Speaker 1: Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a
Speaker 1: week was enough, I think again. He's the last remnants
Speaker 1: of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He
Speaker 1: treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the
Speaker 1: rich pill poppers in the penthouse, the Clearinghouse of hot
Speaker 1: takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with
Speaker 1: Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere, and
Speaker 1: we welcome you in to a special edition of The
Speaker 1: Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard and Danty G Radio. And
Speaker 1: we promoted this on terrestrial radio during the week. It's
Speaker 1: Benny versus the Petty and here it is yet again.
Speaker 1: Strike up the band, Welcome players, You're welcome. Are you up?
Speaker 1: It's time now Penny versus the Penny. Love that sound,
Speaker 1: Love that sound. And right over there, the penny has
Speaker 1: yet to speak. So the representative of the Penny, the
Speaker 1: honorable Danny G Radio, the voice and the face of
Speaker 1: the Penny. Hello, Danny Yo, Good morning Benny. And you
Speaker 1: know I might sound a little stuffed up. I've been
Speaker 1: fighting off a cold the past couple of days. So
Speaker 1: the Penny it's like being on the I R. Although
Speaker 1: the Penny has had a horrible, sickly season completely, not
Speaker 1: just this weekend, yes, a bedraggled, exhausted, stressed out Penny,
Speaker 1: a very unusual season so far. Before we get to
Speaker 1: the games at hand here in week ten, we must
Speaker 1: look back to week nine, and I want to think
Speaker 1: my fact checkers like David in winter Park, Florida with
Speaker 1: Roscoe the Parrot, and Rob in Vegas, and several others
Speaker 1: you know who you are, who emailed me every week
Speaker 1: to make sure that I'm giving out the right record
Speaker 1: and no bogus records, thinking that I'm somehow inflating the records.
Speaker 1: But the great thing about this podcast, Danny, is everything
Speaker 1: is available. All of the audio content is available in
Speaker 1: the archives, So if you think I'm full of bullshit,
Speaker 1: you can go back and listen to any of the
Speaker 1: shows and crunch the numbers yourself. So back in week nine,
Speaker 1: we'll start out with the Penny. Now, the Penny, on
Speaker 1: a losing streak, needed to bounce back, and it did
Speaker 1: not go well for the Penny. There were a total
Speaker 1: of thirteen games on the card. A bunch of teams
Speaker 1: had buys last week. The Penny went somehow three nine
Speaker 1: and one against the sprint. Is that is terrible, absolutely sucks,
Speaker 1: devoid of matter. Yeah, that is the second worst week
Speaker 1: the penny has had. Nothing can quite top Week three,
Speaker 1: where the penny went three and thirteen against the spread.
Speaker 1: Uh that that only picking three winners out of sixteen
Speaker 1: games back in week three. But here in Week nine,
Speaker 1: last week, the penny went three nine and one. That's
Speaker 1: a two fifty winning percentage. Now, how did I do.
Speaker 1: Let's get to the point, please, my reign of terror
Speaker 1: continuing over the penny thirteen games, I went eight three
Speaker 1: and two, So a couple of games finished in a push,
Speaker 1: but eight three and two a seven twenty seven winning percentage,
Speaker 1: which is actually my highest one week winning percentage all
Speaker 1: season if you go by that metric. And overall, now
Speaker 1: the penny every game picking flipping the penny, Danny g
Speaker 1: you do it. No, no, bull bull bull crap. Right,
Speaker 1: you're flipping the penny badly, But that's good for you.
Speaker 1: You know you're probably gonna want to sign me to
Speaker 1: a long term contract. I know you're my good luck charm.
Speaker 1: After I had all these other people do the penny
Speaker 1: over the years, and I got whacked most of the time.
Speaker 1: But you come in here, Danny, and all of a sudden,
Speaker 1: I'm like, I'm gonna get my my my smoke phone.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out my picks, my number or something.
Speaker 1: You like boats. Listen up, Yeah, I'll get a boat
Speaker 1: driveway after my gambling tip. You don't have a boat
Speaker 1: in your driveway, I wanna get you. You're gonna have
Speaker 1: a mistress and a boat at a new house south
Speaker 1: of France. So uh so some anyway, the Penny overall
Speaker 1: is sixty four seventy two and three on the year.
Speaker 1: Every game against the spread, that's a four seventy one
Speaker 1: winning percentage, which when you consider the Penny had two
Speaker 1: weeks where they were sixteen games under five right there,
Speaker 1: that's pretty much the difference. But uh four seventy one
Speaker 1: winning percentage. I had to double check on this, and
Speaker 1: Roscoe the Parrot, David, Rob, Mike, all you guys can
Speaker 1: go back and check. But I am eighty fifty one
Speaker 1: and five against the spread, and my computer like brain
Speaker 1: tells me that that is twenty nine games above five,
Speaker 1: six eleven winning percentage so far this NFL season. So
Speaker 1: remember that the number that you're looking for here to
Speaker 1: make money. You have to win more than fifty two
Speaker 1: point four percent to make money and to make that work. Otherwise,
Speaker 1: because of the way the juice is set up, you'll
Speaker 1: burn out. It will not go well. So let's get
Speaker 1: to it now. It is week ten, and we will
Speaker 1: not be talking about the Ravens. The Ben Gals are
Speaker 1: not playing, the Jets are not playing in the Patriots
Speaker 1: are not playing. All those teams on the bye week.
Speaker 1: Here in week number ten, and we start out with
Speaker 1: the early, early, early game. And if you're the Seattle Seahawks,
Speaker 1: it is extremely early, as this game will be played
Speaker 1: in Germany, Seattle six and three versus Tampa Bay four
Speaker 1: and five on the year, it's on the NFL network.
