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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets as me Joey P joe Pisapia and this

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Speaker 1: is BP NFL. It's time to look into the stats

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Speaker 1: and the numbers in which lines might be moving here

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Speaker 1: with my best buddy Sam Hoppin, the man behind the numbers,

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Speaker 1: the data scientists. That's right, when all else fails, we

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Speaker 1: must turn to science, damit. That's the only way to

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Speaker 1: move forward. I always say that, and Sam, Week ten

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Speaker 1: is ahead of us. We've got a couple teams on pie,

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Speaker 1: We've got a few really intriguing matchups. We're going to

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Speaker 1: look into the future before we do all of those things.

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Speaker 1: We're also giving away free stuff and the new giveaway

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Speaker 1: is the Mike Evans Buccaneers signed helmet thanks to our

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Speaker 1: good friends courtesy of Pristine Auction dot com. How do

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Speaker 1: you win the Mike Evan signed helmet, Well, I'll tell you.

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Speaker 1: You go to Betting Pros dot com slash contest complete

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Speaker 1: the format, either download the Betting Pros app, leave a

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Speaker 1: review of the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe to our

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Speaker 1: social media channels at Betting Pros on x on TikTok

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Speaker 1: you complete, the more entries you receive, and the easier

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Speaker 1: it is to win announced and they win a writer

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Speaker 1: on the channel, So subscribe to the YouTube channel here

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Speaker 1: on Betting Pros. Don't forget to ring that bell for notification,

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Speaker 1: so you know if you are the big winner of

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Speaker 1: the Mike Evans helmet giveaway autographed by Mike Evans. We

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Speaker 1: tried to get Sam to autograph it, but we ended

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Speaker 1: up just going Mike Evans instead. All right, Sam, I

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Speaker 1: know a lot from this last week of football here

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Speaker 1: to digest a little bit extra time. We went a

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Speaker 1: little later today, so I know you and I were

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Speaker 1: talking about the futures market, talking about some things. But

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Speaker 1: yesterday Andrew and I were talking about a lot of

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Speaker 1: lines that we thought might even move, one of which

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Speaker 1: we might even think could invert at some point. But

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Speaker 1: let's start here with the Panthers and the Giants. A

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Speaker 1: game here where the Panthers are coming off of victory.

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Speaker 1: The Giants look like an organization that's on the brink

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Speaker 1: of disaster potentially, and this game is across the pond. Now.

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Speaker 1: Typically I tend to just look for the unders in

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Speaker 1: those games, especially with offenses like the two we're dealing with.

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Speaker 1: But what are you looking for here? As we watch

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Speaker 1: the next few days unfold with this line?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the Germans down in Munich are surely going to

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Speaker 2: be treated to a special game here on Sunday Sunday

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Speaker 2: afternoon for them. But the big thing here is whether

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Speaker 2: the Panthers stick with Bryce Young or they turned back

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Speaker 2: to Andy Dalton. I don't know this status of his

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Speaker 2: injury to his thumb and the car crash he suffled

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Speaker 2: suffered a couple of weeks ago. But this game opened

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Speaker 2: with the Giants as four and a half point favorites.

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Speaker 2: They're now out to five or five and a half,

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Speaker 2: depending on where you're looking. Those those five and a

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Speaker 2: halfs are juiced quite a bit towards the five. So

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Speaker 2: really the Giants are favored by five. And again, this

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Speaker 2: is a neutral site. I mean, the Panthers are probably

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Speaker 2: the one team that the Giants would be five point

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Speaker 2: favorites over on a neutral field. I don't I don't

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Speaker 2: remember what my numbers had off the top of my head,

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Speaker 2: but I think I leaned Panthers that said I'm not

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Speaker 2: going to back the pain there's in this game because

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Speaker 2: there's just so many things that could go wrong. But

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Speaker 2: I think again, this line could and will change if

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Speaker 2: the Panthers end up going with Dalton. Obviously they're the

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Speaker 2: shine wore off pretty quickly with him after the one

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Speaker 2: good Raiders game that he had. But I do still

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Speaker 2: think that Dalton is the better quarterback and this line

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Speaker 2: would probably move maybe a point and a half, maybe

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Speaker 2: two points in favor of the Panthers should he be

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Speaker 2: announced the starter.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the next one here.

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Speaker 1: Originally on the slate, this game was basically a pick

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Speaker 1: them when the season started. Not so much anymore. Injuries

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Speaker 1: have really derailed the Cowboys. Not to mention the bad play,

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Speaker 1: Dak Prescott's not gonna be available for this one. CD

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Speaker 1: is in question right now. This number as we're recording

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Speaker 1: this is somewhere sitting at seven seven and a half

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Speaker 1: in some markets here, and the Cowboys have just had

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Speaker 1: a downward spiral, let's be honest. And they have also

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Speaker 1: played terribly at home over the last few games, even

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Speaker 1: going back to last year in the playoffs, or should

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Speaker 1: I say this year in the playoffs? Last season in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs. So Sam, the Eagles coming off a win

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Speaker 1: here the Cowboys looking like again a team that is

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Speaker 1: backsliding all the way into oblivion. So what do you

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Speaker 1: make of this number? Where it is and where it

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Speaker 1: might go to as the week unfold.

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Speaker 2: So the look aheadline on this was Philly by two

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Speaker 2: and a half points, and then Sunday happened. Obviously, Dak

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Speaker 2: Prescott now sounds like there's a chance he goes on

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Speaker 2: injured reserve. I would think that that might be the

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Speaker 2: expectation given where the Cowboys are in their season. This

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Speaker 2: game reopened then at Philly by six and a half

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Speaker 2: or six I think since the news that Prescott was

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Speaker 2: going to be confirmed out, this is moved to Philly

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Speaker 2: by seven and a half. You mentioned Ceedee Lamb Also,

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Speaker 2: I think day to day with an injury, it sounds

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Speaker 2: like he still has a chance to play. You know,

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Speaker 2: I've talked about on the show sort of the backup

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Speaker 2: quarterback bump that that teams get, at least in the

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Speaker 2: betting markets. So you know, whether that's phenomenon is enough

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Speaker 2: to get this to cross back over seven. I don't

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Speaker 2: think so. I think this probably stays right about where

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Speaker 2: it is maybe moves more in favor of Philly depending

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Speaker 2: on the the Lamb news, because if they don't have

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Speaker 2: CD Lamb, I mean, their skill position group is possibly

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Speaker 2: the worst in the league.

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Speaker 1: So are you saying that the late Jonathan Mingo trade

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Speaker 1: is not the difference maker? Sam?

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Speaker 2: Not a difference maker? But look, when you got to

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Speaker 2: when you trade a fourth round pick for a rookie

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Speaker 2: or a young receiver who hasn't shown much in a

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Speaker 2: lost season, you just gotta do it.

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Speaker 1: Right though, I don't know what they're thinking about. I

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Speaker 1: really don't. I mean, a Cowboys fans, I think have

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Speaker 1: a right to be pissed off, and I think McCarthy's

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Speaker 1: going to be gone at the end of the season,

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Speaker 1: if not sooner. The wheels have come off here. That

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Speaker 1: being said, is there certain is there a number where

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Speaker 1: if this should go to double digits, Let's say, if

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Speaker 1: this gets to ten, is there any value on the

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Speaker 1: Cowboy side or you're just thinking no, I'm just staying

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Speaker 1: away from it completely.

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Speaker 2: I don't think this gets to ten. I mean, this

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Speaker 2: number is already baked in the Prescott injury. There's no

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Speaker 2: way CEEDE Lamb's injury is gonna move it. You know,

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Speaker 2: there are three two and a half, three points, but

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Speaker 2: I'm probably staying away from this, probably just looking more

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Speaker 2: towards the like a Philadelphia team total over all.

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Speaker 1: Right, next up here, the third game, we're gonna talk

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Speaker 1: about the Texans and Lions. Texan's coming off a tough

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Speaker 1: loss to the Jets, short week on the road, no digs,

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Speaker 1: no Nico Collins, but that could change again as a

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Speaker 1: recording this. We're still waiting for official news, but people

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Speaker 1: are optimistic about the return of Nico Collins. He's able

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Speaker 1: to be activated now. How he goes through practice really

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Speaker 1: is what matters the most. So let's talk about this

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Speaker 1: line right now, because as it sits on betting pros,

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Speaker 1: it's a three and a half. That's pretty much where

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Speaker 1: you're getting it everywhere. So the Nick overturn, how might

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Speaker 1: this impact this three and a half that we're seeing

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Speaker 1: right now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, again, I'm not totally sure if his presence is

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Speaker 2: enough to cross that key number in three. Maybe it

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Speaker 2: gets it too, you know, just a flat three, because

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Speaker 2: like you said, Detroit currently favored by three and a

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Speaker 2: half points. I tend to lean that it might be

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Speaker 2: enough to make that switch, or at least if he

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Speaker 2: is active. I'm for sure going towards the Texans with

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Speaker 2: the three and a half points because he fundamentally changes

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Speaker 2: the Texans offense, especially now without Stefan Diggs for the

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Speaker 2: entire season. You know, we're recording this a couple of

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Speaker 2: hours before the trade deadline ends. There have been some

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Speaker 2: rumors that the Texans could be involved in a wide

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Speaker 2: receiver trade. I don't know who that is. It seems like,

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Speaker 2: again the wide receiver trademark it is, has kind of

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Speaker 2: slowed down quite a bit, but hardly anybody loves. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: We've seen some money, you know, come in on the

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Speaker 2: Texans later in the week in several games this season,

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Speaker 2: so I think we could see that happen again. The

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Speaker 2: Texans defense is still played pretty well, it's just that

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Speaker 2: offens and getting Nico Collins back I think would be

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Speaker 2: a massive upgrade obviously over some of the other players

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Speaker 2: they have.

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Speaker 1: All Right, So those are the lines that we're watching

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Speaker 1: going into Week ten in the NFL. Also another thing

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Speaker 1: to use going into Week ten the NFL is, of course,

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pro systems. So if you haven't already, download

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app use the Betting Pro Systems tool

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Speaker 1: You can customize your betting systems by sport, by bet type,

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Speaker 1: and timeframe to get the best opportunities. Using real time

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Speaker 1: data and expert analysis, you can track the performance of

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Speaker 1: different betting systems over time and optimize your bets to

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Speaker 1: increase your chances of success. Download the VP app today

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Speaker 1: wherever you get your apps and find the best strategy

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Speaker 1: for you. They're going to elevate you as a vetter

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Speaker 1: and take you to that next level to start making

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Speaker 1: smarter bets. All right, let us take a look into

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Speaker 1: the future for a moment here, Sam, as we continue

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Speaker 1: to press on looking at the futures market right now.

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Speaker 1: I know win totals are something that a lot of

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Speaker 1: us are looking at. I brought up a couple last week,

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Speaker 1: and you have a couple in mind specifically this week.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about them.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, a couple NFC teams that I'm looking at their

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Speaker 2: win total four. The first is the Chicago Bears. I

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Speaker 2: like their under seven and a half wins. They're currently

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Speaker 2: at four, so that sounds like a bit of a

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Speaker 2: death sentence. It's you know, obviously they're the over is

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Speaker 2: choosed pretty heavily, but they still have yet to play

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Speaker 2: a single division game yet this season, and they're the worst.

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Speaker 2: That's crazy. That's the best division in football. They because

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Speaker 2: of that, have the number one most difficult strength of

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Speaker 2: schedule according to in Predictable's market ratings, and the defense

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Speaker 2: continues to deal with a multitude avenjury. I'll talk about

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Speaker 2: the Bears a little bit more later on, but Jakawan Brisker, Montes, Sweat,

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Speaker 2: Kyli Gordon, Andrew Billings, Torell Smith, all guys who are

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Speaker 2: our key players on that defense, and continue to struggle

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Speaker 2: with injuries. The offense doesn't look like what it was

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Speaker 2: for a stretch. So again that gauntlet of teams that

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Speaker 2: they're going to have to face the Vikings, Lions and

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Speaker 2: Packers all twice the rest of the season, I'm not

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Speaker 2: sure that they get the four more wins that they

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Speaker 2: would need to go over. And then on the Rams side,

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Speaker 2: actually like they're over eight and a half wins. Their

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Speaker 2: offense is getting healthier. Obviously, have Cooper Cup and Puka

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Speaker 2: Nakua back. Now they have a middle of this pack

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Speaker 2: strength of schedule, but seven of their final nine games

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Speaker 2: are what I consider to be coin flip games, which

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Speaker 2: are games in which the spread is within three points

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Speaker 2: either way or in this case, looking at a projected spread.

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Speaker 2: And when there's this much potential variance in these games,

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Speaker 2: I want to lead to the side that is giving

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Speaker 2: me some plus odds, And right now that's the over

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Speaker 2: eight and a half wins, was plus one twelve when

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Speaker 2: I checked yesterday. And they're certainly in the mix for

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Speaker 2: a playoff spot. I mean, three weeks ago, they looked

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Speaker 2: like a dead team that was just going to pack

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Speaker 2: it in for the year and maybe be sellers at

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Speaker 2: the deadline, but I could see them potentially being buyers

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Speaker 2: today and again being in the mix for a playoff spot.

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Speaker 2: They're going to continue to trot out their best effort

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Speaker 2: in their defenses is certainly playing a little bit over expectation.

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Speaker 1: That's just a tremendous point too about the Bears, just

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Speaker 1: talking about the fact that they haven't played any of

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Speaker 1: their Indivision opponents, and those teams are.

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Speaker 2: So good right now.

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Speaker 1: They kind of all feel like the class of the NFC.

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Speaker 1: So that is a huge one there, and the Rams.

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Speaker 1: Anything else to add on them.

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Speaker 2: No. I mean again, their offense is getting healthier, the

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Speaker 2: defenses playing pretty well, and yeah, I like the over

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Speaker 2: of them.

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Speaker 1: All right, very good. Okay, let's move on to some

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Speaker 1: of the stats that are gonna really matter, and we're

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Speaker 1: gonna go pick on the Bears again. It looks like

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Speaker 1: just because you're a cheese head. This is again, this

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Speaker 1: is numbers, folks, This is not personal. But Sam, you're right,

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Speaker 1: like you're looking right now at that defense of the

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Speaker 1: Bear specifically, they are giving up big plays and big moments.

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Speaker 1: I said yesterday on the show. You can go back

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Speaker 1: and watch a Look at You with Andrew and myself

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Speaker 1: on the YouTube channel or listen wherever you get your pods.

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Speaker 1: You can get that conversation between Andrew and myself about

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Speaker 1: the Patriots, which again, yes, we're Patriot fans, but we're

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Speaker 1: Patriot fans in the sense of we're very realistic. And

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Speaker 1: I look at what Drake May is able to do

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Speaker 1: with that offense and kind of keep things going with

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Speaker 1: his legs, some extending some plays like that. I look

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Speaker 1: at them kind of playing fast and loose and without pressure,

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Speaker 1: and I just think that seven or seven and a

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Speaker 1: half it ins some markets you're seeing is just too

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Speaker 1: many points and it's too much on the Bears considering

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Speaker 1: the way they've played. And I'm a little surprised because

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Speaker 1: going into the by, Caleb was playing much better. Coming

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Speaker 1: out of the by, you would suspect that the Bears

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Speaker 1: would continue that momentum, but it seems like it's gone

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Speaker 1: the opposite direction ever since. Sam.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so the offense has been very streaky. In weeks

