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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast podcas All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go spreading the court. Ten seconds of eating.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna just go throw up to the basket, under

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Speaker 1: the basket, it's the croup for the wind a miracle.

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Speaker 1: I just chuck the water. Hit that one from the

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Speaker 1: parking lot. What's up the gener nation? Welcome to the

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Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This

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Speaker 1: is the college basketball Conference Tournament betting Preview, Part three.

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Speaker 1: I'm stuck you in joining me as always Mike Calbarys

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Speaker 1: and bj Cunningham. We have we'll get a little bit

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Speaker 1: talk a little Friday for what's out there now. As always,

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Speaker 1: we'll talk Saturday a couple spots we have circled, probably

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Speaker 1: not as in depth as usual because the card isn't

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Speaker 1: as big as of right now with some games TVD,

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Speaker 1: and then we'll talk the five conference erms are going

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Speaker 1: to start between Friday and Sunday. If you already missed it,

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Speaker 1: the guys from the Three Man Weave previewed the conference

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Speaker 1: tournaments that started Wednesday and Thursday. We did an episode

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Speaker 1: early the weekend. We're Monday and Tuesday. If you missed them,

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Speaker 1: check those episodes out even if the comfort already started,

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Speaker 1: you can catch some good nuggets for potential matchups and

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Speaker 1: the remaining action in each of those respective tournaments. But

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Speaker 1: we're in It's March second we're recording this. It's a beautiful,

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Speaker 1: beautiful time of the year. There's nothing better. We're we

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Speaker 1: have weekday college basketball KEP cap off today, and it's

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Speaker 1: just only going to get better. So I'm excited. I

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Speaker 1: hope you guys are excited, and I hope everyone listening

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Speaker 1: is also excited. Welcome to March and the madness. Let's

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Speaker 1: find some winners and have a month. Let's get into

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Speaker 1: the conference tournaments. Let's kick things off. Micha, I'll go

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Speaker 1: to you with the Colonial Start. The Colonial is this

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Speaker 1: will start tomorrow Friday time you're listening. This might be

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Speaker 1: today in Washington, d C. This used to be in

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Speaker 1: South Charleston, where Charleston would have an advantage, you know,

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Speaker 1: semi home court advantage there. But now it's in d C,

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Speaker 1: which I think is a fair venue for the you know,

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Speaker 1: if you look just geographically, Charleston is the favorite minus

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Speaker 1: one ten Hofstra the second favorite of the top two

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Speaker 1: seeds plus one seventy five. Then you have Talsand at

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Speaker 1: plus six fifty unc Wilmington at fifteen to one, and

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Speaker 1: then you're kind of getting down into some longer shots.

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Speaker 1: Charleston is that everyone's darling that they think is going

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Speaker 1: to come out of this bracket. I should have mentioned

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Speaker 1: actually that Hofstra, Charleston, Towsand and UNCW the two teams

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Speaker 1: that I mentioned, they have I guess double buys into

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Speaker 1: the quarters on Sunday because there is a first round

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Speaker 1: game between Hampton and Monmouth. What a game that should be.

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Speaker 1: And then you have a bunch of teams playing the

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Speaker 1: second round semifinals on Monday, championship on Tuesday, which means

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Speaker 1: Hampton or Mona. If you want to get in, you

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Speaker 1: got to win five games in five days, and then

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Speaker 1: the team's playing in the second round have to win

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Speaker 1: four games in four days, which is certainly no easy tasks.

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Speaker 1: So there's a major advantage for the top four seeds.

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Speaker 1: Lay it out for us. What are you seeing here

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Speaker 1: at how do you think this plays out? Do you

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Speaker 1: see any futures value on the board in the C

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Speaker 1: A A where Hobster is actually the one seed?

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Speaker 2: So what's interesting? I like the way that this conference

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Speaker 2: breaks down. I love a mid major conference that there's

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Speaker 2: a huge differential between the top and the bottom. The

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Speaker 2: seven through thirteen seeds in this tournament Northeastern three hundred

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Speaker 2: and tenth and Ken Palm, North Carolina A and C

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Speaker 2: three fourteen, William and Marry three twenty three. It just

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Speaker 2: gets worse as you head back Elon, Stonybrook, Hampton, Monmouth,

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Speaker 2: all in that three point thirty to three point fifty

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Speaker 2: five in Ken Palm range. These teams are not winning

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Speaker 2: five games in five days or four games zero chance,

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Speaker 2: zero Chance'll talk about who actually has a chance to

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Speaker 2: do this. You know, you teed it up with Charleston

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Speaker 2: and the Cougars are currently a twelve seeded Bracken Matrix.

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Speaker 2: But they got to win, I would imagine to get

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Speaker 2: a bid. I don't think they really have that strong

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Speaker 2: at large resume. They bought them away from three. They

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Speaker 2: take thirty threes per game, that's the second most in

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Speaker 2: college basketball. They make ten plus, but they only shoot

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Speaker 2: thirty four percent from long range. So it makes them

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Speaker 2: a high variance candidate, which I like at the top

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Speaker 2: of this because they're not my pick to win this tournament.

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Speaker 2: They're one hundred and seventy six and three point accuracy.

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Speaker 2: But they're also the best offensive rebounding mid major. They're

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Speaker 2: twelve offensive rips per game, that's third nationally, and all

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Speaker 2: five starters average double digits. Even their six man, Ben Burnham,

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Speaker 2: is averaging nine point six per game. They've all played

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Speaker 2: those six guys that played every game this year, so

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Speaker 2: they have a lot of continuity. They have great balance,

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Speaker 2: So I have respect for them, But when I look

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Speaker 2: at who they have to beat to get this championship

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Speaker 2: in this conference tournament, I don't think it's such a

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Speaker 2: great matchup, particularly against Hofstra At Dalton. Bolton played one

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Speaker 2: of his worst games of the year in a loss

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Speaker 2: at home against Hofstra about a month ago. That was

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Speaker 2: a four point loss, So I think they're vulnerable. So

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Speaker 2: what does that open up from a value perspective. Let's

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Speaker 2: start with Hofstra. They've won eleven straight. You know, they're

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Speaker 2: plus one eighty two to one to win this tournament

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Speaker 2: against the top four seeds. They smoked Wilmington by twenty four,

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Speaker 2: they split with Towson, and they upset Charleston on the road.

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Speaker 2: So at least we have that actual data point of

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Speaker 2: how do they look matching up against these top teams,

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Speaker 2: and then from a personnel standpoint, electric backcourt, Tyler Thoms

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Speaker 2: and Strata are fantastic. They're both six to three. Astrata

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Speaker 2: can do it all. He's averaging twenty five and four.

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Speaker 2: As a team. They're shooting forty seven point eight percent

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Speaker 2: from the floor, which is twentieth nationally, and they have

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Speaker 2: one of the best defenses in the CIA. I think

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Speaker 2: they offer the best balanced offense to defense in this tournament.

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Speaker 2: The issue, naturally is they're pretty small, which makes them

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Speaker 2: a bad rebounding team. They're in the three hundreds and

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Speaker 2: a lot of meaningful rebounding metrics booth on the offensive

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Speaker 2: and defensive glass. They play four guards a lot, and

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Speaker 2: both forwards are a little undersized, so that is naturally

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Speaker 2: concerning to me. But Tyler Tom has really taken that

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Speaker 2: step up to meet Estrata, who was the preseason CAAA

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Speaker 2: Player of the Year. And the fact is they can

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Speaker 2: go together and score sixty points at the drop of

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Speaker 2: a hat in single game. So I like the flying

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Speaker 2: Dutchman here, the Pride or one of the plays I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna put here in the tournament. But then we get

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Speaker 2: into my favorite play, which is touson six to one.

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Speaker 2: And when you look at their resume against the top teams,

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Speaker 2: they took Charleston to ot at home, lost by two,

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Speaker 2: they split with Hofstra, they beat you UNC Wilmington and

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Speaker 2: the regular season finale. And then from a personnel standpoint,

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Speaker 2: Nick Timberlake has made that jump to mid major star

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Speaker 2: down the stretch. He scored twenty four plus in six

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Speaker 2: of their last eleven games. Five of those games he

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Speaker 2: made five threes or more. So he's the straw that

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Speaker 2: serves the drink for the Tigers. And then on the

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Speaker 2: other side the of Cam Holten, who's the yeah.

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Speaker 1: He had thirty four against at Charleston in the game

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Speaker 1: I led by double digits with like twelve to go

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Speaker 1: before Charleston put a big run on them. And they

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Speaker 1: have Charles end look love, Pat Scarry, great coach, and

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Speaker 1: they're all seniors. Like they're basically the entire rotations. It's

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Speaker 1: very very experienced team.

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Speaker 2: But Gad sure so in addition, it's not just Timberlake.

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Speaker 2: Also Cam Holden has five double doubles in his last

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Speaker 2: ten games. He's probably the best rebounding guard in the country.

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Speaker 2: He's a six to five a power guard and as

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Speaker 2: a whole, they're one of the best offensive rebounding mid majors,

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Speaker 2: and that makes it really advantageous for them to win

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Speaker 2: multiple games in this tournament because they don't need to

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Speaker 2: have that game where they shoot forty plus percent from three.

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Speaker 2: They can get on the glass and even as a team,

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Speaker 2: they're thirty third nationally three point percent, So I like

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Speaker 2: the chances of them catching fire offensively. They've done it

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Speaker 2: on the road in the last few years. They've been

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Speaker 2: one of the best road teams to bet against the spread.

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Speaker 2: They nearly upset Clemson on the road, so when I

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Speaker 2: look at that, you know their play away from home.

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Speaker 2: That's a major benefit. Now we go down the board,

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Speaker 2: unc Wilmington's ten to one. I actually don't like the

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Speaker 2: Seahawks here. They got smoked by Hofstra, smoked by Charleston,

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Speaker 2: they lost to Tows, and they play very slow, so

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Speaker 2: that's a little bit different and a bit of a

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Speaker 2: contray here in this conference tournament. But they can't shoot

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Speaker 2: their two hundred and twenty fifth at shooting efficiency. They're bad

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Speaker 2: on the glass. The only positive thing that I can't

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Speaker 2: say for the Seahawks is that they turn you over

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Speaker 2: a lot, but I'm not sure that's enough to make

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Speaker 2: up for some of their other deficiencies. And then finally,

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Speaker 2: it wouldn't be a conference review without a long shot.

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Speaker 2: They go with Delaware here fifty to one. Listen, they

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Speaker 2: beat North Carolina, Wilmington, and Tausen this year, so when

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Speaker 2: you look at their path, they could beat Northeastern in

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Speaker 2: the first game and then Tawson on the way to

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Speaker 2: the SEMIS. I think that's totally reasonable to see that

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Speaker 2: come to fruition because jamiir and Nelson Junior is having

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Speaker 2: a special end to a season. He's up to twenty

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Speaker 2: five and four a night. He's absolutely on a tear.

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Speaker 2: He had thirty nine against UNC Wilmington, thirty points seven

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Speaker 2: dimes against North Carolina A and C, and twenty two

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Speaker 2: and five at Elon. So I think there's a chance

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Speaker 2: for him to put this entire Blue Hen team on

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Speaker 2: his back. And at fifty to one, I think that's

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Speaker 2: a little overinflated. I would probably play it at forty

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Speaker 2: to one, So fifty to one's definitely play because of

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Speaker 2: the path. I like their matchup against Northeastern, and I

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Speaker 2: think there's a decent shot that they could upset Towson

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Speaker 2: and then once you're at the seventies with the fifty

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Speaker 2: to one ticket. As we said before, it's license to

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Speaker 2: print money. From a hedge.

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Speaker 1: Perspective, Yeah, one thing that kind of that I'll disagree

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Speaker 1: with on Della Della is the defending champs. For what

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Speaker 1: it's worth, they're the sixth seed. They'll take on Northeastern

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Speaker 1: in the first round. Delar did win three straight down

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Speaker 1: the air. I mean, they beat Elon, they barely beat

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Speaker 1: North County and then they beat Uantcy went to High Agree.

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Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of the Seahawks, which I think

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Speaker 1: vodes well for Hostra Trexel. It's good defense, but they

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Speaker 1: I mean, they got to win four games in four days,

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Speaker 1: and they're dealing with some injuries as well. So I mean,

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Speaker 1: I think Hostra probably is the easiest path to the final.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Charleston and Hofstra. I just they should walk

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Speaker 1: to the Semis here, which is their biggest advantage, which

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Speaker 1: is I agree with you, that's how you want it

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Speaker 1: to be. If you're a mid major with Delaware, you

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Speaker 1: have Asamoa, who's injured. I don't know his status. He's important.

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Speaker 1: He hasn't played in a while, but apparently the locker

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Speaker 1: room issues with Delaware and like they are, things aren't

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Speaker 1: going well. I don't know that could be anecdotal, but

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Speaker 1: heard it from a couple of people close to the program.

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Speaker 1: The one thing I do like about talsand here is

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Speaker 1: that you mentioned you know, a lot of teams want

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Speaker 1: to run, especially the top teams, but Talisan wants to

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Speaker 1: slow this down, dominate the offensive glass as a that

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Speaker 1: scary team usually does. And these conference tournament team games,

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Speaker 1: a lot of times they might end up being more

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Speaker 1: of a half court battle a lot on the line.

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Speaker 1: It's not as up and down. That's all Charleston wants

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Speaker 1: to play. CHARLESA comes out you with waves. They have

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Speaker 1: a really deep bench and they just want to run

214
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Speaker 1: and they get out and they just come at you

215
00:10:38,960 --> 00:10:40,960
Speaker 1: and come out you and come at you. But Talisand's

216
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Speaker 1: super comfortable just in the half court, and you know

217
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Speaker 1: they can shoot the three out of that's timberlake, and

218
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Speaker 1: then they can dominate the offense cuts so you have

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Speaker 1: to have a off shooting night. That's where you know

220
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Speaker 1: they can make their hay. So yeah, I think Talisan

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Speaker 1: from my perspective, has the most value in this bracket.

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Speaker 1: If you believe that Delaware is dealing with some issues

223
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Speaker 1: and they might not be at full strength, don't even

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Speaker 1: look by the looking at the super long shots in

225
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Speaker 1: the bottom of this conference, they have zero chance. All right,

226
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Speaker 1: good stuff there in the c A A. So wait,

227
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Speaker 1: are you calling's gonna win it? Who's your call?

228
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Speaker 2: I go with Hofstra. So my two plays. I'm gonna

229
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Speaker 2: take Offstra at plus one eighty, and I like Tasen's

230
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Speaker 2: value at six to one. I think it's gonna end

231
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Speaker 2: up being the pride though winning the autumn I've been.

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Speaker 1: If you haven't watched Aaron Estrada, check him out. He's

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Speaker 1: probably the most electric score most have never heard of.

234
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Speaker 1: I think he's gone for forty this year. He's capable

235
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Speaker 1: of going for thirty plus with ease. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: move on, b J. Let's to bring you in here

237
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Speaker 1: and talk talk to some big sky. This will take

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Speaker 1: place March fourth through the seventh in Boise, Idaho. Montana

239
00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:59,080
Speaker 1: State is your favorite at plus one point fifteen. Eastern

240
00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:01,760
Speaker 1: Washington second of plus two fifty. They did just root

241
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Speaker 1: that a long, long winning streak that recently came to

242
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Speaker 1: an end, they lost Idaho State. Then they lost to

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Speaker 1: Montana State to close out the season. Montana plus four

244
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Speaker 1: to fifty, Webra eleven to one, Sacramento State twenty to one.

245
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Speaker 1: And then you're getting down into some super long shots.

246
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Speaker 1: For what it's worth, keep this in mind, say this

247
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Speaker 1: every podcast. Make sure you shop around. These odds can

248
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Speaker 1: differ dramatically, especially when you're looking at the long shots.

249
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Speaker 1: Difference between a fifty to one and seventy to one

250
00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:32,719
Speaker 1: if you get to the final, that's massive, So make

251
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Speaker 1: sure you shop around and have as many outs as possible. Okay,

252
00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:39,840
Speaker 1: so the big sky is you have all ten teams

253
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Speaker 1: make it. Eastern Washington is the one seed they will

254
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Speaker 1: get a buy into the quarterfinals along with Montana State,

255
00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:52,240
Speaker 1: Idaho State, Montana State, Weaver State, and Sacramento State. The

256
00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:56,560
Speaker 1: team's playing on the first day Northern Arizona, Idaho, Portland State,

257
00:12:56,640 --> 00:13:01,200
Speaker 1: and Northern Colorado. BJ break this down. What do you

258
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Speaker 1: see in the big sky?

259
00:13:03,920 --> 00:13:06,320
Speaker 3: To me, Stuck, I think that this is pretty clear

260
00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:08,200
Speaker 3: in a way that Montana State is the best team

261
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Speaker 3: in this conference.

262
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Speaker 4: So I'm gonna be taking them. You can find a

263
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Speaker 4: plus one forty out there.

264
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Speaker 3: I mean, it's obviously very boring to take the favorite.

265
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Speaker 3: But Eastern Washington they obviously had like you mentioned, they

266
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Speaker 3: had a sixteen game win streak to begin Big Sky Play.

267
00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:21,160
Speaker 3: But if you look her shot quality of the second

268
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Speaker 3: luckiest team in the country per Ken Palm, that are

269
00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:24,920
Speaker 3: the thirty first luckiest team in the country. Ten of

270
00:13:24,920 --> 00:13:28,080
Speaker 3: their sixteen wins have come by ten points or less,

271
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Speaker 3: so a lot of luck on their late game variants.

272
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Speaker 3: And they recently, like you mentioned, they just lost to

273
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Speaker 3: Montana State at home, and you know, the final score

274
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Speaker 3: line will say they lost by five, but Montana State

275
00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:38,679
Speaker 3: has seventeen point lead with ten minutes left to go.

276
00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:41,800
Speaker 3: So it was a pretty clear schlacking from the Bobcats

277
00:13:41,800 --> 00:13:43,600
Speaker 3: and the Bobcats to the number one team in the conference.

278
00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:46,960
Speaker 3: And adjust the defensive efficiency points are possessional allowed in

279
00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,080
Speaker 3: both the half court in transition two point field goal

280
00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:51,680
Speaker 3: percentage allowed. They turn opponents over at the highest rate.

281
00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,080
Speaker 3: It just it really is the best defense in this conference.

282
00:13:54,080 --> 00:13:55,719
Speaker 3: And then on the offensive side of the ball, they

283
00:13:55,720 --> 00:13:57,319
Speaker 3: are the most efficient team at getting in the rim.

284
00:13:57,360 --> 00:13:58,880
Speaker 3: They get to the free throw line at the seventh

285
00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:00,880
Speaker 3: highest rate in the country. And then when they get there,

286
00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:03,560
Speaker 3: they're shooting seventy six percent in conference playing. I think

287
00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:07,160
Speaker 3: the bracket sets up really nicely for them because since

288
00:14:07,240 --> 00:14:09,960
Speaker 3: Montana is going to be the four seed, they are

289
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Speaker 3: going to be on the side of the bracket with

290
00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:13,720
Speaker 3: Eastern Washington, who is the number one seed, and I

291
00:14:13,760 --> 00:14:16,960
Speaker 3: believe Montana State is the second or third best team

292
00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:19,280
Speaker 3: in this conference. So instead they're gonna get to play

293
00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:22,280
Speaker 3: Weaver State, who did hand them one of their three losses,

294
00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:23,280
Speaker 3: but it was on the road, and if you look

295
00:14:23,320 --> 00:14:25,560
Speaker 3: at the shot quality for that, the game was actually

296
00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:28,360
Speaker 3: pretty close because Weaver State just shot the absolute lights out.

297
00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:32,080
Speaker 3: But I don't see a scenario where Montana State is

298
00:14:32,080 --> 00:14:33,680
Speaker 3: going to be an underdog once we get to the

299
00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:37,520
Speaker 3: final against Eastern Washington or potentially Montana and I think

300
00:14:37,560 --> 00:14:40,040
Speaker 3: the bracket sets up easier for them rather than them

301
00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:43,000
Speaker 3: being the one seed. So I like Montana plus one

302
00:14:43,120 --> 00:14:46,240
Speaker 3: forty Sacramento State Montana State.

303
00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:48,400
Speaker 4: Excuse me, Yes, that is a big difference right there.

304
00:14:49,080 --> 00:14:53,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, So Montana State a plus one forty Sacramento State

305
00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:55,680
Speaker 3: twenty five to one is kind of interesting. They're fourth

306
00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:58,680
Speaker 3: in the conference per shock quality and justin deficiency differential

307
00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:01,920
Speaker 3: They've played a ton of close games throughout conference play.

308
00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:04,320
Speaker 3: They lost by two to Montana on the road, They

309
00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:06,280
Speaker 3: lost by four to Montana State on the road. In

310
00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:09,440
Speaker 3: late February, lost by three to Weaver State. Like, this

311
00:15:09,520 --> 00:15:12,600
Speaker 3: is a a very very interesting, interesting team that's had

312
00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:14,680
Speaker 3: a lot of late game variants go against them, So

313
00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:15,920
Speaker 3: they're kind of interesting.

314
00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:18,040
Speaker 4: They're gonna play Weaber State in that first game.

315
00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:22,160
Speaker 3: They're only gonna be about two point underdogs two Weaber States,

316
00:15:22,200 --> 00:15:25,320
Speaker 3: so you could potentially get them in a situation where

317
00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:28,600
Speaker 3: you can get Montana State or even Sacramento State into

318
00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:32,440
Speaker 3: the final at a pretty good number. So Montana State

319
00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:36,200
Speaker 3: at plus one point forty and Sacramento.

320
00:15:35,680 --> 00:15:37,760
Speaker 4: State at twenty five to one are my two plays.

321
00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:41,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, Eastern Washington the one thing about them, And look,

322
00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:44,440
Speaker 1: yeah I agree that they were lucky. They do run

323
00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:46,760
Speaker 1: great offense, run a lot of it through the post.

324
00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:50,280
Speaker 1: But they they're a high variance team, which is you know,

325
00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:52,240
Speaker 1: if you don't like that for one of the teams

326
00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:55,360
Speaker 1: that are the top seeds, but they shoot a ton

327
00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:57,720
Speaker 1: of threes and they give up a ton of threes,

328
00:15:58,280 --> 00:16:01,280
Speaker 1: so you know, if the team is missing a lot

329
00:16:01,320 --> 00:16:04,680
Speaker 1: of threes, then they're opponents missing a ton of matter

330
00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:06,480
Speaker 1: who they play in this conference, and they're making them

331
00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:09,160
Speaker 1: they're gonna win this. But I agree. I think Montana

332
00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:12,920
Speaker 1: State by far, and they match up pretty well with

333
00:16:13,040 --> 00:16:16,800
Speaker 1: Eastern Washington because I mean Montana State can get out

334
00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:19,480
Speaker 1: in transition East to Washington very poor there. East Washington

335
00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:21,960
Speaker 1: very very poor, like nine percentile pick and roll defense.

336
00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:25,880
Speaker 1: Montana State can take advantage there. Montana State can hold

337
00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:28,800
Speaker 1: up in the post. And then if you look Montana State,

338
00:16:29,160 --> 00:16:31,720
Speaker 1: they you know, this is a team that won it

339
00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:33,800
Speaker 1: last year. If you recall they who do they end

340
00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:37,480
Speaker 1: up playing? They played Tennessee now Texas Tech, they played

341
00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:39,440
Speaker 1: Texa Tech on the tourner. But they won this last year.

342
00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:43,840
Speaker 1: Extremely experienced team and Bellow, one of their best players,

343
00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:50,280
Speaker 1: battles amazing their guard. And Bellow's kind of like this,

344
00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:55,560
Speaker 1: you know, six', nine crafty. Big he hasn't been fully

345
00:16:55,600 --> 00:17:00,240
Speaker 1: healthy until. Recently he was dealing with an arm injury

346
00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:03,280
Speaker 1: and he's really come, on but you, know he kind

347
00:17:03,280 --> 00:17:06,120
Speaker 1: OF i think it was about a couple of weeks

348
00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:09,280
Speaker 1: ago was really struggling and it showed on that, end

349
00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:11,120
Speaker 1: AND i think that's weighing down some of their. Metrics,

350
00:17:11,119 --> 00:17:13,480
Speaker 1: STILL i have them power rated as clearly the best team.

351
00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:16,200
Speaker 1: HERE i think they match up well With Eastern washington

352
00:17:17,720 --> 00:17:19,960
Speaker 1: AND i, AGREE i think this IS i think this Is.

353
00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:23,679
Speaker 1: CHALKY i think It's Montana state's tournament and they're going

354
00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:28,399
Speaker 1: back to the. Dance very well coached team and, experienced

355
00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:31,600
Speaker 1: and they could Be there'll be a team that's steep

356
00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:34,440
Speaker 1: depending on the. Matchup i'm a big fan Of Danny

357
00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:38,600
Speaker 1: sprinkle two in a tournament, setting very good. Coach depending

358
00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:40,680
Speaker 1: on the, matchup there'll be a team that could be

359
00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:44,160
Speaker 1: dangerous as an upset potential that no one will talk.

360
00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:47,560
Speaker 1: About no one will they won't be on anyone's. Radar you,

361
00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:49,320
Speaker 1: Know they're not likely to be the New Mexico state

362
00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:52,360
Speaker 1: or The. Charleston they're not the sexy. Team But Montana

363
00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:54,880
Speaker 1: state could be dangerous if they get. In they're kind

364
00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:58,480
Speaker 1: of coming on at the right time and they won't beat,

365
00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:02,120
Speaker 1: themselves but very well. Coached SO i, Agree i'm Going

366
00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:04,679
Speaker 1: i'm going with the chalk there With Montana. State all,

367
00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:09,440
Speaker 1: right let's move, On mike to the. SoCon let's talk

368
00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:13,760
Speaker 1: a Little southern. Conference this is be held starting Tomorrow,

369
00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:19,560
Speaker 1: Friday march third through the sixth In, Ashville North. Carolina

370
00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:23,239
Speaker 1: furman is your. Favorite plus one twenty five plus one.

371
00:18:23,359 --> 00:18:25,400
Speaker 1: Thirty they are the one. Seed they'll get the winner

372
00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:28,360
Speaker 1: Of Mercer. Citadel then they'll Get Western Carolina East Tennessee.

373
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:32,800
Speaker 1: State pretty favorable path to the. Finals furman has had

374
00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:36,760
Speaker 1: some heartbreaking losses this, core these fifty year, Seniors bothwell And.

375
00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:41,399
Speaker 1: Slawson if you, recall they lost at the buzzer at

376
00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:46,840
Speaker 1: a three pointer in overtime last year To, chattanooga just

377
00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,280
Speaker 1: a crazy shot from half court and they didn't get

378
00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:51,120
Speaker 1: to go. Again they haven't been to the tournament since

379
00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:54,000
Speaker 1: nineteen Eighty is this the year For? Furman in the

380
00:18:54,000 --> 00:18:56,720
Speaker 1: bottom half of the, Bracket stamford is the two. Seed

381
00:18:56,880 --> 00:18:59,400
Speaker 1: they were swept By furman this. Year then they will

382
00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:03,240
Speaker 1: get the winner Of ATTANOGA, vmi and THEN uncg will

383
00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:07,679
Speaker 1: take On wawford in the other game in the bottom

384
00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:10,520
Speaker 1: half of the. Bracket, mike what do you see here

385
00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:15,760
Speaker 1: in the SoCon Does furman finally go? DANCING i think they.

386
00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:18,159
Speaker 2: Do to be honest with, YOU i think this if

387
00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:20,960
Speaker 2: you had to put together a mid major roster from,

388
00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:23,359
Speaker 2: scratch this is kind of the dream. Scenario they have

389
00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:26,240
Speaker 2: a great guard In mike boothwell both WELL i should,

390
00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:28,800
Speaker 2: say eighteen three and three a. Game and then on

391
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:32,240
Speaker 2: the low, Block Jalen slawson is a. Beast he averages

392
00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:35,800
Speaker 2: sixteen seven and. Three they also have nice weapons additionally

393
00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:38,679
Speaker 2: on the perimeter and GUARDS Jp pegas And Marcus foster

394
00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:41,000
Speaker 2: both shoot better than thirty five percent from three in

395
00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:43,480
Speaker 2: average eleven a. Game when you look at how they

396
00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:46,359
Speaker 2: matched up with the top of the, sokon they Swept,

397
00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:49,920
Speaker 2: stanford they Slept, as they split With greensboro with an overtime,

398
00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:53,440
Speaker 2: loss and they Bullied. Chattanooga SO i think they're ready

399
00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:56,240
Speaker 2: to make this. Jump and from you, know a style,

400
00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:58,959
Speaker 2: perspective they can really score the gravaging eighty points per

401
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,840
Speaker 2: game their twelve and shooting efficiency thirty third And Ken

402
00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:05,080
Speaker 2: pump's offensive adjusted efficiency, ratings which is one of the

403
00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:07,479
Speaker 2: highest for mid majors in the entire. Country and WHAT

404
00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:10,120
Speaker 2: i like is they protect the. Basketball you, know they're

405
00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:13,560
Speaker 2: they're not awful, defensively they're you, know not even close

406
00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:15,879
Speaker 2: to being considered defensive. Stopper BUT i think they have

407
00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:18,199
Speaker 2: the offense to run by just about everybody here in this.

408
00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,280
Speaker 2: Tournament and they were really good on the. Road they're

409
00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:21,840
Speaker 2: in three straight up on the road this year and

410
00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:26,080
Speaker 2: seven and four against the. Spread so as a number

411
00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:28,160
Speaker 2: one seed in a, TOURNAMENT i THINK i feel pretty

412
00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:30,880
Speaker 2: safe with The paladins, here But i'm going to kick

413
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:33,040
Speaker 2: the tires on some of these, options you, know down the,

414
00:20:33,080 --> 00:20:35,360
Speaker 2: card so you get you AND. C. Greensboro they're plus

415
00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:37,359
Speaker 2: two point. FIFTY i was a little bit.

416
00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:38,000
Speaker 1: Surprised to see this.

417
00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:40,000
Speaker 2: NUMBER i thought it was going to be swapped With.

418
00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:43,240
Speaker 2: Sanford sanford's at four to. ONE i THINK i would

419
00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:45,000
Speaker 2: need at least four or five to one to take The.

420
00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:47,760
Speaker 2: Spartans but they are the best defensive team in this.

421
00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:51,280
Speaker 2: Tournament greensboro is twenty eighth in opponent shooting. Percentage they

422
00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:53,520
Speaker 2: want to slow teams down so that you, know the

423
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,879
Speaker 2: added defensive stops they get have higher. Value they have

424
00:20:56,960 --> 00:21:00,199
Speaker 2: nice size across their starting. Lineup Candre kennedy and Key

425
00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:03,040
Speaker 2: Sean langley have to have big tournaments for them to win.

426
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:05,639
Speaker 2: This you, know they can't just be decent on the

427
00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:08,080
Speaker 2: offensive end and elite. Defensively they need those guys in

428
00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:10,640
Speaker 2: their backcourt to really step. Up they average twenty eight

429
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:13,160
Speaker 2: points per game as a, backcourt but they're probably gonna

430
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:14,840
Speaker 2: need to up that into the mid thirties to be

431
00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:16,640
Speaker 2: able to get by some of these run and gun

432
00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:20,000
Speaker 2: teams in the SoCon AS i, mentioned The sanford is

433
00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:22,239
Speaker 2: four to. ONE i think they're the better. Value they

434
00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:24,919
Speaker 2: can really shoot their nineteenth shooting. Efficiency they make a

435
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:26,679
Speaker 2: ton of threes and they gets to the line a.

436
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:29,359
Speaker 2: LOT i like that, combination and they put pressure on you.

437
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:31,439
Speaker 2: Defensively they're not great in a lot of defensive, metrics

438
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:34,479
Speaker 2: but they almost force fourteen turnovers per, game so that

439
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 2: puts them in a nice. Position and the story on

440
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:39,600
Speaker 2: their whole season Is Quez. Glover he missed about two.

441
00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:42,199
Speaker 2: Months when he came, back he was certainly rusty in

442
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:44,360
Speaker 2: his first three to four, games but now they're six

443
00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:46,360
Speaker 2: and one straight up in their last seven with him

444
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:48,760
Speaker 2: back in the. LINEUP i really like their front, Court

445
00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:51,160
Speaker 2: Logan die And Jermaine. MARSHALL i think they give them

446
00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:54,520
Speaker 2: some nice balance. There Bubba, parham who's been playing in college,

447
00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:57,760
Speaker 2: basketball this isn't a joke since twenty. Seventeen he gives

448
00:21:57,760 --> 00:21:59,439
Speaker 2: them someone who can pop off for five to three

449
00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:02,520
Speaker 2: six points that they're not necessarily relying on to be

450
00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:05,520
Speaker 2: the lead, scorer so he gives them some some positive

451
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 2: variance to potentially go. Off and then when you look

452
00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:11,160
Speaker 2: at their resume this, year they Swept, greensboro they nearly

453
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:14,160
Speaker 2: Upset furman at their, place losing an ot and they swept.

454
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:16,080
Speaker 1: Show should have won that. Game then they blew a big,

455
00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:18,639
Speaker 1: lead gotten massive foul, trouble but then they lost at

456
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:22,360
Speaker 1: home To furman. Recently and then in.

457
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:25,280
Speaker 2: Terms of like the wildless team in this, tournament And

458
00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 2: i'm going to get into why Is Chad nooga they're defending.

459
00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:30,520
Speaker 2: CHAMPS utc is twelve to one to win this. Tournament

460
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:34,000
Speaker 2: but there's news breaking On Jake stevens which are.

461
00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:36,080
Speaker 1: Huge she started to practice.

462
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:38,439
Speaker 2: Again and the, ARTICLE i think, it's you, know one

463
00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:41,120
Speaker 2: of their local. Papers it's. Hysterical the quotes from him are,

464
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,720
Speaker 2: Like i'm chugging milk and protein shakes and ANYTHING i

465
00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:47,640
Speaker 2: can do to heal this hand. Up it's also kind

466
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:50,080
Speaker 2: of being the subtext of some of his quotes are

467
00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,440
Speaker 2: IF i can't hurt my, hand, worse IF i can't

468
00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:56,560
Speaker 2: damage it and potentially hurt my, professional you, know draft,

469
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 2: status why not just go in there even If I'm

470
00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:01,760
Speaker 2: michelle of myself because he was arguably the best big

471
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:03,879
Speaker 2: in mid major. Basketball you have heage twenty two to,

472
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:06,760
Speaker 2: ten with two point four blocks per, game they were

473
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:09,119
Speaker 2: a team that could have won THE SoCon had he stayed.

474
00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:12,680
Speaker 2: Healthy but in addition to, that not just The stevens,

475
00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:15,199
Speaker 2: factor they're the highest variance team in this. Tournament they

476
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:17,720
Speaker 2: are number one in the nation in attempted and made

477
00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:20,439
Speaker 2: threes per. Game they hit thirty seven percent as a.

478
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:22,679
Speaker 2: Team so if they go ahead and make thirteen or

479
00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 2: fourteen threes in a, game they can beat anybody in this.

480
00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:28,560
Speaker 2: Tournament and they DRAW vmi and Then. Sanford so when

481
00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:29,880
Speaker 2: you look And samford gives.

482
00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:31,639
Speaker 1: Up as much threes as, anyone and they shoot a

483
00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:34,080
Speaker 1: turn at threes as, well another high variance, team and

484
00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:34,480
Speaker 1: you look at.

485
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,600
Speaker 2: Their, matchup they've lost by one At sanford and five at,

486
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:39,640
Speaker 2: home so they were in. It that last one at

487
00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:42,919
Speaker 2: home was Without. Stevens SO i think there's like if

488
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:45,199
Speaker 2: you want to throw a dart in this tournament and

489
00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:47,920
Speaker 2: hope Maybe stevens won't be back for THE vmi, game

490
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 2: but at this point he's questionable for the next. Rounds

491
00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 2: if he's, back that's as big an impact on a

492
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:57,359
Speaker 2: single player basis as anyone in this entire, field you,

493
00:23:57,400 --> 00:24:00,960
Speaker 2: know just to run down the rest of, them non VM.

494
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:03,359
Speaker 1: I for what it's, worth IS i they're down to

495
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,919
Speaker 1: like six or seven scholarship. GUYS i think they're starting

496
00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:09,440
Speaker 1: like five five. Freshmen Chad mooge does not Eat stevens

497
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:12,480
Speaker 1: for that, Game so they should get The stanford and,

498
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:15,080
Speaker 1: yeah that's going to be a super high errant. Team

499
00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:17,040
Speaker 1: and then that's what you want with a long. Shot

500
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:20,320
Speaker 1: you want the, variants and then you also have the

501
00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:23,080
Speaker 1: potential Of steven's coming back and if he's, Effective like

502
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:25,280
Speaker 1: there's a lot of uncertainty, there but that's what you

503
00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:29,520
Speaker 1: want in a long shot throwing at dart in a

504
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:32,640
Speaker 1: tournament Where i'm assuming that they're going to get by DM,

505
00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:34,640
Speaker 1: i they you have to, win you, know three games

506
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:34,960
Speaker 1: in three.

507
00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:38,960
Speaker 2: Days the rest of the. BOARD i wouldn't even Mention

508
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:42,160
Speaker 2: mercer VM i The. Citadel mercer's two hundred and thirty

509
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 2: first in Ken palm vm i's three fifty, Five so

510
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,479
Speaker 2: that's three. Seventeen those teams are not, winning you, know

511
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:49,840
Speaker 2: more than a game in this. Tournament so the rest of.

512
00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:52,240
Speaker 2: Them wafford at nineteen to. ONE i JUST i can't

513
00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 2: get over the defensive metrics they're awful, on you, know

514
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:57,720
Speaker 2: when it comes to slowing anybody, Down and they'd likely

515
00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,119
Speaker 2: have to beat the three top seeds to win all

516
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:01,960
Speaker 2: it's not. Happening they went one to five against those,

517
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:04,360
Speaker 2: teams and they open With. GREENSBORO i think it's far

518
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:07,400
Speaker 2: more likely that they lose in their first Game Western.

519
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:08,240
Speaker 1: Carolina.

520
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:10,560
Speaker 2: Interesting i'm kind of into. It they're nine to six

521
00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:12,920
Speaker 2: against the spread on the road this. Year they Beat.

522
00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:16,400
Speaker 2: Furman they have three starters who average fourteen plus per,

523
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:18,359
Speaker 2: game which is somebody to hang their hat. On they

524
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,840
Speaker 2: don't shoot the ball particularly well as a, team they

525
00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 2: can't grab an offensive board to save their, life and

526
00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:25,480
Speaker 2: they don't force. Turnovers so twenty to one doesn't move

527
00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:27,199
Speaker 2: the needle for. Me but as you pointed, out these

528
00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:30,359
Speaker 2: smaller tournaments huge variants in terms of the sports books

529
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:32,920
Speaker 2: what they offer at like thirty five to, One i'm.

530
00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:35,399
Speaker 2: Interested thirty to one probably the cutoff for, me so

531
00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:37,720
Speaker 2: make sure you shot around. There and then Finally East

532
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:39,760
Speaker 2: Tennessee state at twenty to, one another one of those

533
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:42,680
Speaker 2: teams WHERE i need slightly better. Number they're awful from

534
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 2: the line in three point. Range that's my concern where it's,

535
00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 2: like who are you going to really beat in crunch

536
00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:48,719
Speaker 2: time if you can't make your foul, shots or how

537
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:49,639
Speaker 2: you can upset teams with.

538
00:25:49,640 --> 00:25:50,080
Speaker 1: That barring.

539
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:53,200
Speaker 2: Threes they've been super sloppy with the, basketball but they finished.

540
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 2: STRONG i mean they went three and two straight up

541
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:57,680
Speaker 2: and two of their losses came by a total of six.

542
00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:00,200
Speaker 2: Points Jordan, king their point, guard really got it going

543
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:02,119
Speaker 2: in the last two. Weeks could he go off and

544
00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:05,159
Speaker 2: put the team on his back and you, know Upset.

545
00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:08,680
Speaker 2: Furman it's. Possible you, know they stayed within for Of

546
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:11,280
Speaker 2: furman at their, place SO i think crazier things have.

547
00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:13,040
Speaker 2: Happened but LIKE i, SAID i would need a slightly

548
00:26:13,080 --> 00:26:14,960
Speaker 2: better number to be interested in The.

549
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:17,600
Speaker 1: Pirates, yeah good stuff. THERE i Think i'm personally gonna

550
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:19,760
Speaker 1: roll While i'm rolling With. Furman i'd said a couple months,

551
00:26:19,760 --> 00:26:22,159
Speaker 1: AGO i think this is this Is sandford's. Conference but,

552
00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:25,080
Speaker 1: look they're such a high varrant, team and this With

553
00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:27,480
Speaker 1: chadanooga potentially Getting steven's, back and then you might have

554
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:31,640
Speaker 1: to play uncg really physical defensive, team you. Know Adding

555
00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:34,600
Speaker 1: kennedy to The langley. Brothers, Yeah i've been really impressed. Them,

556
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:38,960
Speaker 1: yeah you Mentioned Western carolina para transfers in their. Backcourt

557
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:43,560
Speaker 1: They've they've exceeded my expectations coming into the year With

558
00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:47,120
Speaker 1: Trey jackson And Russell. Jones BUT i Think furman has

559
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:50,399
Speaker 1: the easiest. Path LOOKING i worry a little bit about

560
00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:54,320
Speaker 1: their legs because they're an offensive. Team they don't go too.

561
00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:57,640
Speaker 1: Deep and you Mentioned, pegeese their point. Guard he's really

562
00:26:57,680 --> 00:26:59,439
Speaker 1: come on at the end of the, year and THAT'S

563
00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:02,680
Speaker 1: i think they taken them to the next. Level SO

564
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:06,880
Speaker 1: i think And Bob, Richie i'd Love i've been paying

565
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,360
Speaker 1: close attention to how they're like handling all this, mentally

566
00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 1: because this is like like when the pressure Comes furman

567
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:16,400
Speaker 1: is like the last four years these gone like they've

568
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:19,160
Speaker 1: been so close and they lose In, heartbury these heartbreaking

569
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:21,600
Speaker 1: fashion To wafford every. Year how are they going to

570
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:23,440
Speaker 1: HANDLE i like some of the things That i'm hearing

571
00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,359
Speaker 1: and how they're handling, This and then part of me,

572
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:29,120
Speaker 1: IS i, mean Look slauson And bathball have been. There

573
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:31,560
Speaker 1: this is their fifth year that they're. Playing they'd be.

574
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:36,360
Speaker 1: CLOSE i think that plus one. Thirty i'm Biting i'm

575
00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:38,680
Speaker 1: rolling With furman. HERE i think they're finally going to

576
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:43,720
Speaker 1: get in for the first time since nineteen. Eighty good,

577
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:47,600
Speaker 1: stuff they're breaking that down one final convids forvy to get.

578
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:50,960
Speaker 1: To i'll touch slightly on the summit too before we

579
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:53,520
Speaker 1: get To friday And. Saturday but it's our little South,

580
00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:56,880
Speaker 1: land which starts On Sunday march, fifth just goes From

581
00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:59,880
Speaker 1: march fifth through the eighth And Lake, Charles louisiana top

582
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:05,240
Speaker 1: eight make it so sadly you don't Get lamar or McNeese,

583
00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 1: state by the, WAY i Think, lamar If i'm not,

584
00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:11,800
Speaker 1: mistaken who's one of the worst teams in all of college. Rest, well,

585
00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:15,280
Speaker 1: yeah they beat north they beat the top Seed Corpus.

586
00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:18,400
Speaker 1: Christi they Beat nichols, Too but, sorry you're not gonna

587
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:22,600
Speaker 1: get to see McNeese Or. Lamar if you are into

588
00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:28,320
Speaker 1: conference tournaments that reward the top, seeds you're gonna like this, One,

589
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:30,840
Speaker 1: Mike i'm sure you like. This TEXAS a and M Corpus,

590
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:35,280
Speaker 1: christi who won the tournament last, year the defending, champs experienced.

591
00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:37,919
Speaker 1: Team they get a bye to the semi finals On,

592
00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:42,840
Speaker 1: tuesday along With Northwestern, State nichols And Southeastern louisiana get

593
00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 1: single byes to the second round On, monday and then

594
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:47,600
Speaker 1: you Have TEXAS a and M commerce who's not eligible

595
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 1: for THE ncaa tournament playing McNee state in the first

596
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:54,720
Speaker 1: round On, sunday and Then Houston christian formerly known As

597
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:57,080
Speaker 1: Houston baptists will take On New orleans in the other

598
00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:00,440
Speaker 1: first round. Game as far as odds are con, Concerned

599
00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 1: Corpus christi is the favorite here bj is it chalk

600
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:06,760
Speaker 1: IF i got.

601
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:09,200
Speaker 2: Been real, Quick I'm i'm open to being a sports

602
00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:12,480
Speaker 2: consultant to make The Southland conference as much free publicity

603
00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 2: as they. Want McNee state And lamar it's ridiculous that

604
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:18,160
Speaker 2: they're not. In it's not like it's a seventeen team

605
00:29:18,280 --> 00:29:21,240
Speaker 2: league or something like. That and logistics are the. Issue

606
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:24,480
Speaker 2: if you really want to force them out and you're worried,

607
00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:26,480
Speaker 2: about you, know playing an extra, round why not just

608
00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:28,800
Speaker 2: do like a three point shootout between like the last four?

609
00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,440
Speaker 2: Teams like could you imagine live streaming? That in terms

610
00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 2: of LIKE espn would eat it, up put it on

611
00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:36,640
Speaker 2: like two pm on A wednesday or. Something the casinos

612
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:38,719
Speaker 2: would love. It sportsbooks are gonna put odds like just

613
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 2: make it. Fun don't in their, season as you pointed,

614
00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:43,719
Speaker 2: out they you, know some of those teams beat the

615
00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:45,560
Speaker 2: top teams in The, southland like they deserve a.

616
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:47,520
Speaker 4: SHOT i got a better, Idea. Mike how about three

617
00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 4: on three tournamentween those four? Teams there you?

618
00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 1: Go anything? FUN i agree with. These, yeah and you

619
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:57,840
Speaker 1: could easily have six teams in the first even you

620
00:29:57,840 --> 00:30:00,280
Speaker 1: could have you could kill the double. Buys but, WHATEVER

621
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:06,120
Speaker 1: bj is it chalk Ears Corpus christy, repeating where's the?

622
00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:07,040
Speaker 1: Value what do you see?

623
00:30:07,040 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 3: HERE i, mean it's probably their conference to, lose, Honestly

624
00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:10,960
Speaker 3: like they are the best team in the. Conference they're

625
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:14,080
Speaker 3: probably a deserving. Favorite BUT i Think Nickel state has some.

626
00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:16,400
Speaker 3: Value you can find them at plus seven fifty out.

627
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,160
Speaker 3: There they're second and shot quality is just defense or

628
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 3: defense efficiency. Differential that the second best defensive team in

629
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:26,480
Speaker 3: this conference by adjusted defensive. Efficiency they turn opponents over

630
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:28,040
Speaker 3: at the highest rate in the south. End that the

631
00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:30,840
Speaker 3: second best team defending at the. Rim their first and

632
00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:33,520
Speaker 3: two point field goal percentage. Allowed they're a very very

633
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,520
Speaker 3: fast paced team and, transition they're very efficient. There their

634
00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:40,720
Speaker 3: top fifteen points for possession. Nationally they finished at the

635
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 3: rim in the second highest rate in this. Conference they

636
00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 3: hardly turn the ball. Over now it matters that this

637
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:48,880
Speaker 3: it doesn't really. Matter it kind of, matters but it

638
00:30:48,920 --> 00:30:50,680
Speaker 3: also doesn't matter at this point in the. Season But

639
00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:55,240
Speaker 3: Nickel state played the hardest non conference schedule of anybody

640
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,560
Speaker 3: in college. Basketball so this is a very very well,

641
00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:01,240
Speaker 3: traveled well battle tested TYPE t. Team now it didn't

642
00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:03,320
Speaker 3: show really in conference. Play they did finish conference place

643
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:06,360
Speaker 3: at six and, three but in those last nine, games

644
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 3: if you look at shock, quality they should have won

645
00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:10,720
Speaker 3: every single one of those, games including a game Over Corpus.

646
00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:14,480
Speaker 3: Christy so you're getting one of the hottest teams who's

647
00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:16,840
Speaker 3: due for some positive regression going into the. Tournament they're

648
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:20,240
Speaker 3: going to have to Play Corpus christi And, semis which

649
00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:23,120
Speaker 3: is not. Great but at a price of plus seven

650
00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:26,160
Speaker 3: to fifty for what is arguably the second best team

651
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 3: in this, CONFERENCE i think the value is On Nickels.

652
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 1: State. YEAH i would also look potentially At Southeastern louisiana

653
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:40,040
Speaker 1: just but if they're going to have they're, in they

654
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 1: wouldn't have to Face Corpus, christy who agre is the

655
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:47,160
Speaker 1: best team, metrically very experienced. Team you can. Get really

656
00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:49,560
Speaker 1: interesting thing is that if you look at this bracket

657
00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:54,720
Speaker 1: and text Adem Corpus christy ended up winning Against Texadam

658
00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 1: commerce last, night who dropped to the five, seat which

659
00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 1: meeans they have to play in the first. Round but

660
00:31:58,240 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 1: if they, didn't they would have gotten the four seat

661
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 1: Of nonichols and depending If nichols lost yesterday and Text

662
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:07,000
Speaker 1: Adem commerce Gave Texam Corpus christy a lot of problems this.

663
00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:09,880
Speaker 1: Year they beat them and then they lost in overtime last.

664
00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 1: Night that's Because Texas Aum Corpus it doesn't have a

665
00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:14,000
Speaker 1: lot of. Size they are really good, team rebounding, team

666
00:32:14,360 --> 00:32:17,080
Speaker 1: but they can you can get them in the post

667
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:19,520
Speaker 1: And TEXAS a AND M commerce JUST i think they

668
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:21,720
Speaker 1: shot eighty two percent from two in one matchup sixty

669
00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 1: five percent in the. Other But south but they're gonna

670
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:26,920
Speaker 1: have to play two games just to get you, know

671
00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 1: win two games just to get The Texanam Corpus christi

672
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 1: very tall Task Southeast. LOUISIANA i, mean they Beat Corpus

673
00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:38,880
Speaker 1: christi once Played Northwestern state very. Close they can shoot the,

674
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 1: three they don't turn it, over they make the free.

675
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:44,600
Speaker 1: THROWS i think that they're pretty intriguing BECAUSE i think

676
00:32:44,600 --> 00:32:47,240
Speaker 1: that they should get to The, semis AND i don't

677
00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 1: KNOW i would look at six to. ONES i THINK

678
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:52,640
Speaker 1: i think if Either nichols Or southeast Of louisiana tickles your,

679
00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:55,440
Speaker 1: fancy they might be worth taking a. Shot BUT i

680
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:57,400
Speaker 1: do agree that text A Andem Corpus christie is the

681
00:32:57,400 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 1: class of the. Conference BUT i don't see any value

682
00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:03,520
Speaker 1: at plus one ten for we get The friday And

683
00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:06,240
Speaker 1: saturday we have The Summit. League, Mike you're not gonna

684
00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 1: like The Summit league's bracket because they do not reward

685
00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:17,520
Speaker 1: the top. Seeds we have Or. Roberts last, Year South

686
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:23,120
Speaker 1: Dakota state became the first team to sweep go undefeated

687
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:28,200
Speaker 1: in the regular season In Summit league. Play Or roberts

688
00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:30,920
Speaker 1: became the second this, year and they capped it off

689
00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:35,840
Speaker 1: On South Dakota state's. Floor they went. Undefeated Max asmas everyone,

690
00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:40,000
Speaker 1: remembers but this is and they're clearly the best. Team

691
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:43,520
Speaker 1: it ran through the entire. Conference but this is just

692
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:47,840
Speaker 1: an eight team tournament with no, buys and it's played

693
00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:51,120
Speaker 1: In South. Dakota you have all The dakotas and Then

694
00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:55,000
Speaker 1: Oral roberts coming up From. Tulsa So they're not doing

695
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:58,920
Speaker 1: Or roberts any favors. Here Or roberts is the heavy.

696
00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:01,480
Speaker 1: FAVORITE i think you can find them minus one. Eighty

697
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:04,920
Speaker 1: they were eighteen and h in the league. Play they

698
00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:07,240
Speaker 1: won't get the winner Of denver In North. Dakota that's

699
00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:10,000
Speaker 1: basically a toss. Up then Played Western Illinois Saint. Thomas

700
00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:14,200
Speaker 1: both don't really play, defense great. Offenses they could put

701
00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:17,400
Speaker 1: up a lot of. Points Trent masner For Western illinois

702
00:34:17,680 --> 00:34:20,120
Speaker 1: is capable of completely going. Off you haven't seen. Him

703
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:23,360
Speaker 1: plays fun to. Watch can they score enough against the

704
00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:25,000
Speaker 1: WORLD i don't think. So AND i don't even know

705
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:26,960
Speaker 1: who's gonna win that game Between western And Saint. Thomas

706
00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:29,319
Speaker 1: then in the bottom half you have it's all The.

707
00:34:29,360 --> 00:34:31,879
Speaker 1: Dakotas It's South Dakota, State North Dakota, state And South.

708
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:35,360
Speaker 1: DAKOTA i just can't make a case for anyone beating Or.

709
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:37,799
Speaker 1: ROBERTS i, Mean South Dakota state is one of the

710
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,640
Speaker 1: best home court advantages in all of college. Basketball they

711
00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:42,880
Speaker 1: were catching. FIVE i bet him got really lucky that

712
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:46,600
Speaker 1: game or backdoor cover that was on their home court

713
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:50,279
Speaker 1: in a smash, spot And Oral roberts still took care of.

714
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:53,360
Speaker 1: Business i'm tempted to lay the one to eighty here

715
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:57,160
Speaker 1: With Oral. Roberts if you can parlay, favorites were parlay

716
00:34:57,160 --> 00:34:59,759
Speaker 1: conference that they might be a good parlay. Piece it's

717
00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:01,359
Speaker 1: hard for me to make a case for anyone other

718
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:03,640
Speaker 1: Than Oral. Roberts the good news is if that, happens

719
00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:06,680
Speaker 1: we get to See Max asmis in this amazing offense

720
00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:10,360
Speaker 1: which is now at the twenty third nationally and adjusted offensive.

721
00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:13,239
Speaker 1: Efficiency him And connor Van over the new kick and

722
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:15,920
Speaker 1: pop man of that. Offense their defense is even better

723
00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:19,400
Speaker 1: than That Oral roberts team that made a run in

724
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:22,360
Speaker 1: THE ncaaa tournament a couple of years. Ago SO i

725
00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:24,759
Speaker 1: think it's Or roberts. HERE i can't make a case

726
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,680
Speaker 1: for anybody. Else, mike any thoughts there anything else you

727
00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:29,959
Speaker 1: want to cap off for these conference? Worms any final?

728
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:33,600
Speaker 2: THOUGHTS i like The, tommys you, know as a total.

729
00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:36,480
Speaker 2: Dart it's not an easy. Road they got to take

730
00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:38,840
Speaker 2: care Of massner in the four or five game and

731
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:42,799
Speaker 2: then they would Play Oral roberts in the. Semis but

732
00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:45,239
Speaker 2: they played pretty well Against Earl roberts in their last.

733
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:48,440
Speaker 2: MEETING i think from a pressure, perspective when you run

734
00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:51,800
Speaker 2: the table and you, know if they win this, tournament

735
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:53,799
Speaker 2: they are at eleven or a twelve seed In March.

736
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:56,080
Speaker 2: Madness so like there's a lot of sake for, them

737
00:35:56,239 --> 00:35:58,319
Speaker 2: where a program like The TOMMY'S i think they're playing

738
00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:01,399
Speaker 2: with house. Money so obviously it depends to shop around

739
00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:03,640
Speaker 2: get the best. Number but in terms of throwing a,

740
00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:05,960
Speaker 2: dart that's the only one that has any interest for.

741
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,439
Speaker 2: Me roady has been a, great one of the best

742
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:11,799
Speaker 2: freshmen in the entire country For Saint. Thomas he's a

743
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:13,719
Speaker 2: really fun. Watch he's got a game winner under his

744
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:16,880
Speaker 2: belt already this. Season so sometimes you're looking for a

745
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:19,160
Speaker 2: single player to kind of take over and you, know

746
00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:21,439
Speaker 2: create a magical. Run i'm going to go with him

747
00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:22,200
Speaker 2: For Saint.

748
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:25,040
Speaker 1: Thomas, YEAH i mean they were able to in two

749
00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:28,320
Speaker 1: meetings With Oral. Roberts they lost eighty one to sixty

750
00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:30,960
Speaker 1: nine on the road and then they lost ninety five

751
00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:35,320
Speaker 1: to eighty eight at. Home and you, Know Oral roberts

752
00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:37,800
Speaker 1: their defense has been a lot. BETTER i mean they

753
00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:40,960
Speaker 1: are the best offense in the best defense in this,

754
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:43,440
Speaker 1: conference but they give up a lot of. Threes they

755
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:46,440
Speaker 1: take a lot of threes, too so high, variants, right

756
00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:50,120
Speaker 1: if they're way off, shooting And Saint thomas takes a

757
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:52,319
Speaker 1: lot and can make a lot of threes as, well

758
00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:55,759
Speaker 1: so you get three point variants they. Shoot, look they're

759
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:59,280
Speaker 1: the sixteenth highest three point attempt frequency in the, country

760
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:02,680
Speaker 1: so the factor could be working in your favor. There so,

761
00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:04,719
Speaker 1: YEAH i don't hate. THAT i think if you want

762
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:07,400
Speaker 1: to take a, shot you're gonna have to knock off

763
00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:10,879
Speaker 1: Or roberts at some. Point do it in second, round

764
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:13,080
Speaker 1: AND i think they do actually match up pretty well

765
00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:17,239
Speaker 1: With Western, illinois who they just recently. Beat, oh by the,

766
00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:20,200
Speaker 1: way we will Have we're. College tanner McGrath about The America.

767
00:37:20,239 --> 00:37:23,920
Speaker 1: East he's An America east fanatic that conference, tournament which

768
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:28,080
Speaker 1: also starts this. Weekend, tanner tell everyone why you are

769
00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:31,080
Speaker 1: A America. East what was the origin of The America east?

770
00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 5: LOVE i grew up in Southern. Vermont the First Vermont

771
00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:39,440
Speaker 5: catamount teams THAT i rooted for were THE. Tj, Sarrantine,

772
00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:43,760
Speaker 5: taylor The Tom brennan, teams AND i followed them throughout

773
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:46,960
Speaker 5: the years When becker took, over through The Anthony lamb,

774
00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:50,920
Speaker 5: years into The Ryan davis, years into the heartbreak loss

775
00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:54,239
Speaker 5: Against arkansas last, year and throughout that. Time i've just

776
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:58,680
Speaker 5: grown to love all the, teams love all the, angles

777
00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:00,239
Speaker 5: AND i just know this conference like the back my.

778
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:00,520
Speaker 1: Hand.

779
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:02,719
Speaker 5: Now i've been covering it for The Action ever for three.

780
00:38:02,840 --> 00:38:06,759
Speaker 1: Years so love. It, yeah you clamored to talk The,

781
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:11,800
Speaker 1: americas so nobody better to bring in to talk about

782
00:38:12,120 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 1: a league that doesn't really reward its top. Seeds we

783
00:38:14,120 --> 00:38:17,440
Speaker 1: just got done talking about you, know The, southland The

784
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 1: West Coast. Conference those conferences like double buys into The.

785
00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:25,480
Speaker 1: Semis that's not the case in The, americas where eight

786
00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:29,239
Speaker 1: of the nine teams make. It Sorry albany The Great

787
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:32,160
Speaker 1: danes did not get. In vermont is the one seed

788
00:38:32,239 --> 00:38:36,200
Speaker 1: and they are the, favorite minus one seventy. Five UMass

789
00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:40,799
Speaker 1: lowell the two, seed they are plus two. Hundred then

790
00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:44,760
Speaker 1: you Have bryant really disappointing year there it finishes the sixth.

791
00:38:44,800 --> 00:38:48,799
Speaker 1: Seed they're at fifteen to. ONE unbc is the fourth

792
00:38:48,840 --> 00:38:50,800
Speaker 1: seed at twenty two to. One then you start getting

793
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:54,080
Speaker 1: into some longer shots To New hampshire's thirty four to,

794
00:38:54,080 --> 00:38:58,200
Speaker 1: One binghamton ninety five to. One the one thing worth.

795
00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:01,759
Speaker 1: Mentioning and by the, way this starts On. Saturday Quarterfinals

796
00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:06,520
Speaker 1: semis On, tuesday championship on the Following. Saturday that's because

797
00:39:06,560 --> 00:39:09,839
Speaker 1: the higher seed hosts and they receed after the first,

798
00:39:09,920 --> 00:39:12,200
Speaker 1: round which is worth. Noting so we don't necessarily know

799
00:39:12,640 --> 00:39:17,960
Speaker 1: who the semi finals matchups will. Be so let's start

800
00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:23,800
Speaker 1: with who are you buying and? Selling and then maybe

801
00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:27,279
Speaker 1: a long, shot maybe your your main bears or you're

802
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:29,319
Speaker 1: gonna go With. Maine, here what do you got for? Buy?

803
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:30,920
Speaker 1: Sell then maybe throwing a long.

804
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:34,200
Speaker 5: Shot for the first time my three years covering The

805
00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:37,200
Speaker 5: America east here at The Action, NETWORK i am advocating

806
00:39:37,200 --> 00:39:39,759
Speaker 5: that you bet on My vermont data amounts to win

807
00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:42,960
Speaker 5: The America East tournament just because the number is. Love

808
00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:46,399
Speaker 5: usually you, know it's like minus three hundred minus. FER

809
00:39:46,440 --> 00:39:48,319
Speaker 5: i think got up to minus nine hundred for the

810
00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:52,000
Speaker 5: Ket tournament last. YEAR i like it minus two. Hundred

811
00:39:52,120 --> 00:39:54,560
Speaker 5: and the reason the reason the number is so low

812
00:39:54,640 --> 00:39:57,359
Speaker 5: is because there's another team to be U mass low

813
00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:00,879
Speaker 5: low will B vermont earlier this season posted the best

814
00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:04,320
Speaker 5: season in program history while nipping On vermont's heels basically

815
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:07,279
Speaker 5: all season. Long AND i was actually Buying UMass lowell

816
00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:09,320
Speaker 5: at the beginning of the season because they returned almost,

817
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:13,319
Speaker 5: everyone including the conference's best front court in a year

818
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:16,239
Speaker 5: where all the other front courts were pretty, weak Especially.

819
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:19,759
Speaker 5: Vermont's but since the First lowell win Over, vermont a

820
00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:23,080
Speaker 5: few things have. Happened, First vermont figured out its front court,

821
00:40:23,160 --> 00:40:27,800
Speaker 5: rotations pretty much fixed its interier defense after getting roasted

822
00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:31,400
Speaker 5: in the post on. Defense for, example in the first

823
00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:35,200
Speaker 5: meeting A lowell, Win lowell scored fourteen points on twelve

824
00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:38,200
Speaker 5: post up possessions Against. Vermont in the second meeting Of vermont,

825
00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 5: Win lowell scored two points on five post up. Possessions

826
00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:46,279
Speaker 5: particularly Of vermont win, SECOND a big REASON i was

827
00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:49,279
Speaker 5: in on UMAs lowell was because Of Connor, withers you

828
00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:53,400
Speaker 5: remember helped Carry Obadiah noel to that conference championship game

829
00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:55,840
Speaker 5: a few years. Ago he's been pulled from the rotation.

830
00:40:56,280 --> 00:40:58,719
Speaker 5: Entirely he's played five and a half minutes per game

831
00:40:58,760 --> 00:41:01,239
Speaker 5: over the last four games. Games THAT x factor THAT

832
00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:03,480
Speaker 5: i was really betting on has. Gone while this was all,

833
00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:06,759
Speaker 5: Happening vermont ended the season with twelve straight, wins most

834
00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:09,200
Speaker 5: of the nation's highest effective field goal percentage during the.

835
00:41:09,239 --> 00:41:12,440
Speaker 5: Streak The becker five out motion offense is just. Cooking

836
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:15,200
Speaker 5: the three guard lineups are. Insane and it's huge that

837
00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:18,239
Speaker 5: the conference runs Through burlington again because The America east

838
00:41:18,239 --> 00:41:20,480
Speaker 5: actually has the nation's highest home winning percentage among all

839
00:41:20,480 --> 00:41:22,680
Speaker 5: the conferences sixty eight. Percent so, YEAH i like The

840
00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:26,399
Speaker 5: vermont catamouts at anything under minus two. Hundred into my cell,

841
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:29,920
Speaker 5: team you might have mentioned it super unimpressive. Season i'm Selling.

842
00:41:29,960 --> 00:41:32,560
Speaker 5: Bryant i'm all out on The. BULLDOGS i will betting

843
00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:34,960
Speaker 5: against The Brian bulldogs in the first. Round you're likely

844
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:37,040
Speaker 5: to Get university Of New hampshire as a short home.

845
00:41:37,080 --> 00:41:40,640
Speaker 5: Dog If brian does win that, game they'll likely be

846
00:41:40,719 --> 00:41:43,920
Speaker 5: reseeded and Play vermont In, burlington AND i will double

847
00:41:43,960 --> 00:41:47,000
Speaker 5: down and hammer the From cats in that. Spot vermont

848
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:50,040
Speaker 5: is such an awful matchup For. Bryan vermont's transition defense

849
00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:53,520
Speaker 5: was built in a lab to stop The bryant transition.

850
00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:56,360
Speaker 5: Attack i've also decided that The bulldogs are just poorly.

851
00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:59,319
Speaker 5: Coached Jared grasso took one of the better collections of

852
00:41:59,400 --> 00:42:02,200
Speaker 5: Talent i've seen in this conference and turned it into an.

853
00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:02,880
Speaker 1: Eight AND Eu conference.

854
00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:05,839
Speaker 5: Team not only, that The bulldogs finished the season one

855
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:08,320
Speaker 5: in four straight up and own five against the spread

856
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:10,839
Speaker 5: in the final. Five talk about the opposite of. MOMENTUM

857
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:13,280
Speaker 5: i figured out it's basically just a lack of execution

858
00:42:13,360 --> 00:42:15,120
Speaker 5: on both ends of the. FLOOR i, mean they have

859
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:18,960
Speaker 5: this quick strike transition on steroids, attack but they're one

860
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:22,040
Speaker 5: of the least efficient transition. Offenses they turn the ball

861
00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:24,360
Speaker 5: over like, crazy they don't really have great shot, makers

862
00:42:24,800 --> 00:42:26,880
Speaker 5: and Against maine in the regular season, finale they just

863
00:42:26,960 --> 00:42:29,759
Speaker 5: ran into the teeth of a pretty solid main and

864
00:42:29,760 --> 00:42:33,040
Speaker 5: tier defense over and over with almost no. Success But

865
00:42:33,120 --> 00:42:36,799
Speaker 5: grasso never. Adjusted and on, defense it's just a really

866
00:42:36,880 --> 00:42:39,600
Speaker 5: passive zone defense doesn't really do.

867
00:42:39,560 --> 00:42:42,239
Speaker 1: It AND unbc just carved it up in both their.

868
00:42:42,280 --> 00:42:43,920
Speaker 1: MEETINGS i was, like there are so many hole WHEN

869
00:42:43,920 --> 00:42:46,800
Speaker 1: i was watching those, games so many holes in that. Zone.

870
00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:49,480
Speaker 5: YEAH i, mean, look THEY'RE i think they're the seventh

871
00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:54,040
Speaker 5: best rim protecting team in the, conference and they get

872
00:42:54,040 --> 00:42:55,960
Speaker 5: shredded in post. UPSETS i mean two things that the

873
00:42:56,080 --> 00:42:57,880
Speaker 5: zone are supposed to stop, right and then if you

874
00:42:57,920 --> 00:43:01,040
Speaker 5: attack them from, them the perimeter did twice he could

875
00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:04,080
Speaker 5: shred them that way. Too, finally Since brian is the sixth,

876
00:43:04,080 --> 00:43:06,439
Speaker 5: seed they'll be on the road in both the first

877
00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:08,680
Speaker 5: round and the second. Round they're five to nine against

878
00:43:08,680 --> 00:43:11,120
Speaker 5: the spread on the road this year all out on

879
00:43:11,120 --> 00:43:11,560
Speaker 5: The Brian.

880
00:43:11,600 --> 00:43:13,160
Speaker 2: Bulldogs do not fall for that.

881
00:43:13,320 --> 00:43:16,680
Speaker 5: Trap, Finally i'll Go i'll give you one long Shot

882
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:19,480
Speaker 5: New hampshire thirty four to. One if you're going to

883
00:43:19,520 --> 00:43:22,799
Speaker 5: pick one long shot in this, conference The wildcats are

884
00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:25,400
Speaker 5: the only team with a long number that is guaranteed

885
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:28,640
Speaker 5: to Avoid vermont until the championship. Game that's good enough

886
00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:31,080
Speaker 5: to take a flyer. On they also Have Clarence, Daniels

887
00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:35,080
Speaker 5: America's player of The year. Candidate he's a versatile three level.

888
00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:38,000
Speaker 5: Scorer he hits the boards really, hard averages eleven boards per.

889
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:40,600
Speaker 5: Game that's something there also the only other conference team

890
00:43:40,640 --> 00:43:43,680
Speaker 5: to actually Beat vermont this year using a decent front

891
00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:46,680
Speaker 5: court to beat up on a then Week vermont front.

892
00:43:46,680 --> 00:43:49,200
Speaker 1: Court so you don't you're not worried about you Think

893
00:43:49,239 --> 00:43:50,560
Speaker 1: New hampter is going to Be. BRIAN i think were

894
00:43:50,560 --> 00:43:52,359
Speaker 1: swept during the regular. SEASON i think one was, close

895
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:54,560
Speaker 1: one was a. Blowout but you Think New hampshire is

896
00:43:54,560 --> 00:43:56,840
Speaker 1: going to take care of business there because you're Selling.

897
00:43:56,880 --> 00:43:59,680
Speaker 1: Bryant that's part of what goes Into New hampshire as

898
00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:01,040
Speaker 1: having us a long, shot.

899
00:44:00,880 --> 00:44:05,000
Speaker 5: Right it's a little bit unfortunate Because New hampshire And

900
00:44:05,239 --> 00:44:07,800
Speaker 5: bryant were kind of the two TEAMS i was looking

901
00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 5: to sell entering the, tournament but then how the final

902
00:44:10,760 --> 00:44:12,959
Speaker 5: day played, out these two ended up playing each other

903
00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:17,080
Speaker 5: in the first. Round so Now i'm looking at it

904
00:44:17,200 --> 00:44:19,400
Speaker 5: And i'm looking to Sell brian a lot. More.

905
00:44:20,040 --> 00:44:21,239
Speaker 1: Yep but what is.

906
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:24,279
Speaker 5: Nice About brian falling to the six is THAT i

907
00:44:24,280 --> 00:44:26,240
Speaker 5: could Bet New hampshire in the first round Against. Brian

908
00:44:26,440 --> 00:44:29,120
Speaker 5: If brian ends up winning that they'll have to Play

909
00:44:29,200 --> 00:44:32,760
Speaker 5: vermont In, burlington WHICH i mean that number will be

910
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:35,080
Speaker 5: probably way too. Short they closed as a four point

911
00:44:35,160 --> 00:44:38,200
Speaker 5: underdog the last time they played In. Burlington way too.

912
00:44:38,239 --> 00:44:40,040
Speaker 5: Short that should be a double digit, spread especially with

913
00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:41,000
Speaker 5: the Way brian is trending.

914
00:44:41,320 --> 00:44:46,000
Speaker 1: Yeap what about for any first round? Angles anything there

915
00:44:46,040 --> 00:44:46,759
Speaker 1: to keep an eye.

916
00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:50,759
Speaker 5: On so another REASON i don't Like UMass lowell is

917
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:54,279
Speaker 5: BECAUSE i don't like their first round. MATCHUP i Love

918
00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:57,280
Speaker 5: maine against the spread Versus lowell in the first. Round

919
00:44:57,400 --> 00:45:00,960
Speaker 5: maine runs a very aggressive. Defense they forced a ton

920
00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:04,000
Speaker 5: of Turnovers kellen. Times their point guard is the nation

921
00:45:04,200 --> 00:45:07,120
Speaker 5: leader in steels with three point three per. Game, Meanwhile

922
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:09,399
Speaker 5: lowell is a bad ball handling. Team turned it over

923
00:45:09,560 --> 00:45:12,759
Speaker 5: fifteen times and seventeen times in two games against The

924
00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:15,400
Speaker 5: Black bears this season ended up being a two Point

925
00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:18,520
Speaker 5: lowell win and then a five Point maine win in

926
00:45:18,560 --> 00:45:20,640
Speaker 5: the second. Game Yet maine is going to be catching

927
00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:23,799
Speaker 5: around probably ten. Points SO i think this is the

928
00:45:23,800 --> 00:45:25,839
Speaker 5: one team That lowell didn't want to face in the first.

929
00:45:25,920 --> 00:45:28,400
Speaker 5: Round it's a bad matchup And maine is. COOKING i

930
00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:31,279
Speaker 5: mean they started the conference season zero to five and

931
00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:33,440
Speaker 5: then ended seven and, four so they have all the.

932
00:45:33,440 --> 00:45:36,319
Speaker 5: Momentum Chris markwood was a Great hire Love maine in that.

933
00:45:36,360 --> 00:45:39,040
Speaker 5: Spot the other ANGLE i will talk about a little

934
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:44,320
Speaker 5: DIFFERENT Unbc live Against binghamton Coach Lovel sanders For bingington

935
00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:45,960
Speaker 5: had to turn his roster over in the middle of the.

936
00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:48,760
Speaker 5: Season he stopped playing his number two, Guard john McGriff

937
00:45:48,800 --> 00:45:51,360
Speaker 5: because he was inefficient and did not fit with the

938
00:45:51,440 --> 00:45:53,960
Speaker 5: number one, Guard Jacob falco at, all and then he

939
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:56,640
Speaker 5: stopped playing his center rotation because he liked the switchability

940
00:45:56,640 --> 00:45:59,760
Speaker 5: of Having christian hinkson at the. Five so he basically

941
00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 5: started playing a six man rotation that is really reliant On.

942
00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:06,560
Speaker 5: Falco that six man rotation has blown late leads in

943
00:46:06,600 --> 00:46:10,440
Speaker 5: three straight, games including two overtime games where they're outscored

944
00:46:10,520 --> 00:46:14,160
Speaker 5: twenty to. Thirteen in those two overtime, periods the rotation

945
00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:17,360
Speaker 5: just gets. Gassed so if you GET unbc down early

946
00:46:17,600 --> 00:46:20,160
Speaker 5: or like down halftime or down, LATE i could see

947
00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:23,480
Speaker 5: playing them live and then letting them Overpower binghamton once

948
00:46:23,520 --> 00:46:25,560
Speaker 5: the batteries run, out and the late game home court

949
00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:26,839
Speaker 5: advantage Of baltimore should also.

950
00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:30,200
Speaker 1: Help good. Stuff, YEAH i do think you're Getting vermont

951
00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:33,880
Speaker 1: because they've you, know if you say they've been on

952
00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:37,560
Speaker 1: quite a role since that loss To All january, eleventh

953
00:46:37,560 --> 00:46:40,479
Speaker 1: they've won out and you're, right, like this is cheap

954
00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:45,959
Speaker 1: For vermont and the path is pretty. Favorable who would

955
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:48,799
Speaker 1: you worry About vermont facing because there is receding and

956
00:46:48,840 --> 00:46:51,040
Speaker 1: you don't know necessarily who they're going to. Face but

957
00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:52,560
Speaker 1: is there someone you would worry? About More like you're,

958
00:46:52,640 --> 00:46:54,719
Speaker 1: like as long as we avoid this, team or do

959
00:46:54,719 --> 00:46:56,440
Speaker 1: you think it's pretty cut and dry they Should they

960
00:46:56,440 --> 00:46:57,560
Speaker 1: should win this no matter who they're.

961
00:46:57,560 --> 00:46:59,680
Speaker 5: Playing it's pretty cut and. DRY i won't lie. There

962
00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:03,320
Speaker 5: they're kind of concerns against every. TEAM i would, say for,

963
00:47:03,400 --> 00:47:07,040
Speaker 5: first LIKE unbc can get hot from three at any,

964
00:47:07,040 --> 00:47:09,680
Speaker 5: time especially with the Way fairy. Plays if they shoot

965
00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:13,000
Speaker 5: the lights, Out lowell of course could overpower them in

966
00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:15,640
Speaker 5: the front. Court Even New hampshire beat them. Once the

967
00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:18,960
Speaker 5: problem Is vermont is playing the best at the right,

968
00:47:19,000 --> 00:47:22,799
Speaker 5: time and nobody else is playing their best ball right.

969
00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:24,440
Speaker 5: Now SO i think it's cut and, dry AND i

970
00:47:24,480 --> 00:47:26,400
Speaker 5: think you're Getting vermont. Cheap LIKE i think the public

971
00:47:26,400 --> 00:47:29,160
Speaker 5: procession is that Either lowell Or vermont can take, this

972
00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:31,960
Speaker 5: and only Because vermont has the home court, advantage they're

973
00:47:32,000 --> 00:47:34,160
Speaker 5: the reason they're the. Favorite, NO i think this line

974
00:47:34,200 --> 00:47:35,640
Speaker 5: is way too. SHORT i think it should be minus

975
00:47:35,680 --> 00:47:36,600
Speaker 5: three Hundred vermont or.

976
00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:41,319
Speaker 1: Higher, yeah and the home court certainly won't. Hurt you

977
00:47:41,320 --> 00:47:47,040
Speaker 1: can follow him On twitter At Tanner's. Truth that's T

978
00:47:47,160 --> 00:47:49,320
Speaker 1: A N N E R s t R u T

979
00:47:49,640 --> 00:47:53,080
Speaker 1: h good. Stuff has always enjoyed The America east action

980
00:47:53,239 --> 00:47:55,560
Speaker 1: and good luck and all Of march Brother Thanks. Doc

981
00:47:57,600 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 1: as a, reminder before we go any, further College Best

982
00:48:00,040 --> 00:48:02,319
Speaker 1: wall season is in full, swing so get in on

983
00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:05,000
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1003
00:49:04,640 --> 00:49:07,640
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1004
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1012
00:49:27,440 --> 00:49:31,640
Speaker 1: There let's move on to the. Weekend why let football

1013
00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:36,120
Speaker 1: have all the. Fun let's Bet Friday Night. Lights let's

1014
00:49:36,160 --> 00:49:39,120
Speaker 1: talk a Little friday night lights if you have. ANYTHING

1015
00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:42,719
Speaker 1: a lot of the matchups are STILL. Tbd i'll throw

1016
00:49:42,719 --> 00:49:45,520
Speaker 1: OUT ecu just as a kind of a. Look they've

1017
00:49:45,520 --> 00:49:47,960
Speaker 1: got with a lot of. Injuries small still not, playing

1018
00:49:48,360 --> 00:49:50,520
Speaker 1: but they've started to figure some things out of. Late

1019
00:49:50,680 --> 00:49:53,439
Speaker 1: they just Destroyed. Tulane how they you? Know two. DAYS

1020
00:49:53,440 --> 00:49:55,279
Speaker 1: i Think tulane's wearing. Down they're all a deep bench

1021
00:49:55,560 --> 00:49:58,440
Speaker 1: And tulane pup plays a very unique defensive. Style they

1022
00:49:58,520 --> 00:50:00,920
Speaker 1: just saw, it they just shredded, it and they're playing

1023
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:03,319
Speaker 1: two days, Later so what does that? Mean, like they

1024
00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:07,719
Speaker 1: just played AT ecu and now they're going to play At,

1025
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:12,600
Speaker 1: Tulane so what does that. Mean, well they both were

1026
00:50:12,640 --> 00:50:15,120
Speaker 1: in the same place On, wednesday and now they travel

1027
00:50:15,200 --> 00:50:18,120
Speaker 1: to the same place On, Friday so like the home

1028
00:50:18,120 --> 00:50:21,680
Speaker 1: court advantage and the travel impact is just not as.

1029
00:50:21,719 --> 00:50:24,880
Speaker 1: Great so, YEAH i THINK ecu might have some value

1030
00:50:24,920 --> 00:50:27,960
Speaker 1: here At. Tulane after just. WINNING a lot of people

1031
00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:29,600
Speaker 1: are going to, say, oh Tu lane's going to bounce back,

1032
00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 1: here but seeing that complex defense putting up eighty, THREE

1033
00:50:33,560 --> 00:50:36,799
Speaker 1: i Think tulane might be wearing down, here and they're

1034
00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:39,400
Speaker 1: not a really deep. Team SO i THINK ecu might

1035
00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:41,920
Speaker 1: have some value. HERE bj anything catch your eye or

1036
00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:45,840
Speaker 1: you have circled potentially For. Friday how About Northern iowa Against.

1037
00:50:45,880 --> 00:50:48,080
Speaker 1: Bradley You Northern iowa just Beating Illinois state in the

1038
00:50:48,120 --> 00:50:52,239
Speaker 1: first round here of Arch. Madness bradley's on this crazy.

1039
00:50:51,920 --> 00:50:54,520
Speaker 4: Win streak right. Now we're up to what ten game

1040
00:50:54,560 --> 00:50:55,000
Speaker 4: win streak.

1041
00:50:55,080 --> 00:50:57,759
Speaker 3: Here the last time these two teams faced off And

1042
00:50:57,840 --> 00:51:00,600
Speaker 3: cedar Falls bradley shot sixteen of twenty six from behind the,

1043
00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:04,719
Speaker 3: Arc So bradley's eventually Gonna you, know it's team that's

1044
00:51:04,719 --> 00:51:06,640
Speaker 3: obviously played very well at home this, season not very

1045
00:51:06,680 --> 00:51:06,960
Speaker 3: well on the.

1046
00:51:07,040 --> 00:51:09,400
Speaker 4: Roads now we're on a neutral. Floor could be a good.

1047
00:51:09,440 --> 00:51:11,879
Speaker 3: Time AND i also like in these tournaments the team

1048
00:51:11,960 --> 00:51:15,600
Speaker 3: that's already played one game catching. Them a team that

1049
00:51:15,640 --> 00:51:17,359
Speaker 3: hasn't played yet could come out with a little bit

1050
00:51:17,360 --> 00:51:20,040
Speaker 3: of rust in the first few minutes, here and you got.

1051
00:51:20,000 --> 00:51:22,640
Speaker 1: Some gym, familiarity rim familiarity.

1052
00:51:22,880 --> 00:51:25,400
Speaker 4: Exactly so, yeah give me The.

1053
00:51:25,480 --> 00:51:28,279
Speaker 3: Panthers it looks like Ken palm as it as at.

1054
00:51:28,360 --> 00:51:33,080
Speaker 3: Ten So i'll take The panthers. Anything double Digits Northern iowa,

1055
00:51:33,200 --> 00:51:34,480
Speaker 3: today easy.

1056
00:51:34,600 --> 00:51:38,360
Speaker 1: Win the only thing is that they give up a

1057
00:51:38,480 --> 00:51:41,480
Speaker 1: ton of, threes so if they're, falling they could get

1058
00:51:41,520 --> 00:51:44,400
Speaker 1: blown out For, Bradley BUT i don't hate. THAT i

1059
00:51:44,520 --> 00:51:48,160
Speaker 1: have it circled as, Well Mike anything For. Friday, YEAH

1060
00:51:48,200 --> 00:51:48,560
Speaker 1: i Like.

1061
00:51:48,760 --> 00:51:51,520
Speaker 2: New mexico Against Colorado. STATE i know they got to

1062
00:51:51,520 --> 00:51:52,560
Speaker 2: play on the, road but.

1063
00:51:52,680 --> 00:51:53,480
Speaker 1: It's just not the same.

1064
00:51:53,560 --> 00:51:56,839
Speaker 2: Team Nico medved's team really just kind of fell off

1065
00:51:56,840 --> 00:51:58,759
Speaker 2: a cliff this. Year he's he did a great job

1066
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:01,160
Speaker 2: in program, building working his way up through the mid major,

1067
00:52:01,239 --> 00:52:04,840
Speaker 2: ranks gets To Colorado. State last year's, TEAM i was

1068
00:52:04,880 --> 00:52:07,600
Speaker 2: really disappointed they started well Against michigan in the tournament

1069
00:52:07,600 --> 00:52:09,759
Speaker 2: and then kind of fell. Apart it JUST i loved

1070
00:52:09,800 --> 00:52:12,200
Speaker 2: what they had With David, roddy but all the pressures

1071
00:52:12,239 --> 00:52:15,399
Speaker 2: now On Isaiah. Stevens if he's not, special they can't

1072
00:52:15,520 --> 00:52:18,520
Speaker 2: cover against. Anybody So i'm going to go ahead and

1073
00:52:18,680 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 2: lay probably up to four in this. GAME i also

1074
00:52:21,080 --> 00:52:24,000
Speaker 2: Think Jamal mashburn juniors do for a bounce. Back he's

1075
00:52:24,160 --> 00:52:26,400
Speaker 2: SHOT i want to, say twenty eight percent across his

1076
00:52:26,520 --> 00:52:29,360
Speaker 2: last three. Games he is such a key part of

1077
00:52:29,440 --> 00:52:33,200
Speaker 2: their offense AT Cog he's one of the few, remaining you,

1078
00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:35,800
Speaker 2: know mid range jumper players in all of college. Basketball

1079
00:52:35,920 --> 00:52:37,759
Speaker 2: SO i like the spot. There and then from a

1080
00:52:37,800 --> 00:52:40,640
Speaker 2: strategy perspective as, well the mount And West conference, tournament

1081
00:52:40,880 --> 00:52:42,960
Speaker 2: you want to get that buy and you got to

1082
00:52:42,960 --> 00:52:45,560
Speaker 2: get to the fifth. Seed and right Now San Jose

1083
00:52:45,719 --> 00:52:47,960
Speaker 2: state is up a game on, them but they beat them.

1084
00:52:48,040 --> 00:52:50,319
Speaker 2: Twice so if they can win this and Then San

1085
00:52:50,400 --> 00:52:53,080
Speaker 2: Jose state loses on the road at Air force in

1086
00:52:53,160 --> 00:52:55,480
Speaker 2: the season, finale they're going to get that. Buy they're

1087
00:52:55,480 --> 00:52:57,239
Speaker 2: going to have to win the conference tournament to Make

1088
00:52:57,440 --> 00:53:00,680
Speaker 2: March madness at this, point so you, know not the

1089
00:53:00,760 --> 00:53:02,800
Speaker 2: wear and tear on your. Body it's not necessarily that

1090
00:53:02,840 --> 00:53:04,799
Speaker 2: they can't win that first, game BUT i don't want

1091
00:53:04,840 --> 00:53:06,560
Speaker 2: to see them have to string it all together all

1092
00:53:06,640 --> 00:53:09,400
Speaker 2: in four days or. Whatever it, is so a lot

1093
00:53:09,480 --> 00:53:11,759
Speaker 2: of value For New. MEXICO i, thing go ahead and

1094
00:53:11,800 --> 00:53:12,640
Speaker 2: win this basketball.

1095
00:53:12,680 --> 00:53:16,000
Speaker 1: Game, Yeah i'm really excited to Talk Mountain. West they

1096
00:53:16,040 --> 00:53:18,200
Speaker 1: they'll be doing that With gym On. Sunday it's gonna

1097
00:53:18,239 --> 00:53:19,759
Speaker 1: be a Fast you can't wait to see what the,

1098
00:53:19,840 --> 00:53:22,759
Speaker 1: bracket the seatings end up. Being gonna be a fascinating

1099
00:53:23,320 --> 00:53:25,839
Speaker 1: conference tournament to break. Down can't wait to lose more

1100
00:53:25,880 --> 00:53:28,200
Speaker 1: money On. Fresno all, right let's move on To, Saturday,

1101
00:53:28,920 --> 00:53:35,640
Speaker 1: Satay Saturday. DAY a couple of. Spots we'll just do

1102
00:53:35,880 --> 00:53:38,279
Speaker 1: two or three. Each if you only have one, two that's.

1103
00:53:38,320 --> 00:53:43,640
Speaker 1: FINE i mentioned earlier To TEXAS a AND m similarly

1104
00:53:44,440 --> 00:53:48,200
Speaker 1: pointing at, Rings ring here pointing at, Rings kansas pointing

1105
00:53:48,280 --> 00:53:51,120
Speaker 1: at rings the other. Day the one Thing i'm still

1106
00:53:51,160 --> 00:53:53,480
Speaker 1: worried about them is their. Depth AND i thought that

1107
00:53:53,520 --> 00:53:56,040
Speaker 1: they were starting the. Show there's no depth. DOWN i

1108
00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:58,960
Speaker 1: mean it Gets Texas. Tech let's, see, yes if you

1109
00:53:59,040 --> 00:54:01,960
Speaker 1: played nine minutes and that's. It everyone else basically played

1110
00:54:02,200 --> 00:54:04,680
Speaker 1: the entire. Game and, look they've been in close. Games

1111
00:54:04,719 --> 00:54:08,960
Speaker 1: they've been overvalued FOR i think about the last three,

1112
00:54:09,040 --> 00:54:11,840
Speaker 1: games you, Know West. Virginia they barely hold On Texas.

1113
00:54:11,920 --> 00:54:14,600
Speaker 1: Tech these were exhausting games And i'm a bit worried

1114
00:54:14,600 --> 00:54:17,080
Speaker 1: about their. Depth they go To, texas who has revenge

1115
00:54:17,520 --> 00:54:20,000
Speaker 1: coming off the. LOSS i like the matchup For texas.

1116
00:54:20,080 --> 00:54:24,439
Speaker 1: Here they've been dynamite at. HOME i Think texas gets

1117
00:54:24,480 --> 00:54:27,359
Speaker 1: this win should be a, yeah it should be a short.

1118
00:54:27,400 --> 00:54:29,800
Speaker 1: Spread they're off two losses on the road To baylor AND,

1119
00:54:29,880 --> 00:54:34,920
Speaker 1: tcu AND i Think texas ends the year for the

1120
00:54:35,000 --> 00:54:39,279
Speaker 1: regular season with a victory Over. Kansas mike mewthroat, you

1121
00:54:39,360 --> 00:54:40,800
Speaker 1: what do you have circled For?

1122
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:43,839
Speaker 2: Saturday quick shout out to one of our, Listeners David.

1123
00:54:43,880 --> 00:54:46,080
Speaker 2: SIMPSON i was talking to him last night AND i was,

1124
00:54:46,120 --> 00:54:47,239
Speaker 2: like you, Know i'm going to go ahead and play.

1125
00:54:47,280 --> 00:54:49,920
Speaker 2: Pitt i'm going on this rant about how underrated they,

1126
00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:52,040
Speaker 2: are and he, goes hold, on is This Mike bray's

1127
00:54:52,239 --> 00:54:54,520
Speaker 2: last home game As Notre dame's head, coach AND i was,

1128
00:54:54,600 --> 00:54:56,840
Speaker 2: like right you, Are SO i flipped that around and

1129
00:54:56,920 --> 00:54:59,680
Speaker 2: Went Notre dame money. Line now out of a trap,

1130
00:54:59,760 --> 00:55:02,239
Speaker 2: game my trap loss for Pitt i'm going to play

1131
00:55:02,320 --> 00:55:05,239
Speaker 2: them On saturday Against miami with a chance to at

1132
00:55:05,360 --> 00:55:08,640
Speaker 2: least share THE acc regular season. CROWN i still think they're.

1133
00:55:08,680 --> 00:55:11,320
Speaker 2: Undervalued you're probably gonna get points in the. Spot So

1134
00:55:11,360 --> 00:55:13,320
Speaker 2: i'm gonna go with The, Panthers and just from a

1135
00:55:13,400 --> 00:55:16,320
Speaker 2: pure situational narrative, structure that's Why i'm on The.

1136
00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:18,640
Speaker 4: Panthers Nati jaack is questionable too For.

1137
00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:20,480
Speaker 1: Mia that's. Major let's.

1138
00:55:20,520 --> 00:55:23,759
Speaker 3: Go i'm gonna Go villanova at home Against. Connecticut you,

1139
00:55:23,800 --> 00:55:26,080
Speaker 3: Know connecticut's red hot right, now just when we want

1140
00:55:26,120 --> 00:55:28,439
Speaker 3: them to. Be they'd Beat To paul by twenty. Nine they're,

1141
00:55:28,520 --> 00:55:30,600
Speaker 3: Up they're up forty two to eight at one point

1142
00:55:30,680 --> 00:55:34,960
Speaker 3: Against De paul On. Wednesday But villanova's starting to catch

1143
00:55:35,040 --> 00:55:36,879
Speaker 3: fire as. WELL i, mean they won their last three.

1144
00:55:36,920 --> 00:55:39,120
Speaker 3: Games they've Beaten xavier and Both creighton in those three.

1145
00:55:39,160 --> 00:55:43,319
Speaker 3: Games connecticut won the previous meeting In, stores But villanova

1146
00:55:43,520 --> 00:55:45,200
Speaker 3: did lead at one point in the second, half and

1147
00:55:45,280 --> 00:55:47,520
Speaker 3: they had a pretty offshooting, night going only five for

1148
00:55:47,600 --> 00:55:50,040
Speaker 3: twenty two from behind the. Arc they did do one

1149
00:55:50,080 --> 00:55:52,200
Speaker 3: thing incredibly well in that game is they Kept yukon

1150
00:55:52,440 --> 00:55:54,400
Speaker 3: off the offensive glass and allowed it you kind of

1151
00:55:54,440 --> 00:55:58,200
Speaker 3: get eight offensive. Rebounds connecticut's the number one offensive rebounding

1152
00:55:58,239 --> 00:56:01,160
Speaker 3: team in the. Country villanova during conference play is second

1153
00:56:01,160 --> 00:56:03,320
Speaker 3: and defensive rebound, percentage so it wasn't like this fluky

1154
00:56:03,400 --> 00:56:05,720
Speaker 3: game that Where connecticut couldn't grab any offensive.

1155
00:56:05,760 --> 00:56:08,280
Speaker 4: Rebounds yukon is a high volume three point shooting.

1156
00:56:08,360 --> 00:56:10,520
Speaker 3: Team they're third in The Big east and three point,

1157
00:56:10,640 --> 00:56:13,759
Speaker 3: rate but more specifically catch and shoot three pointers their

1158
00:56:13,840 --> 00:56:16,919
Speaker 3: top twenty five efficiency team in. Those villanova's the number

1159
00:56:16,920 --> 00:56:18,920
Speaker 3: one team in the conference in defending catch and shoot three.

1160
00:56:18,960 --> 00:56:21,120
Speaker 3: Pointers it's going to be difficult For villanova to get

1161
00:56:21,120 --> 00:56:22,799
Speaker 3: open looks in the. Skin they're obviously a very high

1162
00:56:22,800 --> 00:56:27,319
Speaker 3: three point shooting team as. Well yukon is outstanding at

1163
00:56:27,320 --> 00:56:29,840
Speaker 3: defending three point. Line they're along the the fourth lowest

1164
00:56:29,960 --> 00:56:33,560
Speaker 3: three point rate in the entire, country But villanova does

1165
00:56:33,640 --> 00:56:35,120
Speaker 3: get to the free throw line at the third highest

1166
00:56:35,200 --> 00:56:37,480
Speaker 3: rate in The biggest in their shooting the highest free

1167
00:56:38,040 --> 00:56:40,799
Speaker 3: throw percentage in the entire country at eighty three point two.

1168
00:56:40,880 --> 00:56:44,279
Speaker 3: Percent yukon is three hundred and thirty seconds in the

1169
00:56:44,400 --> 00:56:46,880
Speaker 3: nation in free throw rate. Allowed this is also a

1170
00:56:46,920 --> 00:56:49,680
Speaker 3: situation where the biggest, tournament the top five seeds get a,

1171
00:56:49,760 --> 00:56:53,359
Speaker 3: buy Which yukon has already locked up the fifth, seed

1172
00:56:53,440 --> 00:56:54,960
Speaker 3: and they could play their way up to the. Fourth

1173
00:56:55,880 --> 00:56:57,719
Speaker 3: probably not gonna play with the third Because creighton is

1174
00:56:57,760 --> 00:56:59,680
Speaker 3: playing To paul and they're most likely going to beat.

1175
00:56:59,719 --> 00:57:03,480
Speaker 3: Them Ken palm has it At connecticut minus, Five So

1176
00:57:03,560 --> 00:57:06,560
Speaker 3: i'll Take villanova pretty much anything plus the points.

1177
00:57:06,600 --> 00:57:08,799
Speaker 1: Here, yeah if you look back For villanova And Justin,

1178
00:57:08,840 --> 00:57:10,320
Speaker 1: moore by the, way he's like fully integrated on the

1179
00:57:10,360 --> 00:57:12,600
Speaker 1: offense now he's their best on ball defender as, well

1180
00:57:12,800 --> 00:57:15,120
Speaker 1: and he's been great offensively the last couple of. Days

1181
00:57:15,160 --> 00:57:17,080
Speaker 1: he's the last couple of, GAMES i should say he's

1182
00:57:17,200 --> 00:57:19,480
Speaker 1: shaken off all of the Russ if you looked back

1183
00:57:19,520 --> 00:57:21,560
Speaker 1: since a bad they lost three straight To, Xavier De

1184
00:57:21,640 --> 00:57:25,480
Speaker 1: paul And butler kind of bottomed. Out then they've gone

1185
00:57:26,320 --> 00:57:29,880
Speaker 1: eight and four since with wins that just mentioned Over Seaton, Hall,

1186
00:57:30,040 --> 00:57:32,959
Speaker 1: creighton And xavier in the last three actually Swept Seaton.

1187
00:57:33,000 --> 00:57:35,040
Speaker 1: Hall they lost The providence At. Providence they led in

1188
00:57:35,120 --> 00:57:37,000
Speaker 1: the second half in that. Game kind Of, yeah they

1189
00:57:37,080 --> 00:57:39,840
Speaker 1: lost At creighton by. Five game was a coin flip.

1190
00:57:39,960 --> 00:57:42,000
Speaker 1: Late they lost At, marquette they led in the second,

1191
00:57:42,120 --> 00:57:44,080
Speaker 1: fa they lost at. Home The providence game was a

1192
00:57:44,120 --> 00:57:46,040
Speaker 1: coin flip of a minute to, go like they've been

1193
00:57:46,080 --> 00:57:49,960
Speaker 1: in every single game over the last Twelve and, yeah

1194
00:57:49,960 --> 00:57:52,280
Speaker 1: they're playing really. WELL i fascinated to see what those

1195
00:57:52,320 --> 00:57:55,720
Speaker 1: future odds end up settling For villanova in The Big East,

1196
00:57:55,720 --> 00:57:57,440
Speaker 1: tournament and they're gonna to go through a. Gauntlet they're

1197
00:57:57,440 --> 00:57:59,040
Speaker 1: probably gonna be no. Value might be a good money

1198
00:57:59,080 --> 00:58:02,280
Speaker 1: line rollover candidate another. Spot i'm gonna. Go i'm gonna

1199
00:58:02,280 --> 00:58:05,840
Speaker 1: Go Ohio. STATE i keep Riding Ohio. State here they're

1200
00:58:05,920 --> 00:58:09,280
Speaker 1: At Michigan state that senior day For Michigan. STATE i,

1201
00:58:09,440 --> 00:58:12,680
Speaker 1: KNOW i get, it that kid working against some, teams

1202
00:58:13,160 --> 00:58:15,960
Speaker 1: they come out a little, nervous trying too. Much Ohio

1203
00:58:16,040 --> 00:58:19,640
Speaker 1: state got embarrassed at. Home but if you Against Michigan

1204
00:58:19,680 --> 00:58:22,720
Speaker 1: state a couple of weeks, ago but they've started to

1205
00:58:22,760 --> 00:58:26,480
Speaker 1: figure that some things out rotation wise post Z key

1206
00:58:27,160 --> 00:58:30,120
Speaker 1: and if you look at that game and advanced box

1207
00:58:30,160 --> 00:58:34,880
Speaker 1: score game grades was basically graded as even And Ohio

1208
00:58:34,960 --> 00:58:38,600
Speaker 1: state shot six of twenty nine from. THREE i think

1209
00:58:38,600 --> 00:58:41,000
Speaker 1: we're gonna get some value in The buckeyes keep riding

1210
00:58:41,000 --> 00:58:42,480
Speaker 1: the hot, Hand mike anything.

1211
00:58:42,520 --> 00:58:44,880
Speaker 2: Else it depends what number you get on the. Total

1212
00:58:44,960 --> 00:58:47,440
Speaker 2: but the last TIME ucla In arizona hooked, UP i

1213
00:58:47,640 --> 00:58:50,040
Speaker 2: want to say they finished fifty eight to fifty Two

1214
00:58:50,320 --> 00:58:52,800
Speaker 2: ucla or maybe it Was arizona in that, game but

1215
00:58:52,840 --> 00:58:55,160
Speaker 2: one hundred and ten. Points it went under the total by.

1216
00:58:55,360 --> 00:58:59,440
Speaker 2: Thirty so if it's south of, like let's say one forty,

1217
00:58:59,560 --> 00:59:02,360
Speaker 2: NINE i like the over. HERE i think the fact

1218
00:59:02,480 --> 00:59:06,240
Speaker 2: Is arizona may not be my favorite team from a national,

1219
00:59:06,320 --> 00:59:08,320
Speaker 2: perspective BUT i don't think they're going to go down

1220
00:59:08,360 --> 00:59:11,400
Speaker 2: without a. Fight the look aheadline for this is something

1221
00:59:11,520 --> 00:59:13,960
Speaker 2: like six or. SEVEN i think that's a little too.

1222
00:59:14,040 --> 00:59:15,520
Speaker 2: Much BUT i do think they're going to be CHASING

1223
00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:19,160
Speaker 2: ucla in this, Game SO i like for both of

1224
00:59:19,200 --> 00:59:21,880
Speaker 2: them to, play you, know in the high seventies eighties

1225
00:59:22,000 --> 00:59:24,120
Speaker 2: as opposed to another rock. FIGHT i don't think they're

1226
00:59:24,120 --> 00:59:26,440
Speaker 2: going to let that happen for the second straight time AGAINST.

1227
00:59:26,560 --> 00:59:30,760
Speaker 2: Ucla from a you, know conference championship, perspective it's already.

1228
00:59:30,760 --> 00:59:32,720
Speaker 2: DONE ucla has it wrapped up points of the, ring

1229
00:59:32,920 --> 00:59:36,200
Speaker 2: but they need to win this to stay remain however

1230
00:59:36,240 --> 00:59:38,840
Speaker 2: you want to see. It on the one, line it's

1231
00:59:38,920 --> 00:59:42,280
Speaker 2: clearly important To. Cronin he's talked about the seating from

1232
00:59:42,360 --> 00:59:45,000
Speaker 2: the very first reveal. Show it's something they're talking about

1233
00:59:45,040 --> 00:59:46,400
Speaker 2: in their locker. Room you're going to see a great

1234
00:59:46,440 --> 00:59:49,200
Speaker 2: effort FROM. Ucla BUT i Think arizona it's in the same.

1235
00:59:49,240 --> 00:59:52,200
Speaker 2: Thing it's like this is for national reputation and for

1236
00:59:52,320 --> 00:59:53,960
Speaker 2: seeding for them as. Well you, know you don't want

1237
00:59:54,000 --> 00:59:55,440
Speaker 2: to slide all the way back to the three or

1238
00:59:55,480 --> 00:59:58,400
Speaker 2: four with the weekend of the season That fluky Lost

1239
00:59:58,440 --> 01:00:01,440
Speaker 2: arizona on the three quarter court. Shot SO i think

1240
01:00:01,440 --> 01:00:03,520
Speaker 2: you're gonna See arizona play, fast score a lot of,

1241
01:00:03,520 --> 01:00:05,080
Speaker 2: points probably give up a lot of points on their.

1242
01:00:05,120 --> 01:00:05,280
Speaker 5: Own.

1243
01:00:05,640 --> 01:00:08,080
Speaker 4: Beija i'll Go stanford on the road To.

1244
01:00:08,160 --> 01:00:11,320
Speaker 3: Oregon TYPICALLY i don't like playing, these you, know back

1245
01:00:11,360 --> 01:00:13,280
Speaker 3: to back road trips in The pac twelve On Thursday,

1246
01:00:13,320 --> 01:00:14,840
Speaker 3: saturday but it is a short road trip up To

1247
01:00:14,880 --> 01:00:17,880
Speaker 3: oregon to play the Two oregon. Schools stanford has been

1248
01:00:18,200 --> 01:00:20,919
Speaker 3: the one of the unluckiest teams in college. Basketball they're

1249
01:00:21,000 --> 01:00:24,560
Speaker 3: three hundred and sixtieth In Ken palm's luck. Ratings shot

1250
01:00:24,680 --> 01:00:27,760
Speaker 3: quality record is seventeen to, two with their actual record

1251
01:00:27,840 --> 01:00:28,600
Speaker 3: right now is twelve and.

1252
01:00:28,680 --> 01:00:32,400
Speaker 4: Seventeen they're sub michioning game theory playing on.

1253
01:00:32,520 --> 01:00:35,560
Speaker 3: Here with regards to THE pac twelve, tournament so top

1254
01:00:35,600 --> 01:00:38,439
Speaker 3: four season The backpack twelve tournament yet, Byes Arizona state

1255
01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:42,520
Speaker 3: is currently sitting in, fourth one game Above. Oregon Arizona

1256
01:00:42,560 --> 01:00:46,360
Speaker 3: state is PLAYING ucla On thursday. Night oregon is hosting,

1257
01:00:46,440 --> 01:00:49,240
Speaker 3: cows so we're obvious we're recording this On thursday. Afternoon

1258
01:00:49,280 --> 01:00:50,960
Speaker 3: i'd assume they're probably going to be tied when we

1259
01:00:51,000 --> 01:00:53,760
Speaker 3: get To. Saturday Then Arizona state has to go travel

1260
01:00:53,800 --> 01:00:55,040
Speaker 3: to usc where.

1261
01:00:54,840 --> 01:00:56,560
Speaker 4: They'll be an underdog as, well and they play later

1262
01:00:56,600 --> 01:00:56,720
Speaker 4: in the.

1263
01:00:56,800 --> 01:00:59,360
Speaker 3: Night So oregon is going to Play stanford at four

1264
01:00:59,400 --> 01:01:02,160
Speaker 3: Pm eastern think On, saturday so there won't be any

1265
01:01:02,240 --> 01:01:03,840
Speaker 3: like we need to. Win they're gonna have to try

1266
01:01:03,840 --> 01:01:05,560
Speaker 3: to win, this BUT i think you're gonna get an

1267
01:01:05,600 --> 01:01:07,960
Speaker 3: inflated line On oregon who needs to. Win, Well stanford's

1268
01:01:07,960 --> 01:01:09,760
Speaker 3: gonna have to play in the first. ROUND i think

1269
01:01:09,760 --> 01:01:11,400
Speaker 3: it's a pretty good match up here For. Stanford The

1270
01:01:11,480 --> 01:01:13,840
Speaker 3: ducks have not been good defensively at all during conference.

1271
01:01:13,880 --> 01:01:16,720
Speaker 3: Play their ninth and just a defensive. Efficiency their biggest

1272
01:01:16,760 --> 01:01:19,240
Speaker 3: weakness is they cannot defend the three point. Arc they're

1273
01:01:19,280 --> 01:01:21,040
Speaker 3: second to last in the conference the three point field

1274
01:01:21,040 --> 01:01:23,760
Speaker 3: gol percentage. Allowed stanford second in the first in The

1275
01:01:23,800 --> 01:01:26,160
Speaker 3: pac twelve in three point field goal, percentage and they

1276
01:01:26,240 --> 01:01:26,800
Speaker 3: take threes at.

1277
01:01:26,720 --> 01:01:28,600
Speaker 4: A pretty high. Rate they're around forty percent three point.

1278
01:01:28,680 --> 01:01:31,280
Speaker 3: Rate stanford also a top one hundred frequency team in

1279
01:01:31,360 --> 01:01:33,800
Speaker 3: terms of post, upsets which an area That oregon has

1280
01:01:33,840 --> 01:01:36,280
Speaker 3: struggled to defend this. Season they're ninth in The pac

1281
01:01:36,320 --> 01:01:39,640
Speaker 3: twelve in points for possessional allowed off those posts, upsets

1282
01:01:39,920 --> 01:01:42,200
Speaker 3: And oregon is a very good. Offense they're very efficient

1283
01:01:42,240 --> 01:01:44,160
Speaker 3: at scoring down. Low but in the previous meeting With,

1284
01:01:44,200 --> 01:01:47,840
Speaker 3: stanford Which stanford, Won oregon shot just forty three percent

1285
01:01:47,880 --> 01:01:50,320
Speaker 3: from inside the, arc only fourteen points at the, rim

1286
01:01:50,720 --> 01:01:53,120
Speaker 3: And stanford forced them into thirty shots from behind the,

1287
01:01:53,200 --> 01:01:57,080
Speaker 3: arc which is Anario oregon has struggled. Offensively SO i

1288
01:01:57,160 --> 01:01:59,320
Speaker 3: think this is a pretty decent match up here For.

1289
01:01:59,400 --> 01:02:01,760
Speaker 3: STANFORD i think maybe we'll get an inflated lot In.

1290
01:02:01,840 --> 01:02:04,560
Speaker 3: Oregon we see this typically towards the end of the regular,

1291
01:02:04,560 --> 01:02:06,880
Speaker 3: season with teams that need to win and teams that

1292
01:02:07,160 --> 01:02:09,440
Speaker 3: you know a winner loss doesn't really affect their their

1293
01:02:09,480 --> 01:02:12,280
Speaker 3: seeding in the conference. Tournament so Ken pom has this

1294
01:02:12,360 --> 01:02:15,560
Speaker 3: At oregon minus. Seven So i'll Play stanford anything plus

1295
01:02:15,640 --> 01:02:15,960
Speaker 3: seven or.

1296
01:02:16,000 --> 01:02:16,160
Speaker 5: Better.

1297
01:02:16,520 --> 01:02:18,960
Speaker 1: Yeah that they just those players just can't Get it's

1298
01:02:18,960 --> 01:02:22,360
Speaker 1: a very complex defense to almon, runs and they just

1299
01:02:22,520 --> 01:02:25,800
Speaker 1: can't seem to get. It and they'll. Run play a

1300
01:02:25,840 --> 01:02:28,320
Speaker 1: lot of zone and mixing a lot of zone even inter,

1301
01:02:28,440 --> 01:02:31,000
Speaker 1: possession And stanford has been pretty good against zones this.

1302
01:02:31,120 --> 01:02:34,800
Speaker 1: Year one last, One i'll throw Out West virginia at

1303
01:02:34,880 --> 01:02:37,560
Speaker 1: home Against Kansas. STATE i Think West virginia is in

1304
01:02:37,640 --> 01:02:39,960
Speaker 1: the field as they should, be But i'm going To

1305
01:02:40,240 --> 01:02:42,480
Speaker 1: they're nineteenth On. KEMPOM i have them as a top

1306
01:02:42,560 --> 01:02:45,040
Speaker 1: twenty five power rated. Team but if they lose this,

1307
01:02:45,160 --> 01:02:48,680
Speaker 1: game they're gonna be six and twelve in the. Conference

1308
01:02:49,480 --> 01:02:52,080
Speaker 1: it doesn't look. Great and then if you yeah, So

1309
01:02:52,960 --> 01:02:54,720
Speaker 1: BUT i think this is a great spot for them

1310
01:02:55,040 --> 01:02:57,880
Speaker 1: here at home Against Kansas, state WHO i think they

1311
01:02:57,960 --> 01:03:00,560
Speaker 1: match up really well. With AND i Think Kansas state's

1312
01:03:00,600 --> 01:03:03,800
Speaker 1: probably at the peak of its value right. Now you,

1313
01:03:03,840 --> 01:03:06,080
Speaker 1: know they've won three they won four, straight three of

1314
01:03:06,120 --> 01:03:07,960
Speaker 1: them came at. Home they've been amazing at home this.

1315
01:03:08,040 --> 01:03:11,760
Speaker 1: Year they other one came against just plummeting in free

1316
01:03:11,840 --> 01:03:14,120
Speaker 1: Fall Oklahoma state team and actually greater that as An

1317
01:03:14,120 --> 01:03:17,640
Speaker 1: Oklahoma state. Win Kansas state has been pretty lucky from

1318
01:03:18,000 --> 01:03:23,120
Speaker 1: a shot quality, perspective both from three on offense and

1319
01:03:23,360 --> 01:03:26,120
Speaker 1: guarding the three on. Defense but it's just a good

1320
01:03:26,160 --> 01:03:28,400
Speaker 1: match up For western no. ONE i, Mean kansasate has

1321
01:03:28,440 --> 01:03:31,280
Speaker 1: been dominant at home this. Year western should have beat

1322
01:03:31,320 --> 01:03:34,520
Speaker 1: them at home earlier this, season and they weren't even

1323
01:03:34,600 --> 01:03:37,600
Speaker 1: playing nearly as well as ther right. Now their rotations

1324
01:03:37,680 --> 01:03:39,680
Speaker 1: kind of more refined right. Now in that, Game West

1325
01:03:39,720 --> 01:03:41,200
Speaker 1: VIRGINIA i think led by fourteen to one. Point they

1326
01:03:41,240 --> 01:03:43,520
Speaker 1: ended up losing in. Overtime think they shot twenty of

1327
01:03:43,640 --> 01:03:46,840
Speaker 1: thirty eight from the free throw. Line they missed eighteen free.

1328
01:03:46,880 --> 01:03:49,440
Speaker 1: Throws and this is A West virginia team that's shooting

1329
01:03:49,720 --> 01:03:51,080
Speaker 1: pretty good from the. LINE i think they are like

1330
01:03:51,160 --> 01:03:53,440
Speaker 1: seventy five. Percent so why is this a pretty good?

1331
01:03:53,440 --> 01:03:55,240
Speaker 1: Matchup it's a good. SPOT i think it's a good

1332
01:03:55,280 --> 01:03:58,280
Speaker 1: sell high spot Of Kansas, State But Kansas state will

1333
01:03:58,360 --> 01:04:02,040
Speaker 1: turn it. Over that's good For. Virginia West Kansas state

1334
01:04:02,120 --> 01:04:06,840
Speaker 1: will Value that's Basically West Virginia's western is two primary

1335
01:04:07,360 --> 01:04:09,800
Speaker 1: avenues of. Offense you, know if they're turning you over

1336
01:04:09,840 --> 01:04:11,760
Speaker 1: and then get some easy. Buckets that's that's. ONCE i

1337
01:04:11,760 --> 01:04:14,400
Speaker 1: guess you're just say. Three but they're two main areas

1338
01:04:14,680 --> 01:04:17,440
Speaker 1: where they get. Offense they get to the line at

1339
01:04:17,480 --> 01:04:20,600
Speaker 1: a top fifteen rate, nationally While Kansas state's their defense

1340
01:04:20,640 --> 01:04:23,640
Speaker 1: two hundred and ninety fifth in that. Category and Then

1341
01:04:24,120 --> 01:04:27,440
Speaker 1: westerrginia dominates the offensive glass twenty six nationally and offensive rebound.

1342
01:04:27,680 --> 01:04:30,960
Speaker 1: Percentage you can offensive rebound Against Kansas. State SO i

1343
01:04:31,000 --> 01:04:32,720
Speaker 1: think this is a pretty good matchup for Wes, virginia

1344
01:04:32,720 --> 01:04:35,520
Speaker 1: a pretty good. Spot give me the ears at home

1345
01:04:36,000 --> 01:04:38,040
Speaker 1: to close out the, air to officially get a, win

1346
01:04:38,920 --> 01:04:41,680
Speaker 1: officially punch their ticket to the. Dance all, right good.

1347
01:04:41,720 --> 01:04:44,960
Speaker 1: Stuff thanks To, Tanner thanks as always To mike AND

1348
01:04:45,040 --> 01:04:47,520
Speaker 1: bj for joining. Me thanks to our audio and video

1349
01:04:47,520 --> 01:04:48,960
Speaker 1: teams in the back end and don't get enough credit

1350
01:04:49,160 --> 01:04:53,280
Speaker 1: do amazing. Work and of course thanks to all of

1351
01:04:53,360 --> 01:04:57,240
Speaker 1: you for. Listening OH i think we have To WELL

1352
01:04:57,280 --> 01:04:59,040
Speaker 1: i didn't get it ahead of. Time you still have

1353
01:04:59,120 --> 01:05:02,160
Speaker 1: time to leave a, review five star, review the best.

1354
01:05:02,240 --> 01:05:04,200
Speaker 1: One we'll pick it on The monday. Episode i'll get

1355
01:05:04,240 --> 01:05:06,440
Speaker 1: our producer to send me them and then we'll pick

1356
01:05:06,520 --> 01:05:09,400
Speaker 1: one On, monday and then you will be joining us

1357
01:05:09,520 --> 01:05:12,560
Speaker 1: in our future's, portfolio so you'll if one of them,

1358
01:05:12,640 --> 01:05:15,960
Speaker 1: hits you will get the one fifth of the net.

1359
01:05:16,040 --> 01:05:19,480
Speaker 1: Profit so make sure you leave a. Review subscribe On, subscribe,

1360
01:05:19,480 --> 01:05:21,800
Speaker 1: Subscribe tell a, friend tell on, me appreciate you, Listening

1361
01:05:22,120 --> 01:05:25,439
Speaker 1: enjoy the, Madness Enjoy march Pig bets on Campus Live saturday, morning,

1362
01:05:25,520 --> 01:05:28,160
Speaker 1: myself three Man. Weave we'll Preview saturday's card and then

1363
01:05:28,440 --> 01:05:31,840
Speaker 1: you're just going to get on a conference tournament previews

1364
01:05:32,000 --> 01:05:35,640
Speaker 1: content early next. Week we will have four episodes all

1365
01:05:35,720 --> 01:05:39,640
Speaker 1: out By monday, morning PREVIEWING i think fifteen or sixteen

1366
01:05:40,240 --> 01:05:43,600
Speaker 1: conference tournaments that kick off next. Week it's the best

1367
01:05:43,640 --> 01:05:45,240
Speaker 1: time of the. Year good luck on all of your.

1368
01:05:45,280 --> 01:05:47,200
Speaker 1: Wagers we'll catch y'all On.

1369
01:05:47,760 --> 01:06:02,560
Speaker 4: Monday Cheersiction network reminds you please gamble.

1370
01:06:02,640 --> 01:06:06,120
Speaker 1: Responsibly if you or someone you care about has a gambling,

1371
01:06:06,160 --> 01:06:09,280
Speaker 1: problem help is available twenty four to seven at one

1372
01:06:09,360 --> 01:06:10,320
Speaker 1: eight Hundred gambler