1 00:00:08,920 --> 00:00:13,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three 2 00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:16,280 Speaker 1: six ' five. We are part of the Action Network. 3 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:23,000 Speaker 1: Today is our NFL Week four Sunday Recap episode. I 4 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:26,279 Speaker 1: can't help but smiling. It's going to be a doozy, 5 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 1: a banner day all across the Action Network. All of 6 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:32,000 Speaker 1: our analysts have just been crushing it all day. I 7 00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 1: am Chadmulman. I am joined by my bff, my companion, 8 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:40,760 Speaker 1: Mike and Padre my co host Professional Better Simon Hunter. Hello, 9 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 1: so I'm in listen, buddy. There are very few days 10 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:50,240 Speaker 1: like today, very few days where every red zone switch 11 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:55,200 Speaker 1: for the first ninety minutes of the day. I counted 12 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 1: it was two thirty three, and I made a note. 13 00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: There hasn't been a switch to a game yet where 14 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:05,120 Speaker 1: that game wasn't going our way. Every circle in the 15 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:10,640 Speaker 1: Action app was green. Don't don't give me your I'm professional, 16 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:14,560 Speaker 1: I'm cool bullshit right now. Even for a pro a 17 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 1: day like today, a four and oh start with one 18 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:19,759 Speaker 1: game remaining, it feels good. 19 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:23,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, it definitely feels good. Exciting day. Won a lot 20 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:25,560 Speaker 2: of money. The fans want a bunch of money, and 21 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:27,520 Speaker 2: you know that's that's at the end of the day, 22 00:01:27,520 --> 00:01:31,119 Speaker 2: it's all I really care about. So yeah, definitely. Uh, 23 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 2: like you said, I feel like the first hour and 24 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 2: a half was amazing and that final hour was horrible 25 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:41,039 Speaker 2: with the Bears collapse and the Rams collapse, and it 26 00:01:41,080 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 2: was just like what is going on? Like those are 27 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 2: such good reads, but luckily both when exactly as we plan. 28 00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 2: I just you want to take the Bears in our 29 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 2: money line around Robin, I said that team doesn't know 30 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 2: how to win, and they really don't. They're one of 31 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 2: the best tanking teams we've ever seen. So yeah, Chad, 32 00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 2: Chad's living the highlight for now as much is one 33 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 2: to admit it. Picks one and two and maybe one 34 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 2: of the greatest receivers ever in college, one of the 35 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:08,519 Speaker 2: greatest quarterbacks ever in college. Fucking hey, it's got to 36 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 2: be pretty excited to be a Bears fan. Even for that. 37 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 2: It can be shitty to lose those games, but you 38 00:02:13,639 --> 00:02:16,399 Speaker 2: got a smile chout, You're like, Wow, picks one and two, 39 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 2: that's pretty amazing. Guy. 40 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: We're gonna get to all of it. It was an incredible 41 00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:23,399 Speaker 1: Sunday for all of our podcasts. The Action Network podcast 42 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: the Thursday episode with Raybon and Stucky their Sunday six 43 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 1: pack win five and one. They went two and o 44 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 1: on totals. They're twenty two and ten on side and 45 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 1: totals this season. The Action Network Best Bets episode Action 46 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:42,640 Speaker 1: Network podcast Best Best Episode gives out nine NFL picks 47 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 1: every Friday. They went eight and one on those. Check 48 00:02:46,440 --> 00:02:48,560 Speaker 1: out that podcast if you want even more content. By 49 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 1: the way, convince me today you're two and o so far. 50 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 1: You add the under Titans and Browns, you add under 51 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:59,120 Speaker 1: James Connor total rushing yards. Raybon is three and o 52 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 1: on the day. You've got the Jets still remaining tonight. 53 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 1: So things go in our way today so far. As 54 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 1: a reminder, the Favorite podcast is presented by bet three 55 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:12,520 Speaker 1: sixty five. Bet three six five doesn't do ordinary. They 56 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 1: believe that every sport should be epic every touchdown, every game, 57 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 1: every point, every play, from the moments that are legendary 58 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 1: to the ones that fly under the radarc for yourself 59 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:24,800 Speaker 1: when you sign up today with Code Action and you'll 60 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 1: get three hundred and sixty five dollars in bonus bets 61 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 1: when you bet just one dollar. Whatever the sport, whatever 62 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:34,120 Speaker 1: the moment, it's never ordinary At bet three sixty five 63 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:37,680 Speaker 1: must be twenty one or older. Must be present in Colorado, Kentucky, Iowa, 64 00:03:37,760 --> 00:03:40,840 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia. If you or someone you 65 00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:43,839 Speaker 1: know as a gambling problem and wants help, call one 66 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler in Colorado, Kentucky, New Jersey, Ohio, and Virginia, 67 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa. Terms and 68 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 1: conditions apply. Recap. We had Buffalo minus two and a 69 00:03:57,560 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 1: half win, Tennessee plus two and a half win, Chicago 70 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:06,720 Speaker 1: plus three and a half win, La minus a half win. 71 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 2: You got that right. You got that right. You got 72 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 2: that right. 73 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:20,359 Speaker 1: With the Jets remaining at nine and a half games, 74 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 1: we considered but passed on Baltimore plus two and a half, 75 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 1: Houston plus two and a half. Okay, Buffalo minus two 76 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:26,920 Speaker 1: and a half. Let's talk about this. It was the 77 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:29,720 Speaker 1: biggest bet. You and I were all in on it 78 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 1: from the beginning of the week. It was our Simon 79 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:35,200 Speaker 1: says bet. On Tuesday, we worried it was going to 80 00:04:35,279 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 1: go higher. I was curious, like it was interesting to me. 81 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 1: I love this from the second in post. And we 82 00:04:41,800 --> 00:04:44,960 Speaker 1: talked about it on Sunday night and I knew you 83 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:48,680 Speaker 1: liked it, but you have a hard time getting over 84 00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 1: sort of the matrix of the Miami offense. And I 85 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:54,520 Speaker 1: think it took like to the middle of the week 86 00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:58,520 Speaker 1: before there was full analysis, before you decided it was 87 00:04:58,560 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: going to be one of your biggest bets of the year. 88 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:04,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, you're also seeing me on Sunday Night Chat after 89 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 2: I lost a nice car. It's that's gonna I'm gonna 90 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:10,720 Speaker 2: say some crazy shit. So yeah, I want it back 91 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:13,360 Speaker 2: in there or something. And that's that's gambling. That's why 92 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:15,240 Speaker 2: I know why people people get pissed at me, where 93 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 2: they're like, oh, this guy's so chill or so laid 94 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:20,960 Speaker 2: back when they lose. And it's like, you'll never catch 95 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:22,680 Speaker 2: me panicking on a two and three a week, Like 96 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:25,840 Speaker 2: I say it all the time, me and Chad. If 97 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 2: we have a great season, that's sixty percent. I mean 98 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:33,080 Speaker 2: six times I'll be right, four times I will be wrong. 99 00:05:33,200 --> 00:05:34,880 Speaker 2: And that just comes to the territory like people are 100 00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 2: gonna talk shit to me to pull a bitch about stuff. 101 00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 2: It does no good for me to dwell on the chat. 102 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:43,599 Speaker 2: I told you it's always on the next weekend. This week. Yeah, 103 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:45,600 Speaker 2: you're right, Sunday night, I was like, I can't get 104 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 2: it on those bills. I can't do it. And I 105 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 2: woke up Monday morning, I was like, what's like, that's 106 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:52,680 Speaker 2: the spot, just the spot you take them in bet 107 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 2: it all week, a couple of books, I think hit 108 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:58,000 Speaker 2: three finally today and still a bunch of two and 109 00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:01,880 Speaker 2: a half's there by kickoff. So definitely that's that's the dream. 