1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action, all right. 2 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:15,040 Speaker 2: Here, we all throwing out spect We're sitting up to cash. 3 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:18,599 Speaker 1: That's all we see. Most gamblers, when they go to gamble, 4 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 1: they go to win. 5 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 2: That's incredible, big bank small. 6 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 1: I like to make money. All right. 7 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:34,160 Speaker 2: This is just the ultimate combine and we are underway. 8 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:36,199 Speaker 2: What is up? Everybody? 9 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 1: Welcome to The Action Network Podcast presentatives by bet MGM, 10 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:42,960 Speaker 1: the King of Sportsbooks. I'm your host, Chris Raybond of 11 00:00:43,000 --> 00:00:45,879 Speaker 1: The Action Network, and on today's episode, we're gonna run 12 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 1: through our top five players at each skilled positions, discuss 13 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:51,120 Speaker 1: players who are especially high and low on this week, 14 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 1: and throughout a player prop for each position. Here to 15 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 1: help me break it down, one of the most accurate 16 00:00:57,640 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 1: fantasy rankers in the game, the odds maker Sean Kerner, Sean, 17 00:01:01,640 --> 00:01:02,040 Speaker 1: what's going on? 18 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 2: It's up? Definitely had a much better week both on 19 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 2: and off the field. Bounced back with the winning week. 20 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:09,479 Speaker 2: I left the house, I went out for a little 21 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:13,039 Speaker 2: bit from my night. Football didn't get crazy, trust me. 22 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 2: Uh So, looking forward to Thursday night where we might 23 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 2: get a little crazier at the Laker game, but definitely 24 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:21,200 Speaker 2: feeling a lot better. So how are you doing? 25 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 1: That's great? Yeah, bad week for me, but I'm glad 26 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:27,759 Speaker 1: you're feeling better. I had my worst betting week. 27 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:30,119 Speaker 2: H O, gotta gotta read. 28 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:31,680 Speaker 1: I mean it was bound to happen. It was on 29 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:38,039 Speaker 1: like A two. But yeah, rebound this week, each each 30 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 1: on each other's props last week, so. 31 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 2: The book got killed. Yeah, the book got think about it. 32 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 1: Damn yes, yes, so we'll see how that goes. But 33 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: uh yeah, let's get right into it for this week 34 00:01:52,280 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 1: with quarterbacks. Who you got in your top five? 35 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:58,760 Speaker 2: Let's see. So my top five, I have Lamar Jackson 36 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 2: number one this week, and then I have Patrick Mahomes, 37 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:06,800 Speaker 2: Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts number four because that knee injury. 38 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:08,799 Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on there, and then Justin 39 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 2: Herbert number five. 40 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a good point on Hurts. I still have 41 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 1: them number two. I have Jackson one, Hurts two, Mahomes three, 42 00:02:15,639 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 1: Josh Allen fod yeah, Herbert five. But yeah, we'll see 43 00:02:18,240 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 1: what's up with with Jalen Hurts. Definitely something to monitor, 44 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 1: like the matchup against Washington. 45 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 2: But I think you said Jackson Mahomes their first second 46 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 2: ranked too. Yeah, Jackson. 47 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, just keep him away from Taylor. That's 48 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 1: what the fifties are. 49 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:40,079 Speaker 2: Saying for sure. Are you high on so? I mean 50 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:42,920 Speaker 2: it's probably a week late, but I'm high in Gardner Minshew. 51 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 2: You know, he is definitely starting to heat up with 52 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 2: back to back three hundred plus yard passing games against 53 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 2: two solid defenses too, you know, in the Jaguars and 54 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 2: Brown's last week. You know, I said, Gardner Minstry taking 55 00:02:57,080 --> 00:03:01,520 Speaker 2: over for Anthony Richardson's really good sign for you know, 56 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,640 Speaker 2: Michael Pittman and Josh Downs just because the passing volume 57 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 2: would be higher. But I didn't think, you know, Gardner 58 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 2: Minshew would break out quite like this, and he has. 59 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 2: He has another tougher matchup against the Saints this week, 60 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 2: but they've had a very easy schedule of opposing quarterbacks, 61 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 2: so they might be a tad overrated. So I have 62 00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:22,720 Speaker 2: Gardner Minshew as like a solid QB two streaming option 63 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 2: this week and just looking at you know, the rest 64 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:28,080 Speaker 2: of the season. He has a much easier schedule going forward, 65 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:32,080 Speaker 2: so he could get even better. You know, he probably 66 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 2: won't turn into a top ten quarterback, but he's a decent, 67 00:03:35,480 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 2: like medium term replacement for people that have like justin 68 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 2: fields that are looking for like a couple of weeks 69 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 2: of streaming quality quarterback play. So he opens the week 70 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 2: as my QB fourteen. Granted, there are ten quarterbacks within 71 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 2: a point of him, so we could see quite a 72 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 2: bit of shuffling in my rankings by the time we 73 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:56,080 Speaker 2: get to Sunday, but at least open the week, I'm 74 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 2: very high on Gardner Minshew, Yeah. 75 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:01,400 Speaker 1: He's my QB fifteen. Something right there with you that 76 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 1: says defense does make me a little nervous, but yeah, 77 00:04:04,400 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: I mean he's been putting up numbers. You can't really complain. 78 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 1: The coach has been playing a lot better than expected. 79 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 1: I know they dropped that game Cleveland, but I think 80 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 1: if anyone looked at the coast after seven games and 81 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 1: they were three and four and min she was putting 82 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 1: up those kind of numbers, they'll be all right. I 83 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 1: am high on Dak Prescott. I have him as a 84 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:27,679 Speaker 1: start of a quarter back this week, which hasn't always 85 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 1: been the case, but I'm inside the top ten this week. 86 00:04:31,240 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 1: He's QB seventeen in ECR and basically it comes down 87 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:38,719 Speaker 1: to him going against the Rams defense, which is not 88 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:43,040 Speaker 1: very good against the past twentieth in Dvoa. So I 89 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 1: think this is a game, you know, coming off to buy. 90 00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:47,360 Speaker 1: I'm sure they'll fix some things. I'm sure they'll still 91 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:49,560 Speaker 1: want to run the ball, but I do think that 92 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 1: this is a softer matchup. And as you mentioned, a 93 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:55,280 Speaker 1: lot of quarterbacks on by some quarterbacks on the fringe 94 00:04:55,320 --> 00:05:01,039 Speaker 1: in tougher matchups. So I like this one for Prescott 95 00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 1: against the Rams. 96 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:05,240 Speaker 2: Yeah you beat me too the outline. I was at 97 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 2: the same quarterbacks as you, but yeah, I high on 98 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:09,839 Speaker 2: him as well. And you know, just with Tony Pollard 99 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 2: really struggling on the ground this year, he shined as 100 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 2: a pass catcher, I could see them just becoming more 101 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:17,839 Speaker 2: pass heavy. Same thing, you know around the goal line. 102 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:21,159 Speaker 2: You know, Dak only has one multi touchdown game through 103 00:05:21,200 --> 00:05:24,040 Speaker 2: the air and Pollard's been struggling around there. So could 104 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:26,159 Speaker 2: set up for you know, a big second half of 105 00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 2: the season for DAK. So I'm high on him as well. 106 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:30,120 Speaker 1: Who with quarterback will one. 107 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 2: I'm low on Matthew Stafford against the Cowboys. You know, 108 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:37,119 Speaker 2: he was my QB eight last week and opens weeked 109 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:39,600 Speaker 2: is my QB twenty. It's funny how just a bunch 110 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:41,800 Speaker 2: of a difference it makes when they're six teams on 111 00:05:41,839 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 2: a by versus zero and having just a tougher matchup 112 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 2: against the Cowboys, Will you know, have a quarterback drop 113 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 2: that much in my rankings. But you know, the Cowboys 114 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:54,080 Speaker 2: have allowed the fourth fewest points per game against quarterbacks. Again, 115 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 2: you know, they're another team that's had a really easy 116 00:05:56,360 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 2: schedule of opposing quarterbacks. But they're still you know, solid 117 00:06:00,200 --> 00:06:03,720 Speaker 2: defense with Micah Parsons and Gilmour there. So you know, 118 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:07,120 Speaker 2: Stafford's been struggling lately. You know, he's been held under 119 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 2: two hundred and thirty five yards in three straight games. Obviously, 120 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 2: that's still more than enough to support not one, but 121 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:16,760 Speaker 2: two wide receiver ones and Cooper Cup and Cooper Nicoua, 122 00:06:16,880 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 2: but they're essentially their entire offense right now. So Stafford himself, 123 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 2: you know, just seems as more of a mid range, 124 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 2: maybe low end QB two option this week. I think 125 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:29,080 Speaker 2: there's a lot of much better options, especially in that 126 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 2: streaming discussion. So I'm a bet lower on Stafford this week. 127 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:36,839 Speaker 1: Yeah, Stafford is you know, been a little bit disappointing 128 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 1: considering getting cut back. You know, he thought he could 129 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 1: put up three hundred yards week in week out, but 130 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:47,440 Speaker 1: he hasn't really done that. I am low on Russell Wilson. 131 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 1: He is the QB fourteen in ECR. I have him 132 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 1: outside the top fifteen going against his Kansas City defense 133 00:06:53,920 --> 00:06:57,359 Speaker 1: again number four in pass defense DVOA. Kansas City has 134 00:06:57,400 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 1: been playing really well, you know, their best defense that 135 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:03,840 Speaker 1: they've had in the Mahomes era. And we just saw 136 00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:07,480 Speaker 1: Rusco thirteen of twenty two for ninety five yards against 137 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 1: this defense, touchdown a couple of picks and only thirty 138 00:07:12,560 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 1: one yards rushing, so you didn't really make up for 139 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:17,360 Speaker 1: it on the ground and took four sacks. Just really 140 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:21,680 Speaker 1: didn't look comfortable. Didn't look like guys were getting open 141 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 1: against Kansas City, which is not surprising. And you never 142 00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 1: know when Denver is gonna end up fire sailing. You know, 143 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 1: Judy might be on a move, so even Sutton, so 144 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 1: you know know what kind of receiving corps he's gonna 145 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 1: have this week as we talk on Tuesday. So either way, 146 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 1: even if he's got his full compliment, just what we've 147 00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 1: seen against this defense from him and what we've seen 148 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:45,240 Speaker 1: from this defense, I don't think you can trust him 149 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 1: this week. 150 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:50,240 Speaker 2: Yeah great, three straight games under two hundredards passing, No 151 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 2: way you can trust him this week. 152 00:07:52,280 --> 00:07:56,680 Speaker 1: All right, let's go quarterback prop Let's go with Gardner 153 00:07:56,720 --> 00:08:02,080 Speaker 1: Minshew passing yards. Let's go two hundred and thirty five 154 00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:02,559 Speaker 1: and a half. 155 00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:07,440 Speaker 2: Oh fuck, sorry, Oh I have I have, I have 156 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 2: I have, I have it at two thirty five. Okay, 157 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 2: So that's a really good line. I can't believe you 158 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 2: couldn't give me at least a couple of yards of 159 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 2: buffer here. 160 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:20,720 Speaker 1: I mean, that's exactly where I have it, to be 161 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:21,160 Speaker 1: honest with you. 162 00:08:21,200 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 2: So yeah, just give me the Yeah. No, I figured many. 163 00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 1: Times I I, you know, fudge him a little bit, 164 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:29,080 Speaker 1: but this is just mine. I'm just I'm just curious, 165 00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:31,320 Speaker 1: is how you're a projected mention because it's, you know, 166 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:34,000 Speaker 1: one hand, you have him putting up yardage, but on 167 00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 1: the other hand, the Saints defense has been on point, 168 00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 1: like even Trevor Lawrence last year two hundred and four yards. 169 00:08:38,920 --> 00:08:41,040 Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm gonna have to go under there. I 170 00:08:41,080 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 2: still like him, obviously, you know, the rushing output last 171 00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:45,360 Speaker 2: week is in something we could bank on. We can 172 00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 2: make out. Yeah, two what two touchdowns with his legs 173 00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 2: and like thirty yards, but I still think you know 174 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:54,839 Speaker 2: there should be you know, some passing touch on upside. 175 00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:56,679 Speaker 2: They do have a pretty high team total. I think 176 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:58,880 Speaker 2: it's around twenty two and a half, so I think 177 00:08:58,920 --> 00:09:01,040 Speaker 2: you could get there with a couple passing touchdowns. But 178 00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:04,079 Speaker 2: I'm gonna lean under here the two thirty five and 179 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:05,720 Speaker 2: a half. Like I said, I have it at two 180 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:08,840 Speaker 2: thirty five exactly, so I am very close to your 181 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:09,520 Speaker 2: production here. 182 00:09:10,720 --> 00:09:13,720 Speaker 1: It be interesting and you know what everyone loves, Sean, 183 00:09:13,800 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 1: and that's compliments. Compliments are guaranteed. 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Okay, 215 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:17,440 Speaker 2: I can't believe it, but that's where he is right now. 216 00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 2: And then you know more of the standard Austin Eckler, 217 00:11:20,360 --> 00:11:22,840 Speaker 2: Alvin Kamara, Tony Pollard to wrap it up. 218 00:11:23,480 --> 00:11:30,559 Speaker 1: Interesting, I got McCaffrey, Barkley, Kamara, Etn and Ekwer Nice. 219 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 2: I mean, I'm assuming David Montgomery is out to get 220 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:36,800 Speaker 2: Jamiir Gibbs up to number two. There's there's a chance 221 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:39,440 Speaker 2: Montgomery returns this week. I hope he does, but it 222 00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:43,040 Speaker 2: was fun to see if Montgomery is out, how high 223 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:45,360 Speaker 2: I have Jamier Gibbs am my rankings? How are you 224 00:11:45,400 --> 00:11:49,559 Speaker 2: projecting that backfill right now? By the way, yeah, Monty 225 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:53,479 Speaker 2: returning at least like getting some touches, No, I don't. 226 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 1: I just have I just have Gibbs and Reynolds and 227 00:11:57,040 --> 00:12:01,960 Speaker 1: some carry for the third guy. Yeah, so gives my six. 228 00:12:02,040 --> 00:12:05,000 Speaker 2: So he's right there. Oh okay, okay, so I'm not 229 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:07,840 Speaker 2: that crazy. Just you know, he probably would have seen 230 00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:11,319 Speaker 2: a much bigger workload if the Lions had the ball 231 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:15,319 Speaker 2: for like any amount of time against the Ravens. But 232 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:17,680 Speaker 2: it was such a blowout he didn't. He saw eleven carries, 233 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 2: But I think it could have been a lot more 234 00:12:19,280 --> 00:12:22,000 Speaker 2: great matchup against Vegas. So yeah, like he could be 235 00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 2: a top five running back this week? Who I am 236 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 2: high on Cuba Hubbard against the you know, the Texans 237 00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:31,719 Speaker 2: this week. And you know, a few weeks ago, I 238 00:12:31,920 --> 00:12:35,080 Speaker 2: came up with a new metric. I called it expected 239 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:38,480 Speaker 2: rostership percentage. So what I did was I used my 240 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:41,760 Speaker 2: like running back upside ratings, where I asked, mate, you 241 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:43,719 Speaker 2: know what the running backs value would be rest of 242 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:47,040 Speaker 2: season if the starting running back were healthy, if the 243 00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:50,000 Speaker 2: starting running back were out of the lineup, and also 244 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,840 Speaker 2: factoring the percent chance that the backup could even overtake 245 00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:55,840 Speaker 2: the starting running back. And you know, Hubbard led the 246 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:58,720 Speaker 2: way by far with like a plus twenty four percent rating. 247 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 2: I thought he should have been rostered in twenty four 248 00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:05,560 Speaker 2: percent of leagues or more so. It is criminal how 249 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:09,200 Speaker 2: available he was in most leagues. And sure enough, it 250 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:12,040 Speaker 2: looks like he's forced at least a you know, fifty 251 00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 2: to fifty committee with Sanders at least short term, so 252 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 2: you know, he should be a high end RB three 253 00:13:18,080 --> 00:13:21,400 Speaker 2: flex this week against the Texans, and there is you know, 254 00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:23,959 Speaker 2: a real chance he just ends up becoming the Panthers 255 00:13:24,040 --> 00:13:27,360 Speaker 2: lead back outright. Not to mention, you know, Sanders is 256 00:13:27,400 --> 00:13:30,880 Speaker 2: also dealing with growing shoulder injuries the past few weeks. 257 00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 2: I don't even know if he's going to be ready 258 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 2: after the bye. So I am once again begging you 259 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:38,480 Speaker 2: people just to stop puddle jumping from you know, Keanta 260 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:41,520 Speaker 2: Ingram to Latavious Murray whoever the flavor of the week 261 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 2: is and just add Tube Hooverard if he's available. He 262 00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 2: shouldn't be, but he is. He is a great long 263 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:52,079 Speaker 2: term option, short term option. He should be rostered pretty 264 00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:54,240 Speaker 2: much every league, and he has a great matchup this week. 265 00:13:55,200 --> 00:14:01,080 Speaker 2: Moving on Emery de Marcado against the Rave this week, 266 00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:03,720 Speaker 2: I like him as like an RB three flex option. 267 00:14:04,520 --> 00:14:07,400 Speaker 2: But you know, not only did De Mercado remain the 268 00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 2: lead passing bet for the you know Cardinals last week, 269 00:14:10,960 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 2: he also took over as the early down back and 270 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:17,040 Speaker 2: shortyards back, so he became the true workhorse back for 271 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:21,600 Speaker 2: the Cardinals this week. Kanty Ingram played one snap, so 272 00:14:21,880 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 2: you know, he has been completely taken over. You know, 273 00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 2: I didn't expect that total dominance for de Mercado in 274 00:14:28,800 --> 00:14:31,320 Speaker 2: terms of usage, but he is clearly you know, the 275 00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:34,480 Speaker 2: lead back going forward until Connor can return. And while 276 00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:37,400 Speaker 2: this is you know, a tougher matchup against the Ravens, 277 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:39,480 Speaker 2: since he is the pass catching back, it should be 278 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:41,680 Speaker 2: a trailing game script, I think he could still get 279 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 2: there with like a handful of catches, So I'm trusting 280 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 2: him even though there's no teams go to buy this 281 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:50,160 Speaker 2: week as like an RB three flex option this week. 282 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, that was surprising. It's kind of tough. He I mean, 283 00:14:53,200 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 1: this is the new Shanahan backfield. I feel like from 284 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 1: back in the day where it's just never know who's 285 00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:01,360 Speaker 1: gonna touch the ball, because I mean everyone was on 286 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 1: Democado the week before and he did nothing and it 287 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 1: was Ingram and now Ingram just. 288 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 2: A Damian Williams come out of nowhere with you know, 289 00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:13,720 Speaker 2: nine touches or whatever. So yeah, it's it's unpredictable, but 290 00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:16,320 Speaker 2: I think as of now we can at least safely 291 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 2: assume that it is demarcrot out at least for the 292 00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:22,800 Speaker 2: short term. But yeah, this was gonna be unpredictable. I 293 00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 2: had the Kanta Ingram under his rushing prop and at 294 00:15:25,760 --> 00:15:27,400 Speaker 2: one point we were just rooting for him to play 295 00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:29,720 Speaker 2: a snap, so the problem to be valid. Like he 296 00:15:29,760 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 2: didn't play a single snap the first half. I guess 297 00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:34,760 Speaker 2: he came in like briefly for one play in the 298 00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:37,200 Speaker 2: second half. But yeah, that was just bizarre to see 299 00:15:37,240 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 2: him completely, you know, phased out like that. 300 00:15:39,640 --> 00:15:43,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it does worry me because, yeah, I don't 301 00:15:43,280 --> 00:15:45,800 Speaker 1: know who who's gonna I mean, it's gotta be one 302 00:15:45,840 --> 00:15:48,000 Speaker 1: of those three because they released Tony Jones, so I 303 00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:52,240 Speaker 1: guess they'll probably elevate Williams again. And yeah, that was 304 00:15:52,520 --> 00:16:00,480 Speaker 1: really weird. I am high on Devin Singletary. Singletary. The 305 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:02,480 Speaker 1: Texans are coming off of buy so people might not 306 00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:07,160 Speaker 1: remember that Singletary and Damian Pierce split touches thirteen apiece 307 00:16:07,400 --> 00:16:10,160 Speaker 1: in the last game against the Saints before the bye, 308 00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 1: and Singletary out snapped Peers fifty thirty three percent. Sees 309 00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:19,600 Speaker 1: a lot more work in the passing game and had 310 00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:23,360 Speaker 1: only one fewer carries. So that is something that I 311 00:16:23,440 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 1: did hear. You know, the coach coach's staff for the 312 00:16:26,760 --> 00:16:29,240 Speaker 1: Texans kind of talk about how you know Pierce was 313 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 1: was leaving some yardage on the field and then lo 314 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 1: and behold, Singletary out snaps him in that next game. 315 00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 1: So I think coming out of the by UH probably 316 00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:39,520 Speaker 1: should expect a fifty to fifty split or somewhere around 317 00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 1: there with these two. But there's a chance Singletary could 318 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:46,400 Speaker 1: continue to operate as that number one back because you know, 319 00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 1: different scheme than Piers had last year with the with 320 00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 1: slow it coming in, so Singletary has just played better 321 00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 1: in that scheme and they are going against that Carolina 322 00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:58,400 Speaker 1: defense that's dead last in DVLA against the run. So 323 00:16:58,400 --> 00:17:01,880 Speaker 1: it's a great matchup. But here Singletary is the RB 324 00:17:01,920 --> 00:17:04,840 Speaker 1: forty one in consensus. I have him as the RB 325 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:09,800 Speaker 1: thirty so like him and cam Akers as well, he's 326 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:14,359 Speaker 1: the RB fifty eight in consensus. I think he's going 327 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:18,080 Speaker 1: to start eating into Alexander Madison's work. Where we saw 328 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:21,919 Speaker 1: that in the Monday Night game, the snap counts was 329 00:17:22,320 --> 00:17:26,760 Speaker 1: thirty seven for Madison, twenty seven for Acres, so about 330 00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:29,600 Speaker 1: fifty three percent for Madison thirty nine percent for Acres. 331 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:33,359 Speaker 1: So now you're going against a Green Bay defense that 332 00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 1: struggles on the ground. They are twenty six in Dvoa 333 00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:40,679 Speaker 1: against a run. And we saw Acres closing out that 334 00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:43,280 Speaker 1: game for Minnesota when they had a lead, you know, 335 00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:45,320 Speaker 1: waiting a game in that fourth quarter. It was Acres, 336 00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 1: not Madison on the field, So that's kind of indicative 337 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:50,520 Speaker 1: of you we might finally be seeing a change in 338 00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:52,280 Speaker 1: of the guard. So another backfield where I think it 339 00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:56,320 Speaker 1: could be a lot closer to fifty to fifty than 340 00:17:56,359 --> 00:18:00,080 Speaker 1: we've seen in the past. So like Acres as a 341 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:03,200 Speaker 1: you know, kind of flex option this week, whereas he's 342 00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:05,120 Speaker 1: still way out there in ECR. 343 00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:08,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, that was bound to happen, you know, akers eating 344 00:18:08,640 --> 00:18:11,959 Speaker 2: in the Madison's work. Loved the singletary call. He reminds 345 00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:14,800 Speaker 2: me of like Chewba Hubbard, where he's technically the backup, 346 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:19,199 Speaker 2: but any given week he could leap frog Damian Pearson. 347 00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:22,320 Speaker 2: That seems to be underway. So yeah, I love that 348 00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:22,880 Speaker 2: call as well. 349 00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:23,920 Speaker 1: Who are you low on? 350 00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:27,439 Speaker 2: I'm low on Brian Robinson again this week. I was 351 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:29,520 Speaker 2: loan him last week because I hinted there was a 352 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:32,680 Speaker 2: chance that Chris Rodriguez was going to start eating into 353 00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:35,679 Speaker 2: his early down work, and that's what happened. You know, 354 00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:40,400 Speaker 2: Rodriguez managed to out rush Robinson on seven carries versus 355 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:44,320 Speaker 2: Robinson's eight carries, and like I said last week, Robinson 356 00:18:44,320 --> 00:18:46,879 Speaker 2: can't afford to lose any early down work just because 357 00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:50,920 Speaker 2: Antonio Gibson's already dominating the passing down work. The Commanders 358 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:53,160 Speaker 2: are just a pass heavy team in general this year 359 00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 2: under Eric the Enemy, so there isn't much you know, 360 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:59,679 Speaker 2: early downwork to go around. But now this is you know, 361 00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:02,919 Speaker 2: for into potentially more of a fifty to fifty committee. 362 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:05,600 Speaker 2: I mean, next week, Chris Rodriguez could go back to 363 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:08,439 Speaker 2: having zero touches for all I know, but he was 364 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 2: the more efficient back and we were kind of worried 365 00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:14,280 Speaker 2: about that anyways heading into the season. So Robinson's going 366 00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 2: up against the eagles elite run defense should be a 367 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:20,639 Speaker 2: you know, trailing pass heavy game script. I don't know 368 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:23,880 Speaker 2: why the ECR has Robinson at RB twenty seven right now, 369 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:27,360 Speaker 2: but I'm outside of my top thirty five. And then 370 00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:30,440 Speaker 2: my other running back on the loan will be pretty controversial. 371 00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:34,840 Speaker 2: It's Deontay Foreman. You know, he looked amazing last week. 372 00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:37,719 Speaker 2: I can't keep calling him dollar store Derek Henry right now, 373 00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:41,720 Speaker 2: He's he's basically present day Derrick Henry. I mean, he's 374 00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:46,280 Speaker 2: looked legit. So he had the perfect game script in 375 00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:48,679 Speaker 2: the blowout against the Raiders last week. You know, Roshan 376 00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:52,200 Speaker 2: Johnson missed another game due to you know, he's still 377 00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:55,760 Speaker 2: in the concussion protocol, although there is a belief he 378 00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:58,280 Speaker 2: can return this week. And I'm at the point where, 379 00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:01,159 Speaker 2: even if ro Shawn Johnson returns, I still think Foreman 380 00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:03,439 Speaker 2: has earned the right to be the lead back going forward. 381 00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:06,280 Speaker 2: So I think Roshan will only cut into his early 382 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,800 Speaker 2: down work a little bit. But you know, this is 383 00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:11,200 Speaker 2: you know, a matchup against the Chargers where I think 384 00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:13,800 Speaker 2: they're what ten point underdogs. It's going to be a 385 00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:16,160 Speaker 2: more pass heavy game script that's not really a great 386 00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:19,800 Speaker 2: game script for Foreman. So we could see Roshawn Darrington, 387 00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:23,320 Speaker 2: Evan Travis Homer really start to eat into his receiving usage. 388 00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:25,600 Speaker 2: So I'm a little bit down on Foreman this week, 389 00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:27,520 Speaker 2: assuming Roshan Johnson returns. 390 00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:31,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean this this bears backfield now. You know, 391 00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 1: it seems like a wet down spot. You know, they 392 00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:36,160 Speaker 1: beat the Raiders, starting to back up, now they gotta 393 00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:39,639 Speaker 1: go traded a much tougher matchup is coming up a 394 00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:42,120 Speaker 1: bunch of a couple of losses. So I am low 395 00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:45,280 Speaker 1: on Alexander Madison, which you know is just kind of 396 00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:49,080 Speaker 1: the opposite of being high on Acres. But Madison's the 397 00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:51,760 Speaker 1: RB twenty seven in ECR. I have him outside of 398 00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:55,440 Speaker 1: the top twenty five, closer to thirty. He again only 399 00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,800 Speaker 1: outsnapped Acres by ten snaps. He's been averaging fewer yards 400 00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:02,439 Speaker 1: for carry than Acres on the year, of fewer yards 401 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 1: per catching Acres on the year. And in that fourth quarter, 402 00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:07,760 Speaker 1: Madison got two touches, Acres got five, and Acres five 403 00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:09,600 Speaker 1: were the last five and that was a close game 404 00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:13,560 Speaker 1: down the stretch, so that that could signify a changing 405 00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,879 Speaker 1: of the guard. I don't think you want to have 406 00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:18,439 Speaker 1: to start Madison if you can help it. Now. I 407 00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 1: know everyone's running back depth is just a visceratus that 408 00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:24,960 Speaker 1: you might have to but I would just temper expectations 409 00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:27,520 Speaker 1: and hopefully you could start him as you know, flex 410 00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:29,479 Speaker 1: or something. You don't have to start him as an 411 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:33,920 Speaker 1: RB two. And Aaron Jones as well. You know, Minnesota 412 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:37,919 Speaker 1: is number twelve in run defense DVOA, and we just 413 00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:41,040 Speaker 1: haven't really seen Aaron Jones handle the same kind of 414 00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:43,879 Speaker 1: workload that you know we've seen him handle in the past. 415 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:47,359 Speaker 1: I don't know exactly where his health is at, but 416 00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:50,399 Speaker 1: he had a game where he should have had a 417 00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:55,040 Speaker 1: good game against the Denver Broncos, and AJ Dillon had 418 00:21:55,080 --> 00:22:00,440 Speaker 1: seventeen touches. Jones only had eleven. And I just don't 419 00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:02,439 Speaker 1: know if we can count on Jones to get, you know, 420 00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:06,520 Speaker 1: enough of this backfield share going forward with Dylan, you know, 421 00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,160 Speaker 1: fifty six percent of the snaps last game to Jones 422 00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:12,520 Speaker 1: just thirty six. You know it might be doing more 423 00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:15,359 Speaker 1: in that Jones role from last year. So I don't 424 00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:18,359 Speaker 1: think he should be a top twenty back. He's RB 425 00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:22,720 Speaker 1: nineteen in ECR. But another guy I think is more 426 00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:25,560 Speaker 1: of a you know, flex RB three flex option than 427 00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:28,440 Speaker 1: RB two this week, All right, where are you going 428 00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:29,399 Speaker 1: for your proplem? 429 00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:32,880 Speaker 2: Well, since you're high on Acres and Loan Madison, you're 430 00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:35,520 Speaker 2: gonna love this prop. I had this before I saw 431 00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:37,440 Speaker 2: who you're high and low on. But we're going to 432 00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:41,560 Speaker 2: compare the two. Okay, in rushing yards, So Alexander Madison 433 00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:44,160 Speaker 2: versus cam Akers and rushing yards, there is a spread here. 434 00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:48,520 Speaker 2: I have Alexander Madison minus six and a half yards. 435 00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:49,440 Speaker 2: Who are you taking? 436 00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:56,359 Speaker 1: I will go give me acres Cuz you know I 437 00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:58,679 Speaker 1: have two outs. I have Oux where Madison can continue 438 00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:02,080 Speaker 1: to be less EFFICI and I have the out of 439 00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:05,199 Speaker 1: Acres who could just swep frog him, So I'll take Acres. 440 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:06,080 Speaker 1: That's a good line. 441 00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:06,720 Speaker 2: You know. 442 00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:09,040 Speaker 1: I think he still expected Madison to have a couple 443 00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:12,720 Speaker 1: more carries, but it's gotten a lot closer. So yeah, 444 00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:15,440 Speaker 1: wide receiver, who are your top five? 445 00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:21,080 Speaker 2: Uh? Tyreek Hill, Stefan Diggs, Jamar Chase, Keenan Allen and 446 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:22,000 Speaker 2: Cooper Cup. 447 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:26,320 Speaker 1: Uh, yeah, I got it. Actually, no Giggs, Actually just Gigs. 448 00:23:26,359 --> 00:23:27,280 Speaker 1: Giggs is number one. 449 00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:29,360 Speaker 2: Have Gigs Nice Hill. 450 00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:33,399 Speaker 1: Number A, J. Brown, Cooper Cupp, and Keenan Allen. AJ 451 00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 1: Brown right there versus Tyreek. Let's see, wait, where do 452 00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:39,080 Speaker 1: you have AJ Brown? 453 00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:43,760 Speaker 2: Third? Oh? Third? Okay? Yeah, because he's going for what 454 00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:46,920 Speaker 2: is it, like game number four or five in a row, 455 00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:48,520 Speaker 2: with like one hundred and twenty five, he could break 456 00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:48,920 Speaker 2: the record. 457 00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:54,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean he's definitely separated himself from Avonte Smith. 458 00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:56,359 Speaker 1: And yeah he has five straight games that we used 459 00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:59,879 Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty seven receiving yards. 460 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:03,040 Speaker 2: So yeah, one more. I think he breaks the record. 461 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:05,000 Speaker 2: So this is similar like week eighteen. You know we 462 00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:08,200 Speaker 2: talked about incentives and things for props. I think they're 463 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,040 Speaker 2: going to try to get him there. So something to 464 00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:12,119 Speaker 2: consider when it comes to is I guess is you 465 00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:15,680 Speaker 2: know projections for this week and is player prop? Yeah? 466 00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:17,399 Speaker 1: Good point? Or who are high on? 467 00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,480 Speaker 2: I'm high on Drake London. Finally I get to be 468 00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:23,359 Speaker 2: high on Drake London. But you know, he's really starting 469 00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:26,320 Speaker 2: to heat up with six or more receptions and three 470 00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:29,439 Speaker 2: straight games. You know he's seeing a much higher target 471 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,240 Speaker 2: share week to week. And this is just a great 472 00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:35,720 Speaker 2: matchup against a pass funnel Titans defense. They ranked dead 473 00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:39,480 Speaker 2: last in DVOA against number one wide receivers and there's 474 00:24:39,520 --> 00:24:42,760 Speaker 2: probably no clear number one wide receiver in the league 475 00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:46,360 Speaker 2: than Drake London. And you know I have him as 476 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:49,119 Speaker 2: my wide receiver twenty two this week and east Yer 477 00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:50,960 Speaker 2: still has him outside the top thirty. I don't I 478 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:54,280 Speaker 2: don't get it based on the matchup and his recent play, 479 00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:56,520 Speaker 2: but I'm super high on Drake London this week. I've 480 00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:59,640 Speaker 2: been waiting for a while to say that, and I'm 481 00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:02,280 Speaker 2: still on Josh Palmer. I don't get why e CR 482 00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:05,439 Speaker 2: is still so low on him, but not sure what 483 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:07,320 Speaker 2: he has to do to prove it to people. But 484 00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:10,920 Speaker 2: he's continuing to produce without Mike Williams. Last week he 485 00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 2: had that massive five catch one hundred and thirty three 486 00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:16,760 Speaker 2: yard game, has another. He has an easy matchup this 487 00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:19,720 Speaker 2: week against the Bears, and I think, you know, the 488 00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:22,919 Speaker 2: Quentin Johnson is already a bust hype is overblown. I 489 00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:26,000 Speaker 2: think you know, he was going to have some growing pains. 490 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:29,159 Speaker 2: He's not quite ready for the big leagues yet, and 491 00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:31,400 Speaker 2: he was just kind of forced into the elevated role 492 00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:34,879 Speaker 2: due to Mike Williams being out. But that's kind of benefited, 493 00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:38,560 Speaker 2: you know, Palmer, at least in the short term. You know, 494 00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,440 Speaker 2: Herbert just looking his way. He's the clear number two 495 00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 2: receiver right now, so he's my wide receiver nineteen. Again, 496 00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:47,520 Speaker 2: He's in my top twenty this weekend. Like I said, 497 00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,119 Speaker 2: ECR has him outside of the top thirty, still at 498 00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:51,520 Speaker 2: wide receiver thirty five. 499 00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:54,760 Speaker 1: Drake London's looking really good, making plays every game, and 500 00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:58,159 Speaker 1: Palmer had the big game and this is much easier 501 00:25:58,200 --> 00:26:02,760 Speaker 1: matchup for Palmer, so like him as well. I'm high 502 00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:08,160 Speaker 1: on Garrett Wilson he is my wide receiver twenty two. 503 00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:10,800 Speaker 1: He's wide receiver twenty five in ECR. I think it's 504 00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:13,520 Speaker 1: a good matchup for him going against the Giants. They 505 00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:18,120 Speaker 1: are twenty third in DVOA against number one wide receivers. 506 00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,520 Speaker 1: Wilson continues to be on the field almost every snap, 507 00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:25,400 Speaker 1: playing about ninety seven percent of the past snaps. And 508 00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,760 Speaker 1: you know, coming off to buy might sleep on him 509 00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:30,640 Speaker 1: a bit, but he put up a pretty good game 510 00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:34,199 Speaker 1: last time out ninety yards and I think, you know, 511 00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:36,639 Speaker 1: any he's the Jets passing game right now. You know, 512 00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:39,320 Speaker 1: there's really nobody else. He got CoV and Lazard, all 513 00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:43,159 Speaker 1: these former packers, so you know, Zach Wilson's been a 514 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:46,480 Speaker 1: little bit better as of late. And I think against 515 00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,239 Speaker 1: this match in this matchup, I think you're gonna get 516 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:50,959 Speaker 1: some one on ones because we know wink Wi likes 517 00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:53,960 Speaker 1: to blitz. So like Garrett Wilson here with the Jets 518 00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 1: going against the Giants. 519 00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:57,440 Speaker 2: Where'd you have h ranked again? 520 00:26:57,920 --> 00:26:58,360 Speaker 1: Twenty two? 521 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:01,040 Speaker 2: Okay, nice, I'm right there with you, Like wide receiver 522 00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:03,960 Speaker 2: twenty Actually I was. I was surprised. Yeah, like finally, finally, 523 00:27:04,040 --> 00:27:07,560 Speaker 2: Garrett Wilson's you know, thriving with Zach Wilson under center. 524 00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:13,800 Speaker 2: I'm low on Nico Collins. You know, I've been high 525 00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:15,880 Speaker 2: on Nico Collins for like three years now. I think 526 00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:19,280 Speaker 2: I was two years too early, but you know, he's 527 00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:22,720 Speaker 2: finally having his breakout year. However, just this week, I'm 528 00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:24,679 Speaker 2: a little bit lower on him. I have him at 529 00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:27,680 Speaker 2: wide receiver thirty. ECR is super high on him that 530 00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:31,280 Speaker 2: he's wide receiver nineteen right now. And this really has 531 00:27:31,320 --> 00:27:34,280 Speaker 2: nothing to do against Colins specifically, just wanted to mention 532 00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 2: just how crowded the Texans wide receiver room could be 533 00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:41,520 Speaker 2: this week. But you know, Noah Brown returned the week 534 00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:45,000 Speaker 2: before the bye, and whether we agree with the decision 535 00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:48,400 Speaker 2: or not, he could command plenty of snaps going forward, 536 00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:51,320 Speaker 2: and then Tank Dell could return this week as well, 537 00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:55,240 Speaker 2: just making this wide receiver room even more crowded. And 538 00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:58,280 Speaker 2: you know, Collins has been topping out around a seventy 539 00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:00,680 Speaker 2: five percent routes run rate, so he's just been really 540 00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:03,120 Speaker 2: efficient in his routes. You know, he's commanded a really 541 00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:07,720 Speaker 2: high target share, and we've also seen Dalton Schultz starting 542 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:11,240 Speaker 2: starting to see like a really good boost in target rates. 543 00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:13,840 Speaker 2: So I just could see like a slight dip in 544 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,879 Speaker 2: production from Nico, He's still probably a must start in 545 00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:19,200 Speaker 2: most formats. I just view him as more of a 546 00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 2: wide receiver three option than like almost a mid range 547 00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:25,320 Speaker 2: wide receiver two like ECR right now. So still a 548 00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:28,000 Speaker 2: little bit lower on Nico this week, and then I'm 549 00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:30,560 Speaker 2: low on DeAndre Hopkins. You know, it sounds like we're 550 00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:32,800 Speaker 2: gonna get some sort of combo of Will Levis and 551 00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:36,840 Speaker 2: Malik Willis enter center this week. We'll be interesting to 552 00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:40,120 Speaker 2: see how that goes. Not that Tannehill has been great 553 00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:43,200 Speaker 2: this year, but this is just a mess, and it's 554 00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:45,960 Speaker 2: really gonna hurt someone like a top target like DeAndre 555 00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:50,000 Speaker 2: Hopkins anytime you inject this sort of volatility, and he 556 00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:52,560 Speaker 2: typically needs like a ton of volume to really produce 557 00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,480 Speaker 2: in fantasy. So this could be just a more run 558 00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:59,400 Speaker 2: heavy game plan than usual for the Titans. So he's 559 00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:02,560 Speaker 2: actually outside of my wide receiver flex tier right now 560 00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:05,360 Speaker 2: with zero teams on a buy, so he's probably a 561 00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:06,680 Speaker 2: sit this week in most leagues. 562 00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, Hopkins is way way out of there. He's outside 563 00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:11,680 Speaker 1: my top forty as well. 564 00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:14,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, just a lot of. 565 00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:17,720 Speaker 1: Question marks with that Tennessee passing game without Tannahim on 566 00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:23,600 Speaker 1: the lineup. I am low on Courtland Sutton this week. 567 00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:26,760 Speaker 1: He's the wide receiver twenty seven in ECR, but he's 568 00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:29,880 Speaker 1: going against Kansas City. They're number two in DVOA against 569 00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:34,720 Speaker 1: number one wide receivers, and Sutton's been getting kind of 570 00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:37,520 Speaker 1: lucky with his fantasy production. He scored in four of 571 00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:41,760 Speaker 1: his past five games, but without those touchdowns, he would 572 00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:46,240 Speaker 1: have been in slow mid to low single digits in 573 00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:50,240 Speaker 1: half PPR in each of those games. So I think 574 00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:53,320 Speaker 1: in this one, you know, there's a like he's gonna 575 00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:57,440 Speaker 1: eventually not catch a touchdown, and when he does, I 576 00:29:57,520 --> 00:29:59,440 Speaker 1: just don't see the efficiency being able to make up for, 577 00:29:59,560 --> 00:30:02,440 Speaker 1: especially way Russell Wilson played a couple of weeks ago 578 00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:06,560 Speaker 1: against this Kansas City defense, So I think Sutton's pretty risky. 579 00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:09,040 Speaker 1: I have him outside my top thirty this week, and 580 00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:12,320 Speaker 1: I think wide receiver thirty five, so I'm about eighth 581 00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:14,720 Speaker 1: spots weller than an ECR on soon. 582 00:30:15,120 --> 00:30:17,560 Speaker 2: Right there with you. He's my wide receiver thirty seven. 583 00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,040 Speaker 1: All right, to see what do we want to do 584 00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:23,080 Speaker 1: for prop Let's go jameson Williams. 585 00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:28,040 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, ah Man, good luck setting this one. Let's 586 00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:29,440 Speaker 2: go with. 587 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:32,920 Speaker 1: Yeh, this is such a tough one. 588 00:30:33,520 --> 00:30:35,600 Speaker 2: I had my guests written down this time. What do 589 00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:36,400 Speaker 2: you do last week? 590 00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:40,200 Speaker 1: Let's see nothing? Zero oh zero zip zero. 591 00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:45,320 Speaker 2: The typical jamis mornybody can run like three times as 592 00:30:45,360 --> 00:30:46,360 Speaker 2: many routes run. 593 00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:48,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, six targets, no catches. 594 00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:52,840 Speaker 2: Oh you had six targets brow Oh now. 595 00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:55,600 Speaker 1: It brings him to a cool five catches on twenty 596 00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:56,800 Speaker 1: one career targets. 597 00:30:57,080 --> 00:31:00,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, well he is a deep target. But still that's 598 00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:04,360 Speaker 2: that's not good. It's not it's not good catch right 599 00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:04,800 Speaker 2: this year? 600 00:31:05,560 --> 00:31:08,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, so we're gonna go. 601 00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:15,240 Speaker 2: This is brutal man. Oh I gotta go under. Yeah, 602 00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:17,280 Speaker 2: that's a good line. It's not even be close. Right, 603 00:31:17,280 --> 00:31:18,480 Speaker 2: it's not gonna be like twenty. 604 00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:20,960 Speaker 1: He's averaging a little over thirteen to catch. So I'm 605 00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:24,240 Speaker 1: just I just essentially, I didn't. I just took two times, 606 00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:25,840 Speaker 1: like two catches, can get two catches. 607 00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:29,480 Speaker 2: It's gonna be zero or fifty, let's face it. But yeah, 608 00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:32,480 Speaker 2: Antoine Green getting more routes is just nothing. That player 609 00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:36,000 Speaker 2: running wind sprints, so it gives them a I guess 610 00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:38,680 Speaker 2: a chance, but I think you know, yeah, like Jamior 611 00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:43,400 Speaker 2: Gibbs running more routes hurts somebody like him. It's just 612 00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:45,840 Speaker 2: I can't believe you did that to yourself. Just setting 613 00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:48,600 Speaker 2: a median projection for Jamis and Williams right now is 614 00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:49,760 Speaker 2: pretty much impossible. 615 00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:52,000 Speaker 1: So I mean, yeah, it's a fun one though, because 616 00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:53,640 Speaker 1: I think, I mean, I just try to set them 617 00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:55,720 Speaker 1: the ones that are like tough to project and that 618 00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:58,160 Speaker 1: people might because I know people that you know, if 619 00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,560 Speaker 1: you have Jamis and Williams, you're probably like, all right, 620 00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:02,600 Speaker 1: where am I going to get to use him? And 621 00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:05,239 Speaker 1: he had a touchdown, he looked good, and then all 622 00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:07,560 Speaker 1: of a sudden, you know, you know what I'm. 623 00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:09,600 Speaker 2: Going to do next week, I'm gonna I'm going to 624 00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:12,960 Speaker 2: do that. Will he finish between like will he finish 625 00:32:13,040 --> 00:32:16,360 Speaker 2: between thirteen and a half and thirty one and a 626 00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:19,640 Speaker 2: half yards? Like inside or outside of that? That's going 627 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:21,360 Speaker 2: to be the fun way to project them. 628 00:32:22,520 --> 00:32:25,280 Speaker 1: There what I mean on this pod that was the 629 00:32:25,280 --> 00:32:26,760 Speaker 1: guy I was low on last week. 630 00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:30,200 Speaker 2: So that it's you know, and on the season too, 631 00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:32,160 Speaker 2: right an all time fade. 632 00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:37,560 Speaker 1: Hey, Yes, it's it's like Unfortunately, if the one thing 633 00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:39,240 Speaker 1: I was I want to be wrong about is just 634 00:32:39,240 --> 00:32:41,560 Speaker 1: stop giving Madison carries like at this point, I'm just 635 00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:45,400 Speaker 1: tired of seeing Madison bang into right nobody. You know, 636 00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:47,840 Speaker 1: It's like, geezus, just give us some cam makers or. 637 00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:52,680 Speaker 2: Well, speaking of fades too us, Tony bottomed out on 638 00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:55,040 Speaker 2: routes zone right now, he's not even running routes, so 639 00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:56,920 Speaker 2: rock boy for him. 640 00:32:57,360 --> 00:33:00,760 Speaker 1: Usually my strength is like being pessimistic about I think, 641 00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:05,080 Speaker 1: like the season longer, like Tony Jamison, Williams, Frian Robinson, 642 00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:09,240 Speaker 1: who's like trending way down. Yeah, And then Madison was 643 00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:11,000 Speaker 1: the guy I'm like, hey, he's gonna get carries. But 644 00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:13,400 Speaker 1: now I'm like, I don't even want him to get carries, right, 645 00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:16,840 Speaker 1: But more memories are made when you're there for live 646 00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:18,760 Speaker 1: NFL action and when you need tickets, our friends at 647 00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,520 Speaker 1: Ticketmaster have got you covered. Is the official marketplace of 648 00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:25,720 Speaker 1: the NFL. Ticketmaster gives you more ways to find your 649 00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:28,240 Speaker 1: perfect seat. Their interactive seat map gives you three hundred 650 00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:31,200 Speaker 1: and sixty degree previews of your section to make sure 651 00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:34,160 Speaker 1: you have the best view of those pivotal plays and 652 00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:36,920 Speaker 1: if your plans change. 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That's five zero to get fifty percent off. 671 00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:42,560 Speaker 1: That's Code Action Network Pod five zero at Factor Meals 672 00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:46,799 Speaker 1: dot Com Slash Action Network Pod five zero to get 673 00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:50,799 Speaker 1: fifty percent off. All right, Sean, he got four your 674 00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:52,280 Speaker 1: top five tight. 675 00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:57,640 Speaker 2: Ends nothing too crazy here. Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, TJ. Howkinson, 676 00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:00,680 Speaker 2: George Kittle, and I have Evan Inger. Just since had 677 00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:02,080 Speaker 2: my top five, I. 678 00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:07,920 Speaker 1: Have Kelsey andws, Hockinson, Laporta and Kittle. 679 00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:12,600 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I'm high on Trey McBride. You know, his 680 00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:16,840 Speaker 2: breakout continued last week. He's seen a twenty nine percent 681 00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:19,279 Speaker 2: target rate over the past three weeks. I think it 682 00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:21,920 Speaker 2: was a couple weeks ago you had mentioned or somebody 683 00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:24,640 Speaker 2: mentioned that they they wanted to get McBride the ballmore, 684 00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:29,400 Speaker 2: and they have held true to their promise. He passed 685 00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:30,960 Speaker 2: the eye test too. I don't know if you saw, 686 00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:34,560 Speaker 2: but he hurled over a defender after a nice catch 687 00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:36,879 Speaker 2: and run. I mean, he's starting to look really good, 688 00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:40,880 Speaker 2: really comfortable in this offense now. And now Zach Hurtz 689 00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:43,879 Speaker 2: has been placed on the IR so you know we're 690 00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:46,680 Speaker 2: going to see his playing time go way up. I 691 00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:49,200 Speaker 2: think it could be anywhere between like a seventy eight 692 00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:53,560 Speaker 2: routes run rate, you know, so I think the leash 693 00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:56,520 Speaker 2: is fully coming off here. It is a tougher matchup 694 00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:59,239 Speaker 2: against a Ravens defense who have yet to allow a 695 00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:01,640 Speaker 2: touchdown this hide end this year. But I think we'll 696 00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:04,280 Speaker 2: get there with you know, just catches and yards should 697 00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:07,160 Speaker 2: be a pass heavy game script. So I have McBride 698 00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:10,319 Speaker 2: just inside my tight end one tier. He's my tight 699 00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:11,399 Speaker 2: end twelve dope in the week. 700 00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:14,359 Speaker 1: Oh wow, you are higher than McBride than I am. 701 00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:15,600 Speaker 1: Let's see what have I got here? 702 00:36:15,800 --> 00:36:16,759 Speaker 2: Told you I'm high on him. 703 00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:21,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I got a twenty third. Whoa, that's yeah, I 704 00:36:21,080 --> 00:36:27,080 Speaker 1: mean nothing. Well, yeah, yeah, arch is gone. I mean 705 00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:29,440 Speaker 1: I have I have McBride stepping in the Earth's roll. 706 00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:33,759 Speaker 1: Uh and and then yeah, swam stepping into the Bride roll. 707 00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:36,360 Speaker 1: And yeah, I guess it's just because I don't have 708 00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:39,319 Speaker 1: the let's see the Cardinals, I have dogs rejected for like, 709 00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:42,560 Speaker 1: and I guess it's Kyra. What's going on with Kyler? 710 00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:46,760 Speaker 2: Is he? I think no chance he returns by week eleven? 711 00:36:46,960 --> 00:36:50,000 Speaker 2: Like week eleven is like the target date. I think 712 00:36:50,480 --> 00:36:51,560 Speaker 2: that's the last I saw. 713 00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:56,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, he's practicing it or something, right, he can practice. 714 00:36:56,040 --> 00:37:00,800 Speaker 2: He's allowed to practice, right they Yeah, yeah, the see 715 00:37:00,840 --> 00:37:05,200 Speaker 2: he might not be reinstated until week ten against the Falcons, 716 00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:07,640 Speaker 2: but that's the same way call of duty comes out. 717 00:37:07,719 --> 00:37:12,279 Speaker 2: So he might have some distractions, but yeah, absolutely going 718 00:37:12,360 --> 00:37:15,440 Speaker 2: to have Dobbs at least two more games, unless you know, 719 00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:18,879 Speaker 2: they want to check out Clayton tune. But either way, 720 00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:20,439 Speaker 2: it doesn't seem like Kyler is coming back. 721 00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:23,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don right around two hundred yards, so maybe 722 00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:23,520 Speaker 1: that's why. 723 00:37:23,600 --> 00:37:26,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I wonder what else? 724 00:37:27,120 --> 00:37:30,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, touchdowns, I don't know, We'll figure it out later. 725 00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:33,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, very very high on him. 726 00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:39,319 Speaker 1: Like I said, I'm high on Dalton Kincaid. He is 727 00:37:40,160 --> 00:37:42,840 Speaker 1: the tight end eleven ECR. He's my tight end nine. 728 00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:47,560 Speaker 1: And you know, Dawson Knox is expected to miss this game. 729 00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:50,719 Speaker 1: Quent Morris was banged up, so I'm expecting Kak to 730 00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:54,680 Speaker 1: play almost every snap and uh, finally we get a 731 00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:57,359 Speaker 1: chance to break out. I mean, he kind of had 732 00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:02,000 Speaker 1: his best, his breakout game in this Bill's Patriots game. 733 00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:05,400 Speaker 1: He caught eight passes on eight targets for seventy five yards. 734 00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:10,640 Speaker 1: Those are all easily career highs. So still looking for 735 00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:16,120 Speaker 1: his first touchdown catch. But again, with Dawson Knox out, 736 00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:21,080 Speaker 1: that's really where I think Kinkaid can improve is that 737 00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:24,080 Speaker 1: that touchdown expectancy because Dawson Knox, you know, even with 738 00:38:24,120 --> 00:38:26,360 Speaker 1: them splitting reps, Dawston Knox is really getting all the 739 00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:30,799 Speaker 1: touchdowns from the tight ends for Buffalo. He had well, 740 00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:33,080 Speaker 1: really he just had one. He had one called back 741 00:38:33,120 --> 00:38:34,759 Speaker 1: in the in the New England game. I believe it 742 00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:37,200 Speaker 1: was because I remember see him getting the answer. But yeah, 743 00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:40,040 Speaker 1: he's he's been more active in the red zone. So 744 00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:43,160 Speaker 1: without him, I do think Kinkaid can kind of get 745 00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:46,680 Speaker 1: the volume with a better touchdown expectancy in this game. 746 00:38:46,760 --> 00:38:53,600 Speaker 1: So I'm projecting Kinkaid for over four catches for the 747 00:38:53,680 --> 00:38:56,239 Speaker 1: first time. Oh yeah, yeah, this is this is a 748 00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:58,920 Speaker 1: first for for kin kids. Yeah, my tight end nine 749 00:38:59,200 --> 00:38:59,799 Speaker 1: to open the week. 750 00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:02,640 Speaker 2: I have him at three and a half. Or did you, like, 751 00:39:03,200 --> 00:39:05,160 Speaker 2: do you have his like target rate going way up 752 00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:08,600 Speaker 2: after his twenty eight percent clip in week seven? 753 00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:11,960 Speaker 1: I didn't. I didn't alter anything. So no, have him 754 00:39:12,200 --> 00:39:15,839 Speaker 1: his target rate, his basefine target for route rate at 755 00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:19,000 Speaker 1: seventeen and a half with six six it's sixteen for 756 00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:21,880 Speaker 1: the season, so maybe I guess that's more regression than that. 757 00:39:21,960 --> 00:39:24,959 Speaker 2: Yeah, No, that sounds with it. Definitely, that sounds fair. 758 00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:28,760 Speaker 2: And then his routes on rate like sixty five percent. 759 00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:32,840 Speaker 1: No, I have an eighty eighty eighty percent YU remember 760 00:39:32,880 --> 00:39:35,680 Speaker 1: knocks as good as so like now essentially have I 761 00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:40,359 Speaker 1: took I think Kincaid runs. Let's see what he out 762 00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:43,840 Speaker 1: of all of his past snaps, he blocks only about 763 00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:46,279 Speaker 1: fifteen percent of Let's see what is he blocks only 764 00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:49,200 Speaker 1: he's only bocked seven and a half percent of the time. 765 00:39:49,280 --> 00:39:51,520 Speaker 1: So I raised that a little because as a start, 766 00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:53,399 Speaker 1: you're probably gonna have to pass black a little bit more. 767 00:39:53,680 --> 00:39:56,600 Speaker 1: But yeah, I have him, I have him starting at 768 00:39:56,600 --> 00:39:58,799 Speaker 1: around eighty percent, and then Quent Morris with the rest 769 00:39:58,840 --> 00:40:01,279 Speaker 1: of the snaps and he's questioned, so who yeah, who knows, 770 00:40:01,360 --> 00:40:06,000 Speaker 1: but yeah, eighty percent. And also, uh, you know, I've 771 00:40:06,080 --> 00:40:10,280 Speaker 1: noticed this is a weird year week average wise, teams 772 00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:12,840 Speaker 1: are just throwing shorter and shorter, so you're seeing like 773 00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:16,799 Speaker 1: higher completion percentages, more completions, but less yardage. So that 774 00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:18,640 Speaker 1: could be it too. Like I'm kind of factoring that in, 775 00:40:18,760 --> 00:40:21,200 Speaker 1: Like I tend to be a little bit above market 776 00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:24,520 Speaker 1: on most quarterback completion props. That's what I've kind of 777 00:40:24,520 --> 00:40:27,120 Speaker 1: seen this year that the average arts per completion is 778 00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:29,000 Speaker 1: the lowest it's ever been. It's like ten point six 779 00:40:29,360 --> 00:40:33,080 Speaker 1: this year. So yeah, I think I think the books 780 00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:36,239 Speaker 1: have been kind of using eleven is like eleven is 781 00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:39,439 Speaker 1: been kind of the the median, I guess you would 782 00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:42,600 Speaker 1: say for a completion or an average, but it's like 783 00:40:42,680 --> 00:40:44,319 Speaker 1: ten and a half now, so that's leading to a 784 00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:46,240 Speaker 1: few more completions, like when I go back and compare 785 00:40:46,280 --> 00:40:48,360 Speaker 1: my numbers, so I've been making it a point to 786 00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:50,320 Speaker 1: kind of do that, So that could also be contributing 787 00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:52,840 Speaker 1: to him getting over four. But either way, like not 788 00:40:53,160 --> 00:40:54,319 Speaker 1: liking k excuse me in the touch. 789 00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:56,560 Speaker 2: Oh no, the error was on my end. I figured 790 00:40:56,560 --> 00:40:58,720 Speaker 2: it out. I was still given Knox like twenty percent 791 00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:01,399 Speaker 2: return right the last I looked. The last I looked, 792 00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:03,200 Speaker 2: he was doubtful and it's Tuesday. What the hell am 793 00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:05,040 Speaker 2: I going to do? So I gave him like twenty percent. 794 00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:07,799 Speaker 2: But now, yeah, no, he's definitely out. So yeah, I'm 795 00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:08,840 Speaker 2: I'm right there. 796 00:41:08,680 --> 00:41:13,520 Speaker 1: With you, maybe going through Oh no, no, I wanted, oh, 797 00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:14,120 Speaker 1: I wanted. 798 00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:17,200 Speaker 2: I wanted you to go for the listeners, but oh yeah, no, 799 00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:20,200 Speaker 2: I'm around like four point three now, somewhere in that range. 800 00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:22,799 Speaker 2: I'm right there with you. It was on my end. 801 00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:27,040 Speaker 1: Alright, because I'm like you, you don't need to explain. 802 00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:27,680 Speaker 2: Yourself to me anymore. 803 00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:30,960 Speaker 1: All right, who are are you? 804 00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:35,200 Speaker 2: Loon? I'm low on Cole Comet this week. You know, 805 00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:39,640 Speaker 2: ever since Tyson Beagent took over his quarterback it has 806 00:41:39,719 --> 00:41:42,360 Speaker 2: not been ideal for Cole Comet. He has yet to 807 00:41:42,360 --> 00:41:47,880 Speaker 2: see a target on thirty nine Beijings dropbacks. Now, obviously 808 00:41:47,920 --> 00:41:51,520 Speaker 2: Comet's not gonna see a zero percent target rate going forward, 809 00:41:51,560 --> 00:41:53,319 Speaker 2: but there's no way to spin this is a good thing. 810 00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:56,480 Speaker 2: So he's he's just completely off the tight end one 811 00:41:56,560 --> 00:42:00,840 Speaker 2: two radar for now, I guess until Justin Yields returns. 812 00:42:01,600 --> 00:42:04,279 Speaker 2: And I actually have like Connor Hayward ranked ahead of him, 813 00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:06,440 Speaker 2: So this is the opportunity to talk about Connor Hayward 814 00:42:06,600 --> 00:42:10,919 Speaker 2: real quick. But he has emerged as the lead pass 815 00:42:11,040 --> 00:42:14,279 Speaker 2: catching tight end for the Steelers and is like a 816 00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:17,879 Speaker 2: decent streaming option, Like he's been commanding targets when he's 817 00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:20,919 Speaker 2: on the field. So I just to explain how bad 818 00:42:20,920 --> 00:42:23,879 Speaker 2: things are for cole Comet, I have Connored Hayward now 819 00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:24,719 Speaker 2: ranked ahead of him. 820 00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:29,399 Speaker 1: Peece, Yeah, I co Comet is my tight end. 821 00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:31,839 Speaker 2: There's like thirty eight ors. 822 00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:38,680 Speaker 1: No, actually he's like my Titan fifteenth. Oh yeah, let's 823 00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:41,480 Speaker 1: see what's going on here this one. I'm sure you're 824 00:42:41,480 --> 00:42:41,880 Speaker 1: probably right. 825 00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:44,120 Speaker 2: What is like DJ Moore out and I don't even know. 826 00:42:46,239 --> 00:42:51,520 Speaker 1: Like sometimes to open the week, my passing yardages they 827 00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:54,120 Speaker 1: haven't been fully adjusted. Yeah have Yeah, I probably have 828 00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:57,000 Speaker 1: bage projected to have him at two twenty four just 829 00:42:57,160 --> 00:42:59,920 Speaker 1: oh okay, probably should have that like two hundred ish. 830 00:43:00,719 --> 00:43:02,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I haven't at one eighty five. I 831 00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:07,040 Speaker 2: think it was like one sixty five or something ridiculous 832 00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:10,600 Speaker 2: like that. Yeah, wasn't that our prop lastic Mac Jones 833 00:43:10,640 --> 00:43:11,800 Speaker 2: versus Pagent? 834 00:43:12,200 --> 00:43:16,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, luckily it's a Jones like that gave it a year. 835 00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:19,160 Speaker 2: Well, I mean Pagent like it was such a positive 836 00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:21,200 Speaker 2: game strip he didn't have to throw. So yeah, maybe 837 00:43:21,239 --> 00:43:24,439 Speaker 2: he could be you know, over two hundred kind of guy. 838 00:43:24,560 --> 00:43:26,120 Speaker 2: But yeah, at least right now, I have n't at 839 00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:26,719 Speaker 2: one eighty five. 840 00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:30,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I probably lower him a little bit. It's just 841 00:43:30,320 --> 00:43:32,560 Speaker 1: like to open a week, I don't make any adjustments 842 00:43:32,560 --> 00:43:35,640 Speaker 1: to the royal yardage. So it's just like his his 843 00:43:35,960 --> 00:43:38,680 Speaker 1: attempts go up because he's like a ten point underdog, 844 00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:42,680 Speaker 1: so that kind of yeah, that raised the yards. But yeah, 845 00:43:43,040 --> 00:43:46,080 Speaker 1: I agree comment. It's he's no longer trustable, that's for sure. 846 00:43:46,120 --> 00:43:51,640 Speaker 1: As a as a starter. I'm actually, well, you have 847 00:43:51,680 --> 00:43:53,399 Speaker 1: ever m room is tight in five. I'm actually well 848 00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:54,839 Speaker 1: on him, not major, we will, but I have him 849 00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:58,759 Speaker 1: tight end seven, you know, just a little lower than 850 00:43:58,800 --> 00:44:04,600 Speaker 1: the market him looking at this Pittsburgh defense they've been Yeah, 851 00:44:04,640 --> 00:44:07,359 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's number one and DV away against opposing tight ends. 852 00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:11,160 Speaker 1: So just a just kind of a matchup thing with 853 00:44:11,160 --> 00:44:13,239 Speaker 1: with Ingram. I think there are this week some tight 854 00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:16,200 Speaker 1: ends that I'd rather play. You know, Waller came back 855 00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:22,040 Speaker 1: on strong, Godard's coming on, so Ingram's kind of especially 856 00:44:22,120 --> 00:44:24,799 Speaker 1: with you Zay Jones might be back. Who knows, just 857 00:44:24,880 --> 00:44:28,440 Speaker 1: could start seeing his targets cut into a little bit. So, uh, 858 00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:32,080 Speaker 1: tight end seven for me for Ingram? Uh okay, what 859 00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:34,800 Speaker 1: is going to be a problem. 860 00:44:34,880 --> 00:44:38,360 Speaker 2: Let's uh, let's go with trade McBride receiving yards. You 861 00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:40,600 Speaker 2: already gave me a little bit of intel on your productions, 862 00:44:40,600 --> 00:44:44,000 Speaker 2: but I'm sticking with what I have. Let's go with 863 00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:46,280 Speaker 2: thirty two and a half receiving yards. 864 00:44:47,120 --> 00:44:50,000 Speaker 1: Oh so I have his raw average at thirty three. 865 00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:53,880 Speaker 1: That's that's uh okay, it's a good line. But see 866 00:44:54,640 --> 00:44:55,440 Speaker 1: your medium. 867 00:44:55,200 --> 00:44:57,320 Speaker 2: Would be more like twenties. 868 00:44:57,440 --> 00:45:01,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, I forgot for tight end and like him, Yeah, 869 00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:03,120 Speaker 1: media would probably have him with over three catches, so 870 00:45:03,200 --> 00:45:04,840 Speaker 1: the media would probably just be him catching three. 871 00:45:04,880 --> 00:45:07,120 Speaker 2: Where do you have his routes run rate right now? 872 00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:10,960 Speaker 1: Seventy five seventy five right in that artz range and 873 00:45:11,040 --> 00:45:13,239 Speaker 1: he could he could get it with maybe a couple more, 874 00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:15,360 Speaker 1: so that might bump him up. But see what do 875 00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:18,520 Speaker 1: I want to go this? Baltimore is number nine in 876 00:45:18,600 --> 00:45:22,960 Speaker 1: DVO against tight ends. They're out on the fourth fewest schedule. 877 00:45:22,960 --> 00:45:25,840 Speaker 1: Adjust to the yards to tight end. I'm gonna have 878 00:45:25,880 --> 00:45:29,480 Speaker 1: to go under. I do think mcbride's's a big bump, 879 00:45:29,600 --> 00:45:32,080 Speaker 1: but this Baltimore defense has been very good, and this 880 00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:34,279 Speaker 1: Cardinal office has been really tough to predict from week 881 00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:36,719 Speaker 1: to weeks. Now, yeah, I'm not gonna I'm gonna I'm 882 00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:39,479 Speaker 1: gonna go under. I have it under Take that under 883 00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:41,880 Speaker 1: all right? That is going to do it. For our 884 00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:45,560 Speaker 1: Week eight NFL Player Projections episode of the Action Network 885 00:45:45,600 --> 00:45:48,600 Speaker 1: podcast presented by bet MVM, the King of Sports Books. 886 00:45:48,760 --> 00:45:50,840 Speaker 1: For more great fantasy content from Sean and I, be 887 00:45:50,880 --> 00:45:53,919 Speaker 1: sure to check out our full fantasy preview episode, which 888 00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:57,280 Speaker 1: is out right now over on the Fantasy Flex podcast channel. 889 00:45:57,440 --> 00:45:59,000 Speaker 1: And if you're into betting, we sure to check out 890 00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:02,160 Speaker 1: my weekly betting preview episode every Thursday with Stucky right 891 00:46:02,200 --> 00:46:05,560 Speaker 1: here on the Action Network podcast. Actionetwork dot com for 892 00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:08,799 Speaker 1: all of our NFL fantasy and betting content, fantasywab dot 893 00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:12,040 Speaker 1: com for our DFS tools and models, and go join 894 00:46:12,080 --> 00:46:14,919 Speaker 1: the Action Network Discord server for some extra fun. Wink 895 00:46:15,200 --> 00:46:17,680 Speaker 1: will be in the description Shawn's on X at the 896 00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:20,920 Speaker 1: underscore hosmaker. I'm at Chris Raybond grat those same handles 897 00:46:20,960 --> 00:46:23,560 Speaker 1: on the free award winning Action Network for the next 898 00:46:23,560 --> 00:46:44,080 Speaker 1: time We'll get this. 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