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Speaker 1: Hey guys.

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into the Wednesday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parolt. You

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Speaker 2: can find me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. This

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Speaker 2: podcast always being found on Bettingpros dot com, on YouTube now,

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Speaker 2: or wherever you get your podcasts, and we are here

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Speaker 2: thanks to bet MGM, and welcome to the madness. All right,

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Speaker 2: it's Wednesday. I'm gonna tell you here at the top

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Speaker 2: that I am I'm going to be a little bit

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Speaker 2: late today. The reason is we have a ton coming.

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Speaker 2: All right, here's what it's gonna look like for us.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna make a bunch of plays on Thursday. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna give you another play. I've already given you one.

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Speaker 2: Drake plus two. Guess what that line did? I told

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Speaker 2: you the second that Tank Hemphill got cleared it was

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Speaker 2: gonna be all Drake money. And now the line at

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Speaker 2: certain books is Drake minus two. We got Drake plus two.

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Speaker 2: I don't love that. By the way, I'm not really

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Speaker 2: in love with the fact that the line's moving as

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Speaker 2: much as it is, but it's moving a lot because

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Speaker 2: of everyone's on Drake.

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Speaker 1: Unfortunately. I don't like that, but it is what it is.

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Speaker 2: We got plus two for Drake and I'm gonna give

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Speaker 2: you another play on the play in games coming up

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Speaker 2: today between Michigan State and UCLA. But we're going to

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Speaker 2: have a very cool thing happening on Thursday. So on

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Speaker 2: Thursday night, we're gonna have a live stream on our

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Speaker 2: YouTube channel, Betting Pros YouTube channel YouTube dot com slash

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros, and we're going to be live at nine

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Speaker 2: pm Eastern time during the play in Games for Friday's podcast. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you odd litany of picks. In fact,

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Speaker 2: on the live stream, I'm gonna have my own picks

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Speaker 2: that my money is going to.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna bet.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna pick not bat I'm gonna pick every game, Okay,

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Speaker 2: all sixteen games.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you what I think. I'm gonna track it.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna see how I'm gonna do against the spread

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Speaker 2: for all sixteen games. Now, we're gonna do that on

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Speaker 2: Thursday night at nine pm Eastern six pm Pacific time

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Speaker 2: here on the YouTube channel for Betting Pros. Plus we're

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Speaker 2: gonna do it on Saturday morning for round number two.

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Speaker 2: So round one is Friday Saturday, and then on Saturday

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Speaker 2: before the games, we're going to give you a ton

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Speaker 2: of picks again live stream on our YouTube channel, So

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Speaker 2: if you have not subscribed to our YouTube channel, do that.

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Speaker 2: So if you can't join us Thursday night for Friday's games,

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Speaker 2: you can join us on Saturday morning for Saturday's games.

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Speaker 2: All right, We're gonna do that throughout the entire NCAA tournament.

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Speaker 2: So that's gonna be the Daily Juice podcast, by the way,

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Speaker 2: for Friday morning, So there's not going to be a

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Speaker 2: separate podcast Thursday night's live stream. If you miss it,

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Speaker 2: that'll be the podcast. It's gonna be a bit of

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Speaker 2: a longer podcast, probably thirty to forty five minutes for

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice on Friday, being brought to you by

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Speaker 2: bet MGM. Speaking of BETMGM, we've got a lot going

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Speaker 2: on here, guys. Okay, this is a busy time of

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Speaker 2: the year, and betmgm's got a very cool offer. You're

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Speaker 2: a college basketball March matchup.

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Speaker 1: Game. Okay.

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Speaker 2: The promo code is Juice one hundred. It's vital. That's

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Speaker 2: So Juice one hundred the first round games. Bet ten

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Speaker 2: dollars on any college basketball game that's played in the

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Speaker 2: first round, and you get a ten dollars free bet

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Speaker 2: on every college basketball game played on that day.

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Speaker 1: That's one hundred and sixty dollars in free bets. It's

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Speaker 1: pretty good. Okay.

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Speaker 2: your states, receive one hundred and sixty dollars in free bets.

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Speaker 2: When you bet ten dollars on college basketball March matchups

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Speaker 2: in the first round, any college game ten dollars bet,

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Speaker 2: you get one hundred and sixty dollars in free bets

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Speaker 1: Okay, that is very very cool.

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Speaker 2: Reminder about the Fox bet contest going on as well. Okay,

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Speaker 2: you got that pro that link bettingpros dot com slash

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Speaker 2: fox Bet. Okay, this is very cool. It's a chance

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Speaker 2: for you guys to be involved with this tournament that

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Speaker 2: we're getting into. You're gonna have an opportunity to be

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Speaker 2: involved with a with A with A against the Spread

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Speaker 2: contest the Discord channel. You're gonna come through, You're gonna

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Speaker 2: download the Betting Pros app. Okay, this is all being

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Speaker 2: brought to by Fox Bet. Make your bet picks against

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Speaker 2: the spread directly in the app and to as many tournament.

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Speaker 1: Picks as you like.

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Speaker 2: The leaderboard will get based off of units one and

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Speaker 2: against the spread bets. Right, you're using name in the

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Speaker 2: channel on the Discord bettingpros dot com slash chat. Okay

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Speaker 2: to get in Betting Pros dot com slash chat, or

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Speaker 2: the link on the YouTube channel under Discord. Hit that

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Speaker 2: link and it takes you there before the tournament begins

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Speaker 2: giving out prizes to the Discord audience. And you can

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Speaker 2: be a part of this here on the Daily Juice

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Speaker 2: just for us. So it's all very cool Against the

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Speaker 2: Spread tournament being brought to you by Fox Bet, Bettingpros

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Speaker 2: dot Com and the Daily Juice. All right, so last

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Speaker 2: night we go two and three, we're down. I think

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Speaker 2: it's like point six units. It's not a point six unit.

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Speaker 2: It's not a great night. It's another losing night, but

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Speaker 2: small loss. Last night, small loss. Tonight a two and

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Speaker 2: three night, we get the Zion prop. It goes over

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Speaker 2: a twenty five and a half. We don't get the

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Speaker 2: bug damage prop. He scores twelve. Last night was the

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Speaker 2: regression night. Okay, we had fourteen and a half. He

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Speaker 2: scored twelve. We had the over in Boston. In Utah,

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Speaker 2: they scored two to twenty six. We needed to twenty

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Speaker 2: seven and a half. We had over again for a

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Speaker 2: second straight night. We get five goals when we have

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Speaker 2: an over five and a half Buffalo and the New

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Speaker 2: Jersey Devils. It's a three to win for New Jersey

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Speaker 2: and we get to five, not five and a half.

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Speaker 2: No open net goal for US, so we lose that

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Speaker 2: bet as well. So back to back hockey totals that

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Speaker 2: we lost, which is really annoying. Tampa Bay gets the win,

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Speaker 2: but they almost blew it. They were up three to

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Speaker 2: one five to play in the third period and they

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Speaker 2: give up two goals and then they went to overtime

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Speaker 2: and then a shootout in Vazileski. Thank goodness for that guy.

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Speaker 2: We win in a shootout. Tampa Bay minus one forty

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Speaker 2: gets that to cash. So Tampa cash is Zion cash.

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Speaker 2: Is we don't get the over in Buffalo, New Jersey,

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Speaker 2: we don't get the over in the in the Celtics Jazz,

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Speaker 2: and we don't get the Bohan Boganovich and man, it

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Speaker 2: was three losses by six points in totality. That's just

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Speaker 2: a regression night, Okay, just not our night. It's a bummer.

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Speaker 2: We almost had a worse record though. Zion just got there.

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Speaker 2: He just got over and Tampa just won, so you

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Speaker 2: kind of even out a little bit for us there

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Speaker 2: with that. But that is our We've now lost back

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Speaker 2: to back days. So now we have four winning days

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Speaker 2: over the last seven. And i want to tell you

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Speaker 2: something that I'm gonna do for the for the prop

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Speaker 2: bets for the NBA after March Madness.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna pause. I'm not gonna bet in the NBA.

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna bet anything but college basketball for really,

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Speaker 2: for Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, and then on Monday

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Speaker 2: we'll go back. So after the weekend, and if I'm

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Speaker 2: going to bet props in the NBA, I'm going to

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Speaker 2: wait and post them in the Discord Channel. This is

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Speaker 2: another reason why joining the Discord Channel is very important.

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Speaker 2: I'll probably have two, one or two going every day.

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Speaker 2: That's non college basketball March madness. But the Betting Pros

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Speaker 2: cheat sheet takes all the information and it prouses it

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Speaker 2: throughout the entire day, scrapes the data throughout.

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Speaker 1: The entire day.

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Speaker 2: What I'm noticing is that overnight the props do tend

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Speaker 2: to change based on availability and based upon you know,

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Speaker 2: just a variety of things. So I'm gonna start to wait,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna try this. We were now ten and five

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Speaker 2: with the props. That's a pretty good mark. Okay, so

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Speaker 2: maybe it's dumb to change up what we're doing because

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Speaker 2: ten and.

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Speaker 1: Five is a pretty good mark.

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Speaker 2: But I'm gonna see about this because some of the

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Speaker 2: numbers are changing, and some of the numbers are concerning

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Speaker 2: me just a little bit as I'm going back on

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Speaker 2: there and I'm watching it change. And so I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: try this where on Monday and Tuesday, we'll put the

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Speaker 2: player props in the Discord channel Bettingpros dot com slast

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Speaker 2: chat or in the link down on YouTube. If you're

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Speaker 2: seeing Discord, just go to the YouTube channel and cook

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Speaker 2: them the Discord link and I'll take you right there.

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Speaker 2: Get involved on that and I'll post some player props

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Speaker 2: and they're the ones I'm gonna play, and it gives

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Speaker 2: us a chance to maybe have a little bit more

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Speaker 2: accurate from a number perspective heading towards the game itself.

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Speaker 2: The NBA so topsy turvy, who's in, who's out and whatnot.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna try that after the weekend. So we're

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Speaker 2: gonna pause player props today Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and

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Speaker 2: we'll get into that. But ten and five is a

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Speaker 2: pretty good mark overall on player props. Let's start with

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Speaker 2: the picks for tonight. I only have three. Let's start

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Speaker 2: with the one on Thursday. Drake plus two is our

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Speaker 2: first play. Let's talk about the Michigan State Spartan staking

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Speaker 2: on UCLA. Mick Cronin in the tournament has not been good.

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Speaker 2: Tom Izzo is tom Izzo, all right? Both these teams

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Speaker 2: are bad against the number. That's why they're in the

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Speaker 2: play in game twelve and fourteen for UCLA, nine and

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Speaker 2: eighteen from Michigan State against the number against their conference

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Speaker 2: they were eight and twelve, Michigan State seven and four

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Speaker 2: teen against the conference over their last five Michigan State

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Speaker 2: two and three to the number, so is UCLA.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: This is where coaching, I think comes in a big,

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Speaker 2: big way. I got minus one and a half from

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Speaker 2: Michigan State. This line's at two. I'm comfortable taking the

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Speaker 2: two because well, I need to to win my bet,

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Speaker 2: but you get a push or uncomfortable with the minus

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Speaker 2: two for Michigan State here.

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Speaker 1: I just think if you look at the way.

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Speaker 2: Both these teams have played, you can't even get much

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Speaker 2: off their numbers because UCLA is covered once in their

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Speaker 2: last four games, two times in the last four games

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Speaker 2: for Michigan State to have covered, and I just think

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Speaker 2: that this UCLA team, I'm going to fade the PAC

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Speaker 2: twelve a lot here in the tournament. I don't think

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Speaker 2: the PAC twelve is very good, and I think Michigan

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Speaker 2: State can be streaky.

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Speaker 1: I mean they beat Michigan I mean when they're really

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Speaker 1: locked in and really want to get after it.

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Speaker 2: I mean neither one of these teams score. Okay, Ucla

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Speaker 2: scores seventy two point eight points per game. Michigan State

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Speaker 2: scores sixty nine points per game. Everyone's on the under

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Speaker 2: in this game, by the way, but I'm not playing

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Speaker 2: totals in this tournament. Michigan State gives up seventy point

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Speaker 2: five six points per game. UCLA gives up sixty eight

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Speaker 2: point five points per game. UCLA's got a positive scoring

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Speaker 2: margin a four point three, which is interesting minus one

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Speaker 2: and a half for Michigan State both. I mean, one

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Speaker 2: thing that is interesting about this game is that Michigan

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Speaker 2: State's effective field goal percentage it's forty seven point nine.

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Speaker 1: That's two hundred and sixty six in the country. That

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Speaker 1: is ugly.

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Speaker 2: Ucla is not bad, fifty two percent, that's eighty third

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Speaker 2: in the countries. That's not half bad, but they do

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Speaker 2: give up a little bit worse in terms of effective

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Speaker 2: figure up says. They give up fifty point seven that's

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Speaker 2: one ninety nine in the country for UCLA. Sorry for

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Speaker 2: Michigan State, it's forty seven point eight. That's seventy first

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Speaker 2: in the country. So UCLA gives up a lot of

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Speaker 2: easy baskets. Michigan State is a tough team to score on,

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Speaker 2: and that's what I think is gonna be the big

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Speaker 2: difference here. I think Michigan State is gonna get easier

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Speaker 2: baskets than they are against UCLA. I don't think this

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Speaker 2: is going to be a blowout. I think this is

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Speaker 2: going to be a barn burner. I just don't think

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Speaker 2: UCLA has played the level of competition that Michigan State

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Speaker 2: has played, and I think this is a team that's

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Speaker 2: not used to being in this position. And I think

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Speaker 2: Michigan State, through coaching and just overall talent, I think

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Speaker 2: they win this game.

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Speaker 1: I got it in minus cent one and a half.

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Speaker 2: We're going Michigan State minus one and a half against

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Speaker 2: UCLA here in the play in game on Thursday. So

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Speaker 2: two pick two plays going for Thursday already, Drake plus

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Speaker 2: two Michigan State minus one and a half. If you

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Speaker 2: can only find two, I don't hate that either. Michigan

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Speaker 2: State minus two is fine. But the total I won

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Speaker 2: thirty five and a half, won thirty six. Everyone's on

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Speaker 2: the under. I don't hate to play on the under.

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Speaker 2: I'm just not going to go near totals in the

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Speaker 2: NCAA tournaments. So play number two. Let's go to the NBA.

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Speaker 2: So this is a huge game for Yannis, taking on

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Speaker 2: the Philadelphia seventy six ers without Joel Embiidh is out

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Speaker 2: with the knee injury, and the line is five and

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Speaker 2: a half. I told you about this in the Discord channel,

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Speaker 2: I said, they're five and a half. Betmgms five and

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Speaker 2: a half. It was rising in other books. I said,

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Speaker 2: jump on it again. This is why it's important to

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Speaker 2: be in the Discord channel, because if you do like

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Speaker 2: trailing my plays, and I've been red hot and then

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Speaker 2: I've cooled off a little over the last two days.

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Speaker 2: But you know, if you do like trailing my plays,

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Speaker 2: I do tell you what I'm betting ahead of time.

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Speaker 2: If I think the line's gonna move, and I think

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Speaker 2: this line's going to move a lot, I think Milwaukee

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Speaker 2: is angry here. I think they want to get after it.

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Speaker 2: And this is a matchup, a playoff matchup potentially, and

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Speaker 2: I think Giannis goes off. If you want a better

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Speaker 2: player prop with Giannis triple double, don't hate it. I

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Speaker 2: think he's going to play and really look to put

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Speaker 2: this team on his back. Against the conference, Milwaukee's twelve

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Speaker 2: and ten against the spread. That's much better than they

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Speaker 2: are nineteen and twenty overall. Philadelphia is twenty two, seventeen

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Speaker 2: and one to the number. This year, they're fifteen to

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Speaker 2: eleven in one to the number, which is pretty impressive.

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Speaker 2: Over the last ten. Milwaukee is six and four to

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Speaker 2: the number. Philadelphia is seven and three to the number.

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Speaker 2: But without Yannis, this is significant. Okay, took on the Knicks,

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Speaker 2: they were seven point favorites, they won by three, did

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Speaker 2: not cover. Last game out against Washington on the road

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Speaker 2: eight and a half point favorites for for Milwaukee, they

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Speaker 2: won by eleven. Game before that, they're thirteen point favorites.

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Speaker 2: They won by six. At home against New York they

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Speaker 2: were eleven point favorites and they won by thirty three.

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Speaker 2: So two of the last three the Bucks have covered,

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Speaker 2: So they're starting.

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Speaker 1: To come around here a little bit.

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Speaker 2: And I just think this is where this team in

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Speaker 2: Philadelphia you need Embiid here. I mean, you really need

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Speaker 2: Embiid on the court to handle Yannis and to slow

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Speaker 2: Jannis down.

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Speaker 1: It sets up everything.

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Speaker 2: So I expect a monster game out of Anti Antiakupo

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Speaker 2: for Yannis, and I just don't think that it's going

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Speaker 2: to be enough here for Philadelphia to stop what is

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Speaker 2: a playoff matchup, I mean for sure. I mean, the

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Speaker 2: the Sixers are a sneaky good championship team that people

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Speaker 2: are starting to come around on. Embiid is you look

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Speaker 2: at as an MVP, and I don't think you just

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Speaker 2: replace him in my mind. So I laid the five

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Speaker 2: and a half with Milwaukee here on the road at Philadelphia.

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Speaker 2: So I like the Bucks here to cover five and

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Speaker 2: a half and to beat up on Philadelphia again. That

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Speaker 2: number is moving. I don't really think i'd play it

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Speaker 2: higher than seven. I think that'll probably be my max. Really,

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Speaker 2: six is probably you know, two possession game is probably

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Speaker 2: the highest I really would like to go. But I

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Speaker 2: got five and a half and I laid it here

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Speaker 2: five and a half for the Milwaukee Bucks. And one

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Speaker 2: hockey play that I want to get to here today,

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Speaker 2: and that is Winnipeg up against the Montreal Canadians. Winnipeg

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Speaker 2: is at home, the Jets are get catching plus one

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Speaker 2: and eleven one to eleven at Circus Sports here at

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Speaker 2: the time of taping, Jets are four and one in

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Speaker 2: their last five games at home as an underdog. There's

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Speaker 2: seven and three straight up their last ten games as

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Speaker 2: an underdog, and this is a monster game here.

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Speaker 1: To me, I like Winnipeg a lot.

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Speaker 2: I like Montreal, but they've already fired their coach for

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Speaker 2: a reason, and I mean on the road, Montreal is

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Speaker 2: pretty darn good, but eight, three, three and three.

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Speaker 1: But for the for Winnipeg.

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Speaker 2: They're nine that they're eleven and four to the puck

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Speaker 2: line at home. Okay, that's an incredible number. I mean,

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Speaker 2: that's really impressive. And over the last ten they're eight

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Speaker 2: and two to.

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Speaker 1: The over here.

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Speaker 2: So I thought about playing the over at five and

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Speaker 2: a half, but because we got burned the last two

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Speaker 2: nights betting overs, I'm just gonna take Winnipeg on the

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Speaker 2: money line here at home to win this game. So

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna hope for some good goaltending here and the

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Speaker 2: fact that the Jets outshot the Canadiens thirty six thirty one,

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Speaker 2: and they had more checks in them as well in

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Speaker 2: their last matchup on Monday when they lost four to

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Speaker 2: two to the Canadians. So you're coming off of a

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Speaker 2: loss thinking about the zigzag theory here, Carry Price played

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Speaker 2: really well in Net.

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Speaker 1: I think the Jets bounce back.

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Speaker 2: Here, they get a victory, they equally they tie up

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Speaker 2: this series at one game apiece against Montreal at plus

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Speaker 2: one to eleven. I'm taking the Winnipeg Jets on the

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Speaker 2: money line against Montreal. So just one unit in play tonight,

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Speaker 2: one unit in play on Thursday. So far with two

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Speaker 2: bets on the play in games. I'll have one more

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Speaker 2: bet coming up here. I'm not touching. I'm not touching

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Speaker 2: North of State and Appalachian State. I will have a

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Speaker 2: play in Mount Saint Mary's in Texas Southern coming up

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Speaker 2: on tomorrow's podcast.

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Speaker 1: Thought so I will have one more play on that.

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Speaker 2: So to recap the three plays for US here going

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Speaker 2: on today, Bucks miles five and a half for half

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Speaker 2: a unit Michigan State. Mine is one and a half

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Speaker 2: on Thursday in the play in game against UCLA in

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Speaker 2: Winnipeg on the money line at plus one eleven, taking

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Speaker 2: on the Montreal Canadians.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt. You can follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: Every single morning it's the Daily Juice podcast right here

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Speaker 2: on bettingpros dot Com, brought you by BETMGM