WEBVTT - CFB Live on Spotify (9/15): Week 3 Chaos Tracker 0:00:02.040 --> 0:00:05.560 Welcome to the solid verbal hell that for me. 0:00:06.680 --> 0:00:08.160 I'm a man, I'm forty. 0:00:08.240 --> 0:00:10.119 I've heard so many players say, well, I want to 0:00:10.119 --> 0:00:12.080 be happy. You want to be happy for a day 0:00:12.360 --> 0:00:13.000 at the State. 0:00:13.360 --> 0:00:19.360 Is that? Whoo whoom? And Dan and Tyell welcome back 0:00:19.360 --> 0:00:23.160 to the Cliverbo boys and girls. My name is ty Hildenbrandt. 0:00:23.600 --> 0:00:27.880 You'll hear from Dan Rubinstein in just a second. This 0:00:27.960 --> 0:00:31.040 is a portion about twenty five minutes or so of 0:00:31.160 --> 0:00:34.240 the hour long show we do on Spotify called College 0:00:34.240 --> 0:00:37.800 Football Thursdays. We do it every Thursday at five pm 0:00:37.840 --> 0:00:41.480 Eastern two pm Pacific. Anybody can listen. We talk news, 0:00:41.479 --> 0:00:44.040 we make bets, we play weird games like the one 0:00:44.200 --> 0:00:46.680 you're about to hear Dan introduce here. Once we get rolling, 0:00:47.240 --> 0:00:49.479 we'd love to have you stop by next Thursday and 0:00:49.680 --> 0:00:52.600 check it out if you're able. It's a great primer 0:00:52.880 --> 0:00:54.720 just to close out the week get ready for the 0:00:54.800 --> 0:00:58.400 weekend ahead in college football. We've been having a ton 0:00:58.440 --> 0:01:00.800 of fun doing it, inviting people up on stage to 0:01:00.920 --> 0:01:04.240 chat with us, just reading the comments as we go through. 0:01:04.280 --> 0:01:05.640 It's surely been a cool experience. 0:01:05.720 --> 0:01:09.080 So thank you to everybody who supports college football Thursday 0:01:09.280 --> 0:01:11.480 and Thank you to everyone out there for listening to 0:01:11.520 --> 0:01:14.600 our show, for your continued support of the solidverbal. It 0:01:14.600 --> 0:01:17.520 means the world to us. Without further ado, again, about 0:01:17.520 --> 0:01:21.520 twenty five minutes of this week's college football Thursday but 0:01:21.640 --> 0:01:29.440 the Solidverbal onto the game for today. Okay, you want 0:01:29.440 --> 0:01:31.040 to explain this? Should I explain this? 0:01:31.080 --> 0:01:31.840 How do we want to do this? 0:01:32.640 --> 0:01:35.080 It's it's quite easy. So we're looking at the schedule 0:01:35.120 --> 0:01:37.480 right now. There are no obvious headliners, which means it 0:01:37.560 --> 0:01:40.560 is going to be an obviously chaotic weekend. Right as 0:01:40.560 --> 0:01:42.120 soon as you look at the schedule and you're like, well, 0:01:42.160 --> 0:01:44.520 there's no seven verses eight, there's no three versus sixteen, 0:01:44.560 --> 0:01:47.200 there's no nine versus twelve. You know what's the fun 0:01:47.240 --> 0:01:49.400 in that? That we don't have these headline matchups that 0:01:49.400 --> 0:01:51.800 we're all gonna, you know, watch it what noon eastern 0:01:51.840 --> 0:01:55.040 on Fox or going to eight eastern on ESPN, ABC, whatever, Like, 0:01:55.360 --> 0:01:56.640 I don't know. It just seems kind of like an 0:01:56.680 --> 0:02:00.200 off weekend, an unexciting weekend. Wrong, that's and the. 0:02:00.200 --> 0:02:01.360 Good stuff happens. 0:02:01.400 --> 0:02:01.800 We all know. 0:02:01.920 --> 0:02:04.200 That's what they say about serial killers, right, it's always 0:02:04.240 --> 0:02:04.960 the quiet ones. 0:02:05.760 --> 0:02:07.920 I was not going to go in that direction. I 0:02:08.040 --> 0:02:09.560 was not going to go in that direction. I am 0:02:09.600 --> 0:02:12.440 just saying we are about to dip the nacho chip 0:02:12.440 --> 0:02:14.679 in the excitement case. So that's what I think is 0:02:15.120 --> 0:02:18.040 in line for this weekend. And so we are going 0:02:18.080 --> 0:02:20.880 to use our own metric. So we have Look, we 0:02:20.919 --> 0:02:23.200 play this sound on the show on the regular podcast 0:02:23.240 --> 0:02:27.960 oliverble dot com, just when we are so excited for something. 0:02:28.080 --> 0:02:31.800 And then we built our entire scale of which window 0:02:31.880 --> 0:02:34.440 makes the most sense to get excited about because of 0:02:34.480 --> 0:02:36.840 the roster of games. You know, is at the early window, 0:02:36.880 --> 0:02:39.320 the afternoon window, the night window, and how do we 0:02:39.560 --> 0:02:42.680 rank those in terms of gossling quotes? Right, So we 0:02:42.720 --> 0:02:45.760 have no one is paying attention, always paying attention. 0:02:46.080 --> 0:02:47.520 That is an. 0:02:47.400 --> 0:02:52.720 Opportunity, opportunity and all of those things. All of those 0:02:52.720 --> 0:02:57.160 things can apply to potential chaos and whatever and wherever 0:02:57.200 --> 0:02:59.680 it'll unfold in week three. But I didn't want to 0:02:59.680 --> 0:03:03.040 just have Ryan Gosling. It's Jared Bennett, the character from 0:03:03.080 --> 0:03:05.040 The Big Short, yelling it. I didn't want to have 0:03:05.120 --> 0:03:07.440 him just yell I'm Jack to the tits. I wanted 0:03:07.480 --> 0:03:09.400 to I wanted to add a groove to it for 0:03:09.440 --> 0:03:11.920 our intro. I wanted to add a little bit of class, 0:03:11.960 --> 0:03:13.120 a little bit of rhythm to it. 0:03:13.200 --> 0:03:13.359 Ty. 0:03:13.800 --> 0:03:23.399 So this is where I fell. Oh here it comes. 0:03:23.800 --> 0:03:27.680 Oh my gosh, that's good for us. That might not 0:03:27.720 --> 0:03:31.200 be good for us. Who knows, no, possibly not. So 0:03:31.760 --> 0:03:33.880 we're gonna take these games. We're gonna take these windows 0:03:33.919 --> 0:03:37.480 and figure out where the chaos chunk comes in. 0:03:38.600 --> 0:03:41.480 As you are listening along in the chat, please weigh 0:03:41.480 --> 0:03:46.080 in and let us know which upsets you think are possible, 0:03:47.520 --> 0:03:51.600 what you like, what is sneaky. Let's start in the 0:03:51.640 --> 0:03:55.240 early window. I've got four games here pulled out. The 0:03:55.240 --> 0:03:59.360 first is the Oklahoma Nebraska game. We talked about this 0:03:59.520 --> 0:04:02.600 on our pre production call. The line in this game 0:04:02.760 --> 0:04:04.840 is Nebraska getting eleven at home. 0:04:04.880 --> 0:04:05.720 That feels low. 0:04:06.520 --> 0:04:09.960 It's even lower now than it opened. It was thirteen 0:04:10.000 --> 0:04:12.360 and a half at one point, and people have been 0:04:12.400 --> 0:04:14.920 crushing Nebraska. A lot of folks are betting Nebraska in 0:04:14.960 --> 0:04:18.320 this game, which feels weird because Oklahoma has been pretty 0:04:18.320 --> 0:04:22.240 solid so far this season, with maybe had a rough 0:04:22.279 --> 0:04:26.880 half last week, but all told, has still been relatively solid. 0:04:26.880 --> 0:04:30.560 The numbers definitely add up fairly well for Oklahoma. Behind 0:04:30.600 --> 0:04:37.240 the scenes, Nebraska fires coach Nebraska struggling in close game situations, 0:04:37.480 --> 0:04:38.440 yet the line goes down. 0:04:38.480 --> 0:04:39.360 Doesn't make sense to me. 0:04:39.880 --> 0:04:43.400 Georgia on the road at South Carolina, a heavy favorite. 0:04:43.760 --> 0:04:45.920 Of course, we've seen heavy favorites and what they've done 0:04:45.960 --> 0:04:48.799 in recent weeks. South Carolina's got a brand new starting 0:04:48.839 --> 0:04:51.159 quarterback and they are playing at home. 0:04:52.000 --> 0:04:53.400 Tough place to play. Williams Price. 0:04:54.040 --> 0:04:56.880 Yes, another game that has chaos potential in the early 0:04:56.920 --> 0:05:00.560 window Perdue at Syracuse. That line is Syracuse minus one 0:05:00.560 --> 0:05:02.160 and a half. I might talk about this one a 0:05:02.160 --> 0:05:05.039 little bit later, but suffice to say, you don't just 0:05:05.080 --> 0:05:07.200 go up to the JMA Wireless Dome. 0:05:07.520 --> 0:05:09.160 And expect to look at that every time. 0:05:09.480 --> 0:05:11.800 I've got what it's called. I can go from memory now. 0:05:11.839 --> 0:05:13.200 It took me a while, though, it took me all 0:05:13.240 --> 0:05:15.400 off season and then the final one that I pulled 0:05:15.400 --> 0:05:16.799 out here and I don't know why because I couldn't 0:05:16.839 --> 0:05:20.160 even find a point spread on it. The vaunted Wafford 0:05:20.240 --> 0:05:24.320 Terriers are on the road at Virginia Tech. They play 0:05:24.400 --> 0:05:27.320 this game at eleven am. It's like a high school 0:05:27.320 --> 0:05:31.600 game on Thanksgiving Day. Eleven am. The rare early start 0:05:31.680 --> 0:05:34.840 for two East Coast teams Wafford traveling to Virginia Tech. So, 0:05:35.040 --> 0:05:37.920 in terms of chaos, Dan, where's the chaos potential for 0:05:38.000 --> 0:05:39.440 you in that early block? 0:05:39.960 --> 0:05:42.839 Is there a field hockey team that needs the field 0:05:42.880 --> 0:05:43.839 at Lane Stadium? 0:05:44.200 --> 0:05:45.040 Like two point thirty? 0:05:45.320 --> 0:05:46.960 Guys, we got to start at eleven. We've got a 0:05:47.000 --> 0:05:50.680 heart out at two forty. Okay, sure, I'm sure there 0:05:50.720 --> 0:05:52.479 is a reason. I'm sure there is either a TV 0:05:52.640 --> 0:05:55.599 reason or some kind of scheduling reason between these two 0:05:55.600 --> 0:05:58.159 teams to have it at eleven am Eastern. But that 0:05:58.320 --> 0:06:02.240 is my fantasy that Virginia Tech fallen to the point where, like, guys, 0:06:02.320 --> 0:06:05.719 Innermural Ultimate Frisbee has a reservation on Lane Stadium. 0:06:05.880 --> 0:06:08.800 Yeah. Three, there's a sign out sheet on like the 0:06:08.839 --> 0:06:09.800 intramural building. 0:06:10.200 --> 0:06:13.120 Yeah, and there's just like a very angry Ultimate team 0:06:13.200 --> 0:06:17.120 waiting on the sideline for the game to finish, like hi, 0:06:17.120 --> 0:06:20.919 as we promised. Okay, so the chaos here, I like 0:06:20.960 --> 0:06:23.960 Purdue over Syracuse. Upon further thought, I think I like 0:06:24.000 --> 0:06:27.440 that a lot. South Carolina over Georgia. Would need like 0:06:27.680 --> 0:06:32.000 an All American squinter. To find where that happens and 0:06:32.040 --> 0:06:34.800 how that happens. You really have to go between a 0:06:34.880 --> 0:06:38.640 number of lines here and Nebraska Oklahoma. I like Nebraska. 0:06:38.760 --> 0:06:43.400 I'm in a zag. I know Oklahoma's favored by outright, No, 0:06:43.440 --> 0:06:46.880 I don't like him out right. Ah of these options 0:06:47.240 --> 0:06:49.960 because Perdue over Syracuse is not a major, major, no 0:06:51.000 --> 0:06:56.640 earth shaking upset. There is something about Oklahoma where I 0:06:56.720 --> 0:06:59.800 believe them to be good. I believe Oklahoma to be good. 0:07:00.839 --> 0:07:03.920 But also I could see us sort of realistically Sunday 0:07:03.920 --> 0:07:08.160 morning saying to ourselves, yeah, we thought we liked Oklahoma, 0:07:08.200 --> 0:07:11.760 but we hadn't really seen anything specific to know why, 0:07:12.200 --> 0:07:15.400 and so sure they can lose. The loss to Nebraska 0:07:15.440 --> 0:07:18.560 makes sense. Nebraska has been moving the ball, but that's 0:07:18.600 --> 0:07:21.200 still a little bit of a squint. I'm just saying 0:07:21.560 --> 0:07:23.680 a home team with a good offense, I'm not going 0:07:23.720 --> 0:07:26.040 to fully write off Nebraska, even with everything that's happening 0:07:26.040 --> 0:07:26.600 off the field. 0:07:27.080 --> 0:07:31.520 I think between the Purdue Syracuse game and certainly Oklahoma Nebraska, 0:07:31.960 --> 0:07:34.320 and maybe for some chunk of time the Georgia South 0:07:34.360 --> 0:07:37.960 Carolina game, there's potential for some chaos, some fun. Sure 0:07:38.000 --> 0:07:39.400 those would be fun games to watch. 0:07:39.720 --> 0:07:40.440 In terms of. 0:07:40.640 --> 0:07:45.160 Actual chaos potential, it's the Nebraska game, I think, far 0:07:45.200 --> 0:07:47.600 and away that's the only answer here. So you know, 0:07:47.640 --> 0:07:49.400 I don't know if you've got those sounds they're ready, 0:07:49.440 --> 0:07:51.280 but I would probably put this one as like a 0:07:51.280 --> 0:07:53.360 one out of three in terms of chaos potential. 0:07:53.440 --> 0:07:54.720 Well, when you say that. 0:07:54.840 --> 0:07:57.400 No one is paying attention, that's. 0:07:57.280 --> 0:07:59.160 When, just like you said it's the Quilond, no one's 0:07:59.160 --> 0:08:02.800 paying attention to a couple of these teams as actual threats, 0:08:02.840 --> 0:08:03.640 that's when they get you. 0:08:04.080 --> 0:08:07.400 Yeah, all right, let's move on to the afternoon block. 0:08:07.400 --> 0:08:08.680 There are a couple of big games that we have 0:08:08.760 --> 0:08:12.240 to mention, not necessarily upset potential, but in the three 0:08:12.240 --> 0:08:15.360 point thirty to four o'clock window. Penn State at Auburn's 0:08:15.640 --> 0:08:20.600 nice matchup BYU at your Oregon Ducks. Also got Troy 0:08:20.840 --> 0:08:23.280 at app State. Game Day is going to be at 0:08:23.320 --> 0:08:26.120 app State this week, which is nice for them after 0:08:26.160 --> 0:08:28.680 the big win. Here's where I think the chaos potential is. 0:08:28.720 --> 0:08:30.000 There's some weird matchups here. 0:08:30.000 --> 0:08:30.240 Man. 0:08:31.040 --> 0:08:35.880 We've got Kansas at Houston. Kansas at Houston, Houston has 0:08:35.920 --> 0:08:38.080 had a rough go of it, and Kansas can score points. 0:08:38.360 --> 0:08:41.920 Could definitely envision a scenario Sunday morning waking up like, 0:08:42.160 --> 0:08:45.679 did that one really go into double overtime? Again for Houston. 0:08:46.200 --> 0:08:48.360 I can see that happening. I can see that happening 0:08:48.480 --> 0:08:50.960 all miss at Georgia Tech. We talked about this on 0:08:51.000 --> 0:08:53.400 the Previews show. We really want to root for Georgia Tech. 0:08:53.440 --> 0:08:55.760 We don't have a great reason to do so, but 0:08:56.120 --> 0:08:59.400 perhaps Jeff Simms can put something together at home and 0:08:59.440 --> 0:09:01.280 make that one a little bit more interesting than meets 0:09:01.320 --> 0:09:04.280 the eye. You were about Tulane in Kansas State, weren't you. 0:09:04.760 --> 0:09:07.000 Oh, yeah, no, I just think that's interesting. Tulane has 0:09:07.000 --> 0:09:09.320 been moving the ball well early on. Michael Pratt's been good, 0:09:09.320 --> 0:09:11.600 and then Kansas State has Douce Fawn, which is always 0:09:11.600 --> 0:09:14.600 going to be entertaining. Adrian Martinez say, which you will 0:09:15.280 --> 0:09:20.040 can be entertaining. The Kansas State helmet is looking pretty 0:09:20.160 --> 0:09:22.600 great and slick. I like that. I think this window 0:09:22.640 --> 0:09:25.800 is terrific. I really really do. There's something for everybody. 0:09:26.400 --> 0:09:30.600 I'm ready for it, and I am ready for I 0:09:30.600 --> 0:09:32.559 think I took Houston. I don't know what the spread 0:09:32.640 --> 0:09:34.040 is at the time we're doing this, like eight and 0:09:34.080 --> 0:09:36.400 a make your picks eight and a half, nine points whatever. 0:09:37.040 --> 0:09:39.040 I took Houston because I think Kansas might be as 0:09:39.200 --> 0:09:42.640 smidge overvalued after their West Virginia win, just because I 0:09:42.640 --> 0:09:44.000 think they're going to be sort of all over the 0:09:44.000 --> 0:09:47.160 place this year as they get back to respectable, hopefully 0:09:47.400 --> 0:09:51.440 under Land's Leipold. But of all of the losing in 0:09:51.520 --> 0:09:55.120 a losing effort potential in this window, Clayton tune throng 0:09:55.240 --> 0:09:57.800 for five hundred and sixty three and six touchdowns in 0:09:57.880 --> 0:10:00.760 a losing effort, Yeah, most certainly on the TI, most 0:10:00.800 --> 0:10:03.160 certainly right there on the table. 0:10:04.000 --> 0:10:06.920 The chaos potential here is Cal at Notre Dame. And 0:10:06.960 --> 0:10:09.560 here's why. First off, Notre Dame's I went to and 0:10:09.600 --> 0:10:12.560 Cal doesn't play any offense. These aren't two good teams 0:10:12.559 --> 0:10:15.960 at this juncture in the season. Notre Dame is wearing 0:10:15.960 --> 0:10:19.800 their green jerseys. Mm hmm. I found this out about 0:10:19.800 --> 0:10:22.720 an hour and a half ago. As a Notre Dame fan. 0:10:22.760 --> 0:10:25.520 I am beside myself at this news. You know where 0:10:25.559 --> 0:10:28.240 I stand on the green jerseys. Know where I stand. 0:10:28.760 --> 0:10:31.400 Every now and again a coach gets the bright idea 0:10:31.920 --> 0:10:34.560 at Notre Dame that we're gonna we're gonna shake things up, 0:10:35.000 --> 0:10:37.640 shake down the thunder if you will, and we're gonna 0:10:37.640 --> 0:10:38.280 wear the greens. 0:10:39.160 --> 0:10:40.800 Is it you think it's the coach's decision. 0:10:41.320 --> 0:10:43.520 I don't know. I don't know. It's not not the 0:10:43.520 --> 0:10:45.560 coach's decision. I'm sure he has some say in it. 0:10:46.720 --> 0:10:49.040 I think it's I think it's Frank under founder of 0:10:49.120 --> 0:10:51.400 Under Armoured, deciding that, hey, we need to wear special 0:10:51.440 --> 0:10:52.560 uniforms that we saw often. 0:10:52.679 --> 0:10:55.560 My only point is the green jerseys are cursed, and 0:10:55.640 --> 0:10:57.840 so if you're and I tweeted this out, but it's 0:10:57.920 --> 0:11:01.480 like the gambling gods nelt be for you, whispered directly 0:11:01.520 --> 0:11:04.760 into your ear to take cal plus eleven, do not 0:11:04.880 --> 0:11:06.880 bet on Notre Dame in this game. They're wearing the green, 0:11:06.920 --> 0:11:09.880 They've got a new starting quarterback, their offense is in shambles. 0:11:10.760 --> 0:11:12.840 There is a chance they lose this game. There's a 0:11:12.920 --> 0:11:14.960 legit chance they lose this game. It would be a 0:11:15.040 --> 0:11:17.400 very ugly Iowas game. We're going to talk about Iowa 0:11:17.440 --> 0:11:19.960 here momentarily. It will be a very ugly game if 0:11:20.000 --> 0:11:23.080 they lost. But the offense has not been good and 0:11:23.120 --> 0:11:25.360 they are going up against a good defense and now 0:11:25.400 --> 0:11:28.319 they were great jerseys. I don't like it, don't I 0:11:28.360 --> 0:11:30.680 don't like it. There's a lot of chaos potential here 0:11:30.679 --> 0:11:33.560 that it's like a two if you got the two sound. 0:11:33.559 --> 0:11:36.079 Don't know what the two sound sounds like from Ryan Gosling, 0:11:36.120 --> 0:11:39.719 but this is a two for me at a three. Okay, So. 0:11:41.160 --> 0:11:46.319 If I'm interpreting what we mean by chaos, wouldn't buy definition. 0:11:46.440 --> 0:11:49.320 I know Notre Dame is the favorite here by eleven points, 0:11:49.840 --> 0:11:51.520 but we've got a two to zero team and then 0:11:51.559 --> 0:11:54.920 an zero to two team who has really struggled at 0:11:54.960 --> 0:11:59.320 times on offense. So chaos would almost be Notre Dame 0:11:59.600 --> 0:12:04.720 out of nowhere unexpectedly looking good. Wouldn't that be the 0:12:04.800 --> 0:12:08.359 unexpected result in this game that nobody was really expecting. 0:12:09.520 --> 0:12:13.440 This is this, This is really mind bending at this point. 0:12:13.440 --> 0:12:14.880 It's been a long day for both of us. 0:12:15.040 --> 0:12:17.600 I know, I understand what I'm saying. Drew Pine looks excellent. 0:12:17.640 --> 0:12:20.920 Marcus Freeman and Tommy Reese in concert, no turnovers, just 0:12:20.920 --> 0:12:24.040 slicing and dicing the CAL defense. That's kind of a 0:12:24.160 --> 0:12:27.200 chaotic turnaround for Notre Dame. Out of nowhere. 0:12:27.360 --> 0:12:29.760 Drew Pine throwing for five hundred and thirty yards in 0:12:29.800 --> 0:12:32.599 like four touchdowns against a decent CAL defense would be 0:12:32.679 --> 0:12:35.240 in would be the ultimate zag given where things have 0:12:35.280 --> 0:12:36.000 been the last two. 0:12:35.880 --> 0:12:39.040 Weeks, maybe even just a shootout in this game forty 0:12:39.040 --> 0:12:41.920 two to thirty eight. Who could have seen this coming 0:12:42.040 --> 0:12:45.440 between Drew Pine and Jack Plumber that would have definitely. 0:12:45.280 --> 0:12:48.360 How might not score forty eight points all year? That's tough. 0:12:48.440 --> 0:12:50.360 It's a tough break, all right. So I'm a two 0:12:50.440 --> 0:12:52.040 out of three for this up. 0:12:52.320 --> 0:12:54.359 That is an opportunity. 0:12:54.440 --> 0:12:57.840 So there's opportunity for chaos. We're not sure in which direction. 0:12:58.360 --> 0:13:01.680 But let's talk about these other games. Let's talk about 0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:05.640 what is the chaotic unforeseen result in Penn State Auburn. 0:13:06.200 --> 0:13:10.880 The chaotic unforeseen result is Sean Clifford gets yanked, either 0:13:10.920 --> 0:13:13.080 due to injury I hope not due to injury, or 0:13:13.160 --> 0:13:16.960 due to performance. Drew Aller comes in and lights it 0:13:17.040 --> 0:13:21.560 up and is suddenly the next great hype at Penn State. See. 0:13:21.679 --> 0:13:24.559 I think Penn State has moved the ball enough at times. 0:13:24.600 --> 0:13:26.400 I know they were like the ninety fifth best offense 0:13:26.520 --> 0:13:29.280 or something in points per drive last year. To me, 0:13:29.880 --> 0:13:32.480 with everything that has happened off the field, with the 0:13:32.520 --> 0:13:36.520 transfers in and out, the unforeseen chaotic element would be 0:13:36.559 --> 0:13:39.360 Auburn winning this game like twenty seven to three and 0:13:39.400 --> 0:13:42.160 having its act together in a big spot at home 0:13:42.640 --> 0:13:45.760 with the weight of the world crushing down upon their shoulders. 0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:49.280 What about Oregon? What about Oregon? What will be the 0:13:49.280 --> 0:13:52.600 most chaotic possible outcome for that BYU Oregon game? 0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:57.440 So Oregon's favor but I think a good hefty percentage 0:13:57.480 --> 0:13:59.079 of the money is on BYU. 0:13:59.280 --> 0:13:59.559 I don't know. 0:13:59.600 --> 0:14:01.200 If you have that a metric in front of you, 0:14:03.640 --> 0:14:04.880 I think I'm gonna have to tie it back to 0:14:04.960 --> 0:14:08.840 the previous game. In a previous Auburn quarterback looking incredible 0:14:09.200 --> 0:14:13.679 for Oregon and bouncing because Baylor, excuse me, Baylor BYU 0:14:13.920 --> 0:14:17.000 looks like the team with its act together more. But 0:14:17.040 --> 0:14:18.480 it's at Oregon their favorites. 0:14:18.480 --> 0:14:18.800 I don't know. 0:14:18.800 --> 0:14:20.400 Three three and a half points. 0:14:20.640 --> 0:14:20.880 Yep. 0:14:21.400 --> 0:14:24.480 We've already seen Oregon get destroyed this year, so there's 0:14:24.480 --> 0:14:27.720 nothing crazy and unforeseen about that. So I think it's 0:14:27.760 --> 0:14:34.000 a high flying Oregon comfortable win. To me would be 0:14:34.080 --> 0:14:36.760 chaotic enough to be like, oh wow, that was not 0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:39.880 what anybody saw coming except for super duper to Oregon diehearts. 0:14:39.920 --> 0:14:42.320 So yeah, that to me would be that would qualify. 0:14:42.880 --> 0:14:45.160 Let's move into the late window here, if we could 0:14:45.320 --> 0:14:48.520 one final grouping of games. The big one in this 0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:51.320 block is the nine PM game, it's Miami at Texas 0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:53.520 A and M. This line has jumped around a little bit. 0:14:54.040 --> 0:14:57.080 The last I saw it was back up to six 0:14:57.120 --> 0:14:59.720 after being at five in favor of Texas A and 0:14:59.800 --> 0:15:02.360 M for a few days. I think this window has 0:15:02.400 --> 0:15:05.200 the most chaos potential, all right, and here's why. Listen 0:15:05.240 --> 0:15:07.920 to the Listen to these games here, Texas Tech at 0:15:08.000 --> 0:15:13.800 NC State, Pit at Western Michigan, UTSA at Texas, potentially 0:15:13.840 --> 0:15:19.480 third stream quarterback, Texas Fresno at USC And then you know, 0:15:19.520 --> 0:15:23.360 we just we kind of hinted at this game when 0:15:23.400 --> 0:15:28.080 we did our preview podcast. Nevada at Iowa, oh Man, 0:15:28.200 --> 0:15:31.880 Nevada getting twenty three points. Brian Farren's apparently getting cameos, 0:15:33.200 --> 0:15:35.200 spoof cameos from Bob Steves. 0:15:35.440 --> 0:15:36.040 I saw that. 0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:39.640 Just a beautiful, beautiful piece of art from Bob Steves. 0:15:41.400 --> 0:15:45.080 There's a lot that could go sideways in that block 0:15:45.120 --> 0:15:49.120 of games. Texas Tech, you know, kind of starting over 0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:52.160 under Joey McGuire, but won last week. They can score points. 0:15:52.160 --> 0:15:54.960 You know they're gonna throw it. NC State veteran unit 0:15:55.080 --> 0:15:58.760 favored by ten. We'll talk about this game momentarily. Wink 0:15:58.760 --> 0:16:01.920 week nudge, nudge, but Texas Tech is sort of an 0:16:01.960 --> 0:16:05.160 interesting team to me. Pitt on the road at Western Michigan, 0:16:05.600 --> 0:16:08.200 Pitt has some it's some of its own quarterback issues 0:16:08.280 --> 0:16:10.800 right now because of injury, and Western Michigan beat them 0:16:10.880 --> 0:16:13.360 last year. I don't think Western Michigan's any good. But 0:16:14.120 --> 0:16:17.200 given the circumstances, you could see a scenario in which Pitt. 0:16:17.120 --> 0:16:18.240 Struggles to move the ball. 0:16:19.080 --> 0:16:24.680 UTSA also dealing with We're also going to a place 0:16:24.720 --> 0:16:27.960 that is dealing with quarterback issues in the Great State 0:16:28.000 --> 0:16:31.720 of Texas. Quinn you Ers Hudson Card might be going 0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:34.720 Chas right, is their third string quarterback who's never thrown 0:16:34.720 --> 0:16:38.240 a college pass. And then Fresno USC. Fresno I think 0:16:38.240 --> 0:16:40.440 is a better team than Stanford. I think they can 0:16:40.480 --> 0:16:42.640 move the ball in USC. The points spread there is 0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:44.280 twelve and a half. I would never want to bet 0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:47.040 USC minus the number in a game like that. I 0:16:47.160 --> 0:16:49.160 just think all of these games have potential to be interesting. 0:16:49.160 --> 0:16:50.800 And then there's a Nevada Iowa game, which I have 0:16:50.800 --> 0:16:53.120 no idea what to expect that Iowa would you would 0:16:53.160 --> 0:16:56.240 expect like the most chaotic possible outcome there is Iowa 0:16:56.320 --> 0:16:57.440 winning fifty two to nothing. 0:16:58.600 --> 0:17:00.440 I was going to say, you have no idea what 0:17:00.480 --> 0:17:04.120 to expect out of Iowa. Iowa is screaming from the hilltops. 0:17:04.160 --> 0:17:06.280 There are no hilltops I understand in the Midwest, but 0:17:06.359 --> 0:17:10.960 just bear with my analogy. Iowa is screaming from mounds 0:17:10.960 --> 0:17:16.840 of dirt. This is who we are. We have established this, 0:17:16.840 --> 0:17:20.639 this is our identity. Uh yeah, we know, we know 0:17:20.680 --> 0:17:23.680 who Iowa is. And maybe they'll improve to a better 0:17:23.800 --> 0:17:26.720 version of who they are right now, but yeah, this 0:17:26.880 --> 0:17:29.240 is what is it? Twenty three points, twenty two points, 0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:34.040 twenty three Yeah, oh my god, it's hard again that 0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:39.080 you need to be a pro level squinter like okay, 0:17:39.200 --> 0:17:43.399 so few punt blocks that people fall on in the 0:17:43.480 --> 0:17:45.960 end zone that gets them to twenty eight and they're 0:17:45.960 --> 0:17:48.120 gonna hold a bout. Novad is not good at all, obviously, 0:17:48.160 --> 0:17:50.240 first year coach and Ken Wilson. It's gonna be just 0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:53.880 losing to incarnate. Incarnate word excuse me, ward is the transfer. 0:17:55.920 --> 0:17:57.800 It's gonna take a little bit. It's gonna take a 0:17:57.800 --> 0:17:58.159 little bit. 0:17:58.240 --> 0:17:58.679 So you're right. 0:17:58.720 --> 0:18:02.320 The chaos is ioa so getting it all together, getting 0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:07.280 unexpectedly healthy on offense and finding new playmakers. Throwing out 0:18:07.280 --> 0:18:10.679 that old playbook starting all over and it working in 0:18:10.720 --> 0:18:13.600 a matchup they should, they should part of win, the 0:18:13.760 --> 0:18:15.719 sure should win easily. 0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:18.040 But by the way, Dylan in the chat saying Iowa 0:18:18.119 --> 0:18:21.439 can't score twenty three and a half points. We've got 0:18:21.560 --> 0:18:23.800 Luke here saying he thinks we could see one hundred 0:18:23.880 --> 0:18:28.200 or more combined points in the Fresno USC game, which 0:18:28.240 --> 0:18:31.119 I don't think. Sure, I don't think is off the table. 0:18:32.119 --> 0:18:37.080 Nate saying fire Farances hashtag fire Farances, totally understand that. 0:18:38.359 --> 0:18:40.479 Someone says I think we need to give Brian Ferrence 0:18:40.520 --> 0:18:42.760 full control. That would be you talk about a zag, 0:18:42.840 --> 0:18:45.320 that would be That would be a real zag to 0:18:45.359 --> 0:18:47.560 give him more control after what the offense has done 0:18:47.600 --> 0:18:48.439 so far this season. 0:18:49.040 --> 0:18:53.280 Yeah, I want to talk about USC Fresno because this 0:18:53.320 --> 0:18:57.040 is a fascinating matchup and the chaos is obviously Fresno 0:18:57.119 --> 0:18:58.919 just finding a way to win this game, which is 0:18:58.960 --> 0:19:02.520 not crazy unforeseen because Fresno has been a good program 0:19:02.640 --> 0:19:04.640 these past few years since Jeff had for took over 0:19:04.760 --> 0:19:06.480 left and it is now back. But they've got a 0:19:06.520 --> 0:19:08.520 good quarterback. They should have a good offense coming off 0:19:08.560 --> 0:19:11.040 of a i'm sure heartbreaking lost to Oregon State in 0:19:11.080 --> 0:19:16.359 the last second. But let's be fascinating, absolutely fascinating. This 0:19:16.440 --> 0:19:20.920 is USC trying to get better on defense because there's 0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:23.359 not much better that they can do on offense. I 0:19:23.359 --> 0:19:25.399 suppose they could run the ball with more consistency and 0:19:25.440 --> 0:19:27.680 pop some more big runs, but they're just going to 0:19:27.720 --> 0:19:30.560 score points against I guess everybody other than Utah maybe 0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:34.840 and Fresno is they're there to play spoiler. These two 0:19:34.880 --> 0:19:37.720 teams have gone back over the years and played some 0:19:37.760 --> 0:19:40.040 memorable matchups. Obviously none more than in one of the 0:19:40.080 --> 0:19:42.480 two thousand and five when Reggie Bush had a bajillion yards. 0:19:42.600 --> 0:19:45.119 But I mean you go back two three four years, 0:19:45.240 --> 0:19:48.280 they are, you know, giving USC all they can handle 0:19:48.359 --> 0:19:50.679 late in that comeback, it was a comeback loss. Excuse me, 0:19:50.760 --> 0:19:53.280 but no, this one is if you are on the 0:19:53.280 --> 0:19:56.080 West coast or even in the Mountain time zone and 0:19:56.119 --> 0:19:59.119 you don't have small children exhausting you. We're staying up 0:19:59.119 --> 0:20:01.760