1 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:14,079 Speaker 1: Lincoln is Live this Sunday night, June nineteenth, Dear of 2 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:16,520 Speaker 1: Our Lord, twenty twenty two. If they ever tell you 3 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 1: that nothing's impossible, just tell them to try and predict 4 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: where we're going this fall, because we're going to do 5 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:23,599 Speaker 1: it tonight, and we have complete control over the process. 6 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:25,880 Speaker 1: And I'm telling you before we ever get to the segment, 7 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:29,760 Speaker 1: it's impossible. We are, however, possibly and definitely jam packed 8 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 1: High Top glorious Downtown Nashville, Tennessee, saw three jackets being 9 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 1: worn this morning. You can put those away until September. 10 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: We're throwing expectations out there tonight, reasonable expectations for five 11 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:44,880 Speaker 1: more major programs. We're also going to talk a little 12 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: bit about what's going on in the state of Michigan. 13 00:00:47,440 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: I would advise those of you, even outside the Spartan 14 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 1: and Wolverine parameters, to pay attention. Something really interesting going 15 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 1: on up there. Also bold predictions hit Chapter eighteen or 16 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 1: X eight tonight. And as I just mentioned, we were 17 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:04,640 Speaker 1: going to begin the arduous process, and you know how 18 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 1: rarely I use that word of choosing the games. The 19 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:10,679 Speaker 1: late kick yet to be determined tour name is going 20 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 1: to go on this fall We're going to do weeks 21 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:13,680 Speaker 1: one through six tonight. 22 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:15,039 Speaker 2: I cannot stress enough. 23 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: I will need your help on this big time because 24 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: I have like a four way tie for one of 25 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:21,600 Speaker 1: these weeks, so I will need your help. They're watching 26 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:26,400 Speaker 1: us in Allen, Texas, Bardstown, Kentucky, tuned in media, Pennsylvania. 27 00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:29,160 Speaker 1: That's a media we can all get behind. And Rockford, Illinois. 28 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 1: Happy Father's Day to everyone out there, all of our fathers, 29 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: my father. I myself am not a father, but I 30 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 1: really felt like one. The other night kind of alluded 31 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:42,480 Speaker 1: to it on Twitter. For those of you who don't. 32 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:44,640 Speaker 2: Follow there at late kick Josh, I would advise you to. 33 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:45,920 Speaker 2: But for those of you who don't. 34 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 1: We had kind of a mild to moderate tragedy on 35 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 1: the softball field. Producer Jesse and I actually were chasing 36 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:55,280 Speaker 1: a fly ball in the gap the other night, and 37 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 1: we both got there about the same time. But then 38 00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 1: Producer Jesse's hamstring decided to go kabluey on him, and 39 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 1: so the flyball drops to the ground. Producer Jesse drops 40 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 1: to the ground. I look back, ready to yell at 41 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 1: him for not calling the flyball, and instead there he 42 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 1: is writhing around on the ground in pain. They're in Smyrna, Tennessee, 43 00:02:14,200 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 1: in front of God and everyone, and at that point, 44 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:20,280 Speaker 1: that's the first time I ever felt like a father 45 00:02:20,919 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 1: watching my child there on the ground. I picked the 46 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:25,800 Speaker 1: ball up because obviously play was still going on, But 47 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:27,640 Speaker 1: then we had to tend to Producer Jesse. He is 48 00:02:27,680 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 1: listed as doubtful this Friday, even though the playoffs begin. 49 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:34,200 Speaker 1: It's a tough time for Producer Jesse. So those of 50 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:37,399 Speaker 1: you who actually do believe in his existence, just send 51 00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:40,760 Speaker 1: a prayer up for him tonight. No purple on the leg, 52 00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 1: mind you, It's just that he has web indeed himself 53 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 1: with a grade to hamstring pool, So just keep him 54 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:51,959 Speaker 1: right at the forefront of those thoughts and prayers. Let's 55 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 1: dive into some reasonable expectations tonight. I've had a lot 56 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:57,120 Speaker 1: of fun doing this because it is not an official prediction, 57 00:02:57,440 --> 00:02:59,440 Speaker 1: mind you, I will do that in August. But it's 58 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 1: kind of one of those things whereas we're starting to 59 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: enter preview magazine season and we're starting to have a 60 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:06,919 Speaker 1: lot of these fan bases set their own expectation level. 61 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:09,760 Speaker 1: We're just kind of here to guide you along. We're 62 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:12,079 Speaker 1: kind of here to do what the NCAA hasn't done 63 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:14,520 Speaker 1: with nil. We're gonna give you the guardrails. Just keep 64 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 1: it between the lines. Let's not go out of whack. 65 00:03:16,600 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 1: Let's not predict twelve and zero when they over under 66 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:22,120 Speaker 1: seven on the win total. What are reasonable expectations for 67 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 1: some of these programs. Let's start with the Florida Gators. 68 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 1: Why because one of you suggested it in the comments 69 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:29,800 Speaker 1: section and I read every one of them. So Florida 70 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 1: this year the over underwin total, depending on where you look, 71 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: is seven. Last year they were a six and seventeen. 72 00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: What is reasonable for Florida Gator fans to expect from 73 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 1: this team this year? I said eight and four, And 74 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you several reasons why here. As they're 75 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:46,520 Speaker 1: over under is seven, I'm going to go one above that. 76 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 1: I think it's reasonable for you guys down in Okala, 77 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:51,960 Speaker 1: down in Gainesville and the like to expect eight and four. 78 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 1: Their biggest concerns not on the surface. Their biggest concern 79 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:57,680 Speaker 1: is kind of hidden beneath the surface. It's called a 80 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 1: depth chart, and once you look past the ones. As 81 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 1: Billy Napier, head coach there now, was talking about all 82 00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 1: throughout spring you start to see some areas where, ooh, 83 00:04:06,760 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 1: we're really thin here, we're really thin there. They had 84 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 1: to alter the way they practiced in spring because they 85 00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 1: didn't have adequate depth certain places. It's not the first 86 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 1: time that's ever happened. Normally, when you have a new 87 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:19,720 Speaker 1: coaching staff in town, it's because something along those lines. 88 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:20,279 Speaker 2: Needs to be fixed. 89 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 1: But even having said that, if you look at Florida, 90 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:26,560 Speaker 1: this is not a poor man's program. This is not 91 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 1: a start over from scratch type situation. I mean, they 92 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:32,159 Speaker 1: got a quarterback in Anthony Richardson, who, if you believe 93 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:34,679 Speaker 1: the comment section half of our viewers think, will contend 94 00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 1: for a spot in New York City in the Heisman 95 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:40,359 Speaker 1: Trophy finalist ceremony. I'm not quite that far down the 96 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 1: road on Anthony Richardson hype, but I do understand the hype. 97 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 2: It's not like I don't believe in him. 98 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:49,120 Speaker 1: But outside of him, you look at their situations on 99 00:04:49,160 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 1: the lines of scrimmage, you look at what held them 100 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 1: back last year, and it's fixable. It's fixable really quick. 101 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:58,920 Speaker 1: What held Florida back last year is not what holds 102 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 1: a lot of programs. What holds a lot of these 103 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:03,320 Speaker 1: teams down is they're just not good enough. They're not 104 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:05,799 Speaker 1: talented enough. They don't recruit at a high enough level. 105 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 1: That's not the problem. Even under Dan Mullen wasn't the problem. 106 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:09,919 Speaker 2: In Gainesville. 107 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 1: They were terrible in the turnover battle. They only won 108 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:16,040 Speaker 1: it in one game last year. They were plus turnovers 109 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 1: in one game last year, and I think it was 110 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 1: an FCS opponent. And also they got penalized every other play. 111 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:26,279 Speaker 1: They got penalized one hundred and four times. By comparison, 112 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:29,960 Speaker 1: their competition got penalized sixty seven times. It may take 113 00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:32,800 Speaker 1: a year or two or three years to overturn certain things. 114 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:35,400 Speaker 1: That stuff right there can get corrected overnight if you 115 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:37,599 Speaker 1: got the right staff in town. I happen to believe 116 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:39,799 Speaker 1: they do have the right staff in town. Billy Napier 117 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: and his crew were forty and twelve at Louisiana. Somewhere 118 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 1: around there. It's in the low forties and it's in 119 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:50,799 Speaker 1: the low teens. And my point is, if you wait 120 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 1: and you take the opportunity to give Billy Napier comparable 121 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:57,159 Speaker 1: resources to his competition, just like he had in the 122 00:05:57,160 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: Sun Belt, I think he absolutely has it within him 123 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:03,160 Speaker 1: to deliver on those results. My point is it's not 124 00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 1: going to take three years to get there. They're a 125 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 1: lot closer, maybe than it seems. Their twenty twenty two schedule, 126 00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:10,840 Speaker 1: if you're listening on podcasts, starts with a bang. They 127 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:13,839 Speaker 1: got Utah coming in. Now here's the fortuitous part, and 128 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 1: here's kind of what I'll wait for all year with Florida. 129 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:19,640 Speaker 1: If you've got depth concerns, they don't always pop up 130 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:23,359 Speaker 1: in Week one because sometimes it actually takes injury to 131 00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: expose some of those depth concerns, whether it's wide out 132 00:06:26,480 --> 00:06:29,679 Speaker 1: or defensive line. But as you get deeper in the season, 133 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:32,480 Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, attrition starts to become a reality. 134 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 1: I wonder how deep Florida can get in the season 135 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 1: before you do start to suffer some of those things. 136 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 2: That's not predictable, no one can know. 137 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 1: But they got Utah in Kentucky along with Tennessee in 138 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 1: the first month of the season, and those are three 139 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:46,599 Speaker 1: of their bigger games. So for me to get to 140 00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:51,480 Speaker 1: eight and four as a reasonable expectation, I'm sitting there thinking, well, 141 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 1: if Florida can go two and one minimum in the 142 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:56,880 Speaker 1: first month of the season, then yeah, they got a 143 00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 1: game against Georgia later in the year. Yeah, they got 144 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:01,599 Speaker 1: to go too. A and M will let that be 145 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:03,520 Speaker 1: what it is. This is year one. We're not calling 146 00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:05,279 Speaker 1: eleven and one, but eight and four I think is 147 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 1: reasonable for Florida. Again, it's going to be very, very, 148 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 1: even disproportionately reliant on staying healthy as long as they can. 149 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:15,080 Speaker 1: You can say that about every team I know. In 150 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 1: these prediction type segments, we always talk about depth and 151 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:21,120 Speaker 1: we talk about injury. Yeah, it's a problem everyone wants 152 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:25,440 Speaker 1: to avoid. Some teams are more predisposed to being victimized 153 00:07:25,480 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 1: by it than others. So Florida's over underwent total is seven. 154 00:07:28,080 --> 00:07:30,680 Speaker 1: In Vegas, I think it's reasonable to say eight and four. 155 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 1: Next up the Texas Longhorns. Let's head out to Austin. 156 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:38,239 Speaker 1: They're over underwent total at most books right now is nine. 157 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 2: Do you think that's lofty? 158 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 1: By the way, a lot of you have gone back 159 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 1: and forth with what you think about my reasonable expectation. 160 00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:47,680 Speaker 1: I'll give you my reasonable expectation for Texas in the 161 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 1: second I want to know the Vegas number. How many 162 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 1: of you look at that and say, ooh, that's easy money. 163 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 1: One way or the other because right now they're heavily 164 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:59,160 Speaker 1: juiced heavily. They are juiced a little bit more heavy 165 00:07:59,280 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 1: towards the under right now. But it's at nine the 166 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: over unders nine. They didn't make a bowl game last year, 167 00:08:04,720 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 1: so there is a quantum leap in when loss production 168 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 1: expected here just according to that over under. I think 169 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 1: it's a reasonable number, though, so my reasonable expectation, my 170 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:18,960 Speaker 1: record that I think it's okay for you to expect 171 00:08:18,960 --> 00:08:21,679 Speaker 1: if you're a Texas Longhorn fan is nine and three. 172 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 1: It's not going to be easy to get there. But 173 00:08:25,080 --> 00:08:28,120 Speaker 1: let's chart the path, shall we. What was a problem 174 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 1: last year? What kept them down? Why didn't Texas make 175 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 1: a bowl game last year? Well, first and foremost, they 176 00:08:34,040 --> 00:08:36,880 Speaker 1: had too much indecision at the quarterback position. That started 177 00:08:36,920 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 1: in fall camp. It never really subsided. I don't think 178 00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:41,120 Speaker 1: that's where it ended though, That's just where it began. 