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Speaker 1: Coming to you from fabulous Las Vegas. The right side

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Speaker 1: is the winning side. The late move is the correct move.

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Speaker 1: Sports betting capital of the world. We all know when

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Speaker 1: a sharp like me weighs in the lines move, it's

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Speaker 1: a party for your ears. This is the Buffet with

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Speaker 1: Chad and Scooch. I want to buy that guy at buffet. Hello,

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Speaker 1: and welcome to the Buffet with Chad and Scooch. I

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Speaker 1: am Chad Millman of the Action Network. On the phone

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Speaker 1: with me from the Orleans representing all the BOYD giving

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Speaker 1: books in the state of Nevada is Bob Scucci and

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Speaker 1: we're gonna get to him in one second. But I

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Speaker 1: have so many things to talk about. First. First, um,

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Speaker 1: we're going to announce the winner of to Get Your

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Speaker 1: Prop Up in Vegas contest. We're gonna have that winner

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Speaker 1: on Scooch and I are going to talk about the

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Speaker 1: action in this topsy Turvy roller coaster game. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: make our picks. The famous cousin sal is going to

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Speaker 1: be on the show today and I need to remind

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Speaker 1: everybody go to Action network dot com check out what

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Speaker 1: we're doing. You've got a massive Super Bowl fifty two

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Speaker 1: betting package. Everything from entertainment props to match up by

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Speaker 1: matchup analysis, to our leans on the game from a

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Speaker 1: lot of our writers, and of course don't forget at

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Speaker 1: Action Network h Q five pm Eastern Super Bowl Sunday,

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Speaker 1: our super Bowl pregame show Chalk Talk all the betting

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Speaker 1: you can stand with, none of the annoying stuff in

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Speaker 1: pregame shows. You gotta check it out. Check it all

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Speaker 1: out at Action Network h Q five pm Eastern Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl Sunday Pregame Show Boom. We deliver when it comes

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Speaker 1: to betting content. The man Scooch, how are you, buddy?

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Speaker 1: How you doing? Chad? All right, listen, here's what we

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Speaker 1: gotta talk about. We had so many freaking entries. It

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Speaker 1: was amazing, like so many entries. I didn't even I like.

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Speaker 1: I was floored. And what's great is um the creativity

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Speaker 1: behind these. How amazing is the creativity and some of

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Speaker 1: these from a from from the way they are crafted,

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Speaker 1: but also the research people send in is astounding. That's

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Speaker 1: what amazed me the most is that they not only

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Speaker 1: put some thought behind the prop, but they they put

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Speaker 1: the research in to back it up and and included

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Speaker 1: some some graphs and charts and all kinds of statistics.

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Speaker 1: I mean, that was really really well done. I love it.

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Speaker 1: It's it's one of my favorite things that we do

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Speaker 1: every year. UM, I need to I need to call

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Speaker 1: some of these out. So here's a prop from Bill

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Speaker 1: Greaser Greycer Building to win. Sorry Bill, um, but it

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Speaker 1: is worthy of reading it out of the podcast because

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Speaker 1: of the work he put into it. I made a

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Speaker 1: special note of this. At any point in Super Bowl

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Speaker 1: fifty two, well, one of the teams demonstrate demonstrate quote

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Speaker 1: Minnisota nice unquote by declining a penalty. He wrote, no,

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Speaker 1: plus three eight, yes, minus four twenty. But then he

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Speaker 1: did a um bar chart the number of NFL playoff

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Speaker 1: games since two thousand and fifteen for each number of

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Speaker 1: decline penalties. So, uh, there were one decline penalty in

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Speaker 1: fifteen games two and seven, three and three, four and

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Speaker 1: one um number of decline number of games by quarter

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Speaker 1: a first decline penalty, So like, when was the first

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Speaker 1: decline penalty happening? It was. It's amazing, It's it's totally amazing.

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Speaker 1: He wrote a wonderful note to us. Uh, and so

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Speaker 1: I'm really impressed with sort of support and enthusiasm for this. UM.

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Speaker 1: What do you think of that problem? Yeah, yeah, no,

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Speaker 1: I we the team and I kind of went through

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Speaker 1: a bunch of them. I sifted through and kind of

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Speaker 1: filtered them down. And that was one of them that

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Speaker 1: the team and I were looking at us to whether

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Speaker 1: we put it up on the board and how we'd

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Speaker 1: put it up, And we were thinking of maybe putting

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Speaker 1: it up with just an over under one declined penalty

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Speaker 1: and then just put odds on that and that the

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Speaker 1: chances of it following on one were pretty great, which

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Speaker 1: would have been a push. So, I mean, we we

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Speaker 1: looked at all these from a bookmaking point of view

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Speaker 1: as well. But that was a good one. I like that.

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Speaker 1: Here's another one that I love. This was from Brian

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Speaker 1: you whose proposal was a big baller back well at

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Speaker 1: least three offensive players with first or last names beginning

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Speaker 1: with B score a rushing or receiving touchdown. The prop

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Speaker 1: is for the number of players that score the rushing

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Speaker 1: or receiving touchdowns, not for the total amount of touchdowns

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Speaker 1: scored by the players. Um, here's what I liked about

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Speaker 1: this email. It wasn't so much the prop, although props

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Speaker 1: to you, Brian for sending them. Uh. He wrote this

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Speaker 1: after listening to last year's prop that podcast, I thought

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Speaker 1: the winner of the contest sounded familiar, so I looked

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Speaker 1: him up. His name is Evan Young through social media

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Speaker 1: and it turned out they knew each other through mutual friends.

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Speaker 1: Thanks for the unlikely connection and keep up the good work.

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Speaker 1: I kind of feel like when that, I'm like, I'm

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Speaker 1: Casey Cason when I'm reading these. But here's what great?

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Speaker 1: So Brian you sends this email and it's fantastic and

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Speaker 1: talking about Evan Young in the connection and what do

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Speaker 1: we have? We have a prop from Evan Young. How

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Speaker 1: great is that? Here's a prop from Evian Young. UM,

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Speaker 1: let's see. I hope you're well this year flew by.

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Speaker 1: See my submission UM moon landing field goal prop well

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Speaker 1: with some of the two longest field goals made be

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Speaker 1: over or under ninety yards um if only one field

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Speaker 1: goals made the under winds. Apolo eleven was the spaceflight

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Speaker 1: that landed the first humans in the moon. Neil Armstrong

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Speaker 1: and Buzz Aldrin were aboard the lunar module Eagle. On July,

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Speaker 1: Armstrong proclaimed the ego has landed. When I think of

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Speaker 1: moon shots with regards to football, booming along field goals

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Speaker 1: comes to mind. Um, two astronauts landed on the moon

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Speaker 1: on seven seven plus twenty plus sixty nine equals six

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Speaker 1: and then he's got a whole bunch of other notes

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Speaker 1: and statistical background. God, that's good. Yeah, I know, he

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Speaker 1: came pretty close to being the only two time winner. Huhh.

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Speaker 1: I mean it's really impressive, like the moon landing, the creativity,

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Speaker 1: the phrase ali G, the math, the extra notes. I

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Speaker 1: think we should clap for Evan. Yeah, for sure, let's clap.

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Speaker 1: I'm I'm clapping. You can't. You can't hear it, But

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Speaker 1: I'm clapping. Why why can't I hear it? Is it

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Speaker 1: because now I'm hearing hawking outside my window? That is

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Speaker 1: so loud I can concentrate. Um all right, hold on.

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Speaker 1: There was there's a couple of guys who put in

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Speaker 1: multiple entries that like more than five entries or five

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Speaker 1: or more. That was Royce Hall and Eric Bigio. Royce's

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Speaker 1: were particularly interesting because at one point one of his

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Speaker 1: entries included like the stock price of US Bank Corp.

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Speaker 1: Which I thought was really really well gone. Um, you

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Speaker 1: know you don't get that very often. So all in all,

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Speaker 1: like um, oh, well, Eric, So did you see Eric

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Speaker 1: bios So he was a former He used to run

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Speaker 1: the sports book at the Aria. No way. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: So I like his little ps on who's gonna work

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Speaker 1: the longest? And he listed all of the all of

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Speaker 1: the team members at the Orleans Sports Book And I'm

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Speaker 1: making myself a big favorite that day to to work

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Speaker 1: the most hours. So just just so he knows, well,

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Speaker 1: we should call them out. So it's Bob Scucci, Rick Reinhardt,

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Speaker 1: Dan Garcia, Jake Colth uh Dida's conceptio one and Lynda Cross. Um.

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Speaker 1: I think we know that Linda, by virtue of working

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Speaker 1: with you uh is basically on seven in a tortured state,

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Speaker 1: even when she's not in the office. She deserves a

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Speaker 1: special uh An award for that, for for what she

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Speaker 1: does and putting up with me, and then and then

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Speaker 1: Jake also, I mean Jake take also gets the brunt

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Speaker 1: of it. Jake is like an angel. Yeah, he is

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Speaker 1: just the best. He's making things go over there, all right,

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Speaker 1: guess what it's time for the winner. It's time for

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Speaker 1: the winner, Uh, the winner. Should we get him on

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Speaker 1: the phone, Michael, Should we call him and let me

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Speaker 1: and let me just preface it because you you did

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Speaker 1: mention the creativity involved. It's not so much just the

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Speaker 1: prop itself and whether or not it's complicated or or

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Speaker 1: or you know, how creative that part of it is.

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Speaker 1: It's also the name that gets associated with it, like

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Speaker 1: like last year the Millennial Falcon wanted you mentioned Evan Young,

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Speaker 1: uh you know, on itself, it was just the total

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Speaker 1: number of Matt Ryan's past attempts times his number of completions.

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Speaker 1: I mean, in itself, it wasn't that uh complicated, but

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Speaker 1: it was the fact that they named it the Millennial

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Speaker 1: Falcon and that had such relevance to that that kind

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Speaker 1: of pushed it over the top. And that's kind of

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Speaker 1: the same thing with it with this one. Why don't

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Speaker 1: we let the guy come on so you can talk

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Speaker 1: about it absolutely? What do you think of that sounds

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Speaker 1: good to me? Okay, it is time to an the

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Speaker 1: winner of our I don't even know what annual year

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Speaker 1: this is, Scooch, but it's the winner of our annual

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Speaker 1: get you a prop up in Vegas contests, And as

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Speaker 1: everybody knows, we love this contest. And we just went

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Speaker 1: through all the people who tried to win and did

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Speaker 1: not but their entries were really amazing and fantastic, and

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Speaker 1: we appreciate everyone playing along. Um, but the winner blew

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Speaker 1: us away with his creativity, with how he pandered and

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Speaker 1: the simplicity of his prop, which is important to Scooch

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Speaker 1: because it's complicated to get to just write these things

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Speaker 1: on the board in whites. The winner a lawyer from

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Speaker 1: Los Angeles, California. His name is Rash Sadat. Welcome a Rash.

