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Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It's bet Joey Pa joe p Zapia and

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Speaker 1: this is BP NFL. We are back again for Thursday

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Speaker 1: Night football. This time the Green Bay Packers, on a

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Speaker 1: short week, are gonna be hosting the Washington Commanders. Both

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Speaker 1: teams winless, two teams enter, one team leaves with a

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Speaker 1: loss at least we think. I guess you still can

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Speaker 1: have a tie. But whatever, that's not nearly as good

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Speaker 1: as a catchphrase. So we're gonna talk about our favorite

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Speaker 1: bets here for the game, our favorite props, and of

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Speaker 1: course stay tuned to the end of the show for

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Speaker 1: the SG Joey P because I on fire right now,

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Speaker 1: that's right, Thursday Night Football Check, Sunday Night Football Check.

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Speaker 1: Will I hit two in a row the rest of

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Speaker 1: the year? Who knows. You just have to tune in

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Speaker 1: to find out. We're gonna do touchdown calls too. Scott Bogman,

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Speaker 1: you've gotten off to an interesting start here. You are

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Speaker 1: so close you could easily be over five hundred right now.

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Speaker 1: I want to give you some credit because although on

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Speaker 1: the year on the standalone football shows for Thursday night

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Speaker 1: and Sunday night. The record is three and seven. It

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Speaker 1: could easily be six and four. Pickens pi very tough.

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Speaker 1: You missed the Henry and the Cook props here last

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Speaker 1: week by literally one. So the process was very good.

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Speaker 1: But then again, that's kind of loser talk, isn't it.

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Speaker 2: I mean process over results. But every loser that's ever

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Speaker 2: lost is said process over results. So look, we're trying

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Speaker 2: to get better here, right. Three and seven is not

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Speaker 2: great to start the season. But like you said, I

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Speaker 2: mean Pickens had that long easy if he doesn't get

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Speaker 2: past interfered one.

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Speaker 3: Derek. By the way, it was one Derrick Henry carried

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Speaker 3: too many, was it not?

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Speaker 1: It was I should have been right, and you know what,

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Speaker 1: the Ravens would agree, just one carry too many and

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Speaker 1: that ball one carry.

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Speaker 3: Too many, that's right.

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Speaker 2: So I was technically right about that when I was correct,

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Speaker 2: And then but James Cook uh missed it. They just

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Speaker 2: got down too quick, like he was running well and

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Speaker 2: he had that one big play, but that was a catch,

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Speaker 2: Like they just got down too fast and he didn't

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Speaker 2: have enough run at tempt. So I mean, look, that

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Speaker 2: game didn't go like I thought it was going to go.

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Speaker 3: At all. Really, I thought it was gonna be much tighter.

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Speaker 2: I didn't see, you know, the Bills getting down big

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Speaker 2: and then playing one of the best comebacks in NFL history. No,

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Speaker 2: it was awesome to watch. It was so much fun.

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Speaker 2: But you know, that's where we are.

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Speaker 1: So it's an entertaining game. For sure.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna get better. We are gonna get better. It

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Speaker 3: was week one.

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Speaker 1: It was week one. You shake it off and look,

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Speaker 1: I look. Sometimes you're gonna carry the team. Sometimes I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna carry the team. This is why we're a team box.

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Speaker 1: This is what we're doing. Sure you'll carry me this week.

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Speaker 3: Speaking of carrying that's right.

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Speaker 1: Speaking of carrying away things, how about carrying away this

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Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara signed helmet right now again from our good

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Speaker 1: friends at Pristine Auction dot com. All you have to

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Speaker 1: go is or I have to do is go to

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com slash contest, complete the form and either

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Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app, leave review of the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros podcast, or subscribe to our social media channels at

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros on X, on TikTok and Betting Pros NFL

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Speaker 1: on the IG. The more actions you complete the more

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Speaker 1: entries you will receive. So do all those things and

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Speaker 1: give yourself a shot to win the Alvin Kamara signed helmet.

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Speaker 1: We'll announcing the winner right here on the channel, So

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Speaker 1: subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube ring the belts of

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Speaker 1: that Goes Dings, so we can let you know if

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Speaker 1: you are the winner, and of course you can comment

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Speaker 1: on the stream too with your favorite bets for Thursday night.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get after the game. Let's talk about

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Speaker 1: it here again. Green Bay Washington both undefeated after week one.

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Speaker 1: Right now, in the Betting Pros consensus line, you're getting

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Speaker 1: three and a half everywhere in this game plus side

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Speaker 1: for Washington, minus three and a half on hard Rock bet,

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Speaker 1: our sponsor of the show, over under somewhere in the

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Speaker 1: range of the over forty seven and a half the

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Speaker 1: under forty eight and a half, so very tight there,

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Speaker 1: and then Washington on the money line plus one sixty eight.

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Speaker 1: So Bogs, I'll let you take this one first. Again,

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Speaker 1: I have more interest in the individuals in this game

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Speaker 1: than the actual game itself. I think these lines are

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Speaker 1: pretty good. But what are your thoughts on Commander's packers.

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Speaker 3: I'm with you.

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Speaker 2: I don't know that this is going to be my

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Speaker 2: favorite game to bet this week. I already got a

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Speaker 2: ticking on the under in the San Francisco New Orleans

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Speaker 2: game before party was out, so that's my favorite line

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Speaker 2: of the week actually, But this one I'm probably a

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Speaker 2: stay away. If I'm gonna pick anything, I would take

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Speaker 2: the under. Injuries to the Packers offensive line, short week,

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Speaker 2: all that stuff, so I would take the under. I

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Speaker 2: think the Packers are going to win, so i'd lean

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Speaker 2: towards them. But it's too early in the season, it's

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Speaker 2: on short rest, it's a weird game. We didn't see

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Speaker 2: tons of offense from green Bay. The defense looked impeccable though,

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Speaker 2: so with their defense looking good, I think I would

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Speaker 2: take the under in this game.

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Speaker 1: All right. For me, I'm not going really where to

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Speaker 1: real this. I'm just keeping it real, folks. The best

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Speaker 1: line you can get here, I think is the money

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Speaker 1: line on green Bay short week minus one sixty seven.

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Speaker 1: I'm seeing that's the best spot on betting pros you

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Speaker 1: could find, and I think green Bay finds we go

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Speaker 1: to win this with defense, I do. I think Washington,

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Speaker 1: you know, had a good easy opener there against the

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Speaker 1: Giants offensive line, it's frankly terrible, and Thomas was out,

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Speaker 1: and I think that offense is pretty good. But the

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Speaker 1: Cinderella story of the Washington Commander is just going everywhere

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Speaker 1: and winning on the road last year, I think one

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Speaker 1: of those things has to kind of regress a little bit.

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Speaker 1: I think it starts here on a short week early

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Speaker 1: in the season where I'm just gonna favor the home team.

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Speaker 1: They're pretty heavily favored there, but not too much where

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Speaker 1: it's absurd. But again, I think the best bet is

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Speaker 1: to take that money line and then pair it with

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Speaker 1: some other things, and we're gonna do that later in

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Speaker 1: the show. So we're gonna go ahead and continue on

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Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. Okay, box, Let's take

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Speaker 1: a look here a little bit at the deeper end

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Speaker 1: here of the game, and let's talk about the Deebo

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Speaker 1: Samuel props here. Now I am on the receiving stuff.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to talk more about that later in the show.

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Speaker 1: But you are on the rushing yards. He had one

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Speaker 1: carry for nineteen yards last week. So let's talk about

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Speaker 1: this number. Four and a half rushing yards and it's

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Speaker 1: minus one thirty five on the rock.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look, minus won thirty five is not

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Speaker 2: a great number, but I think this is something you

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Speaker 2: compare with something else, or you could just you know,

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Speaker 2: maybe two units instead of one, because I really like

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Speaker 2: this one. The run game work really well for the

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Speaker 2: Commanders in week one. I believe pff TI graded out

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Speaker 2: number one in run blocking, which is really good against

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Speaker 2: a very strong defensive line in the Giants. Like the

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Speaker 2: Giants don't have a great team, that d line is

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Speaker 2: rocked up sexy DEXI in the middle of Brian Burns, Dibbodeau.

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Speaker 2: They spent their first round pick on Abdul Carter. That's

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Speaker 2: a really really good defensive line. So to run so

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Speaker 2: well against them, and I think Deebo is part of

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Speaker 2: this run plan, right, they got rid of Brian Robinson,

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Speaker 2: and so who is their main guy right now? It's

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Speaker 2: Bill or it's Eckler who has a shoulder issue. McNichols.

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Speaker 2: Maybe see Rod gets a helmet in this game.

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Speaker 3: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I think for this game, I think we're gonna see

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Speaker 2: Debo take more than one carry. I think it's probably

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Speaker 2: gonna be a couple, and four and a half rushing

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Speaker 2: yards is on the low end. The dude also makes

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Speaker 2: people miss, so all we need is one carry to

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Speaker 2: get this in my opinion, so I think he gets

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Speaker 2: at least a couple.

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Speaker 1: I really like the wrinkle that a healthy Deebo Samuel

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Speaker 1: brings to the Washington Commanders offense, you know, being able

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Speaker 1: to use those Jets sweeps, you know, being able to

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Speaker 1: line them up in the backfield to catch footballs too.

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Speaker 1: It makes them tougher to defend and makes them multi dimensional,

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Speaker 1: I think more so than they were last year too.

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Speaker 1: And that's a lot too because you have to do

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Speaker 1: with a quarterback who can rush as well, so that

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Speaker 1: makes them a tough defensive night at the office. But

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Speaker 1: I do think Green Bay is up for the task,

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Speaker 1: as you elluded earlier. Good green Bay defense, especially Week

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Speaker 1: one against the Lions. Let's talk about Tucker Kraft the

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Speaker 1: number four exceptions for him three and a half. If

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Speaker 1: you take the over, you get plus one thirty on

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Speaker 1: the hard rock. What are your thoughts?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I like this one, and this is it's hard

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Speaker 2: to kind of pick a receiving prop for the Packers,

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Speaker 2: right because the wide receivers rotate in and out their switch.

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Speaker 2: We've heard Lafleur talk about how you think it's disgusting

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Speaker 2: to have a number one wide receiver. They all do

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Speaker 2: different things, right, so you never know who is going

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Speaker 2: to be. I mean, Jane Reid had a great game

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Speaker 2: last week. Do you know how many snaps he had?

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Speaker 2: Joe six eighteen yet eighteen?

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Speaker 1: I know he caught the touchdown and had him in

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Speaker 1: the one fantasy league where I was just desperate for

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Speaker 1: a flex play and I was like, well, Jane and Reed,

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Speaker 1: I hope you do what you do, which you gutch

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Speaker 1: and he did so.

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Speaker 2: But one guy got one hundred percent of the snaps.

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Speaker 2: It was Tucker Craft. He's on the field. He also

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Speaker 2: got their end zone target and scored a touchdown. Louvu

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Speaker 2: was targeted five times in Washington's game, against the Giants,

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Speaker 2: he gave up four receptions and weren't giving up many receptions.

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Speaker 2: Bellinger dropped one. I also saw one clankoff at THEO

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Speaker 2: Johnson's frying panhands. I just think that they're gonna They

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Speaker 2: blitzed Louvu a lot too. He's one of the higher

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Speaker 2: percentage blitzing linebackers in the league. That's right where Tucker

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Speaker 2: Craft plays. So when you see Louvu blitz, I think

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Speaker 2: it's going to just be all right, Well, let's just

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Speaker 2: hit Tucker right over the top, right right. So I

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Speaker 2: think Tucker Craft's gonna have more receptions than this. We

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Speaker 2: know he's going to be on the field. Wagner has

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Speaker 2: been slipping in coverage grade over the last couple of

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Speaker 2: years as well. I'm I'm all about Tucker Craft this week.

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Speaker 2: I think he's gonna have a big week.

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Speaker 1: So Tucker Craft in check. You know, I like him

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Speaker 1: for touch down props too. You could throw some at him. Well,

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Speaker 1: give you some numbers on that later in the show.

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Speaker 1: Josh Jacob's twelve and a half receiving yards a good

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Speaker 1: start I think for Josh Jacobs last week, and carrying

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Speaker 1: over a lot of the success of twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 1: So do you think you want to go for the

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Speaker 1: rushing or you want to stick with U twelve and

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Speaker 1: a half receiving yards and you want to go over under?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look, I've whipped on the rushing stuff recently, right,

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Speaker 2: like the car like I.

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Speaker 1: Feel like you have fouled it off into the catcher's glove.

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Speaker 3: I don't, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: It's it's stilling out, stilling out. But you made contact,

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Speaker 1: you were on the ball. It wasn't like so you

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Speaker 1: were swinging at balls at the dirt.

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Speaker 2: That's true, And I have I have a better reasoning

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Speaker 2: than I missed on my last two.

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Speaker 4: Right.

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Speaker 2: My reasoning is actually this is that Aaron Banks questionable,

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Speaker 2: Zach Tom questionable to play in this game. So even

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Speaker 2: if they do play, they're less than one. And you know,

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Speaker 2: the Commanders don't have the best line in the world,

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Speaker 2: but you get any line going up against backups and

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Speaker 2: they're going to put pressure on the quarterback. And now

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Speaker 2: Jordan Love is very good at getting the ball out

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Speaker 2: and not taking a sack. So in fact, I was

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Speaker 2: desperately trying to seek a sack prop because of these

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Speaker 2: offensive linemen being hurt and I just couldn't get to

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Speaker 2: one that I like for Washington. So I thought, okay,

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Speaker 2: how about short dump off passes? Will those go to

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Speaker 2: Tucker and they go to Josh Jacobs. So if we

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Speaker 2: have two banged up o Lignemen, I think we're gonna

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Speaker 2: see Washington blitz a little bit to try to mix

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Speaker 2: this up and hurt the run game. I think you're

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Speaker 2: gonna see some dump offs to Josh Jacobs and you know,

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Speaker 2: hit him in the flat two or three times. I

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Speaker 2: think twelve and a half yards is easily attainable for him.

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Speaker 1: By the way, Tucker craft two to one for the touchdown,

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Speaker 1: just saying if he's on the field, a lot might

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Speaker 1: be know the one to look after.

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Speaker 3: I'd hear about that a little bit later.

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Speaker 1: Joe, Oh, all spoilers, No spoilers, no more. Let's talk

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Speaker 1: about Austin Eckler receiving yards. The number is set at

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Speaker 1: twenty and a half at minus one ten over or

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Speaker 1: on a bogs for Eckler.

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Speaker 2: I'll be an undertaker on this one, and look, Eckler

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Speaker 2: could easily surpass this number, but he's come in with

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Speaker 2: a shoulder issue on a short week, right, so he's

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Speaker 2: talked about how he doesn't want to have a full

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Speaker 2: time workload. They got rid of Brian Robinson knowing that

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Speaker 2: this is the reason why I'm on the debo upside

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Speaker 2: as well in the run game, and there were some

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Speaker 2: props with Bill, but I feel like people are so

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Speaker 2: willing to bet on Bill that those numbers are inflated

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Speaker 2: a little bit. Everybody wants him to be their secret

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Speaker 2: sleeper that they got and you know, be the next

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Speaker 2: Arian Foster and all that.

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Speaker 3: Maybe he's that guy, but I.

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Speaker 1: Mean, look, you're getting it some spots. I'm looking over here,

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Speaker 1: thirty seven and a half on the rushing for JCM.

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Speaker 1: I don't think that's absurd.

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Speaker 3: It's not crazy. But the Packers defense is Rual Cocker's.

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Speaker 1: Defense going in that backfield. Like you said, maybe Rodriguez

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Speaker 1: suits up. Like we were still waiting again, we record

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Speaker 1: this on Wednesday. We're trying to get ahead here for everybody,

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Speaker 1: So make those adjustments. If you see more guys active,

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Speaker 1: or if another injury report comes out later after the show, this.

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Speaker 3: One might have to get her.

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Speaker 2: This one might have to get scraped because Eckler doesn't

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Speaker 2: play right because he has a shoulder issue.

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Speaker 1: If the pivot is to something with Let's say Eckler

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Speaker 1: gets scratched because it's a short week. Let's let's live

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Speaker 1: in a hypothetical right now. We'll give you another out here,

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Speaker 1: and let's say that number on Crosskey Americos from thirty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half to forty one and a half

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Speaker 1: rushing yards. Would you take the over?

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Speaker 3: Probably?

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Speaker 1: Not?

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Speaker 2: Still, No, a short week for a rookie, it's just weird.

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Speaker 3: I just don't want to bet on a rookie. That's

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Speaker 3: fair in this game.

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Speaker 1: But I like to give those hypotheticals because I think

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Speaker 1: we find ourselves in those situations a lot of times.

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Speaker 3: It's a good point.

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Speaker 2: But I think the shoulder issue, the short week, I

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Speaker 2: think they're going to involve Deebo a little bit more

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Speaker 2: as well. And Green Bay's defense is really good. So

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Speaker 2: I'm just all of that is going to make me

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Speaker 2: hit under on Austin Eckler. And look, Joey, I do

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Speaker 2: have a defensive prop in there for you.

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Speaker 1: No, And that's what was locking last week a little bit.

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Speaker 1: You know, the Scott Bogman. I know boys and girls

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Speaker 1: for many many years now, decade, even we're getting close

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Speaker 1: to decades ploral. There's always defensive props here, there's something

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Speaker 1: we like on the defensive side. In Week one, there's

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Speaker 1: no defense to be seen. Now, granted, there was very

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Speaker 1: little defense to be seen in Sunday night football, so

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Speaker 1: that's fair. But of course there will be defense today,

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Speaker 1: Scott Bogwin. So let's talk about your favorite defensive prop

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Speaker 1: where you're going for it.

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Speaker 2: Let's go with Sean Gary over half a sack. It's

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Speaker 2: plus one thirty five on hard rock right now, and

329
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Speaker 2: Jane Daniels is elusive, right and he can break away.

330
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Speaker 2: I was debating between this one, and I believe his

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Speaker 2: rushing his longest rush was fifteen and a half yards,

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Speaker 2: kind of like that one as well. Decided to go

333
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Speaker 2: with the sack here though, because look, he took forty

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Speaker 2: seven sacks last year. He was a rookie, right, I understand,

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Speaker 2: but he also was I believe he was sixth in

336
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Speaker 2: pressure to sack rate.

337
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Speaker 3: It's not good.

338
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Speaker 2: That's bottom ten and seventh in longest time to throw,

339
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Speaker 2: so he holds onto the ball a little bit too long.

340
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Speaker 2: I just think Green Bay is going to get great pressure,

341
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Speaker 2: and sure, I want to go Micha Parsons, but there's

342
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Speaker 2: two things with Michael Parsons short week. He has this

343
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Speaker 2: back issue already. Yeah, so not my favorite, and it's

344
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Speaker 2: juice to hell. It's not good. It's not a good bet.

345
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Speaker 2: So Seun Gary had a sack last week. He's healthier

346
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Speaker 2: and plays on the I believe he plays on the

347
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Speaker 2: other side of Trent Williams as well. So yeah, let's

348
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Speaker 2: go for Shaun Gary over half a sack for plus money.

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Speaker 1: I like to remember, if you need more help with

350
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Speaker 1: your prop bets, let the Betting Pros app help you.

351
00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:29,200
Speaker 1: Download the Banking Pros app and look for the prop

352
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Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet. We use it all the time, every

353
00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,440
Speaker 1: single day, every single week when we're putting together our

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Speaker 1: bets here on the NFL channel, so make sure you're

355
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Speaker 1: doing that as well. Don't be a tool. Use the tools.

356
00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:42,040
Speaker 1: Go to bangpros dot com slash props and again it's

357
00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:45,360
Speaker 1: got everything passing, rushing, receiving, stack categories and it shows

358
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Speaker 1: you the best lines along with the fantasy projections and

359
00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:51,040
Speaker 1: it shows you where the variance is so you can

360
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Speaker 1: make the best prop bets anywhere on the planet. So

361
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Speaker 1: if you're following last week we talked about Bucky Irving

362
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Speaker 1: Unders on the other show. We talked all kinds of

363
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Speaker 1: things on the prop show, So make sure you're with

364
00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:03,280
Speaker 1: us for all this, and use the proper bet cheat

365
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Speaker 1: sheet on your own too. It's fun, it's a good time,

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Speaker 1: all right, Let's talk a little SGP or should I

367
00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:14,360
Speaker 1: say SG Joey P because we're renaming the segment after

368
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Speaker 1: week one. Week one is the worst Scott Bogman, it

369
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Speaker 1: really is. It's it's always crazy. What did I say

370
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Speaker 1: last week? I say, I said, let's just bet what

371
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Speaker 1: we know. That what we understand, we understand Jalen Hurts,

372
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Speaker 1: we understand Derek Henry. That's what we did last week.

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Speaker 1: We didn't go crazy all over the place. In Week one,

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Speaker 1: I practiced discipline. I preached discipline, and today I'm going

375
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Speaker 1: to be a little less disciplined, just a little bit,

376
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Speaker 1: just a little, not a lot, just a little bit.