Speaker 1: Rich Eisen who used to work at our place, and
Speaker 1: Kurt Warner, Michael Urban, the playmaker, Steve Mariucci, all of
Speaker 1: them getting their expenses paid. In Munich, Germany, where this
Speaker 1: game will be played, the Buccaneers opened a one and
Speaker 1: a half point favorite in the neutral site. They are
Speaker 1: favored by three slight lean on the money to the
Speaker 1: Bucks after they beat the Rams last week. Temperatures in
Speaker 1: the fifties at the stadium there in Munich, Germany, where
Speaker 1: they will be playing Tampa Bay, Oh six and one
Speaker 1: this season against the spread with Todd Bowls and Tom
Speaker 1: Brady and the Seattle Seahawks. What the heck are they
Speaker 1: doing right there in Seattle? They have been wonderful with
Speaker 1: Gino Smith nine and three going back to last year
Speaker 1: with Gino Smith as the starting quarterback and six and
Speaker 1: one against the spread their last seven games as an
Speaker 1: underdog of seven or less. The pig is in. I
Speaker 1: wanna take Seattle in this game. The Seahawks have a
Speaker 1: better defense, they have a better quarterback. Gino Smith has
Speaker 1: actually played better than Tom Brady. Never thought I'd say
Speaker 1: that sentence. Welcome to Bizarro world, and you mix in
Speaker 1: what what I'd like to think is the secret weapon here,
Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker and the running game Kenneth Walker the second
Speaker 1: or third wherever it is, and the running game here.
Speaker 1: This is the right side of the game. The the
Speaker 1: only thing that scares you a little bit. The only
Speaker 1: red flag is the start time body clockwise. This game
Speaker 1: will be kicking off at six thirty am body clock times.
Speaker 1: Seattle are all those twelves is gonna get up and
Speaker 1: have bacon and sausage and scrambled eggs and watched the game. Hudos.
Speaker 1: The NFL doesn't care about that. I'm sure there's people
Speaker 1: all over Germany clamoring for this game, unless they're not.
Speaker 1: But that said, the Twelves have covered four straight games
Speaker 1: for the first time since the last time they covered
Speaker 1: five straight games, and they're about to get that done
Speaker 1: here Seahawks twenty four. Back to the lost column for
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers seventeen seventeen Seattle with the win and the
Speaker 1: penny picks and the penny is going with Tom Brady
Speaker 1: and the Bucks. Alright, so disagreement on that game. Out
Speaker 1: of the gates, I saw it seemed like the penny
Speaker 1: was dancing around there, Danny. I looked. I looked up,
Speaker 1: and I thought the penny had gone rogue. Maybe a
Speaker 1: jailbreak for the penny the haggard penny decided to take off.
Speaker 1: Is that true? Because the penny rolled off the table. Okay,
Speaker 1: bad job by the penny. Come on, by the way,
Speaker 1: I went with what was on the floor though, So
Speaker 1: all is fair, All is fair in love war and
Speaker 1: benny versus the penny. Next up the shambolic Jacksonville Jacks,
Speaker 1: who did beat the Raiders last week three and six
Speaker 1: at Kansas City six and two. It's on CBS with
Speaker 1: Jim Nance and Tony Romo. Jim Nance and Tony Romo
Speaker 1: calling a Jacksonville game, but it is Kansas City. The
Speaker 1: Chiefs opened at nine and ap point favorite. They were
Speaker 1: favored by nine and a half. This, of course, the
Speaker 1: home Kansas City of the Ben Mallard Chicken Fingers. The
Speaker 1: landing in the Greater Kansas City areare in Liberty, Missouri,
Speaker 1: just down the street from where the Chiefs play, not
Speaker 1: that far away, a few miles away. Most of the
Speaker 1: handle on this game in favor of the Chiefs, Sunny
Speaker 1: temperatures in the forties at kick off at Arrowhead Stadium,
Speaker 1: and some of the numbers on this when Kansas City
Speaker 1: has been a terrible home team. They're owing four for
Speaker 1: Gamblers at home this season. And if you go back
Speaker 1: the last eleven home games started by Patrick Mahomes three
Speaker 1: and eight against the spread, that tells you what has happened,
Speaker 1: doesn't tell you what's gonna happen. Just like Trevor Lawrence
Speaker 1: two and eight his last ten games starting on the road.
Speaker 1: So something's gotta give in this game. I'm gonna take Jacksonville.
Speaker 1: I like the Jags. This is a quarterback mismatch. We
Speaker 1: understand that Mahome is much better than Trevor Lawrence. He
Speaker 1: should take Lawrence behind the wood shed and the individual matchup.
Speaker 1: That's it. Trevor Lawrence is better and Malik Willis the
Speaker 1: Titans quarterback last week. Didn't even try to throw the
Speaker 1: ball last week. But we're taking the Jags mainly because
Speaker 1: we like the running game. Travis e t n the
Speaker 1: running back out of Clempson. Clempson, this guy has been
Speaker 1: a bell cow. Now. I was a little scared because
Speaker 1: Doug Peterson said they're gonna roll back the amount of
Speaker 1: carriers don't want to work the guy tour What are
Speaker 1: you saving him for? I don't understand. What are you
Speaker 1: saving him for? A rainy day in the summer? Makes
Speaker 1: no sense. But Kansas City's run defense blows and I'm
Speaker 1: counting on some long, methodical drives here for Jacksonville. You're
Speaker 1: gonna have to convert some third downs. This game will
Speaker 1: be much closer than it's supposed to be. The Chiefs
Speaker 1: are just two and five against the spread since week two.
Speaker 1: It's also a sandwich game for Kansas City. They played
Speaker 1: in prime time against the Titans last week at home.
Speaker 1: Next week they got flexed. Their game against the Chargers
Speaker 1: in the Hood in Inglewood is a primetime game, so
Speaker 1: this is a sandwich game between two primetime games and
Speaker 1: a road trip out to l A. Chiefs will win
Speaker 1: the game, but this is way too many points. Chiefs
Speaker 1: twenty seven, Jags twenty the final and the penny is
Speaker 1: going with the Jags, alright, so we agree on that one.
Speaker 1: Next up Houston one six and one, Boy is that ugly?
Speaker 1: And the New York Giants six and two. It's on
Speaker 1: CBS with I An Eagle and Charles Davis. Charles Davis,
Speaker 1: we've had him on this podcast. The Giants opened up
Speaker 1: a six point favorite. They are favored by five. The
Speaker 1: money is pretty even. Temperatures in the forties, cloudy at
Speaker 1: MetLife Stadium in Jersey for kickoff. Houston has been very
Speaker 1: good for gamblers on the road. They suck overall, but
Speaker 1: they've played well enough within the margins, as unorganized as
Speaker 1: they are, to keep the games closed there five and
Speaker 1: two against the spread, their last seven on the road
Speaker 1: nine and six, with Davis Mills starting their last fifteen
Speaker 1: and if this line ends up the way it's looking
Speaker 1: at Giants by five, this will be just the sixth
Speaker 1: time in the Super Bowl era we're a team with
Speaker 1: at least a seven winning percentage like the Giants, is
Speaker 1: a home favorite of less than a touchdown against the
Speaker 1: team as bad as the Texans are. But I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the Texas anyway. We like Houston this week for
Speaker 1: a couple of reasons. The Giants little bit zok coming
Speaker 1: off the bye week, and the Texans have a big
Speaker 1: time running back who's not that well known, Damian Pierce.
Speaker 1: We had the Texans their last game against Philadelphia. They
Speaker 1: covered for us. Damian Pierce banged up, got a chest problem,
Speaker 1: a shoulder problem. Everyone's dinged up at this point in
Speaker 1: the NFL. But the kryptonite for the Giants is their
Speaker 1: run defense. They have been slobber chops on that side
Speaker 1: of the defense their thirty one and run defense this year.
Speaker 1: Last four weeks, they're dead last in the NFL, allowing
Speaker 1: six point three yards per carry. The problem, the fly
Speaker 1: in the ointment here is that Houston also blows at
Speaker 1: stopping the runs, So both teams should be able to
Speaker 1: move the ball at will with their running backs to Kwan,
Speaker 1: Barkley and Pierce. The quarterbacks are pretty much awah. Danny
Speaker 1: Dimes stinks and so does Davis Mills. But I'm counting
Speaker 1: on some long, time consuming drives. Eat the clock, eat
Speaker 1: the clock, eat the clock, and keep the game low scoring.
Speaker 1: Giants will win, but they won't cover that five point line.
Speaker 1: Giants twenty three, Texans twenty another heartbreaking boss for Houston,
Speaker 1: and the Penny agrees with you, going with the Texans
Speaker 1: to cover all right. Next up for US, we jump
Speaker 1: right into Norlands three and six at Pittsburgh two and six.
Speaker 1: It is on Fox with Adam Amin and Mark slay Rith.
Speaker 1: This game looking like a debacle when you look at
Speaker 1: the records here, when you put these teams together, you
Speaker 1: don't want to look at the records because if you
Speaker 1: looked at the records, you wouldn't want to watch the game.
Speaker 1: But the Saints opened a two point road favorite, and
Speaker 1: that seems like a bad dream. But they are favored
Speaker 1: by one and a half. Pretty much everyone and their
Speaker 1: uncle betting on the Steelers, which scares me a little bit.
Speaker 1: The stadium formerly known as Heinz Field, mostly cloudy temperatures
Speaker 1: in the thirties, so you can tell we're getting close
Speaker 1: to the Thanksgiving with these temperatures. And Dennis Allen has
Speaker 1: been miserable with the Saints, just like he was with
Speaker 1: the Raiders. Three and six against the spread New Orleans
Speaker 1: this year, and Andy Dalton all those games over the
Speaker 1: years against the Steelers and Pittsburgh loving the fact that
Speaker 1: the cataclysmic Andy Dalton's walking in Steelers are eight and
Speaker 1: two against the spread their last ten against an Andy
Speaker 1: Dalton quarterback team. Mike Tomlin, check out some of these numbers,
Speaker 1: fourteen and four, fourteen four and two, I should say
Speaker 1: fourteen four and two as a home underdog, they're thirteen
Speaker 1: and seven out right in those games, seven oh and
Speaker 1: two against the spread the last five seasons as a
Speaker 1: home underdog. This is a special gift. New Orleans is
Speaker 1: oh and three on the road this year. They're one
Speaker 1: in five on the season when the line is between
Speaker 1: plus three or minus three. There is nothing that indicates
Speaker 1: you should bet on the on the on the Saints,
Speaker 1: and maybe all look like a donkey when this is
Speaker 1: all done, but I'm gonna go with the public on this.
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Steelers. Andy Dalton stinks. I can't believe
Speaker 1: the Saints team We're able to shut out the Raiders
Speaker 1: a few weeks ago. That blows my mind. Uh, the
Speaker 1: Steelers are arrested coming off the by. They're getting some
Speaker 1: guys back. It's gonna be a chilly afternoon for the Yensers.
Speaker 1: That does not vote well for the red peace shooter,
Speaker 1: not the red rifle. He's a peace shooter. And T J.
Speaker 1: Watt is expected back, the defensive stalwart back from injured
Speaker 1: reserve for the Black and Yellow. The Steelers are going
Speaker 1: to get more of their running game with Jalen Warren,
Speaker 1: which I think is actually an upgrade because they haven't
Speaker 1: got much running game going at all. Steelers in a
Speaker 1: low scoring defensive struggle twenty with Kenny Pickett and the
Speaker 1: Saints with Andy Dalton ten your final. The Penny says
Speaker 1: you're crazy to go with the public. Penny's going with
Speaker 1: the Saints. Well, that is actually true. Usually it turns
Speaker 1: out to be a nightmare when you go with the public.
Speaker 1: It's insomnia inducing experience. But well, we'll think the public's
Speaker 1: right for once and we'll see how that works out.
Speaker 1: Speaking of insomnia, Detroit and Chicago, you talk about restlessness.
Speaker 1: Doub Bears suddenly a hot team because of last week.
