1
00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:04,440
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

2
00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:05,720
Speaker 2: PODCA All right here we are.

3
00:00:11,440 --> 00:00:15,000
Speaker 1: Running the corn ten seconds or maining, so we just

4
00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:16,240
Speaker 1: go throw it up to the basket.

5
00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:19,319
Speaker 3: Under the basket, it's the crew for the wind God.

6
00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:22,599
Speaker 4: I'm racle I.

7
00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:27,920
Speaker 3: Super hick that one from the parking lot.

8
00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:31,720
Speaker 5: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

9
00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:35,000
Speaker 5: Draft Kings. I am your host, Kai McEwan, join by

10
00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:37,080
Speaker 5: the rest of the three man Weave crew, Jim Root

11
00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:40,159
Speaker 5: and Matt Cox. Every Monday morning, we'll be dropping a

12
00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:43,640
Speaker 5: new BBOC episode talking all things betting in the world

13
00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:47,000
Speaker 5: of college hoops. Today's episode, we're gonna discuss some key

14
00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:50,560
Speaker 5: games of the week on this pre Christmas pre holiday week,

15
00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:53,239
Speaker 5: both the power and the mid major level. Gonna give

16
00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:55,440
Speaker 5: you some early takes before the spreads come out using

17
00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:59,200
Speaker 5: Ken Palm's projected lines. Before we dive in, though, let's

18
00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:02,440
Speaker 5: kick it to Stucky for a quick message from our sponsor, DraftKings.

19
00:01:02,480 --> 00:01:05,040
Speaker 6: The Bigguts on Campus Podcast the sponsored by DraftKings and

20
00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:08,600
Speaker 6: in partnership with DraftKings, our listeners get a great offer

21
00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:11,960
Speaker 6: right now. New customers can bet five dollars and get

22
00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:15,000
Speaker 6: two hundred dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins.

23
00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:18,319
Speaker 6: If sports betting is not yet available in your state,

24
00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:20,840
Speaker 6: don't worry. You can still join in on all the

25
00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:24,440
Speaker 6: fun with DraftKings Daily Fantasy Sports and still have the

26
00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:27,920
Speaker 6: shot to win cash prizes. To get started, use promo

27
00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:32,080
Speaker 6: code BBOC when signing up with DraftKings. Again, use code

28
00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:35,520
Speaker 6: BBOC when signing up a bet five bucks to get

29
00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:39,000
Speaker 6: two hundred back in bonus bets. If your bet wins,

30
00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:40,720
Speaker 6: the crown is yours.

31
00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,480
Speaker 5: All right, thank you, Stucky. Let's get into it, fellas,

32
00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:45,759
Speaker 5: as we usually do big games with major games, we're

33
00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:49,280
Speaker 5: talking live dogs, favorite favorites, spots, trash section, and of

34
00:01:49,360 --> 00:01:51,640
Speaker 5: course our spotlight section at the end of the show,

35
00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:55,320
Speaker 5: going to give some ats highlights, who's good, who's bad.

36
00:01:55,640 --> 00:01:56,760
Speaker 5: But first, big games.

37
00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:01,960
Speaker 4: I could feel not a.

38
00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:03,559
Speaker 5: Ton of big games, Jim, but we have to start

39
00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:07,840
Speaker 5: with our alma mater, our Missouri Tigers taken on Illinois

40
00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:10,600
Speaker 5: and the Bragg and Rights game. Fun fact, Illinois is

41
00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:13,360
Speaker 5: thirty five and twenty against the Miszoo in this matchup.

42
00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:15,640
Speaker 5: They've won the last two, they've won three the last four.

43
00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:20,120
Speaker 5: I'm not optimistic. Jim Kimpom makes this Illinois minus eight.

44
00:02:20,639 --> 00:02:21,840
Speaker 5: Your thoughts in this game.

45
00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:25,560
Speaker 4: I fear the outcome Kai as a Maszoo grad, I

46
00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:28,079
Speaker 4: don't know how the Miszoo defense holds up. I think

47
00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:31,280
Speaker 4: we've seen some real flaws in the Missouri defense when

48
00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:34,400
Speaker 4: they've actually played real competition. They let Notre Dame shoot

49
00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:37,640
Speaker 4: sixty five percent inside the arc. They let Kansas dominate

50
00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:40,680
Speaker 4: the offensive glass. It's just not a team that's ready

51
00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:44,800
Speaker 4: to deal with power conference physicality, power conference athleticism. You know,

52
00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:48,240
Speaker 4: Illinois not a team that's overflowing with athleticism, Matt. But

53
00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:50,519
Speaker 4: they have skill. They have a ton of size in

54
00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:52,720
Speaker 4: the front court. They can really space you out because

55
00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:55,560
Speaker 4: both their centers can knock down threes. And Mazoo just

56
00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:58,800
Speaker 4: doesn't have a defensive identity right now. They're figuring out

57
00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:00,799
Speaker 4: what their lineup should be bring out. Should they play

58
00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:03,160
Speaker 4: Banna man, should they play zone. They just haven't been

59
00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:06,079
Speaker 4: tested enough to really know who they are. Playing a

60
00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:07,720
Speaker 4: lot of these Q four games at home, and you

61
00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:10,079
Speaker 4: just don't learn that much about yourself when you repeatedly

62
00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:13,400
Speaker 4: go with those. And yeah, definitely not impressive in the

63
00:03:13,400 --> 00:03:16,520
Speaker 4: two up games against their Dame against Kansas. I think

64
00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:18,360
Speaker 4: this is not going to go well, Matthew. I like

65
00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:20,200
Speaker 4: Illinois here. I think they control the game and end

66
00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:22,240
Speaker 4: up winning by double digits. The one thing I would

67
00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:25,640
Speaker 4: also throw in five straight meetings between these two have

68
00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:28,640
Speaker 4: gone over the total. I think that makes sense to me,

69
00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:30,240
Speaker 4: knowing what I know about the way both of these

70
00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:32,800
Speaker 4: teams play, the skill in the court, the lack of

71
00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:36,400
Speaker 4: defensive identity for the Tigers, I definitely than towards the

72
00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:38,440
Speaker 4: over Matthew, and I think Illinois ends up winning by

73
00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:40,839
Speaker 4: eleven or twelve. I two.

74
00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:41,240
Speaker 3: It's funny.

75
00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:43,400
Speaker 1: This game is at the Enterprise Center, which is where

76
00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:48,200
Speaker 1: Arch Madness is played, and that's a notorious under establishment.

77
00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:49,960
Speaker 3: But this game has always your right.

78
00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:51,520
Speaker 1: It just feels like there's a lot of juice in

79
00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:53,560
Speaker 1: the building and many teams just start. I think that

80
00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:55,960
Speaker 1: the pace usually plays up pretty fast.

81
00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:56,520
Speaker 3: I like Miszoo.

82
00:03:56,560 --> 00:03:57,920
Speaker 1: I think we talked with those game earler this week

83
00:03:58,360 --> 00:04:00,160
Speaker 1: thought more about it. I'm kind of starting to to

84
00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:02,440
Speaker 1: you guys a side of the ladder here. I just

85
00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:04,839
Speaker 1: don't know what missoo. Yeah, defensively, Miszoo still doesn't quite

86
00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:06,560
Speaker 1: have They have all their they have so much length,

87
00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:09,040
Speaker 1: they just haven't figured out how to use it and

88
00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:11,040
Speaker 1: then another note, one of many games where I think

89
00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:14,920
Speaker 1: both teams are off like pretty big breaks. So yeah,

90
00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:17,720
Speaker 1: Rust versus Rest will be the battle for a lot

91
00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:19,080
Speaker 1: of a lot of matchups here well.

92
00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:21,720
Speaker 5: Because Missoo's strength of schedule right now per kempom three

93
00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:23,960
Speaker 5: hundred and sixty first right now, they need this win.

94
00:04:24,040 --> 00:04:26,480
Speaker 5: It's their last chance for a quality win before the

95
00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:27,920
Speaker 5: tournament for a conference play starts.

96
00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:30,159
Speaker 2: Excuse me, I just don't think they can get it.

97
00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:32,920
Speaker 5: Their stats right now, ball screen defense roun defense is

98
00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:35,800
Speaker 5: actually very good, but again it is skewed by playing

99
00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:36,360
Speaker 5: bad teams.

100
00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:37,479
Speaker 2: I don't trust that's real.

101
00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:40,200
Speaker 5: Jim and I are very familiar with how bad MISSOO

102
00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:42,920
Speaker 5: is on the glass under Dennis Gates historically, so their

103
00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:44,920
Speaker 5: current top sixty defensive rebounding.

104
00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:46,760
Speaker 2: Rate I think is a bit of a mirage. I

105
00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:48,000
Speaker 2: lean the Aligned Knight as well.

106
00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:50,159
Speaker 5: Okay, And the other big game this week in the

107
00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,040
Speaker 5: Big East, Villanova goes to Seaton Hall for a conference

108
00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:57,080
Speaker 5: matchup the Pirates minus one per kimpom Matthew. Looking to

109
00:04:57,080 --> 00:04:59,359
Speaker 5: start two and zero in the Big East and continue

110
00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:03,360
Speaker 5: in unlikely and suitable a tournament bid. Villanova off an

111
00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:07,440
Speaker 5: impressive win over Wisconsin in the Pfizer Forum in Milwaukee.

112
00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:10,680
Speaker 5: Your thoughts on this one. Does Hall keep rolling? Does

113
00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:13,280
Speaker 5: Nova keep rolling? Two teams actually playing pretty well?

114
00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:13,800
Speaker 4: Yeah?

115
00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:15,600
Speaker 1: I mean, if I think better we thought they would

116
00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,080
Speaker 1: be in Wisconsin game, I'm just not sure if I

117
00:05:18,160 --> 00:05:21,120
Speaker 1: just think that's so Wisconsin is just bad and and

118
00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:23,560
Speaker 1: you know, maybe Villanova still isn't as good as we

119
00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:24,040
Speaker 1: think they are.

120
00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:26,240
Speaker 3: But yeah, maybe the the b.

121
00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:27,040
Speaker 2: YU game was good.

122
00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:28,679
Speaker 1: I think their guards has been better than we thought.

123
00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:31,120
Speaker 1: I still like Seaton Hall in this game, though. The

124
00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:33,039
Speaker 1: question is what's the price going to be. I don't

125
00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:35,159
Speaker 1: know if I like laying anything more than like four

126
00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:38,000
Speaker 1: with the Hall, but I think that's my instinctal Lean here.

127
00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:40,800
Speaker 3: I think it could be three.

128
00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:45,760
Speaker 5: Now maybe people? Yeah market at minus one Hall?

129
00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:48,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's gonna be minus two minus three.

130
00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:49,040
Speaker 4: Would you would?

131
00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:50,840
Speaker 3: Would I would lay up to two? I would lay

132
00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:51,960
Speaker 3: more than two, Okay?

133
00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:54,680
Speaker 4: Yeah. I want to very in on the Seaton Hall team.

134
00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:57,200
Speaker 4: The way Shaheen Holloway put them together. He built from

135
00:05:57,240 --> 00:06:02,120
Speaker 4: the inside out. Let me get a ton of shot blocking, length, athleticism, physicality,

136
00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:04,960
Speaker 4: and figure out the rest. And it's basically been Bud

137
00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:07,320
Speaker 4: Clark figuring out the offense. But he's been brilliant on

138
00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:09,960
Speaker 4: the ball, just kind of gets to his spots, has

139
00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:12,240
Speaker 4: great like mid range, step back, fadeaway type stuff that

140
00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:14,520
Speaker 4: gets them big baskets when they need to. Kind of

141
00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:17,600
Speaker 4: helped clinch that game at Providence. Now, Najai Heines did

142
00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:19,360
Speaker 4: not play for Seaton Hall last game, one of their

143
00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:23,920
Speaker 4: two shot blocking menaces, and the Holloway quote about it

144
00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:26,640
Speaker 4: was really weird. I'm just reading it right now. There's

145
00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:29,200
Speaker 4: some stuff I'll talk to you guys about at another time.

146
00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:32,279
Speaker 4: It's nothing major. Hoping he's back next week. Just an illness.

147
00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:34,640
Speaker 4: I'm sure he'll be fine. Okay, why not just say

148
00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:38,080
Speaker 4: just an illness? What is that whole vagary of some

149
00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:40,839
Speaker 4: stuff I'll talk to you about later. Yeah, I don't know.

150
00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:43,560
Speaker 4: I'm a huge, huge Heins fan. I wouldn't be shocked

151
00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:46,920
Speaker 4: if he like crazily emerged up NBA draft boards, because

152
00:06:46,960 --> 00:06:49,239
Speaker 4: he's got decent feet, decent hands, and he's an incredible

153
00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:52,600
Speaker 4: shot blocker. But if he's not there, Stefan Payne had

154
00:06:52,640 --> 00:06:56,200
Speaker 4: eighteen and sixteen against Providence. He's a freaking monster too,

155
00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:58,040
Speaker 4: one of the best shot blockers in the country as well.

156
00:06:58,680 --> 00:07:00,960
Speaker 4: I think the defense is going to be fine for

157
00:07:01,000 --> 00:07:04,640
Speaker 4: Seaton Hall no matter if Hines plays are not Villanova,

158
00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:08,440
Speaker 4: They've been really solid at like competing with BYU with solid.

159
00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:11,200
Speaker 4: Kind of got wiped by Michigan, but everybody gets wiped

160
00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:13,680
Speaker 4: by Michigan, and then Wisconsin's just been bad. I'm not

161
00:07:13,760 --> 00:07:16,040
Speaker 4: really going to celebrate that effort. They almost blew that game.

162
00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:18,240
Speaker 4: I think Seaton Hall gets off to the two and

163
00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:21,440
Speaker 4: oh start in league play after that. Roadman of Providence

164
00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:23,400
Speaker 4: Kai and Yeah, I like the Pirates too. If Matt

165
00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:25,320
Speaker 4: says it's tells me it's gonna be two and a half,

166
00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:27,560
Speaker 4: I'd lay that. I don't think i'd lay over three.

167
00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:30,160
Speaker 5: Though, Yeah, I wouldn't be right the Seaton all the

168
00:07:30,280 --> 00:07:33,920
Speaker 5: top fifteen right now. In Kim Pom a lot of physicality,

169
00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:36,280
Speaker 5: aggressive his length, but then also Bud Clark is just

170
00:07:36,280 --> 00:07:39,440
Speaker 5: a demon on the ball. He steals everything. He's like

171
00:07:39,760 --> 00:07:42,320
Speaker 5: the fastest guy live out on the court. He's so

172
00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:42,960
Speaker 5: fun to watch.

173
00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:45,800
Speaker 4: They lead the country and steal rate and block rate

174
00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:47,800
Speaker 4: that's impossibly hard to do.

175
00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:50,880
Speaker 5: Yeah, I have been impressed with Nova. Like Matt mentioned,

176
00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:53,520
Speaker 5: I think they're solid team. They're well coached obviously, and

177
00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:55,320
Speaker 5: they can shoot, and that's the key. You cannot score

178
00:07:55,320 --> 00:07:57,800
Speaker 5: inside against Seaton Hall. You have to shoot over the top.

179
00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:01,200
Speaker 2: They can do that. I'm I'm more inclined to lean

180
00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:03,880
Speaker 2: towards Nova if it got to like plus three. I

181
00:08:03,880 --> 00:08:05,640
Speaker 2: think these teams are pretty even.

182
00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:07,720
Speaker 5: I give Villanova maybe a slight edge on Neutral, which

183
00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:11,280
Speaker 5: I guess the spread implies. But yeah, I definitely stay

184
00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:14,480
Speaker 5: away from an official bet for me. Okay, mid major games,

185
00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:17,960
Speaker 5: fellas I have too highlighted here Northern Iowa. You and

186
00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:21,520
Speaker 5: I goes to Saint Mary's for a meaningless tilt. It

187
00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:24,520
Speaker 5: seems like Saint Mary's land ten here per Ken Palm,

188
00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:29,160
Speaker 5: the Gails Jim have been a crockpot slash destroyer once

189
00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:33,040
Speaker 5: again this season, just bending over lesser teams. But You

190
00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:35,440
Speaker 5: and I is tough, tough travel obviously, but they've been

191
00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:38,560
Speaker 5: really solid to start this year, very experienced team, top

192
00:08:38,600 --> 00:08:40,840
Speaker 5: ten continuity from last year roster wise.

193
00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:42,960
Speaker 2: How do you see this game unfolding?

194
00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:46,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, Saint Mary's has been really good against good mid majors,

195
00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:48,880
Speaker 4: like they flew Saint Thomas out there to start the year.

196
00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:52,600
Speaker 4: Chattan Uga, Ohio North Texas, Arkansas State and really controlled

197
00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:54,959
Speaker 4: the game against all those teams. Randy Bennett does a

198
00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:57,520
Speaker 4: really good job of scheduling these days, finding the quality

199
00:08:57,559 --> 00:09:00,600
Speaker 4: mid majors. He's not bringing in your bottom fifty teams

200
00:09:00,600 --> 00:09:02,360
Speaker 4: in the net and winning by fifty. He's bringing in,

201
00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:06,880
Speaker 4: you know, teams one to fiftieth, two hundredth and pounding them.

202
00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:09,120
Speaker 4: Matt I definitely lean towards the gales at home here.

203
00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:11,680
Speaker 4: Just I don't want to go to bat for a

204
00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:14,200
Speaker 4: team that's taking a one off trip to California before

205
00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,880
Speaker 4: Christmas like that just feels like a real odd spot

206
00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:19,600
Speaker 4: for Northern Iowa. They've been a little bit banged up.

207
00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:21,960
Speaker 4: Max Weisbrod's missed a couple of games. R J. Taylor's

208
00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:25,160
Speaker 4: been out. Not like their key pieces. Those guys aren't

209
00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:27,200
Speaker 4: any among their like four or five best players, but

210
00:09:27,280 --> 00:09:29,400
Speaker 4: the depth is hurt a little bit, and it's just

211
00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:31,559
Speaker 4: it's the kind of game that could snowball if it's

212
00:09:31,559 --> 00:09:33,680
Speaker 4: not going that well. They're getting kind of out physical.

213
00:09:34,520 --> 00:09:36,760
Speaker 4: You just can see the why are we here type factor.

214
00:09:37,160 --> 00:09:40,160
Speaker 4: I know you celebrated a big Saint Mary's non cover

215
00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:43,160
Speaker 4: on Friday night. Matthew, You're excited about FAU hanging in

216
00:09:43,200 --> 00:09:44,320
Speaker 4: by about a half pow.

217
00:09:44,120 --> 00:09:45,520
Speaker 3: Many six possessions. How about that?

218
00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:48,560
Speaker 1: Like FA really like committed to trying to speed them up,

219
00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:50,319
Speaker 1: and Saint Mary's still scoring. It's just at the rim

220
00:09:50,320 --> 00:09:52,920
Speaker 1: they're just so big and that there's no recourse.

221
00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:53,240
Speaker 3: For the owls there.

222
00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:55,400
Speaker 4: Matthew and I were hanging out in person on Friday

223
00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:58,600
Speaker 4: and he was excited about that clinging to a victory there.

224
00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:01,000
Speaker 4: But yeah, Matt, I island to the gales here. You know,

225
00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:03,760
Speaker 4: ten per ken poond very low total sub one thirty

226
00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:06,520
Speaker 4: ken Pom projected because of the way these two teams

227
00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:09,320
Speaker 4: play with pace and the defense on both sides. But

228
00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:11,120
Speaker 4: I still think Saint Mary's can crock pot a team

229
00:10:11,160 --> 00:10:12,719
Speaker 4: that's in a really bad travel spot.

230
00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:14,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I guess you argue that there's extra

231
00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:18,200
Speaker 1: days of rest for the Gaels because it just played

232
00:10:18,240 --> 00:10:20,440
Speaker 1: on Friday, But I don't know. I think it's generally,

233
00:10:20,480 --> 00:10:23,000
Speaker 1: as you said, the spot is better for Saint Mary's here.

