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Speaker 1: Hey guys, are you welcome into a Wednesday morning edition

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Speaker 1: of the Dad the Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports doc Matt Eathr.

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Speaker 2: Morning.

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Speaker 1: We are here thanks to Bettingpros dot com and bet mgm.

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Speaker 1: That offer which is above me one hundred bucks you

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Speaker 1: can win if you wag your twenty bucks with the

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Speaker 1: promo code Juice one hundred win or lose. You win

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Speaker 1: one hundred dollars in free wagers thanks to bet mgm.

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Speaker 1: With a new account with that promo co Juice one

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Speaker 1: hundred betmgm dot com or on the bet mgm app.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Desert, No, not Vegas, the sports Desert.

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Speaker 1: So we've got the Olympics which actually begins today, and

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Speaker 1: right here at the top, I'm gonna give you the

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Speaker 1: soccer play right away. I'm not gonna make you wait

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Speaker 1: because there's a chance you might be able to bet this.

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Speaker 1: It's a late night bet. I post these in the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel. Okay, we don't count these wagers, but I

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Speaker 1: do make them, and I'm gonna wake up and see

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Speaker 1: if I win this. Every bet between Team USA for

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Speaker 1: the women for soccer for the Olympics, which begins today.

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Speaker 1: Everything that I've been told is that it is not

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Speaker 1: worth the juice. Like Team USA is gonna win. This

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Speaker 1: match is just a matter of will Sweden score and

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Speaker 1: at plus one twenty five.

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Speaker 2: Not a bad flyer.

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Speaker 1: I've hit four of my last five soccer bets, including

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Speaker 1: last night hitting Costa Rica in regulation to win. They

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Speaker 1: won one nothing over Jamaica. We are looking at Team

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Speaker 1: USA to give up a goal, one goal. They're gonna

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Speaker 1: score a bunch. But both teams to score in this

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Speaker 1: match is plus one twenty five. So why not let's

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Speaker 1: take a flyer on Team USA to score against Team

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Speaker 1: Sweden plus one twenty five for a soccer wager. It's

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Speaker 1: late night, it's there's no Gold Cup to bet, and

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Speaker 1: they want me to bet soccer even though it doesn't

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Speaker 1: count for the record. Just throw a soccer play. So

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Speaker 1: there's a soccer play if you want it. Okay, both

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Speaker 1: teams to score TEAMUS versus Sweden. Here we can sleep

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Speaker 1: and wake up. I think it's a one thirty I

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Speaker 1: might even be up when this thing starts. It's one

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Speaker 1: thirty Pacific time, so yeah, it's a late night soccer

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Speaker 1: match over in uh in Japan for Team USA. But

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Speaker 1: they'll replay the match, I guess later in the evening.

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Speaker 1: But anyways, congratulations to the Milwaukee Bucks.

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Speaker 2: What a win. Jannis was incredible.

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Speaker 1: I'm so mad at myself that I did not give

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Speaker 1: you guys the Jannis over thirty two points. I played

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Speaker 1: it myself personally, but I'm so flip it angry that

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Speaker 1: I was going back and forth between Janie and Pat Connington,

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Speaker 1: Jannis and Pat Connton, and I thought, man, what happens

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Speaker 1: if it's not a blowout, what happens if the Bucks

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Speaker 1: don't cover. I was just I overthought it and I

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Speaker 1: bet it, and I didn't give it out officially on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel. You guys knew pregame. I had that

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Speaker 1: because I gave you my full card. But ye, Cam Johnson, no,

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Speaker 1: not good. He did not go over. I had him

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Speaker 1: for one and a half made threes that didn't hit.

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Speaker 1: But then Pat Connington did not go over. But the

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Speaker 1: Bucks cover the halfy unit.

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Speaker 2: That was good.

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Speaker 1: Bad loss in baseball with the no runs for the

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Speaker 1: Texas Rangers and the Detroit Tigers. One rain delays suck.