Speaker 1: More than that minute. Detroit though two and six, Chicago
Speaker 1: three and six. It's on Fox with Kevin Coogler and
Speaker 1: Mark Sanchez. Sanchiz, the butt fumble guy, will have the
Speaker 1: call there on Fox. The Bears opened a one and
Speaker 1: a half point favorite both these teams. The Exxon Valdis
Speaker 1: they're spilling oil all over the place, and the Bears
Speaker 1: have a three point favorite. Now, as I said, open
Speaker 1: one and a half the public betting on that very
Speaker 1: flammable Bears team. It is going to be mostly cloudy
Speaker 1: thirty six degrees at kickoff at Soldier Field, and I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the Lions here. Detroit has been a great
Speaker 1: underdog there ten four and one against the spread. As
Speaker 1: an underdog, They've covered six straight divisional games as a dog.
Speaker 1: I don't get the overreaction of Justin Fields slicing up
Speaker 1: the Dolphin defense because the Lions also sliced up the
Speaker 1: Dolphins defense. It was a great day for Fields. He
Speaker 1: showed some razmatazz, some highlight plays. Was great to watch.
Speaker 1: That wonderful. If he could only get some some throwing
Speaker 1: going and complete some some more passes, but the Lions
Speaker 1: rushed defense has played much better recently. They were thirteen
Speaker 1: in the NFL over the last month. The key to
Speaker 1: this game, though, is the interior for the Detroit Lions.
Speaker 1: Aidan Hutchinson, the top pick for Detroit total stud in
Speaker 1: the middle. Lions getting some guys back, while the Bears
Speaker 1: again without ro Kwan Smith and Robert Quinn. They were
Speaker 1: both traded before the deadline, and the struggle is real.
Speaker 1: I love the Lion getting three points here. A regression
Speaker 1: to the mean for Justin Fields. If he's not able
Speaker 1: to run wild like the Dickens, he's gonna have to
Speaker 1: throw the ball and that boats well for the Lions
Speaker 1: because they'll get pressure on Justin Field. With Aidan Hutchinson
Speaker 1: and friends, Lions get their third win of the year.
Speaker 1: Lions twenty six, Bears twenty three the final, and the
Speaker 1: penny is going with the Justin Fields hype. Don't buy
Speaker 1: the hype. Don't buy the hype. Alright, next up here
Speaker 1: Cleveland three and five at Miami, Miami, Miami. It's on
Speaker 1: CBS Miami. Six and three on CBS with Greg Gumble
Speaker 1: and Adam Marcelta. Dolphins started the year with three wins.
Speaker 1: They then had three losses, and now they won three
Speaker 1: in a row. Dolphins opened up a five and a
Speaker 1: half point favorite. They are a three and a half
Speaker 1: point favorite right now, and many people think the Browns
Speaker 1: are just going to be cannon fodder in this game.
Speaker 1: Mostly sunny temperatures in the low eighties at kickoff at
Speaker 1: hard Rock Stadium. As Cleveland has been very good against Miami.
Speaker 1: They don't play that often, but Cleveland seven and one
Speaker 1: against the spread their last day against the Dolphins, and
Speaker 1: the Browns winning record with Jacobe Brissette as the starting
Speaker 1: quarterback five and three against the spread with Brissette under center.
Speaker 1: Cleveland also has been a great dog. They've been a
Speaker 1: live dog. Are our eleven four eleven and four? The
Speaker 1: record last fifteen has an underdog three and one this season.
Speaker 1: As a dog, I'm taking Cleveland in this game. The
Speaker 1: Browns defense has bounced back the last couple of weeks.
Speaker 1: They also get defensive back Denzel Award back from concussion protocol.
Speaker 1: The plan best laid plans of mice and men is
Speaker 1: for him to bird dog Tyreek Hill, slow Tyreek down
Speaker 1: a little bit, pressure to a tongue of by law
Speaker 1: mess up the pocket there with Miles Garrett forced him
Speaker 1: to check down to others, disrupt the passing game. Miles
Speaker 1: Garrett like the Tasmanian Devil and on offense just a
Speaker 1: study diet of time consuming runs. With Nick Chubb and
Speaker 1: Kareem Hunt. We saw what Chicago's uh Chicago's office was
Speaker 1: able to do running the ball against that Miami defense.
Speaker 1: The Dolphins obviously making that a point of emphasis this week,
Speaker 1: but can you fix it that quickly? Bradley Chubb coming
Speaker 1: over from the Broncos, He'll be a second game here.
Speaker 1: Dolphins win, but they don't cover the spread. Dolphins. Brown
Speaker 1: is going to be the final on Sunday and the
Speaker 1: penny is going with two and the Dolphins alright. Next
Speaker 1: up Minnesota seven and one at Buffalo six and two.
Speaker 1: It's on Fox with Joe Davis and Darryl Moose Johnston.
Speaker 1: They have the call. The Buffalo Bills opened up a
Speaker 1: nine and a half point favorite, but they that line
Speaker 1: now down to three and a half because of a
Speaker 1: key injury, rain and possible snow in this game. So
Speaker 1: we could have a snow game in Buffalo. Temperatures in
Speaker 1: the low thirties at high Mark Stadium there in Orchard Park,
Speaker 1: New York, So Minnesota, owing four their last four games
Speaker 1: against the spread as a dog. This is their second
Speaker 1: game as an underdog this season, so a couple of
Speaker 1: games last year, a couple of games uh this year.
Speaker 1: Now and Buffalo lost last week. They were ten an
Speaker 1: a half point favorite. They lost the game outright to
Speaker 1: the Jets, very embarrassing. The reason this game is impossible
Speaker 1: to handicap is because at the time we are doing this,
Speaker 1: we do not know the status of Josh Allen. He's
Speaker 1: got a bum elbow. His status is up in the air.
Speaker 1: There are some people that are convinced he's not going
Speaker 1: to play. Others say he will play. But either way,
Speaker 1: go bold or go home. Do I think the Vikings
Speaker 1: are gonna bulldoze the Bills in this game because Josh
Speaker 1: Allen might not play. No, No, I did not. I
Speaker 1: do not believe that. In fact, I'm going the other way.
Speaker 1: I'm going with a Buffalo rome. I'm taking the Bills
Speaker 1: here to corral the Viking ship. I do not expect
Speaker 1: Josh Allen to play. I do like the idea of
Speaker 1: a good Buffalo team with a backup quarterback rallying around
Speaker 1: their backup quarterback for a couple of weeks, case Keenum
Speaker 1: can get the job done. You don't want to play
Speaker 1: him long term, right because teams eventually will be able
Speaker 1: to neutralize him, and they can, they can cancel him out.
Speaker 1: But for a couple of weeks, why not, you can
Speaker 1: get it done. Let Josh allen and heal his elbow.
Speaker 1: The main reason to like the Bills, though, is von
Speaker 1: Miller and the defense in the face of Kirk Cousins
Speaker 1: wishing he was on a dinghy out in the snow
Speaker 1: on Lake Erie. There the pressure is what breaks pipes.
Speaker 1: It also breaks kirk Ins and the chance of snow.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be nasty. Even though Cousins lives in Minnesota,
Speaker 1: he plays in a dome. I don't see this going
Speaker 1: well for the Viking offense. I expect the Buffalo Bills
Speaker 1: to rally back here, rallied back, and they will be
Speaker 1: the ones that disarmed the Vikings Bills thirty Vikings twenty
Speaker 1: three the final and the petting says, go pound some
Speaker 1: snow going with the Vikings out there, you Penny how
Speaker 1: there you will be blood stained by the time this
Speaker 1: ends next up Denver the den Broncos at three and
Speaker 1: five and Tennessee five and three. It's on CBS with
Speaker 1: Andrew Catalan and James Lofton. They have the call and
Speaker 1: a lot of blame going on in the Mile High City.
Speaker 1: As the Broncos thought they would be great, it has
Speaker 1: been blasphemy. On the field. The Titans opened up a
Speaker 1: one an app point favorite. They are favored by two
Speaker 1: and a half now at Nissan Stadium, the house that
Speaker 1: Clay Travis built there in Nashville, sunny and forty five
Speaker 1: degrees at kick off. The Titans five and all against
Speaker 1: the spread versus teams with losing records of this season.
Speaker 1: Tennessee also has covered six straight games. That is the
Speaker 1: longest active streak in the NFL, the Titans longest streak
Speaker 1: since oh eight, that's when they covered eight straight games.
Speaker 1: And I'm gonna take the Titans. And now Ryan Taniel
Speaker 1: may or may not play. He's got a bad ankle.
Speaker 1: He did practice limited trending towards playing after missing the
Speaker 1: last couple of games. But I don't think it matters.
Speaker 1: And I'll tell you why Taniel is not a difference maker.
Speaker 1: He's better than Malik will is but the bread and
Speaker 1: butter of Tennessee when you put them under the microscope.
Speaker 1: The bread and butter is all about the run game,
Speaker 1: heavy run approach. Here, Derrick Henry to the left, Derrick
Speaker 1: Henry to the right, Derrick Henry, up the gut and
Speaker 1: do it again. The Titans will score enough just by
Speaker 1: running the ball. The Broncos not so much. Russell Wilson
Speaker 1: has been serving up lumpy mashed potatoes and sloppy Joe's
Speaker 1: a lot of unforced errors. The Broncos of the dumbest
Speaker 1: team in America, a lot of people that need to
Speaker 1: be held responsible for how bad they have been. They've
Speaker 1: been racking up the penalties here, so I expect Tennessee's
Speaker 1: defense is pretty good. They were able to contain the
Speaker 1: Chiefs last week from scoring too many points. I say
Speaker 1: they have similar success here. Between the twenties. The Broncos
Speaker 1: will be able to move the ball, but that's about it.
Speaker 1: Titans twenty three Broncos seventeen. The final and the penny
Speaker 1: actually agrees with you on this one. Going with the Titans,
Speaker 1: all right, So we agree there. We move on now
Speaker 1: the late games, and in Annapolis at three five and
Speaker 1: one at Las Vegas two and six. It's all on
Speaker 1: a city. As with Kevin Harlan and Trent Green, they
Speaker 1: have to call. The Raiders opened a three and app
Speaker 1: point favorite, but everyone seems to agree that the Colts
Speaker 1: new coach is fraudulent and so that he should be outlawed.
Speaker 1: The Raiders a six point favorite. A team that has
Speaker 1: lost back to back to the Saints and Jags on
Speaker 1: the road comes home and is a six point favorite.
Speaker 1: Say it ain't so, I don't understand. I don't get it.
Speaker 1: Indian Apples. I know they've been bad recently. They're owing
Speaker 1: three of their past three games against the spread. Oh
Speaker 1: and two was Sam Ellinger the quarterback. But the Raiders,
Speaker 1: your Raiders. Danny g three and thirteen their last sixteen games,
Speaker 1: is a favorite and Derek Carr is just terrible in
Speaker 1: this situation. It's he's just not authorized to play when favorite.
Speaker 1: And Josh McDaniels, going back to his days in Denver,
Speaker 1: he's got a losing record when his team has been favored,
Speaker 1: and he's one in three. The Raiders with McDaniels outright
Speaker 1: against the spread, wind favored by at least six points.
Speaker 1: I'm taking that Colts. I know that's for boating. I
Speaker 1: know that's that's unauthorized, and I'm gonna get in trouble.
Speaker 1: It's just honorable all that, but I'm taking the Colts here.
Speaker 1: The circus visits Vegas, and what better town for the
Speaker 1: circus than Vegas. With Jeff Saturday who skipped to the
Speaker 1: front of line, he got one of those golden tickets
Speaker 1: Danny g came up with to go to the front
Speaker 1: of the line there, uh for the Colts. It's gonna
Speaker 1: be fascinating to see how this plays out Saturday in
Speaker 1: a Sunday rather in a motivational type situation where Jeff
Speaker 1: Saturday is that raw raw type coach. He's the spokesman
Speaker 1: for Jim er say, he'll stay out of the way.
Speaker 1: That's how I see this going in my crystal ball.
Speaker 1: The Raiders have lost the Trevor Lawrence who has not
Speaker 1: been very good, Andy Dalton who stinks back to back weeks.
Speaker 1: They have the big names but little game on defense,
Speaker 1: and Sam Ellinger has been bad. I'm not gonna sugarcoat this,
Speaker 1: but he's not gonna face that much pressure in this game.