110 00:06:01,960 --> 00:06:03,599 Speaker 2: Like you keep betting stuff. They don't move it because 111 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 2: the public money's coming so heavy on Miami. And did 112 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 2: I think Miami was going to completely la an eggle 113 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 2: like they did? No, it was what we saw in 114 00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:12,159 Speaker 2: the very beginning of the first quarter. I think it 115 00:06:12,200 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 2: was like twenty one to fourteen back and forth, and 116 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:16,279 Speaker 2: I was like, this is what me and Chat talked about. 117 00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:18,560 Speaker 2: It's gonna be a back and forth game. And all 118 00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:21,039 Speaker 2: of a sudden, that Bill's defense just flipped to what 119 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 2: they've been so great at, which is turning the ball 120 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:25,839 Speaker 2: over and putting pressure on the quarterback. And you know, 121 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 2: they had a major injury. I forget which corner went down, 122 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:31,480 Speaker 2: but it was a big one. And yeah, that is 123 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:35,440 Speaker 2: say it again, big deal for them going forward, Like 124 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:39,799 Speaker 2: he's incredible so that that's tough for Bill's going forward. 125 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 2: But we talked Josh Allen MVP chat and that Josh 126 00:06:43,640 --> 00:06:46,040 Speaker 2: Allen showed up and till it didn't have a bad game. 127 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 2: It was just the expectations were so high. If he 128 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:52,039 Speaker 2: didn't win that game, no matter what we talked about, 129 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 2: he was gonna come cratering back down and all the 130 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 2: MVP betting and all that. So yeah, it always nice 131 00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 2: to be head of the market and have things go 132 00:06:57,920 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 2: to game plan. 133 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:03,799 Speaker 1: We talked about Josh Allen and everyone should go watch 134 00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 1: the Favorites Film Room episodes. These are these ten minute 135 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:15,200 Speaker 1: YouTube only videos that Simon and I are doing on 136 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 1: Wednesdays and we're picking out plays from Sunday and thinking 137 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 1: about how they're going to impact what we're looking at 138 00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 1: for the following week. And Simon, both of the games 139 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 1: we talk about today are two of the games we 140 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:33,520 Speaker 1: talked about today. We're featured in that both of them 141 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 1: won for the reasons we said they were going to 142 00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 1: win as bets, and you talked about Josh Allen ten 143 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 1: to one MVP. I guarantee when we wake up tomorrow 144 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 1: or wake up on Tuesday, those odds are considerably lower. 145 00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 1: And I feel much much smarter for having bet that. 146 00:07:50,600 --> 00:07:53,760 Speaker 1: At ten to one Wednesday. 147 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 2: Our guy Evan said, he's already favorite. He's already moved 148 00:07:56,040 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 2: to the favorite right now, come on? Yeah, oh my god. Again, 149 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:03,640 Speaker 2: it's how we predicted that was the game of the week. 150 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 2: And even if he hadn't played a guy as good 151 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:08,920 Speaker 2: as he was, I thought he would be. But he 152 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:13,320 Speaker 2: played perfect. He had almost basically a perfect game in 153 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:15,120 Speaker 2: the biggest game of the week. So yeah, he is. 154 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 1: Can I give you a stat in the fourth quarter? 155 00:08:19,720 --> 00:08:22,560 Speaker 1: I forgot what the Bills were ahead, but they were dominating. Uh, 156 00:08:23,080 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 1: the Bills were in the red zone for Miami at 157 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 1: that point in the game. Josh Allen had four touchdown 158 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:36,120 Speaker 1: passes and three incompletions, and on the on that play, 159 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 1: the very first snap of the fourth quarter, he ran 160 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:40,400 Speaker 1: into the end zone for a touchdown. 161 00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:41,080 Speaker 2: Wow. 162 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:43,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, the guy was just totally dominant. I 163 00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:46,480 Speaker 1: do wonder, I do wonder, like Christian McCaffrey today was 164 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 1: so good, Evan, I don't know what you're seeing, Evan Abrams, 165 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 1: Who's who's with us doing some some research on all 166 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:57,319 Speaker 1: these games? If you're seeing anything with McCaffrey, because Simon. 167 00:08:57,360 --> 00:09:02,120 Speaker 1: We talked about McCaffrey as one at seventy five to one. Yeah, 168 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:03,920 Speaker 1: that was a nice four touchdowns. 169 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:06,040 Speaker 2: Today, should have been five. I was so mad that 170 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:08,000 Speaker 2: gave that sneak to party. It's like, I know that 171 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:08,600 Speaker 2: was so weak. 172 00:09:08,640 --> 00:09:10,640 Speaker 1: He could have tied Ricky Waters and Jerry Rice for 173 00:09:10,720 --> 00:09:11,560 Speaker 1: most touchdowns ever. 174 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 2: Come on, man, let him tie the record. 175 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:15,800 Speaker 1: Do you know what else was interesting about this is 176 00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 1: why I was so excited with the Bills. We said 177 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:23,560 Speaker 1: during the week, the reason why the Bills could dominate 178 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:26,640 Speaker 1: this game is because they can get pressure without blitzing. 179 00:09:26,880 --> 00:09:30,520 Speaker 1: The lowest blitz rate of any team in the NFL, 180 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:33,679 Speaker 1: but one of the best pressure rates of any team 181 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:35,559 Speaker 1: in the NFL, which means that they're getting to the 182 00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 1: quarterback with their front four. And you saw it constantly today. 183 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:43,480 Speaker 1: And it happened multiple times with just four pass rushers 184 00:09:43,480 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 1: on really key downs, including a fourth down play where 185 00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:47,640 Speaker 1: two I just couldn't get the ball off because the 186 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:48,560 Speaker 1: front four got to him. 187 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, Sean smart. Though Sean changed up his system, he 188 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:54,840 Speaker 2: actually sent more five fronts than he was all season. 189 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 2: It's just that's what we talked about. He's a good 190 00:09:57,320 --> 00:09:59,559 Speaker 2: DC and he's got the players on that Bill side. 191 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 2: So yeah, that was a really nice one. 192 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:06,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, it was great, It was fantastic. I know Matt Mitchell, 193 00:10:06,360 --> 00:10:10,200 Speaker 1: who is a massive, massive Bills fan. I'm excited for him. 194 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 1: This had the potential to be a disaster for him 195 00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:16,559 Speaker 1: and it wasn't, so we can all celebrate. 196 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:16,960 Speaker 2: Matt. 197 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:19,040 Speaker 1: Do you have a story you want to share about 198 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:19,680 Speaker 1: the Bills. 199 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 3: I just want to mention that I have produced over 200 00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:26,800 Speaker 3: a thousand podcasts in these six NFL seasons of action, 201 00:10:26,920 --> 00:10:29,040 Speaker 3: and I've never drank a beer on any of them 202 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:33,360 Speaker 3: because I'm a professional. But today's game has earned them 203 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:35,560 Speaker 3: the right for me to crack open this delicious little 204 00:10:35,559 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 3: bat blow. And hey, Dolphins, when you get to Hell, 205 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:43,840 Speaker 3: tell him Josh Allen said, you eat shit, Go Bills. 206 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:51,680 Speaker 1: That's funny. A couple other really cool stats. Josh Allen 207 00:10:52,120 --> 00:10:55,280 Speaker 1: fifty nine wins in his career. Forty five of those 208 00:10:55,400 --> 00:11:01,160 Speaker 1: have been by seven or more. He's now eighteen and 209 00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:03,240 Speaker 1: four straight up the last twenty two games against the 210 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:06,760 Speaker 1: AFC East. So what's interesting is everyone else talks about 211 00:11:06,760 --> 00:11:09,080 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes and his dominance of the dominance of the 212 00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:12,040 Speaker 1: AFC West. You don't get as much noise about Josh 213 00:11:12,040 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: Allen and his dominance of the AFC East. 214 00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:24,079 Speaker 2: Alert here for Josh Allen, looking for He's a he's 215 00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:27,520 Speaker 2: a player. He's a football player through and through him. 216 00:11:27,880 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 1: But there's nothing there. He goes, he drums, can excuse me? 217 00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:33,640 Speaker 3: Touchdown? 218 00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:37,199 Speaker 2: How many quarterbacks have you ever seen hurdle anyone? Goodness, 219 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:41,200 Speaker 2: there's no fear, No way he was being. 220 00:11:49,720 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 1: Down. 221 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:56,360 Speaker 2: He's still going. Oh my god. The demands to do 222 00:11:56,440 --> 00:12:00,400 Speaker 2: something about this album reaches man making louder. 223 00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:05,680 Speaker 1: All right, Tennessee plus two and a half. This was 224 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:09,440 Speaker 1: my exact decision. Also one of the biggest bets we 225 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 1: both had all week. This was a I love this 226 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:16,440 Speaker 1: read by us as much as I love the Bills read. 227 00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:20,000 Speaker 1: I love this read by us. It was the exact 228 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:24,520 Speaker 1: right spot. A team coming off a blowout loss against 229 00:12:24,920 --> 00:12:28,320 Speaker 1: an incredible defense, playing against a team that had just 230 00:12:28,480 --> 00:12:33,520 Speaker 1: won in prime time, so it was overinflated with Mike Vrabel, 231 00:12:34,280 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 1: this is now the MVP podcast, meaning it's the Mike 232 00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 1: Vrabel podcast in Verbel We Trust twenty four and twenty 233 00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 1: three straight up in his career as an underdog. Wow, 234 00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:48,400 Speaker 1: we love Mike Vrabel. 235 00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:51,120 Speaker 2: Simon yeah, and my model is a nice read on 236 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:52,880 Speaker 2: them right now, where it's like we're hitting them at 237 00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:54,160 Speaker 2: the right spot and then we're fade them in the 238 00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:56,679 Speaker 2: right spot. Like they got blown out last week, We're 239 00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:58,839 Speaker 2: all over the Browns on this week, we're all over them. 240 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:05,840 Speaker 2: Have been cincion. I really, you know, really did was 241 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 2: scared of the Ryan Tannehill factor of this game, but 242 00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:11,080 Speaker 2: we kind of saw what it was and it's just 243 00:13:11,880 --> 00:13:15,560 Speaker 2: something's not right with that Bengals offense. So Tannehill made 244 00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:17,800 Speaker 2: their throws when he needed to, and Derek Henry really 245 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 2: came back out and did his thing. And Rabel defense 246 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:23,680 Speaker 2: as we talk all the time, like yeah, they have 247 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:26,079 Speaker 2: a really bad secondary, but that front fourth they can 248 00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:28,520 Speaker 2: get pressure. They really can cover up that secondary, and 249 00:13:28,520 --> 00:13:30,000 Speaker 2: that's what they did. The Joe Joe just was not 250 00:13:30,000 --> 00:13:33,319 Speaker 2: comfortable today. I don't even know what it was. I 251 00:13:33,400 --> 00:13:34,880 Speaker 2: might have been twenty four to three and a half. 252 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:39,560 Speaker 2: And unlike the Bears and the Rams, I wasn't really 253 00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 2: scared because I trust the defense of the Titans, so 254 00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:47,920 Speaker 2: really fun under was all over that, all over the number, 255 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 2: all over their money then, like you said, and don't 256 00:13:50,520 --> 00:13:52,439 Speaker 2: be shocked if me and Chad fade the Titans next 257 00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:54,559 Speaker 2: week when they're on the road. So there's gonna be 258 00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:56,120 Speaker 2: one of those teams this year. They're just we're gonna 259 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:57,880 Speaker 2: be riding them and we're gonna fade them. They're really 260 00:13:57,880 --> 00:13:58,559 Speaker 2: a fun team. 261 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:03,840 Speaker 1: Well, look, ra is so predictable in a lot of ways, 262 00:14:04,320 --> 00:14:07,920 Speaker 1: and you knew against this team. Look, it was probably 263 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:12,600 Speaker 1: the I think it was the first week they were 264 00:14:12,640 --> 00:14:21,880 Speaker 1: playing in which they didn't confront a just ferocious pass rush. Right, 265 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 1: what the Bengals do is not what the Browns do 266 00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 1: and it's not what the Chargers do. And those are 267 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:28,840 Speaker 1: teams they had been playing in the previous couple of weeks. 268 00:14:30,000 --> 00:14:32,640 Speaker 1: So their ability to get Tannehill a little more time 269 00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:36,280 Speaker 1: and develop some of the plays that Vrabel loves to call. 270 00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 1: They had very aggressive play calling. They went for it 271 00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:42,880 Speaker 1: on fourth down from all over the field. They had 272 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:45,760 Speaker 1: one play where it was like a screen pass and 273 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:49,560 Speaker 1: then a throw back to Ryan Tannehill who barely missed 274 00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:52,280 Speaker 1: DeAndre Hopkins in the end zone. They had a Derrick 275 00:14:52,360 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 1: Henry direct snap touchdown pass. They were awesome. But we 276 00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: have to talk about Joe Burrow here, first quarterback in 277 00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 1: NFL history, to attempt at least one hundred and fifty 278 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:09,480 Speaker 1: passes in his team's first four games of a season, 279 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:13,960 Speaker 1: an average fewer than five yards per attempt on those passes. 280 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:18,000 Speaker 1: Like you said, it unconvinced me. We've talked about it 281 00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 1: all week. We thought that win against the Rams was fraudulent. 282 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,720 Speaker 1: He's not healthy, he's not back, he's not comfortable. Something's 283 00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:26,160 Speaker 1: wrong here. 284 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, and and just until further notice, I don't care 285 00:15:30,920 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 2: if I'm getting a good number on. I just it's 286 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 2: gonna be hard for me to back the Spangles team. 287 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:37,200 Speaker 2: I just have no read on Joe Burrown this offense. 288 00:15:37,240 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 2: There's just something's wrong on them right now. 289 00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:45,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, here's another little fun little stat. Teams went to 290 00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:48,160 Speaker 1: to o against the spread today. With this stat, teams 291 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:52,120 Speaker 1: that scored three points or less the previous week are 292 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:55,400 Speaker 1: seventy five, forty eight and four sixty one percent against 293 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:58,800 Speaker 1: the spread the following week the past twenty years, so 294 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:02,680 Speaker 1: week fourteen teams Week three teams that scored three points 295 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:07,880 Speaker 1: or less. Washington and Tennessee both covered today. We were 296 00:16:07,920 --> 00:16:10,560 Speaker 1: on both of them. That Commander's game was a little 297 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,520 Speaker 1: a little bit of a sweat there at the end. 298 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:19,880 Speaker 1: It got interesting, Yeah, it did right. All right, let's 299 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:21,920 Speaker 1: talk about games we did have to sweat other than 300 00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:25,480 Speaker 1: the Commanders games we had to sweat for our contest. 301 00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 1: A buddy of mine texted me midway through the second 302 00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 1: half to remind me that Matt Ryan, one of the 303 00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 1: broadcasters on today's game, when it was twenty eight to seven. 304 00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 1: You know what, Matt Ryan said, Matt Ryan, loser of 305 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:47,400 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl when they were up twenty eight to three. 306 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:52,360 Speaker 1: Epic meltdowns as a big lead, as a guy with 307 00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:54,880 Speaker 1: big leads throughout his career, Matt Ryan, the Bears were 308 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 1: up twenty eight seven, this game is all bit. 309 00:16:57,400 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 2: Over and we can't forget you had the thirty one 310 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:05,480 Speaker 2: to three melt down against the Vikings. That's right, so epic. 311 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:08,919 Speaker 1: So it was pretty typical. Like as soon as like 312 00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:11,480 Speaker 1: I didn't bet it live, but as soon as Matt 313 00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:13,480 Speaker 1: Ryan said, this game is all but over, you probably 314 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:17,000 Speaker 1: should have bet the Broncos live. This was our only 315 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:19,840 Speaker 1: debate this morning, like in a quick catchup, and I 316 00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:23,600 Speaker 1: have some thoughts on our contest strategy. It was a 317 00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:25,639 Speaker 1: numbers play, right, I said at the beginning of the show. 318 00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 1: We didn't bet Baltimore because it was at two and 319 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:31,440 Speaker 1: a half in our contest. We did bet Houston because 320 00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:32,920 Speaker 1: it was a two and a half in our contest. 321 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 1: We just liked the Bears at three and a half better. 322 00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:38,679 Speaker 1: It wouldn't have mattered if we took Baltimore in Houston. 323 00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:45,919 Speaker 1: But wowser. Like I talked about you reviewing Josh Allen 324 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:51,840 Speaker 1: and for the Favorite Film Session, I reviewed the Broncos defense, 325 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:59,600 Speaker 1: and like they were terrible. Cole Comet wide open, DJ 326 00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:03,040 Speaker 1: Moore are wide open. The first game Justin Fields has 327 00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:06,680 Speaker 1: ever thrown for three hundred yards. I mean, they were 328 00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:09,639 Speaker 1: just pathetic in the first half, and then they made 329 00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:12,399 Speaker 1: adjustments and Justin Fields isn't good enough to sort of 330 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:16,680 Speaker 1: work around those. And the Bears coaching staff is got awful. 331 00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:20,439 Speaker 1: We can talk about what they did wrong, but all 332 00:18:20,440 --> 00:18:22,440 Speaker 1: of a sudden this became a sweat for us. 333 00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:28,439 Speaker 2: Yeah, Justin Fields is really talented and really gifted, but 334 00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:31,280 Speaker 2: you have horrible coaching. And that's what happens. You have 335 00:18:31,280 --> 00:18:34,399 Speaker 2: horrible coaching. So they, like you said, they get up 336 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:37,879 Speaker 2: to uh what was it, twenty eight to seven like 337 00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:41,880 Speaker 2: you said, and the Broncos score a touchdown, they send 338 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 2: Fields out there. I think they do three runs right 339 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:46,600 Speaker 2: into the back of their offensive lineman, bump the ball back, 340 00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:49,240 Speaker 2: Broncos score a touchdown. Fields goes out there. I believe 341 00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:51,400 Speaker 2: you got stripsacked or whatever happened. They take a touchdown, 342 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:54,280 Speaker 2: the game was tied, and it's like this, this fucking 343 00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:57,520 Speaker 2: Bears team, man, like they're but dude. 344 00:18:57,800 --> 00:19:01,280 Speaker 1: Then the Bears have it like fourth down in the 345 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:04,359 Speaker 1: red zone with I don't know to two and a 346 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:08,119 Speaker 1: half minutes left, maybe even less, and they go for 347 00:19:08,200 --> 00:19:10,240 Speaker 1: it on fourth and one instead of kicking a go 348 00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 1: ahead field goal. 349 00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:13,879 Speaker 2: I liked that play, I know, but I thought that 350 00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:16,919 Speaker 2: was the right call because their defense was shot, they're exhausted. 351 00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:19,840 Speaker 2: So my view of it was, okay, you take the 352 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:22,680 Speaker 2: three there a minimum the bron because we're gonna get 353 00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:24,719 Speaker 2: a three no matter what. That was gonna go to overtime. 354 00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:26,680 Speaker 2: And then and then again, you're playing a flip coin, 355 00:19:26,800 --> 00:19:29,120 Speaker 2: flipping the coin there, and we talk all the time 356 00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:34,479 Speaker 2: football is so momentum, and the momentum was gone, gone, gone, 357 00:19:34,560 --> 00:19:36,639 Speaker 2: and then you guys had this huge catch on the sideline. 358 00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:38,760 Speaker 2: I forget who had this big catch. It might have 359 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:44,919 Speaker 2: been Saint Brown toe tapped and yeah, flip back to 360 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:47,119 Speaker 2: our like our side. I was like, they got this, 361 00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:49,119 Speaker 2: and I know people hate it them for it, but 362 00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:50,879 Speaker 2: I just I agreed with the call because if you 363 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:53,359 Speaker 2: get that first, you kneel it down, you kick the 364 00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:56,959 Speaker 2: three of the game is over. And you know, the 365 00:19:57,000 --> 00:20:00,240 Speaker 2: Bears they should play that way the entire season because 366 00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:03,240 Speaker 2: now you are playing. I know it hurts the Bears 367 00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:05,919 Speaker 2: fans here that this is, but if Fields keeps playing 368 00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:09,359 Speaker 2: like this, he keeps playing pretty well like middle, maybe'll 369 00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:10,880 Speaker 2: be able to get a first. And now we're talking 370 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:13,840 Speaker 2: to you, guys might have three first. So I think 371 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:15,840 Speaker 2: Bears fans they can keep living themselves, some of them 372 00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:18,040 Speaker 2: being like Justin Fields is the future and we just 373 00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:21,280 Speaker 2: need a new coach. If you have the number one pick, 374 00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:23,800 Speaker 2: you will be taking Williams. This guy is an all 375 00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:28,119 Speaker 2: time prospect and you're seeing when you hit you know 376 00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:31,720 Speaker 2: right away CJ. Stroud, We know right away this guy 377 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:33,639 Speaker 2: is legit. Now, he could fall off the cliff and 378 00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:35,359 Speaker 2: have a shit rest of the year and everything like that, 379 00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:37,800 Speaker 2: but they have something there that they can work on 380 00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:41,440 Speaker 2: now going forward. There's stuff he does really well. So yeah, 381 00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:44,119 Speaker 2: Bears fans, I've heard from you guys and it's hard. 382 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:46,280 Speaker 2: I mean, that was the most people reach out to 383 00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:48,640 Speaker 2: me about, like online, where they're like, you guys got 384 00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:50,399 Speaker 2: to stop taking the Bears, and I just kept saying them, 385 00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:52,920 Speaker 2: it's a good number, like we're not betting them to win. 386 00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:55,040 Speaker 2: I already told Chad I refuse to bet this team 387 00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:57,440 Speaker 2: to win. But with the hook at three and a half, 388 00:20:57,520 --> 00:21:00,520 Speaker 2: it was good and it literally went just as we predicted. 389 00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:03,280 Speaker 2: They blew the game. They lost by three. We covered 390 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:03,600 Speaker 2: the hook. 391 00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:09,960 Speaker 1: Yeah in my my text chain, my Chicago Bears text chain. 392 00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:12,200 Speaker 2: That must be a sad place. 393 00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:17,520 Speaker 1: No, No, it's not like it's not because at the 394 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:19,560 Speaker 1: end of at the end of it, I was able 395 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:23,720 Speaker 1: to say to everybody, look, the good news we bet 396 00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:26,439 Speaker 1: the Bears plus three and a half. The better news. 397 00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:30,159 Speaker 1: The better news we still lost and we're still in 398 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:34,440 Speaker 1: the running for Caleb Williams and Marvin Harrison Junior and 399 00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:39,480 Speaker 1: a complete reboot with a new staff. Yeah, Like, this 400 00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,879 Speaker 1: team has so much good potential right now. I might 401 00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:45,040 Speaker 1: bet him again at two hundred and one next year 402 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:47,879 Speaker 1: to win the Super Bowl, because that's how excited I 403 00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:53,560 Speaker 1: can be about about Caleb Williams. The Broncos defense, though, 404 00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:58,879 Speaker 1: is as bad as we say, Okay, fifth most points 405 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:04,880 Speaker 1: through four games all time, all time history of the NFL. 406 00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:10,359 Speaker 1: Seventy eight point one percent completion percentage is the highest 407 00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:15,359 Speaker 1: through four games all time. They just happened to get 408 00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:17,760 Speaker 1: lucky and play a Bears team that is the first 409 00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:20,800 Speaker 1: to allow twenty five or more points in NFL history 410 00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:25,240 Speaker 1: in fourteen consecutive games. This was an all time bad 411 00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:31,720 Speaker 1: defense matchup. We got very lucky that we were on 412 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:36,959 Speaker 1: the right side, Very very lucky, all right, this Rams 413 00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:39,640 Speaker 1: game we won. The Rams were favored by a half 414 00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:41,240 Speaker 1: in the contest. You and I liked it at plus 415 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:43,239 Speaker 1: one and a half early in the week, but we 416 00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:46,439 Speaker 1: kind of slow rolled it all week, Like we barely 417 00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:48,240 Speaker 1: discussed it on Tuesday, and then when we did the 418 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 1: podcast on Thursday, we both came to the show and 419 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:54,520 Speaker 1: we're like, I kind of like the Rams this week. Look, 420 00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:59,000 Speaker 1: they were the biggest unlucky team from the week before. 421 00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:02,280 Speaker 1: The biggest differential in our luck rankings this week was 422 00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:05,760 Speaker 1: between the Colts, who had beaten the Ravens with multiple 423 00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:09,480 Speaker 1: fifty yard field goals, and the Rams, who had lost 424 00:23:09,520 --> 00:23:12,440 Speaker 1: on some flooky plays in prime time against the Bengals. 425 00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:15,360 Speaker 1: So we liked this game a lot, and I made 426 00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:16,719 Speaker 1: a note in the middle of the game, like it 427 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,679 Speaker 1: was they were up twenty three nothing, but at that 428 00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:24,639 Speaker 1: point they had missed two field goals and I'm like, 429 00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:28,160 Speaker 1: they cannot put this game away. It was so frustrating 430 00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:32,320 Speaker 1: because you could see you could see the Colts with 431 00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:33,359 Speaker 1: the chance to come back. 432 00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:37,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, and once again and those the Rams defense got tired. 433 00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:40,440 Speaker 2: And that's what happens in football, Like if a team 434 00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:44,040 Speaker 2: is gassed, it's there's nothing they can do because then 435 00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 2: you start mentally being fatigued and making wrong decisions. And 436 00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:49,679 Speaker 2: a bunch of little penalties of Rams kept giving to 437 00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:52,159 Speaker 2: the Colts team, they kept getting them free first downs, 438 00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,560 Speaker 2: and yeah, the math you saw the numbers working out 439 00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:57,120 Speaker 2: where it's like, oh my god, they just need sixteen 440 00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:58,960 Speaker 2: now and then sure enough to get the first two pointer, 441 00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:02,040 Speaker 2: then they get next to the next one. So yeah, 442 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:04,239 Speaker 2: that would have been a bad beat. Like I've had 443 00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:07,040 Speaker 2: some horrible bad beats in college football right now, So, 444 00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:10,000 Speaker 2: like you know, PTSD, I'm just a little shell shock 445 00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:12,120 Speaker 2: where that came back. I was like, if they lose 446 00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:14,159 Speaker 2: this coin flip, it's over. Like they're gonna score a 447 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:18,320 Speaker 2: touchdown the Colts. Luckily, you know, our guy got it. 448 00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:21,919 Speaker 2: And yeah, say what you want about Stafford and this 449 00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:25,320 Speaker 2: RAMS team. All the naysayers heard a lot of shit 450 00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:28,560 Speaker 2: about me loving them, and here they are two and two. JAD. 451 00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:31,520 Speaker 2: It's pretty crazy. This RAMS team probably should be three 452 00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:34,040 Speaker 2: to one. They're just they're better than people perceive. And 453 00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:35,760 Speaker 2: every time I see the forty nine ers now just 454 00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:37,800 Speaker 2: beat the crap out of all these different teams, and 455 00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:39,840 Speaker 2: the Rams really gave them a run for their money. 456 00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:42,800 Speaker 2: I think they're better than people realize. It's all about 457 00:24:42,840 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 2: what Stafford can do and if he's healthy, and now 458 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:48,520 Speaker 2: Cooper Cup coming back, with all these other guys who 459 00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:51,640 Speaker 2: have stepped up and filled in these other receivers, it's 460 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:53,840 Speaker 2: hard not to be excited about this RAMS team. So 461 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,520 Speaker 2: definitely one of the teams that it's always nice when 462 00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 2: you bet these bad teams that everyone hates and they 463 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:03,880 Speaker 2: show up for you. So yeah, the Rams almost got 464 00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:06,840 Speaker 2: blacklisted from me if they almost ruined our night, our 465 00:25:06,880 --> 00:25:09,640 Speaker 2: perfect day, and luckily they came back. 466 00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:13,760 Speaker 1: They tried, they tried, really tried. I made another note 467 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:20,199 Speaker 1: two thirty three. Everything had gone perfectly and at about 468 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:25,360 Speaker 1: midway through the fourth the Colts had scored to get 469 00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:29,720 Speaker 1: within eight. And that's right when Justin Fields was strip 470 00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:32,760 Speaker 1: sacked and I was saying to myself, are you freaking 471 00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:36,639 Speaker 1: kidding me? That? Like I could have taken a nap. 472 00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:39,359 Speaker 1: We were in such good shape, and all of a sudden, 473 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:41,680 Speaker 1: I gotta be sweating that we're going to go two 474 00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:44,920 Speaker 1: and two when we were so spot on with these 475 00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:52,000 Speaker 1: for one hundred and twenty minutes. The good news is 476 00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:59,439 Speaker 1: the good news is Mac Jones is terrible, and that 477 00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:01,879 Speaker 1: is a game I did not have to sweat. And 478 00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,840 Speaker 1: can we just agree as great as the Patriots defense 479 00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:07,760 Speaker 1: is and as great as Bill Belichick is a game planning, 480 00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:13,080 Speaker 1: they they are quarterbackless right now. Mac Jones was benched, 481 00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:16,960 Speaker 1: Baby Zappy came in, didn't make a difference. He's just 482 00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:19,960 Speaker 1: a He's a terrible quarterback. He looks kind of like 483 00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:25,200 Speaker 1: he's non athletic, he doesn't make good throws, he puts 484 00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,480 Speaker 1: himself in bad positions. He's just not good. 485 00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:31,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, and they're gonna be in tank mode. Great QB 486 00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:33,840 Speaker 2: class coming out this year. I know it's gonna be 487 00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:36,399 Speaker 2: hard for Belichick to swallow it, but he might not 488 00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:38,480 Speaker 2: have a choice like they might just be really bad. 489 00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:43,560 Speaker 2: And yeah, looking at their division, even with Zach Wilson, 490 00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:46,840 Speaker 2: still think the Jets might do something, but none of 491 00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:48,720 Speaker 2: us will be shocked if they end up finishing fourth 492 00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 2: below the Jets team. So yeah, Patriots fans, it sucks, 493 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:56,480 Speaker 2: but welcome to being a regular NFL fan again. It's 494 00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:59,359 Speaker 2: just it's really hard to find these superstar quarterbacks. 495 00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:03,800 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell wants to remind everybody that that Mac Jones 496 00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:07,720 Speaker 1: has no idea which nipple to throw to right now, listen, 497 00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:10,000 Speaker 1: if I'm going to get if I'm gonna get called 498 00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:12,200 Speaker 1: on the carpet for saying Mac Jones is a which 499 00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:14,760 Speaker 1: nipple to throw to guy, then I should get credit 500 00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:18,520 Speaker 1: for saying this guy's terrible, Like two weeks ago, I 501 00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:19,040 Speaker 1: said it. 502 00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:24,359 Speaker 2: Also, But that's very impressive. You predicted that two weeks ago. 503 00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:27,639 Speaker 1: Well listen, you kept you kept trying to tell me 504 00:27:27,760 --> 00:27:29,240 Speaker 1: to bet the Patriots, and I'm. 505 00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:31,160 Speaker 2: Like, yeah, I never said it's because of Mac Jones. 506 00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:32,480 Speaker 2: I said it was because of their defense. I know 507 00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:33,360 Speaker 2: this one's fair. 508 00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:35,399 Speaker 1: I definitely wanted to bet the Patriots. I'm like, come on, 509 00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:38,440 Speaker 1: the Cowboys are the right side or this is a 510 00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:42,160 Speaker 1: smash spot for the Cowboys. Also, you can see why. 511 00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:45,680 Speaker 1: Don't give me your snickering. Listen, don't give me an 512 00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:46,840 Speaker 1: even Chad snicker. 513 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:49,000 Speaker 2: This is why people want us to lose. Chad, You're 514 00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:51,639 Speaker 2: the reason people want us to lose. Please take it 515 00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 2: down on. 516 00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:53,439 Speaker 1: Notch Oh No, I'm not. 517 00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:57,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, no, you're celebrating the Cowboys game. We didn't even 518 00:27:57,720 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 2: bet you're You're out of your fucking mind right now. 519 00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:00,840 Speaker 1: Well, I dot it. 520 00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just it's nothing towards the show. You're just 521 00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:05,200 Speaker 2: I bet it. Get back on course. 522 00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:10,440 Speaker 1: Uh, you can see why the Eagles are both struggling 523 00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:17,560 Speaker 1: and still winning because Jonathan Gannon and Shane Steichen clearly 524 00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:21,000 Speaker 1: we're incredible coordinators. Because what they're doing in Arizona and 525 00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:24,360 Speaker 1: Indie is super impressive. These teams don't have a ton 526 00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:26,520 Speaker 1: of talent and they're staying in every game. 527 00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:31,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, now, they're really good. I mean the Arizona stuff. 528 00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:33,359 Speaker 2: I don't even know if it's the coaching this this 529 00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:37,439 Speaker 2: quarterback I just saw somewhere else they might keep Kyler 530 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:40,320 Speaker 2: Murray out longer. I have no idea what's going on 531 00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 2: with this Cardinals team. Like Kyler just posted video a 532 00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:44,280 Speaker 2: little bit ago that he's like ready to come back. 533 00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:45,920 Speaker 2: And now they're saying, well, we're going to keep them 534 00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:49,760 Speaker 2: on reserve for a while. And yeah, like I think 535 00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:52,719 Speaker 2: evn't posts. A little bit ago the Bengals were minus 536 00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:55,920 Speaker 2: six against Arizona. That line's already moved the five. So 537 00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:58,280 Speaker 2: the pro money is coming on Arizona. They just they 538 00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:00,680 Speaker 2: like this team. And yeah, well there for a really 539 00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:03,680 Speaker 2: bad zach Ers drop, they would have won, not won, 540 00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:05,719 Speaker 2: they would have covered today spread against that forty nine 541 00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:06,160 Speaker 2: Ers team. 542 00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:09,920 Speaker 1: Make Little Caesars, the official pizza sponsor of the NFL 543 00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:14,680 Speaker 1: part of your game day, Simon, can you ever really 544 00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:17,959 Speaker 1: trust someone who doesn't include pizza as part of their 545 00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:18,880 Speaker 1: game day routine? 546 00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:20,160 Speaker 2: Not a chance? 547 00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:24,640 Speaker 1: Order online during our pizza Pizza pre game one hour 548 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:28,320 Speaker 1: before NFL games and get ready for some football and fun. 549 00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:31,760 Speaker 1: Choose your favorite Little Caesars pizza or pick the toppings 550 00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:35,600 Speaker 1: you crave, Simon, Do you eat the pizza crust or 551 00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:36,000 Speaker 1: do you not? 552 00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:38,280 Speaker 2: I love the crust? 553 00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:41,840 Speaker 1: I do too. However you handle your Little Caesars, you win. 554 00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:46,320 Speaker 1: And speaking of winning, everyone scores with convenient delivery or 555 00:29:46,360 --> 00:29:49,840 Speaker 1: our in store pizza portal pickup. So grab some friends 556 00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:52,600 Speaker 1: and enjoy a few slices during the game, all right. 557 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,680 Speaker 1: Our other picks from the week, our foxhil was Las 558 00:29:56,760 --> 00:30:02,080 Speaker 1: Vegas plus five and a half. I mean, dude, how 559 00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:04,240 Speaker 1: many there were, like six sacks, so. 560 00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:07,320 Speaker 2: Many chances We were right there though, brutal right there. 561 00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:09,480 Speaker 1: He fumbled three times in the first half, like, but 562 00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:14,160 Speaker 1: they had so many chances to get close in that game. 563 00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:16,600 Speaker 1: Our big balls is the Jets nine and a half. 564 00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 1: We'll find out soon enough. EXAC decision Tennessee plus two 565 00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:21,960 Speaker 1: and a half. Simon says, Buffalo minus two and a half. 566 00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:27,440 Speaker 1: Round Robin Houston a win, Baltimore a win, Tennessee a win, 567 00:30:27,640 --> 00:30:31,080 Speaker 1: the Bucks a win, Las Vegas a lost. 568 00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:32,280 Speaker 3: All right. 569 00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:34,280 Speaker 1: Look for those who are joining and you haven't gotten 570 00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:38,360 Speaker 1: the picture yet, our lean for Sunday night is going 571 00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:42,800 Speaker 1: to be the New York j e Ts Jets, Jets Jets. 572 00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:45,040 Speaker 1: Simon and I liked it at ten. We liked it 573 00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:48,200 Speaker 1: at nine and a half. In the contest, it's Roland Simon, 574 00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:50,719 Speaker 1: what is that number at right now? I haven't even checked. 575 00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:53,800 Speaker 2: It's gone back up. Like, like we said, a lot 576 00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:55,320 Speaker 2: of public moneys come in, so it did go to 577 00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:56,760 Speaker 2: seven and a half for most of the day now 578 00:30:56,800 --> 00:30:58,920 Speaker 2: some books are shown eight eight and a half's out there, 579 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:01,080 Speaker 2: So yeah, we want you guys at the end of a 580 00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:03,560 Speaker 2: half if you can. That's that's such a key number. 581 00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:08,160 Speaker 1: We still lean towards the Jets very much, not even 582 00:31:08,160 --> 00:31:13,920 Speaker 1: a lean. We are heavily invested. Simon also tell people 583 00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:16,120 Speaker 1: what player prop you're thinking about. 584 00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:19,080 Speaker 2: Took Mahomes underpassing prop so I think it was two 585 00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:22,520 Speaker 2: seventy two. I mean, we need it for our bet. 586 00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:24,720 Speaker 2: If he's thrown over three hundred yards, probably not the 587 00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:28,200 Speaker 2: best spot for us with our Jets bet and Andy 588 00:31:28,280 --> 00:31:30,560 Speaker 2: Reid kind of kind of leaked a little bit that 589 00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:32,800 Speaker 2: they want to use the run more, take the less 590 00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:36,000 Speaker 2: pressure off Mahomes take, have them take less hits. And 591 00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:38,840 Speaker 2: this matchup the Jets, they kind of want you to 592 00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:40,560 Speaker 2: drop back and pass right. They have the really good 593 00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:42,720 Speaker 2: pass rushers. So I think, ay, he's gonna attack on 594 00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,160 Speaker 2: the run. So yeah, it might have gone up, but 595 00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:47,240 Speaker 2: it was too seventy two and a half this morning 596 00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:49,120 Speaker 2: when I gave out his underpassing. 597 00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:52,719 Speaker 1: Monday Night football, the Seahawks are visiting the Giants. When 598 00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:56,240 Speaker 1: we talked earlier in the week, I don't like this 599 00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:59,520 Speaker 1: game at all. I'm going to pass entirely you leaned Giants, 600 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:03,240 Speaker 1: but explain to people how you ended up on the Seahawks. 601 00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:05,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, you end up kind of getting bullied and ticking 602 00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:08,160 Speaker 2: the Seahawks. A really sharp group came in on them. 603 00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:11,160 Speaker 2: They've moved the number. I took it late. I think 604 00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:12,920 Speaker 2: I think a minus one out's up to minus one 605 00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:17,400 Speaker 2: and a half. But I think we talked before the show, 606 00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 2: it's just an injury bet. There's just such big injuries 607 00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:23,000 Speaker 2: round to the Giants. Unlikely Barkley plays, which is such 608 00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:24,560 Speaker 2: a big deal of that offense. We just see how 609 00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:28,120 Speaker 2: they're just different without them. So totally get it. If 610 00:32:28,120 --> 00:32:30,280 Speaker 2: you want to just wont tease the Giants up to 611 00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:32,640 Speaker 2: seven and a half because they're a home dog prime time, 612 00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:35,800 Speaker 2: I get it. I think the Seahawks just have too 613 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:38,640 Speaker 2: much firepower for the wide receivers and Kenneth Walker has 614 00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:41,840 Speaker 2: been amazing running the ball. So yeah, everywhere cross the 615 00:32:41,840 --> 00:32:44,440 Speaker 2: board that offense is really good, and where you attack 616 00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:46,200 Speaker 2: the Seahawks is their secondary and I just don't know 617 00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:48,080 Speaker 2: if they have got the weapons on the Giants side 618 00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:48,920 Speaker 2: to really do that. 619 00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:55,720 Speaker 1: All right, Simon, very hard question for you and you 620 00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:58,920 Speaker 1: name the fastest growing ticketing app in the United States. 621 00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:00,160 Speaker 2: Games. 622 00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:03,560 Speaker 1: That's right, it's our sponsor, game Time. I love game 623 00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:06,520 Speaker 1: Time for two reasons. One they sponsored the show. Two, 624 00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:10,040 Speaker 1: I actually use game Time to buy tickets, no more 625 00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:13,520 Speaker 1: so than about two hours ago. True story. My wife, 626 00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:16,400 Speaker 1: who was in Michigan alum, is going to ann Arbor 627 00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:17,920 Speaker 1: in a couple of weeks. She wants to go to 628 00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:20,640 Speaker 1: the game. At about five or six o'clock tonight, she 629 00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:23,120 Speaker 1: said to me, Hey, what's the best way to get 630 00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:25,320 Speaker 1: tickets for the game? I wish there were cameras there. 631 00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:27,480 Speaker 1: It would have been like a game Time commercial. She's 632 00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:29,960 Speaker 1: clearly not a podcast listener because I was able to 633 00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:32,480 Speaker 1: say to her game Time, and then I was able 634 00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:34,840 Speaker 1: to say to her, They've got amazing last minute deals 635 00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:38,600 Speaker 1: on all sorts of tickets, including pro and college football games. 636 00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:41,960 Speaker 1: Speaking to which I'm actually opening game Time right now 637 00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:45,320 Speaker 1: from my house here in Connecticut. Guess what, I can 638 00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:47,760 Speaker 1: go see that money in a football game in New 639 00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:52,560 Speaker 1: York for less than eighty bucks. Less than eighty bucks 640 00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:55,880 Speaker 1: professional football game. No matter where you live, download the 641 00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:58,720 Speaker 1: game Time app, get out and have some fun this week. 642 00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:01,440 Speaker 1: Go swipe to your bet your bets live and in person. 643 00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:05,720 Speaker 1: And as I told my wife, if she uses game time, 644 00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:09,919 Speaker 1: she can redeem code favorites for twenty dollars off your 645 00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:13,480 Speaker 1: first purchase. Terms apply again. Just download the app and 646 00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:16,200 Speaker 1: her code favorites for twenty dollars off last minute tickets, 647 00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:18,960 Speaker 1: lowes price guarantee you. All right, we got some buys 648 00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:25,560 Speaker 1: coming up the Browns, Chargers, Seahawks, and Bucks in Week five. 649 00:34:26,640 --> 00:34:28,640 Speaker 1: We always like to fade, I mean we always like 650 00:34:28,719 --> 00:34:32,120 Speaker 1: to give a little bit extra attention to teams that 651 00:34:32,160 --> 00:34:36,680 Speaker 1: got blown out. So we already mentioned Cincinnati opened as 652 00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:42,719 Speaker 1: a six point favorite, Arizona already down to five. New 653 00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:50,200 Speaker 1: England got blown out, and New England is they're in 654 00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:50,680 Speaker 1: a good spot. 655 00:34:50,680 --> 00:34:52,040 Speaker 2: They're at home against the Saints. 656 00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:54,080 Speaker 1: That's right. They're at a home against the Saints, and 657 00:34:54,080 --> 00:35:00,360 Speaker 1: I think they're a slight favorite. Yeah, Pittsburgh's off the 658 00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:05,200 Speaker 1: they got blown out. Atlanta is hosting Houston. We're gonna 659 00:35:05,200 --> 00:35:08,160 Speaker 1: get to that, and then the Saints, which is New England. 660 00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:11,680 Speaker 1: So let's talk about some early leans. Do you have 661 00:35:11,680 --> 00:35:14,560 Speaker 1: anything that's that's sticking out for you right now? 662 00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:17,160 Speaker 2: Yeah? I love Atlanta. Hoping that goes to two and 663 00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:19,839 Speaker 2: a half, though it's three right now. I'll just wait 664 00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:24,680 Speaker 2: for it the drop. CJ has been incredible, but I 665 00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,879 Speaker 2: have to fit huge win against Jacksonville, huge win at 666 00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:33,120 Speaker 2: home now against Pittsburgh. Atlanta laid a huge egg against 667 00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:39,000 Speaker 2: the Jaguars on national television. Ain't nobody, Ain't nobody been 668 00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:42,920 Speaker 2: this Atlanta team but the pros. So that one I 669 00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:45,000 Speaker 2: knew right away after watching the Atlanta game. I'll go 670 00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:47,160 Speaker 2: Houston wins. This is gonna be an easy bet. I'll 671 00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:49,480 Speaker 2: just I'll just take Atlanta. I think it might have 672 00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:51,960 Speaker 2: been three and a half four before that game. Now 673 00:35:51,960 --> 00:35:55,040 Speaker 2: it's sitting at three. I think it's gonna go two 674 00:35:55,040 --> 00:35:58,319 Speaker 2: and a half. You never know how these things going. 675 00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:00,440 Speaker 2: Maybe the Pros will come in now, yeah, already two 676 00:36:00,480 --> 00:36:03,600 Speaker 2: and a half. Evan said, So that's one of those 677 00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:05,359 Speaker 2: I hate it. I don't want to do it because 678 00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:07,040 Speaker 2: I love CJ. And I love the way they're playing 679 00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:10,040 Speaker 2: right now. Like he's got it ridder we all know 680 00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:13,920 Speaker 2: he doesn't. I'm bending down hopes that maybe Heinike is 681 00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:16,919 Speaker 2: named the starter. You never know, like unlikely, right, they'll 682 00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:19,920 Speaker 2: give up on him yet, but they could. But we 683 00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:22,840 Speaker 2: joke Ridder never lost a home game. We'll take it 684 00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:25,520 Speaker 2: under a field goal at home that that'll be one 685 00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:27,600 Speaker 2: of those early bets. I'll make just a nice spot 686 00:36:27,640 --> 00:36:29,799 Speaker 2: to back him. Fade the rookie on the road after 687 00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:31,919 Speaker 2: big road, two big wins, I should say. 688 00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:36,680 Speaker 1: I mean he was terrible, horrible. Yeah, it's really terrible. 689 00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:43,440 Speaker 1: Right now. Would you take Aidan O'Connell or Desmond Rider. 690 00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:47,480 Speaker 2: I take anyone I joked with someone whatever. I was 691 00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:50,480 Speaker 2: talking to a guy last night and it's it's never 692 00:36:50,520 --> 00:36:53,440 Speaker 2: any stupid questions. And he's Atlanta Falcons man. He's just like, 693 00:36:53,640 --> 00:36:55,560 Speaker 2: you don't know, He's like no one knows. He's like, 694 00:36:55,600 --> 00:36:58,279 Speaker 2: we get it, we see him. He's had some rough games, 695 00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:00,399 Speaker 2: he's also had some really big good throw and blah 696 00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:03,080 Speaker 2: blah blah. And I just said to him, there's thirty 697 00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:06,000 Speaker 2: two starters. That means there's thirty two backups. And I 698 00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:08,080 Speaker 2: wouldn't even have him in my top sixty four. Like 699 00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:12,440 Speaker 2: the guy is a third string practice quarterback. And you know, 700 00:37:13,080 --> 00:37:14,840 Speaker 2: I can't say that I knew from the minute I 701 00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:17,200 Speaker 2: saw him, but the fact that I was hearing so 702 00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:20,719 Speaker 2: much noise during the draft Atlanta trying to get quarterbacks 703 00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:23,640 Speaker 2: from all these guys who work for Atlanta, who are 704 00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:26,560 Speaker 2: scouts for Atlanta. I knew the team knew. And if 705 00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:28,360 Speaker 2: the team knows, the team is supposed to be the 706 00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:31,480 Speaker 2: biggest frauds, blowing smoke, saying all this stuff in the media, 707 00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:33,680 Speaker 2: which they do do. But if I'm getting word behind 708 00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:35,279 Speaker 2: the scenes that this team was already trying to find 709 00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:37,560 Speaker 2: another quarterback because they don't believe in them, that's a 710 00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:40,280 Speaker 2: huge red flag, Like these guys want to believe in guys. 711 00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:43,960 Speaker 2: So yeah, Ritter just buying his time to be being 712 00:37:43,960 --> 00:37:46,719 Speaker 2: their starting quarterback. They just eventually they're going to replace him. 713 00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:52,799 Speaker 1: So you said you thought we'd be fading, Mike Vrabel, Yeah, 714 00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:56,120 Speaker 1: got a problem. Here's the problem. And I'm just sort 715 00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:57,759 Speaker 1: of I picked out a few games that I thought 716 00:37:57,840 --> 00:37:59,560 Speaker 1: we might be interested in. And if I don't hit 717 00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:02,200 Speaker 1: the games you're also thinking about, you know, please add 718 00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:05,720 Speaker 1: But uh, they're a one point dog at Indy. 719 00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:11,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's why you're a fraiding them, Chad. You think 720 00:38:11,600 --> 00:38:13,239 Speaker 2: that's a you think that's a good number. You're getting 721 00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:13,960 Speaker 2: good value there. 722 00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:20,319 Speaker 1: I don't feel anything that that ship stinks, Chad, Come on, 723 00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:22,800 Speaker 1: that line stinks. 724 00:38:24,520 --> 00:38:26,880 Speaker 2: Let the public bet it. We'll get the Colts as 725 00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:28,600 Speaker 2: a dog like. People are going to come in like you, 726 00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:31,480 Speaker 2: they're going to take Tennessee here. I can't knock them 727 00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:31,799 Speaker 2: for it. 728 00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:35,520 Speaker 1: Uhh, I'm not doing anything yet. I'm just waiting. I 729 00:38:35,560 --> 00:38:37,279 Speaker 1: don't feel like it's it. I feel like it's a 730 00:38:37,480 --> 00:38:40,200 Speaker 1: It's like I don't have a read on a number 731 00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:44,240 Speaker 1: at one. Yeah, the Titans versus the Cults, it feels 732 00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:48,000 Speaker 1: like there they set that line so the market could 733 00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:49,360 Speaker 1: dictate which way it was going to go. 734 00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:52,360 Speaker 2: I was hoping it was going to open three and 735 00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:54,080 Speaker 2: we were gonna get a nice three points of this 736 00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:56,200 Speaker 2: cold team. So I'm with you, like, I haven't bet this. 737 00:38:56,239 --> 00:38:59,040 Speaker 2: I'll just wait. But the public, everyone's going to come 738 00:38:59,080 --> 00:39:01,320 Speaker 2: in on this Tennessee team. They're gonna drink the koolid. 739 00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:05,040 Speaker 2: They just blew out Joe Burrow the Colts. Yeah, me 740 00:39:05,040 --> 00:39:06,279 Speaker 2: and you thought they played well and they had a 741 00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:09,080 Speaker 2: good comeback. No one Bettenham thinks that they're pissed they 742 00:39:09,120 --> 00:39:11,040 Speaker 2: lost their bet. They lost money on them. The general 743 00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:12,759 Speaker 2: public is gonna be pissed of the Colts for back 744 00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:16,319 Speaker 2: of them in that spot. So yeah, to me, I'll 745 00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:18,279 Speaker 2: take the good stuff where I saw in that Colts game, 746 00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:21,680 Speaker 2: which is Anthony Richardson coming off an injury, looked rusty 747 00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:23,640 Speaker 2: for a half, and then the second half he kind 748 00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:27,000 Speaker 2: of got his groove back. And I'm looking forward to 749 00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:29,520 Speaker 2: getting him at hopefully a plus number against this Tennessee team. 750 00:39:30,120 --> 00:39:32,040 Speaker 1: Don't be mean to me on Sunday nights just because 751 00:39:32,040 --> 00:39:35,960 Speaker 1: you haven't slept for days and I ask a neutral question. 752 00:39:36,800 --> 00:39:39,000 Speaker 2: I'm just trying to save you from betting on Tennessee. 753 00:39:39,000 --> 00:39:40,960 Speaker 1: There, I didn't bet Tennessee yet. I don't have an 754 00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:42,920 Speaker 1: opinion on this game because I got the number. I'm 755 00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:47,960 Speaker 1: waiting for something to happen to it. Cincinnati. I put 756 00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:51,280 Speaker 1: this in the script before it moved to six, and 757 00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:54,399 Speaker 1: now it's at five. I just think this Arizona team 758 00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:57,799 Speaker 1: is interesting. They clearly don't give up, and I think 759 00:39:57,840 --> 00:40:02,400 Speaker 1: Cincinnati is in real trouble. But do you still like 760 00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:02,839 Speaker 1: it at five? 761 00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:06,000 Speaker 2: Not crazy about it, but I probably will. I probably 762 00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:08,919 Speaker 2: will take it, but yeah, like I liked it at six, 763 00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:10,759 Speaker 2: I was like, that's that's a really nice number that 764 00:40:10,800 --> 00:40:13,400 Speaker 2: they hung up there. Yeah. I'll let the pros and 765 00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:15,200 Speaker 2: the public do something with us, and maybe I'll opinion 766 00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:17,560 Speaker 2: on Tuesday. But yeah, if you missed the six, you 767 00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:20,239 Speaker 2: missed a good number. Now we can just wait for 768 00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:21,879 Speaker 2: it at five or grow up four and a half 769 00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:25,239 Speaker 2: or whatever it ends up at. But that's definitely a 770 00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:28,360 Speaker 2: tricky game where it's like I want to back Joe, 771 00:40:29,520 --> 00:40:32,520 Speaker 2: but he's just not the Joe Burrow we know and love. 772 00:40:32,520 --> 00:40:36,640 Speaker 2: He's just something something's wrong there. So Arizona playing hard 773 00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:39,399 Speaker 2: or in every game should have covered this week, and they, 774 00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:42,200 Speaker 2: I mean, things just don't bounced their way. Yeah, I 775 00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:43,759 Speaker 2: guess we'll take the value on Arizona. 776 00:40:44,719 --> 00:40:49,880 Speaker 1: Uh. The Philadelphia Eagles were at six visiting the Rams. 777 00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:51,840 Speaker 1: It's been down to five already. 778 00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:56,120 Speaker 2: If Cooper cups back, it's a no brainer smash spot 779 00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:59,320 Speaker 2: for this Rams team. But we talked about when the 780 00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:01,520 Speaker 2: Bucks played again the Eagles. I thought the Bucks would 781 00:41:01,520 --> 00:41:03,239 Speaker 2: be able to attack the secondary of the Eagles, who 782 00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:07,120 Speaker 2: are very injured, and it didn't work out. Little did 783 00:41:07,160 --> 00:41:10,839 Speaker 2: we know that, Sam, I mean, who knows the hell 784 00:41:10,880 --> 00:41:13,920 Speaker 2: went on with that Eagles and that Commander's game, Like 785 00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:15,919 Speaker 2: the reps were involved in a lot of stuff too, 786 00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:19,239 Speaker 2: but the secondary did look suspect for that Eagles team, 787 00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:23,239 Speaker 2: and Stafford is picking teams apart right now with a 788 00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:25,480 Speaker 2: bunch of no names. So if Cooper cup is back, 789 00:41:26,320 --> 00:41:28,239 Speaker 2: why wouldn't we take the Rams as a home dog 790 00:41:28,280 --> 00:41:29,920 Speaker 2: in the spot. That's just that's a big number for 791 00:41:29,960 --> 00:41:32,319 Speaker 2: an Eagles team to be favorite. That think you nail 792 00:41:32,360 --> 00:41:34,200 Speaker 2: at Chad like, we have a lot of questions about them, 793 00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:37,760 Speaker 2: So another game. I won't overreact in bed right away. 794 00:41:38,160 --> 00:41:40,160 Speaker 2: The best of the numbers already gone. Like Chad said, 795 00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:42,799 Speaker 2: the six is gone. I'll be patient on that one. 796 00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:44,320 Speaker 2: But there is another game we're going to get to 797 00:41:44,440 --> 00:41:46,200 Speaker 2: that I am going to bet right now just in 798 00:41:46,239 --> 00:41:51,799 Speaker 2: case it does move. Say it, say it, yeah, the 799 00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:55,400 Speaker 2: game of the week forty nine years Cowboys. I'm grabbing 800 00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:57,440 Speaker 2: the minus three and a half right now. Minus three 801 00:41:57,480 --> 00:41:59,399 Speaker 2: if you can find it on this forty nine Ers team. 802 00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:03,879 Speaker 2: It's just a great number, a great spot. Cowboys are 803 00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:08,600 Speaker 2: very good, they are talented. They are not as good 804 00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:13,239 Speaker 2: as this forty nine Ers team, and I just don't 805 00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:15,360 Speaker 2: think they are. I just I haven't towerrated as such. 806 00:42:16,640 --> 00:42:19,480 Speaker 2: You know, if I said it before, if the forty 807 00:42:19,560 --> 00:42:22,760 Speaker 2: nine Ers went through Dallas, I'd make them a small favorite. 808 00:42:22,800 --> 00:42:25,200 Speaker 2: So I have to stick to it. This is a 809 00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:27,920 Speaker 2: big number. It's gonna be scary, but I just see 810 00:42:28,160 --> 00:42:30,080 Speaker 2: a lot of public money coming in on this Cowboys 811 00:42:30,080 --> 00:42:31,880 Speaker 2: team and then being happy to get the hook so 812 00:42:34,480 --> 00:42:35,760 Speaker 2: you don't have to take it. You want to hopefully 813 00:42:35,760 --> 00:42:37,200 Speaker 2: get the three on the forty nine Ers. It could 814 00:42:37,200 --> 00:42:39,680 Speaker 2: get there again. I'm just grabbing this just in case 815 00:42:39,680 --> 00:42:41,680 Speaker 2: professional money comes in to start starts going up to 816 00:42:41,719 --> 00:42:42,560 Speaker 2: four four and a half. 817 00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:48,080 Speaker 1: This forty nine Ers team is a juggernaut. Like that 818 00:42:48,520 --> 00:42:53,680 Speaker 1: defense is amongst the statistically best defenses ever over the 819 00:42:53,719 --> 00:42:57,960 Speaker 1: past two years. What they're doing is almost unprecedented. And 820 00:42:58,040 --> 00:43:00,759 Speaker 1: the way they're playing McCaffrey and the way that brock 821 00:43:00,840 --> 00:43:03,520 Speaker 1: Perdy is controlling a game and not making a ton 822 00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:05,160 Speaker 1: of mistakes. I don't think he's been as good as 823 00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:07,600 Speaker 1: he was in those seven games last year, but he's 824 00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:11,480 Speaker 1: not making the mistakes. Like it's almost like Kyle Shanahan 825 00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:15,080 Speaker 1: has been building his entire career to get all of 826 00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:18,480 Speaker 1: these tools that he has, and now everything fits in 827 00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:20,239 Speaker 1: the exact way that he wants it to fit. It's 828 00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:21,480 Speaker 1: actually astonishing to watch. 829 00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:24,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's a seventh round quarterback. He has a lot 830 00:43:24,560 --> 00:43:27,160 Speaker 2: of weaknesses and a lot of teams can exploit those weaknesses. 831 00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:30,200 Speaker 2: But the gift we keep talking about that Kyle run 832 00:43:30,200 --> 00:43:35,120 Speaker 2: blocking scheme. It sets everything up like every time he 833 00:43:35,200 --> 00:43:37,680 Speaker 2: needs to, he can just throw a fake to McCaffrey, 834 00:43:38,040 --> 00:43:40,520 Speaker 2: have the linebackers step up. They open the middle of 835 00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:43,520 Speaker 2: the fields open. Easiest completion the guys can make are 836 00:43:43,560 --> 00:43:45,840 Speaker 2: those guys running those slants across the middle when the 837 00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:48,680 Speaker 2: linebackers step up. So even in this game, they didn't 838 00:43:48,719 --> 00:43:50,880 Speaker 2: need him to do much because McCaffrey's so good. And 839 00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:53,560 Speaker 2: that's why I give the edge just ford Ers team. 840 00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:56,040 Speaker 2: I think the run blocking style they do is going 841 00:43:56,080 --> 00:44:00,359 Speaker 2: to give major problems to this Dallas defense that let's 842 00:44:00,360 --> 00:44:02,839 Speaker 2: face it, they're not great against the run's it's really 843 00:44:02,880 --> 00:44:07,120 Speaker 2: their only weakness. So yeah, I give the lean right 844 00:44:07,160 --> 00:44:09,120 Speaker 2: now towards taking the forty nine Ers. 845 00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:11,120 Speaker 1: The other game I'm thinking about, but it's off the 846 00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:12,799 Speaker 1: board now in a lot of places is Kansas City 847 00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:17,080 Speaker 1: minus six and Minnesota. Yeah I might lean Minnesota in 848 00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:21,279 Speaker 1: that game. So as soon as that game opens up again, 849 00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:23,239 Speaker 1: depending on what happens tonight, I'm probably going to have 850 00:44:23,239 --> 00:44:25,000 Speaker 1: to take a little taste of Minnesota. 851 00:44:25,520 --> 00:44:28,279 Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, I get it. I have no feelings on 852 00:44:28,320 --> 00:44:29,840 Speaker 2: that one. Yet, but I see whre you're coming from. 853 00:44:30,560 --> 00:44:33,080 Speaker 1: As a reminder, the Favorite podcast is presented by Bet 854 00:44:33,080 --> 00:44:35,560 Speaker 1: three sixty five. Bet three sixty five doesn't do ordinary. 855 00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:39,120 Speaker 1: They believe that every sport should be epic, every touchdown, 856 00:44:39,120 --> 00:44:41,759 Speaker 1: every game, every point, every play, from the moments that 857 00:44:41,840 --> 00:44:44,280 Speaker 1: are legendary to the ones that fly under the radar. 858 00:44:44,760 --> 00:44:46,919 Speaker 1: See for yourself, and you sign up today with Code 859 00:44:46,960 --> 00:44:49,560 Speaker 1: Action and you'll get three hundred and sixty five dollars 860 00:44:49,600 --> 00:44:52,200 Speaker 1: in bonus bets when you bet just one dollar. Whatever 861 00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:55,120 Speaker 1: the sport, whatever the moment, it's never ordinary at Bet 862 00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:58,040 Speaker 1: three sixty five. Must be twenty one or older. 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Check out our 868 00:45:16,640 --> 00:45:20,960 Speaker 1: next episode live on Tuesday one forty five pm Eastern 869 00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:25,720 Speaker 1: on Action Network's YouTube channel and in the Action Network 870 00:45:25,800 --> 00:45:31,600 Speaker 1: app and on AMP, covering the entire NFL Week five board. 871 00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:45,960 Speaker 1: Until then, Love you Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 872 00:45:46,400 --> 00:45:49,240 Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 873 00:45:49,520 --> 00:45:52,160 Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 874 00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:53,040 Speaker 1: hundred gambler