377
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Speaker 1: So here's the thought process. I said earlier that I

378
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Speaker 1: do like the Green Bay Packers. On the money line,

379
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Speaker 1: you get minus one eighty four on some spots here

380
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Speaker 1: minus one sixty four and some others. It depends on

381
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Speaker 1: where you're looking for. So here you go. If you

382
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Speaker 1: take the money line and you take two things which

383
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Speaker 1: I think are going to be pretty strong. The first

384
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Speaker 1: is Deebo Samuel over fifty one and a half receiving

385
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Speaker 1: yards at minus one fourteen. He had ten targets last

386
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Speaker 1: week he got seven for seventy seven. He's very highly

387
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Speaker 1: involved in the offense. I think fifty one is a

388
00:17:11,080 --> 00:17:14,280
Speaker 1: very reasonable number for him to go over, even considering,

389
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Speaker 1: you know, whatever you think of how good that Packer

390
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Speaker 1: defense is. There you go.

391
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Speaker 3: Now.

392
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Speaker 1: The other thing that I like, too is the zach

393
00:17:24,080 --> 00:17:27,479
Speaker 1: Ertz anytime touchdown score, which you're getting at plus two seventy. Now,

394
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Speaker 1: that's a big number box. But if you look at

395
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Speaker 1: what happened last week, the one thing that really did

396
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Speaker 1: kind of stick out to me in that Packers Lions

397
00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:36,320
Speaker 1: game was Sam Laporta getting six catches for seventy nine

398
00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:38,360
Speaker 1: and just being a problem there. And when you get

399
00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:41,399
Speaker 1: into the red zone with this team here of the

400
00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:44,560
Speaker 1: Washington Commanders, you gotta worry about j Cory krossky Merritt now,

401
00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:47,280
Speaker 1: but you definitely have to worry about Deebo Samuel two,

402
00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:50,280
Speaker 1: and of course you're always worrying about Jayden Daniels. You

403
00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:52,720
Speaker 1: can't guard everybody and to me, zach Ertz is that

404
00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:55,560
Speaker 1: one guy that can kind of slip underneath their easy

405
00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:58,560
Speaker 1: red zone, easy goal line target. There you saw it

406
00:17:58,640 --> 00:18:01,679
Speaker 1: last week. I just that's what Jayden Daniels likes to

407
00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:04,000
Speaker 1: do because again he's the open guy down there. You

408
00:18:04,040 --> 00:18:06,720
Speaker 1: can't defend everybody. So here's the thing. If you take

409
00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:09,600
Speaker 1: that anytime touchdown from zach Ertz, put it with Deebo

410
00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:12,040
Speaker 1: Samuel for the over and receiving yards at fifty one

411
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Speaker 1: and a half, along with the packers on the money line,

412
00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:15,600
Speaker 1: you can get this one all the way up to

413
00:18:15,680 --> 00:18:19,480
Speaker 1: plus nine hundred. Now, look, you can keep this and

414
00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:21,439
Speaker 1: slice it a little bit too. You could take the

415
00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:23,560
Speaker 1: money line with the touchdown, score the money line with

416
00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:25,480
Speaker 1: debo and you're gonna get like two or three to one.

417
00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,080
Speaker 1: That's also fine too if you're not in for the

418
00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:30,560
Speaker 1: third leg of the parlay. That again, when you add

419
00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:33,399
Speaker 1: more variants, you add more failure. But Boggs, what do

420
00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:35,160
Speaker 1: you think nine to one? That seems like a pretty

421
00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:36,680
Speaker 1: good odds there, And I don't think these things are

422
00:18:36,680 --> 00:18:37,240
Speaker 1: far fetched.

423
00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:39,080
Speaker 3: Nine to one is crazy.

424
00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:42,280
Speaker 2: I mean that's a you know, that's a wing in

425
00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:46,439
Speaker 2: a prayer bet for the most point but I really

426
00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:49,040
Speaker 2: like the first two parts of this, So to me,

427
00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:51,280
Speaker 2: I take the first two parts of this, green Bay

428
00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:55,320
Speaker 2: on the money line and the debo over and find

429
00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:57,600
Speaker 2: something else you like, find one other thing you like,

430
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Speaker 2: and then maybe that's a little bit more safer than

431
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Speaker 2: a touchdown.

432
00:19:01,080 --> 00:19:01,400
Speaker 3: That's all.

433
00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,639
Speaker 1: Well, you're getting just about like I said, you'll get

434
00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:05,199
Speaker 1: two to one on that one if you do it.

435
00:19:05,640 --> 00:19:07,200
Speaker 2: So, yeah, two to one. But if you add something

436
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:09,080
Speaker 2: else in that you feels a little bit, say.