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Speaker 1: Thank you guys, thank you so much for having me

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Speaker 1: on the podcast. This is uh, this is really cool.

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Speaker 1: So um, I appreciate that, especially in light of you know,

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Speaker 1: how how great the previous winners have been. This is

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Speaker 1: just it's really an honor scool sat Rush, Hey, Rush,

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Speaker 1: good job. I really like your prop and actually props

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Speaker 1: because you did send a couple of other suggestions, but uh,

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Speaker 1: I really love the simplicity and the creativity surrounding what

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Speaker 1: you called the prop and how you arrived at it. So, uh,

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Speaker 1: why don't you tell us what the prop is and

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Speaker 1: uh kind of how you came up with it and

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Speaker 1: uh just kind of your thoughts surrounding it. Sure, yeah,

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Speaker 1: thank you so much, scood. Yeah, so um, I think

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Speaker 1: I think first and foremost. As as Chad just mentioned,

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Speaker 1: I figured pandering would be the best way to go

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Speaker 1: in order to sort of maximize my chances of when

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Speaker 1: we are so transparent and like's not it's not even funny.

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Speaker 1: Um yeah, no, I I definitely Well, I do remember

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Speaker 1: a prop a few years ago that was based on

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Speaker 1: the letters and the word or Leans. So that was

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Speaker 1: sort of in the back of my head. So um.

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Speaker 1: But but seriously, though, I I sort of I think

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Speaker 1: about that saying a lot. And then the saying is

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Speaker 1: the right side is the winning side? Um? I've heard

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Speaker 1: Chad say quite a few times, and uh, I mean, honestly,

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Speaker 1: it's just really a great way to sort of troll

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Speaker 1: someone who just took a bad beat, right. Uh yeah,

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Speaker 1: So I remember a few years ago that happened to me,

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Speaker 1: and I was I was talking to my friend Karthik. Uh.

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Speaker 1: He also listens to the pot. He's sort of like

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Speaker 1: my sports gambly buddy, and uh, after I took the

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Speaker 1: bad beat, I'm complaining about it. He looks me in

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Speaker 1: the eye and he says, come on, dude, the right

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Speaker 1: side is the winning side. Um. And as as you

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Speaker 1: sort of expect that caused me to, um, you know,

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Speaker 1: go into sort of like a lengthy and passion speech

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Speaker 1: about how how that was wrong. So UM, basically I

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Speaker 1: just wanted to come up with a prop that would

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Speaker 1: that would test the validity of it. UM. And you know,

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Speaker 1: I thought about doing, you know, team with the most

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Speaker 1: first downs to win the game, team with better the

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Speaker 1: better yards per play average to win the game. But UM,

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Speaker 1: I sort of figured that total yards would be a

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Speaker 1: little bit less complicated for better. So the prop was

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Speaker 1: the right side is the winning side question mark UM

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Speaker 1: and team with most yards from scrimmage to win the game.

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Speaker 1: So that was sort of the thinking behind it um

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Speaker 1: I I sort of. I also I also thought and

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Speaker 1: and this is it reminded me of one of the

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Speaker 1: sort of classic Super Bowl props, which is will either

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Speaker 1: team score three times unanswered? Um. And it reminded me

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Speaker 1: of that because it's sort of counterintuitive, right, The answer

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Speaker 1: isn't necessarily or the proper handicap rather isn't necessarily what

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Speaker 1: you'd think, because I think most people would think, you know,

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Speaker 1: most yards teams are gonna win, it's pretty easy. But

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Speaker 1: I think in reality that you know, the doesn't work

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Speaker 1: out that way. All the time. So a couple of

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Speaker 1: things here, go ahead, go ahead, And that's what drew

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Speaker 1: me to the prop as well. From a bookmaking standpoint,

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Speaker 1: we're always looking for things that look very obvious and

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Speaker 1: can entice the public, but usually it turns out the

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Speaker 1: other way. And the prop that you just referenced was

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Speaker 1: the exact one that that I was thinking of, that

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Speaker 1: we you know, first put up twenty years ago. That

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Speaker 1: when the public first saw it, uh, you know, it

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Speaker 1: looked real easy. You know, will either team score three

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Speaker 1: times three consecutive times? Uh, you know, three unanswered scores?

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Speaker 1: And everyone said said, no, they're not going to score

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Speaker 1: three unanswered These are two good teams, not realizing how

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Speaker 1: often it happens. Now, after having that prop up for

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Speaker 1: so many years, I think people have kind of picked

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Speaker 1: up on it. But this is another example of something

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Speaker 1: that looks very obvious that may not be as obvious

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Speaker 1: as it seems. So what's interesting here is there's a

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Speaker 1: few things that I want to say. Uh. Number one

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Speaker 1: that was that's the one we chose. The right side

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Speaker 1: is the winning side, uh. And it's the team with

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Speaker 1: most years from squimmage wins the game. Yes, minus win

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Speaker 1: eighty no plus win sixty. Um, here's your quote. You

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Speaker 1: did a little research, and it turns out the team

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Speaker 1: that loses the yardage battle wins more often than you think.

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Speaker 1: This postseason, the winning team has lost the yardage battle

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Speaker 1: in five of ten games. I'm guessing Scooch would generate

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Speaker 1: a decent amount of square action on yes, even if

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Speaker 1: he shaded the line a little bit. All accurate, All true.

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Speaker 1: You also had a prop a submission i'm a i'm

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Speaker 1: a buy that guy at buffet, which I love that

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Speaker 1: you spelled out i'm a i am a as one

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Speaker 1: word like in scooches jersey uh jersey accent um. And

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Speaker 1: then uh so, then there was um. When all hope

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Speaker 1: is lost, all that's left is relief either team to

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Speaker 1: lead about twenty one plus points in the fourth quarter. Um. Oh,

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Speaker 1: and i'm a i'm a buy that guy at buffet?

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Speaker 1: Was Lawrence guy records a sack. Um, It's funny to

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Speaker 1: me that we chose the right side as the winning

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Speaker 1: side because in our slack one of our slack channels,

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Speaker 1: uh at Action Network. Um, someone used the phrase because

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Speaker 1: someone else said, like, you know, sometimes good bets lose

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Speaker 1: and sometimes bad bets win. Someone else jumped in the

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Speaker 1: right side as the winning side, and eventually I had

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Speaker 1: to be like, don't bring your you know, philosophy in here.

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Speaker 1: There's winners and losers. There's no moral victories. Um So, Scooch,

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Speaker 1: what are you gonna do with this? How are you

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Speaker 1: going to price this? I like the odds that he

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Speaker 1: gave us. I'm gonna start. I'm gonna start with that one,

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Speaker 1: like I said, because it's uh it favors the yes,

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Speaker 1: but uh, probably not as much as the line would reflect.

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Speaker 1: And I'll let the money dictate it and uh and

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Speaker 1: see where they go with it. But I but I

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Speaker 1: like the fact that it's not uh long, real long

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Speaker 1: odds of something like you know, minus ten dollars or

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Speaker 1: minus eight dollar prop uh. The ones that that are

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Speaker 1: real close to you anywhere between minus one ten and

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Speaker 1: two dollars usually generate a lot more action. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is great, so great. How long did it take

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Speaker 1: you to do the research for rash Um? Probably about

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Speaker 1: I would say, like thirty minutes to an hour. Maybe,

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Speaker 1: Um I didn't It's obviously wasn't super intensive. I just

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Speaker 1: looked at, you know, ten games from the postseason, so

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Speaker 1: I'm sure. I'm sure the guys that the Orleans will

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Speaker 1: have more more data at their disposal than I do. Yeah, well,

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Speaker 1: we'll look at it a little bit more. If we

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Speaker 1: have to tweak it, we will, But I just off

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Speaker 1: the top of it, on the face of it, it

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Speaker 1: looks like it's it's pretty pretty good. Odds were any

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Speaker 1: of your clients um injured in any way by the

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Speaker 1: neglect you spending them to research this prop bet? You know,

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Speaker 1: I hope not. Um, you know, hopefully this sort of

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Speaker 1: sharpened my probabilistic thinking skills and you know, by extension,

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Speaker 1: my ability to negotiate settlements. So maybe in a way

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Speaker 1: it sort of helped him. I know, I like the

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Speaker 1: way you think. Right, So how he turned that on you?

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Speaker 1: He did? He did? He got me goosed me really well?

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Speaker 1: Um A rash is a former poker player turned lay,

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Speaker 1: so you can understand why he can use phrases like

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Speaker 1: probabilistic and negotiation in the same sentence. Well it's pretty good, right, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: Hey he said, he said he was. You listened to

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Speaker 1: the to the show prior to prior to Scooch being

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Speaker 1: on it? What what show was that? So this was

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Speaker 1: you know I probably could have clarified it was before

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Speaker 1: you started calling it the Scooch Pod, and before before

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Speaker 1: you Scooch or a sort of regular weekly guest, So

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Speaker 1: that's probably what I should have said. I think I

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Speaker 1: think Scooch was just trying to be a little cocky

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Speaker 1: right there. And how could a show prior to Scooch

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Speaker 1: have existed? I was shocked that there was another show there. Yeah, exactly. Um, rosh,

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Speaker 1: what are you gonna do to celebrate uh winning this contest?

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Speaker 1: How are you going to celebrate it? Um? Well, aside

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Speaker 1: from sort of as I told you my email, gloating

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Speaker 1: to my friends, which I've already done, I am going

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Speaker 1: to I'm actually gonna be in Vegas this weekend for

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Speaker 1: a bachelor party, um for my friend Thomas. So um,

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Speaker 1: I was hoping to just come down to the Orleans

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Speaker 1: and place a bet on this prop, which is is

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Speaker 1: really really a cool thing to be able to do.

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Speaker 1: So absolutely, yeah, we'll have it. We'll have it up

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Speaker 1: on the board. You can just kind of take a

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Speaker 1: photo of it and uh uh send that send that

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Speaker 1: out to Yeah, well that'll be cool. We always we

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Speaker 1: always put it up in lights up there on our

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Speaker 1: on our board. Oh my god, that's awesome. I love

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Speaker 1: you're going to be there. Yeah, makes makes make sure

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Speaker 1: you stop in. I'll buy you a buffet. There you go.

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Speaker 1: Rassad lawyer from Los Angeles, poker player turned lawyer, is

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Speaker 1: the winner of the two thousand, seventeen eighteen get your

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Speaker 1: Prop up in Vegas contest. Go to Vegas, enjoy the

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Speaker 1: super Bowl, win some money, take a picture, tweeted out.

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Speaker 1: Let us all enjoy it. Awesome, Thank you guys, so

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Speaker 1: much congratulation, buddy, Thanks um Scooch. How great is that?

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Speaker 1: That's awesome? I love that was a great story. Good

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Speaker 1: for a rash, that was a great prop. All right,

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Speaker 1: Now we're gonna go into Cousin Sal and we come out.

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Speaker 1: When we come out, we'll break down the action of

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Speaker 1: the game. We'll get to our picks. Joining us now

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Speaker 1: on the buffet from Los Angeles. You know him as

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Speaker 1: Cousin Sal from the Jimmy Kimmel Show, from the Guest

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Speaker 1: the Lines podcast with Bill Simmons on the Ringer podcast network.

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Speaker 1: From Against All Odds, a very popular sports betting podcast

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Speaker 1: also on the Ringer. All around degeneracy and hijinks that

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Speaker 1: has made him popular The world over. Cousin sal good

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Speaker 1: to hear, good good Haggy in the pod, Buddy, what's

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Speaker 1: happening chat? Thanks for having me. This is fun. What

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Speaker 1: do you think of that introduction? I feel like I

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Speaker 1: got a lot of stuff in there that was pretty good.

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Speaker 1: You know, you said the whole introduct much of my take.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen minutes. I was like, oh, man, I really hope

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Speaker 1: he goes for it. Let's see if we can get

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Speaker 1: a Yeah. I think I actually And then fifteen seconds

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Speaker 1: and I just I added some extra pauses in there. Excellent, excellent,

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Speaker 1: It'll workout. Hey, are you are you sad about this

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Speaker 1: week or or in general, you're you're happy that you

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Speaker 1: know the big games coming up? Because I'm more or

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Speaker 1: less sad, I would say, I would say despondent about

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Speaker 1: football coming to an end. I'm so despondent that, um,

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Speaker 1: yesterday I stood at the bottom of the stairs in

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Speaker 1: my house and it was Sunday, about eleven thirty. Normally

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Speaker 1: when I'd be like hungering down. And you know, with

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Speaker 1: this new business like the Action Network, I'll be doing

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Speaker 1: a periscope or I'll be tweeting from the handle, or

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Speaker 1: like we'll be having a lot of email and Slack

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Speaker 1: exchanges about what our plan is going to be for

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Speaker 1: the day, how to drive people and all that kind

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Speaker 1: of stuff. At eleven thirty, UM, I stood at the

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Speaker 1: bottom of the stairs and I hit record on my

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Speaker 1: phone and I yelled up to my fourteen year old

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Speaker 1: and I said, he's, Zack, where are you? And he's like,

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Speaker 1: I'm upstairs. I'm like, do you want to come down?

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Speaker 1: And he just yells ah. And then I'm like, like,

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Speaker 1: do you wanna do you want to play chess? And

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Speaker 1: he goes no, and uh. Then I realized that's what

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna be spending my sunday's doing until September. Yeah, right, yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's the next Um, what the thirty Sundays are gonna

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Speaker 1: be like that? Yelling, yelling, it's Zach begging the play chess.

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Speaker 1: I've never realized how long it takes from the end

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Speaker 1: of the football season until the beginning of the football

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Speaker 1: season until yesterday at about thirty in the morning. That's

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Speaker 1: when that's when I kicked in. Yeah, I know. I

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Speaker 1: had a similar thing, although I bet the Pro Bowl. Yes,

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Speaker 1: I was telling tell him that the Simmons about this,

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Speaker 1: and just I needed just one more bad beach just

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Speaker 1: to close out the year. And I'm sure there's another

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Speaker 1: one coming Sunday. But uh, yeah, I don't know if

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Speaker 1: you followed it at all, you're probably yeah, people are

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Speaker 1: aware you were on the other side of that. Huh.

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Speaker 1: I was on the wrong side. I had the NFC

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Speaker 1: who was up twenty to three, which you know, I'm not.

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Speaker 1: I know it's gonna be a close and even at

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Speaker 1: one to three. Then I get Jared Goff who looked like,

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Speaker 1: you know, it's like it's uh the middle school year.

401
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:09,320
Speaker 1: Jared Goff in there and it didn't didn't produce much

402
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Speaker 1: of an offense, but just the same seventeen with three

403
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Speaker 1: minutes left, and Sean Payton goes for it on fourth

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Speaker 1: and five at midfield, just typical Jean Payton fashion. They

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Speaker 1: they're not even close to converting. Uh Derek Carr comes

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Speaker 1: back and drives and they went and the players on

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Speaker 1: both sides couldn't have been happier with the results. They

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Speaker 1: were so they were, so they must have known what

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Speaker 1: you were doing. I feel like Sean Payton is actually

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Speaker 1: keenly aware of the point, spreading almost every scenario of

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Speaker 1: what will hurt people betting on the Saints or against

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Speaker 1: the Saints the most at all times. I agree, I think,

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Speaker 1: and I think he tunes it. He goes to Sports

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Speaker 1: Action and he looks to see where the money is

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Speaker 1: and he's got it hidden in his pocket. He's got

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Speaker 1: his phone. He goes to Sports Action. Appen, Yeah, you're right.

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Speaker 1: He uh. He decides who he's gonna screw over. You know,

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Speaker 1: I for for branding purposes, I need to tell you

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Speaker 1: that we've changed the name to Just Action. Oh I'm sorry,

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Speaker 1: Oh boy, all right, you know it's it's new. We

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Speaker 1: just did it. We just did it last literally last

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Speaker 1: week on the on the phone with me. You just

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Speaker 1: did it. We just did in honor of you. You

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Speaker 1: might not even have updated yet to get into the

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00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 1: new title. I like Action. I think I like Action better.

426
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:23,439
Speaker 1: Now I have to say nice things about Action. So

427
00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 1: that's great. I appreciate that. Um. But that's why I

428
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:28,560
Speaker 1: feel about Sean Payton, because of course, I also had

429
00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:31,639
Speaker 1: a Super Bowl Future ticket that had the Saints and

430
00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 1: the Jags going to the super Bowl at thirty to one,

431
00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:37,040
Speaker 1: and then I had a Jags ticket at twenty to

432
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 1: one and the Saints ticket at one. So it's about

433
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:43,399
Speaker 1: a hundred and thirty seconds of sort of you know,

434
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:47,760
Speaker 1: collective time away from all of that cashing and making

435
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:51,560
Speaker 1: several several thousand dollars. Well, So that that's the point

436
00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:54,199
Speaker 1: of this this game coming up, Like, how can you

437
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:56,719
Speaker 1: have a strong opinion? You have to if you're if

438
00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 1: you're looking to sell listeners or whatever, views or whatever,

439
00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:00,919
Speaker 1: but you have to you have to pretend you know

440
00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:03,640
Speaker 1: what you're talking about. But both these teams are very

441
00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 1: lucky to be in the situation they're in. So how

442
00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 1: could you say that you know one of them is

443
00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:11,760
Speaker 1: going to play differently than they did last week or

444
00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:14,199
Speaker 1: two weeks ago in the in the Eagles case, when

445
00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:17,119
Speaker 1: they always scored fifteen points. You know, it's it's a

446
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:19,440
Speaker 1: tough game. Which which way are you leaning? Or I'm

447
00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:22,159
Speaker 1: not gonna say I no, no, I completely disagree with you.

448
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:25,520
Speaker 1: I actually bet the uh I bet the Eagles plus

449
00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:27,959
Speaker 1: five and a half last week, and I felt I

450
00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:30,280
Speaker 1: felt really really good about it. I wish I had

451
00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:33,119
Speaker 1: got him at six and a half, but um, I

452
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,359
Speaker 1: was busy working and I couldn't, like I just couldn't

453
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 1: get down fast enough. And then also I was I

454
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:39,520
Speaker 1: was a little bit on the fence, and then I

455
00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:41,959
Speaker 1: had when I talked to Scooch, you know, my partner

456
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 1: on the podcast. Um, he convinced me that Nick Foles

457
00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 1: is just a better quarterback. Then sort of the line

458
00:25:48,200 --> 00:25:51,800
Speaker 1: had been reflecting and so um it's continued to get

459
00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:55,280
Speaker 1: that down and like, I am happy I got the

460
00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:57,520
Speaker 1: Eagles at five and a half. Well, that was smart.

461
00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 1: But my point is, should the Eagles have been even playing?

462
00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:03,960
Speaker 1: You know, Julio Jones doesn't stumble in the end zone

463
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:07,800
Speaker 1: and fall on that on that Matt Ryan rollout. I

464
00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:10,159
Speaker 1: think the Falcons are in the game against the Vikings

465
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:12,320
Speaker 1: and it's a different story. I just I don't know.

466
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 1: Are you Are you confident in your bed either way

467
00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:17,480
Speaker 1: on Sunday? So I go you with sixty percent confidence,

468
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:20,400
Speaker 1: I feel six. I gotta tell you something I might

469
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:23,160
Speaker 1: have convinced myself, and it might be remember years ago,

470
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:25,680
Speaker 1: we're going to both date ourselves here, but we are

471
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:29,560
Speaker 1: older gentlemen now. Um. When the when the Niners played

472
00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:33,800
Speaker 1: the Chargers and that game opened at like fourteen, the

473
00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 1: Niners are favored by like two touchdowns, and then over

474
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 1: the course of the two weeks it went lower and lower.

475
00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:42,760
Speaker 1: And lower, and like people had convinced themselves that the

476
00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:45,600
Speaker 1: Chargers had a chance in the game, right, And then

477
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:47,639
Speaker 1: of course the Niners opened up and they scored like

478
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:49,719
Speaker 1: the first play the game, and it's a blowout. And

479
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,600
Speaker 1: so I want to believe that I'm on the right

480
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:57,880
Speaker 1: side with the Eagles. So that's why I'm only six. Yeah,

481
00:26:57,960 --> 00:26:59,920
Speaker 1: I mean this is not and this is like very

482
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:02,520
Speaker 1: very generic way of looking at it. But if these

483
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:05,919
Speaker 1: teams played a hundred times, well maybe the Patriots won

484
00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:08,800
Speaker 1: seventy times, and out of the seventy they cover four

485
00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:11,520
Speaker 1: and a half fifty times, so you're kind of you're

486
00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:14,919
Speaker 1: kind of right where it should be, right. It's yeah,

487
00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:17,399
Speaker 1: it's it's it's I feel like, if I'm gonna I

488
00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:21,320
Speaker 1: gotta take a side just from for for professional reasons,

489
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:23,959
Speaker 1: I have to bet on the game, um, honey, I

490
00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:28,800
Speaker 1: have to bet on the game. It's yewise responsibility. Um.

491
00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:30,560
Speaker 1: And so if I'm going to bet on the game,

492
00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:32,000
Speaker 1: then I feel like the five and a half was

493
00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:33,720
Speaker 1: the right side. I don't think I would do four

494
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:36,520
Speaker 1: and a half though, oh you know, okay, so for

495
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:38,399
Speaker 1: this week, you would do five and a half, I

496
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,160
Speaker 1: would do five and a half. That number is gone.

497
00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:41,920
Speaker 1: I can't say for certain I would do four and

498
00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:44,720
Speaker 1: a half. The Patriots historically in the Super Bowls have

499
00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:47,879
Speaker 1: kept their games relatively close, except for last year when

500
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:50,120
Speaker 1: they had that, you know, the six points, only because

501
00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:53,200
Speaker 1: of the overtime. You haven't given me your take yet.

502
00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:56,840
Speaker 1: You haven't weighed in. I haven't. I know, I really

503
00:27:56,880 --> 00:27:59,640
Speaker 1: haven't decided yet. I'm leaning towards the Patriots, and only

504
00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:02,480
Speaker 1: because what you just mentioned. They played like dog crap

505
00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:05,239
Speaker 1: for three quarters last year in the big game and

506
00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:07,160
Speaker 1: still covered what would have been four and a half

507
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:09,639
Speaker 1: five and a half points. And believe me, I had

508
00:28:09,680 --> 00:28:12,080
Speaker 1: the Falcons. I bought the hook. I had them plus

509
00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:15,960
Speaker 1: three and a half. So even even blowing three going

510
00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:19,520
Speaker 1: over time, I'm still mathematically I'm still in the game,

511
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 1: you know, especially if they get the ball. But yeah,

512
00:28:22,560 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 1: we all know how it ended up. So I just

513
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:27,920
Speaker 1: it's what when do you want to because it's such

514
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:31,800
Speaker 1: a long offseason, as we pointed out, where do you

515
00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:33,640
Speaker 1: want to pull your hair out? Less if you bet

516
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:37,600
Speaker 1: against Brady and Belichick and one, or if you and lost,

517
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:40,280
Speaker 1: or if you bet against the Eagles and Nick Foles

518
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:42,840
Speaker 1: arose to the occasion, I kind of look at it

519
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:45,880
Speaker 1: like that. I know that's not a real smart, sharp

520
00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:48,920
Speaker 1: versus square kind of way to approach it, but but

521
00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:50,640
Speaker 1: that's that is that is the right way to look

522
00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:54,200
Speaker 1: at it. So you basically saying, are you betting on?

523
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:57,400
Speaker 1: And I have said this, I'm betting on Nick Foles

524
00:28:57,520 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 1: and Doug Peterson over Tom Brady and Belichick essentially, is

525
00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 1: what I'm saying. But I guess I'm also saying I'm

526
00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:09,520
Speaker 1: betting on the Eagles defense, and I'm also betting on

527
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:13,880
Speaker 1: their running game over what I think is collectively an

528
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:17,400
Speaker 1: okay Patriots team. They're not like amazing, They're not one

529
00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:20,600
Speaker 1: of those teams that is dynastic. They are a really

530
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 1: good team that plays wonderfully smart, situational football and has

531
00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:29,160
Speaker 1: the greatest quarterback of all time and a merciless coach

532
00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:35,240
Speaker 1: who refuses to accept any anything less than perfect. Right. Yeah,

533
00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:37,680
Speaker 1: and you know, I just convinced myself to bet the Patriots.

534
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:40,960
Speaker 1: That's the whole thing. It's so crazy and go back

535
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,720
Speaker 1: and forth. But yeah, and you know they don't factor

536
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:47,840
Speaker 1: in that ESPN article, which I'm I'm sure it's still

537
00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 1: looms large in the Hey, let's take care of business department.

538
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:53,320
Speaker 1: As far as Bill Belichick goes, I know it's stupid

539
00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:56,800
Speaker 1: to consider that, but you'll consider home field advantages three points.

540
00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:59,000
Speaker 1: Not not in this game, of course, but when you

541
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:01,760
Speaker 1: consider all these actors having been to the Super Bowl

542
00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 1: before all these things, I would say that article counts

543
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 1: for three quarters of a point and still still should count,

544
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 1: you know what. I agree with that, And um, when

545
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:15,680
Speaker 1: that article came out, when Seth Wickersham's story came out,

546
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:19,880
Speaker 1: we actually ran a poll on Twitter and then we

547
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:22,560
Speaker 1: did a story about it, sort of indicating does this

548
00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:25,320
Speaker 1: make you more or less likely to bet on the

549
00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 1: Patriots and especially in that first game against Tennessee because

550
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,720
Speaker 1: they were I think seven point favorites and you know,

551
00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:34,680
Speaker 1: relatively big um favorite in the in the playoffs and

552
00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:36,480
Speaker 1: they blew them out, and the majority of people I

553
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 1: spoke to, both on the square side and on the

554
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:40,920
Speaker 1: sharp side, we're like, oh, I'm totally betting on the

555
00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 1: Patriots now, Like this is the kind of thing that

556
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:45,760
Speaker 1: they just focus in and hunker down and they are

557
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:47,480
Speaker 1: as good as any team is going to be in

558
00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:50,200
Speaker 1: this scenario. Right, let me ask you this, because you

559
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 1: know better than than I do who are the sharps

560
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:55,880
Speaker 1: these days? That over the years, the sharps have changed,

561
00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:59,920
Speaker 1: right who who? Who are the They're not these gangsters,

562
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:02,480
Speaker 1: though I find it hard to believe that the gangsters

563
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:06,440
Speaker 1: were had the wherewithal to get get it together and

564
00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:09,320
Speaker 1: bet on the right side. I guess if you're just

565
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:11,920
Speaker 1: betting against the public, you've become a sharp. Or is

566
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 1: it more involved than that. It's a little more involved

567
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 1: than that. But these days, honestly, like it's not even

568
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:21,480
Speaker 1: like their sharps and squares. It's more like there are sharps,

569
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:25,160
Speaker 1: there are there are sharps who don't do it professionally

570
00:31:25,320 --> 00:31:28,160
Speaker 1: because they do other things. And then there are people

571
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:30,160
Speaker 1: who are just so casual that they're kind of paying

572
00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:32,760
Speaker 1: attention but not really paying attention, and they end up

573
00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:36,600
Speaker 1: betting sort of like on the popular team UMR. But

574
00:31:36,720 --> 00:31:41,080
Speaker 1: that middle ground. You know, information has become so democratized,

575
00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 1: and betting on sports has become so commonplace over the

576
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:48,760
Speaker 1: last generation, like because of the Internet, because it's so

577
00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:51,480
Speaker 1: much more accessible with every offshore book and like, you know,

578
00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:53,600
Speaker 1: you've got a massive thing with Bovada, right, and you've

579
00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 1: got a props page on Bovada, Bovada has helped turn

580
00:31:57,000 --> 00:31:59,640
Speaker 1: sports betting into something that anybody can do. And you

581
00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 1: don't have to go down to your carpodaga, you don't

582
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:03,560
Speaker 1: have to go to the alley behind the bar like

583
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:05,840
Speaker 1: you can get it anywhere. And so all of a sudden,

584
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,480
Speaker 1: there's a generation of people who are like in their

585
00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 1: late twenties, thirties and early forties who have grown up

586
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:15,719
Speaker 1: with sports betting in a way that is entirely different

587
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:17,760
Speaker 1: than what it would have been like when you and

588
00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 1: I were fifteen and sixteen, right, right, Okay, so those

589
00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:23,200
Speaker 1: people are sharp too, But then you have that makes

590
00:32:23,240 --> 00:32:25,840
Speaker 1: it hard. Then you have the guy who everyone's in

591
00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 1: love with now, this guy who bet all six or

592
00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:32,760
Speaker 1: maybe all seven of the World Series games, right, and uh,

593
00:32:32,800 --> 00:32:35,040
Speaker 1: you know had a bundle on each and you know

594
00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:38,960
Speaker 1: cleared between this is all mythical or maybe it's not,

595
00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:42,960
Speaker 1: don't clear between ten and twenty million dollars. And then, uh,

596
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:45,440
Speaker 1: this same guy bets the Eagles. Are we supposed to

597
00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:48,680
Speaker 1: think because this guy who won on the baseball games,

598
00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:50,560
Speaker 1: which at the top of the ninth inning and four

599
00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:52,560
Speaker 1: of them could have been a coin flip, we're supposed

600
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:55,080
Speaker 1: to think he knows something about this, Like, it's very

601
00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:57,680
Speaker 1: strange to me how people change and I fall for two.

602
00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:00,880
Speaker 1: But you'll almost change who you want to bet depending

603
00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:02,960
Speaker 1: on which way the squares are going in the public

604
00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:06,080
Speaker 1: and the sharps. It's so funny you mentioned that guy

605
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:09,240
Speaker 1: because I agree with you. Look, he's become a massive

606
00:33:09,280 --> 00:33:12,960
Speaker 1: story in betting, and it's certainly a great thing to follow. Um.

607
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:17,480
Speaker 1: I I have not made a bet because of that guy. Um,

608
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:19,640
Speaker 1: but I will tell you that when I had made

609
00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:21,400
Speaker 1: the bet on the Eagles already and when I heard

610
00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:24,440
Speaker 1: he bet on the Eagles, I was like, I feel

611
00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:27,200
Speaker 1: a little better about your site. Right. It's it's a

612
00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 1: weird thing, isn't it strange? Like this guy is not

613
00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:32,360
Speaker 1: He's not on the field. He's not you know, even

614
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:34,760
Speaker 1: to think Tom Coughlin had anything to do with the

615
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:36,920
Speaker 1: Patriots game, Like I kept saying it over all, Tom

616
00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:38,680
Speaker 1: Coughlin is gonna find it way. It was like he's

617
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:40,440
Speaker 1: not on the field. He's certainly not playing, he's not

618
00:33:40,520 --> 00:33:43,400
Speaker 1: on the sidelines. Like he's so far removed. This guy

619
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:45,960
Speaker 1: is really far removed from it. And yet we feel

620
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:47,960
Speaker 1: better or worse about our bet depending on what he

621
00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:50,800
Speaker 1: put down. It's very weird and because he's betting millions

622
00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:53,480
Speaker 1: of dollars and so he must know something. But the

623
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 1: truth is he can probably afford to lose it exactly

624
00:33:57,120 --> 00:34:00,600
Speaker 1: exactly know what I mean, Like you shouldn't like I'm

625
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:02,800
Speaker 1: betting what I can afford to lose, and so I'm

626
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 1: very comfortable in saying what I'm betting on and making

627
00:34:06,760 --> 00:34:10,440
Speaker 1: the bet that I'm making. But um, I'm also not

628
00:34:10,520 --> 00:34:14,359
Speaker 1: betting so much that like someone should look at me

629
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:18,000
Speaker 1: and think, this guy is putting his entire life on

630
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:19,960
Speaker 1: the Eagles at five and a half, I'm thinking I'm

631
00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:22,200
Speaker 1: making it, and I am making an informed decision based

632
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 1: on the data have in front of me and what

633
00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:26,640
Speaker 1: I read on the Action Network and what I hear

634
00:34:26,719 --> 00:34:28,839
Speaker 1: through sort of the bookmakers that I talked to. That's

635
00:34:29,080 --> 00:34:31,920
Speaker 1: making my decision exactly so. And speaking of that, I

636
00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:34,560
Speaker 1: love the cartoons you guys do on the Action Network

637
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:36,839
Speaker 1: with the with the drunk guy and maybe the two

638
00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:39,000
Speaker 1: guys in the bar, and one of them is obviously

639
00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:41,160
Speaker 1: smarter than any other. Have you sat down to figure

640
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:43,759
Speaker 1: out which one actually had a better record? Over there?

641
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:49,400
Speaker 1: Oh my god, the drunk guy fucking killed it. He

642
00:34:49,560 --> 00:34:50,960
Speaker 1: was like I think we did in the last six

643
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:52,759
Speaker 1: weeks of this season. I think he was like set

644
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:55,680
Speaker 1: seven weeks. I think he was five and two. And uh,

645
00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:58,920
Speaker 1: it's crazy, like I just like every single time they

646
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:00,919
Speaker 1: came out, I just started and I just started saying,

647
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:03,600
Speaker 1: faithe the sober guy. You can't even you have to

648
00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:05,160
Speaker 1: bet the drunk guy. At this point, I'm a little

649
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:06,960
Speaker 1: anxious to see what he does. I mean, I know

650
00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:08,759
Speaker 1: he's going to be on the Patriots this weekend. I

651
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:11,239
Speaker 1: know it. So that's the public. The drunk guy is

652
00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:16,560
Speaker 1: the public for those and the sober guy is sort

653
00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:20,480
Speaker 1: of the analytics guy, right, Okay, yeah, Um, have you

654
00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:23,600
Speaker 1: thought about your parlays for the weekend? I know, with

655
00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:25,880
Speaker 1: you and all the guys on against all odds like

656
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:27,560
Speaker 1: that is a really big thing. So if you thought

657
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:29,600
Speaker 1: about how are you gonna play these this week? And

658
00:35:29,640 --> 00:35:32,960
Speaker 1: there's yeah, I feel like I haven't done my job

659
00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:35,400
Speaker 1: unless I've lost like three or four hundred dollars before

660
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:38,919
Speaker 1: the game even start. Either on Pink Pink's hair, what

661
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:41,600
Speaker 1: color it's gonna be, and by the way, don't overthink

662
00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:44,920
Speaker 1: it's gonna be white or yellow? Um, you know, I

663
00:35:44,960 --> 00:35:47,720
Speaker 1: have the coin toss mixed in with with a bunch

664
00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:51,759
Speaker 1: of things. But I really like the will a team

665
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:54,960
Speaker 1: scored three straight times? Will either team or both teams

666
00:35:55,120 --> 00:35:57,200
Speaker 1: scored three straight times? I think you lay a lot.

667
00:35:57,239 --> 00:35:59,560
Speaker 1: You lay like a buck seventy to one, one a hundred.

668
00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:04,120
Speaker 1: But um, specially these Super Bowls, scoring comes in bunches

669
00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:06,840
Speaker 1: and teams freak out and maybe they're not as prepared

670
00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:09,759
Speaker 1: in the first or second quarter as they are, you know,

671
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:12,120
Speaker 1: towards the end of the game. And I kind of

672
00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:13,880
Speaker 1: like that one. That's a fun one to root for.

673
00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:19,239
Speaker 1: Uh It's like it's like drafting quarterbacks and bunches. There's

674
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:20,960
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, there's a run, like, oh my god,

675
00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:24,080
Speaker 1: we gotta score. They scored. Now I understand what they're doing.

676
00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:26,520
Speaker 1: I gotta make decisions. I can't play this game to

677
00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:28,960
Speaker 1: a zero zero tie. I'm actually gonna have to get

678
00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:30,560
Speaker 1: in the end zone or kick a field goal. That's

679
00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:33,520
Speaker 1: exactly right. That's that's how I look at it. But um, yeah,

680
00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:35,160
Speaker 1: aside from that, what is what are some of your

681
00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:39,000
Speaker 1: favorite props? I mean, well, there's a there's a dilly

682
00:36:39,040 --> 00:36:41,720
Speaker 1: dilly prop. How many times will you hear the phrase

683
00:36:41,760 --> 00:36:46,040
Speaker 1: dilly dilly, that's at twelve and a half. I think, um,

684
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:51,400
Speaker 1: there is a will Pink show cleavage prop um and

685
00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:53,920
Speaker 1: believe it or not, we did some pretty extensive research

686
00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:57,520
Speaker 1: on this, and you have to go back to Super

687
00:36:57,560 --> 00:37:03,239
Speaker 1: Bowl thirty two with Jewel to um get someone who

688
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:06,600
Speaker 1: showed cleavage during the national anthem. You know, we've really

689
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:08,719
Speaker 1: come a long way since this Time's Up movement. But

690
00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:11,120
Speaker 1: they're like that that that that's a prop out there.

691
00:37:11,640 --> 00:37:16,560
Speaker 1: We've really learned a lot, guys. Unbelievable. Oh my god,

692
00:37:16,560 --> 00:37:19,279
Speaker 1: I hate myself right now for you. That's all right,

693
00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:23,480
Speaker 1: that's okay, you know. Um. I also like, um, I

694
00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:28,160
Speaker 1: like no overtime time? Yeah, mine, I think it's at

695
00:37:28,239 --> 00:37:32,359
Speaker 1: minus eight hundred right now today, okay, and normally it's

696
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:34,680
Speaker 1: at minus thousand. So I feel like I'm getting deal

697
00:37:34,960 --> 00:37:36,960
Speaker 1: by the way that yeah, five seven years ago, that

698
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,279
Speaker 1: was minus twelve hundred, because you know, obviously, how many

699
00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 1: times are they gonna get pounded with that because it

700
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:44,440
Speaker 1: never happened? Um, Like, will the game be decided by

701
00:37:44,440 --> 00:37:46,880
Speaker 1: exactly four and a half points? I say, no, I'm

702
00:37:46,880 --> 00:37:50,879
Speaker 1: gonna go on. I don't know. Almost impossible. Yeah, it's

703
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:53,000
Speaker 1: not gonna happen. But if anybody can figure it out,

704
00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:55,040
Speaker 1: Belichick and Brain, you can do it. Yeah, no kidding,

705
00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 1: they will screw somebody over. I also like um longest

706
00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:03,640
Speaker 1: field goal over under forty seven yards, which where you're going,

707
00:38:04,239 --> 00:38:07,799
Speaker 1: I would go under, definitely going. I feel like the

708
00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:11,280
Speaker 1: longer field goals UM and I've forgotten what the prices,

709
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:13,360
Speaker 1: but the longer field goals I think is the favorite.

710
00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:16,400
Speaker 1: And that's basically because of the public, like the that

711
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:18,480
Speaker 1: just thinks it's going to be long field goals. There

712
00:38:18,560 --> 00:38:20,840
Speaker 1: was a prop last week one of the members of

713
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:24,400
Speaker 1: the General Trifecta, my partners on against the Odds, said

714
00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 1: that will there be a fifty yard field going They

715
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:31,200
Speaker 1: look back in the last twenty eight conference championship games,

716
00:38:31,200 --> 00:38:34,440
Speaker 1: are only two field goals over fifty yards, And of

717
00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:39,000
Speaker 1: course Lambeau right down the middle was like, I don't

718
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:40,799
Speaker 1: know what it was, but yeah, I could see the

719
00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:43,000
Speaker 1: under being. Uh then Terry is on the game, right,

720
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:45,919
Speaker 1: so you should be okay, he's definitely not in the game.

721
00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:49,000
Speaker 1: But also I just feel like the team's drive deep

722
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:52,439
Speaker 1: and you know they're going for touchdowns in this game.

723
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:55,840
Speaker 1: It's gonna like both coaches are pretty aggressive. Um so

724
00:38:55,840 --> 00:38:58,920
Speaker 1: so from a historical perspective and from the game plan perspective,

725
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:02,239
Speaker 1: that's how they play the game, right, Yeah, did you um,

726
00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:05,120
Speaker 1: you know, do you know how many in the Brady

727
00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:08,640
Speaker 1: Super Bowl era how many Patriot how many times the

728
00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:13,480
Speaker 1: Patriots score the first quarter touchdown? And I think it's zero?

729
00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:18,320
Speaker 1: It is exactly zero. Yeah, and so I love, love,

730
00:39:19,080 --> 00:39:21,759
Speaker 1: love will the well the Patriots score a touchdown in

731
00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:25,719
Speaker 1: the first quarter, like I'm taking the knowing that. But

732
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:29,000
Speaker 1: they have started badly. Look, they started badly against Tennessee,

733
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:34,000
Speaker 1: really badly, and they started really badly against the Jags. Um.

734
00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:36,839
Speaker 1: They are not a team that starts starts hot. Yeah.

735
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:38,600
Speaker 1: I was talking about it with Simmons. I think just

736
00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:41,600
Speaker 1: in their games, almost all their Super Bowls, the second

737
00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:44,560
Speaker 1: half has been much more entertaining, whether they're on the

738
00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:47,799
Speaker 1: winning or losing. In of course, both times against the Giants, Um,

739
00:39:47,920 --> 00:39:51,160
Speaker 1: we're talking about that Carolina game. Carolina fought get back

740
00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:53,319
Speaker 1: in it. Um. Same with the Eagles. I think they

741
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:56,120
Speaker 1: were down ten and then Darrell Owens lit it up

742
00:39:56,160 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 1: and and and they went down three. Obviously last year

743
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:01,560
Speaker 1: the second half and time was better. But yeah, these

744
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:03,560
Speaker 1: games we should be able to figure something out for

745
00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:07,239
Speaker 1: the first half based on that, you think, right, let

746
00:40:07,239 --> 00:40:10,320
Speaker 1: me let me switch gears here for a second, you said, Simmons.

747
00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:12,800
Speaker 1: And it made me think, like, would he ever bet

748
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 1: on the team that Patriots are playing to cover? And

749
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:19,960
Speaker 1: then I thought, let's say the Cowboys. I know you're

750
00:40:21,160 --> 00:40:25,480
Speaker 1: love the Cowboys. Um, would you ever bet on the

751
00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:27,799
Speaker 1: team playing the Cowboys to cover? I mean, that is

752
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:32,399
Speaker 1: the prime emotional hedge scenario. I have done it. I've

753
00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:35,000
Speaker 1: I've I've weakened on this. No, I mean in the

754
00:40:35,040 --> 00:40:38,000
Speaker 1: super Bowl. In the Super Bowl. No. Well, it's funny

755
00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:39,880
Speaker 1: and I don't feel bad bringing us up because I

756
00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:43,600
Speaker 1: mentioned it on our podcast this morning. Simmons two weeks

757
00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:47,160
Speaker 1: ago before the Jaguars game, I said, the Patriots are

758
00:40:47,200 --> 00:40:49,600
Speaker 1: minus one ten to win the Super Bowl. We're gonna

759
00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:52,319
Speaker 1: kick ourselves Sunday night that we don't have this, let's

760
00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:54,719
Speaker 1: jump on it. So we did. And then a few

761
00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:56,719
Speaker 1: days ago he was like, I'm taking the four and

762
00:40:56,760 --> 00:40:59,759
Speaker 1: a half. So he had he basically hedged. He went

763
00:40:59,800 --> 00:41:02,399
Speaker 1: for the middle uh in there, and we never ever

764
00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:05,279
Speaker 1: had So I'm interested to see how this turns out.

765
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:07,520
Speaker 1: But yeah, I would do the same thing I bet

766
00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:09,560
Speaker 1: like ten years ago. I was like, no way, I'm

767
00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:11,600
Speaker 1: not doing I'm never betting against my team. But it

768
00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:15,840
Speaker 1: doesn't or betting, you know, but it really I'm as

769
00:41:15,840 --> 00:41:18,400
Speaker 1: devastated as I could be anyway when my team loses,

770
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:22,440
Speaker 1: so it doesn't really matter, all right. So, Uh, I

771
00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:24,400
Speaker 1: want to let you go because I know you have

772
00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:28,000
Speaker 1: to go back to work to produce great comedy television,

773
00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:33,880
Speaker 1: uh for Jimmy Kimmel. But will you tease or parley

774
00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:35,759
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl? Because I know you have been a

775
00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:41,279
Speaker 1: long time tease and parley player. I will probably uh

776
00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:46,600
Speaker 1: tease this, And with the teaser, I could go either way,

777
00:41:46,640 --> 00:41:48,719
Speaker 1: but I really I would go Patriots in the over.

778
00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:51,960
Speaker 1: And it's so boring and it's so square, but you know,

779
00:41:52,120 --> 00:41:54,200
Speaker 1: there are points scored in the in the Super Bowl,

780
00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:57,000
Speaker 1: and the Patriots win super Bowls and I really don't

781
00:41:57,040 --> 00:42:01,280
Speaker 1: want to over analyze it beyond that, all right, because

782
00:42:01,320 --> 00:42:03,640
Speaker 1: I'll listen, that's exactly the right thing to do, right,

783
00:42:03,680 --> 00:42:06,520
Speaker 1: I mean, like we can both. Yeah, let's not get

784
00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:10,440
Speaker 1: you deep, Like it's a fucking bet, like this is

785
00:42:10,440 --> 00:42:13,600
Speaker 1: what could happen. Chances are like the Patriots could win,

786
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:16,120
Speaker 1: and a lot of points could be scored. Yeah, and

787
00:42:16,160 --> 00:42:18,120
Speaker 1: I don't like the Patriots, so I'd be happy, happy

788
00:42:18,160 --> 00:42:21,800
Speaker 1: to write the check. That's the other thing, alright, Cousins

789
00:42:21,800 --> 00:42:25,799
Speaker 1: Sal Against All Odds is the podcast. Everyone should watch

790
00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:28,919
Speaker 1: Jimmy Kimmel for your brilliant appearances and all the other

791
00:42:28,920 --> 00:42:31,680
Speaker 1: comedy you do there. They can follow you on Twitter,

792
00:42:32,080 --> 00:42:35,120
Speaker 1: they can listen to you. Simmons. You're like a kind

793
00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:38,320
Speaker 1: of like the media empire. Yeah, that's the media empire

794
00:42:38,560 --> 00:42:41,600
Speaker 1: right now. I'm going back to write jokes about some

795
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:45,120
Speaker 1: uh porcupine that's about to be on Jimmy Show where

796
00:42:45,640 --> 00:42:48,040
Speaker 1: we have an animal segment. So yeah, yeah, that's right,

797
00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:50,800
Speaker 1: that's where the empires going. I'm working on the website.

798
00:42:50,800 --> 00:42:52,839
Speaker 1: We're right about whether or not picks gonna show any

799
00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:55,160
Speaker 1: cleavand just let you go. This guy is trying to

800
00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:58,359
Speaker 1: get by. That's right. Thanks for having run out, buddy.

801
00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:01,799
Speaker 1: I appreciate touch latter, Scooge. We've had such a jam

802
00:43:01,800 --> 00:43:05,759
Speaker 1: pack show already. We had the props contest winner a

803
00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:10,319
Speaker 1: rash Saddad, We've had the very famous Cousin Sal. I

804
00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:12,600
Speaker 1: think it's time to get down to some action. Okay,

805
00:43:12,880 --> 00:43:15,680
Speaker 1: let's do it. This has been a crazy roller coaster

806
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,560
Speaker 1: ride of a point spread here because you know, even

807
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:21,760
Speaker 1: before the Vikings Eagles game was over, it was opening

808
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:24,520
Speaker 1: Patriot six and a half. Then itt like got adjusted

809
00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:26,319
Speaker 1: to six, and then before the night was over it

810
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:28,399
Speaker 1: was at five and a half. And now we're at

811
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:30,879
Speaker 1: four and a half and four in some places. When

812
00:43:30,920 --> 00:43:35,279
Speaker 1: you and I spoke last week, um, we didn't. We

813
00:43:35,280 --> 00:43:36,919
Speaker 1: didn't know if this was going to go down lower

814
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:39,640
Speaker 1: than five, and then within twenty four hours it was

815
00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:43,080
Speaker 1: lower than five. Yeah, well we did say that the

816
00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:45,200
Speaker 1: likelihood of it going down was pretty great, and I

817
00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:47,239
Speaker 1: think that's when you actually made your wager and you

818
00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:48,719
Speaker 1: said you were going to get that five and a

819
00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:52,359
Speaker 1: half right now, that's true, I did. And then we

820
00:43:52,360 --> 00:43:55,360
Speaker 1: were close to moving it on live. We were close

821
00:43:55,400 --> 00:44:02,760
Speaker 1: to doing a line move, but but we didn't. But

822
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:05,400
Speaker 1: but we were the first to go to four. Because

823
00:44:05,880 --> 00:44:09,000
Speaker 1: we went to four. Um, I want to say, it

824
00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:13,200
Speaker 1: was like Thursday and then my phone lights were, you know,

825
00:44:13,239 --> 00:44:16,360
Speaker 1: blowing up from everybody and in the media that wanted

826
00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:18,000
Speaker 1: to know. You know, we were the first to go

827
00:44:18,040 --> 00:44:19,800
Speaker 1: to four. And how come we went to four? And

828
00:44:19,840 --> 00:44:22,560
Speaker 1: the whole thing so, and we've been at four ever since.

829
00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:25,720
Speaker 1: We never went We never went back. So now there's

830
00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:28,160
Speaker 1: quite a few fours out there in a few a

831
00:44:28,200 --> 00:44:30,759
Speaker 1: few four and a halfs. Do you think it will

832
00:44:30,800 --> 00:44:34,040
Speaker 1: go to three and a half? I was, you know what,

833
00:44:34,920 --> 00:44:38,480
Speaker 1: I took a pretty big bet at plus four yesterday

834
00:44:39,120 --> 00:44:42,160
Speaker 1: and I was tempted, uh to move it, but I

835
00:44:42,200 --> 00:44:45,440
Speaker 1: just moved the money. I went to plus four minus fifteen,

836
00:44:46,280 --> 00:44:50,200
Speaker 1: and immediately when I went there, I took a nine

837
00:44:50,239 --> 00:44:52,600
Speaker 1: thousand dollar bet and eight thousand dollar bet on the

838
00:44:52,640 --> 00:44:56,480
Speaker 1: Patriots at minus four minus all five like immediately. So

839
00:44:56,600 --> 00:44:59,279
Speaker 1: that told me that that might be a little bit

840
00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:01,719
Speaker 1: of the point of existence, which is the first time

841
00:45:01,719 --> 00:45:04,719
Speaker 1: I've gotten that since we hung the initials six and

842
00:45:04,719 --> 00:45:07,280
Speaker 1: a half. You know, every time we moved the line down,

843
00:45:07,840 --> 00:45:10,520
Speaker 1: I kept waiting for that, you know, immediate pop on

844
00:45:10,560 --> 00:45:13,320
Speaker 1: the Patriots, on somebody that was just looking for a number,

845
00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:15,920
Speaker 1: and we never got it. So that's why the number

846
00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:18,400
Speaker 1: just kept drifting down until we until we got to

847
00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:21,840
Speaker 1: that point where somebody just said, hey, the line is

848
00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:24,640
Speaker 1: too low, let me let me bet something big on

849
00:45:24,680 --> 00:45:27,680
Speaker 1: the Patriots, and uh, it really wasn't until we went

850
00:45:27,719 --> 00:45:30,480
Speaker 1: to minus four minus so five, where we got, you know,

851
00:45:30,520 --> 00:45:33,759
Speaker 1: that immediate bang bang bang of of you know, nice

852
00:45:33,760 --> 00:45:38,800
Speaker 1: sized bets and so do you feel like the money

853
00:45:38,920 --> 00:45:40,799
Speaker 1: is starting to even out a little bit? Are you

854
00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:44,200
Speaker 1: getting sort of closer to fifty action because I know

855
00:45:44,280 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 1: for a while it was like very heavy money on

856
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:49,799
Speaker 1: the Eagles. Yeah, it started. It's not quite fifty fifty yet,

857
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:52,200
Speaker 1: it's but it's much more than it was during the

858
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:54,839
Speaker 1: first week that we had this lineup. Um, it's one

859
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:56,480
Speaker 1: of the Super Bowls where I've just seen the most

860
00:45:56,560 --> 00:46:01,520
Speaker 1: lopsided action in the first week in many years. I mean, um,

861
00:46:02,800 --> 00:46:05,520
Speaker 1: even even the Super Bowl where the Broncos played the

862
00:46:06,080 --> 00:46:08,720
Speaker 1: Seahawks and we opened that game and pick them and

863
00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:11,279
Speaker 1: and closed as high as the Broncos minus two and

864
00:46:11,280 --> 00:46:14,480
Speaker 1: a half almost minus three. All that money came pretty

865
00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:17,920
Speaker 1: late in the two week period. Uh, it's kind of

866
00:46:18,000 --> 00:46:21,160
Speaker 1: rare that we got this much action during the first week,

867
00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:23,440
Speaker 1: Like you mentioned, even the first day we hung it

868
00:46:23,840 --> 00:46:26,080
Speaker 1: and then causing that big of a line change in

869
00:46:26,160 --> 00:46:28,479
Speaker 1: just the first couple of days of the line being up.

870
00:46:28,520 --> 00:46:32,719
Speaker 1: So um, it was all Eagles for the first week. Uh.

871
00:46:32,760 --> 00:46:37,000
Speaker 1: The weekend actually slowed down Saturday Sunday, very little action.

872
00:46:37,040 --> 00:46:38,719
Speaker 1: I think most of the people that were betting, we're

873
00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:41,880
Speaker 1: betting on basketball, and and you know, just kind of

874
00:46:41,920 --> 00:46:46,399
Speaker 1: taking it easy waiting for this week, and then starting Monday, Uh,

875
00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:49,680
Speaker 1: the action started picking up again. And uh, I mean

876
00:46:49,719 --> 00:46:53,600
Speaker 1: now it's really starting to come in. Uh. I would say,

877
00:46:53,680 --> 00:46:59,080
Speaker 1: now we're at the point where it's about Eagles and Patriots,

878
00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:01,200
Speaker 1: and you start to see a lot more action on

879
00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:05,239
Speaker 1: the Patriots at four or is it just sort of okay, Yeah,

880
00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:08,360
Speaker 1: we've got more at four than we had, you know,

881
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:11,040
Speaker 1: at any other number. But you know, I guess that's

882
00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:14,560
Speaker 1: to be expected the lowest number. But um, and the

883
00:47:14,600 --> 00:47:18,880
Speaker 1: money line not as much Patriots money line as I expected.

884
00:47:18,920 --> 00:47:20,680
Speaker 1: You know, we we went down to minus of dollar

885
00:47:20,760 --> 00:47:24,200
Speaker 1: eighty on the Patriots money line, and uh, you know,

886
00:47:24,719 --> 00:47:26,760
Speaker 1: even when we were the lowest in town, we weren't

887
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:32,120
Speaker 1: getting that much Patriots money line action. And so what

888
00:47:32,400 --> 00:47:35,000
Speaker 1: you are you still getting a lot of Eagles money

889
00:47:35,040 --> 00:47:38,560
Speaker 1: line action. Um? Yeah, I mean that that the ticket

890
00:47:38,560 --> 00:47:41,960
Speaker 1: accounts about four to one Eagles to Patriots on on

891
00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:44,839
Speaker 1: the money line. And that's kind of typical though. I mean,

892
00:47:45,600 --> 00:47:48,719
Speaker 1: every underdog usually gets more on the money line in

893
00:47:48,800 --> 00:47:52,360
Speaker 1: terms of ticket account People that want to see them win. Uh,

894
00:47:52,440 --> 00:47:54,680
Speaker 1: they know they can get more than even money and

895
00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:56,719
Speaker 1: they don't have to lay you know, one ten and

896
00:47:56,719 --> 00:47:58,600
Speaker 1: there's no points involved. They just want them to win

897
00:47:58,640 --> 00:48:02,200
Speaker 1: the game. So that's a lot of pretty much square action.

898
00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:09,120
Speaker 1: Just a reminder um that this weekend at Action Network HQ,

899
00:48:09,440 --> 00:48:14,040
Speaker 1: we are doing our Chalk Talk super Bowl pregame show.

900
00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:18,440
Speaker 1: It's everything you like about pregame shows and none of

901
00:48:18,480 --> 00:48:23,600
Speaker 1: the blah blah blah boring stuff. So like, no sappy features,

902
00:48:24,080 --> 00:48:29,800
Speaker 1: no empty analysis about who's gonna win. We're only talking

903
00:48:29,840 --> 00:48:37,200
Speaker 1: about betting, pure betting. That's it. That's all she wrote.

904
00:48:37,320 --> 00:48:39,440
Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna talk about. We're gonna come on

905
00:48:39,520 --> 00:48:41,359
Speaker 1: thirty minutes before they We're gonna come on at five

906
00:48:41,440 --> 00:48:47,920
Speaker 1: pm Eastern fort thirty minutes at Action Network HQ. We're

907
00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:50,359
Speaker 1: gonna come on at halftime. We're gonna come on after

908
00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:53,560
Speaker 1: the game. It's gonna be me, it's gonna be Jeff Schwartz,

909
00:48:53,600 --> 00:48:57,279
Speaker 1: former NFL lineman, uh, current host on NFL Radio who's

910
00:48:57,320 --> 00:49:00,479
Speaker 1: been on the podcast before. It's gonna be Big Cat

911
00:49:00,560 --> 00:49:03,920
Speaker 1: from barstool Um, and a host of other sort of

912
00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:08,760
Speaker 1: fun things. Everyone should be checking it out. At Action

913
00:49:08,840 --> 00:49:15,799
Speaker 1: Network HQ on Sunday Super Bowl Sunday at five pm. Um,

914
00:49:15,920 --> 00:49:17,880
Speaker 1: what do you think of this guy who's running around

915
00:49:17,920 --> 00:49:22,239
Speaker 1: town making the multimillion dollar bets on the Eagles. Well,

916
00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:25,120
Speaker 1: I'll tell you. I mean, we were experiencing it during

917
00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:30,080
Speaker 1: the World Series. Before we um all the press came

918
00:49:30,120 --> 00:49:33,279
Speaker 1: out about you know what he was doing. We had

919
00:49:33,320 --> 00:49:35,400
Speaker 1: taken some big bets at one of our properties on

920
00:49:35,640 --> 00:49:38,200
Speaker 1: some of the M m A fights and we lost

921
00:49:38,239 --> 00:49:41,520
Speaker 1: on them, and we've said, whoever this guy is, he's

922
00:49:41,560 --> 00:49:44,160
Speaker 1: he was pretty sharp or pretty lucky. And then the

923
00:49:44,200 --> 00:49:48,240
Speaker 1: same guy was rolling over tickets on the World Series,

924
00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:51,799
Speaker 1: and again we just figured, Okay, we we get a

925
00:49:51,840 --> 00:49:53,960
Speaker 1: lot of people that they win big and they just

926
00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:56,040
Speaker 1: roll over a ticket and they just keep rolling it

927
00:49:56,120 --> 00:49:58,160
Speaker 1: over and see how much they can let it ride.

928
00:49:59,000 --> 00:50:01,239
Speaker 1: But this guy had a streak that we hadn't seen

929
00:50:01,280 --> 00:50:03,560
Speaker 1: in a long time, and he was taking some pretty

930
00:50:03,560 --> 00:50:06,200
Speaker 1: big tickets and just rolling them over. Game one of

931
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:08,560
Speaker 1: the World Series, Game two of the World Series, and

932
00:50:08,600 --> 00:50:11,320
Speaker 1: he went, I forgot what it was six and oh

933
00:50:11,320 --> 00:50:13,880
Speaker 1: five and oh whatever was he He didn't play the

934
00:50:13,960 --> 00:50:16,440
Speaker 1: last game of the World Series for whatever reason, so

935
00:50:16,480 --> 00:50:19,799
Speaker 1: he quit. He quit while he was ahead, and now

936
00:50:19,840 --> 00:50:22,400
Speaker 1: the word was out that he was trying to bet,

937
00:50:22,960 --> 00:50:27,239
Speaker 1: you know, millions on the Eagles, So maybe he got

938
00:50:27,239 --> 00:50:29,279
Speaker 1: a lot of that money already down that caused a

939
00:50:29,280 --> 00:50:32,759
Speaker 1: lot of that early line move down. I'm not sure

940
00:50:32,840 --> 00:50:37,200
Speaker 1: exactly how much he got down, but he's on quite

941
00:50:37,200 --> 00:50:39,080
Speaker 1: a run, that's all. I don't know much about him,

942
00:50:39,080 --> 00:50:42,360
Speaker 1: but it's on quite a run as an Eagles better

943
00:50:42,440 --> 00:50:44,279
Speaker 1: at this point, should I feel good or bad? Like?

944
00:50:44,320 --> 00:50:46,920
Speaker 1: Should I feel? You know, it's an interesting game, right

945
00:50:46,960 --> 00:50:54,000
Speaker 1: because I think that most sharp betters and I am

946
00:50:54,040 --> 00:50:58,359
Speaker 1: not doing a backhanded compliment to myself, Um, I would

947
00:50:58,400 --> 00:51:02,040
Speaker 1: prefer to play against the public. And in this case,

948
00:51:02,960 --> 00:51:04,719
Speaker 1: the money and the tickets have all been coming in

949
00:51:04,760 --> 00:51:09,280
Speaker 1: on the Eagles, and some is like, is it sharp

950
00:51:09,320 --> 00:51:11,799
Speaker 1: money that's coming in on the Eagles? Should I feel

951
00:51:11,800 --> 00:51:13,520
Speaker 1: good that I'm on the Eagles? A plus five and

952
00:51:13,520 --> 00:51:16,720
Speaker 1: a half. From a sort of wisdom of the crowd

953
00:51:16,760 --> 00:51:20,040
Speaker 1: perspective with relation to some of the better better is like,

954
00:51:20,239 --> 00:51:21,960
Speaker 1: how should I feel about this guy being on the

955
00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:25,560
Speaker 1: Eagles and the money moving that way? I mean, historically

956
00:51:25,880 --> 00:51:29,120
Speaker 1: you shouldn't feel too good because we typically when everybody's

957
00:51:29,120 --> 00:51:32,200
Speaker 1: on one side like that. It's usually you know, it

958
00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:35,240
Speaker 1: goes the other way. But uh, this is an odd

959
00:51:35,280 --> 00:51:37,640
Speaker 1: game because it moved so much from six and a

960
00:51:37,719 --> 00:51:40,600
Speaker 1: half down to four. So if you were to say

961
00:51:40,920 --> 00:51:43,359
Speaker 1: I laid minus five on the Patriots when the line

962
00:51:43,400 --> 00:51:45,719
Speaker 1: was six and a half everywhere, you'd say I got

963
00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:48,000
Speaker 1: a good line, But you don't feel too good about

964
00:51:48,000 --> 00:51:50,840
Speaker 1: it now because now the line's down before, So it

965
00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:54,560
Speaker 1: can it can work both ways. Um, I don't know

966
00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:58,040
Speaker 1: that this is a that a lot of this Eagle's

967
00:51:58,560 --> 00:52:01,560
Speaker 1: money is sharp money and terms of professional money. I

968
00:52:01,600 --> 00:52:05,279
Speaker 1: know early on we got some sharp bets when there

969
00:52:05,440 --> 00:52:08,160
Speaker 1: was fives around town and we're at five and a

970
00:52:08,200 --> 00:52:10,840
Speaker 1: half and that, you know, that could just be a

971
00:52:10,840 --> 00:52:13,319
Speaker 1: guy shop and a number. Not so much that he's

972
00:52:13,320 --> 00:52:15,919
Speaker 1: got such a great opinion on the game. And there's

973
00:52:16,000 --> 00:52:19,399
Speaker 1: lots of Super Bowls where the wise guys really don't

974
00:52:19,440 --> 00:52:22,200
Speaker 1: weigh in or have that great of an opinion. You know,

975
00:52:22,239 --> 00:52:24,680
Speaker 1: just because it's the Super Bowl doesn't mean that the

976
00:52:24,680 --> 00:52:28,080
Speaker 1: professional handicappers really love the game. You know, they have

977
00:52:28,200 --> 00:52:31,840
Speaker 1: a particular ratings on how much they think there's value

978
00:52:31,840 --> 00:52:34,799
Speaker 1: in a number, and it really doesn't matter whether it's

979
00:52:34,840 --> 00:52:38,439
Speaker 1: you know, Wagner playing writer in college baskets or whether

980
00:52:38,480 --> 00:52:41,239
Speaker 1: it's the Super Bowl, it doesn't matter to them. The

981
00:52:41,280 --> 00:52:43,520
Speaker 1: only difference is that they're able to bet a lot

982
00:52:43,600 --> 00:52:46,520
Speaker 1: larger amounts in this game. So, UM, I don't know.

983
00:52:46,600 --> 00:52:48,640
Speaker 1: This is this is an odd game in terms of

984
00:52:48,840 --> 00:52:52,520
Speaker 1: the you know, the point movement, and I want to

985
00:52:52,560 --> 00:52:55,319
Speaker 1: say a lot of it is just a lot of

986
00:52:55,320 --> 00:52:58,440
Speaker 1: it's the public that just can't stand seeing the Patriots

987
00:52:58,480 --> 00:53:01,200
Speaker 1: in it again. And it's almost like wishful thinking, like

988
00:53:01,280 --> 00:53:03,760
Speaker 1: this is the team that's going to knock the Patriots down.

989
00:53:04,400 --> 00:53:09,080
Speaker 1: And I've kind of take straw poles around town. Every

990
00:53:09,080 --> 00:53:11,080
Speaker 1: time I'm talking with somebody about the game, I asked

991
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:14,360
Speaker 1: him who I like, and nobody seems to say the Patriots.

992
00:53:14,719 --> 00:53:19,239
Speaker 1: So it's really it's it's really lopsided in the court

993
00:53:19,280 --> 00:53:21,759
Speaker 1: of the public opinion. You know, everyone just wants to

994
00:53:21,760 --> 00:53:26,680
Speaker 1: see the Eagles win. It is. It is absolutely stunning. Um,

995
00:53:26,719 --> 00:53:30,359
Speaker 1: all right, Scooch, we talked about the game. Um, let's

996
00:53:30,360 --> 00:53:32,480
Speaker 1: go to our picks. Man. I just got to get there.

997
00:53:32,960 --> 00:53:38,160
Speaker 1: I can't wait another second time to take down the Hops.

998
00:53:39,080 --> 00:53:42,120
Speaker 1: When all hope is lost, all that's left is relief.

999
00:53:43,880 --> 00:53:50,080
Speaker 1: Let's play Scots Roulette. I listen, I've been lamely obvious

1000
00:53:50,080 --> 00:53:52,760
Speaker 1: that I'm on the Eagles a plus five and a half. Um.

1001
00:53:52,800 --> 00:53:54,680
Speaker 1: I like that to remain my screw troo let pick

1002
00:53:54,719 --> 00:53:56,600
Speaker 1: because I made it. I bet on it. I bet

1003
00:53:56,600 --> 00:54:00,719
Speaker 1: it on the podcast last week. And I don't think

1004
00:54:00,719 --> 00:54:02,920
Speaker 1: I should be beholden to the new number because I

1005
00:54:02,960 --> 00:54:06,239
Speaker 1: bet it in a very public way. Yeah what do

1006
00:54:06,280 --> 00:54:10,000
Speaker 1: you think? Yeah, no, I I could appreciate that. I

1007
00:54:10,000 --> 00:54:12,640
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna have to go the opposite way

1008
00:54:13,040 --> 00:54:17,239
Speaker 1: and go with the Patriots minus four. Um. I mean

1009
00:54:17,320 --> 00:54:22,400
Speaker 1: the lines come down significantly from what we originally made it. Uh.

1010
00:54:22,680 --> 00:54:24,640
Speaker 1: And like we talked a little bit about last week,

1011
00:54:25,239 --> 00:54:29,120
Speaker 1: that's largely because of one game against the Vikings. And

1012
00:54:29,280 --> 00:54:32,319
Speaker 1: I hate, I hate putting so much stock into just

1013
00:54:32,760 --> 00:54:35,200
Speaker 1: one game. And when we're saying it's almost a field

1014
00:54:35,200 --> 00:54:38,960
Speaker 1: goal difference based on how they just played against the

1015
00:54:39,040 --> 00:54:42,880
Speaker 1: Vikings and you know, uh, Patriots or the Patriots, and

1016
00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:45,359
Speaker 1: we've said that a million times too. You don't get

1017
00:54:45,400 --> 00:54:49,040
Speaker 1: rich betting against the Patriots. Um. But I'm gonna have

1018
00:54:49,120 --> 00:54:50,560
Speaker 1: to go with them. And I don't know if that's

1019
00:54:50,600 --> 00:54:53,040
Speaker 1: just because we just need them so so badly, but

1020
00:54:53,280 --> 00:54:57,719
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with them. So do you think I

1021
00:54:57,719 --> 00:55:00,879
Speaker 1: should try to middle it at pag be it's minus four?

1022
00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:04,600
Speaker 1: Is there enough of an opportunity like I've been landing

1023
00:55:04,600 --> 00:55:07,200
Speaker 1: on five that it's worth the money to me? I

1024
00:55:07,520 --> 00:55:10,160
Speaker 1: don't think so. Of course. I remember saying that to

1025
00:55:10,239 --> 00:55:12,359
Speaker 1: somebody when the Vikings played the Saints, and I said,

1026
00:55:12,400 --> 00:55:14,480
Speaker 1: I don't worry about five. Five is a dead number.

1027
00:55:14,800 --> 00:55:17,040
Speaker 1: And of course we all we all know what happened

1028
00:55:17,040 --> 00:55:20,120
Speaker 1: in that game. But boy, that's just so specific to

1029
00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:23,120
Speaker 1: try and uh middle it just to get on five.

1030
00:55:23,719 --> 00:55:26,480
Speaker 1: I'd almost wait till, well if you can some in

1031
00:55:26,600 --> 00:55:29,440
Speaker 1: progress wagering and see if you know, if the the

1032
00:55:29,480 --> 00:55:31,839
Speaker 1: Eagles jump out to a three nothing lead or something,

1033
00:55:31,840 --> 00:55:34,480
Speaker 1: there's probably a lot more opportunity to to hedge in

1034
00:55:34,520 --> 00:55:39,840
Speaker 1: that situation. I like the way you're thinking, yeah, you know.

1035
00:55:40,080 --> 00:55:43,359
Speaker 1: And it's odd the way that they're betting certain specific

1036
00:55:43,440 --> 00:55:47,000
Speaker 1: parts of this game. Like they're pounding the Patriots minus

1037
00:55:47,040 --> 00:55:51,239
Speaker 1: a half in the fourth quarter, Uh minus is it

1038
00:55:51,320 --> 00:55:54,160
Speaker 1: opened up at plus oh five and now it's minus one.

1039
00:55:54,640 --> 00:55:58,200
Speaker 1: Yet they're pounding the Eagles in the first half at

1040
00:55:58,200 --> 00:56:00,600
Speaker 1: plus two and a half and early on they were

1041
00:56:00,600 --> 00:56:03,480
Speaker 1: actually able to get plus three. So they're betting very

1042
00:56:03,480 --> 00:56:06,160
Speaker 1: specific Eagles to jump out to a lead and then

1043
00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:09,279
Speaker 1: Patriots to come back. So I guess. I mean, we've

1044
00:56:09,280 --> 00:56:12,080
Speaker 1: seen it many times in Super Bowls where that's exactly

1045
00:56:12,120 --> 00:56:14,920
Speaker 1: what happens. The Patriots started off very slow and then

1046
00:56:14,920 --> 00:56:17,839
Speaker 1: they come back in the second half. But um, that's

1047
00:56:17,840 --> 00:56:22,120
Speaker 1: how they're betting this one, Scooch. Listen, it's been another

1048
00:56:22,440 --> 00:56:26,000
Speaker 1: incredibly successful and exciting year, the least of which is

1049
00:56:26,040 --> 00:56:30,120
Speaker 1: because we launched the podcast on the Action Network, a

1050
00:56:30,160 --> 00:56:33,000
Speaker 1: brand new home for us. We brought in Mike Grennell

1051
00:56:33,160 --> 00:56:37,920
Speaker 1: as our producer, who's done amazing work bringing some shine

1052
00:56:38,000 --> 00:56:41,759
Speaker 1: and professionalism to this rag tag operation. At some point,

1053
00:56:41,840 --> 00:56:43,520
Speaker 1: sooner rather than later, we're going to move into our

1054
00:56:43,560 --> 00:56:45,760
Speaker 1: office in New York and we'll have a cool podcast studio.

1055
00:56:45,880 --> 00:56:48,920
Speaker 1: And uh, you know, we appreciate everybody sticking with us

1056
00:56:48,920 --> 00:56:51,800
Speaker 1: through sound issues when we first started the podcast, remember

1057
00:56:51,840 --> 00:56:56,280
Speaker 1: that back in October. That was really tough. Uh, But listen,

1058
00:56:56,520 --> 00:56:58,000
Speaker 1: just because the season is over doesn't mean you get

1059
00:56:58,000 --> 00:56:59,839
Speaker 1: to stop, because now you have to keep coming back

1060
00:57:00,360 --> 00:57:04,120
Speaker 1: because it's called The Buffet with Chad and Scooch exactly. Yeah,

1061
00:57:04,360 --> 00:57:07,799
Speaker 1: so I'm committed now yea, I committed, as they said.

1062
00:57:09,520 --> 00:57:11,880
Speaker 1: Uh so guess what. This isn't even goodbye. I'll talk

1063
00:57:11,880 --> 00:57:15,160
Speaker 1: to you next week. Okay, we've been spent fun football.

1064
00:57:15,200 --> 00:57:17,439
Speaker 1: We'll have a lot to talk about recapping the game though.

1065
00:57:17,520 --> 00:57:19,720
Speaker 1: We will have a time. All right, buddy, good luck

1066
00:57:19,760 --> 00:57:21,240
Speaker 1: this weekend. Thanks