WEBVTT - Trump M&A, PBMs, Tariffs, FCC Broadcast Regs

0:00:15.960 --> 0:00:19.120
<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Votes and Verdicts, the podcast of the litigation

0:00:19.239 --> 0:00:23.239
<v Speaker 1>and policy team at Bloomberg Intelligence. I'm justin terracy in

0:00:23.320 --> 0:00:26.200
<v Speaker 1>this week for Elliott Stein, who's taking some very well

0:00:26.239 --> 0:00:28.920
<v Speaker 1>deserved time off. But don't worry, We've got a great

0:00:28.960 --> 0:00:32.040
<v Speaker 1>episode for you today. I'll be joined by my colleague

0:00:32.080 --> 0:00:36.279
<v Speaker 1>Jennifer Ree. We'll talk all things the summer season of Antitrust.

0:00:36.680 --> 0:00:39.120
<v Speaker 1>Holy Frome joins us for an update on the ever

0:00:39.240 --> 0:00:43.520
<v Speaker 1>changing landscape of tariffs this week, and Matt Shettenhelm also

0:00:43.600 --> 0:00:48.720
<v Speaker 1>tunes in about FCC regulation on broadcasting and what's changing there.

0:00:49.080 --> 0:00:52.080
<v Speaker 1>But first, before we jump into today's episode, a quick

0:00:52.120 --> 0:00:56.440
<v Speaker 1>word about Bloomberg Intelligence. We're the investment research platform on

0:00:56.560 --> 0:01:00.160
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg terminal with five hundred analysts and strategy is

0:01:00.280 --> 0:01:03.480
<v Speaker 1>working across the globe and focus on all major markets.

0:01:03.840 --> 0:01:07.560
<v Speaker 1>Our coverage includes over two thousand equities and credits, and

0:01:07.640 --> 0:01:10.560
<v Speaker 1>we have outlooks on more than ninety industries and one

0:01:10.640 --> 0:01:15.520
<v Speaker 1>hundred market industries, currencies and commodities. So leading off this week,

0:01:15.560 --> 0:01:17.760
<v Speaker 1>I thought we'd start with antitrust. I might be a

0:01:17.800 --> 0:01:20.640
<v Speaker 1>little bit biased since it's my own coverage area, but

0:01:20.800 --> 0:01:24.040
<v Speaker 1>there definitely has been quite a bit going on, I'd say,

0:01:24.120 --> 0:01:26.480
<v Speaker 1>as us of late out of the Department of Justice

0:01:26.520 --> 0:01:29.760
<v Speaker 1>and starting things off, I think we'll turn to generate. So, Jen,

0:01:29.840 --> 0:01:32.440
<v Speaker 1>there's been a lot of controversy in the news the

0:01:32.520 --> 0:01:35.319
<v Speaker 1>last few weeks over a settlement that the Department of

0:01:35.480 --> 0:01:39.200
<v Speaker 1>Justice entered with Hewlett Packard over its acquisition of Juniper Networks.

0:01:39.560 --> 0:01:41.800
<v Speaker 1>This was entered on the eve of trial from what

0:01:41.840 --> 0:01:43.840
<v Speaker 1>I understand, So you give us a bit of a

0:01:43.880 --> 0:01:45.520
<v Speaker 1>sense of what's going on with that one over.

0:01:45.400 --> 0:01:49.160
<v Speaker 2>There, Yeah, sure, thanks, justin you know, really definitely, we're

0:01:49.200 --> 0:01:51.720
<v Speaker 2>seeing some things happening in the antitrust world that are

0:01:51.800 --> 0:01:55.120
<v Speaker 2>troubling from an enforcement perspective, and you know, you put

0:01:55.160 --> 0:01:57.200
<v Speaker 2>your finger on it. The first one is this deal.

0:01:57.560 --> 0:01:59.960
<v Speaker 2>So just as a little bit of background on this deal,

0:02:00.200 --> 0:02:03.400
<v Speaker 2>it was fourteen billion dollars signed back in January of

0:02:03.440 --> 0:02:06.880
<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty four. So what happened with it, as happens

0:02:06.880 --> 0:02:10.240
<v Speaker 2>with many deals, is the Department of Justice investigated and

0:02:10.280 --> 0:02:12.480
<v Speaker 2>then sued to block the deal about a year later,

0:02:12.600 --> 0:02:15.800
<v Speaker 2>that was in January of this year, and the concern

0:02:15.840 --> 0:02:18.280
<v Speaker 2>in the DOJ had was that the combination was going

0:02:18.360 --> 0:02:22.600
<v Speaker 2>to harm what they called enterprise customers for w land solutions.

0:02:22.919 --> 0:02:25.800
<v Speaker 2>So what that is is really just basically wireless networks

0:02:25.840 --> 0:02:28.760
<v Speaker 2>for really huge entities like a big business, a hospital,

0:02:28.840 --> 0:02:31.120
<v Speaker 2>or a university, you know, much like we all have

0:02:31.280 --> 0:02:33.920
<v Speaker 2>Wi Fi at home. This is just a larger network

0:02:33.960 --> 0:02:38.160
<v Speaker 2>for these really large spread out entities. And they're basically

0:02:38.160 --> 0:02:42.000
<v Speaker 2>three main competitors that provide this product Hulot, Packard, Juniper,

0:02:42.040 --> 0:02:45.160
<v Speaker 2>and then Cisco. Cisco's actually the biggie in the market.

0:02:45.360 --> 0:02:47.640
<v Speaker 2>And the products you look, Packard and Juniper had that

0:02:47.960 --> 0:02:52.959
<v Speaker 2>overlap that compete were called Aruba and missed. So trial

0:02:53.120 --> 0:02:55.560
<v Speaker 2>was supposed to start in early July of this year.

0:02:55.919 --> 0:02:58.480
<v Speaker 2>But on June twenty seventh, this this settlement that you

0:02:58.600 --> 0:03:03.360
<v Speaker 2>referenced was announced, and what it included, right, is a divestiture. Oftentimes,

0:03:03.400 --> 0:03:06.240
<v Speaker 2>as you know, merger settlements include selling off some small

0:03:06.240 --> 0:03:09.320
<v Speaker 2>piece of the business to eliminate the overlap. That's really

0:03:09.360 --> 0:03:12.160
<v Speaker 2>what it's supposed to be. But in this case, the

0:03:12.200 --> 0:03:15.640
<v Speaker 2>divestiture was a small part of Hewlett Packard's networking business

0:03:16.000 --> 0:03:19.280
<v Speaker 2>and also a limited bit of license to some technology

0:03:19.680 --> 0:03:23.359
<v Speaker 2>that comes from Juniper. Now here's the rub. The allegation,

0:03:23.800 --> 0:03:27.120
<v Speaker 2>as I mentioned, was that it's large enterprise consumers that

0:03:27.120 --> 0:03:30.560
<v Speaker 2>would be harmed. But the divestiture was not a product

0:03:30.680 --> 0:03:34.800
<v Speaker 2>sold to large enterprise consumers. It was for very small businesses.

0:03:35.320 --> 0:03:38.120
<v Speaker 1>Interesting, interesting and a lot of products most people have

0:03:38.160 --> 0:03:40.640
<v Speaker 1>probably never heard of either, but really interesting.

0:03:40.680 --> 0:03:43.440
<v Speaker 2>That wrinkle there, Yeah, the business to business products, it's

0:03:43.480 --> 0:03:45.800
<v Speaker 2>a whole world and we're not always familiar with those.