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Speaker 1: They screw up everything. But then we had one out

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Speaker 1: to go in the bottom of the first inning, first

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Speaker 1: two batters out and then a solo shot only run

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Speaker 1: that the Tigers got, so one nothing first inning, so

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Speaker 1: we lose that one, but we got the over and

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Speaker 1: the Orioles and the Blue Jays are Orioles and the

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Speaker 1: Rays for their game in the first five that got over,

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Speaker 1: so we catch that at minus one twenty. So I've

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Speaker 1: got two baseball plays coming up. I will add a

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Speaker 1: couple of yes or no run inning bets on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel bettingpros dot Com slash Chat.

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Speaker 2: I will add that.

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Speaker 1: I'll have at least two going because we like to

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Speaker 1: add player props in since it's not going to meet

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Speaker 1: any player props for a long time until the NBA season,

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Speaker 1: so we'll have those. The yes no's will be our

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Speaker 1: that'll be the Discord every day, a yes no for

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Speaker 1: a quarter unit each one.

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Speaker 2: So I'm going to be posting those.

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Speaker 1: During the Discord channel every day until we get basketball back,

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Speaker 1: which is going to be a really long time, so

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Speaker 1: I or maybe I'll play some baseball props, but probably not.

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Speaker 1: So we got the bucks right, So basically two and

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Speaker 1: two day, except you guys got me the win because

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Speaker 1: the Discord bet. We don't count it for the record,

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Speaker 1: but for the win for the day, the Discord bet.

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Speaker 1: I won for the day with the Discord bet. So

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Speaker 1: at Discord bets one two in a row, now seven

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Speaker 1: and nine. For all you haters out there saying Discord

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Speaker 1: bet awful bet.

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Speaker 2: The game went exactly.

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Speaker 1: I handicapped that game as well as I've handicapped a

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Speaker 1: game in a really long time. I told you first quarter,

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Speaker 1: slow start, Bet the under in the first quarter.

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Speaker 2: We got that.

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Speaker 1: I said, second quarter, be careful of the halftime score

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Speaker 1: because the Suns are going to play well in the

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Speaker 1: second quarter.

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Speaker 2: That's what happened. They made a push third quarter.

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Speaker 1: Bet the over, third quarter in game over fifty five

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Speaker 1: and a half points in the third quarter. We all

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Speaker 1: nailed that in the Discord channel. And then the Bucks

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Speaker 1: hung on to win and cover that last second three

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Speaker 1: by Devin Booker. Oh my goodness, my heart was in

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Speaker 1: my throat. That would have been an awful, awful beat.

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Speaker 1: The public was holding their breath. The books were on

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Speaker 1: my side, and they were very happy that Devin Booker

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Speaker 1: missed that three point shot. It is a win and

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Speaker 1: a cover for the Milwaukee Bucks. That would have been

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Speaker 1: an awful four point win and a brutal backdoor loss

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Speaker 1: for anyone with the bucks minus five. Thank goodness that

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Speaker 1: three did not go down until we get the cover

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Speaker 1: there with that.

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Speaker 2: So it's a three and.

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Speaker 1: Two day, not bad at all, not gonna squawk at it.

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Speaker 1: And we got the soccer bet right as well with

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Speaker 1: Costa Rica so at plus one twenty five. So it's

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Speaker 1: a four and two day for the Daily Juice. Not

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Speaker 1: going to get angry at it. Even though technically it's

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Speaker 1: a two and two day for the record, it's a

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Speaker 1: four and two day.

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Speaker 2: Remember these days, when we're adding.

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Speaker 1: Up the overall record for the Daily Juice, there are

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Speaker 1: good days that we don't get full credit for because

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Speaker 1: that's just how it is. I don't want the discord

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Speaker 1: bet to count. That's not really fair. It's your bet.

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Speaker 1: And then the soccer bets, I don't want them counting

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Speaker 1: because well, I bet them, but I don't really you know,

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Speaker 1: some of the bets are really small and I do

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Speaker 1: play them, but I'm not playing them consistently. But they

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Speaker 1: want the picks for soccer on the podcast, so I

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Speaker 1: do wind up making them. Okay, So let's get to

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Speaker 1: the plays. Here coming up for today, and I've got

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Speaker 1: two plays going today in one future to give you guys.

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Speaker 1: And I fired on this tonight and I have been

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Speaker 1: eyeballing it, I've been previewing it, I've been talking about it,

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Speaker 1: and I finally bit the bullet for a half a unit,

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Speaker 1: and I bet the Giants to win the National League West. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So if we look at some of the numbers here

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Speaker 1: and strength of schedule and what will happen down the stretch.

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Speaker 1: If you go to Baseball Reference dot Com, they've got,

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Speaker 1: you know, the remaining strength of schedule for all the

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Speaker 1: teams playing in Major League Baseball, and right now, the

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Speaker 1: Rockies have the toughest strength of schedule remaining. The Mets

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Speaker 1: have number two, the Diamondbacks number three, the Padres number four,

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Speaker 1: which is good for the Giants, then the Orioles, then

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Speaker 1: the Giant than the Braves, Angels, Marlins, and then the Dodgers.

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Speaker 1: So there's not a huge separation between the Giants, Padres,

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Speaker 1: and Dodgers in terms of strength of schedule. So they're

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Speaker 1: all going to be challenged. But if you look at

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Speaker 1: what Baseball Reference dot Com is projecting, they've got the

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Speaker 1: top seed.

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Speaker 2: The overall top seed.

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Speaker 1: In the National League to be the Giants. They think

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Speaker 1: they're going to be the one seed, and they've played

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Speaker 1: really well against the Dodgers, and they've got two more

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Speaker 1: games to go here in this series and their bullpen.

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Speaker 1: At the time of taping, it's six to five in

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Speaker 1: the bottom of the eighth inning right now with the

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Speaker 1: Giants leading. But the Giants are a team that offensively,

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Speaker 1: it is remarkable what they do and how they score

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Speaker 1: even with all their injuries. They're pretty banged up. I mean,

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Speaker 1: you look at their roster and the guys they've got

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Speaker 1: on the DL Brandon Belt, Brandon Crawford, Evan Longoria, guys

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Speaker 1: that are hurt. Some of the guys are coming back,

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Speaker 1: some of the guys are not. But they just keep

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Speaker 1: on winning. It doesn't matter who they're playing. They just

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Speaker 1: keep on winning. Right now, if you look at the

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Speaker 1: best team on the run line in Major League Baseball,

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Speaker 1: the Giants are the best team on the run line

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Speaker 1: fifty nine to thirty four. They are winning by more

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Speaker 1: than one run sixty three point four percent of the time.

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Speaker 1: To me, that's significant, not from a gambling standpoint, but

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Speaker 1: how they're playing and how they're winning. They're not just

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Speaker 1: squeaking by different teams. It's not like they're just kind

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Speaker 1: of winning. They're really winning and winning consistently right now,

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Speaker 1: and it's really fun to watch now. Look, they play

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Speaker 1: in a tough division, but they are going to play

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Speaker 1: some bad teams down the stretch. They are gonna play

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Speaker 1: teams that they're going to be able to beat up upon.

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Speaker 2: Which is good.

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Speaker 1: They got a three game set with the Pirates after

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Speaker 1: this one, then they're home for the Angels. The Astros

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Speaker 1: are not going to be easy, and they've got a

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Speaker 1: big set with the with the Arizona Diamondbacks where over

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Speaker 1: the course of nine games or sorry, that's yeah, nine games,

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Speaker 1: they play them six times, which is good. They got

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Speaker 1: the Rockies, a couple of big series with the Mets,

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Speaker 1: interleague with the Oakland A's, and they'll play the Dodgers

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Speaker 1: again in September, then the Rockies in September. On the road,

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Speaker 1: they got the Cubs. They're home for a big series

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Speaker 1: with the Padres, and then the end of the year

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Speaker 1: with a run between the Padres Rockies on the road

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Speaker 1: home stand for the Diamondbacks and the San Diego Padres.

