1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:05,040 Speaker 1: On this episode of news World, two twenty thousand Americas dead. 2 00:00:05,320 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: Anyone who's responsible for that many deaths should not remain 3 00:00:08,480 --> 00:00:10,720 Speaker 1: as president of the United States of America. Say what 4 00:00:10,800 --> 00:00:14,319 Speaker 1: he's saying is a bunch of garbage. Nobody believes it 5 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 1: accepted his and his good friend Rudy Johnny, do you 6 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: mean the laptop is now another Russia Russia Russia hoax? 7 00:00:21,680 --> 00:00:25,239 Speaker 1: That's exactly what this way, exactly what this is where 8 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:27,640 Speaker 1: he's going. This guy has a dog whistle about as 9 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:29,960 Speaker 1: big as a fog horn. I don't make money from China, 10 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: you do. I don't make money from Ukraine, you do. 11 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: I don't make money from Russia. You made three and 12 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: a half million dollars. Joe. We had a good relationship 13 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:41,519 Speaker 1: with Hitler. We can't lock ourselves up in a basement 14 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:46,199 Speaker 1: like Joe does. He has the ability to lock himself up, 15 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:48,600 Speaker 1: but he has this thing about living in a basement 16 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:51,879 Speaker 1: is luxury? Me on social Security and medicare Come on, 17 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 1: why this is new Dulu virus. I'm recording from home, 18 00:00:56,440 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 1: so you may notice a difference in audio quality. I'm 19 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 1: going to talk about the second Trump Biden debate and 20 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 1: also about the state of the race as we go 21 00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 1: into the last two weeks. I think a great way 22 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: to start this the captures in a way how big 23 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 1: the difference was from the chaotic first debate to this debate. 24 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: Frank Lentz did a focus group and came up with 25 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 1: a set of words for each candidate. This was at 26 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:39,959 Speaker 1: the end of the debate, and it's amazing how different 27 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 1: the words are. According to Frank Lance, his group would 28 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 1: ask give me one word descriptions for Trump. They said, controlled, reserved, poised, 29 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 1: con artist, and surprisingly presidential. I'm going to go back 30 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: over those because four or the five are very positive 31 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 1: and you could not have gotten these out of the 32 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:14,239 Speaker 1: first debate. Controlled, reserved, poised, con artist, surprisingly presidential. Once 33 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 1: then asked him to do similar descriptions for Biden, and 34 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 1: if I were Biden supporters, this list would leave me 35 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:37,400 Speaker 1: very unnerved, vague, unspecific, lucy, defensive, and grandfatherly. I'll let 36 00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:40,560 Speaker 1: you draw your own conclusions. I thought that the contrast 37 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:43,799 Speaker 1: between those is pretty remarkable and not what you would 38 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 1: have expected necessarily going into the debate, particularly after the 39 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 1: first debate. My second observation is that I thought that 40 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 1: Biden was getting tired towards the end, and I thought 41 00:02:56,520 --> 00:03:00,280 Speaker 1: that the mistake he made on openly talking about ending 42 00:03:00,320 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 1: oil and gas was probably not something he would have 43 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 1: done if he had not gotten worn down. But it 44 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 1: was clear that just the sheer process of the debate 45 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 1: had worn him down some. And that's probably the biggest 46 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 1: single mistake either Canada made in terms of its impact 47 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:20,679 Speaker 1: on the election. Down the other way, I have a 48 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 1: transition from the oil industry, Yes, a transition. That is 49 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 1: a big statement because I would stop, why do that? 50 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: Because the oil industry pollutes significantly. Because literally last night, 51 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 1: within minutes of Biden saying that he would close down 52 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 1: oil and gas, you had Republicans on offense in places 53 00:03:43,760 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 1: like Pennsylvania, Ohio, Kentucky, Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, lots of 54 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 1: places where their jobs that relate directly to oil and gas. 55 00:03:57,360 --> 00:03:59,839 Speaker 1: And when President Trump tried to point that, I only said, 56 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 1: he just made news. That's a big thing. And then 57 00:04:02,640 --> 00:04:05,200 Speaker 1: later on he came back and said, Folks and Texas 58 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:08,640 Speaker 1: aren't going to be very positive about you wanting to 59 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:12,480 Speaker 1: eliminate their industry. I don't think that Biden would have 60 00:04:12,480 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: been that clumsy if he weren't tired, but the clumsiness 61 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:18,200 Speaker 1: is now permanent, I can tell you. I already saw 62 00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:23,599 Speaker 1: two Democratic members of Congress, one from New Mexico and 63 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:28,040 Speaker 1: one from Oklahoma, tweeting how much they opposed Biden's idea, 64 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 1: which is not exactly what he wanted to have. Coming 65 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 1: out of the debate last night, I thought, while he 66 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 1: was not as aggressive as he was in the first debate, 67 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 1: I thought that Trump was able to in a very 68 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 1: straightforward way, bring up the Biden family corruption and stay 69 00:04:46,200 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 1: on it, and then have Biden said, of course, none 70 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 1: of it's true. I never took any money. But nonetheless, 71 00:04:52,160 --> 00:04:54,520 Speaker 1: one of the things that came out of various focus 72 00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 1: groups after the debate was an increasing number of people, 73 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,600 Speaker 1: particularly independent, saying, look, I think we're going to get 74 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 1: to the bottom of this, and I'm troubled by it. 75 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:06,799 Speaker 1: It's clearly having an effect in a roading Biden support. 76 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 1: And again this morning there are more articles about more 77 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:16,599 Speaker 1: aspects of the entire Biden China, Russia Ukraine situation. And 78 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: I thought the President was pretty good at bringing out 79 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:24,159 Speaker 1: the three point five million dollars transferred from the widow 80 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:26,600 Speaker 1: of the mayor of Moscow, which, by the way, it 81 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 1: has turned out to have an additional two hundred million 82 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 1: behind it in an investment funding. So that was all 83 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:35,919 Speaker 1: I thought, kind of fascinating. I thought that both of 84 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 1: them did a pretty good job on COVID nineteen. Trump's 85 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:43,159 Speaker 1: job was to explain that he moved aggressively, that it's 86 00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 1: a worldwide problem, and that Biden opposed most of Trump's 87 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:51,839 Speaker 1: early activities, including cutting off trout with China. Biden came back, 88 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 1: I thought, pretty effectively and said, look, two hundred thousand 89 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,719 Speaker 1: deaths and as the fact that it's hard to walk 90 00:05:57,760 --> 00:06:01,440 Speaker 1: around from. And Trump then came back and pointed out 91 00:06:01,880 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 1: that the places with the worst records were Democratic control 92 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:08,600 Speaker 1: states because Biden had sighted New York it's having done 93 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:11,159 Speaker 1: a great job of flattening the curb. And then Trump 94 00:06:11,200 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 1: came back and point out, yeah, New York also had 95 00:06:13,440 --> 00:06:15,720 Speaker 1: the highest total deaths of any state in the country, 96 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:19,120 Speaker 1: much higher than Florida, which actually has more senior citizens 97 00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:21,479 Speaker 1: in New York and more people now than New York. 98 00:06:21,880 --> 00:06:23,800 Speaker 1: So they sort of fought to a tie. I thought 99 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:26,800 Speaker 1: on that issue, if you go and look at what's 100 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:30,200 Speaker 1: happened to New York, it's a ghost town, it's a 101 00:06:30,240 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 1: ghost Town. And when you talk about plexid last, these 102 00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:36,600 Speaker 1: are restaurants that are dying. These are businesses with no money. 103 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:41,719 Speaker 1: Putting a plexiglast is unbelievably expensive, and it's not the answer. 104 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 1: I mean, you're going to sit there in a cubicle 105 00:06:43,640 --> 00:06:48,280 Speaker 1: wrapped around with plastic. It's these are businesses that are dying. Joe. 106 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 1: You can't do that to people. You just can't. Take 107 00:06:51,080 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 1: a look at New York and what's happened to my 108 00:06:53,560 --> 00:06:56,920 Speaker 1: wonderful city for so many years. I loved that it 109 00:06:56,960 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 1: was vibrant. It's dying. Everyone's leaving New York. New York 110 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:05,360 Speaker 1: has lost more than forty thousand people, eleven thousand people 111 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:09,440 Speaker 1: in nursing home. On the economy, I thought the biggest 112 00:07:09,520 --> 00:07:15,360 Speaker 1: vulnerability that Biden had was suggesting a fifteen dollars an 113 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 1: hour of minimum wage would really help small businesses and 114 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:22,640 Speaker 1: allowed Trump to fall back into his I'm a businessman 115 00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 1: kind of background and to make the case which every 116 00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 1: small business I know in the country would have agreed with, 117 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 1: that a fifteen minimum wage will kill small businesses, not 118 00:07:32,560 --> 00:07:35,600 Speaker 1: help them. Then they got into I thought a very 119 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:40,280 Speaker 1: healthy argument about the effect of closing things down and 120 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:43,880 Speaker 1: Trump made a point which is absolutely true, that New 121 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 1: York City has become a disaster. Because the President pointed 122 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:51,680 Speaker 1: out Manhattans virtually a ghost town. The number of businesses 123 00:07:51,720 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 1: that are closed up, the number of businesses on the 124 00:07:53,600 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 1: verge of collapsing are amazing. And I think one of 125 00:07:57,800 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 1: the big issues for the next two weeks is going 126 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 1: to be whether we have an obligation to young people 127 00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 1: to have the schools open or we have an obligation 128 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 1: to the teachers union to keep the schools closed. And 129 00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 1: I think this will become a very significant issue. I 130 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: think the contrast between don't do anything the teachers Union 131 00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: doesn't like and you want to get your child back 132 00:08:21,960 --> 00:08:24,720 Speaker 1: to school may well be one of the big closing 133 00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:40,440 Speaker 1: debates of this entire campaign in the remaining days. Hi, 134 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 1: this is new. I want to invalue to sign up 135 00:08:43,040 --> 00:08:46,439 Speaker 1: for a yearly subscription to my Inner Circle membership club 136 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:49,360 Speaker 1: for in a critical time in our history, for the 137 00:08:49,400 --> 00:08:51,840 Speaker 1: outcome of the next election will set us in a 138 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 1: course of two very different American features. As a member 139 00:08:56,600 --> 00:09:00,199 Speaker 1: of my Inner Circle, you will receive exclusive invitations to 140 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:04,680 Speaker 1: join my video conferences with two twenty election updates and 141 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 1: my analysis of the upcoming presidential debates. Here's a special 142 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:13,880 Speaker 1: offer for my podcast listeners. Join my Inner Circle today 143 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 1: and newts Inner Circle dot com and if you sign 144 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:19,960 Speaker 1: up for a one or two year membership, you'll receive 145 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 1: a limited edition Inner Circle Challenge Point, exclusive to five 146 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:28,520 Speaker 1: hundred members only as part of your membership welcome package. 147 00:09:28,800 --> 00:09:32,000 Speaker 1: And as an Inner Circle member, you'll receive an invitation 148 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 1: to attend my members only event Live with Newt a 149 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 1: discussion on the next presidential debate, and there are many 150 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:43,080 Speaker 1: other benefits of membership. Sign up for a one or 151 00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:47,079 Speaker 1: two year membership today and newts Inner Circle dot com. 152 00:09:47,320 --> 00:10:00,600 Speaker 1: That's newts Inner Circle dot com. Clearly, By is going 153 00:10:00,640 --> 00:10:06,480 Speaker 1: to try to campaign really almost entirely on COVID nineteen 154 00:10:06,679 --> 00:10:09,840 Speaker 1: and Trump's obligation, the fact that it is scary to 155 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:13,120 Speaker 1: see the virus continue as it is all over the 156 00:10:13,160 --> 00:10:16,000 Speaker 1: world and to see that we don't seem to have 157 00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:20,040 Speaker 1: a grip on getting out of it. On the other hand, 158 00:10:20,080 --> 00:10:23,640 Speaker 1: the president's case is that we have a tremendous number 159 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:27,840 Speaker 1: of companies working on vaccinations, and that he has already 160 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 1: organized purchasing a hundred million of the vaccinations and using 161 00:10:35,720 --> 00:10:40,560 Speaker 1: the military logistics system to distribute them very rapidly once 162 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 1: they're proven to be scientifically safe and use them. I 163 00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 1: think my timeline is going to be more accurate. I 164 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:48,600 Speaker 1: don't know that they're counting on the military the way 165 00:10:48,640 --> 00:10:50,959 Speaker 1: I do, but we have our generals lined up, one 166 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 1: in particular, that's the head of logistics, and this is 167 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,080 Speaker 1: a very easy distribution for him. He's ready to go 168 00:10:57,120 --> 00:10:59,640 Speaker 1: as soon as we have the vaccine, and we expect 169 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:02,240 Speaker 1: to have one hundred million vials. As soon as we 170 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:05,440 Speaker 1: have the vaccine. He's ready to go. The question there 171 00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:08,120 Speaker 1: is do you want to punish the president because you're 172 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 1: not happy with where we're at, or do you think 173 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: the president in fact has a pretty good plan to 174 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 1: move to the next level and give us a chance 175 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 1: to have a much better solution, as he put it, 176 00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 1: learning to at least live with the virus. And then 177 00:11:21,960 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 1: Biden came back what I thought was a pretty decent 178 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:26,840 Speaker 1: shot and set look, people are dying with the virus 179 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 1: and not living with the virus. But the truth is statistically, 180 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:32,360 Speaker 1: of course, the ninety nine percent of people do in 181 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:36,400 Speaker 1: fact recover. And while the virus is dangerous, particularly for 182 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:41,000 Speaker 1: elderly people with other conditions. Overall, the virus is not 183 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:44,839 Speaker 1: radically dangerous if you're twenty five or thirty years old, 184 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:48,040 Speaker 1: or fifteen or ten years old, So that'll be a 185 00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:51,880 Speaker 1: part of the continuing argument. I thought it had both 186 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:57,360 Speaker 1: the great benefit of being a good rational discipline debate 187 00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:01,920 Speaker 1: and it had the great age of being a good 188 00:12:02,720 --> 00:12:06,640 Speaker 1: rational debate. And the reason I say that is when 189 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:10,679 Speaker 1: you have two relatively competent people who have spent all 190 00:12:10,800 --> 00:12:14,360 Speaker 1: year developing their arguments and they're out on the stage 191 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:18,680 Speaker 1: practicing their arguments, not a great deal happens. I don't 192 00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:22,240 Speaker 1: think anybody had a gigantic breakthrough. I think on points, 193 00:12:22,280 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 1: I would give it to Trump. I think on style, 194 00:12:24,840 --> 00:12:27,640 Speaker 1: as Frank once did with his focus group, I would 195 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:30,360 Speaker 1: give it to Trump, but he didn't score a knockout. 196 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:32,760 Speaker 1: On the other hand, if you were the Biden team 197 00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:34,800 Speaker 1: and you were hoping that this was going to be 198 00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:37,080 Speaker 1: the turning point that let you go into the West 199 00:12:37,200 --> 00:12:41,000 Speaker 1: two weeks of the campaign firmly prepared to take charge, 200 00:12:41,559 --> 00:12:45,000 Speaker 1: this had to be a very very disappointing debate From 201 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:49,440 Speaker 1: that standpoint. Nobody believes that Biden won decisively the rest night, 202 00:12:49,760 --> 00:12:53,800 Speaker 1: and most people believe that it went from Trump winning 203 00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 1: by a small margin to Trump winning by a big margin. 204 00:12:57,160 --> 00:13:00,000 Speaker 1: But I would say overwhelmingly people thought Trump did pretty well, 205 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:02,840 Speaker 1: and that means he has a momentum going into the 206 00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:06,320 Speaker 1: West ten days. It's pretty formidable. This is exactly what 207 00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 1: happened to Hillary. The president is going to be doing 208 00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:14,120 Speaker 1: between three and five rallies a day, every day. There's 209 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:18,360 Speaker 1: no evidence that the Biden team is prepared to try 210 00:13:18,400 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 1: to keep up with that. And as you've heard me 211 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:23,480 Speaker 1: say before, but it bears repeating when you're thinking about 212 00:13:23,520 --> 00:13:28,440 Speaker 1: Trump style. If you get, let's say, on average, fifteen 213 00:13:28,520 --> 00:13:32,880 Speaker 1: thousand people come to a Trump rally, one hundred year 214 00:13:32,880 --> 00:13:48,880 Speaker 1: old veteran right here. Wow, hot, he looks beautiful. One 215 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:56,199 Speaker 1: hundred high. Looks better than I do. One hundred. That's dragon. 216 00:13:56,600 --> 00:14:06,760 Speaker 1: What's your name? Well, I want to thank you very much, 217 00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:09,720 Speaker 1: and he does not need regeneration. Okay, that I can 218 00:14:09,800 --> 00:14:12,680 Speaker 1: tell you. He looks. You look fantastic, So sit down 219 00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:17,000 Speaker 1: and enjoy it. Okay, what a beautiful guy, one hundred Gillick, beautiful, 220 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 1: Thank your congratulations. That's nice. Great, I'm glad you pointed 221 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:24,760 Speaker 1: it out. And each of them takes their smartphone and 222 00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:27,960 Speaker 1: takes for a bunch of pictures and they then send 223 00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:31,520 Speaker 1: it out, let's say, to just their twenty closest friends. 224 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:36,400 Speaker 1: Suddenly a fifteen thousand person rally becomes a three hundred 225 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:41,640 Speaker 1: thousand person electronic contact system. And that's the sort of 226 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:44,840 Speaker 1: stuff that that Trump had used so effectively his wife. 227 00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:47,960 Speaker 1: You go back and you review the tracking, you suddenly 228 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 1: realize that the last couple of weeks in two sixteen, 229 00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:56,880 Speaker 1: Trump was accelerating very very quickly, and in the same 230 00:14:56,920 --> 00:15:02,160 Speaker 1: time period Hillary doing about one event at night for 231 00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:07,160 Speaker 1: fifteen hundred people. Well, if he's doing four to six 232 00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:11,920 Speaker 1: a day with twelve to twenty thousand, and they're all 233 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:15,560 Speaker 1: reaching out to twenty or more people each, the sheer 234 00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:19,840 Speaker 1: human energy probably more than made the difference. If you 235 00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 1: were to look at how many people came to Trump's rallies, 236 00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 1: and more people came to his closing rally election mornings, 237 00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:29,720 Speaker 1: I think one o'clock in the morning in Grand Rapids. 238 00:15:30,040 --> 00:15:32,400 Speaker 1: Literally more people came to that rally I think thirty 239 00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:37,800 Speaker 1: five thousand than his total margin of carrying Michigan. And 240 00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:41,080 Speaker 1: you started going around and looking at Pennsylvania, I think 241 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:43,640 Speaker 1: that was probably the equivalent of three rallies was his margin. 242 00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:46,680 Speaker 1: I think Wisconsin was probably the equivalent of one rally, 243 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:48,840 Speaker 1: and you all of a sudden realize that there's a 244 00:15:48,880 --> 00:15:53,240 Speaker 1: correlation here, and they're expanding their targets. I think the 245 00:15:53,280 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 1: campaign is adding New Hampshire as a target state that 246 00:15:56,560 --> 00:15:59,920 Speaker 1: they think they might pick up. They're adding Minnesota, which 247 00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 1: in the most recent polls the Republican Canada for the Senate, 248 00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:06,920 Speaker 1: Jason Lewis is within one point of the incumbent and 249 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:10,560 Speaker 1: she's downed like forty three or forty four percent, which 250 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 1: if you're an incumbent senator and you're down to territory 251 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 1: forty four, you're a tough race because everybody knows you, 252 00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:21,000 Speaker 1: they don't all know him. Then you've got they're going to, 253 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 1: I think, expand into Nevada, where they think they got 254 00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:28,040 Speaker 1: a real chance to win. And I believe after last 255 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 1: night's mistake on natural gas and oil that Biden may 256 00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 1: have put New Mexico into play because it's got a 257 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 1: very big gas and oil industry and we have a 258 00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:43,840 Speaker 1: very very attractive candidate for the US Senator who's a 259 00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:48,160 Speaker 1: former meteorologist on local TV in Albacute, very well known state. 260 00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:51,040 Speaker 1: What so you begin to see some things happening you 261 00:16:51,080 --> 00:17:09,560 Speaker 1: wouldn't have expected a few weeks ago. The president's people 262 00:17:10,520 --> 00:17:14,680 Speaker 1: are increasingly confident that they see things falling into place. 263 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:19,160 Speaker 1: And I would guess that the campaign's last days are 264 00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:28,959 Speaker 1: to be about seventy percent economics, twenty percent the Biden 265 00:17:29,119 --> 00:17:33,080 Speaker 1: family corruption, and ten percent how we're going to get 266 00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:36,600 Speaker 1: to a dramatically better future despite COVID. I think if 267 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:40,359 Speaker 1: they to disciple themselves into something like that, I think 268 00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:43,760 Speaker 1: that the President would be probably optimizing his probable vote. 269 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:47,320 Speaker 1: If you're Biden, I think he showed you last night 270 00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:50,400 Speaker 1: everything he's got. You know, he's on the left. He's 271 00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 1: trying to rally people who are on the left. He 272 00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:58,399 Speaker 1: wants you to join him in blaming Trump for everything 273 00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:03,200 Speaker 1: involving COVID. And I think that he's going to campaign 274 00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:05,760 Speaker 1: on the grounds that Trump helps the big boys but 275 00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:09,560 Speaker 1: not small business. Therefore that Biden will be better for 276 00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:13,159 Speaker 1: small business and what have you. That's my guess. I 277 00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:15,520 Speaker 1: don't really know. They will, of course have to whip 278 00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:18,919 Speaker 1: up some kind of racial intensity because they have to 279 00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,840 Speaker 1: find a way to get African Americans to come vote, 280 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:24,760 Speaker 1: and currently there's not a huge amount of enthusiasm for 281 00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:30,240 Speaker 1: Biden in the black community. They will try to solidify 282 00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:33,560 Speaker 1: their position with Latinos, where they've been losing ground and 283 00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:36,879 Speaker 1: where Trump may do very very well, and they'll try 284 00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:42,159 Speaker 1: to maximize their position with suburban females. President of Trump's 285 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:45,880 Speaker 1: nominee for the Supreme Court, Amy Coney Barrett, is very 286 00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:48,879 Speaker 1: likely to be confirmed by the Senate on Monday, and 287 00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:52,280 Speaker 1: I think has been a significant advantage for the President. 288 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:54,960 Speaker 1: But I think that's all sort of a positive for 289 00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:57,840 Speaker 1: the president unless you're a very very liberal Democrat, in 290 00:18:57,840 --> 00:19:00,600 Speaker 1: which case it's a huge and Tickety really makes you 291 00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:05,480 Speaker 1: determine to elect Biden. So this is basically the race 292 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:10,160 Speaker 1: that we thought was possible. You have a Democrat leading 293 00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:13,760 Speaker 1: a ticket that is very radical but relying on people 294 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:17,199 Speaker 1: being unhappy with the way the COVID has affected all 295 00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:20,800 Speaker 1: of us. You have a very aggressive but in some 296 00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:25,640 Speaker 1: ways very jarring personality running for reelection, but with a 297 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,640 Speaker 1: track record that's very powerful in terms of getting things done. 298 00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:32,760 Speaker 1: And I think that's what will be basically arguing over 299 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:35,919 Speaker 1: the last two days. Which of these two represents a 300 00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:39,040 Speaker 1: better future for your family, Which of them represents a 301 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,919 Speaker 1: better future for the country, which of them is strong 302 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,680 Speaker 1: enough to stand up to Putin and Jiji and Ping. 303 00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:47,760 Speaker 1: And I think that as the country talks to itself, 304 00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:51,760 Speaker 1: and my personal belief is that you will almost certainly 305 00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 1: migrate towards Trump because having failed to knock him off 306 00:19:56,560 --> 00:20:00,080 Speaker 1: his game in this last debate, and having failed to 307 00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:02,880 Speaker 1: make a major breakthrough in this last debate, I think 308 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:06,119 Speaker 1: Trump leaves it is a pretty good shape to continue 309 00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:10,440 Speaker 1: campaigning and to ultimately not just win a victory. Within 310 00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:13,080 Speaker 1: the process of winning a victory adds some seats in 311 00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:17,040 Speaker 1: the Senate and potentially add a substantial number of seats 312 00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:20,520 Speaker 1: in the US House. Any Democrat who represents an oil 313 00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:23,359 Speaker 1: and gas district is now in trouble because of Biden, 314 00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:25,760 Speaker 1: and all these things are going to compound and grow 315 00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:29,160 Speaker 1: over the next few weeks, and the pressure on the 316 00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:32,840 Speaker 1: Biden family corruption scandal is going to continue to grow, 317 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:37,600 Speaker 1: and the hostility towards the news media and towards Facebook 318 00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:40,440 Speaker 1: and Twitter is going to continue to grow as they 319 00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:46,040 Speaker 1: increase their obvious over bias in favor of Biden and 320 00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:49,240 Speaker 1: against Trump to such a degree that it's almost painful 321 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:52,680 Speaker 1: to watch, and that has long term effects both in 322 00:20:52,840 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 1: motivating the Trump voter and in creating a sense of 323 00:20:56,280 --> 00:21:01,120 Speaker 1: anger which may well lead to a very dramatic response 324 00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,280 Speaker 1: to the news media the next couple of years and 325 00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:07,399 Speaker 1: two places like Facebook and Twitter. I'll disclose with this 326 00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:13,399 Speaker 1: observation that within minutes of Vice President Biden making his 327 00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:17,280 Speaker 1: comments without oil and Gas, Rick Perry, former Secretary of Energy, 328 00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:21,800 Speaker 1: more importantly, longest serving governor in the history of Texas, 329 00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:25,160 Speaker 1: was already out with a tweet and going right at 330 00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:28,640 Speaker 1: him and reminding people how many million jobs are involved. 331 00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:31,199 Speaker 1: If you start talking about wiping out oil and gas, 332 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:35,639 Speaker 1: you're talking about economic impact on folks. I think for 333 00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,280 Speaker 1: the country. This was actually a good debate. It was 334 00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:41,439 Speaker 1: a calming debate. It was reassuring debate. It was a 335 00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:44,920 Speaker 1: sense that we could disagree without having to go crazy. 336 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:47,680 Speaker 1: And I wanted close and just say that I thought 337 00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:53,320 Speaker 1: that Kristen Welker did a dramatically better job than I 338 00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:56,240 Speaker 1: thought she would. I expressed great doubts about her. Certainly 339 00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,240 Speaker 1: what we've seen in other circumstances, you had to believe 340 00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:02,479 Speaker 1: that somebody who was a liberal Democratic reporter was going 341 00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:05,680 Speaker 1: to be the other debate partner for Biden. In fact, 342 00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 1: she wasn't. I thought she was balanced. I thought a 343 00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:11,120 Speaker 1: couple of times she asked Biden some very tough questions, 344 00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:14,400 Speaker 1: and I thought that she was pretty fair to the President. 345 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:17,080 Speaker 1: So I give her some real credit here. My respect 346 00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:19,600 Speaker 1: for her is going up dramatically based on what she 347 00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:27,880 Speaker 1: did and how well she did it. And now I'll 348 00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:35,280 Speaker 1: answer your questions, mister speaker, what if any impact did 349 00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:39,440 Speaker 1: last night's debate have on the people who are moderates 350 00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:43,320 Speaker 1: or are undecided voters. Do you feel that this weighed 351 00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:45,920 Speaker 1: anybody in one direction or the other as far as 352 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:48,840 Speaker 1: making a decision on the vote. Well, we've noticed a 353 00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:52,879 Speaker 1: chef towards Trump by independence for the last week or so. 354 00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:57,120 Speaker 1: We've also noticed that Democrats are being driven away from 355 00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:00,879 Speaker 1: the Democratic Party. Gallup reported last week that for the 356 00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:03,880 Speaker 1: first time since two thousand and four, there are more 357 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:07,680 Speaker 1: self identified Republicans than Democrats. That has not been true 358 00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:10,919 Speaker 1: now for sixteen years. I think the debate had continued 359 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:13,400 Speaker 1: that candidly, I think had the president had as good 360 00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:16,040 Speaker 1: a debate in the first round, they'd be in stronger 361 00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,560 Speaker 1: shape now. But I thought last night did what he 362 00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:21,800 Speaker 1: needed to do. And if they will methodically stay focused 363 00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:24,920 Speaker 1: for eleven days. I think they're going to do just fine. 364 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:26,880 Speaker 1: I should say they're going to do just fine if 365 00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:28,679 Speaker 1: you make sure that all your friends and neighbors go 366 00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:34,680 Speaker 1: out and vote. You can read more about the last 367 00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 1: presidential debate of twenty twenty on our show page at 368 00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:41,840 Speaker 1: newtsworld dot com. Nuts Wald is produced by Gngwish, Sweet 369 00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:47,120 Speaker 1: sixty and iHeartMedia. Our executive producer is Debbie Myers, our 370 00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:51,440 Speaker 1: producer is guards A Slow, and our researcher is Rachel Peterson. 371 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,959 Speaker 1: The artwork for the show was created by Steve Penwell. 372 00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:59,200 Speaker 1: Special thanks to the team at Gingwish Towe sixty. Please 373 00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:03,159 Speaker 1: email me with your questions at gingwish three dot com 374 00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:07,480 Speaker 1: slash questions. I'll answer a selection of questions in future episodes. 375 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:10,840 Speaker 1: If you've been enjoying news World, I hope you'll go 376 00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:14,880 Speaker 1: to Apple Podcasts and both rate us with five stars 377 00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,919 Speaker 1: and give us a review so others can learn what 378 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:21,760 Speaker 1: it's all about. I'm new Gingwish. This is news World.