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Speaker 1: It's the Favorites Podcast presented by FanDuel. Football season is here,

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Speaker 1: West Virginia. Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the

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Speaker 1: Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer

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Speaker 1: of the Action Network. I am joined as I am

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Speaker 1: in every episode by my co host, my bff, my companion,

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Speaker 1: my compadre, professional better signment hunter Shad. What a glorious

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Speaker 1: day it is, nice fall day up in the Northeast.

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Speaker 1: I'm feeling it, man, It's right at the edge of

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Speaker 1: what I want to turn the heat on in my

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Speaker 1: my glorious office slash studio. Look, we gotta nail down

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Speaker 1: our final five today. We've got to give people a

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Speaker 1: big balls better the week. Um, I will remind everybody

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Speaker 1: our Fox will bet this week was Ravens plus three

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Speaker 1: and a half. That's down to three personally, Simon, I

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Speaker 1: still like the Ravens in this spot at plus three.

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Speaker 1: What say you? I mean, we'll talk about it more,

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Speaker 1: but yeah, we're I'm all in. I like, I like

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Speaker 1: that's gonna be definitely one of those people knew right

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Speaker 1: away that probably be on our money Line Round Robin.

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Speaker 1: It's just we like the Steelers at minus three. The

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Speaker 1: exact decision used the Simon says with Steelers minus three,

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Speaker 1: exact decision Jack's plus six and a half. Our early

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Speaker 1: survivor pick was green Bay, but we will get to

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Speaker 1: a second survivor pick if people have already chosen green Bay.

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Speaker 1: Follow all these in the Favorites podcasts, handle in the

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Speaker 1: Action Network app Alright, Simon, we're gonna get to big balls.

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Speaker 1: We gotta get to our final five, but first let's

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Speaker 1: get to the sharp calls. Hello, who's there? I'm talking somebody.

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Speaker 1: What do the wise guys say after they listen to

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Speaker 1: our podcast about our picks? Not too much hate this week.

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Speaker 1: I think that the boys like most of our picks.

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Speaker 1: A couple that I gotta reach out to. It just

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Speaker 1: about what they're betting, what other pros are betting, and

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Speaker 1: where they're really taking a stance this week. Again, some

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Speaker 1: weeks groups don't bet heavily. In some weeks they do.

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Speaker 1: And that's just kind of how it is, Like, you

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Speaker 1: really do pick your spots. Me and chat to talk

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Speaker 1: all the time about money management. You literally don't need

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Speaker 1: to bet anything this weekend you literally have all the power.

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Speaker 1: But we're all gonna bet. We know that, So money management,

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Speaker 1: make your spots, don't don't overdo it on one game.

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Speaker 1: The big game is Seattle. The most amount of pros

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Speaker 1: I've talked to love this Seahawks position against a Detroit

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Speaker 1: team that they do think they have talent, but was

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Speaker 1: swift out with a couple of injuries they've had to

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Speaker 1: their defense. They just see a little bit of weakness

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Speaker 1: in a team that, come on, now, should they really

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Speaker 1: been catching six and a half? Six points and then

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Speaker 1: four and a half's still a lot to them. So

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Speaker 1: I've heard a plenty of guys say they're gonna take

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Speaker 1: this down to three and a half, and they have.

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Speaker 1: It's down to Ford a lot of books now the Seattle.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, that's the one I think we're gonna be

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Speaker 1: talking about for our five. Now. The next one is

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Speaker 1: not that surprising, just because you know, I think me

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Speaker 1: and Chad took this position last week. We got burned,

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Speaker 1: and I knew a lot of pros would like it.

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Speaker 1: I'm just shocked that they're willing to make in one

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Speaker 1: of their bigger bets this week. And that's the Commanders.

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Speaker 1: The fact that so many professionals I've talked to love

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Speaker 1: the commanders and I told them, they're saying, you guys

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Speaker 1: gotta put in your contest this three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I was like, I don't, I don't know if you

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Speaker 1: chack and even talk me into it, Like that's how

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Speaker 1: gross I felt after last week. But we gotta throw

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Speaker 1: that out right, it's a new week. You can't really

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Speaker 1: base off last week. But I just I'm trying to

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Speaker 1: get these guys to tell me why they want me

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Speaker 1: to do and what they're seeing. And it's just like,

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Speaker 1: all right, everything you said could be true. But at

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Speaker 1: the same time, it's Carson Wentz going up against such

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Speaker 1: an incredible d line. But we've seen the movement of

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Speaker 1: this number opened out even have six got beat down

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Speaker 1: to three and half, even though the Cowboys one and

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Speaker 1: the Washington didn't. Now it's down to three, So big

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Speaker 1: money is coming in on Washington despite the public and

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Speaker 1: everyone else is coming in heavy on this Cowboys team. Um,

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Speaker 1: it's definitely the more interesting line movements of the week.

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Speaker 1: And then the biggest one we all we all knew

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Speaker 1: when we talked about last week, the books. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: take a stand and so were the pros with the

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Speaker 1: books Tampa bag chiefs. I mean that number has been wild,

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Speaker 1: like from two and a half down to one, backup

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Speaker 1: to one and a half. It's again, we told you

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Speaker 1: not even touch it because we thought I don't get

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Speaker 1: avoided anyway, it could be wrong. Apparently Tampa got spared

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Speaker 1: a little bit. Again. We'll talk more about this hurricane

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Speaker 1: because I've seen me and Chad like our thoughts go

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Speaker 1: out to everyone in Florida. It's it's been devastating. But

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Speaker 1: to me, I don't know how they played in Tampa.

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Speaker 1: I just figured they'd have to move it because that's

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Speaker 1: how bad that storm looked. But Tampa might have been spared.

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Speaker 1: They might put up play there as we sit here

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Speaker 1: Thursday morning, we just don't know. So it's interesting. I

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Speaker 1: get where the guys are coming from. There's all these

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Speaker 1: trends that act back in tom and we'll talk about that,

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Speaker 1: but to me, it just felt like a pro position.

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Speaker 1: You're taking a really good defense in Tampa to shut

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Speaker 1: down mahomes in Tampa, right in that weather, in that heat,

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Speaker 1: and you're getting Brady after a loss as a dog. Again,

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Speaker 1: another trend that favorites on it was just all lined

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Speaker 1: up there. Now, what we don't know what's gonna happen

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Speaker 1: if they moved to Minnesota and you get my homes indoors.

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Speaker 1: We talked about it last week against the Colts. That

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Speaker 1: was his first loss ever at a Dome game. You

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Speaker 1: never lost before until last week. So to me, it

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Speaker 1: changes everything. The fact they had moved this game from

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Speaker 1: Tampa and Minnesota. But if it stays in Tampa that

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Speaker 1: that feels like it's gonna be one of these that

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Speaker 1: we're at the lock in chat just because that's the

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Speaker 1: most pros bet. The most pros bet right now is

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Speaker 1: Seahawks Commanders in Tampa. That's so interesting, Uh, the Commanders. Look,

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Speaker 1: we talked about it. What did we say last week

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Speaker 1: or not last week? Earlier in the week, Commanders was

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Speaker 1: the first game on our got to think about it

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Speaker 1: list or the Phase five be at three and a half,

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Speaker 1: because you've got to forget what you saw. You just

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Speaker 1: got to look at the number. You gotta know you've

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Speaker 1: got the Cowboys overvalued in a come from behind prime

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Speaker 1: time when you've got the Commanders getting blown out by

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Speaker 1: the Eagles. It's the same reasons why we love the

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Speaker 1: Commanders against the Eagles, right, the Eagles were coming off

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Speaker 1: a huge prime time win. This is where it gets

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Speaker 1: interesting where you have to factor in betting against the public,

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Speaker 1: managing public perception, understanding what the metrics on the field

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Speaker 1: are telling you, and knowing the personnel. And to me,

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Speaker 1: I think wise guys might be leaning too heavily into

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Speaker 1: the public perception components of this and not accounting for

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Speaker 1: how good the Cowboys defense can be. And whats your quarterback,

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Speaker 1: Carson Wentz is, I just don't love the number. I

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Speaker 1: feel like you're with me on that. It just feels

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Speaker 1: like we're not getting the best number in this. I

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Speaker 1: don't like there's so many reasons why you have to

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Speaker 1: bet the Commanders, but I don't feel good about it

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Speaker 1: for all the reasons that are threading the needle, which

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Speaker 1: is you want to get the best of the number

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Speaker 1: and we're not getting it. Exactly. Remindered everybody, we record

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Speaker 1: this on Thursday before the Thursday night game. Oftentimes it's

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Speaker 1: released later in the day. Again, we apologize. Nothing we

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Speaker 1: can do about it. We're beholding to you know, corporate stooges. Right.

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Speaker 1: But the Bengals, I love the Bengals. On Sunday night.

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Speaker 1: It opened it one and a half. Within five minutes,

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Speaker 1: it was a two and a half. I betted a

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Speaker 1: two and a half. Simon liked the Bengals at two

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Speaker 1: and a half. In our contest, the Bengals locked four

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Speaker 1: and a half four and a half. So this is

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Speaker 1: gonna take some balls here, Chad, you got them? No,

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Speaker 1: I don't so. Since two thousand fifteen teams coming off

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Speaker 1: an our right win as a dog, and our dogs

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Speaker 1: for Thursday night's game are one, twelve straight up, one

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Speaker 1: and eleven a t s when they're on the road.

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Speaker 1: These these dogs that just one and now they're playing

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Speaker 1: again on the on the road as an underdog o

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Speaker 1: n H straight up and eight against the spread. Just

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Speaker 1: a bad spot for Miami. This game just stinks the hell.

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Speaker 1: It just feels like a blowout for this Bengals team.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to spend too much time talking about

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Speaker 1: it because so many people are gonna be here in

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Speaker 1: this after the Bengals minus four and a half is

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Speaker 1: so big. It's the same philosophy on the Commanders. At

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Speaker 1: three and a half, we're not even getting close to

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Speaker 1: the best of the number, so why risk it I'm

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Speaker 1: into numbers two, but sometimes I could give two ships

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Speaker 1: about them. I make this game four and a half,

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Speaker 1: it's four and a half. I'll take that number. But

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Speaker 1: I'm with you, chat it's a bad number. It's one

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Speaker 1: of these things. I'm gonna be texting you, bitching at

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Speaker 1: you before the game kicks off. Well that's fine. I

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Speaker 1: can accept that. But I live by my principles. I

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Speaker 1: do the right thing every time. There is no right thing.

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Speaker 1: This is all made up, brother, That is such a

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Speaker 1: true statement for our entire lives. Yes, it is so.

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Speaker 1: To remind people, we liked the Ravens plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half. We like the Steelers minus three. I still

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Speaker 1: love the Texas the Jags plus six and a half.

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Speaker 1: I still love the Texans plus five plus five and

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Speaker 1: a half. There's a couple of games on our list

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Speaker 1: that I think, to me are better than the Bengals

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Speaker 1: at four and a half. Starting with your favorite team,

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Speaker 1: my favorite team, the Wise Guy's favorite team, the Atlanta

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Speaker 1: Falcons plus two. You love that, starting to fall in

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Speaker 1: love with it that, I'm starting to go the other way,

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Speaker 1: just because again it's it's our guy. Evan Abrams. I

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Speaker 1: read these trends you post out and it's just like

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Speaker 1: ship makes you want to go back and look at

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Speaker 1: my numbers. But I've already been Atlanta. I'm I'm in

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Speaker 1: on Atlanta. I just love this team, but in this position,

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Speaker 1: it's usually not good when there's an underdog in week

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Speaker 1: four that's three and oh a t s at home

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Speaker 1: historically has not been kind to them. So I'm with you.

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Speaker 1: I love it. They're just prevailing numbers that say you're

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Speaker 1: kind of walking into what the books kind of know

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Speaker 1: what they're doing here. Um, but it feels like it's

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Speaker 1: kind of a split game, right the public money and

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Speaker 1: the bets. It's kind of been flip flopping every day,

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Speaker 1: Like some days the Browns are getting the money, the

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Speaker 1: next day it's been Atlanta. So I don't know. It's

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Speaker 1: an interesting number. It got down to one and then

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Speaker 1: it went back up to two, so it's been moving

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Speaker 1: all over again. I just wish this was three chat,

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Speaker 1: so if this was three, it would be an auto

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Speaker 1: play for me. The fact that it's not it gives

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Speaker 1: me pause. I believe everything that the wise guys have

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Speaker 1: been saying about the Falcons, and that their offense is

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Speaker 1: remarkably creative and hard to stop. The Browns are going

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Speaker 1: to be missing Jadeveon, Clowney, Miles Garrett. We don't know

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Speaker 1: yet what's happening, but even if he plays, he's gonna

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Speaker 1: be pretty banged up. I assume you gets suspended though

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Speaker 1: you saw that the info came out there saying now

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Speaker 1: they like basically these people that's their jobs to check

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Speaker 1: the tires and whatever from the accident. This speculation. Who

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Speaker 1: knows how true all of this is. It just happened

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Speaker 1: yesterday today, his accident. I believe they think he's going

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Speaker 1: over hundred moss proar. So if that is true, we

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Speaker 1: assume he'll be suspended. Right, That's that's reckless driving. So

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Speaker 1: as of now, though he got released from the hospital,

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Speaker 1: he hasn't practiced yet this week. But if nothing comes

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Speaker 1: about it, yeah, that that would that'd be huge, right

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Speaker 1: if they're down to their biggest d lineman against a

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Speaker 1: team that loves to round the ball. So I'm with

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Speaker 1: chat on that one. That could be something that flips me.

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Speaker 1: Comes Sunday. I am literally I've already bet it. I

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Speaker 1: am literally betting on the Falcons being the better, having

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Speaker 1: the best unit on the field when it comes to

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Speaker 1: a really creative game plan. Offensively, the only thing that

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Speaker 1: gets in their way is Arthur Smith is a head coach. Honestly,

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Speaker 1: I think I think he I think he takes a

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Speaker 1: lot of flak. Matt Ryan sucks. He had him all

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Speaker 1: last year. This year he's got married and he's actually

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Speaker 1: turned out even know how the top five offense um

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Speaker 1: could you could say a lot of it's more about

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Speaker 1: Crail Paris and Drake London and Pitts. But he's putting

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Speaker 1: them in the position. So I'm with you. I think

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Speaker 1: Arthur he makes some bonehead and moves every now and then,

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Speaker 1: But offensively his scheme, love it, Love everything about his scheme.

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Speaker 1: Again a team I was really high on coming to

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Speaker 1: this year just because of that, all those offensive weapons.

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Speaker 1: It's panned out three oh a t s three oh

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Speaker 1: to the over. That's that can't be ignored. I would

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Speaker 1: one be more comfortable waiting to see what the status

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Speaker 1: of Garrett and Clowney is well Garrett and taking the

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Speaker 1: Falcons than trying to rush on the Bengals on a

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Speaker 1: bad number. It's a bad number to who to you

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Speaker 1: because you got a hundred bucks down at two and

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Speaker 1: a half. It's just like, dude, this is the number. Brother.

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Speaker 1: But I'm with you. I'm not happy about four and

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Speaker 1: a half. I wish it was three and a half,

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Speaker 1: but they made it that number just because two at

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Speaker 1: the time could have been out of this game. So

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Speaker 1: I get why that number one up to four and

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Speaker 1: a half. Um. The other game that we talked about,

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Speaker 1: and by the way, we still owe people a big

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Speaker 1: balls better the week, UM, I have an opinion on

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Speaker 1: what it should be. Uh, and we talked about it

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Speaker 1: on UM. We talked about it on on Tuesday. There's

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Speaker 1: two options to me, Okay, number one Texans plus five

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Speaker 1: and a half. Okay, number two the Broncos on the

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Speaker 1: road at the Raiders plus two and a half. You

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Speaker 1: can feel strongly about other ones. I'm just throwing them

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Speaker 1: out there. Yeah, I thought you were gonna easily go

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Speaker 1: with the Bucks. Like that feels like that's the balls

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Speaker 1: he just better the week. I mean, yeah, Brady's calm

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Speaker 1: off games where you put up thirteen points on offense

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Speaker 1: because he had to pick six against Jamis in that game,

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Speaker 1: and then you put up twelve points last week, Like

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Speaker 1: it feels like the public has left him for dead

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Speaker 1: and then you can look at you can look at

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Speaker 1: the action app all the tickets is pouring in on

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs. To me that it seems like the biggest

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Speaker 1: balls better the week, but it sucks because I feel

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Speaker 1: like again I feel like an ask telling people to

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Speaker 1: take the number and it's gonna be a dead bet,

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Speaker 1: like they could change the venue and your your bets

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Speaker 1: just automatically avoided. Out of the two you gave me.

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Speaker 1: I feel like Denver is the biggest, the ballsiest one

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Speaker 1: right just this week. I don't know if you've been

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Speaker 1: on Twitter, there's this video of Russell Wilson in a

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Speaker 1: subway sandwich. Have you seen this? It's called the danger

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Speaker 1: Witch and it's dangerously good. Jesus, that is dangerous. Holy shit, man,

300
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Speaker 1: Either this guy is a genius or he is truly

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Speaker 1: a serial killer. He is so fucking weird, but I

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Speaker 1: can't stop watching it. It's like it's like a trance

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Speaker 1: he puts on you with how weird he is. It's

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Speaker 1: just this is the by the lowest week can by

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Speaker 1: is Russell Wilson right now? He's never been lower in

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Speaker 1: his career. Then right now everyone's bashing him. Everyone keeps

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Speaker 1: putting up the stats of him and Gino Smith next

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Speaker 1: to each other. Genia Smith's making like three million dollars

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Speaker 1: this year, and it has better stats in Russell Wilson,

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Speaker 1: who's got paid. It's never ending. They wrote me off.

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Speaker 1: I ain't right back though, that's the problem a right back.

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Speaker 1: Let's go this Raiders team. That's why. That's why I'm

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Speaker 1: like with you on it. It's such a great spot

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Speaker 1: to fade them. They're just they're they're a complete trainer.

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Speaker 1: I think that their only team and since nineteen fifty

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Speaker 1: nine to be the only team oh and three. So

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Speaker 1: like no one else is own three. There only team

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Speaker 1: in football right now own three is Raiders. Every other

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Speaker 1: team he's either gotta win or a tie to this point,

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Speaker 1: that team that was the only team that was and

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Speaker 1: three the end of these season three and eight. So

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Speaker 1: just again a train wreck of a year. People are

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Speaker 1: saying there's still time for this Raiders team. I'm kind

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Speaker 1: of with your Chad, like I'll know a lot of

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Speaker 1: pros are betting them and other people are just because

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Speaker 1: this is their everything game and Denver's to them overrated.

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Speaker 1: I like Denver in the spot, like Chad does. I

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Speaker 1: think the biggest script to me is this is one

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Speaker 1: of the few games I'll just tease. I don't know

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Speaker 1: how much I'm gonna have on it straight right, because

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Speaker 1: it feels like a good tease number two and a half.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they'll do the money line and they'll do

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Speaker 1: it in a teaser for the two and a half.

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Speaker 1: In this matchup of these two teams, I don't feel

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Speaker 1: great about it, just because they're both high. They're both

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Speaker 1: teams that can put up points, even though I know

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Speaker 1: we haven't seen that with Denver. They have the talent there.

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Speaker 1: So it's interesting that you love that that game of

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Speaker 1: all the games on the board, um, just because it's

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Speaker 1: kind of gross, like this matchup of a team that

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Speaker 1: everyone hates in Denver and a team and Raid the

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Speaker 1: Raiders that no one really trust. Here's the stat that

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Speaker 1: Evan Abrams sent. Through three weeks of NFL football, only

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Speaker 1: one team has lost all three of their games, the Raiders.

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Speaker 1: The last team to be the only oh and three

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Speaker 1: squad through three games was Detroit Lions, who finished the

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Speaker 1: season three eight and one. Yeah, I'm blue, So this

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Speaker 1: just feels like a lost year for this Vegas team.

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Speaker 1: I don't know now, I'm kind of talking myself out

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Speaker 1: of it. Yeah, there's other better dog. Our next partner

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Speaker 1: about it in the podcast all the time. I've had

355
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Speaker 1: are a better big balls better the week. It's a

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Speaker 1: bigger pro Joe game. The line opened at seven, it's

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Speaker 1: moved to five and a half. I like the edge

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Speaker 1: for the Texans. Rashawn Slater being out for the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: Joey posted being out for the Chargers. Justin Herbert it's

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Speaker 1: at home. You're getting a pretty decent sized home dog.

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Speaker 1: Damian Pierce should dominate them on the ground. There the

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Speaker 1: running back for Houston. This is a really great matchup

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Speaker 1: for him as well. What do we think of making

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Speaker 1: the Texans are big balls better the week? I love it.

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Speaker 1: Let's lock it up because big ball better the week.

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Speaker 1: I know. I already knew when I saw this, and

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Speaker 1: it was gonna be this. The Jaguars in now Seattle,

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Speaker 1: these are gonna be ones we're gonna be fighting to

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Speaker 1: put in come Sunday because they're just all dogs that

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Speaker 1: we like with the big numbers against teams that we

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Speaker 1: see a lot of weaknesses. The Yeah, I think it's interesting.

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Speaker 1: So right now, there's nothing that is dissuading me from

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Speaker 1: putting Raven Steelers, Jacks, Texans in. I think we're having

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Speaker 1: conversations around the Bengals. I think we're coming having conversations

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Speaker 1: around the Falcons and um the other teams that we

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00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,399
Speaker 1: had sort of talked about. And you tell me if

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00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:38,080
Speaker 1: anything has changed for you. Ah, we had talked about

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Speaker 1: the Panthers. I think we take them out. I'm not

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Speaker 1: feeling good about it anymore. We have talked about the Broncos,

404
00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:46,200
Speaker 1: we talked about the Rams plus two and a half,

405
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:53,479
Speaker 1: and now we're talking about the Seahawks. And let's talk

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00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:55,439
Speaker 1: a little bit more about the Seahawks. That game is

407
00:20:55,480 --> 00:21:02,200
Speaker 1: so interesting to me because Gino is playing well and

408
00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:04,879
Speaker 1: they're going against a team that is not used to

409
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Speaker 1: be in favor. It's a decent sized number for the Lions,

410
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:14,040
Speaker 1: who have a dreadful defense. So I need a little

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Speaker 1: more until um, why we think? What what you were number?

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Speaker 1: What is your number? On the Seahawks Lions game? I

413
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Speaker 1: actually had it at four and a half, and then

414
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Speaker 1: talking to other guys, I made a little adjustment just

415
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Speaker 1: because I think they are right the swift injury to me,

416
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:30,800
Speaker 1: Alan moved up by half a point. I gotta respect

417
00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:33,680
Speaker 1: that guy more. He's been honestly dynamic for that offense

418
00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:36,480
Speaker 1: playing this year. So I bumped it down to three

419
00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:39,840
Speaker 1: and a half and I just literally sat there and

420
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:41,959
Speaker 1: started up for a while. I was just like, now,

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00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,720
Speaker 1: I think I overadjusted in Seattle. But then I saw

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Speaker 1: again two really well known big time pro groups hit

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Speaker 1: this number, and they hit it again. So they liked

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Speaker 1: it at four and a half. They liked it at four. Interesting.

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Speaker 1: That's something you gotta really pay attention to, where it's like,

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Speaker 1: all right, what are you looking at? So I reached

427
00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:58,439
Speaker 1: out to a guy asked him what's going on? What

428
00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:00,879
Speaker 1: do they see? I think they're looking at a defense

429
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,200
Speaker 1: and Detroit that who are there to protect a big

430
00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:05,679
Speaker 1: number like that, then they won't be able to let

431
00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:09,280
Speaker 1: alone against guy like DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett. You can

432
00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:10,760
Speaker 1: say what you want, but Penny has been moving the

433
00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:12,920
Speaker 1: ball for the Seattle team and he gets fifteen touches

434
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:15,840
Speaker 1: a game. It's a big deal for them. And I

435
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:18,880
Speaker 1: know I'd like to make fun of Geno Smith because

436
00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:21,160
Speaker 1: he is what he is. He's been all right this year,

437
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:23,639
Speaker 1: Like if you look at his numbers on paper, again,

438
00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:25,840
Speaker 1: a lot of it's safe, checkdown plays. But at the

439
00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:28,760
Speaker 1: same time, he's not really killing this team, Like he's

440
00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:30,439
Speaker 1: not the reason they lost to Atlanta. They couldn't get

441
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 1: a stop on defense. That was more about the Seattle defense.

442
00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:36,280
Speaker 1: So I I think the smart move here is playing

443
00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:38,800
Speaker 1: the numbers because, like you talked about, that's what we're

444
00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:40,520
Speaker 1: doing here, Like we're thinking about how these games can

445
00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:43,400
Speaker 1: play out and what's the best number available. The fact

446
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 1: that a Lions team that doesn't really know to win

447
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:48,639
Speaker 1: or close out games was catching so many points that

448
00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:50,600
Speaker 1: was crazy. So like, yeah, I'm kicking myself. I didn't

449
00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:52,720
Speaker 1: grab that six and a half because I I just

450
00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:55,240
Speaker 1: looked at Seattle team is just such a bad team

451
00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:57,840
Speaker 1: for this position, like two bad teams playing each other.

452
00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:01,120
Speaker 1: You take all those points like there there really is

453
00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 1: no favorable side on either defensive side. We know both

454
00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:07,760
Speaker 1: of these offenses are. Seattle is just healthier, like they

455
00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:10,199
Speaker 1: don't have the injuries that Detroit already has piling up

456
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:14,240
Speaker 1: on their side of the ball. So to me, that's um,

457
00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:16,240
Speaker 1: that's one of the numbers I didn't love coming into

458
00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:19,080
Speaker 1: the week, and now it's grown over during the week

459
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:21,040
Speaker 1: and I could see us, you know, fitting this one

460
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:23,080
Speaker 1: in because again, as we'll talk, we can talk about

461
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:26,000
Speaker 1: Jaguars one. It's not that I'm getting off of it.

462
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:29,840
Speaker 1: I'm just getting a little worried, um about a lot

463
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:32,800
Speaker 1: of a lot of traveling for this Jaguars team. And

464
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 1: Evan put into the article, it's not it's not favorable

465
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:39,240
Speaker 1: for these teams to go on the road. They're won

466
00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:43,800
Speaker 1: by against the Chargers and now they're coming up to

467
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,480
Speaker 1: the East Coast to play the Eagles. Again. We'll talk

468
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:48,880
Speaker 1: about this with Survivor, but it's a stat I love

469
00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:50,800
Speaker 1: a team in that position. A team that just went

470
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:53,560
Speaker 1: twenty eight points is underdog on the road. Now are

471
00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:56,200
Speaker 1: is a dog again by six or more points their

472
00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:59,440
Speaker 1: own eleven straight up in this position. So it's not

473
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:01,639
Speaker 1: the best spot this Jaguar has been put in by

474
00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:04,359
Speaker 1: the schedule makers. It's it's really tough to kind of

475
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:06,959
Speaker 1: win against such a good team of the Chargers. They

476
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:08,679
Speaker 1: go on a road and play against such a dominant

477
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:11,399
Speaker 1: team in this Eagles have looked this year. Did I

478
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:14,679
Speaker 1: talk you off that and put the Jackson? No? No, not.

479
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:17,560
Speaker 1: I am so in on the Jacks here. Can you

480
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:20,520
Speaker 1: blinded by your love? Though I'm not blinded by my love.

481
00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 1: I've never seen more clearly it takes bookmakers. And I've

482
00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:30,399
Speaker 1: heard this for years from Bob Scucci bookmaker to the

483
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:34,359
Speaker 1: world original co host of the podcast with me way

484
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:40,640
Speaker 1: back in the day going to ESPN. Yeah, someone asked

485
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:43,120
Speaker 1: me on Twitter the other day, can I explain Scooch Roulette,

486
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 1: which we will do. That is a head to head

487
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 1: game that we do. Scooch Roulette was one of the

488
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:51,800
Speaker 1: original games that we played on Behind the Bets when

489
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:54,760
Speaker 1: I launched Behind the Bets at ESPN and then when

490
00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:59,080
Speaker 1: we launched Action, we did the buffet with Chad and

491
00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 1: Scooch and Scoot Rule was a game we go head

492
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 1: to head. We play it now between me and Simon.

493
00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 1: To honor Bob Scucci, bookmakers take four weeks to readjust

494
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:13,159
Speaker 1: their lines, and so they were not high on this

495
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,040
Speaker 1: Jack seemed the way you and I were. We both

496
00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:16,639
Speaker 1: bet the Jacks to win the a f C South

497
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 1: anywhere from twelve to one to seven to one. Still

498
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:22,120
Speaker 1: love it. Still can't believe the Jags are plus two

499
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:25,159
Speaker 1: and the Culture plus one to win the a f

500
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 1: C South win total seven and a half. Yeah, Like,

501
00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:34,119
Speaker 1: it's just they haven't fully adjusted this for this team yet,

502
00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:37,080
Speaker 1: and I think I think after this week they will.

503
00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:39,120
Speaker 1: I think the Jacks are gonna cover. I don't think

504
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:42,320
Speaker 1: the win, but I think they're gonna cover. And so

505
00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:45,880
Speaker 1: I just like the value here. Um. Nothing Evan Abrahams,

506
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:49,640
Speaker 1: none of the stats, none of the trends, nothing can

507
00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:53,119
Speaker 1: take me off that. I use them as compliments, not

508
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:58,160
Speaker 1: as decision making tools. They support my arguments, they don't

509
00:25:58,200 --> 00:26:01,280
Speaker 1: drive my arguments. I'm looking at the number. I'm looking

510
00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:03,240
Speaker 1: at the team I've seen on the field. I'm looking

511
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,879
Speaker 1: at where the money is to prose Joe's game. I

512
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:10,760
Speaker 1: love the Jags. Um, it's the Seahawks that are that

513
00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:14,800
Speaker 1: that are interesting to me. And where I worry that

514
00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:18,919
Speaker 1: my bias is about the Lions are keeping me away

515
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:23,080
Speaker 1: from loving the Seahawks. What's interesting is that DeAndre Swift,

516
00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:26,679
Speaker 1: he's their playmaker. Like aman ross A Brown is great,

517
00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:29,520
Speaker 1: but it's DeAndre Swift who blows the game open for

518
00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:32,280
Speaker 1: these for these guys without him, I think that's a

519
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:35,160
Speaker 1: big deal. Jamal Williams isn't the same kind of explosive player,

520
00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:37,600
Speaker 1: not at all, and especially when you see what he's

521
00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:39,520
Speaker 1: done for their offense this season, it's just every time

522
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:42,560
Speaker 1: the needed to play, he got them one where yeah,

523
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:45,840
Speaker 1: Williams looked good down the red zone, but talking about

524
00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:52,239
Speaker 1: a game changer, he's just not that player. Uh, all right,

525
00:26:52,359 --> 00:27:04,400
Speaker 1: So let's make a call here, Falcons Seahawks bangs. I'll

526
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 1: put the Bengals in in my own personal and we

527
00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:07,960
Speaker 1: don't have to do the Bengals because I know you

528
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:11,200
Speaker 1: hate it. I can tell you I hate it. That's fine,

529
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:13,760
Speaker 1: but I'll definitely make you eat some crow after they

530
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 1: win by ten. Oh yeah, there's no doubt about it,

531
00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:21,320
Speaker 1: unless especially when they win by ten and it's Sunday

532
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 1: afternoon and we're fucking sweating. The Seahawks are the Falcons, Like,

533
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:28,320
Speaker 1: am I really the guy who's saying, yeah, let's not

534
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:30,639
Speaker 1: put it on Joe Burrow, let's put it on Gino

535
00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:34,920
Speaker 1: Smith or Marcus Mariota instead. Those are the best Sundays.

536
00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying. I guess I lean. I guess

537
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:46,480
Speaker 1: I leaned Seahawks. Let's say that's why I feel every week.

538
00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:48,719
Speaker 1: Like my brother last week he was like, man, why

539
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:50,200
Speaker 1: do you do this to yourself? You're like, you're cheering

540
00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:54,159
Speaker 1: for Carson Wentzon Jamis Winston right now. And I was like,

541
00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:56,360
Speaker 1: I'm not chimming for Jamis anymore. That was last week,

542
00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:57,520
Speaker 1: and he was like, yeah, but it feels like every

543
00:27:57,520 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 1: week er I'll many ship quarterbacks. It was like, that's

544
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:03,080
Speaker 1: where the value is. Well, it's not all shitty this week.

545
00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:06,359
Speaker 1: It's only mostly shitty this week. We're only mostly worried

546
00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:10,960
Speaker 1: about Mitch Drubiski and Davis Mills and now probably Geno

547
00:28:11,080 --> 00:28:14,639
Speaker 1: Smith and Trevor Lawrence on the road against number one

548
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 1: team in football and Lamar Jackson against the the team

549
00:28:21,520 --> 00:28:25,040
Speaker 1: that is still power rate a number one I really

550
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:28,360
Speaker 1: and again the more you read it, just I love

551
00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:30,199
Speaker 1: that we're playing that game. That that to me, that

552
00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:32,679
Speaker 1: if we didn't already have it as what was our

553
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:35,480
Speaker 1: foxhole bet, that would definitely be our biggest boss, Like

554
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:38,840
Speaker 1: the amount of heat I got from not other pros,

555
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:40,480
Speaker 1: just on the general public advantage of the show of

556
00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 1: being like, you guys are crazy for downing Josh Allen

557
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:46,080
Speaker 1: after a loss. We're not really down and we're just

558
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:48,520
Speaker 1: playing the numbers. I just think these two teams that

559
00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:50,520
Speaker 1: should be closer to a pick than what it was.

560
00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:52,640
Speaker 1: Three and a half. M Chad both agreed that's that

561
00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:54,720
Speaker 1: was a crazy number to start up the open. With

562
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:56,800
Speaker 1: the fact that I went down to three despite all

563
00:28:56,840 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 1: the money coming in and the bets coming on the

564
00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:01,920
Speaker 1: bills just shows that the pros and the bookmakers agreed

565
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:07,560
Speaker 1: with us. So what are we doing here? Seahawks? Which

566
00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:12,040
Speaker 1: do you like better? Seahawks or Falcons? Like, what do

567
00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:15,920
Speaker 1: I feel safer with? I'm gonna go Seehawks because the

568
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:19,320
Speaker 1: group I know that took that like there they're legit,

569
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:22,120
Speaker 1: Like they're really legit. So that's one of those if

570
00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:25,080
Speaker 1: they're playing that position and they're playing it big, they

571
00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 1: clearly know something here in this matchup. So I'm gonna

572
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:30,160
Speaker 1: trust that number. Are they know it's gonna be four

573
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:33,720
Speaker 1: and a half in the contest. Simmon, are they to

574
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 1: legit to legit to quit? Do you know that? Yeah?

575
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,200
Speaker 1: Does that mean? Are they? Are they from the eighties?

576
00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:43,840
Speaker 1: I don't know if they're from the eighties, but mc

577
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:48,880
Speaker 1: hammer too late to legit to quit? Uh huh? What

578
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:50,920
Speaker 1: were the pants they used to wear? You know what.

579
00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:55,120
Speaker 1: I'm working with children here, damn it. I'm working with

580
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:59,080
Speaker 1: goddamn children. No one cares about your shitty, itty eighties

581
00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:02,520
Speaker 1: trivia Chad. A lot of people care. There's probably a

582
00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:08,120
Speaker 1: whole eighties trivial theme, trivial pursuit game. Start the NFL

583
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:10,720
Speaker 1: week off right with a no sweat same Game parlay

584
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:15,240
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607
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608
00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:33,280
Speaker 1: in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Virginia one

609
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:36,360
Speaker 1: eight hundred, next step or text next step to five

610
00:31:36,440 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 1: three three four two. In Arizona one eight eight eight

611
00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:42,000
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612
00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:46,920
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613
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:50,600
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614
00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 1: com in Kansas one eight seven seven seven seven zero

615
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:57,640
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616
00:31:57,840 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 1: or text Hope n Y in New York, Tennessee. Redline

617
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:04,840
Speaker 1: is one eight hundred eight eight nine nine hundred five

618
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 1: hundred in Wyoming, or visit www one eight hundred gambler

619
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:14,400
Speaker 1: dot net in West Virginia. Here's our final five. Then

620
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:17,320
Speaker 1: Ravens plus three and a half, it's down to three.

621
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 1: We still like it. Steelers minus three. I like the

622
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 1: Steelers up to four against the Jets. I just think

623
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 1: the Jets are trash um Jags plus six and a half.

624
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:29,600
Speaker 1: That's still where the number is. Texans plus five and

625
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 1: a half or five Seahawks plus four and a half.

626
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:39,520
Speaker 1: Big balls better the week Texans plus five and a half. Simon,

627
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 1: we gotta do a scoot roulette when all hope is lost.

628
00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 1: All this left is relief. Let's plays roulette. I keep

629
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:55,000
Speaker 1: owning you in this so I will go first. I

630
00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:58,560
Speaker 1: made the Jags. My exact decision, Matt Mitchell, Can I

631
00:32:58,600 --> 00:33:01,280
Speaker 1: get a ruling? Am I out to make a team?

632
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:04,680
Speaker 1: That was my exact decision? My scouture Let pick. Absolutely,

633
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:09,520
Speaker 1: I will make the Jags plus six and a half

634
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 1: my Scoot row Lett pick. Simon Europe Let the record

635
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:16,920
Speaker 1: show Chad whooping me and scouture lettuce and being three

636
00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:19,320
Speaker 1: note on two on one. Just just some people know

637
00:33:19,800 --> 00:33:25,000
Speaker 1: that's one of us is too legit to quit. Scout

638
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:27,280
Speaker 1: Lett like, I need a winner, so Chad is not

639
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:29,640
Speaker 1: so brutal. I feel like this game is gonna be

640
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:32,080
Speaker 1: fixed in some way, so I'm gonna take it. I'll

641
00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:35,000
Speaker 1: take Tampa. Give me the Bucks at any number down

642
00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:37,640
Speaker 1: down to a pick, I take it. I keep forgetting

643
00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:42,960
Speaker 1: about Tampa. That's a mistake on my part. Thanks. Yeah, no,

644
00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:45,960
Speaker 1: I agree with you. The Bucks. We're really going to

645
00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 1: have to make a hard decision on the Bucks on Sunday.

646
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:49,760
Speaker 1: And if they're not in Tampa, me and Chat we're

647
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:51,880
Speaker 1: not putting them in the contest. But if they're in Tampa,

648
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:54,280
Speaker 1: we gotta gotta do. I think we gotta have a

649
00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:58,000
Speaker 1: hard conversation Sunday. Reminder, Simon and I will lock in

650
00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:02,240
Speaker 1: our picks Sunday. After the show convinced me that we

651
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:05,040
Speaker 1: are on you can watch it in the Action Network app.

652
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:07,520
Speaker 1: That is the best experience because what you can do

653
00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:09,560
Speaker 1: while you're watching it in the app, you can do

654
00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:12,120
Speaker 1: picture and picture. Then you can roam around the app.

655
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:15,000
Speaker 1: And as we are talking about bets, you can make

656
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:18,440
Speaker 1: the bets. You can go directly link into FanDuel. Like

657
00:34:18,520 --> 00:34:20,239
Speaker 1: you just pick it in the Action Network app. At

658
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:27,280
Speaker 1: leaked to directly to FanDuel. It's seamless, it's convenient. It's

659
00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:31,560
Speaker 1: the best way to experience a Sunday morning. Do it.

660
00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:34,520
Speaker 1: After that, Simon and I will lock in our picks.

661
00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:37,720
Speaker 1: I'll put him in the Action Network app. Faves five.

662
00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:44,520
Speaker 1: Follow us there, Simon, we gotta do a Survivor. Uh.

663
00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 1: Let me just tell everybody right now. I'm in a

664
00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:49,719
Speaker 1: pool where you got to choose two teams at least

665
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:53,480
Speaker 1: twice in weeks two through ten. I chose the Packers.

666
00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:58,520
Speaker 1: I chose the Steelers. I think the Packers, which we

667
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:02,280
Speaker 1: talked about on Tuesday, are still the survivor pick. Yeah,

668
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:04,800
Speaker 1: and I would say number two. After reading that staff

669
00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:08,400
Speaker 1: by Evan, the Jaguars seems like have real no chance,

670
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:10,480
Speaker 1: I mean, historically have no chance of winning this game

671
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:14,239
Speaker 1: against the Eagles. Use them if you if you really

672
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:16,160
Speaker 1: want to play it safe. I feel like Eagles are

673
00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:19,400
Speaker 1: the safest one. Like again, you probably used the Bengals.