0:03:45.880 --> 0:03:48.280
<v Speaker 2>But really, at the end of the day, it doesn't

0:03:48.320 --> 0:03:51.480
<v Speaker 2>resolve the overlap that caused concerns. You still have this

0:03:51.600 --> 0:03:56.680
<v Speaker 2>problematic competitive overlap between MYST and Aruba. So now here's

0:03:56.720 --> 0:03:59.520
<v Speaker 2>the thing that after this very odd settlement that surprised

0:03:59.520 --> 0:04:01.200
<v Speaker 2>most of us, I mean I was getting ready to

0:04:01.200 --> 0:04:04.640
<v Speaker 2>go to travel to this trial to listen, in all

0:04:04.640 --> 0:04:08.000
<v Speaker 2>of a sudden we see news reports. So it's news reports.

0:04:08.040 --> 0:04:10.960
<v Speaker 2>I can't confirm this, but what these reports have said

0:04:11.000 --> 0:04:14.240
<v Speaker 2>is that Hewlett Packard hired these lobbyists very close to

0:04:14.280 --> 0:04:17.279
<v Speaker 2>the president, and that these settlements were pushed on the

0:04:17.320 --> 0:04:20.880
<v Speaker 2>DOJ anti trust staff very much against their will. So

0:04:21.120 --> 0:04:23.400
<v Speaker 2>what you have then is a decision that's not based

0:04:23.400 --> 0:04:26.520
<v Speaker 2>on anti trust expertise, but based on influence and sort

0:04:26.560 --> 0:04:29.120
<v Speaker 2>of the transactional nature of this administration. And that's not

0:04:29.120 --> 0:04:30.920
<v Speaker 2>the way it's supposed to be right.

0:04:31.080 --> 0:04:33.279
<v Speaker 1>Hearing a lot about things like that, as I've laid

0:04:33.279 --> 0:04:35.760
<v Speaker 1>out of DC for sure, right right.

0:04:35.800 --> 0:04:39.240
<v Speaker 2>And so we know that Gail Slater, who is the

0:04:39.360 --> 0:04:42.039
<v Speaker 2>Assistant Attorney General in charge of anti trust at the DJ,

0:04:42.200 --> 0:04:45.560
<v Speaker 2>that would be the leading person for decision maker for

0:04:45.600 --> 0:04:49.240
<v Speaker 2>anti trust at the DJ, pushback, but she was overruled

0:04:49.279 --> 0:04:52.159
<v Speaker 2>by those senior to her, including Pambondi, who are not

0:04:52.279 --> 0:04:55.440
<v Speaker 2>anti trust experts. And then two of her deputies, who

0:04:55.480 --> 0:04:59.480
<v Speaker 2>also apparently objected to the settlement, were fired. And what

0:04:59.600 --> 0:05:02.920
<v Speaker 2>was report is that HPE had hired non the antitrust

0:05:02.960 --> 0:05:06.599
<v Speaker 2>but very politically connected lawyers to negotiate the settlement. These

0:05:06.640 --> 0:05:08.960
<v Speaker 2>are people who are close to Trump or have worked

0:05:09.000 --> 0:05:11.320
<v Speaker 2>for them in the past. And the Wall Street Journal

0:05:11.320 --> 0:05:13.360
<v Speaker 2>even just reported, by the way that one of these

0:05:13.400 --> 0:05:16.280
<v Speaker 2>politically connected lawyers appeared to take it on as a

0:05:16.320 --> 0:05:19.559
<v Speaker 2>personal challenge to get this settlement done after the anti

0:05:19.560 --> 0:05:22.080
<v Speaker 2>trust enforcers questioned his role in the process.

0:05:22.600 --> 0:05:23.880
<v Speaker 1>Oh boy.

0:05:23.960 --> 0:05:26.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. So this is a real divergence from how things

0:05:26.680 --> 0:05:28.479
<v Speaker 2>have been done in the M and A anti trust

0:05:28.480 --> 0:05:31.800
<v Speaker 2>world essentially since the Nixon administration, and it's not good

0:05:31.839 --> 0:05:34.000
<v Speaker 2>news for enforcement, our consumers.

0:05:33.560 --> 0:05:36.320
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, Yeah, that sounds like a pretty complicated situation there.

0:05:36.600 --> 0:05:38.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, hard to read the tea leaves too, obviously

0:05:38.760 --> 0:05:41.719
<v Speaker 1>when we're talking about news reports, and not necessarily a

0:05:41.760 --> 0:05:44.760
<v Speaker 1>confirmation about how things have necessarily rolled out by the

0:05:44.800 --> 0:05:48.240
<v Speaker 1>actual folks at the DOJ either. But I guess you know,

0:05:48.320 --> 0:05:50.880
<v Speaker 1>is there any recourse for this? I mean, the deals closed,

0:05:51.360 --> 0:05:52.239
<v Speaker 1>what happens now?

0:05:52.920 --> 0:05:55.039
<v Speaker 2>Well, so what happens now is that it has to

0:05:55.040 --> 0:05:58.320
<v Speaker 2>go through what's called a Tunny Act procedure. That's a

0:05:58.360 --> 0:06:01.640
<v Speaker 2>little bit of a safeguard for this kind of political influence,

0:06:01.680 --> 0:06:04.760
<v Speaker 2>but really, honestly, it's very limited. And what that means

0:06:04.800 --> 0:06:07.000
<v Speaker 2>is that the settlement isn't final until a judge has

0:06:07.040 --> 0:06:09.880
<v Speaker 2>reviewed it and signed off. And this happens, by the way,

0:06:09.920 --> 0:06:13.040
<v Speaker 2>for all Department of Justice anti trust settlements and not

0:06:13.080 --> 0:06:15.760
<v Speaker 2>for the FTC. And the reason, by the way, it

0:06:15.800 --> 0:06:19.680
<v Speaker 2>was because it was passed during the Nixon administration and

0:06:19.839 --> 0:06:23.919
<v Speaker 2>after allegations that ITT, a company that had been sued

0:06:24.279 --> 0:06:27.040
<v Speaker 2>under anti trust by the anti trust enforcers at that time,

0:06:27.600 --> 0:06:30.159
<v Speaker 2>basically got their case dropped by paying a lot of

0:06:30.240 --> 0:06:33.880
<v Speaker 2>money to the nineteen seventy two Republican National Convention and

0:06:33.920 --> 0:06:37.320
<v Speaker 2>then Congress, which actually got things done in a bipartisan manner.

0:06:37.360 --> 0:06:41.960
<v Speaker 2>BacT passed the Tunny Act, and that says that judges

0:06:42.000 --> 0:06:44.760
<v Speaker 2>are supposed to ask whether a DOJ anti trust settlement

0:06:44.839 --> 0:06:48.760
<v Speaker 2>is in the public interest. But I said it's limited right.

0:06:49.640 --> 0:06:52.360
<v Speaker 2>The judges are supposed to give deference to the DOJ's

0:06:52.440 --> 0:06:57.960
<v Speaker 2>expertise and can't really unwinded merger. The judge can approve, reject,

0:06:58.080 --> 0:07:02.320
<v Speaker 2>or require modifications to the settlement. The courts can solicit

0:07:02.360 --> 0:07:05.400
<v Speaker 2>public comments, they can hold hearings, they can require the

0:07:05.480 --> 0:07:09.360
<v Speaker 2>DOJ to respond to criticisms. But I would say in

0:07:09.440 --> 0:07:11.880
<v Speaker 2>ninety nine percent of the cases the judge just sign off.

