Speaker 1: You're listening to the Miami Dolphins Podcast Network. This is
Speaker 1: Drive Time with Travis Whinfield. Back to throw to a
Speaker 1: looking GIPSLCA Water, Dolph Touchdop, c Rick cal Man. I
Speaker 1: want to help you soon up on his wattle, waddle
Speaker 1: to a shotgun, back to throw, looking ups up fires
Speaker 1: touchtop It's waddle. It's six touchdown of the day. Drive
Speaker 1: Time with Travis Winfield begins. Now let me check your
Speaker 1: pulse if what is up? Dolphins And welcome to the
Speaker 1: Drive Time Podcast, part of the Miami Dolphins Podcast Network,
Speaker 1: covering your team, your Miami Dolphins. How's it going? Everybody?
Speaker 1: I am your host, Travis Winfield. And on today's show,
Speaker 1: it is a game preview edition of the d T Pod.
Speaker 1: Back to our regularly scheduled podcast here on Thursday, we'll
Speaker 1: a deep dive into the tape, into the numbers and
Speaker 1: the matchups as we go position by position to get
Speaker 1: you ready for Christmas Day and the only game at
Speaker 1: one o'clock on the NFL Sunday schedule, Dolphins and Packers,
Speaker 1: plus What's at stake and the Three Keys to Victory
Speaker 1: from the Baptist Health Studios. Inside the Baptist Health training complex.
Speaker 1: This is the podcast. Always enjoy the intro to our
Speaker 1: pods here with a little walk down recent memory lane
Speaker 1: of the incoming opponents, specifically against the NFC team since
Speaker 1: we only see them once every presidential presidential election. The
Speaker 1: Packers have been the model of stability for a long time.
Speaker 1: They've had two quarterbacks since with the occasional spot starter
Speaker 1: in a few games missed by Rogers here and there.
Speaker 1: Their head coach arrived in nineteen and won thirteen games
Speaker 1: all three years ahead of this six and eight campaign. Currently,
Speaker 1: a loss on Sunday removes them from the playoff equation,
Speaker 1: and with the Vikings clinching last week, it's the first
Speaker 1: year under Matt Lafleur that they won't win the NFC
Speaker 1: North And Brian Gouda Kuntz was there a year earlier
Speaker 1: in eighteen, and that was one of those rare retool
Speaker 1: type of eras for a successful organization. We saw Baltimore
Speaker 1: do it between Flacco and Jackson, but the Packers didn't
Speaker 1: change quarterbacks. Now, Rogers did have some injuries in twice
Speaker 1: seventeen and eighteen that forced him to miss nine games
Speaker 1: in seventeen and the oneeen didn't make him miss any games,
Speaker 1: but he just wasn't the same and the Packers went
Speaker 1: six nine and one that year, and then they came
Speaker 1: right back and got back to being you know, Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers of old. That's what's when the drafted Jordan Love
Speaker 1: right the next year after that. So it's been it's
Speaker 1: been a lot of good years for the Packers, and
Speaker 1: especially when Matt Lafleur got there, who won thirty nine
Speaker 1: games over three season, one championship game appearance, two trips
Speaker 1: to the divisional round. I mean, we haven't done that
Speaker 1: since two thousand one. Now. I would take three straight
Speaker 1: thirteen win seasons any day of the week, but to
Speaker 1: go two and three in the playoffs in those years
Speaker 1: with the winds being over a Seahawks team who limped
Speaker 1: in twenty nineteen and a Rams team was yeah, I
Speaker 1: think it was who had a hobble Jared Goff that
Speaker 1: backed into the postseason that year, and ultimately that kind
Speaker 1: of end of the year led to his departure with
Speaker 1: the Rams. And then last year's one and done against
Speaker 1: the forty Niners and two of those losses came against
Speaker 1: two Yeah, that same team, the forty. There's a lot
Speaker 1: of intrigue there see if McDaniel can kind of continue
Speaker 1: what's been a personal hell for the Packers and Matt
Speaker 1: Lafleur going up against a Shanahan or in this case,
Speaker 1: a Mike McDaniel team. And of course, this is a
Speaker 1: team that has long been known for building through the draft,
Speaker 1: up and down the offensive roster. Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones,
Speaker 1: A J Dillon, Christian Watson, Romeo Dobbs, Alan Lazard, even
Speaker 1: Randall Cobb after leaving and coming back, all drafted by
Speaker 1: the Packers. Same up front with bak tr Elton Jenkins,
Speaker 1: Josh Myers. This defense is a little different because they
Speaker 1: nabbed with Seuel Douglas after he was cut from the
Speaker 1: Eagles last year and he has a monster, like one
Speaker 1: year out of nowhere type of season and gets the
Speaker 1: big extension and it's been a tough road for him.
Speaker 1: This year. Devandre Campbell signed, you know, basically like a
Speaker 1: come to camp and see what happens type of one
Speaker 1: year deal back in one and he part laid that
Speaker 1: into an all pro year and a massive contract extension
Speaker 1: with the Green Bay Packers. They had imported a pair
Speaker 1: of dominant edge rushers and free agency a couple of
Speaker 1: years ago with Preston Smith and a Darius Smith, and
Speaker 1: that was kind of the to me, the lynchpin of
Speaker 1: this defense becoming almost the strength of the football team
Speaker 1: in some ways. During those thirteen win seasons. They also
Speaker 1: signed Geron Read to the defensive line, Adrian am Wilson
Speaker 1: the defensive backfield, and that free agent capital was used
Speaker 1: to supplement some more good drafting, you know, brought in
Speaker 1: some dominant figures in Kenny Clark and JayR Alexander and
Speaker 1: a handful of several more really good players like Darniell
Speaker 1: Savage and Quay Walker and Devonte way It. I want
Speaker 1: to go ahead and talk about that game up coming
Speaker 1: up here, but first a six and eight teen that
Speaker 1: I don't think has played really good football this year.
Speaker 1: It's a defense that doesn't really rotate, you know, at
Speaker 1: the to disguise their zone coverages all that often. They
Speaker 1: don't always carry and pass off. There's lots of bust
Speaker 1: and coverage you see on tape, and they're often scrambling
Speaker 1: to make up for blitz is that just don't get home.
Speaker 1: And offensively, the line has been up and down all year.
Speaker 1: They're very young a wide receiver, and Rogers just hasn't
Speaker 1: clicked with those young targets as separation downfield has been
Speaker 1: a big issue. Their wins Bears, and they beat the
Speaker 1: Bucks by two points back in September. They beat Bailey
Speaker 1: Zappy and the Patriots and overtime. In October, they scored
Speaker 1: an impressive win against the Cowboys after a five game
Speaker 1: losing streak, and then they beat the Bears and the Rams,
Speaker 1: who both have really kind of punted on the season.
Speaker 1: Uh So, we'll see what happens on Sunday. Let's go
Speaker 1: ahead and talk about the matchups Dolphins offense versus Packers defense,
Speaker 1: and the quarterback and offense from Miami versus the safety
Speaker 1: and the defense of the Green Bay Packers. Now, we
Speaker 1: saw to enjoy a really nice bounce back game on
Speaker 1: Saturday night, and I thought was one of his best
Speaker 1: tapes against the Buffalo Bills. Thought he made great decisions.
Speaker 1: I thought he identified what the Bills were doing and
Speaker 1: often had the right spot in mind and led an
Speaker 1: offense that piled up over four hundred yards in a
Speaker 1: cold weather game. It's a great morale boost type of performance,
Speaker 1: even if it didn't result and wind up where we
Speaker 1: wanted it to on the scoreboard, and we might need
Speaker 1: that cold weather operation again this week because there was
Speaker 1: a cold front coming in. And these South Florida cold
Speaker 1: fronts are crazy to me. Like last year at Whiffle Blast,
Speaker 1: the Jason Taylor Foundation Whiffleball Tournament, which was won by
Speaker 1: the O. G. McDuffie team and myself on that club.
Speaker 1: By the way, it was in the low forties and
Speaker 1: windy and just downright not fun except for the fact
Speaker 1: that we won and heated up as the day went
Speaker 1: along and got that trophy and route and undefeated day.
Speaker 1: But man, these things show up like an unwanted knock
Speaker 1: at the door, the drop in guests, your in law
Speaker 1: coming over that you didn't ask to come over. Friday
Speaker 1: has a temperature range of sixty to eighty one degrees,
Speaker 1: which is pretty typical. And I was just out by
Speaker 1: the practice field earlier uh this week, and at practice
Speaker 1: time it was a cool seventy two degrees. Man, then
Speaker 1: you wake up on Saturday and it goes to fifty
Speaker 1: to sixty three degrees. And this last part has been
Speaker 1: shifting all week, but at the time that I'm writing this,
Speaker 1: the Sunday weather calls for a se chance of rain
Speaker 1: with thunderstorms and a range of forty seven to fifty
Speaker 1: six degrees. That is cold for down here, man, and man,
Speaker 1: you look at Wisconsin this week is in the single digits.
Speaker 1: Would have been nice to have them go from like
Speaker 1: nine degrees to mid seventies. But I digress. So the
Speaker 1: Packers defense is defined by two things from my tape watch,
Speaker 1: and those are they blitz a lot, the second highest
Speaker 1: rate in football, and they play primarily zone coverage, usually
Speaker 1: Cover three. It's actually the fourth most in the National
Speaker 1: Football League using Cover three. Let's go ahead and roll
Speaker 1: out the tell the tape here and the three four
Speaker 1: defense is of the time and a four three defense
Speaker 1: six percent of the time, so a decent number of
Speaker 1: hybrid reps there. And the big takeaway for me is
Speaker 1: that are in base you know, of the time, they
Speaker 1: are in nickel six percent of the time, which is
Speaker 1: it's pretty pretty much on par with eleven personnel for
Speaker 1: opposing offenses. And they also roll out their dime defense
Speaker 1: on three percent of their defensive calls. Number of high
Speaker 1: safeties pre snap very even here forty nine plays and
Speaker 1: cover zero otherwise it's too high and one high, but
Speaker 1: they don't really rotate. It's like almost the same thing
Speaker 1: every time. We'll talk about that here in just a second,
Speaker 1: I mentioned the thirty five point eight percent blitz rate
Speaker 1: is the second highest there, twenty three point six percent
Speaker 1: pressure rate is ninth in the NFL. And those numbers
Speaker 1: really flipped in that Rams game. They blitzed may feel
Speaker 1: just four times and produced third team pressures. And you know, granted,
Speaker 1: the Rams offensive line has been probably one of the
Speaker 1: worst units in the National Football League this year as
Speaker 1: they have gone through attrition like nobody's business on that
Speaker 1: offensive line, and it's basically derail their season. So the
Speaker 1: Packers found a way to to capitalize on that and
Speaker 1: get a w in a game that was really tilted
Speaker 1: in their favor in primetime in a cold weather, you
Speaker 1: know spot against a team from Los Angeles. It's awfully
Speaker 1: banged up and on a quarterback who's still just got
Speaker 1: there two weeks ago. But before that game, they had
Speaker 1: a thirty eight percent blitz rate, so that dropped like
Speaker 1: by two percent, which is a lot this late in
Speaker 1: the season, and pressure rate which increased by almost two percent,
Speaker 1: which is also a lot this time of year. So
Speaker 1: improvement in that pressure rate without sending the extra rusher.
Speaker 1: It's a big deal. And Matt Lafleur s had in
Speaker 1: a press conference earlier this week that they have to
Speaker 1: find a way to get pressure on two a tungle
Speaker 1: by Low And now does that mean blitz him? Does
Speaker 1: that mean hope to win with three and four rushers? Well,
Speaker 1: he's not going to tell us that obviously, But I
Speaker 1: think it's very interesting to see how they attack this.
Speaker 1: I don't know. Primarily it's a Cover three defense, and man,
Speaker 1: there are soft spots all over the zone on tape
Speaker 1: they play and Cover three, which again is the fourth
Speaker 1: most in all of football, and it's just like when
Speaker 1: you watch the games on tape, there's like this delayed
Speaker 1: action which against this Dolphins offense, like it's not gonna
Speaker 1: bode well if if it keeps up in this game.
Speaker 1: That three deep shell typically consisted of Eric Stokes, but
Speaker 1: he's out, so it's been Keyshawn Nixon filling in for
Speaker 1: him and then Darnell Savage and JayR. Alexander as the
Speaker 1: deep thirds coverage and the two perimeter corners are are
Speaker 1: Nixon and Alexander, with the free safety being Savage. Their
Speaker 1: strong safety is Adrian Amos, who will start in that
Speaker 1: too high look and most often rotate down. Often the
Speaker 1: conflict defender, kind of that guy that buzzes. You know,
Speaker 1: that that whip route by Jylan Waddle that led to
Speaker 1: a sack. We didn't throw those quick crossers, those nows,
Speaker 1: those slants, those types of things. He wants to be
Speaker 1: involved in that fashion, and he's been slower both in
Speaker 1: the I think the processing but also on the step,
Speaker 1: the physical step aspect of it this year, turning age
Speaker 1: thirty this season. But he's often the conflict defender in
Speaker 1: addition to the linebackers, and this coverage scheme with those
Speaker 1: three deep shells like keep the roof on the house
Speaker 1: run back, it puts a lot of conflict on Amos
Speaker 1: and those linebackers in that middle portion of the field.
Speaker 1: We'll get to their coverage numbers in the running back
Speaker 1: in linebacker section. They played Cover two on just thirty
Speaker 1: total snaps out of more than eight hundreds, So you
Speaker 1: know that too high will typically change after the snap,
Speaker 1: but like it does rotate, but you you kind of
Speaker 1: know what it's gonna do. And that's another reason why
Speaker 1: I think to a dice is in this game, not
Speaker 1: a lot of disguise, and man, when he knows what
Speaker 1: he's got and he has a good pocket, I'm literally
Speaker 1: taking him over. Every quarterback in the NFL under those circumstances,
Speaker 1: and you might get those circumstances in this game on Sunday.
Speaker 1: When both safety stay high, it's usually quarters or cover six,
Speaker 1: which we can run by. We've proven that like a
Speaker 1: zero or I should say like a zero blitz, all
Speaker 1: four guys just kind of back off and we throw
Speaker 1: tyreek deep past them or that cover six. You have
Speaker 1: some options in the in the deep I should say,
Speaker 1: the intermediate portion of the field, those over routes to
Speaker 1: Wattle that we've seen all your have success. I think
Speaker 1: we'll see a lot of man coverage in this game, though,
Speaker 1: because that's where they've excelled at times and that's the
Speaker 1: only really potential blueprint for slowing Miami. But I don't know.
Speaker 1: I think they'll play man and blitz and hope to
Speaker 1: get home with that extra rusher and disrupt timing underneath
Speaker 1: them in the meantime, which is why I think fans
Speaker 1: are going to be in for an aerial show on Sunday.
Speaker 1: Either way, Really, I think Miami is gonna have its
Speaker 1: biggest passing day of the season in this one, including
Speaker 1: some long place. That's my take this week. That would
Speaker 1: be a departure from their norm to play that much
Speaker 1: man coverage because again typically Cover three when blitzing, and
Speaker 1: that means too it has to find those hots, those hitches,
Speaker 1: those glances, those now routes to the perimeter. You look
Speaker 1: at the Packers passing bins on defense, teams are completing
Speaker 1: of their passes outside the numbers and inside ten yards.
Speaker 1: That's Cover three textbook right, Like, that's where the vulnerability
Speaker 1: is in a Cover three defense. Short outside. They're also
Speaker 1: completing better than fifty five and the ten to nineteen
Speaker 1: yard range outside the numbers. That's like a twelve percent
Speaker 1: jump over league average because a tough spot to throw
Speaker 1: the football too, and against US Cover three, you can
Speaker 1: push them back and then when those comeback routes and
Speaker 1: if two can see and anticipate it, you can get
Speaker 1: some nice complete aation just based upon the scheme. This
Speaker 1: is why I love doing this each week, because you
Speaker 1: have your expectation or what makes sense to you or whatever.
Speaker 1: But football coaches are smart man like. They adapt and
Speaker 1: teams can show their flexibility in any given week. The
Speaker 1: Packers literally did it three days ago against the Rams.
Speaker 1: So we mentioned that the safeties don't do a ton
Speaker 1: of you know, interchanging of the responsibility. So for Tua
Speaker 1: to get the pre snap check and make his post
Speaker 1: snap decisions from what he has there has been a
Speaker 1: pretty solid approach this season. I was watching the Buffalo
Speaker 1: game when someone on Twitter told me that he missed
Speaker 1: a wide open Tyreek Hill on that opening the first
Speaker 1: field goal driver of the game. It was drive number two,
Speaker 1: the sack on third and one down by the red zone.
Speaker 1: I'm like, that's not what happened on that play. Uh.
Speaker 1: What what it was was the middle of the field
Speaker 1: was closed by a safety who planted right in the
Speaker 1: middle of the field, and Tyreek runs a post at
Speaker 1: the safety. That's an indicator right away pre snap that
Speaker 1: you're not throwing. You don't throw slants or posts to
Speaker 1: the middle of the field closed, you just don't do it.
Speaker 1: And the pre snap motion showed man covers to the boundary,
Speaker 1: which is why a waddle ran that whip route. And
Speaker 1: so to a pre snap syst I'm not going to slant.
Speaker 1: I know I have the man coverage and he was
Speaker 1: gonna throw it there, but to Ron Johnson, who's a
Speaker 1: great player, buzzes that route and takes it away and
Speaker 1: then the rush got home. So maintain that type of
Speaker 1: processing on a snap by snap basis and you'll eventually
Speaker 1: get yours. That was a good call and a good
Speaker 1: play by the Bills, But the point is to a
Speaker 1: To me, it's right back to where he was before
Speaker 1: that slump, seeing the field very well. And as it
Speaker 1: pertains to the safety's pre snap alignments and their numbers,
Speaker 1: Adrian almost in the post in the box. For all
Speaker 1: their blitzing, they don't do a lot of it with
Speaker 1: the safeties. He's got nine pass rush reps, but five
Speaker 1: pressures on those nine. He's also got nineteen run stops
Speaker 1: and teams are twenty seven for thirty five for a
Speaker 1: buck eighty eight and six touchdowns with no picks targeting him.
Speaker 1: That's kind of some of the zone getting lost in
Speaker 1: coverage back there, particularly in the red zone. You'll see
Speaker 1: this trend. A lot of really good players are having
Speaker 1: kind of career worst years in this system. And it's
Speaker 1: year two of Joe Barry's defense. I don't know why
Speaker 1: that's the case, but it's what's what you see on tape.
Speaker 1: And then Darniell Savage in the post in the box,
Speaker 1: but the run stop number indicated who winds up where
Speaker 1: more frequently just two on the year. For Savage, he
Speaker 1: plays away from the football, mostly because that's just what
Speaker 1: he's best at. He has ten pass rush reps this
Speaker 1: year and no pressures. Teams are seventeen six with two
Speaker 1: seventy one, two touchdowns and no picks this season on
Speaker 1: him and then Rudy Ford's played a lot of football
Speaker 1: at the third safety spot forty three snaps. That's a
Speaker 1: little less than half of their snaps. He's the big
Speaker 1: nickel dimes safety type nine for fifteen in coverage for
Speaker 1: seventy five yards a touchdown in two picks. He's got
Speaker 1: more picks than the other two. Guys can bind receivers
Speaker 1: and tight ends versus corners. Here arguably their best player
Speaker 1: resides in this group, which makes a fun matchup given
Speaker 1: our Dolphins wide receivers and what Hill and Wattle have
Speaker 1: done this year. And you pair Alexander's ability with his
Speaker 1: confidence in bravado and trash talk. That makes me pretty
Speaker 1: excited to see what happens on Sunday. I know Jaiyar
Speaker 1: and Tiger will probably have a good time on Sunday.
Speaker 1: With that, he is back to himself after a year
Speaker 1: of injuries for him last season, just a sixty six
Speaker 1: point seven passer rating against fifty five percent completion and
Speaker 1: that's on sixty one targets. Now. The one number that
Speaker 1: isn't like the others is the yards per catch. He's
Speaker 1: letting up fifteen yards per catch this year and a
Speaker 1: buck sixty four after the catch. So there have been
Speaker 1: some big plays on him. Five hundred and six yards
Speaker 1: in total allowed, and that's part of the deal with
Speaker 1: a player of his caliber. He plays so aggressively that
Speaker 1: you might have an opportunity here there, but you better
Speaker 1: hit them because he'll get you on the chances that
Speaker 1: he does take and make his own plays. Four picks
Speaker 1: this year, seven pass breakups. He's got eleven picks and
Speaker 1: forty two pass breakups in his fifth year here. He's
Speaker 1: an elite ball hawk, a man coverage savant. He's been
Speaker 1: asked to play more zone the last couple of years.
Speaker 1: They haven't been on travel defense. He primarily plays on
Speaker 1: the left side. Nixon plays on the right side and
Speaker 1: for Stokes and then Douglas plays in the slot, so
Speaker 1: we'll see. I don't he might be a guy that
Speaker 1: I kind of neglect because you look at the rest
Speaker 1: of the crew here, h Douglas thirty eight for fifty two,
Speaker 1: four four touchdowns and three picks, and that's that's one thing.
Speaker 1: But four six forty with explosive metrics, you know, shuttle,
Speaker 1: three cone, change of direction, broad vert all measure under
Speaker 1: forty two percent tile among cornerbacks. He's a stiff player.
Speaker 1: Keyshawn Nixon twenty two, fourteen yards, no touchdowns in a
Speaker 1: pick good forty time, but fourteen percentile and three cone,
Speaker 1: six percent tile and short shuttle and twenty second percentile
Speaker 1: in the vert. You get the idea here, right, If
Speaker 1: it's man coverage, I like our matchups against the stiffer players,
Speaker 1: Douglas and Nixon, and I just think you look at
Speaker 1: this and you don't want to shy away from players.
Speaker 1: But if you start by going after vulnerabilities in an offense,
Speaker 1: anybody not named Alexander has been that this year for
Speaker 1: the Packers, structurally speaking, again primarily off coverage. As we
Speaker 1: mentioned in the open, as it operates. That's Cover three defense.
Speaker 1: In general, they play off percent compared to nineteen percent press,
Speaker 1: and it's a sixty nine nice to thirty one percent
Speaker 1: zone to man different chill Again, I'm just really curious
Speaker 1: to see what they do because what they've largely done,
Speaker 1: or you know, if they altered it all, is play
Speaker 1: that zone coverage. But teams eventually get to both man
Speaker 1: and zone decent number of times. But the reason I
Speaker 1: have so much indecision here with these is how it looks,
Speaker 1: and how it looks, I should say, is because I
Speaker 1: really don't know the right way to defend this. Dolphins
Speaker 1: receiving corps winning quickly I think will be a key
Speaker 1: because of their blitzing and hitting those big plays. Teams
Speaker 1: have gotten deep on the Packers this year. For a
Speaker 1: couple of big strikes as we've seen from Tyreek and
Speaker 1: Waddle the last few weeks, could tilt this game and
Speaker 1: help the defense play from a lead on the other
Speaker 1: side of the football. Let's go ahead and take our
Speaker 1: first break and come back and finish up Dolphins offense
Speaker 1: first Packers defense. Then I'll go ahead and change over
Speaker 1: the other side. We'll do special teams. What's at stake
Speaker 1: three keys planning to come your way. Here on the
Speaker 1: Thursday edition of the Draft Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield,
Speaker 1: brought to you by Auto Nation, we pick it back
Speaker 1: up here with it was always a key in any
Speaker 1: football game, Dolphins offensive line versus the Packers defensive line.
Speaker 1: Previewing Christmas Day, the six and eight Green Bay Packers
Speaker 1: are in town to face the eight and six Miami Dolphins,
Speaker 1: who desperately need a victory to get back in the
Speaker 1: winning ways. We talked a lot about the Miami offensive
Speaker 1: line on the podcast yesterday and if it's a sign
Speaker 1: of things to come heading forward, gosh, you gotta be
Speaker 1: encouraged about the rest of this campaign. Hopefully they can
Speaker 1: build on that. I keep thinking back to what Tohron
Speaker 1: said about this being a new system, a lot of
Speaker 1: young players in a new system and how you kind
Speaker 1: of have to see things first before you can really
Speaker 1: apply lessons and teaching moments and take the coaching to
Speaker 1: really drill it down to be second nature. And now
Speaker 1: fourteen games into it, maybe we see that tangible progress
Speaker 1: as we go forward. They typically say year two is
Speaker 1: when a system starts to become more second nature. And
Speaker 1: I'll never forget Peyton Manning on on Peyton Eli last
Speaker 1: year talking about how it was year three for him
Speaker 1: when he personally began to feel like the offense was
Speaker 1: second nature. But if they keep progressing and getting better
Speaker 1: week by a week from here, what a boon that
Speaker 1: would be. Now. The Packers front, they do a good
Speaker 1: job of tendency breaking and confusing quarterbacks at times. The
Speaker 1: Jets tape from October was a good example of that.
Speaker 1: The Rams tape on Monday was to let's go ahead
Speaker 1: and look at the numbers here from a pressures and
Speaker 1: run stops perspective. On the inside, the d tackles Kenny
Speaker 1: Clark thirty seven and sixteen, Giron Reid twenty five and
Speaker 1: twenty three and Dean Lowry's sixteen and eighteen off the edge,
Speaker 1: Preston Smith thirty seven and twenty six, Kingsley and I
Speaker 1: Bury the rookie nineteen sixteen, Quay Walker eleven and thirty six.
Speaker 1: He's more of an off ball linebacker, but he has
Speaker 1: snucked down onto the line for a handful of snaps,
Speaker 1: especially since the Rashaan Gary injury. And speaking of Rashaan Gary,
Speaker 1: they they haven't been will replaced him he's a great player.
Speaker 1: He was lost for the year after Game nine, and
Speaker 1: he still leads the team and pressures with thirty eight.
Speaker 1: Huge loss for them as a rusher, but also against
Speaker 1: the run, a defense that has allowed eleven of fourteen
Speaker 1: teams to run for a hundred yards on them and
Speaker 1: allowed five yards per carry, the third most in the
Speaker 1: National Football League this year. But more specifically, the average
Speaker 1: rushing numbers off of either edge off tackle against the
Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers and the five games since Gary went
Speaker 1: down per Pro Football Focus, looks like this. Fifty nine
Speaker 1: rush attempts for three oh seven. That's five point to
Speaker 1: per carrying four touchdowns on those particular runs. So Smith
Speaker 1: and the rookie uh and I can't say it and
Speaker 1: Agberry are almost identical body types. At six six it's
Speaker 1: to fifty eight for the rookie length and burst our
Speaker 1: hallmark trades for both and Gary. Gary certainly fit that
Speaker 1: mold as well. And then Quay Walker is as strong
Speaker 1: as it gets, one of the best at playing through
Speaker 1: contact and off blocks of anybody I scouted all last cycle.
Speaker 1: On the inside, Kenny Clark's first steps sets up so
Speaker 1: much of what they can do, kind of like Adam
Speaker 1: Butler did for the Patriots and Dolphins for a year
Speaker 1: here in terms of how his quickness displaces a gap
Speaker 1: and that creates chances for the second level defenders to
Speaker 1: come down and fill and blitz as the Packers love
Speaker 1: to do, and Jeron Reid plays similarly football. Our guys
Speaker 1: have their hands full this week and it's a good
Speaker 1: matchup of good on good because we talked all year
Speaker 1: about Brandon Shell's brute strength off the edge that matches
Speaker 1: the Packers play style, and then that quickness inside matches
Speaker 1: we have with Big Rob and Connor and Rob Jones
Speaker 1: and you know, to Ron and Rob Jones a little
Speaker 1: bit of both of those things. But they all kind
Speaker 1: of match up in a good way or a fun way.
Speaker 1: I should say. It's a great test to see if
Speaker 1: this group can build upon a great showing last week.
Speaker 1: It's cliche to say this, but if Miami can win
Speaker 1: in the trenches in this game, it should be a
Speaker 1: lot of fun for the offense. Comes Sunday, running backs
Speaker 1: versus linebackers, where he most are coming off his best
Speaker 1: game as a Miami Dolphin. That juice was awesome to see.
Speaker 1: I thought he looked fast, strong, decisive part of that
Speaker 1: thing we discussed earlier, getting more and more comfortable not
Speaker 1: just in the particular system, but further developing relationships with
Speaker 1: the guys in front of you. The Packers primary backer
Speaker 1: that remps has been Quay Walker, the rookie who we
Speaker 1: talked about earlier, seven hundred eleven snaps, a ton of
Speaker 1: run stops, and the primary rusher from that position with
Speaker 1: fifty six pass rush snaps compared to just eighteen for
Speaker 1: Devondre Campbell. Really the blitz numbers they come from that
Speaker 1: kind of five to look with edges coming off the
Speaker 1: off either edge, and that's how they did it with
Speaker 1: President za Darius Smith in years past, and what they're
Speaker 1: doing now with Gary and his breakout campaign before he
Speaker 1: got hurt. Now, Packers have the eight most miss tackles
Speaker 1: hundred nine per Pro Football Focus, and Whehee made a
Speaker 1: lot of tacklers missed last week. So does Savon Ahmed.
Speaker 1: And if we get Jeff Wilson back, that's kind of
Speaker 1: his game too, right, So yards after initial contact could
Speaker 1: help Miami stay ahead of the chains and or hit
Speaker 1: explosive runs as a result. Earlier we mentioned the Packers
Speaker 1: backers and how their plates are full and coverage. Here
Speaker 1: are the numbers. Walker twenty five for thirty eight yards
Speaker 1: and a touchdown and then Campbell thirty eight forty seven
Speaker 1: for three oh five a touchdown in a pick. Let's
Speaker 1: go ahead and move on to the Miami defense versus
Speaker 1: the Green Bay offense who the defense has the second
Speaker 1: fewous points allowed at home this season, and it is home,
Speaker 1: sweet home back at hard Rock Stadium. Now quarterback Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers Packers offense versus the Dolphins safety's and the defense.
Speaker 1: And as we know, it's an offense that doesn't fall
Speaker 1: very far from our own tree. Lots of zone running,
Speaker 1: lots of ball out quick, lots of pre snap motions
Speaker 1: and shifts, and another coach who our coach has worked with,
Speaker 1: in Matt Lafleur. Still amazing to me how many brilliant
Speaker 1: minds they had under one roof back in those days
Speaker 1: in d C. And this is one of the more
Speaker 1: fun offenses to watch on tape. As far as our
Speaker 1: opponents go this season, I'm sure that's the combination of
Speaker 1: a brilliant offensive mind in la Fleur and a quarterback
Speaker 1: who has seen everything. They ran this really cool flood
Speaker 1: concept against the Rams on Monday Night, where they had
Speaker 1: the layers to displace various portions of that RAMS defense
Speaker 1: at the short, intermediate and deep level the middle of
Speaker 1: the field. Then they hit the backside dig to the
Speaker 1: X taking advantage of that space. They scheme up throws,
Speaker 1: They give you easy answers, easy solutions, and first downs.
Speaker 1: So you kind of have to just accept that because
Speaker 1: high functioning offenses like that with good coaches and good
Speaker 1: quarterbacks are going to get that. You have to rally
Speaker 1: and find ways to make place when they don't have
Speaker 1: that right As far as how they align again, similarities
Speaker 1: man eleven personnels fifty eight percent, wealth personnel is thirty
Speaker 1: or twenty nine percent, and twenty one personnel is ten percent.
Speaker 1: What's interesting about that ten percent two back one tight
Speaker 1: end package. They don't have a fullback on the roster.
Speaker 1: They do have some tight ends and can give you
Speaker 1: that quasi fullback roll, but that wouldn't go in twenty
Speaker 1: one personnel. Uh. They like to get Aaron Jones and
Speaker 1: AJ Dillon on the field together. Dylan is a big guy,
Speaker 1: as big as a fullback. They run a lot of
Speaker 1: that inside zone play from the toss that we saw
Speaker 1: get popularized in San Francisco and not ran as much
Speaker 1: here as I thought it would be. As far as
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers and numbers this year against the blizz he's
Speaker 1: sixty six percent completion with seven point six yards per pass,
Speaker 1: seven touchdowns and two picks when not blitzed, same completion rate,
Speaker 1: but a full yard per attempt lower at six point
Speaker 1: six and then sixteen touchdowns to eight picks. All the
Speaker 1: best long time quarterbacks. You don't want to blitz him
Speaker 1: when he's pressured forty six percent, five point seven yards
Speaker 1: per past, four touchdowns and two picks on deep passing.
Speaker 1: Fifteen percent of their throws go twenty plus yards down
Speaker 1: the field. They complete thirty five percent for just ten
Speaker 1: point two yards per attempt. We talked about that with
Speaker 1: the Chargers and Niners offense previously. That's about where they were,
Speaker 1: and then the Bills had a much deeper y p
Speaker 1: a on the deep passes. The Packers have had issues
Speaker 1: getting the ball vertically down the field this year. Ten
Speaker 1: touchdowns and four picks on those deep shots and then
Speaker 1: five point six percent sack right is eleventh fewist in
Speaker 1: the National Football League, and just in general talking about
Speaker 1: the deep shots, and the timing him and his receivers
Speaker 1: just haven't really got on the exact same page. It's
Speaker 1: a kind of like the Patriots used to be for
Speaker 1: a long time with Brady, Like you draft these young
Speaker 1: guys and it's hard to get them brought to speed
Speaker 1: quickly because it's so complex and there's so many side
Speaker 1: adjustments and things that if you're not on Brady's level,
Speaker 1: it's tough to execute the same level as him. And
Speaker 1: there was that story about the hand signals that he
Speaker 1: poop pooed on the Pat McAfee show. They just don't
Speaker 1: separate all that well. And hopefully it's a chance for
Speaker 1: us to get some confidence going forward and not a
Speaker 1: game where we all say afterwards, well that was Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers and vintage Rogers, right, we've been saying a lot
Speaker 1: this year. Hopefully not the case here. Frankly, aside from
Speaker 1: the running game, the best thing about the Packers offense
Speaker 1: to me is Roger's ability to play make you know
Speaker 1: he's the original off platform throw guy. Even at age
Speaker 1: thirty eight, he's still got some of that in his game.
Speaker 1: His time to throw on plays where he's pressured it's
Speaker 1: just under four seconds, which tells you he's plenty capable
Speaker 1: of getting out on the edge and winning from there. Now,
Speaker 1: it's not like Josh Allen where he's liable to put
Speaker 1: a forty five yard run with his legs, where he
Speaker 1: runs over tacklers and goes helicopter John Elway mode. But
Speaker 1: he wants to attack the line of scrimmage to throw
Speaker 1: the football. So in that sense, it's not like you
Speaker 1: need to pull Javon Holland down into the spy roll
Speaker 1: like we saw last week when he bluffed what looked
Speaker 1: like Robert coverage and then just kind of kept closing
Speaker 1: ground on Alan And what a play that was to
Speaker 1: get him to the ground on third and long, And
Speaker 1: what a game in general it was from the Snowman.
Speaker 1: And you saw the blitz numbers. It's tough to confuse Rogers.
Speaker 1: It might be as simple as the best way to
Speaker 1: beat this guy, this offense, this team is to try
Speaker 1: to win one on ones with your front play coverage
Speaker 1: and force him to hitch up, heitge up, hitch up,
Speaker 1: and hopefully your home. By that point, I thought Miami
Speaker 1: had a commendable effort given how shorthanded they were in
Speaker 1: the game. Hopefully we get to see Eric Roeback Dawson
Speaker 1: Knox had a big game. I think it's a pretty
Speaker 1: direct correlation there, and Elijah Campbell back at safety as well.
Speaker 1: This Sunday, Holland speed and range will be needed against
Speaker 1: somebody like Christian Watson, who runs vertical routes a lot.
Speaker 1: Speaking of Christian Watson takes us into the cornerbacks versus
Speaker 1: the receivers and tight ends. He can fly. He's hit
Speaker 1: some highest top speeds and next gen stats this year.
Speaker 1: He's turned into a true touchdown maker seven touchdowns receiving
Speaker 1: one rushing this year on just twenty nine catches. He's
Speaker 1: an intriguing matchup here because of how well Miami has
Speaker 1: defended the deep portion of the field. His average depth
Speaker 1: of target is a team high thirt teaen point five yards,
Speaker 1: so Watson going deep typically maybe we'll see Holland capping
Speaker 1: those off. But Alan Lazard is also the top target
Speaker 1: in this offense. Seventy six targets this year are twenty
Speaker 1: three more than the next wide receiver, both Aaron Jones
Speaker 1: and Robert Tonyan between the two of those guys, but
Speaker 1: that speaks to the strength of the offense. The backs
Speaker 1: and the tight ends have been where the offense has
Speaker 1: funneled primarily through Lazarre. It is it all is also
Speaker 1: just like wattson a huge frame, but not the burner
Speaker 1: that he is. And then Romeo Dobbs is no small
Speaker 1: man either, six ft two two oh four, so they
Speaker 1: go six five, six four or six too. And then Ton,
Speaker 1: you know, top tight end at six five. He was
Speaker 1: a big downfield threat last year, but his a DOT
Speaker 1: this year is just five point five. Really, what I'm
Speaker 1: trying to get at is we haven't seen a receiving
Speaker 1: corps like this one in terms of their size. I
Speaker 1: always like X in a battle, it's going to be
Speaker 1: about physicality. I think Cater has shown well in that regard,
Speaker 1: even if he's giving five or six inches of high
Speaker 1: on some of these guys, and that's also evident his tackling.
Speaker 1: And then from there it's I mean, every week we
Speaker 1: have this conversation, right X and Cater, and then what's
Speaker 1: what's next? Um I suppose it's about who's available and
Speaker 1: how do we want to approach it. We continue to
Speaker 1: see a mix of crossing and Nick monogeny, and I
Speaker 1: thought he played pretty well on Saturday and Justin Bethel
Speaker 1: and those guys had to take some kind of safety
Speaker 1: reps as well because of the depth at the position
Speaker 1: last week. So much of the Packers game is set
Speaker 1: up through the run in the screen game though, so
Speaker 1: really Aaron Jones as a receiver is one of my
Speaker 1: main focus is here. He has the most catches on
Speaker 1: the team fifty two and he's also scored five times
Speaker 1: through the year. Let's go ahead and take our last
Speaker 1: break right there and come back on the other side
Speaker 1: finished the last two position groups on this side of
Speaker 1: the football will do what's at stake and the three keys.
Speaker 1: That's next Drivetime Podcast, your host, Travis Wingfield, brought to
Speaker 1: you by Auto Nation. Our final segment here on a
Speaker 1: Thursday preview edition the pre Christmas addition, and Merry Christmas
Speaker 1: and happy Holidays to all of you out there and
Speaker 1: whatever you celebrate. I hope it's a great holiday for
Speaker 1: you and your loved ones. Let's go ahead and pick
Speaker 1: it back up with the offensive line verse defensive line,
Speaker 1: the Dolphins defense versus the Packers offense, and I think
Speaker 1: this is where you can impact the passing game to
Speaker 1: the point of taking away those deep shots that they
Speaker 1: want to get downfield to Watson in a speed sense,
Speaker 1: and then also those back shoulder kind of fifty fifty
Speaker 1: high point balls to Lazard that they throw to that exposition.
Speaker 1: David Batier, you had an emergency app and deck me
Speaker 1: a couple weeks ago. Doesn't sound like he'll be back
Speaker 1: against the Rams. It was Zack Tom at left tackle,
Speaker 1: Elton Jenkins, Josh Meyer's, John Runyon Jr. And Josh Nigeman.
Speaker 1: H The pressure numbers are really good across the board.
Speaker 1: It's it's basically twenty five pressures allowed by nidgement and
Speaker 1: then the rest are all like less than twenty. And
Speaker 1: they've all played a lot of snaps this year. Rogers
Speaker 1: Is time to throw is nine hundreds of a second
Speaker 1: longer than two of He also gets it out fast,
Speaker 1: but I'm trying to tell you. And the lines held
Speaker 1: up pretty well given all the injuries. Zach Tom shows
Speaker 1: up as a Day three pick and gives them a
Speaker 1: pretty really good option, you know, for the unavailable box
Speaker 1: Tr in his absence, and and Tom can play right
Speaker 1: tackle when box Tr comes back to Not many teams
Speaker 1: careening plays like that. Nigeman had a rough game against
Speaker 1: the Rams, but man he's been good all year. Just
Speaker 1: two sacks allowed. Leonard Floyd's pretty tough ask and he
Speaker 1: got four pressures on the green Bay right tackle. But
Speaker 1: what I saw that was successful. There was a lot
Speaker 1: of what I think Delan Phillips does well this year,
Speaker 1: where he rushes upfield and kind of cross that crossover
Speaker 1: step and swipe the hands away and that change of
Speaker 1: direction back inside too fast for most tackles to handle.
Speaker 1: Maybe we see some of that this week. This is
Speaker 1: why I get so geeked up about the stuff. Man
Speaker 1: Nijman has that tape against Floyd to prepare for Jalen,
Speaker 1: and I can't wait to see if he takes advantage
Speaker 1: of it or gets beat by it again. That's what
Speaker 1: makes this game so fascinating every week. Right, If we
Speaker 1: are going to limit this Green Bay offense, we need
Speaker 1: Bradley Chub to best a rookie at left tackle in
Speaker 1: situations when they leave him one on one, and if
Speaker 1: they help him, then it's JP time. So that's kind
Speaker 1: of my focus here. If you're gonna help on Chub, JP,
Speaker 1: go get it done. If you're gonna help on the
Speaker 1: other side, Bradley Chub, go get the job done. We
Speaker 1: need you guys against this quarterback that you don't want
Speaker 1: the blitz. Miami has plenty of rushers that primarily play
Speaker 1: at the opposite side, like Chub and Melvin Ingram. That's
Speaker 1: a hell of a lot to ask, uh for a
Speaker 1: rookie to go up against pass rush experience of those
Speaker 1: two guys. So if the youngster can hold up in
Speaker 1: this matchup, man, they have to feel really good about
Speaker 1: they have there. And Zach tom big test for him
Speaker 1: this week and for Miami too. You gotta get pressure
Speaker 1: on Rodgers and one on one opportunities with your best rushers.
Speaker 1: That's how you beat him. Inside. Elton Jenkins is one
Speaker 1: of the best guards in football. Then second year center
Speaker 1: Josh Meyers and third year right guard John Runyan Jr.
Speaker 1: Runyon has been awesome, really good and passpor great technique.
Speaker 1: It's funny how that happens with guys like him and
Speaker 1: pass Artan the second like who have fathers who are
Speaker 1: legends of the game, and they're averaging five point nine
Speaker 1: yards per rush off the b gap to the right
Speaker 1: side behind Runyon. Same story with Chris josh Meyer's almostaid
Speaker 1: Christmas second rounder from Ohio State and what a career
Speaker 1: he had there had one game against the Lions this
Speaker 1: year where three pressures allowed. But it's a bunch of
Speaker 1: zeros and ones other than that. Now, while we praise them,
Speaker 1: you guys know that we have in that position as well,
Speaker 1: with Christian and Zach Seeler. That's kind of the matchup
Speaker 1: of the game for me. How do Christian and Zach
Speaker 1: compete against that side of the line. If we get
Speaker 1: consistent wins there, keep the Packers in that long down
Speaker 1: on distance where they have to run deeper routes and
Speaker 1: hold the ball longer, and I think we have a
Speaker 1: great shot at victory. Otherwise, the Packers will be able
Speaker 1: to sustain drives, keep our offense off the field, making
Speaker 1: a tight game running backs and linebackers. We arrive at
Speaker 1: arguably the strength of the Packers football team. PFF loves
Speaker 1: Jones and Dylan, and I don't blame them. The grades
Speaker 1: are great, but look at the tangible acts here miss
Speaker 1: tackles forced. Jones has forty nine, Dylan has eighteen. It's
Speaker 1: five point two and four point three yards per carry
Speaker 1: for the individuals. On top of what we mentioned in
Speaker 1: the passing game, Jones is three point to seven yards
Speaker 1: after initial contact on average, is tenth among all running
Speaker 1: backs who have at least a hundred carries. He's fifth
Speaker 1: and miss tackles forced, and he's scheme flexible. PFF has
Speaker 1: him with a hundred and fifteen runs from zone sixty
Speaker 1: four and gap man scheme it's one for Dylan. So
Speaker 1: they do a good job of keeping you guessing in
Speaker 1: the running game, which tells you your eyes are very
Speaker 1: important because like in our offense, plenty of I candy
Speaker 1: false keys, pre snaps, shifting and motioning. And since we
Speaker 1: play a lot of that two gap read react style
Speaker 1: that Wilkins has really perfected again, makes for a fun
Speaker 1: matchup here now at linebacker Jones in the passing game. Man,
Speaker 1: that's the Packers most dangerous threat. From what I see
Speaker 1: on tape. You cannot lose Aaron Jones and the wash.
Speaker 1: You can't afford to get him out wide in one
Speaker 1: on one situations against our linebackers, especially with two way goes.
Speaker 1: We've seen that the last couple of weeks too often
Speaker 1: and it's burned us two times. And if you call
Speaker 1: on Jerome and Duke and that coverage rush speed deal
Speaker 1: with Jones, well landon Roberts. We've got a match up
Speaker 1: for you, my friend. He's playing so well moving downhill
Speaker 1: this year. That's just go forward, young man, and he'll
Speaker 1: need it again here. I thought the Browns game was
Speaker 1: his biggest test and his best game, which is obviously
Speaker 1: awesome to see now a j. Dillon six ft two
Speaker 1: and fifty pounds and that great video from the Wisconsin
Speaker 1: Minor League baseball game a couple of summers ago in
Speaker 1: which he decisively won in Oklahoma against the Mascot. I'm
Speaker 1: not sure there's a tougher tackle in the NFL than him.
Speaker 1: He's a short yard mayven. He can take your eyes
Speaker 1: off Jones and those two backsets too. And the more
Speaker 1: I dove into this matchup across the board, the more
Speaker 1: I'm realizing how good it is. Let's go ahead and
Speaker 1: get into the margins and special teams mentioned how well
Speaker 1: I thought Miami played on teams last week. They saw
Speaker 1: a good jump in d v O A from thirty
Speaker 1: second dead last up to twenty nine. The Packers two
Speaker 1: teams looking to get right more on special teams. Quietly,
Speaker 1: Jason Sanders found his stroke. He's nine for nine on
Speaker 1: field goals and eight for a on p A T
Speaker 1: s the last four weeks. He's twenty one twenty five
Speaker 1: this season, which is actually ten percent up from his
Speaker 1: rate last year. Thomas Morris had had that punt down
Speaker 1: the two yard line on Saturday Night. His rate of
Speaker 1: punts inside the twenty yard line is now over forty
Speaker 1: at forty four four, and his touchback rate is just
Speaker 1: three eight percent forty point three gross yards per point
Speaker 1: for Thomas Morstead and for the Pack, Mason Crosby's sixteen
Speaker 1: of nineteen he's been there forever. He's over two on
Speaker 1: fifty plus kicks and he has one miss in the
Speaker 1: forty nine range. So maybe we can force some long
Speaker 1: field goals and get some good field position that way
Speaker 1: this game. And then Pat O'Donnell has a touchback rate
Speaker 1: of just two point one and an inside the twenty
Speaker 1: yard line rate of forty seven point nine percent. His
Speaker 1: net is forty. What's at stake a lot. There's a
Speaker 1: chance Miami can clinch by week sevent team if the
Speaker 1: results follow a certain way this week. That's the Jets
Speaker 1: losing tonight, Dolphins win here and then win again against
Speaker 1: the Patriots. Boom, you're in the playoffs. So what's at
Speaker 1: stake besides shrinking your magic number too potentially one with
Speaker 1: two games to go, keeping pace with the Ravens and
Speaker 1: Archers and the seating as well. Chargers have the Colts
Speaker 1: on Monday night, Ravens get the Falcons on Saturday. I
Speaker 1: didn't expect them to lose those games, but if they do,
Speaker 1: we could jump either of those teams. That's really it.
Speaker 1: A loss could potentially knock you back into the in
Speaker 1: the hunt category, and after being eight and three, I
Speaker 1: don't want that to happen at all. Also, stop the bleeding.
Speaker 1: The last time these teams lost, this team lost three
Speaker 1: strade games. They hit their stride. But hitting a stride
Speaker 1: again starts with a strong performance at home in a
Speaker 1: time slot where you're the only game on. And that's
Speaker 1: three straight weeks of that. So another chance to put
Speaker 1: on a great performance here for our national audience, and
Speaker 1: I expect big things from the Dolphins team in this game.
Speaker 1: Three keys number one attack the edges in the running game.
Speaker 1: We mentioned already. Without Rashawn Garry, it's been tough going
Speaker 1: for them out there out wide. Continue to hit explosives
Speaker 1: in the passing game. This Packers defense has been liable
Speaker 1: to that at times with some spacing and zone issues.
Speaker 1: Go after that with what you do best to ten
Speaker 1: and seventeen, and then limit Aaron Jones and A J.
Speaker 1: Dillon's production. Everything funnels through those two backs. Shut them down,
Speaker 1: their offense will struggle. That's it. That's my time. You all.
Speaker 1: Please be sure to subscribe to the podcast on Apple Podcast.
Speaker 1: Leave us a rating, leave us a review. Follow me
Speaker 1: on Twitter at Linfoeld NFL. Follow the team at Miami Dolphins.
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