234
00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:25,640
Speaker 1: And then Mikey lewis his injury. I know he's nursing

235
00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:28,959
Speaker 1: as his shoulder or a foot. He played played well

236
00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:32,559
Speaker 1: against FAU, but I wouldn't think he's going to be

237
00:10:32,559 --> 00:10:34,200
Speaker 1: at one hundred percent or I'm not saying he's going

238
00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:36,520
Speaker 1: to rest or bet it's gonna arrest him, but just

239
00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:39,080
Speaker 1: something key bionics. Obviously he's a pretty huge part of

240
00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:40,640
Speaker 1: that perimeter shot making.

241
00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:43,400
Speaker 3: So yeah, well silently the gals kai, but nothing strong.

242
00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:45,719
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'd lean towards the under if I had to

243
00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:48,000
Speaker 5: pick one thing, I think it is a defensive battle.

244
00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:49,560
Speaker 2: I think the pace is super slow.

245
00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:52,920
Speaker 5: I think both teams are great on defense, so lean

246
00:10:53,000 --> 00:10:56,520
Speaker 5: under there side I suppose towards the gals. But man

247
00:10:56,600 --> 00:10:59,720
Speaker 5: Jim mentioned low total, stopped to cover margin with a

248
00:10:59,720 --> 00:11:01,920
Speaker 5: low total. All the Gals have proven they can do

249
00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:04,120
Speaker 5: it over and over again, not just this season, but

250
00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:06,320
Speaker 5: in past seasons. Okay, one more game here in a

251
00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:08,960
Speaker 5: mid major section. FAU the team than Matt rooted for.

252
00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:12,520
Speaker 5: Over the weekend, they're heading to UCF, obviously not as

253
00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:15,000
Speaker 5: far of a travel to Saint Mary's. They're going to Orlando,

254
00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:18,440
Speaker 5: hop skipping to jump UCF. Matthew sneaky ten and one

255
00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:21,480
Speaker 5: top fifty, and Kim Pom has some tournament hopes until

256
00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:23,720
Speaker 5: they fall back down, most likely back to Earth in

257
00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:27,319
Speaker 5: Big twelve. Play your thoughts in this game minus eleven

258
00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:28,440
Speaker 5: in favor of UCF.

259
00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:30,360
Speaker 2: Per Kimpom, it does feel big.

260
00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:31,679
Speaker 1: It's one of those where I think it's going to

261
00:11:31,720 --> 00:11:34,920
Speaker 1: be such a high possession game. Campboinowly has this has

262
00:11:34,960 --> 00:11:38,640
Speaker 1: seventy possessions. I feel like that's discounting the pace to

263
00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:41,000
Speaker 1: some degree, but obviously both teams are more efficient on

264
00:11:41,040 --> 00:11:44,160
Speaker 1: the offensive end. The glass is where I have concerns

265
00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:47,480
Speaker 1: for fau Jacus was really worried about that against Saint

266
00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:49,720
Speaker 1: Mary's and that was, you know, I think came to fruition.

267
00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:52,480
Speaker 1: I mean, UCF it's just you know, probably even better,

268
00:11:52,920 --> 00:11:57,080
Speaker 1: not as tall and big, but just probably more athletic. Obviously,

269
00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:58,880
Speaker 1: what's still well does on the glass is you know,

270
00:11:59,040 --> 00:12:01,640
Speaker 1: second to none. And that's my think my concern for

271
00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:03,800
Speaker 1: the Als. I just don't think they have any sort

272
00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:07,360
Speaker 1: of real resistance from a rebounding perspective. Maybe they make

273
00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:08,800
Speaker 1: some shots to keep it close, but I think this

274
00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:11,640
Speaker 1: number is going to play to a lower number because

275
00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:13,880
Speaker 1: of the pace. As we've seen some of these kind

276
00:12:13,880 --> 00:12:17,760
Speaker 1: of high total minus nine minus ten, minus eleven feels high,

277
00:12:17,760 --> 00:12:18,880
Speaker 1: but it's really just not that high.

278
00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:20,959
Speaker 3: In a possession game that's high seventies.

279
00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:23,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's a terrible spot for FAU coming

280
00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:26,200
Speaker 4: back across the country from being in California. We've seen

281
00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:29,360
Speaker 4: it before Christmas. Really long west to east travel, even

282
00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:32,400
Speaker 4: if you're coming home, rather than just like a West

283
00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:35,360
Speaker 4: team coming east. I think that really gives teams problems.

284
00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:37,200
Speaker 4: So you come back, you play kind of an up

285
00:12:37,200 --> 00:12:39,960
Speaker 4: tempo team in UCF. FAU has not played a team

286
00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:42,360
Speaker 4: in the top one hundred and forty of possession length

287
00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:44,840
Speaker 4: on offense, Like they don't play anybody gets up and

288
00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:47,720
Speaker 4: down played one team in the top one ninety. Now

289
00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:50,040
Speaker 4: they're playing UCF, who's twenty fifth. I think it's gonna

290
00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:51,760
Speaker 4: be kind of a weird awakening for them. And as

291
00:12:51,800 --> 00:12:56,640
Speaker 4: Matt mentioned, I think that seventy possession projection is crazy low.

292
00:12:57,679 --> 00:12:59,640
Speaker 4: Ken Pom still got it at one sixty three, like

293
00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:02,040
Speaker 4: high totally because of efficiency. But I think this is

294
00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:03,959
Speaker 4: gonna be like seventy five possessions, which gives me some

295
00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:07,040
Speaker 4: value on the over. Guy, I will be betting the

296
00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:09,920
Speaker 4: over and lead hard to UCF because of that spot

297
00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:12,000
Speaker 4: with FAU coming all the way back across the country.

298
00:13:12,280 --> 00:13:15,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, Matt mentioned, uh, the Saint Mary's Glass forty percent

299
00:13:15,960 --> 00:13:18,079
Speaker 5: of the misses of their missus. The Gales grab against

300
00:13:18,160 --> 00:13:21,720
Speaker 5: FAU UCF the number two offensive rebinding team in the country.

301
00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:24,520
Speaker 5: They can definitely do that. I must mention regression fellas,

302
00:13:24,520 --> 00:13:26,520
Speaker 5: I have to do it. You seef top ten three

303
00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:29,679
Speaker 5: point percentage right now Gales outside the top three hundred

304
00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:33,680
Speaker 5: and three point percentage allowed. Does it all come crashing

305
00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:35,079
Speaker 5: back down to the mean this game?

306
00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:35,800
Speaker 2: Who knows?

307
00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:38,920
Speaker 5: I would lean towards FAU normally in this game, but

308
00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:43,360
Speaker 5: with the travel uh comfortably staying away. Okay, Phillis, We're

309
00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:46,440
Speaker 5: going on a next section Live Dogs, Where is Mine?

310
00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:54,280
Speaker 1: Where Is Mine?

311
00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:57,720
Speaker 5: Last week and Karna Word actually gave TCU a nice

312
00:13:57,760 --> 00:13:59,960
Speaker 5: little run. I thought we were gonna pull Live Dog

313
00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:02,520
Speaker 5: out of our butts. They covered if you just bet

314
00:14:02,520 --> 00:14:05,040
Speaker 5: them on the spread. Marist against Georgia Tech did not cover.

315
00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:07,960
Speaker 5: Played Georgia Tech fairly close, but it was a low,

316
00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:11,760
Speaker 5: low spread, and LU covered against Mississippi State. So no

317
00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:13,960
Speaker 5: outright wins, which is of course we're hunting for in

318
00:14:14,000 --> 00:14:18,319
Speaker 5: this section. But two and one on a cover basis

319
00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:19,320
Speaker 5: this week.

320
00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:22,440
Speaker 4: I think both those teams were like fifteen to twenty points. Yes, okay,

321
00:14:22,560 --> 00:14:24,360
Speaker 4: I'm not I'm not going to get.

322
00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:28,040
Speaker 5: Long shots this week, A little smaller spreads. You guys

323
00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:30,000
Speaker 5: feel free to add in your own here. But I

324
00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:34,000
Speaker 5: picked out Portland going to UC Santa Barbara. My thought

325
00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:37,520
Speaker 5: process here was why not. Portland's been feisty wins over

326
00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:41,800
Speaker 5: UC Davis, Kent State overtime with Northern Colorado and Santa

327
00:14:41,840 --> 00:14:43,480
Speaker 5: Barbara Matt. I mean, they have all the talent in

328
00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:45,240
Speaker 5: the world, but they're not well coached and they don't

329
00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:47,840
Speaker 5: play well together. They're coming off a blowout loss against

330
00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:49,920
Speaker 5: Utah Valley, they lost at Green Bay.

331
00:14:50,640 --> 00:14:53,600
Speaker 2: Long Beach took them to overtime. Lehigh took them to

332
00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:54,000
Speaker 2: the wire.

333
00:14:54,120 --> 00:14:56,320
Speaker 5: It's just a weird team that should be much better

334
00:14:56,360 --> 00:14:58,720
Speaker 5: than it is. I can see Portland pulling this off.

335
00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:02,200
Speaker 1: Your thoughts, No, I can't say, especially if Mirror Little

336
00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:04,520
Speaker 1: is still out, which I believe he will be. It

337
00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:07,840
Speaker 1: was a ton of Marvin McGee in his absence of

338
00:15:07,920 --> 00:15:11,520
Speaker 1: the I guess mid range assassin from Baker's Field. Yeah, this,

339
00:15:11,520 --> 00:15:13,720
Speaker 1: this Santa Bards team thought would be really good, just

340
00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:15,720
Speaker 1: doesn't look the same without Little, and they've they've had

341
00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:18,600
Speaker 1: some It's just not a deep roster, right, you lose

342
00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:22,600
Speaker 1: Little you lose and then Foughtenon came back last game.

343
00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:26,240
Speaker 1: If I recall the he's yes, it's just that they're

344
00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:27,200
Speaker 1: they're they're lacking bodies.

345
00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:27,720
Speaker 3: I with Kai.

346
00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:29,720
Speaker 1: Portland's big too, they are long. I think their length

347
00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:33,240
Speaker 1: can actually bother the gauchos man.

348
00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:35,520
Speaker 4: I can't believe you didn't bring up your boy Joel

349
00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:40,200
Speaker 4: Foxwell when you're talking about Portland.

350
00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:37,440
Speaker 2: And.

351
00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:41,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, he's been awesome for them. Really save their bacon

352
00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:45,560
Speaker 4: because Riley Parker has been out not really giving them

353
00:15:45,560 --> 00:15:48,120
Speaker 4: what they need to transfer from from Saint Francis, so

354
00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:50,840
Speaker 4: getting a great production out of the freshman there. I

355
00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:53,200
Speaker 4: like this one. I think it's kind of competitive all

356
00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:55,640
Speaker 4: the way Pasternack teams. I don't love trusting them as

357
00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:58,960
Speaker 4: a favorite. It's a talented team that plays up to me. Yes,

358
00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:01,600
Speaker 4: and I mean they're come back from green Bay, probably

359
00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:03,400
Speaker 4: smarting a little bit, but that is a lot of

360
00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:07,280
Speaker 4: travel for them. I like this one. Kai probably not

361
00:16:07,280 --> 00:16:09,040
Speaker 4: going to lay it or just I'm not going to

362
00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:11,200
Speaker 4: take it as my official bet here, but I think

363
00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:12,240
Speaker 4: he picked out a decent spot.

364
00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:15,680
Speaker 5: Yeah probably, I'll add that as an official sprinkle and

365
00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:20,080
Speaker 5: also spread play now Fellas Princeton is my other one.

366
00:16:20,320 --> 00:16:21,760
Speaker 2: I'm not going to take this, but I had to

367
00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:22,280
Speaker 2: mention it.

368
00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:25,640
Speaker 5: Plus ten at Temple per kmpum eight and four against

369
00:16:25,640 --> 00:16:28,200
Speaker 5: the spread as Princeton, but a negative two point five

370
00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:30,360
Speaker 5: cover margin Gym. They're like skin of their teeth every

371
00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:32,760
Speaker 5: single game. I don't really trust this team. It's not

372
00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:35,200
Speaker 5: the same usual Princeton team, and Dalen Davis is still

373
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:37,920
Speaker 5: out for them. So I wanted to mention this because

374
00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:41,600
Speaker 5: Temple can be erratic. They have certainly consistencies with how

375
00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:42,840
Speaker 5: they get to the free throw line and how they

376
00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:45,240
Speaker 5: don't turn the ball over, but I still don't all

377
00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:47,720
Speaker 5: the way trust this team, so it caught my eye

378
00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:50,560
Speaker 5: as a potential play Jim. Ultimately, though, I'm sticking to

379
00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:51,160
Speaker 5: Portland here.

380
00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:54,600
Speaker 4: I don't trust Temple at all. The team has been

381
00:16:54,640 --> 00:16:57,240
Speaker 4: so erratic the last two years or the last three

382
00:16:57,280 --> 00:16:59,440
Speaker 4: years really with Fisher in charge, like the two worst

383
00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:03,040
Speaker 4: seasons in Palm history for them, going back to two

384
00:17:03,120 --> 00:17:05,679
Speaker 4: years ago when Heisier Miller was shaving points and you know,

385
00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:07,720
Speaker 4: maybe that's part of why they were bad then. But

386
00:17:08,080 --> 00:17:11,120
Speaker 4: they're a little banged up right now. AJ Smith, Messiah Gilliard,

387
00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:13,760
Speaker 4: Gavin Griffiths all did not play last game, didn't even

388
00:17:13,800 --> 00:17:16,320
Speaker 4: travel with the team. I don't believe, so they're thin.

389
00:17:17,080 --> 00:17:19,359
Speaker 4: Dale Davis is a huge, huge absence for Princeton. Know,

390
00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:23,040
Speaker 4: Henderson talked about in the preseason like we're going to

391
00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:26,120
Speaker 4: be experimenting a lot in non conference play, like trying

392
00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:27,800
Speaker 4: to figure out who our best lineups are going to be.

393
00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:29,560
Speaker 4: We're not really going to try to be serious until

394
00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:32,240
Speaker 4: league play. That explains the three and ten overall record.

395
00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:36,280
Speaker 4: As you mentioned, they've actually covered games, but narrowly and

396
00:17:36,320 --> 00:17:38,840
Speaker 4: not a team I would bet confidently right now, Matt.

397
00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:40,640
Speaker 4: The only thing they do well is defensive rebound. They're

398
00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:43,840
Speaker 4: number one in the entire country. Temple take that away

399
00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:47,119
Speaker 4: from from them is decent, but I don't have a

400
00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:49,000
Speaker 4: strong one here. I just don't trust Temple. So if

401
00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:51,240
Speaker 4: you want to jump in on Princeton short handed, go

402
00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:53,399
Speaker 4: for it. But I can't. I can't tell you to

403
00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:53,919
Speaker 4: back Temple.

404
00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:56,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, actually almost lean Temple. I've seen. It's a good

405
00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:57,440
Speaker 3: matchup for them.

406
00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:01,399
Speaker 1: They just the their lack of like true interior size

407
00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:03,639
Speaker 1: I think is where they can get exposed sometimes and

408
00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:04,760
Speaker 1: Princeton obviously is.

409
00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:05,520
Speaker 3: Not built that way.

410
00:18:05,600 --> 00:18:07,800
Speaker 1: So We'll see how the spot plays, but I think

411
00:18:07,840 --> 00:18:11,760
Speaker 1: matchup wise, even with the guys they have still available,

412
00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:14,160
Speaker 1: I think it's actually a good one for Temple here.

413
00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:16,040
Speaker 1: And yeah, I'm Princeton just a team I'm not touching

414
00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:18,719
Speaker 1: until the IVY begins, just no reason to do it.

415
00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:20,800
Speaker 5: Did you guys want to saw us on any other

416
00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:22,800
Speaker 5: live dogs before we gets to our next section or

417
00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:24,200
Speaker 5: pass into the next section.

418
00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:26,240
Speaker 4: I'm gonna get a long shot Ki the way you

419
00:18:26,280 --> 00:18:29,880
Speaker 4: brought in lu in incarnate word last week Alabama State

420
00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:34,119
Speaker 4: on Monday Night. They're scrappy Memphis, yes, really scrappy, swack

421
00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:37,120
Speaker 4: team well coached, made the NCAA Tournament last year, kind

422
00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:40,280
Speaker 4: of turned over the entire roster, but still the same

423
00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:43,919
Speaker 4: feisty type squad under twenty Madlock and Memphis under Penny

424
00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:47,600
Speaker 4: has always been a terrible big favorite. Like they they're like,

425
00:18:47,760 --> 00:18:50,199
Speaker 4: I think thirty percent or so against the spread when

426
00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:53,040
Speaker 4: they're a favorite of double digits. And that's where they're

427
00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:55,120
Speaker 4: going to be here now they're coming off three straight losses.

428
00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:57,880
Speaker 4: But it was Louisville Vanderbilt, this would be State game.

429
00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:00,600
Speaker 4: Before that was Baylor. That is for like games. We

430
00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:03,520
Speaker 4: got to get up for in a row. I could see,

431
00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:08,240
Speaker 4: even off the triple losses, a lackadaisical, unfocused kind of

432
00:19:08,320 --> 00:19:10,919
Speaker 4: Memphis and Alabama State hangs around. So I definitely like

433
00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:13,760
Speaker 4: them against the spread. I will be I'll just say

434
00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:15,520
Speaker 4: that right now plus eighteen. We're gonna put that on

435
00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:17,959
Speaker 4: the card. A little bit of money line sprinkle has

436
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:20,520
Speaker 4: a long shot too. I don't necessarily think they'll get

437
00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:22,800
Speaker 4: it done, but I think they have enough of a chance.

438
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:27,359
Speaker 2: Any ads for you, Matthew or you you passed the runners? Okay?

439
00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:29,360
Speaker 2: The Baker's or uts?

440
00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:32,480
Speaker 3: No? No, no no? And then they called U at

441
00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:33,399
Speaker 3: TSA the runners too.

442
00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:36,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know, Yeah, I think the officially called

443
00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:40,080
Speaker 1: them that maybe for ut Anyway, Yes, I like the

444
00:19:40,119 --> 00:19:43,960
Speaker 1: ETSA Roadrunners hosting Seattle off of that Mando who went

445
00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:47,200
Speaker 1: against Washington against sort of a tough travel spot coming

446
00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:51,320
Speaker 1: from West to Middle America. And I know Austin Colonci's

447
00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:52,919
Speaker 1: team has been more Jeckyll and Hide this year, but

448
00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:54,520
Speaker 1: that's a team at home that can get hot and

449
00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:56,240
Speaker 1: just again sort of a weird spot for a team

450
00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:59,040
Speaker 1: that probably is not going to bring their fastball after

451
00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:01,560
Speaker 1: being Washington climate climate pledge.

452
00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:05,080
Speaker 5: Are we in love it good candidate. Okay, next up,

453
00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:09,359
Speaker 5: favorite favorites presented by Draft Kings. Last week you and

454
00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:13,760
Speaker 5: C covered against Etsu hooray for us Horey. Duke did

455
00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:16,960
Speaker 5: not cover the actual spread, which was around thirty three.

456
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:19,520
Speaker 5: It got close to the Kempom number of twenty five.

457
00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:22,879
Speaker 5: We they ended up winning by twenty four. Lipscomb played

458
00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:26,800
Speaker 5: Duke close even through like thirty minutes. It was very bizarre.

459
00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:28,080
Speaker 3: It's a bad week for Duke.

460
00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:29,520
Speaker 2: Yeah. Wow.

461
00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:31,760
Speaker 5: They talk about the collapse in the texasttack holy moly.

462
00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:35,000
Speaker 5: This week fellas you know, we talked about Illinois. I

463
00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:37,880
Speaker 5: think that's not a bad pet. Where I'm going though,

464
00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:42,400
Speaker 5: is Tausan against Sacred Heart. I think the Pios pioneers

465
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:44,600
Speaker 5: at Sacred Heart are a whack a mole team. But

466
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:47,440
Speaker 5: if An Kwon Hill is out again for them, which

467
00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:50,000
Speaker 5: no one knows his status, he's their best player big man.

468
00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:53,560
Speaker 5: I think had thousand roles. The way Pat scary Ball plays,

469
00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:56,120
Speaker 5: it's boy ball in the glass, and Sacred Heart doesn't

470
00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:58,840
Speaker 5: have their best big man. I think Ugly could get ugly.

471
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,360
Speaker 5: Kempom has it minus eight. And then I also threw

472
00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 5: out here matthew BYU minus thirty per Kin Pum, which

473
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:05,840
Speaker 5: it won't be in real life. It'll probably be closer

474
00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:09,400
Speaker 5: to forty. Eastern Washington's defense is pathetic. I mean, Utah

475
00:21:09,520 --> 00:21:11,600
Speaker 5: just scored one hundred and one on them. BYU can

476
00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:13,880
Speaker 5: name its number in this game. Do you like either

477
00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:15,840
Speaker 5: of those? Do you want to add one of your own?

478
00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:17,400
Speaker 5: What is your favorite favorite?

479
00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:21,080
Speaker 1: You said that e WASH one, yeah, b Yu yeah,

480
00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:24,840
Speaker 1: y yeah, I'm just tired of that team. Yeah, And

481
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:27,919
Speaker 1: I just think that that spot BUYU is starting really

482
00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:30,840
Speaker 1: impressment with the way they're Their defense is actually what's

483
00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:34,600
Speaker 1: starting to impress me. And I think if you can

484
00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:36,560
Speaker 1: score one hundred against e WASH, right, I think that's

485
00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:39,240
Speaker 1: no problem. Their defense is in horrible Monson's been Pomonian's.

486
00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:42,200
Speaker 1: We've seen it give up, you know, eighty ninety plus

487
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:45,080
Speaker 1: away orse offenses, So BYU comes out engaged defensively.

488
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,600
Speaker 3: I think they win pretty handily here at altitude.

489
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 1: Although e wash has proven they can go to altitude

490
00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:52,560
Speaker 1: and compete different animal here than like Colorado or some

491
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:53,680
Speaker 1: other places they played well at.

492
00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:56,159
Speaker 4: So yeah, yeah, I'm on board with these Kai. I

493
00:21:56,200 --> 00:21:58,639
Speaker 4: think the BYU ones get called Tabansa is just at

494
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:02,120
Speaker 4: a different level right now, like kind of pushing Cam

495
00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:04,240
Speaker 4: Boozer for National Player of the Year. I mean it's

496
00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:07,200
Speaker 4: probably not like actually right up against them at this point,

497
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:10,360
Speaker 4: but his performances of late have been outrageous. He's had

498
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:12,639
Speaker 4: some highlight reel plays BYU has pushed its way up

499
00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:16,080
Speaker 4: to ninth in Ken Palm and at altitude. Yeah, it's

500
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:18,800
Speaker 4: kind of a shorthanded Eastern Washington team that lost Andrew

501
00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:20,800
Speaker 4: cook to before the season even started.

502
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:22,440
Speaker 3: I like that spot.

503
00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:25,919
Speaker 4: The one I want to add is Georgia because of

504
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:28,760
Speaker 4: the way they play. They have been high, high tempo.

505
00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:32,040
Speaker 4: They scored one hundred like basically every time. They're a

506
00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:35,200
Speaker 4: big home favorite. West Georgia does not have the bodies

507
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:39,320
Speaker 4: to measure up in the inside. I can't remember exactly

508
00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:42,560
Speaker 4: what the nickname that Georgia has been giving themselves with,

509
00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:44,639
Speaker 4: like the Duncan Dogs or something like that. They like

510
00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:46,760
Speaker 4: the country and dunks. They lead the country in layups,

511
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,399
Speaker 4: really really physical inside with Samtos surreal. They're number one

512
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:52,879
Speaker 4: of the country in two point percentage. Like the offense

513
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:56,360
Speaker 4: is is real producers, really quality shots. Now they haven't

514
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 4: covered recently Western Carolina one by thirty, but it wasn't

515
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:04,359
Speaker 4: a cover. Tennessee Tech. They won by two. That was

516
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:07,480
Speaker 4: a cover. But they just score so easily and they

517
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:10,359
Speaker 4: play so fast. I think against West Georgia that's a

518
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:11,040
Speaker 4: pretty good book.

519
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:13,119
Speaker 2: Yeah like that, Jim Man, they've been awesome.

520
00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:17,800
Speaker 1: Kudos to Mike White, White Higher, Todd Abernaffy, Ah, the

521
00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 1: man behind the man.

522
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:21,560
Speaker 5: There's always a man behind the man, as they say,

523
00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:24,720
Speaker 5: Jim Good spots. I will add both of the ones

524
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:28,080
Speaker 5: I mentioned Tessen and BYU. Now BYU again call it

525
00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:31,400
Speaker 5: thirty five. It's probably my cutoff. I feel like there's

526
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:33,240
Speaker 5: been more forty point wins this year, guys. I don't

527
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:35,000
Speaker 5: know if Matt you have stats on that, but it

528
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:38,879
Speaker 5: feels like it's happening more often. That's a very niche question,

529
00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:42,080
Speaker 5: I know, but I can try and fill query that

530
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:43,440
Speaker 5: the numbers in the background.

531
00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 1: Me.

532
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,480
Speaker 3: I just think that's that's everyone knows that.

533
00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:47,800
Speaker 1: Now, teams you want to run it up, and I

534
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:49,800
Speaker 1: think the teams that are on the other side of

535
00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:52,520
Speaker 1: that just have less fight than usual. I just like,

536
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,159
Speaker 1: you know, if you're down thirty, play your fresh will

537
00:23:55,200 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 1: be forty. Yeah, play your other guys, Tinker. It goes

538
00:23:57,800 --> 00:23:58,280
Speaker 1: both ways.

539
00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:00,879
Speaker 4: Yeah, the Georgia things the same as BYU, Like it's

540
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:03,280
Speaker 4: twenty nine at Ken Palm, I think that'll be thirty

541
00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:06,440
Speaker 4: two three. I'm calling it thirty four as my cap

542
00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:07,560
Speaker 4: as well. I can take it up too.

543
00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 5: Yeah, alrighty spot time fellas. Last week Queen's did not

544
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:16,280
Speaker 5: show up against Arkansas, but hey, great over so fantastic

545
00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:19,680
Speaker 5: for that. They just they're a horrible defensive team. Kansas

546
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:23,879
Speaker 5: City covered against Oklahoma a little fight from the ruse. Finally,

547
00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:27,080
Speaker 5: that's that's a that's the first one. Calbat did not

548
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:30,080
Speaker 5: cover against Southern Southern Tough Team man Swack Swack Team

549
00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:35,480
Speaker 5: travels well. Colbab was disappointing last week. This week, Jim

550
00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:38,040
Speaker 5: has a couple of spots here. Hey Washington on Monday

551
00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:41,040
Speaker 5: minus seventeen for Kim pom a little by Lo after

552
00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:44,439
Speaker 5: that Seattle loss, and sell high Jim on the Trero's

553
00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:47,440
Speaker 5: after shocking U see San Diego.

554
00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:51,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, a little cross toown victory there for Steve Labans boys.

555
00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:53,840
Speaker 4: Really really shocking. I did not think they would be

556
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:55,879
Speaker 4: able to compete with one of the most fun in

557
00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:58,600
Speaker 4: major teams to watch you see San Diego. The concern

558
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:01,560
Speaker 4: with Washington is Wesley Yates got hurt against Seattle, only

559
00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:04,520
Speaker 4: played eleven minutes. If he's not in there, they do

560
00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 4: lose a lot of perimeter firepower, but I still think

561
00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 4: they can kind of dominate the paint here. That's where

562
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:13,760
Speaker 4: Hanna Steinback comes in a double double machine German. I

563
00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:15,879
Speaker 4: think you do get a pretty motivated effort from them.

564
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:18,720
Speaker 4: San Diego actually has talent, like they that was what

565
00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:20,440
Speaker 4: they did in the off season, like, all right, let's

566
00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 4: try this troubled project, Tyler Johnson, Let's see what you've got,

567
00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:26,840
Speaker 4: Tony Arry Lane, Let's see what you've got. So they

568
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:30,520
Speaker 4: could theoretically play up, but they're not that big, and

569
00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:32,439
Speaker 4: I think Steinback is going to have a field day

570
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:35,360
Speaker 4: in the paint. So I'm buying low on Washington Matthew

571
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:36,080
Speaker 4: with that spot.

572
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:39,160
Speaker 1: I agree that the avilas Can I like a lot,

573
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,640
Speaker 1: but he's not he's not ready to guard Steinbeck obviously,

574
00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:44,760
Speaker 1: but he's been kind of a key different since he's

575
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:49,359
Speaker 1: been reinserted up front. I yeah, I think the spot's

576
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:51,600
Speaker 1: really good here, Jim. I do think Saneo's talent is

577
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:55,040
Speaker 1: you know, there's a reason they beat you see San Diego.

578
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:57,080
Speaker 1: I think they are kind of undervalue as a team

579
00:25:57,080 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 1: in general, but in this spot, this is probably a

580
00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:01,159
Speaker 1: good probably a good face lean if you don't bet it,

581
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,880
Speaker 1: but then look to maybe back them as the calendar

582
00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:06,760
Speaker 1: turned startly January for conference play. Because they Levin just

583
00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:08,440
Speaker 1: plays so many dudes. They're almost so hard to scout

584
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:10,679
Speaker 1: because they're unpredictable to who plays each night. But they

585
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:11,720
Speaker 1: do have talent for sure.

586
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:16,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, boy, Washington disappointing under sprinkle Head again. The eighth

587
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:20,720
Speaker 5: injury is pretty big. On Tuesday we did talk about Ucffau.

588
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:22,800
Speaker 5: We think it's a pretty good spot for the Knights

589
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:26,720
Speaker 5: with Fau coming back from Saint Mary's. Jim thrown out

590
00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:29,800
Speaker 5: Bellerman plus twenty six maybe and heck, it's not gonna

591
00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:32,080
Speaker 5: be twenty six. Kentucky's going to take money. Most likely

592
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:35,600
Speaker 5: you get to thirty. Obviously, Kentucky riding high after the

593
00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:38,240
Speaker 5: Saint John's win. You have to think Jadan and Quainton's

594
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:40,919
Speaker 5: doesn't play a whole lot. Also, he's a game changer.

595
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:43,600
Speaker 5: That guy just freaking rocks. I have to shout out

596
00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:47,119
Speaker 5: on Bellerman, Jack Kirosenski rocks. He is a good player.

597
00:26:47,119 --> 00:26:49,680
Speaker 5: He's having twenty one points per game for Bellerman and

598
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:53,639
Speaker 5: also shout out to Brian Waddell, a former Perdue castaway,

599
00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:56,199
Speaker 5: is like their second best player. So the Knights are

600
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:58,200
Speaker 5: scrappy under the new head coach, who is the old

601
00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:00,840
Speaker 5: head coach's son, Doug Davin is their coach.

602
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:02,760
Speaker 2: I just don't know if I have the balls to

603
00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:04,360
Speaker 2: lay it or take the dog here.

604
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's this is more highlighting the spot. I'm not

605
00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:09,879
Speaker 4: going to actually put this on the card, but Kentucky

606
00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:14,080
Speaker 4: is off beating Indiana, They're off beating Saint John's media

607
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:17,639
Speaker 4: is kind of fluffing them right now. Fluff are very

608
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:20,800
Speaker 4: into Big Blue Nation right now. Quaintans is a big addition.

609
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:23,760
Speaker 4: I think truly Donovan tweeted because of his effort level,

610
00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:25,359
Speaker 4: and that was kind of what we were criticizing with

611
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:27,440
Speaker 4: Kentucky for a little while, Like this scene isn't playing

612
00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:30,320
Speaker 4: very hard and he is all over the court. He's

613
00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:32,679
Speaker 4: an animal, so that helps. But I do think you

614
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:35,359
Speaker 4: can get a little bit of a lull here. They've

615
00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:38,320
Speaker 4: got a lot of time off after this game. Alabama

616
00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:41,800
Speaker 4: starting SEC play. This could be a real dead spot

617
00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:43,399
Speaker 4: for them. I think the spread is gonna be closer

618
00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:45,720
Speaker 4: to thirty five than the twenty six that it is

619
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:48,639
Speaker 4: at Kenpom So I would consider it, I would entertain it.

620
00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:51,160
Speaker 4: I can't quite get there, though, mat because Mark Pope

621
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:53,920
Speaker 4: is known to smash Q four competition.

622
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:57,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, and this will be probably a heavy zone game.

623
00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:00,879
Speaker 1: Bellman they played I think at twelve percent twelve percent

624
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,880
Speaker 1: of possessions percentergy, which sounds low, but I think usually

625
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 1: you play Kentucky if you're Bellerman, you're gonna you're gonna

626
00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:06,880
Speaker 1: play zone.

627
00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 3: I'm going junking Levan, Yeah, junk it up.

628
00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:13,080
Speaker 1: So maybe that throws a wrench in Kentucky's flow, but

629
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:13,480
Speaker 1: I don't know.

630
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:14,200
Speaker 3: I'm with Kai.

631
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:19,239
Speaker 1: The reinsertions of Quainton's and Low just totally changed this

632
00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:20,760
Speaker 1: Kentucky outlook.

633
00:28:21,520 --> 00:28:23,040
Speaker 2: Just for backgrounds of Bellman.

634
00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:26,880
Speaker 5: They lost by forty five to Georgia, lost by twenty

635
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 5: six knpsa safe. They hung with Notre Dame, so that's

636
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:32,280
Speaker 5: their power history. Kentucky obviously a little bit better than

637
00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:34,720
Speaker 5: those teams, but hey, maybe resting on their laurels a

638
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:35,680
Speaker 5: bit after that big win.

639
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:38,480
Speaker 4: Two more here, Yeah, Jef, I just want to say

640
00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 4: you mentioned the Georgia lost by a billion. That was

641
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 4: one of only two ats losses for these bellarmin nights,

642
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:46,320
Speaker 4: they're seven to two against the spread. So it's actually

643
00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:48,800
Speaker 4: been a team that's been exceeding expectations. You should have

644
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:53,800
Speaker 4: to worry about the size athleticism. Yeahs between them in Kentucky.

645
00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:57,120
Speaker 5: At quick double here, guys, for your interest, Matthew Ohio

646
00:28:57,120 --> 00:28:59,880
Speaker 5: State and Saint John's both coming off of CBS Sports

647
00:28:59,880 --> 00:29:02,600
Speaker 5: Classic losses. They are now twenty one point favorites for

648
00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:06,480
Speaker 5: Kim Palm against Saint John's playing Harvard, Ohio States playing Grambling.

649
00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:08,720
Speaker 5: Any answers in either of those as a kind of

650
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 5: angry spot or passing it along.

651
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:14,000
Speaker 1: I kind of like Ohio State and sort of like

652
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:18,080
Speaker 1: the bounce back Yets, some inferior talent team. You know,

653
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:21,680
Speaker 1: they've beaten maybe Western Michigan by thirty two. They beat

654
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,480
Speaker 1: Appstate by twenty two. I mean they beat like solid

655
00:29:24,560 --> 00:29:26,520
Speaker 1: mid majors by twenty thirty. I think that's probably a

656
00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:28,760
Speaker 1: pretty good spot there to lay it. But again, I

657
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,040
Speaker 1: just get do you get worried about these home favorite

658
00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 1: spots before Christmas?

659
00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:34,040
Speaker 3: You're not cross out there?

660
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:36,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, infestiohise standing again, there's a video ent viral. I

661
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 1: mean their game against against Illinois, there's like nobody there,

662
00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 1: so yeah, I certainly will not be a full crowd

663
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,480
Speaker 1: at all. That's my concern. Just kind of a dead

664
00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:47,760
Speaker 1: wine and cheese environment. I don't like backing that as

665
00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:48,880
Speaker 1: a large favorite.

666
00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:52,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, both of these I want to get behind. I

667
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:55,320
Speaker 4: want to get excited about. Saint John's is a big favorite,

668
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 4: but Harvard can be a feisty dog. Just under Tommy Amaker,

669
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:02,800
Speaker 4: They've had had talent that plays up fairly well. I

670
00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:04,920
Speaker 4: thought the ATS numbers were a lot better as a

671
00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:08,080
Speaker 4: big dog ky right now. Their last twenty games as

672
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:10,400
Speaker 4: a fifteen point underdog or more, they're only eleven and

673
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:13,400
Speaker 4: nine against spread. I thought it was like sixteen and four.

674
00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 4: So not as good as I thought, but maybe enough

675
00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:19,560
Speaker 4: to scare me off. Trying to find the angry Saint

676
00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:22,320
Speaker 4: John's team. Yeah, I think they're going to be peeved

677
00:30:22,560 --> 00:30:25,080
Speaker 4: and having a lack of a point guard isn't going

678
00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:26,800
Speaker 4: to matter as much in this game. But I'm not

679
00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:27,880
Speaker 4: quite gonna lay it with them.

680
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:33,080
Speaker 2: I agree with your Sentemon's boys. What's that smell? It

681
00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:39,360
Speaker 2: danks me? This trash, the sweet sweet trash. The trash

682
00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:42,000
Speaker 2: is a gold mine, gold mine.

683
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:44,480
Speaker 5: Okay, let's go trash diving. We do have to issue

684
00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:48,280
Speaker 5: an apology for last week. We recorded last week's episode

685
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:52,080
Speaker 5: on Sunday. We thought the Loyola Chicago State game was

686
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:54,239
Speaker 5: on Monday. In fact it was the same day. It

687
00:30:54,280 --> 00:30:57,280
Speaker 5: was Sunday. Had not tipped off yet. Chicago State ends

688
00:30:57,320 --> 00:31:00,960
Speaker 5: up beating Loyola, which is just an unfai adamable result,

689
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:03,920
Speaker 5: and then Loyally turns around and beats Santa Clara, which

690
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:05,320
Speaker 5: is just absolutely nuts.

691
00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:08,959
Speaker 4: Yeah, we handicapped the heck out of it. Was going

692
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 4: to compete the whole way. Yeah, winning outright. We just

693
00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 4: we just released that a little after the game had

694
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:14,560
Speaker 4: taken place.

695
00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:17,720
Speaker 5: Yeah, it didn't help any of you out there, so sorry, Missisi.

696
00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,400
Speaker 5: Valley State is who we mentioned. Against Tarleton, though they

697
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:22,800
Speaker 5: hung for thirty minutes, it was neck and neck at half,

698
00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 5: and then they got forked. Charlton forked and right at

699
00:31:25,360 --> 00:31:29,800
Speaker 5: the end blew him out. Unfortunately, this week I picked

700
00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:35,960
Speaker 5: Matthew Binghamton, an Army a noon eastern tilt. Binghamton is

701
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:38,400
Speaker 5: three and seven against the spread. They look horrible, Army

702
00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:41,560
Speaker 5: seven to three against the spread, surprisingly laying seven per

703
00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:45,640
Speaker 5: Kimpalm boy. I think Lily for Binghamton eats inside.

704
00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:46,760
Speaker 2: He is the number.

705
00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 5: They have the number two free throw rate in the

706
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:51,600
Speaker 5: country against a team and army that fouls a ton.

707
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:54,160
Speaker 5: I think seven's a lot to lay. But do I

708
00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:55,000
Speaker 5: trust Binghamton?

709
00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:58,080
Speaker 2: I don't. I just think they can cover the spread. Matt,

710
00:31:58,080 --> 00:31:58,400
Speaker 2: what do you think?

711
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:01,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that. I had Fordham and new

712
00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:02,080
Speaker 1: Haven written down.

713
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:03,400
Speaker 2: From Okay, that's a good trash pick.

714
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:06,040
Speaker 1: So, but Forums starting to play a little better under

715
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:09,720
Speaker 1: the Magpies get a little healthier, then blowing out FT

716
00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:12,000
Speaker 1: and then Manhattan was kind of the one where I'm like, oh, okay,

717
00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:15,320
Speaker 1: you know Manhattan is not great, but certainly a more

718
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 1: competitive team. You would have thought that would compete in

719
00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:20,160
Speaker 1: that rivalry game. Yeah, so form is my trash pick

720
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:22,360
Speaker 1: favorite the day for a Monday.

721
00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:25,440
Speaker 4: Form of the three and sixty fifth ranked strength to

722
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:27,040
Speaker 4: schedule the entire country.

723
00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:28,720
Speaker 2: Job Mikey Mags's body.

724
00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:31,800
Speaker 4: So they're familiar with the of new Haven's quality, Yes.

725
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:35,000
Speaker 2: Jim, I'm matting Binghamton plus seven as a play there.

726
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:36,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, you're disgusting.

727
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:38,160
Speaker 2: Gross.

728
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:40,240
Speaker 4: This is you are at the very bottom of the

729
00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:41,600
Speaker 4: dumpster right now, Kyle.

730
00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:44,480
Speaker 2: You're covered in muck on the raccoon, Go take a shower.

731
00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 4: You're just.

732
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:48,960
Speaker 5: Okay. That was trash sex. In a short section this week,

733
00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:51,120
Speaker 5: h phillis, I want to end the podcast with a

734
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:54,880
Speaker 5: spotlight section. This week, it's time to check in on

735
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:58,320
Speaker 5: against the spread records. I always like to do this, kind.

736
00:32:58,240 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 2: Of get the lay of the land. Either.

737
00:33:00,560 --> 00:33:03,440
Speaker 5: It's usually like an angry thing. So if I see

738
00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:05,120
Speaker 5: a team's doing really real against the spread, I'm like,

739
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:06,320
Speaker 5: why I've not been betting that team.

740
00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:07,120
Speaker 2: I was high on them in.

741
00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:09,360
Speaker 5: The preseason, and I see the worst teams, I'm like,

742
00:33:09,360 --> 00:33:11,480
Speaker 5: that checks out. I lose on that team every single game.

743
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 5: So here are the best teams against the spread. And

744
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,160
Speaker 5: my question for you guys is is there value on

745
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:19,960
Speaker 5: these teams going forward? Have they peaked or is there

746
00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:22,400
Speaker 5: more on the more meat left on the bone. So

747
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:24,760
Speaker 5: Sam Houston right now best ats team in the country.

748
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:26,760
Speaker 5: Eight to zero against the spread, A nine point cover

749
00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:30,280
Speaker 5: margin is very impressive. Hard to do, Wayman Mary nine

750
00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:33,520
Speaker 5: and one with an eight point cover margin. Hofstra their

751
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:36,800
Speaker 5: CAAA brethren nine to one against the spread, six point

752
00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:39,720
Speaker 5: cover margin. Idaho State been on them a few times,

753
00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:42,480
Speaker 5: been loving them eight and one against the spread, seven

754
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:45,800
Speaker 5: point margin, and then Tarleton shocking. I did not know

755
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:48,680
Speaker 5: eight and one against the spread the Texans. I was

756
00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:51,080
Speaker 5: on the only game they did not cover, and I

757
00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:53,360
Speaker 5: have been passing on them ever since. That is just

758
00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:55,680
Speaker 5: that's a poor way to handicap. I don't recommend it,

759
00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:56,920
Speaker 5: but hey, it's hard to get that out of your

760
00:33:56,960 --> 00:33:59,880
Speaker 5: head when the first time you lose. And then a bonus,

761
00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:03,240
Speaker 5: Matthew the best power team right now Iowa. Ben McCollum,

762
00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 5: pretty good coach. Ten and two against the spread, five

763
00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:09,080
Speaker 5: point cover margin. Uh, pick out a team or two.

764
00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,279
Speaker 5: Do you think is they're still meat on the bone

765
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:12,600
Speaker 5: or they've hit their value.

766
00:34:13,080 --> 00:34:17,000
Speaker 1: I think Iowa's actually sort of a very clear bimodal

767
00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:22,239
Speaker 1: team against top end teams Michigan State, you know, Iowas stay.

768
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:23,680
Speaker 1: I know they compete in that game, right, but I

769
00:34:23,680 --> 00:34:25,759
Speaker 1: still feel like they're going to level off as they

770
00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:26,720
Speaker 1: step up in class.

771
00:34:27,719 --> 00:34:28,640
Speaker 3: I mean, obviously we love them.

772
00:34:28,680 --> 00:34:30,160
Speaker 1: I'm not going to say fatee Iowa, but I think

773
00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:33,480
Speaker 1: that's not you know, they're nineteenth and ken bomb. I

774
00:34:33,640 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 1: bet they finish a game or two below five hundred

775
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:38,480
Speaker 1: against the spread in Big Ten play. So that was

776
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:40,960
Speaker 1: kind of my closest zag against the or Z against

777
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:41,480
Speaker 1: the zag here.

778
00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:43,120
Speaker 3: But I think that's kind of the one.

779
00:34:43,200 --> 00:34:45,120
Speaker 1: We're fascinating case studies in terms of how do they

780
00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:47,680
Speaker 1: play up as we get more sample sized throughout the year.

781
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:51,759
Speaker 4: I want to sell William and Mary kai Oh. I

782
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:54,600
Speaker 4: really like the coach, A big fan of Brian Earl,

783
00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:57,239
Speaker 4: but opponents are making twenty six point six percent of

784
00:34:57,280 --> 00:34:59,920
Speaker 4: their threes, and I've been on a bunch of William

785
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:03,040
Speaker 4: Mary overs and have been very frustrated by that. Because

786
00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:06,120
Speaker 4: nobody makes shots in their games. I think they've been

787
00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:09,840
Speaker 4: the benefit beneficiary of some fairly good shooting good fortune

788
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:13,360
Speaker 4: so far. That probably comes back to earth a little bit.

789
00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:15,719
Speaker 4: They're starting league play with Towson, not this Monday, but

790
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:19,160
Speaker 4: the following Monday. That's gonna be a rude awakening punch

791
00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:21,600
Speaker 4: in the teeth. They are not a good defensive rebounding team.

792
00:35:21,680 --> 00:35:23,319
Speaker 4: They are two hundred and ninety third and two point

793
00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:26,880
Speaker 4: percentage defense. It's a little bit smoking mirrors on the

794
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:29,400
Speaker 4: defensive end, and I think Towson can expose that. It's

795
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:32,000
Speaker 4: a team I would look to probably fade a little

796
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:35,320
Speaker 4: bit in league play, despite thinking Brian Earl is a fantastic.

797
00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:37,720
Speaker 3: Coach and that is healthier too, I believe correct.

798
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:41,799
Speaker 1: Pulliam came back recently, so maybe there's more upside there.

799
00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:44,320
Speaker 1: But yeah, I was their profile on paper fits a

800
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:47,040
Speaker 1: regression as profile, but I do like the coach too much.

801
00:35:47,040 --> 00:35:49,560
Speaker 3: Where I'm not gonna not gonna be selling there, They're.

802
00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:52,799
Speaker 5: Stack I kind of think Tarleton continues to be tough

803
00:35:52,960 --> 00:35:55,839
Speaker 5: in whack play. They're projecting nine to nine and Kim Palm,

804
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:58,960
Speaker 5: I bet they beat that, especially if deor Johnson plays.

805
00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:01,240
Speaker 5: That's always a con and it's like, can you trust

806
00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:05,000
Speaker 5: Gillespie to play his actual players? He's probably the best

807
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:09,120
Speaker 5: player in that league. With apologies to Dom Daniels still

808
00:36:09,120 --> 00:36:11,799
Speaker 5: around in at cowbap not I can't remember.

809
00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:14,520
Speaker 2: He still he's still probably the best player, the best

810
00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:15,240
Speaker 2: player in the league.

811
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:19,520
Speaker 4: Also, Tarleton's also got Cam McDowell, who is like suffering

812
00:36:19,560 --> 00:36:23,400
Speaker 4: from Billy Husby rotational syndrome and saying he had twenty

813
00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:26,160
Speaker 4: six points in twenty six minutes against Missus Valley State.

814
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:29,560
Speaker 4: He had twenty six points in ten minutes against a

815
00:36:29,880 --> 00:36:32,720
Speaker 4: non D one team before diculous. He was like getting

816
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:35,520
Speaker 4: kind of looks half looks from Kansas in the offseason.

817
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:41,000
Speaker 4: Started off really weirdly slow. His role is massively confusing,

818
00:36:41,120 --> 00:36:43,920
Speaker 4: but he's super talented too. Started his career at Georgia.

819
00:36:44,120 --> 00:36:46,839
Speaker 5: I can't believe how good Sam Houston has been. Chris

820
00:36:46,960 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 5: Mudge lost about everybody, and they've been just hanging with

821
00:36:50,040 --> 00:36:52,600
Speaker 5: every single good team on the road. They're impressive, but

822
00:36:52,640 --> 00:36:54,440
Speaker 5: I have to think their top are close to their

823
00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:58,960
Speaker 5: peak value right now. Scary team to fade though, Okay,

824
00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:01,480
Speaker 5: the worst guy has again the spread have about fairly

825
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:03,920
Speaker 5: Dickinson oh to eight against the spread, haven't covered a

826
00:37:03,920 --> 00:37:07,399
Speaker 5: single game, minus six point cover margin. Jacksonville State High

827
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:10,080
Speaker 5: five gym one and seven against the spread, but we

828
00:37:10,160 --> 00:37:15,319
Speaker 5: got them on Saturday against etsu Uh outright, it's a

829
00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:19,239
Speaker 5: turning point. Yeah, fine, minus five cover margin for them.