674
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:23,279
Speaker 1: You can't use them tonight. The Pittsburgh one has its

675
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 1: risk for taking Trabiskie. It's always a little scary having

676
00:35:27,040 --> 00:35:29,479
Speaker 1: him in your survivor. And then the other play would

677
00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:32,920
Speaker 1: be which I couldn't do, would be the Vikings. Um. Like,

678
00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:34,640
Speaker 1: So there's just a bunch of games are super risk

679
00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:36,360
Speaker 1: and the safest ones to be our Green Bay and

680
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 1: the Eagles. Um. You want to do the money line

681
00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:44,040
Speaker 1: around Robin, I do, my friend who not a lot

682
00:35:44,040 --> 00:35:46,000
Speaker 1: of big dogs. We already talked about it. This year

683
00:35:46,040 --> 00:35:48,280
Speaker 1: has been very unique. They're just haven't been the seven

684
00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:51,960
Speaker 1: point eight point nine point dogs. Um, And it sucks

685
00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:54,880
Speaker 1: the one big dog this week. There's there's no amount

686
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:57,080
Speaker 1: of money I can be paid to take Brian Horrier

687
00:35:57,200 --> 00:35:59,120
Speaker 1: to win out right. Guy hasn't won a game. I

688
00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:02,080
Speaker 1: think he's oh and eight or oh and nine, um,

689
00:36:02,160 --> 00:36:05,040
Speaker 1: and his last starts. He's just he's been collecting a

690
00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:07,480
Speaker 1: nice little paycheck from the Patriots for the last six years,

691
00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:10,279
Speaker 1: just being a kind of a second coach. This man

692
00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:11,960
Speaker 1: should not be playing in the game. So like, I

693
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:14,560
Speaker 1: just cannot be putting him in. He could keep it close,

694
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:16,359
Speaker 1: like they could cover that number. I know, Stucky put

695
00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:18,800
Speaker 1: out some crazy thing like they'll check in the spot.

696
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:21,879
Speaker 1: He's covered this number every time. But winning out right,

697
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:23,759
Speaker 1: that just feels like way too much to ask of

698
00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:25,799
Speaker 1: this guy coming off the bench with such a bad

699
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:29,440
Speaker 1: team and the Patriots, so um, my first underdog. Me

700
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:31,879
Speaker 1: and Chat already talked about we love the Texans. Um,

701
00:36:31,920 --> 00:36:35,240
Speaker 1: that's a good, big number. Get that one in there, Tennessee.

702
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:37,120
Speaker 1: I know they're the public dog this week, and a

703
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:39,839
Speaker 1: lot of pros love the Colts. I'll stay away from

704
00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:41,600
Speaker 1: that number, I guess because he's down to three now,

705
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:44,680
Speaker 1: you're not getting great value, But I'll take the money line.

706
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:47,280
Speaker 1: Tennessee has had the Colts number historically in this position.

707
00:36:47,680 --> 00:36:49,600
Speaker 1: This one isn't as gross. Me and Cha, I'd love

708
00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:52,120
Speaker 1: it from the get go. Ravens got thrown in there

709
00:36:52,880 --> 00:36:55,920
Speaker 1: a Seahawks again, two terrible teams are getting a big

710
00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:58,279
Speaker 1: number against the lines. We knew we were gonna throw

711
00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:00,880
Speaker 1: that one in. Um and the last one I was

712
00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:04,400
Speaker 1: gonna do Tampa. I just the value might not be

713
00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:06,839
Speaker 1: there now, just because the lines moved around so much.

714
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:09,320
Speaker 1: Let's go Broncos. Broncos plan I gets to know and

715
00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:13,120
Speaker 1: three team short dog. I'll take that money line there.

716
00:37:13,160 --> 00:37:15,560
Speaker 1: So I really like this one. This week, we just

717
00:37:15,600 --> 00:37:17,719
Speaker 1: keep hitting two and three. It's killing me. We keep

718
00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 1: going two and three every week. Come on, give us one.

719
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:25,400
Speaker 1: We need three and two week Broncos Country, Denver, Brocos.

720
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:32,520
Speaker 1: Let's set a sandwich. Yeah, and it's dangerously good. All right. Reminder,

721
00:37:33,080 --> 00:37:36,680
Speaker 1: following the Action Network app the Favorites podcast, you will

722
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:39,880
Speaker 1: get the Foxhole pick which is the Ravens, the Simon

723
00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:42,360
Speaker 1: says which is the Steelers, the Exact Decision which is

724
00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:45,520
Speaker 1: the Jags, scootra Let picks which are Jags and Tampa,

725
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,600
Speaker 1: and our big balls which is the Texas. Follow the

726
00:37:48,600 --> 00:37:53,359
Speaker 1: Phase five Sunday we will lock it. I think we've

727
00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 1: done all we can do here, Simon. When the people

728
00:37:56,160 --> 00:37:57,640
Speaker 1: some money, it's been a good start to the year.

729
00:37:57,719 --> 00:38:00,040
Speaker 1: Let's keep it going, brother, let's keep it going. We

730
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:03,320
Speaker 1: are eleven and four on the year in the contest.

731
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:06,319
Speaker 1: Good start. Listen, you start five and oh you go

732
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:07,600
Speaker 1: three and two the rest of the week, You're going

733
00:38:07,640 --> 00:38:09,120
Speaker 1: to find yourself in the month. The rest of the year,

734
00:38:09,120 --> 00:38:14,240
Speaker 1: you're gonna find yourself in the money for Simon Hunter.

735
00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:17,960
Speaker 1: For producer Matt Mitchell. I am Shad Millman. This has

736
00:38:17,960 --> 00:38:20,920
Speaker 1: been the favorite podcast from the Volume podcast Network. Download

737
00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:24,799
Speaker 1: us from Apple Podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts.

738
00:38:25,160 --> 00:38:29,320
Speaker 1: Please don't forget to rate, review, and subscribe to the podcast.

739
00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:32,520
Speaker 1: You can say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift,

740
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:35,759
Speaker 1: but give us five stars. For God's sake, people, we

741
00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:40,160
Speaker 1: read the comments. We love the feedback. We incorporated. Until

742
00:38:40,200 --> 00:38:41,719
Speaker 1: next time, I love you.