0:07:11.880 --> 0:07:14.560
<v Speaker 2>It's kind of pro forma. And in a very very

0:07:14.600 --> 0:07:17.320
<v Speaker 2>few rare circumstances, settlements have been sent back to the

0:07:17.360 --> 0:07:21.480
<v Speaker 2>DOJ to supplement them or to revise them. But the

0:07:21.520 --> 0:07:24.200
<v Speaker 2>thing is justin it's a little bit backwards because if

0:07:24.200 --> 0:07:26.400
<v Speaker 2>the judge doesn't like the settlement and the companies in

0:07:26.440 --> 0:07:28.840
<v Speaker 2>the DJ can't agree to a new one, there's not

0:07:28.920 --> 0:07:31.280
<v Speaker 2>that much that can be done because then the companies,

0:07:32.200 --> 0:07:34.160
<v Speaker 2>because the companies, as soon as they settle with the

0:07:34.200 --> 0:07:37.120
<v Speaker 2>DOJ are allowed to close and integrate. So if these companies,

0:07:37.280 --> 0:07:40.920
<v Speaker 2>HPNG know, we are already closed, they're already integrating before

0:07:40.960 --> 0:07:43.280
<v Speaker 2>the tiny A procedure's done. So if you end up

0:07:43.320 --> 0:07:45.679
<v Speaker 2>with a scenario where there's no settlement because the judge

0:07:45.680 --> 0:07:47.520
<v Speaker 2>is sent it back but they can't agree to a

0:07:47.560 --> 0:07:50.240
<v Speaker 2>new one, and now all you have is litigation. Now

0:07:50.240 --> 0:07:53.280
<v Speaker 2>the case has to be tried, it's extremely highly unlikely

0:07:53.360 --> 0:07:55.640
<v Speaker 2>that any judge is going to unwind a finished deal.

0:07:56.160 --> 0:08:00.520
<v Speaker 2>So it's not really it's very messy, right, So that's

0:08:00.560 --> 0:08:02.720
<v Speaker 2>what we're where we are now in this case. We're

0:08:02.920 --> 0:08:04.440
<v Speaker 2>we're going to wait and a lot of people are

0:08:04.440 --> 0:08:08.440
<v Speaker 2>pushing this judge to really give this a solid review

0:08:08.520 --> 0:08:09.400
<v Speaker 2>under the tiny Act.

0:08:09.840 --> 0:08:12.080
<v Speaker 1>Got it, got it? So you know, you know, we

0:08:12.080 --> 0:08:14.840
<v Speaker 1>were saying too just with what's happening at DOJ, you

0:08:14.840 --> 0:08:17.240
<v Speaker 1>know a lot of what we're we're depending on our

0:08:17.280 --> 0:08:20.120
<v Speaker 1>news reports right about how things are actually rolling out, right,

0:08:20.160 --> 0:08:22.840
<v Speaker 1>And we've seen a few companies under a scrutiny by

0:08:22.840 --> 0:08:26.240
<v Speaker 1>antitrust enforcers these days, right, whether it be from the

0:08:26.280 --> 0:08:29.320
<v Speaker 1>previous administration or companies you know that were looked at

0:08:29.400 --> 0:08:32.920
<v Speaker 1>under the Biden DJ that maybe we're continuing an investigation

0:08:33.000 --> 0:08:36.120
<v Speaker 1>into today, right, You know, but you know, actions to

0:08:36.280 --> 0:08:40.120
<v Speaker 1>kind of you know, sport those investigations or cases, you know,

0:08:40.160 --> 0:08:43.800
<v Speaker 1>whether it be hiring lobbyists, making payments to Trump causes.

0:08:43.880 --> 0:08:46.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, dropping DEI programs has been a big one too,

0:08:47.040 --> 0:08:49.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, investment development in the US. All these different

0:08:49.880 --> 0:08:53.000
<v Speaker 1>ways it seems like to create favor with the administration.

0:08:53.840 --> 0:08:55.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, what do you think, Jen, do you think

0:08:55.120 --> 0:08:57.520
<v Speaker 1>the new approach really is just to transact with the

0:08:57.559 --> 0:09:00.480
<v Speaker 1>president rather to you know, mount an actual a trust

0:09:00.520 --> 0:09:03.160
<v Speaker 1>defense or to actually explain, you know, your business practices

0:09:03.200 --> 0:09:05.000
<v Speaker 1>to the authorities. What do you think about all that?

0:09:05.679 --> 0:09:08.160
<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, we have this Hewlett Packard example, but

0:09:08.200 --> 0:09:11.120
<v Speaker 2>I think based on news reports that a pattern actually

0:09:11.160 --> 0:09:15.040
<v Speaker 2>really is emerging because you know, another sort of oddity

0:09:15.120 --> 0:09:17.360
<v Speaker 2>that happened in the M and A world, The DOJ

0:09:17.480 --> 0:09:20.840
<v Speaker 2>had sued in January twenty twenty five to block a

0:09:20.880 --> 0:09:24.360
<v Speaker 2>deal between American Express Global Business Travel and Carson Wagon

0:09:24.400 --> 0:09:27.600
<v Speaker 2>lit Travel. Right, right, that case, very recently and without

0:09:27.640 --> 0:09:30.720
<v Speaker 2>any explanation, was dropped. Now there was no settlement here,

0:09:30.760 --> 0:09:33.000
<v Speaker 2>it was just dropped so doesn't go through a tiny

0:09:33.040 --> 0:09:37.600
<v Speaker 2>AC procedure. And then it was reported that AMX GBT,

0:09:37.600 --> 0:09:40.960
<v Speaker 2>the Global Business Travel had hired a guy called Brian Ballard,

0:09:41.400 --> 0:09:44.120
<v Speaker 2>a longtime Trump becker who had raised fifty million in

0:09:44.160 --> 0:09:49.320
<v Speaker 2>his twenty twenty four election. So we see that, and

0:09:49.360 --> 0:09:51.840
<v Speaker 2>then I read, which is no surprise to me, that

0:09:51.920 --> 0:09:56.520
<v Speaker 2>antitrust lawyers are basically advising clients now that maybe an

0:09:56.640 --> 0:09:59.400
<v Speaker 2>M and A or maybe facing monopolization charges to find

0:09:59.440 --> 0:10:02.200
<v Speaker 2>lawyers or obvious that are close to Trump. So we

0:10:02.400 --> 0:10:05.760
<v Speaker 2>are moving toward this sort of position of defending deals

0:10:07.200 --> 0:10:10.600
<v Speaker 2>as an influence maneuver and as a transactional thing, rather

0:10:10.679 --> 0:10:14.960
<v Speaker 2>than and resolving the antitrust problems and getting real deal resolutions.

0:10:15.480 --> 0:10:18.400
<v Speaker 1>God, what definitely a headache, I would say, And you know,

0:10:18.480 --> 0:10:21.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I don't know if that makes the whole

0:10:21.200 --> 0:10:24.360
<v Speaker 1>situation easier to comprehend what's going to happen for a client,

0:10:24.440 --> 0:10:26.840
<v Speaker 1>or make some more difficult. I mean, it's really hard

0:10:27.040 --> 0:10:29.640
<v Speaker 1>to say. But you know, I guess, you know, trying

0:10:29.640 --> 0:10:31.400
<v Speaker 1>to apply this to what we could what else we

0:10:31.440 --> 0:10:33.160
<v Speaker 1>could be seeing, you know, for the second half of

0:10:33.200 --> 0:10:33.560
<v Speaker 1>the year.

0:10:34.000 --> 0:10:35.000
<v Speaker 2>What other deals are.

0:10:34.840 --> 0:10:37.840
<v Speaker 1>Pending right now at DOJ R FTC that still need clearance?

0:10:38.600 --> 0:10:40.000
<v Speaker 2>You know, there are quite a few. Because all of

0:10:40.040 --> 0:10:43.520
<v Speaker 2>a sudden, we had a little bit of as pause

0:10:43.600 --> 0:10:45.800
<v Speaker 2>in the market with deal making, but now things are

0:10:45.840 --> 0:10:48.800
<v Speaker 2>kind of flowing, and we do have some pretty big

0:10:48.840 --> 0:10:52.200
<v Speaker 2>pending deals. Google's trying to buy Whiz Charters trying to

0:10:52.200 --> 0:10:54.800
<v Speaker 2>buy cocks. You have Baker Hughes buying a company called

0:10:54.880 --> 0:10:58.760
<v Speaker 2>Chart Industries, and of course probably everyone's right about Dixon Footlocker.

0:10:58.840 --> 0:11:02.280
<v Speaker 2>Those are products we all understand, and you know, justin

0:11:02.360 --> 0:11:04.440
<v Speaker 2>and you know this because you're covering some of these cases.

0:11:04.480 --> 0:11:10.400
<v Speaker 2>They are also a whole bunch of pending monopolization suits. Absolutely, yeah, Google, Meta, Amazon, Apple,

0:11:10.520 --> 0:11:13.199
<v Speaker 2>Live Nation. I mean, if they're a big, huge platform,

0:11:13.280 --> 0:11:17.360
<v Speaker 2>they've probably been sou so you know, and I read

0:11:17.520 --> 0:11:20.720
<v Speaker 2>read that recently Live Nation put a Trump loyalist on

0:11:20.760 --> 0:11:25.760
<v Speaker 2>its board, and also that Apple has announced just the

0:11:25.840 --> 0:11:29.320
<v Speaker 2>other day a major investment in US manufacturing one hundred billion.

0:11:29.559 --> 0:11:31.679
<v Speaker 2>So I think we're beginning to see all sorts of

0:11:31.720 --> 0:11:35.360
<v Speaker 2>movements sort of in this influence peddling area, and we'll

0:11:35.360 --> 0:11:37.240
<v Speaker 2>have to see what happens because we know before the

0:11:37.240 --> 0:11:40.320
<v Speaker 2>election that some of the CEOs of these big tech

0:11:40.320 --> 0:11:45.840
<v Speaker 2>companies like Mark Zuckerberg, we're donating money to Republican causes.

0:11:45.880 --> 0:11:48.360
<v Speaker 2>We're there with Trump at the inauguration, and it hasn't

0:11:48.400 --> 0:11:50.760
<v Speaker 2>really seemed to help them yet. But maybe the tide

0:11:50.800 --> 0:11:52.360
<v Speaker 2>is turning now justin sure.

0:11:52.520 --> 0:11:55.240
<v Speaker 1>Sure, I mean it's you know, some days it seems

0:11:55.280 --> 0:11:57.400
<v Speaker 1>that way, Jen, in another days it doesn't, right, And

0:11:57.440 --> 0:11:59.040
<v Speaker 1>I think maybe we can touch upon this a little

0:11:59.040 --> 0:12:01.320
<v Speaker 1>bit later with Holly. But you know, even think about

0:12:01.360 --> 0:12:04.320
<v Speaker 1>companies like Nvidia, right, and you know, there were news

0:12:04.320 --> 0:12:07.320
<v Speaker 1>reports last year of that that investigations had started at

0:12:07.360 --> 0:12:09.760
<v Speaker 1>DOJ related to anti trust issues, you know. And then

0:12:09.800 --> 0:12:12.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, just two weeks ago, we have President Trump saying,

0:12:13.080 --> 0:12:16.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, quite quite frankly, at at at an event

0:12:16.559 --> 0:12:19.000
<v Speaker 1>that you know, we considered breaking up the company and

0:12:19.000 --> 0:12:21.120
<v Speaker 1>opted against it once he you know, found out how

0:12:21.120 --> 0:12:24.280
<v Speaker 1>difficult that would be to do. Then yesterday we see

0:12:24.320 --> 0:12:26.400
<v Speaker 1>tariffs of maybe one hundred percent on chips that are

0:12:26.400 --> 0:12:29.559
<v Speaker 1>imported into the United States. Right, So that it seems

0:12:29.600 --> 0:12:32.760
<v Speaker 1>like things are making some movements in one direction. Then

0:12:32.840 --> 0:12:34.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, a week goes by and perhaps things move

0:12:35.280 --> 0:12:36.120
<v Speaker 1>backward to another.

0:12:36.240 --> 0:12:37.839
<v Speaker 2>But I think you're right.

0:12:37.880 --> 0:12:40.000
<v Speaker 1>I think we're definitely seeing this interplay between folks in

0:12:40.040 --> 0:12:42.960
<v Speaker 1>the White House that that certainly seems to be a

0:12:43.000 --> 0:12:45.680
<v Speaker 1>growing trend. There's there's no doubt about that, right.

0:12:45.640 --> 0:12:49.160
<v Speaker 2>Right exactly, and it's it's it's going to be interesting

0:12:49.200 --> 0:12:52.360
<v Speaker 2>to see the next three and a half years here.

0:12:52.400 --> 0:12:54.959
<v Speaker 2>But you know, I have been saying for quite a

0:12:55.040 --> 0:12:57.599
<v Speaker 2>long time about the Google Search case that if a

0:12:57.720 --> 0:13:00.240
<v Speaker 2>remedy comes down, which we expect any day, which is

0:13:00.240 --> 0:13:02.840
<v Speaker 2>that Google has to sell Chrome, I don't think that's

0:13:02.880 --> 0:13:04.520
<v Speaker 2>what's going to be in the remedy, but let's just

0:13:04.520 --> 0:13:07.559
<v Speaker 2>say it is. There is a chance, about a forty

0:13:07.600 --> 0:13:09.800
<v Speaker 2>percent chance I think that that could be in the remedy.

0:13:10.120 --> 0:13:13.480
<v Speaker 2>And then Google appeals that the Trump administration then settles

0:13:13.480 --> 0:13:17.440
<v Speaker 2>the case with Google for something less, and we'll we'll

0:13:17.480 --> 0:13:19.480
<v Speaker 2>have to see because that would be sort of history

0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:21.680
<v Speaker 2>replaying itself, because that's kind of what happened with the

0:13:21.720 --> 0:13:24.719
<v Speaker 2>Microsoft situation. But I could talk about this all day.

0:13:24.800 --> 0:13:25.320
<v Speaker 1>Let's move on.

0:13:25.559 --> 0:13:27.400
<v Speaker 2>Let's move on to some of the anti trust topics.

0:13:27.400 --> 0:13:32.160
<v Speaker 2>Sticking with antitrust, let's move on topics you're covering and

0:13:32.520 --> 0:13:34.600
<v Speaker 2>it so that you don't have to talk to yourself

0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:38.040
<v Speaker 2>and ask yourself questions. I'll take over here, perfume many.

0:13:38.120 --> 0:13:40.480
<v Speaker 1>I appreciate that any help I can get as well

0:13:40.520 --> 0:13:41.840
<v Speaker 1>as much appreciated Jed.

0:13:42.360 --> 0:13:45.280
<v Speaker 2>So, justin let's move on to other anti trust matters

0:13:45.280 --> 0:13:48.480
<v Speaker 2>that you're covering, since we've kind of split stuff up here,

0:13:48.520 --> 0:13:50.880
<v Speaker 2>since there's so much going on in PBMs, that's a

0:13:50.920 --> 0:13:54.040
<v Speaker 2>really big area that's been a focus all over the place.

0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:59.000
<v Speaker 2>These are pharmacy benefit managers, and you've been covering the

0:13:59.040 --> 0:14:04.680
<v Speaker 2>litigation been ongoing against these middlemen in the pharmaceutical area.

0:14:05.160 --> 0:14:07.640
<v Speaker 2>So we have a case at the FTC that's in

0:14:07.760 --> 0:14:10.840
<v Speaker 2>what's called a Part three which is litigation but different

0:14:10.880 --> 0:14:13.160
<v Speaker 2>than in the federal courts. Why don't you explain all

0:14:13.160 --> 0:14:13.679
<v Speaker 2>that to us?

0:14:14.320 --> 0:14:17.080
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, definitely, J. And So this one really started bubbling

0:14:17.120 --> 0:14:19.680
<v Speaker 1>up last fall. I think it's probably the last real

0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:23.320
<v Speaker 1>significant Part three enforcement action outside of a merger context

0:14:23.400 --> 0:14:25.760
<v Speaker 1>that we have kind of as a hangover, if you will,

0:14:25.800 --> 0:14:30.520
<v Speaker 1>from the con FTC right before the Trump administration in January.

0:14:30.760 --> 0:14:33.640
<v Speaker 1>But what the case is is really built upon these

0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:37.600
<v Speaker 1>reports and investigations that were conducted at the FTC, and

0:14:37.640 --> 0:14:40.640
<v Speaker 1>it basically alleges that these middlemen, these drug middlemen, if

0:14:40.680 --> 0:14:43.200
<v Speaker 1>you will, the pharmacy benefit managers that sit between the

0:14:43.200 --> 0:14:47.800
<v Speaker 1>pharmaceutical companies, the insurance companies and consumers, really what they

0:14:47.840 --> 0:14:51.040
<v Speaker 1>have done is in order to place a particular drug

0:14:51.120 --> 0:14:54.000
<v Speaker 1>on a formula ay at an insurance company. It's alleged

0:14:54.040 --> 0:14:57.760
<v Speaker 1>that they demand these high rebates from the drug manufacturers

0:14:57.760 --> 0:15:00.600
<v Speaker 1>in order to do so. The alligation is that they

0:15:00.680 --> 0:15:03.560
<v Speaker 1>might pocket those rebates not pass them onto consumers, and

0:15:03.840 --> 0:15:06.720
<v Speaker 1>as a result, the list prices for drugs that are

0:15:06.760 --> 0:15:10.600
<v Speaker 1>paid by folks who are uninsured are perhaps underinsured, are

0:15:10.640 --> 0:15:13.680
<v Speaker 1>astronomically high, way higher than they need to be. That

0:15:13.800 --> 0:15:16.560
<v Speaker 1>is the chief allegation of the case is that drug

0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:20.920
<v Speaker 1>prices are driven up by the practices of these PBMs

0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:23.920
<v Speaker 1>who sit in the middle of the chain. So what

0:15:24.000 --> 0:15:26.640
<v Speaker 1>happened though, the case was brought, as you said, internally

0:15:26.680 --> 0:15:29.960
<v Speaker 1>as a part three preceding case at the internal Tribunal

0:15:30.000 --> 0:15:32.680
<v Speaker 1>over at the FTC and not in a federal court.

0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:35.880
<v Speaker 1>And right now, you know, it seems like all roads

0:15:35.920 --> 0:15:38.480
<v Speaker 1>eventually lead to a federal court on this one, and

0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:41.280
<v Speaker 1>there are a few reasons why. But you know, Jen,

0:15:41.360 --> 0:15:43.480
<v Speaker 1>I know we've talked about this before, but it seems

0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:47.680
<v Speaker 1>like every last kind of constitutional issue or you know,

0:15:48.560 --> 0:15:51.400
<v Speaker 1>new way of thinking I would say about the FTC's

0:15:51.520 --> 0:15:55.000
<v Speaker 1>scope of power and how broad it should be really

0:15:55.080 --> 0:15:59.000
<v Speaker 1>seems to be triggered by this litigation. And right now

0:15:59.040 --> 0:16:01.320
<v Speaker 1>the reason why I'm this up today is that there's

0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:03.560
<v Speaker 1>been a motion to lift a stay of the case.

0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:07.840
<v Speaker 1>Chair Ferguson at the FTC and Commissioner Mater had proved,

0:16:07.880 --> 0:16:09.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, Chair Ferguson had been recused from the case.

0:16:10.160 --> 0:16:13.120
<v Speaker 1>We now have Commissioner Major in at the FTC. There

0:16:13.120 --> 0:16:16.800
<v Speaker 1>are two FTC commissioners who are now available to participate

0:16:16.880 --> 0:16:19.520
<v Speaker 1>in the litigation. There were none before. That's why this

0:16:19.600 --> 0:16:22.760
<v Speaker 1>day was issued. So the reason for issuing that sday

0:16:22.840 --> 0:16:25.240
<v Speaker 1>is now gone. I think for that reason, the state

0:16:25.360 --> 0:16:29.880
<v Speaker 1>probably becomes lifted. But the PBMs have indicated they're going

0:16:29.920 --> 0:16:32.640
<v Speaker 1>to file a motion to dismiss very shortly at the

0:16:32.680 --> 0:16:35.520
<v Speaker 1>FTC in this tribunal, and I think the effect of

0:16:35.560 --> 0:16:38.280
<v Speaker 1>that is to push the case up to Chair Ferguson

0:16:38.320 --> 0:16:40.960
<v Speaker 1>and up to Commissioner Mater. It frankly give them some

0:16:41.040 --> 0:16:43.680
<v Speaker 1>kind of an opportunity to say whether bringing this case

0:16:43.800 --> 0:16:46.400
<v Speaker 1>in a part three was really the way to proceed

0:16:46.440 --> 0:16:48.120
<v Speaker 1>in the first place. I think we're going to have

0:16:48.200 --> 0:16:51.080
<v Speaker 1>to see that some decision making made around that concept.

0:16:51.360 --> 0:16:54.680
<v Speaker 1>Does it get refiled in federal court maybe, does it

0:16:54.760 --> 0:16:57.160
<v Speaker 1>have different claims than those assert it. Maybe it does

0:16:57.200 --> 0:17:00.480
<v Speaker 1>to Both Chair Ferguson and Commissioner Mater have been somewhat

0:17:00.520 --> 0:17:03.720
<v Speaker 1>critical of this expansive view of Section five of the

0:17:03.760 --> 0:17:06.800
<v Speaker 1>FTC Act, which is the actual way the claims are structured.

0:17:06.800 --> 0:17:09.360
<v Speaker 1>Here there could be some changes made to how they're

0:17:09.359 --> 0:17:11.480
<v Speaker 1>actually pursuing this from an anti trust perspective.

0:17:11.880 --> 0:17:15.480
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so remains to be seen then, whether this continues

0:17:15.520 --> 0:17:18.080
<v Speaker 2>on as a Part three, whether it gets moved to

0:17:18.119 --> 0:17:20.160
<v Speaker 2>Federal Quarter, whether it continues at all.

0:17:20.240 --> 0:17:22.960
<v Speaker 1>Right, yeah, I think that's right, you know. But even

0:17:23.000 --> 0:17:26.080
<v Speaker 1>if it continues as a Part three. You know, there

0:17:26.119 --> 0:17:29.480
<v Speaker 1>are our broader problems, I would say, with the litigation

0:17:29.560 --> 0:17:32.520
<v Speaker 1>outside of the claims itself, and those really lie in

0:17:32.600 --> 0:17:35.719
<v Speaker 1>the area of some Supreme Court precedent that's been handed

0:17:35.760 --> 0:17:38.440
<v Speaker 1>down the last couple of years. In the first case,

0:17:39.000 --> 0:17:42.240
<v Speaker 1>there is the Darquesy decision from last year that took

0:17:42.280 --> 0:17:45.760
<v Speaker 1>issue with the litigation of private rights right in an

0:17:45.800 --> 0:17:49.480
<v Speaker 1>actual internal preceding itself. And that's a pretty complicated concept,

0:17:49.520 --> 0:17:52.080
<v Speaker 1>I'd say. But the argument basically is, look, there are

0:17:52.119 --> 0:17:56.159
<v Speaker 1>too many big things, big ticket items being litigated as

0:17:56.240 --> 0:17:59.080
<v Speaker 1>part of this case for it to be litigated at

0:17:59.119 --> 0:18:02.000
<v Speaker 1>the agency belong in a federal court. That's the really

0:18:02.040 --> 0:18:04.400
<v Speaker 1>basic way to kind of paint the picture around that.

0:18:04.880 --> 0:18:07.600
<v Speaker 1>And the other issue is this whole discussion we've seen

0:18:07.640 --> 0:18:10.919
<v Speaker 1>about whether or not the president can remove FTC commissioners

0:18:10.960 --> 0:18:13.760
<v Speaker 1>and thereby the judges that sit under them. Is there

0:18:14.160 --> 0:18:17.280
<v Speaker 1>if the removal is not allowed, can this court then

0:18:17.359 --> 0:18:20.359
<v Speaker 1>be hearing Is it constitutional for this internal court to

0:18:20.400 --> 0:18:23.200
<v Speaker 1>be hearing the case? Those are some really big questions.

0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:26.240
<v Speaker 1>They're currently on appeal to the Eighth Circuit in this case,

0:18:27.400 --> 0:18:29.680
<v Speaker 1>and we'll probably have a hearing on that this fall,

0:18:29.720 --> 0:18:32.280
<v Speaker 1>and that could also be determinative of whether or not

0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:35.280
<v Speaker 1>the litigation can continue as a Part three even if

0:18:35.320 --> 0:18:37.640
<v Speaker 1>the commissioners do you want it to continue it that way?

0:18:38.600 --> 0:18:40.359
<v Speaker 2>So what about some of the other cases I know

0:18:40.440 --> 0:18:43.000
<v Speaker 2>that you were following, starting kind of late in the

0:18:43.000 --> 0:18:46.040
<v Speaker 2>Biden administration when we still had Lena Khan as the

0:18:46.160 --> 0:18:49.000
<v Speaker 2>chair of the FTC. I know that they brought some unusual,

0:18:49.200 --> 0:18:53.840
<v Speaker 2>somewhat novel cases against Pepsiico and also Deer I know

0:18:53.920 --> 0:18:55.760
<v Speaker 2>as John Deere, but I think they go by Deer

0:18:55.760 --> 0:18:58.480
<v Speaker 2>in company they do. Yeah, those Part threees are what's

0:18:58.520 --> 0:18:59.600
<v Speaker 2>going on? With those cases.

0:19:00.240 --> 0:19:02.959
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, So interestingly enough, neither of those were brought as

0:19:03.000 --> 0:19:05.119
<v Speaker 1>a Part three But you know, we've already kind of

0:19:05.160 --> 0:19:09.840
<v Speaker 1>seen these these developments and changes the cases, frankly along

0:19:09.880 --> 0:19:13.560
<v Speaker 1>with the changes in ideology that we have running the Commission. Right,

0:19:13.600 --> 0:19:17.800
<v Speaker 1>So the PEPSI case, Commissioners Ferguson and Holyoak were really

0:19:17.800 --> 0:19:20.400
<v Speaker 1>critical of that litigation when it was filed. The case

0:19:20.400 --> 0:19:24.399
<v Speaker 1>has been since dismissed. The FTC which volunteerily withdrew that matter.

0:19:24.440 --> 0:19:26.919
<v Speaker 1>They're not pursuing it anymore. It was a Robinson Patment

0:19:27.000 --> 0:19:30.200
<v Speaker 1>Act case, right, which we could see it's complicated statute

0:19:30.280 --> 0:19:32.720
<v Speaker 1>for sure, but we could see more attempts to bring

0:19:32.720 --> 0:19:35.000
<v Speaker 1>a case under that law in the future. And the

0:19:35.040 --> 0:19:37.399
<v Speaker 1>deer case that's continuing on as part of a multi

0:19:37.440 --> 0:19:41.919
<v Speaker 1>district litigation and federal court in Illinois so alive and well,

0:19:41.960 --> 0:19:44.520
<v Speaker 1>probably see a settlement there later on. But you know,

0:19:44.760 --> 0:19:47.560
<v Speaker 1>to your point, we haven't seen a new Part three

0:19:47.640 --> 0:19:51.080
<v Speaker 1>action from an enforcement perspective outside of mergers with this

0:19:51.160 --> 0:19:53.719
<v Speaker 1>new commission, and I think there really is there are

0:19:53.760 --> 0:19:55.800
<v Speaker 1>a lot of valid questions to be asked as to

0:19:55.840 --> 0:19:59.720
<v Speaker 1>whether the current makeup of the Commission is really interested

0:19:59.720 --> 0:20:02.960
<v Speaker 1>in you using that tool for an enforcement matter outside

0:20:02.960 --> 0:20:04.240
<v Speaker 1>of merger clearance.

0:20:04.680 --> 0:20:06.600
<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, justin I know, you and I could

0:20:06.600 --> 0:20:08.720
<v Speaker 2>sit around and talk for like the next two hours

0:20:08.760 --> 0:20:13.080
<v Speaker 2>just about anti rust matter and everything that's happening in

0:20:13.080 --> 0:20:15.199
<v Speaker 2>the antrust world because it's so interesting to us. But

0:20:15.280 --> 0:20:17.200
<v Speaker 2>maybe it's time to move on to some other legal

0:20:17.200 --> 0:20:19.000
<v Speaker 2>subjects and policy subjects.

0:20:19.000 --> 0:20:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Our listeners might appreciate that.

0:20:20.720 --> 0:20:23.639
<v Speaker 2>I might appreciate that, and our colleagues that are waiting

0:20:23.640 --> 0:20:26.520
<v Speaker 2>patiently might also. So I'm going to turn the moderator

0:20:26.600 --> 0:20:28.480
<v Speaker 2>roll back to you and you can move on to

0:20:28.520 --> 0:20:29.600
<v Speaker 2>some of the other subjects.

0:20:29.840 --> 0:20:33.680
<v Speaker 1>Sounds great, thanks, Jen. So let's bring in Holly from

0:20:33.760 --> 0:20:36.160
<v Speaker 1>now to talk a little bit about tariffs this week. Holly,

0:20:36.240 --> 0:20:38.359
<v Speaker 1>I feel like we could have a weekly podcast just

0:20:38.440 --> 0:20:41.280
<v Speaker 1>about tariffs and everything that you're covering week to week.

0:20:41.320 --> 0:20:44.840
<v Speaker 1>It seems to be the perennial topic. Although something perennial

0:20:44.960 --> 0:20:47.040
<v Speaker 1>is the word if it's every week there's something new

0:20:47.080 --> 0:20:51.400
<v Speaker 1>that's happening. But uh yeah, let me start just asking you.

0:20:51.400 --> 0:20:53.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, so you've been following a bunch of lawsuits

0:20:53.720 --> 0:20:57.720
<v Speaker 1>right recently that challenge the reciprocal tariffs and fentanyl tariffs.

0:20:58.080 --> 0:20:59.680
<v Speaker 1>Can you just give us a quick update about what

0:20:59.680 --> 0:21:01.080
<v Speaker 1>the STAF is on that litigation?

0:21:01.520 --> 0:21:02.160
<v Speaker 2>Thanks, Justin.

0:21:02.240 --> 0:21:05.520
<v Speaker 3>I think you could safely say that it's the daily

0:21:05.640 --> 0:21:11.720
<v Speaker 3>changes on tariffs. So what's happening now in the courts

0:21:11.760 --> 0:21:14.720
<v Speaker 3>are there are various appeals making their way around the

0:21:14.720 --> 0:21:18.000
<v Speaker 3>appellate court. So the most advanced case is the one

0:21:18.040 --> 0:21:21.439
<v Speaker 3>before the Federal Circuit, and that's the Appellate court for

0:21:21.480 --> 0:21:24.640
<v Speaker 3>the International Trade Court. And as some of you may know,

0:21:24.880 --> 0:21:30.159
<v Speaker 3>that court found reciprocal and pentanal trafficking tariffs unlawful. It

0:21:30.280 --> 0:21:35.399
<v Speaker 3>found the reciprocal tariffs the president posed were unbounded and

0:21:35.440 --> 0:21:37.600
<v Speaker 3>so it said that the statute doesn't allow them, but

0:21:37.640 --> 0:21:41.760
<v Speaker 3>if it did, the statute would be an unconstitutional delegation

0:21:41.880 --> 0:21:45.879
<v Speaker 3>of Congress's power. And with regard to fentanyl teriffs, it

0:21:45.960 --> 0:21:50.159
<v Speaker 3>found those terriffs weren't sufficiently related to the emergency. The

0:21:50.240 --> 0:21:54.320
<v Speaker 3>presidents cited the fentanyl emergency as the basis for them.

0:21:54.720 --> 0:21:57.920
<v Speaker 3>So the Federal Circuit heard oral argument on the appeal

0:21:58.119 --> 0:22:01.040
<v Speaker 3>of that ruling on July thirty first, and based on

0:22:01.119 --> 0:22:04.240
<v Speaker 3>that hearing, we think they may agree the tariffs are unlawful.

0:22:04.680 --> 0:22:08.399
<v Speaker 3>We think their opinion could come in late August. And

0:22:08.440 --> 0:22:11.280
<v Speaker 3>there are also appeals before other circuits. So there's an

0:22:11.280 --> 0:22:15.720
<v Speaker 3>appeal of a Washington District court's ruling finding tariffs unlawful

0:22:16.440 --> 0:22:21.159
<v Speaker 3>that appeals before the Washington d c. Circuit. So the

0:22:21.200 --> 0:22:23.720
<v Speaker 3>district court found tariffs unlawful on different grounds than the

0:22:23.760 --> 0:22:26.920
<v Speaker 3>International Trade Court and basically said the statute the President used,

0:22:26.920 --> 0:22:31.080
<v Speaker 3>which is the International Emergency Economic Powers Act or AIPA,

0:22:31.480 --> 0:22:35.000
<v Speaker 3>it doesn't allow tariffs at all, and so struck the

0:22:35.000 --> 0:22:38.840
<v Speaker 3>tariffs on those grounds. So a hearing on that appeal

0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:43.159
<v Speaker 3>is set to be heard September thirtieth. And then the

0:22:43.280 --> 0:22:47.360
<v Speaker 3>third appeal is before the Ninth Circuit, and that arises

0:22:47.400 --> 0:22:50.400
<v Speaker 3>from a California federal court's ruling that it doesn't have

0:22:50.560 --> 0:22:54.240
<v Speaker 3>jurisdiction to hear challenges to the tariffs, only the International

0:22:54.320 --> 0:22:57.680
<v Speaker 3>Trade Court does. So we expect that this Supreme Court

0:22:57.680 --> 0:23:00.280
<v Speaker 3>will ultimately have to decide this case, and we'll render

0:23:00.320 --> 0:23:03.159
<v Speaker 3>an opinion relatively quickly, possibly as early as four Q.

0:23:03.880 --> 0:23:06.040
<v Speaker 3>And what we said is that the Supreme Court may

0:23:06.040 --> 0:23:09.320
<v Speaker 3>find reciprocal terrorists lawful, but may say that the fentanyl

0:23:09.359 --> 0:23:10.880
<v Speaker 3>tariffs are lawful.

0:23:11.440 --> 0:23:14.080
<v Speaker 1>Okay, got it? And holiday President Trump was in the

0:23:14.119 --> 0:23:17.159
<v Speaker 1>news this week because he's pledged to impose tariffs of

0:23:17.240 --> 0:23:20.760
<v Speaker 1>up to two hundred and fifty percent on pharmaceuticals.

0:23:21.040 --> 0:23:21.520
<v Speaker 2>What is that?

0:23:21.560 --> 0:23:24.440
<v Speaker 1>What would that would that also fail if the reciprocal

0:23:24.520 --> 0:23:26.840
<v Speaker 1>tariffs are deemed unlawful? Is there a tie in there

0:23:26.840 --> 0:23:27.440
<v Speaker 1>between the two?

0:23:28.160 --> 0:23:31.399
<v Speaker 3>Well, not necessarily, because the statute the president would you

0:23:31.560 --> 0:23:36.760
<v Speaker 3>would likely use to impose the terriffs on pharmaceuticals is

0:23:36.800 --> 0:23:39.359
<v Speaker 3>section two thirty two of the Trade Expansion Act. And

0:23:39.400 --> 0:23:43.000
<v Speaker 3>what that section allows is if the President's Commerce Department

0:23:43.040 --> 0:23:46.679
<v Speaker 3>finds imports threatened to impair national security, the president can

0:23:46.800 --> 0:23:50.439
<v Speaker 3>quote adjust imports, and the statute also mentioned in the

0:23:50.440 --> 0:23:53.760
<v Speaker 3>headline duties, so that language is arguably a lot clearer

0:23:53.760 --> 0:23:56.720
<v Speaker 3>than the language and the emergency Statute, which merely says

0:23:56.720 --> 0:24:00.720
<v Speaker 3>the President can regulate imports but never mentions the word tariffs.

0:24:01.200 --> 0:24:03.800
<v Speaker 3>And so courts have held that section two thirty two

0:24:03.840 --> 0:24:07.240
<v Speaker 3>allows president to impose tariffs, and that section has been

0:24:07.320 --> 0:24:10.600
<v Speaker 3>used by multiple presidents to do so, whereas President Trump

0:24:10.640 --> 0:24:14.280
<v Speaker 3>is the first president to use the emergency statue to

0:24:14.320 --> 0:24:19.640
<v Speaker 3>imposed tarffs. So even if reciprocal tariffs are deemed unlawful,

0:24:19.640 --> 0:24:22.479
<v Speaker 3>it doesn't mean that the section two thirty two terraffs

0:24:22.480 --> 0:24:23.800
<v Speaker 3>will be deemed unlawful.

0:24:24.280 --> 0:24:27.600
<v Speaker 1>Okay, got it, Thanks, Holly. Really appreciate the updates on tariffs,

0:24:27.640 --> 0:24:29.880
<v Speaker 1>and I'm sure we'll be talking about them again next week.

0:24:29.920 --> 0:24:32.480
<v Speaker 1>That seems to be the name of the game right now,

0:24:33.080 --> 0:24:35.239
<v Speaker 1>but right now turning over last, but it's certainly not

0:24:35.359 --> 0:24:38.520
<v Speaker 1>leads to Matt shutting Helm down in DC. So, Matt,

0:24:38.560 --> 0:24:41.560
<v Speaker 1>I know you've been tracking developments at the Federal Communications

0:24:41.560 --> 0:24:47.520
<v Speaker 1>Commission related to broadcasting, including some significant deregulatory moves down there.

0:24:48.000 --> 0:24:50.480
<v Speaker 1>You've had some action there this week related to national

0:24:50.520 --> 0:24:52.679
<v Speaker 1>TV ownership cabs and could you tell us a.

0:24:52.680 --> 0:24:53.320
<v Speaker 2>Bit about that.

0:24:53.800 --> 0:24:57.159
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, thanks, justin. Yeah, a lot of client interest around

0:24:57.240 --> 0:25:02.040
<v Speaker 4>the potential for deregulation for the broadcast TV industry, which

0:25:02.080 --> 0:25:07.040
<v Speaker 4>has for decades been subject to these FCC rules that

0:25:07.880 --> 0:25:10.920
<v Speaker 4>all of their competitors that you know, over the Internet,

0:25:10.960 --> 0:25:13.280
<v Speaker 4>all these new ways we get video, they don't face

0:25:13.440 --> 0:25:18.119
<v Speaker 4>these sorts of limits, and yet broadcasters are still stuck

0:25:18.200 --> 0:25:21.760
<v Speaker 4>with these these these limits on how many stations they

0:25:21.760 --> 0:25:24.159
<v Speaker 4>can own and how big they can get that that

0:25:24.400 --> 0:25:27.040
<v Speaker 4>date back from from a different time, and there's a

0:25:27.200 --> 0:25:31.119
<v Speaker 4>considered push from this administration to ease those rules. We

0:25:31.160 --> 0:25:36.760
<v Speaker 4>saw the first steps towards that goal this week when

0:25:36.840 --> 0:25:40.240
<v Speaker 4>comments were filed. When the FCC asked, how should we

0:25:40.680 --> 0:25:44.080
<v Speaker 4>ease the national ownership cap. The national ownership cap is

0:25:44.119 --> 0:25:48.480
<v Speaker 4>this thirty nine percent limit on how many households TV

0:25:48.600 --> 0:25:53.920
<v Speaker 4>broadcasters can reach. We're talking about companies like Nextstar, Sinclair, Tegna,

0:25:54.359 --> 0:25:59.200
<v Speaker 4>Disney Fox, companies that own your local broadcast TV stations,

0:26:00.359 --> 0:26:03.440
<v Speaker 4>and how many stations they can own. As I said,

0:26:03.480 --> 0:26:07.320
<v Speaker 4>right now, it's thirty nine percent of the US subject

0:26:07.359 --> 0:26:10.960
<v Speaker 4>to a limit. The FCC asked for comments on how

0:26:11.040 --> 0:26:14.840
<v Speaker 4>and whether it should ease that limit or remove it entirely,

0:26:15.560 --> 0:26:20.640
<v Speaker 4>and we saw this week the every interested party filing

0:26:20.720 --> 0:26:24.639
<v Speaker 4>their opening comment about what the FCC should do, And

0:26:24.680 --> 0:26:28.720
<v Speaker 4>as I went through those, I'm not really surprised by

0:26:28.760 --> 0:26:33.280
<v Speaker 4>anything that I saw there. The broadcast broadcasters pushed strongly

0:26:33.359 --> 0:26:39.920
<v Speaker 4>for elimination of the national ownership cap. People the interests

0:26:39.960 --> 0:26:42.520
<v Speaker 4>on the other side of the negotiating table, the cable

0:26:42.560 --> 0:26:46.160
<v Speaker 4>groups that have to negotiate with the broadcasters, they say, no,

0:26:46.200 --> 0:26:48.200
<v Speaker 4>we need to keep this rule in place. It still

0:26:48.240 --> 0:26:52.439
<v Speaker 4>serves an important value. Public interest groups that like to

0:26:52.560 --> 0:26:57.520
<v Speaker 4>protect localism also defended the rule. All of that was expected,

0:26:58.080 --> 0:27:02.080
<v Speaker 4>and so I wasn't really surprised by anything we saw there.

0:27:02.200 --> 0:27:05.119
<v Speaker 4>The one thing I wanted to footnote and keep an

0:27:05.160 --> 0:27:10.360
<v Speaker 4>eye on was the opposition from Newsmax and its potential

0:27:10.480 --> 0:27:15.600
<v Speaker 4>ties to President Trump. And so the one thing I'd

0:27:15.640 --> 0:27:19.359
<v Speaker 4>be a little bit cautious of from the broadcasters perspective

0:27:19.480 --> 0:27:22.520
<v Speaker 4>is if President Trump suddenly jumps in the middle of

0:27:22.560 --> 0:27:25.119
<v Speaker 4>this in a way that we don't expect and and

0:27:25.720 --> 0:27:28.399
<v Speaker 4>so right now, I don't think that's going to happen.

0:27:28.440 --> 0:27:32.160
<v Speaker 4>But when you see Newsmax pushing hard against the deregulation,

0:27:32.800 --> 0:27:34.760
<v Speaker 4>it does make you, you know, want to keep an

0:27:34.800 --> 0:27:37.600
<v Speaker 4>eye on whether President Trump might get involved here.

0:27:38.160 --> 0:27:41.040
<v Speaker 1>Interesting it sounds like Newsmax might have the Trump card,

0:27:41.119 --> 0:27:43.280
<v Speaker 1>so to speak, at us, at least.

0:27:43.080 --> 0:27:46.680
<v Speaker 4>You want to be watchful of that possibility the day.

0:27:47.200 --> 0:27:49.439
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and I personally can't believe we haven't made that

0:27:49.560 --> 0:27:53.200
<v Speaker 1>pun on this podcast before now, either, But there you go.

0:27:53.480 --> 0:27:55.440
<v Speaker 4>I'm glad you brought us there. Yeah.

0:27:55.520 --> 0:27:58.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, So, Matt, what happens next with all of this?

0:27:59.280 --> 0:28:01.359
<v Speaker 4>Yeah? So, so I don't think the FCC is going

0:28:01.400 --> 0:28:04.600
<v Speaker 4>to take real long. Sometimes these FCC rulemakings can can

0:28:04.760 --> 0:28:10.080
<v Speaker 4>drag out for months or years. Formally, we have reply

0:28:10.200 --> 0:28:13.000
<v Speaker 4>comments due in a couple of weeks. August twenty second

0:28:13.240 --> 0:28:18.320
<v Speaker 4>is the final deadline for filing. Typically the FCC will

0:28:18.400 --> 0:28:22.400
<v Speaker 4>keep the docket open after that and take meetings with

0:28:22.600 --> 0:28:25.439
<v Speaker 4>interested parties. But I think the FCC is, you know,

0:28:25.520 --> 0:28:27.479
<v Speaker 4>not going to sit around real long on this. So

0:28:27.600 --> 0:28:30.360
<v Speaker 4>I think action in the fourth quarter is a real

0:28:30.400 --> 0:28:35.280
<v Speaker 4>possibility when the FCC will adopt a final order easing

0:28:35.400 --> 0:28:39.880
<v Speaker 4>or eliminating this national ownership cap. October twenty eighth meeting

0:28:39.880 --> 0:28:45.120
<v Speaker 4>looks like a real possibility to me. So after that,

0:28:45.160 --> 0:28:48.000
<v Speaker 4>what we're inevitably going to have a court fight about

0:28:48.040 --> 0:28:51.040
<v Speaker 4>whether the FCC can do it or not, or only

0:28:51.160 --> 0:28:55.160
<v Speaker 4>Congress can can remove this national ownership cap. I think

0:28:55.200 --> 0:28:59.240
<v Speaker 4>the FCC can win that fight. I'd give the FCC

0:28:59.280 --> 0:29:01.240
<v Speaker 4>a slight edge in that court case, but it's a

0:29:01.240 --> 0:29:04.800
<v Speaker 4>tough issue. It might depend on what court ends up

0:29:04.800 --> 0:29:07.400
<v Speaker 4>hearing this, what three judge panel ends up hearing it.

0:29:07.480 --> 0:29:09.480
<v Speaker 4>So a lot of moving pieces to come, but I

0:29:09.520 --> 0:29:11.480
<v Speaker 4>don't think we'll be waiting long. I think the FCC

0:29:11.600 --> 0:29:13.160
<v Speaker 4>will move on this by the end of the year.

0:29:13.680 --> 0:29:14.880
<v Speaker 1>Got it, Got it all right?

0:29:14.880 --> 0:29:15.480
<v Speaker 2>Thanks? So much.

0:29:15.480 --> 0:29:18.920
<v Speaker 1>Matt really appreciate that update. So thanks to all my

0:29:19.000 --> 0:29:22.360
<v Speaker 1>colleagues for joining me today. Really appreciate that. And thanks

0:29:22.480 --> 0:29:25.400
<v Speaker 1>most especially to you the listener for tuning in I'm

0:29:25.560 --> 0:29:28.400
<v Speaker 1>justin trecy and for Elliott Segin this weekend. This with

0:29:28.480 --> 0:29:36.320
<v Speaker 1>votes and verdicts.