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Speaker 2: one through three, uh, they had a negative point one

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Speaker 2: nine epa per play thirty seven percent success rate. Those

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Speaker 2: are both bottom five. Weeks four through six they sort

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Speaker 2: of turned it on. They had a point two toh

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Speaker 2: eight epa per play and forty eight point seven percent

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Speaker 2: success rate, both top five again going into the buy

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Speaker 2: and then their last two games they've had a negative

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Speaker 2: point one seven nine epa per play and thirty four

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Speaker 2: point eight success rate. We talked last week about the

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Speaker 2: Bears not really having to worry about allowing pressure to

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Speaker 2: the Cardinals, and boy was I wrong. From Ben Solak,

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Speaker 2: this is according to next Gen Stats, sixteen different Cardinals

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Speaker 2: players on defense got a pressure against the Bears on Sunday.

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Speaker 2: That was the most individual players to get a pressure

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Speaker 2: for a defense since twenty eighteen, So they just didn't

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Speaker 2: have a great offensive plan or they I don't know

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Speaker 2: what happened, it was not good.

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Speaker 1: Well, they don't make adjustments. And the other thing too

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Speaker 1: about this Bears team is seeing how terrible the head

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Speaker 1: coach has been on the road. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: you saw some of the stats in his career, like

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Speaker 1: winless on Sundays in the road, I think is what

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Speaker 1: I saw, and that was just like a stunning statistic

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Speaker 1: that you can't even wrap your mind around.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Iberflus I think should have been fired this offseason,

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Speaker 2: and whatever it is, it's starting to show. I mean,

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Speaker 2: he unnecessarily played Caleb Williams on the final drive of

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Speaker 2: the game when the team had zero percent chance of winning.

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Speaker 2: The team is pretty toothless right now. They're twenty seventh

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Speaker 2: overall in offensive DVA, twelfth in defensive Dvoway. I mention

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Speaker 2: all of the injuries that the defense is struggling with

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Speaker 2: right now, and that I think is a large factor

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Speaker 2: into why that defense has taken a step back. They're

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Speaker 2: struggling to consistently get pressure and they're certainly not the

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Speaker 2: unit that we saw earlier in the season.

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Speaker 1: I know you want to talk about the Commanders, but

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Speaker 1: I want to pause on that because you mentioned the

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Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals and all that pressure they brought, and I

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Speaker 1: know we were going to talk about the Jets. We'm

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Speaker 1: gonna flip flop things onto you. So let's talk about

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Speaker 1: the Jets for a second, because that was my whole

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Speaker 1: point is, you know, we have a far less mobile

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers at this stage in his career. Is there

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Speaker 1: any concern about that pressure and what it might possibly

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Speaker 1: mean on the New York Jets. I know people are like, oh,

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Speaker 1: the Jets are back. Jets are back. If you watch

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Speaker 1: that game in the first half, the crowd was chanting

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Speaker 1: sell the team. They weren't dreadful in the first half

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Speaker 1: of that game. In the second half, they made a

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Speaker 1: couple of adjustments. It took one of the best catches

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Speaker 1: of the year, and it took a couple threading the

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Speaker 1: needle where they could have been picked just as easily

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Speaker 1: as there could have been Devonte Adams receptions. And the

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Speaker 1: Jets came out positive and Houston certainly didn't execute, gave

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Speaker 1: up moments, gave up field position. We could talk about

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Speaker 1: that till the cows come home. But that's just one game.

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Speaker 1: I think a lot of people are might fall into

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Speaker 1: a trap of the Jets. I said that this game

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Speaker 1: I think should be inverted, like in terms of the line.

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Speaker 1: What do you think about that pressure of the Cardinals?

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Speaker 1: What does it mean? Do you buy into which is

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Speaker 1: all last week of the Jets? And does it travel?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? So I want to I want to start off

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Speaker 2: here quickly talking about again why the Jets went from

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Speaker 2: being two point favorites against a six and two Texans

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Speaker 2: team to being a pick them against the five and

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Speaker 2: four Cardinals. And one they're going from playing at home

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Speaker 2: on Thursday Night football to playing away the Texans. Two

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Speaker 2: were beat up offensively again, I mentioned that earlier they

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Speaker 2: were already a below average offense, and we're missing several

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Speaker 2: key pieces. And I think finally the Jets are clearly

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Speaker 2: better than they're at the time. Two and six record. Now,

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Speaker 2: there are no real trends with this team. Starting on defense,

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Speaker 2: we expected this them to be a top five defense

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Speaker 2: entering the season, and right now their first and yards

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Speaker 2: per play allowed, second in success rate eleventh and EPA

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Speaker 2: per play second and early down success rate in first

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Speaker 2: and pressure rate This is all while playing without Hassan

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Speaker 2: Reddick for most of the season. Their rush defense has

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Speaker 2: struggled lately. But what I think is why they're sort

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Speaker 2: of struggling defensively is they've only forced seven turnovers far

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Speaker 2: so far this year. They had twenty seven total turnovers

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Speaker 2: force last year. And then offensively, they're basically middle of

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Speaker 2: the pack in most offensive metrics. And the story all offseason,

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Speaker 2: all previous offseason was if they get even competent quarterback

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Speaker 2: play and have an average offense, then they'll be great.

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Speaker 2: That hasn't obviously panned out. Now the defense has sort

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Speaker 2: of played up to expectations, but the offense that hasn't

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Speaker 2: put it all together. In a single game. The most

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Speaker 2: points that they've scored in the game has been twenty

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Speaker 2: four excuse me, four of those. Their six losses, though,

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Speaker 2: have been one possession games. Three of them have been

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Speaker 2: by three or three or fewer points. So they're in

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Speaker 2: these games like you flip a coin on some of

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Speaker 2: those games and you're looking at a six and three

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Speaker 2: Jets team and everyone's, you know, hurrah about how well

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Speaker 2: the Jets are playing. But again, some of those in

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Speaker 2: game decision making things that they've had to deal with,

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Speaker 2: and again some of the changes that they've gone through

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Speaker 2: personnel wise, obviously adding Devonte Adams, but the Hassan Redick

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Speaker 2: stuff as well. So I really don't know what to

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Speaker 2: make of this Jets offense. I think they're just like

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Speaker 2: an average team, like they're they're going to be in

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Speaker 2: competitive games and it's going to come down to a

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Speaker 2: couple of key plays to determine whether they end up

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Speaker 2: winning or not.

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Speaker 1: Well, it's funny because since yesterday the market has changed

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Speaker 1: in a lot of spots. There's spots now where you

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Speaker 1: can get you know, where Arizona is the favorite, it's

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Speaker 1: or why like it's it's kind of funny like it

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Speaker 1: started out with the Jets, and I think people saw

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Speaker 1: that right away when that doesn't feel right, I think

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Speaker 1: the savvy betters, you know, I know I logged it. Yes,

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Speaker 1: I locked the Patriots when it was seven. Now at

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Speaker 1: six and a half. In a lot of spots, so

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Speaker 1: you're already seeing a lot of move in here. This

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Speaker 1: is one too that I would set those line alerts

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Speaker 1: on the betting pros app and just continue to watch,

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Speaker 1: you know where it goes, especially if any injuries crop

380
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Speaker 1: up during the week two that might have an issue,

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Speaker 1: you know. Right now, I think the best value is

382
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Speaker 1: just taking the Cardinals straight up at home with the

383
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Speaker 1: moneyline minus one ten. I don't trust the Cardinals, we

384
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Speaker 1: all know that, But I just trust the Jets even

385
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Speaker 1: less because it seems like in big spots they fail

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Speaker 1: to execute most of the time, and they also are

387
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Speaker 1: a team that has struggled to make adjustments. I think

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Speaker 1: we're taking way too much out of that victory they

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Speaker 1: had over a beaten up, short week travel Houston Texans

390
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Speaker 1: team that still basically had them on the ropes well

391
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Speaker 1: into the third quarter of that game. So I'd like,

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Speaker 1: I just we're just, you know, sure, sometimes things can spark,

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Speaker 1: sometimes things can you know, turn things around a little bit,

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Speaker 1: but I'm not looking for that all right. Last one

395
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Speaker 1: I want to talk about here is out of conference game,

396
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Speaker 1: But I think this one has really one of the

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Speaker 1: most intriguing fun to watch factors. You've got the ste

398
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Speaker 1: coming off of a bye, You've got you know, well coached,

399
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Speaker 1: you know team that's been together for the most part

400
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Speaker 1: a pretty long time, you know, the continuity there, and

401
00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:11,160
Speaker 1: then you've got these fresh faced young kids in Washington

402
00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:13,200
Speaker 1: with Jane and Daniels and all the good vibes and

403
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,120
Speaker 1: all the good feelings and dan Quinn and everything's going

404
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Speaker 1: their way right now. This is a fascinating game. The Commanders. Defensively,

405
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Speaker 1: you have improved, especially at home. They've been better there currently.

406
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Speaker 1: The way this line is, you're looking at Washington minus three,

407
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Speaker 1: and I get that. I mean, basically, Vegas is saying,

408
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Speaker 1: here you go, it's your standard home field advantage. So

409
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Speaker 1: really this is up to I think this is a

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Speaker 1: great opportunity for the stats to give us an advantage

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Speaker 1: potentially on this line because it is a very much

412
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Speaker 1: standard issue that we're looking at in Vegas is saying,

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Speaker 1: choose your own adventure, So which one do you want

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Speaker 1: to pick?

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Speaker 2: I mean, I'm on Washington. I think I make this

416
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Speaker 2: line closer to four and a half or five. Fascinating,

417
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Speaker 2: And I still think this Washington offense is a little

418
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Speaker 2: bit underrated. I mean early in the season and it was, well,

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Speaker 2: are they going to keep it up? Maybe this is

420
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Speaker 2: just like a bit of a fluke. They had a

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Speaker 2: couple of down games. Obviously didn't play exceptionally great against

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Speaker 2: the Bears, but that was with Jane Daniels coming off

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Speaker 2: of a rib injury. Now in predictable aside, I've mentioned

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Speaker 2: several times they use future betting lines and pass betting

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Speaker 2: lines to sort of gauge how properly or how well

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Speaker 2: rated these offenses and defenses are. They currently have rated

427
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Speaker 2: as the eleventh best offense ESPN's FPI. Their Football Power

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Speaker 2: Index has them rated as the fourth best offense, and

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Speaker 2: I think that's a little bit closer to more accurate.

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Speaker 2: But they're number one in offensive EPA per play. They've

431
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Speaker 2: had a positive EPA per play in every single game

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Speaker 2: this year and a success rate over fifty percent in

433
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Speaker 2: four of their nine games so far this year. Washington

434
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:57,000
Speaker 2: coming into the year head one of the worst offensive lines,

435
00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:00,680
Speaker 2: But I think Cliff Kingsbury has done a great job

436
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:04,800
Speaker 2: of mitigating the pressure that Jane Daniels is facing. He's

437
00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:08,720
Speaker 2: thirty first in excuse me, has thirty one percent pressure rate,

438
00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:12,159
Speaker 2: which is twenty second highest. His two point seven to

439
00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:16,840
Speaker 2: six second time to throw is sixteenth quickest, so he's

440
00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:20,400
Speaker 2: getting the ball out pretty quickly, mitigating the pressure and

441
00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:24,320
Speaker 2: not having to run for his life to extend plays

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00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:28,480
Speaker 2: in and then make a deep throw. So again, this

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00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:32,119
Speaker 2: is probably I don't remember what I have my numbers

444
00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:34,800
Speaker 2: at overall, but I would say they're probably the third

445
00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:40,919
Speaker 2: best offense in the league behind Baltimore, Detroit, and you know,

446
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:44,879
Speaker 2: you could make some arguments for maybe like Philly or

447
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:48,040
Speaker 2: some of these other teams, but they're right at the top.

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00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:53,200
Speaker 2: And even though the Steelers defense has played really well

449
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:56,879
Speaker 2: this year, they have TJ Watt the DPOI at this

450
00:22:56,960 --> 00:23:01,680
Speaker 2: point in the season, I just think that the Washington

451
00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:03,199
Speaker 2: offense is going to be too much for in that

452
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:04,200
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh defense.

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00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:07,639
Speaker 1: That's fascinating, and that's the matchup. I think at the

454
00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:10,720
Speaker 1: end of the day, it becomes that offense versus that defense.

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00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:12,480
Speaker 1: Whoever wins that matchup is going to win that game.

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00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 1: I think that's where it's going to get decided. Great stuff, Sam,

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00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:16,840
Speaker 1: real quick before we get out of here, Survivora Bowl

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00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,760
Speaker 1: Pick of the Week. The Chiefs go extend the undefeated

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00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:22,720
Speaker 1: streak again on Monday Night Football. Hopefully you're following us

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00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:25,240
Speaker 1: on social media too for my Monday Night Football bets

461
00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:29,480
Speaker 1: three for three again, the cover, the over on Hunt,

462
00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:31,600
Speaker 1: the under on Irving. It's a beautiful time to be

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00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:34,199
Speaker 1: a lie. But Sam Survivor pick for Week ten? Who

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00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:34,560
Speaker 1: do you have?

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00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go with the Chiefs. Obviously coming off

466
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:41,840
Speaker 2: of Monday Night football, so a short week, but they

467
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:44,120
Speaker 2: have the best defense in the NFL. I think they

468
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:46,800
Speaker 2: I think they'll put Bo Nixon a blunder. We saw

469
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:50,360
Speaker 2: the Ravens defense sort of do that to them. They

470
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 2: still have the chops to put up offense points on

471
00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:58,840
Speaker 2: offense against lesser defenses, and I do think you know, again,

472
00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:03,399
Speaker 2: I talked about last week whether the Broncos defense was

473
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,840
Speaker 2: going to be sort of exposed, and they certainly were

474
00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:09,560
Speaker 2: against Baltimore. I don't obviously have the Chiefs offenses rated

475
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 2: as highly as them, but they've got DeAndre Hopkins. Now

476
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:17,639
Speaker 2: they're starting to click a little bit more on offense.

477
00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:23,680
Speaker 2: And again, thankfully Patrick Mahomes is safe and good to play.

478
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 2: But yeah, give me the Chiefs to take care of

479
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:26,880
Speaker 2: the Broncos.

480
00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:30,719
Speaker 1: Big difference when you have DeAndre Hopkins on that offense

481
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:32,280
Speaker 1: all of a sudden too, starting to open things up

482
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:33,920
Speaker 1: a little bit. So it should be an interesting game

483
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:36,440
Speaker 1: there against the Denver Broncos. Great stuff, Sam as always

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00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:39,240
Speaker 1: check out all Sam's work over bettingpros dot Com as

485
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:42,040
Speaker 1: well his latest is there. Also, don't forget to download

486
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:43,720
Speaker 1: the app and get in on that contest too. For

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00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:46,080
Speaker 1: that Mike Evans helmet. That'll do it for us, but

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00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on. For Sam Hoppin,

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00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time, Gibz. Thanks

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00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:53,920
Speaker 1: for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you love

491
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:56,239
Speaker 1: the show, the best freeway to support us is by

492
00:24:56,320 --> 00:25:00,200
Speaker 1: leaving a positive review on Apple podcasts or Spotify, hellow

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00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:03,080
Speaker 1: us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and Instagram

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00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:06,600
Speaker 1: at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube channel

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00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:08,760
Speaker 1: at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros