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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk met and we're back after

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Speaker 1: a losing day one and two. On the day, we

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Speaker 1: get the Ohio State bet right, Alabama get smoked, and

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Speaker 1: I learned something about LSU and Clemson. On top of

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Speaker 1: that huge win for the Tigers, the LSU Tigers, they

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Speaker 1: win seventeen ten against Clemson. So generally speaking, I'm known

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Speaker 1: as an SEC guy, like I am pretty much very

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Speaker 1: pro SEC. But in the first week of the college

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Speaker 1: football season, I was more inclined to fade the SEC

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Speaker 1: than follow. And here's why. In the realm of nil

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Speaker 1: and in the realm of where we are in college football,

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Speaker 1: the Big Ten has had a pretty good run when

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Speaker 1: it comes to grabbing players, elevating players, and coaching players up.

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Speaker 1: For the last two years in the new nil world,

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Speaker 1: the Big Ten's been pretty good at it. And so

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Speaker 1: in Ohio State, Texas, I took Ohio State, Auburn, Baylor,

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Speaker 1: I took Baylor Clemson versus LSU. I took Clemson. So

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Speaker 1: I went one in two with those picks. I got

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Speaker 1: Ohio State right, Auburn dead wrong, Clemson wrong. And the

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Speaker 1: reason was, well, one, Baylor was at home and Clemson

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Speaker 1: was at home, and I and the teams at home.

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Speaker 1: In early in the early part of this college football season,

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Speaker 1: teams on the road have done pretty poorly home teams

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Speaker 1: that have done very well. So my faults on that.

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Speaker 1: And look, it's week one, so there's a feeling out process.

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Speaker 1: But I can tell you after the first week of

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Speaker 1: college football that the SEC is back. Okay, Yes, Ohio

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Speaker 1: State beat Texas, but I wasn't high on Texas going

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Speaker 1: into the year. I thought they were overrated and I

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Speaker 1: think Arch Manning has got a long way to go.

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Speaker 1: So I was not surprised by the Ohio State win

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Speaker 1: over Texas. But the rest of the conference. Yes, Alabama

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Speaker 1: is back to the Alabama that I covered for five years,

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Speaker 1: in which I saw Mike Price and Mike Dubos and

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Speaker 1: then his friend Chione and just a litany of coaches

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Speaker 1: come in and be fired quickly. Kellen de boor Is,

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Speaker 1: I know his buyout is enormous, but I mean they'll

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Speaker 1: work something out. It's not working. You cannot lose the

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Speaker 1: games he has lost, and you can't lose to Florida

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Speaker 1: State like that. That was embarrassing. You can't have a

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Speaker 1: quarterback from Boston College go ahead and talk smack all

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Speaker 1: off season and then run his mouth during the game

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Speaker 1: because he backed it all up against your defense. Alabama

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Speaker 1: got embarrassed in Tallahassee. So that's that just is not working.

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Speaker 1: And Nick Saban, I mean it's not like Nick is dead.

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Speaker 1: Nick is still alive. Nick is still on campus. And

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Speaker 1: Kellen de Boorr was supposed to have an incredible recruiting

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Speaker 1: class and he did and they did nothing with it.

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Speaker 1: And that's an embarrassing loss. Now, the season's not over,

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Speaker 1: but wo boy, that was an embarrassing loss for Alabama.

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Speaker 1: So I am inclined to ride the SEC in the

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Speaker 1: coming weeks, but not today. But not today. So before

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Speaker 1: I give you guys the picks I've got, I can't

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Speaker 1: bet baseball. It's Sunday, Okay. I didn't bet baseball, though

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Speaker 1: I did bet the Brewers yesterday. Did you see the

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Speaker 1: Brewers line? That was ridiculous. We talked about it during

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Speaker 1: the discord chat. I gave you Bama minus seven in

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Speaker 1: the first half that lost. I gave you the Brewers

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Speaker 1: at plus one twenty five that hit, so technically one

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Speaker 1: in one, but it was comfitable thanks to the Brewers.

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Speaker 1: That price was ridiculous again. Quinn Priester starts a game

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Speaker 1: in which the Brewers win. That is undefeated in June,

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Speaker 1: undefeated in July, and undefeated in August. With Quinn Priester

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Speaker 1: on the mound for the Milwaukee Brewers. It's unbelievable. But

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Speaker 1: another win for Milwaukee against the Toronto Blue Jays. But

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Speaker 1: I'm not betting baseball because we didn't bet baseball Friday,

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Speaker 1: Saturday Sunday. It's Sunday not betting baseball. So I've got

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Speaker 1: two bets in one game. I don't always like to

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Speaker 1: do that, but it's the biggest game of the day.

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Speaker 1: So let's get a little committed here. And right now

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Speaker 1: we are nine and eight on the week. So I went,

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Speaker 1: where did I go? I went two in one, three

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Speaker 1: and oh ozho and three one in two, two and

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Speaker 1: one one in two so far on the week. So

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Speaker 1: if I go two and one or better today, I

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Speaker 1: have a winning week. If I go one in two,

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Speaker 1: it's a flat week. Go zero and three it's a

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Speaker 1: losing week for us, so the week is writing on

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Speaker 1: these picks here today for us on a Sunday. Before

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Speaker 1: we do the pick slips, remind you about the offer

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Speaker 1: going on right now with Betting pros Premium seven day

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Speaker 1: free trial. Download the bedding pros app and you can

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Speaker 1: use the code Juice for a seven day free trial.

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Speaker 1: Check out the prop bet cheat sheet and the prop

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Speaker 1: bet Analyzer. I will say one quick thing, but use

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Speaker 1: the code Juice. Download the Betting pros app, Betting pros

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Speaker 1: Premium prop bet cheat sheet and analyzer and picks as well,

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Speaker 1: and other tools you can create with the Betting pros app.

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Speaker 1: We're about to launch a new version of the Betting

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Speaker 1: pros app this week. And I saw some people talking

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Speaker 1: about the prop bet cheat sheet and the propt analyzer

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Speaker 1: and you guys having a tough time finding winners. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So here's a little tip you guys should be using.

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Speaker 1: There are things at the top of the prop bet

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Speaker 1: cheat sheet, okay, So when you get your seven day

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Speaker 1: free trial, go to the prop bet cheat sheet. There's

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Speaker 1: ways of sorting out certain plays, okay. And one thing

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Speaker 1: I would really recommend is looking at the vig and

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Speaker 1: looking at the stars. I wouldn't play anything that's on

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Speaker 1: a four or a five star play, and I would

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Speaker 1: definitely sort out a lot of the bets. I mean,

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Speaker 1: there are hundreds of bets available every day, but only

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Speaker 1: play a four or a five star bet. Definitely sort

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Speaker 1: through and play around with it. On top of that,

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Speaker 1: don't go in in the first two days of having

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Speaker 1: the prop beat analyzer. Don't bet until you have your

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Speaker 1: own system down. Do you know how many different plays

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Speaker 1: I go through before I give you, guys the prop

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Speaker 1: bet cheat cheet plays. I mean, like I look at

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Speaker 1: like twenty five different markets before I get to that,

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Speaker 1: and then I play one or two a day. I

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Speaker 1: don't play four or five. Okay. So you've got to

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Speaker 1: be selective, you've got to be smart, and you have

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Speaker 1: to have a system in place to know what to

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Speaker 1: sift through to find the best bets. Okay. So, like,

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Speaker 1: understand what we're doing here with the prop bet cheat

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Speaker 1: sheet and the prop bat analyzer. When you get that

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Speaker 1: seven day free trial, don't just start firing bets in

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Speaker 1: day one or two. Okay, Like work something you don't

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Speaker 1: work it a little bit, See where you're at, See

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Speaker 1: what you need to improve upon, see what works, what

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Speaker 1: doesn't work for you, and then bet. Once you've got

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Speaker 1: a good system in place, then bet. So that's my

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Speaker 1: advice for the profit analyzer. All right, let's start with

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Speaker 1: VA Tech and South Carolina. MEI, Mercedes Betts. If this

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Speaker 1: game was being played at William Bryce, I would lay

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Speaker 1: the points here with South Carolina. But this has been

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Speaker 1: a steady march on VA Tech. Number open up at

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Speaker 1: nine and a half. It's now down to seven and

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Speaker 1: a half or seven, depending on the book you're looking at. Look,

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Speaker 1: Lenora Sellers is an unbelievable player. And I really do

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Speaker 1: like Shane Biemer a lot. Okay, I think he is

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Speaker 1: a good coach. I think he's trying to build something

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Speaker 1: at South Carolina. And look he's taking on his dad's school. Okay,

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Speaker 1: this is Virginia Tech, this is Frank Beemer's school. You

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Speaker 1: don't think that VA Tech is going to be up

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Speaker 1: for this game. This is crazy, kind of similar to

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Speaker 1: what I talked about yesterday with Ohio State in Texas. Like,

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Speaker 1: if you're gonna give me this many points, I don't

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Speaker 1: know how I don't take it. Okay, I know VA

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Speaker 1: Tech was not good last year. I know they've had

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Speaker 1: some really big turnover but I think this is a

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Speaker 1: chance for VA Tech and very similar to other schools

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Speaker 1: that have been able to do some good things with

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Speaker 1: coaching hires in the NAL world and kind of flipping

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Speaker 1: things around and finding a way. And they've got a

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Speaker 1: really good quarterback in Drones who I think is as

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Speaker 1: good as Sellers, and this is a battle of two

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Speaker 1: great quarterbacks. And I just don't think this is a

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Speaker 1: game that gets away from one school or the other.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a one score win on one side.

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Speaker 1: So if this was you know, VA Tech laying seven

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Speaker 1: and a half, I would take the points with South Carolina.

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Speaker 1: It is South Carolina laying seven and a half, I

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Speaker 1: think we have to take the points with Virginia Tech.

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Speaker 1: Just expecting this game to be tight, this game to

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Speaker 1: come down to the wire, and Sellers is unbelievable. I mean,

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Speaker 1: slowing him down will be incredibly difficult. He can run,

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Speaker 1: he could pass, He very well could be a Heisman

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Speaker 1: Trophy finalist, and if he stays healthy, South Carolina could

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Speaker 1: go really deep. And in the games where they've lost,

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Speaker 1: I mean, or I didn't play well, Sellers got hurt

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Speaker 1: in a couple of games. And you know, they gave

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Speaker 1: a hell of a scare to Alabama last year. And

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Speaker 1: this South Carolina team is really really good. And I

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Speaker 1: mean the Hokies when they're dogs, this is a tough

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Speaker 1: team to fade, just because they love that underdog role.

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Speaker 1: They play it well. Give me the seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the Hokies. They might win the game outright,

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Speaker 1: but give me the seven and a half. Vatech plus

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Speaker 1: seven and a half for one point one units bet

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Speaker 1: number two. Notre Dame and a very interesting game against Miami.

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Speaker 1: Now Miami's at home. The number was three. This number

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Speaker 1: has been two and a half or three, depending on

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Speaker 1: what we could look at this number. There's been three

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Speaker 1: or two and a half all summer. Okay, here's the

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Speaker 1: thing about Notre Dame that I find to be really interesting.

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Speaker 1: This is still a team that's gonna run the football.

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Speaker 1: And initially I was going to take the points with

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Speaker 1: a home dog and take Miami. I was initially on Miami,

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Speaker 1: and then I kind of started to waiver, and I

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Speaker 1: started to get a little bit concerned about the defense

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Speaker 1: for Miami and about Mario Crystal Ball with Carson Beck

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of potential here for Miami, but I

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Speaker 1: think that's the word, it's potential, and that's worrying me

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Speaker 1: a lot here out of the gate because of what

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Speaker 1: the Irish are going to do. I don't like Marcus Freeman. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm not a huge fan of his. I think they

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Speaker 1: can lay eggs early in seasons, like they did last

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Speaker 1: year by losing at home to Northern Illinois. But I

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Speaker 1: think Marcus Freeman grew up a little bit by taking

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Speaker 1: this team to the College Football National Championship Game. And

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Speaker 1: I think you've got a Miami team that's trying to

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Speaker 1: figure out who they are. I don't think they're of

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Speaker 1: the upper restalant. I do think they're a little overrated.

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Speaker 1: And while I have liked taking home teams, I think

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Speaker 1: the Irish. Their ability to run the football I think

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Speaker 1: is going to be massive here. And I think this

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Speaker 1: is such a big rivalry game for both these teams.

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Speaker 1: I just think the defense for Notre Dame and the

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Speaker 1: offensive line for Notre Dame is going to be the

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Speaker 1: big difference. And I think Beck's going to need some

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Speaker 1: time with this offense to get rolling and to get

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Speaker 1: comfortable in his new setting. This is much very similar.

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Speaker 1: Even though Beck is a very proven quarterback, Arts Manning

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Speaker 1: is going to be good, he needs some time in

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Speaker 1: some seasoning. This is not a road start. This is

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Speaker 1: a home start for Carson Beck, but I think he

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Speaker 1: needs some time in seasoning with this team, with these teammates,

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Speaker 1: to face a team with the level of Notre Dame.

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Speaker 1: I just don't think it's going to be a good setting.

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Speaker 1: So it's only two and a half. This is a

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Speaker 1: three point win. Again, the pros haven't done great. The

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Speaker 1: line move has not been great. Look at some of

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Speaker 1: these numbers. Take the Ohio State game. You know, the

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Speaker 1: professionals haven't done great this weekend. So I'm not really

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Speaker 1: afraid of the line move and the fact that we've

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Speaker 1: gone down. I do think the Irish money will show

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Speaker 1: up late. I think this thing very well could close

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Speaker 1: over three and a half, but I don't want it

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Speaker 1: to be three or three and a half. I want

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Speaker 1: to lay the two and a half with Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: Irish minus two and a half on the road at Miami.

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Speaker 1: And equally, I think the defense and I think the

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Speaker 1: running game for the Irish will keep this game as

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Speaker 1: a low scoring first half. The total is twenty four.

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Speaker 1: I don't think either team gets off to a really

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Speaker 1: fast start. Again, I watched Texas in Ohio State, and

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Speaker 1: I'm like, hmm, this could be a similar situation between

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Speaker 1: Miami and Notre Dame. A lot of nerves, a lot

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Speaker 1: of attention. It's a standalone game. It's a primetime game

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Speaker 1: on Sunday night. This is, you know, the biggest where

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Speaker 1: normally the biggest audience of the week hangs out watching

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Speaker 1: Sunday night football. They're going to be hanging out watching

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Speaker 1: college Sunday night follo ball. And I think there might

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Speaker 1: be some nerves here for both sides that keep this

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Speaker 1: game somewhat low scoring. It's twenty four. I mean, let's

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Speaker 1: take like a fourteen to seven or seventeen to seven

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Speaker 1: type of first half, and let's have this thing come

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Speaker 1: in here and fall. You know, I guess twenty four

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Speaker 1: to twenty seventeen seven, twenty four, But so it's you know,

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Speaker 1: let's not go there, but thirteen to three, thirteen to six,

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Speaker 1: somewhere in that range here where we get a lot

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Speaker 1: of field goals and not a lot of touchdowns. Twenty

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Speaker 1: four first half under twenty four for Notre Dame in Miami.

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Speaker 1: I think some of these new coordinators, coaches quarterbacks up

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Speaker 1: against these defenses. And frankly, I'm not sure how much

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Speaker 1: Miami is going to score against Notre Dame, so it

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Speaker 1: could be ten nothing for that matter. In the first

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Speaker 1: half here again, it was an easy rock and chair

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Speaker 1: type of first half under for Texas in Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: Let's hopefully have the same type of thing here for

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame and Miami. Okay, so plays for today Nor

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Speaker 1: Dame Miami under twenty four for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame for the game minus two and a half

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Speaker 1: half up against Miami, and VA Tech plus seven and

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Speaker 1: a half against South Carolina. That's a tight one score

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Speaker 1: game for one side or the other for either South

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Speaker 1: Carolina or Virginia Tech. I think South Carolina can win.

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Speaker 1: I just don't like them to cover that seven and

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Speaker 1: a half points at one US one ten for one

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Speaker 1: point one units. My name is Matt Parol. You guys

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Speaker 1: can follow me because all of my socials at sports

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Speaker 1: Dock Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice