10,880 Speaker 1: this about me. I'm very self loathing about the Patriots 532 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:13,960 Speaker 1: the last couple of years. I have been very down 533 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:16,359 Speaker 1: on them, so down again. I didn't even bother to 534 00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:18,760 Speaker 1: go bet that seven and a half leg last week, 535 00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:20,960 Speaker 1: and I should have. I'm gonna say this, I think 536 00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,560 Speaker 1: the crowd's gonna be excited. It feels like a dude chapter. 537 00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:27,000 Speaker 1: I'm not sold on Seattle yet. I think they looked 538 00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,160 Speaker 1: really good because bo Nicks looked really bad. I do 539 00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:31,840 Speaker 1: believe in the Seattle defense. I think it's gonna be 540 00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:34,240 Speaker 1: a low scoring game. I also believe in Christian Gonzales too, 541 00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:36,520 Speaker 1: and how good of a player he is. And if 542 00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:39,120 Speaker 1: you saw last week, when you have those shadow corners, 543 00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:41,480 Speaker 1: you're able to shut down pieces like DK Metcalf sometime 544 00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:44,280 Speaker 1: a little bit, or at least slow them down. There 545 00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:46,080 Speaker 1: was a lot of growing pains I think for the 546 00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:48,720 Speaker 1: Seattle offense, and the injury to ken Walker I think 547 00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:51,760 Speaker 1: is significant. Yeah, Sharbonnay will get elevated if you know 548 00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:54,520 Speaker 1: ken Walker isn't gonna go. We're still here on Thursday 549 00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:57,119 Speaker 1: recording this. We don't know all the information yet. On that, 550 00:23:57,240 --> 00:23:59,920 Speaker 1: but I think they can squeak out a money line win. 551 00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:03,280 Speaker 1: And again, I'm not expecting the Patriots to be five 552 00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:06,760 Speaker 1: and oh or six and oh. But if plus one seventy, 553 00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 1: this has my attention at home. I just don't trust 554 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,159 Speaker 1: Seattle yet. Maybe I'm wrong, Maybe Seattle will just take 555 00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:14,000 Speaker 1: it to him. But I saw enough in that game 556 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:16,840 Speaker 1: struggling against the Denver Bronco team that was not impressive. 557 00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:20,639 Speaker 1: Where to me, I'm looking at the value and the 558 00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:23,280 Speaker 1: values on the paths to win. Ericson, do you think 559 00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:25,480 Speaker 1: I'm crazy? You're a Patriots fan here, I want to 560 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:27,240 Speaker 1: get your take on this one. See if maybe I'm 561 00:24:27,280 --> 00:24:29,680 Speaker 1: just seeing red, white and blue too much, And. 562 00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:33,200 Speaker 2: I would like you to consider that they dumped the gatorade. 563 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,960 Speaker 1: Please consider the dumping of the gate on the road, 564 00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:38,840 Speaker 1: on the road, on the road. 565 00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:41,600 Speaker 2: Come on, come on, Ericson, make the right choice of. 566 00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:43,760 Speaker 3: You that poor stam. I gotta clean up all the 567 00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 3: gatorade all over the field. I'm just gonna bet the 568 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,480 Speaker 3: under in this game to defensive mind a head coach. 569 00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:52,560 Speaker 3: See again, like you, guys, I'm not good at picking 570 00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 3: sides like I always do better under over, So it's like, oh, 571 00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:57,600 Speaker 3: I don't like both teams under great, like both teams 572 00:24:57,680 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 3: over great. 573 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:00,720 Speaker 1: You're the first person I've ever heard call under over 574 00:25:00,960 --> 00:25:03,440 Speaker 1: I know was that. I'm glad you said that because 575 00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:05,800 Speaker 1: I'm thinking of my SA feels a little weird. When 576 00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:08,760 Speaker 1: he said under overs, it's always over under, You're well, 577 00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:09,080 Speaker 1: he's the. 578 00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:14,680 Speaker 3: Under because I have it undermind. Why because he's the undertaker. Undertaker, Bro, you. 579 00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,439 Speaker 1: Can't mess with the undertaker man. It's unders first Andrew 580 00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:19,640 Speaker 1: Undersounn's take it on the Undersn. 581 00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:22,000 Speaker 3: I was like, I didn't understand what you guys were saying. First, 582 00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:22,720 Speaker 3: I was like, what do you mean? 583 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:25,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, it was weird, and in my brain I was 584 00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:28,160 Speaker 1: processing it and it felt weird. And then Terrell said 585 00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:30,040 Speaker 1: it out loud. He said, he said the quiet part 586 00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:33,479 Speaker 1: out loud. I'm glad you did. I always did. All right, 587 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,800 Speaker 1: here's the parlay of the week. Last week I failed. 588 00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 1: I'm sorry. I also found the upset pick of the week. 589 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:39,439 Speaker 1: I'm sorry. I can't believe I didn't just take the 590 00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 1: Cowboys with it. I had to get all fancy and 591 00:25:42,040 --> 00:25:44,000 Speaker 1: I took the other one instead. Even though I gave 592 00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:47,720 Speaker 1: you the Cowboys on last Monday, unfortunately ate it ate 593 00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:49,480 Speaker 1: a big fat l with the Raider. So I'm gonna 594 00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:51,120 Speaker 1: try to get it right this week with the Patriots, 595 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,280 Speaker 1: and let's put it in a parlay, because if I'm right, 596 00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:54,840 Speaker 1: we can win a lot of money here. Let's take 597 00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:57,440 Speaker 1: the Patriots on the money line, Let's take the Baltimore 598 00:25:57,560 --> 00:26:00,320 Speaker 1: Ravens on the money line, and the New York's on 599 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:02,719 Speaker 1: the money line. They're not gonna lose to the Titans, folks, 600 00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:05,960 Speaker 1: So all my Jet jokes aside, We're not gonna lose 601 00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:08,080 Speaker 1: to the Tennessee Titans. I just don't see that happening. 602 00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:11,080 Speaker 1: So you put those three things together, guess what you get? 603 00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:14,280 Speaker 1: Four to one plus three ninety nine. That's pretty good 604 00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:16,960 Speaker 1: in my book. So two real chalky things here and 605 00:26:17,000 --> 00:26:18,760 Speaker 1: the upset special. I think that's a fun way to 606 00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:22,280 Speaker 1: approach this week. Gentlemen. It was a good time as 607 00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:24,600 Speaker 1: always hanging out with you all. And remember you could 608 00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 1: track all of our bets along with us, see what 609 00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:29,200 Speaker 1: we're in on, see what's working and what's not over 610 00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:33,240 Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com. Slash Joe, slash Underson, I mean 611 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:37,000 Speaker 1: ericson and slash Terrell. You could check us all out there. 612 00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:38,920 Speaker 1: Don't forget the download the Betting Pros app, and don't 613 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:42,480 Speaker 1: forget to subscribe to the YouTube channel right now. It's 614 00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:44,719 Speaker 1: good for your health. Drop your comments below. What are 615 00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:46,480 Speaker 1: your favorite bets of the week for Week two? We 616 00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:48,359 Speaker 1: love to hear from all of you, and remember to 617 00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:50,280 Speaker 1: ring that bell for notifications, you know every time a 618 00:26:50,280 --> 00:26:52,840 Speaker 1: piece of content drops here on VP. That'll do it 619 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:54,440 Speaker 1: for us, But the story of the game goes on 620 00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:57,960 Speaker 1: for Andrew Erickson and Terrell Furman. I'm Joey P. We'll 621 00:26:57,960 --> 00:26:59,040 Speaker 1: see you next time, kids. 622 00:26:59,600 --> 00:26:59,879 Speaker 2: Peace. 623 00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:01,600 Speaker 1: Yes, thanks for. 624 00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:04,400 Speaker 4: Listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you love the show, 625 00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:06,760 Speaker 4: the best freeway to support us is by leaving a 626 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:08,000 Speaker 4: positive review on. 627 00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:09,639 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 628 00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:12,520 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 629 00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:16,280 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 630 00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:18,840 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.