1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,360 Speaker 1: Let's look under the hood right now, and that with 2 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:05,560 Speaker 1: some of the individual movers. Christina Kino Bloomberg, Managing editor 3 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:09,879 Speaker 1: for Markets Live. Christine, let's start with the banks, starting 4 00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:13,560 Speaker 1: off the earnings recording season and the banks, what is 5 00:00:13,560 --> 00:00:14,640 Speaker 1: the big takeaway for you? 6 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 2: First off, Well, John, the big takeaway is that banks 7 00:00:18,079 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 2: do love all this volatility. Record stock trading revenue for 8 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 2: JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley so JP Morgan seeing a 9 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 2: forty eight percent increase in that revenue to more than 10 00:00:27,200 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 2: three point eight billion. Lisa mentioned that there is evidence 11 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:32,879 Speaker 2: that they're preparing for an economic downturn. Is very evident 12 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:35,520 Speaker 2: in what they're doing for the money that they set 13 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:38,159 Speaker 2: aside for sour loans. That's up to nine hundred and 14 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:41,200 Speaker 2: seventy three million, way more than the predicted to under 15 00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:45,159 Speaker 2: ninety million that analysts saw, and that is definitely one 16 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 2: of these size you know, they're shoring up there their 17 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 2: coffers and they're trying to prepare for what's to come, 18 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 2: which is potentially considerable turbulence. According to CEO Jamie Diamond. 19 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 3: Now, this record volatility, this wasn't accounting for the most 20 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 3: recent week, right because the quarter ended a couple of 21 00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:05,199 Speaker 3: weeks ago. So it's interesting that even before this week 22 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:06,000 Speaker 3: there's still problems. 23 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:07,720 Speaker 1: So they're going to see more trading problems. 24 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:10,679 Speaker 2: More basically, yeah, yeah, I think so. So there's going 25 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 2: to be a law for investors to like heading into 26 00:01:13,880 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 2: the second quarter. I mean that share shares though, are 27 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 2: kind of flip flopping. They're up just over two percent 28 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:21,679 Speaker 2: at the moment. We did see some pre market weakness 29 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 2: for for JP Morgan, so a lot of volatility again, 30 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:26,160 Speaker 2: but this is the sort of environment. 31 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:28,759 Speaker 1: Okay, that's that's the trading part. What about the other 32 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 1: parts where the banks make money or lose money? How's 33 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 1: that business doing? 34 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:36,119 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I mean they're still kind of it seems 35 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:39,440 Speaker 2: like they're still doing well. You know, looking at Morgan 36 00:01:39,480 --> 00:01:43,760 Speaker 2: Stanley for instance, they're also hitting a record trading revenue, 37 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 2: right so they saw four point one to three billion, 38 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 2: but the reaction to that seems a bit more lukewarm. 39 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,919 Speaker 2: I think we're seeing for Morgan Stanley though, higher expenses 40 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 2: for their part. That's at twelve point one billion for 41 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 2: non interest expenses because of the fact that they laid 42 00:02:01,840 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 2: off about two thousand employees in March, and you know 43 00:02:04,880 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 2: that added to their serviance costs of one hundred and 44 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 2: forty four million. 45 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:11,240 Speaker 1: Okay, so in terms of cost controls, who's doing what 46 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: that that's a big theme too. 47 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely, John, because I think you know, heading into 48 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:19,399 Speaker 2: the second quarter, we are seeing a lot of volatility 49 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 2: that's definitely going to be good for banks. But then 50 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 2: it's a question of are they going to be able 51 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:26,240 Speaker 2: to keep those costs under control and kind of really 52 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:30,840 Speaker 2: maximize the revenue that they can read from what's happening 53 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 2: in markets. And so yeah, there's a lot to be 54 00:02:33,760 --> 00:02:38,640 Speaker 2: said about differentiating between these banks if they're all generating 55 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:41,360 Speaker 2: really sky high revenues, and it's really going to be 56 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:45,280 Speaker 2: all about how they manage the cost side of things. 57 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:46,799 Speaker 2: And that's probably what the investor are going to be 58 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 2: looking at in terms of kind of which bank is 59 00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 2: doing the best and where are they going to be 60 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 2: putting their money for investors? 61 00:02:52,720 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 1: Right, what else are you looking at? 62 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:57,639 Speaker 2: Looking, of course, at some of the casualties of this 63 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 2: raging trade tensions between US and China, Texas instruments very 64 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:05,399 Speaker 2: much call in a cross hairs there. That's some more 65 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 2: than seven percent today and that comes after we heard 66 00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 2: from a Chinese Semiconductor Body, which said that the government 67 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 2: will put tariffs on chips based on where they're manufactured 68 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 2: rather than where they're shipped from. And so what that 69 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 2: does is it does clarify the kind of costs that 70 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 2: Texas instruments companies like Intel will incur if these trade 71 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 2: you know, terriffs will push through between US and China. 72 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 2: But it also makes it very clear that the cost 73 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 2: is going to be much higher than what they're dealing 74 00:03:38,040 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 2: with now, and that's really weighing on Texas instrument shares. 75 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 3: Christine, you're the managing editor of Markets. What else are 76 00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 3: you looking at? There's there's a lot going on in markets. 77 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 2: There's a lot in Marcus. I mean, you know, I 78 00:03:51,040 --> 00:03:54,120 Speaker 2: love a macro story. So you know, treasuries, John you 79 00:03:54,160 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 2: mentioned earlier. I mean, that's still very much in the crosshairs. 80 00:03:57,560 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 2: We're seeing yield higher across the board todayarticularly in the 81 00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 2: long end of the curved last light lookers. Ten year 82 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 2: yields up about eight basis points, thirty year yields up 83 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 2: about six basis points, and that really speaks to kind 84 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:14,360 Speaker 2: of I think the lingering inflation concerns that are stemming 85 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 2: from this potential trade war that's emerging, particularly between the 86 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:22,280 Speaker 2: US and China. So the two world's biggest economy is John, 87 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 2: I mean, you know, and Emily. I think it's really 88 00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:30,160 Speaker 2: impossible for the global economy to not feel the impact 89 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:31,919 Speaker 2: of that, particularly when it comes to inflation,