WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (WEEK 10) 0:00:00.680 --> 0:00:05.480 Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a 0:00:05.480 --> 0:00:09.160 week was enough, I think again. He's the last remnants 0:00:09.160 --> 0:00:12.440 of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He 0:00:12.560 --> 0:00:15.480 treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the 0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:19.880 rich pill poppers in the penthouse, the Clearinghouse of hot 0:00:19.920 --> 0:00:23.599 takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with 0:00:23.800 --> 0:00:32.959 Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere, and 0:00:33.120 --> 0:00:37.640 we welcome you in to a special edition of The 0:00:37.680 --> 0:00:42.640 Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard and Danty G Radio. And 0:00:42.760 --> 0:00:47.440 we promoted this on terrestrial radio during the week. It's 0:00:47.520 --> 0:00:52.320 Benny versus the Petty and here it is yet again. 0:00:53.320 --> 0:00:58.560 Strike up the band, Welcome players, You're welcome. Are you up? 0:01:01.800 --> 0:01:09.720 It's time now Penny versus the Penny. Love that sound, 0:01:09.760 --> 0:01:14.360 Love that sound. And right over there, the penny has 0:01:14.440 --> 0:01:17.920 yet to speak. So the representative of the Penny, the 0:01:18.000 --> 0:01:24.000 honorable Danny G Radio, the voice and the face of 0:01:24.080 --> 0:01:29.800 the Penny. Hello, Danny Yo, Good morning Benny. And you 0:01:29.840 --> 0:01:32.280 know I might sound a little stuffed up. I've been 0:01:32.319 --> 0:01:35.200 fighting off a cold the past couple of days. So 0:01:35.240 --> 0:01:38.600 the Penny it's like being on the I R. Although 0:01:38.640 --> 0:01:42.440 the Penny has had a horrible, sickly season completely, not 0:01:42.520 --> 0:01:49.960 just this weekend, yes, a bedraggled, exhausted, stressed out Penny, 0:01:50.360 --> 0:01:54.200 a very unusual season so far. Before we get to 0:01:54.280 --> 0:01:57.280 the games at hand here in week ten, we must 0:01:57.280 --> 0:02:00.160 look back to week nine, and I want to think 0:02:00.240 --> 0:02:03.840 my fact checkers like David in winter Park, Florida with 0:02:03.960 --> 0:02:08.240 Roscoe the Parrot, and Rob in Vegas, and several others 0:02:08.280 --> 0:02:11.040 you know who you are, who emailed me every week 0:02:11.120 --> 0:02:13.239 to make sure that I'm giving out the right record 0:02:13.320 --> 0:02:17.320 and no bogus records, thinking that I'm somehow inflating the records. 0:02:17.480 --> 0:02:20.040 But the great thing about this podcast, Danny, is everything 0:02:20.800 --> 0:02:23.440 is available. All of the audio content is available in 0:02:23.480 --> 0:02:26.919 the archives, So if you think I'm full of bullshit, 0:02:27.520 --> 0:02:31.400 you can go back and listen to any of the 0:02:31.440 --> 0:02:34.880 shows and crunch the numbers yourself. So back in week nine, 0:02:35.680 --> 0:02:38.720 we'll start out with the Penny. Now, the Penny, on 0:02:38.720 --> 0:02:42.679 a losing streak, needed to bounce back, and it did 0:02:42.720 --> 0:02:45.640 not go well for the Penny. There were a total 0:02:46.040 --> 0:02:49.720 of thirteen games on the card. A bunch of teams 0:02:49.720 --> 0:02:54.200 had buys last week. The Penny went somehow three nine 0:02:54.400 --> 0:03:03.720 and one against the sprint. Is that is terrible, absolutely sucks, 0:03:03.760 --> 0:03:09.960 devoid of matter. Yeah, that is the second worst week 0:03:10.000 --> 0:03:13.200 the penny has had. Nothing can quite top Week three, 0:03:13.440 --> 0:03:16.359 where the penny went three and thirteen against the spread. 0:03:17.240 --> 0:03:20.320 Uh that that only picking three winners out of sixteen 0:03:20.360 --> 0:03:22.760 games back in week three. But here in Week nine, 0:03:23.320 --> 0:03:25.560 last week, the penny went three nine and one. That's 0:03:25.560 --> 0:03:28.080 a two fifty winning percentage. Now, how did I do. 0:03:28.840 --> 0:03:31.760 Let's get to the point, please, my reign of terror 0:03:31.919 --> 0:03:36.600 continuing over the penny thirteen games, I went eight three 0:03:36.920 --> 0:03:41.080 and two, So a couple of games finished in a push, 0:03:41.240 --> 0:03:44.280 but eight three and two a seven twenty seven winning percentage, 0:03:44.600 --> 0:03:48.640 which is actually my highest one week winning percentage all 0:03:48.760 --> 0:03:53.480 season if you go by that metric. And overall, now 0:03:54.560 --> 0:03:58.240 the penny every game picking flipping the penny, Danny g 0:03:58.400 --> 0:04:01.560 you do it. No, no, bull bull bull crap. Right, 0:04:01.600 --> 0:04:05.560 you're flipping the penny badly, But that's good for you. 0:04:05.560 --> 0:04:07.920 You know you're probably gonna want to sign me to 0:04:08.000 --> 0:04:11.720 a long term contract. I know you're my good luck charm. 0:04:11.760 --> 0:04:13.600 After I had all these other people do the penny 0:04:13.640 --> 0:04:16.320 over the years, and I got whacked most of the time. 0:04:16.360 --> 0:04:18.920 But you come in here, Danny, and all of a sudden, 0:04:19.400 --> 0:04:21.760 I'm like, I'm gonna get my my my smoke phone. 0:04:21.800 --> 0:04:24.440 I'm gonna give out my picks, my number or something. 0:04:25.760 --> 0:04:29.000 You like boats. Listen up, Yeah, I'll get a boat 0:04:29.400 --> 0:04:32.720 driveway after my gambling tip. You don't have a boat 0:04:32.760 --> 0:04:35.560 in your driveway, I wanna get you. You're gonna have 0:04:35.640 --> 0:04:39.320 a mistress and a boat at a new house south 0:04:39.400 --> 0:04:42.760 of France. So uh so some anyway, the Penny overall 0:04:43.040 --> 0:04:47.120 is sixty four seventy two and three on the year. 0:04:47.240 --> 0:04:49.960 Every game against the spread, that's a four seventy one 0:04:49.960 --> 0:04:53.279 winning percentage, which when you consider the Penny had two 0:04:53.279 --> 0:04:56.600 weeks where they were sixteen games under five right there, 0:04:56.600 --> 0:05:00.120 that's pretty much the difference. But uh four seventy one 0:05:00.200 --> 0:05:02.880 winning percentage. I had to double check on this, and 0:05:02.960 --> 0:05:07.840 Roscoe the Parrot, David, Rob, Mike, all you guys can 0:05:07.880 --> 0:05:11.640 go back and check. But I am eighty fifty one 0:05:11.880 --> 0:05:16.559 and five against the spread, and my computer like brain 0:05:16.640 --> 0:05:19.800 tells me that that is twenty nine games above five, 0:05:20.440 --> 0:05:24.120 six eleven winning percentage so far this NFL season. So 0:05:24.640 --> 0:05:27.960 remember that the number that you're looking for here to 0:05:28.080 --> 0:05:31.960 make money. You have to win more than fifty two 0:05:32.000 --> 0:05:35.760 point four percent to make money and to make that work. Otherwise, 0:05:36.279 --> 0:05:38.680 because of the way the juice is set up, you'll 0:05:38.760 --> 0:05:41.960 burn out. It will not go well. So let's get 0:05:42.000 --> 0:05:45.240 to it now. It is week ten, and we will 0:05:45.279 --> 0:05:49.000 not be talking about the Ravens. The Ben Gals are 0:05:49.040 --> 0:05:52.040 not playing, the Jets are not playing in the Patriots 0:05:52.720 --> 0:05:55.200 are not playing. All those teams on the bye week. 0:05:55.680 --> 0:05:59.000 Here in week number ten, and we start out with 0:05:59.080 --> 0:06:05.480 the early, early, early game. And if you're the Seattle Seahawks, 0:06:05.560 --> 0:06:09.839 it is extremely early, as this game will be played 0:06:09.880 --> 0:06:14.599 in Germany, Seattle six and three versus Tampa Bay four 0:06:15.040 --> 0:06:18.839 and five on the year, it's on the NFL network. 0:06:19.520 --> 0:06:22.080 Rich Eisen who used to work at our place, and 0:06:22.320 --> 0:06:25.839 Kurt Warner, Michael Urban, the playmaker, Steve Mariucci, all of 0:06:25.880 --> 0:06:30.360 them getting their expenses paid. In Munich, Germany, where this 0:06:30.400 --> 0:06:35.040 game will be played, the Buccaneers opened a one and 0:06:35.080 --> 0:06:37.880 a half point favorite in the neutral site. They are 0:06:37.920 --> 0:06:41.240 favored by three slight lean on the money to the 0:06:41.279 --> 0:06:44.640 Bucks after they beat the Rams last week. Temperatures in 0:06:44.680 --> 0:06:49.360 the fifties at the stadium there in Munich, Germany, where 0:06:49.360 --> 0:06:52.120 they will be playing Tampa Bay, Oh six and one 0:06:52.240 --> 0:06:55.960 this season against the spread with Todd Bowls and Tom 0:06:56.000 --> 0:07:00.400 Brady and the Seattle Seahawks. What the heck are they 0:07:00.480 --> 0:07:03.880 doing right there in Seattle? They have been wonderful with 0:07:03.960 --> 0:07:07.440 Gino Smith nine and three going back to last year 0:07:07.480 --> 0:07:10.680 with Gino Smith as the starting quarterback and six and 0:07:10.760 --> 0:07:15.120 one against the spread their last seven games as an 0:07:15.160 --> 0:07:17.600 underdog of seven or less. The pig is in. I 0:07:17.640 --> 0:07:19.800 wanna take Seattle in this game. The Seahawks have a 0:07:19.840 --> 0:07:23.560 better defense, they have a better quarterback. Gino Smith has 0:07:23.560 --> 0:07:26.200 actually played better than Tom Brady. Never thought I'd say 0:07:26.240 --> 0:07:30.320 that sentence. Welcome to Bizarro world, and you mix in 0:07:31.040 --> 0:07:34.120 what what I'd like to think is the secret weapon here, 0:07:34.200 --> 0:07:38.119 Kenneth Walker and the running game Kenneth Walker the second 0:07:38.200 --> 0:07:40.280 or third wherever it is, and the running game here. 0:07:40.880 --> 0:07:42.640 This is the right side of the game. The the 0:07:42.720 --> 0:07:45.560 only thing that scares you a little bit. The only 0:07:45.600 --> 0:07:50.000 red flag is the start time body clockwise. This game 0:07:50.040 --> 0:07:54.480 will be kicking off at six thirty am body clock times. 0:07:54.480 --> 0:07:57.400 Seattle are all those twelves is gonna get up and 0:07:57.400 --> 0:08:01.320 have bacon and sausage and scrambled eggs and watched the game. Hudos. 0:08:01.720 --> 0:08:04.160 The NFL doesn't care about that. I'm sure there's people 0:08:04.200 --> 0:08:07.600 all over Germany clamoring for this game, unless they're not. 0:08:08.320 --> 0:08:12.000 But that said, the Twelves have covered four straight games 0:08:12.040 --> 0:08:16.000 for the first time since the last time they covered 0:08:16.040 --> 0:08:20.520 five straight games, and they're about to get that done 0:08:20.520 --> 0:08:23.880 here Seahawks twenty four. Back to the lost column for 0:08:23.920 --> 0:08:28.320 the Buccaneers seventeen seventeen Seattle with the win and the 0:08:28.360 --> 0:08:36.080 penny picks and the penny is going with Tom Brady 0:08:36.080 --> 0:08:39.240 and the Bucks. Alright, so disagreement on that game. Out 0:08:39.240 --> 0:08:41.160 of the gates, I saw it seemed like the penny 0:08:41.200 --> 0:08:43.679 was dancing around there, Danny. I looked. I looked up, 0:08:43.720 --> 0:08:46.400 and I thought the penny had gone rogue. Maybe a 0:08:46.480 --> 0:08:50.520 jailbreak for the penny the haggard penny decided to take off. 0:08:50.640 --> 0:08:54.560 Is that true? Because the penny rolled off the table. Okay, 0:08:54.600 --> 0:08:57.559 bad job by the penny. Come on, by the way, 0:08:57.720 --> 0:08:59.760 I went with what was on the floor though, So 0:09:00.120 --> 0:09:04.760 all is fair, All is fair in love war and 0:09:04.840 --> 0:09:09.640 benny versus the penny. Next up the shambolic Jacksonville Jacks, 0:09:09.679 --> 0:09:11.760 who did beat the Raiders last week three and six 0:09:11.840 --> 0:09:17.080 at Kansas City six and two. It's on CBS with 0:09:17.240 --> 0:09:21.400 Jim Nance and Tony Romo. Jim Nance and Tony Romo 0:09:21.440 --> 0:09:23.599 calling a Jacksonville game, but it is Kansas City. The 0:09:23.640 --> 0:09:26.240 Chiefs opened at nine and ap point favorite. They were 0:09:26.280 --> 0:09:28.840 favored by nine and a half. This, of course, the 0:09:28.920 --> 0:09:33.400 home Kansas City of the Ben Mallard Chicken Fingers. The 0:09:33.600 --> 0:09:36.959 landing in the Greater Kansas City areare in Liberty, Missouri, 0:09:37.000 --> 0:09:38.640 just down the street from where the Chiefs play, not 0:09:38.720 --> 0:09:41.920 that far away, a few miles away. Most of the 0:09:42.000 --> 0:09:45.240 handle on this game in favor of the Chiefs, Sunny 0:09:45.760 --> 0:09:50.320 temperatures in the forties at kick off at Arrowhead Stadium, 0:09:50.400 --> 0:09:52.400 and some of the numbers on this when Kansas City 0:09:52.400 --> 0:09:54.320 has been a terrible home team. They're owing four for 0:09:54.400 --> 0:09:58.000 Gamblers at home this season. And if you go back 0:09:58.160 --> 0:10:01.480 the last eleven home games started by Patrick Mahomes three 0:10:01.520 --> 0:10:05.720 and eight against the spread, that tells you what has happened, 0:10:05.720 --> 0:10:08.000 doesn't tell you what's gonna happen. Just like Trevor Lawrence 0:10:08.960 --> 0:10:12.440 two and eight his last ten games starting on the road. 0:10:12.559 --> 0:10:15.840 So something's gotta give in this game. I'm gonna take Jacksonville. 0:10:16.280 --> 0:10:19.880 I like the Jags. This is a quarterback mismatch. We 0:10:19.960 --> 0:10:22.839 understand that Mahome is much better than Trevor Lawrence. He 0:10:22.880 --> 0:10:25.880 should take Lawrence behind the wood shed and the individual matchup. 0:10:25.960 --> 0:10:31.240 That's it. Trevor Lawrence is better and Malik Willis the 0:10:31.280 --> 0:10:33.560 Titans quarterback last week. Didn't even try to throw the 0:10:33.559 --> 0:10:37.120 ball last week. But we're taking the Jags mainly because 0:10:37.160 --> 0:10:40.560 we like the running game. Travis e t n the 0:10:40.640 --> 0:10:43.200 running back out of Clempson. Clempson, this guy has been 0:10:43.400 --> 0:10:46.480 a bell cow. Now. I was a little scared because 0:10:46.559 --> 0:10:49.440 Doug Peterson said they're gonna roll back the amount of 0:10:49.440 --> 0:10:51.080 carriers don't want to work the guy tour What are 0:10:51.120 --> 0:10:53.880 you saving him for? I don't understand. What are you 0:10:53.960 --> 0:10:57.360 saving him for? A rainy day in the summer? Makes 0:10:57.400 --> 0:11:02.120 no sense. But Kansas City's run defense blows and I'm 0:11:02.120 --> 0:11:06.400 counting on some long, methodical drives here for Jacksonville. You're 0:11:06.400 --> 0:11:08.520 gonna have to convert some third downs. This game will 0:11:08.559 --> 0:11:11.760 be much closer than it's supposed to be. The Chiefs 0:11:11.760 --> 0:11:14.840 are just two and five against the spread since week two. 0:11:15.280 --> 0:11:19.319 It's also a sandwich game for Kansas City. They played 0:11:19.320 --> 0:11:22.840 in prime time against the Titans last week at home. 0:11:23.720 --> 0:11:27.480 Next week they got flexed. Their game against the Chargers 0:11:27.520 --> 0:11:31.880 in the Hood in Inglewood is a primetime game, so 0:11:31.920 --> 0:11:34.560 this is a sandwich game between two primetime games and 0:11:34.720 --> 0:11:37.520 a road trip out to l A. Chiefs will win 0:11:37.600 --> 0:11:39.680 the game, but this is way too many points. Chiefs 0:11:39.679 --> 0:11:48.400 twenty seven, Jags twenty the final and the penny is 0:11:48.480 --> 0:11:52.199 going with the Jags, alright, so we agree on that one. 0:11:52.280 --> 0:11:55.960 Next up Houston one six and one, Boy is that ugly? 0:11:56.559 --> 0:11:58.800 And the New York Giants six and two. It's on 0:11:59.360 --> 0:12:03.440 CBS with I An Eagle and Charles Davis. Charles Davis, 0:12:03.480 --> 0:12:06.040 we've had him on this podcast. The Giants opened up 0:12:06.080 --> 0:12:09.440 a six point favorite. They are favored by five. The 0:12:09.520 --> 0:12:13.280 money is pretty even. Temperatures in the forties, cloudy at 0:12:13.360 --> 0:12:18.960 MetLife Stadium in Jersey for kickoff. Houston has been very 0:12:19.000 --> 0:12:21.560 good for gamblers on the road. They suck overall, but 0:12:22.120 --> 0:12:26.319 they've played well enough within the margins, as unorganized as 0:12:26.320 --> 0:12:29.120 they are, to keep the games closed there five and 0:12:29.160 --> 0:12:31.079 two against the spread, their last seven on the road 0:12:31.240 --> 0:12:35.679 nine and six, with Davis Mills starting their last fifteen 0:12:36.640 --> 0:12:40.280 and if this line ends up the way it's looking 0:12:40.280 --> 0:12:42.480 at Giants by five, this will be just the sixth 0:12:42.520 --> 0:12:45.080 time in the Super Bowl era we're a team with 0:12:45.160 --> 0:12:48.520 at least a seven winning percentage like the Giants, is 0:12:48.559 --> 0:12:52.200 a home favorite of less than a touchdown against the 0:12:52.240 --> 0:12:55.480 team as bad as the Texans are. But I'm gonna 0:12:55.520 --> 0:12:58.319 take the Texas anyway. We like Houston this week for 0:12:58.360 --> 0:13:01.439 a couple of reasons. The Giants little bit zok coming 0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:04.120 off the bye week, and the Texans have a big 0:13:04.160 --> 0:13:06.800 time running back who's not that well known, Damian Pierce. 0:13:07.120 --> 0:13:09.520 We had the Texans their last game against Philadelphia. They 0:13:09.600 --> 0:13:13.080 covered for us. Damian Pierce banged up, got a chest problem, 0:13:13.120 --> 0:13:15.800 a shoulder problem. Everyone's dinged up at this point in 0:13:15.840 --> 0:13:19.199 the NFL. But the kryptonite for the Giants is their 0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:23.079 run defense. They have been slobber chops on that side 0:13:23.440 --> 0:13:26.480 of the defense their thirty one and run defense this year. 0:13:26.600 --> 0:13:29.800 Last four weeks, they're dead last in the NFL, allowing 0:13:29.880 --> 0:13:33.400 six point three yards per carry. The problem, the fly 0:13:33.520 --> 0:13:38.719 in the ointment here is that Houston also blows at 0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:41.920 stopping the runs, So both teams should be able to 0:13:41.960 --> 0:13:44.440 move the ball at will with their running backs to Kwan, 0:13:44.520 --> 0:13:48.640 Barkley and Pierce. The quarterbacks are pretty much awah. Danny 0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:52.720 Dimes stinks and so does Davis Mills. But I'm counting 0:13:52.720 --> 0:13:57.080 on some long, time consuming drives. Eat the clock, eat 0:13:57.120 --> 0:14:01.160 the clock, eat the clock, and keep the game low scoring. 0:14:01.240 --> 0:14:04.280 Giants will win, but they won't cover that five point line. 0:14:04.600 --> 0:14:09.840 Giants twenty three, Texans twenty another heartbreaking boss for Houston, 0:14:14.960 --> 0:14:18.160 and the Penny agrees with you, going with the Texans 0:14:18.200 --> 0:14:22.760 to cover all right. Next up for US, we jump 0:14:22.880 --> 0:14:27.560 right into Norlands three and six at Pittsburgh two and six. 0:14:28.360 --> 0:14:32.520 It is on Fox with Adam Amin and Mark slay Rith. 0:14:33.360 --> 0:14:35.960 This game looking like a debacle when you look at 0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:38.120 the records here, when you put these teams together, you 0:14:38.160 --> 0:14:39.560 don't want to look at the records because if you 0:14:39.560 --> 0:14:41.200 looked at the records, you wouldn't want to watch the game. 0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:45.080 But the Saints opened a two point road favorite, and 0:14:45.520 --> 0:14:48.040 that seems like a bad dream. But they are favored 0:14:48.080 --> 0:14:50.200 by one and a half. Pretty much everyone and their 0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:52.720 uncle betting on the Steelers, which scares me a little bit. 0:14:53.160 --> 0:14:57.800 The stadium formerly known as Heinz Field, mostly cloudy temperatures 0:14:57.840 --> 0:14:59.880 in the thirties, so you can tell we're getting close 0:14:59.920 --> 0:15:04.800 to the Thanksgiving with these temperatures. And Dennis Allen has 0:15:04.840 --> 0:15:07.280 been miserable with the Saints, just like he was with 0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:09.760 the Raiders. Three and six against the spread New Orleans 0:15:09.800 --> 0:15:13.560 this year, and Andy Dalton all those games over the 0:15:13.640 --> 0:15:18.440 years against the Steelers and Pittsburgh loving the fact that 0:15:18.520 --> 0:15:22.640 the cataclysmic Andy Dalton's walking in Steelers are eight and 0:15:22.680 --> 0:15:25.000 two against the spread their last ten against an Andy 0:15:25.080 --> 0:15:29.000 Dalton quarterback team. Mike Tomlin, check out some of these numbers, 0:15:29.360 --> 0:15:32.520 fourteen and four, fourteen four and two, I should say 0:15:32.520 --> 0:15:36.160 fourteen four and two as a home underdog, they're thirteen 0:15:36.200 --> 0:15:39.600 and seven out right in those games, seven oh and 0:15:39.720 --> 0:15:44.480 two against the spread the last five seasons as a 0:15:44.640 --> 0:15:48.320 home underdog. This is a special gift. New Orleans is 0:15:48.320 --> 0:15:51.040 oh and three on the road this year. They're one 0:15:51.080 --> 0:15:54.400 in five on the season when the line is between 0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:58.800 plus three or minus three. There is nothing that indicates 0:15:58.800 --> 0:16:01.080 you should bet on the on the on the Saints, 0:16:01.160 --> 0:16:03.520 and maybe all look like a donkey when this is 0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:05.320 all done, but I'm gonna go with the public on this. 0:16:05.400 --> 0:16:09.200 I'm taking the Steelers. Andy Dalton stinks. I can't believe 0:16:09.240 --> 0:16:11.000 the Saints team We're able to shut out the Raiders 0:16:11.040 --> 0:16:13.600 a few weeks ago. That blows my mind. Uh, the 0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:17.200 Steelers are arrested coming off the by. They're getting some 0:16:17.280 --> 0:16:20.239 guys back. It's gonna be a chilly afternoon for the Yensers. 0:16:20.680 --> 0:16:23.040 That does not vote well for the red peace shooter, 0:16:23.160 --> 0:16:26.320 not the red rifle. He's a peace shooter. And T J. 0:16:26.520 --> 0:16:31.320 Watt is expected back, the defensive stalwart back from injured 0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:35.600 reserve for the Black and Yellow. The Steelers are going 0:16:35.680 --> 0:16:38.040 to get more of their running game with Jalen Warren, 0:16:38.040 --> 0:16:39.520 which I think is actually an upgrade because they haven't 0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:42.040 got much running game going at all. Steelers in a 0:16:42.200 --> 0:16:47.960 low scoring defensive struggle twenty with Kenny Pickett and the 0:16:48.080 --> 0:16:57.400 Saints with Andy Dalton ten your final. The Penny says 0:16:57.440 --> 0:17:00.320 you're crazy to go with the public. Penny's going with 0:17:00.400 --> 0:17:03.280 the Saints. Well, that is actually true. Usually it turns 0:17:03.320 --> 0:17:05.439 out to be a nightmare when you go with the public. 0:17:05.440 --> 0:17:10.000 It's insomnia inducing experience. But well, we'll think the public's 0:17:10.080 --> 0:17:11.880 right for once and we'll see how that works out. 0:17:11.920 --> 0:17:16.639 Speaking of insomnia, Detroit and Chicago, you talk about restlessness. 0:17:17.480 --> 0:17:20.880 Doub Bears suddenly a hot team because of last week. 0:17:20.920 --> 0:17:23.879 More than that minute. Detroit though two and six, Chicago 0:17:24.080 --> 0:17:28.840 three and six. It's on Fox with Kevin Coogler and 0:17:29.040 --> 0:17:33.679 Mark Sanchez. Sanchiz, the butt fumble guy, will have the 0:17:33.720 --> 0:17:36.639 call there on Fox. The Bears opened a one and 0:17:36.680 --> 0:17:40.680 a half point favorite both these teams. The Exxon Valdis 0:17:40.840 --> 0:17:46.080 they're spilling oil all over the place, and the Bears 0:17:46.200 --> 0:17:48.960 have a three point favorite. Now, as I said, open 0:17:49.040 --> 0:17:52.840 one and a half the public betting on that very 0:17:52.920 --> 0:17:57.160 flammable Bears team. It is going to be mostly cloudy 0:17:57.320 --> 0:18:01.000 thirty six degrees at kickoff at Soldier Field, and I'm 0:18:01.040 --> 0:18:03.760 gonna take the Lions here. Detroit has been a great 0:18:03.880 --> 0:18:06.439 underdog there ten four and one against the spread. As 0:18:06.440 --> 0:18:10.040 an underdog, They've covered six straight divisional games as a dog. 0:18:10.680 --> 0:18:14.719 I don't get the overreaction of Justin Fields slicing up 0:18:14.720 --> 0:18:18.359 the Dolphin defense because the Lions also sliced up the 0:18:18.400 --> 0:18:21.480 Dolphins defense. It was a great day for Fields. He 0:18:21.520 --> 0:18:26.159 showed some razmatazz, some highlight plays. Was great to watch. 0:18:26.200 --> 0:18:29.720 That wonderful. If he could only get some some throwing 0:18:29.760 --> 0:18:33.160 going and complete some some more passes, but the Lions 0:18:33.280 --> 0:18:37.400 rushed defense has played much better recently. They were thirteen 0:18:37.600 --> 0:18:40.199 in the NFL over the last month. The key to 0:18:40.240 --> 0:18:42.800 this game, though, is the interior for the Detroit Lions. 0:18:42.840 --> 0:18:46.560 Aidan Hutchinson, the top pick for Detroit total stud in 0:18:46.600 --> 0:18:50.160 the middle. Lions getting some guys back, while the Bears 0:18:50.240 --> 0:18:53.600 again without ro Kwan Smith and Robert Quinn. They were 0:18:53.640 --> 0:18:58.359 both traded before the deadline, and the struggle is real. 0:18:58.600 --> 0:19:02.640 I love the Lion getting three points here. A regression 0:19:02.720 --> 0:19:06.080 to the mean for Justin Fields. If he's not able 0:19:06.119 --> 0:19:09.480 to run wild like the Dickens, he's gonna have to 0:19:09.520 --> 0:19:11.760 throw the ball and that boats well for the Lions 0:19:11.760 --> 0:19:15.160 because they'll get pressure on Justin Field. With Aidan Hutchinson 0:19:15.680 --> 0:19:19.520 and friends, Lions get their third win of the year. 0:19:19.600 --> 0:19:28.040 Lions twenty six, Bears twenty three the final, and the 0:19:28.080 --> 0:19:31.960 penny is going with the Justin Fields hype. Don't buy 0:19:32.000 --> 0:19:35.760 the hype. Don't buy the hype. Alright, next up here 0:19:36.000 --> 0:19:42.399 Cleveland three and five at Miami, Miami, Miami. It's on 0:19:42.680 --> 0:19:45.679 CBS Miami. Six and three on CBS with Greg Gumble 0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:48.720 and Adam Marcelta. Dolphins started the year with three wins. 0:19:48.720 --> 0:19:50.720 They then had three losses, and now they won three 0:19:50.720 --> 0:19:53.800 in a row. Dolphins opened up a five and a 0:19:53.800 --> 0:19:56.000 half point favorite. They are a three and a half 0:19:56.040 --> 0:19:59.920 point favorite right now, and many people think the Browns 0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:02.840 are just going to be cannon fodder in this game. 0:20:02.880 --> 0:20:06.080 Mostly sunny temperatures in the low eighties at kickoff at 0:20:06.160 --> 0:20:13.040 hard Rock Stadium. As Cleveland has been very good against Miami. 0:20:13.080 --> 0:20:15.480 They don't play that often, but Cleveland seven and one 0:20:15.520 --> 0:20:18.399 against the spread their last day against the Dolphins, and 0:20:18.480 --> 0:20:22.760 the Browns winning record with Jacobe Brissette as the starting 0:20:22.840 --> 0:20:27.320 quarterback five and three against the spread with Brissette under center. 0:20:27.600 --> 0:20:30.760 Cleveland also has been a great dog. They've been a 0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:35.679 live dog. Are our eleven four eleven and four? The 0:20:35.680 --> 0:20:38.480 record last fifteen has an underdog three and one this season. 0:20:39.040 --> 0:20:42.480 As a dog, I'm taking Cleveland in this game. The 0:20:42.520 --> 0:20:45.200 Browns defense has bounced back the last couple of weeks. 0:20:45.280 --> 0:20:49.359 They also get defensive back Denzel Award back from concussion protocol. 0:20:49.920 --> 0:20:52.359 The plan best laid plans of mice and men is 0:20:52.359 --> 0:20:55.040 for him to bird dog Tyreek Hill, slow Tyreek down 0:20:55.040 --> 0:20:57.880 a little bit, pressure to a tongue of by law 0:20:58.359 --> 0:21:01.440 mess up the pocket there with Miles Garrett forced him 0:21:01.480 --> 0:21:06.880 to check down to others, disrupt the passing game. Miles 0:21:06.880 --> 0:21:11.040 Garrett like the Tasmanian Devil and on offense just a 0:21:11.240 --> 0:21:15.399 study diet of time consuming runs. With Nick Chubb and 0:21:15.520 --> 0:21:19.800 Kareem Hunt. We saw what Chicago's uh Chicago's office was 0:21:19.840 --> 0:21:23.119 able to do running the ball against that Miami defense. 0:21:23.200 --> 0:21:26.680 The Dolphins obviously making that a point of emphasis this week, 0:21:26.680 --> 0:21:29.640 but can you fix it that quickly? Bradley Chubb coming 0:21:29.680 --> 0:21:31.960 over from the Broncos, He'll be a second game here. 0:21:32.560 --> 0:21:37.119 Dolphins win, but they don't cover the spread. Dolphins. Brown 0:21:38.240 --> 0:21:45.800 is going to be the final on Sunday and the 0:21:45.840 --> 0:21:49.680 penny is going with two and the Dolphins alright. Next 0:21:49.800 --> 0:21:54.160 up Minnesota seven and one at Buffalo six and two. 0:21:54.160 --> 0:21:58.680 It's on Fox with Joe Davis and Darryl Moose Johnston. 0:21:58.760 --> 0:22:02.639 They have the call. The Buffalo Bills opened up a 0:22:02.840 --> 0:22:06.159 nine and a half point favorite, but they that line 0:22:06.320 --> 0:22:08.480 now down to three and a half because of a 0:22:08.560 --> 0:22:13.159 key injury, rain and possible snow in this game. So 0:22:13.200 --> 0:22:16.920 we could have a snow game in Buffalo. Temperatures in 0:22:16.960 --> 0:22:20.600 the low thirties at high Mark Stadium there in Orchard Park, 0:22:20.640 --> 0:22:25.399 New York, So Minnesota, owing four their last four games 0:22:25.400 --> 0:22:28.080 against the spread as a dog. This is their second 0:22:28.119 --> 0:22:30.879 game as an underdog this season, so a couple of 0:22:30.880 --> 0:22:33.400 games last year, a couple of games uh this year. 0:22:33.480 --> 0:22:38.560 Now and Buffalo lost last week. They were ten an 0:22:38.560 --> 0:22:40.679 a half point favorite. They lost the game outright to 0:22:40.720 --> 0:22:44.120 the Jets, very embarrassing. The reason this game is impossible 0:22:44.119 --> 0:22:47.520 to handicap is because at the time we are doing this, 0:22:47.640 --> 0:22:50.360 we do not know the status of Josh Allen. He's 0:22:50.359 --> 0:22:53.640 got a bum elbow. His status is up in the air. 0:22:54.359 --> 0:22:56.520 There are some people that are convinced he's not going 0:22:56.560 --> 0:22:59.800 to play. Others say he will play. But either way, 0:23:00.160 --> 0:23:03.479 go bold or go home. Do I think the Vikings 0:23:03.520 --> 0:23:07.560 are gonna bulldoze the Bills in this game because Josh 0:23:07.560 --> 0:23:11.480 Allen might not play. No, No, I did not. I 0:23:11.560 --> 0:23:14.080 do not believe that. In fact, I'm going the other way. 0:23:14.119 --> 0:23:16.639 I'm going with a Buffalo rome. I'm taking the Bills 0:23:16.680 --> 0:23:21.359 here to corral the Viking ship. I do not expect 0:23:21.480 --> 0:23:24.320 Josh Allen to play. I do like the idea of 0:23:24.320 --> 0:23:28.399 a good Buffalo team with a backup quarterback rallying around 0:23:28.400 --> 0:23:32.600 their backup quarterback for a couple of weeks, case Keenum 0:23:32.760 --> 0:23:35.560 can get the job done. You don't want to play 0:23:35.640 --> 0:23:37.800 him long term, right because teams eventually will be able 0:23:37.840 --> 0:23:41.400 to neutralize him, and they can, they can cancel him out. 0:23:41.520 --> 0:23:43.880 But for a couple of weeks, why not, you can 0:23:43.880 --> 0:23:45.919 get it done. Let Josh allen and heal his elbow. 0:23:45.960 --> 0:23:48.080 The main reason to like the Bills, though, is von 0:23:48.160 --> 0:23:51.400 Miller and the defense in the face of Kirk Cousins 0:23:51.840 --> 0:23:54.919 wishing he was on a dinghy out in the snow 0:23:55.000 --> 0:23:58.200 on Lake Erie. There the pressure is what breaks pipes. 0:23:58.200 --> 0:24:02.840 It also breaks kirk Ins and the chance of snow. 0:24:02.960 --> 0:24:05.840 It's gonna be nasty. Even though Cousins lives in Minnesota, 0:24:06.240 --> 0:24:09.680 he plays in a dome. I don't see this going 0:24:09.720 --> 0:24:13.080 well for the Viking offense. I expect the Buffalo Bills 0:24:13.160 --> 0:24:17.000 to rally back here, rallied back, and they will be 0:24:17.040 --> 0:24:21.159 the ones that disarmed the Vikings Bills thirty Vikings twenty 0:24:21.240 --> 0:24:28.280 three the final and the petting says, go pound some 0:24:28.440 --> 0:24:32.440 snow going with the Vikings out there, you Penny how 0:24:32.600 --> 0:24:35.479 there you will be blood stained by the time this 0:24:35.560 --> 0:24:40.439 ends next up Denver the den Broncos at three and 0:24:40.520 --> 0:24:45.280 five and Tennessee five and three. It's on CBS with 0:24:45.720 --> 0:24:49.800