1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:02,320 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. 2 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:04,280 Speaker 2: It's time to place your bets and it's me Joey 3 00:00:04,280 --> 00:00:08,200 Speaker 2: p Joe Pi Zapia and this is BP NFL. It's 4 00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:09,800 Speaker 2: time to look ahead to the best bets for Week 5 00:00:09,840 --> 00:00:12,880 Speaker 2: three in the NFL with my boys Terrell Firman Junior 6 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 2: and the Undertaker Andrew Erickson. 7 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 1: We're gonna look through We've got two weeks of NFL. 8 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: Is it enough to go on? Well, it doesn't matter 9 00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 1: because we have no choice. 10 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:22,840 Speaker 2: It's here, so we got to figure it out anyway, 11 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:25,239 Speaker 2: and we've got our best bets for you. Don't forget 12 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 2: also to subscribe to the channel on Betting Pros drop 13 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 2: your comments below, ringing the bell to the ghost ding 14 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:32,920 Speaker 2: as well, so you can be with us for all 15 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:34,879 Speaker 2: of the NFL content we've got going on here on 16 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 2: the channel. Just to look back on last week, Terrell 17 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 2: Firman Junior two and three, Andrew Rickson two and three, 18 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:43,559 Speaker 2: just missed a few here and there. We're all kind 19 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:46,239 Speaker 2: of upset about the Denver Broncos, but we're gonna move 20 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:50,840 Speaker 2: past that. And unfortunately not even the penalty getting called 21 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:52,879 Speaker 2: there at the end would have saved that game for 22 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 2: any of us. So we're gonna turn the page ahead 23 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 2: here and we're gonna start with Terrell Firman Junior, and 24 00:00:58,160 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 2: let's talk about a green Bay team that's got a 25 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 2: whole lot of defense and a matchup this week yet 26 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:05,600 Speaker 2: again where they could come out with a victory. Talk 27 00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:07,280 Speaker 2: to me about the Packers and what you see in 28 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:08,320 Speaker 2: the future till. 29 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, it just feels like this is like the letdown, 30 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:13,759 Speaker 3: let down for the Cleveland Browns, where they just come 31 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 3: into this game and they're just not even competitive. They 32 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 3: start the season with two division games, you get up 33 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:21,600 Speaker 3: for those games, you feel like you tried, your heart 34 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:24,399 Speaker 3: is in the Ravens game and it didn't go your way. 35 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:26,760 Speaker 3: And now you're going and you're playing green Bay here, 36 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:28,520 Speaker 3: and I think green Bay is going to come in 37 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 3: here very very energized. On a defensive side of the ball. 38 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 3: They look very very solid there. I'm kind of concerned 39 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:40,039 Speaker 3: about the offensive line and hopefully they hold up here. 40 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 3: But they've had a stout start to the season. I 41 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 3: think Jordan Love looks great and the offense is humming. 42 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:48,000 Speaker 3: I just don't see anything on this Brown side of 43 00:01:48,040 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 3: the ball that tells me that they're going to be 44 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 3: able to get enough stops here. So I'm all over 45 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 3: the Green Bay Packers. I think there's a number of 46 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 3: there's a number tier difference here, and I think this 47 00:01:57,800 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 3: should probably be closer to a ten point spread at eight, 48 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 3: and so I think this is a double dis you 49 00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 3: win rather easily for the Packers. 50 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:06,800 Speaker 2: Now, Terrell, the one question I'm sure a lot of 51 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:10,079 Speaker 2: people are gonna ask, are you know Jade Reid out now? 52 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,320 Speaker 2: You're pivoting a Romeo Dobbs maybe more Matthew Golden here. 53 00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:15,480 Speaker 2: A Craft has been terrific, Jacobs has been terrific, But 54 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 2: really it's been the story of the defense. It feels 55 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 2: like if you can get a defensive score here on 56 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 2: this game, that would kind of make this the ten 57 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 2: point cushion that you're looking for. 58 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:26,360 Speaker 3: And I wouldn't even mind a defensive touchdown for the 59 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 3: Green Bay Packers prop here because it's Joe Flacco. Like, 60 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 3: it just feels like we're going to get that Joe 61 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:34,640 Speaker 3: Flacco fall off a cliff game where we're like, all right, 62 00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:37,960 Speaker 3: now we start having the conversations about Dylan Gabriel and 63 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 3: about Shadora Sanders and getting somebody else in there Joe 64 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 3: Flacco has never been consistent at any point, honestly, except 65 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 3: the one. 66 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 4: Super Bowl run. 67 00:02:46,400 --> 00:02:48,600 Speaker 3: There's a level of consistency that's just not there with 68 00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:51,079 Speaker 3: Joe Flacco, and I think that this defense and how 69 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 3: they're going to get pressure on him are really really 70 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:55,919 Speaker 3: going to show it. So, yes, maybe there is somewhat 71 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 3: of a drop off with no Jay and Reid in 72 00:02:57,720 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 3: that offense. 73 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 4: I don't think so with how Jordan lovespread the ball, 74 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 4: but that. 75 00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 3: Defense is going to carry the way, and I just 76 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 3: don't think the Brown is gonna be able to put 77 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:04,359 Speaker 3: up points on. 78 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 1: Do you think Gabriel is the pivot or Shadore? I 79 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:09,359 Speaker 1: think first pivot, I should. 80 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 3: Say, I think it should be Shador, but it's probably 81 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:13,399 Speaker 3: gonna be Gabriel. 82 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:16,040 Speaker 1: Okay, fair enough, fair enough? All right, Andrew Ericson. 83 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:18,640 Speaker 2: Let's take a look at the Pittsburgh Steelers heading to 84 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:22,119 Speaker 2: New England this week. The total for this game right 85 00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 2: now looks like it's sitting at forty three and a half. 86 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:27,240 Speaker 1: Are you going over or under undertaker? 87 00:03:27,880 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 5: I'm going over on my Patriots and the Steelers going 88 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 5: head to head here in Week three, and that's because 89 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 5: these teams are terrible in defense. Through two weeks, they 90 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:39,320 Speaker 5: are both bottom five and turns of epa per pass 91 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,440 Speaker 5: attempt allowed and that's been against guys. Get ready for 92 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 5: this list of quarterbacks. Justin fields, Sam Darnold, Gino Smith 93 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 5: and Tua turn the ball over at quarterback. 