1 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:17,079 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to What Goes Up, a weekly markets podcast. 2 00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:20,280 Speaker 1: My name is Mike Eagan. I'm a senior editor at Bloomberg. 3 00:00:20,040 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 2: And numbldna hire a market support at Bloomberg. 4 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 1: And this week on the show, you probably heard about this, 5 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 1: but the Federal Reserve signal this week that even though 6 00:00:28,920 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 1: they paused this month, central bankers are expecting to lift 7 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 1: interest rates again this year. Yet the stock market took 8 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:40,960 Speaker 1: it all in stride and is continuing its riproaring twenty 9 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:45,239 Speaker 1: twenty three rally that's been largely driven by hype around 10 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 1: artificial intelligence. So what are we to think about a 11 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 1: week like this? Is the equity market right to fight 12 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 1: the Fed this time given all of the optimism around AI, 13 00:00:57,240 --> 00:01:00,520 Speaker 1: or is it time to sober up and get with 14 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 1: the feds program. We're going to get into it with 15 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:07,840 Speaker 1: a fund manager who manages a global equity fund. But first, Voldana, 16 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 1: I'm very excited for our Craziest Things segment because. 17 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:15,480 Speaker 2: Can I give a hand in giving a spoiler? 18 00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 1: All right, that joke's not going to make sense till 19 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:22,399 Speaker 1: later in the podcast, but I will confirm it's a good. 20 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 2: Joke and listeners, Yeah, I'm really sticking my neck out. 21 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 1: Here also a very off color joke, but. 22 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's actually really terrible. You know, our guest, he's 23 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 2: joining us for the first time ever, and he probably 24 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 2: thinks we're just two big weirdos. 25 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 1: Which is true. 26 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:40,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's true, but I really don't want to keep 27 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:44,199 Speaker 2: him waiting. It's Mark Barribow. He's the head of Global 28 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 2: Equity at Jennison Associates, which is the fundamental equity business 29 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 2: of p Jim. Mark, thank you so much for joining us. 30 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:52,240 Speaker 3: It's great to be here. 31 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 2: I promise our little intro will make a little more 32 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:58,880 Speaker 2: sense later, but maybe just to start out, you can 33 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 2: tell us about your at Jennison and what you do there. 34 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 3: I'm the head of Global Equities at Jennison, so we 35 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:12,000 Speaker 3: managed global equity portfolios, international equity portfolios, and emerging market portfolios, 36 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:16,679 Speaker 3: both small, MidCap and large caps, so that whole spectrum 37 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:20,639 Speaker 3: and our specialty at Jennison is growth equities, and all 38 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:22,960 Speaker 3: of our global products are growth oriented. 39 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:26,800 Speaker 1: So Mark, did what we heard from Jrome Pow this 40 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 1: week change your thinking at all about what took spect 41 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 1: for the rest of the. 42 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:34,080 Speaker 3: Year, Not at all. The big hit the equity markets 43 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 3: took last year was in response to the change in 44 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 3: Fed policy. We got the big rate increases, unprecedented really 45 00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:45,639 Speaker 3: for any rate cycle in the post war era, and 46 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:50,639 Speaker 3: that speed led to valuation declines across the board last year, 47 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 3: but particularly growth stocks, which dropped relative to value stocks 48 00:02:56,160 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 3: to their lowest level since the crisis eight. So the 49 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:02,799 Speaker 3: setup coming into the year is pretty good on a 50 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 3: value from evaluation perspective. And now the markets are just 51 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 3: reacting to earnings news and normal fundamental things, and that's 52 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 3: why I think it's looking pretty constructive. 53 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 2: Mark how difficult is it for the Fed to get 54 00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:20,239 Speaker 2: its messaging right going forward? Like they didn't hike this time, 55 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 2: but then they came out saying we do want to 56 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:27,960 Speaker 2: continue potentially hiking further later on this year. They see 57 00:03:28,360 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 2: growth actually being better than they had anticipated prior to 58 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 2: yesterday's meeting. It's such a like, how difficult is it 59 00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 2: going to be for them to actually message this to 60 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 2: the market and investors. 61 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 3: They overshot on the downside, they're probably going to oversheet 62 00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 3: on the upside. That's typically what the Fed does. Let's 63 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 3: say eighty to ninety percent of it's behind us, So 64 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:52,200 Speaker 3: I think that's why the markets are moving on. 65 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:56,480 Speaker 1: You, Mark, As I mentioned in the introduction, artificial intelligence, 66 00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 1: following the release of the latest versions of chat Cheap 67 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: is really captivated investors' attention. But I do think what's fascinating. 68 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 1: There's a lot of hype, but there does seem to 69 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 1: be some fundamentals attached to the theme, almost immediately when 70 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 1: you look at the outlook from a company like Nvidia. 71 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 1: I know, one of the top holdings in your Global 72 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 1: Opportunities fund Oracle last week saying their cloud revenue is 73 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 1: really getting juiced by AI as well. Yeah, I'm sort 74 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 1: of reminded of that old cliche that in the gold Rush, 75 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:32,240 Speaker 1: most people that got rich were the merchants selling the 76 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 1: picks and shovels. And to me, I feel like you know, 77 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 1: in this gold rush, it's the chip makers, the cloud 78 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 1: companies that are the picks and shovel merchants of this. 79 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 1: I'm just curious, though, with that all said, how you're 80 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 1: thinking about AI as far as separating the hype from 81 00:04:51,440 --> 00:04:56,719 Speaker 1: where the true prospects are the potential for fundamental improvement 82 00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 1: for various companies and various sectors. 83 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 3: Sure, I mean, well, at first I would absolutely agree 84 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 3: with you that the infrastructure layer that allows for this 85 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 3: accelerated computing to go on is the way to play 86 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:14,839 Speaker 3: AI right now, because we're in the R and D phase. 87 00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:18,719 Speaker 3: The applications are just getting developed, and it is going 88 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 3: to be a tectonic shift in technology for the next decade. 89 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:26,360 Speaker 3: It's the biggest thing to happen since the mobile Internet, 90 00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:30,400 Speaker 3: and so we're very excited about it. But again, the 91 00:05:30,400 --> 00:05:33,599 Speaker 3: best way to play it is through the infrastructure required 92 00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:39,080 Speaker 3: to do this computing. So that starts with high end semiconductors, 93 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:44,120 Speaker 3: it starts with cloud based computing workloads, and I think 94 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 3: investors will do quite well in that. And then as 95 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 3: we move forward, you're going to see more and more 96 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 3: software applications embed this technology that's already starting, but it's 97 00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 3: going to accelerate over the next year. This isn't a 98 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:02,880 Speaker 3: long term thing. You're not going to have to wait 99 00:06:02,920 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 3: three to five years to see what happens. It's going 100 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:09,840 Speaker 3: to start to come into every application that's important for 101 00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:14,360 Speaker 3: productivity purposes in the next four quarters, and then we'll 102 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 3: start to see separation like who's got the winning formula, 103 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:21,840 Speaker 3: who's developing unique applications that we couldn't even dream of. 104 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:25,920 Speaker 3: Maybe old companies that maybe new companies, we don't know. 105 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 3: But what's important, this is a real advancement in technology. 106 00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:35,599 Speaker 3: It's going to be utilized aggressively, and so I think 107 00:06:35,640 --> 00:06:38,839 Speaker 3: investors should definitely try to position for it. 108 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, and Mark, the other narrative of the year that 109 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 1: sort of has gone hand in hand with AI is 110 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:47,839 Speaker 1: what I refer to the top heaviness of the rally 111 00:06:47,880 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 1: that we've seen this year. The big megacap tech stocks 112 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 1: are really dominating the gains. And I'm curious how you 113 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 1: approach that as a fund manager. You know, as I mentioned, 114 00:06:58,160 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 1: Nvidia's one of your top holdings, do you have any 115 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:04,440 Speaker 1: limits on sort of how big of an allocation you 116 00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:07,000 Speaker 1: can give to one stock? Does it worry you at all? 117 00:07:07,040 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 1: This top heaviness? How do you think about that when 118 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 1: you're managing a fund like this? 119 00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 3: First, I would say, if you own these stocks in 120 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 3: your portfolio, you're really happy. Yeah, So I have no 121 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 3: complaints about the concentration of the market. So there's a 122 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 3: couple of reasons behind it. One, we started the year 123 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 3: at very low valuations because of what happened last year. Secondly, 124 00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 3: these companies are generating among the highest levels of free 125 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 3: cash flow you can find in the global stock market, 126 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:39,400 Speaker 3: and that's one of the reasons investors are flocking to them. 127 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:41,880 Speaker 3: It's because you don't have to take a lot of 128 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 3: risk to participate in a market rally. And investors still 129 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:50,360 Speaker 3: are a little wary about what's happening out there because 130 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:54,679 Speaker 3: the FED is tightened so much. So I'm not saying 131 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 3: there's a flight to safety, but there's a flight to quality, 132 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:02,040 Speaker 3: and so they're benefiting from that. And then of course 133 00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 3: the AI boom has ignited a catalyst for future growth, 134 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 3: and that catalyst really wasn't here a year ago. We 135 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:14,559 Speaker 3: didn't know where the next wave of investment spending would occur, 136 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 3: and now we know, and so that clarity is leading 137 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 3: the true companies that benefit from it to lead the market. 138 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 3: And then other things are participating. And so what I 139 00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:29,440 Speaker 3: would say right now is as we go into earning 140 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:32,200 Speaker 3: season the summer and go into the fall, you've got 141 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:35,400 Speaker 3: to be careful because you don't want to be exposed 142 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:38,760 Speaker 3: in stocks that participated in the rally but in reality 143 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 3: have nothing new to offer the marketplace, because those are probably. 144 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:46,760 Speaker 2: Correct and mark broadly speaking, what is the base case 145 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:50,079 Speaker 2: on AI for the average investor, for instance, So why 146 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:53,080 Speaker 2: might somebody be buying stocks right now based on the 147 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:56,839 Speaker 2: AI thme. Is it the idea that these companies have 148 00:08:57,120 --> 00:09:00,120 Speaker 2: so much cash and they, as you said, maybe will 149 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:03,240 Speaker 2: be putting some of it towards research and development, et cetera. 150 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 3: Well, you want to be in the ones that one 151 00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:10,959 Speaker 3: are positioned in. The infrastructure build out in Video is 152 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:12,079 Speaker 3: an easy example. 153 00:09:12,760 --> 00:09:13,319 Speaker 1: We refer to. 154 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,440 Speaker 3: Their earnings release on May twenty fourth is the big 155 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:21,480 Speaker 3: bang because in my history of doing growth equities since 156 00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:25,320 Speaker 3: the nineties, I've never seen a company raised guidance for 157 00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:30,520 Speaker 3: a quarter by four billion dollars. That's unprecedented. So their 158 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:33,720 Speaker 3: data center revenue is effectively going to double quarter over 159 00:09:33,840 --> 00:09:37,839 Speaker 3: quarter from four billion to eight billion. And again these 160 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:42,559 Speaker 3: are numbers that are staggering. So in Video's valuation, ironically, 161 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:46,640 Speaker 3: it has been declining the last month, not going up, 162 00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 3: even though the stock is because the power of that 163 00:09:50,200 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 3: earnings revision is so huge. With fundamental strength there, it 164 00:09:56,040 --> 00:10:00,400 Speaker 3: gives investors more confidence that you're not buying into hype, 165 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:04,640 Speaker 3: you're actually buying into real demand strength, and that's very good. 166 00:10:05,520 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 3: Other beneficiaries, of course, are Microsoft because of their asure 167 00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 3: cloud and their big investment and chat GPT, and of 168 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 3: course you have Google Cloud, and Google of course has 169 00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:23,440 Speaker 3: deep learning. It's also an AI expert, and Amazon's aws 170 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:28,559 Speaker 3: will probably benefit as well. So you have different ways 171 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:32,840 Speaker 3: where you're going to see positive revenue and earnings revisions 172 00:10:32,840 --> 00:10:36,559 Speaker 3: hopefully as the year goes on. From that pure investment spending. 173 00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 3: I think that's why the stocks are doing well, and 174 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:43,360 Speaker 3: you don't have to get ahead over your skis yet 175 00:10:43,400 --> 00:10:45,840 Speaker 3: thinking about what are the new applications that are going 176 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:48,959 Speaker 3: to come out that are very exciting I can't miss. 177 00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:52,120 Speaker 3: You don't have to worry about that yet. That'll develop 178 00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:54,040 Speaker 3: over the next year mark. 179 00:10:54,200 --> 00:10:57,520 Speaker 1: Earlier in the year and late last year, it felt 180 00:10:57,600 --> 00:11:03,120 Speaker 1: like the consensus really believe that a recession was inevitable. 181 00:11:03,240 --> 00:11:05,959 Speaker 1: Now's the year goes on, I think it's much more 182 00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 1: debatable whether this proverbial soft landing can actually perhaps maybe 183 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 1: be achieved. But I'm wondering how much of that plays 184 00:11:13,960 --> 00:11:17,800 Speaker 1: into the outlook for growth stocks. If we do see 185 00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:21,800 Speaker 1: a deterioration in the data, rise in joblessness, lower GDP, 186 00:11:22,000 --> 00:11:24,960 Speaker 1: or even negative GDP, how big of a risk is 187 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 1: that to this whole AI theme and the capital spending 188 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:31,079 Speaker 1: that goes along with it, that is propelling it. 189 00:11:31,760 --> 00:11:35,320 Speaker 3: Okay, First, on the recession outlook. I mean, the recession 190 00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 3: has been pre announced four or five times every quarter. 191 00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 3: Here maybe it happens. But we had a big downturn 192 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:45,200 Speaker 3: in home construction last year. We had a big downturn 193 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:49,040 Speaker 3: in Silicon Valley last year, big layoffs as you know. 194 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:53,200 Speaker 3: So you've had these rolling recessions and different segments of 195 00:11:53,200 --> 00:11:57,720 Speaker 3: the marketplace over the last year and so far this year. 196 00:11:57,760 --> 00:11:59,680 Speaker 3: I don't know what if we created one point seven 197 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 3: million new job that's not a recession. It's steady state, 198 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:07,680 Speaker 3: slow growth, so fueled by a powerful job market. So 199 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:10,520 Speaker 3: we probably do get a soft landing. I think that's 200 00:12:10,520 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 3: what the market is coming around to believe in. Now, 201 00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 3: what does it mean for growth stocks. It's really bullish 202 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 3: for growth if you go into a soft landing, because 203 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:23,080 Speaker 3: the average company is seeing a slowdown in its earnings, 204 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:27,400 Speaker 3: whereas growth companies will be putting up hopefully on average, 205 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:31,240 Speaker 3: double digit earnings growth. And that's quite a differentiator in 206 00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 3: a slowing, uncertain market environment. And that's indeed what we're 207 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 3: seeing in our portfolios. We looked at this data the 208 00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 3: other day because we've just gone through a big earning 209 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:46,439 Speaker 3: season and for the first quarter, that weighted average growth 210 00:12:46,480 --> 00:12:49,679 Speaker 3: in the portfolio was around fifteen percent. For the S 211 00:12:49,760 --> 00:12:53,320 Speaker 3: and P five hundred, it's three point two. You're finally 212 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:57,360 Speaker 3: getting rewarded for that growth again once that big reevaluation 213 00:12:57,480 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 3: reset occurred last year. 214 00:13:06,800 --> 00:13:09,560 Speaker 2: So your funds obviously are doing well this year. But 215 00:13:09,600 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 2: at the same time, you said today's markets are among 216 00:13:12,679 --> 00:13:16,240 Speaker 2: the most challenging we have seen in several decades. There's 217 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 2: a lack of visibility, contradictory indicators. Can you talk about that. 218 00:13:20,960 --> 00:13:23,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, it all starts with the pandemic, right, So we 219 00:13:23,360 --> 00:13:26,840 Speaker 3: had the V shaped recovery during the pandemic. It shocked 220 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:30,600 Speaker 3: the global economy. The growth companies did very well during 221 00:13:30,640 --> 00:13:35,360 Speaker 3: the pandemic because they were supplying everything from streaming entertainment 222 00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:40,720 Speaker 3: to laptops needed to work remotely. Digital transformation of companies 223 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:44,959 Speaker 3: as they accelerated their cloud deployments to make everything work. 224 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:50,719 Speaker 3: And so we had a big demand surge and then 225 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:55,480 Speaker 3: the hangover post pandemic as you adjusted to more normal 226 00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 3: rates of spending growth and for the whole economy, of course, 227 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 3: we had this apply chain problem which led to the 228 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:06,960 Speaker 3: inflation and that's eason. Now as supplies come into the market, 229 00:14:07,160 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 3: you're no longer constrained on any number of products, right, 230 00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:15,280 Speaker 3: and goods inflation has turned negative, services inflation still positive. 231 00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:20,200 Speaker 3: That's a very complicated environment with the FED being as 232 00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:23,840 Speaker 3: aggressive as they are, because the Yell curve would suggest 233 00:14:23,920 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 3: we go we might have a recession, but of course 234 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 3: the Yell curve predicts lots of recessions that never happen, 235 00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:35,600 Speaker 3: so that's not a certainty. And then you have different 236 00:14:35,640 --> 00:14:40,160 Speaker 3: economies around the world doing different things, which is actually beneficial. 237 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 3: So the US might be slowing, whereas China's coming out 238 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:47,200 Speaker 3: of the pandemic finally, so that's a good offset to 239 00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:50,800 Speaker 3: might slow down here. Europe seems to be doing okay 240 00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 3: for Europe, not a problem. There's a lot of cross 241 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:59,320 Speaker 3: currents that are very challenging. Now, getting back to one 242 00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 3: of the other point that was raised earlier questions the 243 00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:06,360 Speaker 3: other thing that's likely to happen we think in the 244 00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 3: next couple of years is a lot of good support 245 00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 3: for a number of US investment areas. And the reason 246 00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:20,680 Speaker 3: is we have this unprecedented combination of public industrial policy, 247 00:15:20,800 --> 00:15:24,680 Speaker 3: which we've never had before. So we have the US 248 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:27,920 Speaker 3: Chips Act, which is going to lead to the onshing 249 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 3: of semiconductor manufacturing in the United States. That's tens and 250 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:36,280 Speaker 3: tens of billions of dollars of capex that will occur 251 00:15:36,400 --> 00:15:41,440 Speaker 3: here on top of the Inflation Reduction Act, which is 252 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:46,240 Speaker 3: again leading to multi billion dollar build out of electric 253 00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:52,000 Speaker 3: vehicle and battery manufacturing as well as alternative energy systems. 254 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 3: So we have tremendous structural support in certain areas of 255 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:02,160 Speaker 3: capital spending wich we've typically not had in the US, 256 00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 3: which is structural and secular and has years to run, 257 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:09,120 Speaker 3: and we're in the early innings of it, so that's 258 00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 3: also very exciting. These are very positive trends that are occurring, 259 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:18,359 Speaker 3: maybe as the overall economy slows, but if you're invested 260 00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 3: in those segments of the economy, you're actually seeing strength. 261 00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:27,240 Speaker 3: It's really important from a stock selection perspective to weed 262 00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:30,600 Speaker 3: through those all of the different parts of the market 263 00:16:30,840 --> 00:16:34,520 Speaker 3: and just focus on those that have really good secular 264 00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:36,840 Speaker 3: demand strength, because I think that's going to work. 265 00:16:37,320 --> 00:16:39,680 Speaker 1: You know, Mark, there was a chart I must have 266 00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:43,600 Speaker 1: seen about a thousand times this year that basically showed 267 00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:49,800 Speaker 1: the Nasdaq one hundred and the inverse of some treasure yield, 268 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 1: whether it's the ten year yield or the real yield, 269 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:54,800 Speaker 1: and the thinking being that a lot of people thought 270 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:57,960 Speaker 1: there was this negative correlation. As interest rates go up, 271 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:01,840 Speaker 1: growth stocks should suffer for her. That's obviously if that 272 00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:05,880 Speaker 1: correlation existed, it's been demolished in the past month or two. 273 00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:09,160 Speaker 1: I think there's many cliff Astness and others who would 274 00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:11,920 Speaker 1: argue that that was a bogus correlation to begin with, 275 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 1: that we're being fooled by a simple overlay chart like that. 276 00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:18,760 Speaker 1: I'm just curious how you're thinking about that relationship between 277 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 1: interest rates and growth. Is it a valid headwind to 278 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:26,240 Speaker 1: growth stocks as an asset class? And I know you 279 00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:28,840 Speaker 1: like to focus on the quality with the strong balance 280 00:17:28,880 --> 00:17:31,320 Speaker 1: sheets and the strong cash flow. If you're thinking of 281 00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:35,159 Speaker 1: growth as a factor on its own, does interest rates 282 00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:36,560 Speaker 1: worry you at all about it? 283 00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:41,359 Speaker 3: Historically the correlation wasn't there, but it was there with 284 00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:43,400 Speaker 3: a bullet in twenty twenty two. 285 00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:44,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, as you. 286 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 3: Said, it's broken down this year, so it's not working anymore. 287 00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:52,679 Speaker 3: I think the only important part about that correlation is 288 00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:56,840 Speaker 3: just the step function change. So if you do go 289 00:17:57,000 --> 00:18:00,520 Speaker 3: from an interest rate environment that's been there for a 290 00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:04,960 Speaker 3: long time and then you jump rates up several hundred 291 00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:10,399 Speaker 3: basis points pretty quickly. That's a lot to ask for 292 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:14,199 Speaker 3: from evaluation perspective. You are going to get compression, and 293 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 3: we did get that. But once that happens, it's over. Now. 294 00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:21,200 Speaker 3: It's just the way we look at it. It's made 295 00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:25,080 Speaker 3: the best company win, right because you reset valuation across 296 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 3: the system globally, and now we'll see who has the 297 00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:31,200 Speaker 3: best growth and earnings growth, and that stock's going to win. 298 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:32,399 Speaker 3: That's our you. 299 00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:35,399 Speaker 2: I need to give a shout out to our colleague 300 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:38,679 Speaker 2: Katie Greifeld, who sometimes fills in as co host on 301 00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 2: this show, for thinking of the next question. But I 302 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:43,920 Speaker 2: want to pose it to you as well. I'm wondering 303 00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:46,920 Speaker 2: what you think of the two areas of the market 304 00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:50,680 Speaker 2: that are super hot right now, being totally polar opposite. 305 00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:54,119 Speaker 2: One is AI and the other is money market funds, 306 00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,120 Speaker 2: which are still seeing tons of cash coming in. 307 00:18:58,240 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 3: Yeah. I mean, if you can get at four percent 308 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:04,720 Speaker 3: or five percent yield and then the taxi jumpt ones 309 00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:08,560 Speaker 3: even better on a tack s adjusted basis, that's stiff 310 00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:12,800 Speaker 3: competition for stocks. So I think it's really hard for 311 00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:17,240 Speaker 3: the average stock to compete against that, for sure. But 312 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:20,520 Speaker 3: one of the reasons AI related names are doing so 313 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:24,000 Speaker 3: well is they do offer good competition because they have 314 00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:29,040 Speaker 3: the prospects for perhaps very strong growth going forward and 315 00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:35,159 Speaker 3: very strong current demand. So that looks relatively safe. So 316 00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:38,400 Speaker 3: that's how I would explain that. And then you're right, 317 00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:40,640 Speaker 3: you have that deep void in the middle that's not 318 00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:41,680 Speaker 3: really doing anything. 319 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, it kind of goes to what you said 320 00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:48,040 Speaker 1: earlier about it really being you know, when you look 321 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:50,920 Speaker 1: at a market that NASDAQ one hundreds up what thirty 322 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:53,560 Speaker 1: percent this year, you think, yeah, you think, oh, it's 323 00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:56,720 Speaker 1: this speculative frenzy, but it really is a chase for 324 00:19:56,800 --> 00:19:58,879 Speaker 1: quality and maybe safety on the other end of the 325 00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:02,200 Speaker 1: barbell with the money mark funds. But I've got to 326 00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:05,159 Speaker 1: confess this is one of those nightmare scenarios for me 327 00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:08,120 Speaker 1: when I have to pronounce the name of a company 328 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:11,560 Speaker 1: that I'm not sure how to produce in the video. 329 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:14,400 Speaker 1: In video, I can say in video, this is one 330 00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:17,399 Speaker 1: of those companies I've read. I've read the name a 331 00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:20,160 Speaker 1: million times is, and I'm not sure I've ever said 332 00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:24,399 Speaker 1: it out loud. I'm going to say Hermes Ermez is 333 00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:25,800 Speaker 1: that how you say, Mark. 334 00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:28,080 Speaker 2: Is she right about easier than the video? 335 00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:33,960 Speaker 1: I'm gonna you say Hermie, you say Sayers International, Yeah, 336 00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:41,920 Speaker 1: I purely in French. It's whereas we say in Philly Ermes. 337 00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:48,679 Speaker 1: I did want to ask you about Ermez and another 338 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:51,800 Speaker 1: top holding of the fund, lv m H two sort 339 00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:56,679 Speaker 1: of luxury good famous luxury European luxury good goods providers. 340 00:20:56,760 --> 00:21:00,840 Speaker 1: I mean there's two fcs surrounding companies like this that 341 00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:03,399 Speaker 1: I've heard this year. One is the China reopening will 342 00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:06,000 Speaker 1: unlock a lot of demand from China. The other is 343 00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:12,560 Speaker 1: high end consumers like Vildana over there are so many 344 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,600 Speaker 1: they are immunes to inflation. They'll keep spending. They're not 345 00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:21,639 Speaker 1: pinching pennies because cpis Ferrari another one, another one. You know, 346 00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:26,639 Speaker 1: I'm curious your rationale for having these Ferrari, LVMH, Air Miz. 347 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:29,800 Speaker 1: What's the rationale with having a heavyweighting in these guys. 348 00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:33,960 Speaker 3: Sure, it's very interesting because side by side with Nvidia 349 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:37,919 Speaker 3: and Microsoft and Apple and Broadcom, we have LVMH and 350 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:44,440 Speaker 3: Airs and Ferrari. So what makes them appealing? First? Their 351 00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:48,120 Speaker 3: business models, they're direct to consumer models. In other words, 352 00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:52,320 Speaker 3: you can only buy their product from their stores or 353 00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:57,280 Speaker 3: their website, So Louis Bhutan or air Man or Ferrari, 354 00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:01,160 Speaker 3: and you can't get access all their products. They'll sell 355 00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:04,960 Speaker 3: out very quickly because they ration their most popular products 356 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:10,600 Speaker 3: to maintain exclusivity and protect pricing and margins, and they 357 00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:14,440 Speaker 3: control the distribution so they don't get into inventory problems. 358 00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 3: They have pricing power and direct to consumer brand models 359 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 3: are the best in the world and they just happen 360 00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:27,560 Speaker 3: to have developed them over time. And so what you've 361 00:22:27,600 --> 00:22:31,119 Speaker 3: seen is the return on invested capital for these companies 362 00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:36,119 Speaker 3: has been rising quite significantly over the last decade, particularly 363 00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:41,480 Speaker 3: compared to say European market average, and that's because of 364 00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:45,760 Speaker 3: the business model superiority. Then you get to the economics 365 00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:49,159 Speaker 3: of their customer and yes, it's true higher and consumers 366 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:54,200 Speaker 3: are less exposed to inflation problems and pinched paychecks and 367 00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:58,280 Speaker 3: all of that, but the majority of the customers for 368 00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:03,240 Speaker 3: luxury are actually Neil and gen Z around the world. 369 00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:08,119 Speaker 3: It's not your old wealthy people, and so there is 370 00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:11,800 Speaker 3: a fashion element, there's a social element we don't quite understand, 371 00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:16,679 Speaker 3: but the spending is quite strong, so we like the 372 00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:20,760 Speaker 3: customer mix. They do a very good job managing their business, 373 00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:27,239 Speaker 3: keeping supplies tight, maintaining that exclusivity and pricing power, and 374 00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:32,000 Speaker 3: for that reason you generate really strong margins and cash flow. 375 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:36,440 Speaker 3: And again it's hard to find that consistently anywhere else, 376 00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:40,040 Speaker 3: but we have found it here. We really like the 377 00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:44,080 Speaker 3: industry from that perspective. But again we only go with 378 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:47,320 Speaker 3: the big leaders. We don't go across the industry. There's 379 00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:50,719 Speaker 3: only a few brands that have this capture the moment 380 00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:54,840 Speaker 3: with consumers, and we just like to stick with those brands. 381 00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:59,359 Speaker 1: Interesting millennial angle there. It confirms my image of Wildana. 382 00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:05,480 Speaker 1: Drive it around in your Ferrari with yorks Vatan bag 383 00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:09,040 Speaker 1: filled with I did have it ermes Thai one time, 384 00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,480 Speaker 1: hermes Thai one time, but it was actually a hand 385 00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:13,440 Speaker 1: me down from my older brotherhood. Very much more of 386 00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:31,439 Speaker 1: a passionate stuff than my Joseph A. Beggs mark. I 387 00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:33,760 Speaker 1: think we've established that I did not take French in 388 00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:35,720 Speaker 1: high school, but I did take Spanish, so I can 389 00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:39,280 Speaker 1: pronounce another stock in your top ten. I don't think 390 00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:42,000 Speaker 1: a lot of us listeners are familiar with this one, 391 00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,520 Speaker 1: so maybe you can talk to us a little bit 392 00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:46,080 Speaker 1: about Mercado Libre. 393 00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:50,879 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, that's one of our favorites. So there, you know, 394 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 3: think of them as the Amazon of Latin America or 395 00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:58,919 Speaker 3: the Ali Baba of Latin America. So they span the 396 00:24:59,080 --> 00:25:02,159 Speaker 3: entire region with an e commerce platform which is the 397 00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:07,480 Speaker 3: largest and in Latin America, even in the biggest market, Brazil, 398 00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:11,199 Speaker 3: e commerce is very underpenetrated. We estimate, for example, in 399 00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:15,560 Speaker 3: Brazil it might be around ten percent penetration of the market, 400 00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:19,280 Speaker 3: whereas in the US we're well above twenty China is 401 00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:23,840 Speaker 3: almost thirty and so there's a long runway of growth 402 00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:27,040 Speaker 3: for them if they continue to execute well to get 403 00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:31,919 Speaker 3: more and more people online shopping. And it's different about 404 00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:37,199 Speaker 3: e commerce markets in emerging markets versus developed like the 405 00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:41,919 Speaker 3: US is. You usually get another facet to the platform, 406 00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 3: and in the case of Ali Baba, it was financial technology. 407 00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:47,960 Speaker 3: In other words, how do you get people to buy 408 00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:51,600 Speaker 3: online whenether they don't have credit cards. You create an 409 00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:56,840 Speaker 3: internet based payment system and you allow people to load 410 00:25:57,080 --> 00:25:59,520 Speaker 3: money onto that, and then it becomes a de facto 411 00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:02,840 Speaker 3: payment system, not just for your e commerce site, but 412 00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:07,239 Speaker 3: people use it offline at a gas station, at a 413 00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:12,280 Speaker 3: farm stand, at a grocery store, pay your utility bills, 414 00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:16,359 Speaker 3: pay your Netflix bill, etc. Mercado Libra has the most 415 00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:21,040 Speaker 3: valuable payments platform in Latin America as well, called Mercado Pago, 416 00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:25,080 Speaker 3: and it's a big growth engine for them and a 417 00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:30,080 Speaker 3: huge source of profitability. So when you think about financial 418 00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:33,520 Speaker 3: access in Latin America or other emerging markets, it's really 419 00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:37,240 Speaker 3: important because they typically don't have access to state of 420 00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:40,840 Speaker 3: the art financial services. So once you start a payments 421 00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:44,680 Speaker 3: platform just to fuel your e commerce platform, all of 422 00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:47,720 Speaker 3: a sudden, you can start offering all sorts of financial 423 00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:51,159 Speaker 3: services on top of it at low feet and the 424 00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:54,359 Speaker 3: banking system doesn't offer it to the majority of the population. 425 00:26:54,920 --> 00:26:58,480 Speaker 3: So again you have another huge addressable market, unmet need 426 00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:02,879 Speaker 3: in the marketplace being solved for by technology companies. So 427 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:05,160 Speaker 3: that's that's why we like it so much. 428 00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:08,360 Speaker 1: Really interesting, you know, it's great to hear. We don't 429 00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:11,520 Speaker 1: often talk to global fund managers with global discussions, so 430 00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:14,320 Speaker 1: it's educational to hear about these companies we might not 431 00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:17,680 Speaker 1: know so much about. Well Mark Barrabou, he's the head 432 00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:21,000 Speaker 1: of Global Equity at Jennison Associates, which is the fundamental 433 00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 1: equity business at PGIM. Thanks so much, Mark, We can't 434 00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:27,000 Speaker 1: quite let you go just yet. Though. We do have 435 00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,960 Speaker 1: a tradition on the show where we all must discuss 436 00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:35,320 Speaker 1: the craziest things we saw in markets this week. And well, 437 00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:37,719 Speaker 1: don I'm gonna pick your brain on this one. 438 00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:41,440 Speaker 2: Wow, you're still going with the jokes. The jokes are 439 00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:43,040 Speaker 2: as you said, in bad taste. 440 00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:45,560 Speaker 1: The very bad tastes. Yeah, but you started it, so 441 00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:48,560 Speaker 1: it's all your fault I did. I'm not going to 442 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:49,679 Speaker 1: get Lindy a hand on that. 443 00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:54,080 Speaker 2: Oh my god, Okay, this but this really was It's 444 00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:57,359 Speaker 2: it's a market. It's a market, yes, but it's also 445 00:27:57,520 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 2: a really creepy, spooky story. 446 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 1: Right, No more, Ado, Without further Ado hit him with 447 00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:04,320 Speaker 1: the craziest thing. 448 00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:09,159 Speaker 2: The manager of Harvard's medical school morg got in trouble 449 00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 2: this week for stealing body parts and then selling them. 450 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,720 Speaker 2: This was a huge story on the terminal. So this guy, 451 00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:21,280 Speaker 2: he allowed buyers into the school's morgue. They chose body 452 00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:29,080 Speaker 2: parts from donated donors. Yep, and he transported heads, brainskin 453 00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:31,399 Speaker 2: and bones to his home in New Hampshire. 454 00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:33,879 Speaker 1: Now you were thinking, all right, is there these for 455 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:37,400 Speaker 1: organ donations organ transplant which would be a high dollar 456 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:41,160 Speaker 1: value I'm obviously most obsessed with the price discovery on 457 00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:44,000 Speaker 1: the body parts. You know, you hear kidneys selling for 458 00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:47,760 Speaker 1: hundreds of thousands and millions. Maybe, but no, this is 459 00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:54,640 Speaker 1: like Cat's creepy corner, like a retail store selling like macabs. Yeah, 460 00:28:54,800 --> 00:28:57,960 Speaker 1: scary stuff. I'm going to go one further because I 461 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,000 Speaker 1: did the due diligence to get some price discovery on 462 00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:04,120 Speaker 1: these body parts, and I'm not sure you did. So 463 00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:07,120 Speaker 1: I think that means we can play our little game show. 464 00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:10,160 Speaker 1: The price is precise, and I regret to inform you Mark, 465 00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:12,400 Speaker 1: you're now a contestant on that he doesn't want the 466 00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:14,040 Speaker 1: prices very good. 467 00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:17,960 Speaker 3: We're gonna test your Are we talking for transplant or petsod? 468 00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:23,040 Speaker 1: It's more like a novelty market. I'll give you an example. 469 00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:25,440 Speaker 1: I apologize this all is in very bad taste. It 470 00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:31,160 Speaker 1: but one guy purchased a bunch of human skin. I 471 00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:31,880 Speaker 1: can't even. 472 00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:33,120 Speaker 2: Say, Oh, this is so bad. 473 00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:36,720 Speaker 1: He purchased in Pennsylvania, my home state. It's just embarrassing 474 00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:40,080 Speaker 1: it would be Pennsylvania. He purchased a bunch of human skin, 475 00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:43,240 Speaker 1: then he tanned it and turned it in. No he didn't, Yeah, 476 00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:46,880 Speaker 1: which I gotta say, oh my god, I personally I 477 00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:50,320 Speaker 1: am an Oregon donor if someone took my skin and 478 00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:54,560 Speaker 1: made leather out of it, maybe a LVMH handbag or 479 00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:58,440 Speaker 1: an Ermes mark shaking it marks about the mark's about 480 00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:04,120 Speaker 1: to end this soon, he's gone anyway. Prices precise, and 481 00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:07,280 Speaker 1: what happened is the payments. Of course, where else would 482 00:30:07,280 --> 00:30:07,840 Speaker 1: they be made? 483 00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:11,080 Speaker 2: But Venmo, I'm surprised it wasn't via crypto. 484 00:30:11,360 --> 00:30:13,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, maybe there were some that we don't know about. 485 00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:17,920 Speaker 1: One customer purchased a human head. Oh my god, human 486 00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:20,200 Speaker 1: head number seven to be specific. So he would let 487 00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,640 Speaker 1: these people into go shopping around in the moor to 488 00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:24,240 Speaker 1: decide what they wanted. 489 00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:25,840 Speaker 2: This is so wild. 490 00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:29,040 Speaker 1: So human head number seven was paid for with a 491 00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:32,680 Speaker 1: Venmo payment. What do you suppose the price was for 492 00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:34,120 Speaker 1: human head number seven? 493 00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:36,240 Speaker 2: Twenty thousand dollars? 494 00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:42,080 Speaker 1: Twenty thousand dollars mark? What's your price's precise? Guess for human. 495 00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:45,000 Speaker 3: Because I'm not prepared for this at all, but I 496 00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:46,480 Speaker 3: would say less than a thousand. 497 00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:50,360 Speaker 1: Oh, that is why he is the head of fundamentals 498 00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:55,200 Speaker 1: and I'm not one thousand exactly? What yeah, yeah, one 499 00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:57,680 Speaker 1: thousand for human head number seven. 500 00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:00,600 Speaker 2: Because Pa do you know if you're getting right price. 501 00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:04,480 Speaker 1: It's a very thin market. Not a lot of liquidity 502 00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:07,960 Speaker 1: in this market. Which there's a joke, but don't make it. 503 00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:12,040 Speaker 1: Don't make it. There was one venmo payment with the 504 00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:17,760 Speaker 1: memo that just said brains with five eyes. It's winter 505 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:18,720 Speaker 1: Bucks for the brain. 506 00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:20,640 Speaker 2: Oh my god, I. 507 00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:22,960 Speaker 1: Think I've even disgusted myself with a segment. 508 00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:24,080 Speaker 2: This is horrible. 509 00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:26,480 Speaker 1: It's horrible, but Veldona secretly loves it. 510 00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:31,440 Speaker 2: You can go No, I just was interested in the story. 511 00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:35,240 Speaker 1: Mark. We apologize for that segment. We have to be okay, 512 00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:37,760 Speaker 1: we have to be true to our mission here and 513 00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:40,160 Speaker 1: that is truly the craziest thing. It really is. 514 00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:43,280 Speaker 2: It's wild. There was some other stuff. There were some 515 00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:44,320 Speaker 2: other good stories. 516 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:46,240 Speaker 1: Maybe Mark has a good one. Mark, you got any 517 00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:48,760 Speaker 1: good crazy stories for us, any good crazy. 518 00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:50,840 Speaker 3: I don't have anything. I don't have any I can't 519 00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:51,360 Speaker 3: compete with. 520 00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:55,280 Speaker 2: I'm so sorry, Mark, he's never going to come back on. 521 00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:58,840 Speaker 1: Well that was Mark Barrebeau of Jennison at p JAM. 522 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:01,440 Speaker 1: Really quite a pleasure to talk to you and hear 523 00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:04,440 Speaker 1: your insight on everything going on in the markets these days. Mark, 524 00:32:04,560 --> 00:32:05,760 Speaker 1: We really appreciate your time. 525 00:32:06,040 --> 00:32:08,640 Speaker 3: Thank you. It was great to be on and hopefully 526 00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:09,480 Speaker 3: you'll have me back. 527 00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:15,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna pick you my god Mark, I'm sorry 528 00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:17,560 Speaker 2: and thank you. It was great to have you on. 529 00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:20,440 Speaker 3: Thanks, we'll see you later work. 530 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,320 Speaker 1: What Goes Up will be back next week. Until then, 531 00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:33,080 Speaker 1: you can find us on the Bloomberg Terminal, website and app, 532 00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:36,160 Speaker 1: or wherever you get your podcasts. We'd love it if 533 00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:38,080 Speaker 1: you took the time to rate and review the show 534 00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:41,520 Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts. Some more listeners can find us, and 535 00:32:41,560 --> 00:32:44,480 Speaker 1: you can find us on Twitter, follow me at Reaganonymous. 536 00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:48,760 Speaker 1: Wildna Hirich is at Bildona Hirich. You can also follow 537 00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:53,360 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Podcasts at podcasts. What Goes Up is produced by 538 00:32:53,400 --> 00:33:02,400 Speaker 1: Stacy Wang. Thanks for listening, See you next time at 539 00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:03,760 Speaker 1: mentan