1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcas All right, 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: here we. 3 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 2: Go, ready in the court. Ten seconds remaining, so just 4 00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:16,240 Speaker 2: go show up to the basket. 5 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 3: Under the basket, it's the. 6 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:19,600 Speaker 1: True for the wind God. 7 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 3: A miracle. I water hit that one. 8 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 2: From the parking lot. 9 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 4: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by 10 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 4: DraftKings Sportsbook. I'm Mike Calibery's joined by Josh nun Aka 11 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 4: Duck and Christian o'jack gian for some midweek college basketball action. 12 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:40,559 Speaker 4: We're going to give you out picks for Thursday, Friday, 13 00:00:40,720 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 4: and Saturday coming up. These are some look aheadlines, so 14 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 4: we're going to try to give you a bit of 15 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 4: a range for the games that we're betting, the numbers 16 00:00:47,440 --> 00:00:50,280 Speaker 4: that we're hoping to get from sports books once they open. 17 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:52,159 Speaker 4: But as always, we're going to open up with kind 18 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 4: of a look at some higher level trends, some things 19 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:56,880 Speaker 4: going on in the sport. Writ large doc. I'm gonna 20 00:00:56,920 --> 00:00:58,920 Speaker 4: fire it to you first. I just wrote an article 21 00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 4: on Tuesday for The Post talking about Miami of Ohio 22 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:03,960 Speaker 4: their chance to potentially run the table in the regular season, 23 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 4: becoming the first team to do so. Heading into the 24 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:09,760 Speaker 4: tournament undefeated since the Zags in twenty twenty one. But 25 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:12,759 Speaker 4: there's a few teams with zeros in the lost column 26 00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:15,559 Speaker 4: and you're targeting one here for your high level look. 27 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:17,760 Speaker 2: I mean, we have to ask the question now. At 28 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:21,200 Speaker 2: this point the season is nebrasketball for real. The Huskers 29 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:23,360 Speaker 2: are seventeen and oh four to zero and big ten play. 30 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:26,480 Speaker 2: Rink Mast is just such a stud fifteen and a 31 00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 2: half points, six and a half boards, fifty assists on 32 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 2: the season. He can run the floor, he can shoot, 33 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:34,919 Speaker 2: he's a good passer. They're getting points off the bench 34 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 2: from Frager. Even Sam Hoiberg has elevated his level of 35 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 2: play this season to be down sixteen in the second 36 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:46,120 Speaker 2: half against Indiana and the intestinal fortitude that this group 37 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 2: showed to come back and win score fifty three in 38 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 2: the second half. Just a really buttoned up unit. Top 39 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:57,600 Speaker 2: thirty per Kenpom in offensive and defensive efficiency. Just excellent 40 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 2: defensive team. They don't enged to the line, they force turnovers, 41 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 2: they prevent offensive boards. Again, just a really buttoned up 42 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 2: defensive unit. Ken has these guys losing three games the 43 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 2: rest of the way, Michigan, Purdue, and Iowa, but he 44 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:16,240 Speaker 2: projects eight of their games to be within a five 45 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:19,359 Speaker 2: point margin, so closer games. So I've got a couple 46 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:22,640 Speaker 2: questions for you guys. With fourteen games left in the season, 47 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 2: how many games is Nebraska going to lose? And where 48 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 2: do they end up on the seed line. Let's set 49 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 2: the over under at five and a half on the 50 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 2: seed line. I'm interested to hear from you guys. 51 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:37,799 Speaker 3: I think they'll definitely be a top four seed. I 52 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:39,960 Speaker 3: would expect them to be a three or four seed. 53 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 3: They I mean, there's a reason that with the resume 54 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:47,040 Speaker 3: they have, like with wins against Michigan State, Illinois and 55 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 3: a bunch of US SAW wins, that they're only fifteenth 56 00:02:49,320 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 3: in kambombits because like they're really really good, but they're 57 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 3: a tier below these like elite teams. But there's at 58 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:57,360 Speaker 3: least ten of maybe twelve if you want to include 59 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 3: like a BYU or floor to Florida's back. So, like, 60 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 3: I think Nebraska likely ends up as a four. I 61 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 3: mean there could be some unforeseen, you know, tricky waters 62 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:09,840 Speaker 3: in Big Ten play. But I'm looking at their schedule, 63 00:03:09,880 --> 00:03:12,800 Speaker 3: like like when they play Illinois at home, I know 64 00:03:13,000 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 3: they already be Illinois at Illinois, Like that's a tough one. 65 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 3: But like if they beat Michigan or Burdu or something 66 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 3: like this, this could be like a two seed. But 67 00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 3: I don't know if they can be. I mean, it's 68 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 3: hard to doubt them, like you said, like they're so 69 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:29,640 Speaker 3: good on both ends, and they've won in different ways, 70 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 3: and they've won on the road, and they've been resilient. 71 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 3: They won low scoring games, they won high scoring games. 72 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 3: It's a really good team. Just the top the sport 73 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 3: is so good this year that it's hard for me 74 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 3: to actually be like, this is a top eighteen, this 75 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 3: is a legit title contender. Yeah. 76 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 4: In terms of the committee, they're made of human beings. 77 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 4: It's not consistency year to year where they always treat 78 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 4: you know, non conference momentum, how you play in your 79 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 4: conference tournament. They don't always treat it exactly the same. So, 80 00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:59,480 Speaker 4: say they end up losing three games in the regular season, 81 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:00,960 Speaker 4: but they was in the first round of the Big 82 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 4: Ten tournament. Like, does the committee say to themselves, see 83 00:04:03,640 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 4: they were always kind of a fraud throughout the year. 84 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 4: Did they give them the same treatment as if they 85 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 4: were a Michigan state, you know, doing the same thing 86 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 4: and saying all right, it's as though it's all the 87 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 4: success in the regular season, we're gonna look beyond, you know, 88 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:16,880 Speaker 4: an early flame out of the conference tournament. I'm skeptical 89 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 4: that they do that given the fact that Nebraska has 90 00:04:19,360 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 4: no hardwood history. That being said, I want to, you know, 91 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:25,160 Speaker 4: pivot and throw this question back to you. Duck. Any 92 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:27,480 Speaker 4: interest in Northwestern to be the first one to hand 93 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:28,800 Speaker 4: him an L on Saturday. 94 00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 2: I don't know if I have interest in necessarily calling 95 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 2: for that, but they've got some tricky games. Going to 96 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 2: the Barn and in Minnesota is going to be really 97 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 2: pretty difficult. Michigan on the road is tough. The rematch 98 00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:43,039 Speaker 2: with Illinois, I mean, they got to go out west 99 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:46,280 Speaker 2: and go to USC and UCLA at the end of 100 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 2: the year, and that could provide something tricky. And I 101 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 2: just I worry if this team experiences a stretch where 102 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 2: they lose three out of four, does recency bias kick 103 00:04:57,200 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 2: in and maybe they get dropped down a notch, Which 104 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 2: is why I pose the question on the seed line. 105 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:04,280 Speaker 2: I could see this group, with the magical run they've 106 00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 2: been on, if they struggle late in the season against 107 00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 2: really good competition and they have three or four losses 108 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:13,160 Speaker 2: and then they get bounced in the Big Ten Tourney 109 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 2: earlier than expected. Yeah, I could see them fall into 110 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 2: maybe the five line. But still, you know, either way, 111 00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 2: a fun basketball team and really a team that I 112 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:26,839 Speaker 2: think it'll at least peak our interest when it comes 113 00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:29,600 Speaker 2: to tournament time and where they get seated, who they 114 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:32,680 Speaker 2: have and there for for the first weekend, and maybe 115 00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:34,160 Speaker 2: a team that can make a little more noise than 116 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 2: we certainly expect at the beginning of the season. 