830
00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:22,120
Speaker 5: Texas Southern is one and seven against the spread minus

831
00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:24,359
Speaker 5: seven point cover margin. I definitely thought they'd be better

832
00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:28,000
Speaker 5: under Johnny Jones this season. Ryder, Yeah, one, six and

833
00:37:28,040 --> 00:37:30,280
Speaker 5: two against the spread, minus four and a half cover margin.

834
00:37:30,520 --> 00:37:32,520
Speaker 5: That's one of the worst teams I've ever seen with

835
00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 5: my own two eyes, so that does not surprise me.

836
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:38,480
Speaker 5: And then Fells loll of course two and eleven with

837
00:37:38,560 --> 00:37:41,359
Speaker 5: a minus ten point cover margin. I would probably say

838
00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:44,239
Speaker 5: they're the worst team, even though fdu is O and eight,

839
00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:47,960
Speaker 5: Longwood two and ten and then Marquette is the worst

840
00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:51,080
Speaker 5: power team right now and two ten and one against

841
00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:54,160
Speaker 5: the spread of the Marquette Golden Eagles minus seven point

842
00:37:54,160 --> 00:37:57,520
Speaker 5: seven cover margin. My number cannot keep up with them. Matt,

843
00:37:57,560 --> 00:38:00,120
Speaker 5: how fast they're falling. I just I've given up betting

844
00:38:00,160 --> 00:38:03,080
Speaker 5: on him. It's disappointing. I was really, really, really wrong

845
00:38:03,120 --> 00:38:06,360
Speaker 5: about this team. So out of this group, anybody rising

846
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:09,120
Speaker 5: from the ashes, anybody we just keep auto fading.

847
00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:12,000
Speaker 1: I think the Blurs are are a by low and

848
00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 1: it's sort of an easy case to make because well,

849
00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:17,359
Speaker 1: they can't possibly be any worse be they just beat

850
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:19,359
Speaker 1: Santa Clara, so you kind of see, like, okay, there's

851
00:38:19,400 --> 00:38:22,560
Speaker 1: a heartbeat there. They got Xavier Amos back, who did

852
00:38:22,600 --> 00:38:25,080
Speaker 1: not realize to be such a big part of this team,

853
00:38:25,080 --> 00:38:26,400
Speaker 1: but he's been like one of the best players in

854
00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:29,280
Speaker 1: three games he's been back. They are I think second

855
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:33,799
Speaker 1: to last and opponent defense their free throw defense and

856
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:36,640
Speaker 1: three onndred and thirty ninth in opponent three point percentage defense.

857
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:39,359
Speaker 1: I do think their defense has serious issues, but there

858
00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:43,000
Speaker 1: is some clear regression the variance monsters should be smiling

859
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:45,600
Speaker 1: on them going forward in a ten play, and as

860
00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:48,520
Speaker 1: we've seen Valentine's teams, even when he's had the some

861
00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:50,479
Speaker 1: rough years, they do tend to get better later because

862
00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:52,360
Speaker 1: I think there's a little bit of a timing element

863
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:55,120
Speaker 1: to mastering the offense that maybe they start to kind

864
00:38:55,120 --> 00:38:58,520
Speaker 1: of click coming down the stretch. I don't like Justin Moore.

865
00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:00,680
Speaker 1: I've always said I just don't like him as my

866
00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:03,680
Speaker 1: floor general on that team, but I think this they

867
00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:07,640
Speaker 1: will be a plush money, a ten investment.

868
00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:09,880
Speaker 3: That's my production for the Blurs.

869
00:39:10,520 --> 00:39:12,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, the lolast thing makes sense, Matt, because you have

870
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:15,000
Speaker 4: like proof of concept in the last game, like, oh

871
00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:15,760
Speaker 4: there's something.

872
00:39:15,560 --> 00:39:17,520
Speaker 3: There one day, but it's something. Yeah.

873
00:39:17,560 --> 00:39:21,120
Speaker 4: They for a while they weren't trying defensively, like they

874
00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:24,080
Speaker 4: seriously were not giving any effort, just getting like beat

875
00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:26,640
Speaker 4: on cuts and drives and just lay up after layup.

876
00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 4: They're forcing no turnovers. It was so easy to play

877
00:39:28,600 --> 00:39:29,080
Speaker 4: against them.

878
00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:29,960
Speaker 2: Ki.

879
00:39:30,239 --> 00:39:33,200
Speaker 4: The curious one for me is Marquette, where like, how

880
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:36,120
Speaker 4: low can this team go? They're one hundred and seventeenth

881
00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:39,440
Speaker 4: camp on right now, lost by twenty Wisconsin twenty at Perdue,

882
00:39:39,560 --> 00:39:42,520
Speaker 4: just lost by twenty at Creighton, uh snuck in a

883
00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:45,799
Speaker 4: ten point home loss to Georgetown in there ot with

884
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:48,799
Speaker 4: Valpo before that, Like, this team is just not very

885
00:39:48,840 --> 00:39:51,880
Speaker 4: good right now. They got Sean Jones back from injury.

886
00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:53,680
Speaker 2: Four games ago, and doesn't matter.

887
00:39:53,719 --> 00:39:55,680
Speaker 4: They played bad in the four games with him back.

888
00:39:55,760 --> 00:39:57,680
Speaker 4: So I don't know what to make of this team.

889
00:39:57,719 --> 00:39:59,680
Speaker 4: At some point, I'm going to have to feel like

890
00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:03,279
Speaker 4: they're but it's a little bit like Loyola, where I

891
00:40:03,280 --> 00:40:06,160
Speaker 4: want to see the one game of the team actually

892
00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:09,000
Speaker 4: coming together and then I'll start buying. I'm not going

893
00:40:09,040 --> 00:40:10,560
Speaker 4: to try to catch the falling knife right now. They've

894
00:40:10,560 --> 00:40:12,319
Speaker 4: got ten days off, so perhaps that's like.

895
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:16,839
Speaker 5: Currently three spots ahead of DePaul and Kimpum, but they're

896
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:19,919
Speaker 5: projected to finish behind them in Biggie's Play because they're

897
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:23,920
Speaker 5: already going two. That's shocking. Last place Marquette would be

898
00:40:24,000 --> 00:40:29,839
Speaker 5: truly well shocking. Okay, fellas, recap the plays for this week,

899
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:31,520
Speaker 5: and then we will send the good people along their

900
00:40:31,560 --> 00:40:34,879
Speaker 5: way for me. Portland plus seven and a little money

901
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:38,720
Speaker 5: line sprinkle against UC Santa Barbara Towson minus eight against

902
00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:42,279
Speaker 5: Sacred Heart BYU minus thirty per ken Pom probably like

903
00:40:42,320 --> 00:40:44,919
Speaker 5: thirty five. I'll put my cap at minus thirty six

904
00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:49,080
Speaker 5: in the market against Eastern Washington and then Binghamson going

905
00:40:49,120 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 5: trash diving plus seven against Army.

906
00:40:51,600 --> 00:40:52,479
Speaker 2: Jim, how about you.

907
00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:56,520
Speaker 4: Taking the over a FAU UCF. I think that game

908
00:40:56,600 --> 00:40:59,520
Speaker 4: has a lot more possessions than the seventy that's projected.

909
00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:02,359
Speaker 4: Also lean towards UCF with FAU coming all the way

910
00:41:02,360 --> 00:41:04,279
Speaker 4: back across the country, but just the over there up

911
00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:07,040
Speaker 4: to one sixty five, I would take it. Alabama State

912
00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:09,759
Speaker 4: plus eighteen would take that down to like thirteen. I

913
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:13,240
Speaker 4: think they're going to be very competitive at Memphis. Sprinkle

914
00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:15,520
Speaker 4: a little bit on the money line there. Georgia up

915
00:41:15,560 --> 00:41:18,280
Speaker 4: to minus thirty four against West Georgia, well, that style

916
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:21,680
Speaker 4: is a big favorite, and then Washington minus seventeen in

917
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:25,720
Speaker 4: the bi low spot after losing to Seattle, Matthew, Jim.

918
00:41:25,520 --> 00:41:27,920
Speaker 1: I'm gonna trill you on that over. Only two players

919
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:30,040
Speaker 1: for me this week, that one in my UTSA Roadrunners.

920
00:41:30,040 --> 00:41:32,520
Speaker 1: As I alluded to early. I also coming back from

921
00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:35,400
Speaker 1: that West Coast trip, they got shillacked by good teams.

922
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:38,680
Speaker 1: I think back at home they got pummeled by South

923
00:41:38,719 --> 00:41:40,200
Speaker 1: Alabama the last time at home. I think they come

924
00:41:40,239 --> 00:41:43,800
Speaker 1: out with a more inspired effort on Monday against the

925
00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:47,520
Speaker 1: Red Hawks, so I think plus five would be my strike.

926
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:50,520
Speaker 1: I would hope the seven or eight is out there,

927
00:41:50,560 --> 00:41:52,000
Speaker 1: but we'll see. I think market tends to kind of

928
00:41:52,000 --> 00:41:52,880
Speaker 1: shade some of these spots.

929
00:41:52,960 --> 00:41:56,200
Speaker 2: So my two for Kyle love it.

930
00:41:56,760 --> 00:41:58,840
Speaker 5: Thank you fellas, and thank you out there for joining

931
00:41:58,920 --> 00:42:00,000
Speaker 5: us on Big Bets on Camp.

932
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:03,280
Speaker 2: We are back next week, most likely with another episode.

933
00:42:03,320 --> 00:42:06,360
Speaker 5: We'll see what the slate brings us post holidays again,

934
00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:07,440
Speaker 5: Thank you to DraftKings.

935
00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:09,000
Speaker 2: Good luck in your bets.

936
00:42:09,040 --> 00:42:21,160
Speaker 5: Good luck in your holiday season within laws and family cheers.

937
00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:33,879
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

938
00:42:34,280 --> 00:42:37,120
Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

939
00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:40,040
Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

940
00:42:40,120 --> 00:42:40,920
Speaker 3: hundred Gambler