94 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 1: So that's what we've been saving that one too. He's 95 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 1: been saving that one of the check. 96 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 5: That one came out of the internet from the kids. 97 00:03:56,720 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 5: The kids all over the internet are saying that they 98 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 5: were saying that last week against the Naples called so 99 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 5: I just. 100 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 4: Zero. It goes without. 101 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 5: Saying that these defensive defenses came into this year with 102 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:17,280 Speaker 5: higher expectations than have underwhelmed by a significant margin. Now 103 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:20,080 Speaker 5: part of it is with injuries. The Steelers defense is 104 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:22,960 Speaker 5: really banged up. They lost more guys last week. Derek 105 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:26,280 Speaker 5: Harmon is practicing. But besides that, like I just don't 106 00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:28,600 Speaker 5: have confidence that they're going to turn things around. And 107 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 5: this is stepping back from last year, like this defense 108 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:33,760 Speaker 5: is starting to get old, Cam Hayward, TJ. Watt, like 109 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:35,360 Speaker 5: those guys are starting to get up there in age 110 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:37,480 Speaker 5: and you're starting to see on the field. And this 111 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:40,160 Speaker 5: has resulted in the Steelers games going over, especially when 112 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 5: they go on the road. Seven of the Steelers last 113 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 5: nine road games have gone over the total. You look 114 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:47,799 Speaker 5: at the Patriots playing at home. See, so the Patriots 115 00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:50,160 Speaker 5: last seven home games have gone over the total. And 116 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 5: another fun trend, eight of the Patriots last nine home 117 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 5: games following a road wind have also gone over the 118 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:58,360 Speaker 5: total points line. So we've seen these offenses have moments 119 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:03,120 Speaker 5: the Packer excuse me, the Jets, no, the Steelers in 120 00:05:03,160 --> 00:05:05,279 Speaker 5: Week one against the New York Jets listing off all 121 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:07,480 Speaker 5: of Aaron Rodgers former teams of course, and then the 122 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 5: Patriots in Week two against the bad Miami Dolphins defense. 123 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 5: So for all those reasons, I think we're gonna see 124 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 5: more explosiveness from the offensive side of the football from 125 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:16,840 Speaker 5: both sides. So I'm gonna take the over forty three 126 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:17,800 Speaker 5: and a half points. 127 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:20,560 Speaker 2: All right, Let's turn the page to Kyler Murray and 128 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:25,000 Speaker 2: the Arizona Cardinals, because historically Kyler Murray, even when those 129 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 2: forty nine er teams are really good, he kind of 130 00:05:26,560 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 2: gives the forty nine ers fits. He's actually four and 131 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 2: four in his career against the forty nine ers. Just 132 00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:34,120 Speaker 2: saying four and four and a lot of teams are 133 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:36,400 Speaker 2: the Arizona Cardinals that no business being in those games. 134 00:05:36,640 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 2: Now you're getting Mac Jones at home here, let's talk 135 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:42,159 Speaker 2: about it. Terrell Cardinals plus two and a half. This 136 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:43,760 Speaker 2: is something you're on this week. 137 00:05:44,120 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 4: Just four and four. 138 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 3: Let's look into this a little bit deeper into the 139 00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:51,599 Speaker 3: looking glass. The Arizona Cardinals are seven and three in 140 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 3: their last ten games in San Francisco. 141 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:57,680 Speaker 4: Seven and three straight up. That's not eightcs. 142 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 3: That is straight up seven and three straight up in 143 00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 3: their last ten games in San Francisco, six, three and one. 144 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:06,799 Speaker 6: Think about all the different iterations of Cardinals teams. 145 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:10,920 Speaker 3: Those are like Kyler's been in line up, like there's 146 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:14,799 Speaker 3: a lot of different Carson Palmer. Oh dude, it goes 147 00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:18,000 Speaker 3: all the way back to twenty fifteen. Like this is ridiculous. 148 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 3: And so h mccorko laying points and trying to Mac Jones. 149 00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 3: I have no faith in mac Jones laying points consistently. 150 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:29,240 Speaker 3: I don't think that this is a thing where they 151 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 3: sat there and said, oh, they fixed Mac Jones and 152 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 3: he's gonna go and look good for this team. Like no, 153 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,919 Speaker 3: I thought that they played probably one of the worst 154 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 3: teams in the NFL last week, he had that game, 155 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:42,000 Speaker 3: and now they're about to go play a division rival 156 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 3: that actually kind of has their number. 157 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:45,039 Speaker 4: Believe it or not. 158 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:48,159 Speaker 3: And I think this is going to be the Kyler 159 00:06:48,200 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 3: get right game where he has one of those good 160 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:52,039 Speaker 3: games against this forty nine Ers team. Like it's just 161 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:54,479 Speaker 3: a spot where it's been good to Kyler. He's shown 162 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:56,800 Speaker 3: up big in this spot. The Cardinals have been able 163 00:06:56,800 --> 00:06:58,479 Speaker 3: to cover in this spot. And by the way, I 164 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 3: told you, Mac Jones is still lamp points against what 165 00:07:00,880 --> 00:07:03,120 Speaker 3: looks like to be a competent Cardinals team. Like, the 166 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 3: defense looks solid. The offensive line is playing very good 167 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:08,520 Speaker 3: last week, regardless of what you think about the Caroline 168 00:07:08,560 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 3: Pathers not allowing any pressures or sacks is really big 169 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 3: on that offensive line last week. So offensive line looks solid. 170 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:16,800 Speaker 3: Given Kyler time, I think Kyler is going to carve 171 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:20,280 Speaker 3: up this defense. Actually, so this might not be closed. 172 00:07:20,280 --> 00:07:22,280 Speaker 3: This is probably a game of Ron seam favorite. 173 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,280 Speaker 1: Okay, wow, look at this all right? Well you love 174 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 1: to see it. 175 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 2: All right, let's talk about one of the many teams 176 00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 2: that has some QB issues going. 177 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 1: On this week. 178 00:07:30,960 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 2: A lot of quarterbacks got hurt in Week two certainly 179 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 2: screwed up a lot of some of the good process 180 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:38,520 Speaker 2: and Toron Taylor will be taking over for Justin Fields, 181 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 2: who's dealing with a concussion. But last week I did 182 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 2: give you Baker Mayfield on the road as an underdog 183 00:07:44,800 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 2: for the upset Special. So we're one and one on 184 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 2: the year on that, so hopefully we can go two 185 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 2: and one after today. 186 00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:53,040 Speaker 1: But that does beg the question. 187 00:07:53,160 --> 00:07:56,280 Speaker 2: Now we have Baker Mayfield at home is a favorite, Andrew, 188 00:07:56,520 --> 00:07:57,520 Speaker 2: so what does that mean? 189 00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 5: Means Jets plus seven, That's what it sounds like to me. 190 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 5: So I am going to be fading the Buccaneers here 191 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 5: coming off a road Monday night victory Tampa Bay. Since 192 00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:10,520 Speaker 5: twenty twenty three is five and six against the spread 193 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 5: as a home favorite. So we love to back Baker 194 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 5: Mayfield on the road when he's an underdog. He's got 195 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 5: all that moxie. I don't think we're gonna gonna see 196 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:20,280 Speaker 5: that as much here against the Jets at home, where 197 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:23,240 Speaker 5: again we talked about short rests for the Buccaneers team 198 00:08:23,280 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 5: coming off a road win on Monday Night. They're really 199 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 5: banged up, like they have very long list of injuries, 200 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:31,080 Speaker 5: especially on the offensive line. Collige Kante, defensive lineman. He's 201 00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:33,520 Speaker 5: out for the season at Buka's on the ir report. 202 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 5: Cody mak another one of their offensive guard, he's also 203 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:37,560 Speaker 5: on the injury report, so they're a bit banged up, 204 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 5: and there again short turnaround time for them to play. 205 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 5: And then you have Taylor entering as the quarterback, and 206 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:45,240 Speaker 5: I think that we're getting more points with him than 207 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:47,680 Speaker 5: we would with Justin Fields because he is a backup quarterback. 208 00:08:47,720 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 5: But you look at Tyro Taylor and his body of work, 209 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 5: and he's been pretty solid against the number sixty one 210 00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 5: percent against the spread in his career and in his 211 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:57,640 Speaker 5: last four starts or excuse me, five games that he 212 00:08:57,679 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 5: played with the Giants, which I'm pretty sure Trell remembers 213 00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:03,080 Speaker 5: very well four on one against the spread, and he 214 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:05,720 Speaker 5: was also very good as a market underdog. So I 215 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 5: think this is too many points for the New York Jets, 216 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 5: So I like them plus seven Taylor. Yes, I don't 217 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 5: think that he has the same type of game breaking 218 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 5: abilities that Justin Fields does as a runner, but I 219 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 5: think he can steer the ship in the right direction, 220 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:20,800 Speaker 5: hand it all off the breeze hall and not turn 221 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 5: the ball over. Two weeks in. Baker Mayfield has the 222 00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 5: most turnover worthy plays among all quarterbacks and he's thrown 223 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,560 Speaker 5: zero interceptions so far. So I think the Jets can 224 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:30,600 Speaker 5: win the turnover battle. Keep it close. They may not 225 00:09:30,640 --> 00:09:32,240 Speaker 5: come away with the upset, but they keep it within 226 00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:33,600 Speaker 5: a touchdown all right. 227 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:35,920 Speaker 2: Before we get to number three for the gentleman in 228 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:38,200 Speaker 2: week three, I want to shout out the sponsor of 229 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:40,840 Speaker 2: today's show, hard Rock Bet, because it is week three 230 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:42,959 Speaker 2: and if you haven't tried, what are you waiting for? 231 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 1: Your first bet on. 232 00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 2: Hard Wreck Bet is waiting for you to make, and 233 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:47,720 Speaker 2: there's still time for you to get that one hundred 234 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:48,680 Speaker 2: and fifty in bonus bets. 235 00:09:48,679 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 1: If you win again, just place five bucks. 236 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 2: That's it on one bet and if it hits, you 237 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:54,440 Speaker 2: not only get your winnings, but you also get one 238 00:09:54,520 --> 00:09:56,080 Speaker 2: hundred and fifty in extra bonus bets. 239 00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:57,320 Speaker 1: What's better than that? 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In Indiana, if you are something 268 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:12,080 Speaker 2: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 269 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 2: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 270 00:11:14,520 --> 00:11:18,599 Speaker 2: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, and New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 271 00:11:19,000 --> 00:11:21,120 Speaker 1: Let's get to number three for a week three Turell 272 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:21,800 Speaker 1: Firman Junior. 273 00:11:21,880 --> 00:11:24,040 Speaker 2: Let's talk about the Falcons and the Panthers, a game 274 00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 2: that might see Terroe Firman Junior there in person. 275 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:27,240 Speaker 1: Could it be? 276 00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:28,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, very much so. 277 00:11:29,280 --> 00:11:31,840 Speaker 3: And if I'm going in person, I already know what 278 00:11:31,880 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 3: that means. I'm not seeing fireworks. I'm never that lucky. 279 00:11:34,600 --> 00:11:37,319 Speaker 3: And so I think that this is going to be 280 00:11:37,320 --> 00:11:39,920 Speaker 3: an undergame. Give me under forty three and a half here. 281 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:43,240 Speaker 3: I like the under when you look at this Falcons 282 00:11:43,240 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 3: team and you get this Falcons offense outside in elements 283 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 3: in Carolina in a divisional game three and seven to 284 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:53,520 Speaker 3: the total in the past ten going to Carolina. So 285 00:11:53,920 --> 00:11:57,000 Speaker 3: it's been an under type of matchup. It's been a 286 00:11:57,040 --> 00:12:00,440 Speaker 3: lot really really leaky in terms of Bryce Young just 287 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:02,680 Speaker 3: still sucks, man. And I hate to say it because 288 00:12:02,720 --> 00:12:03,520 Speaker 3: I want Bryce. 