117 00:05:36,680 --> 00:05:38,560 Speaker 4: Christian Duck just brought up the bar And you want 118 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 4: to talk about Wisconsin's gutty performance in you know, one 119 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 4: of the best regular season games of the year, you know, 120 00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 4: trading three pointers in the last five seconds, Tyson hits 121 00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:48,559 Speaker 4: won to tie it and then Blackwell walking it off 122 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 4: with a hand in his face knocking down what a 123 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:52,159 Speaker 4: thirty five foot or to win for the Badgers. What 124 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:54,600 Speaker 4: are your thoughts on Wisconsin and what that win means 125 00:05:54,640 --> 00:06:00,920 Speaker 4: to their upward trajectory throughout the season? Chairs the three 126 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:01,719 Speaker 4: on the way. 127 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 3: So well, like a month ago, they were coming off 128 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:17,840 Speaker 3: that thirty point loss at Nebraska. We knew Nebraska was good, 129 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 3: then we didn't know they were this good. And then 130 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 3: you know, in Milwaukee playing Villanova, losing in overtime, and 131 00:06:24,600 --> 00:06:27,560 Speaker 3: Nolan Winter's a crying post game, and this team's seven 132 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 3: and four. They haven't looked particularly good. They haven't beaten 133 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:32,799 Speaker 3: any of the good teams in their schedule to this point. 134 00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:36,360 Speaker 3: And you know, come back after the New year and 135 00:06:36,360 --> 00:06:38,280 Speaker 3: you lose to Purdue at home. It's not really competitive. 136 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:40,880 Speaker 3: Really flip their season on its head. The past three games. 137 00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 3: You beat Ucla at home. That Michigan game was unreal 138 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 3: for a bunch of reasons. But to get twenty six 139 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:49,080 Speaker 3: out of black Hole, twenty two out of Boyd, and 140 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 3: then for Billausis to come in hit five threes. That 141 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:53,480 Speaker 3: was supposed to be Austin Rapp, Like Austin Rapp coming 142 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:54,680 Speaker 3: up from Port was supposed to be one of the 143 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:56,719 Speaker 3: best transfer Port lads. It seems like a perfect fit 144 00:06:57,160 --> 00:06:59,440 Speaker 3: in this Wisconsin offense. And he's been hurt and when 145 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:02,159 Speaker 3: he's been healthy, he hasn't been good. And Nolan Winter 146 00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:04,880 Speaker 3: himself hits three threes, eight threes combined from your bigs 147 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:07,800 Speaker 3: to be able to bring Mara and these Michigan bigs 148 00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 3: away from the rim and spread them out fifteen threes 149 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 3: as a team that was just unbelievable. And then to 150 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:16,600 Speaker 3: follow that up, you have a trap game at Minnesota, 151 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 3: and as you said, Mike, the John Blackwell just knocking 152 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:24,680 Speaker 3: down that three was unbelievable. So shout out the Badgers 153 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 3: for flipping their season on its head this past three 154 00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 3: game stretch and looking starting to put together a tournament resume. 155 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:32,920 Speaker 3: We'll see how they're faired the best of Big Ten play, 156 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:34,800 Speaker 3: but definitely looking much better. And that's the type of 157 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 3: emotional momentum that you can really make a team believe. 158 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:42,000 Speaker 2: I thought it was stunning how they went on the 159 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:45,840 Speaker 2: road in a spot where Michigan should have been wide eyed. 160 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 2: Michigan played a stinker of the game before against Penn State, 161 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 2: almost lost, and you would have thought that the Wolverines 162 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:53,400 Speaker 2: would have been wide eyed and ready to go here 163 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 2: in Wisconsin, twenty three point underdogs, and they go, they 164 00:07:56,840 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 2: go on the road and get that win out right, 165 00:07:59,280 --> 00:08:02,720 Speaker 2: That was just it's a season defining win for Wisconsin. There. 166 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:05,520 Speaker 4: Yeah, to make that many threes, and so many of 167 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 4: them can test it as well. It's not like Michigan 168 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 4: was just losing shooters constantly throughout that game. Anytime they 169 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:12,640 Speaker 4: needed a three, they were making it. It feels like 170 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 4: in a college football game when your situational execution is 171 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 4: just one hundred percent every third down, every time there's 172 00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:20,800 Speaker 4: a ball on the carpet, like your team's landing on it, 173 00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 4: like those fifty to fifty situations Wisconsin. It was more 174 00:08:23,680 --> 00:08:26,560 Speaker 4: like ninety five to five against Michigan. But it is 175 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:30,080 Speaker 4: important to mention that it wasn't just a this is 176 00:08:30,080 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 4: a great win. No matter what happens the rest of 177 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:33,440 Speaker 4: the season, we can hang our hat on this upset. 178 00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 4: They continue to ride the momentum, and I think in 179 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 4: terms of their scoring spread and who can lead them 180 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:41,040 Speaker 4: on a given night, they have so much more upside. 181 00:08:41,040 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 4: In just really two weeks time, as Christian was saying, 182 00:08:43,520 --> 00:08:45,679 Speaker 4: they turned around the entire narrative on their season, and 183 00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:46,920 Speaker 4: now all of a sudden you have to start taking 184 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:49,640 Speaker 4: them seriously, not just in the Big Ten, but obviously 185 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:51,840 Speaker 4: as a tournament team later. They kind of have that 186 00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:54,760 Speaker 4: formula of being able to knock down so many threes 187 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 4: and being multiple offensively that kind of lends itself to 188 00:08:57,800 --> 00:09:00,240 Speaker 4: deeper runs that kind of come out of nowhere. My 189 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 4: trend that I want to talk about that's very frustrating, 190 00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 4: both as a fan and certainly as a gambler. Can 191 00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:07,320 Speaker 4: we figure out who's playing and one guys are coming 192 00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:10,439 Speaker 4: back from injury? Like this isn't Cyo basketball where you 193 00:09:10,440 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 4: could say they're just kids. You know, he has the 194 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:14,480 Speaker 4: flu where I pulled hamstring? Like who knows. It's like 195 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 4: they're all getting paid millions of dollars. The coach is 196 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:18,880 Speaker 4: getting paid millions of dollars. The TV rights to cover these, 197 00:09:18,920 --> 00:09:22,840 Speaker 4: you know, Power Conference games are massive. Mckel Brown Junior. 198 00:09:22,840 --> 00:09:24,679 Speaker 4: What's going on with his lower back? He was listed 199 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 4: as questionable, then he's out for multiple games, no update. 200 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 4: They're cagy with the media about it. That's ridiculous because 201 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:34,200 Speaker 4: obviously has a huge impact on Louisville. I mean, they're 202 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 4: kind of I saw this on Twitter. Someone tweeted out, 203 00:09:36,160 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 4: I think the analogy's app they're like a Ferrari offensively 204 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:41,320 Speaker 4: without their steering wheel if they don't have Brown Junior 205 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 4: in that lineup. And because of that, I learned my lesson. 206 00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 4: I got some bad intel. I thought he was going 207 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,840 Speaker 4: to play against Boston College. He doesn't. Then I figure 208 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 4: out that he's not going to play. He's officially listed 209 00:09:50,640 --> 00:09:52,240 Speaker 4: his out at least you know, twenty four hours ahead 210 00:09:52,240 --> 00:09:54,440 Speaker 4: of time against Virginia, they're a fade team for me 211 00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:56,959 Speaker 4: the rest of the way without Brown Junior in that lineup. 212 00:09:57,120 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 4: But they're not the only culprit. Like obviously, the Peterson 213 00:09:59,800 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 4: dry in Lawrence has been ongoing throughout the entire season. 214 00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:05,360 Speaker 4: I would just love to see some of these leagues 215 00:10:05,400 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 4: show some backbone and say you have to be extremely 216 00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:11,840 Speaker 4: descriptive with what's going on with some of these players, 217 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:14,560 Speaker 4: and some coaches even have the goal to hide behind well, 218 00:10:14,600 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 4: you know, it's a personal medical issue. It's like bullshit, 219 00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:19,680 Speaker 4: all right, When you're getting paid this much money, you 220 00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:22,200 Speaker 4: should be at the same threshold as professionals. In some 221 00:10:22,200 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 4: of these cases, these guys are making more money than 222 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 4: their pro counterparts. So it's just something that frustrates me, 223 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:29,200 Speaker 4: you know, throughout the season, it's very difficult to cap 224 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:31,720 Speaker 4: you know, looking at projected lines to begin with, but 225 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:33,720 Speaker 4: then also knowing that we're going to get very little 226 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:36,560 Speaker 4: intel even leading up a couple hours before the game 227 00:10:36,840 --> 00:10:38,760 Speaker 4: is just too much for me. All right, before we 228 00:10:38,800 --> 00:10:42,240 Speaker 4: get into our best bets for Thursday, Friday and Saturday, 229 00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:45,360 Speaker 4: if there's any rants that you're steaming on here. I know, Duck, 230 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 4: We've talked about the Miami Ohio RedHawks. I've written about them. 231 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:51,079 Speaker 4: What is your angle? And why do you think they're 232 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:52,440 Speaker 4: not getting enough respect this season? 233 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:55,000 Speaker 2: Wow? I mean it's the league they play in. They're 234 00:10:55,000 --> 00:10:57,959 Speaker 2: a mid major. Why are they not ranked? There's four 235 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 2: undefeated teams left in college Basket Nebraska, Arizona, Vandy, and 236 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 2: Miami of Ohio. And you look at the RedHawks three 237 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:09,280 Speaker 2: consecutive double digit league wins. Just destroyed Central Michigan by 238 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:12,280 Speaker 2: thirty nine on Tuesday. Ken has them winning the rest 239 00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:14,959 Speaker 2: of their games and finishing the league schedule undefeated. It's 240 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:17,560 Speaker 2: a fun style of basketball. We talked about this last week. 241 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:22,000 Speaker 2: Four or five legitimate scores, shooters galore, great passing team. 242 00:11:22,040 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 2: They cut to the hoop, well, they run the run 243 00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:30,120 Speaker 2: the open court well, I mean Peter Sooter, Brent Byer's bench, guys. 244 00:11:30,160 --> 00:11:32,240 Speaker 2: I mean, it's just a well oiled group. It's going 245 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:34,680 Speaker 2: to be a real fun group. Some bracketology groups have 246 00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:38,280 Speaker 2: them as an eleven, which is really teetering on at 247 00:11:38,400 --> 00:11:40,960 Speaker 2: large territory for Miami of Ohio. So it'd be a 248 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:43,520 Speaker 2: real fun group to keep an eye on. The rest 249 00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 2: of the way. Hopefully we can find some spots that 250 00:11:46,480 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 2: the that the Red Hawks are undervalued. But I mean, 251 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 2: come on now, at this point, let's cut the crap 252 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 2: and get these guys ranked in the top twenty five. 253 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:56,680 Speaker 4: As I mentioned my two article also available in the 254 00:11:56,679 --> 00:11:59,440 Speaker 4: Action Network ap their road schedule the rest of the way. 255 00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:01,600 Speaker 4: The average Ken Palm rating one hundred and eighty seven. 256 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:04,160 Speaker 4: So I still see out there in the market ten 257 00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 4: to one for them to have a perfect regular season. Yes, 258 00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:08,559 Speaker 4: they're going to have to get over the hump against 259 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 4: Kent State and against a Bowling Green team that anytime 260 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:13,959 Speaker 4: Campbell goes off there, you know they're certainly going to 261 00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:17,360 Speaker 4: be in a position to win if he drops thirty points. 262 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:19,960 Speaker 4: But outside of that, I don't see many teams they're 263 00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 4: going to challenge these guys. And as you mentioned, Duck, 264 00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 4: not only the shooting, you know, having so many different 265 00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:26,160 Speaker 4: players who can lead them on a given night. They're 266 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:28,480 Speaker 4: also a really good defensive, rebounding team. And what I 267 00:12:28,520 --> 00:12:30,760 Speaker 4: love is they can protect leads because they're one of 268 00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 4: the best foul shooting teams in all of mid major basketball. 269 00:12:33,960 --> 00:12:36,080 Speaker 4: And I'll just close out on my rants here because 270 00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:37,880 Speaker 4: I'm pissed that they're not in the top twenty five. 271 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:40,160 Speaker 4: This is kind of an annual evergreen rant for me 272 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:43,199 Speaker 4: in terms of the voters, both Miami of Ohio and Slugh. 273 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:46,400 Speaker 4: Why is Slough not getting any respect? They're also in 274 00:12:46,440 --> 00:12:49,240 Speaker 4: the received votes category of things like you know, if 275 00:12:49,240 --> 00:12:51,200 Speaker 4: it doesn't you know, come down to a crazy shot 276 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:54,480 Speaker 4: against Stanford who you know, that game could have gone 277 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 4: either way, and it certainly was kind of a wild finish. 278 00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:01,040 Speaker 4: I just think they're playing such a good brand of 279 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:02,640 Speaker 4: basketball and the A ten I thought had a little 280 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:05,040 Speaker 4: bit more street cred than this, because when you look 281 00:13:05,040 --> 00:13:06,240 Speaker 4: at the teams that are ahead of them, do we 282 00:13:06,280 --> 00:13:08,400 Speaker 4: really need an eleven and five Tennessee team in the 283 00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:11,080 Speaker 4: top twenty five instead of those two? Like I get 284 00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:13,560 Speaker 4: that obviously, there's a world of difference as a chasm 285 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:15,719 Speaker 4: between the quality of opponent that you're gonna play on 286 00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:18,199 Speaker 4: a nightly basis in a power league visa viv these 287 00:13:18,240 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 4: low and mid major leagues. But at some point you're 288 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 4: seeing who these teams are and to lose you know, 289 00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 4: a third of your games and still be considered a 290 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:29,640 Speaker 4: top twenty five team, I think it's just a little 291 00:13:29,679 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 4: bit much for me, And I think it also sets 292 00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:34,319 Speaker 4: up a bubble conversation later where the Committee's gonna do 293 00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:36,600 Speaker 4: what the Committee's been doing really for the past five years, 294 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:38,440 Speaker 4: which is like, yeah, it'd be great to have this, 295 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:40,679 Speaker 4: you know, thirty one and three team in, but like, 296 00:13:40,840 --> 00:13:42,720 Speaker 4: wouldn't it be awesome if we had one more team 297 00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 4: with ten conference losses in from the Big ten or SEC. 298 00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 4: Like I just I can see the train coming down 299 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 4: the track, and I'm a little bit pissed about it. 300 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:50,600 Speaker 4: But at this point, the. 301 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:52,959 Speaker 3: Only thing that's in their control is you can. 302 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:56,120 Speaker 4: Get yourself an at large bid if you win thirty 303 00:13:56,160 --> 00:13:58,959 Speaker 4: one games if you're Miami. Same goes for Slough. I 304 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:00,760 Speaker 4: think they can play their way into the nine or 305 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,480 Speaker 4: ten line situation if things keep rolling in this way. 306 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 4: And also it comes down to and it has in 307 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 4: years past when they do that Apple Apple's resume test. 308 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:11,760 Speaker 4: If you lose, not all losses are created equally. You 309 00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:13,400 Speaker 4: can't lose to a team outside the you know, the 310 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:16,280 Speaker 4: Ken Palm two hundred. Really if if they lose to 311 00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:18,640 Speaker 4: Kent State, you know, if they lose to Akron in 312 00:14:18,720 --> 00:14:22,080 Speaker 4: the MAC Conference tournament, sure, but they can't drop a 313 00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:24,080 Speaker 4: game to you know, one of the seller dwellers there, 314 00:14:24,680 --> 00:14:26,880 Speaker 4: all right, any final rant for you? Or should we 315 00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 4: get right to the pix here? 316 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:30,680 Speaker 3: Christian Well, I want to add on about the A People, 317 00:14:30,800 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 3: like I'm totally with you guys like rank Miami and 318 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:38,240 Speaker 3: Saint Louis, because if the argument against ranking them is like, oh, well, 319 00:14:38,280 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 3: on a neutral Tennessee would be favored Like yeah, no, crap. 320 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:43,240 Speaker 3: That's why the A People ranking isn't the top twenty 321 00:14:43,240 --> 00:14:45,600 Speaker 3: five on kempom or the top twenty five teams with 322 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:47,800 Speaker 3: the best adds to win the title. The ap pole 323 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:52,960 Speaker 3: is already like we acknowledge the fact that it's an imperfect, 324 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:57,680 Speaker 3: you know, outdated system comprised of writers who clearly aren't 325 00:14:57,680 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 3: informed on the national landscape, most of them. Right, there's 326 00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:02,600 Speaker 3: a Twitter account made for March that will tweet like 327 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:06,760 Speaker 3: ex writer for the Arizona whatever dropped Alabama after Alabama 328 00:15:06,760 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 3: went too and oh this week and rose Kansas after 329 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:11,080 Speaker 3: Kansas went oh to two, And it's like, there's so 330 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:13,200 Speaker 3: many unquality people. It's like, so if it's not the 331 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 3: top twenty five highest quality teams, let's if we're gonna 332 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:18,640 Speaker 3: go vibes based and have Nebraska eight when they're fifteenth 333 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 3: on cameo. Let's lean into vibes base if it's about, 334 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:24,040 Speaker 3: you know, getting the programs excited and having that number 335 00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 3: means something, you know, like Miami Highs Twitter account should 336 00:15:26,600 --> 00:15:29,040 Speaker 3: be able to tweet out, Look, we're being natually recognized. 337 00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 3: We're twenty fifth on camp. I'm sorry, we're twenty fifth 338 00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 3: in the eight people. You know what I'm saying. If 339 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:36,080 Speaker 3: you're gonna not have it be an exact science, then 340 00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:38,640 Speaker 3: lean into that and put Miami in Saint Louis in 341 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:40,520 Speaker 3: the rankings. That's how I feel about that. 342 00:15:41,240 --> 00:15:44,280 Speaker 4: I think you can do made for TV congressional hearings, 343 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 4: bring out the worst AP voter every month and then 344 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:48,880 Speaker 4: just have them in front of a firing squad of 345 00:15:48,880 --> 00:15:51,480 Speaker 4: people asking them questions, just like you were saying, because 346 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:54,160 Speaker 4: it happens every single year, and it's clear that either 347 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 4: they're not paying attention or they're having someone else fill 348 00:15:56,560 --> 00:15:58,800 Speaker 4: out their ballot for them, which has happened for years 349 00:15:58,800 --> 00:16:02,160 Speaker 4: in the Coach's poll. So yeah, it's it is really 350 00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 4: frustrating to your point, which is we have all the analytics. Basically, 351 00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:08,920 Speaker 4: we college basketball, I would argue is in the best 352 00:16:08,960 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 4: place from a collective community analytics perspective of any sport, 353 00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:16,280 Speaker 4: where it's like when you start to go through the aggregate, 354 00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:18,760 Speaker 4: you know, Mia and Torvik and ken Palm and all 355 00:16:18,800 --> 00:16:21,440 Speaker 4: these things, like we can pretty much slot these within 356 00:16:21,520 --> 00:16:24,600 Speaker 4: two or three spots where almost everybody's happy. But instead 357 00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:27,040 Speaker 4: we're just like, it's all vibes, it's all fields. It's oh, 358 00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:29,360 Speaker 4: you know, my granddaughter went to Saint Louis. I'm gonna 359 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:30,640 Speaker 4: throw them a bone and put them in the top 360 00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:32,560 Speaker 4: twenty five. Like that's where we are right now. 361 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:35,080 Speaker 2: Well, and think about what this is going to do 362 00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 2: at the at the in the middle of March, as 363 00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 2: we come towards selection Sunday, You're gonna get UCLA, Ohio State, 364 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 2: Mississippi State in the field, and it's going to come 365 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 2: at the expense of really good mid major basketball teams 366 00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:50,880 Speaker 2: that are gonna get left out. Santa Clara could likely 367 00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:54,080 Speaker 2: get left out. New Mexico or Nevada may or both 368 00:16:54,120 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 2: may get left out. You got the Big West, you 369 00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:59,800 Speaker 2: got uc Irvine, Hawaii, you see San Diego. Well, two 370 00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:01,720 Speaker 2: of the teams are gonna get left out. The A ten, 371 00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:04,159 Speaker 2: you could make a case the A ten should be 372 00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:06,480 Speaker 2: a three bid league. You're gonna get one team from 373 00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:09,360 Speaker 2: the A ten that's likely in it's it's it's you're 374 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:11,600 Speaker 2: gonna get these teams, like you said, a team in 375 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:14,919 Speaker 2: the ACC or the Big Big Ten that's seven and 376 00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:17,239 Speaker 2: eleven in league play, and they're gonna get in as 377 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:19,080 Speaker 2: a nine. And we're gonna have a lot of teams 378 00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 2: sitting at home. We're going to the niit that are 379 00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 2: really fun, deserving basketball teams, a trend that's continued to 380 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 2: kind of go in this direction for the last ten years. 381 00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:31,520 Speaker 4: Speaking of the A ten, Dayton to complete my rants, 382 00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:33,719 Speaker 4: like half their team's injured, Can we get any updates 383 00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:36,280 Speaker 4: on their front court? Like this team's impossible to bet 384 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:38,240 Speaker 4: on at this point. I think they just finished the 385 00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 4: game they want with an eight man rotation. They won, 386 00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:43,119 Speaker 4: but I don't think you can really trust the Flyers 387 00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:45,359 Speaker 4: laying points. So they're back to one hundred percent, and 388 00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:47,680 Speaker 4: certainly you know their bigs are so integral to what 389 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:50,640 Speaker 4: they want to do defensively. So if anyone's out there, 390 00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 4: if there's a mid major account, if somebody's following the Flyers, 391 00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 4: hit me up with my DMS. I would love to 392 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:57,120 Speaker 4: know exactly where they're at all. Right, before we get 393 00:17:57,119 --> 00:17:59,200 Speaker 4: into some actual bets, let's toss it over to Stucky 394 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:02,200 Speaker 4: for a word for our sponsor, DraftKings Big Bets. 395 00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:05,600 Speaker 5: On Campus podcast is sponsored by DraftKings sportsbook and in 396 00:18:05,680 --> 00:18:09,520 Speaker 5: partnership with DraftKings, our listeners get a great new offer 397 00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:12,640 Speaker 5: right now. New customers can bet five dollars and get 398 00:18:12,680 --> 00:18:16,199 Speaker 5: three hundred dollars back in bonus bets. If your bet wins. 399 00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:20,440 Speaker 5: Love the thrill of live betting, DraftKings has got you covered. 400 00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:24,160 Speaker 5: Bet live on star player props and in progress games 401 00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:28,119 Speaker 5: right as they happen. To get started, use promo code 402 00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:33,160 Speaker 5: BBOC when signing up at DraftKings. That's code BBOC when 403 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:36,119 Speaker 5: signing up with DraftKings for three hundred dollars back in 404 00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:40,040 Speaker 5: bonus bets. If your bet wins, the crown is. 405 00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:43,720 Speaker 4: Yours, Thanks Duck. Do miss out on our best bets 406 00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 4: By signing up for Action Pro. Action pro Lets users 407 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:50,160 Speaker 4: get real time alerts as soon as experts like Stucky, Duck, myself, 408 00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:52,680 Speaker 4: Christian everyone else in the app that you follow. 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You never 416 00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:14,280 Speaker 4: want to miss it when he puts that out there 417 00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:16,440 Speaker 4: because he is a market mover, so you're going to 418 00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:18,600 Speaker 4: want to take advantage of all of this with Action Pro. 419 00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:21,000 Speaker 4: Just go to Action network dot com slash pro to 420 00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:23,920 Speaker 4: get started and use promo code Pod twenty for twenty 421 00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 4: dollars off an annual subscription. That's promo code Pod twenty. 422 00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:30,679 Speaker 4: To get twenty dollars off Action Network Pro. Go to 423 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:34,000 Speaker 4: actionnetwork dot com slash pro to get started. On to 424 00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:36,440 Speaker 4: the reason why you're here listening, which of course is 425 00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:38,440 Speaker 4: our best bets. We're going to go through Thursday, Slate, 426 00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:42,360 Speaker 4: Friday and Saturday going to give you look aheadlines projections 427 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:44,480 Speaker 4: from Tourvik from Evan Mia, trying to give you the 428 00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:46,680 Speaker 4: best range that we can, but we're going to go 429 00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:49,400 Speaker 4: rapid fire style. We're going to start with Duck hit 430 00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:51,760 Speaker 4: me up with your favorite pick let's see, it looks 431 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:54,000 Speaker 4: like you got something on Yeah, you have a pick 432 00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:57,560 Speaker 4: on Thursday at a conference USA. Another natural rivalry between 433 00:19:57,680 --> 00:19:59,040 Speaker 4: UTEP and Delaware. 434 00:19:59,560 --> 00:20:02,960 Speaker 2: Yeah to look under projected about one thirty two, but 435 00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:05,159 Speaker 2: really good to about one twenty eight. UTEP on the 436 00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:08,760 Speaker 2: road has been just atrocious offensively. The Miners go through 437 00:20:08,800 --> 00:20:12,440 Speaker 2: so many long stretches where they settle for these long 438 00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:15,199 Speaker 2: contested jumpers. They don't move the ball very well, they 439 00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:18,520 Speaker 2: have careless turnovers, and the overall operations, specifically on the 440 00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:21,919 Speaker 2: road just looks terrible. They do this while operating at 441 00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:24,840 Speaker 2: the three hundred and twenty eighth slowest pace in all 442 00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:27,800 Speaker 2: of college basketball. Delaware will comply with the pace here. 443 00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:32,120 Speaker 2: The hens pace is three sixtieth nationally. These guys are 444 00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:34,879 Speaker 2: able to slow down Sam Houston and Kennesau State in 445 00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:38,720 Speaker 2: recent games. This is a game that may not break 446 00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:43,240 Speaker 2: sixty total possessions, and with the projected amount of turnovers, forced, 447 00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:47,440 Speaker 2: empty possessions, and just routine shooting, I think this is 448 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:49,880 Speaker 2: one where you're gonna want to bet under. UTEP's defense 449 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 2: is actually pretty good at forcing turnovers, and Delaware has 450 00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:54,400 Speaker 2: had a problem at times this year with hanging onto 451 00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:56,480 Speaker 2: the ball. I think we could see more empty possessions 452 00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:59,760 Speaker 2: here than expected, and this is going to be really 453 00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 2: really gross basketball. First one to sixty might win this 454 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:04,359 Speaker 2: game the duck real quick. 455 00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:06,639 Speaker 4: Martin Ingles be the head coach for Delaware, a long 456 00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,960 Speaker 4: time assistant under Bray at Notre Dame, but this could 457 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,119 Speaker 4: be the fourth straight year with fewer wins than the 458 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,800 Speaker 4: year prior. Do you think it's time for Delaware to 459 00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:17,119 Speaker 4: get a new coach in here in Newark? And if so, 460 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:20,600 Speaker 4: how would you evaluate this job? I know, in terms 461 00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:24,040 Speaker 4: of its overall difficulty Historically this hasn't been a program 462 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:25,800 Speaker 4: that's been to the Big Dance all that often. But 463 00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:28,800 Speaker 4: geographically you would think being in you know, the I 464 00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:31,399 Speaker 4: ninety five corridor where you have access to you know, 465 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 4: major cities like Philadelphia can go down to DC to recruit. Certainly, 466 00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:37,199 Speaker 4: you know Jersey has a ton of really good players, 467 00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:39,880 Speaker 4: even if you're getting the third and fourth tier players 468 00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:42,160 Speaker 4: from some of these areas. What do you think about 469 00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:43,400 Speaker 4: the job in general? 470 00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:46,720 Speaker 2: You know, leading the Bluepens just a tough, tough you 471 00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:49,280 Speaker 2: know they're in a good geographic location, but I think 472 00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:52,440 Speaker 2: they get overlooked by recruits where they have so many 473 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:55,159 Speaker 2: other options to go to other places. A ton of 474 00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:58,040 Speaker 2: schools in New York City or Philadelphia area, or just 475 00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:00,440 Speaker 2: a little bit farther south and you get into some 476 00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:04,120 Speaker 2: nicer weather. It's just a tough place, and it's been 477 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:08,080 Speaker 2: tough now for several years. I'm not necessarily willing to 478 00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:10,040 Speaker 2: say that they're at that point where it's time to 479 00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:12,560 Speaker 2: go in a different direction. But it's just one of 480 00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:16,560 Speaker 2: those tricky jobs in college hoops to try to recruit 481 00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:20,800 Speaker 2: and sustain building a consistent winning program. And now with 482 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:23,199 Speaker 2: the landscape in college basketball where it's at, I mean, 483 00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,440 Speaker 2: you're not building anything. Nobody has the patience to build 484 00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:27,879 Speaker 2: anything you want to win now. So with some of 485 00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:30,439 Speaker 2: the opponents they play consistently in conference to USA, and 486 00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:33,200 Speaker 2: with Liberty kind of having the chokehold on that league, 487 00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 2: it's just really really tough for Delaware. They're pretty up 488 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:37,159 Speaker 2: against it. 489 00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:41,200 Speaker 4: Here. We're in Stick on Thursday. I like Hawaii laying seven, 490 00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:43,560 Speaker 4: I'll go up to eight playing at cal Poly. This 491 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:45,080 Speaker 4: is just the fourth road trip of the season for 492 00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:47,240 Speaker 4: the Bows. They're two and one against the spread. On 493 00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:50,119 Speaker 4: the mainline. On those trips, they nearly upset Oregon if 494 00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,359 Speaker 4: they don't allow an offensive rebound and put back on 495 00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:55,160 Speaker 4: the final possession. The narrative's probably different with a win 496 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,639 Speaker 4: over the Ducks on their resume, I don't think that 497 00:22:57,720 --> 00:23:01,359 Speaker 4: they'd be sneaking into that cinderellic conversation. But because they 498 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,520 Speaker 4: did drop at sixty to fifty nine, I think they're 499 00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:05,560 Speaker 4: still flying under the radar a bit. Where they do 500 00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:08,359 Speaker 4: have is elite defense and that travels. They're second nationally 501 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:12,280 Speaker 4: in effective field goal percentage defense. Johnson, ru Leadef and 502 00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 4: Nemisha are just some really good bigs, and it's rare 503 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:18,080 Speaker 4: to have that kind of depth in your front court. 504 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:20,439 Speaker 4: You know, for a program out of the Big West. 505 00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:23,400 Speaker 4: It gives them rebounding, it gives them rim production cal 506 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:25,399 Speaker 4: Poly by the way, not very good on the glass, 507 00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:28,080 Speaker 4: and incredibly three point dependent. You can see that in 508 00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:31,040 Speaker 4: their shooting stats. They're three hundred and fourteenth in shooting 509 00:23:31,080 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 4: percentage but two hundred and nineteenth in shooting efficiency. So 510 00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:36,200 Speaker 4: they're reliant on those three balls falling and kind of 511 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,840 Speaker 4: making the math work for them. And then there's Hamad Musa, 512 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:42,040 Speaker 4: who is arguably the best scorer in that league. You know, 513 00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:44,560 Speaker 4: he's averaging twenty seven point two points per game across 514 00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 4: his last five on seventeen shot attempts per game. They're 515 00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 4: three to one in one against the spread in that stretch. 516 00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:52,960 Speaker 4: But full stop, I trust Aroan Gannatt to be able 517 00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,480 Speaker 4: to you know, make life harder on Musa in this game. 518 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:57,720 Speaker 4: He's got Dre Bullock, who, according to Evan Miha, is 519 00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:00,399 Speaker 4: the third best defender in the Big West. He's bouncy, 520 00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:02,800 Speaker 4: he's athletic, he's six foot six, he's long. I think 521 00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:05,080 Speaker 4: he's going to be a new nuisance for Musa in 522 00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:07,479 Speaker 4: this game. And if this guy doesn't go for you know, 523 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:10,160 Speaker 4: twenty five points, I think cal Poly is drawn dead, 524 00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:12,480 Speaker 4: even on their home floor. Evan mia by the way, 525 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:14,840 Speaker 4: would list this one as one of the bets. Not 526 00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:16,920 Speaker 4: quite a best bet, but certainly a bet that he's 527 00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:19,560 Speaker 4: leaning on Hawaii if it's closer to six, so make 528 00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:21,560 Speaker 4: sure to get the best number on the open there. 529 00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:23,959 Speaker 4: I'm also going to throw at Hofstra on Thursday night, 530 00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,520 Speaker 4: lant seven at Stonybrook, one of the shortest road trips 531 00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:28,840 Speaker 4: in mid to low major basketball, less than an hour 532 00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:31,560 Speaker 4: driving off to the north shore of Long Island to 533 00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:34,080 Speaker 4: take on the Sea Wolves. The Sea Wolf team. I 534 00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 4: mean they're in a tailspin. They've lost six to seven 535 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:38,480 Speaker 4: straight up and against the spread. Those losses by an 536 00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:41,800 Speaker 4: average of thirteen points per game. Hofser. Meanwhile, eight straight 537 00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:44,880 Speaker 4: wins just cracked the Ken Palm Top one hundred. Cruz 538 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:46,800 Speaker 4: Davis is one of the best offensive engines in this 539 00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:50,000 Speaker 4: entire sport, averaging nearly twenty two to five on forty 540 00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:52,800 Speaker 4: four percent shooting from three point range. I think Geno 541 00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:54,840 Speaker 4: Ford we just talked about Delaware. I think Gena Ford 542 00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:56,400 Speaker 4: is going to be searching for a job here. Nothing 543 00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:58,760 Speaker 4: seems to be working at Stony Brook for him right now. 544 00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:00,760 Speaker 4: They want to win games with their d but this 545 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:03,440 Speaker 4: team just flat out cannot shoot. So I would lay 546 00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:05,879 Speaker 4: up to nine in this spot. I'm hoping to get seven, 547 00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:08,199 Speaker 4: but you know, the flying Dutchman, I think, get it 548 00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:10,359 Speaker 4: done here now, Christian, you got a bunch of games 549 00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:12,920 Speaker 4: on Saturday that you're looking at. Talk me through Washington 550 00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:13,960 Speaker 4: against Michigan State. 551 00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:19,359 Speaker 3: Washington has just Washington one of the best offseason hauls 552 00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:21,480 Speaker 3: in the country. We just haven't seen him at full 553 00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:25,879 Speaker 3: strength yet. So des Claude miss last game for personal 554 00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:28,080 Speaker 3: reasons or rumors. What that was I had to do 555 00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:30,720 Speaker 3: with missing up practice or something like that. But Wesley 556 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:33,280 Speaker 3: Yates is trending to be back, might play tonight as 557 00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:36,920 Speaker 3: we're recording this Wednesday against Michigan and then Jacob Agnaseevitch. 558 00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:38,640 Speaker 3: I think I'm saying that right was the a Sun 559 00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:40,800 Speaker 3: Player of the Year at lipscumb He hasn't made a 560 00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 3: season debut yet. He could be back tonight, should be 561 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:47,280 Speaker 3: back Saturday. So just getting this team at full strength. 562 00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:49,800 Speaker 3: They've got a lot of positional size having Steinbach and 563 00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:52,879 Speaker 3: kept naying on the interior, you know, not many teams 564 00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:56,880 Speaker 3: can match Michigan State's physicality and size there. And if 565 00:25:57,040 --> 00:26:00,160 Speaker 3: Washington you know, gets punched them out by Michigan tonight, 566 00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:02,240 Speaker 3: we might get a bit more of a discount on this. 567 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:04,720 Speaker 3: We could be getting six or seven points potentially, but 568 00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:06,760 Speaker 3: I would play this to four or five. I think 569 00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:10,120 Speaker 3: Washington could win this game out right. Michigan State obviously 570 00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:13,520 Speaker 3: really good, second best defense of the country, top ten 571 00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:16,920 Speaker 3: in offense and defensive rebounding rate. You know they've been 572 00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:19,919 Speaker 3: they pummeled teams that they can bully, right, and I 573 00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,520 Speaker 3: just don't think I think Washington has the you know, 574 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:26,080 Speaker 3: the physicality the positional size in the depth when they 575 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:29,040 Speaker 3: have everyone to not get knocked around like that, and 576 00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:31,119 Speaker 3: on their home court, you know, Michigan State coming out west. 577 00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:33,280 Speaker 3: I think that's a spot where I'd like to kind 578 00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:36,840 Speaker 3: of buy loo on Washington, who's forty ninth on Kempon 579 00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:38,840 Speaker 3: right now. But I think this is a top twenty 580 00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:40,840 Speaker 3: five most talented roster. I'm not saying they're a top 581 00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:43,400 Speaker 3: twenty five good team, but you know they're a team 582 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:47,639 Speaker 3: that can definitely pull off a win when being counted out. 583 00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:52,360 Speaker 4: So eyes on Washington is Steinbach coming in from Wurtzburg, Germany. 584 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 4: I drafted him in my college fantasy league and was 585 00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:57,960 Speaker 4: really disappointed to find out that it wasn't Hans, it 586 00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:00,280 Speaker 4: was Honess because I wanted to throw around a lot 587 00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:03,120 Speaker 4: of Hans Boobie, you're my White Knight gifts from die 588 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:06,080 Speaker 4: Hard whenever he was playing. His brain's out, and he's 589 00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:09,560 Speaker 4: been somebody who's dominated certainly smaller teams on the low 590 00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:12,040 Speaker 4: block and on the glass this season. But I do 591 00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:14,320 Speaker 4: think it gives them a puncher's chance not to get 592 00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,280 Speaker 4: bullied against some of these stronger, you know, teams out 593 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:18,960 Speaker 4: of the Big ten. And I agree in terms of 594 00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:21,000 Speaker 4: them playing with a full deck. They're a team that 595 00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:24,480 Speaker 4: I believe power rankings will lag behind and spreads will 596 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:28,200 Speaker 4: also lag behind, because when they have their full accompaniment 597 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:31,040 Speaker 4: of weapons, the ball is going to move differently. Usage 598 00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:32,640 Speaker 4: is going to change a little bit, and I think 599 00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:34,760 Speaker 4: their offensive upside is going to be higher. Duck any 600 00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:37,240 Speaker 4: thoughts on the Huskies out of the Pacific. 601 00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:41,320 Speaker 2: Northwest, it'll look like a far different operation than the 602 00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:44,080 Speaker 2: team that struggled to put away Southern earlier in the season. 603 00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:48,520 Speaker 2: And we've talked about this quite extensively in college football, 604 00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:52,400 Speaker 2: where the travel across the country can be just such 605 00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:54,560 Speaker 2: a part of the handicap, and it is a tricky 606 00:27:54,560 --> 00:27:57,280 Speaker 2: spot here, And yeah, I think this could be one 607 00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:59,240 Speaker 2: of those spots where at the at the end of 608 00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:02,080 Speaker 2: this one, after it plays out, you're going to want 609 00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 2: You're going to have wanted to be on the side 610 00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:05,920 Speaker 2: of Washington. I think this is a good spot for them. 611 00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:08,440 Speaker 4: All right, let's rewind go back in time to Friday. 612 00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:11,520 Speaker 4: We talked about the Daton Flyers potentially getting healthy. We'll 613 00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:14,040 Speaker 4: see who's available in this game. You don't think it 614 00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:16,240 Speaker 4: really matters you're laying the big number on Friday night. 615 00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 2: Well, I mean, if you just look at Loyola, they 616 00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:22,160 Speaker 2: got boat raced in their last road game against George Washington, 617 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:24,520 Speaker 2: losing by thirty five. This team can't shoot the ball 618 00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:27,679 Speaker 2: very effectively, and their defense is just atrocious. Loyola's been 619 00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:30,920 Speaker 2: dealing with significant injuries to many of their key players. 620 00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:33,800 Speaker 2: Justin Moore missed against Davidson, tried to come back, played 621 00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:37,439 Speaker 2: just eight minutes against gw missed again against George Mason, 622 00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:39,560 Speaker 2: and it's just not good if he's not going to 623 00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:41,680 Speaker 2: give it a go. Kd. Dotson has missed the last 624 00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:46,360 Speaker 2: two games with injury. Xavier's Amos has scored a ton 625 00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:48,920 Speaker 2: of points over the years in his career in college 626 00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:51,720 Speaker 2: basketball and was expected to be a key player for 627 00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:54,640 Speaker 2: the Ramblers this season. Has only played in five games 628 00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:58,520 Speaker 2: for Loyola Chicago. There's just very little continuity. You look 629 00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:00,880 Speaker 2: at Dayton, They've won four in a row, six out 630 00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:03,200 Speaker 2: of their last seven, and they've had some injuries in 631 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:05,880 Speaker 2: the front court. But since going to a smaller lineup 632 00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:09,320 Speaker 2: deployed over the last four games, that has given Dayton 633 00:29:09,760 --> 00:29:14,000 Speaker 2: more opportunities to provide some on ball pressure, force more turnovers, 634 00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:16,440 Speaker 2: run out in space, and I think that that is 635 00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:18,640 Speaker 2: going to really be something they'll be able to exploit. 636 00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:22,360 Speaker 2: From Loyola Chicago, who really struggles to protect the basketball, 637 00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,120 Speaker 2: this should be a bloodbath on Friday night. 638 00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:27,040 Speaker 4: All right, let's sit back to Saturday for your next pet, Christian. 639 00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:34,160 Speaker 3: I've got a road dog, the Missouri Tigers at LSU. 640 00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:38,040 Speaker 3: Another team, another game, honestly where both teams are not 641 00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:42,920 Speaker 3: accurately represented by the metrics. LSU Diton Thomas has been 642 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:46,080 Speaker 3: the engine of that team. He's doubtful tonight, so presuming 643 00:29:46,120 --> 00:29:50,360 Speaker 3: he doesn't go on Saturday, they've lost three straight without him. 644 00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:54,320 Speaker 3: They lost two by double digits and then they lost 645 00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:57,440 Speaker 3: at A and M like Mike Mike Miwoko has been 646 00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:00,760 Speaker 3: really good and Max McKinnon has been really good as 647 00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:03,960 Speaker 3: well for LSU. But I don't know. Matt McMahon's kind 648 00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:05,520 Speaker 3: of on the hot seat. I know they're forty second 649 00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:08,480 Speaker 3: on kempond, but you know, and they have a nice 650 00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:11,240 Speaker 3: one over SMU, but got smacked around by text second 651 00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:13,320 Speaker 3: and they're own three in the sec. They've got Kentucky 652 00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:14,920 Speaker 3: at home. I kind of want them to be Kentucky 653 00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:17,240 Speaker 3: so that I can maybe get a better number here, 654 00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:20,040 Speaker 3: but since Mazook got Jayden Stone and Trent Pierce back, 655 00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:23,120 Speaker 3: I think this is like a really good offensive team, 656 00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 3: like a top fifteen, top twenty offense. And defensively, while 657 00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:28,240 Speaker 3: they're outside the top one hundred on the season, they're 658 00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:31,160 Speaker 3: the third best defense in the SEC in this small 659 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:35,160 Speaker 3: sample size of conference play. Like Mark mitchell is, is 660 00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:38,560 Speaker 3: he the most aesthetically pleasing player to watch. Absolutely not, 661 00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:41,400 Speaker 3: but he demands double teams. He's a great passer and 662 00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:43,880 Speaker 3: he can finish at all different angles on the inside. 663 00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:47,560 Speaker 3: And Stone has been a shot creator. He's been a 664 00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:49,200 Speaker 3: killer from beyond the ark. Trent Pierce is a six 665 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:51,840 Speaker 3: to ten shooter who's always spot up, ready to go. 666 00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:55,320 Speaker 3: Jacob Cruz probably the best shooter in the country outside 667 00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,360 Speaker 3: of Mom Chiulovich, maybe Tyler and Nickel, Like he is 668 00:30:57,400 --> 00:31:00,200 Speaker 3: that good. And they're just big, they got positional as 669 00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:02,280 Speaker 3: they're they're tough to guard. Anthony Robinson I haven't said 670 00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:04,680 Speaker 3: his name yet. He's averaging over two steals a game, 671 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:07,880 Speaker 3: and you know, still waiting for a little bit more 672 00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:09,760 Speaker 3: offensivelopment of him, but he's still a really good player. 673 00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:13,360 Speaker 3: I like Missoo a lot. The what sucks about them 674 00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:17,560 Speaker 3: is they are awful free throw shooting team, and sometimes 675 00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:20,360 Speaker 3: they're just a little big and slow getting back down 676 00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:24,880 Speaker 3: in transition defense. But I just think they're they're a 677 00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:27,520 Speaker 3: team that's undervalued and and has a higher ceiling like 678 00:31:27,560 --> 00:31:29,560 Speaker 3: they're They're the type. There's the teams in the middle 679 00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:33,280 Speaker 3: of your conferences, right in these power leagues that have 680 00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:36,000 Speaker 3: the upside to go take down the big dogs. And 681 00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:37,480 Speaker 3: then there's the teams that are in the middle because 682 00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:39,120 Speaker 3: they clean up who's below them. Like I think in 683 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:42,760 Speaker 3: the ACC that's like a SYRACUSE that's like an SMU 684 00:31:43,320 --> 00:31:45,240 Speaker 3: like last year mostly where it's like you're beating the 685 00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:47,120 Speaker 3: teams you're supposed to beat, and you never beat the 686 00:31:47,120 --> 00:31:49,680 Speaker 3: teams you shouldn't. Missoo's the team that they might lose 687 00:31:49,720 --> 00:31:51,920 Speaker 3: a game like that they should that they probably should 688 00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:53,640 Speaker 3: have won, but but they can beat the big dogs 689 00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:56,280 Speaker 3: because because of the personnel they've got. So I'm looking 690 00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:59,120 Speaker 3: at back Missoo. If we're getting some points there at LSU, 691 00:31:59,200 --> 00:32:00,720 Speaker 3: I think they went out right, but I'll try to 692 00:32:00,760 --> 00:32:01,680 Speaker 3: be smart to take points. 693 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:03,880 Speaker 4: I'm going to stick in the SEC and call it 694 00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:06,480 Speaker 4: my shot here. I think the Van Dy undefeated run 695 00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:08,520 Speaker 4: is over. I'm going to take the Gators money line 696 00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:11,880 Speaker 4: any plus money there. Florida has shown me their high 697 00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:14,200 Speaker 4: end play against the lead competition, you know, one point 698 00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:16,720 Speaker 4: loss a Duke, a four point neutral site loss against 699 00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:19,440 Speaker 4: Yukon where they led with under eight to play. They 700 00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:21,880 Speaker 4: have a lead rebounding on both ends, which can hurt 701 00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:23,920 Speaker 4: the commodoors on the glass. They don't give up much 702 00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:26,880 Speaker 4: inside the arc. They just need to avoid a fifteen 703 00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:30,240 Speaker 4: point or fifteen bomb, you know, three point performance from 704 00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:33,000 Speaker 4: bandy to hang arounds. And I think we also have 705 00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,239 Speaker 4: to acknowledge at this point Vandy's a great story. I 706 00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:38,400 Speaker 4: think they play such an aesthetically pleasing brand of basketball. 707 00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:40,840 Speaker 4: Everyone's kind of on board with this. I wouldn't say 708 00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:43,240 Speaker 4: it's a Cinderella story, but certainly not a program that's 709 00:32:43,280 --> 00:32:45,160 Speaker 4: been at the top of the SEC really in the 710 00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,720 Speaker 4: last twenty years. There are one hundred and thirtieth in 711 00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:50,200 Speaker 4: non conference strength to schedule. You know, their net sos 712 00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:54,080 Speaker 4: is forty fourth per kem bomb, Florida's is fourth. So 713 00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:56,640 Speaker 4: I just look at this as I think the Doors 714 00:32:56,640 --> 00:32:58,480 Speaker 4: have not played in a whole lot of sweaty, close 715 00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:01,760 Speaker 4: end of game situations really since mid December and Florida 716 00:33:01,760 --> 00:33:03,720 Speaker 4: I think has the recipe to beat them on the glass. 717 00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:06,320 Speaker 4: They're playing really good basketball. They got a nice little 718 00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:09,400 Speaker 4: three game winning streak going here. Therere being some quality 719 00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:14,120 Speaker 4: opponents Georgia, Tennessee, Oklahoma. I think if you told me 720 00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:16,760 Speaker 4: in March that this is an Elite eight team, I 721 00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:19,160 Speaker 4: wouldn't really blink on the Gators. I think they have 722 00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:22,440 Speaker 4: all the pieces if they can get some elevated play 723 00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:25,000 Speaker 4: out of their guards. But their bigs provide something that's 724 00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:27,960 Speaker 4: special even in a conference filled with so many future 725 00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:30,120 Speaker 4: pros like the SEC. So I think Vandy at some 726 00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:31,640 Speaker 4: point is going to drop one, and I love the 727 00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:34,440 Speaker 4: opportunity to get plus money here. I'll throw it to you, guys. 728 00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:37,680 Speaker 4: Do you think that there's any way for them to 729 00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:40,959 Speaker 4: slow down this Vanderbilt offense because it obviously has been 730 00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:43,400 Speaker 4: a well oiled machine the entire year, and the guard 731 00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:45,840 Speaker 4: play has just been absolutely outrageous for the doors. 732 00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:48,640 Speaker 3: What do you think, Christian a sneaky loss that Vanderbilt 733 00:33:48,720 --> 00:33:52,720 Speaker 3: had with Frankie Collins because he's an absolute menace defensively 734 00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:57,560 Speaker 3: and he allowed having him Miles and Tanner. You always 735 00:33:57,600 --> 00:34:00,240 Speaker 3: had two of them on the court, and you know, 736 00:34:01,120 --> 00:34:02,880 Speaker 3: it can bring down their minutes a bit to like 737 00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:05,360 Speaker 3: thirty two versus thirty six minutes a game and just 738 00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:07,880 Speaker 3: apply so much ball pressure. And those three are just 739 00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:11,279 Speaker 3: elite at that, and I think Boogie and Xavian could 740 00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:14,239 Speaker 3: struggle with that. But having Frankie in there, I'd be 741 00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:16,040 Speaker 3: a little bit more confident that Vanderbilt would be able 742 00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:19,960 Speaker 3: to be disruptive in force turnovers because if they have 743 00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:22,080 Speaker 3: to make up for the possession battle that they're probably 744 00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:24,840 Speaker 3: gonna lose on the offensive glass by forcing turnovers and 745 00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:26,640 Speaker 3: taking care of the ball. And I think that they 746 00:34:26,680 --> 00:34:31,400 Speaker 3: can win the turnover battle here, the turnover battle here. Still, 747 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:34,200 Speaker 3: it really comes down to Ken mcloughin Washington and no 748 00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:36,880 Speaker 3: Kara k You know, can they get out rebounded by 749 00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:41,520 Speaker 3: less than ten And honestly, I think they can. This 750 00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:43,480 Speaker 3: is definitely a tough spot. I totally think it's a 751 00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:48,479 Speaker 3: great byspot on Florida. But I've been a big Vandy 752 00:34:48,520 --> 00:34:50,560 Speaker 3: guy since the beginning of the season, and although this 753 00:34:50,640 --> 00:34:53,560 Speaker 3: is the first elite rebounding team they faced, like they've 754 00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:55,960 Speaker 3: really answered the call against everyone, and I don't think 755 00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:58,200 Speaker 3: their as out match against Florida as some people might 756 00:34:58,239 --> 00:34:59,160 Speaker 3: want to believe. 757 00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:00,560 Speaker 4: Duck come down on this. 758 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,319 Speaker 2: I like how Florida has responded. I think the last 759 00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:08,040 Speaker 2: three games. I mean we've seen them. We saw them 760 00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:11,280 Speaker 2: win the middle sixteen against Tennessee and take a close 761 00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:15,000 Speaker 2: game with seven eight minutes to go in the first 762 00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:17,000 Speaker 2: half and blow it wide open. And then they just 763 00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:20,120 Speaker 2: put their foot right on the jugular in the second half, 764 00:35:20,160 --> 00:35:22,239 Speaker 2: and I mean blew the doors off of Tennessee. And 765 00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:24,319 Speaker 2: then they come back on the road and respond with 766 00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:28,399 Speaker 2: this huge win against Oklahoma yesterday. It's a team that's 767 00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:30,839 Speaker 2: starting to peek. It's a team that's starting to find 768 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:33,880 Speaker 2: their form. They look better and better every game that 769 00:35:33,920 --> 00:35:36,680 Speaker 2: they play over the last I don't know month or so. 770 00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:39,160 Speaker 2: So Yeah, probably a spot. 771 00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:39,400 Speaker 5: You know. 772 00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:40,480 Speaker 3: I had a spot. 773 00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:43,840 Speaker 2: Circled for Vandy. Their big prove it spot, in my opinion, 774 00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:47,719 Speaker 2: was when they hosted Alabama on January seventh, and that 775 00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:50,080 Speaker 2: was one that they were able to speak out a 776 00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:53,840 Speaker 2: ninety six ninety win that they played let's call it 777 00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:58,880 Speaker 2: B plus basketball. I don't know, kind of an interesting 778 00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:01,000 Speaker 2: spot here. I think, you know, we'll learn a lot 779 00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:03,279 Speaker 2: about both teams going forward the rest of the way 780 00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:05,200 Speaker 2: this season. Based on how this one plays out, I 781 00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:07,720 Speaker 2: don't think it's the end all be all for either team, 782 00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:10,680 Speaker 2: but yeah, I don't want to fade Florida right now. 783 00:36:10,719 --> 00:36:14,400 Speaker 3: For sure, Boogie and Xavian's three point woes have not 784 00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:16,040 Speaker 3: been the reason why I thinks have gone on board. 