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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go, prop growing a job. We're

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Speaker 2: sitting up to cash. We'll see most gamblers when they

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Speaker 2: go to gamble, they go to win. Oh my god,

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Speaker 2: that's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Big bank, small bank. I like to make money.

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Speaker 4: All right, this is the ultimate kabak wanna pull, and

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Speaker 4: we are underway.

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Speaker 5: Welcome to the Week four edition of the Action Network Podcast,

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Speaker 5: NFL Betting Edition.

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Speaker 2: I am Chris Raymond of the Action Network.

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Speaker 5: Will be joined shortly by the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation.

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Speaker 5: I think he had a good week, mister Stuckey. We

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Speaker 5: will be previewing all of the action for Sunday Slate.

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Speaker 5: We will go through our Sunday six pack segment where

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Speaker 5: we each draft our top three sides aka spread bets

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Speaker 5: of the week, talk about those games, preview those games.

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Speaker 5: Then we will get into our favorite over under bet

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Speaker 5: of the week, follow by our favorite teaser bet. We'll

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Speaker 5: also give our favorite money line underdog and combine that

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Speaker 5: into a parlay. It's hit two weeks in a row,

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Speaker 5: so stay tuned for that, and we'll go through any

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Speaker 5: games that we didn't cover in any of those segments

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Speaker 5: and then we'll get you guys out of here with

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Speaker 5: our top Survivor picks of the week, which are also undefeated.

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Speaker 2: So hopefully we can keep.

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Speaker 5: That going, keep you guys alive in your Survivor leagues.

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Speaker 5: But first, as always, we will preview the Thursday night

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Speaker 5: football game.

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Speaker 1: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 3: Let's bet Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 5: Philadelphia Eagles visiting the Green Bay Packers. Packers four and

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Speaker 5: a half point favorites over under sitting at forty six. Stucky,

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Speaker 5: what's up? Before we get into the Thursday night game?

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Speaker 5: Just want to ask you how your week was, because

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Speaker 5: I know it was pretty good.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you can never complain when you go ten and

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Speaker 3: oh on an NFL Sunday, And whenever I said this

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Speaker 3: on the College Pod, whenever you have a ten and

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Speaker 3: a day, it takes a little bit of luck, just

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Speaker 3: like if you have an known ten day, it takes

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Speaker 3: a little bit of bad luck.

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Speaker 2: J now you.

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Speaker 3: So hopefully we can repeat that because everything I gave

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Speaker 3: out last week hit and the one thing that I

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Speaker 3: have to get on you for you had a good

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Speaker 3: Sunday ass all as well. But will you stop fucking

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Speaker 3: betting the Dolphins. I saw you. I saw Dolphins on

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Speaker 3: your summary again. It was like one of your only losses.

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Speaker 3: You're gonna go back to them again?

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Speaker 2: Stuck.

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Speaker 5: Oh yeah, And I should take this opportunity to let

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Speaker 5: the listeners know, if you listen to this podcast, you

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Speaker 5: will probably love the Action Network app.

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Speaker 2: I love it. Stuck loves it.

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Speaker 5: You can follow our bets, you can track your own bets,

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Speaker 5: you can laugh at us when we suck. You can

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Speaker 5: tail our bets if you think we're good. The same

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Speaker 5: for any of the experts at the Action Network or

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Speaker 5: any of your friends who are on the app. So

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Speaker 5: go download that live win probabilities, best box scores I

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Speaker 5: can think of, you know, no ads, nothing like that.

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Speaker 5: So really strong app. Go download that. Of course, go

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Speaker 5: check out all of our NFL betting content and content

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Speaker 5: for every sport at actionnetwork dot com. But yeah, the

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Speaker 5: Dolphins game. That wasn't smart by me, I mean, I honestly,

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Speaker 5: I mean they should have covered probably they just they

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Speaker 5: just dolphined it overall. Can'ta playing with fourteen and three

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Speaker 5: on the early slate, including props more closer to five hundred,

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Speaker 5: you know on the Waiter slate, but good week for

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Speaker 5: me and also number two in the Fantasy Pros Fantasy

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Speaker 5: Accuracy Ratings contest through three weeks.

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Speaker 2: I'm feeling good.

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Speaker 3: You're feeling who loses a bet on a Sunday.

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Speaker 2: You're feeling great.

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Speaker 5: So I'm gonna use you to just get right into

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Speaker 5: this Thursday night game. Tell me how you're feeling about it,

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Speaker 5: because I think you had a really good take thus

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Speaker 5: far this season on the Green Bay Packers defense. It's

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Speaker 5: helped me a lot in my fantasy rankings, and I

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Speaker 5: want to know how you feel they're going to defend

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Speaker 5: this Philly offense that's going to be short.

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Speaker 2: Deshaun Jackson looks like Al Jeffrey will be back.

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Speaker 5: The Packers are allowing thirty three percent of opponent targets

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Speaker 5: to go to running backs, which tells me that opponents

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Speaker 5: can't get the ball downfield against these safeties and the

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Speaker 5: young corners.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. I mean, look, I've been telling this this Packers

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Speaker 3: defense from before the season. It's the reason why you

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Speaker 3: know they're my only Super Bowl future. I figured that

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Speaker 3: the offense would be a work in progress, and it's

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Speaker 3: actually been a little worse than I thought. At this

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Speaker 3: point this season. If you look at a lot of

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Speaker 3: their box scores, I mean, they got really lucky against Minnesota,

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Speaker 3: they were fortunate and some you know, in some aspects

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Speaker 3: against Denver, their offense just is still not there. But

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Speaker 3: the defense everything that I thought it could be, it

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Speaker 3: has become and more. I mean you have, you know,

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Speaker 3: the signing of the two Smiths, which I mentioned on

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Speaker 3: our first pod. Now Green Bay leads the NFL and

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Speaker 3: pressure rate that takes away, you know, that makes the

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Speaker 3: corners job so much easier in the NFL. And like

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Speaker 3: I said, you have these corners, who are you a

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Speaker 3: year or two now into the NFL. They were thrown

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Speaker 3: into the fire without much pressure, without safeties. And now

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Speaker 3: I mean you look at a guy like jyr Alexander.

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Speaker 3: I think he's grading out as the number one cover

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Speaker 3: corner per Pro Football Focus in the entire NFL so

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Speaker 3: far this year. And then you know, obviously you have

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Speaker 3: your safeties. Darnell Savage fits right into that robber role

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Speaker 3: in Peton's defense, and then Amos one of the best

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Speaker 3: in the game. So just all three levels, their defense

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Speaker 3: became so much better. But just their offense, it's being

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Speaker 3: their defense is carrying their team. Green Bay's averaging five

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Speaker 3: yards to carry. The only teams worse than that are

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Speaker 3: the Jets, Dolphins, and Bears. Because five yards of play.

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Speaker 3: When you look at a matchup against Philadelphia not completely healthy.

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Speaker 3: You know they're gonna get Jeffrey back. It looks like

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Speaker 3: Godard way back. Urt is still there, Agilar in the slot,

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Speaker 3: and Green Bay has been excellent covering the slot as well. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: Alexander can match up with Jeffrey and you might have

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Speaker 3: our Sega Whiteside or your boy Matt Collins in there.

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Speaker 3: One thing to keep in mind Toedaria Smith, he should go,

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Speaker 3: but he is questionable on Thursday night. I mean, but

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Speaker 3: this Eagles team is just a lot more flawed than

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Speaker 3: I thought they were coming into the year. And look

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Speaker 3: they need If there's one team that should go out

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Speaker 3: and trade for Jalen Ramsey, it's the Eagles. Their secondary

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Speaker 3: has been awful. You know, Darby who has him been great?

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Speaker 3: He's out, and then their rushing attack has just been

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Speaker 3: so bad. It was bad last year, I think there

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Speaker 3: were second worst than yards per carry. This year they're

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Speaker 3: only averaging three point six yards per carry. Miles Sanders

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Speaker 3: just isn't hitting the hole. You know, Jordan Howard is

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Speaker 3: just not that great of a running back. He's you know,

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Speaker 3: good in the goal line situations and a power back.

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Speaker 3: But this offensive line is so good that you just

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Speaker 3: have to run forward. I think Sanders will eventually learn,

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Speaker 3: and he has the talent, and you know, I'm team

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Speaker 3: running back doesn't matter, but in the Eagles offense, these

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Speaker 3: running backs need to go, specifically Sanders. So without a

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Speaker 3: rushing attack, you know, their their offense has become so

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Speaker 3: one dimensional, and then the receivers are hurt. So I

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Speaker 3: think green Back actually matches up really well. It's a

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Speaker 3: short week. Green Bay gets to stay at home. You know,

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Speaker 3: it's tough for Philly. They're gonna have some guys coming back.

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Speaker 3: How healthy are they, I don't know. But the green

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Speaker 3: Bay offense just still isn't clicking. So I think this

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Speaker 3: line right around four is about right. I'd look at

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Speaker 3: the under under forty six, under forty five. You know,

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Speaker 3: all the sloppy Thursday night games are I think that

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Speaker 3: the green Bay offense still has work to do. They're

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Speaker 3: still trying to find themselves. The numbers don't lie, and

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Speaker 3: this Eagles offense is one dimensional Eagles offense, I think

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Speaker 3: is going to continue to struggle until they get all

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Speaker 3: their pieces healthy and someone in that backfield just runs forward.

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Speaker 3: I ultimately trust the Packers defense more right now because

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Speaker 3: of that secondary. But line's about right. I'd look at

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Speaker 3: the under, which is never a bad look on these

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Speaker 3: Thursday night slop fests.

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Speaker 5: Right now, the under is actually getting five percent more

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Speaker 5: money than bets, so it looks like a few bigger

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Speaker 5: bets have come in on the under.

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Speaker 2: We'll see how that ticks upper down and.

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Speaker 3: It's dropped a couple points, so right, we go to

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Speaker 3: get it.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, so leading the game time, you know, that's probably

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Speaker 5: the reason for their drop. As far as the spread,

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Speaker 5: seventy three percent of the tickets, sixty three percent.

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Speaker 2: Of the money.

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Speaker 5: Green Bay as we record this on a Wednesday night,

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Speaker 5: green Bay is minus four. I took this line when

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Speaker 5: it first opened at green Bay minus three.

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Speaker 2: That was a better value.

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Speaker 6: I think that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you hit it on the head.

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Speaker 5: Where now at minus four sometimes four and a half

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Speaker 5: getting a little inflated. Make sure if you want to

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Speaker 5: bet favorites, especially the public tends to bet favorites the

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Speaker 5: majority of the time, so those lines will tick up.

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Speaker 5: Bet those numbers when they come out. You can check

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Speaker 5: all the live odds in the Action app. You can

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Speaker 5: follow my bet, so you could have seen that Green

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Speaker 5: Bay minus three pick on Sunday evening when I did

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Speaker 5: make it. Aaron Rodgers at lambeau Field. In his career

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Speaker 5: fifty twenty seven and two against the spread. He's winning

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Speaker 5: against the spread almost twice as much as he's losing,

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Speaker 5: and home favorites on Thursday Night football seventy forty five

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Speaker 5: and one against the spread since two thousand and three.

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Speaker 5: And I think that's just because when you're on a

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Speaker 5: short week and you're the inferior team, it's tough to

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Speaker 5: go on the road and meet expectations and cover that spread.

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Speaker 5: So you usually do still get some valve, and I

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Speaker 5: think that's why this line is starting to inflate, But

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Speaker 5: you usually do still get some value betting on. These

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Speaker 5: home teams were favored on Thursday nights, So I do

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Speaker 5: like the Packers in this game. If the Eagles are

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Speaker 5: dnking and dunkin, that's not the way they want to

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Speaker 5: play offense, because, as you mentioned, also not very good

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Speaker 5: running the football.

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Speaker 2: Now it's time. Here's this week's coaches Pep Talk courtesy

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Speaker 2: of PJ.

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Speaker 5: Fleck, dedicated to the Philadelphia Eagles running game.

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Speaker 3: I mean, well, someone just follow a trail. The holes

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Speaker 3: are there and no one will just run and take them.

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Speaker 3: You don't have They haven't met about you.

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Speaker 6: They haven't met your heart, they haven't met your spirit,

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Speaker 6: they haven't met your soul. If they gave me one

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Speaker 6: word to describe you right now, man, that would be

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Speaker 6: a trailblazer. You know what trailblazers do. They blaze trails

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Speaker 6: for other people to Becomingly you have blazed trails.

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Speaker 2: For others who thought this was never possible.

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Speaker 5: And I'm gonna give out a little bonus advice here

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Speaker 5: because trop betting is a part of betting. So if

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Speaker 5: you like props, check Marquez Valdez scant wing catches in

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Speaker 5: yards and also Davante Adams because Jim Schwartz brings a

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Speaker 5: ton of pressure and loves to leave those corners on

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Speaker 5: an eyewind and that's what makes them look even worse,

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Speaker 5: which kind of goes to your point stuck about they

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Speaker 5: should probably be trading for Jaywen Ramsey if they want

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Speaker 5: to play that style of defense.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, they've always the Eagles defense been vulnerable against the

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Speaker 3: deep ball for the last year plus, and number one

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Speaker 3: receivers have had huge days and there's no one more

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Speaker 3: do for a breakout day than Adams.

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Speaker 2: I think it's time we're the main event.

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Speaker 3: There's stayper action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 5: Our Sunday six pack where Stuck and I go through

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Speaker 5: we draft our favorite three spread bats. The rules are

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Speaker 5: we can actually pick the same game as long as

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Speaker 5: we're on different sides, so sometimes technically a five pack

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Speaker 5: with six different sides, so that's why we call it

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Speaker 5: the six pack. We keep score our top pickets two,

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Speaker 5: our others get one, and at the end we'll jump

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Speaker 5: to the next segment, which is our favorite total that's

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Speaker 5: also one point, so in all we can get up

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Speaker 5: to five points in a week.

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Speaker 2: Stuck currently has a nine to seven lead on the

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Speaker 2: heels of his perfect Week three.

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Speaker 5: So Stuck, you knocked it out of the park last week,

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Speaker 5: killed it undefeated.

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Speaker 2: I need to make up some ground.

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Speaker 5: I'm going with my first pick, and I'm actually gonna

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Speaker 5: do my first pick. My two point pick is not

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Speaker 5: gonna be the pick I actually drafted first, which by

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Speaker 5: the way, I had a great draft because I know

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Speaker 5: I stole one of your picks, but we'll talk about

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Speaker 5: that in a second pick that you wanted to take.

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Speaker 5: But with my first pick, I'm going with the Kansas

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Speaker 5: City Chiefs six and a half point favorites.

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Speaker 2: On the road. And by the way, shots to the

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Speaker 2: guy on.

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Speaker 5: Twitter who is like, could you please steep half instead

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Speaker 5: of point five?

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Speaker 2: There you go, There you go, buddy, You're happy, but

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Speaker 2: now just get it. Thanks or listening, I might.

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Speaker 5: Mix it up, you know, Kansas City six point five

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Speaker 5: on the road against the Detroit Lions. Now, I think

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Speaker 5: the public is a little bit, you know, feeling the Lions.

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Speaker 5: I think the line kind of stayed in check and

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Speaker 5: the Chiefs didn't cover as well, so I think that

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Speaker 5: kind of holds the line in check. Here Chiefs on

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Speaker 5: the road six and a half point favorites. Guess what,

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Speaker 5: Andy Reid on the road with the Kansas City Chiefs

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Speaker 5: thirty three sixteen and one against the spread, covering at

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Speaker 5: a sixty seven percent rate, two thirds all that good stuff.

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Speaker 5: And this is this is just an Andy Reid thing,

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Speaker 5: you know, even going back to his Philly days. If

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Speaker 5: you go back to two thousand and three, which is

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Speaker 5: where our bet Labs software has data. Seventy seven fifty

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Speaker 5: and three sixty one percent against the spread on the

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Speaker 5: road is Andy Reid and with k C by the way,

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Speaker 5: covering by an average of six point nine points per game.

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Speaker 5: And this includes a ton of Alex Smith. Like, this

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Speaker 5: is not just Mahomes. Andy Reid knows how to get

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Speaker 5: his teams.

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Speaker 2: Prepared to go on the road. I don't think it's

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Speaker 2: even close. Like Patrick Mahomes is just too good.

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Speaker 5: You know, people ask me every week, you know, should

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Speaker 5: Patrick Mahons.

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Speaker 2: Is the number one quarterback?

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Speaker 5: You play him in dfs like this, and that's like, yeah,

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Speaker 5: Patrick Mahomes is that good.

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Speaker 2: They can run. The Chiefs can run away from teams.

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Speaker 5: Now, I think the Lions game plan will be carry

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Speaker 5: on Johnson, carry on Johnson and more Terry on Johnson.

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Speaker 5: He got twenty of the twenty five backfield carries last week,

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Speaker 5: something we hadn't really seen.

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Speaker 2: But they released CJ.

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Speaker 5: Anderson of course signed the Giants Paul Perkins former Giant

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Speaker 5: Paul Perkins who did not get a carry in that game.

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Speaker 5: So I do think they want up in a ton

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Speaker 5: of two tight ends Jesse James T. J. Hawkinson, the rookie.

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Speaker 5: I think they try to run the football and shorten

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Speaker 5: the game. I just don't think it will be successful.

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Speaker 5: A lot different going against a banged up Eagles offense, which,

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Speaker 5: by the way, the Eagles should have won that game.

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Speaker 5: They had some problems, They missed some things in the

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Speaker 5: red zone. So I think the market's a little bit

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Speaker 5: inflated in favor of the Detroit Lions.

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Speaker 2: Also, you know, kind of.

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Speaker 5: A bigger money line here, but if you like it,

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Speaker 5: Chiefs on the Road their money line under Andy Reid

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Speaker 5: thirty two and twenty one straight up, that is a

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Speaker 5: twenty three percent ROI. If you had bet all Chiefs

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Speaker 5: Road money lines under Andy Reid per bet Labs and

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Speaker 5: away Matthew Stafford, you want to fade him against good teams,

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Speaker 5: against winning teams. In his career, Matthew Stafford just twenty

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Speaker 5: six forty three and two against the spread, covering at

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Speaker 5: just a thirty eight percent clip. And if you bet

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Speaker 5: against Matthew Stafford when he's facing a winning team on

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Speaker 5: the money line, you win sixty eight percent straight up,

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Speaker 5: good for an eighteen percent ROI. Also one note about

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Speaker 5: the over under tends to be a little inflated for

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Speaker 5: these Lions, like everyone kind of thinks of them as

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Speaker 5: team with a bad defense, and you know they're gonna

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Speaker 5: they're gonna put up some points. But the under is

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Speaker 5: seven and two at home when the Lions are underdog

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Speaker 5: under Matt Patricia, which is obviously a lot. They're almost

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Speaker 5: a home underdog in almost every game, as you can

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Speaker 5: see since he's only been the head coach for a

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Speaker 5: year and they already have nine games as a home

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Speaker 5: dog under Patricia.

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Speaker 2: So that's what I got on case.

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Speaker 5: That's my first pick minus six and a half aka

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Speaker 5: six point five.

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Speaker 3: There's we record this on Wednesday for y'all to listen

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Speaker 3: to on a Thursday. But there's certain things that I

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Speaker 3: wait for mainly on Thursday, which is the the more

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Speaker 3: definitive injury report on Thursday. A lot of times you

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Speaker 3: have guys on Wednesday which just says questionable, they were limited,

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Speaker 3: and you don't really know what that means. On Thursday,

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Speaker 3: it's a little more meaningful. And there's two guys in

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Speaker 3: particular on Detroit that I'm keeping my eye, and that's

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Speaker 3: Sligh at Corner, one of the best cover corners in

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Speaker 3: the NFL, and then you know dayshan Hand is he

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Speaker 3: gonna come back? You know, because Mike Daniels is also questionable.

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Speaker 3: A lot of their defensive line. I've raved about this

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Speaker 3: Lion's team. I've been a fan of them all year

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Speaker 3: because that interior of the offensive line dall ragnow Glasgal

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Speaker 3: one of the best interier offensive lines in all football.

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Speaker 3: They can handle Jones and the Chiefs defense is is

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Speaker 3: a trash can. I don't care. Yeah what I know.

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Speaker 3: I'm just saying. People try to say it's improved. People

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Speaker 3: love Ogba. I don't know what he's ever done to

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Speaker 3: get this love. And Frank Clark's been a disaster so far.

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Speaker 3: They don't have any running backs, don't get any pressure,

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Speaker 3: and that's the vulnerable part on the line's offense. Their

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Speaker 3: tackles with Decker and Wagner at times. But Stafford gets

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Speaker 3: a clean pocket, he's going to be able to throw.

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Speaker 3: And I agree with you, they're going to try and

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Speaker 3: go run heavy. But when he the throw, I think

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Speaker 3: he's gonna get a clean pocket. Kensady's not gonna able

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Speaker 3: to get any pressure up the middle, so I think

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Speaker 3: that Johnsons gonna be able to run. I mean, by

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Speaker 3: any metric that you look, I candis say is the

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Speaker 3: worst rush defense in the NFL. If you was six

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Speaker 3: point two yards to carry. Some of it's inflated, but

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Speaker 3: they just they can't stop the run. So I think

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Speaker 3: it's a smart play and I think that's what tour

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Speaker 3: It's gonna do, just like they did with the Patriots

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Speaker 3: when the Patriots came in there and Detroit beat them

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Speaker 3: last year and they just went run, heavy ball, control,

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Speaker 3: keep the ball away from Tom Brady. I need seven now.

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Speaker 3: If it's at six and a half, I don't want

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Speaker 3: any part of Detroit. But you know, betting the NFL

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Speaker 3: is all about getting key numbers. If it's at seven,

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Speaker 3: that's huge because you're down fourteen. If the Chiefs are

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Speaker 3: up fourteen late, that's a blowout on the road, a

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Speaker 3: good win. But if there's two minutes left, the Lions

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Speaker 3: are gonna getwn the field and score, just like the

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Speaker 3: Ravens did. That's why I feel much more comfortable with seven.

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Speaker 3: But some of these injuries on the line side, I

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Speaker 3: need to watch them on the Chiefs offense, it doesn't

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Speaker 3: really matter.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, again, I'm not a big betting favorites, especially more

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Speaker 5: than like minus three. But the Chiefs number one, they

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Speaker 5: do this under Andy Reid. It's just what they do.

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Speaker 5: They go into other people's stadiums and they blow them

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Speaker 5: out essentially. I mean they're covering by a touchdown, Like

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Speaker 5: that's absurd.

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Speaker 3: That's a great spot for a reteam.

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Speaker 2: Number two. It's like, yeah, I totally agree with you.

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Speaker 5: I want That's why I want the Chiefs at six

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Speaker 5: five before it got to seven. I think the interior,

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Speaker 5: that line, defense, that defensive line against the Chiefs, it

388
00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:19,760
Speaker 5: doesn't really matter because number one, Andy Reid is known

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Speaker 5: to just abandon the run, especially the inside run game,

390
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Speaker 5: if he has to, and they can get Like you

391
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Speaker 5: could get the Chiefs in second and ten, second and

392
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Speaker 5: twelve and they'll just Patrick Mahomes will throw you right

393
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Speaker 5: out of it, like right to another first down. Darius Slay,

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Speaker 5: he could match up with Sammy Watkins every play, Sammy

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Speaker 5: Watkins will have five catches for eighty yards, Like this

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Speaker 5: is just what the Chiefs do.

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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes is too good.

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Speaker 5: He's making DeMarcus Robinson and Mkole Hardman, who's three games

399
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Speaker 5: into his pro career, into stars with Tyreek Killole, like

400
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Speaker 5: they're not missing a beat. Mahomes through fifty touchdowns in

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Speaker 5: career starts two to seventeen. He's getting better in year two,

402
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:56,560
Speaker 5: on pace for another fifty plus. Every year we give

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Speaker 5: Matthew Stafford the same credit. And Matthew Stafford's solid NFL quarterback.

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Speaker 5: But that's the problem. He's solid. He's not great. He's solid.

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Speaker 5: There are greater ones in the NFL. Every year we

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Speaker 5: give him this credit. Matthew Stafford if he.

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Speaker 2: Just gets a clean pocket, if he can keep him

408
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Speaker 2: in the game.

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Speaker 5: And guess what he doesn't cover. He just doesn't cover

410
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Speaker 5: against good teams because the Lions do not score enough

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Speaker 5: points and their defense is never good enough to hold

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Speaker 5: teams down. I would actually take it at seven, but

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Speaker 5: I don't want it at like anything greater than that,

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Speaker 5: and it is moving towards seven. Have seen it at

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Speaker 5: seven at some books. So if you do like it,

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Speaker 5: I would jump on it. Chiefs Now, if you like

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Speaker 5: the Lions, wait closer to kickoff, because I think this

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Speaker 5: line will move in the Chiefs direction. But stuck, Let's

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Speaker 5: get into your number one pick, because I know you're

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Speaker 5: trying to.

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Speaker 2: Keep up this this undefeated street.

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Speaker 3: My first pick is a terrible team. I'm going with

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Speaker 3: the terrible team once again. I feel like every week

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Speaker 3: my first pick is a terrible team. But whenever I'm

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Speaker 3: uncomfortable in the NFL, I tend to think I'm doing okay.

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Speaker 3: And that is the Raiders plus seven against the Colts. Look,

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Speaker 3: I know that there's tons of injuries that their linebacker positions,

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Speaker 3: which is something I'm keeping my eye on because with

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Speaker 3: injuries at linebacker and you're playing the Colts. They're rushing

430
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Speaker 3: attack with Mac and their offensive line, and how they

431
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Speaker 3: throw to their tight ends and the Raiders struggle to

432
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Speaker 3: cover tight ends, it is worrisome. Last week they got

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Speaker 3: you know, cut up by the Vikings, but their linebackers

434
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Speaker 3: went out the entire game. They were hurt, shifting in

435
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Speaker 3: and out. I think every single one of their linebackers

436
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Speaker 3: got hurt last week. They've been better against the run,

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Speaker 3: which is what you need to do against the Colts.

438
00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,679
Speaker 3: But more importantly, this is just too many points for me.

439
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:25,080
Speaker 3: I don't think that the Colts are The love for

440
00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:26,480
Speaker 3: the Colts is out of hand. I mean, you know,

441
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:29,000
Speaker 3: if I told you, all right, let's look at you know,

442
00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:30,960
Speaker 3: yards per play, and I told you, all right, what

443
00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:35,160
Speaker 3: is Indianapolis at compared to Oakland? Right, you would say,

444
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,959
Speaker 3: I don't know. Indianapolis is probably a lot better. I mean,

445
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:41,720
Speaker 3: now Indianapolis is five to seven, Oakland is five to nine.

446
00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:43,920
Speaker 3: Actually a little better. Neither of these teams are great,

447
00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:46,720
Speaker 3: is what I'm going to get to. Defensive Oakland giving

448
00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:49,440
Speaker 3: up six to seven, Indianapolis giving up six to seven.

449
00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:52,359
Speaker 3: This Indianapolis defense without Leonard and now without Hooker on

450
00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:54,720
Speaker 3: the back, and their cover too, with their safeties, they're

451
00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:57,440
Speaker 3: now vulnerable. I know, neither of these quarterbacks will dare

452
00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,080
Speaker 3: throw it downfield. I'm hoping the car actually will. But

453
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:03,720
Speaker 3: this Colts defense without Leonard and without Hooker is not good.

454
00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:05,560
Speaker 3: The Raiders will be able to run it. The Raiders

455
00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:08,520
Speaker 3: will be able to utilize Waller over the middle. It's

456
00:20:08,560 --> 00:20:11,840
Speaker 3: just this, These safeties are so important, especially Hooker. He's

457
00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:14,320
Speaker 3: their best player in their defensive backfield, and then Leonard

458
00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:16,199
Speaker 3: is the best player overall. So I just think this

459
00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:18,639
Speaker 3: is too many points. Catching seven here. You know Colts

460
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:20,520
Speaker 3: off will win, they have the Chiefs on deck. It's

461
00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:22,919
Speaker 3: just a little bit of a flat spot too. I

462
00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:24,800
Speaker 3: think it's seven. You got to take the Raiders and

463
00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:25,760
Speaker 3: that's who I'm rolling with.

464
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,720
Speaker 5: Yeah, and the sharp money is on your side currently.

465
00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:31,080
Speaker 5: If you look at the betting percentages in the Action

466
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:34,679
Speaker 5: Network app, you are seeing the Indianapolis Colts getting sixty

467
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:38,040
Speaker 5: four percent of the bet tickets, but the Oakland Raiders

468
00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:41,400
Speaker 5: getting eighty four percent of the dollars waged. So classic

469
00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:46,320
Speaker 5: classic pros versus Joe's sharps versus squares, whatever you want

470
00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:48,440
Speaker 5: to call it, disagreement.

471
00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:50,240
Speaker 2: On this game. You know, the only thing that gives

472
00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:53,160
Speaker 2: me and I should add t Y Hilton. That's another Yeah,

473
00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:54,040
Speaker 2: he could be out also.

474
00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:56,479
Speaker 3: Yeah, and that's a huge weakness of the Oakland defense

475
00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:59,159
Speaker 3: is their secondary. So without if t Y Hilton doesn't go,

476
00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:01,200
Speaker 3: it's like you're to get dink and dunk and try

477
00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:02,919
Speaker 3: and run it. And you can play that way. You

478
00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:04,440
Speaker 3: can come up and bring them extra man and you

479
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:06,879
Speaker 3: can bring Joseph down to the box, etc. Yeah. So,

480
00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:09,480
Speaker 3: and I would think if Hilton's even fringe with a

481
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:11,760
Speaker 3: quad with the Chiefs on deck, I think, and it's

482
00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:13,159
Speaker 3: just a whole mindset thing. The Colts are going to

483
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:15,840
Speaker 3: be like, look, we can beat the Raiders and we

484
00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:18,359
Speaker 3: have the Chiefs on deck, let's just hold out Hilton,

485
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:18,920
Speaker 3: you know what I mean.

486
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:22,159
Speaker 5: Yeah, And he's responsible for thirty percent of their receiving yards,

487
00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:26,720
Speaker 5: fifty seven percent of their receiving touchdowns, and quad injuries.

488
00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:29,480
Speaker 5: I actually did some research on this for Fantasy football

489
00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:31,640
Speaker 5: a couple of years back. Wide receivers who played through

490
00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:35,199
Speaker 5: questionable tags with quad injuries about a twenty five percent

491
00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:36,520
Speaker 5: dip in their production.

492
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 2: So it is worrisome. It is worrisome for the Colts

493
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:41,919
Speaker 2: on the flip side. And one thing that gives me

494
00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:43,400
Speaker 2: pause is just that John.

495
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:46,960
Speaker 5: Gruden and this Raider team has just continuously had letdowns

496
00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 5: in this spot. Oakland two and seven against the spread

497
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:53,760
Speaker 5: as a visitor under Gruden in this current era over

498
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:56,560
Speaker 5: four in the last four. And meanwhile, Indianapolis, the one

499
00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:59,000
Speaker 5: thing I will say for them that they have going

500
00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:03,159
Speaker 5: for them is Frank Wright. Incredible schemer, incredible coach. I

501
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:05,440
Speaker 5: have no doubt that he will be able to draw

502
00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:09,320
Speaker 5: up some plays to outsmart Gruden, even with Hilton banged up.

503
00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:11,240
Speaker 2: Or off the field. They had a beautiful call.

504
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:14,000
Speaker 5: Last week against the Falcons where they had shown a

505
00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:17,280
Speaker 5: ton of when Niam Hines the running back, goes in

506
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:19,880
Speaker 5: motion and lines up outside, they had shown a ton

507
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:22,680
Speaker 5: of screens the first two weeks, Atlanta defense calling out

508
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:24,879
Speaker 5: the screen when they do it in week three and

509
00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:27,240
Speaker 5: they run a wheel route behind it, fake the screen

510
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:31,320
Speaker 5: and Zach Pascal goes untouched into the end zone wide

511
00:22:31,359 --> 00:22:33,959
Speaker 5: open by ten yards. So I think Frank Raich, if

512
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:35,639
Speaker 5: you're looking for a coach to kind of overcome some

513
00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:38,840
Speaker 5: of these obstacles, it is Frank Raich. Indianapolis is six

514
00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:41,400
Speaker 5: and three against the spread as a favorite Underich. Kind

515
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:43,280
Speaker 5: of you know, that's the only thing that worries me,

516
00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:46,400
Speaker 5: but the sharp money is on open side. I'm probably

517
00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:48,720
Speaker 5: not gonna end up touching this game, just because I

518
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:50,800
Speaker 5: have a lot of respect for Frank. Right.

519
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:53,240
Speaker 4: Hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I want

520
00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:55,840
Speaker 4: to make sure you know about the Locked On podcast network.

521
00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 4: Locked on as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

522
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:00,679
Speaker 3: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

523
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:02,679
Speaker 2: You were locked own of the Dallas marriage. Well came everybody,

524
00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:04,960
Speaker 2: Still Locked on Lakers podcast, Let's Go.

525
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:08,160
Speaker 4: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

526
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:10,399
Speaker 4: know your team better than anyone and give you the

527
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528
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529
00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:23,280
Speaker 5: Going to go to my number two pick. That will

530
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:26,879
Speaker 5: be the New York Giants minus three at home against

531
00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:29,480
Speaker 5: the Washington Redskins team on a short week. You can

532
00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 5: find this line usually at at good Juice. I think

533
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:34,160
Speaker 5: I got it at minus one oh five. I'm seeing

534
00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:37,199
Speaker 5: it at even money at some spot. So you know,

535
00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:39,040
Speaker 5: this is one where I think a lot of people

536
00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:40,640
Speaker 5: are going to be looking at the trends and looking

537
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:43,560
Speaker 5: at Shermer. He's one and seven with the Giants against

538
00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:45,879
Speaker 5: the spread at home. But remember that's ad Eli Manning

539
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:47,680
Speaker 5: at quarterback, and I think Ean Manning had a lot

540
00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,119
Speaker 5: more to do with that. Eli Manning had struggled to

541
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:53,680
Speaker 5: cover at home, going back multiple coaches, So I think

542
00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:56,960
Speaker 5: you know with Daniel Jones, Daniel Jones gives them is

543
00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,120
Speaker 5: going to give the Redskins problems because they're.

544
00:23:58,960 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 3: On a short week.

545
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:02,320
Speaker 5: Saw what Mitchell Trubisky did to them, carved them up

546
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:05,919
Speaker 5: for three scores. Daniel Jones accurate down the field and

547
00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:08,480
Speaker 5: can run with the football, especially on a short week.

548
00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:11,359
Speaker 5: That gives defense problems because they can't just man up

549
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:14,480
Speaker 5: and say, hey, okay, we'll put Norman maybe on Shepherd

550
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:15,720
Speaker 5: and shut him down, and then all we got to

551
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,679
Speaker 5: worry about is Angroma because Bark He's out. But you

552
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:21,080
Speaker 5: play a man coverage, Daniel Jones is going to run

553
00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 5: on you. We saw that against Tampa Bay. Scores two touchdowns,

554
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:25,919
Speaker 5: including the game winner, when they're in man. If you're

555
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,480
Speaker 5: stay in zone, if the defense is just not quite

556
00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:31,640
Speaker 5: talented enough to deal with a quarterback that can throw

557
00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:33,919
Speaker 5: the ball accurately down the football field.

558
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:35,520
Speaker 2: So I think he gives.

559
00:24:35,320 --> 00:24:38,120
Speaker 5: Them problems, you know, in a similar way that Mitchell

560
00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:41,119
Speaker 5: Trubisky gives them problems. And I think long term, Jones

561
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:44,600
Speaker 5: probably probably going to be a better quarterback than Mitchell Trubisky.

562
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:46,679
Speaker 5: Where I really think the impact is going to be

563
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:50,080
Speaker 5: felt with Jones against this Redskins team is on third

564
00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,399
Speaker 5: down because the Giant Both these teams are twenty three

565
00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:55,360
Speaker 5: twenty four in the league in third down conversion percentage,

566
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:59,360
Speaker 5: but Washington twenty third, Giants twenty four, but the Giants

567
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:02,399
Speaker 5: five of twenty nineteen percent and Eli Mannings two starts

568
00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:07,840
Speaker 5: six of thirteen forty six percent in Daniel Jones's loan start.

569
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:10,200
Speaker 5: That to me is the difference in the game. I

570
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:13,160
Speaker 5: think both of these teams have advantages in the past game.

571
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:16,080
Speaker 5: Both of these defenses ill equipped to handle each other's

572
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:19,200
Speaker 5: pass games. I think the Giants will will throw the ball,

573
00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:23,960
Speaker 5: especially with Saquon out, but the Redskins don't really have

574
00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:26,000
Speaker 5: a running game right now. Adrian Peterson, by the way,

575
00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:27,280
Speaker 5: he was did you see I don't know if you

576
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:29,920
Speaker 5: saw that game Monday night, but they had Chris Thompson

577
00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:31,720
Speaker 5: in like on like a goal line play.

578
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 2: Wait, he was peeved. I saw somebody reading.

579
00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:39,680
Speaker 5: A comment section of an article in The Athletic about

580
00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,560
Speaker 5: the Redskins about that game, where somebody pointed out that

581
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,600
Speaker 5: Dwayne Haskins was kind of all game, just you know,

582
00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:47,800
Speaker 5: doing those conversations where you kind of cover your hand,

583
00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:50,920
Speaker 5: your mouth with your hand, and just that team really

584
00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:51,919
Speaker 5: like the chemistry.

585
00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:52,879
Speaker 2: I don't think it's.

586
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:56,520
Speaker 5: There on air their Monday Night football commentators essentially calling

587
00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:59,359
Speaker 5: for Gruden's job, pointing out over and over how his

588
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,600
Speaker 5: job secure is just not there. I don't like this

589
00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:05,159
Speaker 5: spot for the Redskins on a short week against the

590
00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:07,280
Speaker 5: Giants team that will still be bad on defense. But

591
00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 5: I think at this point, with Jones as the starter,

592
00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:12,639
Speaker 5: I think I think these teams are even on paper,

593
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:15,119
Speaker 5: if it was Eli Manning, then I'd say, yeah, Giants

594
00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:19,120
Speaker 5: probably favored by one point. If that, uh, you're being generous.

595
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:21,800
Speaker 5: Maybe too, you're being generous, but I think they're even,

596
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,560
Speaker 5: which which which I'm happy to take that minus three

597
00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 5: with favorable juice.

598
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 6: Yeah.

599
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:31,520
Speaker 3: I just love the overreact overreactions and swings in how

600
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,440
Speaker 3: the public, you know, in quotes, views, things that happened

601
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 3: in the NFL from a week to week basis. Daniel

602
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:38,600
Speaker 3: Jones was like a joke for a lot of people.

603
00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:40,960
Speaker 3: The other Giants dre at to Daniel Jones, He's gonna suck,

604
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 3: and then he has one game against the Bucks and

605
00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:46,160
Speaker 3: all of a sudden, everyone no the preseason, the preseason,

606
00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:48,639
Speaker 3: and he looked in the preseason. I'm just saying, still people,

607
00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:51,800
Speaker 3: I'm talking in general, not everyone. And then all of

608
00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:54,480
Speaker 3: a sudden, it's we're christening Daniel Jones and the Giants,

609
00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:57,520
Speaker 3: and who cares that Saquan is out. It's Daniel Jones.

610
00:26:57,560 --> 00:26:59,760
Speaker 3: I still need to see more. I mean, look, Marcus Mariota,

611
00:26:59,800 --> 00:27:01,840
Speaker 3: the same thing. He had went thirteen to fifteen for

612
00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:04,119
Speaker 3: final three hundreds and four touchdowns in his first start,

613
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:06,080
Speaker 3: and I don't.

614
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:07,800
Speaker 5: Cover a lot though the Titans all like the Titans

615
00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:10,440
Speaker 5: have been nine and seven like every year, like they caught,

616
00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:12,879
Speaker 5: like they always cover when you don't expl like you

617
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:14,040
Speaker 5: know what I mean, It's not.

618
00:27:13,960 --> 00:27:17,679
Speaker 3: Like it's has not gotten any better and he was.

619
00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:19,879
Speaker 2: Gonna still and he's still go nine and seven every year.

620
00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:21,760
Speaker 3: But they it's gonna be a star. So my point

621
00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:23,400
Speaker 3: is just everyone needs to pump the brakes. I don't

622
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 3: know if Daniel Joe's gonna be great or not, but

623
00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:27,439
Speaker 3: I need to see more, is what I do know.

624
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 3: And I also know, like you said, both teams can't

625
00:27:29,840 --> 00:27:32,840
Speaker 3: run the ball. I think you're gonna see each team

626
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 3: come out and throw it. Both secondaries are trash. I mean,

627
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:38,960
Speaker 3: Josh Norman is trash. They have Nicholson running that deep

628
00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:42,520
Speaker 3: safety for the Skins. He's terrible. Collins can guard the run,

629
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 3: but he can't cover anybody. Giants fans know that. If

630
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,440
Speaker 3: you look at a lot of the metrics for coverage,

631
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:50,800
Speaker 3: it's like Jenkins and Baker the two worst in the NFL,

632
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:54,119
Speaker 3: and then Norman is not far behind. So it's bad.

633
00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:55,639
Speaker 3: So I think both teams are gonna be able to

634
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:57,360
Speaker 3: move the ball through the air, which makes me want

635
00:27:57,359 --> 00:28:00,480
Speaker 3: to look at an over I think it's pretty much

636
00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 3: a coin flip game. You know, so at three about

637
00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:07,359
Speaker 3: what I make it with Giants home field? Maybe you know,

638
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:10,680
Speaker 3: with a short week the Skins of as Gruden lost

639
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,159
Speaker 3: the locker room, I don't know, it's possible you make

640
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:16,280
Speaker 3: some good points. But if this got the three and

641
00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:18,600
Speaker 3: a half, I would actually look at the Skins at

642
00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:19,840
Speaker 3: two and a half. I can see your point for

643
00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:23,840
Speaker 3: the Giants. For my second pick, I'm going circle the

644
00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:28,160
Speaker 3: wagons plus seven and a half with the Buffalo Bills.

645
00:28:30,600 --> 00:28:31,560
Speaker 2: The Bills make.

646
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:36,720
Speaker 7: Me throw your hands up and throw your hand back.

647
00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:39,760
Speaker 2: Come on, now, the Bills. I'm making it happen.

648
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:40,360
Speaker 4: Now.

649
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:45,200
Speaker 3: Look, this Patriots defense, I think is the best defense

650
00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:47,040
Speaker 3: in the NFL, and it all starts with their secondary.

651
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:49,200
Speaker 3: You know, their corners they can man you up slot

652
00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:51,560
Speaker 3: outside Ylmore's probably the best man cover. And then their

653
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:53,760
Speaker 3: safeties are really good. They don't let anything up behind them,

654
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,720
Speaker 3: and then they can scheme and play to the run

655
00:28:56,800 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 3: and you know, bring pressure. Everything is working now, granted

656
00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 3: it's not as good as it's Look, they've played three

657
00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:04,800
Speaker 3: dumpster fires, three teams that have not had a win.

658
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:08,120
Speaker 3: Bills have also played three dumpster fires. But the Patriots defense,

659
00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:10,960
Speaker 3: no matter how you slice it, elite. So is the

660
00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 3: Bills defense. I mean, we can go back to the

661
00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:16,080
Speaker 3: beginning of last year. They've allowed the fewest passing yards

662
00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:18,360
Speaker 3: of any team since the start of twenty eighteen. They

663
00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:22,200
Speaker 3: also have two elite safeties in Poyer and High. They

664
00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 3: don't let up anything big down the field. I think

665
00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:26,920
Speaker 3: they've gone thirty straight games or something without allowing a

666
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:31,280
Speaker 3: fifty yard pass, which is the longest in the NFL. Obviously,

667
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:34,600
Speaker 3: but they haven't allowed one and I think thirty weeks now.

668
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:37,240
Speaker 3: The Patriots defense is really good and it's why I

669
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 3: like also like the under in this game, and I

670
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:40,440
Speaker 3: just think this is a little too high. I mean, I

671
00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:42,040
Speaker 3: make it six, so I'm going to play seven and

672
00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:43,880
Speaker 3: a half or seven, and I actually make it closer

673
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 3: to five and a half to six. Look, I just

674
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,360
Speaker 3: think it's going to be a dogfight. And the Patriots offense.

675
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:50,880
Speaker 3: This this Patriots team, to me, you know, it's different

676
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:53,160
Speaker 3: without Antonio Brown. They still have weapons, you know, they

677
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:54,560
Speaker 3: still have at them when they're still going to score.

678
00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:57,440
Speaker 3: They still have Tom Brady. But this Patriots all this

679
00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:00,160
Speaker 3: Patriot's team reminds me of the early to mid two

680
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:04,160
Speaker 3: thousands teams with Bruski and Ty Law and Willie McGinnis.

681
00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:06,280
Speaker 3: They're cable winning another super Bowl, but it's going to

682
00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:08,800
Speaker 3: be defense first. You know, last year they didn't allow

683
00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:11,520
Speaker 3: the Rams score a touchdown. This is a defensive team now.

684
00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:14,720
Speaker 3: And there's been a lot of injuries on the offensive line.

685
00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:17,480
Speaker 3: You know, Devlin and I know they can probably you know,

686
00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 3: Devlon's excellent fullback, and a full back I know I

687
00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 3: used to play is an extension of the offensive line,

688
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:24,440
Speaker 3: and they can bring in someone and this kid from

689
00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:26,800
Speaker 3: Germany and they'll plug him in and he'll probably be okay.

690
00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:28,760
Speaker 3: But the first game back, you know, and you're trying

691
00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 3: to you know, there's new offensive linemen and you're trying

692
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:32,480
Speaker 3: to find out, Okay, who do I need to block?

693
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,600
Speaker 3: And the Bills defense is good on every level. So

694
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 3: I just think this is too many points at home.

695
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:40,400
Speaker 3: I don't know, you know, bufflely Down's going to make

696
00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:42,400
Speaker 3: a couple of plays with his legs because New England

697
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 3: does play man more than any other team in the NFL.

698
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:46,760
Speaker 3: I think it's a dog fight. You know, you might

699
00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:48,760
Speaker 3: see a special teams play, you know, and I think

700
00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:52,240
Speaker 3: it's like twenty to seventeen. Pats probably find a way

701
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:54,400
Speaker 3: to win. So I'll take the seven and a half

702
00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:58,160
Speaker 3: seven with the Bills in this matchup of three two

703
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 3: three oh teams. And by the way, Brady I BELI

704
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:02,800
Speaker 3: lead is thirty and three in his career against the Bills.

705
00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:05,400
Speaker 3: Granted there's been some terrible Bills teams. He has more

706
00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:08,200
Speaker 3: wins in Buffalo since two thousand and one than any

707
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:10,480
Speaker 3: Buffalo quarterback. It's ridiculous.

708
00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:12,240
Speaker 5: I thought you were gonna say he has more wins

709
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:19,160
Speaker 5: in Buffalo than the billstively.

710
00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:31,720
Speaker 7: That's goo Buffalo, that's go. The Bills make marijuana.

711
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:35,040
Speaker 2: Oh Man, Yeah, exactly. I agree with all your points.

712
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:37,120
Speaker 5: Haven't bet the game yet because I think the line

713
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:39,760
Speaker 5: will continue to climb. And this is an interesting one

714
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:41,520
Speaker 5: because I think you kind of hit it. I think

715
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 5: the line should be closer to five and a half six.

716
00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:46,240
Speaker 5: It opened at six and a half seven at most books,

717
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 5: and I think that's because they know the public loves

718
00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:52,440
Speaker 5: the Patriots, so they always shade that line the pass direction.

719
00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:54,360
Speaker 5: And right now you're seeing if you look at the

720
00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:58,120
Speaker 5: Action Network gap percentages eighty two percent of the public

721
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,160
Speaker 5: betting on the New England Patriots, but only seventy four

722
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,120
Speaker 5: percent of the money. So that tells you that some

723
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:05,160
Speaker 5: of the bigger bets are coming in on Buffalo already.

724
00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:08,320
Speaker 5: But obviously at that eighty two percent ticketcount not enough

725
00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:10,040
Speaker 5: to move the line in the other direction. So I

726
00:32:10,040 --> 00:32:13,000
Speaker 5: think it might keep going. I'm wondering if it gets

727
00:32:13,040 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 5: even past seven point five to eight. If not, I'd

728
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:17,440
Speaker 5: be happy to take it at seven point five. It's

729
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,160
Speaker 5: still at seven at some book says we record this

730
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 5: at seven point five at others, but I think the

731
00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:24,200
Speaker 5: Bills are the sharp play here, even though they failed

732
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:28,719
Speaker 5: to cover last year in both meetings. It's just a

733
00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:31,360
Speaker 5: tough spot for the New England Patriots, and this is

734
00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:34,120
Speaker 5: a very good defense to beginning that many points at home.

735
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:35,719
Speaker 5: And I do like this this call, and one thing

736
00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:38,080
Speaker 5: I'll point out before we move on. I mentioned they

737
00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,560
Speaker 5: opened that the Patriots opened to seven point favorites. In

738
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 5: a number of books, underdogs who open plus seven and

739
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 5: then the line moves away, as in the line goes

740
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 5: seven point five, eight are higher fifty one and thirty

741
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:50,160
Speaker 5: seven against the spread fifty eight percent cover rate, so

742
00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:53,320
Speaker 5: usually that's seven. That's a key number. When you're getting

743
00:32:53,320 --> 00:32:56,640
Speaker 5: points past that, seven usually a good spot to take

744
00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:57,880
Speaker 5: the underdogs.

745
00:32:57,880 --> 00:32:59,840
Speaker 3: So yeah, before you go, I just would like I

746
00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 3: want to point this out, is that the way that

747
00:33:01,360 --> 00:33:03,920
Speaker 3: you beat Brady anytime, and we've seen this when the

748
00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:06,240
Speaker 3: Ravens have done it a few times up up in

749
00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 3: Foxboro in the playoffs, you have to hit him. You

750
00:33:08,440 --> 00:33:10,520
Speaker 3: have to pressure you. If you let him sit back,

751
00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:12,240
Speaker 3: there's going to pick you apart, regardless of who he

752
00:33:12,280 --> 00:33:13,840
Speaker 3: as a receiver. And you have to be able to cover.

753
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,720
Speaker 3: And the Bills can cover and they can get pressure

754
00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:19,080
Speaker 3: on this Patriots offensive line. And they don't have a

755
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:21,040
Speaker 3: tight end. People will forget this and they played a

756
00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:23,000
Speaker 3: bunch of cupcake, but I think Brian Iszo's going to

757
00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:25,120
Speaker 3: start a tight end. They still don't have a tight

758
00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:27,000
Speaker 3: end in there that's really reliable. That's going to be

759
00:33:27,040 --> 00:33:28,640
Speaker 3: a game changer down the middle of the field. We're

760
00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:30,800
Speaker 3: gonna make it really tough on this Patriots offense, just

761
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:33,600
Speaker 3: like the Patriots defense will make it tough on the Bills.

762
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:34,640
Speaker 3: So yeah, you're an.

763
00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 5: Expect I am going with my next pick with a

764
00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:39,959
Speaker 5: pick I know stuck. You wanted to take in our draft,

765
00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:42,320
Speaker 5: but I kind of got beat him to it. We

766
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:44,800
Speaker 5: hold the draft right before we come on on air,

767
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:49,480
Speaker 5: and I got Tampa Bay plus ten against the Los

768
00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 5: Angeles Rams. And you know, at first, I maybe it

769
00:33:52,280 --> 00:33:54,920
Speaker 5: kind of doesn't jump out when you're getting a team

770
00:33:55,280 --> 00:33:57,760
Speaker 5: at this number, plus ten, it's a key number you

771
00:33:57,760 --> 00:33:59,680
Speaker 5: can lose, you know, thirty one, twenty one, thirty four,

772
00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:04,360
Speaker 5: twenty something like that. This has been a magical number

773
00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 5: to get if you get underdogs by nine to ten

774
00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:11,320
Speaker 5: points since twenty fifteen, thirty seven and seven against the spread.

775
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:14,960
Speaker 5: That is absolutely absurd. It's just a good number to

776
00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:17,439
Speaker 5: get these dogs at when they can lose by ten

777
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:20,440
Speaker 5: and you push at worst thirty seven and seven against

778
00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:22,440
Speaker 5: the spread since twenty fifteen, so you there haven't even

779
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,000
Speaker 5: been any pushes, you know, in these spots. So very

780
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 5: interesting trend there. But I mean basically speaks to what

781
00:34:28,160 --> 00:34:30,919
Speaker 5: we said before. In the NFL, it's not like college football. Yeah,

782
00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:33,879
Speaker 5: you have all these capable offenses. You can go something

783
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:35,520
Speaker 5: that you've bet on a underdog in college football and

784
00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:38,080
Speaker 5: you're dead. But it is so much easier to backdoor

785
00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 5: in the NFL because of how these teams play and

786
00:34:41,120 --> 00:34:42,480
Speaker 5: you know you're not gonna run up score, You're gonna

787
00:34:42,480 --> 00:34:44,160
Speaker 5: take knees and that's it. You'll just get out of

788
00:34:44,160 --> 00:34:44,640
Speaker 5: here with a win.

789
00:34:44,920 --> 00:34:45,120
Speaker 3: Yeah.

790
00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:47,680
Speaker 5: No, that's a great point. And the Los Angeles Rams,

791
00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:50,760
Speaker 5: you know, good team. Good teams tend to be overrated,

792
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:53,680
Speaker 5: especially as home favorites. You kind of see that with

793
00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:56,319
Speaker 5: LA under Sean McVeigh just seven eight and one at

794
00:34:56,320 --> 00:34:59,120
Speaker 5: home against the spread under McVeigh.

795
00:34:59,160 --> 00:35:00,919
Speaker 2: Meanwhile, Bruce Arian meanwhile, has.

796
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:03,040
Speaker 5: Been one of the most profitable coaches to back in

797
00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:04,919
Speaker 5: the National Football League all time.

798
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:06,680
Speaker 2: He is fifty two forty one and two.

799
00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:09,960
Speaker 5: That's a fifty six percent cover rate against the spread,

800
00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:13,040
Speaker 5: twenty four and eighteen, fifty seven percent as a dog,

801
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 5: and fifteen to ten sixty percent off a loss.

802
00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:17,920
Speaker 2: This team will be competitive.

803
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:19,719
Speaker 5: Remember they were up big against the Giants, and I think,

804
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:22,000
Speaker 5: first thing I want to point out about the Bucks

805
00:35:22,000 --> 00:35:23,880
Speaker 5: and like why the line is so big, And you

806
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,160
Speaker 5: know there are models out there that these Vegas guys

807
00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:28,520
Speaker 5: are using, and they're all fried right now because the

808
00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:31,759
Speaker 5: Bucks lost to a Giants team that was terrible in

809
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:33,960
Speaker 5: weeks one into a Regardless of how good you think

810
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:36,160
Speaker 5: Jones is going forward, I think we can all.

811
00:35:36,080 --> 00:35:37,160
Speaker 2: Admit that he's better.

812
00:35:37,239 --> 00:35:39,720
Speaker 5: They're better with him than Eli Manning at this point,

813
00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:42,800
Speaker 5: just because he gives them something on the ground, regardless

814
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:44,320
Speaker 5: of what you think of his you know, his accuracy

815
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 5: or whatnot, which I think is better at this point

816
00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:46,560
Speaker 5: as well.

817
00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:49,080
Speaker 2: But the Giants are one of the worst teams in

818
00:35:49,120 --> 00:35:49,399
Speaker 2: the league.

819
00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:52,719
Speaker 5: So when you lose to a team like that, it

820
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:56,200
Speaker 5: hurts you these when these numbers come out, So I

821
00:35:56,200 --> 00:35:58,160
Speaker 5: think that's kind of pulling them down. And on top

822
00:35:58,200 --> 00:35:59,960
Speaker 5: of that, and we've talked about this on the pot

823
00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:02,520
Speaker 5: as well, Tampa Bay has left so many points on

824
00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 5: the table. I mean, we're talking about two kick six's

825
00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:06,560
Speaker 5: in Week one, a game they should have won, two

826
00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:09,399
Speaker 5: touchdowns called back in that same game, two miss field

827
00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:11,920
Speaker 5: goals on the season, two missed extra points last week.

828
00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:15,720
Speaker 5: That's about like a thirty point swinging point differential thirty

829
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:18,879
Speaker 5: plus maybe depending on how everything shakes out. So this

830
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:21,560
Speaker 5: Bucks team is just getting hit in everyone's models. If

831
00:36:21,560 --> 00:36:24,120
Speaker 5: you're not careful, if you're not really digging deep, you're

832
00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:26,440
Speaker 5: kind of just, you know, blindly saying, you know, the

833
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:29,440
Speaker 5: Bucks are ten points eleven points worse than the Rams.

834
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:31,360
Speaker 2: I think it's a little less than that.

835
00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:37,000
Speaker 5: So, like you mentioned, ten points, not that hard for

836
00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:41,000
Speaker 5: an inferior team to cover in the National Football League.

837
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:42,879
Speaker 5: So and by the way, the Rams haven't been great

838
00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:45,560
Speaker 5: as great as we've seen that. They haven't been great

839
00:36:45,600 --> 00:36:49,279
Speaker 5: on special teams. Their defense has been just okay, you know,

840
00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:53,160
Speaker 5: pretty I love Waight Phillips, but love Bruce Arians as well.

841
00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:57,440
Speaker 5: And Bruce Arians, by the way, was very conservative against

842
00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:00,040
Speaker 5: the Giants last week. I don't think that happens this

843
00:37:00,160 --> 00:37:02,359
Speaker 5: week after they kind of got burned for it. And

844
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:05,640
Speaker 5: Jameis Winston is a guy who he can turn the

845
00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:07,960
Speaker 5: ball over, high variance guy, a high range of outcome.

846
00:37:07,960 --> 00:37:10,680
Speaker 5: Shaan Corny actually recommended a Giants money line last week

847
00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:12,719
Speaker 5: because of that, you know, rather than better on the

848
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:15,160
Speaker 5: Bucks as a favorite, take take Daniel Jones and the

849
00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:18,200
Speaker 5: Giants on the money line, because Winston could easily lose.

850
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:18,600
Speaker 2: The game for him.

851
00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:20,719
Speaker 5: So you hate that when when the Bucks should win

852
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:23,399
Speaker 5: and their favorite. And you like that though when they're

853
00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:25,439
Speaker 5: trying to cover a big spread, because if he doesn't

854
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:27,239
Speaker 5: turn the ball over or he hits a deep shot

855
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:29,799
Speaker 5: or something like that, it works in your favor case

856
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,640
Speaker 5: in point, Winston five and twelve against the spread in

857
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:36,120
Speaker 5: his career as a favorite, but winning record twenty one,

858
00:37:36,280 --> 00:37:39,120
Speaker 5: seventeen and two against the spread.

859
00:37:38,680 --> 00:37:41,160
Speaker 2: As an underdog. So wipe the Bucks on the spot.

860
00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:44,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, I love the Bucks. The Rams defense is actually

861
00:37:44,520 --> 00:37:47,200
Speaker 3: played really well and they if you look, and a

862
00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:48,680
Speaker 3: lot of it I think has to do with Marcus Peters,

863
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 3: who might be healthy. He might be getting the better

864
00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:53,000
Speaker 3: with Telese scheme. Yeah, I mean, and put to lead

865
00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:56,000
Speaker 3: back it helps a ton. And you know Robie Coleman's

866
00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:57,680
Speaker 3: one of the best slot corners. And then they added

867
00:37:57,719 --> 00:38:00,520
Speaker 3: Wettle you know who will come into their im package

868
00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:02,600
Speaker 3: and obviously have Aaron Donald the game changer up front

869
00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:04,960
Speaker 3: dexter four. So I really like this defense that it's

870
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:07,040
Speaker 3: playing really well. The problem is the offense. And the

871
00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:09,239
Speaker 3: offense you know, you could say Todd Gurley is in

872
00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:13,080
Speaker 3: the same No, it is the offensive line. Look, Whitworth

873
00:38:13,120 --> 00:38:15,520
Speaker 3: has lost a step their interior, the offensive line. They

874
00:38:15,600 --> 00:38:17,600
Speaker 3: let their guards go. They have three new starters and

875
00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:20,040
Speaker 3: their offensive line no boom at guard Denby They've been

876
00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:22,040
Speaker 3: the worst guard in the NFL. Besides maybe the Raiders

877
00:38:22,040 --> 00:38:24,480
Speaker 3: guard Austin Blake might come back at center, which should

878
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:26,600
Speaker 3: help with the interior. The offensive line is a mess.

879
00:38:26,680 --> 00:38:29,719
Speaker 3: I mean, they've allowed forty nine pressures. That's the same

880
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:32,160
Speaker 3: as the Dolphins, the most of the NFL. The Dolphins,

881
00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:34,640
Speaker 3: who might have the worst offensive line in the history

882
00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:37,880
Speaker 3: of the NFL. So these three first time starters, you know,

883
00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:41,320
Speaker 3: are just they're giving up pressure up the middle. You know,

884
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:43,839
Speaker 3: the Rams have allowed thirty nine hurries, that's the most

885
00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:45,839
Speaker 3: in the NFL. The Dolphins have only allowed thirty two.

886
00:38:46,120 --> 00:38:49,200
Speaker 3: They have the lowest offensive line pass blocking efficiency in

887
00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:52,440
Speaker 3: the NFL. So you know, their offensive line up front,

888
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:54,840
Speaker 3: they can't get push. It's hurting the run game. And

889
00:38:54,840 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 3: everything with mcveay is going to start with the run game,

890
00:38:57,120 --> 00:38:59,880
Speaker 3: and it all looks the same. So you know against

891
00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:03,799
Speaker 3: Sue and Videvea up in the middle, they're gonna get

892
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 3: pressure up the middle, and when you get Goff off

893
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:08,799
Speaker 3: of where he needs to stand, he's not good. He's

894
00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:11,120
Speaker 3: one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL under pressure.

895
00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:13,600
Speaker 3: Always has been, always will be. He doesn't have a

896
00:39:13,640 --> 00:39:15,960
Speaker 3: great arm. He's not like a Mahomes. He's like a

897
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:18,640
Speaker 3: really mechanical thrower, and he's gonna, you know, he's gonna

898
00:39:18,760 --> 00:39:21,280
Speaker 3: walk up the line, McVay is gonna tell him what's

899
00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 3: going on, and he knows that, Okay, I'm gonna fake

900
00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:26,319
Speaker 3: the handoff and Cup's gonna be right over here. I'm

901
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:28,480
Speaker 3: gonna get my clean pocket and make the throw. He

902
00:39:28,520 --> 00:39:30,600
Speaker 3: can do that as well as anybody, but when he's

903
00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:33,359
Speaker 3: getting pressured, it all goes to shit. And that's what's

904
00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:35,799
Speaker 3: been happening because their offensive lineup the middle has been

905
00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:38,400
Speaker 3: terrible now and I think the Bucks defense is going

906
00:39:38,440 --> 00:39:40,160
Speaker 3: to be a lot better and they're a lot better

907
00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:43,120
Speaker 3: against the run. So I think this is a lower

908
00:39:43,160 --> 00:39:45,879
Speaker 3: scoring game than most thing. So I played the under

909
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:48,839
Speaker 3: on the app and it's coming down, and I think

910
00:39:48,840 --> 00:39:51,200
Speaker 3: that the Bucks cover this game. They cover ten. The

911
00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:53,799
Speaker 3: Rams have been kind of smoking mirrors. I mean, look,

912
00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:56,400
Speaker 3: I told you I like the defense, and the offense

913
00:39:56,440 --> 00:39:58,520
Speaker 3: still has potential. The offensive line really has to get

914
00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:01,719
Speaker 3: it together. And the offensive line is so important for

915
00:40:01,760 --> 00:40:03,760
Speaker 3: the Rams. It's so much more important than other teams

916
00:40:03,960 --> 00:40:06,600
Speaker 3: because Golf is not one of these quarterbacks that really

917
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:08,879
Speaker 3: can improvise and he's just going to make throws from

918
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:11,280
Speaker 3: all over. And if you look at what the Rams

919
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:14,720
Speaker 3: have done so far this year, yes, they're three and zero.

920
00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:17,279
Speaker 3: But did you see the offense? They should they could

921
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:18,360
Speaker 3: have lost to the Browns, But did you see the

922
00:40:18,360 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 3: offensive Browns?

923
00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:19,719
Speaker 2: The Browns are.

924
00:40:19,600 --> 00:40:22,720
Speaker 3: Missing their entire defense and they still only score twenty points.

925
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:25,120
Speaker 3: And yeah, Jamis is a dog, a double digit dog.

926
00:40:25,160 --> 00:40:27,480
Speaker 3: You gotta love it. And look, I am telling you,

927
00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:29,680
Speaker 3: I am screaming this. I'm going to start screaming. I

928
00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:32,160
Speaker 3: screamed it preseason, I'll start screaming it now. There is

929
00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:35,560
Speaker 3: hard regression coming for the Rams. If you look last year,

930
00:40:36,080 --> 00:40:40,200
Speaker 3: just in the luck department, all the turnovers, injuries, everything

931
00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:42,439
Speaker 3: went their way, and everything's going on their way again

932
00:40:42,480 --> 00:40:45,040
Speaker 3: this year with injuries and turnovers and you know, even

933
00:40:45,080 --> 00:40:47,080
Speaker 3: the end of the game against the Browns and all

934
00:40:47,200 --> 00:40:49,600
Speaker 3: that has been going the way for so long. Just

935
00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:52,600
Speaker 3: keep your eye out on some fumbles and there's just

936
00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:55,520
Speaker 3: gonna be some things that start going against the Rams

937
00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:58,719
Speaker 3: as things even out with the oblong ball that we

938
00:40:59,000 --> 00:41:01,279
Speaker 3: play with. But all right, let me on to my

939
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:03,520
Speaker 3: last pick, because he took Tampa and I was even

940
00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:05,640
Speaker 3: thinking of taking Tampa first, and I went with the

941
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 3: damn Raiders. They better not let me down. So I

942
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:10,239
Speaker 3: lost my opportunity to get Tampa. My last time. I'm

943
00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:13,160
Speaker 3: going back to the Kyle Allen Show, all righty to

944
00:41:13,200 --> 00:41:15,680
Speaker 3: bring back those memories, because that's the difference in our

945
00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:16,480
Speaker 3: score right now.

946
00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:18,560
Speaker 2: Nine seven. I said it all that week.

947
00:41:18,719 --> 00:41:22,479
Speaker 3: Kyle Allen now gives the Panthers offense a chance because

948
00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:24,880
Speaker 3: Cam doing wasn't right. Look now it's Liz Frank and

949
00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:28,840
Speaker 3: he wasn't right sixty percent. You know, uncatchable balls against

950
00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:30,920
Speaker 3: the Bucks. I mean, come on, that's I could. I

951
00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:34,720
Speaker 3: couldn't do that, But say I got somebody.

952
00:41:34,080 --> 00:41:36,040
Speaker 2: Named Liz Frank could probably complete more passes there.

953
00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:37,879
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it was bad. So Kyle Allen actually

954
00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:39,279
Speaker 3: could throw the ball down the field. He has a

955
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:42,319
Speaker 3: beautiful deep ball. There's a lot of weapons on this

956
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:44,480
Speaker 3: Carolina team. And look, I will say it, I am

957
00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:48,759
Speaker 3: lower in the market than almost anybody on this Houston team.

958
00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:52,360
Speaker 3: I love Watson, I love Hopkins. See how can you not?

959
00:41:52,600 --> 00:41:55,960
Speaker 3: But I still have questions about their offensive line, especially

960
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:58,319
Speaker 3: on the right side. I don't think Titus Toward is

961
00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:02,240
Speaker 3: the answer, you know, I don't think the right guard

962
00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:06,400
Speaker 3: they're getting pressure. Carolina can bring pressure, and there's a

963
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:08,239
Speaker 3: aspect of this Carolina defense and not a lot of

964
00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:12,280
Speaker 3: people are talking about. But James Bradbury and Dante Jackson

965
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:14,839
Speaker 3: are playing really well at corner. Hopkins is still gonna

966
00:42:14,840 --> 00:42:16,880
Speaker 3: get his all. The receiver's still going to get theirs.

967
00:42:17,080 --> 00:42:19,480
Speaker 3: I think they can pressure Watson. I know he'll still

968
00:42:19,520 --> 00:42:21,520
Speaker 3: make his plays. And on the other side.

969
00:42:21,560 --> 00:42:23,279
Speaker 5: One play though, did you see that one poay he

970
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:25,399
Speaker 5: made like Starry crutch Off that one play he made

971
00:42:25,480 --> 00:42:28,160
Speaker 5: last week where he was like the jump pass touchdown,

972
00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:31,720
Speaker 5: like across his body, disappeared into pressure, came out running

973
00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:35,879
Speaker 5: one we're running left, jumps, throws right, fifty three yard

974
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:39,600
Speaker 5: touchdown to Jordan Aikins of all people like that was Yeah,

975
00:42:39,680 --> 00:42:40,400
Speaker 5: Watson will make it.

976
00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 3: The Texans second. There's so many things I don't like

977
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:45,920
Speaker 3: about the Texans team. I don't like their linebackers. I

978
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:48,280
Speaker 3: don't like their safeties. I don't like any of their corners.

979
00:42:49,000 --> 00:42:51,719
Speaker 3: I don't like their offensive line. I don't like you know,

980
00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:54,560
Speaker 3: how they're running the ball. It's basically and they're gonna

981
00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:57,880
Speaker 3: win games with this. But it's basically Watson and their receivers,

982
00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:01,720
Speaker 3: and that's fine to win games. I think they'll probably

983
00:43:01,840 --> 00:43:03,800
Speaker 3: win this game, but I think it's probably going to

984
00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:06,120
Speaker 3: be a field goal game. I love this Panthers team

985
00:43:06,120 --> 00:43:08,120
Speaker 3: with Alan I would have liked it also with Cam

986
00:43:08,160 --> 00:43:10,200
Speaker 3: Newton if he was healthy and able to throw balls,

987
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:13,640
Speaker 3: as he's capable of doing when healthy. But this Carolina

988
00:43:13,719 --> 00:43:16,640
Speaker 3: offense does have threats downfield. I think McCaffrey can have

989
00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:19,239
Speaker 3: a huge game. The offensive line I think is better

990
00:43:19,239 --> 00:43:22,160
Speaker 3: than people give them credit for. And I'm going back

991
00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:26,160
Speaker 3: to the Kyle Allen Show at Plus four in Houston

992
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:28,839
Speaker 3: calling it here. Uh, Houston wins by a field goal

993
00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 3: on late ridiculous Watson heroics.

994
00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:34,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, and and and you probably think I'm going to

995
00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 5: disagree with you here, but I actually totally agree with you.

996
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:37,040
Speaker 6: Uh.

997
00:43:37,080 --> 00:43:38,920
Speaker 5: The reason I backed the Texans last week, you know,

998
00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:41,439
Speaker 5: Deshaun Watson with that, with that cover and win last

999
00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:43,719
Speaker 5: week now seven and two against the spread as a

1000
00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:46,080
Speaker 5: road underdog seven eight and one against the spread.

1001
00:43:46,120 --> 00:43:47,279
Speaker 2: In all other situations, the.

1002
00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:50,640
Speaker 5: Texans are usually priced correctly by the market, uh, you know,

1003
00:43:50,840 --> 00:43:53,520
Speaker 5: except when they're on the road as a dog, because again,

1004
00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:56,560
Speaker 5: passing just matters so much more than anything else aside

1005
00:43:56,560 --> 00:43:58,200
Speaker 5: from terms and wats is not really turning the ball

1006
00:43:58,200 --> 00:44:00,160
Speaker 5: over a time. I believe he did have one in

1007
00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:01,960
Speaker 5: that game, but not a guy who turns the bold,

1008
00:44:02,000 --> 00:44:04,879
Speaker 5: but nine point four net yards per passettempt last week,

1009
00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:08,279
Speaker 5: second behind only Mahomes. Even when Watson gets sacked, he's

1010
00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:10,400
Speaker 5: another one of those quarterbacks that can make up for

1011
00:44:10,440 --> 00:44:12,919
Speaker 5: it in one play, Like drives aren't over if you get.

1012
00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:14,120
Speaker 2: Houston into a second and eighteen.

1013
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:16,759
Speaker 5: And that's the thing that it bears out, you know,

1014
00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:19,800
Speaker 5: when you're on the road and you're getting points.

1015
00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 2: At home to cover the four.

1016
00:44:22,160 --> 00:44:24,279
Speaker 5: Don't like it, but I do agree with you that

1017
00:44:24,280 --> 00:44:26,080
Speaker 5: that is the play Carolina is to play in this

1018
00:44:26,160 --> 00:44:28,320
Speaker 5: game for all the reasons you mentioned in Kyle and

1019
00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:28,799
Speaker 5: Kyle All.

1020
00:44:29,200 --> 00:44:32,799
Speaker 3: He looked great, and look he from Arizona. He's from Scottsdale.

1021
00:44:32,920 --> 00:44:35,880
Speaker 3: He went out to Arizona, got that win over the Cardinals.

1022
00:44:36,080 --> 00:44:40,000
Speaker 3: This week he's going to Houston, and he went to Houston,

1023
00:44:40,239 --> 00:44:42,200
Speaker 3: was benched at Houston Revenge Tour.

1024
00:44:42,239 --> 00:44:44,279
Speaker 2: Here he looked great.

1025
00:44:44,320 --> 00:44:45,200
Speaker 3: You gotta give him credit.

1026
00:44:46,080 --> 00:44:49,200
Speaker 5: So those are against the spread picks for this week.

1027
00:44:49,400 --> 00:44:51,680
Speaker 5: And that wraps up the Sunday six pack.

1028
00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:53,400
Speaker 2: Now on to our.

1029
00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:56,480
Speaker 5: Favorite Totals segment. You are going to get your favorite

1030
00:44:56,719 --> 00:44:57,839
Speaker 5: total pick first.

1031
00:44:57,840 --> 00:45:00,520
Speaker 3: Who you got, Look, I won't make this long. Aince

1032
00:45:00,520 --> 00:45:04,360
Speaker 3: already went into it. I'll go Bucks rams Under. I

1033
00:45:04,360 --> 00:45:06,960
Speaker 3: think this Bucks defense is much improved against bulls, and

1034
00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:10,200
Speaker 3: they're going to just pressure Golf to death. The Rams

1035
00:45:10,239 --> 00:45:13,480
Speaker 3: offense isn't right. Rams defense playing really well. They have

1036
00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:15,960
Speaker 3: the corners that can match up on the outside. Jamis

1037
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:18,040
Speaker 3: will make some plays. Golf will also make some plays.

1038
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:20,319
Speaker 3: They'll scheme up some plays. I just think forty nine

1039
00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:22,720
Speaker 3: is too high. I played this down to forty seven.

1040
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:24,640
Speaker 3: I think it's down to forty eight and a half.

1041
00:45:24,719 --> 00:45:26,920
Speaker 3: So I'll go Bucks rams Under.

1042
00:45:27,280 --> 00:45:30,040
Speaker 5: Interestingly enough, I think the Rams de sties room for improvement,

1043
00:45:30,120 --> 00:45:31,720
Speaker 5: like compared to their potential.

1044
00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:33,879
Speaker 2: Like, yeah, they kind of blank the Saints with.

1045
00:45:33,840 --> 00:45:36,560
Speaker 5: Bridgewater, but they gave up a lot of points to

1046
00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:39,040
Speaker 5: the Panthers. I thought that the Cleveland kind of shot

1047
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:40,560
Speaker 5: themselves in the foot a little bit with kind of

1048
00:45:40,600 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 5: their game plan more than the Rams played well. I mean,

1049
00:45:43,080 --> 00:45:45,200
Speaker 5: they got to the quarterback, but it's like Baker Mayfield

1050
00:45:45,280 --> 00:45:46,719
Speaker 5: was just holding the ball and like when he got

1051
00:45:46,719 --> 00:45:47,440
Speaker 5: the ball out.

1052
00:45:47,239 --> 00:45:48,719
Speaker 2: He was almost flawless.

1053
00:45:48,840 --> 00:45:50,919
Speaker 5: It was just that he was holding the ball unnecessarily

1054
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:53,000
Speaker 5: at time. So I think the RAMS d has room

1055
00:45:53,040 --> 00:45:55,839
Speaker 5: for improvement. But I think that you might have to

1056
00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:59,120
Speaker 5: kind of decrease expectations a bit until this O line

1057
00:45:59,160 --> 00:45:59,680
Speaker 5: gets right.

1058
00:45:59,840 --> 00:46:00,759
Speaker 2: So I'm with you there.

1059
00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:03,720
Speaker 5: And another thing I'm with you is that game script

1060
00:46:03,760 --> 00:46:05,400
Speaker 5: that you kind of wait out for the New England

1061
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:08,000
Speaker 5: Buffalo game. I bet the under forty two and a half,

1062
00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:10,800
Speaker 5: I think, you know, I bet it down anything above

1063
00:46:11,080 --> 00:46:12,799
Speaker 5: forty one to five, you know, for that key number

1064
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:15,920
Speaker 5: of forty one, because it's a totally different game when

1065
00:46:15,960 --> 00:46:18,640
Speaker 5: Tom Brady goes on the road to face Buffalo. Sean

1066
00:46:18,680 --> 00:46:21,040
Speaker 5: McDermott defense, as you mentioned, exceptional, not.

1067
00:46:21,040 --> 00:46:21,919
Speaker 2: Allowing the big play.

1068
00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:25,480
Speaker 5: Belichick and McDaniels know that they'll dink and dunk James White,

1069
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:28,480
Speaker 5: then the Rex Burkhead probably will get a ton of catches.

1070
00:46:28,520 --> 00:46:30,840
Speaker 5: We've kind of seen the running backs responsible for a

1071
00:46:30,920 --> 00:46:33,160
Speaker 5: large percentage of their offense in the last two meetings

1072
00:46:33,320 --> 00:46:36,480
Speaker 5: last season, which, by the way, twenty five six New

1073
00:46:36,480 --> 00:46:38,759
Speaker 5: England twenty four to twelve New England average of just

1074
00:46:38,800 --> 00:46:41,399
Speaker 5: thirty three point five points per game in those two

1075
00:46:41,440 --> 00:46:44,560
Speaker 5: meetings last season. And talked about this last week, but

1076
00:46:44,600 --> 00:46:47,520
Speaker 5: like Josh Allen, we can't just be betting overs in

1077
00:46:48,400 --> 00:46:51,480
Speaker 5: Josh Allen games. I mean, the reality of the situation

1078
00:46:51,640 --> 00:46:55,919
Speaker 5: is they know that they cannot let Josh Allen drop

1079
00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:58,120
Speaker 5: back forty times a game unless they have to. They

1080
00:46:58,120 --> 00:47:00,839
Speaker 5: have to limit the turnovers. Frank is a guy who's

1081
00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:04,000
Speaker 5: a sustainer. That's why they let Sean McCoy go sustainer.

1082
00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:06,440
Speaker 5: Not going to get stuff for many losses, but not

1083
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:09,240
Speaker 5: going to get many runs longer than ten yards. Probably

1084
00:47:09,360 --> 00:47:12,759
Speaker 5: Josh Allen unders ten and four in his career, three

1085
00:47:12,800 --> 00:47:16,200
Speaker 5: and oh in twenty nineteen, and New England when they.

1086
00:47:16,080 --> 00:47:20,080
Speaker 2: Go on the road, the under is eighteen and seven.

1087
00:47:19,880 --> 00:47:22,399
Speaker 5: Since twenty sixteen. That is a seventy two percent hit

1088
00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:25,640
Speaker 5: rate per bet Labs under in both games last season

1089
00:47:26,040 --> 00:47:29,920
Speaker 5: two and zero on the road against Buffalo and Buffalo's

1090
00:47:29,960 --> 00:47:33,080
Speaker 5: Sean McDermott era. So a lot of trends and signs

1091
00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:35,759
Speaker 5: kind of pointing in that direction of that under for

1092
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:37,360
Speaker 5: me in New England Buffalo.

1093
00:47:37,239 --> 00:47:38,880
Speaker 3: Yep, I completely agree with you. That's just that this

1094
00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:42,000
Speaker 3: Patriots offense, with their injuries up front, now they're playing

1095
00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:44,160
Speaker 3: a real defense, one of the top five defense is

1096
00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:46,399
Speaker 3: the NFL. In my opinion, you're going to see that

1097
00:47:46,520 --> 00:47:47,000
Speaker 3: play out.

1098
00:47:47,280 --> 00:47:49,640
Speaker 2: Is this Bill's Patriots game going to go over? I

1099
00:47:49,719 --> 00:47:50,360
Speaker 2: say hell.

1100
00:47:50,280 --> 00:48:06,400
Speaker 5: No, And now it's time for our weekly teaser segment.

1101
00:48:07,000 --> 00:48:10,280
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, six point teasers.

1102
00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:12,920
Speaker 5: Here's where we each pick our favorite two team teaser

1103
00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:15,560
Speaker 5: of the week. A teaser is when you are getting

1104
00:48:15,600 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 5: extra points for either a favorite or underdog. Usually the

1105
00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:21,239
Speaker 5: standard is a two team teaser where you get six

1106
00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:24,400
Speaker 5: points added to each team's line, so you get your

1107
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:26,960
Speaker 5: payout is usually minus one twenty instead of minus one

1108
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:27,919
Speaker 5: ten or something like that.

1109
00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:31,120
Speaker 2: But you are, you know, kind of locking in better odds.

1110
00:48:31,200 --> 00:48:33,480
Speaker 5: So without further ado, stuck, who you got is your

1111
00:48:33,480 --> 00:48:35,400
Speaker 5: two team six point teaser this week?

1112
00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:37,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you haven't checked out my piece each week,

1113
00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:39,560
Speaker 3: I go into all the math on who and what

1114
00:48:39,719 --> 00:48:41,520
Speaker 3: you should tease and what you shouldn't and you know,

1115
00:48:41,600 --> 00:48:44,440
Speaker 3: don't tease across zeros like cousin sal And you know,

1116
00:48:44,480 --> 00:48:46,760
Speaker 3: there's a bunch of different rules that if you follow

1117
00:48:47,120 --> 00:48:51,080
Speaker 3: you can profitably tease NFL. And one of the you

1118
00:48:51,120 --> 00:48:53,560
Speaker 3: know sides that really sticks out is Minnesota this week.

1119
00:48:53,640 --> 00:48:55,719
Speaker 3: So they're two and a half point dog, so if

1120
00:48:55,760 --> 00:48:58,600
Speaker 3: you tease them up, you're crossing three, four, six, and seven.

1121
00:48:58,640 --> 00:49:01,279
Speaker 3: Most importantly three and seven. There's kings in a low

1122
00:49:01,320 --> 00:49:04,759
Speaker 3: scoring game. Points are even more valuable to tease. And

1123
00:49:04,840 --> 00:49:08,640
Speaker 3: you know, Mitch Trubisky still terrible against good defenses. Look

1124
00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:13,359
Speaker 3: at his numbers awful against pressure, awful. And Minnesota's two

1125
00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:17,040
Speaker 3: of the best edge defenders in you know, Griffin and Hunter,

1126
00:49:17,200 --> 00:49:19,200
Speaker 3: they're going to bring pressure. I'm pairing them with the

1127
00:49:19,280 --> 00:49:23,319
Speaker 3: Ravens minus one. By the way, there's there's three things

1128
00:49:23,320 --> 00:49:24,799
Speaker 3: in life that you can take to the great death

1129
00:49:24,840 --> 00:49:28,480
Speaker 3: taxes and the Ravens beating the Browns. I think the

1130
00:49:28,600 --> 00:49:32,040
Speaker 3: last time the Browns won in regulation in Baltimore is

1131
00:49:32,080 --> 00:49:35,280
Speaker 3: two thousand and two. They're in the same division. Harball's

1132
00:49:35,320 --> 00:49:37,440
Speaker 3: ten and one at home against the Browns. The Browns

1133
00:49:37,480 --> 00:49:39,839
Speaker 3: did win in overtime in Baltimore a few years ago,

1134
00:49:40,200 --> 00:49:42,839
Speaker 3: and they've just dominated this and they are you can

1135
00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:44,719
Speaker 3: hear all the quotes. I'm a Ravens fan. They are

1136
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:48,160
Speaker 3: sick and tired of the Browns hype all the off season.

1137
00:49:48,239 --> 00:49:51,320
Speaker 3: This is a statement game for Baltimore. All the loss

1138
00:49:51,600 --> 00:49:53,319
Speaker 3: you heard in locker room, They're like, oh wait, now,

1139
00:49:53,320 --> 00:49:55,839
Speaker 3: the Browns is the class of this division. It's been

1140
00:49:55,880 --> 00:49:58,320
Speaker 3: said that Harball is apparently brought it up in every meeting,

1141
00:49:58,680 --> 00:50:00,880
Speaker 3: and maybe the offensive line is a mess. All these

1142
00:50:00,920 --> 00:50:03,400
Speaker 3: injuries still in Cleveland's defense, the Browns are just a

1143
00:50:03,440 --> 00:50:05,600
Speaker 3: mess right now. So I think Ravens win this game,

1144
00:50:05,680 --> 00:50:07,160
Speaker 3: and I'll pair that with the Vikings.

1145
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:10,759
Speaker 5: Baltimore just ten eighteen and one as a divisional home

1146
00:50:10,800 --> 00:50:13,320
Speaker 5: favorite under John Harbo. That's only a thirty six percent

1147
00:50:13,400 --> 00:50:15,520
Speaker 5: cover rate, So I think you do want to get

1148
00:50:15,560 --> 00:50:17,839
Speaker 5: a better number with the Ravens. Don't know if they

1149
00:50:17,880 --> 00:50:19,319
Speaker 5: necessarily win by a touchdown and.

1150
00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:20,759
Speaker 3: The win by a field goal, just take it from

1151
00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:21,040
Speaker 3: a run.

1152
00:50:21,560 --> 00:50:23,560
Speaker 5: I like that call on the Vikings. They're actually in

1153
00:50:23,640 --> 00:50:26,560
Speaker 5: my teaser as well. I'm going Vikings plus eight five

1154
00:50:26,600 --> 00:50:29,120
Speaker 5: and Saints plus eight five. So again hitting those key

1155
00:50:29,200 --> 00:50:32,759
Speaker 5: numbers three, four, six seven, Zimmer actually covers as a

1156
00:50:32,840 --> 00:50:35,600
Speaker 5: road dog sixty to eight eleven. Yeah, fifty nine percent

1157
00:50:35,600 --> 00:50:38,000
Speaker 5: against the spread in his career. With the Vikings, Zimmer

1158
00:50:38,120 --> 00:50:41,000
Speaker 5: rode unders twenty five to fifteen and one, which again

1159
00:50:41,040 --> 00:50:43,239
Speaker 5: goes to your point that you want these dogs and

1160
00:50:43,560 --> 00:50:46,239
Speaker 5: to get some extra points. And I do think New

1161
00:50:46,360 --> 00:50:48,520
Speaker 5: Orleans able to keep it close with Dallas at home,

1162
00:50:48,640 --> 00:50:50,640
Speaker 5: might even sneak out another win. I don't know, but

1163
00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:53,200
Speaker 5: definitely even with Bridgewater, keep it close. I think they

1164
00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:56,920
Speaker 5: play conservative. I think they feed Alvin Kamara. Like, this

1165
00:50:56,960 --> 00:50:58,920
Speaker 5: is the one team that you know, if Dallas kind

1166
00:50:58,920 --> 00:51:01,000
Speaker 5: of is feeding Zeke, they can can match that with

1167
00:51:01,080 --> 00:51:04,040
Speaker 5: their backfield. With Alvin Kamara, he's getting seventy five percent

1168
00:51:04,040 --> 00:51:07,200
Speaker 5: of the looks. That's unprecedented for him. New Orleans hasn't

1169
00:51:07,200 --> 00:51:10,080
Speaker 5: been a home underdog often under Seawan Payton, but eight

1170
00:51:10,160 --> 00:51:12,760
Speaker 5: and three against the spread seventy three percent cover.

1171
00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:14,120
Speaker 2: Rate according to bet Labs.

1172
00:51:14,120 --> 00:51:16,840
Speaker 5: As a home underdog are the Saints under Sean Payton

1173
00:51:17,120 --> 00:51:19,680
Speaker 5: thirty seven twenty four and two sixty one percent cover

1174
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:22,600
Speaker 5: rate as an underdog overall under Sean Payton.

1175
00:51:22,800 --> 00:51:23,759
Speaker 2: So I think that you.

1176
00:51:23,680 --> 00:51:27,480
Speaker 5: Know, the Bridgewater quarterback for Breeze. Yes, it's a downgrade

1177
00:51:27,560 --> 00:51:30,840
Speaker 5: for the Saints, but at home, I don't think it'll

1178
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:34,000
Speaker 5: be quite as tough through all those key numbers again,

1179
00:51:34,360 --> 00:51:36,760
Speaker 5: that three, that four, that's six at seven, but especially

1180
00:51:36,760 --> 00:51:39,399
Speaker 5: the three and seven. So going Dallas New Orleans here,

1181
00:51:39,880 --> 00:51:43,040
Speaker 5: we're running pretty long. So let's go directly into our

1182
00:51:43,320 --> 00:51:45,640
Speaker 5: underdog money line parlay segment.

1183
00:51:48,320 --> 00:51:53,239
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1184
00:51:53,400 --> 00:51:56,720
Speaker 1: money line parlay jun a row.

1185
00:51:56,719 --> 00:51:59,080
Speaker 5: For underdogs and that's like, that's not easy to do,

1186
00:51:59,200 --> 00:52:03,320
Speaker 5: considering it's two different people picking underdogs to win games outright,

1187
00:52:03,400 --> 00:52:05,239
Speaker 5: So I'm gonna go ahead and toot the horn for

1188
00:52:05,320 --> 00:52:06,359
Speaker 5: both of us on that one.

1189
00:52:06,680 --> 00:52:08,160
Speaker 2: Of course, I'll probably jink say it. We won't hit

1190
00:52:08,160 --> 00:52:09,879
Speaker 2: one for the rest of the year, but stuck who

1191
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:10,200
Speaker 2: you got.

1192
00:52:10,600 --> 00:52:13,640
Speaker 3: I'm roll with the Titans. Look, this Falcons team is

1193
00:52:13,680 --> 00:52:16,440
Speaker 3: a mess, and I think that the way they played defense,

1194
00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:18,840
Speaker 3: Mariota can actually have some success with his short passing

1195
00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:22,359
Speaker 3: the Pathlet just look underprepared. They always look underprepared under

1196
00:52:22,400 --> 00:52:25,440
Speaker 3: Quinn against these AFC teams. I forget his record against

1197
00:52:25,440 --> 00:52:28,720
Speaker 3: in this spot, but it's horrendous against the spreads straight

1198
00:52:28,760 --> 00:52:30,920
Speaker 3: up against these AFC teams that he's not familiar with.

1199
00:52:31,400 --> 00:52:34,400
Speaker 3: I think that the Tennessee offense actually matches up well

1200
00:52:34,600 --> 00:52:37,840
Speaker 3: they Atlanta offensive line as a disaster. Matt Ryan just

1201
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:40,240
Speaker 3: looks off to I think Tennessee will have a shot

1202
00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:41,759
Speaker 3: to win it. It's a team that wins when you

1203
00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:44,120
Speaker 3: don't expect them to. You said that earlier, So I'm

1204
00:52:44,160 --> 00:52:45,040
Speaker 3: rolling with the Titans.

1205
00:52:45,360 --> 00:52:47,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, And to your point, Dan Quinn only fifteen and

1206
00:52:47,719 --> 00:52:51,120
Speaker 5: fourteen straight up as a home favorite, so essentially this

1207
00:52:51,160 --> 00:52:53,279
Speaker 5: is a coin flip game, so you're getting value on

1208
00:52:53,320 --> 00:52:56,279
Speaker 5: this money line, and I am going for my money

1209
00:52:56,320 --> 00:52:58,759
Speaker 5: line pick with the Jacksonville jack Titans are plus one

1210
00:52:58,840 --> 00:53:03,080
Speaker 5: seventy five. By the way, Jaguars plus one fifty at Denver.

1211
00:53:03,440 --> 00:53:05,640
Speaker 5: Kind of alluded to this before, but Denver is another

1212
00:53:05,680 --> 00:53:08,880
Speaker 5: team that's low key been a disaster for a while now.

1213
00:53:09,080 --> 00:53:11,160
Speaker 5: Ever since they let go of Wade Phillips. You know,

1214
00:53:11,200 --> 00:53:13,960
Speaker 5: Gary Kubik steps down and look he's back now, so

1215
00:53:14,000 --> 00:53:16,399
Speaker 5: who knows even why he stepped down, But they could

1216
00:53:16,400 --> 00:53:18,759
Speaker 5: have brought back Wade Phillips, they decided they didn't need him.

1217
00:53:19,040 --> 00:53:22,839
Speaker 5: That didn't work out. Their defense underperforming pretty much ever

1218
00:53:22,880 --> 00:53:25,600
Speaker 5: since eleven and twenty two against the spread. They're not

1219
00:53:25,680 --> 00:53:27,720
Speaker 5: even covering, much less winning a lot of these games.

1220
00:53:27,760 --> 00:53:32,160
Speaker 5: So I do not like the spot against Denver because

1221
00:53:32,239 --> 00:53:34,239
Speaker 5: here's the thing. These are two teams that are going

1222
00:53:34,280 --> 00:53:36,520
Speaker 5: to rely on their defenses. They're not going to ask

1223
00:53:36,520 --> 00:53:38,799
Speaker 5: their quarterback to do too much. But I actually think

1224
00:53:39,080 --> 00:53:41,760
Speaker 5: Jacksonville has the advantage at quarterback at this stage. Gardner

1225
00:53:41,800 --> 00:53:44,719
Speaker 5: Minshew has been extremely accurate, completing about seventy percent of

1226
00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:47,640
Speaker 5: his passes. Joe Flacco. He's in the eli stage of

1227
00:53:47,680 --> 00:53:50,080
Speaker 5: his career at this point. Horrible out of the shotgun,

1228
00:53:50,080 --> 00:53:52,640
Speaker 5: horrible with play action. When defense is no a pass

1229
00:53:52,719 --> 00:53:54,480
Speaker 5: is coming, He's bad. He's one of the well with

1230
00:53:54,520 --> 00:53:57,320
Speaker 5: the yard for attempt, but he's also near the bottom

1231
00:53:57,360 --> 00:53:59,560
Speaker 5: of the league every single year in play action passer

1232
00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:03,000
Speaker 5: rating thirty fourth this year. And to compound issues, they're

1233
00:54:03,000 --> 00:54:05,400
Speaker 5: facing a Jaguars team number one in the league in sacks,

1234
00:54:05,520 --> 00:54:08,839
Speaker 5: Denver twenty six in adjusted sack rate. I don't care

1235
00:54:08,840 --> 00:54:11,480
Speaker 5: if Jenion Williams plays or not. You know why, because

1236
00:54:11,760 --> 00:54:13,440
Speaker 5: he's not gonna have to cover for long even if

1237
00:54:13,440 --> 00:54:16,160
Speaker 5: he's out there, because they're gonna get to Flacco. I

1238
00:54:16,239 --> 00:54:19,120
Speaker 5: think it's gonna be a lot similar to that game

1239
00:54:19,160 --> 00:54:22,680
Speaker 5: script last week where the Jags played the Titans and

1240
00:54:22,920 --> 00:54:25,799
Speaker 5: they were able to get that win because listen, their

1241
00:54:25,840 --> 00:54:29,400
Speaker 5: defense played well. Their quarterback couldn't beat the opposing quarterback

1242
00:54:29,400 --> 00:54:32,640
Speaker 5: couldn't beat their defense. Minshew is accurate. He's not been

1243
00:54:32,680 --> 00:54:35,720
Speaker 5: turning the ball over and the receivers are solid. Denver

1244
00:54:35,800 --> 00:54:37,920
Speaker 5: has not been great on defense. They haven't got a

1245
00:54:37,960 --> 00:54:40,560
Speaker 5: sack yet. Chris Harris at corner plays well with the

1246
00:54:40,600 --> 00:54:44,000
Speaker 5: other corner. Yet them awful getting picked on, and it's

1247
00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:46,399
Speaker 5: just not a good spot for Denver. So even going

1248
00:54:46,440 --> 00:54:49,520
Speaker 5: into my high I like the Jags plus one fifty.

1249
00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:51,680
Speaker 3: And look, Jacks have extra prep and rest, they played

1250
00:54:51,680 --> 00:54:54,280
Speaker 3: on Thursday, and this offense, I think it comes to agreely.

1251
00:54:54,280 --> 00:54:56,040
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be similar to Chicago Denver game

1252
00:54:56,040 --> 00:54:57,960
Speaker 3: where it can go either way. I like that pick.

1253
00:54:57,960 --> 00:54:59,160
Speaker 3: I'm glad you went with the Jacks.

1254
00:54:59,320 --> 00:55:00,920
Speaker 5: All right. Hopefully we we go make it three in

1255
00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:04,680
Speaker 5: a row and now we'll quickly cover the best of

1256
00:55:04,719 --> 00:55:07,000
Speaker 5: the rest all the games that we didn't make it

1257
00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:10,000
Speaker 5: to in any other segment. Gonna be a quick best

1258
00:55:10,000 --> 00:55:11,640
Speaker 5: of the rest this week because we covered a lot

1259
00:55:11,719 --> 00:55:15,120
Speaker 5: of games. The only ones we left out the LA

1260
00:55:15,280 --> 00:55:19,640
Speaker 5: Chargers visiting Miami Dolphins Miami plus sixteen, the over unders

1261
00:55:19,680 --> 00:55:22,120
Speaker 5: forty four fifty two percent of the tickets and money

1262
00:55:22,120 --> 00:55:25,359
Speaker 5: on Miami sixty six percent of the tickets, but only

1263
00:55:25,360 --> 00:55:27,960
Speaker 5: thirty percent of the money on the under. The only

1264
00:55:28,000 --> 00:55:30,319
Speaker 5: thing I got for this one really is I've been

1265
00:55:30,360 --> 00:55:32,719
Speaker 5: betting on Miami. Probably would bet the Chargers in this

1266
00:55:32,760 --> 00:55:36,879
Speaker 5: one road favorites by more than two touchdowns, but less

1267
00:55:36,880 --> 00:55:39,840
Speaker 5: than seventeen aka fourteen and a half to sixteen and

1268
00:55:39,880 --> 00:55:42,839
Speaker 5: a half four and no against the spread. Road teams

1269
00:55:42,840 --> 00:55:45,359
Speaker 5: are hardly ever favored by this number. But I think

1270
00:55:45,400 --> 00:55:48,759
Speaker 5: the Chargers have enough on both sides of the ball

1271
00:55:48,920 --> 00:55:51,320
Speaker 5: to cover the large spread.

1272
00:55:51,680 --> 00:55:53,400
Speaker 3: Do you know that the gift of people used with

1273
00:55:53,680 --> 00:55:56,839
Speaker 3: Michael Jordan's ain't stop, get help. That's what I have

1274
00:55:56,840 --> 00:55:58,480
Speaker 3: to say about people that want to bet this game.

1275
00:55:58,560 --> 00:56:01,279
Speaker 3: Stop get help. Don't bet this. You can't bet the

1276
00:56:01,320 --> 00:56:04,200
Speaker 3: Dolphins catching sixty. I mean you can't sixteen and a

1277
00:56:04,200 --> 00:56:06,000
Speaker 3: halt seventeen. I bet them if they're catching twenty one,

1278
00:56:06,160 --> 00:56:08,399
Speaker 3: but they're not. And the Chargers say, I can't bet

1279
00:56:08,400 --> 00:56:10,120
Speaker 3: an NFL team like sixteen and a half on the road,

1280
00:56:10,160 --> 00:56:13,000
Speaker 3: especially the Chargers. The dolphinsive lines a disaster. It's just

1281
00:56:13,000 --> 00:56:15,759
Speaker 3: a guesting game. If you get twenty one, which you

1282
00:56:15,840 --> 00:56:18,799
Speaker 3: won't take the Dolphins. If not, get help or stay

1283
00:56:18,800 --> 00:56:19,600
Speaker 3: away from this game.

1284
00:56:20,200 --> 00:56:22,560
Speaker 5: And the only other game that we didn't talk about

1285
00:56:22,760 --> 00:56:27,480
Speaker 5: Seattle at Arizona. Arizona a five point underdog at home.

1286
00:56:27,719 --> 00:56:30,759
Speaker 5: The over under is forty eight. Home underdogs getting at

1287
00:56:30,840 --> 00:56:33,800
Speaker 5: least five percent more of the money than the bets,

1288
00:56:33,800 --> 00:56:37,200
Speaker 5: which you know Arizona getting about thirty percent more are

1289
00:56:37,640 --> 00:56:40,279
Speaker 5: seventy nine sixty three and three fifty six percent hit

1290
00:56:40,360 --> 00:56:43,480
Speaker 5: rate against the spread since the two thousand and sixteen

1291
00:56:43,520 --> 00:56:47,640
Speaker 5: season when bet lads began tracking public percentages. So I

1292
00:56:47,640 --> 00:56:50,440
Speaker 5: think Arizona probably the play if you're betting that. That

1293
00:56:50,480 --> 00:56:53,879
Speaker 5: trend also nine to four to one this season, So

1294
00:56:54,440 --> 00:56:56,480
Speaker 5: do like the Cardinals in this spot stuck, you got

1295
00:56:56,480 --> 00:56:57,240
Speaker 5: anything there.

1296
00:56:57,680 --> 00:56:59,320
Speaker 3: I'll be stand away from this game. I refuse to

1297
00:56:59,320 --> 00:57:02,279
Speaker 3: bet on Cliff. I make it right around four four

1298
00:57:02,320 --> 00:57:04,000
Speaker 3: and a half, I got the six. I might actually

1299
00:57:04,000 --> 00:57:05,759
Speaker 3: look at Arizona, but I can't because I said on

1300
00:57:05,800 --> 00:57:07,799
Speaker 3: Twitter if I ever bet on Cliff Kingsburg this year,

1301
00:57:07,800 --> 00:57:10,319
Speaker 3: I'll delete my account. So I can't, but I would

1302
00:57:10,360 --> 00:57:11,399
Speaker 3: look at Arizona.

1303
00:57:11,480 --> 00:57:14,440
Speaker 5: Now it is time to wrap up with our Survivor

1304
00:57:14,480 --> 00:57:15,759
Speaker 5: pool pick of the week.

1305
00:57:16,400 --> 00:57:25,120
Speaker 1: One pick, one chance to advance Survivor. All right, so

1306
00:57:25,360 --> 00:57:27,240
Speaker 1: we're doing pretty good in Survivor thus far.

1307
00:57:27,320 --> 00:57:29,040
Speaker 5: I would have Game three involved some times where you

1308
00:57:29,080 --> 00:57:31,000
Speaker 5: want to save a team or whatnot, but both of

1309
00:57:31,040 --> 00:57:32,480
Speaker 5: our picks have been hitting that. I don't think we've

1310
00:57:32,520 --> 00:57:34,640
Speaker 5: been picking the same teams necessarily every week. But who

1311
00:57:34,640 --> 00:57:35,919
Speaker 5: you got for this week's look?

1312
00:57:35,960 --> 00:57:37,760
Speaker 3: This week I think is the toughest week so far.

1313
00:57:37,840 --> 00:57:40,960
Speaker 3: I mean, most people should be alive. Teams favored by

1314
00:57:41,200 --> 00:57:43,320
Speaker 3: seven or more have been killing it. There hasn't been

1315
00:57:43,560 --> 00:57:47,360
Speaker 3: any big upsets. Yeah, so I'm going with the obvious

1316
00:57:47,360 --> 00:57:49,800
Speaker 3: pick here. I really couldn't decide on anything. I already used

1317
00:57:49,800 --> 00:57:52,640
Speaker 3: the Ravens, so I couldn't go back to that. There

1318
00:57:52,680 --> 00:57:54,760
Speaker 3: was the other team I was considering. You know, I

1319
00:57:54,800 --> 00:57:57,280
Speaker 3: don't like to use road favorites in Division games, which

1320
00:57:57,280 --> 00:57:58,880
Speaker 3: is why I don't want to take New England and

1321
00:57:58,880 --> 00:58:01,120
Speaker 3: I want to save New England. As said before, you know,

1322
00:58:01,160 --> 00:58:03,240
Speaker 3: I go down and down the list. I come to

1323
00:58:03,520 --> 00:58:05,400
Speaker 3: the Chargers. I don't like taking routines, but I will

1324
00:58:05,400 --> 00:58:07,480
Speaker 3: make the exception here. It has a lot of flaws

1325
00:58:07,480 --> 00:58:09,840
Speaker 3: and injuries. So I'm going with the Chargers and just

1326
00:58:09,920 --> 00:58:11,120
Speaker 3: getting to the next week.

1327
00:58:11,600 --> 00:58:12,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't.

1328
00:58:12,120 --> 00:58:14,120
Speaker 5: I don't think that was hard of a pick at all. Actually,

1329
00:58:14,320 --> 00:58:15,760
Speaker 5: I'm going with the Charges as well. I think when

1330
00:58:15,760 --> 00:58:17,760
Speaker 5: you look at that schedule, I really don't see another

1331
00:58:17,800 --> 00:58:19,760
Speaker 5: game even against the Raiders at home, where I'd really

1332
00:58:19,760 --> 00:58:20,680
Speaker 5: want to use the Chargers.

1333
00:58:20,680 --> 00:58:22,400
Speaker 2: But I have a road game against Miami.

1334
00:58:22,480 --> 00:58:25,720
Speaker 5: They're favored big by far the safest pick of the week,

1335
00:58:25,760 --> 00:58:27,000
Speaker 5: and you're not going to use the chargers.

1336
00:58:27,040 --> 00:58:28,800
Speaker 2: Rest at least you shouldn't be using the chargers.

1337
00:58:28,840 --> 00:58:31,000
Speaker 5: Hopefully we keep you guys alive, We keep it going,

1338
00:58:31,240 --> 00:58:34,280
Speaker 5: and this has been another edition of the Action Network podcast,

1339
00:58:34,560 --> 00:58:37,520
Speaker 5: the NFL Weekly Betting Edition. Until next week we will

1340
00:58:37,520 --> 00:58:39,680
Speaker 5: be back. Make sure you go download that Action app.

1341
00:58:39,840 --> 00:58:42,800
Speaker 5: Hit us up actionnetwork dot com. Become an edd subscriber

1342
00:58:42,880 --> 00:58:44,840
Speaker 5: for all of our content. A lot to like at

1343
00:58:44,880 --> 00:58:48,600
Speaker 5: actionnetwork dot com. For stuckey, I'm Chris Raybon. Let's get

1344
00:58:48,640 --> 00:58:50,040
Speaker 5: this money, Go back, Go