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Speaker 1: What does guys? How? Are you welcome into a Friday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Dally Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Paralt. You guys can follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt Ooh, I forgot my glasses when I'm

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Speaker 1: staring at screams. This is my Mike Clark Kent. Look

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Speaker 1: as we go into the you know Superman. Look. So

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Speaker 1: here we are on Bettingpros dot Com. Always being brought

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars ten dollars on any event, including

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Speaker 1: two bowl games today that we'll get into. Use that

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Speaker 1: you ten bucks to win one hundred and fifty dollars

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Speaker 1: on any event. Promo code juice one fifty. All right,

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Speaker 1: A four and one night last night, four and one.

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Speaker 1: The problem is, and it was a winning night. It

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Speaker 1: could have been a monster night. Instead, it's a little win.

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Speaker 1: We get both college basketball bets right, Seaton Hall plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half. Iowa State blows the doors off

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Speaker 1: of Iowa And I told you last year and really

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Speaker 1: last two years. I told you that tg Otzenberger was

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Speaker 1: a tremendous coach. He's a great coach. He just had

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Speaker 1: it was a bad fit you and LD was not

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Speaker 1: the good place. That the best place for him. He

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Speaker 1: is doing remarkable things with the Cyclones. I could not

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Speaker 1: be happier for him, for Iowa State, for Jamie Pollard

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Speaker 1: for that matter, for making the call and bringing TJ back.

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Speaker 1: And he should have gotten the job like ten years ago.

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Speaker 1: But they just they finally got it right. And look

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Speaker 1: what Iowa State is. What are they nine and zero

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Speaker 1: now nationally ranked and they blew the doors off of

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Speaker 1: Iowa State of Iowa. They've beaten Creighton. I mean it's

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Speaker 1: in back to back games. I mean they beat Memphis.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Iowa State's a really fun team to watch.

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Speaker 1: They're hard to play against. They play top, they play physical,

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Speaker 1: blowout win. That line movement was totally wrong. Closed at

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Speaker 1: five and a half. We laid four and a half.

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Speaker 1: So a good night betting college basketball. Both prop bets

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Speaker 1: hit the mooth touchdown anytime touchdown at plus one ninety.

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Speaker 1: He comes in if he catches that ball at the end,

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Speaker 1: though we do get the kJ Osbourne over forty two

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Speaker 1: and a half thanks to Dan Harris. It was his

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Speaker 1: prop bet that I trailed. We got that right, so

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Speaker 1: two and oh on the prop bets, two and oh

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Speaker 1: on the college basketball bets. But our one unit bet

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Speaker 1: was the Steelers plus three and a half and bah

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Speaker 1: if mooth Firemuth catches that ball. Great job by Smith

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Speaker 1: to punch that ball out, but if he makes that catch,

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Speaker 1: we cover. Regardless of the two point play, well, we

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Speaker 1: probably wouldn't want the two point play actually to happen.

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Speaker 1: It would have been better for us at the two

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Speaker 1: point play didn't happen, so we get that wrong. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: Viking suck. Steelers suck. And it's a good thing for

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Speaker 1: our under eight and a half win bet now because

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Speaker 1: the Steelers are running out of games and they've got

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Speaker 1: five wins, so they got to win four more games

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Speaker 1: for us to lose our bet. Do you see Pittsburgh

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Speaker 1: winning four more games? Cuz I don't, so that will

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Speaker 1: make up for the loss here with the Steelers taking

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Speaker 1: them at plus three and a half. So it was

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Speaker 1: a dog day and unfortunately not a complete clean sweep

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Speaker 1: of five and oh. Mark would have been beautiful tonight,

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Speaker 1: but it's fine. So here's the thing. It's a Friday.

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Speaker 1: There are two Bowl games I want to get into.

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Speaker 1: And that's kind of it, all right, because Saturday is

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Speaker 1: going to be a big combat sports day. All right, Saturday,

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Speaker 1: We've got a Lo Munchenko fight, We've got the last

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Speaker 1: pay per view event for the UFC Huge Card here

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Speaker 1: in Vegas. I'm going to go see a band called

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Speaker 1: The Churches on Saturday night. So I'm psyched because I

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Speaker 1: have not gone to a live show in forever, and

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Speaker 1: I mean forever, and if you know me, going to

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Speaker 1: concerts is a really big part of my life. It's

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Speaker 1: been part of my life since I was fifteen years

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Speaker 1: old and I walked into a club in Boston and

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Speaker 1: I saw a band that was the remnants of a

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Speaker 1: band called Camper van Beethoven called Cracker if you nineties

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Speaker 1: kids might remember that. And then two nights later, I

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Speaker 1: went back to that same club in the back Fenway

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Speaker 1: Park called the Avalon. If you're an old og Bostonian

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Speaker 1: you know that, and I saw a helmet and my

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Speaker 1: life was completely changed, and I said, I want to

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Speaker 1: go to as many concerts as I can, and I've

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Speaker 1: been to over four hundred concerts in my life. So

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Speaker 1: it's a huge part what led me to radio. So

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Speaker 1: I get to go to a concert on Saturday night,

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Speaker 1: and I am sugged to go see Church is one

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Speaker 1: of my favorite bands playing so here in Vegas, So

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Speaker 1: at a club in Vegas, and I just I can't

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Speaker 1: freaking write. So we got a huge day of that.

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Speaker 1: We've got Army Navy to get into tomorrow as well.

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Speaker 1: So like I'm going light today knowing that we're gonna

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Speaker 1: have a much bigger card on Saturday and then obviously

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Speaker 1: a huge card on Sunday. So very excited to have

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Speaker 1: all this happen, Very excited to see how the whole

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Speaker 1: thing plays out. So I got one you didn't play.

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Speaker 1: I'm not doing a parlay today. You know, some of

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Speaker 1: you guys are like, where's the parlay. I'm gonna pick

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Speaker 1: that back up in twenty twenty two. Okay, I'm just

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Speaker 1: gonna kind of tiptoe our way through Fridays and let's

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Speaker 1: talk about two bowl games. All right. Let's start with

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Speaker 1: a bowl game that's gonna kick off at twelve noon

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Speaker 1: Eastern time. It's a more arning game for me. It's

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Speaker 1: in Nasau, it's the Bahamas Bowl. Middle Tennessee up against Toledo.

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Speaker 1: Now I'm betting half units because wow, this is a distraction. Okay,

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Speaker 1: how do you keep focused on playing a bowl game

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Speaker 1: when you're in paradise? I don't know, all right, I

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Speaker 1: think it's pretty tough. MTSU is six and six against

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Speaker 1: the numbers so far this year, where they're two and

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Speaker 1: five away from home. Four of those games that they

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Speaker 1: covered for the six at home. So now we're on

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Speaker 1: neutral field, but we're away from home. Toledo eight and four.

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Speaker 1: They've covered their last three games on the road five

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Speaker 1: and one. This team likes playing away from home for

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Speaker 1: whatever reason. Numbers minus ten. The point total is fifty two.

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Speaker 1: Here is Toledo after laying twenty eight against Akron, winning

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Speaker 1: by thirty five, laying seven and a half against Ohio,

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Speaker 1: winning by twelve, and laying ten and a half against

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Speaker 1: Bowling Green and winning by thirty two. They end of

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Speaker 1: the year on a three game winning streak straight up

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Speaker 1: the end of the year, winning four of their last five,

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Speaker 1: and frankly, this is sort of a disappointing year for Toledo.

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Speaker 1: They thought they were going to be better than they

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Speaker 1: have been. But a bowl game in the Bahamas could

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Speaker 1: be a pretty big feather in the cap for the MAC.

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Speaker 1: Up against MTSU. Middle Tennessee State is an ok team,

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Speaker 1: not a great team. Toledo scores thirty two points per game.

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Speaker 1: MTSU scores twenty seven points per game. But Toledo's defense

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Speaker 1: has been pretty good this year, just twenty two points

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Speaker 1: given up yards per play four point nine for MTSU.

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Speaker 1: Four point seven given up is thirteenth best for Toledo.

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Speaker 1: This defense is a little bit underappreciated, essca how good

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Speaker 1: they have been. And they run the football as well

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Speaker 1: as anybody in the MAC five point three yards per

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Speaker 1: carry one hundred and ninety two yards per game on

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Speaker 1: a per game on the ground. For Toledo, they're not

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Speaker 1: great at throwing with their ok at it eight yards

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Speaker 1: per pass play is forty first in the country, but

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Speaker 1: it's tough to throw on mtsu's defense. They turned the

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Speaker 1: football over a lot and they sack the quarterback a lot,

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Speaker 1: as long as Toledo doesn't turn the football over, okay.

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Speaker 1: MTSU two point four takeaways per game is number one

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Speaker 1: in the country. Toledo, however, point five giveaways per game

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Speaker 1: that's second best in the country. Okay, so number one

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Speaker 1: team taking the ball away, number one team not giving

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Speaker 1: the ball away. As long as Toledo doesn't turn the

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Speaker 1: football over, Toledo wins in covers. All right, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: bank on the team that protects the football, not do

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Speaker 1: anything stupid run the ball. I'm gonna lay the ten

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Speaker 1: Toledo minus ten against against MTSU. We're gonna lay the

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Speaker 1: ten points for a half a unit for the Bahamas Bowl.

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Speaker 1: For the second bowl game of the night, the Cure Bowl.

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Speaker 1: This happening in Orlando, Florida, Northern Illinois again out of

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Speaker 1: the MAC taking on Coastal Carolina, everyone's favorite, Coastal Carolina.

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Speaker 1: Here's the weird thing. Coastal is four and six against

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Speaker 1: the number. Over their last ten games. Coastal hasn't been

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Speaker 1: good this year. They have not covered in their last

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Speaker 1: three games. In fact, five of the last six games

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Speaker 1: on the year Coastal did not cover. Yet. Coastal's laying

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Speaker 1: ten and a half points here in this game, and

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Speaker 1: that's somewhat surprising to me. I'm actually kind of, you know,

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Speaker 1: borderline stunned here that the number is ten and a

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Speaker 1: half Northern Illinois eight to four and one. They're five

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Speaker 1: and two against the spread. Away from home, they're seven

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Speaker 1: and three against the spread over their last ten games.

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Speaker 1: Against Kent State. In the MAC Championship game, they win

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Speaker 1: it by eighteen. Kent State was catching three and a half.

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Speaker 1: The books still do not respect this team. Three of

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Speaker 1: the last four games they cover and win. Now, they

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Speaker 1: went at home against Western Michigan catching seven. They lost

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Speaker 1: by twenty one points. But against South Alabama Coastal was

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Speaker 1: laying fourteen. They won by six. Against Texas State laying

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Speaker 1: twenty four and a half, they won by fourteen against

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Speaker 1: Georgia State, laying twelve and a half. They lost the

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Speaker 1: game outright by two. I don't think this Coastal team

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Speaker 1: is the same Coastal team from last year, and everyone's

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Speaker 1: getting caught up in brand identity. They shouldn't be ten

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorites here in this game. I

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Speaker 1: think we got lombardiing company. I got a hungary team,

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Speaker 1: a better team against the spread. They may not win

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Speaker 1: the game, but I got ten and a half points.

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Speaker 1: Give me Northern Illinois plus ten and a half. We're

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Speaker 1: going mac mac half a unit on each play here

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Speaker 1: in these bowl games. I'm gonna take the ten and

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Speaker 1: a half the ten points here, and maybe you might

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Speaker 1: even get ten and a half here. It's sorry, gonna

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Speaker 1: lay the ten points. Lay the ten points with Toledo,

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Speaker 1: laying ten with Toledo, and we're taking the ten and

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Speaker 1: a half with Northern Illinois. Maybe you get nine and

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Speaker 1: a half on a Toledo if money comes in here

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Speaker 1: on MTSU. But laying ten and taking ten and a

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Speaker 1: half for the two bowl games here, both on the

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Speaker 1: MAC teams playing here tonight four and today for the

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Speaker 1: two bowl games as we start bowl season. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: I may be back with player props depending on how

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Speaker 1: things go. My family, we're going to this thing called

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Speaker 1: Enchanted tonight, which is at the Triple A Ballpark. There's

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Speaker 1: like four places in the entire country. They've turned the

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Speaker 1: ballpark into like a winter wonderland where you go and

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Speaker 1: ice skate and do a bunch of obstacle courses and stuff.

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Speaker 1: So like Christmas time for my family, we are gaga

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Speaker 1: into it, like we just our house is all decked

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Speaker 1: out and my kid is seven years old, and you know,

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Speaker 1: she's counting down the days to Santa Claus and we're

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Speaker 1: going to Disneyland for two days before Christmas to go

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Speaker 1: see Santa Claus at Disneyland and blah blah blah. So

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Speaker 1: like it's a cool time in the Parole's household. So

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Speaker 1: we're gonna go a little light here, just a couple

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Speaker 1: of football plays, maybe some basketball. But then Saturday we

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Speaker 1: also have Steph Curry up against his brother and Seth Curry.

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Speaker 1: So not only do we have Combat Sports and Army Navy,

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Speaker 1: we have the Warriors. Nine more three pointers for Steph Curry.

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Speaker 1: So we missed it by one in the game last game.

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Speaker 1: We may come back and bet that same thing again

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Speaker 1: with Curry going over his three point shots. My guess

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Speaker 1: would be the number. It's going to be six and

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Speaker 1: a half again, and we probably go over that on

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Speaker 1: the road, less pressure, but with his brother guarding him

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Speaker 1: at times. You know, those those sibling rivalries kick in

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Speaker 1: pretty loudly. So that's all coming up on Saturday's podcast.

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Speaker 1: So we've got a ton to get into Alla Vera

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Speaker 1: versus Poya Lolmunchenko fighting. I mean, my goodness, We've got

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Speaker 1: so many good things to pick in Parlay and get

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Speaker 1: going with so very excited, huge card on Saturday, so

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Speaker 1: we'll do that coming up for the podcast tomorrow, but

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Speaker 1: just for today, half a unit. Play Toledo minus ten,

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Speaker 1: half a unit. We're going Northern Illinois plus ten and

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Speaker 1: a half half a unit, one unit and play here

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Speaker 1: on a Friday. Mine's Matt Parotz following me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it's the

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Speaker 1: Dli Duce Podcast, always being brought to you by bet

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Speaker 1: MGM