Speaker 1: Despite the names on the Raiders of not getting to
Speaker 1: the other quarterback. They're not putting pressure on the other team.
Speaker 1: And and Vegas has shown that they don't fight for
Speaker 1: Josh mcdanne's. They don't scratch and claw. They take a
Speaker 1: quarter off here, a half off there. Derek Carr continues
Speaker 1: to be a dog with fleas. His numbers aren't that bad,
Speaker 1: but he's fraudulent. He's a bootleg quarterback. And so I
Speaker 1: am going to go with Jeff Saturday. I didn't think
Speaker 1: i'd say that, uh, And I'm gonna take that mainly
Speaker 1: of the Colts defense because they are not They are
Speaker 1: not uh bad, They're They're not terrible. They're pretty good
Speaker 1: actually on that side of the ball. They held the
Speaker 1: Patriots to basically two yards last week, but the turnovers
Speaker 1: killed them. So I'm gonna take the Colts and the
Speaker 1: Raiders four the final for Jink's sake. I almost wish
Speaker 1: the penny would agree with you, Ben, but the penny says,
Speaker 1: if Jeff Saturday beats Josh McDaniels on Sunday, we are
Speaker 1: living in an side down world going with Vegas. Now,
Speaker 1: as a spokesman for the Raiders, Danny G can you
Speaker 1: confirm or deny that if the Raiders lose to Jeff Saturday,
Speaker 1: who a couple of days ago was putting makeup on
Speaker 1: in Bristol, Connecticut. If the Raiders moves to Jeff Saturday,
Speaker 1: his his coach to team that Josh McDaniel should be
Speaker 1: on the first flight out of the airport in Vegas
Speaker 1: back to Boston to work with Bill Belichick and the Patriots,
Speaker 1: unless Mark Davis and him in those closed door meetings
Speaker 1: were actually joking around having a bourbon talking about the
Speaker 1: number one draft pick. Okay, so you're already eyeing the
Speaker 1: the number one to the Raiser. I'm not as a fan,
Speaker 1: I'm not, but who knows what they're doing behind closed doors.
Speaker 1: The way they take quarters and has off, it almost
Speaker 1: looks like they're trying to tank. Yeah, it's it's crazy.
Speaker 1: The second half last week, well, the entire game against
Speaker 1: New Orleans, but the second half last week is in
Speaker 1: that first half, as you saw, they were tearing them apart,
Speaker 1: the Jags apart through the air. So why in the
Speaker 1: second half did they try to establish a ground game?
Speaker 1: They went away from the past. Yeah, well, they tried
Speaker 1: to run out the clock, right, they tried to run
Speaker 1: out the clock and they ended up. They ran, they
Speaker 1: ran the prevent offense. Well, at this time, the Raiders
Speaker 1: would have the number three pick in the draft. Danny,
Speaker 1: if Josh McDaniels doesn't get fired after this game, then
Speaker 1: they are trying to get draft position. Or Mark Davis
Speaker 1: just wants to save his money for p F Changs
Speaker 1: and doesn't want to worry about having to pay Gruden
Speaker 1: and pay this guy and whoever else they hire and
Speaker 1: all that. Man Or he's just worried about his money overall,
Speaker 1: which is why he goes to PF Chang's. Well, PF
Speaker 1: change is it's a medium price to Chinese food for us. Yeah,
Speaker 1: for us. If we were billionaires, or at least we
Speaker 1: owned five billion dollar teams, there's no way we'd be
Speaker 1: going to p F Changs. Come on, I'm my I'm
Speaker 1: a man of the people, daddy. You know, I'm a
Speaker 1: man of the people. I'm a simple like. Damn it.
Speaker 1: I could afford extra lettuce wraps. I know I can
Speaker 1: get extra egg rolls. I mean it, signed me up.
Speaker 1: Come on, I get all that Beijing b for whatever
Speaker 1: it is. They're the Yeah, alright. Next up for US
Speaker 1: Arizona three and six at the l A I am
Speaker 1: is at three and five. It's on Fox. Friend of
Speaker 1: the Show, the Great Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma have
Speaker 1: the call. The Rams opened up a three point favorite
Speaker 1: that went all the way down to one because of injury,
Speaker 1: slight lean on the money of the Rams Sunny and
Speaker 1: in the sixties at so Far Stadium in the Hood
Speaker 1: in Inglewood, the Rams eleven and one outright and against
Speaker 1: the spread against Arizona including the playoffs under Sean McVeigh
Speaker 1: seven and one against Cliff Kingsbury. So this has been
Speaker 1: a huge mismatch in favor of the Rams Arizona eight
Speaker 1: and one outright and against the spread as a road
Speaker 1: underdog since the start of last season, and the Rams
Speaker 1: have been miserable at home and on the road, all
Speaker 1: of their shortcomings. It's it's like it's like a vampire
Speaker 1: seeing sunlight. What has happened in the Rams here. It's
Speaker 1: been Brtal that said, I want to take the ramps now.
Speaker 1: The reason that the lines that won is because Matthew
Speaker 1: Stafford's in the concussion protocol. And again at the time
Speaker 1: we are doing Benny versus the Penny, this might change,
Speaker 1: but at the time we're doing this. It's up in
Speaker 1: the air where their Stafford's gonna play, But there's also
Speaker 1: no guaranteed Kyler Murray's gonna play. Has got a hip injury.
Speaker 1: Both of them frazzled, which means we could see John
Speaker 1: Woolford versus Colt McCoy that that could be the matchup
Speaker 1: here in a battle of lounge jacks. Now the wheels
Speaker 1: have completely fallen off of the Rams offense. They have
Speaker 1: Cooper Cup and nobody else, a lot of wartz, a
Speaker 1: lot of malls, a lot of imperfections there. Now the
Speaker 1: defense is still legit. That's the main reason I've bet
Speaker 1: on this game. Aaron Donald, J. Ramsey and the defense
Speaker 1: are are doing their job. The offense under Sean McVeigh
Speaker 1: and they're on hiatus this year. Alligator arms. Murray has
Speaker 1: been pukedtastic in his career against the Rams. He's more
Speaker 1: worried about video games than he is game tape. And
Speaker 1: this is going to be an aesthetically unpleasing game, but
Speaker 1: the Rams will pull it out. Rams sixteen and the
Speaker 1: Cardinals thirteen the final. This is an easy agreement going
Speaker 1: with the Rams, all right, So if so fact, though
Speaker 1: we both have guaranteed the Rams. It's in the bag.
Speaker 1: It's in the bag. What's wrong with your quarterback? By
Speaker 1: the way, well, he's weighed down because of the Lombardi Trophy.
Speaker 1: It's hard to play. No, I mean, what's wrong with them?
Speaker 1: He's got he's got a concussion. He's in the concussion protocol.
Speaker 1: So of course watching the Rams, I have a concussion
Speaker 1: watching the Rams. So we both have that. M All right,
Speaker 1: next up, down, Thank you. I'll be here all week
Speaker 1: all weekend. Alright. Uh. Dallas is six and two. They're
Speaker 1: playing green Bay three and six and Aaron Rodgers being
Speaker 1: called out as a phony. This game on Fox. Kevin
Speaker 1: Burkhart and Greg Olsen. It's the big game on Fox.
Speaker 1: Why because you put the Dallas Cowboys on TV. If
Speaker 1: you build it, they will come. And boyd to the
Speaker 1: fans come when Dallas is on TV. These are two
Speaker 1: iconic franchises. At the Frozen Pundra where I visited earlier
Speaker 1: this year, is pretty cool being in Green Bay. Crazy
Speaker 1: scene there, crazy scene in Green Bay with the way
Speaker 1: that's set up. It's just a small little Wisconsin town.
Speaker 1: This massive monstrosity lambeau Field right in the middle. Cowboys
Speaker 1: opened a three point road favorite. They are favored by
Speaker 1: five and the handle on this game. About seventy of
Speaker 1: the money's on the Cowboys. Temperatures in the low thirties
Speaker 1: at bow Field, so it's getting to the frozen tunder
Speaker 1: time there in Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers five one and
Speaker 1: one against the spread in his career as a home underdog.
Speaker 1: He's that's that includes the playoffs, so only six but
Speaker 1: seven times, seven times in his career has been a
Speaker 1: home underdog. Rogers has never been more than a three
Speaker 1: point home dog. So this line is at five right now.
Speaker 1: So this is uncharted territory for Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay.
Speaker 1: Dallas has been wonderful as a favorite. Their thirteen and
Speaker 1: three as a favorite since the start of last season,
Speaker 1: five and oh against the spread as a road favorite,
Speaker 1: Road Warriors. From Mike McCarthy, I've seen the numbers, I've
Speaker 1: seen all the data. Everything says bet on Dallas. Don't
Speaker 1: even ask any questions. Green Bay's a peewee football team
Speaker 1: at this point right it's it's embarrassing dollars to doughnuts.
Speaker 1: You've got to take the Cowboys in a landslide way.
Speaker 1: But I say now, I am gonna take the Limburger
Speaker 1: cheeseheads the green Bay Packers. The Packers were were wretched
Speaker 1: uh last week with the mistakes against the Lions, and
Speaker 1: they've been miserable if the one of the longest losing
Speaker 1: streaks in the NFL. But there's actually value here getting
Speaker 1: this many points and Aaron Rodgers at home. Green Bay
Speaker 1: should be able to move the ball between the twenties
Speaker 1: even with that pass rush from the Cowboys. The issues
Speaker 1: have been in the red zone lately. The Packers injury
Speaker 1: report is through the roof. They've got Sammy Watkins who's
Speaker 1: dinged up. Alan Lazard's got a shoulder, Aaron Jones and
Speaker 1: ankle offensive linemen are in the injury tent over there.
Speaker 1: I've seen all that. Next man up, do your job.
Speaker 1: I don't like Dak Prescott in a cold weather game
Speaker 1: in Wisconsin. That seems like risky business. If it looks
Speaker 1: too easy, it is, and it looks way too easy
Speaker 1: for the powder puff Green Bay Packers to just lose
Speaker 1: this game out right, So I say no, I think
Speaker 1: they will hang around, hang around, and there's a slim
Speaker 1: chance to actually win the game out right. But that
Speaker 1: castaways in the left behind players, the misfits in Green
Speaker 1: Bay who are playing. We'll keep this close with Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers Cowboys. We'll win, but they won't cover the spread.
Speaker 1: Cowboys Packers twenty four the final, and the penny says,
Speaker 1: you enjoy your moldy cheese, Ben going with the Cowboys.
Speaker 1: Nothing better than when you. I make the pizza, the
Speaker 1: mallard pizza, the garlic onion pizza. I make, and every
Speaker 1: once in a while, I'll get the dough and I'll
Speaker 1: have the tomato sauce and I'll get the pie ready.
Speaker 1: I'll get the sauce on the dough, and then I'll
Speaker 1: go to grab the mozzarella cheese and you pull it out.
Speaker 1: You open the mozzarella cheese up and you see that
Speaker 1: those weird colors of mold growing on the cheese. Boy,
Speaker 1: that's a bad feeling, man, that's a bad, bad, bad feeling,
Speaker 1: all right. Next up Sunday Night football, the l A
Speaker 1: Chargers at five and three San Francisco slash Standa Claire
Speaker 1: at four and four on and be see with Mike
Speaker 1: Tariko and Chris Collinsworth on the peacock. They've got the
Speaker 1: call the line on this game. The forty Niners opened
Speaker 1: a three and a point favorite. They are all the
Speaker 1: way up to seven and the money slight lean to
Speaker 1: the team from northern California at Levi's Stadium, clear Skies
Speaker 1: fifty four degrees at kickoff Sunday evening in San Francisco.
Speaker 1: The The Niners are five and oh against the spread
Speaker 1: their last five games as a home favorite. There two
Speaker 1: and oh this season, but historically Kyle Shannon and has
Speaker 1: been a walking talking debacle as a home favorite. Eight
Speaker 1: sixteen and two is a home favorite. Overall. The Chargers
Speaker 1: have been a great road play their four and oh
Speaker 1: against the spread on the road. They lived a charmed
Speaker 1: life last week as it was fumball and then fumble
Speaker 1: as Atlanta and and the Chargers exchanged fumbles in that
Speaker 1: wild ending at the end of that game, which helped
Speaker 1: the Chargers out. I'm gonna take the Chargers here. The
Speaker 1: Chargers can come close to matching the Niners and talent.
Speaker 1: People think I'm crazy to say that, but I believe
Speaker 1: the point spread is haywire. Even with all the injuries
Speaker 1: the Chargers have had, there's value with l A Justin Herbert.
Speaker 1: I'll take him over Jimmy Garoppolo. Certainly they're right there.
Speaker 1: Belly to belly, Austin Ekeler is a better player than
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey. Put that in your pipe and smoke it.
Speaker 1: So at worst that's a wash. And then you've got
Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel who's got a bad hammy and Keenan Allen
Speaker 1: who's also got a bad hammy, although it sounds like
Speaker 1: Keenan Allen may not play yet again, he's the Kawuahi
Speaker 1: Leonard or the Anthony Davis or the Chargers. So either way,
Speaker 1: I understand there's a bunch of guys you've never heard of,
Speaker 1: Joshua Palmer, DeAndre Carter who are playing white out in
Speaker 1: this game and supposed to be key participants. But if
Speaker 1: I'm coaching the Chargers, I ride and die with Austin Ekeler.
Speaker 1: Run Eckler, throw to Heckler, Gerald Everett to tight end
Speaker 1: can be effective in the passing game. Chargers with a
Speaker 1: stunner in Sunday Night Football, they not only cover, they
Speaker 1: win the game outright. Upset City, Upset City, thirty nine
Speaker 1: Chargers over the Niners, and the penny says, you're full
Speaker 1: of it going with the Niners alright, last game here,
Speaker 1: last game Monday Night Football Washington four and five at
Speaker 1: Philadelphia eight and oh it's on ESPN with Joe Buck
Speaker 1: and Troy Aikman. They have the call, Will this be
Speaker 1: a rags to riches story for Ron Rivera and the
Speaker 1: team formerly known as the Redskins? Well probably not, but
Speaker 1: the line on this game the Eagles are eleven point favorite.
Speaker 1: And then they opened up at tenant app aren't they cloudy?
Speaker 1: Temperatures in the thirties that kickoff at the Link in
Speaker 1: South Philly, the house that Tony Bruno built. Philadelphia five
Speaker 1: one and one against the spread their last seven at
Speaker 1: home with Jalen Hurts and Nick Sirianni. But the Washington
Speaker 1: football team has been very good, getting touchdown or more
Speaker 1: there eight five and two against the spread the last fifteen.
Speaker 1: In that situation, however, Monday Night Football has been a
Speaker 1: pit of horrors. As you you go back and there
Speaker 1: are eleven games under over the last what's that a
Speaker 1: pit of horrors? Okay, well, well that would be that
Speaker 1: would be a different, that would be something different. But
Speaker 1: but yeah, since since oh seven, double digit favorites on
Speaker 1: Monday Night Football are nine and twenty one against the spread.
Speaker 1: I just love getting over a touchdown. I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: the Commanders here in this game, a divisional game. The
Speaker 1: Commanders blown out their first meeting. Remember Carson Wentz played
Speaker 1: in that game. Now it's Taylor Heineke, he's in charge.
Speaker 1: It's been a great bet Heineck for gamblers there against
Speaker 1: the spread. Washington has been a competitive team pretty much
Speaker 1: every game. The Commandos are seven two and one against
Speaker 1: the spread with Heinech their last ten with him starting,
Speaker 1: and Jalen Hurts. He has been great for the Eagles,
Speaker 1: and Philadelphia is the more talented team here. But it's
Speaker 1: very hard to blow out of team twice in the
Speaker 1: same season. And I have a golden rule, and I
Speaker 1: follow the golden rule. Anytime you get a touchdown or
Speaker 1: more in a divisional game, you take the points. You
Speaker 1: don't ask a lot of questions, you don't make a
Speaker 1: lot of small talk, and you get the hell out
Speaker 1: of there. You take the points and you'll be happy.
Speaker 1: And it doesn't seem likely, right unless Washington uses some
Speaker 1: kind of witchcraft will win the game out right, But
Speaker 1: you can can right, you're gonna over over ten points.
Speaker 1: You gotta take those points. Most of these NFL games
Speaker 1: are are nipping talk. I'm gonna take the eagle to
Speaker 1: win the game, but the commanders to take the money.
Speaker 1: Eagles thirty three Washington the final, and the penny says
Speaker 1: fly Eagles fly. All right, we'll see if the penny
Speaker 1: ate it's lucky charms or or possibly you have flu
Speaker 1: like symptoms the penny. So maybe maybe the luck's not
Speaker 1: on the side of the penny. With those flu like symptoms,
Speaker 1: you might want to wear a mask, penny, you might
Speaker 1: want to wear a mask. All right, So there it is.
Speaker 1: Good luck. May all your bets be winning ones. And
Speaker 1: remember every week, every Friday, Holidays, you name it penny
Speaker 1: versus the penny, man versus coin, a human being versus
Speaker 1: an adamant object. We'll find out who can pick more
Speaker 1: winners than very well to start the year. That means
Speaker 1: nothing this week, and we hope, I hope it continues here.
Speaker 1: It's been a great year so far. Not for the penny.
Speaker 1: I hope that continues, but for me. And we'll get
Speaker 1: out on that note. Have a great weekend. Don't forget
Speaker 1: We've got two fresh original podcast original audio content. You
Speaker 1: can't get it anywhere else only here on the fifth
Speaker 1: hour on Saturday, and then again the mailbag on Sunday.
Speaker 1: So a lot of a lot of talking throughout the
Speaker 1: weekend and we'll get to all that. We'll talk to you,
Speaker 1: then see you tomorrow. Asta pasta population