289 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 4: Young to be good, I really really do. 290 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:09,080 Speaker 3: But I just wanted to inform everybody that we had 291 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:12,440 Speaker 3: a Sunday watch party for the games on Sunday, and 292 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:16,040 Speaker 3: we had a friend who was invited because his wife 293 00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:18,120 Speaker 3: wanted him to get out the house and hang out 294 00:12:18,120 --> 00:12:20,440 Speaker 3: with the fellas, and he said he had an interest 295 00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 3: in football and he wanted to learn about football, so 296 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:25,600 Speaker 3: he came to Sunday. This is his first time watching 297 00:12:26,520 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 3: games real, he's not even of this country, first time 298 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:33,280 Speaker 3: watching NFL games for real. He watched maybe fifteen to 299 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:37,440 Speaker 3: twenty minutes of that Carolina Panthers in Arizona Cardinals game 300 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:40,800 Speaker 3: and he said, I think this guy sucks, pointing to 301 00:12:40,840 --> 00:12:43,320 Speaker 3: Bryce Young, and he was like, why is this guy 302 00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:45,440 Speaker 3: holding on to the ball so long? Why doesn't he 303 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:47,720 Speaker 3: just let the ball go? Does he not feel the 304 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:50,400 Speaker 3: guys around him? Again, this is somebody that does not 305 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 3: watch football and he's watching Bryce Young like, dude, this 306 00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 3: guy sucks. And so we had a great laugh about that, 307 00:12:56,120 --> 00:12:59,160 Speaker 3: and it further proved that I'm gonna fake this Carolina 308 00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:00,800 Speaker 3: offense any chance I get, so I don't think that 309 00:13:00,800 --> 00:13:02,679 Speaker 3: they're going to put up points against a really good 310 00:13:03,040 --> 00:13:03,880 Speaker 3: Falcons defense. 311 00:13:03,920 --> 00:13:04,760 Speaker 4: In the first two weeks. 312 00:13:04,800 --> 00:13:06,600 Speaker 3: I will say that there were moments that they gave 313 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:09,520 Speaker 3: up big plays to Baker Mayfield, but I think that 314 00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:11,680 Speaker 3: that was a really, really good effort against the Vikings 315 00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:12,079 Speaker 3: last week. 316 00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:13,440 Speaker 4: I think that defense is solid. 317 00:13:13,520 --> 00:13:15,840 Speaker 3: Ra Hay Morris has got them clicking, and I just 318 00:13:15,920 --> 00:13:18,120 Speaker 3: do not trust Bryce Young. And I think that getting 319 00:13:18,160 --> 00:13:21,600 Speaker 3: the Falcons outdoors and giving them that division game in 320 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:24,360 Speaker 3: Carolina hasn't feltly well for them as well. So I 321 00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:26,040 Speaker 3: like the under here under forty three and a half. 322 00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:26,840 Speaker 3: I think it's a good play. 323 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:30,440 Speaker 2: Bryce Young has the lowest winning percentage of any quarterback 324 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 2: selected number one overall in the modern era of NFL football. 325 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:40,400 Speaker 2: So there you go, everybody, O not Mark is Yeah, no, worse, worse. 326 00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 5: Playing of games. 327 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 1: I don't be qualified. 328 00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's I think it's a nineteen percent 329 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:54,160 Speaker 2: winning percentage of what I saw over the weekend. 330 00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:56,840 Speaker 1: So it's a it's rough, it's not good. 331 00:13:57,080 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 3: I still don't think it's his fault, but I can't 332 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:02,160 Speaker 3: it's gone with I can't go against right now. 333 00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:03,080 Speaker 1: It's not all his fault. 334 00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:06,840 Speaker 2: But again, he hasn't evolved much, and I concerns about 335 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:09,320 Speaker 2: him when he was in Alabama. I had massive concerns 336 00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:11,200 Speaker 2: about him then that I used to voice on shows, 337 00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 2: and I feel like, unfortunately some of that stuff with 338 00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:16,640 Speaker 2: the bad habits just haven't gotten shaken. I was cautiously optimistic. 339 00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:17,760 Speaker 2: I've got to tell you try out the end of 340 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 2: last year. I was like, Okay, maybe we're turning the 341 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:19,720 Speaker 2: corner here. 342 00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 4: The last two game we've got. 343 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 1: No good, man, it's no good. 344 00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:30,160 Speaker 2: All right, let's talk about Let's talk about a game 345 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:32,560 Speaker 2: here that I think the Rams have had circled all 346 00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:35,000 Speaker 2: off season on the calendar. It's the rematch against the 347 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 2: Philadelphia Eagles. The Rams are a team that I think 348 00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 2: has their designs set on getting to a super Bowl 349 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:43,760 Speaker 2: this year. Matthew Stafford does not have a lot left 350 00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:47,080 Speaker 2: in the tank in terms of gasoline, so it's now 351 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 2: or never. And this is a huge victory potentially for 352 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 2: them if they can pull it out, because we're talking 353 00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:54,280 Speaker 2: about tie breakers when we get the playoffs and home 354 00:14:54,280 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 2: field advantage, so huge implications. Just in Week three, there's 355 00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 2: something about this Eagles offense. It just hasn't clicked, right. 356 00:14:59,240 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 1: I don't know. 357 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:02,480 Speaker 2: If it's a little Super Bowl hangover, whatever you want 358 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:04,800 Speaker 2: to call it, I don't know. But they're still winning 359 00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 2: games the Eagles, but something just looks a little off. 360 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:08,720 Speaker 2: Maybe they get back on track against the Rams. But 361 00:15:08,760 --> 00:15:11,760 Speaker 2: what are your thoughts on this big game this Sunday, Andrew? 362 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 5: I like the Rams here plus three and a half 363 00:15:14,600 --> 00:15:16,760 Speaker 5: on the road. I get that it's a tough environment 364 00:15:16,800 --> 00:15:19,080 Speaker 5: to play at the Link with the Philadelphia Eagles fans 365 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:21,600 Speaker 5: going crazy, but I like the Rams here. When Matthew 366 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:23,680 Speaker 5: Stafford is healthy in the lineup for the Rams, I 367 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:26,080 Speaker 5: think LA can go toe to toe with any of 368 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 5: the NFL teams when he's healthy and upright with Pucanikua 369 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 5: with DeVante Adams. You look at the Rams and how 370 00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:33,080 Speaker 5: good they've been on the road. They've covered the spread 371 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:36,160 Speaker 5: in seven straight road games and as an underdog since 372 00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:38,680 Speaker 5: twenty twenty four, Rams or seven to four as underdogs 373 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:41,120 Speaker 5: against the spread, So I think they'd show up in 374 00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 5: big moments like this. They obviously showed out last week 375 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:46,600 Speaker 5: covering and being the Tennessee Titans on the road, so 376 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:49,560 Speaker 5: I don't think that taking a Dome team, especially in September, 377 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,000 Speaker 5: We're not talking about the last time we saw these 378 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:53,920 Speaker 5: two teams play when it was in a blizzard, when 379 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:55,720 Speaker 5: there was a lot of snow that was contributing to 380 00:15:55,760 --> 00:15:57,680 Speaker 5: the outcome of that game. And I think that we 381 00:15:57,720 --> 00:15:59,880 Speaker 5: can all agree where hey, the Rams really had a 382 00:15:59,880 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 5: bit shot to win that particular contest and a couple 383 00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 5: of fumbles that go their way and maybe one less sake, 384 00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:08,640 Speaker 5: one Markley sixty yard touchdown, and maybe they come away 385 00:16:08,640 --> 00:16:10,400 Speaker 5: with a win in the playoffs. So I think that 386 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:12,880 Speaker 5: this is going to be your revenge spot for the 387 00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 5: Los Angeles Rams again losing both games against the Eagles 388 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:18,040 Speaker 5: last season. But I just want to back Sean McVay 389 00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 5: Matthew Stafford on the road. I love the weapons that 390 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 5: they have here, So yeah, that's my bet here plus 391 00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 5: three and a half on the Rams. 392 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,320 Speaker 2: It's a different team with Javonte Adams too offensively, so 393 00:16:28,560 --> 00:16:30,640 Speaker 2: curious to see what that looks like against the Eagles. 394 00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:32,080 Speaker 2: It's a tough place to go in a win, there's 395 00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 2: no doubt about that. But it's also September, so you know, 396 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 2: it's not like the Rams are walking into January snow 397 00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:40,160 Speaker 2: right now. It's going to be like seventy degrees and 398 00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:43,080 Speaker 2: sunny there, so you know, we'll take a look at that. 399 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:43,360 Speaker 1: Also. 400 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:45,160 Speaker 2: If you want to keep the conversation going here and 401 00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:47,840 Speaker 2: we love talking football, you love talking betting, well, you 402 00:16:47,840 --> 00:16:49,800 Speaker 2: can do it on our discord right now, betting pros 403 00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:53,280 Speaker 2: dot com slash Chat. It's free, it's fun. We're talking NBA, MLB, 404 00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:56,880 Speaker 2: NFL everything at your fingertips all day long. You can 405 00:16:56,920 --> 00:16:59,680 Speaker 2: get connected with expert handicappers. We have an amazing community. 406 00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:02,120 Speaker 2: We got a channels, We've got everything going on there 407 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:03,760 Speaker 2: and you should be a part of it. So join 408 00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:06,360 Speaker 2: that community of betting pros right on our discord again, 409 00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:10,159 Speaker 2: bettingpros dot com slash Chat. All right, let's talk about 410 00:17:10,200 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 2: your New York Football Giants. This week has a lot 411 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:16,720 Speaker 2: of teams on the brink here of starting zero to 412 00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:20,280 Speaker 2: three and becoming irrelevant. One of those teams is the 413 00:17:20,320 --> 00:17:23,159 Speaker 2: New York Giants, and the other one is actually the 414 00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:26,600 Speaker 2: Kansay Chiefs, who they are playing. So obviously this seems 415 00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:29,120 Speaker 2: like a big must wind spot for the Chiefs. 416 00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:30,760 Speaker 1: How do you break this one down, Trell? 417 00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:33,399 Speaker 3: Well, if you're not a Giants man, you should know that. 418 00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:35,400 Speaker 3: I mean, the Giants never put on a good performance 419 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 3: at home, except the one time, you know, the Giants 420 00:17:39,080 --> 00:17:42,000 Speaker 3: didn't want a good performance and Drew lockwent and carved 421 00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:44,840 Speaker 3: up the Colts. And I mean it results in us 422 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:47,480 Speaker 3: getting Abdill Carter. So you know it is what it is. 423 00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:49,399 Speaker 3: But I'm just gonna tell you right now, like the 424 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:53,000 Speaker 3: Giants do not farewell at home, I wonder if we're 425 00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:57,240 Speaker 3: gonna get the return of fire table and Shane on 426 00:17:57,280 --> 00:18:00,560 Speaker 3: the airplane flying over the stadium. We have had a 427 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:04,120 Speaker 3: Giants home game in a while and he hasn't gotten 428 00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 3: a chance to fire up the plane. He might fire 429 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:07,800 Speaker 3: it up here today because they're going up against a 430 00:18:07,840 --> 00:18:11,680 Speaker 3: good defense. And wow, I give Russ all the credit, 431 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:14,199 Speaker 3: all the credit, and I promise you I'm gonna give 432 00:18:14,280 --> 00:18:16,119 Speaker 3: him all the blame for that interception, but all the 433 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 3: credit for the game that he did last week. I mean, 434 00:18:19,280 --> 00:18:23,360 Speaker 3: when he threw that second touchdown to Neighbors with nineteen 435 00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:27,359 Speaker 3: seconds well twenty five seconds left, I was. 436 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:30,720 Speaker 6: An arm It was great. That was everything everybody told 437 00:18:30,760 --> 00:18:34,600 Speaker 6: me about Russell Wilson. But then I remember what happens. 438 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:38,720 Speaker 6: It's Russell Wilson. He's not gonna be consistent. You put 439 00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:42,320 Speaker 6: a good defense with a very strong defensive line that 440 00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:45,920 Speaker 6: can rush both tackles at the same time and be 441 00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:48,320 Speaker 6: able to get to the quarterback. Then you have somebody 442 00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:50,920 Speaker 6: like Chris Jones up the middle. I mean, I'm sorry, 443 00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:53,919 Speaker 6: this Giants offensive line doesn't stand the chance, does not 444 00:18:54,000 --> 00:18:55,760 Speaker 6: stand a chance. And if you tell me that this 445 00:18:56,520 --> 00:18:59,119 Speaker 6: Russ is going behind a horrible offensive line for the 446 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:01,480 Speaker 6: Giants yet, I mean, we're not putting up points. So 447 00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 6: I'm gonna tell you right now, the Giants team total 448 00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:05,560 Speaker 6: is that nineteen and a half is way too much. 449 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 4: We're not getting this twenty. 450 00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 2: I mean, Jameis Winston finishing this game, Tea, I'm not 451 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:14,639 Speaker 2: gonna lie. That's a big of a come to Jesus moment. 452 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:16,560 Speaker 2: I think the Giants might have at some point where 453 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:19,200 Speaker 2: you know, as you mentioned that pass rush farotias. 454 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:21,199 Speaker 1: You know, I can't see Chiefs. They're gonna get after 455 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 1: Chris Jones and Company's gonna get after it. And I 456 00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 1: mean he had that four. 457 00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:27,040 Speaker 2: Hundred yard game. Everyone's freaking out, all Russell Willis and 458 00:19:27,080 --> 00:19:31,200 Speaker 2: Russell Wilson. It's an illusion, everybody. It's the Cowboys in aptitude, 459 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:34,080 Speaker 2: I think more than Russell Wilson's aptitude. 460 00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 3: And it's really bad because Dart is probably the Giants' 461 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:39,199 Speaker 3: best chance at winning this game. And it's because of 462 00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:41,400 Speaker 3: the fact of the offensive line play is so bad, 463 00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:43,600 Speaker 3: and it's the unknown and the fact that he can 464 00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:46,240 Speaker 3: continue to play with his legs and moving. I'm saying, 465 00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:48,640 Speaker 3: like Jackson Dart, the only reason he should be starting 466 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:50,159 Speaker 3: is because the offensive line is so bad. If we 467 00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:52,439 Speaker 3: had a solid offensive line, Okay, bet give me Jamis, 468 00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:54,320 Speaker 3: then give me Russ, I understand it. But with the 469 00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 3: offensive line playing like this, they need to be playing 470 00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:59,040 Speaker 3: Dart right now to give themselves a chance. And I'm 471 00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:03,320 Speaker 3: telling you, Cowboy's game is a facade. It's not happening. 472 00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:05,440 Speaker 3: They are going to play this Chiefs team and it's 473 00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:07,040 Speaker 3: going to be bad. So yes, make sure you well, 474 00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:08,359 Speaker 3: it's kind of like what the Pasts. 475 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:10,120 Speaker 2: Did last year, right Torell too, where you know it's like, well, 476 00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:12,400 Speaker 2: the offensive line is bad, and you know what, Drake 477 00:20:12,440 --> 00:20:14,359 Speaker 2: may can move a little bit, so let's get him 478 00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:15,840 Speaker 2: out there and let's let him play a little bit. 479 00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:17,280 Speaker 2: You might as well start learning now and see if 480 00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:18,879 Speaker 2: we can turn the organization over all. 481 00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:21,160 Speaker 1: Right, we mentioned about some of the backup qbs. 482 00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 2: Well two of them are going to be playing against 483 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:25,960 Speaker 2: each other because Joe Burrow's out, JJ McCarthy's out. So 484 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:29,919 Speaker 2: Minnesota Cincinnati in Minnesota. Andrew, walk us through your thoughts 485 00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:30,560 Speaker 2: on this one. 486 00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:32,800 Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm going with the under because I don't know 487 00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:34,280 Speaker 5: if I would have been able to face my wife 488 00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:36,320 Speaker 5: and say, hey, I bet on Carson Wentz this week, 489 00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:39,240 Speaker 5: and this is how it shook out for me. So instead, 490 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:40,639 Speaker 5: I decided to bet against. 491 00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:41,800 Speaker 1: Both backup quarterbacks. 492 00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 5: Well, that's why I'm taking the under in the game, 493 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,240 Speaker 5: betting against Carson Wentz making the start for the Vikings, 494 00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:49,199 Speaker 5: betting against Jake Browning making the start for the Cincinnati 495 00:20:49,240 --> 00:20:52,000 Speaker 5: Bengals on the road. If you look at the Vikings defense, 496 00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:54,040 Speaker 5: and that's kind of the unit I have the most 497 00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:57,320 Speaker 5: confidence in being able to limit what Jake Browni can 498 00:20:57,359 --> 00:20:59,960 Speaker 5: do as a passer. They're number one in the NFL 499 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:02,440 Speaker 5: well in terms of EPA allowed per passe attempt on 500 00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,800 Speaker 5: the passing game the Minnesota Vikings at home, they're six 501 00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:09,720 Speaker 5: in ten towards the over in Minnesota since twenty twenty three. 502 00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:12,120 Speaker 5: This is a game and team that, especially when they're 503 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:16,200 Speaker 5: home favorites seventy five percent under hit rate at home 504 00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:18,920 Speaker 5: for the Minnesota Vikings when they're favorite. So I like 505 00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:20,880 Speaker 5: them in this spot. I think that you could see 506 00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 5: both teams potentially lean on their running games a little 507 00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:26,679 Speaker 5: bit more when you have a more inexperienced quarterback under center. 508 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:28,280 Speaker 5: And if that's the case, okay, then we're going to 509 00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:30,639 Speaker 5: be running football more. The Vikings, we know, want to 510 00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:33,520 Speaker 5: play a strong defense. They've already talked about Kevin O'Connell 511 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:37,160 Speaker 5: has already thrown out the bellcow workhorse terminology around Jordan Mason, 512 00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:40,000 Speaker 5: which I'm really excited about for fantasy football purposes, But 513 00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:43,080 Speaker 5: it doesn't necessarily translate to, oh, this is going to 514 00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:46,080 Speaker 5: be a scoring bonanza. We've seen the Bengals offense not 515 00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,399 Speaker 5: necessarily high or function at the highest level, even with 516 00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:52,399 Speaker 5: Joe Burrow when they're not playing at home. Their total 517 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:54,680 Speaker 5: games usually go down a little bit more when they're 518 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:58,160 Speaker 5: playing on the road. So yeah, So again I felt 519 00:21:58,160 --> 00:21:59,760 Speaker 5: like I wanted to back the Vikings, but then they 520 00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:01,400 Speaker 5: had take a step back and think about it, all, Right, 521 00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:03,800 Speaker 5: do I really want to buy on Carson Wentz? Is 522 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:05,399 Speaker 5: this really what I want to do here? And I 523 00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:06,760 Speaker 5: decided to go with the under. 524 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,439 Speaker 2: Probably smart that's probably the right way to go. We 525 00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:11,920 Speaker 2: shall find out the last pick. The guys both are 526 00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:15,000 Speaker 2: in on this Dallas Chicago game. I don't think the 527 00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:17,160 Speaker 2: Cowboys are great, but I know the Bears are bad. 528 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,960 Speaker 1: That's what I do know. So let's talk about this 529 00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:21,959 Speaker 1: one here. Le Bear still have some holes. 530 00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:25,600 Speaker 2: Obviously, it's going to be a struggle bus here for 531 00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:27,359 Speaker 2: Ben Johnson to write this ship. 532 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:30,720 Speaker 1: So let's start with the over fifty and a half. Terrell, 533 00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:31,760 Speaker 1: what are your thoughts on this? 534 00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:34,560 Speaker 4: Huh? 535 00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:36,679 Speaker 3: Well, did you just hear what I said about what 536 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,959 Speaker 3: Russell Wilson did last week? And my thoughts on Russell Wilson. 537 00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:44,640 Speaker 3: This Cowboys defense isn't good. I mean they can't they 538 00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:47,720 Speaker 3: can't get to the quarterback. The only reason that that 539 00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:50,720 Speaker 3: game wasn't ugly is because the Giants literally had one 540 00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:54,199 Speaker 3: of the worst penalized games of the history of the 541 00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:57,320 Speaker 3: organization and honestly probably the history of the NFL as well. 542 00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 4: Like, it felt really really bad. 543 00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:01,399 Speaker 3: Other than that, there were a lot of points that 544 00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,960 Speaker 3: were gonna be scored on the Dallas Cowboys. J Russ 545 00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:06,280 Speaker 3: was moving the ball up and down the field and 546 00:23:07,280 --> 00:23:09,800 Speaker 3: fifty two. I don't even this is like the Kobe 547 00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:13,119 Speaker 3: the Kobe eighty point game. Like you don't just say anything, 548 00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:14,240 Speaker 3: you just say fifty two. 549 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:15,320 Speaker 6: That's how many. 550 00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:17,840 Speaker 3: Points the Lions put up on the Bears a week 551 00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:21,040 Speaker 3: after everybody was questioning if Jared Golf and this Lions 552 00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 3: offense was any good with Alvin Johnson. Fifty two points 553 00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:27,119 Speaker 3: they put up on the Bears. First of all, JJ 554 00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:34,159 Speaker 3: mc jj McCarthy looked like a competent quarterback against the 555 00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 3: Bears defense. 556 00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:37,600 Speaker 1: And then it only for one quarter of football, to 557 00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:38,400 Speaker 1: be honest. 558 00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:42,080 Speaker 6: So and so, but with that, they still got the 559 00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:42,800 Speaker 6: points total. 560 00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:45,080 Speaker 4: They still somehow got to that point. Sotal. 561 00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:46,840 Speaker 3: I don't think that the Bears are stopping the Cowboys 562 00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:49,399 Speaker 3: from scoring, and I know the Cowboys aren't stopping the 563 00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:52,040 Speaker 3: Bears from scoring. And so with that, this is what 564 00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:53,919 Speaker 3: the second highest total on the board. I think it 565 00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:56,000 Speaker 3: should honestly be the highest total on the board if 566 00:23:56,040 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 3: you ask me, this Bears team, this Bears defense, this 567 00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:01,359 Speaker 3: Bears total is a thing all of the way until 568 00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:04,320 Speaker 3: you think otherwise. And the Cowboys are showing you any 569 00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:06,119 Speaker 3: different without Michael Parsons that they're going to be a 570 00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:06,679 Speaker 3: good defense. 571 00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:08,399 Speaker 4: So I'm all over the over here over fifteen and 572 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:08,800 Speaker 4: a half. 573 00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:10,800 Speaker 2: I gotta be honest, Andrew. You know we did this 574 00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:12,320 Speaker 2: on the look Ahead show. We talked about this game, 575 00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:13,760 Speaker 2: and I thought the line was just wrong. I was 576 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:16,120 Speaker 2: surprised that the Cowboys were not favor just because they've 577 00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:19,080 Speaker 2: got Dak Prescott. Right now, we're talking about who's the 578 00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:21,600 Speaker 2: best player on the field, it's the Dallas Cowboys QB 579 00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:23,520 Speaker 2: and it's the wide receiver CD Lamb. 580 00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:25,360 Speaker 1: Like that's it and if those guys can take over 581 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:27,040 Speaker 1: this game, you've got it now. 582 00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 2: Of course, I would never put blowing a big game 583 00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:33,040 Speaker 2: or even an easy game past the Cowboys, but just 584 00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:35,280 Speaker 2: felt like this line was wrong to me. So where 585 00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:37,680 Speaker 2: are you at with the Dallas Cowboys Chicago game. 586 00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:40,680 Speaker 5: I'm trying to find reasons why besides the fact that 587 00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:42,760 Speaker 5: kill Williams and the Bears are playing at home, that 588 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:45,800 Speaker 5: they are favored in this spot. I don't know. Can 589 00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:47,400 Speaker 5: you guys answer that question for me, because I'm out 590 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:49,679 Speaker 5: of trouble trying to figure it out. So I get 591 00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,680 Speaker 5: you know, they're trying to lend some credence to Dallas 592 00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:56,879 Speaker 5: playing on the road Soldier Field the mystique of the 593 00:24:56,960 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 5: Chicago Bears, but I mean, this defense has nobody left. 594 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 5: They're all injured all over the place, and Dallas isn't 595 00:25:03,800 --> 00:25:06,359 Speaker 5: much better shape. To the point, like Terrell said, I 596 00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:07,960 Speaker 5: like the over end this game as well. I think 597 00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:10,040 Speaker 5: you're going to get points. But if it comes down 598 00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:12,119 Speaker 5: to okay, well Dak Prescott in the final drive, we'll 599 00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:12,800 Speaker 5: go win the game. 600 00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:13,680 Speaker 1: That's the side. 601 00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:15,320 Speaker 5: Do I want to be betting on the Bears at 602 00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:17,680 Speaker 5: that point? It's like, oh yeah, they'll get to stop 603 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:19,959 Speaker 5: here with Dak Prescott, Like, probably not the case. So 604 00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:22,840 Speaker 5: I like Dallas here five and three against the spread 605 00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,360 Speaker 5: as they wrote underdogs since the start of twenty twenty four, 606 00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:28,919 Speaker 5: basically since the start of last season, and although an 607 00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:31,440 Speaker 5: interesting angle, I also like for this game is potentially 608 00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:34,000 Speaker 5: a live betting opportunity on the Dallas Cowboys. If you 609 00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:35,879 Speaker 5: look at what we've seen from Ben Jonson and the 610 00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,439 Speaker 5: Bears offense, they started out games really really well, like 611 00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:40,680 Speaker 5: very different from last year when the Bears offense looked 612 00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:42,920 Speaker 5: terrible to start the game and then it took them, 613 00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:45,080 Speaker 5: you know, that second half to really get back into it. 614 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:46,840 Speaker 5: So it's even possible that if the Bears just jumped 615 00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:48,600 Speaker 5: out to a seven to nothing again, they just get 616 00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:50,760 Speaker 5: the ball first. You actually get the Dallas Cowboys at 617 00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:52,960 Speaker 5: a better number, either against the spread or just a 618 00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:56,320 Speaker 5: win outright. So I still feel comfortable locking in Dallas 619 00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:58,000 Speaker 5: plus one and a half because ultimately I think they're 620 00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:01,200 Speaker 5: just gonna win this game. The Bears can't stop anybody. 621 00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:02,879 Speaker 5: And also an interesting trend I found, so this is 622 00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:06,000 Speaker 5: part of the Action Network. Williams has started seven career 623 00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:08,720 Speaker 5: infil games in the afternoon, a primetime window, so from 624 00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:11,600 Speaker 5: four pm Eastern or later. The Bears in those games 625 00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,480 Speaker 5: oh and seven straight up, losing by an average of 626 00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:18,040 Speaker 5: eleven point one points per games. So the afternoon naps 627 00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:23,600 Speaker 5: are not working for Caleb Williams. 628 00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:22,679 Speaker 1: Not a lot. 629 00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:24,920 Speaker 2: It's been working for him, that's for sure. All Right, 630 00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:28,040 Speaker 2: let's continue on here. Let's talk about the upset of 631 00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:30,920 Speaker 2: the week. So one and one on the year after 632 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:32,920 Speaker 2: two weeks got Baker Mayfield to chang. 633 00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:34,400 Speaker 1: It was, you know, plastic. 634 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:36,360 Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield had to wait till last minute to pull 635 00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:37,160 Speaker 2: a rabbit out of his hat. 636 00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:38,919 Speaker 1: But what do you expect. It's Baker Mayfield. This is 637 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:41,400 Speaker 1: what he does. I love the fact that we got 638 00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:44,280 Speaker 1: you know, thrown up in the air, it looked like 639 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:45,720 Speaker 1: he was hurt. Pops up talk. 640 00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:48,719 Speaker 2: Smack, vintage Baker Mayfield love it can't get enough of it. 641 00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:51,119 Speaker 2: So we're gonna go now and we're gonna take a 642 00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:53,960 Speaker 2: look at teams that might be going oh in three. 643 00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:55,840 Speaker 2: And I don't think Demico Ryans is gonna let the 644 00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:57,680 Speaker 2: Texans go oh and three to start the year. 645 00:26:57,760 --> 00:26:59,679 Speaker 1: I just don't see that happening. I know they're going 646 00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:02,359 Speaker 1: on ther and I know they're going to are they 647 00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:03,959 Speaker 1: on the Jaguars? Uh? 648 00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:07,120 Speaker 4: Well, you know this is this on the spot for them. 649 00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:11,960 Speaker 1: It's it's it's technically and on the road spot for them, one. 650 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:14,000 Speaker 6: Straight up in the last ten in Jacksonville. 651 00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:17,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know what, man, and I think that 652 00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:20,080 Speaker 2: sticks in their craw too. I think they're well aware 653 00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:22,760 Speaker 2: of this. And this is a spot here where in 654 00:27:22,800 --> 00:27:25,359 Speaker 2: division game you don't want to go oh to three 655 00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:26,640 Speaker 2: and you don't want to have a loss in your 656 00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 2: division here to the Jacks. So to me, uh, this 657 00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:32,560 Speaker 2: is one that you have to win. And I think 658 00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:33,560 Speaker 2: teams they have to win. 659 00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:33,840 Speaker 1: Again. 660 00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:35,200 Speaker 2: What am I looking at? The best unit here? I 661 00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:37,200 Speaker 2: think is the defense of the Texans. I think they 662 00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:39,439 Speaker 2: find a way to get an ugly victory here. So 663 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:41,600 Speaker 2: give me Houston on the money line plus one twenty 664 00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:44,760 Speaker 2: against the Jacksonville Jaguars. I know it says Town's crazy 665 00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:47,800 Speaker 2: therell is not wrong. I've seen it, We've all seen 666 00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:50,320 Speaker 2: it many times. But I think at some point you 667 00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:52,199 Speaker 2: have to put your foot down, plant the flag and 668 00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:54,359 Speaker 2: say all right, enough is enough here. Can't keep losing 669 00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:57,679 Speaker 2: to the Jaguars in Jacksonville. Enough of this nonsense, and 670 00:27:57,720 --> 00:27:59,520 Speaker 2: you can't go oh and three. That's the end of 671 00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:01,520 Speaker 2: your season. Basically, you're done your toast. And I don't 672 00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:03,119 Speaker 2: think Demico Ryan's is gonna do that. I think this 673 00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:05,080 Speaker 2: team has a lot of pride. This is team that 674 00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:06,960 Speaker 2: was in the playoffs last year and won a playoff 675 00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:08,920 Speaker 2: game last year. So let's give the Texans a little 676 00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:10,640 Speaker 2: bit of credit here and see if they can get 677 00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:12,760 Speaker 2: it done. So going out on a limb for you Texans. 678 00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:15,280 Speaker 2: Don't let me down, all right, Let's take a look 679 00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:17,560 Speaker 2: at the parlay of the week two oh and two 680 00:28:17,680 --> 00:28:20,040 Speaker 2: on these. I've been really good on the standalone games, 681 00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:21,560 Speaker 2: but so far oh and two to start the year 682 00:28:21,600 --> 00:28:25,399 Speaker 2: in these, So continuing the theme right of the teams 683 00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:28,080 Speaker 2: that cannot go oh to three. Well, let's take those 684 00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:30,679 Speaker 2: Houston Texans on the money line. Let's take the Chiefs 685 00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:34,440 Speaker 2: on the money line against your New York Football Giants. 686 00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:36,800 Speaker 2: And then let's take the Buccaneers on the money line 687 00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:40,040 Speaker 2: as well. Yeah, maybe the Jets will cover, we'll see, 688 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:41,800 Speaker 2: but I don't think the Jets can win this football 689 00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:43,680 Speaker 2: game in Tampa. I think Tampa's in a whole other 690 00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 2: class than the Jets. So all those three things together 691 00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:49,040 Speaker 2: get you to plus two sixty five. You can bet 692 00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:51,080 Speaker 2: that hard. You can go ahead and walk away with 693 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:53,920 Speaker 2: a nice Sunday. So that is the parlay of the week. 694 00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:55,600 Speaker 2: And of course we love to hear from you. What 695 00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:58,680 Speaker 2: is your favorite pick of the week? Drop your picks 696 00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:01,080 Speaker 2: below in the comments the YouTube channel. We love to 697 00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:02,840 Speaker 2: hear from all of you. And of course don't forget 698 00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:04,200 Speaker 2: to subscribe to the channel. We're trying to get to 699 00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:06,160 Speaker 2: one hundred thousand this year and we can do it 700 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,760 Speaker 2: with your help, So subscribe today. Ring the bell to 701 00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:10,160 Speaker 2: it goes ding so you never miss a piece of 702 00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:12,200 Speaker 2: content here on the channel, and download the betting. 703 00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:13,960 Speaker 1: Pros app to bet smarter, not harder. 704 00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 2: Don't be a tool, use the tools that'll do it. 705 00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:17,680 Speaker 2: For us, but the story of the game goes on 706 00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:19,400 Speaker 2: for Andrew Ericson Andterel Firman Junior. 707 00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:21,640 Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids. 708 00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:24,600 Speaker 7: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 709 00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,000 Speaker 7: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 710 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:30,440 Speaker 7: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 711 00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:33,360 Speaker 7: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 712 00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:37,120 Speaker 7: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 713 00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:39,680 Speaker 7: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros