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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: It's good, It's coming, it's coming, Goals coming home.

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Speaker 1: It's coming home, It's coming.

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Speaker 3: It's coming, it's coming.

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Speaker 1: It's coming.

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Speaker 2: It's come, it's comings coming.

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Speaker 3: It's It's hello and welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 3: My name is Michael Eleebuff and this is your your

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Speaker 3: twenty twenty soccer betting preview show with me today. BJ Cunningham,

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Speaker 3: a beautiful Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and Anthony Dbundo of Greater Philadelphia.

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Speaker 3: We'll have Euro twenty twenty bet tracking in the app.

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Speaker 3: We'll be supporting it. The product guys did a great

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Speaker 3: job of getting that in on time, so you'll be

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Speaker 3: able to track all your bets throughout the tournament. I

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Speaker 3: believe the next app release is next week, so be

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Speaker 3: sure to look up for that, and of course read

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Speaker 3: all of our coverage on actionnetwork dot com. Before I

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Speaker 3: introduce to the panelists, let's just quickly go over how

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Speaker 3: this tournament works. A lot of you out there may

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Speaker 3: not be as in the weeds about Euro twenty twenty

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Speaker 3: as we are, so a quick overview won't hurt. It's

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Speaker 3: a twenty four team tournament with six groups of four.

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Speaker 3: The top two teams in each group will then move on,

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Speaker 3: and also four of the best third place teams. That

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Speaker 3: sounds like a lot, but in the end you're gonna

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Speaker 3: have sixteen teams after the group stage playing a knockout tournament,

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Speaker 3: a single elimination knockout tournament. And a quick look at

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Speaker 3: the odds. At the top, you got the big boys

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Speaker 3: France at plus four eighty, England plus five forty, Belgium

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Speaker 3: plus seven fifty, Portugal eight to one, Germany nine to one,

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Speaker 3: Italy nine to one, Spain nine to one, the Netherlands

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Speaker 3: fifteen to one, and then there's a bit of a

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Speaker 3: drop off, right This is where we start to get

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Speaker 3: into sleeper territory. Denmark is pretty interesting. They're twenty five

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Speaker 3: to one. Bet MGM, the official odds provider of the

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Speaker 3: Action Network podcast, said last week that Denmark is their

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Speaker 3: third biggest liability. They opened them up at eighty to one,

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Speaker 3: all the way down to twenty five to one, and

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Speaker 3: they're kind of a bridge between the top of the

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Speaker 3: board and the next range, which starts with Croatia at

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Speaker 3: forty to one, Turkey fifty to one, Switzerland sixty to one,

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Speaker 3: Sweden seventy five to one, Poland eighty to one, Austria

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Speaker 3: one hundred to one, Russia also one hundred to one,

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Speaker 3: so is the Ukraine Czech Republic at one hundred twenty

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Speaker 3: five to one, Scotland two hundred to one, Wales two

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Speaker 3: hundred to one, Slovakia four hundred to one, and then,

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Speaker 3: of course the three biggest long shots Finland five hundred

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Speaker 3: and one, Hungary five hundred and one, and everyone's favorite

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Speaker 3: sleeper Cinderella's Story North Macedonia their first international tournament, sitting

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Speaker 3: there at five hundred to one, the birthplace of Alexander

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Speaker 3: the Great, if I'm not mistaken, so BJ, I just

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Speaker 3: went ran through those odds. What team is your favorite

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Speaker 3: outright bet? What team sticks out the most to you?

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Speaker 4: It really kind of starts the top of the board

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Speaker 4: here with France. I think if you really look through

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Speaker 4: this tournament, you're not going to find a team with

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Speaker 4: better a combination of talent, squad, continuity and experience than France.

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Speaker 4: I mean, they're obviously the twenty eighteen World champions, and

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Speaker 4: they're bringing back pretty much the exact same roster they

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Speaker 4: won that twenty eighteen World Cup with, and they're also

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Speaker 4: adding one of the best strikers in the world in

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Speaker 4: Kareem Benzma, who hasn't played for the national team in

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Speaker 4: five years and scored thirty goals for Real Madrid this season.

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Speaker 4: So and you just look up down this roster, there's

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Speaker 4: just so much talent. You know, I'm in Bob a

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Speaker 4: Grisman and Benzema is just frightening, you know, front three,

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Speaker 4: and then the midfield. You know, Paul Pogba and Goolo

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Speaker 4: Conte are two of the best midfielders in the Premier League.

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Speaker 4: And I think some people have, you know, some question

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Speaker 4: marks here with France and their defense, but they actually

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Speaker 4: only allowed point seven expected goals per match if you

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Speaker 4: date all the way back to the twenty eighteen World Cups.

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Speaker 4: So they are in the group of death here with

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Speaker 4: you know, Group half with Portugal and Germany. But if

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Speaker 4: they're able to win Group F, which I personally think

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Speaker 4: they should be able to do, I mean, the tournament

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Speaker 4: sets up just perfectly for them. They wouldn't have to

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Speaker 4: face another group winner until the semi finals, and then

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Speaker 4: there they'd have to play the winner of a probably

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Speaker 4: the winner of Group B or Group A, which would

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Speaker 4: most likely to be Belgium or Italy, which they're absolutely

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Speaker 4: capable of beating, and then they get to the final

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Speaker 4: and you have a chance to hedge there. So you know,

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Speaker 4: it is chalky kind of here at the top of

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Speaker 4: the board, But I think if you're looking at France

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Speaker 4: at plus four fifty, I think there's still a little

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Speaker 4: bit of value there at the top of the board.

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Speaker 3: Of course, France is coming off the World Cup win,

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Speaker 3: They've won Euros there. You know, this is an incredible team. Anthony,

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Speaker 3: are you in agreement with Beach? Are you going a

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Speaker 3: little lower than the board? How boring are you going

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Speaker 3: to get?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not going to take France.

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Speaker 2: I think France is the favorite for a reason, and

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Speaker 2: they are the best team in the competition, but the

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Speaker 2: best teams don't usually win these competitions, just kind of

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Speaker 2: how it has always shaken out. And you know, France,

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Speaker 2: for all the attacking talent they have, there are some

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Speaker 2: question marks in defense and the fact that they're playing

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Speaker 2: four center backs again, which worked in twenty eighteen at

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Speaker 2: the World Cup, but it may not work this time.

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Speaker 2: And in Gola, Conte has a lot of minutes on him.

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Speaker 2: Everybody's relying on him. If he picks up a knock

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Speaker 2: if he isn't one hundred percent, there's not a ton

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Speaker 2: of midfield depth behind him, and their system under deshamp

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Speaker 2: is so relying on him to kind of break up

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Speaker 2: play and then just letting Bape and Graismond go and

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Speaker 2: run wild and make some which is basically how they

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Speaker 2: won the World Cup, beating Belgium and Croatia in those

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Speaker 2: last two games. But I like Portugal and I know

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Speaker 2: they're in the same group. They're eight to one right

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Speaker 2: now Portugal. Yeah, they're in the Group of death. But

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Speaker 2: if they're able to get out of the Group of death,

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Speaker 2: like PJ said, if they weren't able to win the group,

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Speaker 2: they would have a really favorable draw. If they were

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Speaker 2: to come in third in the group, they would also

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Speaker 2: potentially see the Netherlands and then either Denmark, Turkey or

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Speaker 2: Switzerland and route to the semifinals. That's a pretty favorable path.

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Speaker 2: It gets a little suffer if they come in second.

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Speaker 2: So it's kind of going to be a weird, you know,

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Speaker 2: game theory type of thing going on the last group

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Speaker 2: game when France plays Portugal in late June. But I

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Speaker 2: think this Portugal team has a lot of talent going forward,

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Speaker 2: the most talent they've probably ever had, you know, obviously

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Speaker 2: Christiano Ronaldo, but Diogo Jotta, Bernardo Silva, and then Bruno

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Speaker 2: Fernandez behind him. That four going forward, Plus they have

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Speaker 2: two of the best attacking fullbacks in the world in

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Speaker 2: Rafael Guerrero left back from Dortmund and Juan Cancelo who

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Speaker 2: they're going to play.

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Speaker 3: On the right.

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Speaker 2: And then they have experience in the midfield with John

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Speaker 2: Moutinho is still around, Ruben NEETs had a breakout year

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Speaker 2: for Wolves, so they have a lot of depth in

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Speaker 2: the midfield, and they have one of the best center

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Speaker 2: backs young center backs in the world, and Ruben Diaz,

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Speaker 2: who many think was the best in the prem this year,

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Speaker 2: to partner with Pepe who's still there at thirty eight

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Speaker 2: and still great in the air. So they have all

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Speaker 2: the pieces for me to make a run. And if

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Speaker 2: it gets to Pens, they have Ronaldo and Fernandez. And

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Speaker 2: that's how they won twenty sixteen. They never they got

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Speaker 2: very lucky, and they didn't win a single game in

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Speaker 2: regulation until the semi finals. Yeah, they won the tournament.

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Speaker 2: So a lot of randomness can happen in these fields.

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Speaker 2: And I like Portugal as my dark horse.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's I mean, you touched on it right. There's

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Speaker 3: a lot of game theory and stuff that goes involved

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Speaker 3: in these Get in your handicapping for these tournaments because

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Speaker 3: it's not very straightforward. There's a lot of different tie breakers. Obviously,

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Speaker 3: the penalty kicks is just basically a coin flip, and

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Speaker 3: that leads me to look down the board. And there's

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Speaker 3: been a couple of legitimate, like sporting miracle long shots

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Speaker 3: who have won the Euros. Nineteen ninety two, Denmark won.

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Speaker 3: They weren't even in the tournament. There was a civil

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Speaker 3: war in Yugoslavia, so the UA fit called Denmark and said, look,

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Speaker 3: this team can't come because there's a civil war going

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Speaker 3: on in their country. You guys can slot in, So

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Speaker 3: they come slot, they come in. They win the entire

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Speaker 3: tournament in nineteen ninety two is as huge underdogs. And

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Speaker 3: then of course the purotico Greek team that translates to

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Speaker 3: pirate ship, which tells you how they played, right. They

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Speaker 3: would just steal every game. They would sit back, wait

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Speaker 3: for a chance to on the count win one nothing

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Speaker 3: and then put eleven huge Greek guys behind the ball

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Speaker 3: and defend like hell and it worked. And then, like

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Speaker 3: you said, the Portugal twenty sixteen run where they didn't

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Speaker 3: win a game until the knockout stage. So I think

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Speaker 3: that leads me to think, all right, I'm gonna take

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Speaker 3: Pepper a couple of shots. The one I like is Turkey.

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Speaker 3: Still they're fifty to one. They've come down a little bit,

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Speaker 3: but this team is really good, you know, one through eleven.

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Speaker 3: Whether their death maybe is not that great, but you're

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Speaker 3: talking about a good center back pair with Demrol and look,

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Speaker 3: Anthony did a great jot pronouncing the name for Portugal.

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Speaker 3: I'm going to butcher some for Turkey and some other countries,

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Speaker 3: so bear with us here. And so Yongku of Leicester

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Speaker 3: City like, this team has a very strong spine, very

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Speaker 3: well organized. They were one of the best defensive teams

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Speaker 3: during qualifying. Their path is also pretty favorable. Right they're

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Speaker 3: in group with Italy. They open up against Italy, so

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Speaker 3: you actually can probably wait to get a better number

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Speaker 3: because if they lose to Italy and their opener, they'll

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Speaker 3: probably pump up to maybe eighty to one, one hundred

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Speaker 3: to one, and finishing second in that group is a

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Speaker 3: great path and if they can find a way to

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Speaker 3: do that if they can even scratch out third place.

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Speaker 3: I don't this team has a very high ceiling. They

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Speaker 3: do have a low floor, but I think they have

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Speaker 3: a pretty high ceiling, and that's what I'm looking for

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Speaker 3: in an underdog. So there you have it. You got

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Speaker 3: the France, Portugal, Turkey is our three favorite outright, bets,

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Speaker 3: Let's just jump right into the group stage because this

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Speaker 3: is when it gets pretty exciting, right Groupe is The

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Speaker 3: headliners are Italy. They're odds on minus one eighty six

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Speaker 3: favorites to win the group. Switzerland behind them at plus

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Speaker 3: four seventy five, Turkey plus five forty Whales twelve to one.

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Speaker 3: Remember Wales was a Cinderella story, made it to the

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Speaker 3: semi finals in the last Euros behind Gareth Bale and

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Speaker 3: Aaron Ramsey and some you know, let's be honest, some

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Speaker 3: very good luck. So Anthony, is this as straightforward as

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Speaker 3: Italy gonna just rop over these other three teams?

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Speaker 1: I don't think.

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Speaker 3: So.

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Speaker 2: I actually took some Turkey plus one in the first

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Speaker 2: game on Friday. That's that's getting the Euros kicked off

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Speaker 2: three o'clock eastern in Rome, so that Italy will have

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Speaker 2: the home field for all of their home for other

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Speaker 2: group stage matches. The rest of the games we played

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Speaker 2: in Azerbaijan, so definitely an interesting travel situation for some

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Speaker 2: of those teams. That being said, I'm not as sole

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Speaker 2: in Italy as everybody else's. Marco Veratti, their star center midfielder,

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Speaker 2: who's probably one of the most underrated players in the world,

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Speaker 2: is going to probably miss the first game and he

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Speaker 2: may be out even longer. He's not going to be

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Speaker 2: one hundred percent fit. They're really rely ont on him.

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Speaker 2: Him partnering with Regino in the midfield and Nico Burrella,

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Speaker 2: they have a solid midfield, but without Varati, it just

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Speaker 2: kind of lacks the you know, the solidity that he

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Speaker 2: prove and the ability to kind of ping passes forward

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Speaker 2: to the runners that they're going to have, and they're

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Speaker 2: not really built to break down some of the weaker teams.

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Speaker 2: I know they had an excellent running qualifying since missing

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Speaker 2: the twenty eighteen World Cup, but I think they're a

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Speaker 2: little vulnerable because their center backs are old.

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Speaker 1: Benucci and Killeen Hear.

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Speaker 2: They're running it back, but they're both in their mid

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Speaker 2: thirties now and up top immobile, a Serra mobile is

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Speaker 2: going to be their striker. He's never been one to really,

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Speaker 2: you know, be more of a poacher. He's more of

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Speaker 2: a get in behind kind of guy. And there's not

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Speaker 2: going to be a ton of space in behind when

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Speaker 2: they're playing Switzerland and Turkey in Wales or We're going

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Speaker 2: to be more compact and look to break. So I

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Speaker 2: think it's going to be a difficult go at it

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Speaker 2: for Italy. I think there's there's going to be a

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Speaker 2: lot of I think if I were to guess which game,

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Speaker 2: which group is gonna have the most draws, it would

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Speaker 2: probably be this one. It's pretty balanced. But I think

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Speaker 2: for me, I think Italy still wins the group. But

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Speaker 2: I'm certainly not laying one to eighty six. I took

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Speaker 2: some Switzerland plus four seventy five to come in and

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Speaker 2: win the group. I also like Switzerland minus one sixty

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Speaker 2: five to advance. The Swiss have a really good spine

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Speaker 2: through the middle and braill En below is one of

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Speaker 2: my favorite breakout strikers. He's a young guy from Munching

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Speaker 2: glad Back and he's he's poised to break through and

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Speaker 2: Mikiri playing passes in behind him I think they have

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Speaker 2: a real path here to break down some of these

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Speaker 2: older center backs that you're gonna see in this scroup.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I think that's a pretty good round up, right.

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Speaker 3: And Anthony's got a Vale at the end of his name,

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Speaker 3: So if he's saying that Italy is a little overrated,

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Speaker 3: you might want to take his word for it. BJ.

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Speaker 3: What do you think, Groube?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree with Anthony here. I think this is

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Speaker 4: I mean, I think Italy most likely will win this group.

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Speaker 4: Like like Anthony said, I'm certainly not gonna lay one

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Speaker 4: eighty five. But you know, they're playing two really good

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Speaker 4: defenses in Turkey and Switzerland. I mean, like we already

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Speaker 4: talked about. You know, Turkey only allowed zero point nine

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Speaker 4: to seven expectacles per match throughout your own World Cup

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Speaker 4: qualifying and they play this weird four to one four

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Speaker 4: one formation that not a lot of teams really see,

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Speaker 4: which allows them to keep a ton of guys behind

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Speaker 4: the ball and play very defensive. So I think it's

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Speaker 4: gonna be really difficult for you know, an aging and

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Speaker 4: mobile like you said and signet to get through and

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Speaker 4: score against them. And then you know, looking at the Swiss,

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Speaker 4: they also have two really good defenders, and then Kanji

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Speaker 4: and Evaldi, who played both play in the Bundesligan. We're

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Speaker 4: actually both really good for Dortmann and Glodbach this year.

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Speaker 4: You know, it's just a really really difficult group when

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Speaker 4: it comes to trying to honestly score. And then even

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Speaker 4: though you know Wales sitting there at the bottom, you

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Speaker 4: know they still have a pretty good defense too. They

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Speaker 4: only allowed one point one too expect a goals per

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Speaker 4: match throughout your Own World Cup qualifying, and they actually

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Speaker 4: played the toughest strength to schedule of anybody coming into

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Speaker 4: this tournament. And if we're talking about strength to schedule,

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Speaker 4: the Italians actually through your Own World Cup qualifying actually

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Speaker 4: played the lowest strength to schedule of anybody in the tournament.

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Speaker 4: The highest ranked team they've played basically since that twenty

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Speaker 4: eighteen World Cup is Northern Ireland, who is forty fifth

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Speaker 4: in the feet for rankings and not even in this tournament,

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Speaker 4: so they actually haven't even played a team that's in

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Speaker 4: this tournament. So yeah, like you said, I think Italy

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Speaker 4: definitely has the most talent in this group and they

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Speaker 4: probably should win it. But I'm certainly not going to

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Speaker 4: lay minus one eighty five for them to win it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, they're an interesting case because I mean they're the

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Speaker 3: perfect Will we be surprised if they go out, you know,

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Speaker 3: in the group stage, Yes, sure, but it wouldn't be

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Speaker 3: like a huge shocker. But would it also be a

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Speaker 3: surprise if they win the tournament? No, because that's you know,

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Speaker 3: what they do. They haven't lost under Manchini basically since

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Speaker 3: he took over a couple of years ago. So I mean,

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Speaker 3: we'll move on to Group B, one of the weirdest

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Speaker 3: set up groups because of the way it's structured. At

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Speaker 3: the top right, Belgium is odds on minus one forty

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Speaker 3: favorite to win the group, with Denmark plus two sixty

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Speaker 3: behind them, Russia just over five to one, and then

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Speaker 3: Finland at thirty to one. Just keep in mind that,

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Speaker 3: like we said off the jump, like this tournament is

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Speaker 3: always incredibly random, and Anthony talked about how Portugal won

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Speaker 3: twenty sixteen who won their group hungry, So like these

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Speaker 3: really kind of long long shots that, yeah, they may

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Speaker 3: not win the tournament, but you could maybe get value

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Speaker 3: on them by back of them to win a group

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Speaker 3: or something like that, And that's kind of what I'm

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Speaker 3: thinking about here right, Like, I think everybody loves Belgium

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Speaker 3: when they're healthy. I think everybody. Denmark is clearly the

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Speaker 3: Austria of Like last year, last Euro's off was a

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Speaker 3: huge sleeper, everybody loved them. What it Austria to do?

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Speaker 3: They had a real stinker and went out real quick?

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Speaker 3: Who knows? With Russia And I'm not just saying that

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Speaker 3: about soccer, like you know, that's just Russia in general.

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Speaker 3: And then Finland at thirty to one, Like I would

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Speaker 3: never talk anybody out of backing any team at you know,

319
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Speaker 3: twenty to one or thirty to one to win their

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Speaker 3: group in the tournament just because we just don't know.

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Speaker 3: So I'm actually going to play a little bit of Finland.

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Speaker 3: It's just a you know, a dart throw at thirty

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Speaker 3: to one, it's just an automatic thing for me when

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Speaker 3: you see a number that high to win a group.

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Speaker 3: But bj what, how do you think this thing will

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Speaker 3: actually shake out? And with more more analysis than the

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Speaker 3: number is good enough at thirty to one on Finland,

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Speaker 3: tell us how to actually bet it.

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Speaker 4: I think Belgium is actually really vulnerable in this group.

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Speaker 4: I mean the conversation around Belgium if you want to

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Speaker 4: go back to the twenty fourteen World Cup. It's always

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Speaker 4: they're you know, they have the most talent in the

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Speaker 4: tournament and can they put it together? But I think

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Speaker 4: that conversation is starting to kind of go away when

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Speaker 4: it comes to, you know, their team, because if you

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Speaker 4: really look at their roster now, some of their best

337
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Speaker 4: players from you know, back in twenty fourteen and then

338
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Speaker 4: on or starting to get kind of old. You know,

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Speaker 4: if you look at Eden Hazard, he had a horrible

340
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Speaker 4: season at Real Madrid, although he was injured for most

341
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Speaker 4: of those but he only scored four goals in fourteen

342
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Speaker 4: appearances and really just didn't do much when he was

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Speaker 4: on the field. You know they're going to be relying

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Speaker 4: on in the midfield with you know, Kevin de brun

345
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Speaker 4: is going to be out for the first match against Russia,

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Speaker 4: which makes them very vulnerable with that match being played

347
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Speaker 4: in Saint Petersburg, and you look at their defense, you

348
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Speaker 4: know it's aging with you know Aldoueild and Vertongen and

349
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Speaker 4: Vermail and who are all in their thirties, and you

350
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Speaker 4: know they might be relying on Jason Denyere from you

351
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Speaker 4: know Olympic Laoned But I mean it's a questionable defense

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Speaker 4: that Denmark and Russia frankly would be able to break down.

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Speaker 4: And if you want to talk about travel in this

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Speaker 4: as well, you know they're gonna be playing in Saint

355
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Speaker 4: Petersburg against Russia. Then they're gonna have to travel back

356
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Speaker 4: to Copenhagen to play Denmark and then back to Saint

357
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Speaker 4: Petersburg to play Finland. That's over. You know, that's a

358
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Speaker 4: thousand miles you know, each way, or you know, two

359
00:15:55,080 --> 00:15:59,320
Speaker 4: thousand miles each way, so you know, and I think

360
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Speaker 4: you know, throughout eral qualifying they were honestly just incredibly

361
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Speaker 4: impressive because you know, they scored forty goals and only

362
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Speaker 4: allowed three. But do we you know, I think we

363
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Speaker 4: forget that was two years ago and these guys have

364
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Speaker 4: kind of aged a little bit over the years. So

365
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Speaker 4: I'm actually gonna be fading Belgium in this one. I mean,

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Speaker 4: you kind of see in the odds that they are

367
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Speaker 4: kind of vulnerable because you know, they have the lowest

368
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Speaker 4: odds besides the Group of Death. You know, as far

369
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Speaker 4: as the favorites are concerned, and I really do love

370
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Speaker 4: this Denmark team, I'm not gonna betting them to win

371
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Speaker 4: the tournament because I think the value on them is gone.

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Speaker 4: You know, when they open to eighty one, now down

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Speaker 4: to twenty five, I think that you know that value's gone.

374
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Speaker 4: But you know, throughout your own World Cup qualifying pay,

375
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Speaker 4: they averaged two point three expected goals for matching only

376
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Speaker 4: allowed point seventy five. They're gonna need to play every

377
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Speaker 4: single match in Copenhagen. They have so much talent, you know,

378
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Speaker 4: from defense to midfield to attack. You know, they got

379
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Speaker 4: cash Per Smichael, Andre's Christensen, Christian Erickson, Pierre m mil Hoiberg.

380
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Speaker 4: These guys are all playing, you know, at the top

381
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Speaker 4: clubs and you know in in England and then up

382
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Speaker 4: top you know they have some young strikers with Ustuff

383
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Speaker 4: Polsen and Casper Dolberg and an experience with you know,

384
00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:04,080
Speaker 4: Martin Brathway, who's a backup striker at you know Barcelona.

385
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Speaker 4: So again, and the reason why they went from eighty

386
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Speaker 4: to one to twenty five to one is because they

387
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Speaker 4: just destroyed the three teams they played in World Cupe

388
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Speaker 4: qualifying in late March, they beat Israel, Moldova and Austria

389
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Speaker 4: by conbined score of fourteen to nothing. And I think

390
00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:21,240
Speaker 4: that just triggered the books saying Okay, yep, this team

391
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Speaker 4: is really good. We need to move them and get

392
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Speaker 4: them up to twenty five to one. So I've played

393
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Speaker 4: Denmark to win this group at plus two sixty. You

394
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Speaker 4: know they're gonna be because I do think it's important

395
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Speaker 4: that they're playing all their matches at home in that

396
00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:35,040
Speaker 4: travel for Belgium, and I think they honestly have just

397
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Speaker 4: as much talent as Belgium if De Bruyne is not

398
00:17:37,080 --> 00:17:39,399
Speaker 4: going to be in the game. So plus two fifty

399
00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:41,280
Speaker 4: or better is good for Denmark to win this group.

400
00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:44,240
Speaker 4: And yeah, I'm gonna be all over Denmark on this one.

401
00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:46,800
Speaker 3: And you're not just saying that because the Action Network

402
00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:50,840
Speaker 3: was acquired by a Danish company either, we're not forced

403
00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:53,080
Speaker 3: to say that you actually like Denmark. I guess what

404
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:56,119
Speaker 3: a lot of other people do, right. This is the

405
00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:59,720
Speaker 3: quote unquote like trendy chic sleeper before the tournament, there's

406
00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:02,800
Speaker 3: always one, at least one, and this year it's the Danes. Anthony,

407
00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:05,040
Speaker 3: do you think Belgium is as lukewarm as BJ does?

408
00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:07,359
Speaker 1: Probably one of the few people who isn't high on

409
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Speaker 1: Belgium too.

410
00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:11,840
Speaker 2: I've been watching Toby al Deverild and Jan Vertongan trying

411
00:18:11,840 --> 00:18:14,520
Speaker 2: to defend at Tottenham. Vertongan left last year, but Alda

412
00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:16,320
Speaker 2: Faro was there this year and it was really a disaster.

413
00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:19,520
Speaker 2: Anytime a team had paced, they kind of ripped apart

414
00:18:20,480 --> 00:18:22,359
Speaker 2: the defense and that was a big issue, especially on

415
00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:22,720
Speaker 2: the break.

416
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Speaker 1: And I look at this.

417
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Speaker 2: Denmark team and I'm probably like I was on Denmark

418
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Speaker 2: early and I liked them. And the more I've taken

419
00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:33,040
Speaker 2: a look at kind of the minutes that they've logged

420
00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:36,720
Speaker 2: between Christian Erickson and Puerre Emma Hoybier for their respective

421
00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:39,639
Speaker 2: clubs this year, the more I'm starting to maybe be

422
00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:41,320
Speaker 2: a little bit sour on them. I just don't know

423
00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:44,080
Speaker 2: what they have left in the tank because they played

424
00:18:44,080 --> 00:18:47,080
Speaker 2: so many minutes at Tottenham and Inter and Hoibier especially

425
00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:48,680
Speaker 2: started to break down at the end of the season.

426
00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:50,520
Speaker 2: He looked like he was dead on his feet. There's

427
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Speaker 2: a lot of reasons to like this team. Their defense,

428
00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:56,920
Speaker 2: specifically Andreas Christensen the Chelsea center back, and Janick Vestigard

429
00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:01,480
Speaker 2: and Jackamanderson and Simon kar four good center backs which

430
00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:02,920
Speaker 2: most teams don't have.

431
00:19:03,080 --> 00:19:03,840
Speaker 1: Belgium doesn't have.

432
00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:05,960
Speaker 2: Belgium probably has one good center back, and I don't

433
00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:08,119
Speaker 2: think Martinez is going to start him, and that's Jason Denier.

434
00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:12,000
Speaker 1: So I think there's a case to be made for Denmark.

435
00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:14,159
Speaker 2: I didn't take it at plus quo sixty because I'm

436
00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:17,639
Speaker 2: concerned about how they're going to score goals. Poulsen is okay,

437
00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:20,280
Speaker 2: but I'm not totally sold on him or Dolberg. So

438
00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:23,119
Speaker 2: for me, nothing on Denmark. When we look at the

439
00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:27,520
Speaker 2: bottom of the group. I really want to watch Russia's

440
00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:30,120
Speaker 2: first game and then decide what we're going to do after.

441
00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:34,679
Speaker 2: I'm curious to see the running numbers. In twenty eighteen,

442
00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:37,600
Speaker 2: there was a big scandal involving potential doping. People were

443
00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:39,560
Speaker 2: looking at the numbers and saying, how in the world

444
00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:42,680
Speaker 2: did they run this much on their home turf. They're

445
00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:44,760
Speaker 2: going to be home again for a few of the

446
00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:47,000
Speaker 2: two of the matches, but I will be looking at that.

447
00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:51,760
Speaker 2: They have some really fun attacking pieces. Alexi Moranchik from Atalanta,

448
00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:55,840
Speaker 2: Alexander Golovin from Monaco, and then the big man, ardam

449
00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:59,639
Speaker 2: Zuba from Zenit. He's the tall man and he's going

450
00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:02,040
Speaker 2: to be to on set pieces. But I think this

451
00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:06,200
Speaker 2: group is pretty much there's a clear top two. I

452
00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:09,080
Speaker 2: think there's a clear third. Denmark in Belgium could go

453
00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:12,080
Speaker 2: either way and Finland. You know, I like team of Pookie,

454
00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:15,280
Speaker 2: but Finland does not experienced enough at the back, and

455
00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:17,880
Speaker 2: this is their first major international tournament too, I believe,

456
00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:19,440
Speaker 2: so tough, tough run for that.

457
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:21,920
Speaker 3: Yeah.

458
00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:24,359
Speaker 4: I got one note here on Russia and it's a

459
00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:26,720
Speaker 4: player future. I just want to back up Anthony's point.

460
00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:31,159
Speaker 4: Alexander Golovin, like he said, he had nine assists in

461
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:33,399
Speaker 4: twenty one appearances this season for Monaco and had a

462
00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:36,000
Speaker 4: point five expected assists right, which is actually better than

463
00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:39,560
Speaker 4: Kevin de Bruyna had in the Premier League. So he's

464
00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:41,880
Speaker 4: one hundred to one to lead this tournament and assists

465
00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:44,840
Speaker 4: and to lead this Euros insists you really only need

466
00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:47,120
Speaker 4: dating back, you really need three or four of them,

467
00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:49,359
Speaker 4: and he's going to be obviously playing a ton of

468
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:52,640
Speaker 4: high scoring games because Rush is a big time over team.

469
00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:55,640
Speaker 4: So I love, you know, that's one of my player

470
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:57,040
Speaker 4: features that I love is, you know, him to lead

471
00:20:57,080 --> 00:20:58,520
Speaker 4: the tournament one hundred and one. I think there's great

472
00:20:58,600 --> 00:21:00,639
Speaker 4: value on that because you know, when they you know,

473
00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:02,639
Speaker 4: play Finland or whoever, he could put up some big

474
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:04,960
Speaker 4: numbers there, so I just wanted to add that, Yeah,

475
00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:05,560
Speaker 4: I love.

476
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:06,920
Speaker 3: That, and I think that's a good point, right when

477
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,400
Speaker 3: you when you are betting top goal scorers or most

478
00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:13,280
Speaker 3: assists whatever, you don't really need somebody to score ten goals, right,

479
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:16,920
Speaker 3: you need Last time around it was Greaisman with six goals.

480
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:19,080
Speaker 3: So you need one or two big games from someone,

481
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:21,600
Speaker 3: So keep that in mind. It seems like the favorites

482
00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:23,320
Speaker 3: usually do come out on top of those things. But

483
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:26,719
Speaker 3: it's definitely why, you know, much more wide open than

484
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:30,520
Speaker 3: people realize. And it's not really also about going far right.

485
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:33,119
Speaker 3: It's about, like I said, one big game, two big games,

486
00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:35,560
Speaker 3: and when you're playing Finland and you're playing two teams

487
00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:37,880
Speaker 3: like yeah, we're playing another team like Belgium that will

488
00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:40,640
Speaker 3: push the pace. There's definitely that potential. I just want

489
00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:42,639
Speaker 3: to know Belgium nine to one to not advance from

490
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:44,560
Speaker 3: the group stage and twenty to one to finish last

491
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:48,720
Speaker 3: in Group B. If we're all lukewarm on them, maybe

492
00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:50,800
Speaker 3: that's a Maybe that's a group or for the three

493
00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:53,920
Speaker 3: of us to get down on onto Group C. This

494
00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:56,719
Speaker 3: one also kind of seems pretty straightforward on the surface right.

495
00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 3: Netherlands at minus two or five prohibitive face favorites. Austria

496
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:03,520
Speaker 3: coming back at plus four fifty is the second favorite.

497
00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:06,200
Speaker 3: Right behind them is the Ukraine plus four seventy five,

498
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:08,760
Speaker 3: and then of course North Macedonia forty to one. And

499
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:11,400
Speaker 3: like I was saying before, that number is just high

500
00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:14,600
Speaker 3: enough for me to get involved automatically. There is always

501
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:16,560
Speaker 3: one team that's going to surprise to win a group.

502
00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 3: So if you do play small bets on these big numbers,

503
00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:23,160
Speaker 3: there's a pretty good chance that you will I should

504
00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:24,560
Speaker 3: say pretty good chance, but there is a chance that

505
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:26,520
Speaker 3: you walk away with with a nice hit. So I

506
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:29,240
Speaker 3: think forty to one on a team that will definitely

507
00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:31,920
Speaker 3: captivate the hearts of all the Neutrals out there. This

508
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:37,240
Speaker 3: team is first first major tournament. They only became a

509
00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 3: country in the nineteen ninety two and that whole Yugoslavia

510
00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 3: Civil War situation that I actually referenced before, along with

511
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:48,720
Speaker 3: a bunch of other Balkan countries. These it's a fun team.

512
00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:51,639
Speaker 3: There's a couple of interesting players. Alioski from Leeds United

513
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,600
Speaker 3: is one of them. But I mean it seems like

514
00:22:56,080 --> 00:23:00,359
Speaker 3: the Netherlands, who maybe are like yeah, sure, they're big

515
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:02,639
Speaker 3: favorite in the group stage, but after that I think

516
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 3: people are pretty you know, wishy washy on how far

517
00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:10,719
Speaker 3: they'll actually get through. They should walk through this group, Anthony,

518
00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:11,200
Speaker 3: what do you think?

519
00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:12,640
Speaker 1: Yeah?

520
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,080
Speaker 2: The other ones are another fade team for me. I

521
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:17,040
Speaker 2: really don't like them, but they got put in this

522
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:20,320
Speaker 2: group where it's the worst group by far. You look

523
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:25,040
Speaker 2: at it, Ukraine, Austria, North Macedonia. It's hard to make

524
00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:28,159
Speaker 2: a case for any of those teams being better than

525
00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:30,080
Speaker 2: the nether Ones. But it is three games, so anything

526
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 2: can happen. The thing for me with the Netherlands is

527
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:35,320
Speaker 2: that I'm not sure what the fitness situation is anymore.

528
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:39,119
Speaker 2: Frankie Diyong has picked up a knock he wasn't in

529
00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:43,040
Speaker 2: training last week, and Matias Delitt might have an issue.

530
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:46,000
Speaker 2: Virgil van Dyke is already out for the Euros, and

531
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 2: so they all of a sudden like this young spine

532
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:52,520
Speaker 2: that we really all love of, Deyong, Delitt and Van

533
00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:55,040
Speaker 2: de Bak who was also I believe was Vanda Bak

534
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 2: who was out as well. So there's question marks a

535
00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 2: lot about who's healthy and who's not, and all of

536
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:01,600
Speaker 2: that makes me a little bit sour on the Dutch

537
00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:04,200
Speaker 2: as a team going forward. Now that being said, I

538
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 2: do think they win this group. Certainly, not going to

539
00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:09,920
Speaker 2: lay the number because I think that Austria is a

540
00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 2: little underrated coming in again. I'm gonna get back on

541
00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:14,399
Speaker 2: the Austria train, and Michael mentioned earlier I was on

542
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:16,400
Speaker 2: the Austria train four years or five years ago.

543
00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:17,600
Speaker 4: Did not work.

544
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:21,879
Speaker 2: But Austria has some interesting pieces that I kind of

545
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:26,680
Speaker 2: like in the midfield with Sabbatzer and Limer and Schlager,

546
00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:29,720
Speaker 2: that's the big three Bundesliga midfield. You know, as a

547
00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:32,800
Speaker 2: big Bundesliga fan, I enjoy watching them and and the

548
00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:35,320
Speaker 2: thing about you know, at least Sabatzer and Limer, is

549
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,560
Speaker 2: that Noglism does a better job than most of rotating

550
00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:40,440
Speaker 2: his players. So I'm not as worried about fatigue with

551
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:43,679
Speaker 2: those group. With that group, Schlager had a really good

552
00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:46,360
Speaker 2: year a Wolfsburg. They're going into the Champions League next year,

553
00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:51,000
Speaker 2: so really interesting there. And so I think there's there's

554
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,359
Speaker 2: some real potential for the Austrians. I took them to

555
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:56,280
Speaker 2: finish second minus one ten or better is good for

556
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:58,400
Speaker 2: me there. I think they're much better than Ukraine, which

557
00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:00,600
Speaker 2: BJ I think has more on than I do. But

558
00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:05,400
Speaker 2: Ukraine is not very good defensively, so concerned about them

559
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:09,200
Speaker 2: and so that's my play. And then I like Memphis

560
00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:10,120
Speaker 2: to Pie Golden Boot.

561
00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 1: The thing about you.

562
00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:13,320
Speaker 2: Know, the Golden Boot is that you can tend to

563
00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:16,920
Speaker 2: get by with a good group stage. That's how Harry

564
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:20,800
Speaker 2: Kane won it in eighteen. At the World Cup, Griaismon

565
00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:23,360
Speaker 2: really did well in the knockouts. But for the most part,

566
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 2: if you get you know, four games, three games in

567
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,080
Speaker 2: the group stage against North Macedonia, Ukraine, into Austria, and

568
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 2: then you get one good game of the knockouts and

569
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:32,760
Speaker 2: you might have enough goals to do it. And the

570
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:34,760
Speaker 2: Pie is coming off his best season. He's at twenty

571
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:37,359
Speaker 2: seven years old. He just bagged twenty goals and twelve

572
00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:39,840
Speaker 2: assists in the French League. So I'm really high on

573
00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:42,040
Speaker 2: TOPI I got him at fifteen to one. I believe

574
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:43,320
Speaker 2: there's some fourteen to ones out there.

575
00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 4: I like that too.

576
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,280
Speaker 2: The entire attack runs through him, so there's a lot

577
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:50,240
Speaker 2: of reason to like him for this Dutch team going forward.

578
00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:53,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think we have a couple guys. Obviously we'll

579
00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:56,720
Speaker 3: be covering every match for Euro twenty twenty on the

580
00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 3: Action Network, and you'll also see our favorite bets for

581
00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:04,160
Speaker 3: the tournament from a few our outright bet long shot

582
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:07,280
Speaker 3: golden ball, and we have a couple of guys who

583
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:09,479
Speaker 3: like to pie there and like the value on him

584
00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:11,480
Speaker 3: to to win the Golden Boot. And like you said,

585
00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:13,400
Speaker 3: the group, the group that they're in has a lot

586
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,240
Speaker 3: to do with it. I do want to mention Austria

587
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:18,600
Speaker 3: and Ukraine are both one hundred to one to win

588
00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:22,879
Speaker 3: the tournament, and I think that BJ might might think

589
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 3: that one of them is maybe worth a sprinkle, maybe not.

590
00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:28,520
Speaker 4: Let's see, Yeah, I think Austria is worth a sprinkle.

591
00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 4: I think you know, obviously everybody was on them in

592
00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:33,200
Speaker 4: the twenty sixteen year olds and they had a god

593
00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:34,880
Speaker 4: but I mean, like Anthony said, this is a really

594
00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:37,320
Speaker 4: solid team through the midfield and then you know also

595
00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:39,199
Speaker 4: an attack. They have a twenty three year old by

596
00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 4: the name of Casa. I'm gonna totally butcher this last name.

597
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:46,680
Speaker 4: I apologize in advance. Kaladzich, that was bad. Wow. But

598
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:50,800
Speaker 4: you know he had sixteen goals for VfB Stutgart this

599
00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:52,800
Speaker 4: season and he had a point four to seven expectable

600
00:26:52,840 --> 00:26:54,680
Speaker 4: pri Nini at scoring rate, So you know, if you're

601
00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:56,040
Speaker 4: looking for a long shot, I think he's you know

602
00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 4: somewhere around eighty to one to you know, lead the tournament,

603
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:00,840
Speaker 4: assess you know, playing too bad, you fens like Ukraine

604
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:03,400
Speaker 4: North Macedonia, he might have a shot for that. But yeah,

605
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:05,199
Speaker 4: I think Austria is definitely worth a sprink. I mean

606
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:07,560
Speaker 4: they were in a pretty easy euro qualifying group with

607
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:12,600
Speaker 4: with Poland and you know, not very many other solid teams,

608
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:14,600
Speaker 4: but they still put averaged you know, two point five

609
00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:18,040
Speaker 4: seven expecting goals per match and you know allowed under one.

610
00:27:18,200 --> 00:27:20,399
Speaker 4: So and I think people are kind of off them

611
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:23,159
Speaker 4: because their last time they were out they lost a

612
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 4: World Cup qualifying match at home for nothing to Denmark,

613
00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,480
Speaker 4: but the expected goals margin was actually pretty close in

614
00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:31,320
Speaker 4: that one, so it was kind of a little bit

615
00:27:31,320 --> 00:27:33,880
Speaker 4: of a misleading score line. And yeah, like Anthony said,

616
00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:35,440
Speaker 4: I think this is just a solid team from top

617
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:38,480
Speaker 4: to bottom. And you know, with it being an easy group,

618
00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:40,720
Speaker 4: you know, if you finished second in Group B, you

619
00:27:40,760 --> 00:27:41,920
Speaker 4: know you're gonna get to play the first place in

620
00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:43,680
Speaker 4: Group A, which be Italy, WHI we've already talked about,

621
00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:47,680
Speaker 4: is very vulnerable, So yeah, I think they have a

622
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 4: pretty good path here to at least get to the

623
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:53,080
Speaker 4: semi finals or even the quarters. So yeah, I do

624
00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:55,879
Speaker 4: like Austria at one hundred to one. As far as

625
00:27:55,920 --> 00:27:58,639
Speaker 4: the Ukraine is concerned, yeah, I'm not. I think that

626
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:02,560
Speaker 4: they're vastly over rated. They did win their qualifying group

627
00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:04,120
Speaker 4: with you know, Portugal, but they only had a plus

628
00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:07,960
Speaker 4: point nine expected goal differential. You know, if you look

629
00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:09,879
Speaker 4: at their rosters, seventy percent of their guys play for

630
00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 4: either Dynamo Kiev or Shock Tar in the Ukrainian Premier League,

631
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 4: which you know isn't really you know, it's not a

632
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:18,000
Speaker 4: knock on them because they're in they were in the

633
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:20,159
Speaker 4: Champions League last season, but you know, when you're not

634
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 4: playing in one of the top five leagues against the

635
00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:24,760
Speaker 4: best competition weekend and week out, you know, it is

636
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:25,400
Speaker 4: kind of a knock.

637
00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:25,560
Speaker 3: You know.

638
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:30,560
Speaker 4: The Ukrainian Premier League is twelfth most difficult by YUEFA coefficients.

639
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:34,399
Speaker 4: But there is one guy on the Ukraine that I

640
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:37,240
Speaker 4: really love and is to lead the tournament and assists

641
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:42,160
Speaker 4: and his name is Brucelan Malinovski. He's an attacking midfielder

642
00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:44,920
Speaker 4: for Atalanta in Italian Italy Syria.

643
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:45,120
Speaker 3: AH.

644
00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:49,480
Speaker 4: He led the Italian First Flight and assists this season

645
00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:51,840
Speaker 4: with twelve and he had a zero point four to

646
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 4: nine expected assists rate, which is the exact same assist

647
00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:57,760
Speaker 4: rate as Kevin de Bruyne in the Premier League. And

648
00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 4: Kevin Debrunan is the favorite to lead the tournament and assists,

649
00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:02,680
Speaker 4: and he's I think eighty to one right now to

650
00:29:02,800 --> 00:29:05,520
Speaker 4: lead the tournament and assists. So and they're gonna have

651
00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:08,200
Speaker 4: a match against North Macedonian if they finished third, they

652
00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:09,840
Speaker 4: could definitely get out of this group and at least

653
00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:11,800
Speaker 4: play four matches. And like I said before, all you

654
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 4: need is for three or four assists to lead the

655
00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:16,320
Speaker 4: tournament at eighty to one for a guy who has

656
00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:19,640
Speaker 4: you know, as talented and creative as he is and

657
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:22,160
Speaker 4: basically you know, as a catalyst to their entire attack.

658
00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 4: I love that value at eighty to one. But again

659
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:26,959
Speaker 4: I don't really like Ukraine, you know, to get far

660
00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 4: in this tournament. But you know, like you said, you

661
00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,400
Speaker 4: only need you only need one or two big games

662
00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:34,040
Speaker 4: to actually win that. So yeah, Malinovski eighty to one

663
00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:35,600
Speaker 4: to lead the tournament and assists.

664
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 3: I think that that also is a good you know,

665
00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:40,840
Speaker 3: betting one on one thing. Right. It's like when when

666
00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:43,360
Speaker 3: you when you play tournaments like this, whether it's uh,

667
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:45,560
Speaker 3: you know, even like something like the playoffs. So when

668
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:47,600
Speaker 3: when you're betting like playoff MVPs, is one way to

669
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:49,680
Speaker 3: just have exposure on a team that maybe you don't

670
00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:52,200
Speaker 3: like is to back someone on a on a prop

671
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 3: like that and and then guess what, like all of

672
00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:56,800
Speaker 3: a sudden you're sort of rooting for that team because

673
00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,520
Speaker 3: the more games they play, the more and uh the more,

674
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:02,280
Speaker 3: the better chance you have. And you're also not too

675
00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:04,600
Speaker 3: fussed if they lose, because all you need is is

676
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:06,720
Speaker 3: that one guy to have a big thing. That brings

677
00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:10,720
Speaker 3: us to Group D, which is probably I would say

678
00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:14,000
Speaker 3: one of I guess, you know, because because of who's

679
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:18,320
Speaker 3: in it, the most dramatic group of the tournament, although

680
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:19,880
Speaker 3: there's you know, of course the Group of death is

681
00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:22,400
Speaker 3: is the group of death, but this one, because of

682
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:24,960
Speaker 3: who is in it, because of where they are, their

683
00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:29,040
Speaker 3: expectations are so high. Group D is England minus two

684
00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:32,800
Speaker 3: forty five, Croatia plus three fifty the Czech Republic's twelve

685
00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 3: to Czech Republic at twelve to one in Scotland at

686
00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:39,280
Speaker 3: nineteen to one, and that begs the question, BJ, is

687
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:39,920
Speaker 3: it coming home?

688
00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:48,640
Speaker 4: It's come, it's come as coming, it's coming. It could

689
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:50,920
Speaker 4: it could be coming home. Listen. I mean I think

690
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:52,760
Speaker 4: in this I don't think in this tournament you can

691
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:54,480
Speaker 4: make the argument. I think England might have the most

692
00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:56,960
Speaker 4: talent of any team in this entire tournament. The question

693
00:30:57,080 --> 00:30:58,800
Speaker 4: mark now is, you know, can they get it done?

694
00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:01,520
Speaker 4: Because the tournament sets up perfectly for them. They're gonna

695
00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:03,600
Speaker 4: play all three group stage matches in London and then

696
00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:05,520
Speaker 4: the round of sixteen match. If they win Group D,

697
00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:08,200
Speaker 4: which they should, they're gonna play that match in London.

698
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:10,320
Speaker 4: Then their quarterfinally be in Rome, but then Semis and

699
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 4: the final would also be in London. But the problem

700
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:15,200
Speaker 4: for England is their path once they get to the

701
00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:19,360
Speaker 4: knockout stage is really really difficult because if they win

702
00:31:19,400 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 4: Group D, they're gonna have to play the second place

703
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:23,000
Speaker 4: team in Group half, which is you know, either gonna

704
00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:25,520
Speaker 4: be France, Portugal or Germany, and then they're probably gonna

705
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:27,520
Speaker 4: have to play Spain in the next round and then

706
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:30,040
Speaker 4: they'll probably you know, either face off against the Netherlands

707
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:32,480
Speaker 4: or whoever comes out of that side. So you know,

708
00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:35,120
Speaker 4: it's a really really difficult draw once they get to

709
00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 4: the you know, the knockout stage. But I mean their

710
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,600
Speaker 4: attack is just so frightening, you know, obviously with Harry Kane,

711
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 4: Phil Foden, Jayden, Sancho, Jack Realish, Like there's just so

712
00:31:45,800 --> 00:31:49,120
Speaker 4: many guys that I just put the fear of God

713
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 4: into opposing defenses. And as far as you know, winning

714
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:54,720
Speaker 4: Group D, yeah, they should definitely get out of Group

715
00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:59,080
Speaker 4: D without any problems. But I do think they're here

716
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:01,280
Speaker 4: in Group D. I think there is some value here

717
00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 4: for that second place spot, and it's a team I

718
00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 4: think we all really love right now, and it's the

719
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:11,959
Speaker 4: Czech Republic. They are my favorite long shot to win

720
00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:13,560
Speaker 4: the tournament at one hundred and fifty to one. If

721
00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:16,080
Speaker 4: you're looking for that grease kind of you know, Cinderella

722
00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:18,840
Speaker 4: type story, I think the Czech Republic is really your

723
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:22,680
Speaker 4: team because they have a really solid roster top to bottom,

724
00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:26,960
Speaker 4: and over their last nine World and Euro qualifying matches,

725
00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:29,600
Speaker 4: they won the expected goals battle in every single match,

726
00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:32,240
Speaker 4: and in that included was a two to one win

727
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 4: over England and Prague and a one one draw with Belgium.

728
00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:39,360
Speaker 4: You know, it's just it's a really good roster from

729
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:39,960
Speaker 4: top to bottom.

730
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:40,120
Speaker 3: You know.

731
00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:42,200
Speaker 4: They have some guys like Thomas Sooyschek who plays for

732
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:47,280
Speaker 4: west Ham, Patrick Shack who plays striker for Leverkusen, and

733
00:32:47,360 --> 00:32:49,280
Speaker 4: they have a young guy who people I think might

734
00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:52,160
Speaker 4: want to look out for, Adam Helosak, who's eighteen years

735
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:55,600
Speaker 4: old playing for Sparta Prague. He had fifteen goals and

736
00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:57,960
Speaker 4: eight assists and only nineteen appearances in the Czech First

737
00:32:58,000 --> 00:33:01,560
Speaker 4: Division this season. So taking some Czech Republic one hundred

738
00:33:01,560 --> 00:33:03,920
Speaker 4: and fifty to one to win plus three eighty to

739
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 4: make the quarters, yeah, I really love Czech Republic here,

740
00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:12,120
Speaker 4: and I also think Croatia. I think Croatia is fairly priced.

741
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:17,840
Speaker 4: It's just the problem with Croatia is that their main

742
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:20,400
Speaker 4: guys are getting older, you know. Luka Modrics thirty five,

743
00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 4: Perssage thirty two, Lovern is on the wrong side of thirty,

744
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:28,520
Speaker 4: you know, and they're still really good team. But I

745
00:33:28,720 --> 00:33:30,800
Speaker 4: just I really don't like their price at forty to one,

746
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:33,920
Speaker 4: and I think they're just to finish second in this group.

747
00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:36,040
Speaker 4: I just think there's a lot of value on the

748
00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:38,280
Speaker 4: Czech Republic who I actually have projected as a pretty

749
00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:44,400
Speaker 4: even team to Croatia. Yeah, so for me, England should

750
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:46,720
Speaker 4: breeze through this group. I don't really like their value

751
00:33:46,760 --> 00:33:49,960
Speaker 4: to win the ternment overall. I think the Czech Republic

752
00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:52,920
Speaker 4: should be able or could be able to finish second here.

753
00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:55,800
Speaker 4: So yeah, for me, it's Czech Public hundred and fifty

754
00:33:55,800 --> 00:33:59,280
Speaker 4: to one and three eighty to get to the quarterfinals.

755
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:01,880
Speaker 3: I think one thing to keep in mind with England,

756
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:04,080
Speaker 3: right is they play Croatia right off the jump, which

757
00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:06,560
Speaker 3: is going to be a tough match, and if they

758
00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:09,239
Speaker 3: do stumble, whether that's a draw or maybe even don't

759
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:12,120
Speaker 3: look great in a win or whatever, the media pressure

760
00:34:12,200 --> 00:34:14,520
Speaker 3: is going to be insane on this team, Like this

761
00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:18,360
Speaker 3: is the three lines. The English national team is covered

762
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:20,480
Speaker 3: in the same way as like you know, the Dallas

763
00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:23,879
Speaker 3: Cowboys or Toronto Mate Beliefs or New York Yankees. They

764
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:28,720
Speaker 3: are They have just a gigantic media presence following them around,

765
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:31,720
Speaker 3: not just during these tournaments, right, like all you read about,

766
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:34,160
Speaker 3: all you hear about, you know, every week when you're

767
00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 3: listening to Premier League podcasts or whatever is guy's talking about,

768
00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:38,759
Speaker 3: Oh is he going to be in the England squad whatever.

769
00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:41,759
Speaker 3: It could be eighteen months before tournament and they'll people

770
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:44,680
Speaker 3: will be talking about it. So one small stumble from

771
00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:46,440
Speaker 3: England and who knows, it could all it could all

772
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:50,360
Speaker 3: go to ship pretty quickly for this team, Anthony, what

773
00:34:50,680 --> 00:34:54,080
Speaker 3: do you think, Like I have a hard time back

774
00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:56,759
Speaker 3: in Scotland at all in this tournament. I think people

775
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:59,640
Speaker 3: maybe I'm probably for fun bet when they play England,

776
00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:01,719
Speaker 3: just because it will be hilarious if they can pull

777
00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:05,399
Speaker 3: the upset in that one. But outside of like BJ,

778
00:35:05,480 --> 00:35:08,239
Speaker 3: I love the Czechs. I think it's hilarious. Like I

779
00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:10,720
Speaker 3: don't know, for a little while they were known as Czechia,

780
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:13,799
Speaker 3: the country was check ya. Now everyone's listening them as

781
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:16,080
Speaker 3: Czech Republic. I think they're back to being in the

782
00:35:16,080 --> 00:35:18,960
Speaker 3: Czech Republic. Who knows. But they also are no strangers

783
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:22,160
Speaker 3: to euro glory, right They finished I believe second in

784
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:25,360
Speaker 3: nineteen ninety six to Germany in a tournament where actually

785
00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:27,479
Speaker 3: one of their players booked their wedding in the middle

786
00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:29,239
Speaker 3: of the tournament because he expected to be bounced in

787
00:35:29,280 --> 00:35:32,400
Speaker 3: the group stage. And you know, those are the kind

788
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 3: of stories you get in these tournaments, right, Like you

789
00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:36,560
Speaker 3: get some some crazy stuff, which is why I'm saying, look,

790
00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:38,640
Speaker 3: twelve to one on Czech Republic to win the group

791
00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:43,680
Speaker 3: is probably in range, I think, And like BJ said,

792
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:46,160
Speaker 3: I think anything over hundred twenty five to one on

793
00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:49,400
Speaker 3: them to win the tournament is pretty fun. Anthony, what

794
00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:49,759
Speaker 3: do you think?

795
00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:53,760
Speaker 2: I have a really hard time get behind the Czech Republic.

796
00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:55,479
Speaker 2: I know everybody loves so Check.

797
00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:58,920
Speaker 1: You know, he's Check Filaney. He had a great year

798
00:35:59,640 --> 00:36:02,080
Speaker 1: for West Ham United.

799
00:36:02,160 --> 00:36:04,279
Speaker 2: But I just don't really see the defense here and

800
00:36:04,360 --> 00:36:06,080
Speaker 2: I can't back a team that I don't trust the

801
00:36:06,120 --> 00:36:08,719
Speaker 2: center backs, and and that's that's it for me in

802
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:11,400
Speaker 2: terms of trying to get Czech Republic futures down. So

803
00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:14,040
Speaker 2: I am passing on the checks. I also don't really

804
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:16,240
Speaker 2: know about the goal scoring. I know Shick is decent,

805
00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:19,960
Speaker 2: but Shick has always been good when he's had He's

806
00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:21,839
Speaker 2: more of a target man with runners who can who

807
00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:23,600
Speaker 2: can run behind him. And that was the case at

808
00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:26,520
Speaker 2: Leipzig when he was on loan there briefly, and that

809
00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:29,560
Speaker 2: was the case at Leverkusen with Diabi and and.

810
00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:31,480
Speaker 1: Bailey.

811
00:36:31,719 --> 00:36:34,400
Speaker 2: This year, with this Check team, there's just nobody who's

812
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,879
Speaker 2: really kind of you know, has the pace to really

813
00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:41,000
Speaker 2: trouble an England or a Croatian back line where I

814
00:36:41,040 --> 00:36:43,799
Speaker 2: think they could be vulnerable. I really think England roles here.

815
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:47,480
Speaker 2: I think there could be potential value in taking England

816
00:36:47,520 --> 00:36:48,480
Speaker 2: to win all three games.

817
00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:49,520
Speaker 1: As a long shot.

818
00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:52,239
Speaker 2: I don't really trust the Croatian defense to deal with

819
00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:55,879
Speaker 2: the pace of England. England was really controlling that game

820
00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:58,080
Speaker 2: in the World Cup semi final two years ago, three

821
00:36:58,160 --> 00:37:01,239
Speaker 2: years ago, and that was England. You know, guys were

822
00:37:01,280 --> 00:37:05,000
Speaker 2: pre peak. Now they're mostly at or before peak. Guys

823
00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 2: like Sancho Sterling, you know, Grealish in the midfield and

824
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:11,520
Speaker 2: Kane that that front four is a lot of fun

825
00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:15,480
Speaker 2: depending on who Southgate decides to start, and he has

826
00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:17,160
Speaker 2: the ability to rotate as well. So I think they

827
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:17,840
Speaker 2: could really.

828
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:19,840
Speaker 1: Impress.

829
00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:21,919
Speaker 2: I think they roll through the group, but like BJ said,

830
00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:24,320
Speaker 2: not taking any futures on them because I'm concerned about

831
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:26,839
Speaker 2: the path should they get through. I think they would

832
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:29,399
Speaker 2: probably face a Portugal, Germany or France in the first

833
00:37:29,480 --> 00:37:32,960
Speaker 2: game and then Spain. That's just way too hard, especially

834
00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:34,920
Speaker 2: at the current ods with them being the second betting favorite.

835
00:37:34,920 --> 00:37:36,600
Speaker 2: That's a little ridiculous to me when you look at

836
00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:40,680
Speaker 2: the group, So for me, no bets in in this group.

837
00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:44,040
Speaker 2: It's kind of the interesting group. I'm most excited besides

838
00:37:44,080 --> 00:37:45,560
Speaker 2: the group of depth to watch this group. But I

839
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:49,760
Speaker 2: don't really trust anyone's defense enough. Croatia, like I mentioned,

840
00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:52,719
Speaker 2: the center backs are aging. They don't have any depth

841
00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:55,640
Speaker 2: at the fullback position. Simmy Versalco is going to be

842
00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:58,520
Speaker 2: the right the right back again, he wasn't really playing

843
00:37:58,600 --> 00:38:02,600
Speaker 2: much this year for let Madrid. Dejon Lavren wrong side

844
00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:05,680
Speaker 2: of thirty, Vida wrong side of thirty. So they have

845
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:07,359
Speaker 2: a lot of guys who I'm really not too sure

846
00:38:07,360 --> 00:38:09,800
Speaker 2: about in the defense, and then you get to the

847
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:13,359
Speaker 2: midfield and of course that's their strength. Mario Pasolich could

848
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:16,040
Speaker 2: be one to watch. He's an Atalanta guy. Covid Chicch

849
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:18,360
Speaker 2: has been injured most of the season. Broseovich had a

850
00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:22,920
Speaker 2: great year and entered we'll see with Madrich. So I'm

851
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:25,760
Speaker 2: not totally sold on the Croats either because of their defense.

852
00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:27,799
Speaker 2: So for me, it's a lot of teams I'm really

853
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,240
Speaker 2: looking to stay away from, and I can't back England

854
00:38:30,239 --> 00:38:30,839
Speaker 2: because of the group.

855
00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:35,040
Speaker 3: The one bet I do I do like that is

856
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:38,160
Speaker 3: tangential to England is I like phil Foden at eighty

857
00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:40,799
Speaker 3: to one to win Golden Boot. I know everyone's gonna

858
00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:41,479
Speaker 3: be on Kines.

859
00:38:41,560 --> 00:38:42,759
Speaker 1: Is he gonna Is he gonna start?

860
00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:45,680
Speaker 3: We don't know. But if he even starts. The great

861
00:38:45,719 --> 00:38:48,359
Speaker 3: thing about it, right is with this with this team,

862
00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:51,320
Speaker 3: like you said, Southgate has the ability to rotate. So

863
00:38:51,440 --> 00:38:53,759
Speaker 3: let's say England has a has a good first game

864
00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:56,759
Speaker 3: against Croatia, maybe they roll their second game. Then all

865
00:38:56,800 --> 00:38:59,319
Speaker 3: of a sudden, you know, Phil Foden is playing in like, hey,

866
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:02,399
Speaker 3: get some playing time in against their their last game,

867
00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:04,120
Speaker 3: which I think it gets the check Republic or whoever

868
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:06,799
Speaker 3: it is, scott I think it's Checks. So he has

869
00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:08,920
Speaker 3: a potential for a big game in whether he's playing

870
00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:12,360
Speaker 3: Scotland or the Czech Republic. Plus he's going to be

871
00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:14,520
Speaker 3: someone off the bench if they need goals whatever. And

872
00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:16,479
Speaker 3: as we've said, you only need a couple of goals.

873
00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:18,680
Speaker 3: So even if he doesn't start the first game, let's

874
00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:20,120
Speaker 3: say that game doesn't go well, I think there's a

875
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:22,719
Speaker 3: there's a place for him. He's a he he was

876
00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:24,759
Speaker 3: a machine for man City when he was on it.

877
00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:29,320
Speaker 3: I just think like people are so infatuated with Kine's

878
00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:31,960
Speaker 3: goals scoring they forget that he also had fourteen assists,

879
00:39:31,960 --> 00:39:35,440
Speaker 3: so running getting in behind him is vote in a

880
00:39:35,520 --> 00:39:37,120
Speaker 3: viable path to scoring goals.

881
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:39,759
Speaker 2: The one thing for me is I always want to

882
00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:41,480
Speaker 2: have if I'm going to take Golden boot futures, I

883
00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:42,600
Speaker 2: always want to have a guy who's going to be

884
00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:45,239
Speaker 2: on pens, just because Kine literally won the Golden boot

885
00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:47,400
Speaker 2: at the World Cup because he took a couple of

886
00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:50,600
Speaker 2: pens and had a couple of tappens. So you know,

887
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:52,640
Speaker 2: guys like you know, the one thing you always want

888
00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:55,200
Speaker 2: to know is who's on pens for any team that

889
00:39:55,280 --> 00:39:57,279
Speaker 2: you want to back, Like, you know, I saw some

890
00:39:57,320 --> 00:39:59,880
Speaker 2: people throwing around like Bruno Fernanz but like he's not

891
00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:02,120
Speaker 2: going to be on pens over Christiano Ronaldo for Portugal.

892
00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:03,360
Speaker 2: So you have to kind of consider that kind of

893
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:05,240
Speaker 2: thing when you're looking at golden booth futures.

894
00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:08,439
Speaker 3: Yeah. But and and one other thing on note about Kane.

895
00:40:08,719 --> 00:40:10,800
Speaker 3: He might be on pens. He's a great player, but

896
00:40:11,040 --> 00:40:13,520
Speaker 3: he's also been battling injury all season. BJ, what do

897
00:40:13,600 --> 00:40:15,640
Speaker 3: you think Phil Folden.

898
00:40:15,360 --> 00:40:17,759
Speaker 4: Did die his hair blonde today? Does that change your mind?

899
00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:19,680
Speaker 3: That makes me more confident?

900
00:40:20,040 --> 00:40:20,360
Speaker 4: Actually?

901
00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:21,880
Speaker 3: Like, if you're if you're going to do that. If

902
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:24,320
Speaker 3: you're going to go with like the like the early nineties,

903
00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:27,520
Speaker 3: like frost frosted tips, I mean, you're very confident in

904
00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:30,279
Speaker 3: what you're doing because if if it all goes goes

905
00:40:30,320 --> 00:40:31,919
Speaker 3: south for him, then he will just be made fun

906
00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:34,279
Speaker 3: of for doing that. And if I still had hair,

907
00:40:34,320 --> 00:40:35,840
Speaker 3: I think I think I would be going with a

908
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:38,800
Speaker 3: with with some frosted tips, at least for the summer.

909
00:40:39,360 --> 00:40:42,000
Speaker 2: That's he's BJ is showing us a picture and I

910
00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:44,759
Speaker 2: am now out and I think he I think he

911
00:40:44,800 --> 00:40:47,400
Speaker 2: should be benched for the entire tournament.

912
00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:50,879
Speaker 3: That's the kind of confidence I want to see he's

913
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:51,320
Speaker 3: going with that.

914
00:40:51,640 --> 00:40:52,919
Speaker 1: I just don't think he's I don't I just don't

915
00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:53,839
Speaker 1: think he's going to start it off.

916
00:40:53,840 --> 00:40:56,920
Speaker 2: I mean, Grealish looks healthy from the reports and a

917
00:40:56,960 --> 00:41:02,719
Speaker 2: training Sancho Sterling, Rashford Mount. There's just like so much

918
00:41:02,719 --> 00:41:05,040
Speaker 2: attacking talent for England. It's like kind of fun. I

919
00:41:05,080 --> 00:41:07,320
Speaker 2: don't think it's like producer to winning a major tournament

920
00:41:07,360 --> 00:41:09,839
Speaker 2: because like I have questions about their defense and are

921
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:11,520
Speaker 2: they going to really play. Declan Rice is like a

922
00:41:11,560 --> 00:41:14,880
Speaker 2: single pivot like that doesn't really necessarily work for me.

923
00:41:14,960 --> 00:41:15,120
Speaker 3: Either.

924
00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:18,000
Speaker 2: So I have questions about England defensively, but like you

925
00:41:18,040 --> 00:41:20,200
Speaker 2: look at the attacking talent and it's exciting.

926
00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:23,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's true, and that's I mean, there's a reason

927
00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:25,040
Speaker 3: he's eighty to one, right, Like you just listed off

928
00:41:25,120 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 3: all the reasons why he is that long, he's not.

929
00:41:27,600 --> 00:41:31,920
Speaker 3: He's there's so much talent here, there's there's obviously he's

930
00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:34,839
Speaker 3: not expected to win Golden Boot, but I think at

931
00:41:34,880 --> 00:41:36,839
Speaker 3: that number if he has, you know, I could see

932
00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:40,080
Speaker 3: Phil Foden having a hat trick or something against Scotland

933
00:41:40,120 --> 00:41:43,640
Speaker 3: or the Czech Republic and just at that point Southgate's

934
00:41:43,680 --> 00:41:45,560
Speaker 3: got a play in right, one big game and the

935
00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:47,920
Speaker 3: press will be all over him, be like, well obviously

936
00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:50,680
Speaker 3: you can't drop him for Raheem Sterling after he had

937
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:53,680
Speaker 3: three goals. So anyway, moving on, that was that was

938
00:41:53,760 --> 00:41:56,279
Speaker 3: some some really nice Phil Foton blonde hair talk. But

939
00:41:57,040 --> 00:41:59,320
Speaker 3: let's go to Group B, which probably features two of

940
00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:01,960
Speaker 3: the most handsome teams in the tournament. Right, Spain minus

941
00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:05,520
Speaker 3: two eighty six prohibitive favorites, Sweden the other beautiful team

942
00:42:05,560 --> 00:42:09,359
Speaker 3: plus six fifty Poland seven to one, Slovakia seventeen to one.

943
00:42:10,080 --> 00:42:14,640
Speaker 3: Another probably straightforward Group but it does feel like a

944
00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:17,680
Speaker 3: like a changing of the guard team for Spain. At

945
00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:19,920
Speaker 3: least we kind of saw it a little bit in

946
00:42:20,040 --> 00:42:24,959
Speaker 3: Russia twenty twenty eighteen. But I think, you know this point,

947
00:42:25,120 --> 00:42:27,320
Speaker 3: like you're not seeing the guys that were used to

948
00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:29,560
Speaker 3: Like Sergio Ramos isn't in the squad anymore, which is

949
00:42:29,640 --> 00:42:33,120
Speaker 3: crazy to think. I mean, Jian Montinho is still playing

950
00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:35,839
Speaker 3: for Portugal, but Ramos and Pepe, but Ramos isn't playing

951
00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:38,480
Speaker 3: for Spain. So it is it does feel like we're

952
00:42:38,880 --> 00:42:45,360
Speaker 3: into a new era for La Roja Anthony, like I

953
00:42:45,400 --> 00:42:47,760
Speaker 3: don't this group probably of all the all the groups

954
00:42:47,880 --> 00:42:49,320
Speaker 3: is the one that excites me, at least from a

955
00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:53,240
Speaker 3: betting perspective, because I think it is you know, it's Spain,

956
00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:55,120
Speaker 3: should I mean minus two eighty six, one of the

957
00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:57,880
Speaker 3: biggest favorites to win the group stage. Sweden and Poland

958
00:42:58,120 --> 00:43:02,280
Speaker 3: like they're not. They're there. They have some decent strikers

959
00:43:02,400 --> 00:43:05,160
Speaker 3: but some good players in the back. But what I

960
00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:07,880
Speaker 3: don't I don't find them to be that appealing to

961
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:11,520
Speaker 3: go for it far in the tournament. So I'm basically

962
00:43:11,600 --> 00:43:12,640
Speaker 3: off this group. What about you?

963
00:43:14,719 --> 00:43:18,200
Speaker 1: I really like the Swedes. I'm rolling with them top

964
00:43:18,239 --> 00:43:20,520
Speaker 1: two minus one oh five. I love that bet.

965
00:43:21,239 --> 00:43:23,600
Speaker 2: I think they're much better than Poland. I think they're

966
00:43:23,640 --> 00:43:25,640
Speaker 2: probably not going to beat Spain, but I'm not really

967
00:43:25,640 --> 00:43:27,680
Speaker 2: sure what to expect from Spain. I don't I don't

968
00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:29,680
Speaker 2: like backing teams where I can't look at the roster

969
00:43:29,800 --> 00:43:32,560
Speaker 2: and then reasonably say I know what the manager is

970
00:43:32,560 --> 00:43:34,640
Speaker 2: going to play is like a reasonable not at least

971
00:43:34,680 --> 00:43:37,239
Speaker 2: nine to the ten guys of the eleven, like I

972
00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:39,080
Speaker 2: can be like, oh yeah, like that's gonna be their team.

973
00:43:39,520 --> 00:43:41,360
Speaker 2: And in Spain and Germany the two teams for me

974
00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:44,040
Speaker 2: they like I don't know what the manager are going

975
00:43:44,120 --> 00:43:45,480
Speaker 2: to do, you can generally put it together.

976
00:43:46,120 --> 00:43:49,360
Speaker 1: I know BJ loves Alvaro Marata. I can get behind that.

977
00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:52,760
Speaker 1: I think he's going to be on Pens.

978
00:43:52,920 --> 00:43:55,919
Speaker 2: I don't know, so that could be a potential golding

979
00:43:55,960 --> 00:43:58,719
Speaker 2: boot thing. But for me, I love the I love

980
00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:01,720
Speaker 2: the Swedes because I love I think. I mentioned braille

981
00:44:01,800 --> 00:44:05,600
Speaker 2: En below. My other breakout guy, Alexander Isach from Sociodod,

982
00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:09,680
Speaker 2: which BJ is now celebrating. I think he's a lot

983
00:44:09,719 --> 00:44:11,759
Speaker 2: of fun. He's a great player, had a great year

984
00:44:11,800 --> 00:44:15,239
Speaker 2: for sociodd He's twenty one years old. Tom Werville of

985
00:44:15,280 --> 00:44:16,920
Speaker 2: the Athletic did a great job. He did a breakdown

986
00:44:16,960 --> 00:44:17,319
Speaker 2: on him.

987
00:44:17,320 --> 00:44:19,080
Speaker 1: And why he's excellent.

988
00:44:20,160 --> 00:44:23,919
Speaker 2: He's awesome and I think they have a decent center

989
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:28,960
Speaker 2: back pairing too, So I'm optimistic about the Swedes.

990
00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:31,440
Speaker 1: And general Victor Lindeloff from Manchester United. Some of the

991
00:44:31,520 --> 00:44:32,200
Speaker 1: names you might know.

992
00:44:33,280 --> 00:44:38,759
Speaker 2: You probably will know Emolcraft who plays at Newcastle. Eml

993
00:44:38,840 --> 00:44:41,319
Speaker 2: Forsburg who didn't have a great year at Leipzig, kind

994
00:44:41,360 --> 00:44:44,399
Speaker 2: of out of favor right now with Noglesman, but he's

995
00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:47,320
Speaker 2: in there. And then Dayon Koula Sewsky, who is another

996
00:44:47,400 --> 00:44:50,000
Speaker 2: young one to watch. They have so much young attacking

997
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:51,960
Speaker 2: talent that I really want to get behind the Swedes.

998
00:44:52,320 --> 00:44:55,000
Speaker 2: I think if there's going to be a big upset,

999
00:44:55,040 --> 00:44:58,399
Speaker 2: I'll probably beyond Sweden money line against the Spaniards, even

1000
00:44:58,400 --> 00:44:59,719
Speaker 2: if I don't think they're going to win the group.

1001
00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:03,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, and so Alexander Esak hundred to one

1002
00:45:03,600 --> 00:45:05,800
Speaker 3: to win Golden Boot that's probably a little crazy, but

1003
00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 3: maybe want to get behind twenty to one to beat

1004
00:45:08,040 --> 00:45:11,680
Speaker 3: named Young Player of the tournament as well. So definitely

1005
00:45:12,080 --> 00:45:15,120
Speaker 3: just a player. If you are getting into soccer, you

1006
00:45:15,160 --> 00:45:17,480
Speaker 3: love soccer, definitely want to get to know because he's

1007
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:20,040
Speaker 3: probably on his way up through the ranks after a

1008
00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:23,239
Speaker 3: really big season in La Liga BJ. You are the

1009
00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:24,880
Speaker 3: most Swedish looking of us.

1010
00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:27,520
Speaker 4: What do you think, Oh, it's just because of my

1011
00:45:27,600 --> 00:45:31,360
Speaker 4: pale skin. Yes, Alexander Eshak every way I possibly can.

1012
00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:33,839
Speaker 4: I've got him hundred to one to win the Golden Boot,

1013
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:36,640
Speaker 4: three to one to lead the Swedes in goals, and

1014
00:45:36,840 --> 00:45:39,000
Speaker 4: minus twenty two to have more goals than Marcus Berg,

1015
00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:42,600
Speaker 4: just every possible way. I love Alexander Chick. I don't

1016
00:45:42,600 --> 00:45:44,440
Speaker 4: even think sweet and honestly. I mean, they'd love to

1017
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:46,279
Speaker 4: have Slatin here, but I don't think they need him

1018
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:48,400
Speaker 4: honestly because I think e Shak is that good and

1019
00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:50,359
Speaker 4: he is a young player to watch as far as

1020
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:53,839
Speaker 4: this group is concerned. I more and more I look

1021
00:45:53,880 --> 00:45:55,600
Speaker 4: at it. I love the Spaniards and I'm starting to

1022
00:45:55,719 --> 00:45:56,920
Speaker 4: like them more. At nine to one to win the

1023
00:45:57,080 --> 00:46:00,959
Speaker 4: entire tournament. Coming into this, they actually had the best

1024
00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:03,279
Speaker 4: offense of any team when you look at expected goals.

1025
00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:05,560
Speaker 4: They average three point three six expected goals per match

1026
00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:07,920
Speaker 4: over Euro and World Cup qualifying and only allowed zero

1027
00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:10,000
Speaker 4: point eight. And you know when you look at the

1028
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:12,680
Speaker 4: Spanish roster, I don't think we really see the big

1029
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 4: name guy you know that most you know, other teams have,

1030
00:46:15,760 --> 00:46:19,279
Speaker 4: but it's just honestly, it's a really really solid roster

1031
00:46:19,440 --> 00:46:23,120
Speaker 4: of just really good players like Rodri from Manchester City, uh,

1032
00:46:23,239 --> 00:46:28,200
Speaker 4: Thiago from Liverpool, Sergio Busquetz Pedrie who I'm big on

1033
00:46:28,480 --> 00:46:30,680
Speaker 4: and love to have be the young player of the tournament,

1034
00:46:30,680 --> 00:46:34,120
Speaker 4: who plays for Barcelona. Their defense is solid with a

1035
00:46:34,200 --> 00:46:36,520
Speaker 4: mixture of youth and experience, you know, as the Quest

1036
00:46:36,600 --> 00:46:38,840
Speaker 4: and Album on the outside and looks gonna look like

1037
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:41,759
Speaker 4: it's gonna be Laporte and Garcia on the inside and

1038
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:43,680
Speaker 4: then going forward an attack. You know, I love al

1039
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:47,520
Speaker 4: Varro Marata to lead the tournament in goals because I

1040
00:46:47,600 --> 00:46:48,920
Speaker 4: do think he is going to be the main man

1041
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:51,279
Speaker 4: up front, just because it's mixture of he can you know,

1042
00:46:51,360 --> 00:46:53,359
Speaker 4: play in the air and on the ground and everything.

1043
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:55,319
Speaker 4: I don't think they're gonna play Jared Moreno that much.

1044
00:46:56,120 --> 00:46:57,880
Speaker 4: You know, he was kind of in Christiano Ronaldo shadow

1045
00:46:57,920 --> 00:46:59,720
Speaker 4: of the season at Uventus, but he still still scored

1046
00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:01,480
Speaker 4: twenty goals and at a point five expect to go

1047
00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:04,719
Speaker 4: might even at scoring rate, and you know, if you're

1048
00:47:04,760 --> 00:47:08,080
Speaker 4: telling me, I get the main striker on the top

1049
00:47:08,160 --> 00:47:10,399
Speaker 4: offense coming to the tournament in a fairly easy group

1050
00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:12,839
Speaker 4: with three not so great defenses. I think he's twenty

1051
00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:15,360
Speaker 4: five to one right now. I bet MGM to be

1052
00:47:15,480 --> 00:47:18,160
Speaker 4: the Golden Boot. I love that value because he could

1053
00:47:18,200 --> 00:47:19,920
Speaker 4: honestly win that in the group, you know, and if,

1054
00:47:20,000 --> 00:47:22,520
Speaker 4: like Anthony said, if he's the if he's the penalty taker,

1055
00:47:22,600 --> 00:47:26,719
Speaker 4: you know, that's another feather in his cap. So I

1056
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:28,200
Speaker 4: love the Spaniards here, I do. I'm not going to

1057
00:47:28,200 --> 00:47:30,360
Speaker 4: be betting them to win the group. I'm starting to

1058
00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:32,719
Speaker 4: like them more and more. At nine to one is

1059
00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:35,759
Speaker 4: an outright price. I'm with Anthony. Also on Sweden, I

1060
00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:38,319
Speaker 4: love them to finish second as well. I think there's

1061
00:47:38,360 --> 00:47:40,320
Speaker 4: just so much talent, like he said, in attack. And

1062
00:47:40,360 --> 00:47:42,680
Speaker 4: as far as Poland is concerned, you know, every year

1063
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:46,080
Speaker 4: it's basically just it's Lewandowski and nothing right. And I

1064
00:47:46,120 --> 00:47:47,680
Speaker 4: think when you look at their roster more and more

1065
00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:49,759
Speaker 4: you're you're like, Okay, that's kind of the same thing

1066
00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:52,320
Speaker 4: this year. But there is one guy on Poland that

1067
00:47:52,719 --> 00:47:55,000
Speaker 4: again i'd like to throw out there to lead the

1068
00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:58,359
Speaker 4: tournament and assists and his name is Peter Jzalinski. He's

1069
00:47:58,360 --> 00:48:02,640
Speaker 4: attacking midfielder for NAP And if Lewandowski is going to

1070
00:48:02,680 --> 00:48:04,600
Speaker 4: score a bunch of goals and maybe leave the tournament

1071
00:48:04,640 --> 00:48:07,040
Speaker 4: in goals, He's gonna be the ones supplying him. So

1072
00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:08,799
Speaker 4: if you know, if you only need three or four

1073
00:48:08,840 --> 00:48:12,080
Speaker 4: and you know they put up big numbers against Slovakia,

1074
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:14,480
Speaker 4: who's coming in is like one of the worst defenses

1075
00:48:14,520 --> 00:48:17,040
Speaker 4: in the tournament, you know that could happen at eighty

1076
00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:19,400
Speaker 4: to one. And I also want to just mention Slovakia

1077
00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:20,920
Speaker 4: because I do think that they're the worst team in

1078
00:48:20,960 --> 00:48:23,440
Speaker 4: this entire tournament. If you look at their roster, they

1079
00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:29,640
Speaker 4: have basically two guys, Screener from Inter Milan and Duvenik

1080
00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:33,680
Speaker 4: who's the goalkeeper for Newcastle. I'm i've I have a

1081
00:48:33,760 --> 00:48:36,520
Speaker 4: bet on them at plus seven point fifty to be

1082
00:48:36,640 --> 00:48:39,600
Speaker 4: the lowest scoring team in the entire tournament. They only

1083
00:48:39,600 --> 00:48:41,520
Speaker 4: have aged one point one to nine expectacles for match

1084
00:48:41,600 --> 00:48:46,640
Speaker 4: in a fairly easy qualifying group with you know, I

1085
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:50,520
Speaker 4: believe they're with Wales and Croatia and Hungary and they

1086
00:48:50,640 --> 00:48:53,279
Speaker 4: just have honestly, they just have nobody up front. I mean,

1087
00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:55,399
Speaker 4: when you look at their roster. I think they're gonna

1088
00:48:55,400 --> 00:48:58,120
Speaker 4: be right, relying on guys who played in the Slovak

1089
00:48:58,239 --> 00:49:02,440
Speaker 4: super League and you know this Spanish second division, Cyphru's

1090
00:49:02,480 --> 00:49:05,799
Speaker 4: first division. You know, it's just it's a really really

1091
00:49:05,880 --> 00:49:07,440
Speaker 4: bad attack that I don't think. I don't know how

1092
00:49:07,440 --> 00:49:09,920
Speaker 4: they're going to score honestly in these three matches, even

1093
00:49:09,920 --> 00:49:12,320
Speaker 4: though these defenses aren't that great. So yeah, for me,

1094
00:49:12,560 --> 00:49:16,400
Speaker 4: I'm all over Slovakia to finish last. I think anything,

1095
00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:19,799
Speaker 4: you know, minus two hundred or better is good there.

1096
00:49:21,280 --> 00:49:22,960
Speaker 4: And yeah, I have them also plus seven fifty v

1097
00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:26,560
Speaker 4: to be lowest scoring with Anthony Sweden's second place, and

1098
00:49:26,680 --> 00:49:29,040
Speaker 4: you know what, give me, give me Spain nine to one.

1099
00:49:29,480 --> 00:49:31,880
Speaker 4: I think they I think I just thought about it

1100
00:49:31,960 --> 00:49:33,440
Speaker 4: more and I mean, guess you know what, let's do

1101
00:49:33,480 --> 00:49:34,880
Speaker 4: it Spain nine to one, because they actually have a

1102
00:49:34,920 --> 00:49:36,520
Speaker 4: pretty good path too. I mean they'll get a they'll

1103
00:49:36,560 --> 00:49:38,040
Speaker 4: probably have to face England in the second round, but

1104
00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:40,279
Speaker 4: it won't be in London, so and they have a

1105
00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:42,839
Speaker 4: great shot at beaton England, especially in a neutral site.

1106
00:49:44,600 --> 00:49:47,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Spain's interesting. You mentioned kind of like

1107
00:49:47,120 --> 00:49:49,520
Speaker 2: what we're expecting for their lineup. You know, they played

1108
00:49:49,520 --> 00:49:52,920
Speaker 2: a Poland. They played Portugal excuse me, last week and

1109
00:49:53,040 --> 00:49:55,439
Speaker 2: they started Paw Torres at center back. Who I would

1110
00:49:55,440 --> 00:49:57,440
Speaker 2: prefer them to start over Eric Garcia if I were

1111
00:49:57,480 --> 00:50:00,200
Speaker 2: a spainbacker. Eric Garcia had a couple of show for

1112
00:50:00,280 --> 00:50:03,600
Speaker 2: City this year that we're downright shocking. I believe he

1113
00:50:03,680 --> 00:50:07,440
Speaker 2: played in the when they got beat. I forget who

1114
00:50:07,560 --> 00:50:09,239
Speaker 2: was I know he was in the one Chelsea game.

1115
00:50:09,280 --> 00:50:12,000
Speaker 2: He played another game where they lost, so tough, tough

1116
00:50:12,080 --> 00:50:13,600
Speaker 2: go for him. I would not want to see him

1117
00:50:13,600 --> 00:50:15,840
Speaker 2: there if I were a Spain backer. Also Marcos Larente,

1118
00:50:15,920 --> 00:50:18,839
Speaker 2: who like is a midfielder but Spain plays a right

1119
00:50:18,920 --> 00:50:20,640
Speaker 2: back and like he kind of played some right back

1120
00:50:20,680 --> 00:50:24,160
Speaker 2: fred Letti when Trippier was out, so he's interesting and

1121
00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:26,360
Speaker 2: and it's hard to not love the midfield with rodri

1122
00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:30,160
Speaker 2: Busquet's potentially still around and Tiago. So I'm I'm willing

1123
00:50:30,239 --> 00:50:34,759
Speaker 2: to uh to be waiting and watching on Spain. Potentially

1124
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:36,960
Speaker 2: I'll be I'll be looking to take some Spain spread

1125
00:50:37,560 --> 00:50:40,040
Speaker 2: when they play against Slovakia because that's a situation where

1126
00:50:40,040 --> 00:50:41,000
Speaker 2: they might run up the goals.

1127
00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:44,880
Speaker 1: So for me, I like Spain too. I'm just not

1128
00:50:45,160 --> 00:50:47,440
Speaker 1: not willing to go and take that number at nine

1129
00:50:47,480 --> 00:50:49,600
Speaker 1: to one. Uh and fair An Torres.

1130
00:50:49,640 --> 00:50:52,600
Speaker 2: We didn't mention him, but underrated year for City kind

1131
00:50:52,640 --> 00:50:54,400
Speaker 2: of got put out of favor because he played in

1132
00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:55,200
Speaker 2: the best team in the world.

1133
00:50:55,239 --> 00:50:57,080
Speaker 1: But but he's a really good young player too.

1134
00:50:57,560 --> 00:50:59,520
Speaker 3: Another one to watch well.

1135
00:50:59,560 --> 00:51:01,839
Speaker 4: Eric Garcia also just moved to Barcelona and he has

1136
00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:04,200
Speaker 4: a four hundred million dollar release clause, so he must

1137
00:51:04,239 --> 00:51:05,080
Speaker 4: be pretty good, right.

1138
00:51:06,480 --> 00:51:10,359
Speaker 1: He should be, but I didn't seem that way this year.

1139
00:51:13,520 --> 00:51:17,160
Speaker 3: Varentauri is thirty five to one, should be the top

1140
00:51:17,200 --> 00:51:19,280
Speaker 3: goal scorer in the tournament, which I guess we should

1141
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:21,040
Speaker 3: have mentioned that's what the Golden Boot is. I don't

1142
00:51:21,040 --> 00:51:22,600
Speaker 3: know if we did say that at the top, you

1143
00:51:22,680 --> 00:51:24,080
Speaker 3: might you might be listening to this and being like,

1144
00:51:24,280 --> 00:51:25,920
Speaker 3: I don't know what the Golden boot is. That's what

1145
00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:28,680
Speaker 3: that is, you know, Lewandowski. I think, as BJ said,

1146
00:51:28,960 --> 00:51:31,120
Speaker 3: with Poland, he's twenty five to one to win Golden Boot,

1147
00:51:31,120 --> 00:51:33,560
Speaker 3: and I think with every tournament when he's in it,

1148
00:51:33,680 --> 00:51:36,440
Speaker 3: like people just bet that number because they think, like, oh,

1149
00:51:36,520 --> 00:51:38,960
Speaker 3: this guy is such a prolific goal scorer for Bayern,

1150
00:51:39,040 --> 00:51:41,359
Speaker 3: but he just doesn't have anything behind him to get

1151
00:51:41,440 --> 00:51:44,160
Speaker 3: him the ball enough to and then they just prime

1152
00:51:44,200 --> 00:51:46,000
Speaker 3: won't go for enough, like you talk. We talked about

1153
00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:47,759
Speaker 3: you need one big game, like yeah, maybe he has

1154
00:51:47,800 --> 00:51:51,960
Speaker 3: one against Slovakia, but against you know, Spain, Sweden. It's

1155
00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:52,760
Speaker 3: a little little.

1156
00:51:52,640 --> 00:51:55,320
Speaker 2: Little thing with Lewandowski for me, and he's he's I

1157
00:51:55,320 --> 00:51:58,040
Speaker 2: would argue, the best striker in the world, but like

1158
00:51:58,120 --> 00:52:01,359
Speaker 2: he doesn't do anything else as a forward, Like he's

1159
00:52:01,440 --> 00:52:03,200
Speaker 2: not a guy who's going to bring the ball to

1160
00:52:03,239 --> 00:52:04,640
Speaker 2: the penalty area. He's not a guy who's going to

1161
00:52:04,719 --> 00:52:07,000
Speaker 2: like pass the ball to others into the penalty area.

1162
00:52:07,040 --> 00:52:09,160
Speaker 2: He doesn't really do any defensive work. He's just like

1163
00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:11,560
Speaker 2: an amazing at getting on the end of chances. But

1164
00:52:11,640 --> 00:52:13,920
Speaker 2: when you have no one behind you in Poland, you know,

1165
00:52:14,080 --> 00:52:18,759
Speaker 2: besides Peter Zielinsky, you know, it's really hard to you know,

1166
00:52:19,200 --> 00:52:21,839
Speaker 2: manufacture some chances. Whereas guys like a Memphis to Pie

1167
00:52:22,160 --> 00:52:24,719
Speaker 2: or even an Alexander Esach are much better at, you know,

1168
00:52:24,920 --> 00:52:27,440
Speaker 2: bringing the ball to the penalty area and then scoring,

1169
00:52:27,920 --> 00:52:31,560
Speaker 2: whereas at Bayern Lewandowski just has like Coma and Kimmick

1170
00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:35,040
Speaker 2: and Ganabri do that and then he just kicks it in.

1171
00:52:35,520 --> 00:52:38,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think we're basically saying, like, you know, look,

1172
00:52:38,560 --> 00:52:40,680
Speaker 3: if you save your money. Yeah, if you're Polish and

1173
00:52:40,960 --> 00:52:43,160
Speaker 3: and you want to root for them, whatever, We're not

1174
00:52:43,280 --> 00:52:45,600
Speaker 3: here to judge if you want to bet Robert Lewandowski

1175
00:52:45,680 --> 00:52:48,160
Speaker 3: to win twenty five to one. But if you're just

1176
00:52:48,160 --> 00:52:49,680
Speaker 3: going to bet him because you know who he is

1177
00:52:49,760 --> 00:52:52,200
Speaker 3: and because you know how good he is at scoring

1178
00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:54,520
Speaker 3: goals for a great team, you might want to You

1179
00:52:54,680 --> 00:52:56,440
Speaker 3: might want to take that money and put it elsewhere

1180
00:52:56,760 --> 00:52:57,600
Speaker 3: in that market.

1181
00:53:00,120 --> 00:53:03,160
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1182
00:53:03,239 --> 00:53:05,799
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1183
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1185
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1186
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1200
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1201
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1202
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1205
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1206
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1207
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1208
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1209
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1210
00:54:20,400 --> 00:54:23,680
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1211
00:54:23,719 --> 00:54:25,719
Speaker 5: for listening. Now back to the show.

1212
00:54:27,160 --> 00:54:31,279
Speaker 3: That brings us to the group of Death. Group F

1213
00:54:31,480 --> 00:54:34,719
Speaker 3: I mean I think this might be the most you know,

1214
00:54:35,360 --> 00:54:38,160
Speaker 3: robust group I've seen in an international tournament maybe ever,

1215
00:54:39,000 --> 00:54:42,680
Speaker 3: because this thing is it's hard to it's hard to

1216
00:54:42,719 --> 00:54:44,879
Speaker 3: like wrap your head around when you see the group

1217
00:54:44,920 --> 00:54:47,080
Speaker 3: we just talked about, where Spain's at the top, with Sweden,

1218
00:54:47,200 --> 00:54:49,160
Speaker 3: Poland at Slovakia behind them. And then you go you

1219
00:54:49,239 --> 00:54:51,920
Speaker 3: scroll one one more click down on the oddsboard and

1220
00:54:51,960 --> 00:54:54,040
Speaker 3: there you go. You see France plus one forty eight

1221
00:54:54,520 --> 00:54:58,839
Speaker 3: as the favorite, Germany plus one sixty five, Portugal three

1222
00:54:58,880 --> 00:55:01,640
Speaker 3: to one, and of course hunger who as I mentioned before,

1223
00:55:02,640 --> 00:55:04,840
Speaker 3: Hungary won their group which had Portugal in it in

1224
00:55:04,880 --> 00:55:06,840
Speaker 3: the last Euro So they had a goalie who was

1225
00:55:06,880 --> 00:55:09,879
Speaker 3: like and nicely, yeah, who were you know, very good

1226
00:55:10,000 --> 00:55:13,000
Speaker 3: coming into it. We're another sleep trendy sleeper pick. Beat

1227
00:55:13,040 --> 00:55:15,080
Speaker 3: England in a knockout game like this. They had a

1228
00:55:15,120 --> 00:55:18,000
Speaker 3: good group that they ended up topping, and their goalie

1229
00:55:18,080 --> 00:55:21,120
Speaker 3: was what forty years old and wearing sweatpants in goal.

1230
00:55:21,480 --> 00:55:23,960
Speaker 3: People he became a call hero. Yep, he became a

1231
00:55:24,040 --> 00:55:26,200
Speaker 3: call hero at the tournament. He now sells I think

1232
00:55:26,239 --> 00:55:29,320
Speaker 3: sweatpants online, so you got to go check that out. Obviously,

1233
00:55:29,400 --> 00:55:31,479
Speaker 3: maybe we can get an affiliate link or something.

1234
00:55:31,560 --> 00:55:33,000
Speaker 4: What a great business pivot right there.

1235
00:55:33,120 --> 00:55:34,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, he just he just started selling like his own

1236
00:55:35,120 --> 00:55:41,200
Speaker 3: kind of gear because like it was, look hungary, we'll

1237
00:55:41,239 --> 00:55:44,319
Speaker 3: surprice save like forty to one in this group maybe

1238
00:55:44,400 --> 00:55:46,279
Speaker 3: isn't even It should be like seventy to one and

1239
00:55:46,360 --> 00:55:50,080
Speaker 3: then maybe it'd be interesting. But uh, they're they're not.

1240
00:55:50,239 --> 00:55:52,480
Speaker 3: They're not. They don't really stand a chance. But they

1241
00:55:52,520 --> 00:55:55,440
Speaker 3: did captivate everybody with with that goalkeeper in the last tournament,

1242
00:55:56,520 --> 00:55:58,759
Speaker 3: so you know, kudos to them, and I'm happy that

1243
00:55:58,800 --> 00:56:02,720
Speaker 3: they're that they're they're still around. But I mean, just horrible, horrible,

1244
00:56:02,760 --> 00:56:07,560
Speaker 3: horrible luck to be drawn into this group BJ. I

1245
00:56:07,640 --> 00:56:09,319
Speaker 3: mean trying to make sense of this thing. It's it's

1246
00:56:09,400 --> 00:56:13,879
Speaker 3: really really tough. I I think that as a as

1247
00:56:13,920 --> 00:56:17,719
Speaker 3: a trio, we're probably the lowest on Germany. But I

1248
00:56:17,920 --> 00:56:20,320
Speaker 3: I mean, I don't know, this is this is this

1249
00:56:20,480 --> 00:56:20,880
Speaker 3: is brutal.

1250
00:56:21,480 --> 00:56:24,439
Speaker 4: Yeah, I, like you said, this is just this is tough.

1251
00:56:24,840 --> 00:56:26,960
Speaker 4: You know obviously, you know, I just at the top,

1252
00:56:27,000 --> 00:56:29,400
Speaker 4: I you know, I spoke about the France, you know, uh,

1253
00:56:29,800 --> 00:56:31,799
Speaker 4: you know, to win it all. It it is really

1254
00:56:32,080 --> 00:56:34,759
Speaker 4: very important in this group to finish first because if

1255
00:56:34,760 --> 00:56:37,440
Speaker 4: you finish second, you're gonna have to probably play England.

1256
00:56:37,480 --> 00:56:39,160
Speaker 4: If you finish third, you're at the mercy of being

1257
00:56:39,200 --> 00:56:42,760
Speaker 4: paired with one of the other group winners. So finishing

1258
00:56:42,800 --> 00:56:47,040
Speaker 4: first is gonna be paramount in this group. I honestly

1259
00:56:47,920 --> 00:56:49,360
Speaker 4: I hate all of the bets in this group. I

1260
00:56:49,640 --> 00:56:52,360
Speaker 4: you know, you look at top two and you know, Portugal,

1261
00:56:52,440 --> 00:56:55,440
Speaker 4: Germany and France are all over minus one fifty, and

1262
00:56:55,480 --> 00:56:58,239
Speaker 4: I'm like, I would rather just you know, I'd rather

1263
00:56:58,360 --> 00:57:00,399
Speaker 4: just save my money and go, you know on other

1264
00:57:00,440 --> 00:57:01,360
Speaker 4: things throughout this tournament.

1265
00:57:01,440 --> 00:57:03,080
Speaker 3: And that's WoT you bet on, hunk. That's when you say, like,

1266
00:57:03,120 --> 00:57:04,680
Speaker 3: take yeah money and you bet Hungry to win the

1267
00:57:04,719 --> 00:57:06,040
Speaker 3: group because hell who knows?

1268
00:57:06,480 --> 00:57:09,799
Speaker 4: Yeah, to give you know, Hungary a little bit of hope.

1269
00:57:09,840 --> 00:57:11,520
Speaker 4: They're going to be playing two of the three matches

1270
00:57:12,080 --> 00:57:15,759
Speaker 4: in Budapest, so they got that. And also Germany is

1271
00:57:15,800 --> 00:57:17,480
Speaker 4: going to get to play all three matches in Munich,

1272
00:57:17,640 --> 00:57:19,760
Speaker 4: so they have a little bit of a benefit there.

1273
00:57:19,800 --> 00:57:21,240
Speaker 4: I think the reason we're all kind of low on

1274
00:57:21,320 --> 00:57:23,080
Speaker 4: Germany is, you know, the last time they were out

1275
00:57:23,080 --> 00:57:25,360
Speaker 4: in World Cup cough I May they lost a home

1276
00:57:25,400 --> 00:57:30,400
Speaker 4: in North Macedonia, which was quite shocking, and you know,

1277
00:57:30,520 --> 00:57:33,480
Speaker 4: you look at their team, there's I mean again, you

1278
00:57:33,560 --> 00:57:35,480
Speaker 4: can make the argument that they just have just as

1279
00:57:35,560 --> 00:57:38,000
Speaker 4: much talent as anybody in this tournament, especially an attack,

1280
00:57:38,440 --> 00:57:42,960
Speaker 4: you know with Gnarbi Haveverts Werner, Mueller, just like there's

1281
00:57:43,000 --> 00:57:44,880
Speaker 4: just so much talent. And then in midfield with you know,

1282
00:57:44,960 --> 00:57:48,520
Speaker 4: Gretzka and Kimmich, there's just just everywhere there's so much talent.

1283
00:57:48,640 --> 00:57:51,120
Speaker 4: But I think what really concerns me about Germany is

1284
00:57:51,160 --> 00:57:53,479
Speaker 4: their defense. I mean, they're pretty much gonna be relying

1285
00:57:53,520 --> 00:57:55,440
Speaker 4: on Matts Humbles, who's you know, getting up there in

1286
00:57:55,480 --> 00:57:57,360
Speaker 4: the age, Nicholas Souley, who had a pretty good year

1287
00:57:57,400 --> 00:58:00,400
Speaker 4: for Bayern Munich, you know, Mitthayas Ginter, and Antony Rudiger,

1288
00:58:00,440 --> 00:58:02,480
Speaker 4: who is kind of a you know, an afterthought at

1289
00:58:02,520 --> 00:58:02,960
Speaker 4: Chelsea for.

1290
00:58:02,960 --> 00:58:03,880
Speaker 3: A little while this year.

1291
00:58:05,680 --> 00:58:08,400
Speaker 4: I just I look at this group and I just

1292
00:58:08,480 --> 00:58:10,120
Speaker 4: can't see it because then I look at the Portuguese

1293
00:58:10,160 --> 00:58:12,320
Speaker 4: and like with Anthony, I like, yeah, they're really good

1294
00:58:12,400 --> 00:58:16,120
Speaker 4: and everything, but these are two incredibly difficult matches against

1295
00:58:16,160 --> 00:58:18,760
Speaker 4: France in Germany. They're gonna have to play Germany in Munich.

1296
00:58:18,880 --> 00:58:23,200
Speaker 4: So yeah, I honestly don't even really like any bets

1297
00:58:23,240 --> 00:58:25,520
Speaker 4: on this group, Like you said, maybe just take Hungry

1298
00:58:25,600 --> 00:58:27,960
Speaker 4: at like fifty to one and hope for the best. Hungary,

1299
00:58:28,000 --> 00:58:29,520
Speaker 4: I will say, if you want to speak of goalkeepers,

1300
00:58:29,560 --> 00:58:30,960
Speaker 4: they have a little bit of hope because they have

1301
00:58:31,800 --> 00:58:36,000
Speaker 4: RB Leipzig's goal keeper, Peter Gulashi. That's how you pronounce

1302
00:58:36,040 --> 00:58:39,160
Speaker 4: his name. If I got that wrong, I apologize, but yeah,

1303
00:58:39,160 --> 00:58:42,440
Speaker 4: you look around, there's just really not much else. I'm hungry,

1304
00:58:43,280 --> 00:58:45,920
Speaker 4: but yeah, for me, I think this entire group honestly

1305
00:58:46,280 --> 00:58:47,919
Speaker 4: is just kind of a stay away.

1306
00:58:48,600 --> 00:58:51,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think that one like you, I brought

1307
00:58:51,600 --> 00:58:53,240
Speaker 3: this up with Turkey, right like, if they lose their

1308
00:58:53,280 --> 00:58:55,240
Speaker 3: their opening match, there might be more value. And I

1309
00:58:55,280 --> 00:58:57,480
Speaker 3: think that's maybe the way to play it is, if

1310
00:58:57,520 --> 00:58:59,760
Speaker 3: one of these big three teams loses their opening match,

1311
00:59:00,920 --> 00:59:02,520
Speaker 3: you can probably jump in at a bit better number

1312
00:59:02,560 --> 00:59:05,920
Speaker 3: to win the tournament or whatever. Budapest, by the way,

1313
00:59:06,040 --> 00:59:08,280
Speaker 3: bucket list city for me is the river running through it.

1314
00:59:08,360 --> 00:59:10,560
Speaker 3: A half the city's Buddha. The other half is pested

1315
00:59:10,720 --> 00:59:16,400
Speaker 3: and definitely somewhere I would love to go. Anthony, we

1316
00:59:16,480 --> 00:59:20,040
Speaker 3: know you love Portugal. You bet them what nine to

1317
00:59:20,120 --> 00:59:22,520
Speaker 3: one whatever it was to win the tournament? Do you

1318
00:59:22,680 --> 00:59:25,320
Speaker 3: think they actually will win this group though.

1319
00:59:26,800 --> 00:59:30,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not sold on them winning this group necessarily.

1320
00:59:30,160 --> 00:59:31,600
Speaker 2: I think they may have to come through the second

1321
00:59:31,640 --> 00:59:35,439
Speaker 2: or the third place route like they did in twenty

1322
00:59:35,520 --> 00:59:36,920
Speaker 2: sixteen Budapest.

1323
00:59:37,000 --> 00:59:37,480
Speaker 1: Great city.

1324
00:59:37,520 --> 00:59:39,240
Speaker 2: I would have been there if not for COVID, but

1325
00:59:39,440 --> 00:59:41,400
Speaker 2: sadly did not make it to Budapest, also on my

1326
00:59:41,440 --> 00:59:45,760
Speaker 2: bucket list. That being said, France and Portugal playing the

1327
00:59:45,840 --> 00:59:48,080
Speaker 2: last group stage game here and there's gonna be a

1328
00:59:48,120 --> 00:59:50,280
Speaker 2: lot of game theory, so that's going to be really

1329
00:59:50,360 --> 00:59:51,840
Speaker 2: one interesting betting angler to look at.

1330
00:59:52,480 --> 00:59:53,760
Speaker 1: I know there's odds out.

1331
00:59:54,040 --> 00:59:56,280
Speaker 2: Most books have odds out for every group stage game

1332
00:59:56,320 --> 00:59:58,080
Speaker 2: at this point, but you're gonna want to wait on

1333
00:59:58,560 --> 01:00:01,480
Speaker 2: the last game. That's like a general betting tip too,

1334
01:00:01,560 --> 01:00:04,200
Speaker 2: because you have to look at you may see some

1335
01:00:04,360 --> 01:00:06,960
Speaker 2: teams resting players. You may see some teams losing on

1336
01:00:07,040 --> 01:00:09,120
Speaker 2: purpose to try to get better draws. We saw that

1337
01:00:09,200 --> 01:00:11,160
Speaker 2: with England and Belgium in the twenty eighteen World Cup,

1338
01:00:11,160 --> 01:00:12,880
Speaker 2: where England threw the game to get a better draw.

1339
01:00:13,240 --> 01:00:16,320
Speaker 2: They got to the semifinal because of that easier draw.

1340
01:00:16,960 --> 01:00:19,240
Speaker 2: So that's one interesting thing to watch here. For me,

1341
01:00:19,760 --> 01:00:23,120
Speaker 2: I love France. Pick'em drawn O bet against Germany in

1342
01:00:23,160 --> 01:00:24,840
Speaker 2: the first game. I don't care that it's in Munich.

1343
01:00:25,120 --> 01:00:27,360
Speaker 2: I think this France team, with the pace they have,

1344
01:00:27,960 --> 01:00:30,840
Speaker 2: can absolutely tear Germany apart. And I mentioned this with

1345
01:00:30,960 --> 01:00:33,120
Speaker 2: Spain not knowing who their best eleven is. I don't

1346
01:00:33,200 --> 01:00:36,440
Speaker 2: know that Yogi Low, who's in his last management tournament

1347
01:00:36,520 --> 01:00:39,080
Speaker 2: with Germany, knows who his best eleven is. They did

1348
01:00:39,200 --> 01:00:42,600
Speaker 2: just roll at Via seven to one, but we've seen

1349
01:00:42,640 --> 01:00:44,680
Speaker 2: them have some pretty embarrassing performances. They got beat by

1350
01:00:44,760 --> 01:00:47,840
Speaker 2: six against Spain in the Nations League earlier this year,

1351
01:00:47,880 --> 01:00:48,600
Speaker 2: they got beat.

1352
01:00:49,960 --> 01:00:51,240
Speaker 1: To North Macedonia.

1353
01:00:51,360 --> 01:00:55,600
Speaker 2: Like bj mentioned for me, with the Germans, they're probably

1354
01:00:55,680 --> 01:00:57,200
Speaker 2: gonna roll with Rudiger, who's been in.

1355
01:00:57,280 --> 01:00:58,400
Speaker 1: Form and Humbles.

1356
01:00:58,480 --> 01:01:01,160
Speaker 2: Humbles hasn't played for the national team in many years.

1357
01:01:01,200 --> 01:01:03,720
Speaker 2: He had a falling out with Yogi, so did Thomas Mueller,

1358
01:01:03,720 --> 01:01:05,920
Speaker 2: who's back in the team. But I don't know who

1359
01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:07,560
Speaker 2: their striker is going to be. I mean it could

1360
01:01:07,600 --> 01:01:10,200
Speaker 2: be Werner, but everybody knows the Timo Werner has been

1361
01:01:10,280 --> 01:01:11,400
Speaker 2: bad in front of goal this year.

1362
01:01:11,520 --> 01:01:12,120
Speaker 4: I don't you know.

1363
01:01:13,040 --> 01:01:15,440
Speaker 1: I will tell you that will regress. Yogilow might not

1364
01:01:15,520 --> 01:01:16,160
Speaker 1: see it that way.

1365
01:01:17,320 --> 01:01:19,840
Speaker 2: Havertz finish the season strong. There's just so many pieces

1366
01:01:20,120 --> 01:01:22,160
Speaker 2: that don't necessarily mesh together well. And I see them

1367
01:01:22,200 --> 01:01:24,640
Speaker 2: having a similar problem to Buyern actually, where when they

1368
01:01:24,680 --> 01:01:27,920
Speaker 2: started the Chemick and Gretzka midfield, they were extremely open.

1369
01:01:28,200 --> 01:01:31,840
Speaker 2: They were extremely vulnerable to the counter attack, especially during

1370
01:01:31,880 --> 01:01:35,360
Speaker 2: this COVID era where teams who press a lot haven't

1371
01:01:35,360 --> 01:01:37,560
Speaker 2: been as successful. Well, I think this German team is

1372
01:01:37,640 --> 01:01:39,480
Speaker 2: kind of set up to press, you know, having so

1373
01:01:39,520 --> 01:01:41,480
Speaker 2: many Bundesliga players and the way they want to play

1374
01:01:41,840 --> 01:01:44,040
Speaker 2: that they could be really vulnerable defensively. And if they're

1375
01:01:44,040 --> 01:01:47,360
Speaker 2: starting Rudiger and Sula or Rudiger and Humbles, I'm still

1376
01:01:47,400 --> 01:01:50,080
Speaker 2: not totally sold on this defense. They don't really have fullbacks.

1377
01:01:51,360 --> 01:01:53,520
Speaker 2: The right back situation is a big question mark. Left

1378
01:01:53,560 --> 01:01:55,000
Speaker 2: back is going to be ghosts, but he doesn't do

1379
01:01:55,000 --> 01:01:57,600
Speaker 2: a lot of defending. He's more of an attacking fullback.

1380
01:01:58,280 --> 01:02:00,720
Speaker 2: So I see Germany giving up a bunch of goals

1381
01:02:01,480 --> 01:02:04,720
Speaker 2: and I see I took some plus six sixty that

1382
01:02:04,800 --> 01:02:07,040
Speaker 2: Germany will not get out of the group stage. Two

1383
01:02:07,080 --> 01:02:10,680
Speaker 2: projection systems I look at have them at an average

1384
01:02:10,680 --> 01:02:12,600
Speaker 2: I took. I took the average seventy one percent to

1385
01:02:12,680 --> 01:02:15,880
Speaker 2: not qualify plus six sixty pretty good odds. Then you

1386
01:02:15,960 --> 01:02:18,200
Speaker 2: know give him that they're like twenty nine percent qualify.

1387
01:02:18,240 --> 01:02:21,160
Speaker 2: There's a world where they lose to France and Portugal

1388
01:02:21,200 --> 01:02:22,920
Speaker 2: and then all of a sudden they play Hungary the

1389
01:02:23,000 --> 01:02:25,480
Speaker 2: last game and they're just flat because they just got

1390
01:02:25,560 --> 01:02:26,040
Speaker 2: beat twice.

1391
01:02:27,840 --> 01:02:31,280
Speaker 3: There is one bet I think for Germany, and that's

1392
01:02:31,360 --> 01:02:34,400
Speaker 3: Timo Werner to win the Golden Boot at forty to one,

1393
01:02:34,560 --> 01:02:36,800
Speaker 3: just because, like it would just be hilarious after the

1394
01:02:36,840 --> 01:02:39,320
Speaker 3: season he had at Chelsea where he just couldn't finish

1395
01:02:39,480 --> 01:02:41,560
Speaker 3: and he had so many chances and everyone was praising

1396
01:02:41,640 --> 01:02:44,080
Speaker 3: him forgetting those chances but then couldn't score. I just

1397
01:02:44,160 --> 01:02:47,000
Speaker 3: think that would be interesting, and you know, maybe a

1398
01:02:47,160 --> 01:02:49,000
Speaker 3: Bilo spot because I think if he had a better season,

1399
01:02:49,280 --> 01:02:51,640
Speaker 3: where would he be right twelve to one something like that.

1400
01:02:52,680 --> 01:02:54,720
Speaker 3: So I do I don't know if I'm going to

1401
01:02:54,760 --> 01:02:57,320
Speaker 3: bet at but forty to one on Werner is interesting.

1402
01:02:57,880 --> 01:02:59,720
Speaker 3: I think Hungary will get a little bit of my

1403
01:02:59,760 --> 01:03:03,560
Speaker 3: money in uh, probably on a game by game basis,

1404
01:03:03,600 --> 01:03:06,120
Speaker 3: as well as maybe you know, fifty to one to

1405
01:03:06,360 --> 01:03:08,360
Speaker 3: forty to one, fifty to one too to win the group,

1406
01:03:08,480 --> 01:03:11,680
Speaker 3: just because, like I said, these tournaments are just they're insane,

1407
01:03:11,800 --> 01:03:15,000
Speaker 3: Like we just they as soon as they start, all

1408
01:03:15,040 --> 01:03:19,000
Speaker 3: hell kind of breaks, loose, upsets happen, weird stuff happens.

1409
01:03:19,680 --> 01:03:22,560
Speaker 3: And then at the end of the group stage you're saying,

1410
01:03:22,960 --> 01:03:25,200
Speaker 3: you know, how did Hungary top a group with Portugal

1411
01:03:25,440 --> 01:03:28,800
Speaker 3: and Iceland? And uh, that stuff is not all that right.

1412
01:03:28,840 --> 01:03:30,120
Speaker 1: I don't think I don't think we're going to be

1413
01:03:30,200 --> 01:03:30,560
Speaker 1: saying that.

1414
01:03:30,880 --> 01:03:33,440
Speaker 3: No, we probably want forty, but forty to one, it's

1415
01:03:33,480 --> 01:03:35,280
Speaker 3: just a it's a fun number and it's just one

1416
01:03:35,360 --> 01:03:37,520
Speaker 3: that I, like I said, I have, I have kind

1417
01:03:37,560 --> 01:03:39,480
Speaker 3: of like a credo in these in these tournaments where

1418
01:03:39,520 --> 01:03:42,960
Speaker 3: I bet anything that is, you know, basically twenty to

1419
01:03:43,000 --> 01:03:44,760
Speaker 3: one or longer for any team to win a group because,

1420
01:03:44,840 --> 01:03:47,800
Speaker 3: like you said, three games, who the hell knows. I

1421
01:03:47,840 --> 01:03:49,960
Speaker 3: mean that that wraps up the group stage. So we've

1422
01:03:50,000 --> 01:03:52,560
Speaker 3: we've mentioned a bunch of uh, you know, player props

1423
01:03:52,560 --> 01:03:54,360
Speaker 3: that we like, I'm gonna give you guys each like

1424
01:03:54,480 --> 01:03:57,320
Speaker 3: one minute to kind of round up what your favorite

1425
01:03:57,840 --> 01:04:00,120
Speaker 3: player prop is. Whether it's Golden Boot, which is like

1426
01:04:00,200 --> 01:04:03,200
Speaker 3: I said, top goal scorer, Golden ball, which is the

1427
01:04:03,320 --> 01:04:05,840
Speaker 3: player of the tournament. I will, you know, as a

1428
01:04:05,880 --> 01:04:07,720
Speaker 3: pat on my own back. I hit that at the

1429
01:04:08,240 --> 01:04:11,520
Speaker 3: twenty eighteen World Cup with Luca Madrich won a ton

1430
01:04:11,600 --> 01:04:13,360
Speaker 3: of money because he was at one hundred to one

1431
01:04:13,480 --> 01:04:17,560
Speaker 3: or so. BJ Let's start with you, what's your favorite

1432
01:04:17,560 --> 01:04:18,040
Speaker 3: player prop?

1433
01:04:18,680 --> 01:04:21,760
Speaker 4: Okay, so yeah, I've already mentioned Marata thirty one, Golden Boot,

1434
01:04:21,960 --> 01:04:25,640
Speaker 4: e Shad Golden Boots. I'm gonna go with Golden Ball,

1435
01:04:25,840 --> 01:04:28,040
Speaker 4: and I think it's purely just kind of based on

1436
01:04:28,080 --> 01:04:30,480
Speaker 4: the number, and it's gonna be Memphis to Pie for

1437
01:04:30,760 --> 01:04:33,320
Speaker 4: Golden Ball at fifty to one. You know, if you're

1438
01:04:33,320 --> 01:04:36,040
Speaker 4: talking about a guy who is under twenty to one

1439
01:04:36,360 --> 01:04:38,920
Speaker 4: to be the Golden Boot and the lead the tournament

1440
01:04:38,960 --> 01:04:41,440
Speaker 4: and assists, why not just take him at fifty to

1441
01:04:41,560 --> 01:04:43,120
Speaker 4: one to be the Golden Ball. I mean, Mike Anthony

1442
01:04:43,160 --> 01:04:45,640
Speaker 4: said he is the absolute cog to the Netherlands attack.

1443
01:04:46,000 --> 01:04:48,120
Speaker 4: He has been involved in seventeen of their thirty five

1444
01:04:48,200 --> 01:04:51,200
Speaker 4: goals throughout your own World Cup qualifying, and I just

1445
01:04:51,800 --> 01:04:53,760
Speaker 4: it's kind of crazy to me that he's, you know,

1446
01:04:53,960 --> 01:04:56,000
Speaker 4: fifty to one at that number. You know, I usually

1447
01:04:56,200 --> 01:04:57,800
Speaker 4: you know, I think four out of the last five

1448
01:04:58,320 --> 01:05:01,960
Speaker 4: major international tournaments a midfielder has won Golden Ball. But yeah,

1449
01:05:02,040 --> 01:05:04,320
Speaker 4: I for a guy who's going to be involved in

1450
01:05:04,360 --> 01:05:07,880
Speaker 4: all of their all their attacking. Given the path we

1451
01:05:07,920 --> 01:05:09,760
Speaker 4: already talked about for Netherlands where they wouldn't have to

1452
01:05:09,800 --> 01:05:12,920
Speaker 4: play face another group winner until the semi finals if

1453
01:05:12,920 --> 01:05:15,680
Speaker 4: they win Group C, that gives them a perfect opportunity

1454
01:05:15,720 --> 01:05:17,800
Speaker 4: to put up some big numbers against the lesser competition.

1455
01:05:18,120 --> 01:05:21,520
Speaker 4: And you know, if Netherlands can you know, shock the

1456
01:05:21,560 --> 01:05:23,120
Speaker 4: world and then you know, just get to the final,

1457
01:05:23,200 --> 01:05:25,480
Speaker 4: he could definitely win Golden Boots. So yeah, I love

1458
01:05:25,560 --> 01:05:27,200
Speaker 4: his value at fifty to one for a guy who's

1459
01:05:27,200 --> 01:05:28,680
Speaker 4: gonna have a ton of goals and assists throughout this

1460
01:05:28,800 --> 01:05:30,600
Speaker 4: entire tournament and play a lot of lesser competition.

1461
01:05:31,720 --> 01:05:35,400
Speaker 2: Anthony I wish I had gotten on the Angolo Conte

1462
01:05:35,480 --> 01:05:39,400
Speaker 2: sweepstakes before the Champions League final. You know, him having

1463
01:05:39,480 --> 01:05:41,440
Speaker 2: the player of the Player of the game, and that

1464
01:05:41,720 --> 01:05:43,880
Speaker 2: definitely killed any chance of betting that.

1465
01:05:45,360 --> 01:05:47,040
Speaker 3: That being said, he went from forty to one down

1466
01:05:47,080 --> 01:05:49,000
Speaker 3: to ten to one in like the last eight.

1467
01:05:48,960 --> 01:05:51,520
Speaker 2: Days, so which is insane. I wish I would lay

1468
01:05:51,560 --> 01:05:53,520
Speaker 2: minus twelve hundred that he wouldn't win that. But anyway,

1469
01:05:54,320 --> 01:05:57,160
Speaker 2: so for the for the Golden Boot, I mentioned this earlier.

1470
01:05:57,200 --> 01:06:00,280
Speaker 2: I like to Pie and I like each young player

1471
01:06:00,320 --> 01:06:03,800
Speaker 2: of the tournament. You can find him at the out

1472
01:06:03,800 --> 01:06:06,800
Speaker 2: there too. I believe he's twenty to one. BJA mentioned

1473
01:06:06,840 --> 01:06:09,160
Speaker 2: that those are the two I'm riding to. Pi and

1474
01:06:09,200 --> 01:06:12,000
Speaker 2: he sac both had great years. Both looked fresh at

1475
01:06:12,000 --> 01:06:13,520
Speaker 2: the end of the season, which is a huge part

1476
01:06:13,560 --> 01:06:15,200
Speaker 2: of this and this is the one thing for me

1477
01:06:15,400 --> 01:06:18,200
Speaker 2: that I'm looking to watch. You know, Unders were more

1478
01:06:18,280 --> 01:06:21,600
Speaker 2: profitable in the Premier League than they've been since our

1479
01:06:21,600 --> 01:06:24,400
Speaker 2: action network bet Labs started tracking the data. The players

1480
01:06:24,440 --> 01:06:26,800
Speaker 2: look dead on their feet at large portions of the season.

1481
01:06:27,840 --> 01:06:29,520
Speaker 2: I know BJA is showing value on a lot of

1482
01:06:29,600 --> 01:06:32,160
Speaker 2: overs early in the group stage. The one thing for

1483
01:06:32,280 --> 01:06:34,680
Speaker 2: me with the totals, I just want to watch a

1484
01:06:34,720 --> 01:06:36,800
Speaker 2: couple of games and see what they look like because

1485
01:06:36,800 --> 01:06:38,880
Speaker 2: I'm not sure if we're going to get just pure

1486
01:06:38,920 --> 01:06:41,640
Speaker 2: adrenaline that's going to carry these players playing international tournament.

1487
01:06:41,920 --> 01:06:43,680
Speaker 2: I don't know what the rotation system is going to

1488
01:06:43,720 --> 01:06:46,360
Speaker 2: look like for managers who can and can't rotate. So

1489
01:06:46,480 --> 01:06:48,360
Speaker 2: the totals are the thing that I'm just really not

1490
01:06:48,480 --> 01:06:51,880
Speaker 2: sure what to expect. I think there's a real world

1491
01:06:52,000 --> 01:06:54,160
Speaker 2: here where you know, the smarter managers are able to

1492
01:06:54,200 --> 01:06:56,000
Speaker 2: figure out that, hey, we can probably just bunker in

1493
01:06:56,120 --> 01:06:58,320
Speaker 2: and look to the counter and make these games really

1494
01:06:58,360 --> 01:07:01,000
Speaker 2: awful to watch and really ugly. But I think the

1495
01:07:01,080 --> 01:07:03,040
Speaker 2: managers who come out and try to go gung ho

1496
01:07:03,840 --> 01:07:05,440
Speaker 2: are going to give up a lot of goals. And

1497
01:07:05,560 --> 01:07:07,880
Speaker 2: so if you can try to, you know, watch the

1498
01:07:07,920 --> 01:07:10,080
Speaker 2: first group stage match and see how there could be

1499
01:07:10,120 --> 01:07:12,240
Speaker 2: some tactical stuff going on, and try to figure out

1500
01:07:12,240 --> 01:07:13,960
Speaker 2: from there how this tournament's going to look, because I

1501
01:07:14,000 --> 01:07:16,600
Speaker 2: think it's really interesting when the players are dead on

1502
01:07:16,640 --> 01:07:19,160
Speaker 2: their feet and they're still being asked to pressed like

1503
01:07:19,240 --> 01:07:20,880
Speaker 2: it's twenty seventeen.

1504
01:07:22,320 --> 01:07:24,800
Speaker 3: When you see low totals, the first place you want

1505
01:07:24,840 --> 01:07:26,760
Speaker 3: to start with on the three way money line is draws,

1506
01:07:26,880 --> 01:07:29,840
Speaker 3: because yeah, I think a big thing, a big misconception

1507
01:07:29,920 --> 01:07:31,720
Speaker 3: out there with three way money lines is when you

1508
01:07:31,800 --> 01:07:34,120
Speaker 3: have two teams that are evenly matched, that that's when

1509
01:07:34,120 --> 01:07:35,960
Speaker 3: you want to bet the draw. But it's really when

1510
01:07:35,960 --> 01:07:39,000
Speaker 3: you have two teams that set up well defensively, that's

1511
01:07:39,000 --> 01:07:41,080
Speaker 3: when you want to start looking into the draw. My favorite,

1512
01:07:41,560 --> 01:07:44,080
Speaker 3: I like a golden ball bet. I like Kareem Benzamuch

1513
01:07:44,080 --> 01:07:46,840
Speaker 3: twenty five to one, his first tournament back with France

1514
01:07:46,920 --> 01:07:50,280
Speaker 3: and god knows how long he obviously had a falling out,

1515
01:07:50,640 --> 01:07:53,720
Speaker 3: and which is that's every player on France at some

1516
01:07:53,760 --> 01:07:55,800
Speaker 3: point has a falling out with the national team. There's

1517
01:07:55,800 --> 01:07:58,080
Speaker 3: always a big soap opera and then they come back

1518
01:07:58,680 --> 01:08:00,760
Speaker 3: and sometimes they light it up. I think that Benzima,

1519
01:08:00,920 --> 01:08:03,160
Speaker 3: he's one of the best goal scorers, one of the

1520
01:08:03,200 --> 01:08:05,800
Speaker 3: best front men in the world. He's thirteen to one

1521
01:08:05,920 --> 01:08:08,480
Speaker 3: to win the Golden Boot, So if he wins the

1522
01:08:08,520 --> 01:08:11,760
Speaker 3: Golden Boot, I think that you'd probably say he might

1523
01:08:12,160 --> 01:08:14,400
Speaker 3: have a really good chance of winning the Golden Ball,

1524
01:08:14,480 --> 01:08:16,880
Speaker 3: and that's basically double the odds twenty five to one.

1525
01:08:18,720 --> 01:08:21,000
Speaker 3: I guess I'm in on the Alexander Eshak train too.

1526
01:08:21,160 --> 01:08:23,640
Speaker 3: I think, you know, he's definitely someone that will just

1527
01:08:23,680 --> 01:08:25,840
Speaker 3: be fun to bet on throughout the entire tournament, whether

1528
01:08:26,439 --> 01:08:28,160
Speaker 3: you know you want to do Golden Boot, a one

1529
01:08:28,240 --> 01:08:30,160
Speaker 3: hundred and one Young Player of the Tournament twenty one,

1530
01:08:30,320 --> 01:08:32,559
Speaker 3: or just keep backing him to be like the first

1531
01:08:32,600 --> 01:08:34,600
Speaker 3: goal scorer in Sweden games. Those bets are always a

1532
01:08:34,640 --> 01:08:37,360
Speaker 3: lot of fun, and I think you know that's that's

1533
01:08:37,400 --> 01:08:40,400
Speaker 3: basically it. I don't know if there's anything else that

1534
01:08:40,479 --> 01:08:43,160
Speaker 3: we need to cover this. Obviously a ton of geopolitical

1535
01:08:43,160 --> 01:08:45,920
Speaker 3: stuff we could get into, but our sponsors asked us

1536
01:08:46,040 --> 01:08:49,160
Speaker 3: not to. And that's one of the beauty, beautiful things

1537
01:08:49,160 --> 01:08:51,639
Speaker 3: about this tournament is that, you know, we're talking about

1538
01:08:51,840 --> 01:08:54,439
Speaker 3: twenty four countries who have you know, fought wars and

1539
01:08:54,439 --> 01:08:57,080
Speaker 3: stuff with each other throughout history and now they just

1540
01:08:57,120 --> 01:09:00,640
Speaker 3: play soccer. So make sure you you check out the

1541
01:09:00,680 --> 01:09:05,240
Speaker 3: Action Network's Euro twenty twenty coverage. BJ, Anthony, myself, Matt Treby,

1542
01:09:05,360 --> 01:09:08,040
Speaker 3: Jeremy Pond, and Ian Quillen will have coverage for every

1543
01:09:08,120 --> 01:09:11,400
Speaker 3: single match. We'll be doing video, we'll be doing We're

1544
01:09:11,439 --> 01:09:14,320
Speaker 3: gonna be treating this like it's the super Bowl every day, basically,

1545
01:09:15,120 --> 01:09:17,760
Speaker 3: much to the chagrin of our the guys at the

1546
01:09:17,800 --> 01:09:19,800
Speaker 3: top of the chain, who I had to remind what

1547
01:09:19,880 --> 01:09:22,160
Speaker 3: the Euros were a couple of months ago. That's that's

1548
01:09:22,200 --> 01:09:24,800
Speaker 3: our that's our fearless leader in chief, Chad Millman, who

1549
01:09:24,800 --> 01:09:27,120
Speaker 3: thought I was talking about it a golf tournament. So,

1550
01:09:27,520 --> 01:09:30,679
Speaker 3: you know, for BJ, for Anthony, I'm Michael Lee Buff

1551
01:09:30,840 --> 01:09:39,439
Speaker 3: and that'll do. It's coming, It's coming, it's coming, it's coming,

1552
01:09:40,720 --> 01:09:41,360
Speaker 3: it's coming.

1553
01:09:42,439 --> 01:09:47,000
Speaker 1: It's come, it's come, it's coming.