437
00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:10,960
Speaker 1: One of Bog's picks that you think is very simple here,

438
00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:12,960
Speaker 1: there's a lot of ways to do this. The other

439
00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:14,440
Speaker 1: one is if you take green Bay on the money

440
00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:18,439
Speaker 1: line and the touchdown of zach Ertz, that gets you

441
00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:22,400
Speaker 1: to four and a half to one. So again you're

442
00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:24,040
Speaker 1: basically you can go to two and a half two

443
00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:27,040
Speaker 1: to one. You're gonna go over four to one either

444
00:19:27,080 --> 00:19:29,359
Speaker 1: way if you want to get crazy and throw in

445
00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:31,640
Speaker 1: again just the money line. We're not talking about points.

446
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:35,560
Speaker 1: We're not who's gonna win. It's week two. Team's gotta

447
00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:38,000
Speaker 1: travel and let's not forget too. Like Lafleur and Quinn

448
00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:40,240
Speaker 1: have a history, right Lafloor work for Dan Quinn. There's

449
00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:42,840
Speaker 1: a familiarity there between these coaches and the styles of

450
00:19:42,840 --> 00:19:44,000
Speaker 1: what they want to do. That's why I think that

451
00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:46,000
Speaker 1: under that you're talking about it's kind of interesting too.

452
00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:48,920
Speaker 1: But that is my approach with the parlay. Let's see

453
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:50,800
Speaker 1: if it works out. If I go three and oh,

454
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:54,080
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna retire. I'm just gonna retire, get a

455
00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:54,640
Speaker 1: house down in.

456
00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:56,840
Speaker 3: Both all downhill from here, it's all down down from there.

457
00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,560
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk touchdowns here, Scott Boggman, because that's

458
00:19:59,560 --> 00:20:03,000
Speaker 1: always a fun time. And of course don't forget we

459
00:20:03,080 --> 00:20:05,440
Speaker 1: have tools for that too. But going back to Parlay's

460
00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:07,240
Speaker 1: real quick just a reminder of the same game. Parlay

461
00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:09,080
Speaker 1: tools also in the Betting pros app So if you

462
00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:11,560
Speaker 1: haven't used it yet, you should because what we're talking

463
00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:13,320
Speaker 1: about is the correlations, Like if you see the game

464
00:20:13,359 --> 00:20:15,800
Speaker 1: going a certain way, or if you use like Bogman's got,

465
00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:18,120
Speaker 1: you know, certain props that he likes, Well what correlates

466
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:20,400
Speaker 1: with those props? You know, if you like a quarterback

467
00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:22,440
Speaker 1: to have a big night, well, which receiver is gonna

468
00:20:22,440 --> 00:20:25,160
Speaker 1: go with him? The correlation stuff really helps. So use

469
00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,240
Speaker 1: the SGP tool on the Betting pros app. There you

470
00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:29,520
Speaker 1: go shameless promotion. All right, let's get to the touchdown

471
00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:30,000
Speaker 1: calls box.

472
00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:30,359
Speaker 3: What do you have?

473
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:34,680
Speaker 2: You know got the first one. Mark Andrews had one

474
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:37,520
Speaker 2: catch in the Sun and Night game. Completely wrong about that.

475
00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:41,560
Speaker 2: They just got up too big, too fast. So this one,

476
00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:44,520
Speaker 2: I think, let's just go back to Tucker Craft plus

477
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,840
Speaker 2: two to twenty right here had an end zone target

478
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:49,520
Speaker 2: and a score. Last weekend we talked about how bad

479
00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:53,520
Speaker 2: these linebackers have been in coverage and the one dude

480
00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:57,040
Speaker 2: that's on the field constantly outside of him and Jacobson

481
00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:59,680
Speaker 2: the offensive line of love. The wide receivers are banged

482
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:03,720
Speaker 2: up and switching around too much. Don't really trust too

483
00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:06,440
Speaker 2: many scores for Washington with the screen bay defense. So

484
00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:08,560
Speaker 2: Tucker Craft it is for me at doubling up your

485
00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:10,560
Speaker 2: money a little better than that plus two twenty.

486
00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:13,400
Speaker 1: All right, I'm sticking with what I started with last Thursday,

487
00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:15,320
Speaker 1: and I carried over to Sunday night. So we did

488
00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:18,560
Speaker 1: the guys who are most likely to score touchdowns and

489
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:21,080
Speaker 1: who are in the minus money. So instead what we

490
00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:23,440
Speaker 1: do is we chop out the second half of the

491
00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:25,720
Speaker 1: game and we take the first half of the game,

492
00:21:25,760 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 1: and we flip that minus money to plus. I'm gonna

493
00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 1: do it a third straight game. This time, I'm gonna

494
00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:31,639
Speaker 1: do it with Josh Jacobs because I am two and

495
00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:34,560
Speaker 1: zero calling touchdowns and I want to keep this train rolling.

496
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:37,200
Speaker 1: That's what I want to do. So give me two

497
00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:39,359
Speaker 1: for two. I want to go three for three Josh

498
00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 1: Jacobs plus one twenty anytime touchdown. First half of the game.

499
00:21:43,359 --> 00:21:45,720
Speaker 1: I want them to come out early, assert their dominance

500
00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:47,560
Speaker 1: with the run. As you said, a lot of receivers

501
00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 1: are hurt, you don't have a lot of options. I

502
00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:51,360
Speaker 1: think Josh Jacob is a very safe bet there. So

503
00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:53,960
Speaker 1: I like the way Jordan Love looked looked healthy. Again,

504
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:56,439
Speaker 1: that's a good thing. And again short week. I just

505
00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:59,120
Speaker 1: think that Green Bay is going to find a way

506
00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:01,040
Speaker 1: to come out in this game.

507
00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:01,439
Speaker 3: Bogs.

508
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:05,200
Speaker 1: Any other things to add for Thursday Night Football before

509
00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:05,560
Speaker 1: we call it.

510
00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:08,240
Speaker 2: A day here, No, I think that's everything for me.

511
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:09,760
Speaker 2: It's gonna be a good one. I like that we

512
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:12,640
Speaker 2: have some good games here. I like I'm Matt immediately

513
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,320
Speaker 2: getting Cleveland versus Miami or anything on Thursday Night football.

514
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:17,720
Speaker 1: So God, I like this Thursday Night slate.

515
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:20,280
Speaker 2: But I feel I think next week might be good too.

516
00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:21,600
Speaker 2: If I'm not mistaken.

517
00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:23,679
Speaker 1: I feel like at some point we're gonna be like

518
00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:25,400
Speaker 1: on a string of those kind of games. Though, because

519
00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 1: that's every year Thursday night football.

520
00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:29,679
Speaker 2: Then you have to bet to make them fun. It

521
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:31,680
Speaker 2: is is Buffalo Miami next week?

522
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,160
Speaker 1: So well that could be fun depending on your point

523
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:34,560
Speaker 1: of view.

524
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:37,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, if your Bills fan's real fun?

525
00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:41,160
Speaker 1: Oh man, what's what's the spread for that game? Let's

526
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:43,200
Speaker 1: say the Dolphins lose to the Patriots, which I don't

527
00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:46,239
Speaker 1: think they're going to but let's see that happens. What

528
00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:48,320
Speaker 1: do you think thirteen and a half?

529
00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:52,040
Speaker 3: There, it's it's in Buffalo too. I think thirteen and

530
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:52,359
Speaker 3: a half.

531
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:55,000
Speaker 2: My first thought was over two touchdowns, so fourteen and

532
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:56,480
Speaker 2: a half was my initial thought.

533
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 3: I think it opens in that neighborhood.

534
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:02,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's gonna be fun. Well, luckily we're gonna be

535
00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 1: in your neighborhood. And as Bogman said, boring games can

536
00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 1: only be made entertaining with a little wagering, but a

537
00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:10,560
Speaker 1: little action. We're here to help you do that. So

538
00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:13,000
Speaker 1: great stuff is always from Scott Bogman. Don't forget to

539
00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:16,360
Speaker 1: download the betting pros app today. Bet smarter, not harder,

540
00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 1: and of course, make sure you build all of those

541
00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:22,120
Speaker 1: parlays and place all those bets at our sponsor hard

542
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,800
Speaker 1: wreck Bets, bet five bucks, get one hundred and fifteen

543
00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:26,840
Speaker 1: bonus bets when you do that'll do it for us,

544
00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Scott Bog.

545
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:31,000
Speaker 1: But I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids.

546
00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:34,240
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

547
00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:36,639
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

548
00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:40,080
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

549
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:43,000
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550
00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:46,720
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551
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:57,240
Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros