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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also. All right, here we go.

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Speaker 2: We're throwing in so spec I'm sitting it to cash Toto.

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Speaker 1: That we'll see most gambles when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 1: they go to winning. That's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Being bank small banks, I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is the ultimate kabine you want to pass.

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Speaker 2: And we are under way. Welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 4: I am your host, Evan Abrams and I am joined today,

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Speaker 4: but no one another then Joe Gallant for today's best

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Speaker 4: Bets episode.

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Speaker 2: But before we get to those, we've got.

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Speaker 4: A few trends, some talking points. We'll go around the

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Speaker 4: league a little roundtable style. This will be a funny

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Speaker 4: pod to discuss.

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Speaker 2: So Joe, what's up? How you doing? Man?

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Speaker 1: Good man? I haven't. We haven't done a show together

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Speaker 1: since the super Bowl, so we've been talking and whatever else.

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Speaker 1: But again, I'm just very curious to see some of

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Speaker 1: the trends and the things that have been going on

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Speaker 1: this season as we go, because some of the data

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Speaker 1: that you have has been invaluable as the season is

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Speaker 1: going on.

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Speaker 4: Well, listen, I'll say this, since you and I did

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Speaker 4: a podcast together from the Super Bowl. The Chiefs still

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Speaker 4: haven't lost, so it's been fantastic. But listen, let's get

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Speaker 4: into some of the data. Now. We're going to start

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Speaker 4: with some buying and selling when it comes to teams.

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Speaker 4: So you've got two teams you want to buy with

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Speaker 4: losing records, and then I will kind of dive into

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Speaker 4: what I think and then we'll go from there.

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Speaker 2: So sure we'll you know, started off here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so I did one for each conference because essentially

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Speaker 1: it's like looking at all, right, is this team just

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Speaker 1: this bad? Is this are they either a record or

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Speaker 1: is there actually room to grow? So this team we

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Speaker 1: bet on to miss the playoffs. I remember last year

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Speaker 1: when we were coming into the season. This year, I'm

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Speaker 1: sure there were people even still not quite fully on

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Speaker 1: the hype train. I think now is the time to

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Speaker 1: maybe buy the New York Jets because look, they're three

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Speaker 1: and six. You could argue they could be five and

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Speaker 1: four if they had a real viable kicker. They're actually

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Speaker 1: twenty fourth in our luck rankings done by Nick Giffen

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Speaker 1: based on expected scores of their remaining eight games. They

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Speaker 1: have what I would call three tough games, which are

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Speaker 1: basically teams that are at five hundred or better, and

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Speaker 1: when you look at who they are, it's the Bills, Rams,

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Speaker 1: and Cardinals. I don't know if I will put the

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Speaker 1: Rams and Cardinals in that category of tough opponents yet,

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Speaker 1: but again, only three teams left with a five hundred

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Speaker 1: or better record. Their remaining strength of schedule, according to FTN,

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Speaker 1: is the third easiest the rest of the way, and

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Speaker 1: they're only facing one team that is a top ten

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Speaker 1: in defensive DVOA versus the pass, and that's the Buffalo Bills.

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Speaker 1: The rest of the way, their passing game should be

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Speaker 1: much more effective, and I think we need to get

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Speaker 1: on them now because if they win this week against Arizona,

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Speaker 1: I think the door is wide open. Looking really at

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Speaker 1: their regular season win total, which is around seven and

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Speaker 1: a half plus one twenty five to the over, That's

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Speaker 1: how I would approach this, and if you really want

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Speaker 1: to get spicy, you could maybe even take them to

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Speaker 1: make the playoffs around plus three seventy k Jets is

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Speaker 1: the first team that I'm saying that I think we

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Speaker 1: need to start buying for the remainder of the season.

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Speaker 1: What do you think of that, Evan?

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Speaker 4: Well, listen, Strength to Schedule, I was on it because

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Speaker 4: even with just win percentage, I'm looking at it right now,

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Speaker 4: they have the fifth easiest and in terms of easier

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Speaker 4: in the AFC, it's just Miami and Indie. So I

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Speaker 4: completely agree with you, and we said this about a

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Speaker 4: week ago that it's just trending in the right direction.

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Speaker 4: Now this week is massive and the market's kind of

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Speaker 4: moving their way. They're up to one and a half

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Speaker 4: point road favorites. But if they get this one, they

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Speaker 4: got Indy at home and then the bye, you're really

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Speaker 4: looking in a positive direction.

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Speaker 2: So I like it absolutely.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, Yeah, the Jets, to me, I think is

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Speaker 1: the team in the AFC. In the NFC though, and

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Speaker 1: again they just came off a loss to that Kansas

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Speaker 1: City Chiefs team Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and I think you

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Speaker 1: have to play them now before they play the forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers because right now you're seeing it. Their playoff

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Speaker 1: prices are pretty much the same as what their money

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Speaker 1: line prices this week. It's around plus two hundred to

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Speaker 1: win outright against the forty nine ers, which may grow

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Speaker 1: the spread keeps going. Because it was round five and

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Speaker 1: a half, it's probably gonna get the six and a

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Speaker 1: half by kickoff. But what I'm trying to say is

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Speaker 1: that if you think they're gonna make the playoffs, which

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Speaker 1: I do, you want to bet the money line and

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Speaker 1: you could double down on the playoff price because if

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Speaker 1: they beat San Francisco and go to five and five,

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Speaker 1: pretty much a clear path to ten wins, because after

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Speaker 1: the Niners game, they've got the Giants, got the Panthers

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Speaker 1: still twice this year, the Raiders, the Cowboys, the Saints,

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Speaker 1: and the Chargers. Rather so, if you look at the

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Speaker 1: remainder of the schedule for the Bucks, they're gonna be

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Speaker 1: favored in six of those seven games, and according to

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Speaker 1: FTN as well, they have the easiest schedule the rest

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Speaker 1: of the way. Mike Evans is going to be coming

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Speaker 1: back here soon. That should be a nice little bulst

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Speaker 1: for their offense. So outside of them in the NFC,

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Speaker 1: when you start to look at those mid tier teams

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Speaker 1: like maybe with losing records, who could maybe sneak back

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Speaker 1: into the playoffs, I don't see any other team right

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Speaker 1: now in the NFC. I feel like the playoff picture

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Speaker 1: is pretty set outside of Tampa and San Francisco. So

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Speaker 1: I think Tampa is the team that I would be

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Speaker 1: looking at and I think you can get them both

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Speaker 1: on their money line and the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we had the Jets at the fifth easiest. Well,

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Speaker 2: you pick the easiest.

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Speaker 4: So Tampa has the easiest strength of schedule in terms

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Speaker 4: of like just win percentage. It's crazy. It's at thirty

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Speaker 4: one point nine percent for their opponents. So they do

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Speaker 4: have a very easy rest of the way, and boy,

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Speaker 4: would a win this week again. San Francisco kind of

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Speaker 4: start them on that track. And you've got Baker banged

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Speaker 4: up right now, but it looks like he's going to go. Uh.

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Speaker 4: He did say he'll be out there, but probably won't

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Speaker 4: practice up to the week all.

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Speaker 2: So let me give you my two buys.

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Speaker 4: So I went at this at completely different angles, so

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Speaker 4: this should be fun.

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Speaker 3: One.

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Speaker 4: The one I really do want to pick is San Francisco,

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Speaker 4: but it's illegal based off of what we've put here.

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Speaker 4: I'm not going to do it because of just their

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Speaker 4: record and the situation. But I think this is the

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Speaker 4: time everyone's coming back. I think you can get thirteen fourteen,

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Speaker 4: maybe even fifteen to one right now at the Super

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Speaker 4: Bowl at some books. I think it's an interesting vibe

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Speaker 4: based off of the schedule, which isn't super easy, but

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Speaker 4: they also haven't been playing great and their red zone

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Speaker 4: has been bottom five in the league, which I think

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Speaker 4: should turn around and it'll help. But we're not going

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Speaker 4: to go that route. And for the other team I picked,

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Speaker 4: I'm not even talking playoffs. I'm more talking about buying

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Speaker 4: in terms of against the spread a little suit like

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Speaker 4: I think the rest of the way, there's a chance

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Speaker 4: today's finished two games above five hundred.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go.

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Speaker 4: This might sound crazy, but I'll go Tennessee. Uh they're

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Speaker 4: actually one in seven against the spread right now, and

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Speaker 4: they have you know, they have a top twelve toughest

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Speaker 4: remaining schedule, which means the lines are going to be

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Speaker 4: continue to be very very high in their games.

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Speaker 2: Uh So I think Tennessee.

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Speaker 4: You know one angle, I'll say teams with twenty percent

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Speaker 4: ATS win percentage of this late in the season are

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Speaker 4: about sixty three to sixty five percent, depending on high

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Speaker 4: you go. So if they continue to cover games, you're

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Speaker 4: still in that zone. If they lose another one, I

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Speaker 4: still think they're going to finish above six games below

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Speaker 4: five hundred ATS. So I can't believe I you know,

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Speaker 4: I went this route, but I'll say Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think with the forty nine ers, like if

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Speaker 1: you're gonna take them, you have to take them now,

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Speaker 1: because let's say they spank the Bucks this week, they're odds.

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Speaker 1: They're already kind of steamed, even with their record as

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Speaker 1: it is, especially if they're still favored to win the

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Speaker 1: NFC West, for example. So I think that's the one

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Speaker 1: thing with the Niners. I think if we were to

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Speaker 1: do that, you almost want to take them on a

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Speaker 1: game by game basis or take them outright to win

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, which I think you're right is the

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Speaker 1: best value Tennessee though sneaky good defense like top ten

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Speaker 1: and DEFENSI dvowave, pass and rush. Obviously, offensively they're quite

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Speaker 1: limited depending on how you feel about Mason Rudolph and

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Speaker 1: Will Levis. But I think you're right in a sense

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Speaker 1: that they are very much feisty, like they're very much

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Speaker 1: like a defensive first team, Like their offense isn't really

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Speaker 1: going to be the thing that really puts them over

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Speaker 1: the top. And I think they've got some easier opponents

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Speaker 1: coming up, definitely some divisional games where I think we

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Speaker 1: could get on Tennessee as well, I got a couple

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Speaker 1: of teams though that I'm fading with winning records. I

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Speaker 1: don't know how you feel about that. So the one

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Speaker 1: team though that I'm fading with a winning record, I

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Speaker 1: don't know how you feel about them. But the Denver Broncos,

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Speaker 1: I'm actually eyeing the under on their win total at

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Speaker 1: seven and a half. It's around plus one twenty five.

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Speaker 1: This team is just complete overachieving, yes man. Like their

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Speaker 1: last three wins are against teams that were quarterbacked by

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Speaker 1: Bryce Young, Spencer Ratler, and Gardner Minshew. Those teams have

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Speaker 1: a combined six wins. They just don't have a playoff offense.

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Speaker 1: A lot of it is it's a lot of the

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Speaker 1: same things that we saw last year with Russell Wilson.

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Speaker 1: And there is no chance that I will say that

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Speaker 1: both Knicks is on the level of Russell Wilson throwing

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Speaker 1: the ball. They're twenty fourth and dvawa on offense Bonnix,

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Speaker 1: As I just mentioned five games this season with zero

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Speaker 1: touchdown passes and the remaining schedule, they still got the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs twice, the Falcons, the Chargers. What that means though,

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Speaker 1: is that for their margin of error, they have to

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Speaker 1: be perfect against teams that are pretty good like Cleveland, Indie,

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Speaker 1: Cincy just to be in contention for the playoffs or

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Speaker 1: get to eight wins. So, I mean, the cool story

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Speaker 1: about the Denver Broncos. They did go over their preseason

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Speaker 1: win total around five and a half, Like that's cool,

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Speaker 1: But they don't have the depth offensively to compete against

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Speaker 1: the top teams in the AFC. I just think there's

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Speaker 1: too much of a slim margin for error, especially if

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Speaker 1: their defense isn't playing well. So I'm selling Denver in

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Speaker 1: the second half have both ats, like I'm out on

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Speaker 1: that team.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: It's actually funny before you go into your last one,

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Speaker 4: I had looked at the schedule before even looking at

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Speaker 4: the rundown. I picked Denver as well. So there's six

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Speaker 4: and three against spread. They have the fourth hardest remaining

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Speaker 4: strength to schedule. They still have the Chiefs twice. I

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Speaker 4: just think they'll finish below five hundred the rest of

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Speaker 4: the way. That would be the prediction right now, and

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Speaker 4: so that's what we're going with. It's funny, you had that,

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Speaker 4: all right, you got one more?

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Speaker 1: What do you got one more? And it's in the

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Speaker 1: NFC And this is gonna make me sound like a

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Speaker 1: hater because I'm a Cowboys fan and this team just

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Speaker 1: completely demolished them last year in the playoffs. I'm kind

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Speaker 1: of fading Green Bay here. I'm eyeing the under on

225
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Speaker 1: their win total at ten and a half, it's around

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Speaker 1: minus one ten and again a bit of a hot

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Speaker 1: take there. At six and three, they're likely to make

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Speaker 1: the playoffs. I'm just out on this team offensively, especially

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Speaker 1: with the way that Jordan Love has looked this year.

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Speaker 1: Ten interceptions in seven games this year. For Jordan Love,

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Speaker 1: to put that in perspective, he had eleven interceptions in

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Speaker 1: seventeen games last year. He clearly isn't healthy Evan like

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Speaker 1: we saw with the knee injury, he had a groin

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Speaker 1: injury as well. And you look at the last two games.

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Speaker 1: That pick six against the Lions, I thought completely lost

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Speaker 1: the game for them because they were driving in contention,

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Speaker 1: and then they completely it was only seven to three,

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Speaker 1: and then you know, obviously that next touchdown. And then

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Speaker 1: you look at the Packers upcoming schedule. They're facing some

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Speaker 1: tough pass defenses over the next couple of weeks. They've

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Speaker 1: got Chicago in Chicago, They've got San Francisco Detroit. Like again,

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Speaker 1: I think they're gonna get the wild card spot, but

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Speaker 1: I think they're gonna finish at ten wins on the dots.

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Speaker 1: So that's why I'm looking at green Bay under ten

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Speaker 1: and a half wins in the NFC.

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Speaker 4: Took it right out of my mouth, the words I agree.

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Speaker 4: I was looking at the schedule at Chicago, San Francisco, Miami,

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Speaker 4: at Detroit, at Seattle. It gets pretty tough after the

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Speaker 4: buye so I like that one. That's interesting. All right,

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Speaker 4: you're the touchdown man, so let's get into some of

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Speaker 4: these touchdown picks. You're gonna give us three touchdown picks

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Speaker 4: from three separate games, and then for each of the games,

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna give you maybe a prop I like, and

254
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Speaker 4: I'm looking at as well. So you're starting, all right

255
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Speaker 4: with the Germany game.

256
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Speaker 2: What do you got? What are you looking at?

257
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Speaker 1: Yeah, this one's This one's the layup pick. If I

258
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Speaker 1: had to pick, it's Tyrone Tracy to score a touchdown.

259
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Speaker 1: He's around plus one oh five. I'm actually shocked that

260
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Speaker 1: he has plus odds because this Panthers run defense just

261
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Speaker 1: been a joke for the majority of the year. They

262
00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:18,400
Speaker 1: rank last in defensive dv Away versus the run, They've

263
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Speaker 1: given up fifteen rushing touchdowns. That's last in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: Tyrone Tracy like, you're you're maybe not as much of

265
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Speaker 1: a Giants man as you were when you're growing up,

266
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Speaker 1: but I'm sure you still follow the Giants closely. You know,

267
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Speaker 1: Tracy's looked pretty solid so far in comparison to Devin Singletary,

268
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Speaker 1: and they clearly favor him. Forty two carries for Tyrone

269
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Speaker 1: Tracy compared to only fourteen for Singletary over the last

270
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Speaker 1: three games. And as I mentioned, I think we're getting

271
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Speaker 1: plus odds because last week they had a pretty good

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Speaker 1: matchup against the Commanders, but we ended up getting vaulted

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Speaker 1: by Daniel Jones, who rushed for his first touchdown of

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Speaker 1: the year, and Chris Manherts tight end three ends up

275
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Speaker 1: scoring as well. So Tyrone Tracy, I think he's going

276
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Speaker 1: to have a really big game against the Panthers in Germany.

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Speaker 2: I like it so from my angle.

278
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Speaker 4: And also I'll say one more thing, Singletary and the

279
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Speaker 4: signing in the off season and everyone being so hyped

280
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Speaker 4: after Saque left and now all of a sudden he's

281
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Speaker 4: out of the mix and you're looking at someone younger.

282
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Speaker 4: It just proves all the decisions we're just out of whack.

283
00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:14,880
Speaker 4: But moving on from that, my prop, I like Eddie

284
00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:18,040
Speaker 4: Pinero kicking points over five and a half for Carolina

285
00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:22,000
Speaker 4: in this one. Ten's actually Action Network projections projecting about

286
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Speaker 4: six and a half. But the two reasons I like

287
00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:25,800
Speaker 4: it is I think the spreads a little bit too high.

288
00:12:25,840 --> 00:12:28,559
Speaker 4: I like Carolina. I also say to myself the Giants

289
00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:30,880
Speaker 4: what they do best is defense. They should be able

290
00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:32,920
Speaker 4: to stall Carolina in the red zone. You should get

291
00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,520
Speaker 4: a few opportunities here, so I'll go over five and

292
00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:38,160
Speaker 4: a half, either two field goals or most likely two

293
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Speaker 4: field goals. You're not gonna be relying on Bryce to

294
00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:42,719
Speaker 4: put up three or four touchdowns, but that is the prop.

295
00:12:42,800 --> 00:12:45,600
Speaker 4: The other two I looked at Tuba Hubbard over sixty

296
00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:47,880
Speaker 4: four and a half rushing yards, but the mix of

297
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Speaker 4: Brooks has me a little skittish on that one, even

298
00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:55,160
Speaker 4: though we're projecting in the seventies and actually interesting enough

299
00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:57,640
Speaker 4: running backs with a line of fifty plus versus the

300
00:12:57,640 --> 00:12:59,600
Speaker 4: Giants are four to one to the over and the

301
00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:03,680
Speaker 4: other one that was Bryce Young. The passing attempts it's

302
00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:06,360
Speaker 4: down to about twenty eight range. I was going to

303
00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:08,280
Speaker 4: go under thirty and a half because that's where it

304
00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:10,480
Speaker 4: was about twenty four hours ago. But it's gone down,

305
00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:15,320
Speaker 4: So pass out, all right, Next game San Francisco Tampa Bay.

306
00:13:15,360 --> 00:13:16,880
Speaker 2: You like a touchdown score? What do you got?

307
00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:20,600
Speaker 1: George Kittle like, Look, let's not overcomplicate this like it's

308
00:13:20,640 --> 00:13:23,760
Speaker 1: plus one forty and it should be. That's a fair price.

309
00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:25,480
Speaker 1: And that's actually a guy that I think has a

310
00:13:25,600 --> 00:13:28,160
Speaker 1: very good matchup because I mean he leads all tight

311
00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:30,880
Speaker 1: ends and touchdowns this year with six touchdowns, and the

312
00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:33,400
Speaker 1: Bucks they play zone at a top five rate, and

313
00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:36,920
Speaker 1: Kittle has historically been the Niners zone buster. He leads

314
00:13:36,920 --> 00:13:39,240
Speaker 1: a team in target share versus zone and the Bucks

315
00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:41,360
Speaker 1: they've given up four touchdowns and tight ends this year.

316
00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:44,360
Speaker 1: They're twenty ninth in defensive DV away against the position.

317
00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:47,320
Speaker 1: And I think another reason why I like Kittle instead

318
00:13:47,320 --> 00:13:48,600
Speaker 1: of trying to figure out if it's going to be

319
00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:51,839
Speaker 1: Deebo's week or Jwan's week or Christian McCaffrey's coming back

320
00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,679
Speaker 1: this week, he's one of the few Niners offensive weapons.

321
00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:57,040
Speaker 1: It doesn't really have a lot of competition at the position,

322
00:13:57,200 --> 00:13:58,520
Speaker 1: Like you know what I mean, Like you pick Debo

323
00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:01,040
Speaker 1: and then Jennings has a big game, You take McCaffrey

324
00:14:01,040 --> 00:14:03,880
Speaker 1: and then Jordan Mason scores very frustrating for a touchdown

325
00:14:03,880 --> 00:14:05,600
Speaker 1: better and at least that way with a guy like Kittle,

326
00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:07,920
Speaker 1: you know that there's not really much competition and you

327
00:14:07,960 --> 00:14:09,920
Speaker 1: know he's going to be heavily involved in pretty much

328
00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:12,240
Speaker 1: any scenario. So George Kittle is who I like to

329
00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,400
Speaker 1: score a touchdown against that Buccaneers defense.

330
00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:17,160
Speaker 4: I actually really like that thought process because you think

331
00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:19,440
Speaker 4: about it, with Mason and McCaffrey back and all the

332
00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:21,760
Speaker 4: injuries bringing people in and out of the lineup, you

333
00:14:21,840 --> 00:14:23,440
Speaker 4: kind of don't know where Perdy's going to go, and

334
00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:25,360
Speaker 4: the fact that they have struggled in the red zone.

335
00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:27,800
Speaker 4: You know he's going to go back to Kittle to

336
00:14:27,800 --> 00:14:28,600
Speaker 4: try to get that done.

337
00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:29,440
Speaker 2: So I like it.

338
00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:31,600
Speaker 4: From my point of view. It just continues to be

339
00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:35,000
Speaker 4: Kate Otton season. The props are a little scarce right now.

340
00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:36,880
Speaker 4: But I put this in my article this week, so

341
00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:39,480
Speaker 4: I will regurgitate a little bit. But after Monday Night football,

342
00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:44,080
Speaker 4: Aughton has twenty four first read targets or design targets.

343
00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:46,960
Speaker 4: That is, tied for the fifth most of any receiver

344
00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:49,160
Speaker 4: or tied in in the NFL in the last three weeks.

345
00:14:49,320 --> 00:14:52,520
Speaker 4: Without Evans and Godwin, he just continues to get all

346
00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:55,600
Speaker 4: of the looks, even first read looks. So you know,

347
00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:59,280
Speaker 4: assuming trailing game script San Francisco, many people like in

348
00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:01,680
Speaker 4: this spot. If not, they're going to be passing the ball.

349
00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:04,920
Speaker 4: So Kate otten Season. I did over four and a

350
00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:08,120
Speaker 4: half receptions last week, so let's run it back.

351
00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:10,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the receptions ladder would probably be the

352
00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:12,680
Speaker 1: best angle for him right now because his touchdown nods

353
00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:14,800
Speaker 1: are just getting steamed every week. By the time we

354
00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:16,800
Speaker 1: got to kick off against the Chiefs, it was around

355
00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:18,880
Speaker 1: like plus two twenty. Now I'm seeing like plus one

356
00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:22,000
Speaker 1: eighty against a pretty tough forty nine ers defense.

357
00:15:22,040 --> 00:15:23,960
Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, I'll go receptions there.

358
00:15:23,960 --> 00:15:25,920
Speaker 4: You're right, And even receiving yards give me a little

359
00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:28,400
Speaker 4: bit of pause, depending on you know where they are

360
00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:30,160
Speaker 4: in the game and how many yards, et cetera. So

361
00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:33,320
Speaker 4: receptions is probably a route, all right. Last game here,

362
00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:37,120
Speaker 4: oh boy, Chicago, New England, You're gonna somehow tell me

363
00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:38,320
Speaker 4: there's gonna be a touchdown here.

364
00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,680
Speaker 1: Well, if there is gonna be a touchdown, it's gonna

365
00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:43,200
Speaker 1: be from this guy, or at least if you're gonna

366
00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:46,320
Speaker 1: be taking a Patriots touchdown, I would prefer to go

367
00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:49,040
Speaker 1: after the value here with Hunter Henry at plus four

368
00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:52,160
Speaker 1: to ten because now with Drake maya quarterback, I think

369
00:15:52,160 --> 00:15:53,800
Speaker 1: the big thing that I would just say is the disclaimer.

370
00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:58,320
Speaker 1: Right now, right now we're recording on Thursday, there's gonna

371
00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:00,000
Speaker 1: be some win gusts like up to twenty five miles

372
00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:03,040
Speaker 1: per hour right now in Chicago's projected. But again weather

373
00:16:03,040 --> 00:16:04,560
Speaker 1: it can change as we go. But it is called

374
00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:07,600
Speaker 1: the Windy City for a reason. But again, Hunter Henry

375
00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:11,360
Speaker 1: leads the team targets, catches, yards, and with Drake May

376
00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:13,680
Speaker 1: at quarterback, he's got now twenty three targets over the

377
00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:17,440
Speaker 1: last three games, and May has clearly been looking for

378
00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:21,040
Speaker 1: him because four of the nine targets that Hunter Henry

379
00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:23,680
Speaker 1: saw in Week nine were actually in the red zone.

380
00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:26,360
Speaker 1: And Hunter Henry alike a lot of tight ends, but

381
00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:29,760
Speaker 1: Hunter Henry is clearly the best pass catcher against zone

382
00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:33,240
Speaker 1: defenses on this Patriots offense, and the Bears plays zone

383
00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:34,960
Speaker 1: at a top seven rate. He leads the team in

384
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:37,120
Speaker 1: yards form route run. He's also one of the only

385
00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:40,400
Speaker 1: two Patriots to score a touchdown on zone defenses this year.

386
00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:42,200
Speaker 1: So you want something maybe with a little bit more

387
00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:45,040
Speaker 1: of a shorter a dot, especially if you're playing against

388
00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:47,640
Speaker 1: a team that is pretty good defensively in the secondary,

389
00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:49,520
Speaker 1: but also if there's any type of elements we have

390
00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:51,120
Speaker 1: to deal with. So I wanted to give a little

391
00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:52,920
Speaker 1: bit of a long shot. I thought Hunter Henry at

392
00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:55,880
Speaker 1: four to one, scratch that itch like.

393
00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:58,400
Speaker 4: That, like that, that's good, especially at those odds too.

394
00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:01,360
Speaker 4: You assume he's a blanket. He's gonna get there from Drake,

395
00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:03,520
Speaker 4: all right. So my prop that I like, I'm gonna

396
00:17:03,520 --> 00:17:06,640
Speaker 4: look at a Swift over fifteen and a half receiving

397
00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:09,000
Speaker 4: yards and you're right with that weather. So it's looking

398
00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:11,679
Speaker 4: like fifteen mile an hour wins and it's gonna be

399
00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:16,840
Speaker 4: pretty steady throughout the game. So probably impacts Keenan, you know,

400
00:17:16,920 --> 00:17:18,960
Speaker 4: impacts Rome, but I don't know how much it'll impact

401
00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:21,560
Speaker 4: Swift if not make it more likely that you get

402
00:17:21,560 --> 00:17:24,800
Speaker 4: some dump offs and some easy yards there. So over

403
00:17:24,840 --> 00:17:26,400
Speaker 4: fifteen and a half, he's over the mark and six

404
00:17:26,440 --> 00:17:29,000
Speaker 4: in the last seven games. New England's also twenty six

405
00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:31,879
Speaker 4: Dvowa versus the run running backs in that sense, so

406
00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:33,280
Speaker 4: I think.

407
00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:34,080
Speaker 2: It's the right play.

408
00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:36,920
Speaker 4: And you also look at caleb'sa dot eleven to one

409
00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:39,760
Speaker 4: average depth of target, so I think they're gonna want

410
00:17:39,760 --> 00:17:43,080
Speaker 4: to get some easy completions, and that's eleven in those

411
00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:45,479
Speaker 4: last two games when they've only scored twenty four points.

412
00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:49,080
Speaker 4: So bring it back, make it easier. So Swift over

413
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:50,920
Speaker 4: fifteen and a half is the play.

414
00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:54,480
Speaker 1: I definitely think his stock is boosted too because Khalil

415
00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:57,800
Speaker 1: Herbert just got traded to sinc and Roshawn Johnson, even

416
00:17:57,800 --> 00:18:00,280
Speaker 1: though he is a little bit of a touchdown arling

417
00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,359
Speaker 1: of mine, just with because they'll price him at like

418
00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:05,240
Speaker 1: three to one. He's only really getting goal line carries.

419
00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:07,400
Speaker 1: They're not using him really at all between the twenties.

420
00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:10,440
Speaker 1: Also not really much of a pass catching threat. So again,

421
00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:12,520
Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift, I think is going to probably play a

422
00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:14,840
Speaker 1: good eighty percent of snaps, which is pretty good for

423
00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 1: a running back, which then leads to a very good

424
00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:19,560
Speaker 1: side where we could get over fourteen and a half carries.

425
00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:21,600
Speaker 2: Love it. Yeah, we're on the same page there. All right.

426
00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:24,920
Speaker 4: We're gonna go kind of fast here through some topics,

427
00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:28,440
Speaker 4: get through some roundtable discussion, and we're gonna start off

428
00:18:28,440 --> 00:18:32,200
Speaker 4: with some rookies. So this season, rookie quarterbacks are eleven

429
00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:35,200
Speaker 4: and oh against the spread when listed as a favorite,

430
00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:38,919
Speaker 4: and even overall, I believe they're like, you know, fifty

431
00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:41,800
Speaker 4: six six about sixty percent against the spread, but favorites

432
00:18:42,040 --> 00:18:44,720
Speaker 4: eleven and zer. So I'll ask you with Jadeen Daniels

433
00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:48,000
Speaker 4: minus three against the Steelers and Caleb Williams minus six

434
00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:50,480
Speaker 4: and a half against the Patriots, do both cover?

435
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,359
Speaker 2: Do one cover? Do neither cover? What's your thoughts here? Like?

436
00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:55,640
Speaker 1: Am I a jerk if I say neither that? Because

437
00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:59,000
Speaker 1: you can like, look if I have to fade one though,

438
00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:04,520
Speaker 1: I'm gonna faceug because their offense is broken, dysfunctional coaching

439
00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:06,720
Speaker 1: staff seems to have lost this team, especially on the

440
00:19:06,760 --> 00:19:10,399
Speaker 1: defensive side. And let's talk about Kable Williams for a second,

441
00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:13,920
Speaker 1: because why does he keep trying to pull this USCBS

442
00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:18,040
Speaker 1: in Chicago? Because the improv in the pocket, in my opinion,

443
00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:21,000
Speaker 1: is holding the offense back. He's not playing within the

444
00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:24,640
Speaker 1: system and he's constantly facing pressure. He got sacked six

445
00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:27,199
Speaker 1: times versus the Cardinals last week. I just want to

446
00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:30,760
Speaker 1: put that in perspective that Arizona is bottom five in

447
00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:33,480
Speaker 1: pressure and blitz rate this year. You should not be

448
00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:38,639
Speaker 1: getting sacked six times against that Cardinals defensive line. And again,

449
00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:41,719
Speaker 1: also from a defensive standpoint, Montes sweat a little bit

450
00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:43,760
Speaker 1: banged up. He's starting to practice again this week. But

451
00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:47,200
Speaker 1: again I'm just seeing a lot of wind. And what's

452
00:19:47,240 --> 00:19:50,080
Speaker 1: the Bears defensive weakness stopping the run their thirtieth in

453
00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:52,840
Speaker 1: defensive DVA versus the run. And if the Bears can't throw,

454
00:19:53,280 --> 00:19:55,560
Speaker 1: they can't run up the score on that Patriots team.

455
00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:57,840
Speaker 1: So I think six and a half is just too

456
00:19:57,840 --> 00:20:01,160
Speaker 1: many points for Chicago against New England. But for the Commanders,

457
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,680
Speaker 1: I'll keep it short. I just think we're buying high

458
00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:06,320
Speaker 1: if you're taking Washington right now in minus three, because

459
00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:10,840
Speaker 1: I'm sure you'll have a wealth of trends and data

460
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:13,760
Speaker 1: telling me about how Mike Tomlin does as an underdog,

461
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:16,840
Speaker 1: as an underdog on the road, as an underdog of

462
00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:19,399
Speaker 1: three or less, and you know that Steeers voodoo, with

463
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:22,679
Speaker 1: that secondary and the defensive stuff that's gonna happen. I

464
00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:26,080
Speaker 1: just would not trust either team laying these points.

465
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:29,399
Speaker 4: Yeah, I had just paused with Chicago and New England

466
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,800
Speaker 4: because there's just so many, especially with the win so many,

467
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:34,400
Speaker 4: and I don't trust either head coach in the game,

468
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:36,640
Speaker 4: which kind of gives me a pause. But I do

469
00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:39,240
Speaker 4: kind of like the Steelers. I gave this stat out

470
00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:41,680
Speaker 4: on the favorites earlier today and I will give it

471
00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:44,440
Speaker 4: again now. So everyone knows that Tomlin as a dog.

472
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,760
Speaker 4: Stat it's kind of everywhere. The way I wanted to

473
00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:49,520
Speaker 4: look at it was is how he does against elite offenses.

474
00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,399
Speaker 4: So he's actually twenty one fifteen and one against spread

475
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:55,879
Speaker 4: fifty eight percent when facing defenses, scoring twenty eight plus

476
00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,280
Speaker 4: points per game. When he's a dog in that, Spody's

477
00:20:58,320 --> 00:21:01,080
Speaker 4: fourteen and seven, and even with Big Ben he's four

478
00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 4: to two and one. So to me, it's the right number.

479
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:07,960
Speaker 4: I'd like three and a half, and honestly, at this point,

480
00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:10,120
Speaker 4: looking at the markets, I'm probably gonna wait. I don't

481
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:13,000
Speaker 4: think there's a necessity to bet it at this moment

482
00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:15,480
Speaker 4: going into the weekend, because I just think, you know,

483
00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 4: you might get three and a half and I don't

484
00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:20,120
Speaker 4: know if it's gonna move off that, but either way,

485
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:23,080
Speaker 4: I like Pittsburgh. All right, let's roll to the next

486
00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:28,199
Speaker 4: topic here. So Kansas City might be undefeated, but Detroit's

487
00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:30,280
Speaker 4: the hottest team at the moment. They've won and covered

488
00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:33,040
Speaker 4: six straight. So what do we think about a their

489
00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:36,000
Speaker 4: game this weekend and b do we find a time

490
00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:38,080
Speaker 4: that they're not gonna cover and it's gonna come back

491
00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:38,639
Speaker 4: down to Earth.

492
00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:41,240
Speaker 1: Well, looking at their upcoming schedule, I think the best

493
00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:44,119
Speaker 1: chance for them to fall short is this week against

494
00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:46,960
Speaker 1: Houston as three and a half point favorites. Because the

495
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:49,160
Speaker 1: way to get to Detroit is you got to get

496
00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:52,359
Speaker 1: to golf who has typically struggled versus pressure in his career,

497
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:55,480
Speaker 1: and the Texans defense, they get pressure their top five

498
00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:57,639
Speaker 1: and pressure rate per dropback. They also blitz at the

499
00:21:57,680 --> 00:22:00,159
Speaker 1: seventh highest rate. And I mentioned that because Golf off

500
00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:03,520
Speaker 1: has historically had a tougher time when he gets pressured.

501
00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:06,720
Speaker 1: His touchdown rate per drop back, his completion percentage, his yards,

502
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:09,920
Speaker 1: pert tempt, it all goes down when he sees pressure.

503
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:13,160
Speaker 1: So if the Texans, who are also fourth in defensive

504
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:17,600
Speaker 1: dvway and for stopping the run, if they can contain

505
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,320
Speaker 1: the run, they're going to be able to keep this

506
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:21,840
Speaker 1: game close. I think they could potentially win out right now.

507
00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:24,359
Speaker 1: I will say if Nico Collins comes back, you're going

508
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:28,479
Speaker 1: to see that point spread probably drop and go closer

509
00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:31,240
Speaker 1: to Houston. But I think even then it's not going

510
00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:33,440
Speaker 1: to go over where all of a sudden Houston is favored.

511
00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 1: I would just say that you might be able to

512
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:39,320
Speaker 1: get a little bit of injury news later closer to kickoff,

513
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:41,639
Speaker 1: where you might be able to get a little bit

514
00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:43,560
Speaker 1: better number on Detroit if you're going to do it.

515
00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:45,960
Speaker 1: But I think at this point you've got to take

516
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:47,720
Speaker 1: Houston this week at plus three and a half.

517
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:51,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, to me, it's either Houston or at Indy.

518
00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:53,600
Speaker 4: I kind of want to say at Indy, I sure

519
00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:56,520
Speaker 4: can't take it next week, which is they're at home

520
00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:59,880
Speaker 4: against Jacksonville, which is now could be mac Jones at quarter.

521
00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:02,640
Speaker 4: I mean, granted that spread might be fourteen plus by

522
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:05,560
Speaker 4: the time we get there. But the thing I do

523
00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:09,160
Speaker 4: so Nico Collins is obviously the biggest factor here. I've

524
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:11,880
Speaker 4: put in my articles recently just how they've performed without

525
00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:15,560
Speaker 4: him in the lineup, and Stroud just can't find anything downfield,

526
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:18,199
Speaker 4: and it's become, you know, just not as pretty as

527
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:20,479
Speaker 4: it was, and especially now without Diggs, we don't exactly

528
00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:23,040
Speaker 4: know how it's gonna look when Nico does come back.

529
00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:25,760
Speaker 4: The one angle I will say which has me kind

530
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:29,000
Speaker 4: of pointing towards Houston a little bit, is Stroud five

531
00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:30,920
Speaker 4: and ten against the spread as a favorite, he's seven

532
00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 4: and four as an underdog.

533
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,440
Speaker 2: So then the line.

534
00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 4: Itself and it was about four now down to three

535
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:38,920
Speaker 4: and a half would definitely be the reason I would

536
00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:41,000
Speaker 4: look there. But for some reason, I kind of want

537
00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:43,240
Speaker 4: to say the Colts. But hopefully it doesn't last that long.

538
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:47,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, Houston I think is the easiest choice

539
00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:50,160
Speaker 1: based on strength of schedule, the teams that they're facing. Sure,

540
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:52,480
Speaker 1: but I think at this point sometimes it is dependent

541
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 1: on the number. Like if there are like seventeen and

542
00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:56,880
Speaker 1: a half point favorites against Jacksonville and they just happen

543
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:58,960
Speaker 1: to get the garbage, yeah, then that still counts as

544
00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:02,479
Speaker 1: a loss. So I think Houston, especially as an outright loss,

545
00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:04,320
Speaker 1: I think that's probably the one that I would pick

546
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:06,040
Speaker 1: up the remaining teams that they have to face.

547
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:07,439
Speaker 2: I agree.

548
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:10,000
Speaker 4: All right, let's go to this last category here, So

549
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:13,200
Speaker 4: we're going to talk about interceptions, and now this is

550
00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:18,000
Speaker 4: your specialty. So we've got Herbert Hurts, Goff and Fields

551
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:21,440
Speaker 4: and Russ haven't thrown a pick since at least Week five,

552
00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 4: they've been on a stretch where they're just not throwing interception.

553
00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:25,720
Speaker 4: So I'm going to basically put it on you and me,

554
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:28,240
Speaker 4: which one of those quarterbacks do we think might throw

555
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:28,800
Speaker 4: a pick this week?

556
00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 2: Who do you like?

557
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,000
Speaker 1: Right well, I mean Justin Herbert is showing probably one

558
00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:33,880
Speaker 1: of the best values on the board right now. He's

559
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:37,240
Speaker 1: around cast one fifteen. Jalen Hurts not as much, but

560
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:40,040
Speaker 1: I still think that just because again I don'm not

561
00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:42,159
Speaker 1: sure how much you'll have to throw against the Cowboys

562
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:46,679
Speaker 1: this week. But again kind of piggybacking on what I

563
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:48,640
Speaker 1: just said about why I think the Texans can cover

564
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,159
Speaker 1: this week, I think Jared goff interception right now is

565
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:52,840
Speaker 1: the best value on the board at plus one point

566
00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:56,199
Speaker 1: thirty because he's been cleaning the last five games, and

567
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:58,080
Speaker 1: I think that's why we're getting this kind of value.

568
00:24:58,080 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 1: But I think his timing is going to be off

569
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:02,200
Speaker 1: because this pressure, and when you look at the data

570
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:04,760
Speaker 1: this year, he's thrown two of his four interceptions when

571
00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:08,000
Speaker 1: he's been blitzed three of four when pressured last year,

572
00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:11,119
Speaker 1: very much the same thing. Nine of his twelve interceptions

573
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:14,080
Speaker 1: last year came when he was pressured. I expect this

574
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 1: Texan secondary just to roam a lot because they have

575
00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 1: a lot of his own coverage and they are second in

576
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:23,119
Speaker 1: total passes defended and seventh in interception rate per dropbacks.

577
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:25,159
Speaker 1: So I think Jared Goff if he's put in a

578
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:27,520
Speaker 1: position where he's going to have to throw a lot.

579
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:29,880
Speaker 1: Now this isn't me saying that they're going to lose

580
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:32,200
Speaker 1: the game as a result. I'm just saying Jared Goff

581
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:34,840
Speaker 1: to throw an interception is my favorite interception bet of

582
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:35,200
Speaker 1: the week.

583
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:36,160
Speaker 2: Wow.

584
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:39,720
Speaker 4: Okay, wow, that is a step back from just picking

585
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:43,200
Speaker 4: between the four. So honestly, on my list was only

586
00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:46,959
Speaker 4: Herbert and Goff. So I agreed with you with the pressure,

587
00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:48,800
Speaker 4: and it was the same reason I think I like

588
00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:52,640
Speaker 4: Herbert a little bit better. Between Tennessee and Houston, both

589
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:54,520
Speaker 4: those quarterbacks are going to see a lot of pressure,

590
00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:57,520
Speaker 4: and this year Herbert's on his butt literally ten times

591
00:25:57,520 --> 00:25:59,480
Speaker 4: a game. It feels like whether it's a pressure or

592
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:03,360
Speaker 4: a hurry or a knockdown. And Harvaugh has honestly said

593
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:05,840
Speaker 4: it every week and he is a fighter out there,

594
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:08,320
Speaker 4: but at some point something might happen in that game,

595
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,359
Speaker 4: especially with what Tennessee brings forward, so I will go

596
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:13,040
Speaker 4: with Herbert. Okay, so we have a little bit of

597
00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:15,000
Speaker 4: time here, so let's keep rolling. We'll go to the

598
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:17,639
Speaker 4: next one. This is a fun one touchdown guy, so

599
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:19,800
Speaker 4: we're gonna go back to some touchdowns here a Sunday

600
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:23,840
Speaker 4: night football, Monday night football parlay, touchdown parlay. So all right,

601
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 4: what's your thought is here? You pick one from each game.

602
00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:28,400
Speaker 4: I'll let you go first, and funny enough, I think

603
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:29,400
Speaker 4: we might be on the same page.

604
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:29,920
Speaker 2: So what do you got?

605
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:30,200
Speaker 3: Yeah?

606
00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 1: All right, Well, for me for Sunday Night football, I'm

607
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:36,200
Speaker 1: looking at wide receivers, and right now it's wide receiver

608
00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:39,080
Speaker 1: one by default in Houston. But I still think Tank

609
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:41,120
Speaker 1: Dell is the guy that we want to take here

610
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:43,800
Speaker 1: for the Texans and pair him maybe with a mon

611
00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:46,800
Speaker 1: Ross Saint Brown, like you know, like right now those

612
00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:50,560
Speaker 1: two paired together, it's about plus four seventy five. I'm

613
00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:52,560
Speaker 1: not Ross Saint Brown. I probably won't get into too much.

614
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:55,560
Speaker 1: I mean, he's got touchdowns in six straight games. Just

615
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,520
Speaker 1: crush his own coverage. Dell, though, is the one that's

616
00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:01,439
Speaker 1: actually surprised me because last he was awesome versus his

617
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:04,640
Speaker 1: own coverages. This year, it's been way better against man coverages,

618
00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:07,080
Speaker 1: and he's the only Texans wide receiver this year to

619
00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:10,679
Speaker 1: catch a touchdown versus man defenses. That includes Nico Collins

620
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:13,160
Speaker 1: and Stefan Diggs. So I think those two is who

621
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:14,960
Speaker 1: I would look at for Sunday Night football. What do

622
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:15,720
Speaker 1: you think of those two?

623
00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:20,120
Speaker 4: I mean, Brown's scored in what five you said, six

624
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:23,480
Speaker 4: straight games. The thing with that is that it kind

625
00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,840
Speaker 4: of hits no matter what, right, depending on the circumstance,

626
00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:30,359
Speaker 4: like if they're losing, if yeah, depending on the game script.

627
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:33,080
Speaker 4: I feel good about that kind of in any circumstance.

628
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,760
Speaker 4: So I think I prefer the Aman ram more, and

629
00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 4: obviously that's priced in a little bit. It's interesting that

630
00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 4: you said Tank Dell because I had the same thought

631
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:45,200
Speaker 4: with Houston when I said to myself, Okay, someone's.

632
00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:47,280
Speaker 2: Got to do it. I kind of liked Schultz as

633
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:48,520
Speaker 2: the guy in that offense.

634
00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:51,879
Speaker 4: And I'm honestly a sucker for the tight end in

635
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:55,639
Speaker 4: some of these scenarios, especially because Stroud's trying to find

636
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 4: his way right now, and I think going to the

637
00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:00,879
Speaker 4: blanket might be a helpful thing, especially in the red zone.

638
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:03,879
Speaker 2: You know, if it's not mixing, which is the easy one.

639
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:07,520
Speaker 4: So I had two parlays here, so from Sunday, and

640
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:10,600
Speaker 4: I like Schultz. On the other side of that, I

641
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:12,080
Speaker 4: feel like the only other thing to do in that

642
00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:14,320
Speaker 4: game would be Montgomery. But it's just too easy and

643
00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:16,480
Speaker 4: everyone's going to do it. But who do you like

644
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:16,919
Speaker 4: in Monday?

645
00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:23,800
Speaker 1: All right, Monday? It's the same recipe, very similar results, Evan,

646
00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:26,399
Speaker 1: I don't know how we can't pick Cooper Cup. Like

647
00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:28,840
Speaker 1: Cooper Cup at plus one fourty and then obviously I

648
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:31,280
Speaker 1: sent you a note off air about Tyreek Hill. We

649
00:28:31,280 --> 00:28:33,240
Speaker 1: could talk about that more in a second. But you

650
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:36,200
Speaker 1: pay a Cooper Cup touchdown with Tyreek Hill touchdown, that's

651
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:39,800
Speaker 1: around plus four thirty. I mean Cooper Cup. He's got

652
00:28:39,800 --> 00:28:42,280
Speaker 1: forty nine targets and three and a half games played

653
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:46,160
Speaker 1: right now with Stafford, Like, it's been unreal how much

654
00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 1: he has been featured in just such little time. And

655
00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:51,440
Speaker 1: one thing I love about Cup is that it doesn't

656
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:54,000
Speaker 1: matter if it's man's own doesn't matter. You could double

657
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,000
Speaker 1: cover him and he probably will still catch that ball.

658
00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:58,280
Speaker 1: So Cooper Cup is who I like. What do you

659
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:00,200
Speaker 1: think of Tyreek Hill? Though? If we added him him

660
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:01,600
Speaker 1: with that for Monday Night football.

661
00:29:02,280 --> 00:29:05,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, to me, he hasn't been able to find the

662
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:07,840
Speaker 4: end zone in a little while. I think it has

663
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:09,480
Speaker 4: a lot to do with the offense. I think it

664
00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 4: also has a lot to do with how you know

665
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:14,040
Speaker 4: how much Miami is struggling, you know, getting him in motion,

666
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:15,280
Speaker 4: getting him downfield.

667
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:19,840
Speaker 2: I think indoors in this scenario in LA is a

668
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:21,360
Speaker 2: scenario where.

669
00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:23,520
Speaker 4: It might get fixed. And you have some data to

670
00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:25,560
Speaker 4: kind of back that up. Because I like Tyreek and

671
00:29:25,560 --> 00:29:26,920
Speaker 4: I'm going to put him in one of the parlays.

672
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:28,240
Speaker 4: I'll give you in a second what I like.

673
00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 1: All right, well, Tyreek like just to give some background

674
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:33,960
Speaker 1: the Rams, The big thing about them is they've allowed

675
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:36,160
Speaker 1: the third most touchdowns to wide receivers this year, but

676
00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 1: they're also bottom six in defensive DV away versus the

677
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:41,960
Speaker 1: deep ball, which is obviously Tyreek Hill's specialty. One of

678
00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:44,200
Speaker 1: the few players in the NFL who could probably score

679
00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:46,520
Speaker 1: a touchdown from anywhere on the field. But what I

680
00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:48,560
Speaker 1: did is I went back and looked since Tyreek Hill

681
00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:50,400
Speaker 1: has come into the NFL, how many times has he

682
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:53,640
Speaker 1: played indoors or in a dome? And he's played indoors

683
00:29:54,080 --> 00:29:57,320
Speaker 1: seventeen times. Do you know, Evan He has scored a

684
00:29:57,360 --> 00:30:02,680
Speaker 1: touchdown in eleven of those seventeen games and three losses

685
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:04,840
Speaker 1: of that. So of the seventeen games, the three games

686
00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:06,760
Speaker 1: that he didn't score were in his rookie year where

687
00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:09,920
Speaker 1: he wasn't really still a big fixture of the offense

688
00:30:09,960 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 1: at this point. If you just exclude the rookie year,

689
00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:16,280
Speaker 1: he has scored in eleven of fourteen indoor games in

690
00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:16,800
Speaker 1: his career.

691
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:19,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, to me, I would love to see because I

692
00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:22,760
Speaker 4: would assume the targets are also relatively up in those games.

693
00:30:22,760 --> 00:30:25,000
Speaker 4: I would also say that it's probably more high scoring

694
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 4: just based off of being indoors, So it all makes

695
00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 4: sense to me.

696
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 2: And I had Tyreek on my side too.

697
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:33,880
Speaker 4: I think the way I would at least package my

698
00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:36,760
Speaker 4: touchdowns would be Montgomery and Tyreek, which would be your

699
00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:39,320
Speaker 4: chalk touchdown, which is about two seventy five.

700
00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:43,520
Speaker 2: Or you would put Schultz and the two people.

701
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:45,360
Speaker 4: I think that are interesting in here would be John

702
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 4: hus Smith and Colby Parkinson, both tight ends.

703
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:49,080
Speaker 2: I'd go to the tight end Parlay, so.

704
00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:52,040
Speaker 4: Schultz and John who we are about thirteen to one,

705
00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 4: and schultzon Kolby is twenty to one. To me, Cooper

706
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 4: Cup does feel like the more chalky and probably more

707
00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:03,480
Speaker 4: likely scenario here. But I also feel like against Miami's defense,

708
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:05,960
Speaker 4: which is super poorous, they're gonna be able to move downfield.

709
00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:08,680
Speaker 4: And John who's actually seen a lot of targets for

710
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 4: miass So I think on both sides of the ball

711
00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:14,640
Speaker 4: there are I don't want to call them vultures since

712
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:17,640
Speaker 4: they're mostly in starting positions, but I do think mixed

713
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:20,960
Speaker 4: with Scholtzer could be a fun parlay well, And for.

714
00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:23,560
Speaker 1: Anybody who was actually looking at DeMarcus Robinson is probably

715
00:31:23,560 --> 00:31:26,120
Speaker 1: somebody that you can't fully forget either. I mean, this

716
00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:28,440
Speaker 1: guy's what scored two touchdowns in each of the last

717
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:32,320
Speaker 1: two games. He's clearly like the second option but clearly

718
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:35,800
Speaker 1: getting the weaker of the cornerback matchups when they playing

719
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:38,840
Speaker 1: against teams. So DeMarcus Robinson is around like plus two

720
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:41,080
Speaker 1: to eighty to plus three hundred. He would probably be

721
00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:42,800
Speaker 1: somebody that I would more single bet than I would

722
00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:44,640
Speaker 1: add as to a parlay. But if we're just trying

723
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:46,080
Speaker 1: to do a parlay where we're trying to get best

724
00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:48,120
Speaker 1: odds for the guys that I know are going to

725
00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:51,240
Speaker 1: get consistent volume in that game from Monday Night football.

726
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:53,960
Speaker 1: I think Cooper Cup and Tyreek Hill check check those boxes.

727
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:57,560
Speaker 2: All right, some touchdown parlays for you. All right? So

728
00:31:57,640 --> 00:31:59,040
Speaker 2: we do you want to do one more here before we

729
00:31:59,040 --> 00:31:59,320
Speaker 2: get out?

730
00:31:59,440 --> 00:31:59,600
Speaker 3: Do you?

731
00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:01,280
Speaker 2: What do you think? Yeah? All right?

732
00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:04,480
Speaker 4: So favorites last week were the story. They went fourteen

733
00:32:04,560 --> 00:32:08,120
Speaker 4: and one straight up. Obviously, the only favorite to lose

734
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 4: fired their head coach and that was the Saints and

735
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:13,480
Speaker 4: Dennis Allen. So that was the situation we are a

736
00:32:13,520 --> 00:32:16,600
Speaker 4: week later. My question to you is which favorite on

737
00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:18,960
Speaker 4: the money line do you feel like is your safest

738
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 4: this week? So maybe you're going to toss it into

739
00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 4: a parlay, maybe you're gonna pick it and survivor. But

740
00:32:23,760 --> 00:32:25,760
Speaker 4: there's I think I looked at it before. There are

741
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:28,760
Speaker 4: eight games with a spread of six or more this week,

742
00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:31,480
Speaker 4: which is a lot considering we haven't had big favorites

743
00:32:31,520 --> 00:32:34,160
Speaker 4: mostly entering the last few weeks. So Jill, what do

744
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 4: you think?

745
00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:38,560
Speaker 1: Well, this is gonna sound like a beaten down Cowboys

746
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:40,680
Speaker 1: fan and I'm trying not to be. It's just more

747
00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:42,800
Speaker 1: of the matchup in the fact that Cooper Rush is

748
00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 1: now the quarterback seven point favorites right now. For the Eagles,

749
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:50,040
Speaker 1: I would venture to say that I don't even think

750
00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:51,920
Speaker 1: they're going to struggle in this game at all, like

751
00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:55,720
Speaker 1: right now, because yes, you're gonna get Micah Parsons back

752
00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:58,440
Speaker 1: and that'll help for a little bit on the offensive line.

753
00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:00,240
Speaker 1: But I'm just not sure that the Eagles are going

754
00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:01,680
Speaker 1: to have to really throw that much. It's part of

755
00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:03,520
Speaker 1: the reason why I'm not really too high on AJ

756
00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 1: Brown or like Davonte Smith this weekend for scoring touchdowns,

757
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:09,240
Speaker 1: because I think sae Kwon Barkley and Jalen Hurts could

758
00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:12,240
Speaker 1: pretty much control the pace of this game, and their

759
00:33:12,280 --> 00:33:15,440
Speaker 1: secondary has gotten way better now this year, especially with

760
00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:18,920
Speaker 1: Quinya Mitchell and Cooper dejan like It playing at a

761
00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:21,960
Speaker 1: much higher level. Their run defense was already solid, and

762
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:24,600
Speaker 1: the Cowboys have pretty much zero run offense to speak of,

763
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:26,160
Speaker 1: so they're going to have to throw a lot more,

764
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:28,040
Speaker 1: which means a Cooper Rush is going to be throwing

765
00:33:28,080 --> 00:33:30,560
Speaker 1: the ball, which again, maybe if you're looking at an angle,

766
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:33,920
Speaker 1: i'd be laddering maybe Cooper Rush interceptions if you're looking

767
00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:36,240
Speaker 1: at it. But yeah, I'm just not sure where the

768
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:38,800
Speaker 1: points are coming from on the Dallas side outside of

769
00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:41,680
Speaker 1: maybe a garbage time touchdown. So not only do I

770
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:43,560
Speaker 1: think the Eagles are the safest money line, but like

771
00:33:43,600 --> 00:33:45,920
Speaker 1: I think they're pretty safe even at seven.

772
00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:47,120
Speaker 2: Yeah.

773
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:50,479
Speaker 4: So on my list was only two teams, it was

774
00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:54,240
Speaker 4: the Eagles because I agree with you. Cooper Rush is

775
00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 4: five to one against straight up and against the spread

776
00:33:56,840 --> 00:34:00,400
Speaker 4: in his career, which just absolutely feels crazy it but

777
00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:02,880
Speaker 4: you look into it. Dallas has scored at least seventeen

778
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:05,080
Speaker 4: points in all six games, going twenty or more in

779
00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:07,320
Speaker 4: five of those six games. I just don't think that's

780
00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:10,520
Speaker 4: going to keep up, especially against Phillies defense. So I

781
00:34:10,560 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 4: think Philly's money line is probably an easier route. I

782
00:34:15,680 --> 00:34:17,960
Speaker 4: think the other one I would look at is Kansas City.

783
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:21,400
Speaker 4: I just don't listen. Maybe I'll be the person that

784
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:23,560
Speaker 4: steps in front of this and they finally lose a game.

785
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:26,200
Speaker 4: I just don't think this is it. I think they'll

786
00:34:26,200 --> 00:34:28,800
Speaker 4: be able to figure out Bonix. That spread is actually

787
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:30,440
Speaker 4: coming down. It's down to seven and a half at

788
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:30,759
Speaker 4: the moment.

789
00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:32,879
Speaker 2: It was in the eight to eight and a half range.

790
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:36,279
Speaker 4: But I just I'm not scared of this one. But

791
00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:38,960
Speaker 4: maybe I'm wrong, but I think that is the safest

792
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:40,200
Speaker 4: money line in the week.

793
00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:43,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, think you saw last week against Baltimore is pretty

794
00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:46,040
Speaker 1: much what I think is probably like I don't like

795
00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:48,319
Speaker 1: to get too married to results week to week, but

796
00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:51,480
Speaker 1: I thought she was very telling on what Denver's off

797
00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:52,840
Speaker 1: I mean, we talked about it at the start of

798
00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:55,120
Speaker 1: the pot of how low I am on Denver in

799
00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:58,600
Speaker 1: their offense, the fact that right now that their passing

800
00:34:58,600 --> 00:35:01,880
Speaker 1: offense is pretty much non existent with bo Nix a quarterback,

801
00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:04,920
Speaker 1: and then you're playing against a team that their strength

802
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 1: already was their secondary, especially against wide receiver one with

803
00:35:08,080 --> 00:35:10,840
Speaker 1: Trent McDuffie. But they've actually been top three in defensive

804
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:12,839
Speaker 1: dboa against the run this year too, So I don't

805
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:15,000
Speaker 1: know where the points are coming from. From a Javonte

806
00:35:15,080 --> 00:35:18,759
Speaker 1: Williams perspective or Audrick estime or Julia McLachlin. You might

807
00:35:18,800 --> 00:35:21,080
Speaker 1: see a Bonnicks touchdown in garbage time just to be

808
00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:23,440
Speaker 1: able to get some points on the board because he

809
00:35:23,480 --> 00:35:25,919
Speaker 1: has been actually pretty effective at running the ball this year.

810
00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:29,319
Speaker 1: But yeah, like I don't know how Like right now

811
00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:31,120
Speaker 1: I'm seeing a total of forty one and a half,

812
00:35:31,160 --> 00:35:34,120
Speaker 1: and I'd be shocked if Denver puts up more than

813
00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:35,760
Speaker 1: thirteen on this team.

814
00:35:36,120 --> 00:35:39,640
Speaker 4: Also, wasn't I believe in their last meeting Denver beat them,

815
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:42,719
Speaker 4: So I just can't really assume that Mahome's going to

816
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:45,520
Speaker 4: let that happen again. Maybe the game's close, maybe Denver

817
00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:50,160
Speaker 4: covers and continues cases like small straight up margin streak.

818
00:35:50,000 --> 00:35:52,160
Speaker 2: But I'm just not sure how that happens.

819
00:35:52,160 --> 00:35:54,680
Speaker 4: So we will be on the edge with Kansas City

820
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:56,879
Speaker 4: this week is as safe ast bet, but that's it.

821
00:35:57,120 --> 00:36:02,239
Speaker 4: I appreciate everyone listening into the Action Work Best Bets podcast. Jill,

822
00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:03,920
Speaker 4: I hope you had a good time. I hope we

823
00:36:03,960 --> 00:36:07,239
Speaker 4: picked some winners. But everyone see you next week and

824
00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:08,040
Speaker 4: enjoyed the.

825
00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 1: Slate absolutely, and best wishes to Brandon Anderson. Can't wait.

826
00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:12,600
Speaker 1: I'll see him come back, see.

827
00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:12,880
Speaker 2: You see him.

828
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:28,360
Speaker 3: Buddy.

829
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:32,879
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

830
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:36,160
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

831
00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:39,040
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

832
00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:39,920
Speaker 2: hundred Gambler