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Speaker 2: Look, it's not gonna.

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Speaker 1: Be easy, and I'm not saying it's not going to

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Speaker 1: be a complete and total sweat to get here. But

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Speaker 1: it's plus three point thirty on the Giants to win

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Speaker 1: the National League West. Their lead's not big. I'm not

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Speaker 1: saying they got this gigantic lead here. And maybe it's

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Speaker 1: three games after tonight Giants who could lead by three.

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Speaker 2: I bet this before.

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Speaker 1: The game ended tonight, so maybe the Dodgers came back

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Speaker 1: in the bottom of the ninth. But I bet the

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Speaker 1: Giants to win the division here. I know one of

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Speaker 1: you guys in the Discord channel. You guys bet the

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Speaker 1: Giants to win the World Series. Not a horrible bet,

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Speaker 1: don't hate on it. Thirteen at home, they're twenty nine

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Speaker 1: to twenty one. On the road, they have a plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty three run differential, which is out freaking standing

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Speaker 1: right now. And they pitch, they hit, They've hit a

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Speaker 1: ton of home runs. Where are the home runs coming from?

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's nuts. Mike Oscremsky, he has his grandson

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Speaker 1: from my hometown of Andover, Massachusetts. That kid has turned

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Speaker 1: into a hell of a ball player. My little brother

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Speaker 1: grew up playing baseball with Mike, and I mean he

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Speaker 1: was always super talented. I don't think anybody really thought

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Speaker 1: he was gonna get to this level, and he has

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Speaker 1: just turned into a great weapon. Even the Giants didn't

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Speaker 1: think this guy was going to be as good as

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Speaker 1: a player as he's turned into. With fourteen home runs

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Speaker 1: and thirty at RBIs now he's only bat in two

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Speaker 1: thirty five, but he's getting the job done. Brandon Crawford

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Speaker 1: leads a team with eighteen home runs, but you know

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Speaker 1: they got thirteen from Buster Posey, eleven from Brandon Belt.

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Speaker 1: They're hitting home runs, but not just one guy doing it.

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Speaker 1: It's the whole roster of guys who are doing it.

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Speaker 1: And they've just got enough offense. They manufacture runs, and

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Speaker 1: boy is the pitching really really good. Even though Gosman

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Speaker 1: wasn't good yesterday, Wood was good, was decent tonight last night.

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Speaker 2: They've got a bullpen. I just like them.

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Speaker 1: I don't love the manager, but I do like the

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Speaker 1: Giants to win the division and kind of shock the

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Speaker 1: world a little bit. At plus three thirty, I think

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Speaker 1: there's just too much value on the Giants to win

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Speaker 1: the West. Half a unit on the Giants to win

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Speaker 1: the West. At plus three thirty, first play for us

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Speaker 1: here today. Second play, let's go to the Astros and what.

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Speaker 2: They are up to.

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Speaker 1: The Astros are a team that offensively you kind of

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Speaker 1: cannot sleep on anymore as to what they've been able

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Speaker 1: to do. Houston's offense is really potent. Their game run

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Speaker 1: line record is forty eight and forty seven, so basically

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Speaker 1: fifty percent of the time they're cashing in on the

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Speaker 1: run line. So it's not a gigantic number. It's not

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Speaker 1: something you could be like, oh yeah, go ahead and

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Speaker 1: now like the Giants when it comes to how the

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Speaker 1: Giants have been scoring, just in winning consistently on the

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Speaker 1: run line. Houston is a team that, with their offensive

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Speaker 1: firepower and what they can put up, you always have

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Speaker 1: to kind of look at them in particularly when they're

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Speaker 1: playing not great teams. Okay, this is Eli Morgan versus

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Speaker 1: Lance McCullers junior. Eli Morgan's one in three with a

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Speaker 1: seven point eight six ERA. Lance McCullough junior is seven

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Speaker 1: and two with a two point eight ERA. Look at

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Speaker 1: mccullors over the last couple of weeks, So last time

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Speaker 1: out against the White Sox, we had bet this game.

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Speaker 1: He goes seven, two hits, one earned run, ten strikeouts.

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Speaker 1: Game before that, he got the loss in a two

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Speaker 1: to one game, pitch seven innings, two earned runs, two walks,

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Speaker 1: eight strikeouts. Game before that against Cleveland, he went five

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Speaker 1: and a third two hits, six two earned runs, four walks,

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Speaker 1: eight strikeouts. His ERA is down to two point zero

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Speaker 1: and he hasn't given up more than two earned runs

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Speaker 1: in a start dating back to May against Texas, where

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Speaker 1: he gave up three, and he hasn't given up more

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Speaker 1: than three except for one start against the Tigers back

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Speaker 1: on Eightpril to fourteenth. Lance puccullors Junior has been a tremendous,

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Speaker 1: tremendous pitcher on the flip side, Eli Morgan, it's been okay.

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Speaker 1: Last time out against Oakland's five innings, seven hits, three

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Speaker 1: earned runs, He gave up one home run six strikeouts.

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Speaker 1: Time before that, against these Houston Astros, he was pretty good.

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Speaker 1: Five innings, five hits, three earned runs, a three to

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Speaker 1: two loss and a loss to Lance mccullors on that

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Speaker 1: was no, Actually it wasn't against that was on the

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Speaker 1: third of That was on the third of July. He

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Speaker 1: missed mccullor's. It was July second, the mccullor's pitch, but

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Speaker 1: Eli Morgan in a three to two game, four innings

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Speaker 1: Storry's five innings, four earned runs, giving up six hits

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Speaker 1: time for that against the Tigers, four earning for earned

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Speaker 1: runs against the Cubs, gave up three earned runs in

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Speaker 1: five three and two thirds against Baltimore, and started the

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Speaker 1: year off in May when he came up with a

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Speaker 1: rough outing two and two thirds inning six earned runs

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Speaker 1: he gave up. He got hit pretty hard in his

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Speaker 1: major league baseball debut, but his ARI has been coming

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Speaker 1: down dramatically after every start since then.

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Speaker 2: He's been pitching pretty well.

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Speaker 1: But I think Lance mccullor's is pitching really well well.

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Speaker 1: I got the Astros on the first five run line

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Speaker 1: at minus one. Now, normally the run line is only

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Speaker 1: half a run. This is a little different. Okay, This

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Speaker 1: does put the push in contention here. So what we

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Speaker 1: need is a bunch of runs early for the Astros

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Speaker 1: to be up three to one, four to one, somewhere

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Speaker 1: in that range here. But it's minus one twenty on

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Speaker 1: the Astros first five At DraftKings, Astros minus one first

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Speaker 1: five is the play for us. But Lance mccullor is

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Speaker 1: up against Eli Morgan Astros against the Cleveland Indians. Half

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Speaker 1: a unit on the Astros minus one at minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty first five money or run line for our second

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Speaker 1: play for baseball, our third play, let's talk about the

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Speaker 1: Rays and the Orioles. So here, when you look at

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Speaker 1: totals the Orioles and Tampa fifty two forty and three

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Speaker 1: fifty forty one in three for these two teams, they

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Speaker 1: are fifth and sixth in Major League Baseball to the

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Speaker 1: over hitting fifty six point five percent of the time

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Speaker 1: and fifty four point nine percent of the time. These

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Speaker 1: two teams do score quite a bit. The pitcher is

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Speaker 1: going for tomorrow not all that great, to be quite honest.

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Speaker 1: If you are looking at just what we're gonna see here,

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Speaker 1: we know that yesterday a lot of runs got scored

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Speaker 1: between these two teams. A lot of offense came in.

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Speaker 1: It was a nine to three win for Tampa Bay

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Speaker 1: over Baltimore. We know they score a lot. And this

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Speaker 1: is the early game of the day. It's a getaway day.

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Speaker 1: Keegan Aiken is zero to five with an eight point

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Speaker 1: one to nine ERA. Michael Walka is two and two

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Speaker 1: with a five point one four ERA. Both pitchers not

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Speaker 1: great with the whip one point eight, one point three five.

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Speaker 1: I think we're gonna see a lot of offense here.

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Speaker 1: The total is only eight, which is somewhat surprising here,

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Speaker 1: and I think it has got a little bit to

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Speaker 1: do with where the offenses have been over the last

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Speaker 1: couple of games. Now, it was a nine to three

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Speaker 1: win yesterday for the Race, so it went to twelve.

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Speaker 2: But the time before that it was six to.

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Speaker 1: One, seven to one, Oils one six one or it

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Speaker 1: raised one, seven to one, raised one, five to four

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Speaker 1: four two for the Rays, ten to one, nine seven

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Speaker 1: thirteen six. So we've seen games in Baltimore go way

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Speaker 1: over games in the TRUP, you know, not that great.

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Speaker 2: Eighteen and thirty.

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Speaker 1: Three for the Orioles on the road, raise twenty nine

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Speaker 1: and eighteen at home. I don't hate a raise play,

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Speaker 1: although it's pretty heavily juiced. I don't hate a raise

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Speaker 1: run line play. It's pretty it's pretty heavily juiced. I

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Speaker 1: thought long and hard about Rays on the run line

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Speaker 1: on this game.

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Speaker 2: I'm instead going to take the over here.

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Speaker 1: And it's eight at minus one fifteen, so we do

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Speaker 1: have a push potential off against to eight. But I

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Speaker 1: do think both pitchers will get hit hard. Again is

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Speaker 1: a getaway day, so maybe you're not going to, you know,

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Speaker 1: make one of the bullpen arms kind of wear one.

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Speaker 1: The game gets kind of away from one of the teams,

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Speaker 1: and you put up a bunch of runs. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go over eight runs for the Rays and the Orioles

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Speaker 1: here nine ten Pacific time, start twelve ten start at

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Speaker 1: the trop There'll be nobody there, so hopefully you just

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Speaker 1: see like batting practice and a bunch of runs being

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Speaker 1: scored and whatnot. It won't be some electric g atmosphere.

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Speaker 1: Maybe a lot of home runs, pitchers not really on

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Speaker 1: their stuff, and we get to an easy over eight

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Speaker 1: at minus one fifteen for a half a unit for

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Speaker 1: the third play of the day. Okay, so let's recap

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Speaker 1: the plays team USA and Sweden. Both teams score at

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty five Giants plus three point thirty to

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Speaker 1: win the National League West for a half of unit.

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Speaker 1: Astros minus one first five run line against the Indians

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Speaker 1: and the Rays and the Orioles over eight at minus

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Speaker 1: one fifteen for a half a unit. Those are the

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Speaker 1: plays I will have some yes, no first inning runs,

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Speaker 1: two of them at least in the discord channel betting

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Speaker 1: pro dot com slash chat to get in there, or

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Speaker 1: on YouTube underneath me. Click on it and you can

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Speaker 1: get in to our discord conversation, which is always a

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Speaker 1: ton of fun to be involved and be a part

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Speaker 1: of it. And I absolutely love our community and I

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Speaker 1: cannot wait to get the football season. We're gonna get

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Speaker 1: there by going through the Olympics and betting on the

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Speaker 1: Olympics and then getting ourselves to the start of college football.

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Speaker 1: I will have one more SEC bet for you guys

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Speaker 1: before SEC Media Days wrap up in Birmingham, but for now,

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Speaker 1: those are the plays. Here for a Wednesday's Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt. To follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. Every morning it's the Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: right here on Betting pros dot com, brought you by

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Speaker 1: betam Jam