785 00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:17,960 Speaker 3: They were one for eleven combined. Chinielo has been a 786 00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:21,720 Speaker 3: freaking monster. Condon playmaking has been really good. Six assists 787 00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:24,480 Speaker 3: last game. Obviously, how is the best player on this team. 788 00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:27,320 Speaker 3: And then Boogie just being a little more aggressive attacking 789 00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:30,399 Speaker 3: the basket and pushing pace. That's been the key. There's 790 00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:32,080 Speaker 3: still a whole another level of ceiling if those two 791 00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:33,680 Speaker 3: decide they want to start making threes too. 792 00:36:34,320 --> 00:36:36,920 Speaker 4: Yeah, when you talk about Boogie and Lee in the backcourt, 793 00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:39,560 Speaker 4: I think this is it's just a common struggle for 794 00:36:39,640 --> 00:36:42,239 Speaker 4: any of these Power Conference teams that have lots of 795 00:36:42,280 --> 00:36:45,080 Speaker 4: new pieces and new ball halandlers like it takes time 796 00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:48,319 Speaker 4: for people to really carve out their role and also 797 00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:51,240 Speaker 4: feel confident and aggressive. And Boogie's one of those guys 798 00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:54,000 Speaker 4: that the better he feels in terms of when it's 799 00:36:54,040 --> 00:36:55,520 Speaker 4: time for him to drive, when it's time for him 800 00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:57,920 Speaker 4: to be a facilitator, the higher the ceiling goes for 801 00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:00,759 Speaker 4: that offense because in terms of can I know what 802 00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:02,720 Speaker 4: I'm always going to get, in terms of them crashing 803 00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:05,239 Speaker 4: the offensive glass and getting those extra possessions, it really 804 00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:07,480 Speaker 4: comes down to guard play. As you were saying, If 805 00:37:07,480 --> 00:37:10,399 Speaker 4: it's then keep you know, the rebounding differential within ten, 806 00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:13,080 Speaker 4: then it's probably a good night for Vandy. I also 807 00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:15,400 Speaker 4: look at it as you can't absolutely get up played 808 00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:17,759 Speaker 4: at you know, the guard versus guard matchup in this 809 00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:20,879 Speaker 4: game and just have you know, Vandy do what they've 810 00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:22,960 Speaker 4: really done for the entirety of the season, which is 811 00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:25,560 Speaker 4: a pick your poison situation, and they're just killing people 812 00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:27,759 Speaker 4: on the perimeter. So it's a game I'm going to 813 00:37:27,800 --> 00:37:29,680 Speaker 4: look forward to watching. Regardless of what number I get. 814 00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:31,879 Speaker 4: I'm locking in on Florida. I still think that they're 815 00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:34,280 Speaker 4: a bit undervalued at this point in the season because 816 00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:36,560 Speaker 4: of the win lost standings. All Right, Dock, you have 817 00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:38,680 Speaker 4: one more play to get into here from a power 818 00:37:38,719 --> 00:37:40,800 Speaker 4: conference lane A big number on Saturday. 819 00:37:41,680 --> 00:37:44,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, Illinois projected spread about fifteen fifteen and a half. 820 00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:47,560 Speaker 2: Just a brutal sequence for Minnesota after losing back to 821 00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:51,040 Speaker 2: back home games by one possession each against USC and Wisconsin. 822 00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:52,880 Speaker 2: Now you've got to hit the road to Champagne. I 823 00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:56,160 Speaker 2: just don't know how it's going to go for these 824 00:37:56,200 --> 00:37:58,960 Speaker 2: guys on the road. And I could see Illinois having 825 00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:03,600 Speaker 2: a little closer than expected about with Northwestern today and 826 00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:08,319 Speaker 2: this spot could be one where Brad Underwood's group is 827 00:38:08,400 --> 00:38:12,440 Speaker 2: just completely laser focused here. I just feel as though Minnesota, 828 00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:17,520 Speaker 2: similarly to when they hit the road against Purdue in 829 00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:20,560 Speaker 2: early December, I just feel like this is a bad matchup. 830 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:24,880 Speaker 2: Illinois seventeenth and defensive efficiency eighteenth nationally in effective field 831 00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:29,239 Speaker 2: goal percentage, just an excellent team interior in blocking or 832 00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:31,640 Speaker 2: altering shots at the rim, and the number one team 833 00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:33,919 Speaker 2: in the country and not sending you to the follow line. 834 00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:36,520 Speaker 2: So I just don't know that Minnesota is going to 835 00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:38,680 Speaker 2: be able to make shots over the top on these guys. 836 00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:40,840 Speaker 2: Just feel like it's a bad matchup for Nico and 837 00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:43,920 Speaker 2: the Gophers here. So at fifteen sixteen, I'm going to 838 00:38:43,960 --> 00:38:45,240 Speaker 2: be looking to lay it with Illinois. 839 00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:48,520 Speaker 4: Any thoughts there, Christian, I know you're headed out to 840 00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:50,320 Speaker 4: a game tonight in Big Ten country. 841 00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:57,200 Speaker 3: I think that's that's sharp, Dug. Like Minnesota is definitely 842 00:38:57,440 --> 00:39:00,120 Speaker 3: well coached, and going to be frisky at home, but 843 00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:01,799 Speaker 3: there's going to be some road games where it's like 844 00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:04,239 Speaker 3: you're asking Kaid Tyson to go for twenty five and 845 00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:07,040 Speaker 3: like Crocker Johnson say, out of foul trouble and Reynolds, 846 00:39:07,560 --> 00:39:09,960 Speaker 3: you're just a lot needs to go right. You've did 847 00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:11,840 Speaker 3: a five lag parlay for Minnesota to go win on 848 00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:13,799 Speaker 3: the road, right, And Illinois is the type of team 849 00:39:13,800 --> 00:39:16,600 Speaker 3: where it could get ugly quick and I think that, 850 00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:19,480 Speaker 3: But I think Northwestern is gonna be frisky tonight one 851 00:39:19,520 --> 00:39:22,040 Speaker 3: hundred percent. They take care of the basketball and they 852 00:39:22,080 --> 00:39:24,560 Speaker 3: beat Illinois at home last year in overtime. You know, 853 00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:28,120 Speaker 3: they know how to scheme it to uh, you know, 854 00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:31,560 Speaker 3: make Illinois take a lot of threes, which obviously they're 855 00:39:31,640 --> 00:39:33,359 Speaker 3: they're a very good three point shooting team, but it's 856 00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:35,560 Speaker 3: like they have a better chance of stopping that than 857 00:39:35,600 --> 00:39:38,880 Speaker 3: stopping Starokovic, you know, one on one down low or 858 00:39:39,000 --> 00:39:41,240 Speaker 3: v Sitch one on one down low. And then offensively, 859 00:39:41,239 --> 00:39:45,600 Speaker 3: because they're so unique playing through Martin Ellie and you know, 860 00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:47,799 Speaker 3: not having like super great guards trying to beat other 861 00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:50,640 Speaker 3: it's not like, uh, I don't know, Illinois likes to 862 00:39:50,640 --> 00:39:54,040 Speaker 3: set the terms defensively, and they've been much better defensively 863 00:39:54,080 --> 00:39:56,279 Speaker 3: this year, but I don't know they can kind of 864 00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:58,000 Speaker 3: do that. But Northwestern is a weird team. They're gonna 865 00:39:58,000 --> 00:39:59,960 Speaker 3: have their gross half court possessions that are gonna sometime 866 00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:02,440 Speaker 3: I send up with the baskets, and don't be surprised 867 00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:05,960 Speaker 3: if that's like, I don't know, seventy seventy to sixty 868 00:40:05,960 --> 00:40:07,200 Speaker 3: five or something like that. Tonight. 869 00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:09,440 Speaker 4: Now, before we get out here, let's put together a 870 00:40:09,520 --> 00:40:12,640 Speaker 4: quick three leg parlay over on DraftKings with our favorite 871 00:40:12,640 --> 00:40:14,680 Speaker 4: plays from this episode Duck get us started. 872 00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:16,880 Speaker 2: I won't cover it again because we just did, but 873 00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:18,400 Speaker 2: I'll roll with Illinois. 874 00:40:18,760 --> 00:40:20,520 Speaker 4: All right, you're rolling with Illinois, Christian. 875 00:40:20,560 --> 00:40:24,520 Speaker 3: What do you got, missou on the road? Lsu, we're 876 00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:26,839 Speaker 3: taking We're getting the odds of this juice stop. We're 877 00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:29,080 Speaker 3: gonna take a plus one to seventy five or whatever 878 00:40:29,120 --> 00:40:31,320 Speaker 3: it is on the money line and get this parlay 879 00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:31,839 Speaker 3: juice up. 880 00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:35,000 Speaker 4: All right, I'm gonna lay the seven or eight with 881 00:40:35,120 --> 00:40:38,080 Speaker 4: the flying Dutchman Hofster playing the Battle of Long Island 882 00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:39,920 Speaker 4: on the north shore. I think they're gonna blow the 883 00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:41,960 Speaker 4: doors off of Soony Brook when you put it all together, 884 00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:44,360 Speaker 4: Hopefully you're gonna get the best number over on DraftKings 885 00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:46,880 Speaker 4: plus A fifty plus nine hundred now that we have 886 00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:51,080 Speaker 4: Christian's money line underdog as well, this is our DraftKings 887 00:40:51,160 --> 00:40:54,360 Speaker 4: College hoops parlay for the week. The crown is yours. 888 00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:56,919 Speaker 4: That'll do it for today's episode of the Big Bets 889 00:40:56,960 --> 00:41:00,000 Speaker 4: on Campus podcast presented by DraftKings. My thanks to Duck 890 00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:02,400 Speaker 4: and Christian for joining me. Be sure to subscribe to 891 00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:05,080 Speaker 4: the podcast and don't miss anything on our YouTube feed 892 00:41:05,160 --> 00:41:07,680 Speaker 4: as well, So go over there and subscribe, Drop us 893 00:41:07,680 --> 00:41:10,719 Speaker 4: alike and a five star rating and review would be phenomenal. 894 00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:13,239 Speaker 4: The next one then mentions Christian, Duck and myself, we're 895 00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:16,360 Speaker 4: going to go ahead and give a ten dollars future 896 00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:20,200 Speaker 4: ticket anything you want Wooden Final four National Championship. Get 897 00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:22,240 Speaker 4: you involved. We want everybody to get to the window 898 00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:25,320 Speaker 4: this season. That's it for the episode. Thanks as always 899 00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:27,120 Speaker 4: for tuning in, and best of. 900 00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:28,400 Speaker 3: Luck with all your best. 901 00:41:46,560 --> 00:41:51,080 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 902 00:41:51,120 --> 00:41:53,920 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help us 903 00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:57,080 Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred. Gambler