179 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:44,679 Speaker 1: They could not get to the quarterback. Their leader, I 180 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 1: think in total sacks was Ben Davis, the Alabama transfer, 181 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:51,559 Speaker 1: who had two and a half. So they were woefully 182 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:56,200 Speaker 1: inept at affecting the quarterback. They could not force turnovers. 183 00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:58,440 Speaker 1: I think they were in the one hundreds nationally in 184 00:08:58,480 --> 00:09:02,360 Speaker 1: that department, so they could turnovers, they couldn't affect a quarterback. 185 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:06,560 Speaker 1: They had inconsistency offensively, They were a very bad second 186 00:09:06,640 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 1: half team. 187 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:09,800 Speaker 2: They finished on a terrible losing streak. 188 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 1: So if I'm to believe that there's this quantum leap 189 00:09:14,880 --> 00:09:16,679 Speaker 1: in improvement that's going to happen and we're going to 190 00:09:16,760 --> 00:09:19,079 Speaker 1: go from a five win team to a nine win team, 191 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:21,319 Speaker 1: a lot of that has to be rectified. Now as 192 00:09:21,360 --> 00:09:23,679 Speaker 1: we look on screen, if you're watching on YouTube, at 193 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:26,679 Speaker 1: the additions that they've had via the transfer portal. One 194 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:29,040 Speaker 1: of them the second name there, Isaiah and Nayer, we're 195 00:09:29,040 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 1: going to talk about a little bit later on in 196 00:09:30,800 --> 00:09:35,840 Speaker 1: the show. I just go back and ask myself, Okay, 197 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 1: what tangible evidence do I have that some of those 198 00:09:38,679 --> 00:09:41,560 Speaker 1: problems from last year are going to be rectified? And 199 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:44,800 Speaker 1: I think that there are incremental reasons why I could 200 00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 1: believe that some of those things are going to be rectified. 201 00:09:46,840 --> 00:09:49,720 Speaker 1: But there is no bright blinking red light that says, 202 00:09:49,760 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 1: all right, all of it's fixed. Just because they haven't 203 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:53,800 Speaker 1: played a football game in five or six months, all 204 00:09:53,840 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 1: of it's magically going to be fixed. There's nothing magical 205 00:09:57,200 --> 00:10:01,080 Speaker 1: about the off season unless you make it. Otherwise you 206 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:04,040 Speaker 1: just hit the pause on a bad team. So they've 207 00:10:04,040 --> 00:10:06,600 Speaker 1: made some changes. Obviously, you bring up recruiting class in, 208 00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 1: that's one thing that changes. You bring a portal class in, 209 00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:11,680 Speaker 1: that's another thing that changes. You get another year into 210 00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:14,160 Speaker 1: your tenure. And if you're a new staff, yes that 211 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:17,520 Speaker 1: matters too. But if you were to tell me it's 212 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 1: still questionable as to whether they'll be consistent this year, 213 00:10:20,880 --> 00:10:23,839 Speaker 1: I would buy that. You know why, because offensive line 214 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 1: is one of, if not the biggest questions on this team. 215 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:29,280 Speaker 1: And likewise, I don't know that their pass rush is 216 00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:33,040 Speaker 1: going to magically be fixed overnight if you have those problems, 217 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 1: if you struggle on the offensive line. Therefore, if you're 218 00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 1: quarterback who himself is going to be a newcomer this 219 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 1: year and quinn Ewers is constantly under duress and you 220 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 1: can't affect the other team's quarterback, that leads to, as 221 00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 1: you well know, wild fluctuation game to game. Therefore, lack 222 00:10:49,520 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 1: of consistency game to game, which puts a lot of 223 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:55,320 Speaker 1: games that you don't think you should be threatened in 224 00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:58,560 Speaker 1: in the crosshairs, like that game at Texas Tech in 225 00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 1: Week four. None of you guys think ink you should 226 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 1: lose that. But if you got those problems I just 227 00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:04,320 Speaker 1: talked about, yeah, it's all up in the air. So 228 00:11:04,400 --> 00:11:06,560 Speaker 1: I look at their schedule. Here there are three tiers 229 00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:08,600 Speaker 1: of games, and if I'm going to get to nine 230 00:11:08,600 --> 00:11:09,920 Speaker 1: and three, here's really what I need. 231 00:11:10,120 --> 00:11:11,439 Speaker 2: I need to go four and zero. 232 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:15,439 Speaker 1: Against Louisiana, Monroe, UTSA, Kansas and Texas Tech. 233 00:11:15,679 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 2: No question, need to sweep those. 234 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:22,239 Speaker 1: I probably need to go four and one against West Virginia, TCU, 235 00:11:22,400 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 1: Iowa State, Baylor, and Kansas State. And I know that 236 00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:28,720 Speaker 1: grouping there if you're a Georgia fan, doesn't sound all 237 00:11:28,760 --> 00:11:32,480 Speaker 1: that daunting. We're talking about Texas right now, and we're 238 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:36,400 Speaker 1: talking about going four and one again against West Virginia, TCU, 239 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:38,920 Speaker 1: Iowa State, Baylor, Kansas State. It's just not a clip 240 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:41,280 Speaker 1: they've been winning at. Oh and by the way, there's 241 00:11:41,320 --> 00:11:44,080 Speaker 1: this other tier with teams like Bama. Yeah they play 242 00:11:44,120 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 1: them this year, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State. They need to go 243 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:49,959 Speaker 1: one and two minimum against those teams. That's to get 244 00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:53,520 Speaker 1: to nine and three. We're not talking playoff here with Texas. 245 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:56,480 Speaker 1: That's to get to nine and three. But what have 246 00:11:56,559 --> 00:11:59,360 Speaker 1: you invested out there? What have they asked for? As 247 00:11:59,400 --> 00:12:01,880 Speaker 1: a fan based that you haven't given, I would argue 248 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:03,040 Speaker 1: you've given everything you should. 249 00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:04,680 Speaker 2: And that's the rule on this show. 250 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:07,359 Speaker 1: If you give what they ask of you, it's reasonable 251 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:10,800 Speaker 1: to have some lofty expectations. So nine and three, I'm 252 00:12:10,800 --> 00:12:13,240 Speaker 1: not mad at it. If that's what you're expecting from Texas, 253 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:16,400 Speaker 1: Let's go to Nebraska. I almost said, let's stay in 254 00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:17,080 Speaker 1: the Big twelve. 255 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:18,200 Speaker 2: Not anymore. 256 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 1: We've talked about Nebraska a fair amount over the past month. 257 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:26,560 Speaker 1: There were three and nine last year, famously, and yet 258 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:29,280 Speaker 1: the over underwin total for the Old Huskers this year 259 00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 1: is seven and five, wells seven point five. Therefore, I 260 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:37,079 Speaker 1: thought it necessary to make a reasonable expectation seven and five. 261 00:12:38,040 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 2: That's a big turnaround. 262 00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:41,720 Speaker 1: I had stats and Info run the numbers, and if 263 00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:43,719 Speaker 1: you went three and nine last year and you win 264 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 1: seven games this year, that's over a one hundred percent 265 00:12:46,200 --> 00:12:49,439 Speaker 1: increase in win total. How are they going to get there? Well, 266 00:12:49,520 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 1: Number one, pretty workable schedule. But it was workable last 267 00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:55,720 Speaker 1: year and they won three games. So something has to 268 00:12:55,800 --> 00:12:58,439 Speaker 1: change here. Over underwin total sitting at seven and a half. 269 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:04,280 Speaker 1: Scott Frost fifteen and twenty nine as head coach in Nebraska. 270 00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:06,040 Speaker 2: So far, that's bad. 271 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, nothing right home about Here's really where you just 272 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 1: stick the dagger in the ribs and start to twist it. 273 00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:17,160 Speaker 1: Twenty of the twenty nine losses in Scott Frost's tenure 274 00:13:17,200 --> 00:13:22,360 Speaker 1: at Nebraska have come by one possession score. Twenty of 275 00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 1: twenty nine losses by eight points or less. I don't 276 00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:28,600 Speaker 1: know where that line in the sand is where you 277 00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:32,400 Speaker 1: go from thinking it's just a statistical anomaly to this 278 00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:36,320 Speaker 1: dude doesn't know how to win close games. But I 279 00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:39,160 Speaker 1: would not argue with you if you said the lines 280 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:41,600 Speaker 1: in the rearview mirror, wherever it is, we passed it. 281 00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:44,160 Speaker 1: Maybe it's ten games or fifteen games. But dude, twenty 282 00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:47,880 Speaker 1: of twenty nine of those losses by eight points of fewer. Well, 283 00:13:48,840 --> 00:13:53,360 Speaker 1: history has shown us that given time, coaches have turned 284 00:13:53,360 --> 00:13:56,440 Speaker 1: the corner before. So four wins, five wins, three wins 285 00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 1: COVID year, three wins, all of a sudden. If it 286 00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:01,520 Speaker 1: goes seven and five this year, I wouldn't be the 287 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:03,120 Speaker 1: first time. It wouldn't be the most shocking thing in 288 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:05,240 Speaker 1: the world. How they gonna have it happen? Though, Well, 289 00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:07,480 Speaker 1: at least they didn't stand pat That's one thing we 290 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:10,560 Speaker 1: could say about Nebraska. They realized what we got is 291 00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:12,920 Speaker 1: not good enough. Therefore we got to get something different. 292 00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:15,080 Speaker 1: And next to USC, they've been the most active team 293 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:17,800 Speaker 1: in the transfer portal. Now all that means is they 294 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:20,080 Speaker 1: got a bunch of new pieces. How do they fit 295 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:21,560 Speaker 1: or do they fit together? 296 00:14:21,640 --> 00:14:22,000 Speaker 2: Period? 297 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 1: That's what God made the regular season for. To get 298 00:14:25,760 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 1: to seven and five, they need to be three and 299 00:14:28,600 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 1: zero when they face Oklahoma. And to tell you how 300 00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:36,520 Speaker 1: easy that should be, and boy that should is in 301 00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 1: all caps for Nebraska. They've got to beat Northwestern and 302 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: that's over in Ireland. They're going to be favored by 303 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 1: double digits in that game. They will be favored by 304 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:48,400 Speaker 1: double digits against North Dakota. They will be favored by 305 00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 1: double digits against Georgia Southern. And that's it, guys. Those 306 00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 1: are the three games that you need to win in 307 00:14:54,520 --> 00:15:00,040 Speaker 1: order to make the Week four date against Oklahoma a 308 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,680 Speaker 1: showdown in Lincoln. I keep getting confused because I think 309 00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 1: they play a week zero game, so it's technically Week three, 310 00:15:05,400 --> 00:15:07,040 Speaker 1: but we need them to be three and oh there. 311 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:09,960 Speaker 1: From that point, then all of a sudden, it just 312 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:12,400 Speaker 1: becomes well, how high can you climb because even if 313 00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 1: Oklahoma comes in there and you give a good spirited 314 00:15:14,600 --> 00:15:17,480 Speaker 1: effort and you lose again, as you're watching on YouTube 315 00:15:17,520 --> 00:15:21,680 Speaker 1: and can clearly see you got Indiana, Rutgers, Purdue, Illinois. 316 00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:24,120 Speaker 1: You get to November, and I want to pause at November. 317 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:26,920 Speaker 1: These are all winnable. They're all losable, they're also winnable. 318 00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 1: I want to know how much wiggle room they're going 319 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:31,400 Speaker 1: to give themselves by the time they get to November. 320 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:35,640 Speaker 1: So see, Nebraska fancies themselves as should everyone up there, 321 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:38,160 Speaker 1: a Big Ten West contender, and I agree with that. 322 00:15:39,600 --> 00:15:42,840 Speaker 1: November is not easy. They play Minnesota at home, then 323 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:45,200 Speaker 1: they go to Michigan. They got Wisconsin at home, then 324 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:48,240 Speaker 1: they go to Iowa. Probably I would imagine the toughest 325 00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:50,840 Speaker 1: clothes to the season that any team in the Big 326 00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:53,720 Speaker 1: Ten West has. That's just off the top of my head. 327 00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 1: Seven and five, seven and five, I think they can 328 00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:01,720 Speaker 1: do it. There's a why discrepancy and opinion on Nebraska 329 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:03,360 Speaker 1: this year. I think seven and five is doable. I 330 00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 1: think it's reasonable. Let me say it that way. I 331 00:16:05,400 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 1: think it's reasonable to expect seven and five there. Let's 332 00:16:08,800 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 1: go to LSU next. We have not been to Baton 333 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 1: Rouge in a couple of shows. So LSU new head 334 00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:16,520 Speaker 1: coach Brian Kelly, what is reasonable to expect in terms 335 00:16:16,560 --> 00:16:19,080 Speaker 1: of wins and losses? Well, they're over under is seven 336 00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:22,640 Speaker 1: wins right now, and I'm gonna be at that number. 337 00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 1: I think it's reasonable to expect seven and five. Now, 338 00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 1: this is an SEC West program. They've won a national 339 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:30,440 Speaker 1: championship in the past two years or three years, I 340 00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:32,840 Speaker 1: guess now, since we're entering twenty twenty two. So no 341 00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:35,760 Speaker 1: one's gonna be happy down there with seven wins. That's 342 00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:39,120 Speaker 1: not what this segment's called. It's called what's reasonable. It 343 00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:41,800 Speaker 1: is reasonable coming off of what they just came off 344 00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:44,720 Speaker 1: of to expect seven wins. They were six and seven 345 00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 1: last year, so this would be record improvement, not record 346 00:16:49,480 --> 00:16:53,440 Speaker 1: setting improvement, but record by definition improvement. I think they're 347 00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 1: gonna find good enough quarterback play. That's where all the 348 00:16:55,960 --> 00:17:00,200 Speaker 1: conversation is gonna start. SEC media days is actually it's 349 00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:03,520 Speaker 1: in like one month from now. All the talk around 350 00:17:03,560 --> 00:17:06,920 Speaker 1: Atlanta is going to be about Brian, who's your quarterback 351 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:08,879 Speaker 1: going to be? And that's a great question. I'm just 352 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:12,160 Speaker 1: telling you I'm fairly confident out of Brennan and Jaden 353 00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:14,159 Speaker 1: Daniels and Garrett and us might they will have a 354 00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:16,520 Speaker 1: quarterback good enough to win. They may have more than one, 355 00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:18,400 Speaker 1: but I think they will settle on one good enough 356 00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 1: to win for them. That's not what gives me the 357 00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:24,680 Speaker 1: most optimism for potential early season success here. 358 00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:26,119 Speaker 2: It's just part of it. 359 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:29,399 Speaker 1: Whispers about what to expect from John Emery at the 360 00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:32,360 Speaker 1: running back position this year. That gives me a little confidence. 361 00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:35,000 Speaker 1: Their offensive line should be in as good as shape 362 00:17:35,040 --> 00:17:37,040 Speaker 1: as it's been in quite a while. That gives me 363 00:17:37,119 --> 00:17:39,600 Speaker 1: confidence in fact, both lines of scrimmage, they'll have one 364 00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 1: of the better defensive lines in the country this year. So, 365 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:46,120 Speaker 1: unlike Texas where we talked about a lot of variables there, 366 00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:51,040 Speaker 1: LSU along the lines of scrimmage, those aren't really areas 367 00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:53,359 Speaker 1: that we're questioning. And if we fill in the blank 368 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:58,200 Speaker 1: of quarterback with B to B plus level play, which 369 00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:00,240 Speaker 1: I think is reasonable, well, then all the same. We 370 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,800 Speaker 1: look at their schedule. They play Florida State to open 371 00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:05,720 Speaker 1: the season in New Orleans. I'd argue that's a game 372 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:08,159 Speaker 1: that LSU should win type point spread. But if I 373 00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:10,639 Speaker 1: have those blanks filled in, that's a game they should win. 374 00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:13,200 Speaker 1: Certainly they should then be two and oh. When Mississippi 375 00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:15,360 Speaker 1: State comes to town, it's a game they should win. 376 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:18,879 Speaker 1: New Mexico game they should win. There's a lot of 377 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,560 Speaker 1: should here because that's what segments about college football sound 378 00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:23,679 Speaker 1: like in June. But if they are four and oh 379 00:18:24,119 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 1: when they get to that stretch which gets really really 380 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:29,440 Speaker 1: rough starting in October, then I've done all I can 381 00:18:29,440 --> 00:18:31,359 Speaker 1: ask Brian Kelly to do, or I've gotten all I 382 00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:33,600 Speaker 1: can ask from him out of the early stretch. That 383 00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:36,480 Speaker 1: means that they have springboarded as hard as they possibly 384 00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:40,919 Speaker 1: can springboard the optimal term here, because they've got to 385 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:45,160 Speaker 1: because eventually gravity's gonna set in, and gravity is basically 386 00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:49,719 Speaker 1: from October first. On their schedule here it is it's 387 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:55,520 Speaker 1: tough at Auburn, Tennessee, at Florida Ole, Miss Alabama, at 388 00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 1: Arkansas UAB is supposed to be the layup till Bill 389 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:02,439 Speaker 1: Clark that and then at Texas A and M just 390 00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:05,800 Speaker 1: for good measure to end the season. There is no 391 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:09,200 Speaker 1: easy path the rest of the way, even the UAB game, 392 00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 1: especially when you consider where it's thrown in there, there 393 00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 1: is no easy path. I'm also factoring in the possibility 394 00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:17,840 Speaker 1: that there are some growing pains. In fact, I would 395 00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:22,200 Speaker 1: call that an inevitability, not a possibility. When you overturn 396 00:19:22,240 --> 00:19:24,240 Speaker 1: the kind of culture they're overturning down there, when you 397 00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:26,480 Speaker 1: go from ed or Jeron's way of doing things to 398 00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:29,520 Speaker 1: Brian Kelly's way of doing things, it's not possible to 399 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:32,320 Speaker 1: do that without having some internal growing pains. It's going 400 00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:34,520 Speaker 1: to be good for you in the long run. It 401 00:19:34,560 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 1: may mean seven and five in the short run. So 402 00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:40,160 Speaker 1: I'm looking right now and I see that possible springboard 403 00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:41,960 Speaker 1: in the early portion of the season. I see a 404 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,720 Speaker 1: possible brick wall in the second portion of the season. 405 00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:48,240 Speaker 1: I think seven and five is reasonable. In all the while, 406 00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:51,760 Speaker 1: as you usually have with first year staffs, you've got 407 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,840 Speaker 1: one eye on the season, and then you've got another 408 00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:57,359 Speaker 1: eye on the recruiting class, and that'll be LSU in 409 00:19:57,400 --> 00:20:00,600 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two. Lastly, here let's go with Notre Dame. 410 00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:04,280 Speaker 1: You know, Notre Dame had one regular season loss last year. 411 00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:07,640 Speaker 1: That was to Cincinnati, by the way, and they were 412 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:10,520 Speaker 1: eleven and two overall. They lost the bowl game, gave 413 00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:14,720 Speaker 1: up a second half storm from behind against Oklahoma State, 414 00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:18,600 Speaker 1: and now it's Marcus Freeman's show in South Bend. What's 415 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:21,719 Speaker 1: reasonable to expect here? The over under in Vegas is nine, 416 00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:24,639 Speaker 1: and that's where I am. I think it's reasonable to 417 00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:28,480 Speaker 1: expect nine and three. Line of scrimmage is an edge 418 00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:31,320 Speaker 1: they're going to have in most games. What they inherit 419 00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:34,159 Speaker 1: up there is built very well from the inside. You know, 420 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:37,119 Speaker 1: they're trying to build from the inside out, and fortunately 421 00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:40,159 Speaker 1: that inside portion of the team offensive line, defensive line, 422 00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:42,520 Speaker 1: it's already pretty well stocked. Tight end as well, pretty 423 00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:44,399 Speaker 1: well stocked. Probably get the best one in the country, 424 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:46,480 Speaker 1: if not one of the very best in the country, 425 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:48,560 Speaker 1: and Michael Mayer. But then when you start to get 426 00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:51,360 Speaker 1: further away from the ball at the wide receiver position, 427 00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:54,800 Speaker 1: the difference makers probably are not there. And for that matter, 428 00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:58,639 Speaker 1: I know that there's optimism about Tyler Buckner at quarterback. 429 00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 1: It's not a proven comone by any stretch of the imagination. 430 00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:04,520 Speaker 1: Which is a phrase I'm trying to eradicate from the 431 00:21:04,560 --> 00:21:06,399 Speaker 1: show this year because I said it like four hundred 432 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:10,240 Speaker 1: million times last year. But anyway, here's another phrase I'm 433 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:11,879 Speaker 1: trying to get rid of. I say all that to 434 00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:14,119 Speaker 1: say this, There're gonna be a lot of close games 435 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:19,040 Speaker 1: this year, and that's not even including games like at 436 00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:21,840 Speaker 1: Ohio State Week one or maybe even Clemson later in 437 00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:25,480 Speaker 1: the year. If you're having trouble, you know, getting above 438 00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:27,800 Speaker 1: that twenty four point threshold, if you're having to play 439 00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:31,880 Speaker 1: every game like a rock fight, it probably spells success. 440 00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:33,879 Speaker 1: Against these teams you can out physical, and there are 441 00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:35,879 Speaker 1: a lot of them on their schedule. But the reason 442 00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:38,760 Speaker 1: I'm going nine to three and then no better is 443 00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:43,560 Speaker 1: because young quarterback, tight end centric passing game. And then 444 00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:46,040 Speaker 1: knowing I've got Ohio State and Clemson on the schedule, 445 00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:49,359 Speaker 1: I've got to account for a couple of losses there, 446 00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:51,760 Speaker 1: or at least be reasonable and account for a couple 447 00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 1: of losses. And then after that, I got to go 448 00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:56,000 Speaker 1: to Vegas to face Brigham Young. That's a really good 449 00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,720 Speaker 1: passing attack and a mobile quarterback and a unique quarterback 450 00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,639 Speaker 1: in Jared Hall. I've got to face North Carolina on 451 00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:04,840 Speaker 1: the road. I've got a late season visit from Boston 452 00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:07,320 Speaker 1: College before I go to USC. I have no clue 453 00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:09,320 Speaker 1: what Lincoln Riley's team is going to be by them. 454 00:22:09,560 --> 00:22:11,399 Speaker 1: That may be a game I need thirty or thirty 455 00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:14,200 Speaker 1: five in Can I get there nine and three, all 456 00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:17,439 Speaker 1: things considered, also first year head coach deren Marcus Freeman. 457 00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:20,040 Speaker 2: All things considered, I think nine and three is reasonable. 458 00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:23,399 Speaker 1: So to recap, we're keeping our own internal records because 459 00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:25,480 Speaker 1: this is a segment obviously that's either going to make 460 00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:28,480 Speaker 1: us look really good or really bad come December. Florida 461 00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:32,600 Speaker 1: eight and four reasonable, Texas nine and three, Nebraska seven 462 00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,400 Speaker 1: and five, LSU seven and five, and Notre Dame nine 463 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:38,679 Speaker 1: and three. Those are not official predictions that'll be in August, 464 00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:44,520 Speaker 1: but those we believe are reasonable predictions. This past week, 465 00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:47,560 Speaker 1: I think we had a critical shift in the ratio 466 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:51,320 Speaker 1: of feedback I get from viewers. Normally I get a 467 00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:53,520 Speaker 1: lot of you talking about Academy Sports out Doors, but 468 00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:56,679 Speaker 1: normally a majority of the feedback I get, whether it 469 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 1: be DM or email or talking to guys at the 470 00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:04,080 Speaker 1: gym here downtown or on the softball field wherever I am, 471 00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: Normally it's disproportionately tilted to football. This week, I don't 472 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:10,800 Speaker 1: know what it was. I got more feedback about Academy 473 00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:14,360 Speaker 1: than I did the show. So if you're new around here, 474 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:17,800 Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors is our exclusive partner and we 475 00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:20,720 Speaker 1: get all kind of feedback, and we have something on 476 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:22,359 Speaker 1: this show that's pretty unique. I think we can all 477 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:24,840 Speaker 1: agree with that. There's a closeness. There's a very very 478 00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:28,960 Speaker 1: community feel or communal feel to the show to where 479 00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,119 Speaker 1: to put it in simpler terms, we're just kind of 480 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:35,040 Speaker 1: more open with each other. And if you want to 481 00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:36,960 Speaker 1: know what I mean, let me read you a little 482 00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:39,080 Speaker 1: DM I got and I got permission to share this. 483 00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:42,520 Speaker 1: Believe it or not, this is not even the first 484 00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:45,720 Speaker 1: vasectomy story we have told on this show. Okay, there's 485 00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:49,200 Speaker 1: the teas, here's the DM. This is from someone who 486 00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:53,040 Speaker 1: will remain anonymous for obvious reasons, love the show. Even 487 00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:55,560 Speaker 1: though I want more Notre Dame content. I've got an 488 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:59,639 Speaker 1: Academy story to share. I had a a sectomy performed yesterday. 489 00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:04,439 Speaker 1: Yep ouch. I needed some support for about a week, 490 00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:07,720 Speaker 1: So instead of driving to the closest sporting good store, 491 00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:10,840 Speaker 1: I went the extra ten minutes to Academy to be 492 00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:13,960 Speaker 1: a good friend of the show. Yes, I prolonged pain 493 00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:17,639 Speaker 1: in honor of Pate State. Also, I've included a picture 494 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,920 Speaker 1: and a receipt to prove how brave I am. And 495 00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:24,159 Speaker 1: by the way, I wore Notre Dame gear when getting 496 00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:28,879 Speaker 1: the boys cut literally on Tennessee's campus just one week 497 00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:33,120 Speaker 1: after my guys crushed their baseball souls. Go Irish, Go 498 00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:36,480 Speaker 1: Pate State. And if you're watching, there's the proof. We 499 00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 1: got the Notre Dame sneaks, we got the Irish hat, 500 00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:44,639 Speaker 1: and there is the aforementioned support for the boys. Rest 501 00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:49,000 Speaker 1: in peace to both of them. Yeah, that's what my 502 00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:51,680 Speaker 1: inbox looks like. When I tell you sometimes it's very 503 00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 1: interesting in there, and it's far more interesting than the 504 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:57,400 Speaker 1: show itself. This is not rare. This is not at 505 00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:01,080 Speaker 1: all uncommon. I get plenty of medical stories. I get 506 00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:05,359 Speaker 1: all kinds of different stories. There are myriad reasons with 507 00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,640 Speaker 1: which you guys find ways or reasons to go to Academy. 508 00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,240 Speaker 1: This is just one of them. So if you need 509 00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:13,439 Speaker 1: some support, yeah, they got you covered there. If you 510 00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:18,600 Speaker 1: need a grill, they got you covered, crab traps, baseball, bat, basketball, hoop, 511 00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,359 Speaker 1: whatever you need. Academy Sports and Outdoors has you covered. 512 00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:23,840 Speaker 1: You know what, if you want late kick free of charge, 513 00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:27,879 Speaker 1: as you can clearly see it is why because Academy 514 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:31,879 Speaker 1: even then has you covered. I was just gonna do 515 00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:35,159 Speaker 1: a standard ad read tonight that said you can't spell 516 00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:40,120 Speaker 1: Academy without Dad in honor of Father's Day. But as usual, 517 00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:45,160 Speaker 1: the vasectomy won. So thank you to Academy, and good 518 00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:47,880 Speaker 1: luck and a speedy recovery to our boy. Here Producer 519 00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:51,240 Speaker 1: Jesse's hamstring injury takes a back seat in terms of 520 00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:58,520 Speaker 1: medical stories tonight, let's continue with bold predictions. Also, keep 521 00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:01,480 Speaker 1: in mind we've got our late tour schedule draft coming 522 00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:03,879 Speaker 1: up in just a few minutes, and I'm already nervous, 523 00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:05,760 Speaker 1: maybe even looking ahead to it. 524 00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,359 Speaker 2: So let's hope this segment doesn't go off the rails. 525 00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:12,160 Speaker 1: Bold Predictions X eight Bold Predictions, Chapter eighteen. 526 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:13,720 Speaker 2: That's how deep we've gotten. 527 00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:15,520 Speaker 1: This is gonna be another thing that's very fun to 528 00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:17,639 Speaker 1: look at come December. These are the things that you 529 00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:20,080 Speaker 1: have predicted and you claim you would bet your own 530 00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:23,000 Speaker 1: hard earned money on. And we have got a number 531 00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:25,359 Speaker 1: of nines on the board tonight. I'm gonna rate it 532 00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:28,680 Speaker 1: on a boldness scale one to ten. Let's start Georgia 533 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:31,560 Speaker 1: and Bama. Brett said, neither one of them are going 534 00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:35,120 Speaker 1: to make the college football playoff. Brett, that's bold. That's 535 00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:36,639 Speaker 1: not gonna happen. Brother, One of them is going to 536 00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:39,399 Speaker 1: be there. So this is a nine point three on 537 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:43,560 Speaker 1: the boldness scale for me, Brett, Here's what I wish 538 00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:44,920 Speaker 1: you would have done, but I know they don't give 539 00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,160 Speaker 1: you enough characters on Twitter to do it. How do 540 00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:50,120 Speaker 1: you see this happening? Because from my vantage point early 541 00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:52,800 Speaker 1: a few things that can happen. Either they both just 542 00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:58,200 Speaker 1: implode and missed the SEC Championship game entirely, which probably 543 00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:01,919 Speaker 1: means they each have two losses. Luck finding those or 544 00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:05,840 Speaker 1: one of them falls by the wayside, but the other 545 00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:08,439 Speaker 1: one makes it to the SEC Championship game, maybe with 546 00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:10,800 Speaker 1: one loss already, and then they just get upset in 547 00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:13,480 Speaker 1: the SEC Championship game. So here's what that would look like. 548 00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:16,919 Speaker 1: Bama just loses two games somehow. They lose to A 549 00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:19,480 Speaker 1: and M and Arkansas. They're out of it. A and 550 00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:23,560 Speaker 1: M goes to Atlanta, and Georgia is there waiting for them, 551 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:25,680 Speaker 1: and Georgia's got one loss. And let's say A and 552 00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:29,040 Speaker 1: M beats Georgia. So we got Bama two losses, they're 553 00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:30,879 Speaker 1: out of it. Georgia now a second loss in the 554 00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:35,119 Speaker 1: conference title game, they're out of it. Maybe that could happen. 555 00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:39,119 Speaker 1: We're just talking percentages here. It's unlikely. There are plenty 556 00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:41,359 Speaker 1: of routes for one of them to miss but Brett 557 00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:44,040 Speaker 1: said both of them, Bama and Georgia are going to 558 00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:47,680 Speaker 1: miss out on the College Football Playoff. And the fact 559 00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:49,760 Speaker 1: of the matter is, if one of them does end 560 00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:53,040 Speaker 1: up missing out, there's a vastly greater chance that the 561 00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:55,200 Speaker 1: other one was the reason that that one missed out. 562 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,280 Speaker 1: The only time, by the way, since the college Football 563 00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:02,280 Speaker 1: Playoffs inception that neither of these teams has been in 564 00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:05,240 Speaker 1: the College Football Playoff itself. Can you remember the year 565 00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:09,359 Speaker 1: twenty nineteen. That was the year that Joe Burrow and 566 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,800 Speaker 1: LSU just decided to wrap their hand around the throat 567 00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:16,199 Speaker 1: of the sport and not let go until Clemson was 568 00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:18,320 Speaker 1: the last breath down in New Orleans. We were there 569 00:28:18,359 --> 00:28:20,359 Speaker 1: for that one. So I'm gonna call that one very bold, 570 00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:23,640 Speaker 1: like nine point three level bold. Next up, now we're 571 00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:25,720 Speaker 1: going to get in the weeds a little bit here. 572 00:28:25,760 --> 00:28:28,240 Speaker 1: Pay attention to this name. You don't know him yet, 573 00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:32,280 Speaker 1: you will know him. Cole said, Isaiah Nayor will become 574 00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:36,879 Speaker 1: the number one receiver at Texas. And then he didn't stop. 575 00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:39,200 Speaker 1: He just put a comma. He said he's gonna win 576 00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:42,320 Speaker 1: the Bulittank Cough with over thirteen hundred receiving yards and 577 00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:43,600 Speaker 1: ten plus touchdowns. 578 00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:45,680 Speaker 2: These are not my predictions, they're yours. 579 00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:48,520 Speaker 1: This is where I strongly would prefer you guys to 580 00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:50,640 Speaker 1: just say one thing and then put the period, because 581 00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:53,239 Speaker 1: if you were to tell me Isaiah Nayor is just 582 00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:56,120 Speaker 1: gonna be Texas's best receiver this year, we could have. 583 00:28:56,120 --> 00:28:57,600 Speaker 2: Some fun with that, and I wouldn't even call it 584 00:28:57,640 --> 00:28:58,160 Speaker 2: all that bold. 585 00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 1: But then you throw bolittankoff in there, a thirteen hundred 586 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:03,680 Speaker 1: plus yards, It's not impossible obviously. In fact, if you 587 00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:06,320 Speaker 1: are the leading receiver at Texas, you very well may 588 00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:08,920 Speaker 1: be in that conversation. It just makes it a lot bolder. 589 00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:12,040 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna call this one a seven, and maybe 590 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:13,920 Speaker 1: should have gone a little bolder than that, given the 591 00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:17,520 Speaker 1: follow up addendums there. Who is Isaiah Nayer? You may 592 00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:20,440 Speaker 1: ask where he played his college football last year? Did 593 00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:22,160 Speaker 1: Texas recruit him? Is he a true freshman? 594 00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:22,960 Speaker 2: No, he is not. 595 00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:29,120 Speaker 1: He is a junior coming to Austin by way of Laramie, Wyoming. Ah. 596 00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:32,480 Speaker 1: That old pipeline, the Laramie to Austin pipeline, sounds like 597 00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:35,920 Speaker 1: an old show on cinemax circa two thousand and four. 598 00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:40,560 Speaker 1: But no, this is a wide receiver that stands six 599 00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:44,760 Speaker 1: three ten two fifteen. Is big, big bodied receiver, but 600 00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:47,760 Speaker 1: he can move and he is being paired now with 601 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:51,239 Speaker 1: the likes of Xavier Worthy, Jordan Whittington and company going 602 00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:53,320 Speaker 1: to have in all likelihood Quinn you Weres throwing him 603 00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,960 Speaker 1: the ball b Jeon Robinson in the backfield, so you 604 00:29:56,000 --> 00:29:59,000 Speaker 1: can't just key on the pass game. He is good. 605 00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:02,120 Speaker 1: You saw him all ready in spring, so he's a 606 00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:06,080 Speaker 1: semi known commodity around there already. They were very excited 607 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,960 Speaker 1: when they got him internally. I know he didn't draw 608 00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:11,840 Speaker 1: a national headline buzz coast to coast. Isaiah and Nayor 609 00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:14,680 Speaker 1: is going to be an integral part of Texas passing game. Now, 610 00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:17,080 Speaker 1: that wasn't the prediction. The prediction was he's going to 611 00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:20,880 Speaker 1: be their best. And I'm just telling you, I've got 612 00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:23,680 Speaker 1: as supreme amount of respect for Xavier Worthy as any 613 00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:28,640 Speaker 1: player in the country. So Xavier Worthy is a primetime player. 614 00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:31,240 Speaker 1: If we had Dick Vitail in here, that's how he'd 615 00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:34,040 Speaker 1: refer to Xavier Worthy. Worthy was a true freshman last year. 616 00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:37,120 Speaker 1: Xavier Worthy is like one hundred and sixty five pounds. Okay, 617 00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,560 Speaker 1: So he steps into college football at a size that 618 00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:43,520 Speaker 1: many of you would call under and just takes over 619 00:30:43,560 --> 00:30:46,080 Speaker 1: the Oklahoma game. If you were watching that game and 620 00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:48,520 Speaker 1: you remember that one receiver that went. 621 00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:49,840 Speaker 2: Off for Texas, it was Worthy. 622 00:30:50,760 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 1: I'm not telling you Isaiah Nayer doesn't possess this capability. 623 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:57,959 Speaker 1: I'm just saying to come in and outshine Xavier Worthy, 624 00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:00,960 Speaker 1: who is one of the most proof of all commodities 625 00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:03,360 Speaker 1: on that offense, next to b John Robinson. It's a 626 00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:06,960 Speaker 1: tall task. So then we're talking about winning the Bolitnikoff. 627 00:31:08,160 --> 00:31:11,840 Speaker 1: It's a stretch because you can't singularly predict anyone with 628 00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:15,720 Speaker 1: confidence to do that. But I've got a lot of confidence. 629 00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:17,640 Speaker 1: That's why this is only a seven. I've got confidence 630 00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:19,920 Speaker 1: in Isaiah Nayer. I believe in him. I think he's 631 00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:22,840 Speaker 1: going to be a dynamite addition to that offense. Next up, 632 00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:26,360 Speaker 1: we got another individual to talk about. Producer Jesse differed 633 00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:30,240 Speaker 1: with me greatly on this one. Dwight said, Nick Singleton 634 00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:34,320 Speaker 1: will be twenty twenty two's Traveon Henderson. He's going to 635 00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:36,480 Speaker 1: rush for one thousand plus yards. 636 00:31:36,800 --> 00:31:37,480 Speaker 2: He wrote one hundred. 637 00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:40,320 Speaker 1: He means a thousand, one thousand plus yards and ten 638 00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:43,840 Speaker 1: plus touchdowns this season. Those of you who don't follow recruiting, 639 00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:46,760 Speaker 1: you don't know who Nick Singleton is, you should. He 640 00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:50,760 Speaker 1: ran for about half a mile. I don't know, maybe 641 00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:52,440 Speaker 1: closer to a mile. He could do the math here. 642 00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:54,640 Speaker 1: He ran for sixty three hundred yards. In high school. 643 00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:57,840 Speaker 1: He was a five star running back, number one running 644 00:31:57,840 --> 00:32:00,520 Speaker 1: back in the country, six foot about two hundred pounds. 645 00:32:00,760 --> 00:32:03,600 Speaker 1: Traveon Henderson, as you know, burst on the scene at 646 00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:07,760 Speaker 1: Ohio State last year. By comparison, Travion Henderson two cycles ago, 647 00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:11,000 Speaker 1: five star running back, number one running back in the country. 648 00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:12,800 Speaker 1: He was about five to eleven, one to ninety five 649 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:15,680 Speaker 1: coming out of high school. What did Travon Henderson do 650 00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:18,600 Speaker 1: last year? To be clear, what the prediction is. The 651 00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:21,560 Speaker 1: prediction here is at Penn State this year, Nick Singleton 652 00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:26,040 Speaker 1: will roughly match what Traveon Henderson did. Paper pop time. 653 00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:29,880 Speaker 1: Travion Henderson one hundred and eighty three carries over twelve 654 00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:32,760 Speaker 1: hundred yards about six point eight per carry. He had 655 00:32:32,800 --> 00:32:36,480 Speaker 1: fifteen touchdowns on the ground because he wasn't done. Just 656 00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:38,440 Speaker 1: for good measure, he added three to twelve through the 657 00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:43,400 Speaker 1: air and another four receiving touchdowns. Traveon Henderson, for all 658 00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:45,400 Speaker 1: we know, could be the best running back in the country. 659 00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:49,040 Speaker 1: And I understand Jon Robinson exists. I know Jamior Gibbs 660 00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:50,920 Speaker 1: at Alabama exists. Zach Evans, I think is going to 661 00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:53,120 Speaker 1: have a huge year at Old Miss discat right here 662 00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:55,480 Speaker 1: is as good as any of them. Talent wise, he 663 00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:58,640 Speaker 1: is only a sophomore. But talent wise, Travion Henderson's is 664 00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:03,000 Speaker 1: kind of a different person. He borders on the alien 665 00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:05,360 Speaker 1: category to when you see some of these guys and 666 00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:07,440 Speaker 1: they don't really look like they came from the same 667 00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:10,040 Speaker 1: planet you did. They certainly don't play like it. He's 668 00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:14,320 Speaker 1: one of them. Well, Nick Singleton's like that too, Nick Singleton, 669 00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:16,280 Speaker 1: a lot of people, you know who they compare him 670 00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:19,400 Speaker 1: to in State College, Sekwon Barkley, And how responsible is 671 00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:21,240 Speaker 1: that before kids played the game. Why not just go 672 00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:24,360 Speaker 1: ahead and compare him to Saquon Barkley. If anyone's going 673 00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:26,720 Speaker 1: to match that production and match that hype, it will 674 00:33:26,760 --> 00:33:28,960 Speaker 1: be him. I remember when we were doing our signing 675 00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:31,800 Speaker 1: day show down to Fort Lauderdale, and you know the 676 00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:34,800 Speaker 1: rankings councils there, I got Will Fong there, I got 677 00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:38,560 Speaker 1: Cooper pretended, Chris Singleton, who Blake Brockermeier. They were all there, 678 00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:40,960 Speaker 1: and there's some guys who, even if they have five 679 00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:43,840 Speaker 1: stars next to their name, there's still a little trepidation 680 00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:46,200 Speaker 1: in the voice when we're talking about how they will 681 00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:49,840 Speaker 1: project and eventually develop and produce at the college level. 682 00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:53,520 Speaker 1: When Nick Singleton's name came up, they had none of 683 00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:58,160 Speaker 1: that trepidation. It says, slam dunk a prospect at his 684 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:01,320 Speaker 1: position as they saw in the class, there's just not 685 00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:04,840 Speaker 1: much guesswork about his game. So Nicholas Singleton's gonna come 686 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:08,200 Speaker 1: in now. There are backs in front of him right now. 687 00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:10,920 Speaker 1: But the smart money around Penn State is kind of 688 00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:13,959 Speaker 1: like with Travon Henderson last year, that depth chart will 689 00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:14,960 Speaker 1: clear itself up. 690 00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:16,320 Speaker 2: Singleton will clear. 691 00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:18,200 Speaker 1: It up for you, just like Trayvon Henderson kind of 692 00:34:18,200 --> 00:34:20,440 Speaker 1: cleared things up at Ohio State last year. And it's 693 00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:22,520 Speaker 1: not that you didn't have other quality backs, he just 694 00:34:22,560 --> 00:34:24,719 Speaker 1: didn't have one like him. It's not that they don't 695 00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 1: have quality backs at Penn State, they don't have one 696 00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:30,400 Speaker 1: like Nicholas Singleton. Will he split carries with Lee up 697 00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:33,719 Speaker 1: there or will he be a RB one by the 698 00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:37,120 Speaker 1: time we get into September or October, we'll see. But 699 00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:43,279 Speaker 1: unlike Traveon Henderson last year, Nicholas Singleton's not walking into 700 00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:46,839 Speaker 1: a situation where you've got all American racehorse future first 701 00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:49,279 Speaker 1: round draft picks at wide receiver, to the left and 702 00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:52,359 Speaker 1: to the right and on the bench quite literally. So 703 00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:53,920 Speaker 1: he's gonna have shoulder a lot more of the low. 704 00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:56,080 Speaker 1: They will key a lot more on the run game 705 00:34:56,160 --> 00:34:58,560 Speaker 1: up there. Keep in mind they struggled mightily to run 706 00:34:58,600 --> 00:35:00,840 Speaker 1: the ball last year. Did not have a one hundred 707 00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:03,920 Speaker 1: yard rusher in a game at Penn State last. 708 00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:05,480 Speaker 2: Year, so a lot of things have to change. 709 00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:08,160 Speaker 1: I think it's a tougher task for him to do 710 00:35:08,200 --> 00:35:10,360 Speaker 1: that this year than for Trayvon Henderson to do what 711 00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:12,439 Speaker 1: he did last year. So I'm calling this an eight. 712 00:35:13,560 --> 00:35:15,520 Speaker 1: But it's not because I don't believe in Nick Singleton. 713 00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:17,399 Speaker 1: It's just because I know what Trayvon Henderson did last 714 00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:19,800 Speaker 1: year is going to be really tough to duplicate anywhere, 715 00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:23,400 Speaker 1: especially at a place where everyone already knows what's coming 716 00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:27,439 Speaker 1: before the balls snapped next up. Oh by the way, 717 00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:30,440 Speaker 1: before I read Jacobs there when we were going over 718 00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:33,239 Speaker 1: Singleton's stats out earlier in the what was called the 719 00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:36,640 Speaker 1: bullpen out there, and producer Jesse told me he had 720 00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:39,560 Speaker 1: sixty three hundred rush yards in high school. I said, 721 00:35:39,640 --> 00:35:43,560 Speaker 1: whoa man, isn't that close to a record? Pull up 722 00:35:43,600 --> 00:35:47,840 Speaker 1: Derrick Henry's rushing numbers. Henry had twelve thousand, one hundred 723 00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,920 Speaker 1: and twenty four. That's the all time high school record. 724 00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:53,880 Speaker 1: So Nick Singleton runs for sixty three hundred yards and 725 00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:56,680 Speaker 1: it's just over half of what Derrick Henry had down 726 00:35:56,719 --> 00:36:00,560 Speaker 1: at Yule. They might have you might as well have 727 00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:04,759 Speaker 1: just played Sarah McLaughlin over the loudspeakers in the stadium 728 00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:07,360 Speaker 1: when Derrick Henry did what he did to those children, 729 00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:10,840 Speaker 1: because Henry was already his size now as a senior 730 00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:14,840 Speaker 1: in high school, and the other kids were just that 731 00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:18,640 Speaker 1: high school kids in lower caliber ball in Florida. 732 00:36:19,760 --> 00:36:21,640 Speaker 2: Sarah McLaughlin special, that's what we call that. 733 00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:25,040 Speaker 1: Next up, this one was bold too, So Jacob says, 734 00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:27,600 Speaker 1: no Big twelve team, no Big ten team in the 735 00:36:27,640 --> 00:36:31,120 Speaker 1: college football Playoff. You just got a hard time selling 736 00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:33,920 Speaker 1: me on this. This is a nine on the boldness scale. 737 00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:37,839 Speaker 1: It's never happened in the history of the playoff. Both 738 00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:40,480 Speaker 1: of these conferences at the same time have never missed out. 739 00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:42,360 Speaker 2: Now here's what you can do. 740 00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:45,640 Speaker 1: You can sell me pretty easily on the Big twelve 741 00:36:45,640 --> 00:36:48,239 Speaker 1: missing out on the playoff because we have a very 742 00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:51,600 Speaker 1: limited pool of candidates with which to choose from. Oklahoma's 743 00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:54,840 Speaker 1: the preseason favorite there, but even Oklahoma in terms of 744 00:36:54,960 --> 00:36:59,000 Speaker 1: national championship odds, the Sooners are plus three thousand to 745 00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:01,920 Speaker 1: win the national champion So yeah, it's not out of 746 00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:05,759 Speaker 1: the realm of possibility that this conference alone misses out 747 00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:08,120 Speaker 1: on the playoff. After all, there are only four spots 748 00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:11,520 Speaker 1: but the Big Ten. For the Big Ten to be 749 00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:14,400 Speaker 1: missing out on the playoff, which has only happened twice. 750 00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:16,759 Speaker 1: Just the Big Ten has only missed out on the 751 00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:19,400 Speaker 1: playoff twice. You've got to have the Big Ten either 752 00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:24,359 Speaker 1: totally devour itself and everyone has two losses, and then 753 00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:26,839 Speaker 1: you just you have a conference championship game where it's 754 00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:29,279 Speaker 1: like the number thirteen team in the country versus the 755 00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:31,759 Speaker 1: number ten team in the country, and we just know 756 00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:34,440 Speaker 1: neither one of them has anything more to play for 757 00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:38,200 Speaker 1: in terms of postseason than that game, which is unlikely, 758 00:37:38,560 --> 00:37:41,640 Speaker 1: or another thing could happen, and that could be where 759 00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:45,680 Speaker 1: let's say you have a one loss team. Maybe it's 760 00:37:45,680 --> 00:37:48,520 Speaker 1: Ohio State, maybe it's Michigan, maybe it's Penn State that 761 00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:51,279 Speaker 1: gets upset in the Big Ten title game. How would 762 00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:53,680 Speaker 1: that look. Well, let's say it's Ohio State. Let's say 763 00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:56,120 Speaker 1: Ohio State's a one lost team. They slip up in 764 00:37:56,200 --> 00:37:58,600 Speaker 1: East Lansing or or they slip up in State College, 765 00:37:58,719 --> 00:37:59,760 Speaker 1: or Michigan. 766 00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:01,719 Speaker 2: Beats them, but they're in the Big Ten Championship game. 767 00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:05,200 Speaker 1: And then let's say, trust me, I know it's tough, 768 00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,120 Speaker 1: but I'm gonna have to sell you on a long 769 00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:12,319 Speaker 1: shot here. Let's say Iowa or Wisconsin or Nebraska beats them, 770 00:38:12,400 --> 00:38:15,760 Speaker 1: upsets them in the Big Ten Championship game. At that point, 771 00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:18,600 Speaker 1: you don't have a candidate to send to the playoff. Yeah, 772 00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:24,160 Speaker 1: that could happen. It very well could happen. What will happen, 773 00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:27,560 Speaker 1: and what will happen is probably not that. So I'm 774 00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:29,319 Speaker 1: going to call that a nine on the boldness scale. 775 00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:31,720 Speaker 1: At least one of those conferences is in the college 776 00:38:31,719 --> 00:38:35,600 Speaker 1: Football playoff. And while we're in the nine on the 777 00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:39,040 Speaker 1: boldness scale, let's just go with what Jackson said. A 778 00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:43,000 Speaker 1: healthy Casey Thompson going to be a Heisman finalist with 779 00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:49,640 Speaker 1: his Heisman moment coming at Michigan in the Big House. Yeah, so, 780 00:38:50,120 --> 00:38:52,799 Speaker 1: you boy, this is a nine point one on the 781 00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:56,000 Speaker 1: boldness scale. We're showing you b role of Casey Thompson 782 00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:58,960 Speaker 1: at Texas, but he's not playing at Texas this year. 783 00:38:59,200 --> 00:38:59,960 Speaker 2: He transferred. 784 00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:04,120 Speaker 1: Yes, our future Heisman Trophy winner was not good enough 785 00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:06,040 Speaker 1: to start for that team. So he has gone to 786 00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:10,759 Speaker 1: Nebraska and he's gonna win a Heisman in Lincoln. This 787 00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:14,840 Speaker 1: is Preview Magazine syndrome. That's what this is, pure and simple. 788 00:39:14,880 --> 00:39:17,000 Speaker 1: We get to this time of the year and there's 789 00:39:17,040 --> 00:39:21,400 Speaker 1: this great abyss in the middle the reasonable ground. It 790 00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:23,560 Speaker 1: turns into like a great nothing like in the Never 791 00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:27,399 Speaker 1: Ending Story. There's just where everyone should be nothing. And 792 00:39:27,440 --> 00:39:29,920 Speaker 1: you got folks over here saying Nebraska's going on to twelve, 793 00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:31,640 Speaker 1: and you got folks over here saying Casey. 794 00:39:31,400 --> 00:39:32,560 Speaker 2: Thomas is gonna win the Heisman. 795 00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:38,720 Speaker 1: And it's just that is the residue with which Preview 796 00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:42,520 Speaker 1: Magazine season covers us in Casey thoms is not winning 797 00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:44,920 Speaker 1: the Heisman. Casey Thompson and Nebraska can have a very 798 00:39:44,920 --> 00:39:47,399 Speaker 1: good year this year. It would be nice to predict that, 799 00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:49,880 Speaker 1: But then again, that probably would not have landed you 800 00:39:50,040 --> 00:39:52,399 Speaker 1: in the bold prediction segment. This is just a land 801 00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:55,239 Speaker 1: of extremes right now. It's okay to be realistic here. 802 00:39:55,520 --> 00:39:58,200 Speaker 1: It's okay to say this guy who was a twenty 803 00:39:58,200 --> 00:40:02,799 Speaker 1: four touchdown nine interception play last year for rushing touchdowns too, 804 00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:05,160 Speaker 1: he's gonna go to Nebraska and he's gonna be better 805 00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:08,279 Speaker 1: than Adrian Martinez was for them. I believe that. I 806 00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:10,800 Speaker 1: believe Nebraska is gonna more than double their win total 807 00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:14,200 Speaker 1: this year. I believe these things. But see in doubling 808 00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:16,560 Speaker 1: their win total that just barely gets them to a 809 00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:19,520 Speaker 1: bowl game. And so what do we have to have 810 00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:23,000 Speaker 1: happen here in a world where Bryce Young is still 811 00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:26,400 Speaker 1: playing college football and CJ. Strauss still playing college football? 812 00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:28,960 Speaker 1: What in the world do I have to have Casey 813 00:40:29,080 --> 00:40:35,040 Speaker 1: Thompson do to outshine those dudes? And what will Nebraska 814 00:40:35,120 --> 00:40:37,279 Speaker 1: have to do as a team, because that's part of 815 00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:40,800 Speaker 1: this to outshine Alabama and Ohio State. I'm not guaranteeing 816 00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:42,239 Speaker 1: you one of those guys is gonna win. And I'm 817 00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:44,160 Speaker 1: just telling you they got an infinitely greater shot at 818 00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:46,879 Speaker 1: their own position than Casey Thompson. This has turned into 819 00:40:46,920 --> 00:40:49,080 Speaker 1: a Casey Thompson bash fest, which I don't intend it 820 00:40:49,120 --> 00:40:53,439 Speaker 1: to be. I am not bashing Casey Thompson. God bless 821 00:40:53,520 --> 00:40:56,359 Speaker 1: that young man. I am bashing the prediction of him 822 00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:58,359 Speaker 1: winning the Heisman. It's kind of like the whole Will 823 00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:01,600 Speaker 1: levis number one overall raft pick stuff out there right now. 824 00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:05,040 Speaker 1: And I use the term stuff only because I know 825 00:41:05,400 --> 00:41:07,120 Speaker 1: some of you will have your children in the car 826 00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:09,200 Speaker 1: tomorrow morning when you take them to school and you 827 00:41:09,239 --> 00:41:14,000 Speaker 1: listen to the replay of the show Foolishness. That's just foolishness, So. 828 00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:14,960 Speaker 2: That's not going to happen. 829 00:41:15,080 --> 00:41:17,719 Speaker 1: That's a nine point one on the Boldness scale, and 830 00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:22,799 Speaker 1: probably safely could go higher than that. So in summary, well, 831 00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:25,080 Speaker 1: we had a nine point three tonight, we had a 832 00:41:25,120 --> 00:41:27,399 Speaker 1: seven and eight, a nine and a nine point one 833 00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:31,600 Speaker 1: on average. This gets very close out of the eighteen 834 00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:34,360 Speaker 1: chapters of Bold Predictions so far to being the boldest 835 00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:38,840 Speaker 1: of the bold. They're watching us in Barcelona, Spain. I 836 00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:40,799 Speaker 1: would say this evening, but I think it's probably early 837 00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:43,560 Speaker 1: morning there Beaumont, Texas. I know they're watching us this 838 00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:46,960 Speaker 1: evening and Richmond, Virginia is tuned in. We should have 839 00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:49,799 Speaker 1: brought a snare drum in the studio. This is as 840 00:41:49,840 --> 00:41:52,759 Speaker 1: excited as I will be for any segment. And you 841 00:41:52,800 --> 00:41:54,680 Speaker 1: know what, while I'm at it, let me say thank 842 00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:57,280 Speaker 1: you guys for being tuned in at over a thousand 843 00:41:57,280 --> 00:41:59,960 Speaker 1: of you watching live again. You know, they said that 844 00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:03,239 Speaker 1: that's not possible in June when I first started doing 845 00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:05,160 Speaker 1: this show. They asked, why would you do a year 846 00:42:05,200 --> 00:42:09,840 Speaker 1: round college football show. Well, that's why, because contrary to 847 00:42:09,880 --> 00:42:13,359 Speaker 1: popular belief, some of us really do buy into the 848 00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:16,040 Speaker 1: idea that there is no off season. We don't do 849 00:42:16,120 --> 00:42:18,719 Speaker 1: that sort of thing around here. And so with that 850 00:42:18,840 --> 00:42:22,719 Speaker 1: in mind, here we go. Crack the knuckles, got one 851 00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:26,000 Speaker 1: of them to crack. The Late Kick Tour, which we 852 00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:28,200 Speaker 1: have not even named yet, is coming up this fall. 853 00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:31,480 Speaker 1: We got a great college football season in store and 854 00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:35,080 Speaker 1: we are going to start figuring out our schedule draft tonight. Now, 855 00:42:35,080 --> 00:42:37,359 Speaker 1: if you're new around here, and tons of you are, 856 00:42:37,560 --> 00:42:40,239 Speaker 1: what in the world am I talking about? Well, I 857 00:42:40,280 --> 00:42:43,160 Speaker 1: am probably the most blessed person in the world because 858 00:42:43,200 --> 00:42:45,799 Speaker 1: I get to spin the globe every week, put my 859 00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:48,359 Speaker 1: index finger wherever I want to go, and then this 860 00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:50,279 Speaker 1: company pays to fly me there and I get to 861 00:42:50,280 --> 00:42:52,839 Speaker 1: stand on the sideline and watch games, and I want 862 00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:56,520 Speaker 1: to stress again, that is what I call a job. Yes, 863 00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:59,759 Speaker 1: I am professionally employed to do such things. If you're 864 00:42:59,760 --> 00:43:01,839 Speaker 1: watch on YouTube, this is some of the footage. That's 865 00:43:01,840 --> 00:43:04,319 Speaker 1: cell phone footage, that is I Josh footage from last 866 00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:07,360 Speaker 1: year's tour, and we choose where. 867 00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:07,839 Speaker 2: We're going to go. 868 00:43:08,160 --> 00:43:10,200 Speaker 1: Last year we called it the Renaissance Tour because it 869 00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:12,319 Speaker 1: was a Renaissance season. And you see some of the 870 00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:15,439 Speaker 1: destinations that we made it to that Iowa Iowa State 871 00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:17,600 Speaker 1: game in week two, first time I ever went to Ames. 872 00:43:18,280 --> 00:43:21,399 Speaker 1: The next week Auburn at Penn State Wide Out, first 873 00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:23,840 Speaker 1: time I had ever been there. I went to ou 874 00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:27,480 Speaker 1: Texas Red River Shootout, my first ever experience there. I 875 00:43:27,719 --> 00:43:31,879 Speaker 1: dodged Mini's and many other things. At Knoxville the week 876 00:43:31,920 --> 00:43:35,360 Speaker 1: after that, with Ole miss and Tennessee just raining garbage 877 00:43:35,400 --> 00:43:39,359 Speaker 1: down on me. We saw Michigan State upset Michigan. Later 878 00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:41,960 Speaker 1: in the year, we saw Baylor storm the field against Oklahoma. 879 00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:46,480 Speaker 1: I saw Michigan take down Ohio State. It's really incredible, 880 00:43:46,560 --> 00:43:49,200 Speaker 1: isn't it that there's a company out there that would 881 00:43:49,239 --> 00:43:52,800 Speaker 1: pay someone to go experience that. I know because before 882 00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:55,600 Speaker 1: I did this professionally, I was you, and I paid 883 00:43:55,600 --> 00:43:58,360 Speaker 1: every last dime I had, and some of the dimes 884 00:43:58,360 --> 00:44:00,880 Speaker 1: my parents had to go attend those games. So I 885 00:44:01,040 --> 00:44:03,720 Speaker 1: know how blessed it is to live this lifestyle. Well, 886 00:44:03,880 --> 00:44:06,760 Speaker 1: this fall, we're doing it again. We have not named 887 00:44:06,760 --> 00:44:09,120 Speaker 1: the tour yet, got a good idea of what it's 888 00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:10,640 Speaker 1: going to be. We haven't named the tour yet, but 889 00:44:10,719 --> 00:44:14,400 Speaker 1: we are going to start narrowing down our choices. Weeks 890 00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:17,400 Speaker 1: one through six we're going to do right here, right now. 891 00:44:17,880 --> 00:44:20,600 Speaker 1: This is not final, but these are the leans that 892 00:44:20,680 --> 00:44:21,799 Speaker 1: I have for where we're going. 893 00:44:22,000 --> 00:44:23,960 Speaker 2: Let's start in week one. 894 00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:26,480 Speaker 1: Week one is sort of the Labor Day week, so 895 00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:29,040 Speaker 1: it's not just confined to one day. But as you know, 896 00:44:29,080 --> 00:44:31,439 Speaker 1: I have a show on Sunday, So right off the bat, 897 00:44:31,480 --> 00:44:34,280 Speaker 1: the Florida State LSU game is probably off the table. 898 00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:39,319 Speaker 1: We've got Cincinnati at Arkansas Cincinnati. This is the only time, 899 00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:42,480 Speaker 1: obviously that I will probably get to see a G 900 00:44:42,640 --> 00:44:45,600 Speaker 1: five team during the season because of what our criteria are. 901 00:44:45,840 --> 00:44:48,279 Speaker 1: We want to see the biggest games, but we want 902 00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:52,120 Speaker 1: to see competitive games in that order. We want to 903 00:44:52,160 --> 00:44:55,279 Speaker 1: see as many teams and venues as possible, and we 904 00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:56,839 Speaker 1: are in it for experience. 905 00:44:57,160 --> 00:44:59,640 Speaker 2: And memory. That's what we're trying to accumulate. 906 00:45:00,040 --> 00:45:01,600 Speaker 1: When you're talking at the end of the day about 907 00:45:01,640 --> 00:45:03,560 Speaker 1: that game, we want to be the folks who were 908 00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:05,960 Speaker 1: at that game. We don't want to see blowouts. We 909 00:45:06,000 --> 00:45:07,880 Speaker 1: want to see the biggest teams and the biggest moments, 910 00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:11,800 Speaker 1: best environments. Since the Arkansas is going to be on fire, 911 00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:14,160 Speaker 1: Fayeva will be on fire. This is the highest expectation 912 00:45:14,239 --> 00:45:17,240 Speaker 1: they've had for that team in several years. You're getting 913 00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:22,000 Speaker 1: a playoff team coming in there in Cincinnati. When'sday, I'll 914 00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:24,520 Speaker 1: answer you, We've never had an opportunity to see a 915 00:45:24,600 --> 00:45:27,080 Speaker 1: G five team coming off a playoff appearance. So you've 916 00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:30,240 Speaker 1: got that one. But you've also got Utah at Florida 917 00:45:30,320 --> 00:45:33,680 Speaker 1: the very same week. That's an ultra rare cross country 918 00:45:33,880 --> 00:45:36,879 Speaker 1: out of conference game. We don't get many SEC PAC 919 00:45:36,920 --> 00:45:39,320 Speaker 1: twelve out of conference games period, And I got to 920 00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:42,080 Speaker 1: start asking myself how many opportunities will I have to 921 00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:45,799 Speaker 1: see Utah Florida. Florida may not be a contender this year, 922 00:45:46,160 --> 00:45:47,800 Speaker 1: but if I can get them early in the season, 923 00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:51,000 Speaker 1: it justifies a trip to the swamp. And so I 924 00:45:51,000 --> 00:45:52,439 Speaker 1: don't know that I'll be able to get there again 925 00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:55,399 Speaker 1: this year. Then you start to look at the marquee 926 00:45:55,760 --> 00:45:59,080 Speaker 1: in Columbus, Ohio. You've got Notre Dame against Ohio State, 927 00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:01,719 Speaker 1: two massive brand names. So if you want to see 928 00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:05,040 Speaker 1: big brands and you want to have an experience, man, 929 00:46:05,160 --> 00:46:07,239 Speaker 1: they'll have that ticket stub or the digital version of 930 00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:09,000 Speaker 1: it forever that they're showing off. 931 00:46:09,560 --> 00:46:11,080 Speaker 2: I'll tell you what we're leaning here. 932 00:46:11,120 --> 00:46:13,239 Speaker 1: And I know we got Oregon Georgia this day, but 933 00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:16,040 Speaker 1: that's a seventeen point spread. We try and stay away 934 00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:18,080 Speaker 1: from neutral site games because we believe in the on 935 00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:22,440 Speaker 1: campus environment. My lean, and it is an ever so 936 00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:25,880 Speaker 1: slight lean right now, this is nowhere near finalized. Is 937 00:46:26,080 --> 00:46:29,640 Speaker 1: Utah against Florida. The thinking there I just spelled out 938 00:46:29,640 --> 00:46:33,440 Speaker 1: for you. And also keep in mind when we've got Arkansas. 939 00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:36,640 Speaker 1: Arkansas plays a ton of marquee games this year, so 940 00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:39,400 Speaker 1: there are going to be other opportunities to get to Arkansas. 941 00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:40,480 Speaker 2: And believe me, if if you. 942 00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:42,759 Speaker 1: Know the show and you know me, I will so 943 00:46:43,200 --> 00:46:47,359 Speaker 1: help me. See Arkansas play in Razorback Stadium this year 944 00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:52,160 Speaker 1: rentals Razorback Stadium. So the slight lean, very slight is 945 00:46:52,280 --> 00:46:55,200 Speaker 1: Utah at Florida Week one, subject to change write it 946 00:46:55,239 --> 00:46:58,040 Speaker 1: in pencil. Week two, this one gets a little bit 947 00:46:58,080 --> 00:46:59,840 Speaker 1: easier to figure out, but I want to show you 948 00:46:59,840 --> 00:47:03,399 Speaker 1: this late anyway. Alabama goes to Texas. That is a 949 00:47:03,440 --> 00:47:07,239 Speaker 1: slam dunk leader in the clubhouse right now. But just 950 00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:10,840 Speaker 1: for fun, you got South Carolina at Arkansas again, ditto, 951 00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:14,160 Speaker 1: same point. We got some opportunities down the road for Arkansas. 952 00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:18,319 Speaker 1: Tennessee is at Pitt. That is the twenty twenty one 953 00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:21,960 Speaker 1: ACC champ pit and that's a team that went into 954 00:47:22,040 --> 00:47:24,400 Speaker 1: Neeland and beat Tennessee last year. First big game for 955 00:47:24,480 --> 00:47:26,840 Speaker 1: Tennessee this year, they got Pitt and they got Florida 956 00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:29,320 Speaker 1: in the first month of the season. That one's tasty. 957 00:47:29,520 --> 00:47:32,279 Speaker 1: I just saw Iowa state Iowa last year. There's another 958 00:47:32,320 --> 00:47:34,279 Speaker 1: opportunity in a couple of weeks with Iowa that I'll 959 00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:37,759 Speaker 1: talk about in a second. Kentucky's at Florida. Baylor at 960 00:47:37,760 --> 00:47:40,520 Speaker 1: Brigham Young is a sleeper game there, but none of 961 00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:43,560 Speaker 1: those are topping Alabama at Texas. So out of all 962 00:47:43,640 --> 00:47:46,520 Speaker 1: the weeks, probably the one I'm most confident in leaning 963 00:47:46,560 --> 00:47:50,480 Speaker 1: towards is Alabama at Texas in week two. And if 964 00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:54,000 Speaker 1: that wasn't enough, has anyone seen what kickoff time is 965 00:47:54,040 --> 00:47:59,400 Speaker 1: there noon eastern big noon kickoff headed into Austin forecast 966 00:47:59,520 --> 00:48:03,800 Speaker 1: high maybe one oh seven, one oh a. It's whatever 967 00:48:04,040 --> 00:48:07,440 Speaker 1: at that point, hot is hot is hot, But also 968 00:48:07,760 --> 00:48:10,000 Speaker 1: a flight home that night is a flight home that night. 969 00:48:10,040 --> 00:48:13,759 Speaker 1: So Texas hosting Alabama week two pretty solidly in there. 970 00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:17,560 Speaker 1: Week three is not nearly as clear a picture. 971 00:48:18,160 --> 00:48:18,799 Speaker 2: So here we go. 972 00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,239 Speaker 1: This is where I really start needing your help. It's 973 00:48:21,239 --> 00:48:23,120 Speaker 1: gonna get even muddier than this in week four and 974 00:48:23,160 --> 00:48:27,759 Speaker 1: week five. I'm telling you I don't suffer anxiety. This 975 00:48:27,880 --> 00:48:30,960 Speaker 1: gives me anxiety because I know I can only be 976 00:48:30,960 --> 00:48:32,920 Speaker 1: in one place, and I don't want to be the 977 00:48:32,960 --> 00:48:35,960 Speaker 1: guy who's watching the TV screen and the press box 978 00:48:35,960 --> 00:48:37,920 Speaker 1: are on the plane on the way home, saying I 979 00:48:37,960 --> 00:48:40,359 Speaker 1: could have been it this game instead, and I'm not. 980 00:48:41,200 --> 00:48:42,279 Speaker 1: It happened last year. 981 00:48:42,600 --> 00:48:44,040 Speaker 2: Don't want to let it happen again this year. 982 00:48:44,239 --> 00:48:48,520 Speaker 1: So Week three, Oklahoma at Nebraska is a game I 983 00:48:48,600 --> 00:48:51,160 Speaker 1: badly want to be able to go to. Nebraska's got 984 00:48:51,200 --> 00:48:53,760 Speaker 1: a hold up there into the bargain. We already spelled 985 00:48:53,760 --> 00:48:56,000 Speaker 1: that out earlier on the show. This would be a 986 00:48:56,239 --> 00:48:59,680 Speaker 1: phenomenal atmosphere and environment and a venue I've never been 987 00:48:59,719 --> 00:49:01,920 Speaker 1: to I've never been to Lincoln, never been to a 988 00:49:01,920 --> 00:49:05,000 Speaker 1: game at Nebraska, so you got that one. But this 989 00:49:05,080 --> 00:49:08,120 Speaker 1: is an out of conference bonanza. On this week three slate, 990 00:49:08,600 --> 00:49:11,799 Speaker 1: Penn State is at Auburn. Both of those teams could 991 00:49:11,840 --> 00:49:15,799 Speaker 1: be undefeated still. Brigham Young is at Oregon. That's a 992 00:49:16,000 --> 00:49:18,919 Speaker 1: huge game. That's one of Oregon's toughest tests of the year. 993 00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:22,960 Speaker 1: It gets better. Miami is at Texas A and M 994 00:49:23,520 --> 00:49:26,399 Speaker 1: That is a single digit point spread right now, and 995 00:49:26,440 --> 00:49:28,719 Speaker 1: for all we know, Miami may have the quarterback edge 996 00:49:28,920 --> 00:49:32,799 Speaker 1: in that game. Georgia is at South Carolina. I know 997 00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:34,840 Speaker 1: that may not pop off the screen to you, but 998 00:49:34,920 --> 00:49:38,200 Speaker 1: that's one of Georgia's toughest road tests all year. And 999 00:49:38,480 --> 00:49:41,200 Speaker 1: how about that that game at the bottom there, Michigan 1000 00:49:41,280 --> 00:49:46,080 Speaker 1: State at Washington, little cross country action. Where would you 1001 00:49:46,160 --> 00:49:49,600 Speaker 1: go if you were if you were calling the shots here? 1002 00:49:50,600 --> 00:49:54,080 Speaker 1: I think it's pretty well listed in order. Oh, Oklahoma 1003 00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:57,440 Speaker 1: at Nebraska has my eye, So that's my lean right now. Oh, 1004 00:49:57,520 --> 00:50:00,640 Speaker 1: you at Nebraska. But boy, that Penn State Auburn game, 1005 00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:04,120 Speaker 1: especially considering I saw that one last year in Happy 1006 00:50:04,200 --> 00:50:07,320 Speaker 1: Valley and that one delivered. There is virtually no shot 1007 00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:09,359 Speaker 1: that's a blowout game. So if you care about seeing 1008 00:50:09,360 --> 00:50:12,160 Speaker 1: close games, man Penn State Auburn could play ten times 1009 00:50:12,160 --> 00:50:14,160 Speaker 1: out of ten, average margin of victory would be a 1010 00:50:14,160 --> 00:50:17,600 Speaker 1: field goal. I can virtually guarantee that that's like back 1011 00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:20,360 Speaker 1: in the day when the Titans or Jaguars or Steelers 1012 00:50:20,400 --> 00:50:23,680 Speaker 1: would play each other in the AFC playoffs. I would 1013 00:50:23,719 --> 00:50:26,040 Speaker 1: always love to do two teams seven point teasers with 1014 00:50:26,080 --> 00:50:28,120 Speaker 1: my local bookie back in Georgia because it was like 1015 00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:30,720 Speaker 1: the easiest NFL bet ever because the margin of victory 1016 00:50:30,719 --> 00:50:32,160 Speaker 1: was always going to be a field goal either way. 1017 00:50:32,920 --> 00:50:37,200 Speaker 1: So my lean, it's a slight lean. Again, my lean 1018 00:50:37,320 --> 00:50:40,960 Speaker 1: on this week is Oklahoma at Nebraska. But as you 1019 00:50:41,120 --> 00:50:44,520 Speaker 1: can see clearly, all that is contingent on teams taking 1020 00:50:44,560 --> 00:50:47,160 Speaker 1: care of business because one upset could throw this entire 1021 00:50:47,200 --> 00:50:49,600 Speaker 1: thing into a blender. And if you want an example 1022 00:50:49,640 --> 00:50:52,719 Speaker 1: of what that looks like, follow me to week four, 1023 00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:55,560 Speaker 1: because this is where it just goes completely haywire. We 1024 00:50:55,640 --> 00:50:59,279 Speaker 1: spent a solid hour debating with and yelling at each 1025 00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:02,200 Speaker 1: other out in the bullpen, talking about where we should 1026 00:51:02,239 --> 00:51:06,840 Speaker 1: go and what strategy should be involved here. So here's 1027 00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:09,520 Speaker 1: the lineup in week four. This is a very big 1028 00:51:09,520 --> 00:51:12,120 Speaker 1: week we got Arkansas versus A and M. That game's 1029 00:51:12,120 --> 00:51:14,880 Speaker 1: in Dallas. We went to that game last year. I 1030 00:51:14,880 --> 00:51:17,360 Speaker 1: always love getting to Arlington early because that's one of 1031 00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:19,600 Speaker 1: the only venues in America big enough where they can 1032 00:51:19,680 --> 00:51:22,920 Speaker 1: drive the buses down into the stadium and around the 1033 00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:24,680 Speaker 1: corridor and they just drive a bus right up to 1034 00:51:24,719 --> 00:51:26,120 Speaker 1: your locker room. That's always fun. 1035 00:51:26,480 --> 00:51:28,640 Speaker 2: You don't get to see that on TV, so I won't. 1036 00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:31,960 Speaker 1: Waste your time. Florida is at Tennessee on this Saturday. 1037 00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:34,720 Speaker 1: Pause for a second, think about what we're talking about. 1038 00:51:35,239 --> 00:51:40,319 Speaker 1: If Florida beats Utah in week one and Kentucky I 1039 00:51:40,320 --> 00:51:42,560 Speaker 1: think is also another team they will have had to 1040 00:51:42,600 --> 00:51:46,239 Speaker 1: have beaten there, and Tennessee has beaten Pitt all of 1041 00:51:46,280 --> 00:51:48,719 Speaker 1: a sudden, we're sitting here in week four and we've 1042 00:51:48,760 --> 00:51:54,479 Speaker 1: got undefeated Florida against undefeated Tennessee and Niland Stadium now 1043 00:51:54,600 --> 00:51:57,920 Speaker 1: right this second, none of you nationally outside those fan 1044 00:51:57,920 --> 00:52:00,880 Speaker 1: bases are looking forward to that game. How college football 1045 00:52:00,880 --> 00:52:03,160 Speaker 1: treats us and all of a sudden, that game in week. 1046 00:52:02,960 --> 00:52:06,200 Speaker 2: Four is just everyone's got to see it. 1047 00:52:06,280 --> 00:52:08,280 Speaker 1: You're playing, all of a sudden, you're planning your Saturday 1048 00:52:08,360 --> 00:52:11,080 Speaker 1: around when that game comes on TV. Baylor at Iowa 1049 00:52:11,160 --> 00:52:13,560 Speaker 1: State is a very sneaky game. It's not on your 1050 00:52:13,640 --> 00:52:17,480 Speaker 1: radar right now, but Baylor has already played Brigham Young 1051 00:52:17,520 --> 00:52:21,200 Speaker 1: by this point, Iowa State has already played Iowa. If 1052 00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:23,720 Speaker 1: they win those games all of a sudden, that becomes 1053 00:52:23,719 --> 00:52:26,520 Speaker 1: a game that's popped up on the radar. Notre Dames 1054 00:52:26,520 --> 00:52:30,080 Speaker 1: at North Carolina that day. Wisconsin is at Ohio State. 1055 00:52:30,239 --> 00:52:33,279 Speaker 1: That's one of Ohio State's toughest regular season tests. If 1056 00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:36,439 Speaker 1: Wisconsin were to get that win, imagine what that does 1057 00:52:36,520 --> 00:52:39,279 Speaker 1: in the West standings, and imagine what that does for 1058 00:52:39,360 --> 00:52:42,799 Speaker 1: Ohio State leading zero margin for error. But look at 1059 00:52:42,800 --> 00:52:46,720 Speaker 1: the very bottom game. This looks like a throwaway Clemson 1060 00:52:46,800 --> 00:52:50,120 Speaker 1: at Wake Forest, but it's not a throwaway. This is 1061 00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:52,120 Speaker 1: going to be a ten point or maybe even single 1062 00:52:52,120 --> 00:52:55,280 Speaker 1: digit point spread. It's one of Clemson's most pivotal games 1063 00:52:55,280 --> 00:52:57,360 Speaker 1: this year. It's a game where it's going to be 1064 00:52:57,400 --> 00:53:00,560 Speaker 1: imperative they can score because that's a team and wake 1065 00:53:00,640 --> 00:53:04,920 Speaker 1: that can score on you. And here's where strategy gets involved. 1066 00:53:05,800 --> 00:53:09,680 Speaker 1: If we go with Clemson Wake Forest in this week, 1067 00:53:10,239 --> 00:53:13,160 Speaker 1: then the next week we've got to think ahead ooh 1068 00:53:13,520 --> 00:53:16,440 Speaker 1: NC State Clemson is the next week, So do we 1069 00:53:16,440 --> 00:53:18,560 Speaker 1: want to see Clemson two weeks in a row. That 1070 00:53:18,560 --> 00:53:21,239 Speaker 1: wouldn't be sticking to our criteria. I've seeing as many 1071 00:53:21,239 --> 00:53:24,160 Speaker 1: teams as possible. But then again, if we go with 1072 00:53:24,280 --> 00:53:27,359 Speaker 1: Florida and Tennessee on this day, and we know good 1073 00:53:27,400 --> 00:53:30,279 Speaker 1: and well that we've got Bama Tennessee down the road, 1074 00:53:30,600 --> 00:53:33,120 Speaker 1: then how do we juggle up? So you see how 1075 00:53:33,200 --> 00:53:36,840 Speaker 1: quickly you get like ten different irons in the fire. 1076 00:53:37,320 --> 00:53:39,680 Speaker 1: And also, by the way, we're just leaving Arkansas A 1077 00:53:39,719 --> 00:53:42,600 Speaker 1: and M on the table because we're trying to balance 1078 00:53:42,640 --> 00:53:45,279 Speaker 1: how many times we see Arkansas. But then again, we 1079 00:53:45,320 --> 00:53:49,240 Speaker 1: have never seen them in person in a home environment before, 1080 00:53:49,320 --> 00:53:51,680 Speaker 1: even though that's a neutral site game. So this is 1081 00:53:51,719 --> 00:53:53,960 Speaker 1: just a bunch of word salad. But this is why 1082 00:53:53,960 --> 00:53:55,719 Speaker 1: it gives me a little bit of anxiety, trying to 1083 00:53:55,760 --> 00:53:56,239 Speaker 1: figure out. 1084 00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:58,560 Speaker 2: Where we're going to go. Where would you go here? 1085 00:53:58,920 --> 00:53:59,920 Speaker 2: Which game would you go to? 1086 00:54:00,239 --> 00:54:04,640 Speaker 1: Factoring everything in, you know what I actually think is 1087 00:54:05,280 --> 00:54:09,520 Speaker 1: man I already gave the guys the answer. So my 1088 00:54:09,680 --> 00:54:14,320 Speaker 1: lean was Clemson Wake Forest. That's my lean. I could 1089 00:54:14,440 --> 00:54:18,960 Speaker 1: sew so easily just calling Oliver right here and infuriate 1090 00:54:19,000 --> 00:54:21,240 Speaker 1: everyone in the control room and make it Florida Tennessee 1091 00:54:21,400 --> 00:54:23,680 Speaker 1: because there's such an equal argument to be made for 1092 00:54:23,680 --> 00:54:27,000 Speaker 1: Florida at Tennessee. But for the sake of continuity, let 1093 00:54:27,000 --> 00:54:29,360 Speaker 1: me make it Clemson Wake Forest. We've never been to 1094 00:54:29,360 --> 00:54:32,920 Speaker 1: a game at wake Forest. It's also trying to figure 1095 00:54:32,960 --> 00:54:34,480 Speaker 1: out am I going to get to see Clemson in 1096 00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:36,759 Speaker 1: the regular season because there are far fewer opportunities to 1097 00:54:36,800 --> 00:54:38,720 Speaker 1: do that because they play in less more key games 1098 00:54:39,000 --> 00:54:42,120 Speaker 1: than Florida and Tennessee. So let's put Clemson Wake Forest 1099 00:54:42,520 --> 00:54:43,680 Speaker 1: as the tentative. 1100 00:54:43,320 --> 00:54:45,680 Speaker 2: Week four lean. Then we go to week five. 1101 00:54:46,760 --> 00:54:50,799 Speaker 1: It gets no easier, friends, no easier. Alabama plays at 1102 00:54:50,920 --> 00:54:54,920 Speaker 1: Arkansas this day. You think that's the one, right that 1103 00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:57,520 Speaker 1: if we didn't go to Sentencey Arkansas in week one, 1104 00:54:57,960 --> 00:55:01,120 Speaker 1: then this is the one. Okay, hold that thought. 1105 00:55:01,400 --> 00:55:03,759 Speaker 2: We've also got Michigan. 1106 00:55:03,280 --> 00:55:07,439 Speaker 1: At Iowa in this week as well. Now you may 1107 00:55:07,440 --> 00:55:10,640 Speaker 1: think to yourself, why would Michigan Iowa be in the 1108 00:55:10,640 --> 00:55:13,040 Speaker 1: picture here? Keep in mind this is not week one, 1109 00:55:13,440 --> 00:55:17,760 Speaker 1: this is week five. Think ahead, think what could have happened. 1110 00:55:18,120 --> 00:55:22,240 Speaker 1: Michigan has not played anyone. This is really their first test, 1111 00:55:22,520 --> 00:55:25,280 Speaker 1: and it's the first road test too. I got Michigan 1112 00:55:25,719 --> 00:55:28,120 Speaker 1: my Big Ten chair from last year. We're gonna find 1113 00:55:28,160 --> 00:55:31,120 Speaker 1: out how wobbly or secured the parts on this team are. 1114 00:55:31,600 --> 00:55:34,560 Speaker 1: And I've got Iowa. Iowa was played at Iowa State 1115 00:55:34,600 --> 00:55:37,200 Speaker 1: already if they've won the game. 1116 00:55:37,680 --> 00:55:38,799 Speaker 2: Do you know what you see here? 1117 00:55:39,000 --> 00:55:42,000 Speaker 1: What you see here is Michigan going into Kinnick Stadium 1118 00:55:42,320 --> 00:55:45,600 Speaker 1: to face an undefeated Hawkeye team, possibly both of them 1119 00:55:45,600 --> 00:55:49,000 Speaker 1: being undefeated. I've got an undefeated against an undefeated in 1120 00:55:49,080 --> 00:55:51,520 Speaker 1: the Big Ten in Week five. I don't know that 1121 00:55:51,560 --> 00:55:53,600 Speaker 1: I'll be able to get to Iowa again this year. 1122 00:55:54,200 --> 00:55:56,319 Speaker 1: So think about the criteria, think about the dominoes we're 1123 00:55:56,320 --> 00:55:58,279 Speaker 1: trying to knock down. So all of a sudden, even 1124 00:55:58,320 --> 00:56:01,880 Speaker 1: in this week Alabama at Arkansas does not become a 1125 00:56:01,920 --> 00:56:06,040 Speaker 1: slam dunk. And I've got NC State at Clemson as well, 1126 00:56:06,680 --> 00:56:08,880 Speaker 1: that I think is probably the biggest game in the 1127 00:56:08,920 --> 00:56:11,200 Speaker 1: ACC this year. So where's the lean? 1128 00:56:11,719 --> 00:56:15,680 Speaker 2: Where do you lean here? You don't have any other opportunity. 1129 00:56:15,200 --> 00:56:18,960 Speaker 1: To see Kinnick Stadium this year in all likelihood, But yeah, 1130 00:56:19,000 --> 00:56:20,880 Speaker 1: you got the biggest game over there in the ACC, 1131 00:56:21,040 --> 00:56:23,279 Speaker 1: possibly all year. But then I got Bama going to 1132 00:56:23,400 --> 00:56:25,840 Speaker 1: Arkansas and that will be every bit as lit up 1133 00:56:25,840 --> 00:56:28,160 Speaker 1: an atmosphere as Texas at Arkansas was last year. 1134 00:56:28,560 --> 00:56:29,239 Speaker 2: Here's the lean. 1135 00:56:29,840 --> 00:56:31,680 Speaker 1: I might as well hold my nose. Why I do it? 1136 00:56:32,239 --> 00:56:34,520 Speaker 1: While I do it, just say Bama at Arkansas is 1137 00:56:34,520 --> 00:56:37,200 Speaker 1: the lean right now. And just know there is no 1138 00:56:37,320 --> 00:56:39,200 Speaker 1: smart money on this when we get this far out. 1139 00:56:39,360 --> 00:56:41,319 Speaker 1: I mean, we're trying to predict who's undefeated, and there's 1140 00:56:41,320 --> 00:56:43,799 Speaker 1: already been a month's worth of games. Let's just take 1141 00:56:43,840 --> 00:56:47,279 Speaker 1: our very very very light pencil and let's write Alabama 1142 00:56:47,320 --> 00:56:50,239 Speaker 1: at Arkansas that's the lean right now. And we will 1143 00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:53,520 Speaker 1: revise this like one hundred times. And why not, let's 1144 00:56:53,560 --> 00:56:55,920 Speaker 1: just go further out into the abyss because this is 1145 00:56:55,960 --> 00:56:56,520 Speaker 1: the big week. 1146 00:56:56,840 --> 00:56:58,200 Speaker 2: I'm going to stop it at week six. 1147 00:56:58,719 --> 00:57:00,759 Speaker 1: Week six is the biggest week in college football, at 1148 00:57:00,840 --> 00:57:04,520 Speaker 1: least as it appears right now. They're like fifty million 1149 00:57:04,520 --> 00:57:07,319 Speaker 1: big games this day. Ohio State is at Michigan State, 1150 00:57:08,280 --> 00:57:11,560 Speaker 1: Utah is at UCLA, A very sneaky good game on 1151 00:57:11,600 --> 00:57:12,280 Speaker 1: the West coast. 1152 00:57:12,640 --> 00:57:14,439 Speaker 2: This is Red River Shootout day. 1153 00:57:14,480 --> 00:57:18,560 Speaker 1: Texas versus OU, this is Texas A and m at Alabama, 1154 00:57:18,640 --> 00:57:23,080 Speaker 1: Jimbo versus Saban. This is Tennessee and it's heavily depending 1155 00:57:23,120 --> 00:57:25,000 Speaker 1: on what the record for the balls is on the 1156 00:57:25,120 --> 00:57:28,960 Speaker 1: road at LSU. There is a path, folks, a path 1157 00:57:29,640 --> 00:57:32,520 Speaker 1: where you've all of a sudden, out of nowhere, got 1158 00:57:32,560 --> 00:57:36,160 Speaker 1: these co main events in the SEC where you've got 1159 00:57:36,480 --> 00:57:39,720 Speaker 1: Bama hosting A and M at night headlines right themselves there. 1160 00:57:40,280 --> 00:57:43,120 Speaker 1: But what if Tennessee is undefeated. If Tennessee's unefeated here, 1161 00:57:43,160 --> 00:57:45,640 Speaker 1: it means they've beaten pitt in Florida already and then 1162 00:57:45,680 --> 00:57:49,160 Speaker 1: they go to Death Valley the week before. Tennessee is 1163 00:57:49,200 --> 00:57:51,600 Speaker 1: gonna play Bama all of a sudden, that's a game 1164 00:57:51,680 --> 00:57:53,400 Speaker 1: in any other week that would be a slam dunk. 1165 00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:55,959 Speaker 1: I'm going to that one. Notre Dame is in Las 1166 00:57:56,080 --> 00:57:58,919 Speaker 1: Vegas to play Brigham Young on this day. Brigham Young's 1167 00:57:59,000 --> 00:58:01,080 Speaker 1: got one of the most speaking schedules this year in 1168 00:58:01,120 --> 00:58:06,400 Speaker 1: the country. North Carolina's at Miami, sneaky good acc game. Obviously, 1169 00:58:06,840 --> 00:58:09,400 Speaker 1: the tentative pick here is Texas A and M at Alabama, 1170 00:58:09,680 --> 00:58:12,560 Speaker 1: that's the tendati pick. But you know what, on this 1171 00:58:12,760 --> 00:58:16,040 Speaker 1: same weekend last year, if we were sitting in June, 1172 00:58:17,080 --> 00:58:19,760 Speaker 1: Alabama at Texas A and M was the slam dunk game. 1173 00:58:20,600 --> 00:58:23,000 Speaker 1: But by the time the game came around A and 1174 00:58:23,080 --> 00:58:26,720 Speaker 1: M had already lost multiple games. I didn't go famously 1175 00:58:26,800 --> 00:58:28,640 Speaker 1: at this point. I think it's a famous story on 1176 00:58:28,680 --> 00:58:30,880 Speaker 1: this show. I went to the Red River shootout. I 1177 00:58:30,960 --> 00:58:33,640 Speaker 1: have no regrets about that. That was a classic game, 1178 00:58:33,840 --> 00:58:37,000 Speaker 1: highest scoring game in that series history. That wasn't the problem. 1179 00:58:37,040 --> 00:58:41,480 Speaker 1: The problem was I was credentialed for this game too, 1180 00:58:41,600 --> 00:58:44,640 Speaker 1: and I was already in Texas, and one game started 1181 00:58:44,680 --> 00:58:46,880 Speaker 1: at noon and the other game started at eight pm, 1182 00:58:47,960 --> 00:58:49,880 Speaker 1: and I was already at the airport. I had time 1183 00:58:49,880 --> 00:58:53,120 Speaker 1: to get down there, and I didn't. I flew home 1184 00:58:53,600 --> 00:58:57,880 Speaker 1: and watched A and M upset Alabama on a flight 1185 00:58:57,920 --> 00:59:03,320 Speaker 1: somewhere over Arkansas. So anyway, it's not always as obvious 1186 00:59:03,600 --> 00:59:05,960 Speaker 1: come game week as it seems like it will be 1187 00:59:06,000 --> 00:59:09,040 Speaker 1: in June. So yes, A and M Bama seems like 1188 00:59:09,120 --> 00:59:11,880 Speaker 1: the logical choice now, But this sport can do funny 1189 00:59:11,880 --> 00:59:16,080 Speaker 1: things to you. So let's just let's very tentatively but 1190 00:59:16,280 --> 00:59:18,880 Speaker 1: solidly right now, lean Texas, A and M at Alabama. 1191 00:59:18,960 --> 00:59:23,360 Speaker 1: So here are the weeks one through six Leans and boy, 1192 00:59:23,760 --> 00:59:26,440 Speaker 1: I cannot stress enough this is not final. Utah at 1193 00:59:26,440 --> 00:59:29,880 Speaker 1: Florida week one, Bama at Texas week two. Owe you 1194 00:59:30,160 --> 00:59:34,080 Speaker 1: at Nebraska week three, Clemson at Wake four still shocking 1195 00:59:34,120 --> 00:59:36,960 Speaker 1: to see that there at week four, Bama at Arkansas 1196 00:59:37,040 --> 00:59:39,280 Speaker 1: week five A and m at Bama week six. Obviously, 1197 00:59:39,320 --> 00:59:43,240 Speaker 1: Bama's in there three times. I can pretty reasonably tell 1198 00:59:43,280 --> 00:59:45,720 Speaker 1: you we're not going to go to three Alabama games 1199 00:59:45,840 --> 00:59:48,320 Speaker 1: in the first six weeks of the season. So already, 1200 00:59:48,560 --> 00:59:51,200 Speaker 1: even though I haven't even finished the segment yet, I'm 1201 00:59:51,240 --> 00:59:53,600 Speaker 1: pretty sure that's going to change. In fact, I'm confident 1202 00:59:53,600 --> 00:59:57,120 Speaker 1: that's going to change. Bear with us. If you thought 1203 00:59:57,120 --> 00:59:59,480 Speaker 1: that was jumbled, wait till you hear us try and 1204 00:59:59,480 --> 01:00:01,880 Speaker 1: predict the second half of the season, because then it 1205 01:00:01,960 --> 01:00:04,840 Speaker 1: just it becomes a knife fight, even in my own head, 1206 01:00:05,240 --> 01:00:08,280 Speaker 1: and you guys, it's kind of like witnessing a real 1207 01:00:08,320 --> 01:00:11,040 Speaker 1: life mental breakdown. All Right, we got two questions here 1208 01:00:11,080 --> 01:00:13,080 Speaker 1: and then I got to get out of here. And 1209 01:00:13,640 --> 01:00:15,000 Speaker 1: the first one kind of deals with a couple of 1210 01:00:15,040 --> 01:00:18,320 Speaker 1: teams we just talked about. Brian asked, the SEC is 1211 01:00:18,400 --> 01:00:22,360 Speaker 1: the top conference. Some players have chosen the SEC over 1212 01:00:22,480 --> 01:00:25,720 Speaker 1: Oklahoma and Texas. Do you think O you and Texas 1213 01:00:25,760 --> 01:00:31,280 Speaker 1: recruiting will step up by joining the SEC? In short, yes, Brian, 1214 01:00:31,360 --> 01:00:34,360 Speaker 1: I do believe that. And so today you talked to 1215 01:00:34,360 --> 01:00:38,080 Speaker 1: folks at Texas or Oklahoma one of many reasons, the 1216 01:00:38,120 --> 01:00:40,280 Speaker 1: first of which is money. But one of the other 1217 01:00:40,320 --> 01:00:42,560 Speaker 1: reasons why they wanted to join the SEC is because 1218 01:00:42,600 --> 01:00:43,760 Speaker 1: they know how real this is. 1219 01:00:44,720 --> 01:00:46,120 Speaker 2: To be clear, this is a real thing. 1220 01:00:46,160 --> 01:00:48,720 Speaker 1: I'll talk about it in just a second, like SEC 1221 01:00:49,160 --> 01:00:52,800 Speaker 1: edge in recruiting is a real thing. But before I 1222 01:00:52,880 --> 01:00:55,720 Speaker 1: spell that out, since Brian was asking about how they 1223 01:00:55,760 --> 01:00:58,960 Speaker 1: may improve in recruiting, I thought it was only rational 1224 01:00:59,040 --> 01:01:03,040 Speaker 1: to have stats and info. Hobbled producer Jesse find out 1225 01:01:03,040 --> 01:01:05,680 Speaker 1: what the average recruiting ranking has been over the past 1226 01:01:05,800 --> 01:01:08,280 Speaker 1: decade for Texas and OU. But before I tell you 1227 01:01:08,320 --> 01:01:11,600 Speaker 1: what it is, what do you think it is? There's 1228 01:01:11,640 --> 01:01:14,040 Speaker 1: a perception out there that I think is about to 1229 01:01:14,040 --> 01:01:18,440 Speaker 1: get shot to pieces. You think to yourself, most of you, 1230 01:01:18,520 --> 01:01:22,200 Speaker 1: if I've heard you right, you think Texas has recruited 1231 01:01:22,200 --> 01:01:23,120 Speaker 1: at a very high level. 1232 01:01:23,280 --> 01:01:24,600 Speaker 2: They've just underachieved, right. 1233 01:01:24,840 --> 01:01:28,920 Speaker 1: And Oklahoma meanwhile, hasn't recruited as good as Texas, but 1234 01:01:29,040 --> 01:01:33,440 Speaker 1: they've overachieved over the last decade. How about this. The 1235 01:01:33,520 --> 01:01:37,200 Speaker 1: average recruiting ranking for Texas is eleventh in the country. 1236 01:01:38,040 --> 01:01:41,840 Speaker 1: Over the last decade. The average recruiting ranking for Oklahoma 1237 01:01:42,000 --> 01:01:45,280 Speaker 1: is eleventh in the country. They've been dead even both 1238 01:01:45,280 --> 01:01:48,439 Speaker 1: of them an average finish of eleventh. So how about 1239 01:01:48,440 --> 01:01:52,000 Speaker 1: that perception versus reality. Anyway, the argument here from Brian 1240 01:01:52,040 --> 01:01:53,800 Speaker 1: to the question, and I'm going to make an argument 1241 01:01:53,840 --> 01:01:57,040 Speaker 1: he's right, is they will come to the SEC and 1242 01:01:57,080 --> 01:02:00,640 Speaker 1: they will both see a boost in recruiting. Does this matter? 1243 01:02:00,760 --> 01:02:03,960 Speaker 1: It matters, It really matters. If you don't follow recruiting, 1244 01:02:04,400 --> 01:02:07,600 Speaker 1: you probably aren't aware of how much this matters. For instance, 1245 01:02:07,880 --> 01:02:09,920 Speaker 1: when Texas A and M came to the SEC, their 1246 01:02:09,960 --> 01:02:13,200 Speaker 1: folks immediately realized being able to go into the living 1247 01:02:13,280 --> 01:02:16,640 Speaker 1: rooms there, whether it's in Louisiana or East Texas, wherever 1248 01:02:16,760 --> 01:02:17,840 Speaker 1: Jimbo goes wherever he wants to. 1249 01:02:17,960 --> 01:02:19,640 Speaker 2: Now I think he recruits Alaska. 1250 01:02:19,720 --> 01:02:21,840 Speaker 1: But when you go in those living rooms and you 1251 01:02:21,880 --> 01:02:24,920 Speaker 1: tell kids you are going to go into one hundred 1252 01:02:25,000 --> 01:02:27,840 Speaker 1: thousand seat cathedrals and you're gonna you're going to compete 1253 01:02:27,840 --> 01:02:30,520 Speaker 1: against guys that you're eventually going to compete against on Sunday, 1254 01:02:30,840 --> 01:02:33,240 Speaker 1: there is no league better equipped to get you ready 1255 01:02:33,560 --> 01:02:36,360 Speaker 1: for the Sunday game and you're going to play the 1256 01:02:36,440 --> 01:02:40,120 Speaker 1: highest level competition the sport has to offer. It mattered. 1257 01:02:40,640 --> 01:02:43,800 Speaker 1: Texas A and M recruiting improved, But it's not just 1258 01:02:43,840 --> 01:02:48,280 Speaker 1: because recruiting itself improved. Texas A and M as a university, 1259 01:02:48,480 --> 01:02:51,160 Speaker 1: not that they needed it, but as a program as well, 1260 01:02:51,200 --> 01:02:53,720 Speaker 1: in the football side of things, they reaped the benefits 1261 01:02:53,800 --> 01:02:56,920 Speaker 1: financially of being in the SEC. And when you get 1262 01:02:56,960 --> 01:02:59,360 Speaker 1: paid a whole lot more money per year just because 1263 01:02:59,360 --> 01:03:01,320 Speaker 1: of which conference, it's as helmet sticker you have on 1264 01:03:01,360 --> 01:03:03,640 Speaker 1: your head. Then you can invest more of that year 1265 01:03:03,680 --> 01:03:06,680 Speaker 1: over year into football and you can upgrade your infrastructure. 1266 01:03:06,920 --> 01:03:09,720 Speaker 1: And so it's no coincidence when you go on these 1267 01:03:09,720 --> 01:03:14,320 Speaker 1: campuses in the SEC they look like they do and 1268 01:03:14,400 --> 01:03:16,520 Speaker 1: it's no different in college station Now. Like I said, 1269 01:03:16,600 --> 01:03:19,640 Speaker 1: they didn't need the financial help, but when they paired 1270 01:03:19,960 --> 01:03:24,480 Speaker 1: their limitless resources with that SEC rub, that's really all 1271 01:03:24,480 --> 01:03:24,840 Speaker 1: they needed. 1272 01:03:24,880 --> 01:03:25,960 Speaker 2: They just needed the rub. 1273 01:03:26,080 --> 01:03:27,800 Speaker 1: They were off to the races and Texas A and 1274 01:03:27,920 --> 01:03:29,560 Speaker 1: M recruiting has been a lot better since they've been 1275 01:03:29,560 --> 01:03:33,000 Speaker 1: in the SEC, and I would argue the program has improved. 1276 01:03:33,440 --> 01:03:35,880 Speaker 1: They've got Jimbo Fisher there. Now you see what they're doing. 1277 01:03:35,920 --> 01:03:38,840 Speaker 1: Now everyone knows what they're doing. Now. I can't promise 1278 01:03:38,840 --> 01:03:40,560 Speaker 1: you they'd be doing that if they weren't in the SEC. 1279 01:03:41,360 --> 01:03:43,600 Speaker 1: But the other thing about that is, think about the pitch. 1280 01:03:44,240 --> 01:03:46,320 Speaker 1: The pitch I just gave you is the same pitch 1281 01:03:46,400 --> 01:03:49,760 Speaker 1: that Kirby Smart uses, that Brian Kelly will use, now, 1282 01:03:49,760 --> 01:03:52,120 Speaker 1: that Jimbo uses. When you go into the living rooms 1283 01:03:52,400 --> 01:03:54,520 Speaker 1: and you tell kids you're going to compete against the 1284 01:03:54,520 --> 01:03:56,720 Speaker 1: best in the country, it does one of two things, 1285 01:03:56,760 --> 01:03:58,880 Speaker 1: and either way it works in your favor. It either 1286 01:03:58,920 --> 01:04:02,480 Speaker 1: appeals to kids because they are competitors in and of themselves, 1287 01:04:03,040 --> 01:04:05,520 Speaker 1: or it scares kids away a little bit. I'm not 1288 01:04:05,520 --> 01:04:07,640 Speaker 1: saying this is the only thing that matters in recruiting. 1289 01:04:08,080 --> 01:04:10,080 Speaker 1: I'm not saying kids that don't play in the SEC 1290 01:04:10,120 --> 01:04:13,800 Speaker 1: aren't competitors. I'm saying it matters. It's a factor. And 1291 01:04:14,360 --> 01:04:16,919 Speaker 1: coaches who have been on SEC staffs and then they've 1292 01:04:16,920 --> 01:04:19,800 Speaker 1: gone elsewhere, they will tell you this matters. Now, if 1293 01:04:19,800 --> 01:04:22,680 Speaker 1: I'm good enough, good enough recruiter, I can overcome it 1294 01:04:22,760 --> 01:04:24,080 Speaker 1: and I can get you to come to Michigan or 1295 01:04:24,080 --> 01:04:27,800 Speaker 1: Penn State anyway. But I'm fighting against it. It matters. 1296 01:04:29,360 --> 01:04:32,200 Speaker 1: Here's what else it does. It's a natural filtration process 1297 01:04:32,840 --> 01:04:36,080 Speaker 1: because of the kind of mental fortitude that you need 1298 01:04:36,120 --> 01:04:40,120 Speaker 1: to have to willingly go play in the SEC Those 1299 01:04:40,200 --> 01:04:43,640 Speaker 1: kids tend to pan out. They're talented, that's why they 1300 01:04:43,640 --> 01:04:46,560 Speaker 1: got the offer. But then if they accept the challenge, 1301 01:04:46,840 --> 01:04:49,960 Speaker 1: it means by and large they're wired a certain way. 1302 01:04:50,000 --> 01:04:52,000 Speaker 1: They'll be busted, just like there are anywhere else in 1303 01:04:52,000 --> 01:04:54,880 Speaker 1: the country. But it's kind of a self fulfilling prophecy, 1304 01:04:55,040 --> 01:04:57,560 Speaker 1: and Texas and Oklahoma will benefit from that. Now how 1305 01:04:57,640 --> 01:05:00,440 Speaker 1: much will they benefit from that? That's the question that 1306 01:05:00,480 --> 01:05:03,000 Speaker 1: has a lot to do with leadership. That has a 1307 01:05:03,000 --> 01:05:04,560 Speaker 1: lot to do with how Brent Venables will do with 1308 01:05:04,640 --> 01:05:07,880 Speaker 1: Oklahoma and Steve Sarkeesian will continue to do with Texas. 1309 01:05:08,160 --> 01:05:10,240 Speaker 2: But ironically, even though. 1310 01:05:10,160 --> 01:05:13,200 Speaker 1: It feels like Oklahoma is the more solid program right now, 1311 01:05:14,760 --> 01:05:17,880 Speaker 1: my questions, my list of questions is a little more 1312 01:05:17,960 --> 01:05:20,880 Speaker 1: lengthy when it comes to Oklahoma, because I know what 1313 01:05:20,920 --> 01:05:23,800 Speaker 1: the blueprint is for Texas. Their blueprint is just recruit 1314 01:05:23,840 --> 01:05:26,640 Speaker 1: the state of Texas. It's that easy. Whether they follow 1315 01:05:26,840 --> 01:05:28,320 Speaker 1: whether they follow through on it or not, it's a 1316 01:05:28,320 --> 01:05:30,800 Speaker 1: different question, but it's that easy in principle. And they 1317 01:05:30,960 --> 01:05:33,640 Speaker 1: had a top five class this past cycle, so they're 1318 01:05:33,720 --> 01:05:36,840 Speaker 1: off to a good start there. With Oklahoma, it's a 1319 01:05:36,920 --> 01:05:38,880 Speaker 1: very interesting time we're coming up on. We got a 1320 01:05:38,880 --> 01:05:42,000 Speaker 1: new staff out there. We've got Texas A and M 1321 01:05:42,080 --> 01:05:47,000 Speaker 1: and Texas both with mega recruiting staffs in the nil era, 1322 01:05:47,400 --> 01:05:50,760 Speaker 1: So they're able to leverage resource like they've never been 1323 01:05:50,800 --> 01:05:52,960 Speaker 1: able to leverage it before. I think that's the kindest 1324 01:05:52,960 --> 01:05:57,560 Speaker 1: way to describe what's happening right now, leverage resource. Oklahoma 1325 01:05:57,680 --> 01:06:00,720 Speaker 1: has to recruit Texas to win. Will they still be 1326 01:06:00,800 --> 01:06:04,960 Speaker 1: able to at as effective a rate they need to 1327 01:06:04,960 --> 01:06:08,080 Speaker 1: recruit California to win, or at least they have in 1328 01:06:08,120 --> 01:06:10,200 Speaker 1: the past. The guy who was doing it for him 1329 01:06:10,240 --> 01:06:12,440 Speaker 1: went out to usc What kind of talent are they 1330 01:06:12,480 --> 01:06:14,640 Speaker 1: getting from the West coast now I'm moving forward? What 1331 01:06:14,720 --> 01:06:16,800 Speaker 1: kind of talent are they getting from Florida now I'm 1332 01:06:16,800 --> 01:06:19,920 Speaker 1: moving forward. It's not that I'm speaking in a doubtful 1333 01:06:19,960 --> 01:06:21,200 Speaker 1: tone about Brenton Vinibles. 1334 01:06:21,240 --> 01:06:22,720 Speaker 2: It's quite literally curiosity. 1335 01:06:23,040 --> 01:06:26,160 Speaker 1: I'm very curious as to how good they'll be over 1336 01:06:26,200 --> 01:06:30,240 Speaker 1: the next three or four recruiting cycles. But yes, either way, 1337 01:06:30,560 --> 01:06:33,000 Speaker 1: yes they will have a net benefit for being in 1338 01:06:33,040 --> 01:06:37,000 Speaker 1: the SEC. All right, last question here, This is what 1339 01:06:37,040 --> 01:06:39,320 Speaker 1: I started the show with. I want you guys to 1340 01:06:39,320 --> 01:06:41,640 Speaker 1: pay attention to this. Appreciate you guys being tuned in live. 1341 01:06:41,720 --> 01:06:46,640 Speaker 1: By the way, here's the question. As you can tell 1342 01:06:47,000 --> 01:06:49,080 Speaker 1: with the PSI got some things to say on this. 1343 01:06:50,160 --> 01:06:53,200 Speaker 1: Ted asked, are you ready to acknowledge mel Tucker has 1344 01:06:53,240 --> 01:06:56,400 Speaker 1: bypassed Jim Harbaugh and we're about to own Michigan and 1345 01:06:56,440 --> 01:07:01,200 Speaker 1: recruiting as well as on the field, Ted, I appreciate 1346 01:07:01,240 --> 01:07:04,840 Speaker 1: the enthusiasm. Where are we right now in the State 1347 01:07:04,840 --> 01:07:06,560 Speaker 1: of Michigan Spartan's Wolverines. 1348 01:07:06,600 --> 01:07:07,000 Speaker 2: Where are we? 1349 01:07:07,040 --> 01:07:09,840 Speaker 1: What is the dynamic right now? Well, you probably remember 1350 01:07:09,920 --> 01:07:12,840 Speaker 1: last year Michigan State beat Michigan. What you may not 1351 01:07:12,960 --> 01:07:15,120 Speaker 1: remember is the year before they did as well. There's 1352 01:07:15,200 --> 01:07:18,200 Speaker 1: this weird thing. I suffer from it too, where you 1353 01:07:18,320 --> 01:07:21,560 Speaker 1: only remember mel Tucker being one to oh against Tarball. 1354 01:07:21,600 --> 01:07:24,240 Speaker 1: He's two and oh against him the year before. I 1355 01:07:24,240 --> 01:07:27,080 Speaker 1: guess people's attention was kind of fractured. Maybe it wasn't 1356 01:07:27,120 --> 01:07:30,120 Speaker 1: totally on college football. Mel Tucker's two and oh against 1357 01:07:30,160 --> 01:07:34,640 Speaker 1: Jim Harbaugh right now, and it's impossible to deny the 1358 01:07:34,840 --> 01:07:39,800 Speaker 1: current energy around the Spartan program. Now, have they overtaken Michigan? 1359 01:07:40,000 --> 01:07:42,840 Speaker 1: Has Meltucker over taken Jim Harbaugh? No, it's too early 1360 01:07:42,920 --> 01:07:44,760 Speaker 1: to say that. Of course, it's too early to say that, 1361 01:07:45,360 --> 01:07:47,919 Speaker 1: for instance, right now, and this doesn't mean a whole 1362 01:07:47,920 --> 01:07:49,320 Speaker 1: lot because of what the calendar says. 1363 01:07:49,600 --> 01:07:50,160 Speaker 2: Right now. 1364 01:07:50,320 --> 01:07:53,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, Michigan State eleventh ranke recruiting class in the country. 1365 01:07:53,480 --> 01:07:56,800 Speaker 1: They're coming off a really big week. Michigan conversely, thirty 1366 01:07:56,800 --> 01:07:59,280 Speaker 1: fifth in the country. A lot of their momentum they 1367 01:07:59,280 --> 01:08:01,960 Speaker 1: believe is still in the future. They still believe they've 1368 01:08:02,000 --> 01:08:04,120 Speaker 1: got a majority of this class to come, and they 1369 01:08:04,120 --> 01:08:05,000 Speaker 1: eventually will come. 1370 01:08:05,600 --> 01:08:06,840 Speaker 2: But let's not forget now. 1371 01:08:07,120 --> 01:08:10,320 Speaker 1: Just this past cycle Michigan finished top ten and Michigan 1372 01:08:10,360 --> 01:08:13,400 Speaker 1: State was in the mid twenties. So it's not like 1373 01:08:13,680 --> 01:08:17,120 Speaker 1: we have a definitive picture of what's happening here. But 1374 01:08:17,640 --> 01:08:20,720 Speaker 1: as I say that, now, what does it feel like? 1375 01:08:21,439 --> 01:08:24,240 Speaker 1: It feels like this should be the point, coming off 1376 01:08:24,240 --> 01:08:27,799 Speaker 1: a Big ten championship and coming off a playoff appearance 1377 01:08:27,960 --> 01:08:30,479 Speaker 1: where Michigan should be rolling in recruiting and they're not. 1378 01:08:31,160 --> 01:08:34,840 Speaker 1: The temperature around recruiting around Michigan has been, I guess 1379 01:08:34,840 --> 01:08:36,640 Speaker 1: best described as lukewarm. 1380 01:08:37,000 --> 01:08:38,200 Speaker 2: Now here's what they would tell you. 1381 01:08:39,160 --> 01:08:43,160 Speaker 1: Some not they in totality, some people around Michigan would 1382 01:08:43,160 --> 01:08:46,240 Speaker 1: tell you, brother, it is June nineteenth. 1383 01:08:46,680 --> 01:08:47,680 Speaker 2: Have some patients. 1384 01:08:48,640 --> 01:08:51,240 Speaker 1: Alabama's ranked in the forties right now in recruiting, So 1385 01:08:51,640 --> 01:08:54,040 Speaker 1: it's not where you are in June, it's where you 1386 01:08:54,160 --> 01:08:56,639 Speaker 1: end up that's valid. You don't have to tell me that. 1387 01:08:56,880 --> 01:08:58,559 Speaker 1: I've been around this thing for quite a while. I 1388 01:08:58,600 --> 01:09:02,240 Speaker 1: get that. I know Alabama's going to finish top five. 1389 01:09:02,760 --> 01:09:04,840 Speaker 1: I don't know Michigan is going to have a run 1390 01:09:04,920 --> 01:09:07,960 Speaker 1: down the stretch like they should have. To be clear, again, 1391 01:09:08,080 --> 01:09:10,120 Speaker 1: they're coming off doing some things we have never seen 1392 01:09:10,160 --> 01:09:13,519 Speaker 1: them do. I mean, people like me have watched Michigan 1393 01:09:13,560 --> 01:09:17,320 Speaker 1: recruit pretty well and always thought to myself, as soon 1394 01:09:17,360 --> 01:09:19,680 Speaker 1: as they knock off Ohio State, and especially if they 1395 01:09:19,720 --> 01:09:21,200 Speaker 1: win the Big Ten and they go to playoff in 1396 01:09:21,200 --> 01:09:24,519 Speaker 1: the process, that next recruiting cycle will be on fire. Well, 1397 01:09:24,560 --> 01:09:28,519 Speaker 1: it just hasn't been. Why hasn't it been? I think 1398 01:09:28,560 --> 01:09:31,600 Speaker 1: it'd be foolish to pretend like Harball's flirtation with the 1399 01:09:31,720 --> 01:09:34,559 Speaker 1: NFL isn't a factor here. Now, how good are they 1400 01:09:34,600 --> 01:09:36,320 Speaker 1: going to be on the field this fall is a 1401 01:09:36,439 --> 01:09:41,439 Speaker 1: totally different question than is this affecting recruiting Because Jim Harbaugh, 1402 01:09:41,520 --> 01:09:43,880 Speaker 1: if he's checked back in which I have every reason 1403 01:09:43,880 --> 01:09:47,479 Speaker 1: to believe he is, and if they're all in singular focus, 1404 01:09:47,520 --> 01:09:49,559 Speaker 1: which I have every reason to believe they are, they'll 1405 01:09:49,600 --> 01:09:51,519 Speaker 1: be fine on the field this fall. But that's not 1406 01:09:51,560 --> 01:09:55,479 Speaker 1: what we're talking about here. We're talking about recruiting, and namely, 1407 01:09:55,600 --> 01:09:58,639 Speaker 1: why has it been so average so far to start 1408 01:09:58,720 --> 01:10:03,600 Speaker 1: this cycle? It matters. You can sell yourself all you 1409 01:10:03,640 --> 01:10:06,280 Speaker 1: want to on the feel Good Cozy or Hallbar's rs 1410 01:10:06,320 --> 01:10:08,920 Speaker 1: now and he's not going anywhere. Maybe he won't, but 1411 01:10:09,120 --> 01:10:12,720 Speaker 1: it's impossible to erase from people's memories. He tried to 1412 01:10:12,760 --> 01:10:15,679 Speaker 1: get out and the only reason he couldn't get out 1413 01:10:15,840 --> 01:10:18,679 Speaker 1: is because that team in Minnesota, being the Vikings, didn't 1414 01:10:18,680 --> 01:10:22,080 Speaker 1: want him. So if I'm a recruit and I see that, 1415 01:10:22,400 --> 01:10:25,200 Speaker 1: then I'm not stupid. I know what I saw. But 1416 01:10:25,240 --> 01:10:27,400 Speaker 1: then it doesn't help when I've got other staffs coming 1417 01:10:27,400 --> 01:10:30,479 Speaker 1: in my living room and reminding me of it. That matters. 1418 01:10:30,720 --> 01:10:32,800 Speaker 1: It'd be foolish to think it doesn't matter. The only 1419 01:10:32,880 --> 01:10:35,479 Speaker 1: question is how much will it matter in this cycle? 1420 01:10:35,720 --> 01:10:37,479 Speaker 1: And I don't think you can know that right now. 1421 01:10:37,880 --> 01:10:41,000 Speaker 1: You won't know until after signing day. Michigan will finish 1422 01:10:41,000 --> 01:10:43,559 Speaker 1: wherever they finished, and if they finished top ten, we'll 1423 01:10:43,560 --> 01:10:47,200 Speaker 1: know it's a non factor. But if they finish twenty third, 1424 01:10:47,880 --> 01:10:50,639 Speaker 1: you'll start to get some intel, and Sam Webb will 1425 01:10:50,640 --> 01:10:52,639 Speaker 1: be over on the Michigan Insider and he'll be giving 1426 01:10:52,640 --> 01:10:55,479 Speaker 1: you scoop on the class and how it did and 1427 01:10:55,520 --> 01:10:58,599 Speaker 1: didn't come together, and you'll start to get quotes from players, 1428 01:10:58,880 --> 01:11:03,160 Speaker 1: and slowly you'll hear them say in that scenario, I 1429 01:11:03,320 --> 01:11:05,960 Speaker 1: just had some uneasiness about the future of the program. 1430 01:11:06,040 --> 01:11:08,519 Speaker 1: So it'll matter. I just don't know how much it'll matter. 1431 01:11:08,680 --> 01:11:09,479 Speaker 2: But here's the thing. 1432 01:11:10,080 --> 01:11:13,400 Speaker 1: Normally this conversation will be happening and happening in a vacuum, 1433 01:11:13,880 --> 01:11:17,759 Speaker 1: and Michigan State would just be Michigan State. Michigan State's 1434 01:11:17,800 --> 01:11:20,760 Speaker 1: not just Michigan State anymore. The smoke there is real. 1435 01:11:20,880 --> 01:11:24,000 Speaker 1: There is no illusion to this. They're not going anywhere, 1436 01:11:24,520 --> 01:11:26,360 Speaker 1: And folks in the Big Ten are kind of halfway 1437 01:11:26,400 --> 01:11:29,559 Speaker 1: aggravated about it because they've already gotten used to the idea. 1438 01:11:29,880 --> 01:11:33,080 Speaker 1: Ohio State's gonna own us in recruiting, and Penn State's 1439 01:11:33,120 --> 01:11:35,599 Speaker 1: gonna be pretty good, and Michigan's gonna be pretty good 1440 01:11:35,600 --> 01:11:39,320 Speaker 1: to really good. I, if I'm in the Big Ten, 1441 01:11:39,600 --> 01:11:42,920 Speaker 1: have no interest in adding Michigan State to that equation. 1442 01:11:43,479 --> 01:11:47,160 Speaker 1: But they're there and next to Ohio State. There is 1443 01:11:47,240 --> 01:11:50,320 Speaker 1: no more tenacious recruiting operation happening in the Big ten 1444 01:11:50,439 --> 01:11:53,920 Speaker 1: right now than in East Lansing, Michigan. They're getting after it. 1445 01:11:54,040 --> 01:11:56,559 Speaker 1: And when Meltucker came in there, he told you what 1446 01:11:56,600 --> 01:11:59,439 Speaker 1: he was gonna do. When Meltucker got to Michigan State, 1447 01:11:59,640 --> 01:12:02,360 Speaker 1: he said, and we're going to recruit nationally. We have 1448 01:12:02,400 --> 01:12:04,600 Speaker 1: to recruit nationally if we want to get where we 1449 01:12:04,640 --> 01:12:06,880 Speaker 1: want to go. We can't be a regional recruiter. We've 1450 01:12:06,880 --> 01:12:09,160 Speaker 1: got to be a national recruiter, because we got a 1451 01:12:09,240 --> 01:12:12,080 Speaker 1: national vision. And a lot of people laughed at him. 1452 01:12:12,479 --> 01:12:15,120 Speaker 1: Why because he was selling you on the fact that 1453 01:12:15,160 --> 01:12:17,479 Speaker 1: he was going to do something we've never seen Michigan 1454 01:12:17,479 --> 01:12:19,880 Speaker 1: State do. When you go up there, you go to games. 1455 01:12:20,240 --> 01:12:22,920 Speaker 1: I was texting back and forth with a guy who 1456 01:12:23,000 --> 01:12:25,040 Speaker 1: played there in the sixties when I was at the 1457 01:12:25,080 --> 01:12:27,880 Speaker 1: Michigan game, and I'm looking at those banners and those 1458 01:12:28,000 --> 01:12:31,639 Speaker 1: national championships they won in a very by gone era. 1459 01:12:31,760 --> 01:12:33,559 Speaker 2: If you're my age or if you're younger than me. 1460 01:12:34,920 --> 01:12:37,720 Speaker 1: Since then, though, the sport has evolved and a lot 1461 01:12:37,720 --> 01:12:40,679 Speaker 1: of folks started had left Michigan State behind. It happen't 1462 01:12:41,240 --> 01:12:42,880 Speaker 1: like I say with Tennessee all the time, and like 1463 01:12:42,920 --> 01:12:45,720 Speaker 1: I'm saying with Michigan State right now, I like you 1464 01:12:45,760 --> 01:12:49,360 Speaker 1: can say about Dabbo at Clemson. There is a world 1465 01:12:49,840 --> 01:12:52,439 Speaker 1: at many programs out there where they can be a 1466 01:12:52,520 --> 01:12:55,400 Speaker 1: national championship contender. Now, the formula is different depending on 1467 01:12:55,439 --> 01:12:58,240 Speaker 1: where your pinpoint on the map is. You have to 1468 01:12:58,320 --> 01:13:03,240 Speaker 1: get the right confluence of events. Mel Tucker at Michigan 1469 01:13:03,240 --> 01:13:06,320 Speaker 1: State at just the right time. It was the right 1470 01:13:06,360 --> 01:13:10,040 Speaker 1: confluence of events, and unlike some other places where it's 1471 01:13:10,120 --> 01:13:13,080 Speaker 1: kind of lightning in a bottle and then he's off 1472 01:13:13,200 --> 01:13:16,719 Speaker 1: to a bigger program, mel Tucker already had his deal 1473 01:13:17,160 --> 01:13:21,000 Speaker 1: virtually finalized by the time LSU would have ever come calling. 1474 01:13:21,439 --> 01:13:25,599 Speaker 1: And mel Tucker's getting paid astronomical amounts of money. Here's 1475 01:13:25,600 --> 01:13:27,760 Speaker 1: the other good part. I think it was Rittenberg at 1476 01:13:27,960 --> 01:13:30,679 Speaker 1: ESPN that had a really good feature about Michigan State 1477 01:13:30,720 --> 01:13:34,160 Speaker 1: this past week. Michigan State has the good fortune that 1478 01:13:34,240 --> 01:13:37,200 Speaker 1: some of the biggest money around the program is held 1479 01:13:37,240 --> 01:13:38,360 Speaker 1: by former athletes. 1480 01:13:38,600 --> 01:13:39,439 Speaker 2: You know what that means. 1481 01:13:40,439 --> 01:13:43,479 Speaker 1: It means you don't have someone who's made a fortune 1482 01:13:44,080 --> 01:13:47,720 Speaker 1: in things that have nothing to do with sports whatsoever. 1483 01:13:48,000 --> 01:13:50,280 Speaker 1: All of a sudden, throwing money around and wanting their say, 1484 01:13:50,360 --> 01:13:53,400 Speaker 1: even though they have the slightest clue how things operate. 1485 01:13:53,800 --> 01:13:55,880 Speaker 1: When your own athletes are the ones going out there 1486 01:13:55,880 --> 01:13:57,960 Speaker 1: and getting rich and therefore able to write a check, 1487 01:13:58,479 --> 01:14:02,400 Speaker 1: they know real when they see it. Former players, current players, 1488 01:14:02,400 --> 01:14:04,679 Speaker 1: folks who know ball, they know real when they talk 1489 01:14:04,760 --> 01:14:06,519 Speaker 1: to it. And you don't have to be around Mel 1490 01:14:06,600 --> 01:14:09,240 Speaker 1: Tucker too long to know he's about as real as 1491 01:14:09,240 --> 01:14:11,960 Speaker 1: it gets. And that stuff happening at Michigan State right now, 1492 01:14:12,080 --> 01:14:14,240 Speaker 1: it's about as real as it gets. And I would 1493 01:14:14,240 --> 01:14:16,600 Speaker 1: not be surprised if they end up putting up a 1494 01:14:16,680 --> 01:14:19,960 Speaker 1: number in recruiting rankings this year that rubs a lot 1495 01:14:20,000 --> 01:14:21,880 Speaker 1: of people up there the wrong way, makes a lot 1496 01:14:21,880 --> 01:14:24,280 Speaker 1: of people uneasy, and it probably puts a little more 1497 01:14:24,320 --> 01:14:27,160 Speaker 1: heat on Michigan than previously would have been there. Now 1498 01:14:27,200 --> 01:14:29,040 Speaker 1: they don't need a rival at Michigan. They've already got 1499 01:14:29,080 --> 01:14:32,200 Speaker 1: Ohio State doing what Ohio State's been doing. But now 1500 01:14:32,840 --> 01:14:35,120 Speaker 1: whereas they've already come to accept that Ohio State is 1501 01:14:35,120 --> 01:14:38,320 Speaker 1: going to be a power, if that Spartan logo all 1502 01:14:38,320 --> 01:14:40,280 Speaker 1: of a sudden starts putting up a bigger number than 1503 01:14:40,320 --> 01:14:41,880 Speaker 1: they do, oh and they extend to three and oh 1504 01:14:41,960 --> 01:14:44,000 Speaker 1: or four and O on them. No, that's not something 1505 01:14:44,000 --> 01:14:46,360 Speaker 1: that's going to be tolerated in ann Arbor, nor should 1506 01:14:46,360 --> 01:14:49,000 Speaker 1: it be. So this is going to be something to 1507 01:14:49,080 --> 01:14:52,559 Speaker 1: watch if you're a fan of UTSA, if you're a 1508 01:14:52,640 --> 01:14:56,040 Speaker 1: road runner, but you want some national storyline to watch, 1509 01:14:56,280 --> 01:14:59,519 Speaker 1: watch Michigan, Michigan State, off the field and recruiting and 1510 01:14:59,600 --> 01:15:01,840 Speaker 1: just on the field this fall because we get to 1511 01:15:01,880 --> 01:15:04,040 Speaker 1: see him play every single year. I don't know what 1512 01:15:04,080 --> 01:15:06,680 Speaker 1: the over under was for the show tonight, but I'm 1513 01:15:06,720 --> 01:15:09,400 Speaker 1: telling you right now, We've gone seventy five minutes and 1514 01:15:10,160 --> 01:15:12,760 Speaker 1: I've got to drive home tonight, so it's probably in 1515 01:15:12,800 --> 01:15:16,000 Speaker 1: my best interest to stop talking right now, go take 1516 01:15:16,000 --> 01:15:16,920 Speaker 1: a lotions or two. 1517 01:15:17,320 --> 01:15:19,120 Speaker 2: Wish you guys again. On the back end a happy 1518 01:15:19,120 --> 01:15:19,720 Speaker 2: Father's Day. 1519 01:15:20,000 --> 01:15:23,840 Speaker 1: We are approaching ninety nine thousand subs on this YouTube channel. 1520 01:15:24,200 --> 01:15:27,400 Speaker 1: We are almost there. Get us there, I ask you, 1521 01:15:27,600 --> 01:15:31,320 Speaker 1: and humbly beggar here YouTube channel and subscribing to the 1522 01:15:31,320 --> 01:15:34,120 Speaker 1: podcast feeds. Thank you guys so much, you're already doing it, 1523 01:15:34,439 --> 01:15:37,240 Speaker 1: so just continue to thank you for producer Jesse, for 1524 01:15:37,320 --> 01:15:39,200 Speaker 1: director Colin, for our entire staff. 1525 01:15:39,200 --> 01:15:39,360 Speaker 2: Here. 1526 01:15:39,400 --> 01:15:41,960 Speaker 1: I'm Josh Pate have yourselves a great start to your week. 1527 01:15:42,040 --> 01:15:53,120 Speaker 1: Take care and God bless